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4th Annual Needham Consumer Tech / Ecommerce Virtual Conference

Nov 25, 2024

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Great. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you so much for joining us at the Needham Conference today. My pleasure to introduce the team at Etsy. We have Josh Silverman, CEO. Rachel Glaser as our CFO. Before we kick it off for questions, I'm going to pass it on to Rachel for the disclosures.

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

Two seconds. Just, first of all, thank you, Bernie, and thanks for having us. And thank you all for joining us. Just wanted to refer everyone to the Safe Harbor on Etsy's IR website. I'm not going to read the Safe Harbor, but it's there for your reference.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

There we go. So and then also, has anyone, I obviously have a bunch of questions prepared, but if anyone has any questions, please type them into the portal. We'll try to weave them in as well, too. Maybe Josh, we'll start with you. I want to start on GMS and just how you're thinking about how Etsy's positioned as you enter 2025. There's been a lot of volatility in the Etsy marketplace for GMS this year. Importantly, what's the path back to GMS growth for the Etsy marketplace? If you're thinking about active buyer growth or spend per buyer growth, what the major drivers could be?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Great. Yeah, thanks for the question. So when we look at what's been happening in the macro over the past year or two, e-commerce is growing. But when you peel that back, what is growing within e-commerce is largely everyday essentials, and in particular, everyday essentials at discounted prices. So people are exceptionally focused right now on deals and promotions. Discretionary products have been under pressure, and especially discretionary products that are not the cheapest version of that discretionary product.

And so we've chosen to really take our efforts this year and focus them not on the race to the bottom of trying to compete head-to-head in a knife fight over who can sell this product cheaper, but rather what makes Etsy really different and special, leaning into making sure the best of Etsy is surfaced, that we show more diverse search results, that we do a better job solving the tyranny of choice. I think we've made tremendous progress on that this year. I'm really excited about the customer experience. I think we've done a lot of work that's been very foundational in nature this year that I think sets us up to be building on that foundation next year. And in terms of, we haven't given 2025 guidance at this point. I'm not going to give a 2025 guide right now.

But to your specific question around whether it's active buyers or GMS per buyer, I think we have a lot of opportunity in both, which is exciting. Only maybe one in three women and one in ten men in the United States have shopped on Etsy in the last 12 months. So there's huge opportunity to both get new first-time buyers to Etsy, but also we've got 100 million lapsed buyers, people who've bought on Etsy but haven't bought in the last 12 months. To get those shoppers re-engaged, we have significant opportunity in our largest markets like the U.S. and the U.K., but also the rest of Europe is a real opportunity for us in terms of getting more active buyers. And then in terms of GMS per buyer, Etsy has done a great job of solving the need of having the thing when you know what you want.

I think we have a huge opportunity to not just solve the need for what you want and can't find anywhere else, which is how many people use Etsy today, but also to spark new missions when you come to Etsy to help you realize there's a lot of things we can offer you that you might not have even thought of Etsy for. So I think there's also a big opportunity for us to drive more GMS per active buyer.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Yeah, no, that's great, and that's certainly one of the things that just going through the initiation process and seeing all the new product initiatives that you've been bringing to the Etsy marketplace, we walked away particularly impressed and think driving frequency just seems like a massive opportunity, and as you mentioned that knife fight promotional activity that's going on right now, how does the consumer feel? I know we're a couple of weeks removed from the election, and what's your approach for discounting and leaning into promotions in this challenging macro environment?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Yeah, I mean, I'm not saying anything new to say the consumer feels like they're under a ton of pressure. And there's a disconnect between what you read around GDP growth and the economy seems healthy and what consumers really feel. And that is that most consumers feel like they have really very, very little money left over by the time they're done paying for rent and paying for food. And so discretionary products in particular are under a lot of pressure. I think a lot of what's happened is that retailers have raised the retail price on things, particularly in late 2022 and early 2023, as their input prices were going up. They raised their rate card on most of their products to a level that customers got very uncomfortable with. The way they've dealt with that, they don't want to lower their rate card.

So instead, what they're doing is deep discounting on high-profile items, particularly sort of everyday essential items. Often you're seeing like 40% off. And that's just not an area where Etsy is going to win or wants to win. Our products don't have a widely understood MSRP. And so even when our sellers do offer 40% off, which if you go to Etsy right now, you're going to see a lot of really amazing products our sellers are selling at 40% off, it doesn't have the same power as selling a product, a jug of Tropicana orange juice for 40% off the price everyone knows a Tropicana bottle of orange juice goes for. So that race to the bottom, that blue light special way of running a business is not where we think Etsy's going to win.

And if value is both what are you paying and what are you getting for it, we're really leaning into the other side of value, which is really leaning into the best of Etsy, showing people the best of Etsy, showing people that it's worth the value, the price that they're paying on Etsy, really leaning into what makes Etsy different and special. And we think that's the best way for us to be best positioned as we come through the macro to continue to grow and win.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Right, and there just seems to be a lot of focus on product right now, whether it's Gift Mode, improving search and discovery, trying to push people more to the app. How do you think about managing that in terms of pushing in all these directions seemingly at once? It seems like there's a lot going on, so if you could just speak to that.

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Yeah, so thank you for noticing. I appreciate it. We have, I think, a lot of really great work streams underway, as you mentioned, driving a lot more consideration for Etsy. One of the big opportunities we have is people love Etsy. When you walk down the street and ask anyone about Etsy, I guarantee you 99 out of 100 people are going to say the exact same three words, I love Etsy. You'll hear that over and over again. And yet they don't think of us nearly as often as they should, so driving more people to actually download the app, we think, is a big opportunity.

Our app penetration is much lower than many of our peers, as well as using the product experience to work harder when you're on Etsy, showing you not just the things we have that you came looking for, but also other things we have to offer that might be related to that shopping mission or, in fact, entirely new missions. I think we can open people's eyes to the diversity of product that we have on Etsy. In addition to that, we've launched the Q-Score in search this year. It's been, I think, the most productive year of my seven years. Rachel and I have been here together for over seven years. I think this is the most productive year in terms of really moving the customer experience forward in a really positive way.

We do focus on the fewest biggest things, but we're able to do more than one. We are very lean, and so we have the highest revenue per head count of any of our peers that I'm aware of. We've always been very focused on efficiency, but we're very agile. The unit of work at Etsy is the squad. A squad has maybe eight to 10 people on it, some engineers, a product manager, and a designer, and they are given a very specific customer mission that they're working on fixing, and they're given tremendous freedom to invent, and because of that, they can move very quickly, and we can get a lot done with lots of small teams working really fast. That model, I think, is a really successful model, and it's served us well.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

That's great. One thing I wanted to focus on in particular was Gift Mode and gifting in general. It seems like it's not when it was first introduced, it seemed like maybe it was just like a one-time, hey, here's what we're going to start pushing gifting. But it seems like there's almost like an evolution of the process. So I would love just to get your thoughts in terms of what the gifting experience is now and maybe how you can continue to push that customer journey.

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Yeah. And that builds on this point around consideration. When are the moments in your day or your week that we want you to think, oh, I should go to Etsy for that? And gifting is such an obvious example. And gifting happens all year round. Of course, right now, we're all thinking about gifting as we head into the holidays, but there's also birthdays and weddings and anniversaries. And every week and every month, you're probably buying or should be buying a gift for someone. In fact, we think the average American spends about $1,200 per year on gifts. And for Etsy, in fact, I think that's $1,600. I think I just got that stat wrong. And for Etsy, we think if you shop on Etsy, we're only getting 2% share of that gifting dollar. And if you're not shopping on Etsy, obviously, we're not getting any.

We think there's huge opportunity there. We think Etsy is the perfect place to go for gifts. And so what we've done is we've invested in a set of features on Etsy that really set Etsy apart in terms of helping you to find the perfect gift. And this is where we're leveraging a lot of Gen AI that I think is incredibly helpful to match you with the perfect thing, which exists on Etsy. The perfect thing for the person you're gifting to exists. We're going to help you find it and then make the gift receiving experience feel really special as well. And we've built a bunch of product features that help with that. And we're also leaning into marketing to tell the world about that.

As a result, in the first three quarters of this year, we've talked in each quarter about how gifting growth has been a tailwind for us. It's been growing faster than the overall marketplace. We think we're gaining share versus our gifting competitors. So we think it's a great example of us leaning into certain moments and being able to show we can build a differentiated product experience, market against that, and gain share.

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

I just want to add two of my favorite things about Gift Mode. One is that because we have this gift teaser where you can actually buy the gift the same day or the hour before you need it, and we have the ability to send a teaser. It can be a text teaser or a video or voice teaser, and then you can choose to reveal the present or not. It really shortens the shipping time, which has been one of the things about Etsy that has been a friction point in our whole shopping journey. So I love that. And it also opens up the concept of gifting as an everyday occasion. There's birthdays every day, right? There's weddings every day. Babies are being born every day. So it really opens up the whole aperture of when to think about Etsy for a gift.

So both of those things, I think, are really wonderful benefits or dividends of being more focused on gifts.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Yeah. Now, that's great. And yeah, I wanted to touch on that with something like a wedding where it might be more of a one-time, knock on wood, one-time in nature for someone. But it can also drive people into the Etsy experience. It also could just be a lot bigger purchase occasion in general. It could be more than the $1,600 or $1,400 per year. So thinking about those other occasions, how should we think about that product being introduced over time?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Yeah. So it's a great example of a wedding where we have so much to offer for someone who's planning a wedding, and many people won't realize that. So they'll use us only for very narrow parts. Let me give you an example. Cake toppers is a very common entry point into Etsy. What's happened is someone has gone to Google. They've searched for personalized cake toppers. Etsy comes to the top, and they land on Etsy. They see personalized cake toppers. They buy them, and they go. We've gotten good at getting you to that. Now, what is it that is meant? What is a cake topper?

It means that I'm planning a wedding, and I'm at the point where I've actually bought the cake, and I need some figurines on the top of the cake that actually look like the two people getting married so that I can show that for the wedding. Etsy is perfect for that. We sell a lot of them. With the advent of Gen AI, we can suddenly understand that those two words, cake topper, which in the past, we show you cake toppers, suddenly Gen AI can give you context around that. It can tell us, oh, this is actually about a wedding, and they're not at the stage of the wedding at the beginning where they're thinking about sending invites or buying an engagement ring. They're towards the end where what they care about is tablescapes and place card settings and bridesmaids' gifts.

That kind of almost human-level context can help us to actually show a lot more relevant recommendations to engage people in a lot more parts of the wedding experience. We also, I think, have an opportunity to get much better at, you're right, hopefully, this is your one and only wedding, although if you're participating in a wedding, chances are many of your friends are as well. Great chance to use Gift Mode for them. But also, you might be moving into a new home at that point. Actually, home furnishings is the largest category on Etsy. So the opportunity to buy things to decorate that home, planning for a new baby, Etsy is amazing for baby products. So starting to expose people to other categories as well is a big opportunity for us.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Right, and last one on gifting, physical gift cards are being launched. So, Rachel, I wanted to turn to you. I cover Roblox as well. When they first launched physical gift cards, I mean, we were going to CVS and seeing all the different places where it could be. But it did actually help bookings. Could this be a nice tailwind to bookings in the fourth quarter?

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

Yeah. It's exciting. In fact, Josh just sent around a picture over the weekend where we saw the first placement of an Etsy gift card at a CVS in the wild. So they're out there. And they also, in addition to helping to drive GMS, they serve as little mini billboards or brand ads for the company just in thousands of popular retailers. It's really early days. We've only just launched it. I think the data that we've seen is that from other marketplaces, it can be between 2%- 3% of GMS through the combination of digital gift cards and physical gift cards. And doing that math, that would represent about a $200 million GMS opportunity. We haven't guided to next year. There's some accounting trickery in all of that because you don't recognize the revenue until it either is redeemed or you recognize the breakage.

So I think it'll evolve over time, but we're happy they're out there. It's been a little journey figuring it out. And I think they're going to be a positive GMS growth opportunity for us.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

That's great. I want to go over to seller search visibility. So recently launched some suggestions to make shops, listings, customer services better and just more disclosure to them. Can you just talk about rolling out a product like this and how it has been received?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Yeah, so when I talk about leaning into what makes Etsy different and better this year as opposed to the race to the bottom around who can sell the product the cheapest, quality is a perfect example. Since Etsy launched, the number one thing sellers have asked is, how can I rank higher in search?, and the answer has always been to stuff the right keywords into your tags and titles, and that is not a good use of seller's time, and it doesn't lead to a good buyer experience either where product titles are just keyword-stuffed. And instead, what we've wanted to create is a race to the top dynamic where we tell sellers, here's how we view your item quality and your service quality. Do you always ship on time? Do you consistently get five-star reviews? Do you offer a return policy that buyers like?

Do you charge a fair price for shipping? It's things like that that buyers care about, and when sellers perform better, so we've now launched a Q-Score in search, so not only is search results ranked based on the relevancy of your item, but given that we often have hundreds or sometimes thousands of items that are similarly relevant for any one keyword, we actually use how sellers are performing against these key quality metrics to determine who ranks the highest. That's obviously meaning that we're surfacing to buyers not just items that are relevant to their needs, but that they're likely to love. It's also giving us an opportunity to incent and motivate sellers to offer the right behaviors.

For example, since we launched this seller visibility dashboard around quality, 2.5 million listings have had their shipping price reduced to be $5.99 or less, which is what we've told sellers is what buyers think is an appropriate price for shipping. So sellers really like it. We've gotten really positive response from sellers who are really happy to have the agency to see how to drive their growth. And it's going to result in better buying experiences for buyers as well.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Yeah. No, that's great. I wanted to jump over to the Etsy Insider, to the loyalty platform. So it's in beta. So Rachel, how's it going so far, and what sort of metrics are you tracking?

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

It's pretty early days. We talk about it's not even first inning, but it's spring training. We're testing and learning. I think many, many loyalty programs have had many iterations, and the thing they ultimately become doesn't look anything like the thing that they launched to begin with. Right now, we're using the beta launch to collect a lot of data and to learn from that. We have invited. It's an invite-only beta to a group of buyers. Ironically, the largest cohort that we've invited in are not the most loyal buyers because we're trying to move the needle on getting repeat buyers or one-time buyers to become more frequent buyers. One of the biggest benefits of the program is free shipping. We have this nice one. One of the things we're testing is an annual membership versus what we call a seasonal membership or a three-month membership.

I actually bought one for myself. And every time I buy something on Etsy, I'm surprised by, oh, this is free shipping, and this is free shipping. It keeps giving me the surprise and delight that I had forgotten about because the price to buy it was pretty low, and I keep yielding the value every time I purchase something. And we're hoping other buyers will have that same similar experience. But it's too soon. It's not going to have no material impact on the financials or the guidance that we gave for the fourth quarter.

And it's too soon to tell how it may or may not impact 2025, only to say that it was game-changing for a company like Amazon to offer something like Amazon Prime , to the loyalty platform . So we want to test our way into something that will really be perceived as high value for our customers.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

I'm surprised you made yourself buy one. You just couldn't get one for free?

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

No. We're pretty perkless in this culture, but.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

But so the ultimate goal, though, even though you're targeting kind of not the most frequent shoppers right now, eventually, that would be offered to the most frequent shoppers as well, too.

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

Once it's not in beta anymore, it's going to be open to everybody. We just might not market it. We might promote it more heavily to the people we're trying to move the needle on. You know how these things go. You want to have the costs not outweigh the yield that we get from it. Etsy Insider is a paid program, so you pay for your membership. If the most frequent buyers were the only ones that signed up, we'd sink under the cost that would not outweigh the revenue that we received from them. That's the balance, the fine line that we're walking.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Yep. Understood. I want to transition over to search and discovery with you, Josh, so our survey work. We did a bunch of survey work with our initiation a couple of months ago, and it suggests that search and discovery remains just a significant opportunity for the largest marketplaces we cover. Can you talk about some of the improvements that you've been making here and the pace of innovation? How do you expect this to continue to improve into 2025?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Yeah. So I agree that it is one of the biggest areas for value creation. It has historically been during our tenure here, and I think it's likely to continue to be for quite some time. So for many years, the focus in search at Etsy was on relevancy. How do we understand what you meant, not what you said, and then show you highly relevant search results? And we've been using neural net translator technology to do that for several years now. And let me give you an example. If you searched historically for wedding dress, what you would have seen even a few years ago was a lot of wedding dress hangers. And the reason is it contains the words wedding dress, so it looks like a perfect match.

A wedding dress hanger is going to cost $6 as opposed to a wedding dress, which is going to cost a lot more. The conversion rate's going to be higher. A traditional lexical search engine is going to think, oh, that's what the customer wanted because they bought it, right? With the use of neural net translator technology, when you search for wedding dresses on Etsy, you'll see wedding dresses. If you search for wedding dress hangers, you'll see wedding dress hangers. That's an almost human level of understanding of context that a wedding dress is different than a wedding dress hanger. We've been doing that for quite some time. We've gotten better and better and better at relevance. That's been huge for us.

We still have a problem of the tyranny of choice that we usually have thousands of very relevant search results for you. That's a good thing. In general, it means Etsy has abundant supply. But for the customer, it can feel very overwhelming. If you look for back to school, for example, you might see six or eight different versions or historically have seen six or eight different versions of customized pencils that to a customer look virtually identical. So it's a lot of cognitive load for not much benefit. In addition, it doesn't highlight the tremendous diversity of the different kinds of things we have for sale on Etsy when a few SKUs dominate search. So in addition now to just relevance, we're really focused on solving the tyranny of choice.

How do we show you just the few best examples of each idea and then show you more ideas? The concept of an idea, Gen AI can start to understand if these things are all versions of the same thing, which is customized pencils. We don't need to show you six of them. We can just pick one, right? That's one opportunity now. Starting to also understand which item might be the best for which use case, right? So this item is best for people who care mostly about it arriving quickly. This one's best for someone who cares about durability. This one's best for someone who cares about craftsmanship. Understanding the unique qualities of the items we have. And again, on Etsy, it's a unique challenge because our items are not SKUs. They don't map to a catalog.

We need to evaluate each of these items one at a time. Gen AI can be hugely helpful. Last, and absolutely not least, is I think Etsy has gotten really good when you have a very specific idea of what it is you need. We've not been as good at higher level. I'm just planning a wedding. If you know you're looking for cake toppers, man, we nail it. But if you're just looking to plan a wedding, stepping you through that process of we can help you with invites, we can help you with the engagement ring, bridesmaids' gifts, tablescapes, and on and on and on, it's virtually endless, which can also feel overwhelming to customers. Being able to organize that shopping experience into pathways, more browse-based pathways, is a very big opportunity for us. Doing that in a very personalized way requires very advanced machine learning.

Great news. That's all happening, and so I think that the advances in Gen AI are coming at the very moment when they have the biggest opportunity to help, and I think are likely to help Etsy more even than most. I'm sure they're very helpful for many people. But Etsy, where we have 120 million items, each of which does not map to a catalog, the opportunity to help guide people to get the perfect thing for them is a massive unlock for us.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Yep. Makes a lot of sense. Maybe sticking on supply. I know that you've been removing listings from the Etsy marketplace that violate content policies. I mean, I'm sure it's an ongoing thing, but where are we just in terms of the heavy lifting versus where ultimately we want to get to be more of a steady state?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

Yeah. So if we're looking at items that do not comply with our policy, meaning maybe they're mass-produced items that don't belong on Etsy, we did see during the pandemic we had tens of millions of items flooding the marketplace all in a very short amount of time when we couldn't staff quickly enough to handle that, and by the way, that volume stayed with us, so in 2021 and 2022, we did see an increase in the number of items that did not comply. We made a big investment in both technology and people to combat that. We made huge progress in 2023, such that by the time we exited 2023, the percentage of items on Etsy that did not comply with our policies was very, very low, and certainly, the percentage of item views on Etsy is very, very low.

We have continued to make progress on that even throughout 2024, but already it's quite a low number. So if the concern is headwinds from us needing to remove non-compliant items, we got through a lot of that last year. The opportunity for us now is to help customers understand why this item does comply with our policy and then organize them better. That was the point of the Creativity Standards that we launched over the summer, where we clarified. We didn't change our policy, but we put in more easy-to-understand language, the four buckets of items that can be on Etsy. It's either made by the seller, it's designed by the seller, it's sourced by the seller, or it's handpicked, curated by the seller. So handpicked by the seller, for example, would be vintage items that have to be 20 years or older.

Made by the seller means the seller used their own two hands to make the thing. Designed by the seller means that the seller designed it with their unique design and then worked with a production partner to have that item produced. And as we've tested these different categories with our buyers, the good news is our buyers believe that all of those items belong on Etsy. They all have the human touch behind them and match our brand, but not all the time and not for every use case. And so another big opportunity for Etsy is organizing our listings and being clearer around which policy each of the items belongs in and then surfacing the right inventory at the right time. And let me give you an example. Print on demand. There are times when that is not what you want.

It is my wife's 50th birthday gift, and I'm not looking for a relatively inexpensive print-on-demand T-shirt to get her. Maybe someone is. I'm not trying to judge. My wife would not look kindly upon that gift. However, the whole Silverman family is going off on a family reunion, and 30 of us are all going to meet in Ann Arbor, Michigan, to get together. That's exactly the time when people want to all show up with the same T-shirt. So there are times when different types of inventory are exactly what you want and times when they're not. And our ability to do a better job of surfacing and sort of cleaning the aisles and putting you just in the shopping aisles you're likely to want to shop in, I think, is another very big opportunity for Etsy.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Great. And as we're talking about supply taking stuff off the platform, just wanted to make sure we hit on tariffs and de minimis. Just how are you thinking about the potential for China tariffs and your exposure and vis-à-vis just the de minimis regulations?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

We generally believe in free trade because our sellers are exporting, our buyers are importing from many different countries to many different countries, and it makes us better to be a global platform. The amount of inventory coming onto Etsy from China in particular is really de minimis. I think we demonstrated that during the supply chain lockups of 2022, when all the product from China was stuck on a boat, nothing could get to our shore easily. It was a real tailwind for Etsy. Etsy really flourished in that environment. I think it speaks to the resilience of the Etsy marketplace. We've been through some very trying years as a society, global pandemics, supply chain lockups. During those times, cottage industry has come to the rescue via Etsy to help, and Etsy's seen enormous growth.

Since that time, we've faced some really tough headwinds for the discretionary end of discretionary products, which is what Etsy is, small luxuries. This has been a pretty tough time when you sell small luxuries. And yet, even in that environment, revenues continue to grow, margins have continued to hold up, absolute EBITDA dollars continue to grow. The Etsy platform is remarkably resilient.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Great. Rachel, I wanted to bring you in here to talk about take rate. So Etsy Ads continue to be a driver of take rate expansion. Just can you talk about some of the drivers of improvements in ROAS you're making and how much more upside or room there is to be able to grow here?

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

And Josh and I both have passion for take rate that he might want to pile on as well. So I'll start.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

More the merrier.

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

Yeah. I'll start as far as I mean, we could go a lot of different directions with take rate, but your question specifically about Etsy Ads and ROAS, so the way the product works is we control both the bid and the ask. The bid and the ask, it's kind of like the fox guarding the hen house. We want to make sure that we're giving a decent return on ad spend to our sellers, and so we self-monitor. We set a threshold we won't go below as far as what the sellers are going to earn on their Ad spend, and consequently, we don't use all the budget that they give us.

They might do something as simple as, I want to spend $1 a day or whatever, but we leave a lot of it unspent because we're trying to give them the very best ROAS that we can. The way we can maintain or grow the ROAS is by giving a higher click-through rate on the Ad. The more relevant that a sponsored result is, the higher the click-through rate, which means we can deliver. We can spend more of the budget that they've given us and maintain the ROAS or actually even increase ROAS for them if we want to flow it through that way. We keep working on the product to make the relevancy of the search ad as relevant as an organic ad. That's just continuing to improve over time. Etsy Ads has been just really a workhorse for us.

The other thing we've done and toggled back and forth with over time is the amount of the weight of an Etsy Ads on a page. So how many ads you give to a page. We don't want to interfere with the consumer experience. So we don't load the page up as much as we could. But we've played around with that concept that in general, the more inventory we create, the more Etsy Ads can grow as well. So theoretically, as traffic grows, as page views grows, you have more and more inventory to place an Etsy Ads. And there's a bunch of places where we don't currently run any Etsy Ads, for instance, in the emails that we send or in the post-purchase confirmation page, for instance. So there's other places where we could think about expanding inventory for Etsy Ads.

But the product itself has been the real delivery engine of being able to increase Etsy Ad revenue.

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

And the only thing I'd add is I think there's a belief that take rate is a zero-sum game and that every time our take rate goes up, it must come at the expense of sellers and hurt their margins. And that's not necessarily true. And in fact, this year was a great example of that. Etsy's take rate expanded 130 basis points, but we did that in ways that did not come at the expense of our sellers, did not hurt their margins. For example, we've insourced more Etsy Payments across more countries. So instead of paying a payments fee to PayPal, they're paying that same fee to Etsy, but getting a better service because it's integrated into the Etsy marketplace. And then Etsy Ads got better this year in all the ways that Rachel talked about.

So we're just doing a better job of matching the right ad with the right buyer, which generates more revenue while holding sellers' ROAS constant. So we continue to find win-win opportunities for our sellers and our buyers to win in ways that help to raise Etsy's take rate as well.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

And just, I know, Josh, you're very clear in the beginning. You're not going to give 2025 guidance, but as we think about payments now being 99% covered, so now that tailwind for take rate will be less. I mean, can we have these same kind of take rate expansions in the coming years that we've seen more recently?

Josh Silverman
CEO, Etsy

I don't want to guide to take rate specifically, but just if you look at the cadence of take rate expansion through this year, it would suggest that you'd get some benefit continuing through next year. And the larger point that I think there continue to be win-win opportunities for Etsy's take rate to grow in ways that are also beneficial to sellers in the marketplace is something I do have heart for.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Okay. Great. Wanted to move down to instead of having the sellers advertise how you guys are advertising. And Rachel, so sales and marketing increased 22% in 3Q. One of the drivers was paid social. Can you just talk about this investment? Why right now is the right time to be leaning in? And when do you think paid social? You mentioned kind of experimentation mode right now. When do you think it will get more optimized and what the roadmap is?

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

So we've always said we spend a lot of money with Google PLA. We've always said if we could light up another thing in the funnel that's like a Google PLA, we would. So we constantly test and optimize all different parts of the funnel. And we've had some good work lately in the past year or two really getting the paid social portion of the funnel to be ROI positive for us. So we've been able to lean in. Now there's the upper part of paid social, which is a little bit more, I don't want to say nebulous, but it's a little less measurable. And there's a lower part of paid social, which is a lot more targeted. And that is optimized. We feel confident that we're getting good ROI on our spend on the lower part of paid social.

And we're still optimizing. The smaller portion of our spend is more in that mid to upper funnel part of paid social. The world's changed. People are not starting their search on Google as much anymore. They're starting their search on TikTok or they're starting their search on Instagram. And it behooves us to lean into that marketing opportunity because that's where all the people are. So we're happy that we've been able to work with the different social networks to be able to get our advertising dollars to be ROI positive for us.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Great. And just lastly, because I know we're coming up on time, but I wanted to make sure we touched on capital allocation. We'd love just to get, Rachel, your thoughts on priorities. And I know you have the notes coming due in 2026 through 2028 and just how having dry powder there impacts decisions on how you want to invest now.

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

Yeah. We've always talked about there's three large buckets of ways to spend our free cash flow. One is on organic investments, which we do all the time. We're lucky that our business model is such that we don't have to use our balance sheet to fund OpEx and fund our investments in people and marketing. But I guess our investments there are a use of our free cash flow in a way. We've been giving back about 100%, in some cases over 100% of our free cash flow in the form of share purchase. And originally, that was just to offset the dilution created by the equity we grant to employees as a form of their compensation.

But more recently, because we see a lot of value in our stock at these low price points, we've been buying back opportunistically when the stock price is below what we consider to be our intrinsic value. And then one thing we haven't done is dividend. That's always on the table, though. We feel it's a little premature to be doing dividends. And then lastly, there's M&A. And we've made some great M&A. Depop is doing phenomenally well. And we're excited about what that does for us, further penetration of our TAM. We've deepened our penetration, particularly in the apparel category with that investment and extended our demographic reach with the Gen Z population. So we feel good about M&A. And we're always on the lookout and always sort of tapping the market for what is out there. Mindful that we have the converts out there.

We do have a balance sheet strategy. Our balance sheet is incredibly strong. We try to maintain a 4:1 growth leverage ratio so that we at any time could tap capital markets and get, if we wanted to do rated debt, we would be well-positioned to do that. And the converts are converts. So we feel pretty well-situated with where we're at with them.

Bernie McTernan
Senior Research Analyst, Needham

Great. Well, let's leave it there. Josh and Rachel, thanks so much for joining us. Thanks, everyone who was on the webcast. Appreciate the time and talk to you soon. Have a great holiday season.

Rachel Glaser
CFO, Etsy

Thank you so much.

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