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Earnings Call: Q4 2018

Feb 20, 2019

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the FirstEnergy Corp fourth quarter 2018 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Irene Prezelj, Vice President, Investor Relations for FirstEnergy Corp. Thank you, Ms. Prezelj. You may begin.

Irene Prezelj
VP of Investor Relations, FirstEnergy Corp

Thanks, Christine. Welcome to our fourth quarter earnings call. Today, we will make various forward-looking statements regarding revenues, earnings, performance, strategies, and prospects. These statements are based on current expectations and are subject to risk and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by such statements can be found on the investor section of our website under the earnings information link and in our SEC filings. We will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures can be found on the FirstEnergy investor relations website, along with the presentation which supports today's discussion. Participants in today's call include Chuck Jones, President and Chief Executive Officer, Steve Strah, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and several other executives in the room who are available to participate in the Q&A session. I'll turn the call over to Chuck.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Thanks, Irene. Good morning, everyone. 2018 was perhaps the most pivotal year in FirstEnergy's history. Through a series of careful, coordinated actions, we met our commitment to fully transform FirstEnergy into a premier high-performance, pure-play regulated utility. I will spend just a few moments recapping the year, then move to our opportunities for 2019 and beyond. We began 2018 by announcing a $2.5 billion equity investment from several prominent investors. Among other things, this new investment enabled us to reduce our holding company debt by $1.45 billion, eliminate the need to issue additional equity outside of our employee benefit and stock purchase plans through 2021, and contribute a total of $1.25 billion to our pension plan in 2018. That investment also helped us accelerate our regulated growth and infrastructure improvement plans, and for the first time ever, introduce a long-term growth rate projection for our regulated operating earnings.

In April, we reached an agreement in principle to address our obligations in the Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings of FirstEnergy Solutions and all of its subsidiaries, and FirstEnergy Nuclear Operating Company. Our final definitive agreement was approved by the bankruptcy court in September. Reaching a fair settlement with the debtors, unsecured creditor committee, and key creditor groups within months of the bankruptcy filing helped us deliver on our commitment to quickly and thoughtfully exit competitive generation, allowing us to turn our attention to FirstEnergy's future as a fully regulated utility. The settlement and our improved risk profile as a utility with stable, predictable earnings and cash flow cleared the way for an across-the-board upgrade at S&P, including an upgraded issuer credit rating at FE Corp and a positive credit outlook with Fitch. We had lower liquidity requirements and took several steps in October to reduce our financing costs.

We reduced the aggregate commitments under our revolving credit facilities to $3.5 billion from $5 billion and extended the maturity dates to December of 2022. At the same time, we refinanced our revolver borrowings through two new term loans totaling $1.75 billion. To effectively and efficiently support the growth of our regulated transmission and distribution businesses, we completed our FirstEnergy Tomorrow initiative to realign our shared service organization and cost structure. Through a voluntary enhanced retirement package and the elimination of open positions, we reduced headcount in our corporate support functions by 40% and expenses by 43% without any involuntary employee layoffs, which is an accomplishment I'm very proud of. At the same time, we created a flatter, leaner management team by reducing layers and increasing spans of control.

We identified and eliminated $300 million in costs associated with our previous support of competitive operations, we expect to realize an incremental $85 million in savings due to additional reductions in capital, interest, and O&M expenses. As a capstone to our transformation, our board approved a new dividend policy, along with an initial 6% dividend increase in November that reflects confidence in our regulated long-term sustainable growth plans. With a targeted payout ratio of 55%-65% of operating earnings, the new policy supports increased shareholder returns and continued investments in our strategic initiatives. Our stock ended the year with a total shareholder return of 27.7%, making FirstEnergy the top performer in the EEI Index. I know many of you have been long-term investors in FirstEnergy, we thank you for both your confidence and patience.

With all of this going on, I couldn't be prouder of the way our employees stayed focused and executed on our growth initiatives. Last night, we reported full-year 2018 GAAP earnings of $1.99 per share and operating earnings of $2.59 per share. Operating earnings exceeded our initial 2018 guidance and were at the top end of the range we provided in October. This makes four consecutive years of consistently meeting or exceeding our guidance to the financial community. Our 2018 results benefited from weather, solid execution of our growth strategy in the transmission and distribution businesses, and modest load growth in all 3 of our distribution customer classes. We remain encouraged with the overall trends in our distribution business. Industrial sales have increased steadily for two and a half years. While most of that growth is driven by the shale gas industry, we're also seeing sustained improvement in the steel sector.

Our weather-adjusted sales to residential and commercial customers were modestly positive across the full year, we are pleased to see continued gains in the number of new customers in these segments. In our transmission business, we are entering our sixth year of Energizing the Future Program. We continue to efficiently execute our long-term, customer-focused strategy to modernize the transmission grid across our service area. Our transmission rate base, at 30% of our total regulated assets, ranks among the largest in the nation, our transmission spend as a percentage of market capitalization is at the top of our industry. We're excited about the future, I believe we are poised for a strong year ahead. Let's shift gears to recap some of our ongoing initiatives and expectations, starting with our regulatory activities.

First, our Ohio utilities have a supplemental settlement pending with the Public Utilities Commission in the matter of tax reform and grid modernization. The original settlement, filed last November, was signed by the PUCO staff, representatives of industrial and commercial customers, environmental advocates, hospitals, competitive generation suppliers, and other parties. The supplemental settlement added the support of residential customer and low-income advocates. This settlement addresses how all the tax savings associated with federal tax reform would be returned to customers and seeks approval for the initial phase of our grid modernization program with investments of $516 million. Earlier this month, our Ohio utilities also made a filing with the PUCO to request approval for a two-year extension to the Distribution Modernization Rider.

Rider DMR was first authorized by the PUCO in 2016 to provide additional revenues to ensure our Ohio utilities have access to lower-cost capital that promotes a faster and more economical path to modernizing the distribution system for the benefit of our Ohio customers. While we believe we have a strong case to continue this rider, I will remind you that it is not factored into our earnings growth projections. In Maryland, hearings took place in January, we expect a final order by late March in our first Potomac Edison base rate case in nearly 25 years. As we have discussed, our request of $17.6 million will address recovery of investments to provide safe and reliable service to our Maryland customers, it is net of $7.3 million in customer savings related to federal tax reform.

In New Jersey, the procedural schedule for our four-year, $400 million JCP&L Reliability Plus infrastructure investment plan was suspended due to settlement discussions. JCP&L Reliability Plus will enhance the safety, reliability, and resiliency of our New Jersey distribution system. Throughout this year, we expect our newly formed emerging technologies group to continue identifying opportunities for future investments that will allow us to better serve our customers by analyzing and implementing advanced technologies and working with state and federal policies designed to improve grid performance and energy security. We're affirming our 2019 full-year guidance of $2.45-$2.75 per fully diluted share, as well as our long-term operating earnings growth projection of 6%-8% through 2021. Now let's turn to Steve for a review of our results for the fourth quarter and other financial developments.

Steven E. Strah
Senior VP and CFO, FirstEnergy Corp

Thanks, Chuck, good morning, everyone. It's great to speak with you today. First, a reminder, reconciliations and other detailed information about the quarter and the year are posted on our website in our consolidated report to the financial community. Also, consistent with our practice over the past year, we present operating earnings and projections on a fully diluted basis. This allows us to show preferred shares as fully converted and eliminates the impact of conversion timing. About 87% of the preferred shares had been converted as of January 31st. We expect the majority of the remaining preferred shares to be converted by the end of July, in accordance with the terms of the equity issuance. With that said, let's get started at a look at the fourth quarter. GAAP earnings were $0.25 per share. This includes a pension mark-to-market adjustment and other special items.

Operating earnings were $0.50 per share, in line with the top end of our guidance. In our distribution business, our results benefited from higher deliveries, lower financing costs, and stronger regulated commodity margin in West Virginia. These factors offset higher depreciation in O&M, which was primarily related to additional vegetation management work in Pennsylvania. Total distribution deliveries across all customer segments increased 1.2% compared to the fourth quarter of 2017. Residential sales increased one-half of 1%, while commercial deliveries were up 1.7%. Weather had a modest impact on sales, with heating degree days about 7% higher than the fourth quarter of 2017. On a weather-adjusted basis, commercial deliveries increased 1.8%, and residential deliveries were essentially flat. In our industrial sector, the trend of steady growth now is stretched into 10 consecutive quarters. Fourth quarter deliveries increased 1.4% compared to the same period of 2017.

This was led by gains in the shale gas, steel, and electric equipment manufacturing industries. In our transmission business, fourth quarter operating earnings at our formula rate companies were $0.02 favorable due to higher rate base at MAIT and ATSI. This was offset by higher O&M in our stated rate transmission companies. In our corporate segment, we had slightly lower operating earnings offset by higher income taxes and the nondeductible portion of interest compared to the same period in 2017. Now I'd like to take a moment on this month's $500 million pension contribution. First, a quick history. Beginning in 2011, we adopted the mark-to-market method for our pension and other post-employment benefit accounting. Each year, typically in the fourth quarter, we remeasure our pension assets and liabilities to recognize changes in discount rates, actual return on plan assets, and other differences to the actuarial assumptions.

The loss or gain is recognized in our GAAP results. This is a preferred method of accounting under GAAP because it recognizes the actuarial gain or loss in the year it occurs, instead of amortizing it over a longer period. We exclude this adjustment from our non-GAAP operating earnings to provide greater transparency to our ongoing operational performance. In 2018, our mark-to-market adjustment was a non-cash charge of $0.19 per share. Lower than expected returns were partially offset by a higher discount rate, which was on the high side of the estimate we provided in our third-quarter materials. We ended 2018 with approximately $3.9 billion of liquidity, of which $367 million was cash.

We expected this favorable cash position to remain through 2020. We decided to put the cash to work for us now by making the $500 million voluntary cash contribution to our pension plan on February 1st of this year. This contribution improves our pension plan's funded status to 82%, and it eliminates any projected minimum funding requirements through 2021. As Chuck noted earlier, we're making great progress with the rating agencies. We're now investment grade across the board by S&P, Moody's, and Fitch, and we expect further ratings improvements over time as we execute the regulated growth plan that we've outlined. As many of you know, S&P tracks an FFO to total debt metric with a minimum threshold of 9%. Moody's tracks a CFO working capital to total debt metric, which has a current minimum threshold of 12%.

Fitch tracks an FFO-adjusted leverage metric with a maximum threshold multiple of 6.5. We expect to be compliant with all three rating agencies and their respective thresholds through our 2021 planning period. Our actions during 2018 redefined FirstEnergy. We're excited about our future as a premier, fully regulated utility. Today, more than ever, we're focused on three things: implementing our strategies, delivering on our commitments, and building a brighter future for our shareholders, customers, and employees. Now, before we turn it over for your questions, Chuck would like to share a few additional comments.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Thanks, Steve. Today marks the final earnings call for two longtime members of our executive team, who many of you know well, Leila Vespoli and Jim Pearson. Leila and Jim are both retiring in the next couple of months, following long and distinguished careers with our company. They both played key roles in our mergers, various acquisitions, and our transformation into a fully regulated utility, and both have been key trusted advisors to me during my tenure as CEO. I want to take this opportunity to recognize their strong and thoughtful leadership and to wish them a happy and healthy retirement. Now I'd like to open the call for your questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. One moment please while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed with your question.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Hey, good morning, everyone. Again, congrats to Leila and Jim here. It's been a pleasure.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Morning, Julien.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Good morning. Wanted to follow up quickly, I suppose starting first with the commentary on New Jersey, the reliability trust program, just the commentary on a suspended timeline here and settlement discussions. How do you think this could advance just procedurally here through the course of the year and against the CapEx that you've already outlined? Separately, I noticed you kind of mentioned this in conjunction with the newly formed emerging technologies group. How do you think about the total potential size of spend here, especially as you go through the settlement process?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Okay. First in New Jersey, what I mentioned is that the procedural schedule has been suspended to allow the settlement discussions to continue. Obviously, we don't have a settlement to announce or I would've announced it today. We're hopeful that we can get to a settlement. Your second question, I think, is an important one, and that is we are planning to spend just shy of $3 billion of CapEx per year for the next several years in our footprint. When I think about the New Jersey spend, obviously we filed that plan because that's where we would like to spend $400 million over the next four years.

In the event we don't get to a settlement, we get back onto the procedural schedule, and that doesn't work out either, we have plenty of opportunity around FirstEnergy and four other states and transmission to make these investments in order to support the 6%-8% growth that we're committing to. As far as the emerging technologies piece, I think that's one of the most exciting things about where we're at as a company, that we actually now have the time and the resources to start thinking about what do we want FirstEnergy to be in the future. We've committed to kind of what we're going to do over the next three years as far as capital deployment.

We're really looking state by state, utility by utility and transmission at what are those new emerging technologies that make sense for us to invest in on behalf of our customers? What are the regulatory and legislative impediments to being able to do that? We've got three years to start working on how do we deal with those impediments. As I said, it's just, I think, an exciting time because I've just started my 41st year, I guess I would say, with this company. The first 40 years, we've been working in one form or another to always put some of the past behind us. Today, for the first time, we're really in a position to start looking to the future.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Excellent. Quick second question here. I suppose the conversations are kicking up in Ohio again about any potential legislation. Is there anything that you all will be looking towards on the utility side specifically here, if anything at all?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Not in any specific form, Julien. Obviously, if our new leaders of the states, we have a new governor, a new speaker of the house, we're going to have a new chairman of the Public Utilities Commission. If they determine that they think the time is right to really put energy policy for the state back on the table in some fashion legislatively, then we would expect to engage and provide our input. It's too early in the process for me to talk about what that might mean.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I'll leave it there. Thank you all very much. Congrats again.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Okay. Thanks, Julien.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Greg Gordon with Evercore. Please proceed with your question.

Greg Gordon
Analyst, Evercore

Hey, guys. Thanks. Good morning.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Morning, Greg.

Greg Gordon
Analyst, Evercore

Just a quick question. You guys said that in your prepared remarks, that you expect to be compliant with all three rating agencies' minimum thresholds over the course of the forecast period. Given your 2019, I guess when I think about the Moody's metric in particular, the FFO forecast is lower now because of the pension contribution, but that should basically be trended to max since it reduces your assumed pension deficit, which all things equal, would be sort of neutral to the calculation. Is that the right way to think about it?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Yes, we expect to be in the right place with all three rating agencies throughout the planning period. 2019 has some unique attributes because of the remaining liabilities for the exit of competitive generation that will be gone in 2019. I think in our conversations with Moody's, they're looking beyond that period at more where we're going to be in the 2020, 2021 timeframe. We're confident that we're going to stay above the threshold for all three rating agencies. Hopeful that we can even get to a position where we see further positive movement from them.

Greg Gordon
Analyst, Evercore

Okay. That, I guess, I was trying to be less blunt, but I just didn't see you guys at above 12% in 2019 based on the cash flow profile you laid out in this guidance. Your explanation for that is that the CFO is negatively impacted by the remaining exit costs from FES, so that it should look better in 2020 and 2021?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

That's right. There's a little dip below 12% this year, but it rights itself next year.

Greg Gordon
Analyst, Evercore

Okay. You're always very direct, and I appreciate that. Thank you. That was my question.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jonathan Arnold with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.

Jonathan Arnold
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Good morning, guys.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Morning.

Jonathan Arnold
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Just on the pension. You mentioned expecting the kind of cash position to continue to be strong into 2020. You don't expect to have to make any minimum contributions, but is there a scenario where we might see further voluntary contributions along the way here and just kind of how you're thinking about that as you've been moving the funding up?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

I'm not thinking about any further voluntary contributions right now. This one, the timing was such that we did have cash available to do it. As you all know, our pension plan was hurt by the performance of the fund in 2018, as was everyone else's. Taking this step early helped offset some of those losses that we incurred last year. Right now, we don't have any plans to do anything. The next mandatory contribution is in 2022.

Jonathan Arnold
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Can you share, what would the size of that be, Chuck, just kind of as you look at it today? I think before you had a 330 for 2021, was the number you gave us at EEI. Is the 2022 number in the same ballpark or something smaller?

Steven E. Strah
Senior VP and CFO, FirstEnergy Corp

Jonathan, this is Steve Strah. It is in the same ballpark. Right now, we have that estimated at just about $380 million. Once again, that's in 2022. That'll be subject to how the market performs over the next several year period, and we're comfortable.

Jonathan Arnold
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, great. Thank you. Then just one other thing. We haven't had time to review the filing on the DMR in as much detail as we'd like. Chuck, could you just give us the sort of high level on how you're justifying the request to extend and whether it's similar or evolved a little from the original request?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

First, obviously, we're very thankful that the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio did this for us several years ago. It helps ensure, as I said in my prepared remarks, low-cost capital to begin the process of modernizing the grid in Ohio. Our filing pretty much is along those same lines. I think we have a strong case to argue for two years of additional DMR funding. I also have said repeatedly, we don't have that in any of our growth plans. The 6%-8% growth rates are not depending on it. Even if we get it for two more years, both those of you who evaluate our stock and the rating agencies are going to factor it out because it's only for two more years.

Having said that, the cash and the availability of that cash to make meaningful investments in the grid in Ohio is important to us going forward.

Jonathan Arnold
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Praful Mehta with Citi. Please proceed with your question.

Praful Mehta
Analyst, Citi

Thanks so much. Hi, guys.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Hi, Praful.

Praful Mehta
Analyst, Citi

Hi. I just wanted to just touch on pension again, just to clarify. Is the proportion of equity versus debt products that are invested from a pension plan changing as a result of the performance in 2018? Or is that consistently a higher proportion of equity? Just so I understand going forward, and how should we think about the volatility of that fund?

Steven E. Strah
Senior VP and CFO, FirstEnergy Corp

This is Steve Strah again. We are not going to change our approach in terms of the composition of the investment portfolio. Roughly 70% of that portfolio is return-seeking, and I don't see any meaningful change coming.

Praful Mehta
Analyst, Citi

Understood. The change in discount rate that offset a lot of that earnings impact, is that also one-time, or how do you see that discount rate changing?

Steven E. Strah
Senior VP and CFO, FirstEnergy Corp

We ended up moving to the full yield curve last year. That turned out to be beneficial for us. I think we'll just see how the market and interest rates move over the course of the year. Once again, we see no change in our approach.

Praful Mehta
Analyst, Citi

Gotcha. On the credit side, it was very helpful to have the full context of all rating agencies. I wanted to understand, is there any threshold from a holding company debt perspective that you're also looking to achieve within the targets from a rating agency perspective?

Steven E. Strah
Senior VP and CFO, FirstEnergy Corp

Praful, this is Steve. From a holding company debt perspective, we're targeting right around 35%-37% holding company debt as a percentage of total debt. Moody's specifically is aware of that, and they have no issues with it.

Praful Mehta
Analyst, Citi

Understood. Well, that's super helpful. Then finally, just from a strategic perspective, clearly the transition has gone really well. Your metrics are in line. Apart from the small pension stuff, everything seems to be working well. Is there, at some point, apart from pure execution, a thought around strategic intent, both on the buy or sell side in terms of how you're thinking about that? Or is it purely just execution mode at this point?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Obviously, I've been getting this question a lot lately, those are the types of things that, number one, even if there was something we were thinking about, we wouldn't talk about it. Number two, growth through M&A in this industry is becoming increasingly difficult, increasingly costly to get the regulatory approvals necessary. I think many of our regulatory commissions are, it seems to be concluding that bigger companies aren't necessarily better. Having said that, any opportunity that presents itself, we would take a hard look at, and if it makes sense, both short-term and long-term for shareholders. I think we've demonstrated we're willing to tackle tough decisions to make this company more valuable for our shareholders, we would do that.

As you know how that part of what we do works, Gary Benz, who's my Chief Strategy Officer, is listening to proposals from investment bankers all the time about things that they think can make our company stronger. We evaluate every single one of them, and if ever one presents itself that really does make our company stronger, we're going to make it happen.

Praful Mehta
Analyst, Citi

Got you. I know I hear investment bankers do that, so I appreciate it. Thank you for the color.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Michael Lapides with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

Michael Lapides
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, guys. Congrats on a good year. Just looking at slide 23, it has the distribution ROEs versus authorized. A lot of these are pretty well below what the target. Obviously, Ohio is a different animal given how rate making's done there. Just curious how you're looking at some of the other subsidiaries, whether West Penn, one or two others, maybe even New Jersey, where it looks like these things kind of imply pretty sizable underearning. How you're thinking about rectifying that or whether it implies there's a base rate case coming in one of those jurisdictions?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Well, it's interesting, the question about underearning, because I get them many times about concerns about us overearning. Here's what I would say. Take Pennsylvania in particular. As of January this year, the DSIC has been turned back on for all four of our distribution operating companies. As you're familiar with how the DSIC works, we're making investments under the DSIC. Those investments will contribute about $0.02 a share to our 2019 growth. One, that's the method we're using right now. At some point in time, if we bump up against the maximum amount of investment we can make under the DSIC, we'll be required to have another base rate case or round of base rate cases in Pennsylvania in order to roll that in and then be able to use the DSIC going forward. We're a ways away from that point.

I would not anticipate any rate case filings in Pennsylvania this year for sure, even though our stay-out is expiring this year. In Ohio, we're in a rate freeze through 2024. In Maryland, we're just wrapping up a rate case with new rates to go in effect on March 23rd. It's not been that long since we had a rate case in New Jersey. The investments that we're making this year and really for the next several years, it's just shy of $3 billion. Over 50% of that is being made in transmission formula rates and real-time riders in our distribution companies. The 6%-8% growth that we're talking about does not depend on any rate cases in order for us to achieve that growth. It's merely executing the plan, investing in these formula-driven mechanisms, and then the growth will occur.

Michael Lapides
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. I just want to follow up on that, though. I'm thinking New Jersey specifically, I mean, the 2.1% trailing 12 ROE that you're showing on this. Anything abnormal or highly unusual in that number? Only because that's just a really sizable spread relative to authorized. The IIP will help on future investment, but it may not help if you've got significant O&M lag that's already in place.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

I'm going to let Eileen answer that one for you, Michael.

Eileen
Company Representative, FirstEnergy

Thanks. In looking at the noted ROE for JCP&L on that slide 23, I would note that that was a number that preceded our last base rate case, as the note says. It's the last publicly available published ROE number from a prior to implementing rates from our last rate case.

Michael Lapides
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Thank you. Much appreciated.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Thanks, Mike.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Charles Fishman with Morningstar. Please proceed with your question.

Charles Fishman
Analyst, Morningstar

DMR question was answered. Let me ask you this, Chuck. You made the statement either at third quarter call or at EEI that you didn't think the market was appreciating the transmission system of FirstEnergy. I suspect that you had influence on that graphic on slide five showing it's 30%, and one can see that that number's going to go up based on your CapEx plan. What else do you do? What's going through your head as far as how you get people to appreciate the benefit of the FERC-regulated transmission?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

I think number one, we do have to start talking about it more. We are a company that has a large transmission footprint, 24,000 miles of transmission lines, largest in PJM, one of the largest in the country. It is 30% of our regulated assets. It's growing at 11% per year over the next three years in that 6%-8% growth rate. I think it's worthy of really calling it out to make sure investors see it. I think there are a couple other things holding our stock back from re-rating.

The continued overhang of FirstEnergy Solutions, and even though we have reached a settlement with all the creditors, and that settlement's been approved by the court, there's still some confusion in the market as to our ongoing relationship with them that I don't think will go away until they actually emerge and change their name at some point, hopefully later this year. I think that's holding us back. I can't undersell the value of what the transmission system means to FirstEnergy and its shareholders. We had forward-looking formula rates for all of it, but the former Allegheny system, and that's where we're making all these investments in American Transmission Systems, Inc. and Mid-Atlantic Interstate Transmission right now.

As I said, when you think about the investments we're making over the next three years, more than 50% of them are in formulaic mechanisms that it's just execute the work plan, and we'll execute the growth that we've committed to.

Charles Fishman
Analyst, Morningstar

In New Jersey, where it's state-regulated transmission, mostly. I realize you're in the middle of the settlement negotiations, I suspect that they have to give you some kind of formulaic treatment of your investments in New Jersey, or else you'll focus more on your Federal Energy Regulatory Commission-regulated. Is that correct?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

I think we'll be successful next year in moving JCP&L to a formulaic mechanism. Still regulated by the state, likely, that's the game plan. The answer is yes. As we think about where we're going to invest shareholder money, we want to put your money in good investments. Good investments are formulaic mechanisms at transmission, real-time riders in distribution that don't have regulatory lag, that lead to the improvements that we're making to also serve customers. You've heard me say this before, good investments are the ones customers are willing to pay for and shareholders are willing to invest in. All of what we're doing is also driving improved service for customers and just take the ATSI part of our Energizing the Future. We reduced transmission outages by almost 40% on the ATSI part of our system.

A single transmission outage can affect tens of thousands of customers, up to maybe 60,000 to 80,000 customers at times. Those improvements are great for customers, too.

Charles Fishman
Analyst, Morningstar

Okay. Thanks a lot, Chuck. That's all I had.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from the line of Stephen Byrd with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.

Stephen Byrd
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi. Good morning.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Morning, Stephen.

Stephen Byrd
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Most of my questions have been answered. I did want to just directly address that question, Chuck, you mentioned before, in terms of just the accounting calculation of ROE versus the real regulatory calculation of earned ROEs. Would you mind just at a high level, talking through, in Ohio as an example, just some of the adjustments that need to be made to get to the proper sort of regulatory calculation of earned ROE?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

I think that's way too complicated to get into on an earnings call, Stephen. Be happy to talk to you offline or have Irene go through it with you. As I said, in Ohio, our rates are frozen through 2024, you can imagine all of the different moving parts with a DMR, with a DCR rider that's been in place for now, I think we're in year seven of that, and it goes on through 2024. The ultimate grid modernization rider. There are unique treatments for some of the lost revenue from energy efficiency improvements we've made. It's just very complicated, and we can't go through the numbers on the call, but those are examples of things that affect how it looks from a GAAP perspective, from how it turns out from a regulatory accounting perspective.

Stephen Byrd
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Understood. Then just lastly, you mentioned the emerging technologies group. It sounds like an exciting new area. Is it possible to give an example or two of the kinds of technologies that generically might offer some benefits to customers and to system operations?

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

I'll give you an example. Not saying it's going to end up the way we would want it to end up, but one particular example would be electric vehicle charging stations. We've had two of our governors, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, express their desire to have significantly more electric vehicle penetration in their state. One of the impediments to accomplishing those goals is going to be a robust charging network. Utilities like ours, and not just ours, are skilled at building infrastructure. They're skilled at planning infrastructure. They're skilled at, an example of that case, of building it out in a way that it's robust but not duplicative, doing it for a nine and a half to 10% return on equity, which is a very cheap way to finance it.

I think it's something that if we really want more EV penetration, our states ought to look at having their utilities help them accomplish. Right now, none of our states want us to do that, but that's an area where I think we're going to have ongoing conversation with them about the value that we think we can bring to help them with their environmental strategies for their states.

Stephen Byrd
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

That's great. Thank you very much.

Operator

A final reminder, if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. One moment please while we re-poll for any additional questions. Thank you.

Charles E. Jones
President and CEO, FirstEnergy Corp

Okay.

Operator

It appears we have no further questions at this time. Mr. Strah, I would now like to turn the floor back over to you for closing comments.

Steven E. Strah
Senior VP and CFO, FirstEnergy Corp

Thank you all for your persistence in staying with us over the long haul. We're really excited about where we're at as a company, really excited about the next three years, and then as we get more into this emerging technologies area, excited to tell you about it once we know more. Thank you for your time this morning. Look forward to talking to you again soon.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation, and have a wonderful day.