Ingredion Incorporated (INGR)
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May 6, 2026, 2:22 PM EDT - Market open
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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Aug 9, 2022

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Ingredion Incorporated second quarter 2022 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star one one on your telephone. As a reminder, today's program may be recorded. Now I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Jason Payant, Vice President of Corporate Finance and Interim Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Jason Payant
VP of Corporate Finance and Interim VP of Investor Relations, Ingredion

Good morning, and welcome to Ingredion's second quarter 2022 earnings call. I'm Jason Payant, vice president of corporate finance and interim vice president of investor relations. On today's call are Jim Zallie, our President and CEO, and Jim Gray, our Executive Vice President and CFO. We issued our results today in a press release that can be found on our website, ingredion.com in the Investors section. The slides accompanying this presentation can also be found on the website and were posted today for your convenience. As a reminder, our comments within this presentation may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties and include expectations and assumptions regarding the company's future operations and financial performance. Actual results could differ materially from those estimated in the forward-looking statements, and Ingredion assumes no obligation to update them in the future as or if circumstances change.

Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed during today's conference call or in this morning's press release can be found in the company's most recently filed annual report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. During this call, we also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted earnings per share, adjusted operating income, and adjusted effective tax rate, which are reconciled to U.S. GAAP measures in Note two, Non-GAAP Information included in our press release and in today's presentation's appendix. Now, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Jim Zallie.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Thank you, Jason, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased to discuss Ingredion's second quarter performance and continued business momentum. We delivered outstanding top line performance of 16% net sales growth for the second quarter. Our Pricing Centers of Excellence continued to offset higher corn and other input costs, including foreign exchange impacts. Combined with a better product mix, our second quarter adjusted operating income grew 3% over last year's very strong second quarter. Just to note, this year's second quarter performance is now the strongest quarter we've delivered since 2017. Looking more closely at our top line performance, across all four regions, comparable net sales grew double digits in the second quarter.

As I mentioned, our commercial teams continue to successfully manage the terms of our customer contracts to address higher corn and input costs and continue to take actions to offset foreign exchange impacts as the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen. Of note, we offset more than $40 million of foreign exchange sales headwinds in EMEA and Asia Pacific combined. Regarding customer demand, I would like to note that on a comparable basis, our shipped product volumes are now ahead of pre-pandemic levels for the same quarter in 2019. This is an important milestone for us, given the impact the pandemic has had on the industry and our business over the last two years. At the same time, net sales have grown significantly, and specialty ingredients have increased as a percentage of both volume and net sales, reflecting a higher value mix.

Now, moving on to our strategic pillars. We continue to make great progress against each of the four pillars that are shaping our growth strategy. Global specialties once again exhibited strong top line growth, up mid-double digits in the quarter. Specialties performance was robust across all five growth platforms, with texturizing ingredients and sugar reduction leading the net sales dollar increase. Additionally, plant-based protein sales were up strongly in the quarter and are now up more than 185% year-to-date. Moving to commercial excellence. While challenges remain across global supply chains, we've implemented several process improvements to best respond to customer demand. With regard to cost competitiveness through operational excellence, we have expanded our hedging programs and continue to build our capability to address commodity risks, primarily in North America.

As a result, we anticipate significantly less commodity volatility in the second half of the year. We also maintain momentum against our fourth strategic pillar, accelerating a purpose-driven and people-centric growth culture. We published our 2021 sustainability report, Making Life Better, which details our progress against our 2030 global sustainability goals to address important societal and environmental sustainability challenges. During the quarter, we advanced several sustainability initiatives to drive positive, lasting impact in the communities where we live and work. One such example that I would like to highlight is a pilot program that Ingredion Brazil is leading. Working with Heineken and several other suppliers, we are teaching and training farmers to adopt regenerative farming practices. This pilot program resulted in a 25% reduction of emissions in scope and increased the amount of carbon captured in the soil by 40%.

Separately, to further reduce our global carbon emissions, we have successfully exited coal usage at our Argo plant in Illinois, which resulted in an 8% reduction in our total Scope 1 and 2 carbon emissions. This change delivered nearly a third of the reductions needed to meet our 2030 greenhouse gas emissions goal. Also in the quarter, we published our 2021 diversity, equity and inclusion report, which highlights our broad efforts to increase representation across our employee population. We are committed to creating a growth culture focused on diverse talent, inclusiveness and community partnerships. As I mentioned, Specialty delivered very strong growth this quarter across all four regions, and net sales grew double digits over and above the strong growth we experienced in the first half of 2021.

While the growth was led by our texturizing portfolio, we also generated strong growth from our sugar reduction in specialty sweetener ingredients and plant-based proteins. Notably, our first half specialties net sales results are above our expected four-year net sales growth outlook, which we outlined at our recent Investor Day. Now, let me spend a moment to update you specifically on sugar reduction, which grew 20% in the second quarter, led by PureCircle, where customer wins drove 28% net sales growth and positive operating income. PureCircle's continued momentum demonstrates its market leadership for high intensity natural sweeteners in a rapidly growing market for reduced sugar foods and beverages. We are pleased to share that we have increased our ownership of PureCircle from 75% to 82% in the quarter.

We anticipate further increases to our ownership of PureCircle over the next three years. As we look ahead to the second half of the year, we are focused on navigating the challenges in the current business landscape. First, we continue to remain committed to offsetting inflationary increases through a combination of pricing and productivity improvements from our operations. We have demonstrated an ability to do this well in the first half, and we expect to be able to offset additional cost increases as they arise. Second, supply chain challenges continue to be impacted by labor availability, COVID restrictions and the Ukraine conflict. Our teams are operating with agility to overcome these challenges to ensure continuity of supply and service to customers. Third, energy prices remain elevated and there is increasing concern around the potential natural gas supply disruptions in Europe.

We are currently developing contingency plans to mitigate possible impacts in the region. Lastly, while foreign exchange impacts have been relatively benign over the past two years, we are currently experiencing higher foreign currency weakness on the back of a strengthening U.S. dollar. Our Pricing Centers of Excellence have served us well and we will continue to price through raw material cost increases as well as foreign exchange. Now let me hand it over to Jim Gray for the financial overview. Jim?

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Thank you, Jim. Good morning to everyone. Starting first with our Q2 regional performance. North America net sales were up 20% when compared to the same period in 2021. The increase was driven by strong price mix, primarily as a result of last fall's contracting season, as well as dynamic in-year pricing. North America operating income was $161 million, up 8% versus the prior year. The increase in operating income was driven by strong price mix that more than offset inflationary input costs, including higher corn. In South America, reported net sales were up 8% versus prior year, which includes the impact of the Argentina JV presentation change. On a comparable basis, net sales would have been up 42% versus prior year, primarily driven by strong price mix and volume across the region.

South America operating income was $39 million, up $6 million. Operating income favorability was driven by stronger performance in Andean and Brazil, as well as a positive contribution from the Argentina joint venture. Excluding foreign exchange impacts, adjusted operating income was up 15% in the quarter. Moving to Asia Pacific, net sales were up 11% in the quarter. Absent foreign exchange, sales were up 19%. Asia Pacific operating income was $21 million, down $3 million versus prior year. Strong performance in Oceania was more than offset by weakness in Korea due to higher input costs and impacts in China related to COVID disruptions. Negative foreign exchange also impacted the region during the quarter. In EMEA, net sales increased 10% for the quarter, and absent foreign exchange impacts, net sales were up 24%.

EMEA operating income was $29 million for the quarter, down $3 million compared to the prior year. EMEA operating income was down as higher corn and input costs in Pakistan, as well as foreign exchange headwinds more than offset resilient performance in Europe. Excluding $5 million of foreign exchange impacts, EMEA's adjusted operating income was up 6% in the quarter. Moving to our income statement. Net sales of $2,044 million were up 16% for the quarter versus prior year. Gross profit dollars were higher year-over-year, while gross margin was 19.1%, down 170 basis points, mostly attributable to price mix lagging higher corn and input costs, primarily in Pakistan and Korea. Reported operating income was $213 million, and adjusted operating income was $215 million.

Reported operating income was lower than adjusted operating income due to restructuring expenses. Our second quarter reported and adjusted earnings per share were both $2.12 for the period. Turning to our Q2 net sales bridge. We achieved strong price mix of $328 million, largely attributable to strong contracting and dynamic in-year pricing in each of our four regions, with notable increases in North America and South America. The sales volume decrease of $5 million was driven by the impact of the presentation change related to the Argentina joint venture, partially offset by strong volume increases in each of the regions. On the next slide, we highlight net sales drivers. Of note, foreign exchange was a 2% headwind in the quarter, with significant headwinds in EMEA and Asia Pacific.

Reported South America results include the impact of the presentation change of the Argentina joint venture within the volume column. South America net sales grew 42%, with volume up 15% on a comparable basis, excluding the impact of the Argentina JV. Turning to our earnings bridge. On the left side of the page, you can see the reconciliation from reported to adjusted earnings per share. On the right side, operationally, we saw an increase of $0.07 per share for the quarter. The increase was driven primarily by an operating margin increase of $0.24, partially offset by lower volumes of -$0.11 and unfavorable foreign exchange of -$0.07.

Moving to our non-operational items, EPS was flat to prior year, primarily driven by lower financing costs of $0.02 and favorable outstanding shares benefit of $0.02, mostly offset by a higher adjusted effective tax rate of -$0.03. Year-to-date net sales of $3,936 million were up 17% versus prior year. Gross profit margin was 19.5%, down 180 basis points. Year-to-date reported operating income was $423 million, and adjusted operating income was $428 million. Reported operating income was lower than adjusted operating income, primarily due to restructuring costs. Our year-to-date reported earnings per share was $4.04, and adjusted earnings per share was $4.06. Turning to our year-to-date net sales bridge.

17% net sales growth has been led by $612 million of price mix improvement, primarily from North America. The sales volume increase of $14 million was driven by volume increases in each of the regions, primarily in North and South America, largely offset by a sales volume decrease of -$128 million from the presentation change related to the Argentina joint venture. These sales increases were offset by foreign exchange headwinds of $66 million in the first half. Turning to our year-to-date earnings bridge. On the left side of the page, you can see the reconciliation from reported to adjusted. On the right side, operationally, we saw an increase of $0.22 per share year-to-date.

The increase was driven by margin improvement of $0.44 and other income of $0.02, offset by lower volumes of -$0.13 and foreign exchange of -$0.11. Moving to our non-operational items, we saw a decrease of -$0.06 per share year to date, driven primarily by a higher tax rate of -$0.03 and higher financing costs of -$0.03. Moving to cash flow. Second quarter cash from operations was essentially break even. Cash from operations increased versus prior year, driven by higher working capital usage as a result of higher input costs flowing through inventory values and accounts receivable. Net capital expenditures were $137 million, up $35 million from the prior year due to the timing of spend.

We are in line with our 2022 expectations for capital commitments. In the first half of the year, we paid $86 million of dividends to Ingredion shareholders and repurchased $83 million of outstanding common shares. Finally, we acquired additional shares of PureCircle from minority shareholders for $27 million. We expect our full-year 2022 adjusted EPS to be in the range of $6.90-$7.45. This excludes the impact of acquisition-related integration and restructuring costs, as well as any potential impairment charges. We expect net sales to be up mid-double digits, driven by strong price mix and volume growth on a comparable basis.

We expect full year reported operating income to be up significantly as the prior year reflects the impact of the net asset impairment charge related to the contribution of our Argentina operations to the joint venture. We expect adjusted operating income to be up low double digits compared to last year. 2022 financing costs are expected to be in the range of $88 million-$93 million, reflecting primarily higher incremental borrowing costs. Our anticipated adjusted effective annual tax rate is expected to be between 28% and 29%, which reflects a decrease in the top end of the range from prior guidance. Cash flow from operations is now expected to be in the range of $300 million-$360 million, reflecting greater working capital investment, as I noted previously.

Net capital investment commitments are expected to be between $290 million and $320 million, of which approximately $85 million will be invested to drive specialty growth. We expect total diluted weighted average shares outstanding to be in the range of 67-68 million for the year. In terms of our regional outlook, North American net sales are expected to be up 15%-20% driven by favorable price mix and higher volumes. Operating income is expected to be up low to mid-double digits, driven by favorable price and product mix and higher volumes, more than offsetting higher corn and input costs. For South America, we now expect net sales to be up low double digits, reflecting strong favorable price mix, more than offsetting the impact of the presentation change for the Argentina joint venture.

South America operating income is also now expected to be up low double digits, driven by favorable price mix. In Asia Pacific, we anticipate net sales to be up 10%-15% versus the prior year. We continue to expect operating income to be flat to prior year, driven by higher corn costs in Korea related to the Ukraine conflict and the impact of COVID lockdowns in China, offsetting stronger growth from PureCircle. For EMEA, we expect net sales to be up 10%-15%, and we expect operating income to be flat to down low single digits, driven by higher corn and energy costs and negative foreign exchange impacts. For the third quarter 2022, we expect an increase in net sales to be in the high teens and operating income growth to be up high single digits when both are compared to the prior year.

That concludes my comments, and I'll hand it back to Jim.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Thanks, Jim. While there are a number of variables that could impact our expected results in the second half, we believe we have developed a solid pricing playbook and have significant experience in managing inflation. Additionally, our teams are taking actions to mitigate earnings volatility through our expanded risk management program and are working to limit our exposure to corn price movements, all of which is expected to support margin expansion in the second half relative to the prior period. We are also carefully monitoring potential changes in consumer behaviors and spending, which could impact sales volume amidst a possible recession. We are positioned well since the ingredients we produce are used in a broad range of food and beverage categories and are consumed across many different types of eating occasions.

For example, we benefit from resurgent strength in both food service and private label sales in the U.S. and Europe. In closing, our second quarter results were very strong. We grew our top and bottom line in the quarter despite significant inflation and continued supply chain disruptions. We advanced progress against our strategic pillars. We exit the first half with solid momentum, and we expect to deliver continued growth in the second half. Now let's open the call for questions.

Operator

Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press star one one on your telephone. One moment for our first question. Our first question comes from the line of Adam Samuelson from Goldman Sachs. Your question, please.

Adam Samuelson
VP in Equity Research, Agribusiness

Yes. Good morning, everyone.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Hey . Good morning, Adam.

Adam Samuelson
VP in Equity Research, Agribusiness

Hi. I guess, my first question is just trying to make sense of kinda how kind of the forward outlook has changed. In the quarter, your op income performance came in above kinda what you thought. The guidance range didn't really budge, a little bit at the low end. And so I'm just trying to get a sense of kind of is it more caution on currency, on cost outlook. Just make sure I'm understanding kind of the moving pieces of kinda how the first half performance doesn't seem to be fully flowing through in the back half of the year at all.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Yeah. Hey, Adam, this is Jim. I'll take a first shot. I think first, just to remind everybody that, you know, as we look at the corn outlook, you know, clearly in the beginning of the year, we saw rising corn, as we were locking in hedges and getting, you know, basically Q2, Q3, and Q4 covered. We will incur a little bit more, in terms of corn costs in Q3, Q4. That is reflected, you know, in our assumptions. I think maybe more to your point, as we're, you know, looking at, you know, what's changed is that, you know, we're really, you know, we're somewhat cautious about Europe, and the kind of situation there with regard to energy supply.

As Jim mentioned on the call, you know, we're putting in plans now to kind of mitigate if there is any type of gas curtailment, and how we would move product around. We're a bit cautious on that. I think that, you know, as we look to Asia Pac, you know, we've had a COVID disruption in China. We seem to be coming out of that quite strongly in the beginnings of Q3, but we're also just cautious about, you know, the cost of corn, as it impacts us in Korea. I think that's also kind of reflected in our second. I mean, overall, you know, EBIT's up.

You know, I mean, year-over-year, EBIT will be up both, you know, obviously Q3, Q4 EBIT will be very strong relative to last year's relatively weaker lapping. Overall, in total, EBIT for the full year will be up a bit, slightly higher than-

Adam Samuelson
VP in Equity Research, Agribusiness

Yeah.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

What we previously forecasted. Yeah.

Adam Samuelson
VP in Equity Research, Agribusiness

No, that's helpful. Then maybe zeroing in on North America, I mean, volume's up 1%, and I guess specialties are growing in that. I guess we're also hearing about parts of kind of some of the more commodity products and core products that are in quite tight supply at the moment. I'd love to get any thoughts you have about kind of the demand trends in some of those core products in North America and how that frames your view of supply and demand going into contracting for 2023.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Yeah, maybe I'll comment on syrups, and then maybe Jim can comment on more kind of dextrose. So, you know, what we're seeing for syrups is generally a pull within North America as you've seen really strong food service takeaway both in Q2, probably continuing all throughout summer. You know, you're seeing strong pull for beverages, and you're also seeing strong pull from brewery. And then also just to add, you know, Mexico, you know, most throughout last year was still kinda coming out of Delta, Omicron kinda hit and, you know, I would say that the bounce back in Mexico in 2021 was a bit subdued.

What we're just seeing is, you know, I think, you know, nice recovery, full volume recovery in Mexico as we go through the year. With regard to kind of more, kind of value-added, you know, core products, you know, crystal and dextrose has been in strong demand, you know, throughout the whole year.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah. I think demand continued to be strong in the second quarter, and orders continue to remain robust right now. Our visibility, Adam, at this point, indicates strong demand continuing through quarter three, which is typically a strong quarter, tied to customers pipeline filling for holiday offerings. That's not meant to imply that quarter four will soften. We just don't have visibility that far forward just yet. What we see is still strong demand from food service, private label strength, and strong orders, you know, through quarter three, and it remains to be seen, obviously, how quarter four will continue. As a reminder, our customer base is broad, you know, with sales across all the different categories, whether it be branded grocery, private label, food service, as well as we have a very strong distributor network really around the world.

You know, we certainly would say food service appears robust through the end of the summer for sure. That's about as much visibility as we have, and that's all positive at this point in time from a demand forecasting standpoint.

Adam Samuelson
VP in Equity Research, Agribusiness

Okay. That's all very helpful . I'll pass it on. Thank you.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Robert Moskow from Credit Suisse. Your question, please.

Robert Moskow
Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hi. Thanks. I was hoping you could be a little more specific on your fill rates for customers, 'cause anecdotally, we've heard about some shortages, I think in the starch complex. Where are your service issues now, and do you expect them to keep getting stronger? And then a follow-up.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah. Thanks. Thanks, Rob . What I would say is that the industry at large has experienced supply disruptions for certain products which has strained product availability. Demand has continued to be strong for a number of the products we supply. This has been the case since the rebound from the depths of COVID going back to quarter three of 2020. As we indicated during the presentation, sales volumes are now back to 2019 pre-pandemic levels, and we're operating at high levels of capacity utilization. Through this period, we've worked closely with customers to overcome many of the global supply chain issues, and our teams have been really working diligently to meet the increased demand. We've made you know investments in how to.

Digital investments, basically from a standpoint of automation of order receiving, product allocation, order confirmation, et cetera, to make sure that we're focused on those customers that are the most strategic from a relationship standpoint to us to optimize, you know, the timely and efficient delivery of product. What we've done to help address some of the tightness in the supply issues, it's noteworthy that, you know, we have very high demand, for example, for our clean label texturizers. We accelerated the capacity expansion of these products at our Indianapolis facility, and that capacity is now online and we're shipping to customers around the world. That's in addition to a significant expansion of specialty starch production in China that is commissioning right now in quarter three.

The industry at large, I would say, has been tight. There's been a number of issues that have impacted, you know, service across the industry, whether it be chemical shortages or some force majeure that have been declared in various, you know, chemical supplies, as well as just the overall impacts of, tightness with, truck drivers, labor, et cetera, that we all know about. From a standpoint of the look forward for the remainder of the year, we see the situation steadily improving in the second half, as supply chains normalize over the remainder of the year.

Robert Moskow
Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Okay. Maybe an update on your plant-based protein capacity expansion, customer orders. You gave some very specific detail on profit impact, I think last quarter. Any update there?

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah, we had actually a very strong quarter, which has us on track at this point in time. We've got you know, challenging second half comparable from a standpoint of what our internal targets are. From a standpoint of our portfolio, it remains very well positioned for growth given the breadth of our product portfolio across protein flours, concentrates and isolates, and across four different types of pulse ingredients. This really doesn't make us dependent on sales into one product category such as alternative meats with, say, just isolates, for example. We have a very robust project pipeline with many customers across multiple consumer product categories such as alternative dairy, alternative snacks and bakery. We really have strong relationships that we've built with leading players in each of those categories and are focused on delivering the innovation to them.

We really strongly believe that the plant-based trend is built on long-term sustainable fundamentals. What we're focused on is delivering great taste and texture as well as high quality nutrition along with clean and simple labeling. We really believe that's the recipe for long-term success in this category. Our facilities are running well now. Again, the portfolio of products that we've developed we think are leading edge products from a taste and protein content standpoint. The interest in our products is great and we had a good second quarter and the team is just running real hard to deliver a solid second half.

Robert Moskow
Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Jim, just to be more specific. I think it's operating below break-even this year. Does that mean that there's an opportunity for a kind of a rebound year or strong profit growth comparisons in 2023?

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah. You're absolutely right. We're running break even because we just commissioned the plant towards the end of last year. What we have as a target to remind everybody is a $10 million operating improvement, year-on-year improvement from a standpoint of our operating income from those facilities. Right now we're on track to deliver that, plus the sales growth that I referred to. As with any new startup, you obviously incur operating costs until the plants in this case are fully loaded. Jim, any other comments?

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Yeah, just I think, Robert, as you look from 2022 and where we'll finish the year to 2023, you know, we anticipate to kind of build even more on the net sales in 2023 versus the foundation that we've laid in 2022. That helps us amortize, you know, more of the fixed costs in that facility. We have yet to say, you know, what our 2023 kind of expected improvement in the operating margin from plant-based proteins will be. We're heading in the right direction and we're seeing notable improvement in 2022's operating loss versus 2021.

Robert Moskow
Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Great. Thank you.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

You got it.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Thanks, Rob.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ken Zaslow from BMO. Your question please.

Ken Zaslow
Food and Agribusiness Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Hey, good morning, guys.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Hey, Ken.

Ken Zaslow
Food and Agribusiness Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Just curious, you know, as you're starting to set up for 2023, it seems like you have more capacity going online. You have greater demand for or you seem very comfortable with the demand outlook, and then you also have pretty tight utilization rates. How does that play out for 2023? Are you looking, you know, how do you think about it? It just seems like your growth algorithm seems to be pretty doable going into 2023, if not even better. Can you just give some parameters to that? I know it's a little early, but how does this year set up for next year?

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Well, let me take a shot first, and then I'll turn it over to Jim. What I would say is, right now we're seeing demand strong. If you just think about navigating pricing, we've done a very good job, I think, year-to-date being able to navigate pricing, offsetting corn costs and other input cost inflation and foreign exchange. We're anticipating continuing to be able to do that going forward. The industry capacity utilization is tight for the ingredients that are starch-based, derivative-based, and we see that at this point in time continuing going forward. It's really early, Ken, to really put any kind of an outlook on 2023. I think one thing that I would say that I think everybody is tracking is corn prices.

Looking at today's corn futures outlook and the 2023 strip pricing, we would anticipate that any required pricing actions would imply an increase versus today's increased level, but those levels would be certainly much less than what was required in 2022. From a standpoint of that hurdle to be able to get that pricing through, I don't think it's going to be as severe as it has been, as it was in 2022. Yeah. Anything else, Jim?

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Hey, Ken, you know, I would just add in terms of, you know, what the entire team here is working towards is, you know, when we look at our specialty ingredients, you know, the greater functionality and greater value in a recipe, you know, we highlighted that in our Investor Day. That carries with it higher average prices, that customers, you know, really value the ingredients and always working towards higher gross margins in our portfolio mix. Then I think the, you know, the addition that we've seen is really in some of our core products, is that you do have, you know, this shift that we've made, you know, looking at high fructose corn syrup, we've really moved more towards kind of glucose and other specialty dextrose.

I think that has, you know, its own demand as we head into 2023.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah. I know, you know, I know, Ken, oftentimes we end up on these calls talking about North America predominantly, but it is also noteworthy to say that we anticipate really a steady demand in the second half from Mexico and South America, especially, with events such as the World Cup later in the year. Both of those businesses have done extremely well for us over the last few years. From that vantage point, volumes look to remain strong in the second half of this year as we head then into 2023.

Ken Zaslow
Food and Agribusiness Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

This is my follow-up question here is how much capacity, additional capacity do you have coming on in 2023? To what extent do you think you'll get a return on that? That would be where I'd leave it. Thank you.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Well, our operations team is very focused on improving on stream effectiveness, OEE, to squeeze more pounds out of our plants because right now, and the situation has been this way for quite a while, we can sell every pound we make. We've been very focused on operational excellence. We've made the investment in the FBR in Indianapolis, which has expanded our clean label texturizers portfolio. That came on in record time. The team did a phenomenal job. Our expansion in China has really been remarkable from a standpoint of that facility has actually shipped its first product to customers. That plant is coming on stream with significant capacity for that local market and potentially some export opportunities as well within that region, which relieves export requirements from other regions into Asia, freeing up some capacity.

We've taken a number of steps, and we also announced, and I'll just draw you back to an announcement we made at Investor Day of $160 million of capital investments specifically in texturizers to expand volume growth. That's across a variety of downstream refining assets for the more highly valued specialty texturizing ingredients. That's across the pre-gelatinized and/or cold water swelling category. That's across the clean label texturizers that I mentioned, as well as different bases as well. Whether it be potato-based or rice-based, we have seen strong growth. We're expanding capacity there, but in the downstream finishing channels, not necessarily in the grind capacity realm. Jim?

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Yeah. Hey, Ken, as we outlined in our four-year outlook. You know, for us to look at our texturizers, we really need to plan for volume growth that's gonna be in the, you know, mid-single digits. While Jim highlights a number of our areas, we have a pretty comprehensive capital planning to make sure that as we're looking forward to the next year and the year after that as we anticipate customer demand in texturizers, that we're really planning ahead to accommodate that growth.

Ken Zaslow
Food and Agribusiness Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Great. I appreciate it. Thank you, guys.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Thank you, Ken.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Seth Goldstein from Morningstar. Your question please.

Seth Goldstein
Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Hi. Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Hey, Seth.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

How you doing, Seth? Thanks.

Seth Goldstein
Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

How do the new contract structures work in a scenario where commodity prices were to fall? Particularly in specialty, would you be able to maintain higher prices, or would there be some sort of a pass-through to reflect the commodity price declines?

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Well, for our more specialty products, those are sold on a value-added basis, and from a standpoint of the performance they're delivering in that application. You know, prices typically for those ingredients don't necessarily fall or come down associated with, say, corn cost inputs to the same degree or if at all in comparison to more of the core ingredients, the core bulk sweeteners, for example. That doesn't typically happen. Those margins, remember, are minimum in GP 2x, the core ingredient margins. That's typically how pricing works with those products. It's different also depending on the region. North America is a little different than Asia-Pacific, which is a little different than South America and EMEA, for example.

Seth Goldstein
Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Okay. That's really helpful. What percentage of the EMEA sales come from the two facilities in Germany? Just trying to size up the, you know, potential risk that you're trying to mitigate should there be natural gas shortages.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

The two facilities, we have one facility of consequence, which is in Hamburg, Germany. We have a smaller facility related to the KaTech operations, which we most recently acquired last year. Out of EMEA's entire sales, half of it approximately, or a little more than half is from Europe itself. From that facility, maybe 25%-30% of the sales comes from that German facility.

Seth Goldstein
Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Okay, great. I'll pass it on. Thank you very much.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Thank you, Seth.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ben Theurer from Barclays. Your question please.

Ben Theurer
Managing Director, Head of Latin America Equity Research, Barclays

Yeah. Good morning, and thank you very much for taking questions. Just wanted to follow up a little bit on the outlook into the second half. Obviously, in the first half, we've seen very strong pricing momentum and essentially volumes being call it plus or minus flat. Have you seen amongst your customers any elasticity, any pushback? I mean, you've talked about the order book into Q3, but how do you feel about the pricing needs and the ability to put through pricing just given the general inflationary environment?

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah. I think for this calendar year, we remain confident in the ability to pass through pricing through the remainder of this year based on the visibility we have for the demand outlook. Beyond this year, we really can't at this point comment because we don't have, obviously, visibility that far forward. We feel pretty confident because we have been able to put through not only price increases related to our typical contracting period, which goes back to, say, last fall, even into, say, January of this year, which is the typical contracting period. We have put through multiple across multiple regions, dynamic in-year price increases related to incremental inflationary cost increases we've incurred. As we've demonstrated, we've been able to more than offset those through pricing actions this calendar year.

It's not been an insignificant proportion of the pricing that we've obtained for total 2022 that has come from in-year dynamic 2022 pricing in comparison to what we had to put through related to typical contracting at the time when we had visibility to our cost structures as we headed into 2022. That's what I would say. You know, we are monitoring, like everyone else, we're monitoring very closely consumers' behavior and spending and watching very closely. At this moment in time, we don't see softness for the ingredients we supply, given we believe the diversified usage of those ingredients across multiple channels. As I was mentioning, the COVID rebound, everybody is obviously, you know, out, enjoying summer holidays and food service and food away from home.

We benefit from food service equally as consumers trade down, private label increases, we equally benefit there. That's just the nature of the diversified nature of the products we sell and the reach of those products.

Ben Theurer
Managing Director, Head of Latin America Equity Research, Barclays

Okay. Just following up, you made some comments about Asia Pacific obviously being impacted because of some of the lockdowns. Can you share maybe a few anecdotes of how things have started to recover? Because it obviously, if we take a look at the guidance, and with operating income to be flat for the year, there needs to be some good acceleration into the back half in terms of growth rates. So just how confident are you, and are you seeing anything on the ground that just confirms that your positive view here to get from what that first half minus 12%-13% was to flat?

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah. For Asia Pacific operating income, we're expecting operating income to be relatively flat for the full year. We've got a significant year-on-year improvement related to PureCircle in there, from a standpoint of the bottom line. Remember, we also are incurring startup costs for the new China modified starch plant. For us, quarter two was the low watermark for the Asia Pacific business related to the severity of the impact of the COVID lockdowns in the second quarter, as well as the incurring of the higher corn and energy costs in Korea. Right now, you know, we are also enduring foreign exchange weakness in a number of those currencies. The team is putting through in-year pricing-

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Pricing, yep.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

... which is going through significantly right now in the second half. We see demand strong. Our tapioca franchise is doing exceptionally well. The Asian business is doing extremely well. Believe it or not, China is picking up nicely. Again, we're shipping products from the new plant currently to customers. That plant is ramping up. We have phased our outlook with a brighter outlook for the second half in comparison to what we've endured in the first half, and specifically, quarter two was the low watermark, we think, for the year, and it's just going to just get better and improve in the second half.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Yeah. Ben, I'd only note and add to what Jim said is that, you know, while the Ukraine conflict created a corn availability shock for Korea, you know, it took a quarter for the team to secure their corn for the second half and then plan on pricing increases. Now, you know, we'll see the pricing increases impact the second half and offset the higher cost of that corn in Korea. That's really, you know, that's really the anticipated improvement in the second half in Asia Pac, along with the other things that Jim mentioned.

Ben Theurer
Managing Director, Head of Latin America Equity Research, Barclays

Okay. Perfect. Thank you very much.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

You got it.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you have a question at this time, please press star one one on your telephone. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Ben Bienvenu from Stephens. Your question, please.

Ben Bienvenu
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Hey, thanks. Good morning, guys.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Hi, Ben.

Ben Bienvenu
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

I wanna ask about capital allocation specific to what is a really strong balance sheet positioning, continued progress on the integration of PureCircle. In your updated guidance today, it looks like obviously you'll continue to have your dividend payments, but there's not gonna be considerable repurchase activity on the buyback. What is your appetite for incremental M&A, just given the progress that you've made on PureCircle integration, and the cash generation of the business?

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Jim, do you wanna talk about just the cash in year and how you see that playing out? I can maybe take the last question.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Yeah, sure. Hey, Ben, and for all. When we look at a kind of rising corn market or an inflation market, we're gonna be paying more for that corn. It's gonna wind up in our inventory values. You know, as we make sales to customers, it's gonna be reflected at higher prices on invoices. And that increases you know, our overall the two pieces of our working capital. We've seen this in the past. We've actually had a significant reversal of that benefit in 2020. We've invested in working capital in 2021. We're investing in working capital in 2022 as our revenue is well above kind of $8 billion.

That's somewhat normal for our business. We do expect it to flatten out as we get into 2023 and 2024, and therefore, we won't be putting as much investment from cash into working capital. We do expect kind of cash from operations to be returning to that kind of $700 million run rate level. You know, from that then, we prioritize very strong organic capital growth projects. We prioritize the dividend, and that leaves us dollars left over for strategic deployment on M&A.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yep. No, I think that's well said, and we obviously continue to work an active M&A pipeline. We believe that this situation will sort itself out as we go through next year.

Jim Gray
EVP and CFO, Ingredion

Yeah.

Ben Bienvenu
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Okay. My second question is related to the EMEA segments and more specifically, the trends you're seeing in Pakistan. You cited it as a source of cost pressure in the quarter. Obviously, we've seen currency come under considerable pressure there. If you could just talk about what's going on there in the broader economy, and the business trends implications, for you guys, that would be helpful.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Yeah. No, thank you for that question. We don't often talk about the Pakistan business, which is a significant business for us in the EMEA region. Pakistan, as you said, is experiencing significant cost inflation like everywhere else, particularly in corn and energy, as well as unfavorable foreign exchange. Summer corn crop prices are continuing to increase, indicating that prices may increase up to an additional 10% on top of increases of over 40% versus the prior year in the first half of 2022. You mentioned the rupee. The rupee has devalued more than 14% against the dollar this year. The team is working very hard. We have a very solid market position in Pakistan.

The team has realized significant price increases in the first half of the year and will continue to adjust pricing to capture higher costs in the second half. I think like everywhere else, what we're gonna have to watch is the magnitude of price increases that are required due to these extraordinary circumstances, whether they be agricultural input cost inflation or energy cost inflation, and then the impact that has on consumers. That is an emerging market to a degree, and it's a solid market for us, but we're gonna just have to watch that over time, given the magnitude of the price increases that are required to offset those inputs that I just talked about. So far so good in the first half.

It's having an impact, but it's a muted impact, and the team is working very hard to keep that the same way in the second half.

Ben Bienvenu
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Okay, great. Good luck with the rest of the year. Thanks, guys.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

Thank you so much, Ben.

Seth Goldstein
Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Thanks, Ben.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question and answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Jim Zallie for any further remarks.

Jim Zallie
President and CEO, Ingredion

I just would like to thank everyone for joining us this morning. We look forward to seeing many of you at our upcoming investor events this fall. I just wanna conclude by saying thank you to everyone listening for your continued interest in Ingredion.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.

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