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Earnings Call: Q1 2016

Apr 22, 2016

Speaker 1

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the General Electric First Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. My name is Ellen, and I will be your conference coordinator today. If at any time during the call, you require assistance, please press star followed by 0 and a conference coordinator will be happy to assist you. If you experience issues with the slides refreshing or there appears to be delays in the slide advancement, please hit F5 on your keyboard to refresh.

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the program over to your host for today's conference, Matt Cribbons, Vice President of Investor Communications. Please proceed.

Speaker 2

Good morning, and thanks for joining our Q1 2016 web I'm here with our Chairman and CEO, Jeff Immelt our CFO, Jeff Borenstein and our Vice President, Gas Power Systems, Joe Mastrandolo. Earlier today, we posted a press release, presentation and supplemental on our investor website at www dotge.com/investor. As a reminder, elements of this presentation are forward looking and are based on our best view of the world and our businesses as we see them today. As described in our SEC filings and on our website, those elements can change as the world changes. Now with that, I'd like to turn it over to Jeff Hittmeld.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Matt. GE had a good performance in a slow growth environment. EPS of $0.21 was up 5%. This included $0.02 of headwind through foreign exchange. Let me summarize some of the key achievements in the quarter.

Industrial organic revenue was down slightly and operating profit was about flat despite a very challenging environment in oil and gas and tough comparisons in gas turbine shipments. This is in line with our expectations. Industrial margins grew by 30 basis points, up 110 basis points ex FX, and CFOA was $7,900,000,000 a good start in the year. We're on track to close appliances in the Q2, and this will facilitate incremental restructuring and capital allocation optionality. We continue to execute our GE Capital strategy.

We have $166,000,000,000 of capital deals signed. GE Capital sent a $7,500,000,000 dividend to the parent in the quarter, and GE Capital filed for SIFI de designation in March. All some integration is on track for our $0.05 goal in 2016. We're more comfortable with the business and our ability to create value. We returned $8,300,000,000 to investors in dividend and buyback, and our capital allocation framework remains on track.

Importantly, we are reaffirming our 2016 framework goal of $1.45 to $1.55 EPS, 2% to 4% organic growth, CFOA of $29,000,000,000 to $32,000,000,000 $26,000,000,000 of cash from investors. Our performance in the quarter again validates the strength of the GE operating model. Diversity is a key strength during this period of volatility. We're in the midst of a challenging oil and gas market. However, we are seeing sustained strength in aviation and power markets.

Healthcare is rebounding. I was in China last week and saw improvements in our business. Most of the portfolio is strong and we're delivering. There's plenty of business out there to achieve our goals. Orders were up slightly in the quarter, down organically, and pricing was flat.

We ended the quarter with $316,000,000,000 of backlog, up 18% year over year. Our investments in technology are paying off. Power orders grew by 25%. Our backlog of H turbines now totaled 35. Renewable organic orders grew by 88% behind the launch of new 2 megawatt and 3 megawatt turbines.

Healthcare equipment orders grew by 6%, with double digit orders in the U. S.

Speaker 4

We continue to win in

Speaker 3

the aviation market as the LEAP remains the engine of choice and on track for a successful launch. Globally orders were up 9% in developed markets with broad based growth and down 9% in emerging markets in line with the volatility we see in resource rich countries. Service continued to be quite robust. Power services grew by 17%, ex Alstom, and aviation grew by 13%. Digital orders grew by 29%.

We launched Predix and attracted 7,500 developers in just 30 days. Meanwhile, we continue to attract new customers to our digital offerings. Oil and gas markets remain tough. Activity slowed again in the quarter and was reflected on our orders rate decline. However, we continue to make progress with our customers, signing the industry's first performance based contract with Diamond Offshore.

We're confident that GE will outperform in this cycle. Overall, our backlog and momentum support our 2% to 4% organic growth target for the year. Revenue was up 6% in the Q1, down 1% organically, in line with our plan. The main driver of the revenue profile in the Q1 is power. In the Q1 'fifteen, power organic revenue grew by 21% as we delivered several large orders.

Without this impact, organic revenue would have grown by 3% in the Q1. Some highlights in the quarter include services up 13%, aviation up 10%, and China grew by 10% with 15% growth in healthcare. Healthcare had the best organic growth in 20 quarters, and renewables grew by 34%. We still believe that organic growth will be up 2% to 4% for the year. Healthcare, power, aviation, renewables are expected to have strong growth, substantially better than 'fifteen, and this will more than offset headwinds in oil and gas and transportation.

Our second half of 'sixteen is lining up to be about 5% organic growth based on equipment backlog profiles. Core industrial margins grew by 30 basis points. Margins would have grown 110 basis points without FX headwind. We continue to make solid progress on sourcing and simplification. Service margins expanded by 190 basis points as we continue to see benefits from our efforts in analytics.

Our integration efforts with Alstom are just beginning, but we see great potential. GE is executing well in a challenging environment. Cash was in line with expectations. As I said earlier, we received a $7,500,000,000 dividend from capital. Industrial was impacted by Alstom with a typical first quarter profile.

We expect to hit $29,000,000,000 to $32,000,000,000 of CFOA in 2016. Our balance sheet remains very strong. We ended the quarter with $106,000,000,000 of liquidity at GE Capital and $9,000,000,000 of cash on the balance sheet. Meanwhile, we returned $8,300,000,000 of cash to investors and buyback and dividend. We expect to receive $18,000,000,000 from GE Capital for the year, and appliances is expected to close in the Q2.

As I said earlier, we applied for SIFI designation in March. Our application is quite strong. We've addressed all the FSOC concerns, which led to the original systemic designation, and we'll give you more updates as we learn more. Now I'd like to give you a sense for our dynamic in 2016. Most of the company is quite strong.

Specifically, we feel great about what we're seeing in aviation, healthcare, power and renewables. The results should be better than what we showed in December. In addition, we're investing the gains from the appliances business sale into incremental restructuring to achieve lower cost. At the same time, we see pressure in the oil and gas business. The team had a decent first quarter, particularly when you take into account foreign exchange.

However, we want to take a more conservative position on the year, posting revenue down 15% to 20% and operating profit down 30%. We will continue to outperform our competitors and capitalize on volatility. We've always said the value of GE is the strength of our portfolio, and we are reaffirming our $1.45 to $1.55 EPS framework for 2016. I also wanted to spike out our performance in Alstom, where we're expecting $0.05 EPS in 2016. We had solid performance in the Q1, dollars 3,000,000,000 of orders with renewed momentum, and I really like our opportunities for gas turbine balance of plant, HVDC and steam turbines.

In addition, taking a dedicated look at renewables is making us smarter and faster. We have massive potential to utilize the combined supply chain. Synergies were $100,000,000 in the Q1 on a path to $1,100,000,000 in the year. Segment operating profit is ahead of plan. Jeff will go through the segments, but big picture, this is working.

Now I would like to introduce Joe Mastrangelo. Joe leads our Gas Power Systems business. He can bring the awesome benefits to life and tell you how we're winning in the marketplace. Thanks, Jeff. I'll start with

Speaker 2

a quick market overview. Overall demand for gas power systems is steady and we forecast the market to be between 55 to 60 gigawatts for both heavy duty and aero gas turbines. Globally, we continue to see strong demand in North America and Asia with good growth in China. There are also pockets of country specific growth in the Middle East and Africa, both for utility scale and fast power applications. In addition, commercial activity is increasing in both Argentina and Mexico, driven by recent government reforms.

2016 is the production launch for the turbine platform and our team is ready to meet the challenge of shipping about 24 gas turbines this year. The industry continues to shift to the H or high efficiency technology. Last year, this accounted for 40% of the total industry orders and we expect that to rise to more than half of all gigawatts sold by 2020. Fast power demand can be lumpy from quarter to quarter and customers want megawatts online in months. Using aeroderivative gas turbines combined with Alstom expanded scope capability, plus local execution financing from the GE store, we have the ability to quickly go from customer need to power on the grid anywhere in the world.

Moving to Alstom, this is a great marriage of 2 technology portfolios, high performing gas turbines from GE and the highest efficiency steam tell technology from Alstom. We have industry leading fully integrated Power Island solution capability. Around 10% of our orders came from Alstom Technology in the Q1 and we are now quoting Alstom Steentails on every combined cycle opportunity. A big shift from pre Alstom where we sold Steentails less than 30% of the time. This is our single biggest growth opportunity in the near term and we expect strong 2016 orders that will convert into 2017 revenue.

In the Q1, we shipped 13 heavy duty gas turbines and our forecast is to ship 40 in the first half and 75 in the second half for 115 total year shipments. Right now, 101 of those turbines are in backlog and we see opportunities to potentially be better than our current forecast. The next page covers the platform launch. We are very pleased with progress on this program, both commercially where we continue to win in the marketplace and also on equipment performance, which is exceeding expectations. The H backlog continues to grow.

We will deliver about $2,000,000,000 of revenue this year with positive total year margin. Our integrated approach to the market translates into more equipment being sold per megawatt shipped. Alstom improves our steam turbines, generators and heat recovery steam generator performance, and it shows in our orders. In the first 200 days since the acquisition, we have already closed more than double the HRSG orders than Alstom did in the last 3 years combined. Our launch plan for EDF in France has set a world record output for both simple cycle and combined cycle configurations.

We're also on track to set another world record for combined cycle efficiency when this plant goes online in the middle of June. We continue to develop and introduce new models at record speed and during the Q1 we did a flawless validation of the 7 HA.02 gas turbine. This turbine performed better than our initial engineering models and our first units were shipped during the Q1. Exelon is another powerful example of the Alstom and GE combination. These two projects in Texas have 100% GE Power Island technology.

It wasn't sold that way because Alstom wasn't yet part of GE at the time, but bringing these teams together gives us the ability to de risk project execution and deliver stronger operating performance. The platform is one of the biggest product line launches in GE's history. The team is performing well and this technology is a key driver to both growth and profitability. Here are 3 great examples of projects that are improving both business profitability and delivering the lowest cost of electricity for our customers. The first example combines new technology with vertical integration on 3-dimensional compressor airfoils that improve the output and efficiency for the turbine.

We deliver a $12,000,000 annual cost savings, raise our supply chain capability and reduce production cycle time. The middle of the page highlights the power of the G Store. We brought together engineers from G Power, Alstom and the GRC who developed new high temperature material for our F Class fleet. It's less expensive and also improves gas turbine performance where higher temperatures equal better efficiency. Once again, new equipment cost electricity goes down while creating a new service upgrade opportunity.

Generators are an example of taking existing Allison technology and putting it into our product catalog instead of buying it from a third party. We not only lowered our cost position, but also improved performance and reliability. The next page looks at our 2016 margin profile. The will become profitable in 2Q at about the time we ship our 12th unit. We've taken over 30% of cost out of the turbine in our 1st year production.

Now let's put that into historical perspective. The 10th turbine shipment is equal to the 1 thousandth F class turbine shipped on a dollar per kilowatt basis. We are delivering higher performance for value with the combination of improved gas turbine output and Alstomstein technology. Here are 2 projects in the U. S.

The first one is TBA, which we closed in 2014, and our scope was just the gas turbine and the generator, which translated into a value of $178 per kilowatt for GE. Now fast forward to the Q1 of this year, where we closed an deal with PSEG. We sold the gas turbine and the generator and added in the Alstom steam tail highlighted in light blue. We more than double our dollars sold for the same amount of kilowatts delivered. Our customers get better value, in this case, an incremental $5,000,000 because the Power Island operates at improved efficiency.

This is very exciting. And now let me share with you one more thing, how our digital capability is improving our industrial performance. Take the 2 first circles. We are opening new design spaces and allowing our factory to produce smaller features and tighter tolerances with world class quality. We build the digital twin when we design the machine and direct link that model to advanced manufacturing technologies like 3 d printing and additive manufacturing.

This allows rapid prototyping and the ability to ramp up production faster. Then we test our equipment harder than it will ever operate in the field at our state of the art full load test facility. This is one of a kind capability in our industry. During testing, we have more than 7,000 data streams that capture more than 500 terabytes of data. That data goes back to our technology team to both validate designs and improve performance.

The blue circle is an example of this. It shows the first two stages of turbine blading that have thousands of small holes to allow the metal to safely operate above its melting point. We color the blades with thermal paint to validate the design performance on the test stand and now with our new MEDAM acquisition, we can rapidly prototype and bring into production new cooling hole configurations that optimize performance and efficiency. What once took years can now be accomplished in a matter of weeks. The far right circle shows how combining digital and industrial expertise delivers value.

The blue represents a compressor test and campaign compared to the orange, which 1 year of operating performance for a 537-7F gas turbine fleet. These results create an expanded operating space for our customers. We're moving up into the right can deliver up to $10,000,000 in incremental value. The data then becomes the basis for a Predix enabled application that allows our customers to maximize performance while operating the equipment safely. This page shows why the program launch is proceeding so smoothly, faster than we've ever done before, while continuously innovating our technology platform.

Thanks for listening and I'll turn it over to Jeff Bornstein.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Joe. I'll start with the Q1 summary. Revenues were $27,800,000,000 up 6% in the quarter. Industrial revenues were up 7% to 25 $1,000,000,000 You can see on the right side that industrial segments were up 6% reported and down 1% organic. Alstom revenue in the quarter was $2,800,000,000 Industrial operating plus verticals EPS was $0.21 up 5%.

That includes $0.05 of net restructuring this year versus $0.03 a year ago. If you look at the box at the bottom of the page, we provided the V percent adjusted for industrial gains and restructuring. Excluding those impacts in both years, industrial EPS was up 5% and industrial plus vertical EPS was up 14%. The operating EPS number of $0.06 includes other continuing GE Capital activity, including headquarter runoff and other exit related items that I'll cover on the GE Capital page. Continuing EPS of $0.02 includes the impact of non operating pension and net EPS of $0.01 loss includes discontinued operations.

The total disc ops impact was a charge of $300,000,000 in the quarter, driven by GE Capital exit costs. As Jeff said, we generated $7,900,000,000 of CFOA in the quarter, up from $1,300,000,000 in the Q1 of 2015, driven by increased dividend from GE Capital. Industrial CFOA was $400,000,000 down 60%. There were 2 big drivers of the year over year decline. First, Alstom used about $400,000,000 of cash in the quarter, and this is primarily timing.

Consistent with what we've said previously, we expect Alstom to be breakeven to slightly positive on CFOA for the year. 2nd, as you're aware, we have a very second half loaded volume profile driven by power. As a result, we began level loading the factories, which has resulted in higher inventory in the quarter. The GE tax rate was 17% and the GE Capital tax rate was 36%, which for GE Capital reflects a tax benefit on a pre tax continuing loss. On the right side of the segment results, as I mentioned, Industrial segment revenues were up 6% reported and down 1% organically.

Foreign exchange translation of $544,000,000 was a 2 point headwind as was lost revenue from dispositions of $542,000,000 Those impacts were more than offset by $2,800,000,000 of revenue from Alstom. As Jeff mentioned, foreign exchange had a significant impact on segment op profit this quarter. In total, we had $255,000,000 headwind driven by $33,000,000 of FX translation and $223,000,000 of foreign exchange transactional impacts from re measurement and mark to market on open hedges. Traditionally, re measurement and mark to market have been de minimis. For example, in all of 2015, it was about $30,000,000 and for 2014, it was less than $5,000,000 for the year.

It's unusual for us to have this big of an impact, which is why we're calling it out here this quarter. This outsized impact in the quarter was driven by significant movements in certain currencies versus prior quarter. For example, the weakening of the pound sterling, the strengthening of the Japanese yen and the strengthening of the Brazilian riyas. These impacts were principally felt in power and oil and gas given the global nature of those businesses and also was a driver as well given their broad global footprint. It's important to note that we are economically hedged and the remeasurement mark to market impacts are just timing.

The underlying transactions for which these hedges were put in place will occur in sales and costs over the coming quarters And the net impact of the hedge and the underlying transaction will be roughly 0 over the life of the contract. So again, the $223,000,000 of FX movement will flow back to earnings over time. On the right side of the page, you'll see the Industrial segment op profit was down 7% reported and down 4% organically. The organic number of 4% excludes the effects of acquisitions and dispositions and FX translation only. Excluding the impacts of transactional FX, as I just discussed, organic segment profit was up 2% in

Speaker 3

the quarter.

Speaker 4

Next on industrial other items for the quarter, we had $0.05 of charges related to industrial restructuring and other items that were taken at corporate. Charges were $686,000,000 on a pre tax basis with $164,000,000 of those charges related to Alstom synergy investments, deal costs and accounting items. We also had a gain of $59,000,000 pre tax related to the sale of our space at 30 Rock, which netted to less than a penny impact. At the bottom of the page, you can see the profile for the year. We expect gains and restructuring to largely offset, but with quarterly variability and timing.

As you know, we signed the appliance transaction, which we expect to contribute about $0.20 of gain in the 2nd quarter. In the second half, we have asset management disposition and some smaller transactions that will contribute an additional $0.05 bringing total year gains to approximately $0.25 This allows us to significantly restructure our cost and will make us more competitive in 2017 and beyond. Next, I'll go through the segments starting with Power. The Power business had a very strong orders quarter. Total orders $5,600,000,000 were up 66%, including $1,500,000,000 of Alstom orders.

Excluding Alstom, orders were up 23% to $4,200,000,000 with equipment orders higher by 57% and services higher by 11%. Equipment order strength was driven by Gas Power Systems where we took orders for 25 gas turbines versus 21 a year ago, including an additional 6 H turbines. We also had orders for 7 steam turbines for combined cycle versus 0 a year ago. The U. S.

Was strong accounting for 73 percent of orders value and international was also strong up 21%. Our 8 unit backlog stands at 35 after receiving orders for 6 new units and shipping our first four units. Alstom steam orders totaled $300,000,000 in the quarter. We took an order for 1 steam turbine and a turbo generator for coal application. In conjunction with GE Gas Turbine, Alstom also took orders for 5 additional HRSGs.

Core GE Services grew orders 11% on strength and power services, up 17%. Total upgrades were 52 versus 49 last year, including orders for 25 AGPs, higher by 9 from last year. In addition to AGPs, we're seeing higher demand for other upgrades like dry low NOx and flange to flange upgrades. Alstom Services booked $1,000,000,000 of orders, including 22 steam turbine retrofits. In total, backlog ended at $78,000,000,000 Excluding Alstom, backlog ended at $63,000,000,000 with $9,000,000,000 of equipment up 51% and services of $54,000,000,000 up 7%.

Revenue of $5,200,000,000 was up 13% with equipment down 24% and services up 40%. Excluding Alstom, revenues were down 18% driven by equipment revenue down 48% on 26 fewer gas turbine shipments and 35 fewer generators as we expected. Services excluding Alstom grew revenues 5%, driven by power services up 7%. Upgrades were 54 this year versus 55 a year ago, including 27 AGPs, which was 6 higher. Our profit excluding Alstom was $547,000,000 in the quarter, down 28% on the lower gas turbine volume, negative cost leverage and negative currency.

This was partly offset by services growth. In the quarter, we had $48,000,000 of currency drag, mostly from transactional foreign exchange, principally on the euro and the yen. We expect these transactional hedges to reverse over time. Alstom contributed op profit of $26,000,000 in the quarter, including the effects of purchase accounting and currency. Transactional FX for Alstom was a $33,000,000 headwind.

1st quarter results were as expected and as Joe mentioned, reflect the timing of our gas turbine volume for 2016, which is heavily second half loaded. We continue to win with the H turbine, including pulling through Alstom steam, generators and HRSGs. We expect to deliver 115 plus gas turbines this year with 101 in backlog and we will continue to drive H margins throughout the year. We're on plan for Alstom synergies for the year of about 800,000,000 dollars Next is renewables. Our orders in the quarter were $2,000,000,000 up 110% in the quarter.

Orders were higher by 86%, excluding Alstom. Our core wind business took orders for 7 11 wind turbines versus 3.70 6 a year ago. U. S. Orders were very strong, up 144 percent, including an order for 96 units that slipped from the 4th quarter.

Orders for the new 2.x and 3.x products accounted for almost 70% of our unit orders. Alstom Renewable orders were $225,000,000 driven by hydro with orders in China, Laos and the U. S. Total backlog of $12,400,000,000 includes $5,000,000,000 contributed by Alstom. Core backlog of $7,400,000,000 grew 43%.

Revenue in the quarter of $1,700,000,000 was higher by 62% with the core business up 34%. The core business shipped 6 16 turbines versus 4 72 last year. About half of the shipped units were the new 2. X product. Alstom revenues of $295,000,000 were principally attributable to Hydro.

Operating profit in the quarter totaled $83,000,000 inclusive of $91,000,000 from the core business and an $8,000,000 loss from Alstom. Core profitability was driven by higher volume and a termination payment that was more than offset by 2.x launch costs and negative foreign exchange. The quarter was a good start to the year with strong order growth and execution in both the legacy and the Alstom segments. We continue to expect the business to ship about 3,050 wind turbines in 2016 with about 100 coming from Alstom versus the 250 we originally guided and 150 more from GE. The business is on track to deliver over 100,000,000 of Alstom synergies for the year.

Next is Aviation. Aviation continues to perform well as does the market. Global passenger air travel from February year to date grew 8%, its strongest performance since 2,008. Both domestic and international routes saw robust growth. Airfreight volumes contracted about 1.6% through February.

Aviation orders in the quarter were $6,600,000,000 down 12%. Equipment orders were down 35% to $2,600,000,000 dollars as we expected. We booked $1,700,000,000 of commercial equipment orders, including $800,000,000 of LEAP CFM, dollars 400,000,000 of GE90 and about $100,000,000 of Gen X orders. Military equipment was higher by 91% on large naval orders. Service orders grew 13% to $4,000,000,000 on spares up 2%, repairs up 10% and CSAs up 34%.

Services backlog grew 11% versus the Q1 of last year. Revenues in the quarter of $6,300,000,000 were up 10% with equipment higher by 2%. The business shipped 53 Gen X units versus 51 last year. Service revenue grew 17% with spares up 6% and strengthened commercial services and military. Operating profit in the quarter was higher by 16% on services volume and cost productivity and operating profit margins expanded 110 basis points.

Aviation had another solid quarter. The LEAP launch remains on track and we expect to ship 15 to 20 units in the Q2 and about 110 engines for the year. We've now accumulated more than 19,000 cycles on the LEAP engine and all the engines were performing well and all were meeting their fuel specifications. Next is oil and gas. We're operating in an incredibly difficult environment.

In the Q1, U. S. Onshore rig counts were down another 27% from year end and down 72% from the 2014 peak. U. S.

Well counts are down 64% versus the Q1 of 2015 and CapEx and investment decisions continue to be pushed out in virtually every segment. We continue to be focused on the things we can control, principally on cost and competitiveness. Orders in the quarter were down 44% with equipment orders down 70%. Every segment saw significantly lower equipment orders. Subsea was down 83%, TMS was down 92%, surface was up 43% and downstream was down 14%.

Service orders were down 19% in total with all segments also declining. TMS was down 4%, surface 28%, subsea 57%, downstream 23% and digital solutions were down 5%. Not included in orders, but included in backlog, we signed the CSA contract with Diamond Offshore. The deal covers 4 BOP sets and was done in conjunction with our energy financing business. Backlog ended the quarter at $22,600,000,000 down 1% from the 4th quarter.

Equipment backlog totaled $8,800,000,000 down 7% from last year and service backlog totaled $13,800,000,000 up 3% from last year. Revenue in the quarter was down 18%, down 14% organically. Equipment revenues were down 23%, 18% organically driven by service down 45%, TMS down 23%, Subsea down 26% and downstream grew revenue 14%. Service revenues were down 13%, down 9% organic, with all segments lower with the exception of TMS, which grew revenue 6% organically in the quarter. Operating profit of $308,000,000 was down 37% and down 31% organically.

The business delivered approximately $140,000,000 of cost actions, which was more than offset by lower volume, price and foreign exchange. Foreign exchange in the quarter was a $95,000,000 headwind driven by FX associated translation of $25,000,000 and transactional FX of $70,000,000 In an extremely tough market, the team will continue to drive cost and market share. We are on track to deliver against the $800,000,000 cost target. Our restructuring investment will likely increase from $350,000,000 to about $500,000,000 to achieve the benefits as lower volume will offset some of the realization. The increased restructuring is within the restructuring framework we've been sharing with you.

As Jeff mentioned, given the difficult market and how orders have started the year, we are now planning oil and gas operating profit down approximately 30% in 2016. We expect strength elsewhere in the portfolio and aggressive corporate cost management to maintain our plan. No change in guidance of the $1.45 to 1 $0.55 Next up is Healthcare, which had a very strong quarter. Orders in the quarter of $4,200,000,000 were up 5% organic and 1% reported. Geographically, orders grew 3% in the United States, 14% in China, 4% in Europe and 2% in Asia Pacific, partially offset by weakness in Latin America, which was down 12%, principally driven by Brazil.

In terms of business lines, Healthcare Systems grew orders 5% organically and 2% reported with strength in the U. S. Driven by strong CT growth of 26% on increased traction on the new Evolution CT launch and 16% growth in the ultrasound business. Organically, China was up 12% and Europe grew 6% with broad growth across the region. Our life science business was up 7% organically with strength in both bioprocess up 7% and core imaging higher by 10%.

Healthcare revenues of $4,200,000,000 were up 3% reported and up 6% organically. Healthcare Systems grew revenue 4% organic, 1% reported and Life Sciences grew 13% organically and 6% reported. Operating profit was up 7% reported, up 10% organically. Strong productivity and volume growth offset price and NPI digital spending and margins improved in the quarter 70 basis points. The business is beginning to deliver on the growth from NPI investments we've made and its restructuring to deliver lower products and service costs.

The business is on track to meet or exceed the framework we shared with you and investors in March. Next, transportation continues to face a very tough domestic market. Commodity carloads in the Q1 were down 12%, driven by coal down 31% and petroleum products were down 17%. Intermodal grew modestly, up 1%. Orders for the quarter of $653,000,000 were down 56% as we expected.

Equipment orders were weak, down 89%. Service orders were down 3% organically and down 18% reported, principally driven by lower local parts. Backlog ended at $21,100,000,000 that's down 2% from the end of the year. Revenues in the quarter were down 25%, driven by lower equipment revenues. The business shipped 156 Locos in the Q1 versus 215 last year.

Service revenues were flat excluding the sale of signaling. Operating profit of $164,000,000 was down 27%, down 22% organically, driven by lower volume and variable cost productivity, partially offset by strong deflation and structural cost takeout. Base costs were lower by 13%. Our profit margins contracted 50 basis points in the quarter. The team continues to aggressively drive product and service costs as well as structural cost out given the volume challenges they faced this year.

We still expect to ship approximately 800 Locos in 2016 and our outlook for the year remains unchanged. Energy connection to orders totaled $2,700,000,000 in the quarter, up 27%. Organically orders were down 13%, driven by power conversion down 20% on weakness in oil and gas, partly offset by strength in renewables. Industrial Solutions was down 7% organically on weakness in the North American market. Grid orders were $1,250,000,000 in the quarter and backlog finished the quarter at $11,900,000,000 of which Grid Solutions contributed $8,400,000,000 Revenues in the quarter of $2,300,000,000 were up 34% reported.

Organic revenues were down 6%. Grid Solutions revenues totaled $1,100,000,000 Operating profit was a loss of $85,000,000 The core business of Industrial Solutions and Power Conversion recorded a loss of $47,000,000 driven by lower oil and gas volume, higher digital investment and lost earnings from the sale of our embedded business in 2015. SG and A was down 8% in the quarter. Grid Solutions recorded a loss of $38,000,000 driven by $20,000,000 of operational earnings offset by $40,000,000 of purchase accounting charges and $23,000,000 of transactional foreign exchange. Alstom synergies in the quarter were ahead of plan and their business is on track for the year to deliver over $200,000,000 of synergies.

We feel good about the progress we're making in integrating Digital Energy and Alstom Grid. Overall, Energy Connections had a challenging quarter, but we expect the results to improve over the year beginning in the Q2. We're investing to make this segment more competitive and to improve profitability. We like these businesses for the long term. Next, Appliances and Lighting.

We remain on track for a 2Q closing for our sale of appliances to Hy Air. Hy Air shareholders approved the transaction on March 31. In the quarter, segment revenue grew 3% with appliances revenue growth of 8% on strong industry volume, which is up 7%, including strength in both retail up 6% and contract up 9%. Lighting revenue was lower by 6% organically, driven by continued strength in LED offset by contraction in the legacy lighting business. Segment profit of $115,000,000 was higher by 13% driven by the strength in appliances on strong productivity and commodity deflation.

The last segment I'll cover is GE Capital. Our verticals businesses are in $496,000,000 this quarter. That's up 43% from prior year, driven by higher gains, better operations, partially offset by lower tax benefits and impairments. Portfolio quality continues to remain stable. Other continuing operations generated a $1,400,000,000 loss in the quarter, principally driven by excess interest expense, the expense associated with the Q1 2016 $4,000,000,000 hybrid tender, headquarter operating costs restructuring and other charges related to GE Capital Transformation, including the costs associated with the preferred equity exchange, which we also executed earlier in the quarter.

To date, we've incurred $22,600,000,000 of costs related to the GE Capital exit plan and we remain on track versus our $23,000,000,000 estimate. Discontinued operations incurred a loss of $300,000,000 in the quarter, largely driven by marks on held for sale assets. Overall, GE Capital reported a $1,200,000,000 loss in the quarter. We ended the quarter with $127,000,000,000 of E and I excluding liquidity with the verticals at $78,000,000,000 of E and I. Liquidity at the end of the first quarter was $106,000,000,000 Our Basel III Tier 1 common ratio was 14.5%, which is flat from year end after paying dividends of $7,500,000,000 during the quarter.

The timing of dividends for the rest of the year is dependent on the timing of deal closures, but we expect to pay roughly half of the $18,000,000,000 we've targeted in the first half of the year and the remainder in the second half. Asset sales remain ahead of plan. And during the quarter, we closed $42,000,000,000 of transactions, including $28,000,000,000 related to Wells Fargo sale, bringing the total closed transactions through the end of the quarter to $146,000,000,000 to date. In addition, we signed agreements for an additional $9,000,000,000 in the first quarter, bringing total signings to $166,000,000,000 to date. Our price to tangible book on deals signed to date is 1.3x tangible book and we're on track for the 1.1x price to tangible book that we estimated a year ago.

What is left to sign is primarily outside the U. S. With our country platforms in France and Italy and the execution of our IPO of the Czech Bank. We expect to have a small balance of assets left through year end. Overall, Keith and the GE Capital team have executed ahead of schedule and on all aspects of the plan we shared with you 1 year ago.

We expect to be largely completed with the asset sales by 2016. On March 31, we filed a request to the FSOC for the rescission of GE Capital's designation in Mississippi. The filing demonstrates that GE Capital substantially reduced its risk profile and is significantly less interconnected to the financial system or does not pose any threat to the U. S. Financial system.

We hope to complete the de designation process as soon as possible. With that, I'll turn it back to Jeff.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Jeff. Our operating framework remains on track. We expect operating EPS to be $1.45 to $1.55 We're remixing the industrial content and all other dynamics remain on track. Cash performance has improved slightly based on the appliances disposition that we expect to complete in the Q2. Overall, free cash flow and dispositions will equal $29,000,000,000 to $32,000,000,000 and we expect to return $26,000,000,000 to investors in buyback and dividends.

The GE model is producing for investors in this volatile economy. The strength of our portfolio will deliver strong EPS and cash growth. We're executing well with Alstom. Before we end, I wanted to give you a sense for how we have aligned the team's compensation with investors. For 2016, our AEIP goals, in essence, our internal plan is above this framework.

And for 2016 to 2018, our LTIP ties to the 3 year EPS and capital allocation walk we showed you at the outlook meeting. I feel great about our strategy, execution and the strength of our business model. Matt, now over to you for questions.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Jeff. Now I'll ask the operator to open the lines up for questions.

Speaker 1

Our first question is from Scott Davis with Barclays.

Speaker 5

Hi, good morning guys.

Speaker 3

Hey, Scott.

Speaker 5

I know this might be tough to answer and this is for Jeff Bornstein, but give us a sense at least of what is the feedback in the process on this SIPI designation? I mean, do you just apply and then wait for a ruling or is there some sort of conversations through the process where you can get a sense of where you stand?

Speaker 4

Yes, Scott. So we're the first through the process, okay. So I wouldn't say there's a ton of definition around how the process should work per se. We are in discussions with the FSOC. They've got our paper.

We will walk them through the tenants of our paper. We're in process of doing that over the next couple of weeks. And then we expect to get a response from the FSOC around the request, and we hope that happens sooner rather than later.

Speaker 3

I would only add to that, Scott, two things. One is, if you look at the reason for the designation, our proposal aligns with that in terms of why we don't think we're systemic today. And the other one is just mining what's been said in public. I think people want to see the process work. In other words, I think they want to see that people can come out of SIFI designation just like they can come in.

And that's just really parroting what people on the FSOC have said.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Julian Mitchell with Credit Suisse.

Speaker 6

Hi, good morning.

Speaker 3

Hey Julian.

Speaker 6

Hey, just a question on the segment sort of margin bridge that you laid out. If you look last year as a whole, you take the cost productivity and gross margin plus the SG and A simplification. That was about a 60 bps tailwind to margins all in. This quarter, it was a negative of 20 bps. So I wondered if there was just some timing on specific productivity measures or if there's something sort of larger going on that explains why the productivity contribution was so muted in Q1?

Speaker 4

Yes. I think the page that Jeff walked through, we showed cost productivity and gross margins as a 40 basis point drag. I think what you get to I talked about the effect of re measurement in marks and foreign exchange when I went through results. A lot of that finds itself in gross margins. If you adjust for that, cost productivity was actually up 40 basis points and that's how you get to 80 basis points of gross margins excluding the effects of that foreign exchange.

And I didn't say it earlier, but when we look at how those marks and remeasurements peel off over the year against the contracts that they're hedging, about 2 thirds of that of those contracts settle up in the form of cash in the year. So we would expect 2 thirds of what we took as a charge here in the Q1 to come back within the year. So that's why the cost productivity line was a negative 40 basis points, but for exchange it would have been a plus 40 basis points.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Andrew Kaplowitz with Citigroup.

Speaker 7

Good morning, guys. Hey, Andrew. So service was up 4% year over year, which is a modest improvement from last quarter is 3%. It looks like your momentum in power services and aviation is increasing. Is there any way to parse out how much of the relatively strong growth is coming from your digital initiative?

Jeff, you said in the past that you're expecting to get an additional couple of points from digital on service over time. Can you talk about the sustainability of the services momentum, especially as you just rolled out Predix?

Speaker 3

Again, I still expect in backlog that you're going to start seeing this flow through. AGPs will be up year over year and we had some good wins in both the rail business and the transportation business for the year. I think when you look at orders growing by 29%, we think some of that is going to start echoing through into the run rate of the service business in the second half of this year into 'seventeen and 'eighteen. So I still fully expect along with the service leaders in the business to have organic services growth at 5% or greater as we look at 2016 and beyond.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Joe Ritchie with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 8

Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Speaker 3

Hey, Joe.

Speaker 8

So maybe my one question on oil and gas. Clearly, the environment is not great. I felt Lorenzo did a great job last year of maintaining margins in a very difficult environment, but you've seen this step down in decrementals in the Q1. I guess maybe can you parse some of that out? Is it how much of it is FX oriented?

How much is it the pieces of your business like turbo and the offshore business not doing well enough. Can you parse out what really is driving the decrementals?

Speaker 4

Yes. So a couple of thoughts here. So in the quarter let's start with the results in the quarter. So they reported $308,000,000 of operating margin in the quarter. That included roughly about $90,000,000 of negative FX, okay.

So and again, as I said earlier, a big part of that FX we do expect to come back during the year. When you think about the step to down 30%, it's we're seeing it tougher across all our segments, but it tends to be very concentrated in our surface business. In North America, we got a big step down there versus our original expectation and a bit in our subsea business. The rest of the business, whether it's Turbomachinery, Downstream or the OM and C business we call digital today, Those businesses are not that far off the framework we built when we guided you to 10% to 15%. It's really around subsea and surface.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Steven Winoker with Bernstein.

Speaker 5

Thanks and good morning all. Since we have a special guest today as well, it'd be helpful to get a better sense on the Alstom backlog. To what extent when we also look to the additional risk in the K on engineering and construction risk and all of that, to what extent is that backlog now something you've gone over every single project in excruciating detail have very high levels of conviction on the risk front? And how should we think about that playing out going forward?

Speaker 4

Yes, Steve, I'll start and then Joe can weigh in on the piece of the backlog that he knows. So we have been going through those contracts in extraordinarily amount of detail. We're deeply through it. We're not completely done. I've told the team we want to be completely wrapped here in the Q2, so we can lock down purchase accounting.

As you would expect, there are some challenges in those contracts around the timing of cash flows and how we forecast revenue to go, how we forecast cost to go. And you've seen some of that in the purchase accounting. But I would say, generally speaking, we are very close to done. And I think in the Power business that Joe can talk to, I think we're in very good shape and we have a deep and good understanding of where we are. Joe?

Speaker 2

Thanks, Jeff. The only thing I would add more on the operational side is the team in Power, they've done a really good job at how they've managed the projects and we see this as an opportunity to grow for the future. I mean, the capability that we've gained around the world on complex expanded scope projects, I think is one of the catalysts for us to keep growing. And we're through our backlog in Gas Power Systems and see that the team does a great job executing projects.

Speaker 3

I mean, Steve, I would say we've underwritten Alstom with no growth synergies at all. We're clearly going to blow that away, okay? I just think, as Joe went through, HSRGs, grid, things like that. But I would also say even in I just got back from a week or so in Asia, even in steam power, there's going to be opportunities for GE as we look at the future. So I think that's the way I think about it, is locking down the cost, what Jeff and Joe talked about.

We didn't underwrite any revenue synergies at all. And I think that's going to be the icing on the cake as we go forward.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Deane Dray with RBC Capital Markets.

Speaker 8

Thank you. Good morning. I just want to follow-up on the oil and gas question because it certainly there's been some speculation regarding your potential interest in adding more oil and gas assets at this point. And then a quick one for Jeff Borenstein, update on the cadence of buybacks at $18,000,000,000 How does that sequence out for the balance of the year?

Speaker 3

Hey, Dean, I'll take the first part of that one. Look, we like for the long term, the oil and gas segment. We're going to look at adding to it if it makes sense. We think there's a bunch of different segments in the oil and gas business that are attractive as we look at it today. But it's got to make sense in the context of the world we see today and not the rosiest of projections as it pertains to the future.

So we're going to be a disciplined buyer when we look at the assets in the oil and gas segment. Jeff, how about the second part of the question?

Speaker 4

Yes. So the way we've planned it out, as you saw in the cash flow walk that Jeff took you through, we bought $6,100,000,000 worth of stock back to the Q1. Our plan is to buy back roughly 50% in the first half, 50% in the second half. And that's how we're still planning for the dividends to flow from GE Capital. No change versus what we suggested we would do.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Jeffrey Sprague with Vertical Research Partners.

Speaker 9

Thank you. Good morning, everyone.

Speaker 3

Hey, Jeff.

Speaker 9

Hey. Just wanted to make sure I have my arms around kind of the all in industrial OP. I assume kind of the $19,000,000,000 plus for the year is still a decent number given that the overall framework hasn't changed. But given all the so I guess if you could address that, but given all the moving parts, anything we should be aware of here in Q2 and just making sure we've got this dialed correctly, the h launch leap is coming up. I know you don't want to get into precise Q2 guidance, but a little bit of help there would be good, I think.

Speaker 3

Again, I think, Jeff, I would consider the remixing on the industrial segments to be more or less washout as you go through the puts and takes on 2Q, Jeff. I don't know, do you want to spike We have

Speaker 4

a few things. So we expect to close appliances in June. So you'll see the gain associated with appliances, let's say, roughly $0.20 a share. We expect to do about $0.11 of restructuring in the 2nd quarter as we stand here today. And I think the margin rate in the 2nd quarter based on LEAP, both launch and initial shipments and H, we'll get better sequentially every quarter on H cost.

I think margin rate will be a little bit of a challenge in the 2nd quarter. No change on how we think about it for the year. We talked about 50 basis points of improvement in the core business or the ex Alstom business, I should say. No change in view on that. But the Q2 could be a little bit challenged with what we got going on with the LEAP DH and the wind launch on 2.x and 3.x.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

Speaker 3

Hi, good morning.

Speaker 4

Hey, Andrew.

Speaker 3

Hey, as we think about your organic guidance for the year of 2% to 4%, what would it take to get to 2% versus 4% And is 4 achievable in this environment? Thank you. Well, I'm not going to I think the hypotheticals are always stuff to stay away from. I think the guy the reason why we had Joe here today is that in many ways, this is the answer to your question. I mean, I think you got the right product at the right time, well executed, tough comps in the first half, strong comps in the second.

And I think if we run the play in gas turbines, it's going to lead us to an organic revenue for the company that's 5%, let's say, in the second half and a range that's 2% to 4% for the year. So I think that was the reason really why we had, Andrew, why we had Joe here today is that this really is the plus and the minus, if you will, on the year. And I feel good about how we're executing in the Power business.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Shannon O'Callaghan with UBS.

Speaker 9

Good morning.

Speaker 3

Hey, Shannon.

Speaker 9

Hey, can we maybe try to quantify a little bit more what the total margin impact is this year from these development programs, I mean, from the or the launch programs, call them, I guess, the H, the 2.X, 3.X and the LEAP. What's the total kind of margin impact in 'sixteen? How should we think about that in 'seventeen, at least some kind of ballpark idea of that?

Speaker 4

I don't think we've gone through that. Here's what we've said, Shannon, is notwithstanding the challenge that those present to us from a margin perspective. We're despite that through all the investment we've made around restructuring, SG and A costs, the focus on supply chain that we're going to overcome those costs and grow margins roughly 50 basis points in the year ex Alstom. As we move through to 2017, we expect to be in a very different place on H costs. We think H will be really accretive in 2017 versus 2016.

We expect to get deeper down the curve on the LEAP engine as volume ramps in 2017 versus 2016. And we expect to be in a better spot certainly around wind, both the 2.x. 2.x is the most important product in 2017 versus 2016. So we haven't detailed out by product exactly what that is. But everything else we're doing around trying to change the cost footprint of this company and around product and service costs within gross margins and running a better supply chain is going to provide us enough headwind to grow margins notwithstanding those incremental costs on those products.

Speaker 3

So Shannon, we have a product cost council that's led by Jeff and Vicabate and Philippe Couche. We're tracking all our products as they go through the system. There's a lot because for instance, as LEAP comes in, GNX keeps going down the learning curve. So we have a flow of products that are going on inside the company. And I think we just have line of sight to how the in totality, we're going to generate improvement year over year.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Nigel Coe with Morgan Stanley.

Speaker 10

Thanks. Good morning. So my initial question was whether the mix of the guidance for the full year is unchanged. It sounds like that's not the case. It sounds like it's very much in line despite the oil and gas down.

So maybe just to confirm that. But I did want to ask Joel a question on the H as well. Clearly, the thermal efficiency for the H compared to Siemens and the Swooshy is 1, 2 points better, which is huge. But how do you maintain that advantage going forward? I mean, what is the development path for the H from here?

And how do you think about the price versus market share dynamic here? Are you planning to monetize this with price? Or do you at this point, do you want to drive market share?

Speaker 2

Nigel, where I'd start off is I'd say in 2 years, we've gone from single digit to 40% share of the space. So the technology we have today plays well in the marketplace because the customers get the incremental value both on the output and the efficiency side. As I talked about on my last page, the key for us and everything that we're doing around digital, industrial, fast works, we now can develop technology on these gas turbines on a continuous basis where this was discrete in the past and you would do a move every 5 or 10 years, we're doing this continuously. We've already done 4 models on the gas turbine today and there's a roadmap to continue to push the thermal efficiency above 62 percent and our plan is to get it to 65%. And we see that both from what we can do on the gas turbine and what we bring in from Alstom on the combined cycle basis.

And that's the roadmap we have to stay ahead of the competition.

Speaker 3

I'd say, Nigel, I would echo what Joe said. The Alstom pieces, I think, give us a window that's greater than what we had anticipated even before we completed the deal, which I think is quite a positive. And then, Jeff, I think the first question was there's no change on really the mix on gross margin. So I think just to nail that one, I think, Nigel, even with oil and gas, I don't think we see

Speaker 4

Yes, I didn't understand that that was the question. But yes, mid-twenty, we're not going to be able to see the launch for the year with the launches, but that's all wrapped up in our 50 basis point margin improvement.

Speaker 1

And our final question comes from Robert McCarthy with Stifel.

Speaker 11

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for fitting in. Hey, it looks like overnight you did about $100,000,000 deal for Daintree Networks in Australia, and basically in the network lighting space. And part of the rationale for at least from Daintree standpoint, they're very excited about the Predix opportunity for lighting controls. Maybe you could talk a little bit about is this the change of the margin in terms of how you're thinking about investing in that business?

Speaker 10

I think the way I would

Speaker 3

look at this, Rob, is this was a system deal that allows us in kind of the LED space to do a better job with controls. So I would view this as kind of a one off from the standpoint of this was just a very unique technology that had a very good fit with doing these systems. Now kind of what Jeff said in the past, so what Beth and the rest of the team has said, we're going to get this year some very big LED orders from commercial real estate people and things like that. So we're going to be at a run rate that's substantially over $1,000,000,000 but the Daintree control fit is really to allow us to build a system. And this was a classic make versus buy call that just allows us to accelerate fast.

Speaker 4

It's absolutely a critical component to making these things work, no question.

Speaker 2

Okay. A couple of quick announcements. The replay of our webcast will be available this afternoon on our investor website. Our 2016 Shareholders Meeting will be next Wednesday in Jacksonville, Florida. Jeff, you're going to present at the EPG Conference on May 18.

And we're also going to hold the GE Digital Investor Day on June 23rd out in San Ramon, California. Thanks for joining today's webcast.

Speaker 1

This concludes your conference call. Thank you for your participation today. You may now disconnect.

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