Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the General Electric 4th Quarter 2013 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. My name is Frances, and I'll be your conference coordinator for today. If you experience issues with the slides refreshing or there appear to be delays in the slide advancement, please hit F5 on your keyboard to refresh. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the program over to your host for today's conference, Trevor Schomburg, Vice President of Investor Communications. Please proceed.
Thank you, Francis. Good morning and welcome everyone. We are pleased to host today's Q4 and total year 2013 earnings webcast. Regarding the materials to this webcast, we issued the press release and the presentation earlier this morning. Slides are available on our website, www.gea.com/investor.
As always, elements of this presentation are forward looking and are based on our best view of the world and our businesses as we see them today. Those elements can change as the world changes, please interpret them in that light. For today's webcast, we have our Chairman and CEO, Jeff Immelt and our Senior Vice President and CFO, Jeff Bornstein and our new IR leader, Matt Kribbons. Now I'd like to turn it over to our Chairman and CEO, Jeff Immelt.
Thanks, Trevor, and good morning, everybody. Hey, look, the company had a good 4th quarter in a generally improving environment. Orders grew by 8% and our backlog is an all time high at 244,000,000,000 dollars Growth market orders grew by 13% and the U. S. Expanded by 8% and Europe grew by 3%.
So pretty broad based growth and industrial organic growth was up 5% for the quarter. We earned $0.53 per share in the quarter, up 20%. Our industrial earnings growth was up 12% with 6 of 7 segments growing. Capital earned $2,500,000,000 including some tax efficient gains as we exited Global Platforms. And we're able to pull forward $0.05 of industrial restructuring, partially offset by $0.03 of gain.
So this is more than we expected and will give us some more cost out in 2014. We continue to run the company well. Margins grew by 100 basis points in the quarter and 60 basis for the year. This actually reflects 66 basis points before the impact of acquisitions. Our value gap was exceptionally strong and we reduced structural cost by $1,600,000,000 for the year.
We generated $17,400,000,000 of CFOA and the year with $89,000,000,000 of consolidated cash. We allocated the cash in a value creating way. We returned $18,200,000,000 through dividends and buyback. We completed $9,000,000,000 of M and A primarily in Oil and Gas and Aviation and these businesses are delivering for investors. So overall, this was a good quarter for GE and positions us to deliver in 2014 and beyond.
Our orders for the quarter were about $31,000,000,000 a record. We also ended the year with a record high backlog of $244,000,000,000 We had growth in both equipment and services. There was real strength in power and water. We ended the year with 125 orders for heavy duty gas turbines. Powergen services grew by 9%, which was actually 16% excluding Europe.
And recently, our gains were broad based. The U. S. Continued to rebound growing 8%. For the total year, orders grew by 8% and backlog grew by $34,000,000,000 Aviation orders reflect our record backlog for equipment, but at the same time, aviation services continues to be very strong.
Orders for oil and gas equipment are always lumpy, but orders year to date are up 8%, and we're encouraged by the orders price performance in oil and gas. We built a big backlog in energy management, which should help in 2014 and transportation is being impacted by a weak mining market. Orders pricing was in line with our expectations. We saw pricing pressure in heavy duty gas turbines mainly based on regional mix. But on balance, we expect to continue to drive a positive value gap in 2014.
Our growth initiatives continued to deliver results. Growth market revenue was up 10% in the quarter. Growth was pretty broad based. 6 of 9 regions were up by double digits and we continue to build out our growth market presence. For service, 6% revenue growth was the best quarterly result in 2013.
Highlights include 54 advanced gas paths. Aviation spares grew by 17%. Oil and Gas Services grew by 17%. We launched another 14 productivity offerings in the 4th quarter and our dollars per installed base grew by 5% in the quarter. We continue to win in the market.
The Dubai Air Show resulted in $40,000,000,000 of wins. The Revolution CT is rapidly becoming the industry standard. We're the only locomotive competitor with both the Tier 4 diesel and LNG offering in test and we continue to build out service technology around our oil and gas installed base. At our outlook meeting, we set a target of 4% to 7% organic growth for 2014 and with a huge backlog and strong growth initiatives that looks achievable. For margins, we have a pretty good story on margins, growing 100 basis points in the quarter.
We finished the year up 66 basis points on an organic basis. We had an internal plan that was well above 70 basis points, but were impacted by supply chain quality issues and wind and some energy management project delays. By business, we had positive operating leverage year over year and margin expansion in 6 of 7 businesses. Big drivers of our margin expansion were simplification and value gap. In 2013, we achieved $1,600,000,000 of simplification benefits and our value gap was about $900,000,000 In addition, we were able to do more 4th quarter restructuring, which will fortify our margin goals in 2014.
On one other note, we had no gains in the Q4 of 2013 versus some gains in the Q4 of 2012. So this really was solid performance. We're getting fairly consistent margin performance across the company. And with margins expanding 110 basis points in the second half, we really feel like we have good momentum going into 2014. So on to 2014, we plan to grow margins in 2014 in line with our goal to exceed 17% by 2016.
And we pulled forward more restructuring in 2013 than we originally planned. In the Q4 of 2013, we executed $0.05 per share of projects that have an 18 month payback. This was partially offset by $0.03 of gains. We finished 2013 with $1,600,000,000 of structural cost out. Because of our Q4 restructuring, we're increasing our cost out goals for 2014.
At the outlook meeting, we said we would achieve about $1,000,000,000 of cost out. We're now targeting to get more than $1,000,000,000 And we expect our SG and A as a percentage of revenue to be about 14% in 2014. Key margin drivers will again be value gap and simplification. We expect R and D to be better and mix will be negative as our product sales are growing faster than service. But our margin plan has been fortified and this should be a tailwind for GE going into 2014.
Look, we ended the quarter with a significant balance sheet strength. Our total CFOA was about $17,500,000,000 for the year consistent with expectations. We had a good quarter in capital efficiency and working capital. On the GE Capital side, we have substantial liquidity. Our commercial paper fell below $30,000,000,000 for the first time in many, many years.
We ended the year with $89,000,000,000 of consolidated cash and about $14,000,000,000 at the parent. We're implementing our plans of value creation and opportunistic and balanced capital allocation. In 2013, we returned $18,200,000,000 to investors through dividends and buyback, and we announced a 16% increase in our dividend at year end. And like I said earlier, we completed $9,000,000,000 of acquisitions. As I said at the outlook meeting, we plan to work capital efficiency hard in 2014 and our capital allocation will create value for investors.
So with that, let me turn it over to Jeff to talk about really the operations and performance of the businesses. Jeff?
Great. Thank you. So I'll start with consolidated results. We had continuing operations revenue of $40,400,000,000 reported up 3% in the quarter. Industrial sales of $28,800,000,000 were up 6%.
GE Capital revenues were $11,100,000,000 down 5%. Operating earnings of $5,400,000,000 were up 16 percent and operating earnings per share of $0.53 were up 20%. Continuing EPS of $0.49 which includes the impact of non operating pension and net earnings per share of $0.41 includes the impact of discontinued operations, which I'll cover on the next page. As Jeff said, total year CFOA was $14,300,000,000 When you add back the $3,200,000,000 of NBC tax impact, you get to 17.5 dollars We had solid industrial performance here with the variance of 2012 driven by the NBCU related taxes as I mentioned. We received $2,000,000,000 of dividends from GE Capital in the quarter.
The GE tax rate for the quarter was 19%, which is in line with the framework we provided earlier in the year and the total year rate was also 19%. The GE Capital tax rate was significantly negative in the 4th quarter, primarily driven by the tax efficient sale of our Swiss platform, which resulted in about $1,000,000,000 of tax benefits in the quarter. This drove a negative 77% tax rate in the quarter and for the year GE Capital's tax rate was a negative 14%. On the right side, you can see the segment results with total Industrial segment profit up 12% and 6 of 7 businesses contributing to earnings growth. GE Capital earnings also grew in the quarter, up 38%.
And I'll take you through the dynamics of each of the segments on the following pages, but overall a reasonably strong quarter. On the other items page, first, we had $0.03 of gains related to industrial transactions. We disposed of air filtration within our Power and Water business, the vital signs business within healthcare and advanced sensors business within oil and gas. All three of these gains were booked in corporate. We had $0.05 of charges in the quarter related to restructuring and other items.
This was about $0.02 higher than we had planned as we continue to invest in restructuring to right size the industrial cost structure and position the company for 2014 and beyond. In discontinued operations, we had $787,000,000 after tax impact in the quarter really driven by 4 items. First, we booked $442,000,000 of additional reserves on GreyZone. While we saw claims decline in the 3rd quarter, claims in the 4th quarter were above our model expectations. So we revised our assumption to reflect a further slowing in overall claims reduction rate.
We ended the quarter with $859,000,000 in reserves. On WMC, pending claims declined from $6,300,000,000 in the Q3 of $5,600,000,000 at the end of the year as the team settled about $1,000,000,000 of pending claims. That was partially offset by new pending claims of $281,000,000 We recorded $116,000,000 charge resulting in a total reserve balance at the end of the year of 8 months flat with where we ended the Q3. Also in the quarter, we signed an agreement to sell our consumer bank in Russia, resulting in $170,000,000 loss in discontinued ops, principally FX related, but we expect to complete the transaction in the Q1 and this will lower our E and I by almost $1,000,000,000 Lastly, we had a discount tax adjustment related to plastics for $65,000,000 on a disallowment of interest reductions from years previous. So on an operating basis, we had $0.02 higher industrial restructuring versus gains, which was about $300,000,000 on a pre tax basis and is the main driver of a higher corporate expense in the quarter.
Now I'll go through each of the segments starting with Power and Water. Orders of $10,300,000,000 were up 44%, our largest orders quarter in the last 5 years. Excluding Europe orders were actually up 56%. Equipment orders of $6,400,000,000 were up 81% driven by thermal and wind. Thermal orders were up 3 times driven by the Algerian deal and strength in Saudi and Latin America.
Excluding Algeria, thermal orders were still up over 100%. We had orders for 65 gas turbines in the Q4 versus 26 last year and that brought the total year to 124 units on order. Backlog for thermal was up 70% for the year. Wind orders were up 63%. We had orders for 7 79 wind turbines versus 4 12 in the Q4 of 2012, principally driven by U.
S. Demand and wind backlog was up 43% for the year. Service orders of $3,900,000,000 were up 8%, primarily driven by PGS up 9% and up 16% ex Europe. And we were very strong in AGPs. We did 25 AGPs in the quarter versus 6 in the previous year.
Total disorderedance price was lower as Jeff said at 3% with thermal down 4% wind down 5%. Revenue in the quarter was $7,700,000,000 that was flat with last year. Thermal revenue was down 11% as we shipped 28 gas turbines versus 32 in the Q4 of 12. That was partly offset by wind up 6% with shipment of 8 75 turbines versus 722 a year ago. We recognized revenue on 200 fuel wind turbines than we planned, primarily due to a supply chain quality issue and project delays and customer delays.
The impact on the quarter was approximately $500,000,000 of revenue and including the reserves of the quality issues about $100,000,000 of margin. As we work through the quarter here, we had some blade issues in November. The team was all over it. We spent enormous amount of time within the supply chain understanding the blade issue. We spent most of December understanding what the fleet impact would be and what the manufacturing anomaly associated with.
And it was really not until around Christmas time that we realized that we probably weren't going to rev wreck a lot of these turbines that potentially could have an issue with the blade. Service revenues of $3,800,000,000 were up 3%, up 8% ex Europe. On segment profit, dollars 1,900,000,000 was up 9% driven primarily by value gap. The Power and Water team has also done an exceptional job on costs with SG and A in the quarter down 18% and down 13% for the year. Margins improved 190 basis points year over year in the Q4.
Overall, based on 2013 orders, we're seeing a gradual improvement in heavy duty gas turbine and wind will also have a stronger year in 2014. With these higher deliveries coupled with simplification benefits, we expect Power and Water to grow earnings in 2014. Based on our backlog, we do expect deliveries to ramp through the year similar to 2013. Additionally, we're continuing to work through the blade supply issues and wind and it could have a minor impact on the Q1, but it in no way changes our outlook for 2014 for the business or the wind business. Next is oil and gas.
Orders of $5,500,000,000 were down 2% with equipment orders down 8%. Subsea orders were down 10% and Drilling and Surface was down 20% on tough comparisons to last year. That was partly offset by M and C up 8%. For the year, equipment orders were up 12% and backlog grew 27%. Service orders were up 6% led by global service, up 8%, partially offset by M and C down 3%.
Service backlog grew 27% in services as well. Orders pricing was strong in the quarter, up 1.8%. Operations in the business had a solid quarter. Revenue of $5,300,000,000 was up 17%, that's up 9% ex acquisitions. Equipment revenues of $2,800,000,000 were higher by 16%, driven by strong execution in Subsea up 70%, drilling and service up 20%, partly offset by M and C down 18% on continued market softness.
Service revenues of 2.5 $1,000,000,000 were up 17% with strength in global services up 9%, drilling and surface up 20% and subsea up 45%. Segment profit grew 24% to $800,000,000 up 18% after acquisitions, driven by strong value GAAP and higher volume. Margins were up 80 basis points year over year and they were up 120 basis points year over year excluding acquisitions. Next, I'll walk through Aviation and Healthcare. Aviation orders of $7,000,000,000 were down 5%, driven by equipment orders down 15%.
Commercial engine orders were $3,200,000,000 down 12%, primarily driven by the huge ramp of CFM LEAP orders starting in the Q4 of 2012. CFM orders were down 23% in the quarter to $1,500,000,000 Gen X orders of $1,000,000,000 were up 21% and GE90 orders were up 43% in the quarter. Commercial engines backlog grew 28% to $21,600,000,000 despite not yet booking the vast majority of the $23,000,000,000 plus of engine commitments from the Dubai Air Show. Military engine orders were down 43% as we expected. So as we look ahead into 2014 for the military business, we're expecting profits to be down mid single digits year over year.
Service orders of $3,000,000,000 were up 11% driven by commercial spares up 16% to $26,000,000 a day. Military service orders were down 3% driven by sequestration and lower flying hours, which are down 15% to 20% over the last 12 months. Service backlog ended the year at $97,000,000,000 22 percent higher than year end 2012. Orders pricing was strong with positive 1.8 percent. Revenue in the quarter of $6,200,000,000 was up 13%, up 7% ex Avio.
The commercial equipment revenue was 17% higher with 627 unit deliveries versus 589 in 4Q 2012 and a greater mix of higher value Gen X and G90 engines. We shipped 80 Gen X engines in the quarter and military revenues were up 16% on lower units, 239 versus 258, but the value was higher driven by favorable mix of tankers and fighter engines. Service revenues were up 10% driven by strong spares revenue, up 17% to 26 $400,000 a day. The military service was down 17% driven in part by sequestration in the lower flying hours in addition to wind down of some upgrade programs. Operating profit of 1 point $2,500,000 was up 20%, up 13 percent ex Avio and strong volume and value gap.
Margin rates improved 130 basis points 100 basis points ex Avio. Strong cost productivity more than offset Genex mix and higher R and D spend. And also if you exclude the Doerdi disposition from the Q4 'twelve, margins would have been up 3 10 basis points in the quarter. So overall, a very strong quarter and a strong year for the aviation team. Healthcare orders of $5,400,000,000 were up 1%, driven by emerging markets up 4% with Latin America up 15% and China up 8%, partially offset by Russia down 19%.
From a developed markets perspective, the U. S. Was flat and Europe was up 2%. Japan was down 10%, but actually up 11% excluding the impact of FX. Equipment orders of $3,400,000,000 were down 1%.
CT was down 16%, MR was up 1%, ultrasound was down 2%, molecular imaging was up 6%. Service orders of $2,100,000,000 were up 3%, driven by healthcare IT up 6%. Healthcare IT growth has picked up as new product launches are gaining traction. And as Jeff said at the December outlook meeting, we expect Healthcare IT to be up 10% organically in 2014. Revenue of $5,100,000,000 was down 1%, that's flat excluding the effects of FX.
And 4th quarter profit of $1,100,000,000 was up 4% as benefits of simplification more than offset the impact of lower pricing in foreign exchange. SG and A was down 13% in the quarter and down six percent for the year. Margin rates were up 110 basis points. Excluding the impact of the Thomas Medical disposition in the Q4 'twelve, our profit would have been up 13% with margins expanding 230 basis points. Next, I'll cover transportation.
Orders of $1,200,000,000 were down 9%. Equipment orders were down 2% and we had orders for 149 Locos versus 88 in the Q4 of 12, but mining orders continue to be soft down 60%. Service orders were down 15% driven by flat service contracts, but offset by fewer modifications and weak demand for mining parts. Revenues of $1,500,000,000 were up 7% year over year. Strong equipment growth of 22% was offset by service revenue down 8%, again driven by soft mining parts.
Locomotive shipments were higher with 4th quarter deliveries of 171 units compared with 117 a year ago. Operating profit of $280,000,000 was up 11% with margins better by 70 basis points and the improvement was principally driven by positive value gap. In 2013, transportation executed well in a difficult environment, expanding margins 140 basis points. Looking into 2014, we expect a continuing soft mining industry with OHV shipments down 50% for the year and the Q1 will be weaker than that probably down closer to 80%. We expect a slow recovery for North American coal offset somewhat by strong international pipeline for Locos.
Energy Management. Performance in our Energy Management business has been disappointing this year. Although results were modestly better sequentially, they were still well below the business' potential. Orders continue to be a good story, up 6% in the quarter to $2,300,000,000 a record for the business. This was driven by power conversion up 18% on strong renewables industry volume, offset partially by Industrial Solutions down 6%.
2013 backlog was up 20% with every single platform in the business being higher. Revenues were up 4%, principally driven by Industrial Solutions and Intelligent Platforms. Operating profit of $46,000,000 was down 28% driven by power conversion. This business has continued to deal with backlog conversion challenges and higher setup costs as they began production of our new marine platform. Over the last 2 years, the marine business has more than doubled its backlog and total power conversion has grown backlog by 35%.
We expect to see steady progress in power conversion throughout 2014 as their volume ramps and they focus on converting this backlog. Despite the poor performance in Energy Management this quarter, we do think we are making progress in our restructuring efforts and our execution issues. For instance, our Industrial Solutions business that we started restructuring 2 years ago was up 71% in our profit in the quarter. It was up 38% for the year on our profit on almost flat volume. So more work to do here, but also some good execution within our Industrial Solutions business.
Appliances and Lighting had a good quarter, primarily driven by appliances. Overall appliance domestic industry was up 10% on units with strength in both retail up 10% and contract up 12%. Housing starts continue to be positive. They were up 16% with single family better by 13% and multifamily up 22%. Revenues of $2,200,000,000 were higher by 6% led by a 9% increase in appliances.
Lighting revenues were up 1% with strong global LED sales, which were up 50% offset by continued decline in our incandescent product lines. Segment profit of $142,000,000 was up 23%. Appliances op profit was up 51% driven by positive value gap in productivity and Lighting op profit was higher by 5%. Margins improved 90 basis points in the quarter for the segment. Next, I'm going to go through GE Capital.
Before I go through the standard operating page, I thought I'd take you through a layout of some of the major items in the quarter similar to the way Keith did it in the November meeting. So if you start on the left here, GE Capital earned $2,500,000,000 up 38% from a year ago. On the right side, you can see we had $1,600,000,000 of tax benefits and gains from the Switzerland and the Bay transactions as we discussed. We sold 68.5% share in the Swiss consumer bank via an IPO, resulting in $1,200,000,000 of tax benefits and gains. In addition, we completed the sale of our remaining stake in Bay Bank resulting in a $400,000,000 gain.
As the team continues to reposition the portfolio, we did have $1,000,000,000 of charges related to dispositions and restructuring of non core consumer and real estate assets as well as impairments in CLL and GECAS. I'll cover some of the principal drivers here. In the consumer segment, we exited $700,000,000 of mortgage assets in the Netherlands at a loss of $75,000,000 And we recorded an impairment charge of $90,000,000 on an investment in a Taiwanese bank that positions us to exit that non core asset in 2014. In real estate, we had a $75,000,000 charge related to sell down of the equity book in our Swedish portfolio. In CLL, we recorded an after tax impairments of 290,000,000 dollars related to 2 specific investments as well as a small write down in our corporate asset book.
And in GECAS, we recorded impairments of $270,000,000 primarily related to certain older types that are more susceptible to changes in technology and operating preferences, which reduces our exposure to these less desirable assets and creates additional portfolio flexibility. And I'll cover more of these items as I go through each of the segments on the following page. Finally, we had adjustments to reserving models, primarily in North American Retail Finance and Consumer International, resulting in $200,000,000 higher after tax credit costs in the quarter. In retail, we increased our loss reserve coverage from 12 months to 12.5 months of forecasted charge offs. After adjusting for all these items, GE Capital's net income in the quarter was $2,100,000,000 Now to cover operations and segments.
Revenue of $11,100,000,000 was down 5% with assets down 4% or $22,000,000,000 year over year. Net income of $2,500,000,000 was up 38% from prior years. The tax benefits and gains as I mentioned from Swiss and Bay transactions more than offset portfolio actions, higher losses and impairments and lower assets. We ended the quarter with $380,000,000,000 of ENI, that's down $36,000,000,000 or 9% from last year down $3,000,000,000 sequentially. Non core E and I was down 22 percent to $53,000,000,000 Net interest margins in the quarter increased 16 basis points to 5% and flat with the 3rd quarter.
Volume was up 5% in the quarter with new business ROIs over 2% as we continue to stay disciplined on pricing and risk hurdles. Tier 1 common on a Basel 1 basis improved by 10 basis points sequentially and 120 basis points year over year to 11.4%, driven by the reduction in assets and after paying $2,000,000,000 of dividends in the quarter. For total year 2013, GE Capital paid $6,000,000,000 in dividends to the parent and will pay an additional 130,000,000 in the Q1 to reflect a higher 4th quarter earnings. On the right side of the page, asset quality trends continue to be strong with delinquency rates improving across the portfolio. We ended the quarter with $29,000,000,000 of commercial paper, ahead of our plans and liquidity was very strong ending the quarter at $75,000,000,000 Now I'll walk through each of the segments.
Commercial lending and leasing business ended the 4th quarter with $174,000,000,000 of assets that's down 4% from last year, including a reduction in non core assets of $3,000,000,000 Onboard core volume was $13,000,000,000 down 8% due to the elevated level of customer activity we saw last year from the U. S. Fiscal cliff concerns. But we did see strong volume growth in the U. S.
Direct mid market businesses, which were up 32% in the quarter versus 2012. Overall, new business returns remain attractive at about 2% ROIs despite continued excess liquidity. These are positive growth indicators we think about CLL, CLL, our core CLL business going into next year. Earnings of $263,000,000 were down 52%, driven by lower assets and impairments. After adjusting for impairments that I covered on the prior page, earnings would have been up 1% with assets down 4%.
Asset quality was stable in the portfolio. In 2013, the CLL business earned $2,000,000,000 and going into 2014, we expect it to be up double digits. The Consumer segment ended the quarter with $132,000,000,000 of assets that's down 4% from last year. The Swiss and Bay deals we exited reduced assets by $5,000,000,000 Net income of $2,100,000,000 was up almost 3 times, again driven by these two transactions, partially offset by higher credit cards and charges related to the portfolio actions that I talked about on the prior page. North American retail finance earned $466,000,000 in the 4th quarter, that's down 2% as higher core net income was offset by reserve adjustments and continued marketing investments.
Asset growth in the business was strong at 10% driven by volume up 11%. Overall consumer asset quality remained stable. In real estate, had another decent quarter. Assets ended the quarter of $39,000,000,000 that's down 16%, down $1,000,000,000 sequentially. The equity book is down 32% from a year ago to $14,000,000,000 Net income of $128,000,000 was down 59% versus 2012, but in line with where we expected them to be.
That was driven by non repeat of last year's gain from the sale of our business properties portfolio of about $82,000,000 and our Sweden equity sales down to about 75. In the quarter, we sold 341 properties with a book value of about $2,400,000,000 for $155,000,000 in gains. The debt business earned over $100,000,000 in the quarter and originated $4,700,000,000 of volume at attractive returns, including the purchase of $1,800,000,000 U. K. Portfolio from Deutsche Postbank.
Asset quality continues to improve with 30 day delinquencies at 124 basis points and that's the lowest level we've seen since the crisis. The real estate team earned $1,700,000,000 in 2013 and continues to execute well as they shrink the equity book and invest in a profitable debt business. In 2014, we expect the business to have lower earnings as we've shared with you with the debt business performing well offset by lower gains and tax benefits. Within the verticals, GCAS earned $71,000,000 that's down 79%, driven by impairments of $270,000,000 which were up roughly $230,000,000 from prior year. As I mentioned on the prior page, we revised our expectations for certain older aircraft types in our portfolio.
We lowered our estimate of future cash flows on these aircraft to reflect a shorter useful life and lower residual values. As a result, we had impairments related to older narrow bodies of about 130,000,000 cargo aircraft of 50,000,000 and 32,000,000 on 50 seat regional jets. The average age of the aircraft we impaired in the quarter was 15 years compared to our fleet average of about 7 years. GECAS did end the quarter with 0 delinquencies and no aircraft on the ground. For the total year 2013 GECAS earned $900,000,000 and in 2014 we expect them to be up double digits.
EFS earnings were up 9% in the quarter to $117,000,000 driven largely by lower margin impairments year over year. So we had several large items in the quarter as we continue to reposition the portfolio. The capital team continues to execute well and deliver strong operating results. And 13, the business earned $8,300,000,000 up 12% on $36,000,000,000 lower ENI. Capital liquidity and funding are all very strong and we continue to be disciplined around the volume that we're originating.
In 2014, we expect GE Capital to earn roughly $7,000,000,000 on core growth offset by lower gains, tax benefits and the impact of our anticipated retail finance IPO. So with that, I'll turn it back to Jeff.
Great, Jeff. Thanks. Again, just to recap on 2013, we had a good year in 2013. Industrially, our segment profits grew by 12% in the second half and then we had 5 of 7 segments that had strong growth for the year. We grew margins by 66 basis points organically close to our 70 basis point goal.
Organic growth was flat, but up 5% ex Power and Water. Capital had a solid year with earnings up 12%, while shrinking E and I by 9 percent and they paid a dividend of $6,000,000,000 to the parent. Per our plan, we returned $18,200,000,000 of cash to investors through dividends and buyback. So we hit really most of our goals for 2013. And then looking forward on the 2014 framework, we have no change for the 2014 operating framework.
We expect double digit industrial earnings growth similar to the second half of twenty thirteen. We expect 4% to 7% organic growth with expanding margins. GE Capital will have about $7,000,000,000 of earnings reflecting an improving origination environment, the North American retail transaction and lower real estate gains. Corporate should be slightly more positive as we pulled forward restructuring into 2013. And there's no change in our outlook for cash or revenue.
So we end the year with momentum. I think we presented this framework to you in December. And I would say based on the way we closed the year, we're quite confident in this operating framework for 2014. So we feel good about the momentum of the company. So Trevor with that, let's turn it back to you and let's take some questions.
Great. Thanks, Jeff
and Jeff. Francis, let's open up the phone lines for questions.
Thank Our first question comes from the line of Scott Davis from Barclays.
Hey, Scott. Early in the call, Jeff, you mentioned having greater confidence in the structural cost out. Can you talk about your confidence in value gap? Price looked a little light, particularly in Power and Water. And do you have a greater confidence in value gap in 2014 or the same or lower?
What I
would say Scott is the value gap was about $900,000,000 in 20 13. Our expectation that it's not that strong. It's probably more in the couple of $100,000,000 range. When we look at the backlog and where we've done gone from a sourcing standpoint, we feel confident in the value gap still being tailwind in 2014. If you just take go a layer lower and you look at gas turbine equipment margin, right, operating profit, it's going to be positive in 2014 versus 2013.
So that's the one that's probably had the most intense pricing pressure. But we've had a very active plan to get about 10% of the cost out of our heavy duty gas turbine product and that's going to bleed through. So we see earnings just to pick
the one where we've had
the most intense competition, Scott, we see positive earnings growth year over year 2014 versus 2013 on heavy duty gas turbine equipment margin operating profit dollars.
Okay. That's helpful. And then energy management continues to be a bit of a tough spot. I mean, where can that business go? I mean, can it ever be a double digit margin business?
Is this something that is there an end game of some substance? Just trying to figure out what we can expect out of these guys?
Scott, I think it's a very fair question. I think what Jeff said earlier is we're going to do a lot of restructuring this year. Every time we sit and review the business, we compare it directly with their industrial peers, all of whom have double digit operating profit rates. That's our expectation for this business. And investors and me should expect substantial improvement in 2014 versus 2013.
Okay. Good luck. Thank you. Thanks. Thanks, guys.
And our next question will come from the line of Steve Tusa from JPMorgan. You may begin.
Hey, Steve.
Hey, good morning.
Good morning.
You guys in the last several quarters have given the year over year change in services margins. I didn't see it on the in the slides. Can you maybe just give us a little extra color on that year over year?
Yes. So service margins year over year were up 190 basis points, Q4 to Q4. Total year we were up about 90 basis points. Total year 2013 versus 2012.
Okay. And then just a couple of follow ups. On the oil and gas side, what's your visibility on the orders there? I mean, there's just been a lot of moving parts and mix dynamics at your peers. And there's the orders have obviously run very hot.
Everybody is kind of full from a capacity perspective. How should how do you see kind of the orders in drilling and surface and subsea playing out over the next year?
Scott, there's one big order for these guys that pushed probably into the Q1 that's big enough to be a meaningful swinger year over year that should lead to a positive Q1 from an order standpoint. But to your point, particularly in Subsea, we've got a strong backlog, pretty high visibility. And so as you know, these things are lumpy. So our expectation is that these guys continue to have good solid orders growth next year, but a push of 1 big project is meaningful from an order standpoint.
Okay. It's Steve by the way. And then the Yes. That's okay. The and then just on the distributed power, the AeroDryv shipment, I think you had a target this year for 200 something.
What do you expect for next year? And what did you finish this year on the aero derivative?
Yes. So on aero derivatives next year, we're going to be more or less in the range of this year. We expect to see potentially a little bit of growth, but it's not going to be an enormous growth. We had a big year this year on aeroduritos particularly trailer mounted. So we're hoping for small amount of growth, but it's not going to be enormous.
We had a boomer this Steve and I think next year we're kind of in the flattish range.
Okay. Thanks. And I don't want to get all choked up, but I'm say thanks to Trevor for all the years of helping. Best of luck in his I'm chucking back the tears here. Best of luck in his new role.
Steve, that is huge of you. I'll miss
you too, Steve. Maybe there's an upgrade there.
Not sure about that, but we'll talk after. Thanks.
Your next question will come from the line of Andrew Obin from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. You may begin.
Hi, Andrew.
Hi, Andrew.
Hi, Andrew.
Hi, how are you? As we look at the composition of the margins sort of on slide 6, various puts and takes, what is the big drag in 2014 versus 66 basis points that we did in 2013 just thinking about it? So Andrew why don't I start and then I'll turn it over to Jeff. I think the way we've tried
to build
2014 is to drive the things we can really control in the environment. So we're going to have another year that's going to be very aggressive on the structural cost out. And you guys saw us do well this year. We're going to have another year of real focus there. We're going to have excuse me, a positive value gap, not as strong as we had this year, but still positive.
And I think that's realistic. So I think simplification is in our control. Value gap is we've got pretty good visibility. That's going to be positive. I think R and D, we were able to do a little bit more R and D this year.
I think that creates a little bit more headroom for us to make sure that R and D is a positive next year for us. And then the toughest thing always to call here Andrew is mix in terms of where the so what we try to do is create a buffer with the things we can control to be able to better balance the mix impact as we go through the year. So we're not taking our focus off anything. If anything, our structural cost is going to be aggressive. Our restructuring is going to be aggressive.
And what we try to do is create a little bit of buffer vis a vis how mix shakes out in the year.
Andrew, I would just add on mix. We think equipment is going to be ahead of service next year. We've got a real ramp in Gen X. We've got a real ramp in wind and that's most of what that mix is driving.
Got you. That's helpful. And just maybe I missed it, but could you just comment on the order patterns in December? Any big positive or negative surprises versus your expectations other than what happened in wind obviously? I don't know Jeff if you.
I mean I think Power and Water was a little bit stronger than I'm talking an orders now standpoint, Andrew.
So Yes, that's right.
Yes, I think Power and Water was we expected a strong 4th quarter, but it was probably even a little bit stronger than what we thought. I think Oil and Gas, like I said, tends to be a little bit lumpy. Aviation, we've got such a big backlog in aviation. I would say the spares number and the service orders are what we watch closely in aviation and I think those were positive. Healthcare really no difference in terms of what we thought we were going to see.
And I'd say in transportation, we just saw weakness around mining and we expect that to play over into next year. And then the wind thing was really a very late breaking and I don't know Jeff?
Yes. I would just I think Andrew the only we had one big oil and gas project in Southeast Asia almost $700,000,000 that we were reasonably confident was going to land in the quarter that actually pushed the first half of next year. Other than that, not a lot of major surprise. As Jeff said, parts and aviation were strong. We expected them to be strong.
We knew aviation year over year based on the CFM launch in the Q4. Last year it was going to show a little weaker. So I think most everything else was more or less as expected.
And wind was really not
an orders issue, it was more of a No. And we had good wind rewards.
Thank you very much, Trevor. And thank you for all the help. Great. Thanks, Andrew.
Your next question will come from the line of Steve Winoker from Sanford Bernstein.
Thanks. Good morning. Hey. And Trevor, I'll just say at the beginning, thanks for all your hard effort to this point
and good
luck. The I'd like to push that oil and gas question a little further. The majors in Petrobras have all stopped expanding CapEx. They've got numerous projects that are being deferred given cost blowouts. And that's likely leading to a decline in subsea equipment, at least as we see it, as customers digest their prior orders here.
And then we've got nominally high crude prices, but despite that cost inflation seems to be eroding some of these returns offshore for these guys. So how just help maybe help us understand this a little more depth, how you're going to buck some of that trend? Or do you just disagree with my assertions there?
Well, Steve, again, I would say that if you look at most of the big industry contextual comments, even with some of the, I would say, concern about CapEx costs and things like that, there's still the forecast is for CapEx to be positive growth in 2014, maybe not as great as it was in years gone by, but still pretty great. If you look at the national oil companies versus the integrated oil companies, our view is that the NOCs really haven't backed off at all and that's where we see a ton of activity. I'd say the place that we still think is reasonably weak is maybe around North America. Some of the drilling and surface stuff, we're kind of watching that. And the measurement and control stuff, we're watching that.
But the last thing I would say, Steve, when I get up in the morning around oil and gas, if you ask me what I worry about first, it's shipping our late backlog. In other words, we have such a traffic jam around the volume we've got in our factories. I'd say we've got extremely good visibility certainly in the short term. So again, it's something we all watch, but it's not I think there's always going to be big puts and takes in this business. But I'd leave you with the thought of NOCs versus IOCs.
The backlog we have today and getting it executed and a long term notion that says, if you pick up any of the big reports that your banks tend to write, they basically say that the long term health of the industry is still pretty strong.
Okay. All right. And yes, we're not a bank, but I get it. And that's helpful. Now on the since you mentioned what does you think about first thing in the morning, can you the blade issue for wind, can you identify a little bit more why we shouldn't have to worry about this happening again, I mean, from just an operational standpoint?
Yes. Maybe I'll start and then toss it over to Jeff. I think this is stuff that comes out of a supply chain. We look at it. We've been looking at it for a period of time.
I think our teams really feel like we've got it isolated and reflected. We've got teams that are good at this stuff Steve and I think we know kind of exactly where we are. It may impact a little bit timing, but it's not our read is it's not going to impact the year at all from a standpoint of either Power and Water or kind of the Power and Water segment growth that we've got planned for the year
or the wind
business revenue growth for the year. So we're good at this stuff. We use an abundance of caution when it relates to our customers and things like that. And I think that's what we've exercised here.
Okay. Yes.
And I think yes, Go ahead. Sorry, Jeff.
Go ahead. I was just going to add Steve that the population we think we're talking about is one manufacturing batch of blades that we think we've isolated it to when we're doing inspections on nondestructive testing etcetera. So the percentage of the fleet we're talking about is very, very small. And so we're just trying to isolate this down and we want to be very careful at year end about how we dealt with it. And we think we've got our arms around the issue.
And as Jeff said, it'll play out here in the Q1 or Q2 of next 2014.
Okay. And with the $1,600,000,000 provision number in GE cap was bigger than I expected, trending from what $821,000,000 or something last quarter and then bigger than last year. And it looks like, as you said, the 30 day delinquencies are getting better. So is this all credit model changes? And do you expect to stay elevated?
Or how should we think about modeling this or anticipate it?
Well, it might help if I kind of explain how it moved. Year over year Steve, last year we're about $1,100,000,000 about a $230,000,000 increase in consumer. Now almost half that increase is associated with selling that Dutch mortgage business in the quarter. Part of the economics and the loss in that actually ran through the provision and then directly to write off. So that's year over year skews half of it.
And then I mentioned booking up coverage in the North American retail business from 12 to 12.5 months. And then we had a book up on some restructured consumer accounts in Asia year over year. That's the bulk of it. On the commercial side, we're up 175 year over year in provisions, about half of that in real estate, half of that in CLL. And some of that were specific reserves around a couple of accounts, but some of it was just hitting reserve floors.
So we've said we're not going to go below certain levels of reserve coverage. The portfolio quality in both real estate and CLL would naturally push us below those floors because things have improved so quickly and we're kind of booking back to those floors, which is not going to go through there. And that's the result in reprovisioning up with not necessarily a direct correlation to what's happening from a portfolio and quality perspective. And that's most of the change year over year.
Okay, got it. And before I hand it off, I just might have missed this. Did you kind of say what that equivalent to that 66 basis point number would be in your rough expectations for this year when you put it all together?
No, we didn't say. Nice try, Steve. We talked about by the end of 2016 being at 17% plus operating margins and that's how we're defining success and that's what we're targeting.
Okay. Thanks. Thanks. Thanks.
Your next question will come from the line of Deane Dray from Citi Research. You may begin.
Hey, Deane.
Thank you. Good morning, everyone.
Just to follow-up on Steve's question on that the 66% margin year over year. Could you help bridge where you came short on the 70 basis point target? I know that the blade issue you size at $100,000,000 on the margin line, but you also included Energy Management as one of the margin pressures. So if you could just bridge for us those two items?
Yes. So the wind issue in power would have been diluted to the rate that they printed in the quarter, but it would have been accretive to the overall industrial segment. So that's a couple of basis points on the total year rate. And combined with energy management, if they had delivered the framework that we expected them to deliver on, we'd have been about 71 or 72 basis points for the year. So I mean we're counting basis points here.
The difference between $66,000,000 $70,000,000 at this level is $40,000,000 of profit for the year, okay? So we're really counting small increments here. But ex those two items, we'd have been above 70 basis points.
Good. That's exactly what I was looking for. And then just a couple of other items. The commercial spares being up 16%, that's well above global flying hours. How do you what do you attribute that the upside to?
Is that a is there a restocking going on? Is it easier comp? But that looks above expectations.
A couple of things.
Flying hours are improving pretty dramatically. I mean, we've been up globally 5% north of 5% and that has a dramatic impact. You also have a little bit of restocking going on. We had the orders rate is improving partly because airlines had cut back on the level of inventories they were carrying on spare parts in 2012. And then the fleet has continued to grow and the fleet is aging and we're seeing more instances of overhauls.
So the overhaul rate if you will in the installed base is going up and that's driving demand for spare parts. So I think most of it I think it all fits together.
Good. Just last question for me. I know you've had uncovered restructuring in the quarter here. What's the expectations for uncovered restructuring? You said $0.10 for 2014.
And then specifically do you have a line of sight on uncovered restructuring in the Q1?
Yes. So I think what we said was we expected to invest $1,000,000,000 to $1,500,000,000 in 2014. We did as Jeff mentioned, we did end up accelerating a little bit of that investment into the Q4 largely because the projects were ready to go and we didn't want to wait to start on execution on those items. Overall, that's money that would have been spent $14,000,000,000 that won't now, but I still think our range is $1,000,000,000 to $1,500,000,000 I think there'll be other ideas. We talked about doing some restructuring in $2015,000,000 So I'm not sure that range is really changing much.
I would expect the benefits as Jeff said would be slightly better in 2014 than they otherwise would have been because we got a little bit of a head start.
I think
that's the way I
think about it Dean is that we've really fortified the benefits in 2014 and those should
be greater. In terms of the timing on the restructuring, earlier was better than later and I would expect the bulk of this to happen in the Q1 and certainly the first half of the year.
Great. Thank you.
And your next question will come from the line of Jeff Sprague from Vertical Research. You may begin.
Hey, Jeff. Thank
you. Hey, good morning, Jeff. How are you? Good. Doing great.
Hey, a couple of questions. Just on GECAS, did you change the useful life on 737s at all? And if not, why not?
So here's what we did, Jeff. I mean, we go through this annual review. You're very familiar with it in the Q3. We use 3rd party data on useful life, residual values, lease rates, etcetera. We always have some cleanup in the Q4.
It usually doesn't amount to much. This year coming out of the Q3, the team took a deeper dive on some of our older aircraft for principally narrow body. We're in a situation now you've got enormous amount of technology being introduced over the next 5 to 10 years. When you got this level of oil and Jet A price, the differences in efficiency economically are enormous versus what they might have been historically. And we just decided on both older narrow body Boeing and older narrow body Airbus that our views of useful lives and residual values were less than what 3rd parties had given us as appraisals in the Q3.
And it gives us flexibility to deal with these aircraft and we think we're on the right side. We'll be in the market with some of these aircraft in 2014 and we'll have an idea of just where we are vis a vis the portfolio.
Yes. I just understand like you'd obviously mark down the older ones first, but if 37 used to have a useful life of 40 years and now you're using 35, I'm just making up numbers that actually impacts the whole fleet regardless of how old the aircraft are in the book, right? Yes. This is
Yes. This is very specific to 50 seat regional jets older. The average age was 15 years to Airbus A318s, very old 737s. Some of the 737s were in cargo format, etcetera, etcetera. So it's very much narrow body and deep into their lives aircraft.
So I don't think there's a broader implication across the fleet. I think we like the fleet we have. It's got an average age of 7 years. It's priced well.
Okay. And just on tax then and GE Capital, do you need to start off the year accruing higher because the subpart F has not yet kind of been fixed? Or how do we actually think about that into the new year?
Given our year ends, our fiscal year ends within GE Capital etcetera, we're the impact for us is really not until the very end of the year. We're good through the end of November. So the rate we accrue through the year will reflect the fact that we're in good shape relative to AFE through November and then and we'll assume that in December AFE may not be there and that's the rate we'll accrue to.
So for a placeholder then for 2014, what kind of rate should we be using for capital?
So we expect capital to be single digit tax rate.
Right. And then just one other one for me. Just kind of back to the margin question and kind of less the bridge from 66 to 70, but more kind of the bridge from at the beginning of the year, I think you saw line of sight at something like 1 $20,000,000 or $130,000,000 which was giving you confidence in the $70,000,000 Obviously, revenues came in a little lighter. There's a couple of things that are identifiable in what you put in front of us. But is there anything else that we should be thinking about there that was a problem in 2013 that doesn't repeat in 2014?
And along those lines, can you give us an idea of what kind of hedge is in that kind of implicit 40 or so that we're looking for, for 2014?
I'd say, Jeff, the one thing I would say is that R and D with the way this funding ran for aviation and I would say oil and gas, R and D was a little heavier in 2013 than I had expected. And I'm again, this is in our control. We're reasonably confident that R and D is going to be tailwind in 2014 versus 2013. So other than that, Jeff, I think it's all the puts and takes around mix. But I think that's I think we're pretty confident on that.
And is there a way to frame kind of an internal hedge on 2014?
Probably again, I think we've got some momentum now, right? So we've got a pretty good framework, a pretty good flow and I think that's going to carry us over into 2014.
Okay. All right. Great.
Thanks. Thanks, Jeff.
Your next question will come from the line of John Ents from Deutsche Bank. You may begin.
Thanks. Good morning, everybody. Hey, John.
Hey, guys. Good morning, John.
Hey, Jeff, Bornstein. Just want to go back to your comments around the fact that you think the bulk of the kind of range of restructuring, the naked restructuring is sort of first half. Should we just by inference then be expecting because GE obviously traditionally kind of has a you have your 1st 3 quarters and then you have a typically
a pretty big 4th quarter.
Should we be expecting then kind of a down EPS first and second quarter or first half versus 2013?
Yes. John, we don't give guidance at that level. I think you're correct in assuming that the bulk of what we will invest in simplification next year will be in the Q1 first half. But we don't give quarterly earnings guidance.
No, but I'm not off I understand that. So I'm not looking for specifics. I'm just more I'm not off base in my thinking, am I? Or is there something else that we should think about sort of the first half?
I wouldn't read into it so much, John. I think again, I don't think there's a specific profile and we expect a number of our businesses to be able to come out of the year and perform well in the Q1.
Listen, I'll give you this much. I think we certainly expect industrial segment earnings to grow in the first half. If that that's about as much as I can give you. But we're not giving quarterly guidance.
No, I understand. That's helpful. I want to ask you about the sort of the simplification. So we sold the 3 industrial businesses in the quarter. Jeff, Florentine, as you've kind of gotten into this with your team, how would you kind of frame the outlook for further, I mean sort of cleanup within the industrial segments?
I'm not talking about maybe larger scale portfolio simplification down the road. I'm or just what have you been uncovering and how this maybe dovetails into some of the restructuring that you guys have been taking in your outlook there?
Well, I think we'll John, I think we'll continue to prune the portfolio where it makes sense. And there will be more transactions in 2014. I don't know that there'll be certainly excluding NBCU at the same order of magnitude economically as it was in 2013. But this is an ongoing process and the businesses are going to continue to go through their portfolio and we'll continue to clean up where it doesn't make sense. So we're not willing to invest or we don't see the growth there.
So we'll that process will continue as we move through 2014.
Maybe one last one for me. Just on the back to oil and gas on the surface the drilling side, the land based side. There's a fairly widely held view that WTI prices or certainly U. S. Oil prices could be actually heading lower.
How does GE I mean, one I'm wondering, have you seen any of this kind of say reflected in Lufkin's backlog, your recent acquisition, just because the prices of the oilfield service companies the share prices are down? And how do you guys maybe think about that because obviously you're building a long term business. Does this present opportunities actually for M and A if in fact some of the public company share prices were well off you could kind of continue to consolidate some of these properties?
What I would say John is the when I look globally and in the various segments in the oil and gas business, kind of the drilling piece in North America probably has been the weakest as time goes on. And if we see opportunities to do more work there, we're certainly going to do it, because we think over the long term that's still a good place for us.
Yes. Perfect. Okay. Thanks guys.
Great, John.
Your next question will come from the line of Joe Richard from Goldman Sachs.
Hey, Joe.
Hi. Good morning, everyone. So quick question on organic growth. You're exiting the year with a good clip at 5%. Orders were up 8% year to date.
But you take a look at your guidance for 2013, it looks like organic growth ended negative, your guidance was closer to 2%. So my question is really around as you look into 2014, what kind of confidence do you have in that percent to 7% number based on what you already have in backlog? And what are the puts and takes to those numbers to the high end versus low end of the range?
Again, I think when I don't know Jeff, you went through the unit shipments year over year that we basically have in backlog. Joe if you just look at that big win backlog, shipping more heavy duty gas turbines, the jet engine backlog etcetera, etcetera, it kind of takes you to the 4% to 7% range. I don't know Jeff do you want to go through them again or?
Yes, sure. The one thing I did thematically here, so we have a couple of unique things to GE or at least in the same company, which is the Gen X story and the wind story are within it's fairly unique to GE. And that's a big part of pushing the range of 4 to 7 after that we're somewhere around 3 to 5, which I don't think is off color. I'll give you a sense of where we expect units for 2014. When we think it's going to be about 3,000 units versus 2,100 units in 2013 gas turbine somewhere between 8590 versus 81 in 2013 locomotives will be between 5.50 600 that will be down slightly.
Jet engines will be up as I just said around Gen X will be up 2,500 units up 2,500 units versus about 2,300 and 78 in 2013. And as I mentioned, Gen X will be somewhere between 250 to 300 most of that growth versus 180. Military is going to be a mix as it relates to aviation. So I mean that gives you a sense of kind of what we're thinking in units. I did mention earlier in the script that we do have a few areas of softness, mining being one of them in our locomotive business.
Mining is going to be we expect very soft on OHV in 2014.
And I would say, Joe, on the services side, we kind of end the year with the best velocity we had during the year. So that's the other piece of the equation.
Okay, great. That's really good color. I think one question on the gas turbine pricing pressure. If this looks like power and water pricing has been down now for 2 quarters in a row. Can you just provide some color where you're seeing that recently?
So where are you seeing most of the pricing pressure today?
So the region mix is always a relatively big swing in the gas turbine side. So there was a couple of big deals in Saudi that were that have been price competitive. And it's going to be a competitive market Joe I think. But we're doing a good job on the cost side. And like I said, I think when we look out over 2014 and into the future, we still see heavy duty gas from equipment operating profit dollar growth in this time period.
Joe, I would just add to that. If you look at quoting activity in the space around gas turbines, the 4th quarter was definitely the level of activity has picked up. We're up like 96% versus the Q4 2012 and 26 more projects quoting real time in the Q4 than a year ago. And the bulk of that strength has really been in the U. S.
Surprisingly in China. So there's a lot of activity here. I don't know that it's going to we're necessarily calling a significant turn on gas turbine. But there's definitely the activity and you saw the order performance with 65 units in the quarter, 124 for the year. And this quoting activity, we're hopeful.
Okay, Great. And then just
one last question. You quantified the impact from the blade issued $100,000,000 for this quarter. Have you quantified the potential impact on the margins for 2014?
I think what we said was we are not anticipating this being an issue for our framework for the entirety of 2014.
Okay, great. Thank you very much for taking my questions.
Thanks, Joe.
Your next question will come from the line of Christopher Glynn with Oppenheimer. You may begin.
Thanks. Hey, good morning. First a clarification then a question. In response to John Inch's question or the answer to it where you expect industrial earnings to grow in the first half. Was that at the segment level or post the eliminations line that comment?
No. I was talking about segment earnings.
Okay. Great. And then just looking back at how 2013 transpired, operating profit at the Industrial segment level was up a little over 7 $100,000,000 but we had the $900,000,000 value gap and the significant cost out. So just wondering what pieces plug that difference?
Well, if you go back to the value walk that the margin walk that Jeff did for the total year, we spent a bit more in R and D, which partially offset that and then base inflation, foreign exchange and other items. We had volume, and other items. We had volume down somewhat and we didn't repeat the 2 deals, the 2 big deals I talked about in the Q4 year over year, the Duarte deal in Aviation and the Thomas deal in Medical, which on a year over year walk are material differences. So but we feel great about what the team is delivering around simplification in SG and A cost out. Value gap was real positive.
We expect it to be positive again not at the same levels, but we expect it to contribute to margins in 2014.
Okay. Thanks. That helps.
Thanks, Chris.
And your next question will come from the line of Shannon O'Callaghan from Nomura. You may begin.
Hey, Shannon.
Good morning, guys. So real estate, the non earnings jumped up like 6x this quarter. Can you talk about what's going on there and where are we in terms of unrealized loss and what it means for the equity book in 2014?
Yes. So we had a we're executing a reclass in the quarter between our non earnings calculation and the traditional industry calculation of non accrual. And so there's it's really just that. When you go through the supplemental, there's a really detailed note that walks exactly on what the trade off is between cash basis and cost recovery of assets deemed non accrual and within non accrual, non earning. And so you have a bump up in non earning.
You have a big bump down in non accrual, roughly $3,000,000,000 and it walks you through the pieces of it. There's no change whatsoever in terms of portfolio quality. It's just how we're characterizing between non earning and non accrual and that's just to get us closer to an industry basis. 2nd is on the real estate. I think we ended the year at roughly about a $2,100,000,000 embedded loss, which is basically flat year over year.
The biggest change year over year is we're I think $1,100,000,000 roughly at the end of 2013 is the 30 Rock transaction we did in the Q1 of 2013, which was more than $1,000,000,000 pretax bumped that up a little bit. Now having said that, we sold things throughout the years both the gains and losses etcetera and we kind of find ourselves back at $2,000,000,000 But I think we feel great about where we are in that $14,000,000,000 portfolio and we'll continue to liquidate it down. And so far anyway, we've outperformed the embedded loss numbers we've been sharing with you for the last 5 years.
Okay. Thanks. That helps. And then on pension, where are you going to end up for 2014 in terms of operating and non operating pension and funded status?
Yes. So we ended 2013 at about 91% on the funded status. The deficit in the principal pension plan was down just under $9,000,000,000 year over year driven by portfolio performance were up 14.3% in terms of the earnings on pension assets and the discount rate was up to 4.85 4.85 basis points. So that took the deficit down fairly substantially. In terms of pension next year, we expect pension in total as I shared with you guys to be down roughly $900,000,000 next year.
Most of that will be or a significant percentage of that will be a non op pension. The operating pension benefit will be something south of $400,000,000 but about in that range. We need to kind of finalize exactly where all these year end ending points are going to how they're going to play out in pension expense. But so we expect to be down about $900,000,000 in total and with a little less than 50% of that being 40% of that being associated with operating pension.
Okay. Thanks a lot. It's helpful.
Thanks, Brandon.
I think we have one more, Francis.
Yes. The last question we have will come from the line of Julian Mitchell from Credit Suisse. You may begin.
Hey, Julian.
Hi. Good morning. Yes, I had one question on in oil and gas again, measurement and control, I think, was the one piece of that that you had high hopes for a year ago. It fell short of those and it sounded like you thought it would come back in 2014 and now it sounds like you're a bit more circumspect. So maybe if you could talk a little bit about measurement and control.
What are your kind of current expectations there for this year?
Julian, I think it's we're kind of expecting flattish maybe up marginally, but nothing really nothing substantial. But I think we showed you guys at the outlook meeting that we still expect strong top line and bottom line growth in oil and gas and that's reflective of measurement and control in the flattish range. So that's kind of where we are. I think it's pretty consistent with what other people in the industry say as well.
Okay, got it. But you don't anticipate a large wave of kind of downstream projects in the U. S. To push up orders there anytime soon?
Look, we're hopeful, but that's not the base plan. The base plan is, I would say kind of like at its bottom and it will see flattish kind of growth in 2014 and we're taking cost out and stuff like that.
Got it. And then just within Healthcare, most industrial markets and emerging markets have slowed over the last 2 years. Healthcare has been an exception. I guess your Q4 Emerging Markets growth numbers were not great or certainly were lower than what you've seen in the last 12 months. Is that anything you think to be concerned about in terms of is that maybe reflecting a lag versus broader economic slowdowns?
Or you think it's a blip and healthcare and emerging markets should remain
Julian, there's one there's just we had a real strong Q4 in Russia last year and it was down substantially this year. And net of that, the healthcare growth markets were still pretty good. China was a little bit slower, but not concerning. And the other growth markets were pretty good.
Okay. Thanks.
Great. Everybody, I just want to say thanks to Trevor. Did a great job. Fantastic. And I know I appreciate everybody's acknowledgment.
But Trevor, fantastic for all of us. Thanks for a great job. And welcome to Matt. And Trevor is sprinting to the door guys. So thanks for your great support of Trevor as well.
Great.
Thank you very much, Jeff. And I would thank everyone else for all the fun we've had together the last 5.5 years and best of luck, Matt. I know you'll love the job and do great. The replay of today's webcast will be available this afternoon on our website. We'll be distributing our quarterly supplemental data schedule for G Capital later today.
Our Q1 2014 earnings webcast is on Thursday April 17. And as always we'll be around to take your questions. Thanks a lot.
And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your presentation. Thank you for your participation.