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Earnings Call: Q4 2017

Feb 22, 2018

Operator

My name is Adam, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the EMCOR Group fourth quarter and full year 2017 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Mr. Bradley Vitou with FTI Consulting, you may begin.

Bradley Vitou
Director, Capital Markets and Activism Defense, FTI Consulting

Thank you, Adam, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to the EMCOR Group conference call. We are here today to discuss the company's 2017 fourth quarter and full year results, which were reported this morning. I would like to turn the call over to Kevin Matz, Executive Vice President of Shared Services, who will introduce management. Kevin, please go ahead.

Kevin Matz
EVP, Shared Services, EMCOR Group

Thank you, Brad, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to EMCOR Group's earnings conference call for the quarter and full year 2017. For those of you who are accessing the call via the internet and our website, welcome to you as well, and we hope you have arrived at the beginning of our slide presentation that will accompany our remarks today. Please advance to slide two. This presentation and discussion contains forward-looking statements and certain non-GAAP financial information. Page two describes in detail the forward-looking statements and the non-GAAP financial information disclosures. I encourage everyone to review both disclosures in conjunction with our discussion and accompanying slides. Over to slide three, it depicts the executives who are with me to discuss the quarter and full year 2017 results.

They are Tony Guzzi, our President and Chief Executive Officer; Mark Pompa, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Maxine Mauricio, our Senior Vice President and General Counsel, and our Vice President of Marketing and Communications, Mava Heffler. For call participants not accessing the conference call via the internet, this presentation, including the slides, will be archived in the investor relations section of our website under presentations. You can find us at emcorgroup.com. With that said, please let me turn the call over to Tony. Tony?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Thanks, Kevin, and welcome to our Q4 2017 and full year 2017 commentary. I want to apologize upfront for my voice. I have a little bit of laryngitis. I guess I've spent a little bit too much time on airplanes over the last six weeks. I'm going to speak to pro forma results for 2017 throughout my introductory comments. Mark is going to cover the financial performance in detail for the fourth quarter of 2017 and full year 2017, I don't want to be repetitive. I will be covering pages four through seven in my introductory comments. By any measure, we had a fantastic 2017. We set annual performance records for revenues, operating income, operating income margin percentage, net income, and earnings per diluted share from continuing operations, and most importantly, cash flow from operations. We delivered a record $366 million of operating cash flow in 2017.

We were able to overcome the significant negative impact of Hurricane Harvey to our industrial segment in the important fall turnaround season and still deliver outstanding performance for our shareholders. Our U.S. electrical and mechanical construction segments carried the day with record performance across the board. We had operating income growth of 54% for the year on a combined basis across our U.S. electrical and mechanical construction segments. We had 2017 operating income margins of 8.2% in our electrical construction segment and 7.2% in our mechanical construction segment. We were aided in our mechanical construction segment by 60 basis points as we settled some large disputes and claims during the year. Even adjusting for these claim and dispute settlements, we performed in an exceptional manner in both construction segments and had outstanding operating income margins and revenue growth. We executed well across all trades and across all market sectors.

Discipline matters in our business and in these segments, the results show exceptional discipline in executing for our customers and shareholders. Our construction results were driven by excellent productivity, planning, and job site execution. We leveraged our skilled workforce to deliver great results for our customers and finished some large, complex project work with excellent results. Competition for skilled labor is becoming more of an issue. Our investments in BIM, prefabrication, and peer learning have served us well as we are able to reduce our peak labor on our work through these investments. We have strong demand for our construction services, our results are driven more by execution than a strong pricing market. We still have a lot of competition for the work.

We have to be disciplined and selective in winning projects, we have to be driven to deliver the productivity and quality to earn these results. It was an exceptional year in our construction segments, we look to continue our success. We have to earn that success every day and on every project. Our building services segment had a strong year, driven by our mechanical services business. We delivered 40 basis points of operating income margin expansion on a 6.8% organic decline in revenues. That's tough to do. We moved the segment to a more favorable mix, Both our government and commercial site-based businesses exercised strong cost discipline as our revenues remained challenged. In mechanical services, we had excellence in project execution and delivery for our customers. We continue to see strong demand for energy savings projects as our customers look to make their facilities more competitive.

We also had some nice new contract wins in our commercial site-based business. They did not drive 2017 results, should help us regain momentum in our commercial site-based business as we move into 2018. Our industrial segment had a very tough year. We discussed many times the tough comparison we had with an excellent 2016, where we executed well on some large non-recurring capital projects. Hurricane Harvey made an already challenging 2017 a year that produced poor results in the segment. The segment already was pressured by weak capital spending, Harvey upended the fall 2017 turnaround season and continues to drive some recalibration by our customers into 2018. Our U.K. Building Services segment continues to show improvement. The year was strong, with 4.4% operating income margins and 4.4% revenue growth.

Our U.K. team continues a steady improvement of our large scale restructuring that we executed over four years ago, when we exited the U.K. construction market. Backlog dropped from $3.90 billion at the end of 2016 to $3.79 billion at the end of 2017. Our domestic backlog is down $142.5 million versus the year ago period. I will discuss backlog more following Mark's comments, we are still in a very strong domestic market for our services, our drop is really a result of the very strong organic revenue growth in our construction segments. We are still in the process of negotiating and developing several large food processing and water and waste water projects that we believe will have a good opportunity to close by mid-2018.

Our cash flow was terrific at $366 million, our balance sheet is liquid and strong and provides us the foundation to continue to grow and build value for you, our shareholders. With that, I will conclude my introductory comments and turn the call over to Mark.

Mark Pompa
EVP and CFO, EMCOR Group

Thank you, Tony. Good morning to everyone participating on the call today. For those accessing this presentation via the webcast, we are now on slide eight. As Tony indicated in his opening commentary, I will begin with a detailed discussion of our fourth quarter 2017 results before moving to our full year 2017 performance, some of which Tony just outlined during his executive summary. As a reminder, all financial information discussed during today's call is included in our consolidated financial statements within both our earnings release announcement and Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission earlier this morning. Let's discuss our fourth quarter performance. Consolidated revenues of $2.01 billion in quarter four are up $62.7 million or 3.2%.

Our fourth quarter results include $35.9 million of revenues attributable to businesses acquired pertaining to the period of time that such businesses were not owned by EMCOR in last year's fourth quarter. Acquisition revenues positively impacted both our United States Mechanical Construction and United States Building Services segments. Excluding the impact of businesses acquired, fourth quarter revenues grew organically $26.8 million or 1.4%. United States Electrical Construction revenues of $479.4 million increased $2.5 million or one half of a percent from quarter four 2016. Quarter-over-quarter revenue gains within the commercial, institutional, and healthcare market sectors were mostly offset by revenue declines within the industrial and transportation market sectors, partially due to the completion or substantial completion of large transportation projects, which were active in 2016 as well as the early part of 2017.

United States Mechanical Construction fourth quarter revenues of $790.8 million increased $73.3 million or 10.2% from quarter four 2016. Excluding acquisition revenues of $20.5 million, this segment's quarterly revenues grew organically 7.4% quarter-over-quarter. This segment's revenue growth was primarily driven by higher project activity within the healthcare, commercial, hospitality, and institutional market sectors, somewhat offset by reduced industrial construction project activity due to the completion or substantial completion of certain large projects earlier in the year. EMCOR's total domestic construction business fourth quarter revenues of $1.27 billion increased $75.8 million or 6.3%, with 4.6% being generated from organic activities. United States Building Services revenues of $438.3 million decreased $5 million or 1.1%. Excluding acquisition revenues of $15.4 million, this segment's quarterly revenues decreased $20.4 million or 4.6% organically.

As has been the trend throughout calendar 2017, this segment's mechanical services division revenue growth was offset by revenue declines within their commercial site-based and government services divisions due to maintenance contract attrition, primarily occurring in late 2016, as well as lower indefinite duration, indefinite quantity project volumes from government related activities. United States Industrial Services revenues of $207.5 million decreased $29.8 million or 12.6% due to the continued impact of Hurricane Harvey on both our field services and shop services activities, as we have seen both the deferral of maintenance work in addition to scope reductions at those locations where we were providing services during the fourth quarter. As a result of the reduction in field services activities, the volume of pull-through repair work opportunities for our shop services was also negatively impacted in the quarter.

United Kingdom Building Services revenues of $96.6 million increased $21.7 million or 28.9% as we continue to see the operating benefits of new service contract awards. These new contract awards were successful in muting the continued weakness in small project and capital project activity within the United Kingdom. The foreign exchange impact on quarterly revenues, for once, actually was a positive $6.3 million. My last comment on quarterly revenues is that our fourth quarter revenues of $2.01 billion represents a new all-time quarterly revenue record for EMCOR. Please turn to slide nine. Selling, general, and administrative expenses of $204.2 million represent 10.1% of fourth quarter revenues and an increase of $9.3 million from the $194.9 million reported in 2016's fourth quarter. As a percentage of revenues, the current year quarter increased ten basis points from the 10% reported last year.

The current year's quarter includes approximately $4.5 million of incremental SG&A, inclusive of intangible asset amortization from businesses acquired, resulting in an organic quarter-over-quarter increase of approximately $4.8 million. This increase is primarily due to higher employment costs, mainly as a result of variable compensation program awards earned due to the improvement in operating performance year-over-year. The modest increase in SG&A as a percentage of revenues is due to certain of our operating companies experiencing better-than-anticipated operating performance, resulting in incremental incentive compensation expense within the quarter to true up for actual full-year performance. Reported operating income for the quarter of $48.5 million represents 2.4% of revenues and compares to $74.5 million and 3.8% in 2016's fourth quarter. Our current fourth quarter operating income includes a $57.8 million non-cash impairment loss on goodwill and identifiable intangible assets.

Specifically, as a result of our annual impairment testing as of October 1st, we concluded that the goodwill of our U.S. Industrial Services segment is impaired, resulting in a $57.5 million non-cash earnings charge. This is due to prolonged weak demand for our shop services offerings as a result of continued curtailed capital spending from our customers, in addition to the impact of foreign competition. Additionally, we have seen reductions in pricing within both our field and shop services offerings due to challenging market conditions. The remaining $300,000 non-cash charge is due to the diminution in value of a trade name for a business previously acquired within our U.S. Building Services segment. The current quarter impairment charges, as well as the intangible asset impairment charge taken in 2016's fourth quarter, are not reported in our discrete reportable segment information reflected on the lower third of slide nine.

The add back of these items results in non-GAAP operating income of $106.3 million, or 5.3% of revenues for 2017's fourth quarter, as compared to $76.9 million of non-GAAP operating income or 3.9% of revenues in the comparable 2016 period. Now I will speak to the operating income results from our reportable segments for the quarter. Our U.S. Electrical Construction Services segment operating income of $40.3 million increased $9.2 million or 29.4% from the comparable 2016 period. Reported operating margin of 8.4% represents a 190-basis point improvement over last year's fourth quarter. The increase in both operating income and operating margin is due to continued improved contract performance across most market sectors served with transportation, commercial, and institutional project activities contributing the most significant period-over-period improvement. 2017's fourth quarter U.S. Mechanical Construction Services segment operating income of $61.3 million represents a $29.3 million increase from last year's quarter.

Reported quarterly operating margin is 7.8%, which is 330 basis points higher than 2016's fourth quarter. Quarter-over-quarter improvement in project activities within the industrial, institutional, water, and healthcare market sectors more than offset reduced project profitability within the hospitality market sector and high-tech submarket sector. As a reminder, our U.S. Mechanical Construction segment experienced a substantial project loss in 2016's fourth quarter, which negatively impacted this segment's 2016 fourth quarter operating margin by 310 basis points. Our total U.S. Construction business is reporting an 8% operating margin for the quarter just ended, as compared to 5.3% in last year's fourth quarter. Operating income for U.S. Building Services of $21.1 million represents 4.8% of revenues and is roughly in line with this segment's 2016 fourth quarter performance.

Our U.S. Industrial Services segment operating income of $2.5 million represents 1.2% of revenues, which is a decrease of approximately $8.7 million from last year's fourth quarter. The reduction in quarter-over-quarter performance within our Industrial Services segment is due to the continued impact of Hurricane Harvey on our field services operations, as well as reduced pull-through repair work for our shop services. As our customers continue to evaluate and execute their recovery plans, we are hopeful to see resumed normal activity within this space. U.K. Building Services operating income of $5.7 million represents 5.9% of revenues, which is an increase of $3 million and is a 220 basis point improvement over last year's fourth quarter. This segment is continuing to make good progress in transitioning their new service contract awards, despite small project and capital project demand not yet back to normalized levels. We are now on slide 10.

The table on slide 10 lays out those discrete items that impact quarter-over-quarter comparability and reconcile the non-GAAP operating margin and non-GAAP operating income that I referenced during my commentary on the previous slide to our as-reported amounts. As you can see, when the goodwill impairment is removed from our quarter four 2017 results, as well as the identifiable intangible asset impairments taken in both quarterly periods, our adjusted non-GAAP operating income for the current year quarter is $106.3 million or 5.3% of revenues, which favorably compares to $76.9 million or 3.9% of quarter four 2016 revenues and is a 38.2% improvement. Tony previously referenced our exemplary operating cash flow for full year 2017 of $366.1 million, of which $127.9 million was generated during the fourth quarter. This represents excellent performance when facing the headwind of our industrial services weak second half 2017 operating performance. Please turn to slide 11.

Additional key financial data for the fourth quarter not addressed on the previous slides are as follows: quarter four gross profit of $311.1 million represents 15.5% of revenues, which has improved from the comparable 2016 quarter by $339.1 million and represents a 160 basis point improvement over the 13.9% gross margin in 2016's fourth quarter. The quarter-over-quarter improvement is due to our strong revenue growth within our U.S. Mechanical Construction Services segment, as well as improved project and service execution amongst all of our reportable segments other than U.S. Industrial Services. Diluted earnings per common share from continuing operations for the fourth quarter is $0.90 as compared to $0.69 per diluted share a year ago.

On an adjusted basis, reflecting the add back of the non-cash impairment losses recorded in both periods, as well as the favorable impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which I will further discuss in a moment, our non-GAAP diluted earnings per share would've been $1.13, which represents an increase of $0.41 or almost 57% from the comparable non-GAAP 2016 amount. Due to its enactment date of December 22nd, 2017, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act necessitated the revaluation of our U.S. net deferred tax liability at the new 21% federal corporate tax rate, which resulted in a benefit of $39.3 million within our 2017 fourth quarter tax provision, which is in fact a quarterly tax benefit. The newly enacted legislation also imposes a one-time transition tax to specified foreign earnings which have not been repatriated to the U.S.

The impact of such transition tax, as well as any future repatriation of cash from our foreign operations, is currently estimated to be immaterial. We are now on slide 12. I will now augment Tony's 2017 annual commentary. Consolidated revenues of $7.69 billion are up $135.5 million or 1.8% as compared to $7.55 billion of consolidated revenues in 2016's annual period. Acquisitions contributed incremental revenues of $192.4 million pertaining to the uncertain that such businesses were not owned by EMCOR in the prior year and positively impacted all of our reportable segments other than our U.S. Industrial and U.K. Building Services segments. Excluding the impact of businesses acquired, year-to-date revenues decreased organically $56.9 million or 0.8%.

Consistent with my year-to-date commentary during our third quarter earnings call, significant revenue growth within each of our U.S. construction segments was somewhat muted by year-over-year revenue declines within our U.S. Building Services and U.S. Industrial Services segments. Despite a $15.9 million headwind as a result of negative exchange rate movement between 2017 and 2016 in GBP, our U.K. Building Services segment's strong fourth quarter revenue growth more than offset U.S. dollar revenue declines experienced throughout the first half of the year. U.S. Electrical Construction revenues of $1.83 billion increased $125.2 million or 7.3%. Acquisitions contributed $50.4 million, resulting in organic revenue growth for 2017 of 4.4%. Increased project activity within the commercial, institutional, and healthcare market sectors, including a significant increase within the telecommunications sub-market sector, were the largest contributors to year-over-year revenue growth.

U.S. Mechanical Construction 2017 revenues of $2.96 billion increased $320.5 million or 12.1% compared to 2016. Acquisitions contributed $76.2 million of revenues, resulting in year-over-year organic revenue growth of 9.2%. Higher project revenues within the healthcare, commercial, and hospitality market sectors are the driver of this segment's strong annual organic revenue growth, and this revenue trend has been consistent throughout the last two years for our U.S. Mechanical Construction segment. U.S. Building Services revenues of $1.75 billion decreased $56.5 million or 3.1%. Acquisitions contributed $65.8 million of revenues, resulting in a year-over-year organic revenue decline of 6.8%. This annual revenue decline is due to maintenance contract attrition within both of their commercial and government site-based divisions, as well as a lower volume of project activity within the energy sector. U.S. Industrial Services 2017 revenues of $799.2 million decreased $268.2 million or 25.1% compared to 2016.

This segment's annual revenue decrease is due to a reduction in large capital project activity within their specialty field services operations, prolonged weak demand for new build heat exchangers, as well as the continued impact of Hurricane Harvey in the Texas, Louisiana Gulf Coast region, which has impacted previously scheduled maintenance turnaround work. Our U.K. segment 2017 revenues increased $14.5 million, primarily due to new maintenance contract awards within the commercial and institutional market sectors, somewhat offset, as I mentioned earlier, by a reduction in small project and capital project activities throughout the year. Please turn to slide 13. Selling, General and Administrative expenses of $757.1 million represent an increase of $31.6 million as compared to $725.5 million in 2016. This increase includes $24.4 million of incremental SG&A related to businesses acquired, inclusive of intangible asset amortization.

As a percentage of revenues, SG&A is 9.8% for full year 2017, compared to 9.6% for the 2016 annual period. The year-over-year increase in SG&A is due to an increase in headcount and related employee costs within our U.S. Mechanical Construction segment to support their strong growth in revenues, as well as higher expense associated with company-wide incentive compensation plans due to our overall increased profitability. Additionally, we experienced an increase in employee healthcare costs year-over-year. Year-to-date operating income is $330.6 million, or 4.3% of revenues, and represents a $22.1 million increase over 2016's annual performance. Each of 2017 and 2016 include discrete items that negatively impacted reported operating income by $57.8 million in the current year and $6.3 million in the prior year, which we've adjusted for purposes of non-GAAP presentation.

On an adjusted non-GAAP basis, the year-over-year change in operating income is an increase of $73.6 million, while operating margin increased 90 basis points to 5.1% from an adjusted non-GAAP 4.2% operating margin in 2016's annual period. All reportable segments are reporting higher operating income and higher operating margins year-over-year other than our U.S. Industrial Services segment. Our U.S. Electrical Construction Services segment operating income of $150 million increased $48.2 million or 47.4% over 2016 levels and represents 8.2% of revenues as compared to 6% in 2016. This segment generated higher gross profit from commercial, transportation, and institutional project activities. Additionally, this segment's 2016 operating income was negatively impacted by $19.4 million of losses incurred on a transportation project, which reduced this segment's prior year annual operating margin by 120 basis points.

Domestic Mechanical Construction operating income of $212.3 million or 7.2% of revenues increased $79.7 million and operating margins increased 220 basis points over 2016's full-year performance. The increase in operating income for 2017 was due to an increase in revenues and associated gross profits within the majority of the market sectors in which we participated. Additionally, 2017 operating income and operating margin benefited from the recovery of certain contract costs previously disputed on a project completed in 2016, which favorably impacted this segment's 2017 annual operating margin by 60 basis points. U.S. Building Services' 2017 operating income of $81.5 million increased $4.7 million or 6.1% due to increased profitability within their Mechanical Services division. Additionally, businesses acquired during 2017 favorably impacted operating income by $2.6 million. Operating margin increased 40 basis points due to an overall improvement in revenue mix year-over-year.

U.S. Industrial Services 2017 operating income decreased $58.8 million to $19.1 million or 2.4% of revenues. The year-over-year decrease is attributable to lower gross profits from our specialty services offerings within our field services operations due to reduced large project activity as well as lower turnaround activities primarily attributable to the impact of Hurricane Harvey, which resulted in the deferral or cancellation of previously scheduled turnaround projects. In addition, operating income was negatively impacted by this segment's shop services operations due to a reduction of pull-through repair activity as a result of the decrease in turnaround projects previously referenced. The substantial decrease in operating margin is due to lower gross margins as a result of an unfavorable revenue mix and higher selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenues due to unabsorbed overhead costs as a result of Hurricane Harvey.

EMCOR UK Building Services operating income of $14.8 million or 4.4% of revenues increased $2.9 million due to an increase in gross profit from service activity within the commercial and institutional market sectors as a result of recent contract awards. This segment's operating income increase was partially offset by unfavorable exchange rate movements of $300,000 during 2017. We are now on slide 14, and thankfully for Tony, I am almost done. Consistent with the reconciliation discussed previously on slide 10, this page reflects the operating income reconciliation from GAAP to non-GAAP adjusted earnings for those items that we believe are not reflective of our underlying operating performance. Additive to this reconciliation from the quarterly reconciliation previously discussed are the transaction expenses related to the acquisition of Ardent and Rabalais that occurred in 2016.

Adjusted non-GAAP operating income for 2017, reflecting the add-back of the non-cash goodwill and identifiable intangible asset impairments, is $388.4 million or 5.1% of revenues. This compares to adjusted non-GAAP 2016 operating income of $314.7 million or 4.2% of revenues, reflecting the 2016 add-backs for transaction expenses and the identifiable intangible asset impairment. The year-over-year improvement in 2017 is an increase of $73.6 million and 90 basis points of operating margin. The full-year tax rate for 2017, as indicated on the bottom of the page, was 28.5% as compared to 37.5% for the 12 months 2016 period. The reduction in our 2017 rate is due to the favorable impact of the necessary revaluation of U.S. net deferred tax liability from 35% to 21% as a result of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act being signed into law during December, as I previously mentioned.

Additionally, 2017 benefited from several other favorable discrete tax items that occurred throughout the year. The benefit of these favorable discrete items on our full-year tax rate was somewhat reduced by the non-deductible portion of the goodwill impairment previously referenced. With regards to 2018 planning, I anticipate our effective tax rate will be approximately 27.5%-28.5% before discrete items, compared to our historical normalized rate of approximately 37.5%. This estimated rate incorporates both the reduction to the statutory federal rate, as well as the disallowance of previously available tax deductions, including the repeal of the Section 199 deduction that is commonly referred to as the domestic manufacturing deduction. This reduction in tax rate will represent an increase in annual operating cash flow of approximately $40 million-$50 million based on our current 2018 taxable income estimates.

For purposes of developing our earnings guidance range for 2018, which Tony will speak to in a few slides, we have utilized 28% as a tax rate while we continue to refine our understanding of the new legislation and monitor how state taxing authorities conform to the enacted federal tax law. However, I want to reiterate that discrete tax items may occur during the year and could impact our current estimated tax rate for 2018. Our current thought process on our capital allocation strategy has not changed as a result of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, as EMCOR has maintained sufficient liquidity to execute on all identified areas of capital deployment. Once again, I will let Tony expand on this topic once I have completed the remainder of my materials, and I return the presentation to him. Please turn to slide 15.

Additional key financial data on this slide not addressed during my 12-month highlight summary as follows. Year-to-date gross profit of $1.1 billion is higher than 2016 by $109.2 million, while gross margin is 14.9%, which represents 120 basis point improvement over last year. Total restructuring costs of approximately $1.6 million are slightly higher than 2016, due primarily to severance obligations associated with the functional realignment of certain management and support positions within the company. Diluted earnings per common share from continuing operations for 2017 is $3.83 compared to $3.02 per diluted share a year ago.

On an adjusted basis, excluding the impact of the non-cash impairment loss on goodwill and identifiable intangible assets and the net deferred tax liability revaluation, 2017's year-to-date non-GAAP diluted earnings per share would've been $4.06 as compared to 2016's $3.09 per diluted share, excluding the impact of acquisition costs and the non-cash impairment loss on identifiable intangible assets in 2016. The year-over-year improvement in adjusted non-GAAP diluted earnings per share is $0.97, which represents a 31.4% increase. Please turn to slide 16. As Tony mentioned, our balance sheet continues to represent EMCOR's strength with good liquidity and modest leverage. Our cash balance increased slightly from December 31st, 2016, due to our strong 2017 operating cash flow, offset by funds expended for acquisitions, debt repayment, common stock repurchases, capital expenditures, and dividends.

Working capital has decreased year-over-year due to increases in accounts payable and our net billings in excess of costs on uncompleted contracts. The change in goodwill is due to the impact of the $57.5 million non-cash impairment charge related to our U.S. industrial services segment referenced earlier, net of the impact of acquisitions and related purchase price allocation finalization adjustments made throughout 2017. The increase in net identifiable intangible assets is due to businesses acquired during the year, net of the small trade name impairment loss previously referenced and $48.6 million of intangible asset amortization expense during full year 2017. Total debt of $310.2 million is reduced from year-end 2016 due to $100 million repayment made under a revolving credit line, in addition to our mandatory quarterly principal payments under our term loan.

As a result of the reduction in our outstanding borrowings, our debt to capitalization ratio has dropped to 15.6% from 21.6% at the end of 2016. We closed 2017 with another quarter of excellent cash flow conversion and go into 2018 in an extremely strong position. We will not waver from our disciplined risk assessment and look forward to the opportunities in front of us. With my portion of the formal slide presentation concluded, I will actually return this back to Tony. Tony, you deserve a drink of water.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

I'm going to cover page 17 here, and it's backlogged by market sector. Total backlog at the end of year-end 2017 was $3.79 billion versus $3.90 billion at the end of 2016. We have a few moving parts here. We completed or nearly completed some large food processing jobs that actually accelerated at the end of the year. We are very confident that we will replace those, but it tends to be episodic as we do, and we're in negotiation on several nice projects right now. The markets continue to be active as positive economic growth supports increased non-residential construction activity. If you look at the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast, it says 4% non-residential growth for the markets we are in 2018. That feels about right to me.

When you focus on the market sectors, commercial project backlog was up 19% or $215 million year-over-year, which is very good for us, and it's a nice sweet spot for us. Commercial projects represent just over 40% of our total backlog. Our early read on this for this year is it should continue to be this mid-single-digit growth trajectory throughout 2018. Continued construction of data centers, high-rise, and mixed-use residential, and significant tenant fit-out projects remained strong contributors to the commercial sector's projected growth in 2018. We did have two large food process projects reach substantial completion, and we delivered for our customers. These large multi-year food processing projects account for the majority of the decrease in our industrial backlog, but we also burned some backlog in a number of Northeast transportation infrastructure projects.

We continue to see opportunities in both food processing and transportation infrastructure as we move through 2018 and into 2019. Overall, our markets remain active, bidding activity is strong, and we will remain disciplined with respect to project pursuit, resource planning and allocation, and then ultimately, project execution. I'm on page 18 now. This is backlog by segment. Using a little rough math, total backlog for our two domestic construction segments is down about $200 million, while backlog for the building services, industrial services, and EMCOR UK segments is up about $100 million collectively. Again, this is a story of large projects versus smaller projects. Very large projects are a little more episodic for us, and we have burned some of this work in our construction segments, as I had just mentioned.

We do see really good opportunities to replace that work, but rarely do they sequence perfectly a completion to startup of the next opportunity. Conversely, our U.S. smaller project backlog, ranging between $250,000-$5 million, is very strong. We are also seeing strong demand for some semiconductor work that may or may not move through backlog as it may be contracted, in a different way that doesn't allow us to put it in backlog as a fixed price job. We closed the year with backlog in our domestic construction segments at $2.8 billion. In my opinion, domestic construction segment revenue was up over 10% year-over-year, and backlogs are pretty close to where we started. It really equated a strong performance in a pretty good market. These segments are executing and converting an extremely high level right now.

They are doing it throughout the project life cycle. What a terrific year we had. We will continue to have. Building services backlog grew during the year, which was nice to see. It grew in line with the increase in our commercial sector activity. It's driven by our mechanical services business. Although we did have some new contract wins in our commercial site-based business, we continue to see small and retrofit projects across our mechanical service companies. We expect the new tax law to help, because that, coupled with the desire for more energy savings and the efficiency to replace, will drive replacement demand throughout 2018 and 2019. The industrial backlog is up $12 million. It looks like a big number because it was only $50 million. I'd remind you that most of our work in this segment is a time and material base.

This is the shop work. Pricing is still not great. Clearly, we wouldn't have taken an impairment charge if we thought there was a big spike in pricing. The other thing that's happening here is we have headwinds. We're not servicing some of our customers in the Latin American market for new heat exchangers. There's a lot of reasons why, mainly because Venezuela is not healthy right now. We continue to win some good contracts awards in the U.K. Backlog has continued to tick up. In summary, bidding opportunities are good. We see a lot of good demand. We will continue to perform well. I'm now on page 19-20. It's probably the reason most of you called in today. We will guide to $4.10-$4.70 in earnings per diluted share from continuing operations for 2018.

This earnings per diluted share guidance incorporates an estimated 28% post-tax reform tax rate. We expect revenues of $7.6 billion-$7.7 billion. We expect continued growth in the non-residential construction market, decent demand for our government and commercial site-based services, a strong energy retrofit market, a choppy and less predictable market with respect to our downstream refining and petrochemical markets. We do expect more clarity in downstream refinery and petrochemical markets as we approach mid-2018 for both the fall turnaround season and into 2019. Harvey brought some unpredictability to this market. It's always had a level of uncertainty as maintenance scopes expand and contract. Of course, capital planning tends to be the swing resource for us as we tend to be the swing resource on large capital projects in this segment.

As always, we will provide a view on what needs to happen for us to move the top end of our guidance range. We need the U.S. construction business to perform at a high level in our U.S. construction segments. We do have some headwind as we benefited from some significant claim and dispute settlements in 2018, as Mark discussed. It's in our 10-K. However, we are performing well in a strong market. We expect to continue to perform well in 2018. We will have our work cut out for us performing at the 2017 operating income margins of 2018. We do expect strong operating income margin performance.

Our U.S. building services segment should return to revenue growth in 2018. We need to implement our site-based contract wins well, continue to grow our mechanical services business, and execute well for our Department of Defense and some other federal agency customers as they repair their facilities that were impacted by sequester, now that a reprioritization of their budget has happened with a new two-year budget. We should continue to see operating income margin expansion in this segment in 2018. Our industrial business segment will improve from 2017 to 2018, but it will be weighted to quarters two through four. We had a very strong first quarter in 2017 with respect to our field turnaround services. It was our strongest on record since the acquisition of Repc on Strickland. We do see demand strengthening for us as the year progresses.

As Harvey decimated this sector in Q3 and Q4 of 2017, our comparisons are much easier. For us to move to the top end of our guidance range, we will need some increased scope or some unplanned event that we don't have as of today. That is certainly possible, as these unplanned events have happened more than a few times for us over the last 10 years. Our U.K. business will need to continue the growth and progress that we have earned over the last four years. We expect to continue to have decent cash flows, at least equal to net income. We will look to use our cash and balance sheet, as Mark said, to grow organically and through acquisition, and we'll invest in any of our domestic segments through acquisition. We will return cash to shareholders this year through buybacks and dividends.

We would prefer buybacks versus dividends for any incremental return of cash to shareholders. We like how our businesses are positioned. We think we performed exceptionally well in 2017. We expect to continue to deliver for our shareholders in 2018. With that, turn it over to you for questions.

Operator

Once again, ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question over the telephones, that is star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Once again, to ask a question over the telephones, that is star, then the number one. We'll pause for just one moment to file the Q&A roster. Okay, your first question comes from the line of Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thanks. Hey, Tony, a very strong fourth quarter. Congratulations to you and your team.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Yeah. Thank you.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

I hope you feel better soon.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

I feel fine. I just have a little laryngitis.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Just some honey and some room temperature water for you.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Yeah.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

I know you guys always start the year off with a conservative guidance, and that's been your tradition, and it seems to have served you well. I was a little surprised at the width of the guidance. While the top end seems in line with your tradition, I guess the low end surprised me. It seems pretty low. I would love to get an idea of really how you're picturing what scenario would that happen under?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

I think that happens under, we don't rebuild backlog through the year, and the industrial business has weaker performance than we would expect rebounding from Harvey in quarters three and four. It's a pretty uncertain market. I think that's the swing factor for the year. Then remember, we've got to recover, what, about 20 to 30 basis points overall, Mark, that our overall margins benefited from some of the claims settlements in 2017.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. Yeah. Then, I guess if I'm looking at the industrial sector, the read-through from a lot of the industrial sector earnings have been pretty positive. Do you see what you're seeing just sort of a transient headwind just based on your comps? As you look beyond this year, do you think there are some serious issues as well? Would love to get your sense directionally on what you think is going to happen.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

In an industrial segment, you're talking about the business we do in our segment, not the broader industrial economy?

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

That's what I mean.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Yeah. Look, I think we're well-positioned for a long period of time. I think we're in a pause period in here, fourth quarter and a little bit in first quarter.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Right.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

I think there's been unpredictability brought in. We have premier assets in that sector. I'm not as bullish on the shop services returning to where they were. Look, I think as we move into late 2018 into 2019, it'll be fairly positive. I would say that when you look at the read-throughs on some of the others, collectively, we've been more right than wrong on what we see.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Right.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

A few others in this segment that do business in our segment, in the industrial segment, tend to get a little bullish a little too early when there's been a change of events.

Tahira Afzal
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. Okay. Thanks a lot, Tony, and I'll hop back in the queue, and feel better soon.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Noelle Dilts, Wolfe Research.

Noelle Dilts
Analyst, Noelle Dilts

Hi, good morning.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Morning, Noelle.

Noelle Dilts
Analyst, Noelle Dilts

Just first wanted to explore this idea of labor constraints a little bit, which you said are getting a little bit more difficult. How do we think about the impact there? On one hand, theoretically as suppliers of labor, you should be getting some pricing. On the other hand, obviously a lack of availability of labor can limit growth. Can you just give us some more thoughts on how to think about that?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Well, I want to think, skilled labor, if you look at where the unemployment rate is, skilled labor is going to be a challenge. Now, I would say when you take us versus other contractors, we're more prepared to meet that challenge. I say this a lot, but I believe it because I go see the field a lot and I talk to people, and I know what the folks that actually do the work care about. We're an employer of choice, because folks know they're going to get paid every week. They know they're going to be kept safe. They know that they're going to be led by people that actually know the work. Finally, they know that if they do well, there's a good chance of follow-on work for them, which is what they care about.

What are you doing to replenish? We've gotten more creative, as have other people. We've worked in the non-union world to expand our training and the resources we'll bring in at a lower level. In the union world, with some locals, not all locals, but most locals, have allowed us different classifications to bring people in a lower level and move them to journeymen. On the union side, on specific trades like sprinklers, we've had pretty good success transitioning non-union sprinkler fitters to union sprinkler fitters. On the non-union side, I go back to my first point, it's even more important that those four things be met than on the union side, because union side, a lot of the employers would have that.

The other thing is, it's not just the skilled trade, it's also your supervision, from foreman through superintendent to project manager. One of the benefits we have versus other people is our project side can flex. Because of the variety of trade we have, we can take more scope, and that doesn't necessarily mean at least the top 2 levels, the superintendent and project manager level need to increase, so we can get more leverage there. About pricing, I mean, pricing is moderately better. I would argue that when you get to the larger projects, especially, you're working with your customer to understand the budget that they have and the options they will have within that budget, and what you can afford to do the work for.

Pricing flexibility actually decreases on the very large projects because you work as more of a team, to deliver the value for your customer.

Noelle Dilts
Analyst, Noelle Dilts

Thanks. That's really helpful. A second question, just shifting over to thinking about the impact of tax reform. As you look at some of the incremental cash coming through, is there really any shift in how you're thinking about deploying that cash and your priorities?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

I would say no. We've been pretty good allocators of capital. Mark, you want to expand on that?

Mark Pompa
EVP and CFO, EMCOR Group

Yeah. Noelle, as I mentioned in my commentary, the incremental cash, albeit I like to have an incremental $40 million or $50 million, once again, doesn't really change how we think about it.

Noelle Dilts
Analyst, Noelle Dilts

Yeah.

Mark Pompa
EVP and CFO, EMCOR Group

We're going to continue to execute in the manner that we have been for the last several years.

Noelle Dilts
Analyst, Noelle Dilts

Okay. Last question. When you think about just generally the non-residential construction market, I think we've talked before about a little bit of softening in some of the very early cycle verticals like office and hotel. Is that something you guys are seeing? Second, how are you guys thinking about, at this point, the potential for an infrastructure stimulus bill and how EMCOR might benefit?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

The forecast is still there for pretty good growth, in 2018. We believe that. As far as the office market, there is still a lot of retrofit going on, and tenant fit out. There's some spec office building construction. You saw today that JPMorgan Chase has announced a new 70-story tower in Midtown Manhattan. I think there's a lot of repurposing, a lot of rethought to some of these old buildings that just don't fit the needs for what people have today. You got to think about, there were some distortions that happened with some of these large campus projects over the last couple of years that on their own can bring down demand for office construction, like the Apple campus.

When that's not being built anymore, that can have a sizable impact on what you view as the overall office construction market and some of the other work in Silicon Valley with a new campus like But on the other side, we're repurposing all the buildings that they were in because of the capability that a company like us have. Hotel, we don't play in the lower end of the hotel market. As far as the higher end of the hotel market, there may be life coming back to Las Vegas, which would be a good thing for us. There's some nice projects on board that look like they're going to come out of the ground in San Diego.

I think you got to be much more specific, when we think about the market, and then just overall categories, because some of those categories wouldn't be work that we would do anyway. I'm fairly optimistic. In the other market that we play in, that we see strong demand, hopefully, in 2018 and going into 2019, is high tech semiconductor. We see that in a couple of places in our footprint, in the U.S. right now.

Noelle Dilts
Analyst, Noelle Dilts

Great. Thanks again.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Adam Thalhimer with Thompson Davis & Co.

Adam Thalhimer
Analyst, Thompson Davis

Okay.

Hey, good morning, guys. Great quarter.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Good, Adam. How are you, Adam?

Adam Thalhimer
Analyst, Thompson Davis

I'm great. Wanted to ask first, maybe I shouldn't overthink this because I know you guys like to start the year with a conservative guide, I'm just trying to parse through the revenue guidance of basically flat to down for this year. If U.S. construction's up mid-single digits, building services is up, industrial starts to grow in Q2, I just don't know how you get to down revenue this year.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Yeah. I wouldn't overthink it too much, the way I think about it is, we have to think about revenue that way because we know we start the year down, if you just take everything being equal, $65 million to $100 million based on our backlog being down in construction $200 million. We've got to replace that revenue through book and ship business in 2018, which obviously we think we can do because our guidance is seven six to seven seven. The other thing is we are expecting to book some large project work through the middle of the year. If we do that, you'll see backlog maybe go up.

Adam Thalhimer
Analyst, Thompson Davis

You might not revenue that.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

You won't see much revenue probably this year. That'll be more of a 2019 and 2020 phenomenon.

Adam Thalhimer
Analyst, Thompson Davis

Got it. Okay. That was my next question of the timing of backlog growth. You think it's more mid-year?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Yeah. This could be a year like 2012, too, where we're starting to see revenue go okay at decent velocity because there's more small project work. In 2012, we had a large food process project that never made its way into backlog. When it finally did, there wasn't much left. We have a couple projects that we could be working on here starting late April, early May, that could have the same characteristics as the customers decide that they want to get moving and want to do it more on a fixed fee or time and material basis, which will lead to revenue burn. Maybe no work will go into backlog. Which you should take great comfort in some ways, because that means we were being very careful on what contracting terms we would take, and the market's allowing us to do that right now.

Adam Thalhimer
Analyst, Thompson Davis

Tony, that was the semiconductor job you mentioned?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

It could be that and other high-tech work. Not just semiconductor, but other high-tech work, that there's a window right now where they want to lock in the resources, and they may not want to spend months trying to get scope so fixed that we can give a fixed price.

Adam Thalhimer
Analyst, Thompson Davis

Okay. Lastly, I'm sorry to hammer this, you're just generating so much cash, and I would assume M&A multiples are still high. I guess you can end 2018, probably go into 2019 with no debt if you wanted to.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

We could pretty much do that close to now. We do see opportunities. I'm not that negative on the M&A market now. We did three nice deals last year. Mark, what was the total purchase price? $170?

Mark Pompa
EVP and CFO, EMCOR Group

Yeah, it was one.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

It wasn't insignificant what we did. Mark will get the exact number. It wasn't insignificant what we did. We see deals like that again this year. I'll tell you what we're not going to do. We're not going to do something that we know we can't create value for our shareholders over a three to five-year period.

Mark Pompa
EVP and CFO, EMCOR Group

107.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

107?

Mark Pompa
EVP and CFO, EMCOR Group

107.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

$107, yeah.

Mark Pompa
EVP and CFO, EMCOR Group

170.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Might as well. $107 million. We did that. I would expect we'd do that or a little more this year, just with what we're looking at today. Hopefully a little more. I think owners that we talk to are still sorting out tax reform. Some of the Subchapter S provisions are pretty favorable. They may decide not to sell their businesses. That doesn't change some of the issues they have with estate planning and everything else. The other thing is private equity is still very active. They must know something we don't know, other than the debt. Some of the things they bid on, at the prices they bid on, don't make a lot of sense to us. When they sell it to each other, I guess it does make sense. We're just going to keep doing what we do.

We have a list of things that we've been working on, that placeholder could be just in a normal year between $100 million and $200 million. In a bigger year, we've done deals up to $450 million. I don't think this management team is sort of the giant transformational M&A guys because we haven't seen that work in our space in any significant way. Things we look for, strength in the trade that we're in, strength in the geography we're in, strength in the line of service we're in, transform one of our segments, lines of business, with the idea that we would go out and say, "Let's take two like companies and put them together." Quite frankly, there's not a lot of SG&A savings, and one plus one really equals two.

Adam Thalhimer
Analyst, Thompson Davis

Okay. I'll turn it over. Thanks.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Thank you. Is that it?

Operator

Adam, is there anybody else on the line for a question?

Yes, sir. Your next question comes from the line of Brent Thielman with D.A. Davidson.

Brent Thielman
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thanks. Great quarter, great year.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Thank you.

Brent Thielman
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Hey, Tony, lot of things have kind of developed here since the last earnings call between kind of tax code changes, inflation becoming a bigger topic. I'm just curious if you've seen that lead to any sort of hesitation to move projects forward in the market at all?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

No.

Brent Thielman
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

At least on a shorter-term basis?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

No. Quite the opposite.

Brent Thielman
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Okay. On the public sector backlog, kind of setting aside those select larger projects, which obviously caused some lumpiness there. Has the general level of bid activity and kind of momentum in that market or sector continued to expand?

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Yes.

Brent Thielman
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Okay.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I'll now turn it back to management.

Tony Guzzi
President and CEO, EMCOR Group

Look, we had a fantastic 2017, and that's really a tribute to the 34,000 people that are out there working for EMCOR every day. We have the best skilled trades people. We have terrific supervision. We have local leaders and CEOs that run these companies exceptionally well and a great segment and corporate leadership team. We're going to deliver again in 2018, but we're going to be measured and thoughtful in how we do it. Look forward to seeing you all out there, and thank you for your interest in EMCOR. Everybody have a great day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.