Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Q1 2020 Cooper Companies Inc. Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Kim Duncan, Vice President, Investor Relations and Administration. Please go ahead, ma'am.
Good afternoon, and welcome to the Cooper Companies' Q1 2020 earnings conference call. During today's call, we will discuss the results included in the earnings release, along with the updated guidance and then use the remaining time for Q and A. Our presenters on today's call are Al White, President and Chief Executive Officer and Brian Andrews, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that this conference call contains forward looking statements, including all revenue and earnings per share guidance and other statements regarding anticipated results of operations, market or regulatory conditions and integration of any acquisitions or their failure to achieve anticipated benefits. Forward looking statements depend on assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise and are subject to risks and uncertainties.
Events that could cause our actual results and future actions of the company to differ materially from those described in forward looking statements are set forth under the caption forward looking statements in today's earnings release and are described in our SEC filings, including Cooper's Form 10 ks, all of which are available on our website at coopercos.com. Should you have any additional questions following the call, please call our investor line at 925 460-3663 or email ircooperco.com. And now I'll turn the call over to Al for his opening remarks.
Great. Thank you, Kim, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our Q1 2020 conference call. This quarter met expectations and we're now well positioned to deliver stronger results moving forward. This is especially true given recent operational improvements including increased MyDay production.
Having said that, there's the coronavirus impact and the obvious challenges it presents. Before getting into those details, let me walk through the quarter's performance. For Q1, consolidated revenues were $646,000,000 with CooperVision posting revenues of $485,000,000 up 3% as reported or up 4% in constant currency and CooperSurgical posting revenues of 161,000,000 dollars up 2% as reported and 2% in constant currency. Non GAAP earnings per share were $2.69 For CooperVision, all on a constant currency basis, the Americas grew a healthy 8% led by our daily silicone hydrogel franchises where we continue to offer the broadest portfolio in the market with MyDay available on a Sphere and Toric and Clarity in a Sphere, Toric and Multifocal. Both lens families performed exceptionally well with torics posting particular strength.
EMEA grew 3% supported by our entire silicone hydrogel portfolio and Asia Pac was down 1% due to Mide A capacity constraints as well as Biofinity and Avera vitality not rebounding as fast as expected from the destocking associated with the September VAT increase in Japan. Having said that, Asia Pac is already rebounding and we expect growth in Q2 even in the face of the coronavirus. All three regions were led by our daily silicone hydrogel portfolio, which grew 19%, continuing to take share in the fastest growing segment of the contact lens industry. This growth really demonstrates our strength with daily silicones and it bodes well for the future as my day capacity is quickly improving. Meanwhile, our Biofinity and Avera franchises grew 3%, a little softer than usual due to the destocking issue in Asia Pac.
Having said that, we expect better performance moving forward in Asia Pac along with an uptick from our launch of the recently approved Biofinity Toric Multifocal in the U. S. With the rest of the world following shortly. Torics grew 7% led by MyDay and Clarity and Multifocals grew 6% led by Clarity and Biofinity. So in summary, a solid quarter.
Given we expect Asia Pac to return to stronger growth in Q2, the Americas to remain strong and EMEA to start showing a rebound in Q3 as the comps get easier, we're optimistic about the remainder of the year. Before moving to MiSight, I want to cover some positive news on MyDay. As we discussed on last quarter's earnings call, the demand for MyDay is extremely strong and we've produced great results, but we've been capacity constrained. As such, we realigned significant resources to accelerate start up efforts on new lines I'm happy to report that activity is going exceptionally well. I want to commend our manufacturing team for their efforts and a truly fantastic job.
Moving to MiSight, our innovative Myopia management contact lens, sales this quarter were $1,500,000 up 87%, which was slightly above expectations and positions us well to achieve our objectives for the year. As a reminder, MiSight is our FDA approved daily lens that has been clinically proven to slow the progression of myopia in children's 8 to 12 years old. It has extensive 5 year clinical data and experience has shown it's safe and easy for children to handle and wear. We're continuing to have success around the world finishing February with over 17,000 kids wearing the product, up from 13,000 last quarter. And I'm happy to report this includes our first children in the U.
S. Regarding U. S. Activity, we completed our KOL launch in January, completed training of our U. S.
Sales reps in February and have now invited roughly 1800 docs into the 1st round of the MiSight program for education and certification along with continuing investments in clinical and regulatory work. Along with continuing investments in clinical and regulatory work. With the U. S. Launch underway, the product is now being sold as part of a holistic myopia management program called Brilliant Futures, where we provide the eye care practitioner the lenses, a suite of resources to help educate and connect with parents and targeted marketing tools to assist the eye care practitioner in building their myopia management practice.
The doctor can then incorporate all this into their own customized program, which could include eye exams and potentially other offerings such as Ortho K lenses and then charge an appropriate price for their complete offering. The early feedback has been phenomenal and it's really exciting to see the progress we're making with ECPs on the clinical benefits of MiSight and why this treatment should be standard of care for young patients with myopia. It's important to remember that myopia, especially high levels of myopia, has been linked to severe eye conditions later in life such as glaucoma, cataracts and retinal detachment. So a product such as MiSight that actually treats this condition is incredibly exciting. We believe MiSight has the potential to be a true game changer in the optical industry so we're happy and proud to be leading the way with this truly innovative product.
Regarding financial expectations for MiSight, we're still forecasting roughly $10,000,000 in sales this year, including $2,000,000 in the U. S. And $25,000,000 in fiscal 2021 and around $50,000,000 in fiscal 20 22. MiSight is a great growth driver for us as it's an entrance into a brand new market that being children, while also offering high margins as it's a ProClear based lens produced on an existing platform. Additionally, it offers a strong halo effect on the rest of our portfolio and is already driving eye care practitioner interest in CooperVision's other products.
Before concluding on Vision, let me remind everyone of the multiple growth drivers that underlie the $8,900,000,000 contact lens industry. It starts with Myopia, where it's currently estimated that roughly 1 third of the world's population is myopic and this will increase to 50% in 2,050. This obviously means a lot of visual correction, which is great for the entire optical industry. Additionally and more specifically to contact lenses, there's the continuing trade up from FRPs to dailies, the trade up from legacy hydrogel dailies to silicone hydrogel dailies, geographic expansion and growth in torics and multifocals. Within dailies, only 25% to 30% of wearers are in dailies today and only 43% of current daily sales are in silicone hydrogel lenses.
Our expectations therefore remain that this is a multibillion dollar trade up opportunity, which will occur over the next 5 to 10 years. And all this continues to support market growth in the upper part of the 4% to 6 percent range for many years to come with us taking share for the foreseeable future led by our market leading daily silicone hydrogel portfolio. And finally, I'm happy to report our new fit data was once again very strong this quarter, especially with respect to silicone hydrogel daily fits, which bodes well for our future. Moving to CooperSurgical, we reported revenues of $161,000,000 up 2% in constant currency with office and surgical up 3% and fertility up 1%. Within office and surgical, growth was driven by EndoSee, our 2nd generation handheld hysteroscope and our surgical retractors.
PARAGARD was flat for the quarter following Q4 where we had significant buy in activity associated with a 9% price increase implemented during the quarter. On pricing, remember that increases roll in over 3 years due to buy in activity, contractual arrangements and public market purchases such as Medicaid. For the year, we're still forecasting mid single digit growth for PARAGARD. Fertility was led by our device portfolio, which includes consumable products like IVF media and our market leading Wallace embryo needles and transfer catheters. This was offset in part by our genomics business, but more so by shipment delays at quarter end, which moved to Q2.
Given this, we expect a stronger Q2 from fertility even with the impact of the coronavirus in Asia Pac. Overall for CooperSurgical, we expected this quarter to be our most challenging due to the tough 8% comp from a year ago and the Q4 PARAGARD buy in, but we hit our expectations and remain confident in posting a strong year. Now before concluding, let me cover the coronavirus and its impact. 1st and foremost, our thoughts are with our employees, their families and the communities impacted by the virus. We've been fortunate in that we haven't had any employees infected by the virus that we're aware of.
Our business in China is relatively small, only roughly 2.5% of our revenues we have no manufacturing or packaging located in the country. So that's obviously helped. We have been able to maintain our supply of product in China, which is sold through 3rd party distributors. So the impact has largely been around the parts of our business that sell into hospitals, that being fertility and our specialty lens business. We're also seeing a modest impact in other countries where there's heightened virus activity, but our businesses are proving to be relatively resistant.
At this point, we're estimating the total revenue impact in Q2 will be roughly $15,000,000 comprised of $11,000,000 in CooperVision and $4,000,000 in CooperSurgical. I believe we'll likely call some of this back as we move through the year, but we're not including that in guidance. Having said that, we're holding our full year revenue guidance unchanged driven by the improved MyDay production and new contracts we've won our fertility business, which we expect to generate higher sales in Q3 and Q4. Underlying all this is the assumption our global operations largely return to normal in May, the beginning of our fiscal Q3. Brian will provide additional numbers, but our expectations for a strong year remain intact.
With that, let me conclude by saying we're taking share in the global contact lens market. MyDay capacity is ramping up nicely, the MiSight launch is progressing well and CooperSurgical is well positioned to accelerate growth. We're also continuing to make positive strides with our ESG efforts, including expanding support of several community involvement efforts and my recent signing of the CEO Action for Diversity Inclusion Pledge, which is the world's largest CEO driven initiative to advance diversity and inclusion within the workplace. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Brian.
Thank you, Al, and good afternoon, everyone. Most of my commentary will be on a non GAAP basis, so please refer to today's earnings release for a full reconciliation of GAAP to non GAAP results. Al covered revenues, so let me move to the rest of the P and L. Consolidated gross margins for the quarter were roughly flat year over year at 67.3% from 67.5%. CooperVision's gross margin improved 50 basis points to 66.5% from 66%, largely due to a reduction in year over year expenses associated with the infrastructure improvement projects we discussed last year, which we've now completed.
CooperSurgical's gross margin decreased to 69.7% from 72%, largely due to disruptions we previously discussed associated with consolidating our global manufacturing operations into Costa Rica. As expected though, the upfront work associated with this consolidation activity is completed and we continue to forecast gross margins improving year over year, including Q2 moving back into the low 70s. OpEx was up 5.4% year over year, resulting in consolidated operating margins of 25%, down from 26.2% last year. Within this, CooperVision's operating margin improved nicely driven by gross margin improvements and operating leverage, but CooperSurgical's profitability was down due to the reduction in gross margin combined with the pull forward of certain expenses, including selling and marketing costs associated with the relaunch of our PARAGARD DTC activity. It should be noted, this is mostly timing related and does not alter our full year expectations.
Interest expense was $11,600,000 driven by lower average debt balances and lower interest rates. The effective tax rate was 10%, largely due to the timing of normal equity grants and larger than expected Q1 true ups related to restructuring activity. Non GAAP EPS for the quarter was $2.69 with roughly 49,700,000 average shares outstanding. Free cash flow was $60,700,000 comprised of $129,700,000 of operating cash flow, offset by $69,000,000 of CapEx. Net debt decreased by $37,600,000 to $1,700,000,000 and our adjusted leverage ratio moved slightly lower to 1.82 times.
Lastly, on Q1, the year over year FX impact to revenues was negative $2,800,000 and there was no impact to EPS. Moving to fiscal 2020 guidance. Given the variability of currencies, we've decided to use the same rates we used in December, including the euro at 1.10, the yen at 1.09 and the pound at 1.29. For revenues, as Al mentioned, we anticipate a roughly negative $15,000,000 impact from the coronavirus in Q2, but both businesses expect to make that up in Q3 and Q4. Therefore, we are holding our revenue guidance unchanged with consolidated revenue guidance for the fiscal for fiscal 2020 remaining $2,767,000,000 to $2,817,000,000 This includes CooperVision revenue in the range of 2.070 to $2,100,000,000 up roughly 5.5% to 7% in constant currency and CooperSurgical in the range of $697,000,000 to $717,000,000 up roughly 3% to 6% in constant currency.
Note that when incorporating our Q1 performance, our full year guidance implies an accelerating growth rate for CooperVision of roughly 6% to 8% for Q2 to Q4 and roughly 3% to 7% for CooperSurgical. We remain comfortable with these ranges for the reasons Al mentioned including improved my day production and improving fertility performance. We continue to expect consolidated gross and operating margins to be up slightly, while now forecasting interest expense to be in the $37,000,000 to $39,000,000 range, which includes the recent 50 basis point Fed rate reduction but no additional rate moves. Given we have roughly $1,700,000,000 of debt and it's all floating, any additional interest rate reductions would be a nice positive benefit. For effective tax rate, we're now forecasting the full year to be roughly 12%, which incorporates Q1 along with the updated regional profit estimates and benefits from existing share based comp.
Our non GAAP earnings per share range is being increased $0.20 on the top and bottom ends to 12.80 dollars to $13.20 to reflect the lower interest expense and tax rate. Free cash flow is still expected to be around $425,000,000 with CapEx remaining elevated at around $325,000,000 due to the build out of daily silicon hydrogel production capacity. And with that, I'll hand it back to the operator for questions. Thank
you. Our first question comes from Larry Keusch with Raymond James. You may proceed with your question.
Okay, great. Thanks. Good afternoon, everyone. I guess just first question, relative to our model, the SG and A spend was a bit higher than anticipated. I was just wondering if that was if the spend was actually in line with what you guys were planning or were there any discrete items behind it that might have pushed a little bit higher?
Yes, Larry. It was roughly in line, but it was higher than we were expecting. It came from a little bit higher than we were expecting. It came from Cooper Surgical really. The PARAGARD DTC activity was pulled forward a little bit and that's fairly expensive the TV ads.
We're doing them a little differently this year. We're going to cable rather than hitting the primary stations in the big markets, but it's still fairly expensive and that was pulled forward into Q1. So that's not going to change our full year expectations for surgical and our SG and A expenses, but it did move some into the Q1.
Okay, perfect. And then just another one. On, I guess, on the improving capacity that you have for MyDay Tora. Can you just talk a little bit about what's progressed since you updated people in January at the JP Morgan conference? And I guess just along with that, I know you said you don't have any manufacturing in China, but do you source any raw material for contact lenses coming out of China or is that Japan or somewhere else?
Thanks.
Yes, we do not source any raw material out of China. We do well, we certainly don't have anything material out of China. I think there's a part for CooperSurgical, maybe something really small, but certainly nothing large by any means. Most of that's from the rest of the world, including Japan that you mentioned. On MyDay, yes, MyDay is solely a matter of getting production up and running faster.
That's it. So we have a number of lines coming in. Bringing those lines forward by a month or 2 months or 2.5 months in some cases has pulled production from the latter part of this year and the beginning of 2021 into 2020 and even months earlier here in 2020. So all that's doing is allowing us to produce more product. As we've talked about, the demand on that is really strong.
We pulled back on some markets, took the lens out of the market, cut back putting fitting sets in a lot of that kind of stuff. So the demand remains really strong. This is solely a matter of comfort in the fact that production is ramping up and that's going to give us more runs and we'll have more sales because of it.
Okay, terrific. Thanks guys.
Yes.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeff Johnson with Baird. You may proceed with your question.
Thanks. Good afternoon, guys. Let me follow-up maybe on Larry's question there on MyDay. Just and I guess it's a little bit of a guidance question as well. But on the 6% to 8% CVI guide for the balance of the year, if I take $11,000,000 out of the Q2 like you're saying, Brian, and also assume, I don't think my day, correct me if I'm wrong, is back in Japan yet, at least not the one check we have over in Japan on that.
So should we assume that 6% to 8% kind of builds throughout the year, maybe at the lower end of that in the Q2 and then higher than that over the balance of the year? How to think about that, Al?
Yes, you're spot on. It'll be just because of nothing else because of the $11,000,000 pulling out of Q2, and the fact that a lot of that MyDay production is currently ramping, right? And so you're right, we pulled the product out in a few different markets and pulled back on supply to some suppliers and so forth. You'll see that start to improve a little bit in Q2, but definitely improve quite a bit more for Q3 and Q4. So you're right, you end up kind of back ending it, right.
So if you're talking about taking $11,000,000 out, I don't know exactly what the number will be, but maybe it's you get $4,000,000 more in Q3 $7,000,000 in Q4, type of thing. All right.
And then, Al, maybe just talk to us about kind of what you're hearing or seeing in China. I know it's a small market or maybe even in Japan or Italy or any of your other markets, our sense is a lot of people have plenty of lenses at home. They're going through those lenses, utilizing those lenses, but maybe not going into the eye doctor themselves. So if there is an impact to you this year bigger than the $11,000,000 do you think it would be a timing impact? Is there risk that we just lose contact lens sales for a while?
Just how to think about maybe what you're seeing so far and maybe conceptually help us think about how the next few quarters could play out if this continues to spread and impact greater regions?
Thanks. Yes. I'll split it into 2 because CooperVision has a pretty decent specialty lens business and a lot of that is in China. And the specialty lens business is sold through hospitals there. So we end up taking a bigger hit there, right, because people aren't going to hospital.
No one wants to go to hospital now. That's our bigger portion of the hit. Now I do think that our expectations that things get back to normal in May moving forward covers that. And I think we'll be okay with the specialty lenses starting to sell more there. I'm not sure we pick that business up to be honest with you.
I kind of think we will, but I'm not positive of that. If you look at the rest of the world that's out there, we rolled in about $5,000,000 we just said generally speaking. I do think that if there is deferrals because of the coronavirus that we do pick that up, we didn't roll that into guidance, but I'm not sure why we wouldn't, right? If somebody has lenses at home and for some reason they're not going to get more, then they're going to ultimately need them. Now we're honestly, we're not seeing much of an impact because people are buying things online.
There's other ways that people can get products. So as of right now, end user demand remains strong. Our sell through remains strong. So we're not seeing a lot of impact from that right now. I mean, I think we're covering ourselves sufficiently by just saying, hey, we're going to have that impact this quarter.
Everything will be fine and kind of go fully back to normal. So I don't know. At the end of the day, I think we're pretty decently covered with the expectations we have out there.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Anthony Petrone with Jefferies. You may proceed with your question.
Great. Thanks. Maybe just stick on the guide for coronavirus. Just the total $15,000,000 I'm wondering how many countries actually is that? So is that just China?
I think it's actually more than China. So maybe even just the $10,000,000 in CVI, how much of that is China and how much of that is outside of China? And then I'll have a couple of follow ups. Thanks.
Yes. So if you look at break it down a couple of ways, right? $15,000,000 about $4,000,000 is Cooper Surgical. That's all from China. So that's where infertility clinics operate out of hospitals in China.
So that's all for China for them. We're not really seeing an impact outside of China. If you look at Cooper Vision's 11,000,000 dollars somewhere around $6,000,000 of that is China related and that's largely related to the specialty lens business, a little bit associated some of the other lens products out there. And then that remaining portion is the remaining $5,000,000 is kind of spread a little bit to a couple of different countries. We're not seeing like a dramatic impact in any particular country other than probably South Korea where there's a little bit bigger of an impact there, but the numbers aren't that big, right?
So you get a little bit in South Korea, you get a little bit in Italy, a little bit in a couple of spots, but nothing dramatic as you can tell from my commentary.
And then just on the fiscal 1Q print in APAC, the 109, it was down 1% constant currency. Last quarter, it was up 11%, but it ends in January. So was there any impact in the quarter in APAC and is the new growth rate on APAC sort of down or is it mid single digits as
we move through the year?
And then just to put in the last question there just on PARAGARD, just want to confirm, did national ads in the U. S, did were those up and running in the fiscal 1Q or have they started again as we move through 2020? Thanks again.
Yes. So the national ads on PARAGARD are up and running. So those started up even Q1. I know the costs were certainly starting in Q1. You're shaking your head.
They just started in December, the actual TV ads. So yes, so the ads were up and running in Q1. If you look at Asia Pac, yes, we had the minus 1%. Kind of surprisingly Biofinity and Avera were a little bit softer as we finished the quarter than what we thought they were going to be. So we've seen those come back already in February, so that makes me feel good.
I think that ended up being tied to the VAT purchases that happened in with the September change. Asia Pac is going to grow right now, I believe, for this second quarter. I'm not sure how much it will grow. I wouldn't be surprised, but low mid single digits something like that is kind of what I expect even with the coronavirus. And then we should be back to double digit growth certainly in Q3 and Q4.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Larry Biegelsen with Wells Fargo. You may proceed with your question.
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Just 2 for me, Alex. You threw out there that you got approval of a MyDay multifocal Toric. How what kind of ramp should we expect in the U.
S? How big can that product be? And just second, I'll throw out my second question now. What are you seeing from new competition in the silicon hydrogel daily disposable space, particularly from Precision 1 and the new VSP lens? Thanks for taking the questions.
Yes. The approval was Biofinity Multifocal Torque. Yes, we got that approved and we launched that product here. That's never a massive product. It's a highly profitable product.
But from a revenue perspective, it's never that huge because it's a pretty targeted market. Having said that, we'll get a few $1,000,000 out of that. And the other thing is, it's great for the Biofinity franchise, like for the whole family to go out there and to be able to have a product to talk about. I mean that'll, in my mind, clearly will be the best multifocal toric FRP in the marketplace, no question about it. So having that product out and being able to talk about it and just continue to talk about Biofinity is great.
It helps the entire family. If you look at the competition side of things, yes, PrecisionOne is being launched and that product is starting to make its way out into the marketplace a little bit here. So we haven't seen too much impact from that yet. And if you look at VFP, I know that's making its way that lens is making its way out also Haven't seen frankly too much impact on that either. So not too much impact from a competitive standpoint at this point.
And as I said before, I mean, there is room for other people within this space, but we're in a pretty good spot. And I'm really happy with where we stand with CLARITY and the success with Clarity that we've seen, especially Clarity Toric. And with my day continuing to hold up as well as it has and us being able to come out here with more of the Toric and everything puts us in a pretty good spot.
Thanks for taking the
questions. Yes.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Matthew Mishan with KeyBanc. You may proceed with your question.
Great. Thank you for taking the question. Right. Kael, now that Alcon appears to be moving forward with the DT1 Toric for later in the year, Does that get you to the point where rounding out the full family of Mi Day becomes greater priority?
Yes. You really go into a Mi Day multifocal. So we have the Toric out there. The key for us right now is to be able to meet the demand for the torque. We need to get more fitting sets out in the marketplace and then we will fulfill that demand.
So for right now, it's a matter of just saying there's a lot of demand out there for premium daily silicone hydrogel torque, a lot of demand out there. We're doing well. We'll launch I shouldn't say launch, but we'll get the product out there more robustly here as we proceed through the year and do really well. And I imagine DT1, Toricl actually do fairly well when they come out with that product. So I think we're both in a good spot.
When you look at the multifocal for my day, we'd like to get that out there. Our problem ends up being we're going to be capacity constrained here for I won't say for at least a year, could be a couple of years before we move through the capacity for the Sphere and the Toric itself. So I do think we'll get a multifocal out there at some point, but it's going to be a little while before we get it out in the market.
Okay. And then my Asia question, how if these things are getting a little bit worse in that region, how flexible are you with an ability to move lenses between regions? So if Asia demand were to weaken as a result of this, could you move that capacity to other areas of the world where you're constrained?
Short answer is yes. We shipped the product over there obviously, but if demand pulled back there, we would take that product and reallocate it into the European market in the U. S. I mean, even Europe was hit a little bit this quarter. They were okay, but they were hit a little bit this quarter because of my day capacity constraints, that's for sure.
And we've if that did happen, we would allocate those lenses and certainly sell them elsewhere. There's plenty of demand.
Okay, excellent. Thank you. Yes.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Chris Cooley with Stephens. You may proceed with your question.
Thank you. Appreciate taking the questions this afternoon. Just two quickly for me. One, Al, just to clarify, and I hate to belabor the point, but in your coronavirus guidance, you're not assuming further acceleration of the virus here in the United States and that's putting the pall over domestic demand. It sounds like it's relegated more so to the Asia Pac region and to a lesser extent Italy.
And then just going to my second question in as well, could you just remind us what the production delays were in fertility during the quarter and help us kind of better understand the contract that was won and why that gives you confidence that despite the coronavirus, you still could see acceleration in that franchise as you go forward in the back half of the fiscal year? Thank you.
Yes, sure. Thanks, Chris. Yes, with the coronavirus, we're assuming everything gets back to normal kind of in May. But you're right, we're not assuming anything gets worse from a sales perspective. That doesn't mean obviously it's going to be headline news and fortunately there will be additional people infected as they move through the U.
S. And so forth. But we're assuming that we continue to sell product pretty similar to how we're selling it today and then moving back to normal as we go into Q3. If you look at fertility, it wasn't production delays and fertility, it was shipment delays. So we have product that should have gone out at the end of Q1 that is going out in Q2, large portion of it's already gone out, but it's going out this quarter.
So that's just a movement of shipping of goods obviously. So we recognize that in the second quarter. On the contracts, we did have a couple of contracts here, some nice contracts we've won outside of the U. S, a few opportunities that we'll start capitalizing on and you'll see the revenue impact from that in Q3 and Q4. I won't go into specific details other than to say, obviously, it gives us comfort in our guidance and keeping revenues the same because we already have visibility to kind of increase revenue, so to speak, from those contracts.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Jon Block with Stifel. You may proceed with your question.
Thanks. Good afternoon, guys. I'll start with MiSight. You mentioned the certification program. Maybe at a high level, what does that certification program entail?
And then you mentioned, I think it was 1800 docs taking part in that program. How does the interest level look or the backlog, if you would, beyond the first 1800? And then I just got a follow-up.
Sure. So yes, the certification, there's kind of the education and certification, so to speak, associated with that. So we did that with the key opinion leaders in January and we had a group of them down in Miami to kick that off. And then they did the training. They went through the online certification, which is pretty straightforward honestly for an optometrist.
We have 20 certified docs in the U. S. Right now already prescribing, selling the lens. I think that was all the docs frankly that went to that are now certified in selling it. The invitation to the 1800 docs to go to the training at the 7 universities just went out.
I think it went out a couple of days ago. So the feedback, if you will, the verbal feedback has been very positive on that. There's a lot of those docs that we targeted who have pretty decent pediatric practices. So there was definitely some excitement there and a number of people who are looking to jump in and move forward relatively quickly. So I feel pretty good about that.
Okay. So maybe I'll ask a follow-up to that and just also layer in the next one. I guess are you going to pursue that in tranches? In other words, gather some learnings from the first subset of 1800 and then maybe bring on the next tranche? And arguably question 2, just key accounts back to where are you back to where you want to be in terms of pursuing some of these larger strategic accounts?
I think in fiscal 4Q 2019 you mentioned you had to hold back because of where you were from a capacity standpoint is that all systems go right now? Thanks guys.
Yes, yes. So we'll keep going on the 1800 docs. What we tried to do was kind of target docs who had a bigger pediatric presence and of course anyone who is already doing some form of myopia management. So that 1800 should be a pretty good group of docs. We ended up expanding it.
It was going to be a little bit smaller than that. The interest was strong. So we expanded that and we actually ended up including a number of docs in that who are not CooperVision docs, if you will. There were a number that came that really wanted to be involved and wanted to get signed up early. So we expanded that as much as we could.
Our limitation is that, we have 7 of the top colleges doing the training. So it's just a matter of how many people we can get in classes and push through there. As we work through that process, we'll expand that and invite more practitioners in, no question. If you look at key accounts, yes, that team, boy, they did just crazy good job for a long time. And we got kind of on our heels a little bit because of the MyDay production side of things.
We are back at it there. So things are moving back along. We're having those conversations. I'm kind of optimistic that we'll get some good news out there before too much longer here in terms of maybe a new key account that will raise your eyebrows.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Matthew O'Brien with Piper Jaffray. You may proceed with your question.
Afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. Hopefully, you can hear me okay. Al, we're hearing about some new market dynamics from one of your bigger competitors that's coming up starting April 1 as far as cutting back on rebating of legacy products and then trying to cut down on the gray market. So can you if I've heard about it, I'm sure you have.
Can you talk about how that could potentially disrupt the marketplace, improve the marketplace? And then what kind of opportunities could that present for Cooper maybe over the next 6 to 12 months?
Yes. Well, I'll tell you, we talked about the gray market probably at least a year or 2 years ago, something like that. That's yes, we got through that, but I'll tell you what, that takes some work. And what we're talking about, right, is that you're shipping lenses into one market and someone's taking advantage of pricing discounts and so forth. And their intent is not to sell it in that market, but they're getting volume discounts for some reason a lot of times tied to legacy contracts.
So they're buying product and then rerouting that product into another market and hurting the pricing that you have there. So that's a tough one. That's an actual project to get your arms around that, evaluate contracts and so forth and clean that up. We went through that and it improved our profitability and anyone else who's going through a great market analysis to clean that up that will be a positive benefit for them. If you look at the pricing dynamics in the market, you're exactly right.
We haven't seen anything really recent, but we did see rebate activity getting taken down. You had a lot of $200 for annual rebates and you've seen a lot of that move down for $100 rebate for existing wearers, still $200 or something for new wearers. But that's a positive dynamic. I know you also saw list pricing be increased by everybody this year. So we're looking at our own pricing right now.
We're looking at our own rebate activity. We did take a little bit of pricing this year already. We'll look at incremental pricing and any adjustments to rebates as we kind of move through the year
here. Okay. And then as a follow-up, the torque performance again this quarter was quite good on a constant currency basis, toughest comp of the year. Can you just talk about that marketplace generally speaking and how things are evolving? As your lenses are getting more and more comfortable, are you seeing more clinicians comfortable prescribing torax, I.
E, the market is starting to expand? Because I think a lot of people are worried about DT1 toric coming out and really impacting you in the future. But what I'm trying to get to is, is there a lot of room for this market generally to expand even if you do have some competition in the space, you guys still being, I think, the best toric, lens out there?
Yes, the toric market is a great market. It is expanding. One of the things is if you look at practitioners, right, everybody wants to fit their patient and have their patient buy lenses from them. You don't want to fit them and have them turn around and walk out the door and just buy it online, It's pretty easy to walk out the door and buy product online if you're fitting someone in the Sphere. If you're fitting someone in a Toric, it's much more challenging for that patient to turn around and walk out and buy that online and be comfortable buying it online.
A number of people have an astigmatism, so they need a Toric. Now they don't have to have a Toric, but as docs have become better and better at understanding that and looking for astigmatisms and fitting patients with really truly the correct lens, a lot of times more often than being fit right now that correct lens is a toric lens. So you're going to continue to see growth in torics. And as you're getting better daily torics out there, you're going to see that growth. That's obviously premium price points and so forth.
So in my mind, you're going to see many, many, many years in front of us here of toric growth. Now I do think we have the best toric lenses out there and we certainly do well in that space and our market share is still number 1. But there is definitely space for other people as we move forward here and no question about that. That's a really, really strong part of the market. Maybe the strongest part of the market out there is daily silicone hydrogel torics.
Got it.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Chris Pasquale with Guggenheim. You may proceed with your question.
Thanks. Al, can you quantify at all how much you think myDay capacity constraints have really held back the business? And I'm thinking in particular about how what's happening with those customers? So you've been pushing them into clarity. And so the opportunity as you have more capacity is really the price difference between those two lines.
What's been happening with those patients? Yes. A lot of those patients, frankly, Biofinity Toric
or someone else's monthly
or 2 like a Biofinity Toric or someone else's monthly or 2 week Toric or they're wearing a daily Toric like a ProClear or one of our competitors daily Toric. So unfortunately, there hasn't been a lot of options for them there. We're selling a lot of Clarity Toric right now. We just had another fantastic quarter with Clarity Toric. It's I don't know flying off the shelf is the right word, but it's doing really well and same with MyDay Toric.
So I think at the end of the day, you're not going to see MyDay toric cannibalizing clarity, that's for sure. I think it's more legacy hydrogel dailies, torics and FRP torics.
Okay. That's helpful. And then on MiSight, what does the $2,000,000 in U. S. Sales assume in terms of the number of patients who are actually going to be the product by the time we get to the end of the year?
You guys have a target for where you want to be in terms of users in October?
Yes. In order to hit the number of a couple of million, you're many, many thousands of wearers, that's for sure. Because at the end of the day you're selling we'll be selling the product. We're selling a year's supply of the product, but we recognize the revenue on what gets shipped. A lot of those patients because their eyesight is changing, we might be shipping them, depending upon what the doc wants to do, say 6 months of the year supply.
So we'll be recognizing 6 months worth of revenue on that. If you look at the price point, which is the kind of package sells north of kind of a premium daily silico hydrogel lens, You just kind of back into the math, right, that it's going to cost or it's going to require us to get many thousands of patients. And I'm not quite sure what the guys are assuming, but it's got to be 5,000 or so as we're exiting the U. S. Thanks.
It's 5,000 as we exit the fiscal year in the U. S, right.
Right. That's helpful. Thank you.
Yes.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Joanne Wuensch with Citi. You may proceed with your question.
Thank you very much and nice to be talking with you. Just two questions. When you go to start signing physicians up for the MiSight training, how do you explain the products to them? And what kind of pushback, if any, are you receiving? And then my second question has to do I'm so sorry, with corona, which is, if my understanding is correct, your estimate does not include that it spreads anywhere outside of the Asia Pac, specifically the China region.
How do we think about other scenarios if there is something comparable, where you've had to adapt to a more regional or global potential slowdown? Thank you.
Yes, sure. Yes, so we are assuming to be clear that the coronavirus continues to spread. I think that's definitely going to happen unfortunately. The question is the impact on our business. We're not assuming a big impact on business as it spreads, right?
Because if you look at like Japan for an example, we're not seeing a big impact on our business in Japan from the coronavirus. So it's obviously there, it's spreading through there, but it's not impacting our sales that much. So that's kind of what we're saying is, hey, as this spreads through the U. S. And other marketplace, it won't have that big of an impact on our actual sales.
If you look at MiSight, the training is, I think it's about 3.5 hours of training right now. So it's done it'll be done by the by a professional that we have and then professionals at the universities who are there, making sure that the ECPs understand the clinical benefits and so forth and the clinical trials and all the information behind it and why the lens works, how it works, how to help them with any fitting questions or anything they may have. Generally speaking, the pushback that we've received on this has been around kids. It's been around, hey, we're talking about 8 to 12 year olds. How do I get not pushback as much maybe, but as a question like how do I get parents comfortable?
How do I get the parent comfortable that their 8 year old can do this or their 9 year old or their 10 year old can wear these lenses? And that's a matter of what we talked about like working with them to help educate the parents and you bring the parent in, you work with them, you talk to them, you have someone in staff depending upon the size of your practice, someone in your staff who specializes in talking to families and educating them and helping the children fit the lenses. What we've seen is that when kids actually put the lens in and do it a couple of times, they're good to go unlike older people who continue to seem to struggle and then drop out. The younger kids figure it out and then they're done and they move on. So it's more of that kind of stuff.
We haven't had a lot of pushback so to speak, but certainly a number of questions. And by the way, welcome back, Joanne. Thank you very much. Thank you, Joanne. Yes.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Robbie Marcus with JPMorgan. You may proceed with your question.
Thanks for the question. Maybe to start off, just 2 clarifying questions. 1 on coronavirus. I caught maybe conflicting comments. I just want to make sure.
You are assuming that the revenues come back in the second half. Is that correct?
No. So right now we're saying we'll lose so to speak $15,000,000 and those revenues will not come back is what is assumed in our guidance. I happen to personally believe that some of them will, but we'll see how that plays out. In terms of being trying to be a little conservative on that, we assume those do not come back.
Got it. And then again another great quarter with the tax rate well below expectations. You lowered 1% for the year. What is it that 2Q through 4Q wouldn't see a tax rate maybe similar to Q1 or lower like last year? And then I'll just slip one more in.
I might have missed it, but what was the FX impact in the quarter on sales and EPS and gross margin if you have it? Thanks.
I'll let Brian take note. He hasn't had a chance to talk.
Hi, Robbie. Yes. So, the tax rate came in a little bit lower than we expected. Our Q1 tax rate always tends to be when we start off the year the lowest ETR because we issue equity grants in the Q1. So that's
always going to kind
of take it down somewhere around 2% if you were to kind of straight line the year. What also happened this quarter, we had a true up in the quarter that was generated from the provisions enacted by tax reform from fiscal 2019 that kind of flowed into this quarter. So obviously, with tax planning, you've got estimates, you're truing those up and we just happen to have a true up that brought us down a little bit more than we expected in Q1. So, when we look through the balance of the year, with our tax rate going down by roughly 1% from our last guidance, I would expect the ETR to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 12.5% for Q2, Q3 and Q4, relatively flattish. Your next question was on FX.
So keeping guidance FX rates the same, we have about a $10,000,000 detriment to sales and roughly $0.04 positive to EPS.
And that's for the quarter or for the year now?
For the year. For the quarter, Q1 was about $2,800,000 detriment to revenues and no impact to EPS. Great.
Thanks for the questions.
Yes.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Steve Willoughby with Cleveland Research. You may proceed with your question.
Hi, good evening. Thanks for taking my questions. I have a couple still actually. Just I guess Brian just a real quick follow-up there on that last comment, the negative $10,000,000 to revenue and positive $0.04 EPS from FX, That's relative to your previous guidance or what you're expecting
for the full year overall?
That's relative to the rates we used on the last quarter's guidance. So when we gave you a rate for the euro of $1.10 on the euro, dollars 1.29 for the pound and $1.09 for the yen, you basically have rates more or less you basically have the impact more or less unchanged. Does that answer your question?
It does. Yes. I guess just another kind of follow-up question. The $15,000,000 impact from coronavirus being a headwind, what's the offset then to be able to keep your growth rates for the full year unchanged?
Yes, dollars 15,000,000 headwind in Q2 here. And then I think what you get is ultimately kind of 5 more made up in Q3 and 10 in Q4. And that comes from higher my day sales because of the production improvement and from those fertility contracts that we won during the Q1.
Okay. Al, on the Mi Day, is there any way to sort of quantify at all some of these realignment and improvements you're seeing in by day production? And just wondering if you last quarter you mentioned you thought you'd still be capacity constrained on by day as you ended this fiscal year. I was wondering if that was still the case?
Yes. I won't quantify them other than to say I'm kind of comfortable with the revenue growth we're talking about in the back half of the year. And as a matter of fact, if we can keep moving along at the pace we've been moving, we could have some upside to that. We'll be capacity constrained, I think, well into next year because until we get mighty multifocal out in the marketplace, I would say we're capacity constrained at the end of the day. That's the thing that will allow us to do so.
I think that will probably be, Steve, sometime next year, but I think we'll have some headwinds. Having said that, we've got we have enough product coming off right now that we're going to be able to put up some pretty good growth rates.
Okay. If I could slip one last one in then, just on dailies. Dailies overall, I believe you said dailies overall grew 5%. And I think you said dailies silicon hydrogels grew 19. Percent.
The 5% overall daily growth, it was slower than it's been in quite a while. So just wondering if you could give us any color on what's happening with the non silicon hydrogel daily performance?
Yes. And a little apples and oranges there because the 5 is single use Sphere. So we're seeing a lot of our growth coming from those daily torics. So that number ends up getting put into that toric number. That's one of the things that throws it off just a little bit.
But to your question and to your point, the legacy hydrogel business is continuing to decline. No question about that. I mean, we're continuing to feel pressure there on that as people convert over. That's one of the reasons I want to keep driving my side because as ProClear declines, which it is, right, those lines are the exact same lines we use to make MiSight product on. So I'm kind of hopeful that as that declines, we see the growth in MyDay and Claroty and then we throw MySite over on those lines and we don't need to put any new capital or anything out there.
By the way, Steve, one quick point on your question on currency. Just to be clear to everybody, and Brian might have these numbers, I don't on the top of my head. But we did use the same currency rates, so everything kind of stayed the same. But I'll tell you over the last few days here, currency has moved like in our favor. I almost never say that.
You guys know that. Like Cooper, it seems like I'm always talking about a headwind from currency, but currency has moved in our favor from those rates. We were using the same rates to make life easy and because at the time we were doing the work, they were more similar. But if the rates held where they are today, that would be an incremental positive for us. Do you have any idea on what you're seeing?
Yes, yes. So if we use current rates, today's rates, the revenues would be about $5,000,000 better and the EPS would be about 0 point 0 $7 better. So your $0.04 would go to $0.11 on EPS and your detriment of $10,000,000 goes to roughly a detriment of $5,000,000 in revenues. We shouldn't go crazy on that because rates are moving around like
Thank you. Our next question comes from Steven Lichtman with Oppenheimer and Co.
Just one left for me. On the PARAGARD DTC, can you update us on how much you anticipate that spend will be this year? And when do you expect to be able to evaluate whether the return is coming through for that investment?
Yes, Steve. I think that we're still in a position right now to say that year over year, it will be about $5,000,000 higher in kind of that sales and marketing spend for PARAGARD on a year over year basis. I think that as we end this year we'll really be in that spot. The 1st year we hired a bunch of salespeople. We did ads on kind of all the TV stations, if you will, in the New York metro area and Northern Cal.
Now this year, we have a lot of those sales people in place. We're doing the TV ads more on a cable basis. I think it's like 10 or 12 cities around. So we'll be able to look and see with some detail around, hey, where are we most successful in the markets where we have salespeople, where we don't, how successful were we with the targeted marketing, being on just cable versus being on national channels and so forth. So I think this is a really good and important year for us in terms of PARAGARD.
Next year no reason next year shouldn't be a good PARAGARD year for us and maybe extra good depending upon what we end up doing from an expense perspective. But I think it's this year will give us those answers.
Got it. Thanks, Hal.
Yes.
Thank you. And I'm not showing any further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Al White, President and CEO for any further remarks.
Great. Thank you. Good questions and good discussion today. So thank you very much. Thank you for calling in and so forth.
And we look forward to talking to you again on our next quarterly call here in a few months. That's it. Thank you.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating.