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Earnings Call: Q1 2017

Apr 19, 2017

Speaker 1

Genuine Parts Company First Quarter 20 17 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Sid Jones, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for the Genuine Parts Company Q1 2017 conference call to discuss our earnings results and current outlook for the full year. Before we begin this morning, please be advised that this call may involve forward looking statements regarding the company and its businesses. The company's actual results could differ materially from any forward looking statements due to several important factors described in the company's latest SEC filings. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward looking statements made during this call. We'll begin this morning with comments from our President and CEO, Paul Donahue.

Paul?

Speaker 3

Thank you, Sid, and welcome to our 2017 Q1 conference call. We appreciate you taking the time to be with us this morning. Earlier today, we released our Q1 2017 results. I will make a few remarks on our overall performance and then cover the highlights by business. Carol Yancey, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will provide an update on our financial results and our current outlook for 2017.

After that, we'll open the call to your questions. So to recap our Q1 performance, total sales were up 5% to 3 point $9,100,000,000 net income was up 1 percent to $158,900,000 and earnings per share increased 3% to $1.08 compared to $1.05 in the Q1 last year. These results represent the total sales and earnings across our global automotive, industrial office and electrical operations, which we will discuss in more detail throughout this call. We entered 2017 a stronger, more diversified global distributor. And to that point, our diversification continues to provide complementary benefits as we are not only able to share and implement best practices on the operating side and leverage our infrastructure, but our diversity allows us to better insulate across a broad platform.

This supports our ability to drive sustained growth and generate strong cash flow even when faced with challenges in certain businesses. A recent example is the solid progress we have made the last few quarters in our industrial distribution business and in our international auto businesses. This quarter, we drove strong sales growth in these operations while working to overcome the headwinds in our U. S. Auto business.

As part of our comprehensive strategy, we remain committed to 4 key growth initiatives including the execution of fundamental initiatives to drive greater share of wallet with our existing customer base, an aggressive and disciplined acquisition strategy focused on both geographical as well as product line expansion, the building out of our digital capabilities across all four of our businesses, and lastly, the further expansion of our U. S. And international store footprint. Progress in these areas drove sales increases across all four of our business segments. And our 5% total sales growth was the strongest quarterly sales increase since the Q4 in 2014.

And while we made progress, we are even more encouraged by the prospects for further improvement in our sales performance for the balance of the year, both organically and with ongoing complementary acquisitions. With that said, thus far in 2017, we have acquired businesses with approximately $140,000,000 in annual revenues that will contribute to our results for the balance of this year. We'll share more on this initiative as we cover each of our segments. So let's begin with our automotive operations, which were 51% of our total revenues in the Q1 of 2017. For the quarter, our global automotive sales were up 3.4% from last year and improved from the 2.4% increase in the Q4 of 2016.

Comparable sales on a global business were up approximately 1 half of 1% with our international businesses delivering 4% comparable sales growth. Total sales for our U. S. Operations, which continue to represent over 70% of our total automotive revenues, were up 1% in the Q1, including a 1% decrease in comparable sales. Both the commercial and retail platforms were down slightly, reflecting the headwinds of another mild winter season and overall challenging sales environment that persisted through the 1st 3 months of the year.

On the commercial side of the U. S. Business, sales to our NAPA Auto Care Centers were up 2% driven by the growth in new members, while sales to major accounts and fleet customers remained under pressure. Sales were most challenged in the heating and cooling and undercar categories, which correlate to the warmer than average winter weather across much of the country during the quarter. This was especially true in January February with the exception of pockets of more normal winter temperatures in the Northern Rockies and Northwest.

These regions outperform the balance of the country. We remain energized by the many opportunities we have to strengthen our retail business. These include leveraging the long term growth potential for our NAPA rewards program now at 4,000,000 members and growing, continuing the rollout of our retail impact initiative, which includes installing all new interior layouts and in store graphics, extended store hours and increased training for our store associates. We are planning for more than 4.50 of these stores by the end of 2017 and although small in the overall scheme of total sales, the stores updated for this initiative continue to produce low double digit retail sales growth. Moving on to the trends we are seeing across the U.

S. Automotive aftermarket. The fundamental drivers for our business remain sound. The size of the vehicle fleet continues to grow. The average age of the fleet remains in excess of 11.6 years.

Lower fuel prices remain favorable for the consumer and miles driven continues to post substantial gains. Miles driven increased 1.9% in February, marking 36 consecutive months of increases in miles driven and is up 2% year to date with lower fuel prices continuing to drive this key metric. The national average price of gasoline was $2.48 in March and although up from last year remains relatively low compared to gas prices in 2010 through 2014. As a result, we expect to see further increases in miles driven and ultimately additional parts purchases in 2017. The Q1 was our most difficult compare of the year in the U.

S. And we expect to see improving sales trends as we move through the quarters ahead and in particular the second half of the year. This was generally our thinking going into 2017 and to this point we see this playing out accordingly. We remain focused on expanding our business with our key commercial programs, NAPA Auto Care and major accounts, executing on our retail strategy and driving footprint expansion via new store openings and strategic acquisitions. We continue to pursue accretive additions to our business and to that end we announced earlier this morning the acquisitions of Murrells Automotive, a 15 location automotive group based in Tucson, Arizona with approximate annual revenues of $45,000,000 Merrell's is a dominant player in this market and enhances our store footprint and competitiveness in the Arizona marketplace.

We are excited to welcome the Merrell's team to Napa and look forward to their positive contributions to our overall growth. Now let's turn to our international automotive businesses in Australasia, Canada and Mexico. These operations account for nearly 30% of our global automotive revenues and delivered combined total sales that were up 8%, including a 4% comparable sales increase in local currency consistent with the Q4 of 2016. In Australia and New Zealand, 1st quarter sales grew by high single digits driven by solid comparable sales growth and the ongoing benefit of our 2016 acquisitions in this region. The Asia Pac business operated with 56 additional stores in the Q1 of 2017 relative to the same period last year and we see opportunities for further expansion in the future.

In addition, the underlying fundamentals for the aftermarket remain solid, including a growing car part driven by record car sales, relatively low gas prices and upward trends in miles driven. At DAPA Canada, total and comparable sales increased in the mid single digits range, which was slightly stronger than in the Q4 of 2016. We believe this reflects the positive impact of a more favorable overall sales environment across Canada relative to 2016, due at least in part to the improving energy sector in Western Canada. In addition, positive industry fundamentals such as a growing vehicle fleet and historically low gas prices bode well for the future of the Canadian aftermarket. All in, our growth prospects at Napa Canada remain positive over the balance of 2017.

And finally, in Mexico, our sales grew by low double digits for the 2nd consecutive quarter. We continue to expand our Napa Mexico footprint and today have 33 total stores with plan to add additional stores in the quarters ahead. So looking back on the quarter, we are pleased with our international automotive sales performance and expect continued strong results from these operations over the balance of the year. So now let's turn to our Industrial business. Motion Industries represented 31% of our Q1 total revenues and was up 6.9% in the quarter.

This has improved from the 4% increase in the Q4 of 2016 and is also our strongest quarterly performance since the Q4 of 2014. Comparable sales were also much improved, up 3% from last year and also up from the slight increase reported in the 4th quarter. Our strengthening industrial sales appear to reflect the positive impact of more favorable market conditions. Broad based industrial indicators such as the industrial production numbers as well as the Purchasing Managers' Index continued to improve during the quarter and the energy sector made further progress in its recovery. Rig counts are now up nearly 2 times the count in March of last year, which is a real positive for our customers depending on the oil and gas sector.

Likewise, the level of exported good continues to improve, a positive sign for equipment and machinery customers in the OE sector. A review of our motion business by industry sector, product category and top customers further supports our Q1 growth. We saw an increase in the number of sectors generating positive sales gains with food products, aggregate and cement, iron and steel and oil and gas among others all outperforming. In addition, each of our primary product categories generated positive sales growth in the Q1 and our top 20 customers improved their collective sales from mid single digit growth in the Q4 of 2016 to high single digit growth this quarter. So on a product, customer and market basis, the industrial business had a solid Q1 and we look to build on the sales performance as we move forward in the year.

I'd like to take this opportunity to update all of you on a recent investment in the Anenco Group, which we announced back on March 30. Anenco, a Sydney, Australia based industrial distributor was founded in 1954 and today is one of Australasia's leading industrial distributors of bearings, power transmission, fasteners and seals. And Enco currently has 161 locations across Australia and New Zealand as well as an emerging presence in Asia, specifically Indonesia and Singapore. For perspective, Enenco is currently generating annual revenues of more than AUD400 1,000,000 in Australian dollars. Effective April 3, we purchased 35 percent of this company much like we did in 2012 with our original investment in Mexico, the automotive business we now refer to as GPC Asia Pacific.

And in the same vein as our Asia Pac acquisition, we expect to eventually acquire the remaining stake in Inenco. The Inenco investment was attractive to us on many levels. It offers us significant growth opportunities in our core Industrial segment as well as the potential for significant synergies with our existing Industrial business in North America and our Australasian automotive operations. It offers us the opportunity to build on our presence in Australasia, while also serving as an entry point to Southeast Asia, which has been of interest to us for some time. It allows us to expand outside of North America and join with a leading industrial distributor in the large, very fragmented and growing Australasian marketplace.

And finally, it allows us to align with an experienced and talented management team led by Kevin Clark and Roger Jellet in a business with a long and successful history, world class supplier partners and extensive and diverse customer base. We're excited for the future of the industrial business in Australasia and are confident this investment will serve to benefit our shareholders over the long term. Now moving on to EIS, our Electrical Distribution segment. Sales for this group were up 5% in the Q1 and much improved from the flat sales results in the Q4 of 2016. Additionally, comparable sales at EIS grew 2.5%, our Q1 with positive comparable sales since the Q4 of 2014.

We are encouraged that the positive momentum in the industrial business is beginning to carry over to the core electrical business at EIS, which should positively impact sales in the periods ahead. In addition, last October's CPS acquisition continues to perform well and bolster sales in the wire and cable segment at EIS. Effective April 1, we announced the acquisition of Empire Wire and Supply, which will also complement EIS's wire and cable business. Empire is a provider of custom cable assembly and a distributor of network, electrical, automation and safety products with 3 locations in the U. S.

And one location in Canada. This business which should add $65,000,000 in annual revenues to our operations further strengthens our overall capabilities to serve the industrial robotic and automation markets. We look forward to growing this business further as part of the EIS team. And finally, a few comments on the Office Products business, which is 13% of the company's 1st quarter revenues. The Office Products Group reported a 9% increase in sales, driven by an 11% sales contribution from acquisitions in the facility, break room and safety supplies category.

Excluding acquisitions, comparable sales were down 2% in the Q1 as the continued decline in demand for traditional office supplies continues to pressure sales to our independent retailer customer base. Sales to our national accounts, e tailers and FBS distribution customers were up in the quarter and all in the 2% comparable sales decrease is improved from the declines we experienced throughout 2016. In particular, we would point to our new FBS business with 1 of the national accounts as driving the majority of this improvement and we look for further growth in this channel in the quarters ahead. On the product side, sales in the traditional office supplies, furniture and technology product categories each posted sales decreases, while the FBS category posted solid sales growth. The ongoing expansion of our SBS products and services offering is a key element of our growth strategy at SBR.

And for the Q1, FBS sales were 32% of total sales for this segment, which is up from 25% from a year ago. We have plans for the continued expansion of our FBS business, including strategic acquisitions as we move ahead. Likewise, we also have key initiatives to grow our overall share of wallet and market share across our product categories and sales channels. So that recaps our consolidated and business segment sales results and the initiatives underway to generate sustainable sales growth in both the near and long term. We were pleased to produce a 5% sales increase in the Q1 of 2017 and build on the 3% sales increase for the Q4 of 2016.

It is also encouraging that our overall growth was driven by sales increases across our 4 businesses with positive comparable sales across all but one segment. So with that, I'll hand it over to Carol, who will provide a financial update and our updated outlook for the year. Carol?

Speaker 4

Thank you, Paul. And we'll begin with a review of our key financial information and then we'll provide our updated outlook for 2017. As Paul mentioned, total sales in the Q1 of $3,900,000,000 up 5%, included a 1% increase in comparable revenues. Our gross margin for the quarter was 29.6% compared to 29.7% in the Q1 last year, with a slight decrease primarily related to lower supplier incentives. We expect these incentives to improve over the balance of the year and combined with our ongoing initiatives to enhance gross margin, we expect better compares in the quarters ahead.

The pricing environment across our businesses remains relatively unchanged from the prior quarter with slight deflation in automotive segment, which is offset by slight inflation in industrial office and the electrical businesses. Our supplier price changes in the Q1 of 2017 were down 0.2% in automotive, up 0.3% in industrial and up 0.4% in office as well as electrical. Turning to our SG and A, our total expenses for the Q1 were 9 $12,000,000 up 6% from last year and 23.3 percent of sales. While we're not pleased with the 28 basis point increase year over year, this has improved from the Q4 of 2016 as a percent of sales and we're working hard to drive further cost savings. Primarily, our increase in SG and A relates to the deleveraging of expenses in our U.

S. Automotive and office businesses as well as rising labor and delivery costs and ongoing spending for planned IT and digital investments. As expected, our costs related to our recent acquisitions were also up year over year, but we're gradually eliminating these as we integrate these new businesses. Among our cost saving initiatives, we're also monitoring our costs and reducing any unnecessary expenses as we further rationalize our facilities to streamline our cost structure as appropriate. This process serves to reduce the overall distribution costs across all our businesses and combined with our ongoing investments in technology, we would expect to make further progress towards lower costs and yet increased efficiency in our highly effective distribution infrastructure in the quarters and years ahead.

Now moving to our results by segment. Our automotive revenue for the Q1 of $2,000,000,000 was up 3% from the prior year. Our operating profit of $152,000,000 is down 1% with the operating margin of 7.6% compared to 8.0 percent in the Q1 last year, which is primarily due to the deleveraged expenses in our U. S. Operations.

Our industrial sales were $1,200,000,000 in the quarter, a 7% increase from the prior year. Operating profit of $90,000,000 is up a solid 10% and our operating margin improved to 7.3% compared to 7.1% last year. This segment benefited from stronger overall sales growth, favorable product mix shift and the positive impact of their cost savings. Office products revenues were $519,000,000 up 9% from last year. Their operating profit of $31,000,000 was down 9% and operating margin is 6.0%.

While this has improved from the 4th quarter, the margin for office remains under pressure due to the decrease in organic sales as well as increased costs associated with growing with serving a growing number of sales channels including the e tailers. To address these concerns, we've implemented several cost initiatives to drive significant savings in this business in the quarters ahead. The Electrical Electronics Group sales were $184,000,000 in the quarter, up 5% from 2016. Operating profit of $14,000,000 is down 8%, so the margin for this group is 7.4% compared to 8.4% last year. So we're encouraged by the sales growth in the quarter, but we were pressured by customer and product mix shift, which offset the positive impact of the cost saving initiatives in this business.

So our total operating profit in the first quarter increased by 1% and our operating profit margin was 7.3% compared to 7.7% last year. As we mentioned in our last call, we had anticipated a challenging Q1 from a margin perspective, and we're very focused on driving cost savings to improve our margins across our businesses over the balance of the year. We had net interest expense of $6,200,000 in the quarter, up $1,400,000 from last year due to the increase in debt levels and certain variable interest rates. With these factors in mind, we're updating our net interest expense to be in the range of $23,000,000 to $24,000,000 for the full year. Our total amortization expense was $10,800,000 for the Q1, up from $8,800,000 last year.

And as a result of our recent acquisitions, we're updating our estimate for full year amortization to approximately 45,000,000 dollars Depreciation expense was $27,000,000 for the quarter, up slightly from last year. For the full year, we continue to expect total depreciation to be in the range of $115,000,000 to 125,000,000 dollars On a combined basis, we continue to expect depreciation and amortization of approximately $160,000,000 to $170,000,000 The other line, which primarily reflects our corporate expense, was $26,000,000 for the quarter, up from $24,000,000 last year, due mainly to higher costs for personnel and IT security. For 2017, we continue to expect corporate expense to be in the range of $100,000,000 to $110,000,000 which is in line with our previous guidance. Our tax rate for the Q1 was 34.3% compared to 35.9% last year. The reduction in the rate is due to a higher mix of foreign earnings, which are taxed at lower rates, the recently adopted change in accounting for stock based compensation, which positively impacted the Q1 rate, as well as a more favorable non taxable retirement plan valuation adjustment.

For the full year, we're updating our expected income tax rate to a range of 35.5% to 36%. Our net income for the quarter of $160,200,000 was up 1% from last year, and our EPS of $1.08 was up 3%. So now we'll discuss our balance sheet, which remains strong and in excellent condition. Our cash of $178,000,000 at March 31 is down from $27,000,000 from last year, but our cash position continues to support our growth initiatives across each of our distribution businesses. Accounts receivable of $2,100,000,000 is up 5% from the prior year, which is in line with our Q1 sales growth of 5%.

Our inventory at quarter end was $3,300,000,000 up 7% from March of last year. Before acquisitions, our inventory is up 3% and we'll continue to maintain this key investment at the appropriate levels as we move forward. Accounts payable of $3,200,000,000 at March 31 is up 9% from the prior year due to the increased level of purchases, the ongoing benefit of improved payment terms as well as acquisitions. At March 31, 2017, our AP to inventory ratio was 98%, which is up 2 points from the 96% at March 31 a year ago as well as December 31, 2016. Our working capital of $1,600,000,000 at March 31 is up slightly from last year.

We continue to effectively manage our working capital, which is a top priority for the company. Our total debt of $1,000,000,000 at March 31 compares to $700,000,000 in debt March of last year, and our total debt to capitalization is approximately 24%. We're comfortable with our capital structure at this time, and we continue to believe that our current structure provides the company with the flexibility and financial capacity necessary to take advantage of any growth opportunities that we may choose to pursue. So in summary, our balance sheet remains a key strength of the company. In the Q1, we generated cash from operations of $102,000,000 and we continue to expect strong cash flows for the full year.

Per our initial guidance, we are still forecasting cash from operations of approximately 950,000,000 dollars and free cash flow, which excludes capital expenditures and the dividend to be approximately $400,000,000 We remain committed to several ongoing priorities for the use of our cash, which we believe serves to maximize shareholder value. These include strategic acquisitions, which Paul covered earlier, share repurchases, the reinvestment in our businesses and the dividend. We purchased 1,000,000 shares of stock in the Q1, and today we have 3,200,000 shares authorized and available for repurchase. We have no set pattern for these repurchases, but we expect to remain active in the program in the period ahead as we continue to believe that our stock is an attractive investment and combined with the dividend provides the best return to our shareholders. Our investment in capital expenditures was $25,000,000 in the Q1 and an increase from the $12,000,000 last year.

For the year, we are now planning for capital expenditures in the range of $145,000,000 to 160,000,000 dollars Turning to our dividend, 2017 marks our 61st consecutive year of increased dividends paid to our shareholders. Our annual dividend of $2.70 represents a 3% increase from 2016 and is approximately 57% of our 2016 earnings. So that concludes our financial update for the Q1 of 2017. And in summary, while our top line growth is encouraging, there are still many opportunities to both enhance our gross margin and to better manage the expenses in our businesses. These areas have our full attention and we're very focused on driving improved gross margins, greater efficiencies and cost savings as we move through the year.

And we look forward to reporting to you on that progress. Now turning to our guidance for 2017. Based on our current performance, our growth plans and the market conditions that we see for the foreseeable future, we're updating our full year 2017 guidance as follows. We continue to expect total sales to be in the up 3% to up 4% range, which is unchanged from our initial guidance. This outlook includes the benefit of our year to date acquisitions, including the Murrells acquisitions that is effective May 1, but no other future acquisitions.

We also expect a slight headwind from currency translation for the full year. Our comparable sales growth is still projected to be in the range of up 2% to up 3%. By business, we are maintaining our initial sales outlook at up 3% to up 4% for Automotive and Industrial and up 2% to up 3% for office. In the Electrical segment, we're raising our sales outlook to up 7% to up 8% from our initial guidance of up 1% to up 2% to account for the addition of Empire, which was effective April 1, 2017. On the earnings side, we're raising our full year outlook for earnings per share to $4.75 to $4.85 which is an increase from our initial guidance of $4.70 to $4.80 for 20.17.

Our updated EPS range accounts for the acquisitions we discussed today, including the Anenco investment, as well as our expectations for a lower tax rate. This represents a 3.5% to 6% increase in EPS from 2016, while our earnings growth progressively improved over the balance of the year. And with that, we would just close by saying thank you to all of our GPC associates for their continued hard work and commitment to the future growth of the company. And I'll now turn it back over to Paul.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Carol. So we are pleased to raise our 2017 earnings outlook and we move forward with the goal of building on our current sales momentum. We are focused on further strengthening the core sales across our businesses as well as maximizing the benefits of our recent acquisitions. We are also committed to executing on our plans to enhance our gross margins and secure cost savings leading to stronger earnings growth. So in closing, I'd like to add my sincere thanks to our GPC associates across the globe for a really solid start to 2017.

And with that, we'll turn it back to Kayla and Carol and I will be happy to take your questions. Kayla?

Speaker 1

Thank We'll go first to Chris Horvers, JPMorgan.

Speaker 5

Hi, guys. This is Jerry Sullivan on for Chris. A question around tax refunds. Were tax refunds a significant impact in, I guess, late January February? And did you see, I guess, an uptick in sales in March as the refund flow started to come to consumers?

Speaker 3

No, Jerry. So look, it may have had a small impact, but it's really difficult to quantify. And if you look at our business with the majority of our business being driven by the commercial sector, I'm not sure that we would have been impacted like perhaps one of our peer groups who is a bit more reliant on the DIY customers.

Speaker 5

Great. So I take it then weather was a much bigger impact in February and January then kind of came back in March or how should we think about the cadence?

Speaker 3

No, you would be correct. January, we got off to a slow start in January and February got a little better and March was similar to February. And look, we hate to play the weather card, but the fact is weather had a significant impact. We had a very warm January, a warm February across the country with the exception of our business out west, which was basically cold and wet. And then winter returned in March in the Northeast.

And for a lot of you folks who live in the Northeast, we got to put a snow up there in some markets in nor'easter rolled in. And that cost is business. We had stores that were closed and we had DCs that were closed in the month of March. So look, it's a fact of life. We all deal with it, but it absolutely had an impact on our U.

S. Automotive business. Got it. Thank you.

Speaker 6

You're welcome. Thank you.

Speaker 1

We'll go next to Greg Melich, Evercore ISI.

Speaker 7

Hi, thanks. I have two questions, Paul, I guess to follow-up on that one. You hate to go to weather, but we're already there. I guess, given your history and experience of seeing that, when you do see a late winter come with that late kind of storm, understanding that it can hurt sales at those actual days or weeks, are you seeing any signs that late part of the winter that came in has actually helped some of the spring demand? Or are we still at that trend that we've been sort of running through the Q1?

Speaker 3

The trend is similar, Greg. And look, so now that we're into April, of course, we got the Easter holiday hitting us in the middle part of the month. So it's early yet to really make a call as to what the impact was. Look, if there's anything good, the snow and the cold that returned in March in the Northeast, it probably blew out some winter goods that we had stocked up on and had hoped to sell in both January February. So if there was any benefit, we probably blew out some of those winter goods in late March.

Speaker 7

And on the comps, remind us, are there any are the selling days the same in

Speaker 3

the Q1 this year as

Speaker 7

a year ago? I know we had a leap year last year, but Easter shift. Was it

Speaker 8

a true comparison this year?

Speaker 3

It was, yes. Absolutely. The number of days in the quarter were consistent, 16% to 17%.

Speaker 7

Great. And then Carol, I just wanted to follow-up on the guidance to make sure I got it right. The $0.05 change was basically driven by 2 things, the acquisitions you've done since the guidance in the early part of the year and then the lower tax rate. Was that those are the two things that changed that?

Speaker 4

Well, yes, Greg, we considered all factors. So the acquisitions, which would be the 35 percent investment in Enco as well as Empire and Merle and then the lower tax rate, but we also considered we had slight increases in our interest expense and our amortization expense as well. And then look, just the additional headwinds, if you will, in keeping our core sales consistent throughout the year with automotive and industrial. So we considered all those factors in the $0.05

Speaker 7

Okay. And we mentioned the lower tax rate. Is that the accounting change on some of the stock comp? Is that what drove that? And is that something we should model out for in perpetuity?

Or is that just a this year issue?

Speaker 4

So that is one of the reasons for the lower tax rate. We traditionally have a lower rate in the Q1, but there were three things that drove the lower rate. 1 was the mix of foreign earnings because they were stronger Q1 because of the stronger sales results. 2 was the impact of the stock option change. And then 3 was we had a favorable non taxable retirement plan adjustment Q1.

So that was about a third, a third, a third, if you will. We have modeled that stock option change into our lower rate guidance for the rest of the year. And that stays that way, but I can tell you that's an extremely hard to predict number because it depends what stock options are exercised in the future depending what your market price is. So we've modeled a similar number for the rest of the year as Q1, but that's in our guidance.

Speaker 7

Got it. And that was okay, that's great. We'll look because all else the chance. Thanks.

Speaker 3

All right. Thank you, Greg.

Speaker 1

Next is Matt Fassler, Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 9

Thanks a lot. Good morning. I'll come back to one of my second question to give everyone a break from it. But I want to start off by asking a question that's relevant primarily to the industrial business, though it could be driven across the board. We heard from a couple of your industrial peers about pricing actions and in essence the impact of increased price transparency on their pricing models and in some instances on margin.

Can you talk about your pricing approach? And are you seeing a dynamic a different dynamic in the market as it relates to pricing in the industrial business? Or do you feel that's more idiosyncratic to some of your peers and the world you see is as it's been?

Speaker 3

Yes. It's Matt, I'll give it a shot and Carol, you jump in here if you have a comment. But certainly I'm assuming you're referencing a business that was released yesterday, Matt. And the fact is that our business is different. And while we're watching what's going on in their world, it's really not impacting us.

And if you look at our business and our model, it's certainly more of a contractual business. And the business that you're referencing is a very small portion of our overall.

Speaker 4

And Matt, I would just add that Motion and you can see it in their operating margins, both their gross margin, their core gross profit as well as their SG and A were improved in the quarter. So, we're not really seeing that impact and we're not really expecting that. I mean, I think for Motion, it is unique to the company that was discussed.

Speaker 9

So back to automotive for a moment. Obviously, the weather had an impact on the business in the quarter. If we think back to 2016, which was a sluggish year for the industry, one of the factors that was cited within that was the warm winter that we had last year. And I know that this year was not quite as unique, but by some measures, it was rather similar. How does the winter that we've had, which is essentially over, impacts your thinking on the revenue line for automotive in the rest of 2017?

Speaker 3

Well, we're for the U. S, Matt, and I'm assuming you referenced in the U. S,

Speaker 7

Yes, sir.

Speaker 3

We're staying with our guidelines. We expect to see improved sales. As I mentioned in my comments, certainly Q1 was our toughest comps that we had that we went up against that will go up against all year. So we're expecting many of the initiatives that we have in play to kick in. And once we get beyond some of these weather headwinds, we really expect to see improved business the balance of the year on our U.

S. Automotive business.

Speaker 9

And then finally on automotive sorry, Carol, go ahead.

Speaker 4

Well, I just I want to just reiterate on our core growth for automotive, our guidance remains at plus 3% to plus 4%. So that's offset by acquisitions and FX, but implied in there is probably plus 2% to plus 3% for U. S. And slightly stronger for international.

Speaker 9

Yes. Got it. And then I think that in recent quarters as you've given us color on the components of the business, you've broken out commercial and DIY in a little more detail. I might have missed that today, but is that color you could give us on Q1?

Speaker 3

Well, the DIY and commercial were both down slightly

Speaker 9

in the quarter, Matt. Got it. All right. Thank you so much, guys.

Speaker 3

Okay. You bet. Thanks.

Speaker 1

We'll go next to Chris Bottiglieri with Wolfe Research.

Speaker 10

Hi. Thank you for taking my question. Hey, Chris. Hey, quick question for you. How does the margin structure in your mind?

I know it's company owned stores, I presume a higher margin, but how does the operating margin structure of Asia Pac compare to the U. S? And I guess firstly for auto and then maybe just for industrial?

Speaker 4

Yes. So our margin structure for both our Australian businesses and automotive and industrial would be comparable. Asia Pac, when we bought them, very comparable margins. What we've seen there is really nice improvement in their top line growth. So then that kind of drives more of an upsized margin improvement, but similar margins.

And then the Inenco business would be a similar margin to our Motion business as well.

Speaker 3

What excites us, Chris, on our acquisition of Enenco is the synergies that we believe we can drive both with our motion business, our industrial business sharing many of the same key suppliers, global suppliers and some of the best practices potentially adding additional new product lines to our NEMCO business, but also taking advantage of the infrastructure and footprint that we have on the ground now in Australia and New Zealand to drive improved indirect cost as well. So we look, it's early and we're still at just a 35% owner, but we see a template very similar to the path we went down with the Repco business 4 years ago and that's certainly what we intend to replicate.

Speaker 10

Got you. Then just the indirect, I mean, what are you sharing? Is it corporate office space? Is it like oversight and corporate? Like what are some of those indirect synergies between your, I guess, Automotive Australia and ENCO?

Speaker 4

So it can be anything from freight to ocean cargo to technology to digital. I mean, there's just a vast array warehouse management systems. There's just a vast array of indirect spend programs, if you will, that we put into place immediately on all our acquisitions.

Speaker 3

Yes. Chris, we will in terms of facilities, we don't intend to share facilities in Australia and New Zealand at this point, but we certainly will take advantage of our global sourcing offices that we have on the ground in China for both well, for all of our businesses, but certainly for both of our businesses in Australia as well.

Speaker 10

That's helpful. And then overall, your automotive revenue is fairly strong, a little bit weak in the U. S, but margins kind of gave in a little bit. So I was trying to figure out kind of what drove the margin weakness in Q1 in automotive?

Speaker 4

Yes, look, the comparable sales growth for U. S. Automotive was down 1%. So it's a loss of leverage on the U. S.

Automotive side that drove that margin. And so what we're expecting is that second half of the year that that gets a bit better.

Speaker 10

Okay. That makes a lot of sense. And then apologies, one house maintenance one. Could you just give us the compares for the U. S.

From last year? I think you gave us 0% in Q4, but it might help to kind of fill out 16% just so I can get a sense for the cadence?

Speaker 3

Chris, I don't have that number in front of me right now. I would well, hold on. So as we went across 2016, our U. S. Comps, the Q1 was our strongest.

Our comps in the Q1 last year, as I mentioned, was our strongest. We're up 4%. We were then down 2% +2 percent in Q2, down 2% in Q3 and basically flat in Q4.

Speaker 10

Okay. That's very helpful. All right. Well, thank you so much. I'll pass it on.

Thank you.

Speaker 3

All right. Thank you, Chris. Yes.

Speaker 1

Next is Elizabeth Suzuki, Bank of America.

Speaker 11

Good morning. Historically, what impact, if any, has declining used vehicle pricing had on your business?

Speaker 4

And do

Speaker 11

you think there's any credence to the idea that if used vehicle values decline, that scrap rate may actually go up since the value proposition of fixing up a car versus replacing it becomes a little less compelling?

Speaker 3

Well, let me take a shot at that, Elizabeth. The scrap rate has and certainly the scrap rate is a key metric that we look at to measure the overall automotive business and the health of our automotive business. That has remained fairly consistent. And I think, I for 1 and it would just be one man's opinion, but a drop in used car pricing, I just don't think it's going to have a huge impact. The size of the fleet that we're talking about here in the U.

S. Is massive. And it takes really a significant shift to really move the market. And so we don't anticipate any real shift.

Speaker 11

Okay, thanks. That's helpful. And looking at DIY versus DIFM, what percentage of your auto business is currently DIY and how has that trended over the last several years?

Speaker 3

Yes. So it remains fairly consistent, Elizabeth. It's been right around the 75%, 25% mark, 75% being DIFM commercial and 25 percent being DIY. And it's remained pretty consistent. We have, as we mentioned in my prepared remarks, we have a number of initiatives in play right now to continue to drive additional retail business through our stores.

We've got 1,000 company owned stores, 5,000 independent stores. And one of the things that we have taken from our brethren in Australia is they've got a very strong retail business. So one of the initiatives for us is we've been upgrading our stores, extending our store hours and really just improving the overall retail shop ability of our stores. And as mentioned, we're seeing a nice impact in those stores that we have flipped to our new to that new look. But to size it up, Elizabeth, the industry is growing on the DIFM side and that's where we that's where our heritage is, that's where we intend to stay and that's where we intend we certainly believe the continued growth will come from it on the DIFM side.

Speaker 11

Okay, great. And just a quick one on acquisitions. It looks like in the last just the last month, you've made a couple of smaller and then one larger acquisition in the industrial and auto and electrical segments. Is there any what are the multiples looking like for the various segments versus this year versus last year? And have there been any real shifts where you're starting to see some really compelling opportunities in one particular segment or a couple of segments versus the others?

Speaker 3

Yes. Well, our stated objective in terms of our M and A, we if you go back to my growth pillars, Elizabeth, I talk about an aggressive but disciplined acquisition strategy and we do stay disciplined in our approach. We shoot for between 6 to 8 times multiples. But occasionally for the right strategic acquisition, we may exceed the outer boundaries of that. But historically and I can tell you that the majority of the times we do stay within our range and that would be our intention going forward as well.

Speaker 11

All right. Thank you.

Speaker 3

You're welcome. Thank you.

Speaker 1

We'll go next to Seth Basham with Wedbush Securities.

Speaker 6

Thanks a lot and good morning.

Speaker 3

Hey, good morning, Seth.

Speaker 6

The last few quarters you guys have given us a gap between the performance in your auto business in the southern and northern regions. Can you

Speaker 3

provide that for this quarter? Yes. So Seth, it's narrowing. It's narrowing significantly. And what I would tell you is that a number of our divisions, we've got 8 divisions across the country that all in various geographical regions.

Most of them this quarter were pretty tightly bunched together. We had a couple outliers and the outliers one on the positive side was posted some pretty good strong single digit growth was up in the mountain part of the U. S. I referenced in my comments that that's the one part of the country that saw a tough winter and more normal winter. And so if we ever really want to truly get a handle on does weather impact the business, we see it very clearly in the growth.

And look, our team is doing a good job up there as well. So it's not all but we saw a nice growth on the positive side in the mountain. On the flip side to that, we saw a decline, a greater decline than we saw in our normal our regular divisions down in up in the North eastern part of the country. And again, the Northeast in Q1 had the warmest winter I think in 25 years with the exception of that nor'easter that blew in March. So those would be the 2 outliers, but the balance were pretty tightly bunched together.

Speaker 6

Got it. So the range that you were talking out for most of 2016 to 400 to 500 basis points gap between the North and South It's much more near than that, would you say 100 basis points, 200 basis points in that type of range?

Speaker 3

In the 200 basis point range.

Speaker 6

Got it. Okay. Thanks for that. You're welcome. Secondly, regarding the fleet business, you talked about some improvement in the oil economy and the benefits to the industrial segment.

But what about in the auto segment? Why aren't we seeing any improvement in the fleet business that is somewhat oil economy centric?

Speaker 3

Seth, that's a great question and one that we've discussed internally. We really think there's a bit of a lag effect in terms of the growth we're seeing. Because if you look at our business in the Southwest, whether it's our industrial business or in our automotive business, our Southwest business is bouncing back. And we just think there's a bit of a lag effect that has yet to kick in, but we do believe that's coming. And one of the reasons why we feel pretty good about the balance of the year.

Speaker 6

Got it. Okay. And last thing in terms of the cadence for the auto business through the year. In the Q2, you talked about comparisons easing substantially, but it also sounds like you're not planning for much of an improvement in comps here in the Q2. It's really back half that you're looking for.

What is it about the Q2 besides Easter that gives you a bit of pause?

Speaker 3

Well, it's still a bit early, Seth. We and look, Easter absolutely has an impact and we've seen it in the month. We so look, I think that as I mentioned to Chris earlier, the comps get a good bit easier here in Q2 and Q3 and our expectation, Carroll, walk you through what we still expect in our U. S. Comps and that's where we expect to be.

Speaker 6

Okay. All right. Very good. Thank you, guys.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 1

We'll go next to Bret Jordan, Jefferies.

Speaker 8

Hey, good morning, guys.

Speaker 3

Hey, Bret. Good morning.

Speaker 8

On the Murrells deal and just sort of thinking about the consolidation of the auto distribution in the U. S. And they were, I guess, a Parts Plus member and back in the end of the year, O'Reilly bought one of the Alliance members. Do you see that is there more of a strategy of owning the retail distribution of auto? And do you think this is a side of further consolidation of the buying group members?

Speaker 3

Well, look, I would tell you this, Brent, we've known Steve Sattinger and the team out there at Merle's for a number of years. And this happens to be Tucson is a market that Merle's dominated in and we have a few stores, but I will tell you they're the strongest player out there. And it's a perfect fit for our Phoenix team and our Western division and just fits very nicely. That's not always the case when we look at some of these groups and these players that are out there, many times we have a number of conflicts in those markets and it's difficult to go in and bolt 1 on just because of the number of conflicts that it would present to us. But I would tell you that we're really excited to have Steve and the Merrell team join NAPA and we feel real good about the nice fit that that's going to have in our with our Phoenix group.

Speaker 8

Did you talk about what you paid for it on a multiple basis?

Speaker 3

No, we did not.

Speaker 8

Okay. Ballpark?

Speaker 4

Ballpark in our ranges that we discussed.

Speaker 8

Okay. And then you talked about the margin, and I think you talked about lower supplier incentives. Was that lower supplier incentive on the auto side just because the negative comp, you weren't getting as much supplier participation? Or is that supplier incentives in other businesses as well?

Speaker 4

So actually, it was, automotive, industrial and office. A little bit more in automotive and more driven by the lower comps.

Speaker 8

Okay, great. Thank you. That's great.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Brett.

Speaker 1

We'll go next to Brian Svanheimer with Gabelli.

Speaker 10

Hi, everyone. Good morning.

Speaker 4

Hey, Brian.

Speaker 3

Hey, Brian.

Speaker 12

I want to talk about Inenco. And can you just discuss the purchasing mechanics for the remainder of the business? And is there an agreed upon price right now? Or is that something that is up for negotiation down the road?

Speaker 4

So Brian, it's similar to what we did with Asia Pac is there is a future earnings target that's been set and there's a period of time that we expect that to happen. And again, it would operate that remains to be seen when the time period is, but as we saw with Asia Pac, we ended up doing a little bit quicker than what we thought. So it's structured very similar to our previous one. So an earnings target in a period of time out. So whether it's 2 years, 3 years, where it remains to be seen.

Speaker 3

Brian, I would just add that our hope and what we anticipate is that it will be in sooner rather than later, much like we saw with our acquisition on the Revco business. And it's a good business and one that, a good business and one that, again, we've known the family. It was a family owned business. We've known them for a number of years. There was always a good relationship between the Inenco team and our Motion team.

And it's one that honestly we're pretty excited about.

Speaker 12

It seems like a great opportunity. Just within Motion, can you talk a little bit about channel inventory and what you're seeing from your own customers and whether some of this is restocking ahead of optimism about the market or just simply meeting demand with purchases?

Speaker 4

So there's definitely, fines, there's new business, but I don't think it's, as much as what you described at the beginning. I think it's more just, the normal, sales that's going on right now.

Speaker 12

All right, terrific. Well, best of luck.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Brian. Thanks, Brian.

Speaker 1

And we have time for one more question from Scot Ciccarelli with RBC Capital Markets.

Speaker 5

Hi, this is Mike LaRoche on for Scot. Thanks for taking my question. I know you talked a little bit about the efforts you're making to improve margins over the coming year. And I was just wondering if you could provide some context on the cadence of when you expect those improvements to show through, particularly maybe with some more color around the recent pressure in office products and electrical?

Speaker 4

Okay. Sure. So what we're probably in our guidance kind of implies a plus 3.5% to plus 6% in earnings per share. And we would say that that's probably more of a second half of the year. And specifically, how are we getting there?

What are we doing? So we had said kind of originally kind of a flat margin for those for the business in the year, but we're getting some improvement obviously out of the tax line. But what we're doing specifically on the EIS side, they have done significant reductions in facilities as well as headcount and then also working on the gross margin side right now. So as this was a quarter, we had nice core growth of 2.5%. So it takes that will start flowing through later in the year with continued core growth.

On the office side, they took some steps last year in Q4 and there were some additional steps taken in Q1, which pertain to headcount reductions, changes in freight, some of our pricing, looking at facilities. And so I would say it would be more in the SG and A line and more second half of the year. But in total, I think for those businesses, we're speaking towards when you put automotive industrial with office and electrical, that's where you may it's going to balance each other out depending what the growth is.

Speaker 6

Okay, thank you.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 1

I'd like to turn it back to our presenters for closing remarks.

Speaker 4

Well, we'd like to thank you for participating in today's call and we thank you for your support and interest in Genuine Parts Company and we look forward to talking to you in July with our Q2 results. Thank you.

Speaker 1

That concludes today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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