EQT Corporation (EQT)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2020

May 7, 2020

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to today's EQT Q1 quarterly results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this time, you will need to press star one on your telephone. If you require further assistance, please press star zero. I would like to hand the conference call over to Andrew Breese, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Andrew Breese
Director of Investor Relations, EQT

Good morning, and thank you for joining today's conference call. With me today are Toby Rice, President and Chief Executive Officer, and David Khani, Chief Financial Officer. The replay for today's call will be available on our website for a seven-day period beginning this evening. The telephone number for the replay is 1-800-585-8367 with a confirmation code of 2066546. In a moment, Toby and David will provide the prepared remarks with the question and answer session to follow. During these prepared remarks, Toby and David will reference certain slides that have been published in a new investor presentation, which is available on the investor relations portion of our website. I'd like to remind you that today's call may contain forward-looking statements.

Actual results in future events could materially differ from these forward-looking statements because of factors described in today's earnings release and in the Risk Factors section of our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2019, and in subsequent filings we make with the SEC. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statements. Today's call may also contain certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to this morning's earnings release for important disclosures regarding such measures, including reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP financial measures. With that, I'll turn it over to Toby.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Thanks, Andrew. Good morning, everyone. Today, I will give a brief review of the quarter and provide an update on the business. I will pass it to Dave to review the details of the quarter and talk about the recent actions we have taken to improve the financial standing of this business. Afterwards, we will open up the call for Q&A. This management team, since being elected, has been unrelenting in our quest to deliver on campaign promises. Our operational results validate the promises that we made to our shareholders and prove our thesis that a well-planned business, combined with leading technology, creates a differentiated, durable, and sustainable business. The equity and debt markets have taken notice.

Since the beginning of the year, we have accessed the capital markets twice: once in January with our $1.75 billion senior note offering, and again in April with our $500 million convertible debt deal. Both offerings strengthen our strategic flexibility, de-risked our near-term maturities, and were met with overwhelming market participation. Additionally, we have seen significant strengthening in both our equity and debt performance supporting these strategic actions. EQT is in a unique position to capitalize on the improving natural gas macro as the vast majority of our production is natural gas and less than 5% of our production is tied to deteriorating liquids and oil prices. Even more so, our acreage sits in the southwestern core of the Marcellus and has over 15 years of inventory.

Our financial and operational results over the last several quarters have proven that our approach to developing this world-class asset is working, and this company is well on its way to becoming the clear operator of choice. Moving forward, we will continue to push our technological boundaries and be at the forefront of innovation to drive incremental efficiencies and create value for our shareholders. This commitment is reflected in our first quarter results. Our acute focus on cost reduction, schedule optimization, well design, and operational uptime drove our strong performance during the period. We were able to deliver volumes well above the high end of our guidance range for less capital and developed our Pennsylvania Marcellus asset at a well cost of $745 per lateral foot, an accomplishment that is approaching our target of $730 per lateral foot faster than anticipated.

Our operational costs are trending down, and we will continue to focus on driving these down throughout the year. EQT and its employees continue to work hard to safely generate value during the COVID-19 pandemic. As exhibited by this quarter's results, our business has been able to thrive as we seamlessly transition all of our office personnel to a remote work environment. This success is principally a result of our digital work environment that we implemented during our 100-day plan, coupled with the heart, dedication, and teamwork of our employees. EQT remains committed to our safety culture. We have had regular conversations with state and local officials, and the safety of all of our employees and contractors have been our primary focus.

We have gone beyond the minimum safety standards in our response and have intensified our focus on data collection and technology to create an insight that allows us to contact trace employees and contractor partners that enter our active sites. This insight has allowed us to contact hundreds of contractors' employees shortly after learning of potential exposure cases and provide them with the names of all individuals to be monitored. The greatest risk to operators like EQT is the potential for increased exposure as a result of missed contacts and response delays, and our contact tracing technology is just one example of how we are looking at managing the impact of this pandemic differently. To our employees in the field, our contracted partners, our peers, and the healthcare and frontline responders, we thank you for your continued dedication during these times.

We are working passionately to support the communities in which we operate, including recently donating $360,000 to local community funds. We will keep doing our part to make EQT and its community as safe as possible. The energy industry has also been impacted by deteriorating oil prices as a result of unprecedented demand destruction due to the COVID-19 pandemic. While oil prices sit at historic lows and have forced reductions to rig counts and frac crews, well shut-ins, slashing of capital budgets and production, and bankruptcies, EQT has not only been resilient, but has been effectuating positive change while other E&Ps are challenged. While we are just one quarter into the year, we are trending at the high end of our production guidance and the low end of our capital and operating expense guidance.

A standing that presents us with the ability to make strategic decisions on the remainder of our 2020 program as we continue to monitor the improving macro setup in 2021. While we believe there's upsides to our plan, we have maintained our previous 2020 guidance and intend to update that guidance as well as provide more commentary on our 2021 program as we move throughout the year. On a macro front, we continue to see weakness in demand impacting 2020 prices and expect prices to strengthen in 2021 and beyond. For 2020, demand has declined between four to six Bcf per day with weakened power, industrial, and res/com consumption. Furthermore, LNG exports are facing more and more cancellations as the arb to export gas has gone negative for the next three months.

On the supply side, we are now beginning to see the impact of declining oil and liquids prices, reducing associated gas output, and building condensate and liquids inventory, resulting in associated gas supply being shut in. The estimates for the supply impact range from 3 Bcf-8 Bcf a day, and this can balance the market fairly quickly and sets up for a strong fourth quarter 2020 and calendar year 2021 and beyond. In addition, the last several years of declining natural gas prices have caused natural gas rates to decline over 50%, from $200 back in January to currently under $90 today. As a result, near-term natural gas supply response will be very delayed until balance sheets are repaired. The challenge will be trying to balance the timing of demand recovery and to anticipate the new normal for demand.

We can see prices having the potential to spike in certain peak demand periods that could result in some demand destruction or fuel switching. The 2014 and 2018 winter periods are somewhat test cases for how gas could be rationed for the highest and best use. We believe the forward curve is underestimating the move in prices, and this is especially noticeable in the 2022 and 2023 curve. As the largest natural gas producer in the country, EQT is doing its part with a disciplined approach to capital allocation, focusing on maximizing free cash flow versus production growth despite a rising natural gas price environment. Now, I'll turn it over to David Khani to discuss some of our financial accomplishments, dig into the first quarter results a little more closely, and then discuss our balance sheet management strategy.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Thanks, Toby. Before we get into the detailed quarterly results, I'd like to quickly review the financing accomplishments that we have made through the first four months of the year. Coming into 2020, we faced approximately $3.8 billion of debt maturities coming due through 2022. Subsequently, we have refinanced or paid down approximately $2.4 billion and plan to retire the remaining $1.4 billion over the next 19 months. We've thoughtfully managed our liquidity, and although our current position is more than adequate, we fully expect to improve it going forward. We've developed a more robust hedge process to be able to capture rising prices over time, while at the same time de-risking the volatility in our revenues. We've accelerated the timing of our tax refunds, which increased our first quarter free cash flow and helped us better rationalize our asset sale program.

We've lowered our CapEx forecast for 2020 three times and squeezed out more out of our G&A expenses. Last, we are reiterating our 2020 guidance, while many in the S&P 500 have pulled their guidance. In addition to these accomplishments, we've also had a great first quarter from an operational and financial performance perspective. The earnings release published today and the 10-Q that will be filed later this afternoon contain all the details, but I will review some of the highlights. Overall, we outperformed in many areas. First, we achieved sales volumes of 385 Bcf for the quarter, which exceeded the midpoint of our guidance range by 20 Bcf. This outperformance was really a culmination of various efficiencies realized across the organization, the larger of which was improved base production uptime.

Adjusted operating revenues were $957 million, down 21% compared to the first quarter of 2019, as the average realized price was $2.49, or $0.67 below last year, while sales volumes remained relatively flat year-over-year. Our first quarter 2020 production-related operating costs reflected a per unit basis for $1.33 per Mcfe, $0.05 lower than the first quarter of 2019, and below the low end of our full year 2020 guidance range of $1.34- $1.46 per Mcfe. Capital expenditures were $262 million, or $214 million lower than the first quarter of last year and lower than our expectations. As Toby mentioned, our Pennsylvania Marcellus well costs averaged $745 per foot, accelerating our path towards achieving our target well costs and driving our outperformance for the period.

Our adjusted operating cash flow for the quarter was $513 million as compared to $647 million in the first quarter of 2019, while free cash flow was $251 million as compared to $171 million in the year-ago period. Free cash flow was positively impacted by a reduced capital expenditures as well as $95 million in accrued cash income taxes from the CARES Act, which accelerated our ability to claim federal refunds of alternative minimum tax credits. For the first quarter, there were also a few other items I want to point out which impacted our competitive results versus last year.

First, as previously disclosed, we completed the exchange of 50% of our equity stake in Equitrans for gathering rate relief in conjunction with the execution of a new gas gathering agreement with EQM and $52 million of cash proceeds. As a result of this transaction, we recorded a contract asset of $410 million, representing the present value of the expected rate relief and a gain of $187 million. We will amortize the contract asset over a period of approximately four years, beginning at MVP in-service date. This non-cash amortization expense will be recorded as a part of the gathering expenses in our GAAP reporting, but will be separately identified and excluded from our adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow non-GAAP metrics. Second, during the first quarter, we also reclassified certain in-basin transportation expenses to gathering expense in our financial statement and disclosures and guidance.

This aims to provide additional clarity into costs associated with transporting our gas outside the Appalachian Basin. There's no net change to our 2020 guidance, but approximately $0.14 has been moved from the transmission to the gathering bucket. Overall, the first quarter was another successful quarter under the new leadership. During the second quarter of 2020, we expect sales volumes of between 360-380 BCFE, average differentials of - $0.45 to - $0.25 per Mcf. We're also expecting an uptick in capital expenditures of approximately $300 million, driven by increased activity, better weather, and more daylight. All of which we expect to drive roughly breakeven free cash flow during the period.

I started off my prepared remarks by discussing the financing accomplishments we've achieved thus far in 2020, and now I'd like to spend a little time talking about the details related to our maturity management strategy. I'd like to refer you to slide 15 in our analyst presentation, which clearly lays out our plan. After applying all the proceeds from the recent convertible debt offering to the 2021 term loan, we now sit with about $620 million of debt maturing in 2021.

When you take into consideration the 2020 expected free cash flow of $275 million at the midpoint, over $300 million of additional tax refunds and other small receivables, approximately $125 million in proceeds expected from E&P sales in advanced stages, and the remaining Equitrans stake, which has a current market value of approximately $200 million, you can see we have clear line of sight in handling the 2021 maturities and adequate carryover funds to be applied against the 2022 maturities. We turn to 2022 maturity of $750 million, which I remind you isn't due until the end of 2022. As I just mentioned, we plan to have several hundred million of that paid off by the end of 2020, leaving us with significant flexibility in our approach to managing that debt stack.

Improving natural gas macro and commodity setup could support our ability to pay down this debt with cash flow generation if we choose. We also have several selective asset divestiture opportunities we can pursue to accelerate, supplement, and/or enhance debt retirement. Touching on the selective asset divestitures quickly. The market is still there, particularly the minerals market, but we're being very selective and deliberate in our decision on whether to continue pursuing this at this time. We expect that by the end of 2021, we will have reduced debt by more than the original contemplated $1.5 billion, but in a more methodical way that should improve our cost of capital. This substantial debt reduction, in conjunction with the improving natural gas macro, should expedite our pursuit back to investment-grade metrics, creating a more strategic differentiation for EQT.

As the fundamental drivers of natural gas macro continue to play out, we are carefully studying the commodity market to ensure we are making highly informed strategic hedging decisions. When we created our updated hedge program in February, winter weather disappointed, sending the strip down about $0.30 to the $2.20-$2.30 level. We added about 300 Bcf to our 2021 hedges during the February and March time period, the latest capturing pricing between $2.50-$2.70. At the heart of our strategic approach is appropriately balancing the ability to capture 2021 pricing upside while protecting the downside risk. As we move through the year, we will look to opportunistically layer on hedges at favorable prices. We will expect to enter 2021 with a substantial percentage of our production hedged, with additional hedges over the next several years.

The pace of our hedging activity has slowed post the full emergence of COVID-19 and the OPEC price war for a couple reasons. First, as the supply-demand impact of the current environment become clear, we're becoming more and more bullish on the natural gas pricing set up for 2021 and beyond. Secondly, the broader E&P group has been forced to layer on hedges to protect borrowing bases that are subject to redeterminations, creating pricing pressure in the market, and we want to wait for this dynamic to abate. I'd like to also remind that we have the roughly 90% of our 2020 gas production hedged at a weighted average floor price of above $2.70 per dekatherm, which has and will insulate us from commodity price volatility as we move through 2020.

Our current liquidity sits at $1.6 billion, which consists of $2.5 billion unsecured revolver, which is essentially undrawn, offset by approximately $900 million of letters of credit posted, stemming from the ratings downgrades that occurred earlier this year. Based on discussions with counterparties and maximum collateral exposure levels, we believe we are largely through the collateral cycle. I want to reiterate that unlike many E&Ps and Appalachian peers, our revolver is unsecured and not subject to borrowing base redeterminations. This is a strategic differentiator as it removes one of the biggest variables of the liquidity equation. Although our current liquidity is nicely above our minimum liquidity needs, we continue to pursue steps to add back liquidity. I'm encouraged by the progress we have made in removing risk, improving the balance sheet, setting this business up to prosper.

We have received positive feedback from the steps that we've taken and look forward to continuing to create value for all our stakeholders. I now pass the call back to Toby.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Thanks, David. The setup for EQT is compelling. This team has established both a track record of execution and keeping promises made to its shareholders. We will continue to find ways to lower our costs, become more efficient, and extract maximum value from our premier asset base. We've made improvements from top to bottom across the organization and have created a durable and scalable business that is able to withstand external pressures. Our heavy exposure to natural gas will allow us to capture the bullish macro setup on the horizon and will drive strong free cash flow yield and will create ample strategic flexibility. Our debt and maturity management plan will create a viable path back to an investment-grade balance sheet, which will create clear differentiation for all our stakeholders. Lastly, EQT is committed to operating the right way with an intensifying focus on our ESG program.

Before I turn the call over for Q&A, I'd like to thank all of our EQT employees who have displayed the heart, trust, and teamwork which are driving the evolution of this business. With that, I'll turn it over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

At this time, if anybody has a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Again, that would be star one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from Josh Silverstein. Your line is open.

Josh Silverstein
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Hey, thanks. Good morning, guys. You've made a lot of headway in getting towards the $1.5 billion debt target. Any reason why you would stop there, given the growing free cash flow position? If you did hit the $1.5 billion target, what would be prioritized after that? Additional debt reduction, return of capital to shareholders, or even starting to apply a little bit of growth spending?

David Khani
CFO, EQT

I think our goal is, I think you'll see by the time we're all done, we'll be probably between, my guess is between $1.6 billion and $1.8 billion of debt retirement. Our goal is to get our leverage down below 2x . I think those are really key thresholds for us. The convert that we did can obviously be converted into equity as well. That could be a further de-leveraging event. I think once we get below them, that gives us the flexibility to do other, I call it shareholder-friendly things such as dividends, buybacks, and other things.

Josh Silverstein
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

That's helpful. Can I just get an update on the asset sales fronts? It seemed like you guys were pushing those out a little bit just to help get some better valuations into a rising price environment. Has your thought changed in terms of the priorities and what you wanted to sell relative to before? Is there less of a pressing need to do the royalty transaction versus just straight up production? Any thoughts there would be great.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah, Josh, good morning. This is Toby. Yeah, on our asset sales program, I think we're going to continue to sort of trim the rosebush and be willing to divest of properties that are non-core to our operating footprint. I think the progress we've made on a non-core asset sale that we've mentioned here, the $125 million, is sort of representative of that. We have some more of those, call it non-core fields, that would be on the table. I think some of the larger assets that we're holding onto. Keep in mind, these assets are largely PDP-weighted, and we think the value of these assets will just continue to appreciate in a rising commodity price environment.

Part of this is making sure that we maximize value creation, and waiting for the macro to catch up to sort of where our fundamental view is, before we continue to sell those larger assets. Like I said, this is a continued focus for us. We have our core plan. We know where we want to develop. We've got a goal of de-leveraging this business and generating free cash flow for shareholders. Asset sales will continue to play a part of that.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Yeah. That bucket, just to remind everybody, is well over $1 billion. There's a lot of firepower in there. It's just finding the right timing.

Josh Silverstein
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Your next question will come from Welles Fitzpatrick from SunTrust. Your line is open.

Welles Fitzpatrick
Managing Director, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Hey, good morning.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Morning.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Good morning.

Welles Fitzpatrick
Managing Director, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

It looks like the $390 million of tax refunds really gives you the ability to be more selective in the divestitures, maybe you're focusing more on the overrides, if I'm hearing it correctly. On the other side of that equation, can we get an update on the strategy vis-a-vis mineral buys, either to offset those overrides or for your own book that you guys have talked about in the past?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Sure. I think there's an opportunity set in front of us to purchase minerals, and that was something that we were looking at doing to offset any mineral sales that we did. Even if we've maybe pushed pause on selling minerals, I think that opportunity set still remains. We have a land budget that was set that we would be able to capture those opportunities without having to increase our CapEx budget in 2020. Purchasing minerals ahead of the drill bit is part of our strategy, and it's budgeted for, and we're looking forward to executing that.

Welles Fitzpatrick
Managing Director, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Okay. Makes sense. Can you talk to the GOR moving forward? You guys are pretty gassy relative to your peers, which is great right now. Do you see gas as a percent of production to increase? Are you planning on, I guess, shifting those rigs a little bit further east to maybe take advantage of the positive gas curve?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah. Sitting at 95% production of dry gas is probably going to stay consistent. Yeah, for us, we've been consistently allocating capital to dry gas, so there wasn't really a big amount of wet development to shift from. We anticipate continuing to have a 95% production mix of dry gas.

Welles Fitzpatrick
Managing Director, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Okay, perfect. Just one last one from me. It looks like on page 23, the gathering rates for 2024+ went from a little bit under $0.50 to a little bit over. Is that the price escalators, or is that part of the reclassification you guys had talked about?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Are you talking about in 2023, you said?

David Khani
CFO, EQT

2024?

Welles Fitzpatrick
Managing Director, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Yeah.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah. That's part of the reclassification.

Welles Fitzpatrick
Managing Director, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Okay. Makes sense. Thank you, guys.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question will come from Chris Dendrinos from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Chris Dendrinos
VP of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. Good morning. Just going back to the February commentary around the Equitrans sale targeted for mid-year, has that timing changed at all in light of the recent share price performance there, or any impacts to your all's projected free cash flows?

David Khani
CFO, EQT

For us, we were always looking at trying to make sure that the value of Equitrans was more fairly valued. It's been very volatile. I think now that there's the merger between Equitrans and EQM coming, MVP in service state was another key catalyst. I think now that you're seeing an improvement in natural gas fundamentals, all those things, I think, play very well into why Equitrans stock has moved back up. I think for us, we're not going to hold onto it by the end of the year. At some point, we'll sell it before then. We're just going to make sure that we maximize value for us.

Chris Dendrinos
VP of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Okay. Then just on the guidance, you mentioned this non-core asset sale in the press release. Does the current guidance include the impact of that asset sale? If not, what's maybe the production associated with that? Thanks.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Yeah. It's a very small amount of production, and so right now we're running ahead of expectations. When we strip it out, it will have very minimal impact to our guidance, if anything at all.

Chris Dendrinos
VP of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Holly Stewart from Scotia Howard Weil. Your line is open.

Holly Stewart
Director of Research, Scotia Howard Weil

Good morning, gentlemen.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Morning, Holly.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Good morning.

Holly Stewart
Director of Research, Scotia Howard Weil

Just a couple quick ones here. Recognizing that NGLs and condensate are not a huge part of your business, but the guidance does move down for volume for the year. I guess the first question would be: What are you doing with your own portfolio right now, just given pricing? What are you seeing in the basin in terms of curtailments?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Sure. Just given our exposure to liquids, we're not seeing any material differences in the way that we operate. I think what you mentioned is a dynamic that's very important to understand is what's happening to other operators in the basin. We have seen people having to shut in wells because of not being able to get rid of their condensate. If I had to quantify what we've seen from the amount of dry gas that would be shut in as a result of these shut-ins, it'd be probably in the order of 500 million-800 million cu ft of gas a day. That's a pretty important dynamic that we're continuing to track. Again, these things would be favorable to the natural gas outlook that we see.

Holly Stewart
Director of Research, Scotia Howard Weil

Okay. That's interesting. That's a big number. Dave, maybe just some perspective on the longer-term goal for sub 2x leverage. I guess just thinking about the timing there according to your plan, do you see that being feasible by the end of 2022?

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Well, I think from an absolute debt perspective, we'll get our absolute debt down to where we want to or better by the end of 2021. That'll be things I'd say probably in our control. The next thing will really be the commodity price environment. If the commodity gets up closer to that 3x level, $3 level, that'll be a nice trigger for us to get our leverage right into that zone. I think those would really be the two variables to think about.

Holly Stewart
Director of Research, Scotia Howard Weil

Okay. Maybe just a housekeeping item. Any impact from this Texas Eastern explosion?

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Yeah. That was an event that occurred a couple of days ago. We have no major impacts as a result of that. Just to give some background on that incident, about 10:00 P.M., we were notified. By 2:00 P.M., we had to shut back some gas. Working with our partners, Equitrans was very helpful in allowing us to get our gas back to flowing. By 2:00 P.M. the next day, we had all of our gas scheduled, and the commercial team had found markets for that gas, and we were able to put it to sale. There will be some differences on the pricing that we'll get for that selling in basin versus on the TETCO line. We expect that to be rather insignificant, and we'll be able to quantify that now.

Holly Stewart
Director of Research, Scotia Howard Weil

Okay, great. Thanks, guys.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question will come from Jane Trotsenko from Stifel. Your line is open.

Jane Trotsenko
Research Analyst, Stifel Financial

Good morning, thanks for taking my questions. The first question is on $500 million in convertible debt that you guys issued in April. Maybe you guys can talk about the rationale for doing this type of debt instead of plain vanilla senior notes.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Sure. This is David Khani. If you look at the setup heading into doing a convert, our debt traded up very close to par. The volatility, as our stock rallied very sharply, created good volatility, really creates a second component of a convert, which is really a combination of debt and an equity option. When you put those two together, it created a very good dynamic to do a convert. We hired a consultant who is very skilled in that. If you notice how we executed that, we were able to get a very low coupon at 1.75%, and we were able to get a call spread that was very differential versus our peers that did convert.

It helped us actually save about $20 million when you looked at the cost differential between other converts and what we did. It's just a really good setup for a convert.

Jane Trotsenko
Research Analyst, Stifel Financial

Okay. Got it. Then I wanted to ask you something on Ohio Utica. When you guys announced the CapEx cut back in March, it seems like it should have impacted the capital allocation to Ohio Utica. Maybe you guys can talk about how you think about this asset, and obviously it's for sale. How should we be thinking about production outlook and maybe well costs, where they stand currently?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Sure. I'll take this at a higher level. Just looking at the capital efficiency of our program and how the Utica fits into that. I think looking at the capital efficiency at EQT, I break it down into two categories, the capital efficiency of our entire program and the efficiency of our execution of specific well costs. When we look at the capital efficiency of our entire program, there's a couple of things that are happening that allow us to lower costs. Starting with capital allocation decision activity levels. We have a mentality that we're going to continue to stay in maintenance mode. Not adding any new activity or production. The other aspect of capital allocation comes to the types of wells that we're actually developing.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

You'll see us start to shift more activity into our Marcellus first and shift away from Ohio Utica development. That will give us the ability to execute Pennsylvania Marcellus wells at, call it $730 a foot versus our Ohio Utica that's north of $1,000 a foot. It'll be a more efficient application of our dollars there. I think you may see Ohio maintain production, but in the future, that asset may decline a little bit as we shift activity into the Pennsylvania Marcellus.

Jane Trotsenko
Research Analyst, Stifel Financial

That's very helpful. The last question, if I may, on cash cost. Obviously, strong outperformance on cash costs in 1Q20. Just curious if there were some one-off items or if this is something that you guys can sustain through the remainder of the year.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah. We maintain our guidance, but I think, I'd say we have a bias that if you sit and wait and stay tuned, we're going to think about what we do with the upside that we've created in our plan.

Jane Trotsenko
Research Analyst, Stifel Financial

Got it. Thanks a lot.

David Khani
CFO, EQT

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question will come from Sameer Panjwani from Tudor, Pickering, Holt. Your line is open.

Sameer Panjwani
Director of Equity Research, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

Hey, guys. Good morning. You've done a great job of getting the well costs down, and it would seem service costs have provided somewhat of an unexpected benefit in the current environment. As you think about heading into 2021, do you see potential line of sight to get that $730 per foot target even lower, maybe with a six handle?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah, sure. This is Toby. I would say $730 a foot was always our target. It was not our floor. When we look at some of the things that we're doing now in present day and the sustainability of that into the future, we look at the quality of our well execution. I think there's really four parts. One is operation schedule. That's largely driven by what percentage of our development is going to be set for combo development. In the future, we have a rising percentage of activity that's going to be part of combo development. That's going to strengthen and allow us to lower costs.

From a well design perspective, another key aspect of it, with our standardized well designs, we know that we're going to be putting the same design in the ground with some simple tweaks, but expect that will really set us up to make sure that from the oilfield service side, which is another cost driver, that our teams are able to procure the services they need for a stable activity schedule. While it is true, I think service costs have come down. I think that largely has allowed us to accelerate hitting our well cost targets. The teams have been really focused on making the cost that we're benefiting from right now sustainable into the future. So, we've been able to sign into long-term contracts.

Specifically, just looking at some of the biggest spend services on our frac equipment, we've been able to execute two long-term pricing agreements, one with U.S. Well Services, another one with Evolution. Both some really great technology that allows us to really take our operational efficiencies to the next level. That really leads us into the fourth aspect of cost sustainability, talking about our operational efficiencies. With good combos, with the right well design, good service contracts, we're really getting high-quality crews and equipment. Our operational efficiencies will continue to improve. We showed on our slides the fact that we've continued to show gains in our drilling performance. That will continue to improve as we get through our legacy wellbores that we inherited.

We had a lot of wells that were drilled with short top holes, so we've had to spend a little bit more time drilling a vertical section with our horizontal rigs. Those will be sort of flushed through the system towards the back half of this year. We see performance improvements on the horizontal section, on the completion side of things. Getting access to this new technology, and the team's continued execution, we see an opportunity for us to increase the operational efficiency from a stages per day perspective there as well. All these things to say, they all come together and lead us to have great confidence in hitting our 730 a foot, extending that performance into the future, and setting the table for lower costs going forward.

Sameer Panjwani
Director of Equity Research, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

Yeah, that's great color. I really appreciate that. Just wanted to clarify some of your earlier comments. I think you mentioned there's some optionality heading into 2021, but also focus on free cash flow towards addressing debt. Those could be somewhat mutually exclusive, just looking for some clarity there.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

You've seen some other peers talk about the opportunity that's in front of Appalachian producers, and all natural gas producers, frankly, to defer some production in 2020 and push that production into 2021, which is a much higher gas price environment. That opportunity is something that we're looking at at EQT. Our operational uptime that we've had has allowed us to be ahead of schedule from a production standpoint, and that efficiency is going to give us the flexibility to be able to capture that opportunity. You may see us shift a little bit of production into 2021. The decisions that we would make would not cause us to change our guidance.

Sameer Panjwani
Director of Equity Research, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

Okay. Even if you were to curtail, it would still be within the guidance range, maybe just towards the lower end or something?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yes. Yeah, probably more towards midpoint to high.

Sameer Panjwani
Director of Equity Research, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

Okay. Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question will come from Jeffrey Campbell from Tuohy Brothers. Your line is open.

Jeffrey Campbell
Senior Analyst, Tuohy Brothers

Good morning. Thinking about your Ohio Utica remarks, at a high level over time, is acres that cost more than $730 per foot to produce an eventual candidate for asset sale?

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah. We want to make sure we're spending our dollars in the highest return assets. Right now, combo development in Pennsylvania Marcellus is the most efficient use of development right now. We've shifted our operations schedule to prioritize the best rate of return type of projects. When we look at that, the Ohio Utica sort of falls behind our Pennsylvania Marcellus and our West Virginia Marcellus assets.

Jeffrey Campbell
Senior Analyst, Tuohy Brothers

Okay, great. Thank you. Could you add any color on the 2020 land budget? I was just wondering if there's anything unique happening now because of the conditions this year versus a better macro year like we're hoping for in 2021.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah. Our land budget was largely driven by leasehold maintenance. About 2/3 of our $150 million budget was set towards renewing leases, and another $50 million was for filling in the holes. We've done some things working with our landowner partners to sort of spread some of those costs over time. There is an opportunity for us to come in a little bit lighter on the land budget side of things. Looking forward, in future years, 2021 going forward, there's an opportunity for us to take the amount of dollars that we have budgeted for land and walk that down from the 150 to something that is lower. I think one of your points you referenced, with the stronger 2021 outlook for gas, has that impacted land? I'm reading through into thinking about competition.

I would just say that with such a dominant foothold that EQT has, along with just the mature aspect of this basin, we really haven't seen a lot of competition here. Really, in any part of the play, there's only one operator that can give landowners the confidence to get a wellbore drilled and get royalties, which is the big prize. Landowners are definitely educated and understand that, and are willing to work with EQT. That's sort of the dynamics of land right now.

Jeffrey Campbell
Senior Analyst, Tuohy Brothers

No, that was a great answer. I appreciate that. If I could ask one last one, just kind of getting off the script of a lot of the questions here. I was just wondering, what features of the hybrid drilling rig that you show on slide eight do you find superior to what's become kind of the standard high-spec rig that most operators are using? Thanks.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yeah, sure. Keep in mind, a lot of these rigs, we burn diesel to generate power. We're burning diesel to generate electricity. That electricity powers the rigs. These battery packs really just sort of normalize the power loads that the rig is using and doing it in a more efficient manner. That's really what's taking place there. It's just a more efficient use of energy.

Jeffrey Campbell
Senior Analyst, Tuohy Brothers

Thank you.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Yep. Thank you.

Operator

I have no further questions in queue. I turn the call back over to Toby Rice for closing remarks.

Toby Rice
President and CEO, EQT

Sure. On behalf of EQT's directors, the management team, and our workforce, thank you for your support and interest in EQT. All of us look forward to continuing on this momentum and working hard to deliver the results that our shareholders deserve. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you everyone for joining. This will conclude today's conference call. You may now disconnect.