Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (DGX)
NYSE: DGX · Real-Time Price · USD
196.27
-3.26 (-1.63%)
Apr 24, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT - Market closed
← View all transcripts

7th Annual Evercore ISI HealthCONx Conference

Dec 4, 2024

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Hi, everybody. Thanks for joining us this afternoon. My name is Elizabeth Anderson. I'm the Health Care Services Analyst here at Evercore. I'm very pleased to be joined by Jim Davis, CEO and President of Quest Diagnostics, as well as Shawn Bevec, who's the VP of IR. Thank you so much for joining us today.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

My pleasure.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Thanks so much for doing that. Maybe just starting off, let's talk about sort of pricing, because I feel like that's like the biggest shift. And I know you're probably this isn't the first time you've ever discussed it, but I think it's something that still people have a lot of questions in, because it has been such a different shift post-COVID. Maybe looking at different customer types. For health plans, pricing has been sort of flat to modestly positive, I would say. Can we talk about sort of the main drivers of that? And as we think over the next it doesn't have to necessarily be 2025, but over the next couple of years, the sustainability of that as we go forward.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Yeah. So first, when we talk about price, because we have these terms, price and per req, but let's strictly speak to what we call price. And that's price per test. It's listed out in a compendium and very discrete on a per-test basis. So from a health plan standpoint, and when we talk about the health plans that's going to include Medicare Advantage, it's been largely flat to slightly up. And the typical health plan contract is three to five years. So every year, we're renewing roughly, let's call it 25-ish, 30% on the high end of our health plan agreements. So it's been stable. Now, one of the things that's actually helping create more stability actually is transparency, because it's pretty easy to get information on our pricing to the other health plans. And so that actually assists us in reducing the variation from the high to low.

And where there is variation, you want to make sure that it's driven by some logical things, like the markets you serve. California is more expensive than Iowa. It should be driven by volume. Health plans where we do a ton of volume should get better pricing than health plans where we do less volume. And so actually, transparency, we think, is helping bring stability and reducing the variation that we previously had across some of our payers.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

That makes sense. And what about the sort of pre-COVID, we think of having these exclusive models that then went sort of multi-source for the most part, not every single one, obviously? Has that also helped in terms of the pricing and the market?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

I think so. I mean, obviously, pre-COVID, let's go back to sort of 2017, 2018. We were not in UnitedHealthcare's network. LabCorp, our nearest competitor, was not in Aetna's network. For the most part, I think we were both in Cigna, Humana, and most of the Blues. We were both in network. Since that time, with Anthem, we were only partially in their network. Now, let's play this out. We're all in UnitedHealthcare's network. We're all in Aetna's network. On January 1 of this year, we will be back in network with the three states that we were not in network with, with Elevance. That's Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, and we had limited access to only a portion of the Anthem lives in Georgia. So we're in network everywhere with Anthem. So that's it, OK, and it's a dual source.

So I think now there's still some Blues plans where they've chosen one and not the other. I would say there's three or four of those around the country. Some benefit us, some benefit others. But look, I think the health plans have come to the realization it's better to have the independent labs broadly in their networks, because we're the ones that are going to have a greater probability of getting those reqs out of hospital labs. And if you think about it, when we got kicked out of a network, and let's just say we had take 100% of our business that we lost. If you think more than 50% of that went to an independent lab, that would be generous. The other 50% went into hospital labs that was getting priced at two to three times what we were.

So it really never saved anyone any money, which is why broadly we're back in. All of us are back in network. So it's really the independents against everyone else is the way we think about it.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Yeah, no, that definitely makes sense. If we think about that change, are they doing things in plan design to help push share to achieve those savings on that side, too?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

There's some creative things that are piloted around the country. One is if you use an independent lab, there's no co-pay or co-deductible. Now, the employer obviously has to agree to that. But let's play this out from an economic standpoint. If the req goes into the hospital, it's a $200 req, and let's say the payer or the employee is paying 20% of it, so they're paying $40. But the employer is paying $160. Now, that same requisition goes to Quest Diagnostics, and we'll say it's half the price, $100. The patient pays nothing, but the employer is only paying $100. So they're saving money. Now, the employer has to be convinced that if they sign up for that kind of a deal, that they can convince enough of their employees to use independent labs. And by the way, it's not just convincing employees.

It's often thought about when you all go to the doctor. Many times, the doctor doesn't even ask you. You have to express, I want my lab work to go somewhere.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

I know better now.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

You know better now, and you should. Generally, with any of the big payers or any of the Blues plans, you have choice, and if you vocalize that choice, the doctor has to do what you ask them to do. Now, if that doctor works for a health system in general, they're not going to ask you, where do you want your lab work to go? They're going to send it into the health system lab, and it's going to cost you more money.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

I'm aware. Yes, no, for sure. That's a good yeah. Maybe talking about some of the health system pricing for the health system portion that you guys obviously work on. That has been not as robust as some of the health plan pricing you've seen. How do you kind of see that portion of the business kind of changing or staying the same over the next little bit of time, too?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Yeah, so we've definitely experienced price loss in the health system segment. And it's predominantly in that portion of our business. We call it reference business, work that they refer out of their lab to our lab. It's about somewhere between $1.1 and $1.2 billion of our business. Now, why have we seen a lot of recent price pressure in that segment? Number one is during COVID, nobody ran RFPs.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Oh, they were too busy.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

They were too busy with other things. So generally, these health systems will run an RFP process every three to five years. That was completely stagnant. So there was good news. Nobody switched reference providers during COVID, very minimal switching. So now coming out of COVID, there's been a lot of pent-up demand to sort of relook at the pricing and issue RFPs. And that's when things get very competitive. So we're seeing a lot of that. The second reason, which I think has lessened a little bit this year, is look, coming out of COVID, health systems were in general less their balance sheets looked less attractive than before COVID. Now, I think this year has been a better year for health systems in terms of reimbursement, in terms of utilization. But nonetheless, they're still looking for price reductions on that book of business.

And so we don't want to lose it. So you do what you have to do. We have a value proposition. I would say in some respects, there's less competition. Well, look, you have two independents going after that work, plus you have two not-for-profit companies that go after that work, ARUP and Mayo. Then you have a whole bunch of niche specialty labs in genetics and cancer that go after that work. So it's competitive, is what I would say.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, no, that makes sense and maybe turning more broadly, I think one of the things, at least in the investor perception, is that post-election under the new administration, as far at least as we understand the policies or the likely potential policy, it seems like versus other sectors of health care services, labs seem a little bit more insulated maybe from some of the big policy pronouncements we've heard. How do you, one, do you agree with that assessment and sort of two, are there particular areas that you think, like maybe here and more in the nuances, I think this is either sort of a positive or a potential headwind going forward?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

I think there's a series of tailwinds and headwinds that we could face in the lab industry. So let me characterize it in three buckets. Number one is regulation, and specifically LDT. Number two, we can talk about Medicare reimbursement. And number three, we can then just talk about broader health care philosophy changes that we think may be good for the lab industry. So on the first bucket, LDT regulation. First, our trade association filed a lawsuit. Others have filed lawsuits. Those cases should be complete in terms of replies, rebuttals by Christmas. The court will probably take anywhere from 30 to 60+ days to figure it out and make a ruling. Now, if it's positive, then that's a relief. Now, it'll be a short-term relief, but we then think it will move back to what we're advocating, which is a legislative solution.

Let Congress determine what the FDA. Congress already did determine what the FDA should and should not be doing. And so it will likely lead to more legislative activity. But temporarily, our hope is that the court case is favorable. Now, the new administration can't just come in and rip up the rule. That will take time. What we do know is when the administration was in office from 2016-2020, Alex Azar expressed in writing and was very clear that he did not think the FDA had the legislative authority to do what they just did. So we view the new administration coming in as sort of obviously less regulatory-minded. But it would take time to change the existing rule, whether that's six months, a year, not quite clear. So that's on the LDT regulatory front.

On the reimbursement front for 2025, as you know, it's already been decided that there will not be another PAMA cut. There's one more cut slated. The can got kicked one more year. Not clear where that's going to come out. Now, we're going to continue to push for 2026 a solution, a permanent solution. We've been pitching this thing called SALSA for the last three years. It had moderate success, but you could never really get all the committees, two in the House, one in the Senate, to coalesce around it. So we'll be hard at work to get a permanent solution regarding Medicare reimbursement. The last bucket is sort of philosophical differences, and I'm not here at all to be political or talk politics, but this notion that we hear coming from the nominee for HHS is one of wellness.

And much of what he's been speaking about has been backed by a physician at Stanford, Dr. Casey Means. She's written a book called Good Energy that talks about wellness. There's a recent Lancet study that has tracked obesity and overweight. 32% of the country was obese or overweight in 1990. Today, that number is 70% of the U.S. is considered obese or overweight. Now, over those 34 years, that population is now aging into Medicare. And it's going to cost our government, whether it's Medicare or Medicare Advantage, a lot of money. Why? Because those obese people come with morbidities, comorbidities. It's diabetes. It's liver disease. It's cardiovascular disease. It's dementia. It's earlier signs of cancer due to the foods we're putting into our human body.

So I think there's going to be a shift back to wellness, back to how do we get out in front of this, more diagnostic testing to enlighten people what's going on inside the human body. And I think all that can be good for the lab business.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Got it. No, that's helpful context. Thank you. Do you have an internal betting board about how many years PAMA can get kicked down the road?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

I think we're now five years. Look, the only good thing this year is it happened earlier in the year. Usually, at this point in the year, we have two budgets, one for if PAMA happens, one if it doesn't. It's tough to run your business when a looming $90 million price cut, which is both revenue and, as you know, straight to the bottom line. We'd like a permanent solution.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Yeah, no, that makes sense. I think the doc fix was 11 years. I think I had it.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

I think it might have been 2017.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, so we still have some room to go. Hopefully, we'll beat that. Maybe if we think about the other element of pricing with the rev per req as we're sort of pulling those different pieces out, how much of a driver of the sort of increase in rev per req, what is really sort of driving that? Is it really like test mixes? Are we seeing sort of like a certain test intensity? Tell me, talk to me a little bit more about how you see that.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

So let's just go back to the third quarter results. Our revenue growth, 8.5%, we said organically it was 4.2-ish. And the rev per req lift was 3-ish%, 3.1%. It's predominantly coming from, we said, price is relatively flat. When you think about the components of rev per req, it's price per test, it's test per req, and it's the kinds of tests that are on that. So we call that mix. So test per req have definitely been increasing and test mix, higher revenue tests versus are mixing that up. Now, on the test per req side, what's really driving it? So I'd say there's three or four things that are driving it. Number one is the advent of and the use of more of what we call advanced diagnostic testing.

So these are things related to the brain, these Alzheimer's tests, the Abeta 42/40 for amyloid plaque detection, two important tau biomarkers that are getting some lift, and the cardiovascular health arena. Cardiovascular goes well beyond LDL, HDL, and A1C. These biomarkers we call Lp(a), we call ApoB, which is a genetic marker, and then a third test called MPO. These are allowing physicians to stratify both normal LDL patients, a normal LDL patient with an LDL of 100, but your LDL, I'm sorry, your Lp(a), or your ApoB is high, you're at risk. And so these are further tests to help risk stratify their patients. Likewise, if your LDL is elevated, let's say 120, 130, but the other biomarkers are in line, let's not push that person to a CT angiography.

So there are important tests to help stratify risk and help manage who really needs to get imaged and who doesn't. And we see physicians, we see primary care physicians ordering this before you then put that patient on a pathway to go see a cardiologist. Autoimmune disorders are off the charts. And we have some new recent tests that are helping us help the primary care physician. Again, is it rheumatoid arthritis? Is it irritable bowel syndrome? Is it celiac? Is it one of a number of autoimmune disorders? So we think that's really what's driving test density. The last thing I'd say is these functional medicine groups. You've heard of the company Function Health, others that are like them. Look, these things are really growing. And the test density, they're looking at all the things we just talked about, plus lots of hormone testing and things like that.

All of that is contributing to higher test per req. It's also contributing to higher revenue per test.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Maybe this is sort of a subcomponent, but I guess I'm surprised that you're not mentioning the aging population within Medicare. And if you have more sort of 75-year-olds within Medicare as that baby boomer cohort, that has some driver to it too. But I guess that's probably embedded in some of your answers about sort of amyloid plaques and those types of Alzheimer's testing.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

And there's some confounding, some of that gets commingled. But certainly, when we look at our absolute req volume and our test per req within the Medicare and Medicare Advantage population, you've got to put them together because they're switching between the two. But when you put those two books together, the req volume is higher and the test per req are always higher with that age group than with a 25-year-old. And it continues to grow at a nice pace.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, that totally makes sense. Can you talk about one of the things is obviously over the past year, utilization around health care has been broadly strong. We've seen it in prescription utilization. We've seen it in hospital utilization. And you would think of sort of particularly the hospital and facility utilization comes with increased lab testing. Obviously, we haven't seen the same complete spike up in utilization that we've seen in some of those other categories. But as people are sort of thinking about that utilization stabilizing or maybe even that growth rate slowing a little bit going forward, how do you think about the impact on Quest core business in terms of that sort of broader health care utilization piece?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Yeah, so if utilization going into primary care, OB-GYN, or any of the specialists is going up, we're going to certainly benefit from that. When utilization for inpatient procedures in hospitals goes up, we may benefit. It just depends. For some of the outpatient procedures like hip, knee, shoulder replacements, that really throws off very little lab testing. For things like colonoscopies, that's good for our business because we do a lot of that anatomical pathology work. So if something is removed, that's a big we have a $500 million anatomical pathology business. And I would tell you more of that business is what we refer to as outpatient anatomical pathology, meaning GI work, colonoscopies, esophagus work, skin, derm, things like that, versus surgical biopsies, which generally you're looking at more in a hospital environment.

So anytime you see increases in outpatient procedures related to GI work, dermatology work, it's generally going to be good for our business. In terms of just raw admissions into hospitals, the answer is it depends. If it's kidney transplants, any kind of transplant work, that's generally good because we could be doing some of that testing. If they're in for some rare infectious disease, that's generally good. So it just depends on where the growth comes from on the inpatient side.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Yep, that's a good nuance to think about. So maybe if we think about health system deals, obviously, as you point out, you guys have been active in that. As we think about sort of the landscape of available deals, a number of big ones have been done over in the recent years. Are we sort of moving down to sort of the next tier in terms of growth, in terms of opportunity? So we might see sort of a greater number of them because they're each maybe a little bit smaller. Sort of how do you think about that next tier of opportunity? Or maybe you disagree that we're sort of approaching that.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

It's hard to tell, but I think even though we've done quite a few deals this year, we still have one to officially close. That's University Hospitals in Cleveland, which, whether it's the very end of this year or early next year, it'll be in that time frame. What I would say is, look, in part, it's us going, and let's just say we go hunt. Here's what we look for. We look for parts of the country where we have great payer access, but we have very limited share. Generally, if we have very good payer access and we have very limited share, it's generally because there's very few independent physicians in that market. Columbus, Ohio, where we did the deal with OhioHealth, there's two large health systems. There's OhioHealth and there's Ohio State University. Most of the doctors work for one of the two.

So our entry into that market, we had to get one of the two. And so OhioHealth decided it wasn't a business they needed to be in, and so they sold it to us. The same plays out in Cleveland, Ohio, and in Minneapolis, where none of the independent labs had great presence or share in those markets because the health systems owned most of the physicians. And when you own them, they're going to send the work into the hospital. So those are characteristics of markets that we look for, and we go and start initiating those discussions. There's other opportunities that come to us. We may have pretty good share in that market or decent share, but for whatever reason, the hospital has decided they don't want to be in that market.

Presbyterian, Cornell, Columbia, we did that transaction in 2023, but that was a market where they sort of decided we just don't want to be in that business of doing lab work for physicians that sit outside the hospital and are doing primary care, OB-GYN work. Why did they make that decision? Look, in the words of their CEO, lab is incredibly important, but it's not a basis for why patients choose to go to Cornell or Columbia. They choose to go there for neurology, cardiologists, obstetrics, cancer. And based on both investment requirements to maintain leadership in those areas, space requirements in the city, they just said this is an aspect of our business that we can outsource to someone else. And that's why they made that decision. So I would tell you, I think others will come to some of those same conclusions.

Capital costs are higher, as we know, with interest rates rising, so access to capital may be more limited, so health systems need to think about investing in what drives their volumes, and it's generally not having a better lab.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Yeah, no, that's very fair. Maybe switching over from sort of some of the more revenue aspects to a little bit more on margins. You guys are still, obviously, have your long-term target of the 75-150 basis points of margin expansion. How do we think about the pluses and minuses to the 2025 margins versus where we'll end 2024?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

OK, so on the plus side, we haven't given official guidance, but we said we're comfortable with a 3% organic growth. Generally, with that kind of organic growth, we'd like to see the contribution from that in the 40% range. So feel good about that. Some of the acquisitions, the outreach acquisitions, generally over time, two quarters, three quarters, we can get them contributing in that kind of a range, 40-ish% contribution. But it depends on, and those are contributions. Now, LifeLabs will come to us at the OM level. It's a standalone business. We said initially it's high single-digit OM rate. We said over two to three years, we can get that back to the sort of Quest rate. So look, our goal is always we know we're going to have wage inflation again going into 2025 in the 3%-4% range.

That's a call it $100 million-$120 million impact on the company. Your goal is to work productivity to offset the wage inflation, plus other inflation. We have 2,100 patient service centers with escalations on rent, things like that. So you're always trying to offset all of that inflation with Invigorate and then allow the other things to drop down at their contribution margin rate. That's kind of the goal. Now, you've got $700 million of incremental revenue coming into the company next year from LifeLabs. I wouldn't call it 700 because we said 700 on a 12-month basis will have owned it for a quarter and five weeks, let's say. So whatever the carryover is. But that's going to come at us at a 10% OM rate. So that's going to mix us down. We got some new PLS deals, professional lab services.

Generally, those don't create a ton of margin right away. But then you have the other parts of the business. So I'm not going to give you a number yet, but when you put all those things together, we still are confident we can get our OM rate up.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Got it. OK, no, that's broadly helpful. And we'll see in hurricanes and all that other kind of good stuff.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

You hope hurricanes don't repeat. You hope CrowdStrike.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

You don't have the full year weather forecast for 2025 yet.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Not yet, but I'll predict at least one hurricane. How does that sound?

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Perfect, perfect. So maybe talking a little bit more about Haystack, can you give us an update on the Haystack commercialization plans? Where are we in that process? And that would be helpful to get more details there.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Yeah, so we're at the very end of what we called our early experience program, where we went out and asked clinicians to give it a try so we could really look at our end-to-end processes. Let's start with an order. An order, then you have to do something called block retrieval, get your hands on the actual tumor specimen. You have to make sure before you go commercial that you have pre-authorization processes in place. You have to make sure you have processes to work with patients if there's a large significant bill that comes. When Haystack was just a small, tiny lab, they had outsourced the whole exome portion of the test. We had to bring that in-house and stand that test up. And so all of those processes have been put in place. We're making some final tweaks to it.

And so we're getting ready for full commercial launch. Over 100 clinicians have tried the test. Many of them who've tried it were also using someone else so they can do their own comparison. And we're getting close to that full commercial launch. Now, we still have lots of work to do on the reimbursement front. Our lab is in Dallas, Texas. That's in the Novitas MAC. Having said that, a portion of the testing is done in California, which is in the MolDX MAC. And so we're going to work the reimbursement from multiple angles. And the goal is to have it full reimbursement by the end of next year.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, and can you just remind us, so CMS comes out, and then do the other sort of national payers on the commercial side sort of fall in line after that? Typically, can you just remind us what that process is?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Yeah, if you can get one of the MACs to cover it, the MACs where your lab is located, because that's where you're sending, regardless of where the patient is, you're seeking reimbursement where the test is done. If you get one MAC to reimburse, we can then say, yes, CMS is reimbursing for that test. And then you start to approach the Medicare Advantage plans, which should follow the guidance of the CMS and the MAC. Is it a rubber stamp? Maybe not. Will they put in place pre-authorization processes? Probably. But generally, that's how we go about it. CMS first, one of the MACs, get out to the Medicare Advantage plans. And that's generally going to cover, let's just say, 65% of the cases.

But just because a Medicare Advantage plan that's attached to one of the large nationals approves it doesn't mean that the commercial side of that same plan will approve it for a 45-year-old patient. And so you have to continue to build up medical evidence that this test has efficacy along with an economic value proposition.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, no, that makes sense. And then how do we think about the pacing of R&D within Haystack in terms of additional tests that could potentially be run on the same platform? Or I don't know if it's even possible to use other tests, some external tests. How do we think about that opportunity?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

The first thing I would say is that the technology, the underlying technology for these MRD tests is certainly not static. I think you're reading every day about another little startup in the MRD space. It clearly says that the technology will continue to move, and we will continue to invest to maintain leadership in this space. We have this test. It's a wonderful test, but you have to continue to invest in the R&D side. We have a test that covers 50, let's say, cancer genotypes, but we will expand that more and more. We won't sit still.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, no, that makes sense. If we think about esoteric more broadly, how do we think about the sort of partnering versus building internally versus sort of acquisition-based model? How do you kind of decide which bucket the something, an opportunity falls into?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Yeah, so in general, look, Quest Diagnostics is set up. The majority of testing that we do as a company, we go out to one of our strong partners like Roche, Siemens, Thermo Fisher. And the first thing we do is we look into their pipelines. What are you all working on? And I'd like to think we get a preferred view into those pipelines. We also shape their pipelines. We tell them what problems we see, what challenges we see. And we're big customers of all of them. And hopefully, they're fine-tuning their product development pipeline based on what they see broadly and then what some of their biggest customers have to say. So we broadly know what they're working on, number one. So we're always going to try to source it versus build it ourselves. If we can't source it from one of our suppliers, so let's take MRD.

Nobody in our supply base had anything in the near term that we were comfortable betting on. Then we look internally and say, do we have the R&D skills and capabilities in this niche area to be able to bring a test to market in some relatively near-term period of time? The answer was no. On brain health, on Abeta 42/40, the answer was yes. And that's a test we started to invest in five, seven years ago. And we were making continuous investments until, and we still do. And we released that test in 2023. So that was a test that none of our supply base had. And we asked ourselves, is it something we think we can do ourselves? We have incredible mass spec talent in the company. We have a lot of intellectual property in that space that actually other labs source from us, other developers.

So when I say developers, our suppliers source IP from us in the mass spec space. So we're really proud of our capabilities there. So now, if we can't source it, if we can't do it ourselves, then we start looking. Is there IP that we can gather from an academic medical center that may be working on this? Or that's when you start looking in the small company space like a Haystack. So that's generally the pecking order that we sort of, it's that pyramid that we try to follow. Because look, we're not a company that's spending $500 million a year on R&D. We're just not set up to do that.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Yeah, no, that certainly makes sense. Maybe talking about M&A more broadly, sort of if we think about LifeLabs, you said most of the 10%-15% of accretion in the first 12 months will obviously be at 25%, given the broader ownership structure and sort of the ramping. When we think of that, that obviously doesn't count a full year, so that it's more like a seven-to-eight-month kind of contribution. How do we think about sort of the full year accretion for 2025? And then as we're sort of progressing across 2025, what's the real driver of that sort of margin improvement and those synergies as we think about that sort of first year of ownership?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Right, so we said 10%-15% for the first 12 months. So I think we could be comfortable saying, and we'll fine-tune this in February, let's just say 15%-20% for a full year, because we'll have owned it for a quarter and five weeks by the time we hit 2025. Now, how do we get the margin rate up closer to the Quest average? The first thing you look at is procurement synergies, procurement savings. The simple stuff that you can convert really quickly are some of the more non-technical things: gloves, hats, gowns, safety, precaution, PPE equipment. That's really easy. And generally, we're buying a lot more of that kind of stuff, so our pricing should be better. And maybe once in a while, you find an exception that we're actually getting a better deal.

But you bring the two teams together, you look at contracts, and you instantly make those decisions, because you're not really bound by any long-term contracts. You then start looking in your laboratory and your patient service center. So tubes and needles, there's two big suppliers out there. And we look at who's buying what at what prices. Within the laboratory, there's differences. There's differences on how we do women's health care testing versus what they do. We get the teams together. We look at, make sure everyone's comfortable with the medical side first. But we generally are going to get over a three-year period, we're going to get standardized. Now, we could change some decisions within Quest Diagnostics. I don't know. We'll see how it comes out. But we've got 25-plus laboratories in the U.S. I can tell you, we do it all the same way in those laboratories.

And so over time, we'll do it all the same way. Some of those contracts LifeLabs can't get out of instantly. So it takes time. They might be in a five-year agreement. They're only three years into it. But that's why we've said it'll take two to three years. The last thing that we look at is just operational know-how. How do they run their patient service centers? How do we do it? How many patients per hour can they process versus what we process? Logistics, do they have some of the same logistics software for picking up specimens and active route optimization software for the drivers? And again, in the laboratory, it's things like level of automation that we have in certain areas that they may not have. And so you're bringing operational know-how.

Where there's not synergies here versus deals we may do in the U.S. is we're not closing any labs. We're not closing any because there's no operational footprint overlap at all. Now, the last piece is LifeLabs was sending work out to other labs. We were getting some of that work. They were referring work out that they were not able to do in-house, so we'll get some of that. We're getting some of that work already. We were getting it before we owned them, but some of that work was going to other esoteric providers, and obviously, we're going to insource that, and that represents some savings as well.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Got it. Where are we in the automation journey of some of the testing center, sorry, the labs? How do you think of that, whether you think of that as kind of like, it's probably one of those things where it's never done, right?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

It's never done.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Never done.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Never done. Always an opportunity. And again, this is an area where our supply base, we continue to push them really, really hard. Look, I'll tell you, labor is still a constraint in the laboratory industry. It's a constraint on the phlebotomy side, finding qualified people to draw blood, collect urine. It's a challenge, especially in states like we're in right here in Florida, where you have a lot of elderly patients here, frequent lab visits. So even within the patient service environment, we're looking for other novel ways to collect blood and collect urine, things like devices that can attach to the arm. You could be in the waiting room. We stick it on you. And it's a device by a company called Tasso. So now, in the laboratory, unfortunately, we still have 20% of the records coming in on paper.

And so we have to, and so that requires a lot of manual processing. So we continue to work with the offices that are sending us paper. Most of them have EMRs, but for whatever reason, they're not using the lab ordering module. And so we work with those folks. We've made some recent investments with our partnership with Roche around what we call front-end automation and sorting. And this is all the specimens get dumped into a rack, and it gets sorted for us as opposed to doing that manually. So there are so many opportunities. COPAN, the automation and microbiology, about a third of our labs are using it. And so we still have lots of opportunity within the microbiology space. So there's still a ton of opportunity. Other AI-assisted platforms. And we'll slowly but surely bring GenAI into this as well.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Nice. OK, that sounds great. You have an upcoming Investor Day in March, as I'm sure you're well aware. We're thinking about what should be our expectations going into the event? You sort of knew long-term targets. How do we think about what the goal and sort of what you guys are communicating there?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Yeah, so we'll get everybody comfortable in early February in earnings with our 2025 goal. And then we're going to project 2026, 2027, and 2028. Obviously, 2025 will get us off to a good start on the revenue growth side. But we'll walk through the segments of the business. We'll spend a lot of time talking about some of these advanced diagnostics, where we're making investments. We'll spend time talking on the operations end of our business and where we see more innovation coming from in the laboratory space. So those are the kinds of things we'll discuss.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, looking forward to it. As we sort of think about the last few minutes here, what are the one or two things that you think that are most misunderstood about Quest Diagnostics as we're sitting here?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

I'd first say let's start at the broader industry level. What's misunderstood, perhaps about laboratory diagnostics? One is you got to remember, 80%-90% of the decisions physicians make are based off of laboratory tests. They can do a physical exam. They can look at you. They can touch you. They can listen to your heart. But so much information is gleaned when you run these simple, I don't want to call it simple, but blood, urine tests. Look, we strongly believe as an industry, number one, that there is underutilization of laboratory testing. So that's the first thing I would leave you with. Second, before I get to Quest, I'll talk about the independents. It is truly the independents against some of the others.

I've never seen another industry where you have independent labs that are getting paid to do the same identical work at a price point that could be half of what somebody else is getting paid for the same identical work. And so we think increasingly the payer community, we think the payer community should act like Medicare. Medicare pays everybody the same rate, whether you're Quest Diagnostics or you're a mega hospital. You get paid the same rate. And that's what we believe that the health plan should do. That would automatically mean a lot of that hospital work would come our way, because they can't make money at the rates that we get paid at. And by the way, that's good for the patient. That's good for the employer. That's good for our overall economy. That's what value is.

Finally, with Quest Diagnostics, look, we will continue to be broad. We're a national company. We're efficient. We will continue to invest in the types of testing that will generate differential growth, but also, there's still opportunities in the lab business where lab testing is not the primary diagnostic tool. Think about mammography and breast cancer detection. I honestly think in 10 years, we're going to look back and say to ourselves, what a barbaric process to think that a woman is going to come have her breast clamped on a steel plate, and we shoot X-ray through that. It's a barbaric process. There ought to be a blood-based test to detect that, and there's other elements where blood and urine is still not the primary diagnostic tool.

Those are the areas that we continue to invest in, continue to work on, so that lab diagnostics become the primary diagnostic and monitoring tool for disease.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Yeah, maybe one question off of the first point you were making. When does that sort of flip on the payer side with the commercial testing rates? What's the trigger there?

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

It's starting to occur. I think when some of the payers look at these hospitals, it's one thing when you're doing a little bit of outreach work. It's another thing when you are a commercial lab with salespeople, logistics, patient service centers that go well beyond your own geographic vicinity. And when they see that and they recognize it, then they'll start to price that book of business like they do ours.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

OK, that's a good point.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

The last thing I would say on that is, look, we're a believer that physicians should have choice. And with all of these EMRs, whether it's Epic or Cerner, in some ways, that holds the physician back in terms of expressing their choice. Why does it hold it back? Because those EMRs are not configured to allow any choice on who the doctor uses. Now, can they still write a paper requisition, and can that patient come to Quest? Absolutely. But it's more difficult. It means the results have to be faxed back to the doctor as opposed to sent back electronically. So that's an issue we're going to continue to work at from a policy perspective, because we believe all physicians should have choice, because the patients have choice.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

It's a good place to end.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

All right.

Elizabeth Anderson
Health Care Services Analyst, Evercore

Thank you, Jim.

Jim Davis
CEO and President, Quest Diagnostics

Thank you.

Powered by