Earnings Call: Q4 2018

Jun 21, 2018

Welcome to the Darden Fiscal Year 2018 4th Quarter Earnings Call. Your lines have been placed on listen only until the question and answer session. This conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Kevin Kalakick. Thank you. You may begin. Thank you, Aubrey. Good morning, and thank you for participating on today's call. Joining me today are Gene Lee, Darden's CEO and Rick Cardenas, CFO. As a reminder, comments made during this call will include forward looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. Those risks are described in the company's press release, which was distributed this morning and in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We are simultaneously broadcasting a presentation during this call, which is posted in the Investor Relations section of our website at www.darden. Com. Today's discussion and presentation include certain non GAAP measurements and reconciliations of these measurements are included in the presentation. We plan to release fiscal 2019 Q1 earnings on September 20 before the market opens, followed by a conference call. This morning, Jean will discuss our quarterly performance and business highlights and Rick will provide more detail on our financial results from both the Q4 and the full year before providing our outlook for fiscal 2019. During today's call, all references to Darden's same restaurant sales only include Darden's legacy brands. We will begin including Cheddar Scratch Kitchen in our blended same restaurant sales figure in the Q1 of our new fiscal year. Now, I'll turn the call over to Gene. Thank you, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. As you've seen from our press release this morning, we had another solid quarter to wrap up strong fiscal 2018 for Darden. Total sales from continuing operations during the quarter were $2,100,000,000 an increase of 10.3%. Same restaurant sales for the quarter increased 2.2% and adjusted diluted net earnings per share were $1.39 an increase of 17.8 percent from last year. Our strategy remains unchanged. Our operating teams are focused on becoming brilliant with the basics. They continue to create exceptional guest experiences by delivering outstanding food, drinks and service in an inviting atmosphere. And at the Darden level, we continue to strengthen and leverage our 4 competitive advantages: 1, our significant scale that creates cost advantages 2, our extensive data and insights that improve operating fundamentals and help us better understand our guests and communicate with them more effectively 3, the rigorous strategic planning process that our brands cycle through on a regular basis. And 4, our results oriented people culture, which enables growth. Olive Garden had a very good quarter. Total sales grew 4% and same restaurant sales grew 2.4%, the 15th consecutive quarter of growth, outperforming the industry benchmarks, excluding Darden, by 190 basis points. Same restaurant guest counts outperformed the industry benchmarks, excluding Darden, by 270 basis points. For fiscal 2018, Olive Garden total sales increased 3.7 percent to 4,100,000,000 dollars Congratulations to the Olive Garden team members for achieving this significant milestone. Olive Garden's momentum is a result of our strategy to drive frequency among core guests. The success of this strategy is driven by flawless execution of the guest experience and continued simplification in our restaurants, craveable Italian food and beverage that appeals to our loyal guests, marketing that reaches the right target at the right time on the right channel with the right message and our ongoing commitment to improving convenience for our guests by focusing on the off premise experience. Our simplification efforts have allowed us to reduce our promotional calendar, which limits the amount of new activity in our restaurants, enabling our management teams to spend their time focused on execution. As a result, our restaurant teams continue to drive guest satisfaction to new all time highs. The promotional calendar simplification also enables us to increase our marketing efforts beyond limited time offers and into long term growth drivers. During the quarter, we continued our everyday value advertising and emphasized weekday lunch messaging that strengthened our lunch trends. Additionally, this quarter we showcased craveable Italian food that appeals to our loyal guests with our big Italian classics promotion. Giant Stuffed Fettuccine and the Giant Meatball provided compelling value and were well received by our guests. Finally, off premise sales grew 9% and represented 13.8% of total sales for the quarter. Further demonstrating our momentum in this area, Technomic recognized Olive Garden with its 2018 Consumers Choice Award for Best Takeout Experience in the Full Service segment. Overall, I am very pleased with Olive Garden's performance. The business momentum is strong, driven by a strategy that is working and we will continue to make the appropriate investments in our team members and our guests. Long Orange Steakhouse had a strong quarter as well. Total sales grew 4.9%, 4x the rate of growth for the industry excluding Darden. Same restaurant sales grew 2.4%, the 21st consecutive quarter of growth, outperforming the industry benchmarks, excluding Darden, by 190 basis points and same restaurant guest counts outperformed the industry benchmarks, excluding Darden by 280 basis points. Longhorn's performance is being driven by the team's adherence to a long term strategy of investing in the quality of the guest experience, simplifying operations to drive execution and leveraging Longhorn's unique operating culture. The impact of this strategic focus was recognized when Longhorn received the 2018 Consumers Choice Award from Technomic for having the most loyal customers in the full service segment. This recognition is a strong testament to the great work our operations teams are doing to drive consistent execution and create memorable guest experiences. The Longhorn team continues to make meaningful strides reducing operational complexity. This quarter, we made more reductions in our core menu offerings and our operating processes were further simplified. Additionally, we made our limited time offers less complicated and easier for our teams to implement. This continuous improvement is resulting in better execution. Finally, our emphasis on the culture and focus on team member engagement continues to pay off as evidenced by Longhorn's industry leading retention rates at both the manager and hourly team member level. Our fine dining brands, the Capital Grille and ADVs delivered a strong quarter with same restaurant sales growth of 2.6% and 3.6%, respectively. Both brands have distinctive positioning growth is increasing capacity in select restaurants to provide additional flexibility for large parties, while Eddie V's is focused on developing the talent needed to support growth. And we remain excited about its future growth potential. Yard House had another good quarter with positive same restaurant sales of 1.4%. The team increased its focus on operational simplification to create consistently great experiences and made significant improvements in both cost of goods sold and labor productivity. We are pleased with the performance of our new restaurants and believe in continued growth of this brand. Yarn House is broadly appealing with 4 distinct dayparts that allow us to meet a variety of guest occasions. Bahama Breeze delivered pauses, same restaurant sales growth of 0.6%, the 14th consecutive quarter of growth. Our guests come to Bahama Breeze for fun, which is why our restaurant teams continue to create a fun island experience amplified by events such as the successful Viva La Rida event that took place during the quarter. The brand is uniquely positioned in the market place and continues to resonate extremely well with millennials. Seasons 52 generated same restaurant sales growth of 0.4% during the quarter. We took steps to broaden our appeal by improving the value perception. For example, we featured a limited time 3 course offering that allowed guests to choose a starter, an entree and $1,000,000 indulgence for a fixed price. This improved our value perceptions and contributed to a 2.1% traffic increase for the quarter. As we continue to enhance value the value equation, I am confident that this on trend brand is poised to capture more guest visits over the long term. Now I'll provide an update on Cheddar's. The Cheddar's restaurants that we own and operate today were fragmented into 3 different businesses a year ago, each with different systems, policies and pricing structures. While same restaurant sales declined 4.7% for the quarter, the original company restaurants were down 3.3%, while the acquired franchise restaurants were down 7%. During the Q4, integration activity peaked as we transitioned to Darden's proprietary point of sale system. As we pushed the integration process to completion, it became apparent the team was losing focus on the basic operating fundamentals. Therefore, we decided to spend suspend marketing and promotional activities. We believe this was the correct decision even though we are rolling over a period of heavy promotional activities last year prior to and immediately after we closed the acquisition. With the integration now complete, we are fully focused on rebuilding the operational foundation and the team has 3 priorities. 1, staff our restaurants. There's an opportunity in many restaurants to increase management and team member staffing and scheduling more effectively. Master the new tools. Although the integration is complete, the team now has to learn how to use these new tools to improve operational effectiveness. As with past acquisitions, this will take time. 3, simplify. This is a complex operation that must be simplified in order to improve execution. The team is making progress quickly, but we need to test these changes to ensure we get the desired outcome. We recently asked Paul Louveri, a veteran operations leader, who experienced firsthand the process of mastering the Darden systems during the Longhorn integration to lead the operations team at Cheddar's. With his in-depth knowledge of the Darden systems and his track record of operational success, we are confident he will have a positive impact quickly. Cheddar's is the value leader in casual dining and the average restaurant serves more than 6,000 guests per week. I believe the leadership team has the right plan in place to improve operating fundamentals and I remain extremely confident that Cheddar's will add significant value to Darden over the long term. In closing, I am very pleased with the progress we made against our strategic initiatives throughout fiscal 2018 And our performance continues to reinforce our belief that we have the right strategy in place. I want to thank say thank you to our 1 180,000 team members who bring our brands to life every day in our restaurants and who support our restaurant teams from here in our restaurant support center. We know our team members are our greatest asset and I'm confident we will continue to win by remaining focused on being brilliant with the basics as we pursue our mission to make of making every guest loyal. Now I'll turn it over to Rick. Thank you, Gene, and good morning, everyone. We had another strong quarter with total sales growth of 10.3%, driven by 8.1% growth from a full quarter of Cheddar's sales and the addition of 35 net new restaurants at our legacy brands and same restaurant sales growth of 2.2%. 4th quarter adjusted diluted net earnings per share from continuing operations were $1.39 an increase of 17.8 percent from last year. This quarter, we paid $79,000,000 in dividends and repurchased $27,000,000 in shares, returning a total of $106,000,000 of capital to our shareholders. Looking at the P and L this quarter compared to last year, food and beverage was favorable 60 basis points as pricing, cost savings and synergies more than offset commodities inflation of just below 1%. Restaurant labor was unfavorable ninety basis points as continued wage pressures, workforce investments and Cheddar's brand mix offset pricing and productivity gains. Restaurant expense was 40 basis points favorable due to sales leverage and workers' compensation expenses. G and A was favorable 40 basis points driven by sales leverage and a reduction in the mark to market of our deferred compensation liability and other equity programs. And we recorded a $4,500,000 impairment during the quarter, the bulk of which were attributed to certain restaurant locations. As a result, EBIT margin expanded 30 basis points above last year and absolute EBIT grew 12.9%. Our 20.4% effective tax rate in the quarter was 290 basis points favorable to last year's rate due to tax reform, partially offset by the tax impact of our deferred compensation hedge. Turning to our segment performance. Olive Garden and the Fine Dining segment both grew sales this quarter, driven by positive same restaurant sales and net new restaurants. Segment profit margin increased in these segments even after the incremental workforce investments by leveraging same restaurant sales growth and managing costs effectively. LongHorn segment sales also grew this quarter, driven by positive same restaurant sales and net new restaurants. Segment profit margin was 19%. Adjusting for the workforce investments, Longhorn's segment profit margin would have been 30 basis points higher than last year. Looking at the other business segment, total sales grew 38.9% due to a full quarter of Cheddar's sales and both same restaurant sales and new restaurant growth at the other brands. Similar to last quarter, segment profit margin was 170 basis points lower than last year due to the brand mix impact of adding Cheddar's and for moving consumer packaged goods out of this segment, primarily to Olive Garden. Fiscal 2018 was another great year of progress as our brands continued leveraging the power of Darden's competitive advantages, resulting in double digit total sales, EBIT and EPS growth. Total sales grew 12.7 percent to 8,100,000,000 dollars and EBIT grew 10.2%. These results coupled with tax reform resulted in adjusted EPS growth of 19.7% while investing $20,000,000 into our workforce. Other accomplishments during fiscal 2018 included returning over $500,000,000 to shareholders consisting of $314,000,000 in dividends and $235,000,000 in share repurchases realizing approximately $10,000,000 of cost synergies from the Cheddar's acquisition, completing the rollout and integration of systems to all Cheddar's locations and issuing $300,000,000 of new 30 year debt at 4.55 percent replacing $311,000,000 of our outstanding notes tendered that had higher interest coupons. This morning, we also announced that our board approved a 19% increase to our regular quarterly dividend to $0.75 per share, which results in a yield of 3.2% based on yesterday's closing share price. And finally, yesterday, our Board of Directors also approved a new share repurchase authorization for up to $500,000,000 of Darden's outstanding common stock. This replaces the previous plan and does not have an expiration date. Now that we've wrapped up another year, I want to take a moment and remind you of our long term value creation framework we introduced in December of calendar 2015. This framework called for a 10% to 15% total shareholder return assuming a constant earnings multiple. Looking back, investors who bought our stock at the beginning of fiscal 2016 reinvested all dividends in Darden stock and held to the end of the fiscal 2018, earned an average annual total shareholder return of 18%. And looking back over any 10 fiscal year period since becoming a public company, we have consistently achieved or exceeded our targeted total shareholder return range. As we look to the future, we will still target a 10% to 15% total shareholder return, but are making 2 minor modifications to the framework. First, we are updating the targeted EBIT margin expansion range to be 10 basis points to 30 basis points. This reflects the fact that we've already expanded EBIT margin by more than 200 basis points in the last 3 years. 2nd, we increased the share repurchase range to be between $150,000,000 $250,000,000 This change reflects our growing free cash flow and the significant share price appreciation since the introduction of our framework. Now turning to our outlook for fiscal 2019, we anticipate total sales growth to be between 4% 5% driven by same restaurant sales growth of 1% to 2% and 45 to 50 new restaurants. Capital spending between $425,000,000 $475,000,000 total inflation of approximately 2% with 0% to 1% commodities inflation and 3.5% to 4.5% of total labor inflation, which includes approximately 5% hourly wage inflation. Total run rate investments of $35,000,000 related to tax reform, primarily in our workforce. Incremental synergies related to the Cheddar's acquisition of approximately $13,000,000 an annual effective tax rate of between 11% 12% and approximately 125,000,000 diluted average shares outstanding for the year, all resulting in a diluted net earnings per share between $5.40 and $5.56 And with that, we'll take your questions. Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Our first question comes from Sara Senatore from Bernstein. Please proceed. Great. Thank you very much. Just a couple of questions about one really about the demand environment and then maybe LongHorn in particular. It feels like there's obviously a lot of really dramatic price point promotions out there. You talked a lot about being brilliant at the basics. But given that you were lapping buy one, take one, can you just talk a little bit about what you saw in terms of your mix at Olive Garden? And then perhaps at LongHorn, very good comp, but the other some of the other big steak houses may be comped a bit better. So could you talk about the dynamic in that category as well? Thank you. Yes. Good morning, Sarah. I think about the demand in the space right now, we saw some improvement in April in the benchmarks. May fell off a little bit. I would describe the environment as volatile week to week, but overall, the demand has been fairly good for the casual dining brands that are well positioned with strong value propositions. In your question, you brought up the fact that there are some folks, other brands out there heavily discounting and are being very promotional. We'll see. We think that that's not the right place to be right now. We're very pleased with how we lapped Olive Garden in the Q4. We thought they had a very, very strong quarter. On the Longhorn side, the Longhorn 2 year stack was approximately 6 percent. And one of the things that I like where we are in Longhorn right now is we've been able to really pull back on some of the incentives that we've been we've had in the marketplace and I really like our profitability. I really like our margin structure compared to the other steakhouse players. So sometimes the headline same restaurant sales number is not all is not the entire piece of the puzzle. You got to look I like to look at the whole business model. I'm thrilled with Longhorn's performance in the Q4 in a 2 year stack. And you have to remember in Longhorn, these are very small boxes that our strategy is that we maximize the box and then we build another restaurant 3 miles down the road and that's how we ended up with 45 restaurants in Atlanta, Georgia. Understood. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from David Tarantino from Baird. Please proceed. Hi, good morning and congrats on another good year. My question is about I have a couple of questions about the guidance for 2019. So first on the comps outlook of 1% to 2%, I think your long term range when you shared it originally was comps of 1% to 3% and you've consistently either been in the middle or maybe towards the higher end of that. And I'm just wondering why the guidance for 2019 kind of anchors on the low half of that range in light of your comments about the environment being better. And then secondly, it doesn't I guess given your tax rate guidance, it doesn't really seem to suggest at least the midpoint that you're expecting much margin expansion or relative to that 10 to 30 basis point target. Just explain kind of why you might not get a lot of margin expansion in 2019? Yes, David, this is Rick. On the comps, the reason that we're at the lower half of our guidance range, as Kevin mentioned on the beginning of the call, we are including Cheddar's next year in our total comp. And as Gene mentioned, we still have some things to go through on the learning of the integration, and we would expect Cheddar's to be on the lower end of that range. So that would bring us down from what we finished this year a little above 2%. So that's where we are on the comp side. On the margin side, the real difference, the real reason that we'd be either at the low end or have very little margin growth next year is the additional workforce investments we're making based on the tax reform, which actually helps on the tax line. So we've got those two things. We've got the workforce investment. And actually, we're pricing well below our inflation. As you think about what we talked about, our pricing ranges normally and our inflation ranges. So both of those things should cause our margins to be at the lower end of our range. Great. Great. And Rick, just one follow-up. The workforce investments, I think the incremental amount is around $15,000,000 And did I hear you correctly that the Cheddar's integration savings would be roughly in that same ballpark. So I guess is it more the latter factor that you mentioned around that pricing to cover inflation that's driving that outlook? Yes, it's more the latter. If you think about pricing and as we've said, our strategy is to leverage start and scale, price below inflation, which we've done for the last few years and we expect to do that next year. Great. Makes sense. Thank you very much. Thank you. Our next question comes from Brian Bittner, Oppenheimer and Company. You may now proceed. Thank you. Good morning. In the quarter, now that it's over and you can go back and look back at the results, is there any way you can tell us what the effect of not running the promotion had on sales and on COGS margins? And I have a follow-up. I'm going to be very vague purposely on this. All I will say is that our team did a great job of implementing a new promotion to lap over the buy 1, take 1. And so you can see by our results, we had a very strong quarter. The other comment I would make about quarter and the promotional strategy and the advertising strategy is that, and I said this in my script, we have made the choice to invest some dollars into brand marketing away from the away from promotional activity, which where we believe will drive overall enhance the brand overall, but it's not as effective as your pure promotional advertising. And we think we saw some of that benefit in the quarter of the investments we've been making in the value platforms and advertising that. And so again, I'm very pleased. I think the team did a great job getting lapping one of our most popular promotions, which we had run for an extended period of time earlier in the year. So the total number of weeks of exposure for that promotion were down, but not down real significantly. So we did a good the team did a great job and we're very pleased with the overall results. Okay. Thanks, Gene. And Rick, just two questions for you. 1 on the quarter, the OpEx on a per unit basis was actually down year over year. Can you unpack that a little bit more for us? And then on the 2019 earnings guidance, following up on David's question, is there like specific operating margin range you want us to think about for 2019? Is it like flat to 20 basis points instead of 10 to 30? Any help on that would be great. Yes, Brian, I'll start with the second question. I would say you're probably closer to flat to 20 basis points than on the higher end of that range, as a follow-up to the question. And if you look at our restaurant expense line, it's primarily workers' comp difference versus unpacking anything else. But the big driver of the drop in restaurant OpEx was workers' comp and the synergies that we've gotten from the Cheddar's acquisition. Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeffrey Bernstein, Barclays. Please proceed. Great. Thank you very much. Maybe 2 just broader questions on the industry. One, Gene, I'm just wondering as you get to look at so many different brands and you said you've seems like the casual dining industry is seeing some healthier demand trends. I'm just wondering maybe you could talk a little bit about the sustainability or what you think of the drivers. I know in the past you had talked about when the consumer gets a benefit from whether it be tax reform or lower gas prices that you end up seeing the benefit in mix. But yet it seems like this go around mix is relatively flat. You saw a nice uptick in traffic. So I'm just wondering if you can kind of parse through what you think are the drivers of that? The second question was just on the industry. As we look to 2019, I know you're guiding to 1% to 2% comp. I'm wondering what you're assuming in that for the broader industry, because it does seem like your comp gap has narrowed over the past number of quarters. I'm wondering whether you see that narrowing further in fiscal 2019 or how comfortable you are with the potential gap as we think about 2019? Thank you. Yes. Jeff, this is a lot in there. Again, I it's hard to predict the future demand in our space. We have a tendency to want to look back at the past as a predictor of the future. More discretionary income for the consumer should be good for restaurants and I'll keep coming back to should be good for the well positioned that have strong brand propositions and have strong value equations all throughout the menu. I still think that the consumer does not want to be told what they have to purchase in your restaurant to get value. They want value in everything that they purchase and that's why these promotional constructs are somewhat I don't think it is as effective as they have been in the past. As far as our GAAP and how to think about that, I think that we've had a very good sustained performance of outperformance of the industry. And when we think about it, what we're really focused on is, how do we invest in our businesses to ensure that we can hit our long term framework over time of 1% to 3% same restaurant sales growth. And we're not trying to maximize that quarter to quarter and even year to year. And there are times when we really need to make investments to ensure that our value perception is improving. When we When we think about our guidance for next year, I'll just reiterate, I think what Rick was trying to get across is, we expect Cheddar's to be a little bit of a drag to our other brands and have an impact. And that's why that we're down at 1% to 2%. And we at this point in time, we believe we have the right recipe, no pun intended, to really improve the operations in the Cheddar system and drive same restaurant sales. But we all know that trying to drive same restaurant sales to operational improvements takes more time than coming up with an advertising promotion or an advertising gimmick to drive sales. We want to build a foundation that can move this business forward and sustainable for the long term. And that is our plan and we're going to stick to it. And so that's how that's when we think about our guidance, that's what's impacting it. Understood. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from David Palmer of RBC. You may now proceed. Thanks. Just a follow-up about Olive Garden. Assuming that comp gap to the industry has been hit by not running not only the buy one take one, but fewer promotions throughout fiscal 2018. I know you're trying to simplify and improve everyday value, but could you maybe give us some numbers or anecdotes about why this strategy has been good or will be good for Olive Garden heading into fiscal 'nineteen? And I have a quick follow-up. All right, David. I don't believe that going from 9 promotions to 6 promotion had any impact on our comparable store sales throughout the quarter. We believe that simplifying a promotional construct allows us to execute at a much higher level supply chain standpoint. It was our belief that we as restaurant tours sometimes get bored with our own messaging faster than the consumer does when you look at the frequency of our consumer. So we believe this was a really important move in our simplification effort and we believe it had no impact on our overall same restaurant sales for the year or the quarter. And then back to Cheddar's, I know you're talking about using new tools and the staffing up and the simplification there. A lot of that sounds like stuff you've done before, even at a greater scale with Olive Garden. What is your thought about the rate of improvement you can get with just these tools and the learning curve? Is this something of a 6 to 12 month nature? Yes, I'm not going to put a timetable around it. Our challenges are significant here, especially in the acquired franchise restaurants. And we've had to weaken the base of the base restaurants by pulling human resources out of those restaurants to help staff the acquired restaurants. And all I would say around this is they're in their 14th month of integration, which is really the low point. And when I think about where I was at and how I felt at the 14 month of integration when we were acquired, it wasn't a great place. And I've talked to a few others on my team around what it was like and we're thinking about that and trying to help the Cheddar's team really focus and get back to what we call brilliant with the basics. We've got a great team. We've got great people. They all want to do the right things. We just need to ensure that we can help them get those basics. We're going to start with staffing. The turnover rates are too high. We're not fully staffed. Before we can make meaningful improvement in the overall guest experience, we got to make meaningful improvement in the team member experience. So we're focused on those basic things. How long is that going to take? I don't know. Obviously, when we start wrapping some of the weaker comparables, hopefully, we can get back positive at that point in time. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from Gregory Francfort, Bank of America. Please proceed. Hey, Jean. I just had a follow-up on the Cheddar's integration. Can you maybe walk back through your overall process of integrating the brand? And then, just any expectation on like how you think about the relationship between total sales and comparable sales on a go forward basis? Yes. At a high level, when we think about integration, it's really the 1st few months is you're assessing the work that you need to do. You bring in a 3rd party to help manage the process. And then you design the systems. You got to design our proprietary POS system, which is the major change, which in the Q4, we had the biggest impact and the biggest impact was on the original owned Cheddar's. We had done the franchise restaurants first. And then you start with the real the first disruptor is the supply chain integration into our supply chain network, which is pretty invasive because when you think about it, it's the same product coming in, but the package size is different, the delivery times are different, how you account for it's different. So there's just a lot of change. And then the big one is the POS system. And then from there, when you implement the POS system, you're implementing all our productivity tools and that's when you really impact the management because it's all brand new to them. And even though we partner them up with our other local restaurants, that's it takes time. It's going to take a year for them to become proficient on these new tools, which are significantly better than the tools that they had and should improve productivity. It was also we also have to make change to all the benefits and programs and put them on our programs, which is disruptive. And I think from a human standpoint, during this process, what you think about is how is this going to impact you and you're really concerned about that and that takes your focus away from the everyday taking care of guests and taking care of team members. So that's really the process. Remind me the second part of that question. The second part was just how you I think you talked about total sales and comparable sales playing out. How are you thinking about that relationship going forward? Yes. On that ratio going forward, I think that we believe in the relative share model and Cheddar's relative share in the markets in which they compete in is very low. And prior management had was really adverse to adding lots of units into a marketplace because of the headline comp number. And the example I like to give is that we've got we're doing over $100,000,000 in sales in Olive Garden in Orlando, Florida and we're doing close to $22,000,000 or $23,000,000 in Cheddar's. So the opportunity is for us to be able to do a lot more volume there, which is going to put pressure on the headline number in these markets that we're growing out. And so we think long term that the real focus on Cheddar's for us is going to be how do we get how do we grow top line sales by adding units and maintaining a relatively healthy comp number, but we can't add 15 units to the Orlando market and expect comps to be solid. But we think by becoming more having a bigger relative share, we will increase the overall profitability of the overall business. Great. Thanks. Thank you. Our next question comes from John Glass, Morgan Stanley. You may now proceed. Thanks very much. Gina, one time I'd heard you talk about LongHorn potentially being a national brand if you could sort of get the West Coast and California markets to work in particular. Where are you in that process of discovering whether that is feasible and that you're able to more rapidly expand out West in particular? I think we're within 24 months of having a couple of restaurants opened in the great state of California. Okay, great. Thank you. And then, Rick, on the guidance in the reduced long term framework of 10 to 30 basis points versus 20 to 40 in the past or 10 to 40 in the past, is that just a function as you framed it as you're doing so much margin expansion you can get in this business and you've already achieved a lot. Or are you also factoring in just a higher level of reinvestment necessary in this business? Are you factoring in that wages are structurally going to be in that 4 plus percent range? Are there other factors, I guess, besides just what you've already done that impact your view on the lower margin expansion opportunities in the future? Yes. There are a few other factors. As I said, we have taken we have increased our margins couple of 100 basis points since we announced that framework. We've also taken significant costs out of our P and L. We continue to find other costs to take out, but we have been reinvesting a lot of that. Just to frame it, it's only a 10 basis point reduction in the top end. So it's still it's only going from 40 basis points to 30. But as we've mentioned, we continue to price below inflation. We price below our competition, which is our strategy. That puts pressure on margins. And we use the Darden scale advantages to find other cost saves to help that. Wages are, as we said, our hourly wage, we have inflation of around 5% in our guidance for this year. And so that's why we're bringing that down. There's nothing structurally different other than wages are a little bit higher. We are continuing to go after our strategy of pricing below our competition and pricing at a range that doesn't drive a whole lot of top line margin at the restaurant level. Next question comes from Will Slabaugh, Stephens Incorporated. Please proceed. Yes. Thanks for taking my questions, guys. And this is actually Hugh on for Will. And my first one is just kind of around you continue to simplify operations at both Olive Garden and LongHorn. And I'm specifically thinking about kind of Longhorn and removing the good amount of SKUs the last couple of quarters and yet comps have remained pretty impressive in the loyalty factor as well. And so, at many restaurants we've seen something similar done and it's become a drag on those businesses. What has allowed you to implement, kind of these streamlining initiatives, and continue to grow same store sales without bringing disruption to the in restaurant operations? Well, the way we think about it is the process from the back door to the table. How do we simplify all the prep procedures? How do we simplify the processes between the grill and the expediting station? And how do we quickly get that food to the table? So we break it down into those areas. I think as we think about pure menu simplification, it's the art, not the science, it's the art of being able to put a menu together that covers all the significant areas that your guests want to be covered without having a lot of products doing or working in the same ways and ensuring that you have unique interesting products in each of those categories. And if you do that, I think that you can create artfully create a menu that meets the consumer needs, but yet allows you to simplify your execution so that you can execute that product at a really, really high level. And when you think about our industry, no one has done this better than extremely high level. But if you ever study their menu, they do it extremely high level. But if you ever study their menu, they do a wonderful job of hitting every possible area a consumer might want to dine. And I think that's what we're trying to do is remove the duplicity in our menus with similar products, really providing an opportunity for our guests to eat what they want but without having 2 choices in the same particular area. And that's what we're focused on. And we think there's still we believe there's still a lot of work to be done here. And so at the end of the day, we need to deliver on the food side a product that's executed the way it's been designed to be executed with and being delivered extremely hot and flavorful to the guests and that's what we're obsessively focused on. Yes, appreciate that. And then just one quick one on kind of the progress at Olive Garden on 3rd party delivery. I know in the past you've been more focused on the opportunity of large party catering, but is there any update on either of those fronts? Yes. Let me provide an update on this. We have met with and have tests going on with all the 3rd party delivery services of scale. There continues to be significant hurdles that we need to work through, such as how do we ensure that these delivery services will enhance our brands? Can it be flawlessly executed for our guests and our team members? Can we create a sustainable incremental growth at scale that's additive to our company? Can we agree on viable economics? And lastly, can we ensure that we own the data? Those are the things that we need to really work through in order to get to a place that we are we can partner with 1 or 2 of these organizations. We're still testing, doing small order self delivery. We'll continue to analyze what the opportunity is there. We also recognize that we have 400 plus restaurants out there that are participating on a local basis with some of these companies. Those aren't what I would call sanctioned tests, but they're part of what's happening. Winning is an interesting space. However, there's a lot of hurdles to get over also including how do we how would we deal with the $500,000,000 we're doing in Olive Garden takeout sales today and how could that how would that be impacted and what the margin impacts are of that. So that's our update on where we are with the 3rd party delivers. We are continuing to meet with them and try to understand what our opportunities are. Sure. That's it for me. Thanks, guys. Thank you. Next question comes from John Tyler, Wells Fargo. Please proceed. Great. Thanks for taking the question. Olive Garden, on a 2 year basis, the traffic trends were pretty solid. And I was just curious if you could break down where you're seeing the growth? Is that coming in earlier parts of the day? I know one of the promotions you did in the fiscal Q3 was focused on that 3 to 5 o'clock time window. Or are you seeing greater growth during the weekdays, the weekends? If there's any kind of breakdown you could provide for us, that'd be helpful. The overall business in Olive Garden is strong in all periods. We continue to focus on value at lunch, continue to focus at value from 3 to 5. And with the Cucina Mia platform and some of the other value platforms that we're running, I mean, this giant meatball was a hit and stuffed at Achie was a big hit. That was right in the sweet spot of what we were doing of our core guests. So we're seeing strength all throughout the business. I wouldn't point to one particular period. Okay. And I know a primary objective of management has been to drive frequency of core guests at Olive Garden and pretty much across the brand. So is there any chance you could give us a breakdown on how that frequency of those core guests have changed over the past several years? Maybe frame it somehow. Yes, John, this is Rick. I'm not going to give you specific numbers, but we segment our consumers into different groups. And the ones that we are focusing on are the ones that are high frequency and most recent. And that group of consumers is growing faster than any other group that we have. Okay, great. And then lastly, just a clarification. I know today you had some new compensation agreements announced. And I was wondering if that's included in that $15,000,000 of incremental tax saving reinvestment into the business in fiscal 'nineteen? No, John. That's not part of the $15,000,000 Okay. Thank you. Thank you. Next question comes from Greg Badishkanian, Citi. Please proceed. Hey, guys. It's actually Fred Wightman on for Greg. We saw a large casual dining franchisee file for bankruptcy earlier this quarter. Is that something that you think is meaningful from an industry perspective? And then if so, what do you think that sort of indicates for unit growth or closures across the category going forward? Yes, I don't think that's meaningful. I think that's more about someone reorganizing their balance sheet. I think there'll be continued store closures and there'll be continued store openings as the week continue to struggle, that aren't as well positioned and maybe overexposed. But I don't I still think that we're going to see a net positive unit growth going into the next couple of years. Thanks. And then can you just remind us how you're evaluating the returns on that $35,000,000 of employee spending, if it's turnover, crew satisfaction, is there anything that you can sort of give us early days or early reads? No. That's something I mean, this is I mean, I truly believe that we need to invest into 180,000 team members who bring our brands to life every single day. We continuously evaluate our position in the marketplace from a benefit and overall employment proposition, and we believe these were the right things to do in order for us to maintain our leadership in a from a retention standpoint. And I believe we have the best team members in the business and I'm going to continue to reinvest with them when I have the opportunity. I'm very thankful for what they do every single day. There's no one sitting around me here that serves one meal or cooks one meal. These people do it and I want to continue to reinvest in them. Great. Thank you. Thank you. Next question comes from Chris O'Cull, Stifel. Please proceed. Gene, the company has argued that it gets organized to successfully add brands to its portfolio and benefit from synergies. And I know you guys are getting the synergies from the Cheddar's acquisition. But did the integration issues with Cheddar's caused the company to rethink its approach to acquisitions? If so, kind of what have you learned and what things would you change? No, not at all. I mean, I think that the I would call the acquisition and ingestion we're having with Cheddar's today was the exact same that we had with Longhorn 10 years ago. I mean, I think we've got a I've got a very long term approach to this. And I look and I understand that we are going to have some issues as we integrate brands, but I look at where we are with Yard House today and Eddie V's and in LongHorn and Capital Grille. Cheddar's is going to work its way through this and it's going to be a dynamic brand. And not all of these are going to move at the same level. We continue to do what we call a post game analysis after we do these acquisitions. One of the things we did this time is we moved a little faster with integrating into our systems. We think that was helpful. Hopefully, that will play out that we recover a little bit quicker. But this has no impact and if anything would make me more confident in our ability to do it. Okay. And then just secondly, can you quantify the impact of Cheddar same store sales of pulling the promotions? And will the promotional activity be more comparable going forward year over year? No, we can't give you the impact of it. We just know that before we owned it, that they were promoting extremely heavily to keep their same store sales positive. So we didn't have an opportunity to re trade the deal. And we know that before we got into really the integration, they were continuing to keep those that promotional cadence alive. We believe, like other brands that compete in this space that promotional activity and marketing is not a key. We want to put those dollars on the plate. We want to create value where the consumer can see it every day. And I think we all know that there's another competitor out there that does that extremely well and we want to take that strategy and implement that strategy and keep that strategy with this brand. We will continue to focus them on the basics. We believe that we have great competency in executing the basics of a restaurant operation and we're going to focus this team on doing that. Great. Thanks. Thank you. Our next question comes from Nicole Miller, Piper Jaffray. Please proceed. Thanks. Good morning. In our research, we saw corporate bonuses go towards the low income or the low middle income demographic, and they also have an improved personal finance outlook. Is this anything you could attribute to your same store sales growth, I would say, especially at Olive Garden and maybe at LongHorn? I think all those types of things are contributing. I wouldn't point to one specific demographic indicator. I think there's multiple indicators out there that are contributing to the overall growth of the well positioned brands. And so that's definitely not hurting, but I wouldn't attribute it singularly for Olive Garden's strength. And then just a second question on the Olive Garden off premise, I think you said up 9%, 14% of sales. Could you talk about the pieces to go, catering, delivery, etcetera and how did each perform? We're not going to talk about it negatively possible. In our off premise. Our teams have done an extremely good job of ramping up the experience and improving the overall satisfaction of our takeout, our off premise consumer. Our guests love the experience. Our team has done a great job with it. They got to continue to invest to improve their capabilities as the business grows. But a job well done by the Olive Garden team, 50% over 3 years is fantastic. Thanks, Gene. Thank you. Next question comes from Matthew DiFrisco, Guggenheim Securities. Your line is now open. Thank you. I have a question, just a couple of quick follow ups. With I guess in the past, Gene, you've been somewhat not so much enamored with the quick casual category and citing that the demographic seems a lot more narrower or smaller than the casual dining audience out there. I wonder, have you seen a beginning in the industry of the lunch, I guess the assault that the quick casuals had on the casual dining lunch business, has that sort of tapered off for the industry? I mean, I know you guys have improved your value at lunch, but I'm talking more so for the industry. And has lunch strengthened a little bit or the share loss, has that sort of slowed? I think the way we would describe it Matt, is that it was a headwind with the amount of units, fast casual units being added. That headwind's probably been diminished somewhat as the unit growth for that segment slowed. And I think that category's economics are difficult, and we've been able to actually come in and give the consumer better value with a full service experience. So, that's how we think about it. We think that the headwinds have been removed. Okay. And then Rick, with the free cash flow guidance, is there anything we should read into that as far as the return to shareholders that you're guiding towards as far as a signal on your appetite for acquisitions going forward? Or is that still something on the table if you look very long term as far as the growth model for the Darden portfolio? Yes. I think as you look at the guidance, we've only increased the CapEx by well, not the CapEx, the share repurchase by $50,000,000 year over year. So it's not a significant change. But we do know that because our share price went up, we needed to do that. We have plenty of debt capacity if something comes along that makes sense for us. But we're not going to talk necessarily about specific acquisitions or doing acquisitions. We know that our long term framework works with or without those an acquisition. Thank you. And then just a last question. With going back to that delivery question, off premise being around 13 to 14 for Olive Garden, does that represent an opportunity and something that signals delivery could raise the ceiling or some people get concerned sometimes that when you flip the switch to delivery, you're just going to cannibalize the existing off premise business and add a layer of service to it and cost. So would this be 13% in the success you've had with off premise? Would that delay your rollout of delivery? Or is this something that says you need to raise the ceiling and delivery might come sooner? Well, I would go back, Matt, to the significant hurdles I described. I mean, we need to get comfortable that we have solved for these, especially around is going to be brand enhancing. And so our goal was to meet the consumer needs data convenience. We're to continue to focus on that. There are no limitations on a number. We believe through our research that we're capturing a lot of occasions in Olive Garden. We wouldn't capture the people using our off premise services that would probably not come into our restaurants. We believe that people, for the most part, the decision making is am I taking out or dining in tonight? And then they decide where they're going to go. So I'm not as concerned about what the number is. I've said in the past, I think, if the consumer the need state continues to grow, Olive Garden's off premise could grow to 20%. How we get that? That's still yet to be determined. We are focused right now, continue to be focused on large party catering, over $100 with 24 hour notice. We like that business and we're being it's being very well received by the consumer set. Excellent. Thank you. Thank you. Next question comes from Andrew Strelzik, BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I hate to belabor the point on the off premise business. Obviously, growth is still healthy, but at 9% it was a bit lower than we're used to seeing and it's obviously become a lot more competitive with others getting involved there. So is there anything that you're considering doing any levers at your disposal to support that growth going forward? And I guess more broadly, as we're seeing a lot of concepts talk about incremental growth from off premise, where do you think those eating occasions are coming from primarily? Yes. On the first part of the question, I think that we're going to continue to execute our strategy and try to drive the off premise business. The 9% number does not bother me at all. I think it's a 2 year stack of 25% and we got a 3 year stack of over 50% on an annual basis, and that's healthy. And where is this coming from? I think that I think it's trading out of grocery. And to some extent, I mean, I think for the first time we've seen I saw a chart recently where food out of home eclipsed grocery sales. I might not have that totally accurate, but it's pretty darn close. So I think people are just thinking about convenience differently. And we also let's not forget, we have a demographic wave with millennials coming our way, which could benefit us over time. And there's a lot of good data out there about this demographic wave. Great. Thank you very much. Thank you. Next question comes from Karen Holthouse, Goldman Sachs. Please proceed. Hi. Going back to Olive Garden, the promotional strategy, I know last year was 9 promotions or 2 years ago, I guess at this point it was 9 promotions, last year was 6. And I think you kind of framed it as a little bit of a testing year to see sort of the cost in terms of traffic versus the benefits in terms of execution simplicity. How do you feel about sort of those different levers or the puts and takes this year? And how should we think about the promotional calendar headed into next year? Well, we're getting into some dangerous territory here for me to speak too openly about this is our competitors would love to know what our promotional cadence was going to be next year. All I would say is, I think that our team executed 6 promotions extremely well. They kept them fresh for a longer period of time. They used some innovative tactics to do that. And I want to continue to encourage them to be creative and to be able to run our promotions on a longer scale and try to reach more consumers through innovative integrated marketing opportunities. But I'm not going to signal what our promotional calendar is for next year. All right. Understood. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from John Ivankoe, JPMorgan. Your line is now open. Hi, great. Thank you. Gene, we've kind of talked obviously a lot about your outperformance relative to the industry. But the industry itself same store traffic in your May quarter, in your Q4 was still negative. So can you comment, I guess, why you think casual dining same store traffic is still negative at this point in the cycle? And if there's any insight that we can have maybe on a market by market basis of maybe some markets that you think maybe have leading indicators, whether positive or negative that may influence the rest of the country in terms of future segment trends? I'll take the latter part of that first. We see nothing when we look across the individual ADIs. Sales are a little weaker in New England in that marketplace. But for the most part, it's fairly similar as we look across the country. Why do I think casual dining in general is struggling to grow traffic? It's a mature industry that is somewhat overrestranted. And in an environment like that, it's going to expose the weaknesses of brands that aren't positioned well. And that's exactly, I think, where we are as an industry. And those who have been willing to do less guests, charge more money and make and try to make additional profit that way are going to end up paying a price. And those and then those the brands that are focused on maintaining their guest counts and are even driving their guest counts and willing to give up short term margin and pricing below inflation and competitors, we'll continue to take share. And I think there's some really good brands out there that are really well positioned that continue to do that. And I think we have a lot of them in our stable. I think we're better positioned than most because of our scale and what we're doing with that and insights, and we'll continue to stay focused on that. But we see an opportunity in a mature market to gain share. All right. Aubrey, I think we're ready for the next question. Our next question comes from Stephen Anderson, Maxim Group. Please proceed. Yes. Good morning. And not to belabor the point about the post integration efforts over at Cheddar's, right? In past calls, you've mentioned about maybe rolling out some sales building initiatives and including things like off premise sales. And do you think at this point it may be a bit premature to discuss that? Is that something that you might consider overall even in the first half of the fiscal year? No. We're going to be focused on staffing our restaurants, simplifying our operation and improving and mastering the new systems that we put in. Right now, these restaurants on average do well over 6,000 guests a week. I want to delight those guests with a great experience, and that's our focus right now. Okay. And then now with regard to some of the menu price rationalization that you've done in a number of markets, And then now with regard to some of the menu price rationalization that you've done in a number of markets, has that process now been completed? In the Cheddar system, yes, we've got them fairly much aligned on the right on the similar pricing structures. And it's a good question because that was painful, but it was the right thing to do. All right. Thank you. Thank you. Next question comes from Brian Vaccaro, Raymond James. Please proceed. Thanks and good morning. I just wanted to circle back on the Olive Garden advertising and noticed that the reported marketing spend overall was up about 8 8% year on year. Was that a meaningful driver of Olive Garden comps during the quarter that was maybe able to offset the buy take one lap? And given the intensely competitive environment we're still in, should we expect ad spend as a percent of sales to be up perhaps in fiscal 2019? First of all, we're just verifying, but our advertising spend in Olive Garden was not up for the quarter or the year. And so I don't know what you're looking at, but our I believe it was actually probably a little less. Yes. I think you're looking at the actual income statement, which didn't have Cheddar's in all of last year. When you look at total marketing spend, as we said, as a percent of sales, our marketing was down 10 basis points. We were favorable 10 basis points. So that would have been mainly adding another brand with all sales. Okay. Understood. Understood. And I guess any comments on fiscal 'nineteen overall ad spend as a percent of sales? No comments specifically on marketing spend. Just to go back to our framework and where we are going to be, we wouldn't anticipate a marketing as a percent of sales to be significantly different year over year, but no comment on specific ad spend. Okay. That's helpful. And then also if I could just shift gears to the food costs during the quarter. Rick, can you quantify the savings that you achieved in the quarter and how we should think about sort of those food cost savings specifically into fiscal 'nineteen? And then last question for me, just thinking about your fiscal 2019 EBIT margin, if it's I think you said closer to flat year on year, what does that assume in terms of G and A in fiscal 2019? Thank you. Yes. So, we mentioned total synergies for the year. I'm not going to go specifically for the quarter, but total synergies for the year were about $10,000,000 and about half of those are in cost of sales. And that helped price offset pricing below inflation. The other part of your question on G and A, we would anticipate, as we've said before, to leverage G and A every year, maybe by 10 basis points. So if we are at 0 next year, that would imply 0 EBIT margin, that would imply that our restaurant level margins were down 10 basis points, but we're not saying we're going to be at 0. Just assume, we probably will get about 10 basis points of leverage in G and A. Very helpful. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeremy Scott, Mizuho. Please proceed. Hey, thanks. Just had one follow-up there. I just wanted to ask about your food basket. Everything we're looking at would indicate that you're likely to see more deflationary tailwinds, especially on protein and dairy. And of course, you mentioned the supply chain benefits of your menu simplification. So just wondering what's behind conservatism in fiscal 'nineteen, assuming that's the way you're contracted or can we see some relief in the back half of the year or into 2020 if it's something that we're missing? Yes. You've got to understand about when we take contracts and when we buy. We have in our presentation that's out on the website, our coverage this year is about we're about 65 percent covered from for the first half of the year, which is about where we were last year within 5% plus or minus. And all of those, we believe, will be at low single digit inflation primarily. So that's why we think for the year, the inflation number we've given is appropriate. Okay. So I guess when you were thinking about maybe the portion that's not covered, you would likely lock in prices that are well below what you are currently experiencing, right? Well, no, we're talking about single digit 0% to 1% inflation in commodities. So it's really a function of when we buy. We're pretty much covered, as I said, 65%. And it's also a function of where we were last year and what last year's costs. Now if costs come in lower and we take coverage when we do, we'll let you know. But right now, we still believe that our commodity inflation assumption is accurate. Our next question comes from Howard Kenny, Hedgeye. Please proceed. Thank you so much. I want to go back to your answer to the delivery question and why you think it's so important for you to own the customer data as a part of your delivery assessment? Thanks. Hey, Howard. We think it's really important because this is these delivery services are net neutral sites. However, their goal is to sell as much food as possible on their platform. We want to ensure that we own our data and our data is not used against us. And that's very, very important in this whole negotiation. And we want to be able to benefit from our own data, but we want to ensure that our data is not used against us. And we believe on our platform, we talk about data being one of our competitive advantages and we have over the last decade, we have been behind a lot of trends because we've built our own proprietary system so that we can own the data. And we believe that that's going to be key going forward. So it's an important part of this negotiation. Thank you. And our next question comes from Jude Bartlett, SunTrust. Please proceed. Great. Thanks for taking the question. Rick, I'm hoping you can give us an update on what your cost savings were for the full year in 2018. On the Q3, there were some pieces kind of given in the Q on the COGS side, but also on the labor productivity in your slides. So I'm wondering what the overall result was for the year? And then it sounds like you're not expecting really material savings in 'nineteen, just to confirm that, just given your guidance? Yes, Jake. We haven't specifically called out cost savings over the last year or so because we generally have been reinvesting those savings. And so the only savings we've been talking about are synergies from the Cheddar's acquisition. We did get cost savings in the fiscal year that just ended. We reinvested those. As Gene has mentioned in the past, we reinvested in food quality, in people and other areas. So we're really not ready to talk about any other cost savings. Got it. But when you say reinvest, you also mean reinvest in pricing, meaning that allows you to keep the pricing low? Absolutely. That is one of our reinvestments. We did price below inflation. When you include labor and food cost, we price below inflation. And if you look at check growth in the industry, our check growth was well below the industry for this fiscal year and the last quarter. Got it. Okay. And then quick question on Cheddar's. Part of the deceleration in same store sales this quarter was pulling back on promotions as you got the integration going and working through that. Do you expect to quickly reignite those promotions or is this one reason why you expect kind of weaker results in Cheddar's bringing the whole Sintra sales down for the year for the whole company? And Jake, I mean, I think you'll start to see us slowly bring back some promotional activity. But right now, our focus is on getting our restaurants staffed and ensuring that we're scheduling properly and that are we creating great guest experiences in all of our Cheddar's. And I mean, this is really back to basics. And the system has been through a lot. We've got they're all great people. I know myself, Dave George, we are fully aware. We went through this. We are fully aware what they're going through and we want to help them get back to just doing basic things. And when it's the right time to start adding some more promotional activity, we will add some more promotional activity. We have great people trying to do great things. We're just here to try to help them get accelerate that. Great. Thank you very much. Thank you. At this time, there are no questions on queue. Back to you, speakers. Thank you. That concludes our call. I want to remind you that we plan to release Q1 results on Thursday, September 20, before the market opens with a conference call to follow. Thank you for participating in today's call. Thank you. That concludes today's conference. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.