InnovAge Holding Corp. (INNV)
NASDAQ: INNV · Real-Time Price · USD
8.15
+0.08 (0.99%)
Apr 30, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT - Market closed
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Investor Day 2024

Feb 27, 2024

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

All right, good morning, everybody. We're going to go ahead and get started with our program this morning. For those of you in the room, thank you very much for attending, and for those attending virtually, thank you for taking the time today and for your interest in our company. I'm going to start off with a couple of housekeeping items really quick. For those on the virtual platform, you can submit Q&A directly through the system underneath the viewer, and you can do that anytime during the presentation today. For the live audience, you'll have the opportunity for Q&A at the conclusion of our prepared remarks. I'm going to jump to our cautionary language. During today's presentation, we will refer to certain non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in the appendix of this presentation.

We'll also be making forward-looking statements. I'll pause here briefly for the forward-looking statements. We will post today's presentation on the company's investor relations website, and we've also filed the presentation with the SEC. For those listening to the rebroadcast of this presentation, we remind you that the remarks made herein are as of today, Tuesday, February 27th, 2024, and have not been updated subsequent to this presentation. With that, I'd like to thank you once again and welcome Patrick Blair to the stage. Patrick?

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Thank you very much, Ryan. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to those of you who have joined us in New York City and to those who are joining by the live webcast. We really appreciate everyone taking the time to hear our story. We think we've got a great story to tell you today. This is the company's first Investor Day, and we're very excited to reintroduce the company to some of you and to introduce the company for the first time to many of you here in the room and joining us by the webcast. I think our goal today is to give you a better sense of what we do, the people that we serve, the unique model we use to deliver high-quality care at a lower cost, and I think, more important than anything, deliver a great patient experience.

A secondary goal of mine is to give you exposure to some of our talented leaders. We have a few with us here today. Let me start by reviewing the agenda. I'll get us kicked off by providing an overview of the company, why we believe we have a strong investment thesis, how we're different than other value-based care models, and why now is a unique inflection point in the company's history given the internal transformation over the last two years. I'm going to be followed by Rich Feifer, Dr. Rich Feifer, our Chief Medical Officer. Rich is going to be pinch-hitting for Chris Bent, our Chief Operating Officer who is sick and couldn't fly today. He'll cover the people that we serve in a little bit greater detail, our operational capabilities, our operating model, and our best-in-class technology.

Then Rich will continue and go deeper into our clinical model and give you a sense of how we provide the care that we do that's so important. We're going to take a 15-minute break after that, and then we're going to start with Matt Huray, our Chief Strategy and Corporate Development Officer, and Rob Borella, our Chief Sales and Marketing Officer. They're going to walk you through our multi-pronged growth strategy. The two of them are kind of brothers in arms, as it were, as it relates to our growth strategy. Then Ben Adams, our Chief Financial Officer, is going to review our financial performance and provide you with some details on some of the key economic drivers for the business, and then we're going to conclude with a Q&A.

But before we get started, let me just spend a moment on my background and what attracted me to InnovAge. It's been just over two years since I joined the company, and I'm genuinely proud and excited to be here. This is a special day in sort of the history of the company with the first Investor Day. I've spent the last 20-plus years leading government-sponsored and commercial health plans like Amerigroup, who's now part of Elevance, and at BAYADA, which is one of the nation's largest home healthcare providers. These experiences have given me many opportunities to work closely with all of the stakeholders that InnovAge has, including federal and state officials, frail seniors, community-based organizations, providers, and investors.

I'm here for the same reason that I think most people join companies like InnovAge, and that's to have a transformational impact on people's lives and to live professionally and embrace the doctrine of doing well by doing good. I really think there's no better model in healthcare, I think, than to do that. Let's jump into the slides. There are five key components to our investment thesis, and I believe these are the reasons to have confidence in the company and in its future. The first is our business is focused on a largely untapped and growing market aimed at helping seniors live independently. That is what we do, is we help people stay in their homes and out of nursing homes. That is our business. This is increasingly important as more nursing homes have closed.

With fewer nursing home beds, the need for alternatives is growing quickly, and we find PACE at the forefront of this opportunity. Regardless of which side of the aisle you're on politically, PACE is universally viewed as a proven model to deal with the challenges of helping people live independently. That's our focus, and that's our market. When you think of the market, it's important to note that we're talking about seniors who are now 75-80 years old. The group reflects the leading edge of the baby boomers, who were some of the early movers into Medicare Advantage 10-15 years ago. Many of these individuals now require a very different level of care than they did when they joined Medicare Advantage. Second, no other value-based care model controls more of the healthcare premium dollar than PACE.

We're at full risk for Medicare and Medicaid long-term care services, and our premium can top $9,000 per participant per month. This puts us in a very unique and differentiated position to truly impact the cost of care and quality along the full continuum of care. To put a finer point on this, our direct employees deliver roughly 30% of the total cost of care and are also able to coordinate directly or indirectly much of the remaining 70%. Third, we're the largest PACE program nationally by census, and we operate in 6 diverse states. These states represent roughly 30% of the country's dual eligibles.

We've created a repeatable and scalable platform of people, processes, and technology that not only allow us to deliver high quality in each of our geographies, but we've also built a foundation of payer capabilities that enable us to better manage capitated risk and improve economic performance. You'll hear Rich talk about this notion that we sort of sit at the intersection of being both a provider of care and a payer of care. Fourth, most of the platform investments are behind us, and that has two implications. First, we see a path forward with very efficient growth and margin expansion as we fill the existing center capacity and drive to center-level margin targets of 20%+. And second, with a pipeline of new centers under development, this creates visibility to future top-line growth and embedded earnings as those centers mature.

And lastly, we've assembled a great management team, and you'll get exposure to some of them today, and have a deep bench beyond the folks in this room that can grow and scale the business in a responsible and compliant way. So let's look at the company at a glance. For those of you that are unfamiliar with what we do, we coordinate and provide preventative care, primary care, acute care, and long-term services and supports to an underserved senior with complex medical needs who, without those services, would be at risk of entering a nursing home. Care for our participants is delivered by an interdisciplinary team in our centers and through a contracted network of hospitals, specialists, ancillary providers who we work with to improve quality, lower hospitalizations, reduce skilled nursing stays, and keep people out of long-term care facilities.

Rich is going to go into more detail on the team and how we operate. Today, we operate 19 centers in six states with three centers under development. We had approximately 2,100 employees serving nearly 7,000 participants as of December 1st, 2023. Because of the larger risk-based premium we receive each month, a small number of participants can equate to more than $700 million in revenue. On the far right are the targets we set for ourselves this fiscal year, which ends June 30th. We reaffirm these targets on our second quarter earnings call earlier this month. When you think of our value proposition, we really do believe we have a value proposition that resonates with each of our key stakeholders. For participants, they get to age safely in their homes and in the community and avoid a high-cost nursing facility.

Government payers are able to rebalance long-term care to a community-based approach rather than toward nursing facilities, and they benefit from the fiscal predictability of a capitated program. For physicians, PACE is the ideal model of care, which most closely reflects the training they received. They have interprofessional team-based care. We have small panel sizes and increased time spent with patients. We have rewards for quality over quantity. There's an independence from the burdens of managed care and the robust internal resources that ensure that care plans are delivered as intended between visits with physicians. Families have much less stress and a meaningfully reduced burden on their time as a caregiver. By coordinating and personalizing the care for each patient, we drive improved quality, better outcomes, and lower total cost of care. We're a center-based model for a good reason.

Through regular center attendance, we have active line of sight into the health status of our participants, which helps us to catch potential issues early and before they revert to a costly visit or a subsequent hospitalization. We believe PACE represents the gold standard in community-based care and has an advantage over other traditional managed care models who are often forced to coordinate care at an arm's length. We're not only coordinating all of the care, but we're also delivering approximately one-third of the care in our centers. And you can see that we're effective at reducing visits, hospital admissions, and falls while achieving high levels of participant satisfaction. But I think, most importantly, we can forestall or avoid transitions to a permanent nursing facility. Moving to the market, I think we all know the stats, so I won't repeat them. But government programs are massive, and they're growing.

The U.S. is spending more than $1 trillion on Medicare and Medicaid. We know that the cost is unsustainable, and we know that patients are often dissatisfied with the care that they receive. We believe there's a large market opportunity for organizations like ours that can deliver a comprehensive win-win solution to these challenges. Looking at the left hand of the slide, you can see there are nearly 13 million people who are dually eligible, and the market size is greater than $500 billion. This is the intersection in which we operate. When you apply the PACE nursing home level of care eligibility requirement to the 13 million dual eligibles, we estimate there are more than 2 million dual eligibles representing a market greater than $235 billion with fewer than 75,000 individuals enrolled in PACE today.

I'll touch on some of the possible reasons for this low penetration in a moment. On the right-hand side, you can see how PACE enrollment has grown since 2015 and the growth that is projected by 2028 as stakeholders begin to more thoroughly embrace PACE as a solution to high-cost nursing home care. Once stakeholders understand what we do and understand the size of the market that we're serving, the question we often get is, "Why this amazing program isn't serving more seniors?" Well, like most things in healthcare, there's often a lot of interrelated factors. On the left-hand of the slide are a few historical barriers that we believe have impacted the growth of PACE. First, it wasn't until the PACE Innovation Act was signed into law by President Obama in 2015 that PACE programs could operate as a for-profit organization.

Until this law passed, PACE was comprised primarily of small nonprofit organizations operating in a single or a limited number of geographies. Because of the requirement for a physical center, many of the smaller programs just haven't had the infrastructure and resources, including the capital and investment and staff, to expand into new service areas. At the same time, CMS and state governments, they've been busy. For the last 20 years, they've been focused on launching new programs that improve coverage for not thousands of Americans, but for millions of Americans. Think Medicare Advantage, the health exchanges, Medicaid-managed care. This has likely crowded out the attention devoted to the PACE expansion. Moving to the right-hand side of the slide, since 2016, we've seen an increase in the number of for-profit entrants with the capital and commitment necessary to achieve national scale.

The demographics are also working to the advantage of PACE. The front end of the baby boomers is now approaching the average age of a PACE participant, which is about 77. We believe this population will require a more intense, coordinated, community-based geriatric model of care that fully integrates Medicare and Medicaid services like we do. Lastly, the COVID-19 pandemic has thrust PACE into the spotlight. PACE programs across the country successfully met the needs of frail seniors and their caregivers when compared to nursing homes. Infection rates were lower, fatalities were lower, and participants continued to get the services they needed. PACE's response during COVID-19 has put PACE on the radar of lawmakers and regulators, and we believe this will be a catalyst for continued growth. Now, let's look at how an individual becomes eligible for PACE.

I think this is a question that many seek to understand, and we'll refer to an individual by the name of Deborah in our example, starting on the left. Many PACE participants have had experience with commercial insurance but have also been uninsured, and many have cycled on and off Medicaid throughout their lives. In this case, we'll assume that Deborah became Medicare eligible when she turned 65. Let's also assume her savings is small and her income is limited to just her monthly Social Security check. After some time on Medicare, Deborah experiences the onset of diabetes, pulmonary disease, and dementia, which leads to frequent hospitalizations and several post-acute skilled nursing days. While Medicare does cover these episodes, Deborah's share of costs exceeds her monthly income, and she begins dipping into her savings to pay the bills.

Ultimately, Deborah's health conditions and expenses deplete her assets and threaten her ability to live independently without support. Regrettably but thankfully, Deborah's deteriorating financial situation has qualified her for Medicaid, which now becomes responsible for her Medicare cost-sharing. This stabilizes her financial situation for a while, but multiple chronic diseases are taking a toll on her functionality, and she's becoming increasingly challenged with activities of daily living such as bathing and showering. Deborah's challenges eventually make her eligible for additional Medicaid services like personal attendant care in the home. Again, this addresses Deborah's needs for a time, but her independence is still at risk. Based on the pattern of her increasing needs, the state then performs a detailed assessment of her physical and social circumstances and determines that without more intensive long-term care services and supports, Deborah is at risk for nursing home placement.

But that would require disrupting her entire life, giving up her home, and moving permanently into a nursing facility in another community, potentially. It's at this point that Deborah investigates her options and finds PACE. Deborah's story, frankly, reflects most of who we serve, and it's just a tremendous rewarding experience to be in a position to help someone avoid the disruption that's often required for someone that goes into a nursing facility. You can imagine that we get a lot of questions that attempt to draw comparisons between the Medicare Advantage programs and PACE. PACE and MA are similar in that both have programs that serve dual eligibles. They take a monthly capitated payment and then are responsible for the care that participants receive. While both programs can be characterized as integrated care, there are some significant differences. Medicare programs essentially cover physician, hospital, and pharmacy care.

Medicaid programs cover a long list of long-term services and supports. But because PACE participants meet the state's clinical requirements to receive nursing home care, which means they've been assessed and are at risk of institutionalization, if they don't receive a more comprehensive care in the home model, they're going to go into a nursing home. PACE benefits include all Medicare and Medicaid benefits in one integrated program, and it's the most robust set of services of any government-sponsored healthcare program. Now, this page is a little busy, but it's worth the time to walk through it because it reveals some important takeaways. Let's get anchored on the axes and what the numbers in the 9 boxes mean. This data reflects a sample of our enrollment from the fall. The X and Y axes refer to Medicare and Medicaid health coverage that our participants had before joining InnovAge.

So if you take the top left box, which shows 13%, this tells us that 13% of the people who enrolled had both a Medicare Advantage plan and a Medicaid long-term care plan before joining InnovAge. If we drop down to the center box, it says that 17% of the people joined for Medicare fee-for-service and Medicaid fee-for-service. Now that we're oriented, what does this tell us? Well, first, it tells us that 42% of participants are coming from an MA plan. See the boxes in the first column. Those all represent individuals that selected InnovAge from a Medicare Advantage plan. Second, it tells us that about 30% come to us from either a Medicare fee-for-service option or a Medicaid fee-for-service option.

Third, it tells us that more than half our participants are coming to us with no Medicaid, and we're helping them enroll Medicaid as part of the PACE enrollment process illustrated by the boxes in the bottom row. The data tells us we're attracting participants from a variety of prior Medicare and Medicaid coverages and that we're offering something that's truly unique and different. The data also is telling us that PACE is a gateway to getting Medicaid for individuals who may have fallen through the cracks. In summary, our data suggests that PACE is an attractive option for people whose needs aren't being met in Medicare Advantage or managed long-term care or fee-for-service coverage. And we believe this number will continue to grow rapidly. This supports my comments on the earlier investment highlights slide. That is, the Medicare Advantage population becomes more aged and frailer.

The traditional Medicare Advantage model of care may fall short for some seniors who need a more comprehensive, integrated product. And lastly, each of these boxes, individually, represent a large and growing market opportunity. Now, let's talk about the team. I'm really proud of the team that we've assembled here. The entire team is new to the company in the last 2+ years, and we've been very deliberate ensuring that we have the right leaders in the big jobs. This is the team with the background and experience that's necessary to run a company several times the size we are today. And every one of these leaders is getting their hands dirty in the field with all of our centers on a daily basis. It's a team with caring hearts and a mindset for responsible growth. And this is just the executive leadership team.

We're equally proud of the bench we've built 1, 2, 3 layers below this group. On the next slide, you can see our leadership team is supported by a world-class board of directors. Just as we developed a purpose-built management team, we've also developed a purpose-built high-performance board. The board composition is intentionally deep in specific areas to reflect InnovAge's business. From payer to provider, government to public company expertise, we greatly value the guidance, leadership, and partnership with our board. There is very little this board hasn't seen when it comes to InnovAge's business. Jim Carlson and Richard Zoreti c were colleagues of mine at Amerigroup. Amerigroup, as many of you know, is a public company that grew dramatically in the early 2000s and was purchased by Elevance in December of 2012.

Their insights and those of other board members with experience growing high-growth businesses in this sector have been very valuable to us and the leadership team. I can't say enough about the board's working relationship with management. We could not be better supported and represented by this board. Now, my last slide to close us out here. Starting on the left hand of the slide, the last two years have been very important to us. We used the time to strengthen the foundation across every facet of the business. We have meaningfully upgraded talent across the organization and added three independent directors to the board. We expanded our compliance program to help us deliver compliant care every day at every center. We closed critical people, process, and technology gaps in our centers. We laid the foundation for new payer capabilities to help us manage medical cost.

We invested in tools and technology, notably a custom instance of the Epic EMR, which Rich will touch on, which we've rolled out across all of our centers. We've strengthened our relationships with regulators at both the federal and state level. To be clear, we've been working through a unique transitional period for the last two years. Looking ahead, if we can just execute in the next two years like we've executed in the last two years, we're confident that we can deliver on the long-term goals for the company.

We've done a lot of hard work, and we've made the down payment to ensure that we have an enrollment playbook to drive consistent growth with a focus on filling our existing centers, scalable technology, processes, and operating model to support the scaling of the business, best-in-class payer capabilities to address unnecessary utilization and emerging cost trends, a pipeline of de novo centers under development to create long-term embedded earnings, M&A execution and integration expertise to further supplement our organic growth plan, and the center capacity to support higher marginal profitability as we grow. So with that, I think you've heard enough from me. So I'll hand it over to my colleague Rich, who will share a little more about himself and our operating and clinical models.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Thank you, Patrick. And welcome, everyone. Let me introduce myself briefly. I'm Rich Feifer. I'm the Chief Medical Officer at InnovAge. I'm an internal medicine physician with experience in geriatric medicine, population health, and value-based payment models, having practiced in some of the earliest and most respected staff model HMOs. In my career, my north star has been the Quadruple Aim healthcare quality, patient experience, cost reduction, and clinician well-being. And nowhere in healthcare is that more important than in the care of frail seniors, those that we serve. I joined InnovAge about 18 months ago because PACE is the solution to so much of what challenges the healthcare system today. And InnovAge is committed to driving the expansion of PACE nationally. PACE is the alternative to institutional care, which is what most patients and families don't want.

PACE is the way highly coordinated geriatric medicine is meant to be delivered. PACE is the most efficient way to deliver complex care for the frailest of seniors. I'm going to start off by talking about our operating platform. I'll describe what makes our care model so unique and valuable. I'll turn to our payer capabilities. InnovAge, as you heard, serves a more complex population than traditional value-based primary care providers and payment models. I'd like to make it real for you. Let's contrast a PACE participant to a typical Medicare Advantage plan member. Picture a TV ad. We just went through open enrollment, right? Picture a TV ad of a traditional value-based Medicare program participant. Picture a young senior named Mary. She's coming back from a workout. She's in her workout gear. She's drinking a smoothie, right?

And she's talking to her new girlfriend, asking if they've made their appointments yet for their dental care, which they got with their zero premium plan. She's active. She's vibrant. She's healthy overall. This is the profile on the left side of the screen. We know that all too well. Now, let's move to the right side of the screen. Let's talk about Deborah. Deborah is the participant, the patient who Patrick described just a moment ago. Deborah has multiple medical conditions impacting her daily life. She needs help getting dressed. She needs help taking a bath. She comes to the center once a week, and she sits with a group of PACE friends. She socializes. She chats about the day's events. She participates in activities. One of them gets wheeled to the dental suite to have their dentures fitted right there on the spot.

Another one gets up to walk around the center via the wander loop to get some exercise. A third, who just developed a new cough that morning, is able to be triaged and seen in the clinic within an hour. Compared to Medicare Advantage, our participants are significantly more complex, and they benefit from our higher touch model. As Patrick also mentioned, InnovAge is uniquely positioned at the intersection between being a provider and a payer. The PACE model requires excellence at both. As a provider, we are a fully integrated care team delivering care in the center and in the community. As a payer, we have to manage the total cost of care, including supportive housing.

This combination of being a provider and taking full risk for Medicare and Medicaid services, this positions us in PACE as an excellent and an aligned partner with federal and state programs. It's at this intersection that we can uniquely identify and drive value, reducing unnecessary utilization and waste that's all too common in the healthcare system. So let me tell you a little bit about our centers themselves. They're purpose-built to address a broad range of physical and social needs within a single visit. Our centers are the nexus of holistic, coordinated program. And the defining feature of PACE, they're part of what makes PACE special. They offer one-stop shop for physical care and social and community interaction. And this is very important for our population, which is at risk of isolation. Other competing primary care models, they outsource much more of their care.

For us, the center is the hub where we spend 30% of our capitated revenue. The remaining care provided outside the centers, the remaining 70%, is discussed every single day from our IDT, our interdisciplinary team, meetings to ensure that the best experience is delivered to our participants and the outcomes are delivered at the lowest cost possible. We have, as you heard before, 19 centers today in six states. Our average square feet is 28,000 sq ft. The average capacity is 750. And our average center visits per participant per month is four visits. Put that all together, and the capacity at our existing centers and those in development is 16,300, or 2.4x our current census.

To accelerate the transformation that Patrick described earlier, we've been investing a lot in our people, processes, and tools to deliver a better experience for participants, employees, and for our government partners. We've intentionally filled our center positions. We have a full complement of IDT members plus support services, scheduling, medical records, transportation. We've instilled in our center leadership an owner's mindset and a caregiver's heart. We've created dashboards to meaningfully track metrics weekly so we can course-correct and ensure goal achievement. Our center leadership model involves a triad: medical, nursing, and operations working together that I'll describe in just a moment. We use a five-pillar framework to drive accountability for results at all levels of the organization. Our triad leaders are accountable for the outcomes in the five-pillar framework that's grounded in compliance with metrics across each pillar.

This is the visual of our five pillars: people, service, quality, growth, and financials. We're intentional about starting with the people first and ending with financials. It's our phenomenal people. They're the ones who deliver the care and the services to our participants. As Patrick said, this is truly a model where you can do well by doing good when we execute consistently on the first three. Growth and financials follow. As a team, we track key quality indicators on daily, weekly, and monthly basis so we can identify hotspots early and course-correct when we need to. We've adopted a continuous performance improvement mindset. This is all grounded in trusting relationships and a growth mindset where we can bring our best game and challenge each other and align around best outcomes for those we serve.

Our gold standard is the care that we'd want for a family member, for our loved ones. We work tirelessly to deliver that. I mentioned a moment ago, we use a Triad Leadership Model to deliver strong operational and clinical performance that includes medical, nursing, and operations. We've fully implemented this model regionally at the center level as well as the national level with accountabilities defined by role. We've elevated top existing talent where we've had wonderful talent to elevate. In other cases, we've brought in wonderful people from the outside so that we've staffed up all of our centers with great triads. Along with this new leadership model, we've clearly defined what success looks like along with the corresponding KPIs.

The benefits are enhanced communication through regular touchpoints daily and weekly, better decision-making with a full complement of voices heard at the table, improved participant care with each leader driving toward a shared balanced scorecard, and ultimately, cost savings by the team working together to solution for challenges. The triad model is in place throughout the organization, as you see here. It's built upon the principles of collaboration and shared accountability. The members of the triad work to see issues through each other's eyes, enabling challenging issues to be addressed through consensus. Solutions are identified quickly and implemented through influence, communication, and joint decision-making. The triad members, again, we have the operations lead, the center director, who's responsible for the P&L of each center, the medical director responsible for overall medical care, and the nursing director running the clinic, leading condition management and care coordination.

All other enterprise functions throughout InnovAge, they exist in various ways to support the triads and to support the centers, bringing tools, technologies, and processes to bear to reduce the administrative burden on the centers. As you also heard from Patrick, we run our business on a single electronic health record. This is the key element of our operating model as we consolidated from three EHRs down to one in 2023. And so all of our existing centers are on the same version of Epic right now, which we custom-built. So this is the first-ever PACE-specific instance of Epic. This slide reflects some key capabilities that Epic offers to us. And let me specifically call your attention to a few. Risk score capture is very important. I'll discuss later. Care coordination, clinical analytics, these are best in class.

We're also expanding the use of Epic's patient and family engagement capabilities through MyChart as an additional way to stay connected with our participants. Why does this matter? It matters because having a best-in-class EHR is foundational to delivering population health to a group as needy as ours. So I'm going to turn it next to our clinical model. But first, I want to turn to a video, excuse me. I want to turn to a video that's going to give some color to how we deliver care in our centers. And as you watch this video, bear in mind these are not actors. These are actual InnovAge participants, doctors, and caregivers that you'll be seeing. So please enjoy that.

Speaker 9

It's a new day and a new opportunity for InnovAge to help seniors live life independently. InnovAge is all about all-inclusive care, an entire care team of doctors, nurses, social workers, physical and occupational therapists, drivers, and many more, thinking only about seniors, caring for them, supporting them, inspiring them. And with Medicare and Medicaid coverage, most, if not all, of our care is free. Welcome to one of our many InnovAge PACE centers, a unique alternative to nursing facilities. PACE stands for the program of all-inclusive care for the elderly. Our mission is to empower seniors to age independently in their own homes and communities for as long as possible. A fresh breakfast jump-starts the day, a nutritionally balanced senior healthcare program developed by our dieticians based on clinical research, expert knowledge, and results. All centers feature a comprehensive primary care clinic.

Seniors can simply walk down the hall to see their doctors, nurses, and dentists rather than spending hours traveling to and from appointments. We see participants and their families as our partners in care. There are regular checkups, treatments, and coordination with specialists. Medical staff, including clinical pharmacists, talk with them about their medication. How much do families value InnovAge? In our most recent survey, patient satisfaction scores were nearly 90%, some even higher. We care deeply for our seniors, and it shows. Our state-of-the-art therapy gyms are outfitted with specialized equipment. Certified physical, occupational, and speech therapists work one-on-one with seniors to help them regain motion and strength, even getting them out of skilled nursing facilities after a hospital stay nearly four days faster.

Our experienced InnovAge dentists work exclusively with seniors 55-plus with treatment and education tailored to older adults, such as adding identifiers on dentures and embedding names in prosthetic appliances. It all comes together with careful planning and strategy. Every InnovAge PACE center has what's called an interdisciplinary or IDT team made up of senior care experts who coordinate all aspects of care. All that care in our centers extends into the home: stretching, lifting to make the bed, stocking, cleaning for a meal-ready kitchen, checking, charting for better health and peace of mind, all helping to maintain independence and prevent falls, the leading cause of injuries for seniors. Everything is designed with seniors in mind. Back at the center, they take daily walks indoors or relax in quiet spaces. They gather with friends, play games, use computers, and discover new hobbies or get fresh air on our secure patios.

They laugh, sing, celebrate birthdays and anniversaries. We've even hosted weddings. We care only for seniors enrolled in the InnovAge PACE program so we get to know them personally. Our drivers are trained extensively on how to safely assist and care for seniors in transport with service that starts in the home, helping with wheelchairs and walkers, then leading to warm handoffs as we take participants to and from our centers and to medical appointments with specialists. At the end of each day, we drive our participants back home to family and caregivers. As the largest PACE organization in the country by census, InnovAge serves nearly 7,000 seniors in six states. We're growing with the capacity and opportunity to serve many more seniors who need, want, and deserve quality, all-inclusive care.

Thousands of participants can rest easy knowing we're helping them live happier, healthier lives with our support on their terms. See it for yourself. Visit one of our many centers or learn more at InnovAge.com.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Just wow. It's hard not to be touched by that, isn't it? Probably most of us have loved ones who have different needs, increasing needs as they're getting older. Isn't that what we want for them? I enjoy watching that every time. Let me turn next to our clinical model. I'll go a little bit deeper for you. Our population, as we heard earlier, is sicker with more severe disease and multiple comorbidities. This is not your typical Medicare Advantage population, right? They have more than 10 chronic conditions, 12 medications on average, experience impairments of more than two activities of daily living like getting dressed or preparing meals, things like that. And by definition, our participants meet state criteria for being in a nursing home already. They could be in a nursing home right now.

That's why so many of our patients, our participants, if they did not have access to PACE, they, in fact, would be in a nursing home or they'd move in so much sooner. Even though our age distribution extends across the spectrum, as you can see here, PACE participants are far more complex with greater needs for care and support. These are the reasons why our risk score is so different from traditional Medicare. Our risk score is 2.42 most recently compared to 1.08. To serve the needs of this highly complex population, our patients, our participants, are seen much more frequently than other care models, an average of four center visits a month, and an average of 10 or more touchpoints with different members of the care team, including in the home, per month.

We employ a much more comprehensive care team than traditional primary care practice. When I was in a traditional primary care practice, it was a capitated practice, but it was in a community-based primary care setting. That was many years ago. The practice had PCPs and nurses. That's it. We referred people out who needed other forms of care and other support from the care team. But in PACE, that's all on-site. It's in an integrated model. That's why, as Patrick mentioned earlier, 30% of our healthcare spend is delivered by our integrated team rather than the 5% that's typical of a primary care practice. This intense team-based care, it's by the 11-person IDT, the interdisciplinary care team that collaborates daily to support participant needs, tailoring care planning to each individual.

What makes our care plan different from other models of capitated senior care is this concierge practice model. Our team's responsibility is to tailor the care plan to each participant's unique needs rather than trying to apply generic guidelines or care pathways that are common elsewhere in the healthcare system. IDTs are also responsible for identifying and addressing social determinants of health without the constraints seen in other parts of the healthcare system. For example, if a participant has issues with nutrition that's impacting their health, food insecurity, we can and will address that by whatever means we need to. Let me highlight some of the IDT roles in just a little bit more detail. The PCP and the RN naturally manage medical care. The home care coordinator ensures in-home nursing and personal care needs are met.

The physical and occupational therapists, they optimize functional ability and work to reduce the risk of falls, which is very important in this population. I'll come back to that. We have master's-level social workers in all of our centers identifying and addressing the psychosocial determinants of health. Very importantly, we have a driver as part of that IDT and part of that care team. The driver helps participants to and from vehicles on both ends, transports them to the day center and to all of their outside appointments. When things might not be going right, it's sometimes the driver who first identifies the issue and brings it to the attention of the team. Elsewhere in healthcare, you might be fortunate enough to find these 11 roles when you need them in the care of frail seniors.

What makes PACE special is that they're all under one roof working in a highly coordinated team. The InnovAge care model, it's unique, and it's comprehensive. I want to focus on our 100% patient engagement rate. Now, I'm sure many of you have heard about other care models that tout engagement rates that are much lower than 100%. Here in PACE, all of our patients, all of our participants are seen by their primary care provider at least twice yearly and often more than that. This isn't our goal. It's our obligation as part of the PACE model. Nobody, nobody in PACE is lost to follow-up. Our PCPs can achieve and support this level of engagement because they have exceptionally small panels, often less than 100 patients each, allowing them the time they need to ensure that each participant receives the attention they require.

The average time our PCPs spend with a new participant in their first month of enrollment averages 7 hours. That ensures that all issues are addressed and that the care plan is comprehensive from the very first month. Our PCPs typically conduct 3-7 clinic visits a day with visits lasting as long as is required, often longer than an hour. They develop very deep, trusting relationships with patients and families, and they have a 360-degree view of everything that can impact their well-being. In support of our providers, we've invested heavily in people and technology. We have an after-hours RN program that visits participant homes and can often avert visits and hospitalizations. We have a whole team of internal auditors essentially replicating a CMS survey each month in every center to help optimize compliance and quality.

As mentioned earlier, many aspects of care are delivered on-site, and they're integrated with the primary care team. Some of them you already heard about as members of the PACE IDT like PT, OT, speech, recreation, nutrition, social services. But others are equally important and are areas of particular emphasis for InnovAge, including behavioral health and dental care. Also worth noting is the enterprise level of support we provide to our PCPs. We have a very robust population department, population health department with quality improvement specialists and analysts. We have infection control expertise and a collaborative national practice model of sharing of best ideas and practices. Each InnovAge center is expected to both innovate as well as learn from others as part of our national team. We've standardized each phase of the participant journey to ensure continuity of care. And that's from enrollment right through the end of life.

This is particularly important. Our clinicians are involved during the enrollment process itself, ensuring that our participants will benefit from PACE. And that will set the stage for relevant and effective care planning from the very first month. Although the process is standardized, care plans are far from standard. To the contrary, the standard process allows us to create highly tailored and customized care plans for each of our participants. Every participant is comprehensively assessed and reassessed by the entire 11-member IDT at least every six months, sooner if there's a change of condition. If and when needed, our clinicians have great depth in palliative and end-of-life care. And this process helps us achieve our primary goal, which is keeping participants independent and out of a nursing home for as long as possible.

We rigorously track, measure, and act on clinical KPIs in every center every month, benchmarking our centers against one another and setting improvement targets year-over-year. Our most important priorities and the respective national targets that we've adopted are listed here. Our inpatient target is 5.4%, our skilled nursing facility target, 1.9%. Our assisted living and nursing facility targets are 33% and 10%, respectively. Our emergency room utilization target is 7%, and our quality composite score target is 4 out of 5, measuring particularly important care processes like advanced directive completion and cognitive screening. And let me spotlight two metrics that are very important for this population, two risks that always come up. One is falls, the risk of falls. And they're all too common among frail seniors and can lead to dramatic worsening in functional status, independence, and even life expectancy.

Well, our fall rate is 16% lower than industry PACE averages. The second I want to highlight, the second item is influenza vaccination. Flu, as I'm sure you know, is one of the leading causes of avoidable hospitalizations and death in this population. And our vaccination rate against flu is 78%. That's 44% higher than PACE industry averages. We're very proud, and we continue to work to make all of these even better. As I mentioned earlier, we're also building a portfolio of payer capabilities side by side with all these clinical capabilities. Now, traditionally, PACE programs haven't focused a whole lot on payer capabilities. But we are because we are a payer. And we realize that we have a responsibility to be best in class at both, being a provider and a payer. So we're making great progress. We're meeting our targets for capability development and value capture.

Let me highlight four of them here. The first is provider network management. That's focused on developing a high-performing network and renegotiating contracts accordingly. This is especially important for our assisted living and nursing facility partners, where we share responsibility for quality and compliance and where care decisions made by the facility can significantly impact our costs, such as the decision to send a patient to the emergency room. We're also carefully scrutinizing and revising our contracts to ensure our payments reflect market-based unit cost pricing. The next is claims payment integrity. That's about ensuring appropriate payments and eliminating overpayments to other providers. We are automating our processes and implementing claims edits that are more common among health insurers. Third is resource management. That's about ensuring optimal efficiency of care delivery and utilization of the most appropriate services, particularly related to the metrics on the last slide.

An important point is the role played by our medical directors and our IDTs who have ultimate responsibility for both care quality and care efficiency. We let those closest to care delivery decide what's needed and what's not. Finally, risk payment accuracy. That's about ensuring that our risk scores are fully accounting for the complexity and the underlying frailty of our population. Our systems and our talented coding team, they support providers in ensuring that important diagnoses are appropriately and accurately coded. Of note, unlike Medicare Advantage, risk scores in PACE are not subject to RADV audits. That's the risk adjustment data validation program that CMS recently instituted. That compares a sample of claims to the medical record and extrapolates overpayments and demands repayments applied to the entire population. Again, that does not apply to PACE.

Across all of our payer capabilities, we made great progress in a relatively short amount of time, just a couple of years. This is an area of continued focus going forward. Well, those are the end of my slides. I think we're going to take a few minutes break. How about 15 minutes before we turn it back over to our next speakers, Rob and Matt? Good. Please enjoy. Okay. If everybody could take their seats, please.

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

Good morning and welcome to Part Two. My name is Matt Huray, and I lead our strategy and corporate development efforts at InnovAge. Along with my colleague Rob, we partner on all things growth. The foundations of growth remain anchored around continuing to responsibly increase census in our existing centers.

I'll turn it over to Rob in a few slides, who will spend some time walking through how we've created a stronger enrollment process, and then I'll close out the section with de novos and M&A. In addition to Rob's efforts, we've been challenging ourselves to find partners in our existing markets that could create a base of programmatic referrals in the future and make a greater impact in our communities.

These run the gamut from health plans who have enrolled patients for whom PACE would be a better fit. Health systems and IDNs in our community who have a meaningful presence and, as an example, might have care managers or discharge planners who are looking to find patients a more comprehensive healthcare solution. Low-income senior housing providers who house a lot of folks for whom PACE would be a good fit. And home care agencies who are seeing Medicare or Medicaid patients who need a more comprehensive healthcare solution. We all appreciate that healthcare is local, and so our approach and partner list is customized by each market. Supplementing our existing center growth, we've resumed new center development through our de novos over the last nine months. We're pleased that Tampa is now open as of 1/1, and Orlando will be opening soon.

In addition, we have two centers in California that are virtually ready to go. More broadly, we have a robust market prioritization analysis, which evaluates all characteristics to new market entry, and we are proactively pushing in our Tier 1 markets where the need is greatest. Lastly, regarding M&A, our overarching thesis is that in addition to PACE being a highly fragmented landscape, the operational complexity is very high, as Rich just articulated. These factors, coupled with more challenging market dynamics, which I'll walk through in a few minutes, for smaller independent players and hospital-owned PACE programs, we believe sets up a strong environment in the future for opportunistic M&A. Okay. As you can see from the map, the header reads, "Priority 1 remains responsible growth in existing markets." That should probably be priority one, two, and three.

Each market is unique, but we still have capacity in our more mature markets like Colorado and Virginia and significant runway in newer markets like California and Florida. In terms of magnitude, we have the ability to increase our census by approximately 2.4 times without any significant capital investments. What does that mean in economic terms? We wanted to translate what employing slack capacity in our centers could mean for InnovAge. Here, we show 90% pro forma utilization relative to our existing utilization. That represents the high watermark of our high-performing cohorts, so we certainly know it's possible. You can see from the incremental census that translates to an uplift of approximately $845 million of incremental revenue in our existing footprint. Said differently, we can more than double our existing revenue base in a capital-light manner.

It's easy math, but we hope it crystallizes why we remain laser-focused on existing center enrollment growth. With that, I'll turn it over to my colleague Rob, who will walk through some of the actions we've taken to prepare us to efficiently execute against our growth ambitions.

Rob Borella
Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, InnovAge

Thanks, Matt. Thanks to everyone who has joined us here in New York today, as well as online. I'll start with a little bit about my background. I've got a successful history of leading sales and marketing organizations at high-growth entities, with the majority of my past 20 years being focused in healthcare businesses. Giant Eagle retail stores organically grew from $3 billion-$10 billion during my tenure, including a $2 billion pharmacy and consumer wellness division.

My experience supporting senior healthcare includes Brookdale Senior Living, the largest independent and assisted living operator in the country that had 1,100 communities in 47 states. More recently, I led sales and marketing operations at a technology-focused healthcare IT organization that outsourced Epic, Cerner, and other major EMR operations and support for large acute care hospital networks around the country. So when I was at Brookdale, one of the questions that I would get frequently is, "Who's your biggest competition out there? Is it Sunrise Assisted Living? Is it Erickson? Is it Five Star?" The answer was none of the above. It was simply staying at home and aging in place. This is my Pace why. That's the real beauty of Pace. Everyone wins.

The family gets a sense of security as their loved one gets 24/7 access to care without having to juggle their full-time jobs while driving around the senior all over town to primary and specialty care appointments. As you saw in the video, our transportation is not just a cab ride. Our drivers care about our participants and help them arrive at their destination safely and comfortably. Our seniors get the comprehensive care that they need with no referrals required. But that care is not left for the senior to navigate alone. It's closely coordinated by dedicated social workers across all disciplines and is inclusive of dental and other services like physical and occupational therapy, as well as providing meals and socialization.

As Rich noted and as evidenced on the testimonials on the screen, our seniors are surrounded by ongoing and regular touchpoints with mission-driven caregivers who have the time to spend with those seniors all day long at our centers, as well as receiving home care services as those seniors may need. All this while achieving the senior's objective of retaining their independence and aging in place. Best of all, the PACE model is entirely free of costs, like monthly premiums or cost-sharing for services, to the vast majority of our participants who are duly eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid. Okay. Now let's talk a little bit about how our enrollment organization is set up. This is how we identify and educate prospective seniors who could qualify for PACE services, and it's an area in which we've made a number of improvements in the past two years.

On the personnel front, we historically had a mix of case managers, social workers, and some traditional salespeople on our team. While keeping the focus on generating PACE awareness and providing comprehensive program information, we've augmented our team today with skilled and experienced healthcare outreach and enrollment representatives identified by a top external recruiting firm. These are team members who know adjacent healthcare spaces like home health and similar senior healthcare models and are skilled in articulating PACE differentiators and care options available to seniors. We also overhauled, enhanced, and standardized our incentive and compensation program with the goals of building awareness, creating access, and serving even more seniors with PACE.

To invest in the ongoing development of our team's skill set and deep knowledge of PACE benefits for seniors, we conduct monthly training sessions focusing on everything from educating our referral partners about the benefits of PACE, addressing common objections and concerns that we hear, and optimizing CRM usage to efficiently reach seniors and the community organizations supporting them. We've improved our data analytics for our outreach and enrollment teams, measuring and broadly communicating our daily activities and successes. Today, we have a team of about 90 trained professionals across all of our centers who personally guide the journey to PACE enrollment for our seniors. Our internal team is supplemented by one of the top healthcare marketing agencies in the country and produces thousands of inbound inquiries each month via our online and offline awareness-generating and educational channels.

To more efficiently address the increased inquiries from seniors and their loved ones and to get them onboarded to services as soon as possible, we built a new inside sales call center team using a sophisticated telephony platform. The call center team takes the extra time to understand the senior's ADLs and health challenges and conducts a discovery session for potential qualification and also further educates them on the milestones toward the enrollment journey. Those digital inquiries are supplemented by a field-based community outreach team members who nurture trusted relationships with dozens of categories of referral partners across our enterprise, including health networks, community and faith-based organizations, and supportive government agencies. Those referral partners also include joint venture partnerships like one we have in Sacramento with Adventist Health and Eskaton Senior Housing.

Matt is continually evaluating partnership opportunities as a way for us to strengthen the presence in each of the communities we serve and as we move into new markets. And the final step involves the field enrollment team personally shepherding our prospective participants through the required clinical and financial assessments that I'll detail on the next slides. All of these activities are completed with warmth and empathy to help get our seniors the healthcare services they need as quickly and as efficiently as possible. Okay. So similar to the evolution of our outreach and enrollment team makeup and skill set, we also diversified and expanded our referral partners and channels. On the marketing front, we generate inquiries via consumer messaging delivered in digital and traditional awareness vehicles.

Of course, those digital channels have continued to grow in terms of both total inquiries and enrollments, but they're also the awareness tools that require the highest dollar investment. Therefore, we first maximize higher-converting, no-to-low-cost tactics like word-of-mouth referrals from friends and families of existing participants, as well as internal fixed-cost channels that our community outreach team cultivates. These low-to-no-cost channels represent approximately 70% of our enrollments. Now, because of our high NPS and satisfaction scores, our existing participants can be some of the best advocates to other potential eligibles. We frequently conduct Bring a Friend Days where existing participants can bring interested seniors to our centers for experiential tours. Simultaneously, our community outreach team is visiting with our referral partners daily.

For example, they're conducting informational sessions at senior living communities, connecting with caseworkers at adult protective services and other government support agencies, and they conduct grassroots educational efforts with other community entities dedicated to serving the needs of seniors. Our newest channel is what we call Awareness Partners, and that is composed of organizations whose primary mission is to help seniors understand their healthcare options. We work collaboratively with these entities to ensure PACE is one of the possible solutions offered, and they can refer interested seniors to us. Now that we've talked about where those inquiries are coming from, let's talk about the enrollment journey particularly. PACE enrollment occurs on the first of each month and throughout the year.

As we have shared on our earnings calls, the state and local governments play a critical part in our enrollment process, ensuring PACE will be a viable solution for a senior's individual needs. The time it takes to complete enrollment, measured from the day of initial inquiry, averages just over two months, with multiple parallel paths and simultaneous processes all geared at getting qualified seniors the PACE services as soon as possible. Onboarding includes thorough clinical assessments by our enrollment, our nursing, and our center Triad teams, along with financial analysis typically associated with approvals required to receive long-term care Medicaid. Once these preliminary qualifications are completed, our enrollment team submits detailed case histories to state health and financial support administrators and persistently follows through to secure the approvals required to enroll in PACE. So what has resulted from this strategy to raise awareness, educate, and inform?

With all 19 centers now able to accept enrollments, we anticipate gross enrollments to be up significantly from the last couple of years. Adding to the significant growth in our inquiries and opportunities pipeline, the efficient use of resources has reduced our participant acquisition cost and days to service by 17% and 19%, respectively. This all translates to a compound annual growth rate in the high teens. As Matt mentioned, going forward, we'll continue to focus first on filling the existing capacity in our current centers, in addition to positioning our de novo markets for strong future performance. Lastly, the area where we have made our most recent improvements is in our awareness and educational messaging. In a new national advertising campaign we launched late last year called Healthy Independence.

Healthy Independence is an articulation of the InnovAge mission to empower seniors to live life on their terms, healthy and independent, in their own homes and communities for as long as safely possible. Pre-launch, we conducted research with several hundred prospective seniors and caregivers and heard clearly that the PACE program's primary benefit was comprehensive and free-of-cost medical care that enables our participants to spend more quality time with their loved ones. 84% of those prospective participants and caregivers we surveyed told us that they would be prompted to take action and learn more about InnovAge. It's now been just over 90 days since launching that campaign across broadcast, digital, out-of-home, and print channels, and we have seen inquiries grow an additional 10% while our cost per inquiry has dropped 28% with the introduction of very targeted messaging and sophisticated delivery strategies.

Simply put, we are reaching more potentially qualified seniors with fewer advertising dollars and educational messaging that resonates very well. So let's conclude my section by taking a look at the TV commercial that is running in the markets that we serve.

Speaker 9

Lately, living on my own has become a little harder. That's why I love InnovAge PACE. My neighborhood InnovAge Center has my doctor, my dentist, and my physical therapist, even activities and lunch with my friends, all in one place. And with Medicare and Medicaid, I qualify at no cost. I get the care I need and more time to enjoy with my daughter. At InnovAge, they call that healthy independence. Call today to learn more.

Rob Borella
Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, InnovAge

Thank you very much, and I'll turn the presentation back over to Matt.

Thank you, sir.

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

Thank you, Rob. Okay. Turning to slide 45, you'll see the extensive organizational experience that InnovAge has supplementing organic growth that Rob just walked through, through both de novos as well as tuck-in acquisitions. In the last decade, the company has opened approximately 7 new de novos and has acquired 7 centers in multiple acquisitions. Each market is unique that you can see from the top market dynamic row, and so we've been intentional in creating state-specific market prioritization, which essentially stratifies and ranks each state based on a multitude of criteria for success. I'll spend a couple of minutes on that in a few slides. Regarding de novos broadly, they're generally more attractive from an ROI perspective but take longer to stand up and get to maturity.

On the M&A front, we evaluate both the standalone prospects of the business and, critically, how our capabilities can increase quality and compliance, accelerate growth, and improve profitability based on the sophistication of our platform that Rich unpacked earlier. Essentially, we remain opportunistic on both fronts. As you can see on the wheel, we are intentional around new market evaluation and entrance. We have a formal growth group comprised of a cross-section of the board to present new opportunities akin to an investment committee. And I raise that because some of the best deals are the ones you don't do, and we've held ourselves to the highest standard and will only commit our resources and capital when we're highly confident in its future success. So what are some of those factors? It starts with foundations in the state. How is PACE viewed within the current administration?

What are the challenges they're facing with regard to underserved seniors in their market? How are the competitive forces as it relates to managed care? For example, the prominence of programs like D-SNPs. Is MLTSS mandatory in that state for duals? Taken together, we approximate what the potential size of the eligible market would be, taking into account the factors above. Then we look at the rate environment, particularly on the Medicaid side, to understand, essentially, the viability both in the community relative to the risk mix as well as how we think about the calculation and Ben will walk through this in a few moments relative to the unmanaged spend or what in PACE is referred to as the AWOP.

We do a comprehensive analysis of the provider community, both acute and ambulatory, to ensure that we can stand up a high-performing network at appropriate costs relative to the Medicare fee schedule. Then we look at labor supply dynamics, prevalence of clinicians, relative labor cost environment to ensure that we can deliver a robust experience to our participants both on day one and over time. We also look at the real estate market both to understand the relative cost, which informs our build versus buy, and importantly, what the optimal street corner is to place our centers. This is one area where we've meaningfully improved our game from a data and analytics perspective and have third-party technology to help us pick that right street corner.

I touched on partnerships at the outset, but if there are prominent groups in the market where a partnership creates a one plus one equals three dynamic, we're proactive in evaluating whether it be a commercial relationship or partnership and going as far as a potential equity joint venture like the one Rob mentioned in Sacramento. Then everything around the wheel ultimately goes into a detailed 10-year model to help us understand the opportunities, the risks, and how we define success as we move to execution. To help bring the de novo model into sharper focus, I want to highlight our Tampa projections in purple. You'll note important inflection points like the center-level margin break-even at 18 months, approximately, as well as EBITDA break-even between years two and three. Critically, these projections are informed by our actual experience.

On the next page, I'll go through our San Bernardino market in detail, but if you look at other precedents like our recent center in Sacramento as well as Loveland, Colorado, over the last decade, each of them track to this actual maturation curve. At maturity, we're expecting Tampa to deliver over $20 million in annual contribution margin based on the $12.5 million of CapEx that we put into the ground upfront. And note, this does not include the $3-$5 million in operating losses, but we've been challenging ourselves to be more agile on timing of hiring FTEs based on a one-year forward projection. Importantly, the most important driver to overcome that initial fixed cost hurdle is responsible enrollment growth.

As an example, just speaking of agility and new ways of working, in our new centers, we're contracting for on-site dental services in the first year until we can build that critical mass of census, at which point it makes sense from an ROI on day one perspective to bring in an FTE full-time. So it's little trade-offs like that that we're using to improve against our own internal expectations. The previous slide was more of an academic construct on the previous page with regard to Tampa and our expectations, but we wanted to bring it to life with a case study that crystallizes several of the critical factors for success. In a way, you can almost walk through our wheel on page 46 to understand what drove our decision and why it's been successful to date in San Bernardino.

Starting with the state market dynamics, California is a highly attractive market overall. San Bernardino, in particular, was our first entry into the state of California, and now we have three centers open with a potential path to two additional centers in Bakersfield and Downey. What made San Bernardino attractive? First and foremost, the overall number of eligibles, the density in select communities, which is ultimately how we selected the neighborhood to best serve the ZIP codes in a way that anchored around the most at-need individuals. Further, if you look at the relationship between the dual eligibles and the PACE eligibles, it was a large multiple, and that, we believe, was a good indicator of future potential demand as dual eligibles became older, had acute episodes, and become PACE eligible.

California's been a great partner to PACE overall, and the Medicaid rate supports it to be the Medicaid rates support the ability to be successful in the state. It's a balanced competitive landscape both from a payer and a provider dynamic, which ensures the right balance for us to get a solid network at competitive rates and attract participants from less coordinated and personalized plans. We believed, given the robust market opportunity, that the community would support a large center, and so the initial footprint was approximately 1,000 census capacity. As you can see from the enrollment progress at the bottom table, that was certainly true. Within six years, we were close to capacity, and we made the investment in 2020, as we looked ahead, to, in essence, double the size of that footprint.

Subsequent to that, we've seen increased census by almost 50% since 2020, and all at an attractive center-level contribution margin, which Ben will walk through on a center-by-center basis shortly. We have a dedicated team and a standardized approach which supports a franchise model for new center openings. From the time we enter a market, we have clearly identified workflows and a very programmatic approach. We also have dedicated teams, which you can see in the orange arrows at the bottom, and how they all work together over time in the 2-3 years that precede a new market opening. If we go from left to right, in column one, we have over a decade of experience to leverage and history and precedence.

It starts with a government relations team and lobbying effort to ensure that we meet the specific needs of the state and can address their unique pain points. The challenges that we've observed in Louisiana are markedly different than the state of Kentucky, than some of the markets that we're seeing even within the state of California, and we want to be very thoughtful and intentional to best solve the needs of that community, not just the state broadly. Column two, I spoke to analytics earlier, but that helps us to identify and optimize where we put our center. In column three, based on the need and the market opportunity, we determine the target size of the center. Rich touched on it, but it can run the gamut from 15,000 sq ft to 45,000 sq ft.

We have standard renderings for each, and then we customize based on the existing structure, or we'll build a new center from scratch ourselves if that best meets the needs of the community. We have a real estate team who runs point, and also we leverage the same regional construction firms for that standardization, but we've worked with them in the past, and we both know what a best-in-class center looks like. In column four, as we begin to operationalize, we incorporate members from our business development ops team and begin hiring key center-level staff like the center director and the medical director, two-thirds of the triad that Rich walked through. In column five, we customize the staffing ramp based on the size of the center and expected enrollment. We have standardized Gantt charts and roadmaps to get everybody ready for opening.

And before the center opens, we move these employees around to existing centers that are more mature to see what great looks like and get sort of the ghost of Christmas future, which we think, from an operational perspective, helps to ensure best practices in those new centers from day one. And once we open, we don't leave the centers to fend for themselves. That BD ops team that I mentioned steps in to ensure we're delivering the standardized workflows that we've refined and improved upon meaningfully over the last two years, which was referred to earlier as the InnovAge way. And then closing out the section, a minute on the landscape. We are the largest by center number census and number of centers, as Patrick articulated at the outset.

Note that there are a few other for-profit scaled players that we've highlighted, but importantly, what we haven't highlighted are the approximately 275 centers, which are largely single-market and often single-PACE centers. I touched on in my opening remarks, we believe it's a unique market dynamic where it's more challenging to be a small business. Capital has become more expensive. Some PACE centers that are owned by hospitals, those hospital systems are evaluating or reevaluating, reverting to their core, which we believe could unlock assets. And all that to say we believe it's a constructive environment where we anticipate future opportunities to acquire and/or partner with a path to control to accelerate over time. We're in several discussions today, and we'll apply the same rigor and thresholds of success I just spent the last few minutes walking through.

With that, I'll turn it over to Ben to walk through the financial update.

Ben Adams
CFO, InnovAge

Good morning, everybody. It's great to see all of you here. My name is Ben Adams, and I'm the CFO of InnovAge. Before I begin my comments, I thought I'd share a little bit about my background. I joined InnovAge as CFO in July of 2023. Before that, I'd been the CFO of a company called KEPRO, which is an Apax Partners portfolio company that provides technology-enabled services for priority populations, which allows them to remain in the communities of their choice. KEPRO was sold to CNSI, which is a Carlyle portfolio company at the end of 2022. The combined business is now known as Acentra Health . Before joining KEPRO, I was CFO of RxSense, which is a healthcare information technology company based up in Boston, Massachusetts. That's majority owned by Parthenon Capital.

And then going back further, before my time as a CFO, I was a healthcare investment banker for about 20 years, focusing mostly on managed care companies and other healthcare services companies. And I ended up joining InnovAge really because of its mission to serve the frail elderly. That mission is very similar to the mission of a lot of the companies I've worked with in the past, so it's a great opportunity to be here. Okay. So before I really begin going into some of the details of the financial model, I wanted to provide some context for our financial results, some context for our business model economics, and context for the guidance that I'll be discussing. So on this page, you'll see a bunch of themes that are going to be echoed throughout my comments. First, the company's identified and implemented a large number of business initiatives.

We expect that these business initiatives are going to yield significant benefits, both operationally in terms of patient care and financially, over time. Secondly, we've implemented a number of clinical value initiatives and margin improvement efforts, and they're on track at this point to achieve their target savings. However, given the number of initiatives that are underway and their complexity, the exact timing of when we will fully realize these benefits is a little bit uncertain. Third, I think you'll see in our financial results a sequential improvement, which I think speaks to the fact that our operational initiatives that we've put in place are really beginning to bear fruit at this point. However, as I also mentioned during our second quarter earnings call, quarter-to-quarter performance can vary in the business.

Specifically, we think that we'll have a little bit of enrollment softness in the third quarter, but that being said, we're very confident with the guidance that we put out at the beginning of this fiscal year and that we reaffirmed at the end of our second quarter. Lastly, you'll see a significant number of embedded earnings opportunities throughout my presentation, and these are things such as a return to responsible growth, the ability to leverage our fixed overhead costs, utilizing our excess center capacity, realizing efficiencies from our technology investments, and most importantly, from leveraging our ongoing commitment to providing absolutely high-quality participant care, which we think is going to make InnovAge the PACE provider of choice. A little bit about our financial performance. As you can see from these charts, it has rebounded steadily over the last several quarters.

Our census is up about 7.5% from 6,300 at the end of the third quarter of fiscal year 2023 to about 6,780 at the end of the second quarter. If you look at our revenue on a year-to-year basis, it's up 13% compared to the same period one year earlier. While we've enjoyed some very steady increase in financial performance, as I said before, it's important to remember that quarter-to-quarter results can vary, but we remain very confident in our annual guidance. Just as we've seen our census increase and just as we've seen our revenue increase, we've also seen an increase in our adjusted EBITDA over the same period. You can see this in this chart on the right-hand side that shows our trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA number.

That number has increased $19 million over the last 12 months from -$4.5 million at the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2023 to $14.5 million at the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. At the same time, you can see from the numbers just below the bars that our 12-month trailing De Novo startup losses have increased by $2.9 million from $3.2 million at the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2023 to $6.1 million at the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. This increase was really driven by the increase in De Novo center activity that Matt described just a moment ago. So there are several factors that account for this improvement over the course of the last 12 months.

First, following our release from sanctions towards the end of fiscal year 2023, we've been able to establish a responsible growth pattern again, and enrollment growth is allowing us to capture the higher marginal profitability associated with utilizing untapped center-level capacity. In addition, as we've grown, our mix has shifted and has brought our mix of participants back in line with the assumptions that are underlying the PACE rates in each of our states. Second, we are seeing success with our Clinical Value Initiatives, which are designed to improve the quality of patient care, increase the company's operational efficiency, and offset a portion of medical cost trend. Third, as the company grows, we've been able to leverage our base of fixed operating costs. The majority of our corporate overhead costs and a significant portion of our internal cost of care are fixed.

This gives us a significant margin improvement opportunities we grow. And I'll walk through this point in a little bit more detail in a couple of slides. Fourth, we've made significant improvements in our risk score capture capabilities through the use of technology, some operational improvements, the use of outside third-party consultants. We are much more accurately capturing the risk score characteristics of our participants, and this is allowing us to get appropriately paid for each one of our participants. And fifth, we're in the process of building a best-in-class data and analytics capability. As you've heard from Rich and others, we've partnered with Epic to build a pace-specific instance of their EMR, which we've rolled out to all of our pre-existing facilities. We expect that we're going to roll out the Epic system to our newly acquired Crenshaw facility during this quarter.

We're only beginning to tap the potential of what is in store for us with Epic. But based on what we've seen so far, our expectations are that will make a significant impact in improving our efficiency going forward. Let me talk a little bit about what we think our margin opportunity is. We get this question very frequently about what is the potential intermediate-term margin opportunity, and what is the potential long-term margin opportunity of the company. The one thing I'd say is, as we've introduced operational improvements to the company, we continue to learn a lot more about the potential earnings capability of the business. There's still a bit of uncertainty around the intermediate and long-term margin targets, most specifically about when they'll be achieved.

But that said, we think it'd be helpful to share with you what we're thinking at the moment and what we're seeing in the business. So based on the best information that we have available to us, we're targeting an 8%-9%+ adjusted EBITDA margin in the intermediate term, which we define as the next 2-4 years. Over the longer term, which we define as greater than 4 years, we expect that the impact of De Novo centers will be less material compared to the overall size of the company. And at that point, we're targeting a 10%+ adjusted EBITDA margin. So these target margins are based on several assumptions, which are, frankly, very similar to the drivers that I just described on the prior slide. And these drivers have already yielded significant benefits to us in terms of our adjusted EBITDA.

We also think these assumptions are reasonable based on what we know about the business today. First, we believe we can capture incremental margin as we enroll new members into our existing centers. Second, we believe that our program of clinical value initiatives will become more effective at offsetting a portion of our medical cost trends. Third, we believe we can capture incremental margin by leveraging our corporate and center overhead fixed costs. Fourth, we believe our investments in information technology and data analytics will continue to increase the efficiency of our organization. It's important to remember when you think about our intermediate-term adjusted EBITDA margin targets that they reflect a mix of mature and immature facilities, immature facilities being recently acquired facilities or De Novo facilities. As Matt mentioned earlier, De Novo centers typically break even in about 18 months, and they reach maturity in about 5 years.

As a result, our adjusted EBITDA margin in the near term will be heavily impacted by the losses incurred during the De Novo ramp-up period. So for fiscal year 2024, we've provided some specific guidance on our estimate for De Novo losses for the year. In the intermediate term, where the company's performance falls within this 8%-9%+ range is really going to depend in part on our mix of mature and immature facilities. So let me give you some of the building blocks of where this margin improvement is going to come from. So I stated a few minutes ago that there are a number of embedded growth opportunities in the business, and I'll break these down for you here. First, it's really important to remember, as you've heard before, that InnovAge is responsible for 100% of the cost of our participants' care.

That includes everything from third-party provider costs, pharmacy costs, inpatient costs, assisted living and skilled nursing costs, as well as the cost of care that we provide through our own facilities. The first component here is external provider costs, which represent about two-thirds of our overall healthcare costs. They actually represented about 53.9% of revenue at the end of the second quarter. That was for the first six months of the year. As I mentioned before, care provided by third-party includes all sorts of things, including inpatient costs, housing in the form of assisted living and skilled nursing facilities, outpatient care, and pharmacy costs. We can mitigate the increases in these costs somewhat through our clinical value initiatives, but these costs are generally going to increase in proportion with the growth in our participants' census as well as underlying medical cost trends.

Internal cost of care, the next line down, which represents about 29.5% of our revenue for this first six months of the year and about a third of our overall medical costs. So if you break that item down, about 80% of those costs of our internal cost of care are variable. These are mostly salaries, wages, benefits, and the like related to our employees. These costs are largely driven by census growth, by our center-level target staffing ratios, and by trends in wage rates. Also included in this line item is about 20% of our costs that are largely fixed, and they go to support the delivery of care in our actual centers. These costs include things like administrator costs or facility occupancy expenses.

So this latter category of cost, the 20%, will increase modestly over time, but it will grow a lot more slowly than the rate of increase in our census. And so this provides us with a real margin opportunity within our own internal cost of care. As with our external provider costs, our internal costs can be impacted beneficially by our clinical value initiatives, and so that will be a modest offset to those increases. So if you take those two line items and get us down to the center-level contribution margin, that will translate approximately into a 20%-plus center-level contribution margin target over time. So to put this target in context, if you look at our most recently ended quarter, we had a 17.8% center-level contribution margin for the whole business.

But if you look at our top 5 facilities, on an individual basis, they had a Center-Level Contribution Margin, which was in the 20%-25%+ range. So we know from the performance of these centers that we can get there across the board. And so a 20% Center-Level Contribution Margin target company-wide seems very reasonable. Next, if we look at sales and marketing costs, sales and marketing costs typically run about 3% of revenue. We know that as we grow, those costs aren't going to grow quite as quickly as our overall growth in terms of census. So we'll get a very small amount of margin lift out of sales and marketing. General and administrative costs are where we're really going to see a favorable impact. They represent a significant margin opportunity. And these are largely fixed costs for things like executive, finance, legal, and IT costs.

These things typically don't scale in proportion to enrollment. Moreover, we've put a bunch of investments into technology such as Epic that you've heard about, and we're also in the process of beginning implementation for a new Oracle financial system for the company. You add these technology investments together with a bunch of operational improvements, and we believe that what we have in place in terms of corporate overhead can support a significantly larger business going forward. So if you take all this information together and all the margin opportunities I just described, we think we can achieve this 8%-9%+ adjusted EBITDA margin in the intermediate term. Again, just to reiterate, this 8%-9%+ margin target includes performance of both mature and immature facilities in the mix.

And so where we fall within that range in the intermediate term is going to depend in part on our mix of De Novo and mature facilities. In the long term, we think that the impact of De Novo facilities will become less important in comparison to the overall size of the business. And it's because of that that we have a long-term adjusted EBITDA margin target of 10%+. We think this is a reasonable target based on the information that we have available to us today and what we're seeing in the business. So one other thing I want to talk about here - and Matt alluded to this just a moment ago - is what happens on a center-level contribution margin basis.

When you think about the levers I talked about just a moment ago that allow us to increase margins over time, there's also another opportunity we have just related to filling up our existing centers. So in part, this comes from the fact that we can leverage some fixed costs that are in our internal cost of care at the facility-level basis. But the other thing is that our facilities, the larger ones with higher occupancy, just perform better. They're more efficient. So you can look at this bubble chart on the left-hand side, and you can see that our highest occupancy centers have some of our very highest contribution margins, both in percentage terms and in terms of the dollars overall contributed to the company.

As we fill up our centers over time, we expect you'll see our center-level contribution margin go up from the 17.8% that we had in the second quarter of this year up towards this target of 20%+. As Matt mentioned in his comments, the best thing about filling up excess center-level capacity is there are no incremental capital costs associated with doing it. The next slide here reiterates a point that I think, frankly, most of you probably already know. As a PACE provider, we receive three different payment streams from Medicare and Medicaid on a monthly basis. In total, these three payments are about $9,000 per month, and they break down roughly as follows: $3,000 PM/PM related to Medicare Part C, $1,000 PM/PM related to Medicare Part D, and about $5,000 PM/PM related to Medicare.

Again, when you consider a $9,000 PM/PM payment, it seems large, but it's important to remember that this covers 100% of the cost of our participants. I'm going to spend a minute here talking about the rate-setting process for PACE and how it works on both the Medicaid side and on the Medicare side. On the Medicaid side, each state has a unique benefit structure for PACE and a unique rate-setting process for states. While there are methodological similarities between the states, each state has a great deal of latitude to decide how it wants to implement PACE rates. Consequently, rates and rate increases tend to vary significantly by state depending upon that state's unique characteristics.

So in general, as Matt mentioned a moment ago, rates are based on a discount to the amount that otherwise would be paid by the state if the participant was not enrolled in the PACE program. This you hear referred to as the AWOP. The amount of the discount applied by the state varies, and individual states can also vary the amount of discount from year to year. The methodology for calculating AWOP is also different by state and can be based on anything from state Medicaid fee-for-service rates to managed care premium rates to MLTSS rates or another metric that the state decides to use. Also depending upon what a state elects to do, our actual PACE cost experience may or may not be included in the rate-setting process.

It's important to remember that state Medicaid rates, unlike Medicare rates, are not risk-adjusted to reflect the acuity level of individual members. If you flip over to the Medicare side, things get a little simpler and easier to understand. So CMS rates for PACE are based on county-specific data, and then they're risk-adjusted. The risk-adjustment models are used by PACE organizations are different from those used by Medicare Advantage plans. In addition, CMS has different county benchmarks for PACE plans and Medicare Advantage plans. PACE plans, and again, as Richard mentioned before, do receive a frailty adjustment here, which makes them different from other types of CMS plans. And PACE organizations, unlike MA plans, are not subject to RADV audits. So when you take all this together, the PACE rate-setting process is complicated.

But we think that our position as one of the largest PACE providers in the country and one of the few PACE providers that operates in a whole series of states, that this gives us a diversity in terms of our rate portfolio, and it will allow us to generally have a more stable rate profile than many of our competitors. So a little bit on liquidity and capital deployment strategies. We ended the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 with $51.4 million of cash and cash equivalents and $44.7 million of short-term investments. In addition, we had $96.9 million of undrawn availability under our revolving credit agreement. So taken together, we have $195.7 million of available liquidity. And we think this cushion is sufficient to meet our operating needs, our short-term startup losses associated with De Novo facilities, and other strategic initiatives and obligations.

When we think about capital deployment going forward, it's important to remember that we just are completing a significant period of investment in new facilities. We now have five new or recently acquired facilities that are either under development or they're in the early days of their enrollment cycle. So while we're always going to be considering M&A opportunities and De Novo opportunities, in the short term, our focus is really going to be filling up these new facilities and taking advantage of the embedded growth opportunity that exists within our current facility base. Lastly, I wanted to talk a little bit about the guidance that we issued at the beginning of the year and that we reiterated at the end of the second quarter. Based on the latest available information, we think our ending census will be between 1,600 and 7,400 members.

Our member months for the year will fall somewhere between 79,000 and 83,000. Our revenue will fall somewhere between $725 million-$775 million. Our adjusted EBITDA will fall somewhere between $12 million-$18 million, and our De Novo losses will be between $10 million-$12 million. So with that, that concludes my prepared comments. And I think I'll invite my colleagues to come back up to the stage, and we'll open up for Q&A. Thanks.

Where'd you like to start? Terrific job. Terrific.

Well, I don't know about that.

I don't know. Here, I'll join you. Okay. Yeah, I think we're on. All right.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

I think we're open for questions. Maybe we start with anybody from the webcast, and then we'll transition to the room.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Yeah, sure. We've.

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

Oh.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Yeah, sure. We've got one on the webcast.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Ryan, you're not mic'd up there.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Can you hear me?

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

Good. Yeah, they could.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

So the question on the webcast is, why were the two centers with 70%-80% occupancy have single CLCM margins? Any structural reasons that drive the underperformance on those margins?

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Well, I mean, I'll start. I think that's referring to the bubble chart that we had there. I don't recall the de-identified data, but I think the likely answer is that those could reflect a couple of smaller centers. I think the data is also fiscal year to date. So a couple of smaller centers could be rate issues. So it could be a question of, "Are we getting our targeted rate there?" but also likely a medical cost trend or mix in the population that could drive that. I think the key point is, if you look at the 19 centers, they're all sort of following that regression line up to the top right.

So I think despite maybe some periods where you might find someone that's at high capacity, below that target margin, that's also at high capacity, it's likely tied to the fact they're a small center. Maybe there's a period where we're not getting the rates that we're targeting, and possibly just a small utilization impact on a small center could have an impact as well. Anybody else want to have a thought on that?

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

No, I think you're right.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

No, okay.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

There are smaller centers that tend to be a little bit less efficient. It doesn't mean we don't have a great margin opportunity in them, but there are centers that we're working on.

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

Any others from the room? There we go.

Jason Cassorla
VP of Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Great. Thanks. Jason Cassorla from Citi. Relative to the 8%-9% adjusted EBITDA target, you've had relatively favorable rate growth in the mid-single-digit range over the past few years. Census has grown well coming out of sanctions. I guess I'm just wondering how you're factoring census and rate growth as you build to that target over the next 2 to 4 years.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Yeah, we've put together a model that looks at sort of the next 3-5 years. We've assumed basically a continuation of some of the enrollment growth trends that we've seen in the first six months of the year. We've got some assumptions in there about a favorable rate mix, not wildly different from what we've been experiencing over the last year. Again, you have to look back. There were some factors, especially related to Colorado, that changed some of the, gave us a little bit more of a rate boost in the historical period. But it's essentially sort of a continuation of trends.

Where we're really seeing the pickup when we build that model going forward are some of the drivers that I talked about in terms of leveraging fixed costs, the rollout of the CVIs, efficiencies we're getting at the G&A level related to technology investments. And so we feel pretty good about that sort of 8%-9%+ intermediate-term adjusted EBITDA margin target. But the other thing to really remember is that in that number are the De Novo losses associated with all these new facilities, right? And so those facilities take anywhere from about 18 months to break even. They get EBITDA positive in 24 months approximately.

23 years, that's great.

24-36 months. They hit maturity in 5 years. Those are going to be a drag just because you think about our portfolio today, we got 5 of those versus a total portfolio. So we've got almost a quarter in these immature facilities. That's going to be one of the things that impacts the 8%-9% going forward. But when we think about a point in the future, when we're kind of through those De Novo loss periods, or we expect to be through those De Novo loss periods, when we've got the business operating as it should, that's how we kind of come to that 10%+ adjusted EBITDA margin target.

Jason Cassorla
VP of Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Great. Thanks. Maybe just a follow-up. I know you've prioritized in-center growth. Maybe can you just discuss the profitability of a new member starting on day one, how that grows over times, and then the drivers of that profitability kind of between your clinical value initiatives, the cost reduction, and the higher risk score capture for that member as they tenure with you?

Ben Adams
CFO, InnovAge

Well, I guess what I'd say is we have different groups of members, right? So when you think about someone on their PACE journey, they're obviously freshmen, sophomore, junior, senior. The average tenure is, I think, about 3.7 years. And essentially, their profitability profile changes over time. It also changes depending upon their housing situation. We have members who are ESRD members that have a different profitability profile than somebody who comes in who doesn't have ESRD, who's sort of a healthy freshman, as I would think. So when you think about the business overall, we tend to look at the profitability over the life cycle of the member as opposed to and think about that in context of what our customer acquisition costs are versus looking at it in each individual period. At least that's the way I look at it.

If you were going to take a look at the average tenure of a member, and then you were to look at the average premium of about $9,000 a month, you can figure out how many months they're going to be here. You can sort of figure out what the revenue opportunity is. You can look at what we're doing on a center-level contribution margin basis. That's sort of the marginal dollar contribution for someone over their life cycle. And then you can sort of impute what our CAC costs are. And then you can kind of look at the two, and that's a reasonable way to look at the enrollees.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Yeah, I'll just add to that. I think this has been used, sort of the analogy of a freshman, sophomore, junior, senior. I think there was a point in time where we had more sort of juniors and seniors in our book, and we were enrolling just due to the demand at the time. We were enrolling people that were further along in sort of their frailty sort of spectrum, and we took on a lot of people that had started with us already in assisted living. That's always going to be a part of what we enroll, but we were seeing a disproportionate share of people coming to us already in assisted living, which led to increased housing costs.

I think we're now starting to see our new member enrollments reflect a more appropriate distribution of people living in their one's own home versus assisted living versus other community alternatives.

And so that, I think, is helping us with some of the profitability slope, if you will, as a result because our mix is starting to look more appropriate as they come in.

Ben Adams
CFO, InnovAge

Yeah, that's an important point because you think about our mix. PACE rates are really set up to sort of reflect a community mix. Our mix got a little out of alignment in the last couple of years. Now it's coming back into alignment. That's going to be a help to us.

Other questions?

Jared Haase
Equity Research Associate, William Blair

Yeah, good morning. Jared Haase from William Blair here. Maybe just a little bit on some of the payer capabilities that you sort of highlighted as kind of an investment priority. Is there any component of that that's kind of a build versus buy debate? I'm wondering if there's an opportunity around things like risk adjustment where maybe you could acquire an asset to sort of improve or iterate on those in terms of your capabilities.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Yeah, it's a great question. And because that's an area that my background is sort of strongest in, I've seen the good and the bad decisions about build versus buy when it comes to payer capabilities. And I generally think we're capable of doing all of this pretty well on our own. To your point, I think risk adjustment strikes me as one area where trying to build sort of a best-in-class solution to ensure your premium per member per month reflects the risk of your population. I do think that's something that there's a lot of great companies out there. I think we're working with the best, and there's no doubt they've helped us identify opportunities.

There's still opportunity to improve, but I think that scenario where we'll rely on third parties to really help us not only identify opportunity, both prospective and retrospective, but they're also really terrific at the data submissions that you make to CMS and making sure the submissions are clean, they're free of errors, that there's nothing missing. So they're very good technically. And so I think that's an area. We've also used some third parties to help us identify and spot concerning service trends that maybe didn't show up in our own analysis of our claims data or our own operating analysis. And we've used that to either create a CVI, which Rich's team builds an initiative around a particular trend, or we may find we've got sort of out-of-market reimbursement rates, and it may cause us to want to renegotiate.

We've used some third parties to help us sort of spot opportunity. But I think the talent and the capabilities for most of this with the addition of Epic, it actually provides a really sound foundation to help us spot trends and then act on them quickly. I think we'll do most of it in-house and do it pretty effectively. But I think you did see on one of the slides, what we tried to highlight is sort of our progression against what we think a best-in-class company is doing. So by no means are we performing at the level of a top-tier managed care organization today. But we're two years in, and we're finding lots of opportunity, and we're executing on it, and it's flowing through to our P&L.

And so I think we're doing a good job, but it's going to take more time to get the capabilities where I'd like to see them.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Patrick, can I add to that?

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

Please.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

So as you know, risk adjustment, there are two main pieces there. One is the submission process. You mentioned that. Let's go back to documenting the right diagnoses at the point of care by providers. And that's largely around chronic condition recapture, diagnoses that have been made in the past that are for whatever reason, they're chronic conditions, and they're missing in the present year. And if they're not coded in an encounter in the present year, they're lost, and your HCC score is going to be lower. And so previously, before we moved over to our version of Epic, we had pre-visit reviews and post-visit audits, and we were chasing down our providers just like so many other people who are concerned about risk adjustment do, trying to chase down our providers, trying to get diagnoses coded. Fast forward. Now we have Epic.

Right now, we are already using best practice alerts in Epic during patient encounters with their primary care provider. So during that encounter, an alert pops up before the encounter is closed out saying there was essentially a diagnosis last year. It hasn't been coded this year. Should it be? And it gives the provider a chance to do it at the point of care. That is a far better way to get to higher rates of chronic condition recapture. So we're already seeing some movement on that. Still more room to go. But that's the way to do it right. And so it's leveraging Epic, but it's doing it internally at the point of care.

Jared Haase
Equity Research Associate, William Blair

Okay. That's great. Appreciate all the color. Maybe I'll throw a follow-up out there and take it a slightly different direction thinking about the go-to-market strategy and some of the data that you shared. It looks like you're experiencing lower patient acquisition cost, a more favorable sales cycle. I guess, number one, would you expect that trend to continue over the next couple of years, just kind of improving efficiency from a go-to-market perspective? And then if that is the case, would it actually support maybe accelerated investments in sales and marketing just when you think about the efficiency from sort of an LTV to CAC perspective in terms of member growth?

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Yeah, I'll get started. Maybe then hand it off to Rob for his thoughts. I think we still have more opportunity there. Again, we're probably a year into really trying to optimize the entire sales cycle, enrollment cycle. I think we've made great progress on it. But I think there's more opportunity for us to, as we grow and scale, get leverage with the partners that we use, who we buy media with, who we use to generate inquiries. I think we're getting smarter at that. We use a portfolio of organizations. I think we're getting smarter at some are higher performing, lower cost than others. And so we could move business to them and get an immediate pickup just on where we sort of place our business. I think we're learning more about which channels.

Rob mentioned some channels are sort of low to no cost, and some channels, you're paying for every inquiry. And I think as we get smarter and smarter about it by market, by center, I think the next step for us is to be much more focused on sort of the power of the portfolio. Where can we direct our resources in a much more effective way rather than we're sort of just running hard at every center as hard as we can? I think there's an opportunity to sort of redirect resources to just continue to drive lower acquisition costs and greater LTVs. So I think that's probably one of the areas that jumps out to me is there's an opportunity. Rob, where do you see opportunities?

Rob Borella
Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, InnovAge

Yeah, I would echo Patrick's comments, and I'd also think about the incremental investments that we're making in our CRM system. And so with that, it's going to come enablement so I can look at campaign, individual efforts, by market, investment dollars, and return in terms of gross enrollments and get much more granular in terms of figuring out where's the best place to place our bets and continue to drive new participants.

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

That's a great point. Great point. Ryan.

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

I'm going to take one from the virtual folks. When looking at the mix of external versus internal cost of 1/3-2/3, is there any way to change this over time? Do you have any plans to bring more care into the centers?

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

Let me let Rich take that one. He thinks a lot about this.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Yeah, we look at this all the time. In fact, our move just in the last couple of years to bring behavioral health in-house is an example where our participants were not getting the right care. So there was a quality issue, and cost of care was high, and access was a problem. We've been hiring behavioral health providers not just because it's the right thing to do clinically, but because there was a good business case. We're spending less on behavioral health now and getting better results. We keep looking at that across all aspects of care, for sure. Where there's enough concentration of care, where there's a justifiable need to bring in staff, whether it's part-time or full-time clinicians, something we would always look at.

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

Rich, you want to also touch on end-of-life care. That's probably another good example.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

That's another really good example. Our population, they stay with us, in many cases, until they die. That's our goal, is that they're so satisfied with PACE that this is their final step along their healthcare journey. So I mentioned before, we have to be really good at palliative and end-of-life care. Some PACE organizations use hospice, use outside hospice agencies to manage symptoms near the end of life. And in fact, in some of our markets, we were as well. And we looked at that, and we realized that that was creating lack of coordination, a lack of that integrated care model that's led by our primary care team. And so it wasn't really the right model for us, and it was also costing an exceptional amount. So there was a cost issue and a quality and a coordination issue.

In response to that, we're actually adding additional nurses and providers who have primary care, who have palliative care and end-of-life expertise, and ensuring that we have coverage evenings, weekends, and after-hours so that the need for hospice is actually significantly reduced. We believe that this is part of what high-quality geriatric medicine is. We should be doing it. It is in scope for us, and we shouldn't be using outside resources. So that's another really good example.

Matt Huray
Chief Growth Officer, InnovAge

Ryan?

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

Medicare coding is still based on HCC V22. Have you analyzed the impact of the risk codes and risk-adjusted revenue PMPM if V24, V28 is implemented for PACE?

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

I don't think we've got an answer to that.

Ben Adams
CFO, InnovAge

I don't think we have an answer to that.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

No.

Ben Adams
CFO, InnovAge

We certainly understand the differences. But given that PACE, I mean, the exception, why PACE isn't on V28, is more related to what I would refer to as sort of the small population size of PACE and ensuring that any movement from one model to the next is sort of actuarially sound. And I think there's a real question of how does PACE sort of make that leap. So we're certainly aware of the differences. We clearly, let's say, benefit from the differences, but at the same time, relative to V28, but I don't think we've quantified it quite yet. I'll add one area that we benefit, haven't quantified it, looking at that, is the inclusion of dementia in the new model that we're moving to.

Dementia is actually not included in our current risk adjustment model, which is kind of hard for us to get our heads around because dementia is so common. About half of our population has dementia. So the ability to then code that diagnosis and have that contribute to risk adjustment is going to be very important. Any other questions in the room? Oh, here we go. Jason?

Jason Cassorla
VP of Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Hey, thanks. Yeah, just maybe another follow-up. I wanted to ask about the JV opportunity that you highlighted in the slides. You have the JV with Adventist right now. Can you elaborate on that opportunity a bit more and just remind us how the economics kind of work and how that one plus one equals three in your view?

Rob Borella
Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, InnovAge

Yeah, sure. So specific to Sacramento, the economics work as any equity joint venture would. We own the majority. We consolidate. We have two minority partners in that. This preceded my time. The thesis was we have a senior housing that will be creating an opportunity and a living situation for folks that would likely be eligible for PACE. You have one of the most prominent systems in that market that could be both helpful from a cost of care, acute as well as specialist physician networks, as well as when you think about folks that are using them as primary care, when you have recidivism that's hurting quality scores, when you have those care managers or discharge planners that we had talked about that are just looking to find somebody, a long-term healthcare solution.

Those are all different facets of the value prop and ways in which PACE plus one of those partners in the community can be greater than the individual parts. Now, depending on the market, there are also places I'd talked about both payer and provider. There are other archetypes that we think could be really compelling as well. And so we don't limit it to one. We're expansive in that. And depending on the market, you might be thinking about sort of the hit list as one, two, and three a bit differently, but we think that there's an added element to each of those.

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Yeah, I might just add one thought to that. I mean, Matt really hit on if you think about what we do as a care provider and what a hospital does as a care provider, our patients are generally very challenging for hospitals to manage. There's a lot of readmissions. There's a lot of DRGs that the costs go through an outlier. Sometimes the management oversight of the patient can create challenges for their quality programs with CMS. So clearly, they see a real opportunity to work with someone that can take direct responsibility for a participant in every aspect of their life. So they see a lot of value there. As Matt mentioned, some of the hospital systems also have health plans that serve a Medicare Advantage population.

Within that book of business for a hospital system and their health plan, there's certainly individuals who are part of their risk pool that are very high cost. Even if the health plan is performing well from a loss ratio perspective, there are still some individuals that are probably not getting the level of care that they need through an MA program. I highlighted some of those remarks in my presentation. What we're hearing from hospitals that have those health plans, if they were to have a stake in a center, it puts them in a position to be able to think, "Where's that Medicare Advantage life? Where are they going to be optimally cared for?

Is it in our MA plan, or would it be in our PACE program?" And you could create a pathway for that individual to get a much more robust, much more robust comprehensive care model through PACE, and it would be in the hospital's interest both from a quality perspective and patient experience perspective, but also economically to the Medicare Advantage plan. So we're starting to hear of that kind of interest as we think about working with health systems. Ryan?

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

Given the sanctions, we're focused on certain services not being offered. Post-sanction, can you return to pre-sanction even margins? And if so, how do you get there given that more services will likely need to be offered in compliance with PACE?

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

Well, there were a lot of dimensions to the deficiencies identified in the audits that culminated in enrollment restrictions. And I wouldn't say that it was a result of services not being offered. I think one of the things that we dealt with and other PACE programs dealt with and all providers dealt with maybe is the timeliness of services. And we also identified through that process that our model could benefit from a stronger resource complement. And so we've invested quite a bit in each of our centers to make sure that they're staffed to deal with the volume and complexity of our patients. And so naturally, if you focus on just one dimension of the cost structure, you think about margin compression because of the investment we're making in the center.

But I think to the good question that was raised around our payer capabilities, the belief is that if we can do a better job managing the care, managing our provider unit cost, managing our claims payment, managing our risk adjustment, that we're going to be able to make those deep investments in each of our centers and ensure we have adequate staff to support all the needs of our population while still expanding margins. And so I think it's a we're going to get to the margins in a slightly different way than maybe the company has achieved margins in recent years.

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

I have one left on the online if there's no other questions in the room. The last one is, what's the patient mix across fragility mix for the existing patients? I think they're asking, "Can you give me some more color on the frailty of your population overall?

Patrick Blair
President and CEO, InnovAge

I'll just say a couple of things then maybe Rich wants to say a few things. I mean, when Rich talked about the risk score being about 2.4 compared to a standard 1.08 Medicare Advantage population, that gives you some idea of how complex our population is and how frail it is relative to a typical MA population. I think the second thing to keep in mind is that because every one of our participants has to meet a clinical eligibility requirement for nursing home level of care, all of them are at a common denominator of very frail and at risk of institutionalization. And then beyond that, I think there's again, using the freshmen, sophomore, junior, and senior, they sort of come to us at either very late in sort of their frailty experience or they can come to us very early in their frailty experience.

And I think we've got a pretty good idea of sort of what that mix looks like. And I think as an organization, we're beginning to see what we would expect as an appropriate mix, whereas the sanctions, I think, really had the impact of seeing our risk pool shift in that mix a bit. Now we're kind of coming back into line as we add new enrollees who are earlier in their frailty journey. Anything to add, Rich?

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Yeah, I'd just say that it's a remarkably wide range, right? The freshmen, they qualify for nursing home level of care based upon state criteria, but that could be based upon just a few ADLs where they need a little bit of help, a little bit of extra help, and they need the socialization. They need the medical care. But on the other extreme, we're talking about people who could be bedbound, unable to care for themselves, paraplegics. Think about extreme levels of care. It's a wide range.

Okay. If we don't have any other questions in the room, I think we'll just close by thanking all of you for your time, both those in the room and those via the webcast. I think all of them, the deck has been posted. The materials are out there for people to review. I'm sure there'll be a transcript of this for future use. And we just really appreciate your support of the company and are excited about our future and hope we've done a little bit in the way of building your confidence in the company and its future. So thank you very much.

Ryan Kubota
SVP of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations, InnovAge

Thank you.

Rich Feifer
CMO, InnovAge

Thanks.

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