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Earnings Call: Q3 2026

Oct 28, 2026

Summary

Adjusted Q3 net income rose to $2.1B and adjusted EBITDA to $3.0B, with strength across segments amid tight fuel supply. Capital returns totaled $572M; 2026 guidance, growth projects, and the 2027 Lubes separation remain key priorities.

Operator

Welcome to HF Sinclair Corporation's third quarter 2026 conference call and webcast. Hosting the call today is Franklin Myers, who is serving as Chief Executive Officer of HF Sinclair. He is joined by Steve Ledbetter, President and COO, Vivek Garg, Acting Chief Financial Officer, Valerie Pompa, President, Growth Technology and Transformation, and Matt Joyce, SVP of Lubricants and Specialties. at this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode, and the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press star one on your touch-tone phone. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star one again. If you should require operator assistance, please press star zero. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up.

Additionally, we ask that you pick up your handset to allow optimal sound quality. Please note that this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Craig Biery, Vice President, Investor Relations. Craig, you may begin.

Craig Biery
VP of Investor Relations, HF Sinclair

Thank you, Kelsey. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to HF Sinclair Corporation's third quarter 2026 earnings call. This morning, we issued a press release announcing results for the quarter ending September 30, 2026. If you would like a copy of the earnings press release, you may find one on our website at hfsinclair.com. Before we proceed with remarks, please note the safe harbor disclosure statement in today's press release. In summary, it says statements made regarding management expectations, judgments, or predictions are forward-looking statements. These statements are intended to be covered under the safe harbor provisions of federal security laws. There are many factors that could cause results to differ from expectations, including those noted in our SEC filings. The call also may include discussion of non-GAAP measures. Please see the earnings press release for reconciliations to GAAP financial measures.

For any forward-looking non-GAAP measures, the company is unable to provide a reconciliation without unreasonable effort due to the unpredictability and uncertainty of certain items. Also, please note any time-sensitive information provided on today's call may no longer be accurate at the time of any webcast replay or rereading of the transcript. With that, I'll turn the call over to Franklin.

Franklin Myers
CEO, HF Sinclair

Thank you, Craig, and thank you for joining us on the HF Sinclair earnings call for the third quarter. As you have already seen from this morning's news release, the company has had a very good quarter. All segments of the business performed well, with all areas adding to our earnings and working hard to capture market gains in these unique circumstances. I want to say thank you to the over 5,000 employees of the company for their efforts in contributing to the success of the quarter. I would like to give a special shout-out to the team at our El Dorado Refinery who are wrapping up their turnaround in a safe and compliant manner, which sets the plant up for several years of operations to come. On the geopolitical front, nothing has really changed during the last three months.

Modest improvement has been made in the transit of crude through the Strait of Hormuz, but limitations on the refining complex in the Middle East still exist, and kinetic activity by the many parties still occur on most days. Likewise, the Ukraine-Russian conflict remains at a stalemate with very little, if any, improvement to the Russian refining complex. Finally, the Chinese continue to curtail the export of product to their historical customers. This is due to a combination of the need to replenish their strategic reserves and not being able to access discounted crude from Venezuela and Iran, which kept them competitive with U.S. sources. We continue to believe, as we have mentioned in our last call, that full recovery is unlikely to occur within the broader refining assets, and therefore their products, until sometime in 2028.

Our view continues to be that we must stay the course on how we operate our assets, as we should expect an extended time of experiencing shortage in the products and Lubes markets. The activity surrounding the previously announced spin-off of the company's Lubes business continues apace. Likewise, progress is occurring with the safe shutdown of the Mississauga refining assets. We are targeting a completion of the spin and the finalization of the shutdown in the middle of next year. We will keep the market updated as appropriate as we get closer in time. As I am sure you have also noted in a separate press release this morning, that we have determined exactly how long temporary actually is. Beginning January 1st, 2027, Steve Ledbetter will assume the role of CEO of the company.

Both the board and I are very excited for Steve and the company as we look forward to his tenure in leading the company. I will continue to play a role for the first couple of quarters of next year as I step back into an executive chair role to assure a smooth transition and lend oversight to the activities surrounding the spin of the Lubes business. With that, let me turn it over to Steve to take us through some of the results.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Thank you, Franklin, and thank you all for joining our call. I am excited to take on the role of CEO and President of HF Sinclair. Having worked across our businesses and closely with our employees over the past several years, I have tremendous confidence in our people, our assets, and our ability to execute. We have a strong foundation and a portfolio of high-quality, strategically positioned businesses. As we move forward, our objectives are clear: operate safely, compliantly, and reliably; drive commercial excellence; continue our competitiveness improvement both at the site level and through leveraging our value chain; invest selectively to further our competitive advantages; and maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation.

I would like to thank Franklin for his leadership and successful tenure as CEO in 2026, and I am honored and humbled to lead HF Sinclair into its next chapter. I will now cover our strategic highlights.

Third quarter results reflected the strength of our diversified portfolio as each business segment contributed meaningfully through solid operational performance and commercial execution.

From a strategic perspective, we continue to progress the previously announced multi-phase Western Expansion Project, which we have now named Westline Connect, and expect to reach final investment decision on the first phase in the first quarter of 2027. This phase would increase the capacity to move product supply from our Rockies production into Utah and Nevada by approximately 35,000 barrels per day, and is targeted to be online in 2029. We expect to fund the project with cash on hand and operating cash flows. At our El Dorado refinery, we are wrapping up the turnaround and our previously discussed vacuum furnace project. We expect the project to enhance reliability, improve product yields, enable us to process up to an additional 10,000 barrels per day of advantaged heavy crude. More broadly, we continue to advance growth, technology, and transformation initiatives designed to strengthen our competitiveness, improve safety, and reliability.

We continue to see compelling organic investment opportunities across the portfolio, and we are comfortable carrying a higher cash balance while we complete our evaluations and make final investment decisions. At the same time, we will continue to return cash to shareholders through share repurchases and our quarterly dividends while targeting a 50% payout ratio and preserving our disciplined capital allocation framework. During the quarter, we returned $572 million in cash to shareholders, consisting of $93 million in regular dividends and $479 million in share repurchases. Since the Sinclair acquisition in March 2022, we have returned approximately $5.7 billion in cash to shareholders and have reduced our share count by over 73 million shares. Today, we also announced that our board of directors declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.525 per share.

As we look ahead, we believe the current environment presents attractive opportunities to further strengthen the competitive advantages of our portfolio and grow more ratable and stable cash flows through the cycle by optimizing our integrated value chain. We see accretive opportunities through growth investments in our marketing and midstream businesses, while also investing in our refining assets to reduce risk and improve operational reliability, safety, and yields. We have the unique opportunity to advance our competitive position and take advantage of the current market environment, and we are confident that our diversified asset base will continue to deliver strong results. With that, let me turn the call over to Vivek.

Vivek Garg
Acting CFO, HF Sinclair

Thank you, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Let's begin by reviewing HF Sinclair's financial highlights. Today, we reported third-quarter net income attributable to HF Sinclair shareholders of $2 billion, or $11.38 per diluted share. These results reflect special items that collectively decrease net income by $64 million. Excluding these items, adjusted net income for the third quarter was $2.1 billion, or $11.75 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $459 million, or $2.44 per diluted share, for the same period in 2025. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $3 billion, compared to $870 million in the third quarter of 2025. In our refining segment, third-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $2.6 billion, compared to $661 million in the third quarter of 2025.

This increase was principally driven by the tight supply of transportation fuels across the markets, elevated crack spreads, and benefits from the small refinery RINs waivers granted by the EPA. Additionally, strong transportation fuel sales in the West region were offset by lower sales volumes in the MidCon region due to the planned turnaround at our El Dorado refinery. Crude charge averaged 614,000 barrels per day for the third quarter, compared to 639,000 barrels per day for the third quarter of 2025. Our marketing segment reported EBITDA of $39 million for the third quarter, compared to $29 million for the third quarter of 2025. Total branded fuel sales volumes were 420 million gallons for the third quarter of 2026, compared to 360 million gallons for the third quarter of 2025.

Our midstream segment reported EBITDA of $101 million in the third quarter, compared to $114 million in the same period of last year. In our renewables segment, excluding the lower of cost or market inventory valuation adjustment benefit of $30 million, we reported adjusted EBITDA of $109 million for the third quarter, compared to negative $13 million for the third quarter of 2025. Adjusted renewable gross margins increased as a result of improved RINs prices, higher producers tax credit benefits, and increased sales volumes compared to the third quarter of 2025. Total sales volumes were 63 million gallons for the third quarter of 2026, as compared to 57 million gallons for the third quarter of 2025. The third quarter lubricants and specialties results reflect special items related to the decision to retire our Mississauga refinery, with the transition expected to be substantially completed in the second half of 2027.

During the period, we incurred one-time costs related to the Mississauga asset retirement, including the impairment charge for the abandonment of certain assets under construction of $27 million and severance charges totaling $28 million, in addition to certain acquisition integration and regulatory costs of $1 million. Excluding these items, the segment reported adjusted EBITDA of $174 million for the third quarter, compared to $78 million for the third quarter of 2025. The increase was primarily driven by sales mix optimization and strong product and base oils prices in the third quarter of 2026 compared to the third quarter of 2025. During the third quarter of 2026, we recognized a FIFO benefit of $22 million compared to FIFO benefit of $2 million during the third quarter of 2025. We also recorded incremental accelerated depreciation and amortization of $54 million related to the Mississauga asset retirement during the quarter.

Net cash provided by operations totaled $1.8 billion in the third quarter, which included $114 million of turnaround spend. HF Sinclair's capital expenditure totaled $137 million for the third quarter. As of September 30, 2026, HF Sinclair's total liquidity stood at approximately $5.3 billion, which includes a cash balance of approximately $3.3 billion and our undrawn $2 billion unsecured credit facility. As of September 30, we had $2.8 billion debt outstanding, with a debt-to-cap ratio of 19% and net debt-to-cap ratio of negative four percent. Let's go through some guidance items. With respect to capital spending for full year 2026, we have revised our capital guidance and now expect to spend approximately $725 million on sustaining capital and turnarounds and $150 million in growth capital. Included in growth capital is our expected spend in 2026 for investments in Western Gateway, Westline Connect, and marketing joint ventures.

For the fourth quarter of 2026, we expect to run 560,000-600,000 barrels per day of crude oil in our refining segment, which reflects the planned turnaround at our El Dorado refinery in the period. We are now ready to take questions from the audience. Kelsey?

Operator

The floor is now open for questions. At this time, if you have questions or comments, please press star one on your touchtone phone. We ask that you please limit to one question and one follow-up. If you have additional questions, we welcome you to rejoin the queue. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star one again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs and Company. Your line is open, Neil. Please go ahead.

Neil Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs and Company

Thanks so much. Franklin, it has been great working with you, and Steve, congratulations. Maybe that is the first question, it is appropriate to go to you, Steve, is just talk about your vision as you step into this role. In your comments, you spent a lot of time talking about developing more ratable cash flows through growth investments in marketing and midstream. Is that an important part of what you think about this business needs to do in order to drive value on the go forward?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Thanks, Neil. Appreciate it. I am looking forward to it. I think you are absolutely right. We believe that what makes us different is that we could continue to grow our ratable and stable cash flow businesses that improve consistency over the cycle. This margin environment we are enjoying currently will come back to normal, and we are going to take this opportunity to make sure that we are more stable and some of our investments will be focused both in midstream and marketing, which really unlocks the value of our integrated value chain. From a priorities perspective, nothing changes. Our priorities are going to be we must remain safe, compliant, reliable. We got to continue to improve the baseline, be disciplined in our capital allocation focus, and then take advantage of our market concentration and integrated position. It is an exciting time. We have a lot to work from.

The people in this company and the culture are second to none, I believe, in our asset base and our market position. Then I think that we have continued to demonstrate our improvement in the underlying base. We will not take our eye off that ball while we continue to go grow and take different positions from an integrated value chain perspective. So very excited about the future and looking forward to getting after it.

Neil Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs and Company

Awesome. Then, I just want to get your perspective on some of these crude grades, specifically on WCS, which has widened out quite a bit. So what are you seeing that is driving this differential widening? How do you think about the medium term, so think about deferred differentials, and how those could ultimately play out? Remind us again, what percentage of your crude charge is WCS right now?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

WCS, we have the ability to run just north of heavy, total heavy, about 100,000 barrels. A good portion of that is WCS, so we're exposed to a lot of Canadian exposure. I think what you're seeing is some about what we've talked about playing out over the past couple of years, and that is production is outpacing egress, and it's getting to that point, so you're starting to see some of that pressure. I think most significant driver currently is what we're seeing in the freight, and what's happening in the rest of the world. The ship-to-ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman, different trade flows, that's becoming very expensive, and we believe there's something to do with quite a bit of crude on the water in tankers that are holding up the additional fleet from being able to make those flows.

Additional impact into the Gulf Coast is the Ven crude that is coming on. All of that ends up putting pressure on WCS, and we've seen the differentials that you guys have seen anywhere north of $25 up into $30. Now, how long that lasts, we don't know, but that's beneficial for us, and we think in the near term, we'll take advantage of it. We think that moderates, but we do see that differentials stay wider than they have throughout the near term, at least through 2027.

Neil Mehta
Analyst, Goldman Sachs and Company

Thanks, Steve.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Manav Gupta with UBS. Your line is open, Manav, please go ahead.

Manav Gupta
Executive Director, UBS

Congrats, Steve. We are 100% confident you will lead better. I would like to congratulate you on that. My first question to you is a little bit on the refining macro. Very strong earnings from refining segment, even if you strip out one-time benefits of maybe $500 million-$600 million on SREs. The overall capture is improving. If you could talk about the performance of the refining assets in the current environment, and when do you actually expect some of these margins to start normalizing?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah, thanks, Manav. Again, very excited. Appreciate the tagline to lead better. That was quite whimsical and gave us all a chuckle here this morning. I appreciate that. From a refining macro, we don't know how long this is going to last. This is traditionally what we've seen since the geopolitical issues, particularly in the Middle East, has been mainly a distillate story. But the factors that continue to play out in terms of shortage of refining capacity, that's not coming back anytime soon. Depending on who you talk to, I think that the picture is getting even more murky. I understand there was another impact last night. There's roughly 4 million barrels a day of refining production offline, split 2.5 in the Middle East, another 1.5 in Russia.

All that creates a major constraint in terms of clean fuels on the market, and the inventories are at all-time lows. As far as the market environment, I see us enjoying the benefits and the most competitive refining complex in the world is the U.S., and so that tightness will continue. As far as our performance, I feel like we've done a lot in the past to ensure the underlying reliability and performance as well as our commercial execution and optimization. Our crude guidance, we just came in slightly above the midpoint, closer to the high end, and I think that's 100% associated with us operating better and looking at the opportunities in between the refineries and ensuring that we can take the shorts to other parts and use the integrated value chain a little better. We're placing barrels in better markets.

We're high-grading the molecules, and we have better light product yield across the fleet. The combination of those things, I think, continue to demonstrate our improvement through year-over-year capture. If you strip out SRE, our capture was right at 105%. Year-over-year, that is a structural improvement, and we've continued to see that quarter-over-quarter. So staying focused on commercial excellence and improving our reliability, we're seeing that start to play out in the outcomes, and we'll continue to drive that journey forward as far as our base principle.

Manav Gupta
Executive Director, UBS

Thank you. Very clear. My quick follow-up is on shareholder returns. You have a clear formula. I think you were lagging a little in the first half, but the third quarter shows now you are in a big catch-up mode. Should we expect you will stick to the formula and allow the shareholders to participate in the upside in refining margin environment?

Vivek Garg
Acting CFO, HF Sinclair

Thanks, Manav. Yes, our capital allocation strategy remains unchanged. We expect to end the year at our target payout ratio of 50%, and that is what you should be expecting.

Manav Gupta
Executive Director, UBS

Thank you so much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Theresa Chen with Barclays. Your line is open, Theresa. Please go ahead.

Theresa Chen
Managing Director, Barclays

Morning, and congratulations to Steve as well. Wish you all the best, and looking forward to working with you in this new role.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Thanks.

Theresa Chen
Managing Director, Barclays

On the Westline Connect project, as we await FID in early 2027, what are the key gating factors between now and then? Based on the commercial work you've done over the past few months, how are you thinking about the scope and timing of potential follow-on phases?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yes. Thanks, Theresa. We've talked about our FID approach. One of the things that we're very careful about is making sure we not only do the right. We had previously discussed maybe taking FID in Q4. We have some options in terms of route, in terms of scope that may make a better outcome, so we're pushing that FID target to 2027. The underlying premise from the commercial perspective, we're still very bullish on this project. We think it's complementary to the other project that we took a position in Western Gateway. We're in the middle of scope definition right now. Nothing more to guide on other than we're still very bullish on this, and we'll come back to the market in Q1.

We believe it does set us apart and will help the overall, not only our midstream business, but the entire commodity complex for our integrated assets.

Theresa Chen
Managing Director, Barclays

Understood. As we sit here at the end of October in 2026 and looking at 2027, when we think about 2027 spending, what are your early thoughts on potential size and magnitude of CapEx next year with Westline Connect approaching FID and other growth opportunities across your portfolio? How much could CapEx step up next year?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah. So it's a bit early to guide on 2027. We just raised our guidance, as Vivek spoke about in 2026, and that was predominantly associated with a modest turnaround in sustaining as well as the current portion of spend for our Go West initiatives and our growth in marketing. So we're not indicating, we still believe our turnaround and sustaining CapEx is range-bound for the cycle. We will look to take opportunities to improve our risk profile and our small value creation elements within that, but we're still staying in that range. As we take FID, we will come back to the market with that incremental amount on other projects.

Theresa Chen
Managing Director, Barclays

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Doug Leggate with Wolfe Research. Your line is open, Doug. Please go ahead.

Doug Leggate
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Thank you. Good morning, Steve. Congrats from us as well. It is great to see after all the improvements that have been made over the years, which is actually my first question is, if you do not mind, where do you think you are in terms of refinery reliability optimization upgrading at this point? Have you done what you wanted to do, or is there more to do, and what is the capital implications? That is my first question.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah. So, we have made heavy investments over the past several years and taken some very good steps forward in terms of PSM risk reduction, personnel risk reduction, and reliability. Are you ever done investing in these things? I do not know that you ever are, and there is really a baseline set that you will continue to have to invest. That is what I mentioned earlier, this range bound of turnaround and sustaining capital. Having said that, we will look and take the current market environment and the opportunity and this cash build scenario to see where we could take a step forward, not only investments in the kit, but also investments in technology, where we see opportunities to go improve, seeing things sooner, fixing things sooner, and learning through AI technology that will give us a better footprint in terms of improvement and finding small and fixing small.

Not guiding really any more on explicit projects, but we are going to be very diligent in terms of how we evaluate any additional capital spend. And where we find projects like the El Dorado Vac Tower furnace project that is implemented, are being implemented and wrapping up now, to the extent that they meet our capital allocation framework and investment hurdles, we will take those decisions at that time.

Doug Leggate
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

I appreciate that. My follow-up is, I expect this for Vivek, but whoever you want to allocate this to. So you had about a $600 million SRE tailwind, it seems, this quarter. But I would like to understand the mechanism as to how you realize that. What is the cash mechanism, if you like? Are you selling RINs into the market? How is that? Is that a swing in working capital? If you could walk us through how it actually shows up in cash flow, that would be great. And any expectations for the future would be appreciated. Thank you.

Vivek Garg
Acting CFO, HF Sinclair

Thanks, Doug. I'll take this question. We recognize the expense as we generate the obligation, as you'd expect through the year. With the SRE granted towards the end of the quarter, we essentially ended up reducing our expense or reversing our expense that we had already taken over the period. Now we're left with the incremental RINs in our inventory, and we have not monetized on any of those because we do have the flexibility to utilize a lot of those against our next year's compliance. While you see the benefit come through in earnings, you will actually not see any of that benefit come through cash flow statement.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah, I would look at it as a deferred cash obligation into future years as we think about it from monetizing and trading activity.

Doug Leggate
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

That is very helpful, guys. Thanks very much indeed.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Thanks, Doug.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Phillip Jungwirth with BMO. Your line is open, Phillip. Please go ahead.

Phillip Jungwirth
Managing Director, BMO

Yeah, thanks. Also wanted to extend my congratulations to Steve. Was hoping you could talk through the rationale for participating in Western Gateway as an equity partner and just the benefits to DINO. Plus, you already have Westline, although I understand you don't view them as competing projects. Is the plan also to fund Western Gateway capital commitments through operating cash flow?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah. So thanks for the congrats. On Western Gateway, I think we've talked about this a little bit in terms of our Go West initiatives. The reality that we believe in our market view in the Midwest is that, depending on what happens, we believe that there's something coming as far as E15. You see the demand and people moving out. People are moving west. As part of that, with our asset locations, it made a lot of sense to go participate in Western Gateway. Not only because we believe the Southwest is a key important market, and we've going to be connected to our El Dorado, Tulsa, and Artesia refinery. Then ultimately, when we take an equity investment, we feel like growing, again, some of our ratable stable cash flow businesses, that's a great way to do it, and it somewhat backstops our placement.

That falls right in with our thesis from a strategy perspective. It's a project that we think makes a lot to the overall complex. Then again, it does not, in our view, compete with Westline Connect. When you think about what's happening in California with the recent refinery closures and the cost to operate in that geography, we think that's only going to continue. The combination of both of these projects should be competitive to supply efficiently those markets, and we think we have a strategic advantage there. As far as cash goes, we will fund that out of normal operating cash flows and cash on the balance sheet and don't anticipate any liquidity impacts or draw into our credit facilities to go make that happen.

Phillip Jungwirth
Managing Director, BMO

Great. Steve, as you step into the CEO role, just hoping to get your views on refining M&A in this environment versus the opportunity for higher growth CapEx across the business, plus M&A across other business lines such as midstream and marketing.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah. Just to be clear, this may be a question because we are building a sizable amount of cash. When we are talking about growth and we structured the organization to go execute that growth well with Val Pompa taking the President of Growth, Transformation, Technology, putting some strength and capability associated with doing projects right, the majority of our growth is going to be targeted at organic opportunities. While we are not active in material inorganic, of course, we would look at things where it made sense, and were accretive and fit our strategic approach and investment hurdles, but that is not the primary growth objective for us. When we talk about M&A or growth in midstream and marketing, we have been happy with the performance of our joint venture that we entered into late last year. That continues to grow.

We continue to find packages and put it in there, but growing and scaling JVs, having exposure to the rack-to-retail and the full suite of that integrated value delivery is something that we like. I would also like to point out that as we grow our marketing business, it is not just what we see in marketing. It high grades our entire commodity stack as we move our lowest valued barrels out of bulk and unbranded into that channel. So it improves refining capture, and I failed to mention that was another element that we continue to see improving our year-over-year capture. In the midstream space, we would hesitate to look at anything that did not have massive integrated value. To the extent that we find something that can accelerate connectivity of our production facilities and our markets that we are targeting to go grow, we will evaluate those projects.

But make no mistake, our focus is on growth in mainly organic opportunities at this point.

Phillip Jungwirth
Managing Director, BMO

That is great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Blair with TPH. Your line is open, Matthew. Please go ahead.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, TPH

Thanks, and good morning, and congrats, Steve, on the promotion.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Thanks.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, TPH

Your renewable diesel results continue to impress in 2026. You are more profitable per gallon than some of your larger peers, even though you are still at less than 70% utilization. Could you talk about this transformation and did the Q3 results include any sort of one-off items? Then finally, for Q4, any early thoughts on renewable diesel capture in the fourth quarter? Do you think you would experience some feedstock lag benefits?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah. Thanks, Matt. This is an area we've been pretty proud of. It was pretty hard sledding for a couple of years in this business. But the team has done an outstanding job in terms of three key things. One is in our feedstock strategy, and we believe that getting really focused on direct versus brokers and location proximity has really helped us out. That's a significant amount. Then market placement, we're greater than 50% outside of California now. That has been an objective to make sure that we find markets that are not reliant on an area that is, to be honest, chock-full with distillate product and renewable diesel. So, we're finding areas in the Pacific Northwest leveraging our integrated products value chain, as well as Canada and the new market in New Mexico. We're seeing benefits already from.

In OpEx, we remain disciplined there in keeping it flat. Our performance in running these kits is improving. You mentioned we were below 70% utilization, but just to call out, when you take out the Cheyenne turnaround, this past quarter, we were at 72% utilization. Last quarter, when you take out the Parco outage, we were at 67%. We think our sweet spot, because of the co-located facilities, is north of 70%. We deliver that ex the Cheyenne turnaround, and we see that moving forward as the target utilization, given the macro and the backdrop. I couldn't be more proud of this team. I do believe that this is an area, a bright spot that has been a significant business turnaround for our company, and we see the future of it bright for Q4.

We don't normally guide on capture, but we have plans to take advantage of the favorable market environment for this quarter.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, TPH

Sounds good. Then on the refining side, your OpEx moved up quarter-over-quarter in Q3. Could you talk about what drove that up? I think at one point there was a target to hit $7.25 a barrel on refining OpEx. Is that a good target for 2027 or has that changed?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah. So we had some one-time OpEx events in the quarter and year to date, really driven by environmental accrual true-ups when they become probable and estimable, and it was time to do that. Given our performance, there were some employee benefit charges, and then we have seen some inflationary pressures, particularly in the cat chem space. We are running harder and producing more alkylate as an example, and sulfuric acid has gone quite a bit higher. Then going after some maintenance items to improve risk and reliability performance where we have a window to do so. That accounted for the majority of it.

The trajectory of our underlying programs to drive our competitiveness continue to mature. We are seeing that as evidenced by our holistic delivery of crude charge, and our associated reliability trends across the fleet. So we feel like we are being good stewards of cost. Let me talk about the 725 target. We are committed to improving our competitiveness across the entire fleet, but we are focused on technology and capability to drive reliability. Ultimately, we want to improve not only cost, but total earnings. We want to be mindful that we do not prioritize the cost-only picture without contemplating the underlying operational safety and reliability performance. As you know, that is foundational to the profitability of our business. So not committing to the 725.

If you look at the underlying trajectory minus the one-time elements, we still are demonstrating cost efficiency and competitiveness, and we will continue to keep that as one of the focus areas.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, TPH

Sounds good. Thanks for your comments.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Royall with Piper Sandler. Your line is open, John. Please go ahead.

John Royall
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question, and congrats to Steve. I was hoping first maybe you could talk through the process of separating Lubes and what are the near-term steps we can expect from here, and any big pieces of progress we should expect from now to the next time we speak to you in January?

Matthew Joyce
SVP of Lubricants and Specialties, HF Sinclair

Hey, John. This is Matt Joyce, and thanks for the question. The separation is still on track for the second half of 2027 and we continue to make solid progress across all the separation work streams moving from our planning processes now into an execution stage. That includes the PLR, the Form 10, and getting some key leadership roles starting to get filled in. We are also undertaking a lot of work in understanding the lift and shift required for our IT infrastructure and all the operating agreements that go along with that. So our focus is on being fully operational and ready as a standalone company by early quarter three and not simply completing the legal separation by that time.

John Royall
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Great. Then maybe if we could stick with Lubes and just more of a question on the underlying business versus the spinoff. But I was hoping you could just speak to the strength that we saw in 3Q, $174 million of EBITDA. It is the second really strong quarter in a row. Just anything on the strength there and what that market looks like today.

Matthew Joyce
SVP of Lubricants and Specialties, HF Sinclair

Yeah. The underlying business remains pretty healthy. Obviously, we have had some tailwinds from FIFO in the third quarter, but the demand and the mix has been very good. We have been working really hard with the team to recover costs as a lot of our raw material increases hit the business, and the team did a really terrific job getting out with pricing and portfolio management. That was primarily driven as well. There was a big piece of that that we enjoyed from the base oils market that did get a little bit tighter on both Group II and Group III.

But both in the finished and specialties side of the business, we saw some pretty impressive performance and finished in particular, has been tremendously successful in pricing discipline and some new business gains that we were able to take advantage of, and we have secured those for longer term contracted periods of time.

John Royall
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Thank you.

Matthew Joyce
SVP of Lubricants and Specialties, HF Sinclair

You bet.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Jason Gabelman with TD Cowen. Your line is open, Jason. Please go ahead.

Jason Gabelman
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Hey, morning, and extending my congratulations to Steve. I wanted to stick on Lubes and the reorganization process. I know last quarter there was some confusion because it sounds like you were going to be able to backfill the lost EBITDA from shutting down the Mississauga plant. So I was hoping you could provide more color on how you would be able to do that, and then also if you could kind of provide what the kind of rack forward business, what type of debt they're going to be able to take on post the spin. Thanks.

Matthew Joyce
SVP of Lubricants and Specialties, HF Sinclair

Yeah. Thanks, Jason. It's Matt Joyce again. With regards to the earnings potential and what the business looks like on a go-forward basis, we're really not guiding all that much on that particular point at this time. But we are changing the supply model, okay? Where we're not going to be manufacturing base oils any longer, but we're not walking away from the market. We expect that we're going to have a more flexible supply model, lower fixed cost, continued growth in both our finished and specialties business segments, and improved operating efficiencies to help offset some of the historical contribution that came from Mississauga.

So that's really what we're looking to do, and I think we've given some indications as to what we expect with regards to historical 12-month trailing EBITDA that we would strive to secure and provide as our coming out into the marketplace as an independent company. With regards to the capital structure and how we view that as part of our standalone entity and the debt and so on and so forth, our objective is really to launch NewCo with a strong, flexible balance sheet that supports both the resilience of the business as well as our growth objectives. And we're looking to continue to entertain and consider businesses that are tuck-ins that make sense for us to put on and complement our business. But we're also looking to get that organic growth out of the business that we have in hand.

The final capitalization levels are still being determined, but financial flexibility remains the priority. We don't plan to load this up with debt.

Franklin Myers
CEO, HF Sinclair

Just to jump in here.

Matthew Joyce
SVP of Lubricants and Specialties, HF Sinclair

Yeah

Franklin Myers
CEO, HF Sinclair

Jason, you see the balance sheet of HF Sinclair just in general as we believe that having a very flexible, under-levered company gives us optionality for opportunities in the future. That attitude's not going to change with Lubes as it comes out the door. They're going to have sufficient financial opportunities without too much debt on it. We haven't described or determined with finality as to how much debt that is at this point, but it's not going to be as you've seen with some spins that are loaded out and kicked out the door, because this is a thriving business that has opportunity, and they need to have the options to take advantage of that once they're independent.

Jason Gabelman
Managing Director, TD Cowen

That's great. Appreciate that color. My follow-up's on the refining business and growth opportunities there. We've discussed the widening WCS diffs. I know you mentioned some of that's transitory, but some of it may be more structural in nature. Do you see an ability to invest in some of your plants to increase the amount of WCS you're able to run?

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Yeah, Jason, thanks. That's exactly one of the benefits that the vac-tower furnace at El Dorado that's coming online as we wrap up this turnaround is directed at not only reliability but yield improvement. It gives us the ability to run up to another 10,000 barrels a day of heavy crude, and then we can take further advantage of that through our heavy oil value chain and our retail asphalt business. We will continue to look at those elements because I do think structurally, near term, there's going to be some widening. What happens as trade flows normalize, you've seen a lot of pipelines being announced that will bring more egress online and depending on production timing and egress capability, that could have some narrowing when that shapes up.

Structurally, it's going to be an opportunity, and we will look to continue to go drive as much discounted heavy advantage crude through our complex as we can.

Jason Gabelman
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Great. Thanks for the answers.

Steve Ledbetter
President and COO, HF Sinclair

Thanks.

Operator

We have reached the end of the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to Franklin Myers for closing remarks.

Franklin Myers
CEO, HF Sinclair

Thank you so much, and thank you all for joining our call this morning. I just want to express my personal appreciation to the executive leadership team and to the many employees of Sinclair who have worked hard in making my temporary assignment here as CEO an exciting and meaningful part of my time here. Also, I want to thank you on the call for supporting our company. We have a great team here, and we have a great company that has been developed over many years with a lot of opportunity going forward. The board has taken a deliberate approach at looking inward at the team for the leadership to go forward because we believe that within this company, we have the talent to do that. Steve's elevation to CEO is setting up the company for great leadership, but not only with Steve, but the entire team going forward.

I look forward to many, many days of very good operations and results ahead of us. Thank you for supporting the company. Thank you for being us on the call.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. Please disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day.