Good day, everyone, and welcome to the GrowGeneration Q1 2022 Earnings Call. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Clay Crumbliss. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you. Welcome, everyone, to the GrowGeneration Q1 2022 Earnings Results Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. With us today are Messrs. Darren Lampert, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, and Jeff Lasher, Chief Financial Officer of GrowGeneration Corp. You should have access to the company's first quarter earnings press release issued after the market closed today. This information is available on the investor relations section of GrowGeneration's website at ir.growgeneration.com. Certain comments made on this call include forward-looking statements which are subject to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements.
Please refer to today's press release and other filings with the SEC for a detailed discussion of the risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any of the forward-looking statements made today. During the call, we will use some non-GAAP financial measures as we describe business performance. The SEC filing, as well as the earnings press release, which provides reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly compared GAAP measures, are all available on our website. Following prepared remarks, we will take questions from research analysts. We ask that you limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you have additional questions, please re-enter the queue and we'll take them as time allows. Now, I will turn the call over to our Co-Founder and CEO, Darren Lampert. Darren?
Thanks, Clay, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss our first quarter 2022 financial results and full year guidance. I will begin with a brief discussion of our challenging start to the year, which has been slower than we hoped, followed by a summary of what we're currently seeing in the U.S. cannabis market. I'll finish by reiterating our confidence in the longer-term strategic vision for GrowGeneration, highlighting some positive developments in the quarter against that strategy. I will then turn the call over to our CFO, Jeff Lasher, who will take you through the details for our Q1 results and our updated full year 2022 guidance.
I'd like to start by thanking each one of our employees across our corporate center and 63 retail locations for your continued support of GrowGen and your dedication to our vision and strategic plan. While 2022 is off to a slower start than any of us would prefer, we remain confident in the longer-term opportunity that exists within the hydroponics industry. We entered the quarter with excess inventory, and we didn't anticipate that demand for hydroponics would remain as slow as it has for as long as it has. As a result, we saw fewer vendor rebates and more obsolescence in the first quarter, which consequently had a negative impact on our gross profit from a lower sales base than we originally planned.
I can tell you firsthand, this isn't the first time the industry has experienced a downturn, and as it did last time, we expect this one, too, will pass in the near future. In the meantime, I want to reassure you, GrowGen is on solid financial footing to weather this trough in the cannabis cycle, and we are focused on controlling the areas of the business that are fully under our control. As a result, we firmly believe we are well-positioned to emerge stronger when the market eventually turns, which it will. We have a strong balance sheet, and we don't anticipate the need for external debt or equity issuance. We currently have $66 million of cash and cash equivalents with zero debt. In other words, the company has the ability to meet the operational needs of the business without additional capital.
While our cash from operations was negative in the quarter due to inventory purchases and payment of customer deposits after the HRG acquisition, our underlying business generated positive cash flow from operations. I mention this to say we feel very good about our liquidity position well into the foreseeable future, even if the current market conditions persist throughout this calendar year. We are taking an active approach to managing the business in a way that preserves cash through working capital optimization, which Jeff will discuss in more detail later. We are more aggressively rightsizing our cost structure in light of the current demand in the space. Now, I'd like to say a few words about the broader industry. Demand for hydroponics remains soft as we see a large oversupply of cannabis in the consumer marketplace that is all but halting grower CapEx projects.
This is most pronounced in markets such as California, Oklahoma, and Michigan, which represents, in the aggregate, over 55% of our sales. I can't tell you exactly when this dynamic will shift, but I can tell you that GrowGen remains poised to capitalize on the rebalance when it does. On a positive note, we do see opportunities for cultivation growth in emerging states and regions, including the Northeast, Midwest, and New England, which is where we will focus our greenfield and commercial efforts. More specifically on our business, I want to reiterate our five strategic initiatives this year, which we believe will better position us for growth in 2023. First, we're focusing our growth prospects on opening greenfield retail locations where we think there is the most potential opportunity.
As we've outlined before, this includes our plans to open new first-time retail locations in Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, and Virginia this year. While we are reassessing our goal of adding 15-20 new stores this year, our new 10-15 store goal reflects our strategic decision not to open new stores within existing markets where oversupply is most pronounced. We plan to open our Mississippi retail location in June. In addition, Missouri, New Jersey, and Virginia are all at the lease signing stage, and we plan to have these locations opened in the second half of 2022. We also plan to have New York locations operational by the end of 2022. Second, we are investing in company-wide technology to drive operational excellence to deliver our omni-channel strategy.
Our enterprise resource planning, or ERP platform, will speed transactions at the cash register in store, unify our customer databases, and create a more efficient inventory demand planning and purchasing system. Third, we're establishing a network of 5 distribution centers in key locations to serve our retail stores, e-commerce, and commercial customers. Our fifth distribution center will open in June, adding an incremental 100,000 sq ft of warehouse space to service the Midwest, New England, and Mid-Atlantic regions. Having both East and West Coast distribution will allow us to lower our freight costs, mix our private label items with our distributed products, and better serve our customers on a national level. We now have over 1 million sq ft of retail and warehouse space. Fourth, we are driving sales of proprietary brands and private label products.
This includes investments in resources to provide customer service, product development, and distribution excellence. Private label and retail stores accounted for $3.6 million of retail sales, which is around 5% of our overall retail and e-commerce sales. Drip Hydro, our proprietary nutrient and additive line, launches in GrowGen stores later in the month of May. In our non-retail store segment, our recent acquisition of HRG will enable us to expand the distribution of some of our 400 private label SKUs into 750 hydroponic stores across the U.S. starting in the second quarter. Revenue from our non-retail distribution business, including HRG, MMI, Power Si, Char Coir, and other own brands total 15% of sales. Fifth, in the first quarter, we combined the e-commerce operation and infrastructure to operate the site that generated $5.3 million in online sales in Q1.
This results in long-term capabilities to service customers more efficiently with reduced freight and faster delivery times, while maintaining competitive pricing as well as the ability to leverage our operating expenses. In summary, our first quarter comparable sales declined 35% year-over-year, and comparable sales sequentially declining each month so far in 2022. The revenue weakness has not abated in the second quarter. Our April same-store sales remain under pressure from declining demand for durable goods, including lighting and HVAC products, as well as lower demand from large commercial accounts. We remain committed to these strategic and commercial initiatives, and we firmly believe these strategies will make us stronger in 2023.
As Jeff will detail for you, we are reducing our guidance for both net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2022. I will turn the call over to Jeff Lasher, our Chief Financial Officer. Jeff?
Thank you, Darren. I will address our first quarter financial results, and then I will discuss our updated full year 2022 guidance today. For the Q1 , GrowGeneration generated revenue of $81.8 million versus $90 million in the first quarter of 2021, representing a decline of approximately 9% or $8.2 million. The decrease in revenue was primarily attributed to a $25.1 million decrease in same-store sales revenue in stores, and a $1 million decline in e-commerce revenue for web stores opened in both periods. This was partially offset by $11.3 million of incremental revenue from non-comparable stores opened or acquired last year.
Sales in non-retail businesses, including the acquisition and integration of HRG and MMI, increased from $2.8 million in the same period 2021 to $12.2 million in the Q1 of 2022. Our same store sales for the Q1 was $47.7 million compared to prior year sales of $74 million, representing a 35% decline against the comparable year ago quarter. Gross profit margin was 27.1% for the first quarter, down approximately 110 basis points from the prior year, but up from Q4.
The year-over-year margin decrease in the first quarter was related to unrecaptured freight expense, dilutive impact of passthrough freight charges to customers at cost, inventory write-downs, and discounting activities. Gross profit dollar generation in the first quarter decreased 12.8% from the prior year, including the impact of additions of acquisitions in retail stores, e-commerce and our non-retail segment. Total operating expenses in retail stores and our e-commerce segment sequentially declined from the fourth quarter of 2021. However, the addition of HRG and MMI for the quarter resulted in an overall increase in operating expenses, which totaled $14.5 million compared to $8.2 million in the Q1 of 2021.
On a year-over-year basis, we added 37 retail locations in several non-retail acquisitions, which contributed to the increase in first quarter store operating costs on an absolute basis versus the comparable year ago period. Selling, general and administrative costs were sequentially down in the first quarter of 2022 at $10.3 million compared to Q4 of 2021. Of the $12 million of SG&A in the quarter, $1.6 million was derived from stock-based compensation. Additionally, the recent acquisition of MMI and HRG added an incremental $1.6 million to SG&A expense in the quarter. We've taken a number of steps to decrease operating expenses, including resizing the payroll, consolidation of the e-commerce web stores that reduce marketing expenses and operational changes.
For the quarter, we had higher expenses, including an increase in bad debt reserve and expenses for the termination of office leases that totaled about $1 million. Depreciation and amortization of intangibles was $4.5 million for new store openings and technology. As we go forward, depreciation and amortization expense will continue, and we forecast that amortization will be about $12 million in 2022 associated with acquisitions over the last couple years, including the 2022 acquisitions of HRG. Income tax provision was a credit of $1.6 million in the first quarter of 2022, following the net loss in the quarter. For 2022, we are forecasting a financial loss for tax purposes.
Net loss for the Q1 was $5.2 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $6.1 million or $0.11 per diluted share for the comparable year ago quarter. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes the expenses associated with interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and share-based compensation, was a loss of $700 thousand for the Q1 of 2022, compared to income of $11.1 million in the Q1 of 2021. Related to the balance sheet, the company ended the quarter with $47.3 million of cash and $19 million of marketable securities on the balance sheet that are mature and available for sale if needed. Total liquidity was $66.3 million at the end of March 2022.
The company reduced ongoing legacy inventory and legacy company prepaids by about $13 million. However, including inventory purchased in the HRG acquisition and acquired shortly after the acquisition, total inventory was flat at $106 million. Prepaid inventory and other prepaid assets fell from $16.1 million to $7 million in the quarter. Total receivables increased from $8.2 million- $9.4 million with the addition of HRG activity. In the quarter, we used cash from operations to pay down accounts payable from $17 million- $14.2 million at the end of the quarter, inclusive of HRG payables. We also consumed about $4 million for payments of accrued liabilities, including payroll related items.
Customer deposits fell from $11.7 million at the end of 2021 to $7.2 million at the end of March 2022, reflecting lower commitments of capital products that require deposits in advance of production. Overall, managing other working capital needs in the first quarter resulted in an underlying generation of $3 million of cash from operations of the existing at the end of 2021. However, cash flow from operations in the first quarter was burdened by an inventory build for HRG of $5 million, and the overall result was a usage of cash in the quarter of $2.3 million. We are now expecting and planning for an acceleration of the decline in comparable store sales across the country throughout 2022.
The sales results in the latter half of the first quarter in the month of April have deteriorated sequentially since and have forced us to revise downward our sales projections for the year. Specifically, April was down more than 50% on a same store sales basis, and we have not seen any improvement in the beginning of May. As a result, we are now forecasting comparable sales declines at or below Q1 results for Q2 and for Q3. We are up against an easier comparison in Q4 of 2022 and presently forecast a high single-digit decline in comparable store sales in Q4. We expect gross margins to remain pressured moving into the second and third quarters, followed by a projected margin expansion in the fourth quarter on a year-over-year basis.
We are continuing to take steps in executing our business strategy to focus on generating cash from operations during the challenging industry environment. We are doing this with a focus on inventory reductions, tight management of credit authorization, and modification of key vendor terms to shore up the company's balance sheet and cash position. As mentioned, the cash generated by legacy 2021 operations was positive in the first quarter, but we made a substantial investment in the wholesale hydroponic business, specifically the acquisition and inventory build of HRG. Total net cash used in the investment of HRG and the expansion of distributed brands inventory for that business after the acquisition was $12 million, which does not include the common stock issued in the course of the acquisition valued at $5.7 million.
At the time of the acquisition on January 31st, 2022, HRG had $4.2 million of inventory, and we acquired $5 million additional inventory to support expansion of product offerings into control systems and LED lighting. HRG contributed $3.4 million of revenue in the quarter but did not materially contribute to EBITDA. We are planning for total capital investments outside of acquisitions, primarily for new store build-outs of $15-$20 million. Thus far, we have spent $4.5 million in 2022. The other addition to the enterprise that produced better than expected EBITDA and cash flow was MMI, a company specializing in manufacturing and selling of vertical benching and racking systems for both the retail and agricultural markets.
The MMI business benefited from continued expansion from $100 million-$400 million and full year Adjusted EBITDA to be above breakeven, but less than $10 million, all including the recent acquisition. The low end of our guidance range embeds a continuation of current trends we are seeing today. As such, we are not expecting Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of 2022 to be significantly different relative to first quarter results. We expect gross margins to remain under pressure throughout the balance of the year due to discounting and our elevated freight cost. We expect operating expenses to be controlled and sequentially down in the second quarter before increasing on an absolute basis in the third and fourth quarters due to the expansion of retail store footprint.
As we said on our last earnings call, we continue to expect for 2022 that our proprietary brands of Power Si and Char Coir will benefit from the industry focus on yield and quality and product, but other areas, including lighting control systems and HVAC, will be under pressure. As a result, we have significantly constrained our inventory purchases as we focus on our brands and decrease working capital needs. We will add new stores in the latter portion of 2022 that should generate incremental sales as they come online throughout the balance of the year. So far in 2022, we have opened a new location in Ardmore, Oklahoma, on the Texas border, and relocated stores in Auburn, Maine and Redding, California. Our new Jackson, Mississippi location will open this summer, followed by more locations in new markets throughout the East and Midwest before year-end.
Just as importantly, we believe that our additional investments in technology, distribution capacity, and private label sales will increase EBITDA margins in future years. Total cash generated by the business will benefit from the company-wide focus on inventory and management of balance sheet items, including receivables. We have modified our tactical response to the market and constrained inventory purchase plan substantially. We maintain a strong cash position without the immediate need for external debt and do not foresee a need for debt or equity issuance. We do anticipate that we will generate positive cash from operations this year in excess of our Adjusted EBITDA. Before I close, I would like to point out that the company has recently changed audit firms. As previously disclosed, and as such, our Form 10-Q filing with the SEC will be filed at a later date than required given this recent change.
For more information, please see our Form 12b-25 with the SEC filed earlier today. Our focus for 2022 is on execution to set up the company for a strong future with the new retail locations, private label and proprietary brands, improved technology, superior distribution capabilities, and a strong e-commerce platform built to scale profitably. With that, I will turn the call back over to Darren for closing remarks.
Thank you, Jeff. Briefly, before we open the lines for questions, I want to reiterate that we are not satisfied with our results in the first quarter. We acted quickly in January with cost reductions to prepare to weather the industry downturn. GrowGen is on solid financial footing with a strong balance sheet, a healthy liquidity position, and solid underlying cash generation. We are confident that when the cannabis cycle turns and the excess supply in the marketplace eventually normalizes, which we firmly believe it will, GrowGen will be well positioned to recover quickly and fully. Our strategic acquisition of HRG accelerates our expansion of our proprietary and distributed brands outside of our retail locations into 750 independent locations. We are very satisfied with our results with both Char Coir and Power Si, and are very excited to begin selling Drip Hydro nutrients and additives.
The addition of MMI strengthens our position to gain indoor vertical cultivation projects with their leading benching and racking systems. Controlled environment agriculture and sustainable ag are only in the development stage, and we believe more local communities will invest in sustainable indoor vertical farms for local production of leafy greens, tomatoes, fruits, and other food products. We have taken the actions needed to reduce our expenses and drive cash generation while focused on our growth plan. Thank you for your time today, and thank you for your interest in GrowGeneration. We will now take your questions. Operator?
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, please press star one to ask a question. We'll pause for just a moment to allow everyone an opportunity to signal. Our first question will come from Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer.
Hi, good afternoon.
Good afternoon.
Hey, Brian.
I mean, the first question I want to ask, and I think, I guess it's Darren, it's more geared for you, just from a bigger picture perspective and, you know, going back to the comment, the opening comments you made in your prepared remarks. I guess, understand better what's from an industry per sector perspective, what's happening here. Because if you look at it, you know, we started talking about these headwinds, oversupply, you know, in some cases slower licensing, basically, you know, midway through last year. I think now we can say they persist. You know, these headwinds have persisted, if not intensified longer and further than most of us thought. I mean, what's actually happening now?
If I heard you correctly, it sounded like the oversupply now is not just a West Coast or California issue, it's into some of these other markets as well. I guess, you know, maybe what's happening, you know, is it a purely supply issue or are you starting to see a demand, you know, is there a demand issue as well? Would it make sense, could a supply issue actually persist more than one year or does that, is there like a self-correcting mechanism within there?
I can start, Brian. You know, to start with, you know, there's some certain amount of licensing in every state that GrowGen does business in. So it was always our thesis, you know, from the start that, you know, we were gonna move from state to state. As states became more mature, you would see a slowdown in CapEx build outs. That's what we've seen. What you've seen in California, Oklahoma, Michigan, and starting to spread into other states is the states are fully built out. What you see every three to five years is refresh cycles with new lights and new control systems and new products coming to market.
We were always of the opinion that when you came out of this green wave after the 2020 election with the Democratic sweep, we were of the opinion as was everyone else, that new states would come to market quicker, that you'd see legalization moving much quicker. Really what you've seen is the opposite. What you've seen is more red tape, more roadblocks from our government. What you've seen is a tremendous amount of money coming into the industry in the same states. You saw build outs in California, Michigan and Oklahoma, you know, took off in that 2020 to 2021 area. You saw also a tremendous upgrade cycle from from any energy inefficient lighting to to LED lighting.
What we're seeing right now really is you're seeing the illegal markets in California are persisting, but you're also seeing states that are fully built out with excess product. You've also seen Wall Street step back and stop fueling the building in certain of these states. You've seen an oversupply and dropping of pricing on the cannabis side of it. You're seeing the perfect storm in a lot of ways, and certainly not in a good way for the hydroponic area. You heard it on Hydrofarm's call the other day. You're probably gonna hear it on Hydrofarm's call today. You're going through right now this perfect storm where groups are not building new facilities.
Really some of the higher-margin sales numbers in our business have disappeared, which is LED lighting, dehumidification control systems. GrowGen right now is selling, you know, basically consumable products to grow plants every day. Some of our big build outs have just stopped. You know, supply and demand will certainly take back off with more consumption of cannabis. If the industry stays flat and cannabis stays where it is right now, you know, I think the industry will be in for some tough times.
We're still of the belief, as you hear from many proponents, that the industry is going to, you know, $100 billion this decade, and it sits in that low $20 billion place right now. With that, there will be a tremendous amount of building. GrowGen right now is taking a wait and see attitude. As you heard today, you know, we've cut costs tremendously. We got ahead of it. At the beginning of the year, we brought inventory down. We've rightsized staff within our stores. Pretty much, you know, running right now on an EBITDA, you know, Adjusted EBITDA breakeven. Three weeks out west right now. We're still hoping to see that outdoor builds coming, but we have not as of yet.
We haven't seen the spring pickup that we saw last year. We're being extremely conservative, you know, with guidance right now and until we see that turn in the market.
Yeah. Got it. That's really helpful, Darren. I guess my follow-up, you know, more for Jeff is you talked about, you know, just kind of, and Darren, you just allude to it as well, just kind of, you know, maintaining the finances here through this difficult period. What are the other levers could you pull? You know, to the extent that results track in a week or maybe even weaker, what levers could you pull or would you pull here just to help stabilize the financial side?
Yeah. I think there's a few things that we still are incorporating into our guidance and continue to work on and through the course of the year. You know, the number one for us is cash from operations, focusing on the balance sheet strength, focusing on inventory turns and improving our overall situation. You know, you can see that in our inventory numbers as we come out with the inventory numbers throughout the calendar year. We are focused on improving that position. We've improved it so far this calendar year, notwithstanding the investment that we made in HRG and the ability for us to convert that to an additional brands offering for them for the distribution business.
You know, we've come down fairly substantially in inventory from 12/31 to today on the legacy businesses, when you take out MMI and HRG, and we continue to look at our turns. We continue to look at our expense structure to find opportunities both within the labor efficiencies at the store level and at the management level and the administrative level, but also looking for efficiencies within outside services and marketing costs, things like that.
We believe that the technology investments that we've made over the course of the last year that will lead up to the launch of our new ERP system here in a couple of months rapidly in order to be positioned, you know, position ourselves for the customers and be in position to grow profitably in the future.
Got it. Thanks a lot. Appreciate it.
Thanks, Brian.
Our next question will come from Aaron Grey with Alliance Global Partners. Mr. Grey, your line is open for a question. Please go ahead.
Hi. Apologies for that, I was on mute. Hi, thanks for the questions. First question from me. Appreciate the comment on the broader Northeast states kind of coming online and some of the license structures that are gonna be a little bit different than, you know, a Michigan, a California, or Oklahoma. I think there's gonna be a little bit more of a reliance on some of the larger players out there. Can you talk about, you know, some of the initiatives you have with those players? Because I think you're gonna have more of a reliance to capture some of the growth there.
Yes, there'll be other licenses, I believe, you know, in the New Jerseys and New Yorks and Virginias of the world, but, you know, less so than those other three markets we've now seen a downturn, which drove a lot of your growth last year. Just your initiatives with some of those larger customers and how those have kind of evolved. Thank you.
Yeah, we have a very talented commercial team at GrowGen that does represent many of the large cultivators around the country. They're in constant contact with them. We are rolling out new products constantly. We have an eye on, you know, 630 light right now that we believe is best of breed. We have a benching company doing vertical racking right now. We are certainly, you know, looking right now to be a one-stop shop for most of these larger cultivators around the country. You know, we do service most of them and, you know, we have the best solution, best service, best supply in the country.
We also have dedicated reps that spend time in the cultivation centers around the country, and they do work with, you know, hand in hand with a lot of the large cultivators that do have licensing.
Your revenue base. With these other states coming online, given the license structure that you're currently seeing, even if everything did go well from a regulatory perspective, do you think that would be enough to kinda offset this three to five year reset cycle in these other three markets, as these are going through the build-out cycles? That'd be it. Thank you.
One of the things, Aaron, about 65% of our sales right now are on the consumable side of it, about 35% on the non-consumable side of it. The consumable side of it is, you know, products that individuals need on a daily and weekly basis. From that side of it, we feel pretty comfortable. On the reset refresh cycles, what you're usually seeing is new products coming to market or energy efficient products, whether on the lighting side of it, the dehumidification side of it, or the control system side of it. Right now it's in that wait and see category. What you're really seeing is, you know, we're over a year, probably a year and a half into that rate now.
We certainly believe that there'll be new products rolling out, and more money coming back into the markets. We do believe there'll be enough to offset it. Non-consumable products are our lowest margin products that we do sell, while our consumable products are at a higher margin base for us. We do believe we're well positioned to recapture the growth as the industry comes back and continues its growth. We do believe that we will capture large shares of new states coming on board. As we said earlier, we're building right now in Mississippi, signing leases right now in Virginia, New Jersey and Missouri. We do believe that, you know, you will see growth coming. What you're also seeing from GrowGen right now is private label products.
We have over 400 private label SKUs that we are selling. We're in the midst of launching Drip Hydro into the markets in the middle to late May that we believe is gonna be an extremely successful nutrient line. The early feedback has been phenomenal on the product.
Our next question will come from Andrew Carter with Stifel.
Yeah, thanks. Good evening. For the back nine, this is implying a $14 million-$74 million absolute increase. First off, a couple of things, just so we can get all our models squared away. Could we get the same store base for each of the new numbers in the final nine? Then also, what's the new store location relocation revenue? Thanks.
Andrew.
This one's for you.
Yeah, Andrew. To break down your question and in order to be clear, the M&A that we've already done this calendar year, the acquisition of HRG, which is a distribution business, as well as the acquisition at the end of calendar year 2021
which is the business that we acquired in New York, the MMI business that makes benches. Those businesses are incorporated into our guidance for 2022. We are not assuming any additional acquisitions in 2021, or sorry, 2022. The acquisitions at this point, we believe, you know, we at this point don't have any targets that make sense to us, and we are, you know, always on the lookout for additional opportunities for us to expand our network. However, we don't, you know, have any targets in sight at this point in time.
Yeah, what I'm asking is-
When you look at the.
Okay.
No, no, go ahead, Andrew.
I was gonna say, what I'm asking is you have a plan for the year, and there's gonna be incremental M&A from either the Rap or MMI, HRG. How much is that embedded in the final nine months? That's what I'm asking. Plus the new store openings.
Yeah. As we disclosed at the end of the calendar year, the MMI business is, you know, total revenue for MMI is in the low double-digit millions, and same with HRG after the conversion of that business to distributor. The business that we have for new stores, we anticipate with our reduction in new store openings and really refocusing our attention on virgin markets for us, we anticipate that, you know, 10-15 retail stores will add, you know, around about $5-$10 million, you know, call it $10 million plus or minus, revenue for the calendar year, depending on the openings. That's the way we look at it today.
Okay. Thank you. Second question I would ask is, I mean, this is the second delayed filing, you know, you've had here, and I know there's been a lot of guidance revisions. You're not alone. But I guess I would ask is there like an issue with the systems or something, another round that you need to go or something like another round of investment? Anything you can help us out with? Thanks.
We've already been making those investments, Andrew, and I appreciate your patience on that. You know, we have matured as a business and we've added complexity to the business, which obviously adds time and effort and detail to the close process. I can tell you that, you know, moving to a large accelerated filer at the end of the calendar year accelerated the calendar for us fairly substantially at the end of the year and then a marginal impact on the quarters. We don't anticipate any further delays in filing status in the future quarters.
This quarter, we just needed that extra couple days to finish up some things that we're working on in conjunction with the 2022 and the complex business combinations that we've done over the past, you know, year and a half. We don't anticipate any further delays in future quarters, most notably with the launch of NetSuite. In the summer, we anticipate that that will dramatically improve our ability to turn over the results and get out even earlier than what we're getting out today.
Thanks. I'll pass it on.
Once again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one. If you do find that your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. We'll now take a question from Scott Fortune with ROTH Capital.
Yeah, good afternoon. I wanna put a little focus back on California as it related. As you saw, the downturn came in Colorado about four years back. Kind of how are you looking at from a standpoint, you know, obviously there's no single signals from California that is correcting here. Remind us, how much of the sales come from California and the recurring mix you said was 55%, which is great, but can you put that in perspective of kind of are you seeing customer or shrink in the store base in California? How do you look at those 23 California stores in this current environment?
Yeah, Scott, I'll start. There are 23 California stores are pretty spread out between Northern California and Southern California, and we have certain concentration in certain areas, you know, consolidation may come into play in 2023. Most of our stores in California are still profitable. We always take, you know, we take a hard look on a quarter-by-quarter basis. We have cut costs tremendously in the California markets. You know, summer season is coming, summer planting is coming, you know, so the spring season is coming. I think we'll take a harder look after we see what happens in the spring. A lot of our stores out in California, in the Northern California areas, are very springtime-centric for outdoor growing.
We still haven't gotten a tremendous handle on the outdoor season in California. We're still looking. Our California business is in the low 20s% right now of our business. The other larger part we spoke about was the Oklahoma and Michigan markets. Right now, I think it's just too early to really, you know, discuss consolidation of some of our stores out in California.
Got it. And then maybe just to provide a little color on the private label side. I know some initiatives you're still looking at potential in the Drip side and there, but are you seeing customers trade down in price and that kind of benefiting your private label side? How are you seeing the customers kind of, you know, with the inflation environment and challenges affecting them, how are you seeing the trade down or anything like that from that side of things? Obviously M&A, it has to be a great opportunity, but any opportunity for M&A on the private label side still?
You know, I think right now, you know, our private label brands are growing. A lot of them have come from in-house. As we spoke earlier, we're in the midst of launching Drip Hydro, which is a product that comes from GrowGen. Our Power Si and Char Coir products are two brands we bought last year, which are both performing well. MMI we purchased this year. One of the interesting, you know, purchases this year for GrowGen was HRG. HRG was the distribution company that was selling Power Si and Char Coir for GrowGen into 750 hydroponic locations around the country. We will be using HRG to distribute products, you know, private label, GrowGen products into other stores around the country. We believe best pricing and and best of breed products, that'll be happening later in the second quarter.
We'll certainly get a better handle for that, you know, going into the third quarter call also. Drip Hydro, we will be distributing into other stores, starting in the third quarter.
That's good. Any customers, are they trading down or how are you seeing the customer react with kind of the inflation pressures going on right now?
You know, our pricing on some of our private label products, our Char Coir product is probably a premium product and so is our Power Si products. So really so, you know, a lot of GrowGen products are premium products right now. Our ION lighting is priced very competitively in the market. ION's had a tremendous 2021, and it's off to a decent 2022. Pricing on the lighting side has come down, you know, from vendors, from distributors, and from stores. You're seeing, you know, $1,100 lights that are trading at $800 right now. You have seen pricing come down with the competitive side of the market in stores around the country.
Okay. I'll jump back. Thank you. I really appreciate the color. Thanks, Darren.
Our next question will come from Glenn Mattson with Ladenburg Thalmann.
Hi. Yeah, thanks for taking the question. I'm just thinking about inventory and the chance for any potential obsolescence and how comfortable you are with the inventory on the balance sheet. Can you go into that at all?
We review our obsolescence position every quarter, and we're comfortable with the reserves that we have in place on the lower of cost or market analysis that we do on a regular basis. We do have, you know, programs in place to address product that is starting to slow down and we have, you know, specific programs from a marketing and promotional perspective to make sure that we continue to move the product and no concerns on that front.
Is there a target number you wanna get to by the end of the year in terms of days of inventory or an absolute dollar number in terms of working down that number over the course of the year?
Yeah. I'm hesitant to put our neck out there on a specific target of inventory numbers. You know, I can say that internally we're focused on continuing to drive down our inventory levels and get back to a turnover that was similar to what we've seen in the past, which is, you know, four turns a year for our inventory. We're focused on improving our turns, but at the same time making sure that we have product available for our customers and that we have the selection and the service for the customers to make sure that we're competitive in the marketplace. It's a balance between those two, you know, two issues, and we wanna make sure we're taking care of the customers on a long-term basis.
We have the financial capabilities of being there for our customers and we don't wanna change that.
Right. Darren, one, someone else asked already about the you mentioned the lower demand from your large commercial accounts. When I think about the Northeast states, many of the guys who are biggest there, at least early on, are not necessarily people who are extremely big in markets like California or Oklahoma or anything like that. So, you know, when you think about that, this part of the country kind of turning the corner and lifting the cannabis market a little bit, you know, can you give investors some level of confidence that you know, you'll participate proportionally?
Yeah. I think the easy answer to that, Glenn, is, you know, we've always participated probably, you know, we've always got our fair share plus in every state that we've been in. You know, we're well known around the country for having the best service solutions supply and best products. And the best commercial team out there. You know, I see no reason why, you know, why our dominance in other states won't continue back east. We have a very strong, you know, presence right now in Maine and in and in Rhode Island and also in Massachusetts, so I see no reason why that doesn't continue straight up into New York, New Jersey, and up the coast.
All right. I guess what I'm getting at, I'll just let me sum it up with this one. If you're, you know, comfortable with the inventory level, which is by far your biggest balance sheet asset as far as a cash asset, and then, you know, your CapEx has been reduced somewhat here. You're gonna end the year theoretically with reasonable amount of cash as you work off some of that inventory. I believe you said cash flow from operations would be better than EBITDA.
That's correct.
You're gonna end the year with a decent, still a significant level of cash. You know, I rarely ask this question because I realize it's a question more for the board, but just generally, Darren, I guess what your thoughts are about, you know, with the stock down where it is, potentially making a move in towards investing in the company and showing faith in that ability to bounce back with the market and do some sort of share buyback or something like that. That's it for me. Thanks.
Yeah. I think it's a question for the board. You know, everyone has their personal opinions on it. I'd rather not discuss it right now. Certainly a question for the board and you know, like anything else, you know, board at GrowGen will always, you know, we'll look at where the stock is right now and make a rational decision on it. There are plenty of people that view you know, stock buybacks into weakness not always is the best use of cash sometimes, especially in unsure markets. Like anything else, Glenn, it'll be a question for the board, and we shall see.
As a final reminder, please press star one to signal for a question. We'll now hear from Ryan Meyers with Lake Street Capital Markets.
Yeah. Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. It's one for me. Of the 10-15 stores that you guys look to open, how many of these do you already have specific geographies identified?
You know, right now we have, we've opened a store in Ardmore, Oklahoma. We've also done reloads in Auburn and Redding. We have a signed lease in Mississippi. The store will be operational in June. It's being built as we speak. We have lease signings coming up in Virginia, Missouri and New Jersey. So we have specific areas, you know, and we have leases and premises that we are signing on. We are constantly looking, you know, around the country right now. So the answer right now, we have three that we've done. Mississippi will be our fourth. We have three lease signings coming up, which will bring me up to seven.
Great. Thanks, guys.
It appears there are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the conference back over to our speakers for any additional or closing remarks.
I'd like to thank you, everyone on the call today. Thank you to our shareholders, to each one of our employees. We appreciate everything you do for GrowGen every day, and we look forward to sharing hopefully some better news on our second quarter call coming up in August. Thank you.
That does conclude today's conference. Once again, thanks everyone for joining us. You may now disconnect.