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Earnings Call: Q2 2016

Jul 22, 2016

Speaker 1

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the General Electric Second Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. My name is Ellen, and I will be your conference coordinator today. If at any time during the call you require assistance, please press star followed by 0 and a conference coordinator will be happy to assist you. If you experience issues with the slides refreshing or there appear to be delays in the slide advancement, please hit F5 on your keyboard to refresh.

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the program over to your host for today's conference, Matt Cribbons, Vice President of Investor Communications. Please proceed.

Speaker 2

Good morning, and thanks for joining our Q2 earnings call. Today, I'm joined by our Chairman and CEO, Jeff Immelt our CFO, Jeff Wornstein and GE Aviation President and CEO, David Joyce. Earlier today, we posted the press release, presentation and supplemental on our website at www.ge.com/investor. As a reminder, elements of this presentation are forward looking and are based on our best view of the world and our businesses as see them today. As described in our SEC filings and on our website, those elements can change as the world changes.

Now with that, I'll turn it over to Jeff Immelt.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Matt. GE had a good quarter and a slow growth and volatile environment. I would describe our markets in 2 segments really. The resource sector remains tough, putting pressure on our oil and gas and transportation businesses. Meanwhile, the rest of our markets have plenty of growth available.

The strength of G is our diversity, and we remain on track for our on track for our 16 framework and our bridge to 2018. In the Q2, our portfolio execution was a real highlight. This includes GE Capital de designation, the appliances sale with with a substantial gain and the sale of GE Asset Management. From an operations standpoint, we had EPS of $0.51 and that is growth of 65%. Industrial EPS was up 35%, excluding gains in restructuring.

Margins were flat ex Alstom and up 10 basis points year to date, and we're on track for our margin goals for the year. Alstom was $0.01 of share in the Q2, and we're on track to hit our plan in 2016. CFOA was $10,700,000,000 and we're on track for our CFOA goals for the year. And thus, our operating profit and organic revenue growth are down slightly in the first half, consistent with our expectations. However, we are positioned for strong organic growth in the second half, and we're able to hit our earnings goals despite a $0.03 headwind in foreign exchange year to date.

Looking forward, we have no change to our framework for the year. We still expect organic revenue growth of 2% to 4% or strong organic growth in the second half. We expect margins to expand and Alstom to deliver $0.05 a share. We still expect free cash flow plus dispositions to be $29,000,000,000 to $32,000,000,000 for the year, including a capital dividend of $18,000,000,000 Year to date, we've returned $18,000,000,000 to investors and we're on track for $26,000,000,000 in the year. So despite the macro volatility, we are delivering.

Orders were $27,000,000,000 down 2%, down 16% organically. Alstom orders were in $4,500,000,000 in the quarter and $7,500,000,000 for the first half. Backlog grew by $4,000,000,000 from Q1 2016 and sit at $320,000,000,000 a record. Core service backlog grew by 11%. Orders pricing was down slightly versus a year ago.

Power and Aviation pricing was positive, but oil and gas continues to be pressured. Equipment orders were down 11%, which was 30% organically. We saw sustained pressure in oil and gas and transportation, while Power and Aviation had tough comps versus a year ago. There were a few highlights. Aviation had another excellent air show with more than $25,000,000,000 in commitments, And we have 34H turbines in backlog.

Total service orders were up 9% with solid growth in aviation renewables. Globally, the wind markets are strong and we expect solid growth for the year. Our pipeline of activity in oil and gas is improving, and we're working on several large global loco deals to offset sluggishness in the U. S. Our global orders are $31,000,000,000 year to date, about flat versus a year ago, including Alstom.

We've increased Alstom backlog by about $2,000,000,000 since the acquisition. Digital orders ex AGP were up 15% in the 2nd quarter, with revenue up 17%. AGP revenue was up 2% and orders were down. We expect 50% growth in AGPs in the second half. We now have 54 partners and 12,000 developers, which is ahead of plan.

Recently, we announced a partnership with Microsoft to put Predix in Azure and with Huawei to expand in China. In addition, we launched major customer collaborations with Schindler, PSEG and the city of Tien Tsin. We're on track to hit $7,000,000,000 in digital orders this year. In the second half, we expect orders to be about flat. Service orders will be up and equipment will be down slightly.

And on balance, orders are coming in about where we expected. I wanted to give you a little more context for revenue since our plan is back end loaded. In the first half, organic revenue is down 1%. We expect the second half will strengthen to be up about 5%. We see organic growth at 2% to 4% 2016, likely trending close to the bottom end of the range.

There are 3 main dynamics. Oil and Gas faces major cyclical headwinds, but by the second half, they have easier comps. We have line of sight to several big projects in the second half, which will help build backlog for 2017. Power is shipping 65 percent of its gas turbine volume in the second half, including 50% more AGPs than last year, and most of these units are in backlog. The rest of the company is sustaining organic growth in the 5% range comparable to the run rate, and this should continue in the second half.

We have several businesses that are sustaining strong organic growth rates in the first half. Healthcare is improving with life sciences up 12%, China is up 19% and ultrasounds up 9%. Renewables grew by 27% and services grew by 5% with momentum in power and aviation. Including Alstom, global revenue grew by 12% in the quarter, including significant growth in Europe, India, Africa and ASEAN. Bottom line, we're seeing organic growth accelerating in the second half.

Margins are trending consistent with our expectations. Excluding foreign exchange, core margins were up 40 basis points in total and with segment gross margins also up 40 basis points. We're making great progress on value gap and cost productivity. We expect this to improve in the second half. Service margins are 90 basis points year to date excluding Alstom.

Next, an update on our Alstom execution. As I mentioned earlier, we remain on track for $0.05 a share in 2016 and we're on track for $1,100,000,000 in synergies for the year. We're seeing significant benefits, including coordinated technical and cost performance on gas turbines, the system performance is exceeding our expectations, and and awesome equipment backlog and power is up 22%. There's improved market acceptance for GE and the grid and steam turbine business. Our customers see these as good fits for GE and we're winning incremental business.

As expected, we're seeing strong cost execution in sourcing and plant restructuring. Services integration and power is ahead of plan. We see significant opportunities for upgrades in coal to improve energy efficiency. So we really expect to see favorability in revenue synergies that we didn't count on when we did the deal. We see Alstom favorably so far and expect this momentum to continue.

So we have a lot going on with the integration of Alstom, but the team is doing well. Our cash performance was good overall, but our industrial cash performance was impacted by a range of issues and trailed our expectations. Capital dividends are now $15,000,000,000 on track for their $18,000,000,000 goal, including another $4,000,000,000 this week. We faced several CFOA headwinds in the first half that should unwind during the year. We have a large inventory build behind new NPI with LEAP, H and WEN products.

These are all shipping in the second half. Alstom exacerbates our profiles, their earnings, synergies and tax benefits are also back half loaded. We still expect Alstom to be a neutral on cash for the year. We expect earnings to accelerate in the second half with substantial improvement of working capital. And finally, we had about $1,000,000,000 of comp and tax payments in the first half that won't repeat.

We've returned $18,000,000,000 to investors in the first half through buyback and dividends and are on track for $26,000,000,000 for the year. Free cash flow is a big metric on company comp plans and the team has incented to hit these goals. Now I want to introduce Ava Joyce, who will give you an update on our great Aviation business and our wins at Farnborough.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Jeff. Let me start with a quick perspective performance over the last 3 years. Aviation has been a strong segment for GE with good leverage. Annual growth rate and operating profit of 13% on 6% growth in revenue. Over that same period, we've been investing in the next generation of products and technologies, growing our installed base of engines and service, positioning our supply chain and business for the transition in new products, building out our digital services for both GE and our customers, while strengthening our operating profit of business by 2 50 basis points.

Performance has been very consistent with our strategic imperatives. And as we look at 2016, we see another strong year led by the commercial environment, which is depicted on the next page. Traffic growth estimated at just over 6% after growth of almost 7.5% in 2015. Freight traffic estimated to grow again in 2016. Over 2,000,000 departures added in the last year with very healthy airplane load factors across the networks at 80% for the 2nd year in a row.

And jet fuel costs, which is the largest variable cost for our airline customers estimated to be deflationary again in 2016. If you look at the trend in jet fuel over the last 3 years, it's down almost 50% and all these factors fuel profits in the industry estimated to grow again in 2016. Now switching over to the defense environment. U. S.

Defense spending is anticipated to be flat in 2017. However, we see an increase in science and technology spending as well as operations and maintenance. Additionally, international defense spending is growing, anticipated to be up 4% across the globe excluding the U. S. At Aviation, we're experiencing growth in our military spare sales, 9% in 2015% and 6% through the first half of this year, and we forecast our installed base growth to be 14.5% by 2020.

2016 has been a busy year in the military segment with some terrific wins. Just last month, we were awarded the $1,000,000,000 contract to develop the next generation fighter engine with our adaptive cycle technology, combining high efficiency with high performance situationally. This technology promises 25% improvement in fuel efficiency, 30% in range and up to 20% more thrust relative to today's most advanced engines. We're also chosen to power the Korean indigenous fighter and reengine the U. K.

Apaches. We're growing our services contracts with all three military branches including the F-one hundred and ten overhaul service work with the Air Force that was awarded to us earlier this year. And we're delivering on some very important milestones in support of the new Saab Gripen powered by our 414 and the CH-fifty 3 King Stallion powered by our new heavy lift helicopter engine, the T408. So the impact of both the commercial and military environments on our aviation business has resulted in an unprecedented backlog totaling $156,000,000,000 up $46,000,000,000 in the last 3 years. Focusing on the critical pieces of that backlog story, equipment up 11% CAGR over the last 3 years, thanks to the successful launch of our new products.

Services up 13% CAGR over the same time period, enabling us to fund the product transition. Last week was a terrific Farm Bureau Air Show for GE Aviation, dollars 25,900,000,000 of business in total at list price, over 800 new engine commitments and we surpassed 30,000 CFM engines produced at the same time we surpassed 11,000 LEAP engines committed. So let's talk LEAP. Terrific product positioning, sole source on the 737 MAX, on the COMAC C919 and over 50% win rate on the A320neos. We delivered our 1st LEAP powered A320neo to Pegasus on Tuesday, entering service this weekend.

We're forecasting to deliver 110 engines this year building to 1900 by 2019. This year we also reached record levels of delivery on our current CFM engines exceeding 1700 engines. My point is that the rates for LEAP are not unchartered territory for CFM and we're very confident in our plan to deliver on time. Now switching to margins. Of course, this transition investment is dilutive as we march down our learning curve and deliver on launch orders, but we have some big tailwinds that allow us to maintain margin rates through the transition.

1st is our services growth. 44,000 installed commercial engines by 2020. Over 61 percent of our entire installed fleet has seen one shop visit or less. 2nd, lower company funded research and development. We've completed certification on our Passport engine, our GE engine, our GE Honda engine and the LEAP engines for both Airbus and Boeing and we'll complete the C919 LEAP engine cert in Q4 of this year.

And finally, our digital productivity. In both services as we improve time on wing and cost per shop visit on the 100 and $22,000,000,000 backlog and in operations accelerating our variable cost productivity and LEAP learning curve. Only GE has the strength of its installed base to support this magnitude of product transformation, creating both the next generation of our installed base and service while delivering for our shareholders today. So let me finish with a look at GE Aviation as a digital industrial business. First, the impact for our customers, transitioning to predictive maintenance on 35,000 engines.

So far, we've experienced a 25% improvement in unscheduled disruptions for those customers engaged in our digital programs. As an example, Emirates, a big, big GE Aviation customer has realized for the 1st 6 months of 2016 a 43% reduction in disruptions and a reduction in planned maintenance resulting in 12 additional days of utilization across their fleet of 777s for the first half of this year. For our business, it's all about productivity. In engineering, we have the most sophisticated turbine blade designs on test in 2 weeks versus 9 months. We've launched 13 brilliant factories where operations data connected to our data lake is available to critical experts across the business in engineering, supply chain and services, resulting in a 0.5 point improvement in variable cost productivity year to date.

At the enterprise level, our new advanced turboprop has eliminated 8.45 45 parts using digital design tools coupled with additive manufacturing, eliminating engineering hours, drawings, purchasing activities, quality plans, shipping, assembly hours and ultimately reducing shipping,

Speaker 5

assembly hours

Speaker 4

and ultimately reducing costs while improving speed and quality. We're just beginning to understand the value of a digital industrial GE Aviation and the impact on the customers and our operational productivity. And with that, I'd to turn it over to Jeff Boenstein.

Speaker 5

Thanks, David. I'll start with the 2nd quarter summary. Revenues were $33,500,000,000 up 15% in the quarter. Industrial revenues were up 16% to $30,700,000,000 You can see on the right side that the industrial segments were up 7% reported and down 1% organic. Alstom revenue in the quarter was $3,200,000,000 Industrial operating plus vertical EPS was $0.51 up 65%.

The operating EPS number of $0.39 includes other continuing GE Capital activity, including headquarter runoff and other exit related items that I'll cover on the GE Capital page. Continuing EPS of $0.36 includes the impact of non operating pension and net EPS of $0.30 includes discontinued operations. The total disc ops impact was a charge of $544,000,000 in the quarter, driven by GE Capital exit costs. As Jeff said, we generated 10 $700,000,000 of CFOA in the half, up from $3,900,000,000 last year, driven by the increased dividend from GE Capital. Industrial CFOA was $400,000,000 for the half, down 89%.

This was driven by a number of known items, including our 3 year long term incentive program payout, non repeat of last year's NBC settlement, negative Alstom CFOA in the quarter and timing on our service billings. While we plan to be down in the first half, we underperformed our own expectations by roughly a $1,000,000,000 driven by lower collections, accelerated inventory build and earlier closing of appliances transaction in the quarter than we originally planned. Fortunately, most of this is timing between the first half and the second half. In the second half, we are planning for income plus depreciation and amortization of around $8,000,000,000 working capital improvement of $3,000,000,000 to $4,000,000,000 driven by second half shipments and improvement in AR performance, particularly delinquency and other timing items such as tax of $1,000,000,000 to $2,000,000,000 That walks you to the total framework of $12,000,000,000 to $14,000,000,000 of industrial CFOA, no change to our framework for the year. In addition, in the Q2, GE borrowed $5,000,000,000 from GE Capital, which will mature in the Q4 of this year.

This makes a ton of sense for the company as we already own the excess debt and the borrowing cost is lower than our dividend yield. The proceeds were used for an accelerated share repurchase program launched in June. This helps accelerate our buyback within the year. The GE tax rate was 15% and the GE capital tax rate was 27%, which for the GE capital tax rate reflects a benefit on a pre tax continuing loss. For the year, we expect the GE rate to be in the mid teens.

On the right side of the segment results, as I mentioned, Industrial segment revenues were up 7% reported and down 1 percent organically. Foreign exchange translation of $148,000,000 was a 1 point headwind and lost revenue from disposition was a 4 point impact. Each of those impacts were more than offset by a 12 point revenue increase from Alstom. Industrial segment op profit was down 5% reported and 6% organically. The organic number excludes the impact of $13,000,000 of FX translation headwind.

We also had an additional $120,000,000 of FX transactional impacts, which is not adjusted for in the organic calculation. This is related to remeasurement at mark to market on open hedges, principally in the oil and gas, renewables and renewables and power segments. Including corporate operating costs, industrial op profit was down 2% reported and down 4% organically. As you see at the bottom of the page, as I mentioned earlier, industrial operating plus vertical EPS was $0.51 up 65%. That includes a $0.11 of gains net of restructuring this year versus 0 a year ago.

In the box we provided, the V percent adjusted for industrial gains and restructuring. Excluding those impacts in both years, industrial operating EPS was up 35% and total industrial operating plus vertical EPS was up 29%. Next, I'll talk about one time items. We had $0.09 of charges related to industrial restructuring and other items that were taken at corporate. Charges were $1,200,000,000 on a pre tax basis with about $400,000,000 related to oil and gas and $300,000,000 related to Alstom Synergy investments and accounting items.

The $0.09 was a little bit lower than what we were estimating driven by timing of restructuring projects. As you know, the appliance deal closed in the quarter contributing about $0.20 of gain. At the bottom of the page, you can see the profile for the year. We continue to expect gains and restructuring to offset for the year. In the Q3, we have the asset management disposition and some smaller transactions in the 4th quarter that will contribute an additional $0.05 bringing total year gains to approximately 0 point segments.

Starting with the power business. Orders in the quarter totaled $7,700,000,000 up 41%. Excluding Alstom, orders of $2,900,000,000 core orders were down 11% with equipment down 26% and services lower by 4%. Core equipment orders were lower primarily due to units mixing to smaller aero and steam units, partially offset by 4 additional H orders year over year. Total gas turbine orders were 16 units versus 18 a year ago.

Through the half, core equipment orders are up 1% with heavy duty frames up 25%. Backlog excluding Alstom grew 37% year over year to $8,300,000,000 driven by H Technology strength. Our H backlog stands at 34 units inclusive of 5 new orders offset by 6 unit shipments. Service orders excluding Alstom were down 4% on lower AGPs of 24 versus 39 last year and lower aero services. Through the first half, AGP orders totaled 49 versus 55 last year.

For the total year, we remain on plan for 135 to 150 AGPs versus 119 a year ago. Through the half, total upgrades grew 18% to 153 versus 130 units a year ago, driven by dry load NOx, compressor upgrades and flange to flange upgrades. Year to date, total service orders grew 2%, led by power services up 5%. Service backlog excluding Alstom ended the quarter at $54,300,000,000 which is up 5% versus prior year. Alstom orders in the quarter were $2,900,000,000 including $1,700,000,000 of equipment orders.

In the 2nd quarter, we took an order for the Hassan supercritical steam coal plant in Dubai as well as orders for 5 more HRSGs. The Alstom equipment backlog is up 22% since we closed the acquisition in the Power Systems business. Alstom service orders of $1,100,000,000 included 8 steam upgrades. Alstom service backlog ended the quarter at $9,800,000,000 Power revenue in the 2nd quarter totaled $6,600,000,000 up 31%. Excluding Alstom, core revenues of $5,200,000,000 grew 2% with equipment revenue down 5% on lower BOP associated with last year's large Egypt equipment deal, partially offset by higher H shipments.

We shipped 26 gas turbines versus 24 last year, including 6 H units. Service revenues excluding Alstom grew 7% driven by power services up 12%. We shipped 28 ATPs versus 26 a year ago. Alsome revenue of $1,500,000,000 included $600,000,000 of equipment and $900,000,000 of services. Operating profit was higher by 9% in the quarter.

Excluding Alsome, core op profit of $1,100,000,000 was up slightly on positive value gap and cost down partially offset by HMIX. Margins on the 6 H shipments were roughly breakeven and we expect shipments to be margin positive beginning in Q3. Margin rates excluding Alstom contracted 40 basis points. Alstom earned $89,000,000 of op profit in the quarter and was higher than planned on better synergy execution. We continue to see strong demand for the H technology.

Our cost position continues to improve on the H and we expect to have positive margins in the Q3 on the platform. We're also pulling through awesome technology, including steam units, generators and HRSGs. We're on track to ship about 115 gas turbines for the year with a heavy 4th quarter. The Alsome integration is also on track and the business will deliver about $800,000,000 of synergies or better for the year. Next on renewables, orders in the quarter of $2,000,000,000 were down 6%.

Orders through the first half grew 29%. The business took orders for 6.37 wind turbines in the quarter versus 888 wind turbines in the Q2 of last year. For the first half, core orders excluding Alstom for wind were higher by 15%. 2 thirds of the turbines the turbines ordered were for our new 2 megawatt and 3 megawatt machines. In addition, we booked orders for 2 18 wind turbine upgrades.

All some orders in the quarter were 206,000,000 finished the quarter at $12,600,000,000 including $5,100,000,000 associated with Alstom. GE core backlog grew 26% versus the Q2 of 2015. Revenues in the quarter grew 28 percent to $2,100,000,000 with core GE revenue up 14%. We shipped 8.56 wind turbines versus 8.06 last year. Alstom contributed 221 $1,000,000 of revenue.

Operating profit of $128,000,000 was down 11% year over year. GE core earnings of $127,000,000 were down 12% driven by launch costs for the new NPIs. Margins in the quarter contracted 200 basis points in the core. Through the half, the business is on track, notwithstanding the foreign exchange challenges. All some synergies of $38,000,000 through the Q2 has the business on track to deliver $100,000,000 plus of synergies for the year.

The market reception of the new wind products has been solid and we're progressing down the cost curve. We think the outlook for the onshore wind business is very encouraging. Next is Aviation. The business delivered another strong quarter. David gave you an update on where the market stands.

Orders in the quarter of $6,400,000,000 were down 15% with equipment orders down 37% driven by no repeat of 2 large 9x orders in 2015 from Qatar ANA. This quarter we booked $1,400,000,000 of commercial engine orders including a Via Jet order for 200 LEAP-1B engines. In addition, we took orders for 3 48 CFM engines, 21 CF6 engines and 20 9 Gen X engines. Not included in the 2nd quarter results and as David mentioned, we won more than $25,000,000,000 of orders and commitments at the Farnborough Air Show. Military equipment orders were up 49 driven by large orders from the Korean military for F414 engines and T700 helicopter engines and the Indian Navy for 14 LM2500 engines.

Total equipment backlog of $34,000,000,000 was down 3% versus last year. Service orders grew 8% in the 2nd quarter with commercial services up 9%, driven by spares up 5% and CSA orders higher by 17%. Military services grew 11%. Total service backlog was higher by 14% in the quarter to $122,000,000,000 Revenues of $6,500,000,000 were up 4 percent. Equipment revenues were down 7% with commercial equipment down 2%.

We shipped 78 Gen X engines versus 86 a year ago. We also shipped 11 LEAP-1A engines. Military equipment was down 31% as we expected on lower engine shipments. Service revenues grew 16% in the quarter with the commercial spares rate up 3% and CSAs up 20%. Operating CSAs up 20%.

Operating profit was higher by 6% driven by services volume, positive value gap and cost productivity. Margins in the quarter expanded 40 basis points. For the half, op profit grew 11% and margins expanded by 80 basis points. The aviation team continues to execute well. And as mentioned, we shipped our first 11 LEAP engines are on schedule to ship about 110 for the year.

Next to oil and gas, the environment remains very, very tough. U. S. Rig and well counts continue to contract over the Q2. Rig counts are down 55% year over year and down 79% from year end 2014.

Well counts are down 58% in the U. S. Versus the Q2 of last year and down 76% from the Q3 of 'fourteen, their peak. Based on the latest industry expectations, CapEx spending in 2016 is expected to be down about 14% for IOCs, 9% for NOCs and about 40% for North American independents. We continue to focus on remaking the cost structure of the business and improving our competitiveness.

Orders in the quarter were down 34%. Equipment orders were down 58% versus 2015 with all segments lower. Orders were down 58% versus 2015 with all segments lower. Service orders contracted 10% versus last year. Backlog ended the quarter at $22,700,000,000 up 1% from the Q2 of last year.

Year over year equipment backlog was down 31%, but the services backlog is actually up 15%. Revenues in the quarter of $3,200,000,000 were down 22% with equipment revenues down 31% and services revenue down 13%. All segments were lower year over year on equipment and service revenue, except the Turbomachinery business where their service business grew revenues 4% in the quarter. Operating profit of 3 $20,000,000 was down 48% versus 2015, driven by lower volume and negative fixed cost leverage, partially offset by $140,000,000 of structural cost out. The team remains focused on their plan for about $800,000,000 of cost actions in the year.

Through the half, approximately $280,000,000 of benefits have been realized with stronger paybacks expected in the second half of twenty sixteen. Oil and Gas is down 40% organically on op profit through the half and continues to execute against the framework of down 30% organic op profit for the year. Next is healthcare. The healthcare team is executing well and delivered a strong second quarter and first half. Orders grew 3% and 4 percent organically.

Geographically, organic orders were higher by 2% in the U. S, 9% in China, 11% in Europe and 17% in Asia. Growth in Asia. Growth in those markets was partially offset by Latin America, which was down 9% organically on weakness in Brazil. In terms of business lines, healthcare system orders grew 2% reported and 3% organic, driven by ultrasound up 8% on strength in the U.

S. And Europe. Imaging up 8% on strength in the U. S. And Europe.

Imaging orders were higher by 2% organically with both CT and MI up double digits, partially offset by X-ray and MAMO weakness. Life Sciences continues to grow smartly with orders up 12% organically. Bioprocess grew 26% and core imaging grew 6%. In the Q2, our Life Sciences business delivered its 1st and China's largest BioPark with a QBO product. We believe these modularized bioprocess facilities will be the future of all biologics.

Revenues in the quarter of $4,500,000,000 were up 4% and up 6% organic. Healthcare Systems revenues were higher by 4% organically, driven by imaging and ultrasound, up 8% and 7%, respectively. Life Sciences continued strong revenue growth, up 8% reported and up 11% organic. Operating profit in the quarter was up 11% to $782,000,000 Strong volume and cost productivity more than offset negative price and investments for digital NPI and supply chain costs. Margin rates expanded 110 basis points in the quarter and they're up 80 basis points for the half.

The healthcare team is driving technology competitors, transforming their portfolio digitally and reducing the product and service costs. The team has delivered roughly half the cost out target of $350,000,000 for the year. The team is on track to deliver or beat the 50 basis points of margin improvement that we set out as a goal for the year. Our transportation business continues to deal with a very difficult cycle. In the 2nd quarter, North American commodity carloads were down 11%, driven by coal down 27% and petroleum down 20%.

Intermodal volume was down 5%. Parked locomotives have more than doubled over the last year. Orders of $678,000,000 were down 51% in the quarter. Equipment orders of $117,000,000 were down 77% on orders for 21 locals this year versus 120 a year ago. Service orders of $561,000,000 were lower by 36%, driven by lower local parts partly due to the parking and no repeat of a movement plan or order we took last year.

Backlog ended at $20,700,000,000 which is down 2% with equipment backlog down 4% and services down 1%. Revenues were lower by 13% and down 6% organically, reflecting the signaling disposition. Organically, equipment revenues were up 3% on higher Loco shipments, 222 units versus 191 last year, offset by lower services revenue, which was down 14%. Our profit of $273,000,000 was down 18% and down 14% organically, driven by lower volume and unfavorable mix, offset partially by favorable value gap and cost out. No doubt the U.

S. Environment is challenging. The transportation team is focused on growing our international business, driving cost out and executing on our digital strategy. In our Energy Connections business, as we've discussed in the last two calls, organic performance reflects power conversion and industrial solutions only. GE's digital energy business is treated as a disposition to the Grid JV.

Also as we've discussed, we consolidate 100% of the Grid JV's revenue, but only 50 percent of their operating profit. Orders for the business totaled $3,000,000,000 in the 2nd quarter, up 45%. Orders for Power Conversion and Industrial Solutions totaled $1,600,000,000 down 2% organic and grid orders totaled $1,400,000,000 Core orders were driven by power conversion down 17% organically on weakness in oil and gas and no repeat of a large wind order for converters last year offset 1% organic growth in Industrial Solutions. Backlog finished the quarter at $11,900,000,000 with grid solutions at $8,200,000,000 Revenues in the quarter of $2,700,000,000 were higher by 55%. Grid Solutions revenues totaled $1,400,000,000 Core revenues were down 4% organically.

The business is beginning to make progress. Operating profit improved from a loss of $85,000,000 in the Q1 to a profit of $35,000,000 in the 2nd quarter. The core business recorded a loss of $9,000,000 on lower oil and gas volume, higher digital spend and dispositions, and the grid solutions business earned 40 $5,000,000 in the quarter. Allsome synergies remain on track to deliver $200,000,000 plus of benefits for the year and we expect the business will continue to improve earnings sequentially in the second half. Next on appliance and lighting, we closed the appliance transaction on June 6.

As I mentioned on the one time items page, we had a pre tax gain of $3,100,000,000 which translated to $0.20 of EPS. In the quarter, revenue was down 25% driven by appliances down 31 percent due to the sale. Lighting revenues were down 11% with the legacy lighting business down 23% and the LED product line up 4%. Segment profit of 96 $1,000,000 was down 42% driven by the sale of appliances and our investment in current. Going forward, we'll be reporting Energy Connections and Lighting as a single segment.

Last, I'll cover GE Capital. As mentioned earlier, on June 28, GE Capital was de designated as a systemically important financial institution, marking a major step in our GE Capital exit plan. Our vertical businesses are in 4 $52,000,000 this quarter, down 15% from prior year, including higher base earnings offset by lower gains and higher insurance reserve provisions resulting from updates to our models on our runoff long term care book. Portfolio quality remains stable. In the Q2, the verticals wrote $2,100,000,000 of on book volume, 75% of which supported our industrial businesses.

In addition, GE Capital Range third party payments, headquarter operating costs restructuring and asset liability management actions. Discontinued operations incurred a loss of $500,000,000 largely driven by marks on held for sale assets. Overall, GE Capital reported a $1,100,000,000 loss. GE Capital ended the quarter with $116,000,000,000 of ENI excluding liquidity with continuing ENI of $79,000,000,000 Liquidity at the end of the second quarter was $56,000,000,000 which was down 50 $1,000,000,000 from the Q1 driven by debt maturities and lower deposits as a result of the sale of GE Capital Money Bank in the U. S.

And the IPO of our check platform. Asset sales remained ahead of plan. During the quarter, we closed $12,000,000,000 of transactions bringing the total closed transactions through the end of the quarter to $158,000,000,000 In July, we've added $10,000,000,000 of closings driven by the sale of our French and German CLL businesses bringing the total to date of closes to $168,000,000,000 In addition to closings, we signed agreements to sell $16,000,000,000 of B and I in the 2nd quarter, taking our total signings to $181,000,000,000 during the first half of the year. Our price to tangible book on deals signed to date is 1.2 times and we are on track to deliver the 1.1 times price to book we had estimated when we announced the restructuring. Of the remaining 25,000,000,000 assets to go, anticipate that we will run off about $10,000,000,000 of assets where it makes more economic sense to do so.

The remaining assets are comprised of our Italian bank, our French mortgage book and other smaller portfolios and investments. That will be largely signed, we believe, by the end of Q3 of this year. GE Capital paid $3,500,000,000 of dividends during the quarter for a total of $11,000,000,000 during the first half of the year. In July, GE Capital has paid an additional $4,000,000,000 bringing our year to date total to $15,000,000,000 well ahead of our original plan. We remain on track to meet our $18,000,000,000 target of dividends for the year.

Overall, Keith and the GE Capital team have continued to execute well ahead of schedule on all aspects of the plan. We expect to be largely completed by the end of 2016. And with that, I'll turn it back to Jeff.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Jeff. We really have no change for the operating framework in the year. There are always a few puts and takes, but we remain on track. We will hit our $1.45 to $1.55 EPS goal despite FX headwinds of $0.02 to $0.04 in the year. And we expect to deliver $29,000,000,000 to $32,000,000,000 of free cash flow plus dispositions in line with our plans.

I thought I'd give you some context for the company beyond 2016, particularly given the volatility of our markets. First, Alstom is on track, and I expect us to hit all of our goals. Transportation, oil and gas are in tough cycles. They represent 15% of our earnings, and it's hard to see improving in 2017. But at the same time, Power and Aviation remained strong.

They're 60% of our earnings and we see consistent performance year over year. They have very strong service franchises, productivity They have very strong service franchises,

Speaker 5

productivity programs and

Speaker 3

our market positions are growing. Healthcare, Energy Connections and Renewables have generally favorable markets and real opportunities for growth and margin expansion. In particular, Healthcare feels sustainable with diverse growth and market momentum. These businesses represent 25 percent of our earnings, and we'll continue to execute on GE Capital and Corporate. So really 85% of our company is in great shape, winning in markets with high visibility, and so we remain on for the 2018 bridge to $2 a share of EPS.

The strength of our diversified model is key in a volatile environment. Matt, now over to you for questions.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Jeff. I'll ask that the operator opens the lines

Speaker 1

for

Speaker 4

questions.

Speaker 1

Our first question is from Scott Davis with Barclays.

Speaker 6

Hi, good morning guys. Hey Scott.

Speaker 7

We when I look at your top line forecast for the back half of the year, considering I don't think the world is getting better and I think that's going to be part of my question for you. But how do we get to that 2% core growth number? Is it just comps in oil and gas get easier and that's just that provides a tailwind? Or is there some other something else you're seeing in macro that makes us that should make us feel

Speaker 8

a little bit better about the world?

Speaker 3

So, Scott, I'll start and then maybe toss over to Jeff. But again, I think just like we said on the Q1 call, we think Power really explains the first half, second half split. As you can look in the presentation, the year over year comps are better, the backlog is strong, you're going to ship most of the gas turbine units in the second half plus a 50% growth in the AGPs. Oil and Gas has got easier comps, but we're not really counting on that much out of oil and gas. And then the rest of the company, the underlying company is mid single digit, 5% organic growth.

So I think it's really a power story when you think about it, and that's really in backlog and that's really explains how we think about the first half, second half. I think the world itself, Scott, is no better, no worse. So we just kind of see kind of the general trend on markets. I don't know, Jeff?

Speaker 5

Yes. I don't have much to add other than when you think about power, about 65% of our gas turbines are in the second half. AGPs will grow 60% year over year in the second half. That's a big source of it. Oil and Gas, the comps do get better or less difficult in the second half of the year.

And we've got about 70 plus percent of the revenue for oil and gas based on our forecast of revenue in the second half in backlog. So, oil and gas based on our forecast of revenue in the second half in backlog. So and as you mentioned, the balance of portfolio, we expect roughly mid digits, single digit growth. This is really

Speaker 9

bridge on Slide 5.

Speaker 5

Just in light of sort of input costs and your own pricing outlook, how do you

Speaker 9

see the value gap item trending? And then the quick follow-up would just be

Speaker 5

on the base inflation number there. That was 110 bps headwind in Q2. Just explain that, please. Yes. So a couple of thoughts.

On value GAAP for the year, I don't think we've changed our outlook. We've said we expect value GAAP for the year to be roughly flat or neutral for the year, with strong roughly $1,000,000,000 kind of direct material benefits offset by price and a little bit of inflation on our other variable costs. So no change in outlook on value gap. Value gap in the Q2 discretely was a positive, not huge, but it was a positive in the Q2. As you work down that margin walk, the 110 basis points and other, 40 basis points of that is foreign exchange.

It's the marks generally on on our hedges are moving through that line. And then you get about 40 basis points of inflation on other base costs, including compensation, etcetera, and then a small impact associated with minority interest in JVs, which is about a 20 basis point negative in the quarter.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Shannon O'Callaghan with UBS.

Speaker 10

Good morning, guys.

Speaker 3

Hey, Shannon.

Speaker 10

Hey, just two things on digital. 1, on the partners, you're targeting 50 plus for the year. A month ago, you were at 31, now you're at 54. Maybe just comment on that kind of rapid pace of additions, what are you seeing, maybe some of the recent partnerships? And then for David, on the 35,000 engines monitored, curious how that's ramped so far?

And are you seeing that pick up? And where do you see that going up the next couple of years?

Speaker 3

So, Shannon, I'll hit the first one. Again, I think the momentum for Predix is growing. There's no doubt that partnerships like the one with Microsoft, I mean, the notion of putting Predix as the really the analytical platform inside of Asia, I think, is a big signal to the industry. Huawei in China is another great relationship that will help us extend on a global basis. Big wins like the one with Schindler, I think gets us in a completely new industry space for Predix.

So I just think what you're seeing is momentum taking off, and we're pleased with the partnership numbers, and I think that will continue to accelerate through the year.

Speaker 4

Yes. Shannon, this is David Joyce. On the 35,000 engines installed, we have a number of different ways in which we take data off the engines. The newer the airplanes, of course, the more accessible the data is on a real time basis. And then the older the airplane, then we have to go and actually get the data after it lands.

But I would say we're making great progress. We're actually starting to connect data acquisition as part of our services contracts. As we take on the risk, which is part of the service contract, we're requesting that we have the ability to go get the data so we can do the evaluation to get the productivity for both our customer and ourselves. So good progress.

Speaker 1

Our next question is from Andrew Kaplowitz with Citi.

Speaker 11

Hey, good morning, Can you talk about organic services orders? In the quarter, they were negative 1%. The core services backlog is up 11%. So you still seem in good shape for services growth in back half. But was the services order number in line with your expectation given it was down a bit from 1Q's 4%.

Is it really just oil and gas services weighing and the timing of AGPs weighing on the business and the confidence level that services orders gets better in the second half of the year?

Speaker 3

Andrew, again, I think the sometimes, particularly with AGPs, there's some timing involved. I think in the second half of the year in services, we expect orders to be mid single digits positive. So again, our business model there, 5% organic growth in the first half, backlog growth and our visibility in the second half, I think is all quite positive around services.

Speaker 5

Yes, I would just add, I talked about AGPs being up 60% year over year in the second half and the total year outlook of 135 to 150 versus 119 last year. That is a big driver. I mean, we see double digit services order growth in the second half of the year here. And

Speaker 1

question is from Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research Partners.

Speaker 12

Thank you. Good morning, gentlemen.

Speaker 3

Hey, Jeff.

Speaker 12

Hey. I was just wondering if we could also just address kind of the back loading to some degree kind of through the profit lines. At EPG, you talked about 5% underlying growth in the industrial businesses ex Alstom. Obviously, we're starting off kind of in the hole here in the first half. Should we expect some OP growth in the Q3?

Or does that profit ramp really have to all manifest itself in the Q4?

Speaker 5

Well, listen, we're going to have a very large Q4 because we've got an enormous renewables and power 4th quarter, no question about it. We expect to grow sequentially in the Q3. We're not I'm not giving you a 3rd quarter our profit guidance. But I think the variables that we've talked about, power volume in the second half of the year, oil and gas on a year over year basis less negative than they were in the first half of the year. We expect X Energy Connections to accelerate and we expect the Alstom synergies as well as our own restructuring synergies to really kick in, in the second half of the year.

We're looking for a real acceleration there. So that's where we see the upper profit growth in the second half of the year, 1. 2, that's why we're still confident that we can deliver 50 basis points of margin expansion for the total year, having been flat in the first half.

Speaker 3

I would only add to what Jeff said. Again, I think a lot of this is a power story. And with their shipment backlog in the second half, their operating profit growth is quite robust in the second half of the year. And I think, Jeff, the way you think about the walk, I think, is still more or less intact from a standpoint of how we think about the company for 2016.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

Speaker 6

Yes, good morning.

Speaker 3

Andrew.

Speaker 6

Just a question on D Sify and the impact on your appetite for accelerated buyback or more M and A. I think at EPG you sort of said that you were busy with Alstom, but it just seems DCCFE came a lot faster than we expected and it gives you an opportunity to use your balance sheet. So both if you could address appetite for more buyback and appetite for more M and A in the near term? Thank you.

Speaker 3

I don't know Jeff, so I would maybe talk about the capital allocation piece and Jeff maybe you talk about the leverage piece, right? So I'd say capital allocation hasn't really changed that much since EPG. I think we're just looking for the highest return. I think Andrew we've got a lot of good ideas inside the company, but we'll be disciplined about those ideas. And it's really for us just making the smart investments for investors vis a vis buyback versus acquisitions.

But we always have good ideas inside the company. And Jeff, on the

Speaker 5

left hand side Yes. I would just say, just remember that the $18,000,000,000 target we have for GE Capital Dividends in the year assumed that we would be de designated. So there's no change in that framework. It happened sooner rather than later, which is really outstanding and that has allowed us to accelerate the buyback. I talked about the $5,000,000,000 loan we did in the year, doing us in GE Capital where they had they have excess debt and excess cash.

We took that and we did a $5,000,000,000 ASR here in June. And so our buyback through the first half of the year is about $13,700,000,000 So we're running ahead of the plan here. Our average buyback is below $30 a share. So I think we feel pretty good about that. On the leverage, the leverage is going to be paced by the opportunities to put that capital to work if we in fact do it and the returns that we can generate for shareholders.

And I would say everything else being equal, I think we've consistently said we're more focused on M and A and where those opportunities lie than we are on anything else. And that'll be based on the ideas that we have.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Joe Ritchie with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 8

Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Speaker 3

Hey, Joe.

Speaker 8

So I guess my one question is maybe on oil and gas. You're down EBIT is down about 40% to start the year in the first half of the year. You're trying to hold the 30% for the entire year, yet pricing continues to get worse. I guess maybe just talk a little bit about your confidence in trying to make up some of the gap on the oil and gas EBIT in the second half of the

Speaker 5

year? Listen, I think this is all about what we talked to you about in terms of restructuring the cost in the business. And through the first half of the year, we realized about $300,000,000 a little less than $300,000,000 of benefits to the entirety of the income statement around all those efforts headcount, cost, deflation, restructuring agreements with suppliers, etcetera. We're still pushing hard for the $800,000,000 in the second half of the year. So you got a real acceleration between what we started and executed in 2015, what we've executed in the first half of twenty sixteen that everything else being equal, we expect to deliver an additional $500,000,000 of cost out in the second half of the year.

So if volume stays intact and our outlook on revenue in the second half is roughly close, we ought to be in reasonably good shape. There's some risk obviously that if volume is a little bit lighter that some of the benefits even though the actions have been taken because you lose the volume leverage may not materialize. But I we feel and Lorenzo and the team feel really good about the execution they're doing around the restructuring and the projects inside the business.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Steven Winoker with Bernstein.

Speaker 7

Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Speaker 3

Hey, Steve. Hey, just if I get

Speaker 7

a little clarity on Alstom, you walked through the numbers in the supplemental around the $100,000,000 operating loss, dollars 300,000,000 ish benefit on synergies and the offset on some of the one time investments to get those. Maybe just talk about where are you seeing the growth recovery here? Is it what's driving that? What do you think is sustainable? And how should we expect a little more color there going forward?

Speaker 3

Yes. So I would I'll take a crack and Jeff, you can add to it. But again, I think if you look at the kind of the gas turbine balance of plant activity, Steve, we're already seeing tremendous pull through visavis the balance of plant. Services, I think the customer reception in services is quite positive. And so we're seeing good activity around energy efficiency upgrades, bringing AGPs to the steam side as well as the gas side, things like that.

I think similarly grid revenue growth, which is something that we hadn't put a lot of benefits towards. I think we see grid as being a potential upside as time goes on as well. So I would say balance of plant, more steam activity than we had anticipated, better grid acceptance than we had forecasted and services, which was really the way we underwrote the deal in the 1st place is quite positive for Alstom.

Speaker 5

Yes, I would just add, listen, the team is executing through the half. We've got an excess of $400,000,000 of synergies executed so far against the goal of $1,100,000,000 for the year. That feels good. As Jeff said, the power, I mentioned earlier when I went through the results, the backlog we acquired in the Power business is up 22% as of the first half. So those synergies on the growth side are absolutely materializing and we feel great about that.

So I think the execution is pretty good. We did have a cash use for the first half of the year. We expected a cash use for the first half of the year. We hope to be neutral for the year as part of the cash recovery in the second half of the year. But I would say on par, I think we feel really good about both the cost and the growth synergies we're realizing so far.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Steve Tusa with JPMorgan.

Speaker 8

Hi, guys. Good morning.

Speaker 3

Hey, Steve.

Speaker 8

Just to follow-up on an earlier question. When you say growth in the second in the Q3, is that seasonal from an operating profit perspective? And then with your second half cash flow guidance, that $8,000,000,000 that you highlighted there, I'm backing into something that's around $18,000,000,000 Is that kind of the right profit number that underlies that for the year that underlies that $8,000,000,000 in kind of net income plus D and A contribution?

Speaker 5

Well, there's multiple questions in there. Let me start with this. Let me talk start with CFOA. So through the half, industrial CFOA was about $400,000,000 So when we look to the second half, we've guided $12,000,000,000 to $14,000,000,000 for the year. We've not changed anything about that guidance.

So how do you go from $400,000,000 of industrial CFOA in the first half to $12,000,000 to $14,000,000 for the year? We look at earnings, cash earnings. So adding back depreciation and amortization, as you look forward to the second half, we see that as about $8,000,000,000 We think we're going to reduce working capital $3,000,000,000 to $4,000,000,000 A big part of that is the inventory reductions that we've talked about partly driven by power, but also to renewable and our other businesses. And we need to be better on receivables. We our delinquency rates in the first half were higher than we estimated.

We think we can get that back on par. So, We our delinquency rates in the first half were higher than we estimated. We think we can get that back on par. So if we just get back to the inventory performance we went out of $15,000,000 with, if we get back to delinquency and receivable performance that we ended 2015 with, that in total generates about $3,000,000,000 to $4,000,000,000 of working capital cash flow. And then I just talked about Alstom.

So we used a little more than $800,000,000 of cash in the first half of the year on Alstom. We still expect to be roughly neutral in the second half of the year. So that's an $800,000,000 turnaround. And then I think earlier when I went to the results, I talked about we had some unfavorable timing on tax. That's not an issue for the year.

That's just a first half, second half issue. So that's how we got to work our way back to $12,000,000,000 to 14 $1,000,000,000 of CFOA for the year, which supports what Jeff talked about of $29,000,000,000 to $32,000,000,000 of free cash flow plus dispositions for the total company.

Speaker 3

And I would say beyond that for 2016, we kind of re profiled at the end of the Q1 call. We really have no change in how we see the year.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Deane Dray with RBC Capital Markets.

Speaker 13

I know we've covered a lot of ground here, but I just want to circle back to your opening comments about still in a slow growth macro environment. Maybe you could provide some of those geographic data points U. S, Europe, Asia, developed versus developing. And then on the Europe side, I know it's still early too early to tell, but does Brexit pose any unique risks for GE as you see it

Speaker 3

today? So Dean, what I would do is I would say versus just talking geographically, I would talk industry wide and go back to say, kind of oil and gas and transportation, which are both really around the resource sector, oil on the oil and gas side and coal on the transportation side, those are tough cycles and those are tough cycles mainly in North America. The Power and Aviation businesses, we don't see we see continued aviation strength. The power market is okay, but there's plenty of growth out there for us to go after and go get. Healthcare is better, not just in the U.

S, but globally. Energy connections, the oil and gas stuff is tough, but the rest of the stuff is quite strong. And we think renewables is in a very good cycle right now, both in the U. S. And globally.

So that's kind of the mix of the world. Now if you bore in on someplace like China, the healthcare business was awesome in China. Our energy orders grew by more than 30% in the Q2 in China. Aviation was negative, but that really wasn't because of revenue passenger miles, that was because we had big orders last year. So we see, I would say, around the edges, China getting better, Europe stable.

And then you can puts and takes in the rest of the world. So there's plenty of growth out there for us to go get in the second half and into 'seventeen. In terms of Brexit, I just think Brexit is just another point of volatility. It wasn't the outcome we hoped for, but we were plenty ready for that as a just another point of volatility.

Speaker 2

Great, Jeff. A couple of quick announcements. I'll pass it back to you to wrap up. The replay of today's call will be available this afternoon on our investor website, and we'll be doing our Q3 earnings call on Friday, October 21.

Speaker 3

Great, Matt. Thanks. I would just say first half more or less what we expected, positioned for a strong second half of twenty sixteen with what we have in backlog. I think looking forward, we are again confirming the bridge to $2 a share by $18 and it's really driven by real strength in Power and Aviation, strong turnarounds in energy conversion, healthcare, renewables, good awesome execution and the strength of the GE portfolio, I think offsets weaknesses in the oil and gas and transportation business and that really is the strength of the company is the diversified portfolio and the ability to meet our commitments even with this volatility. Great.

Thank you.

Speaker 1

This concludes your conference call. Thank you for your participation today. You may now disconnect.

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