J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT)
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Baird 55th Annual Global Industrial Conference

Nov 11, 2025

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

My name is Dan Moore. I'm the Senior Transportation Analyst here at Baird. I'm pleased to have the executive team, members of the executive team of J.B. Hunt with us today. My plan is to go through a list of questions here and hopefully ask some reasonably intelligent questions. Very, very happy to have you guys here. Thank you for being here. I'm glad you got here in one piece. Maybe to kick it off, big picture. You know it's been a dynamic market. Macro environment's been anything but straightforward. The U.S. Rail Network is working through the implications of the potential first transcontinental merger. I was wondering if you could take a minute and just frame the backdrop as you see it today, especially the pre-funded capacity that you guys have in place.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

OK, Dan, I think you just gave me like seven questions.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

They're all going to be that way.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

How about, can I just start us with maybe just a quick overview?

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

Brilliant.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Of the organization, and that'll maybe level set where we're at today. Thank you for having us.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

Of course.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Really happy to be here.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

Of course, of course.

Brad Delco
EVP and CFO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Dan, good to see you in the seat. Yeah, right?

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Yeah.

Brad Delco
EVP and CFO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Can't believe it, man. You're doing it.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Hey, so you know as we think about the organization, our vision is really to create the most efficient transportation network in North America. We think about that with our customers across our five business units. We really try to solve for our customers based on what we believe is the most efficient way to move goods, not necessarily based on the products or services that we deliver overall. We do that on the foundations of our people, our technology, and capacity. That is really where we create our investment. You know people is at the beginning, because we think that is what is differentiating for our organization, long tenure inside our company. Technology sits in the middle, and we call that technology that empowers. We think technology empowers our people. It also empowers our capacity to come into market, being one of the largest transportation providers here in North America.

But our mission's really to drive long-term value for our people, our customers, and our shareholders. We take great care of our people. They'll take great care of our customers. And ultimately, our shareholders will be well taken care of as well. That's founded on our principles that were really by our founders 64 years ago, starting with integrity, respect for the individual, how we think about innovation. You know, Mr. Hunt was our founder that really never met an idea he didn't like. He was a big thinker, and that's something we really try to stay with organizationally. Safety, always at the forefront of how we think, and then excellence in everything that we do. As we think about our 64-year legacy and the size and scale of the organization, about $12 billion in total revenue.

I think you called it challenging, the environment that we've been in. I would say 41 months of a freight recession has certainly challenged me during this time, Dan. If you think about the people, it's a little outdated, because that's from 2024. We're down to just over 32,000 people really helping facilitate on behalf of our customers with a lot of equipment. About 2/3 of our employees are going to be professional drivers, about 2,000 in our maintenance team, and the rest are going to be our office teams helping support both our maintenance and driving team with 22,000 tractors. You can see the number of trailing units that we have in total. You know, our key priorities for this year really focused on what we can control.

We can do a lot about the macro environment, but can focus a lot on operational excellence. For us, that kind of comes out in two ways. One is making sure we're number one for our customers from a scorecard perspective. So we want our customers to say that we are the best in the business and that they want to continue to do more business with us. We have the highest rating from our customers across the board, industry rating at a 53% net promoter score. For example, in Intermodal, that's likened to a Chick-fil-A score for us. We're very proud of that work. That's happened across all of our businesses with our customer retention at the highest levels that we have had and also the consistency in our service.

That has put us in a really good offensive state with our customers, being able to help them solve for their supply chain challenges, helping us think about in this environment where freight has been very difficult. It really allows us to think differently with our customers. That is the first place on operational excellence. The second one is on safety. We are in our third year of consecutive record-breaking safety performance. In 2023, we reduced our DOT preventable accidents by 25%. We beat that again last year. We are on pace to beat that again this year. That really sets the foundation for us as we think about excellence to really push forward into meeting our objectives overall. Our second priority is really scaling into the long-term investments in our people, technology, and capacity, those foundations that I talked about.

You know, we have thought about this recession a little bit differently, Dan, because we're in a position of strength financially to say, what could we do differently during this recession that would really push us over as we come out of this? And so for us, we really invested in our people, in wages, and really moving our people forward during this time in both wages and benefits. We also did a nice job in thinking about capacity. I'll let Darren talk more about that, how we thought about the capacity we could bring to market on behalf of our customers on business that we think can convert into a more efficient mode overall. Finally, third is really repairing our margins, really thinking about having stronger financial performance.

Those are our three priorities for this year that I think we've done a fairly nice job here coming into the back half of the year of executing on our priorities. And then finally, I talked about our people. This is not just a reflection of our management team from an executive perspective. It really is a reflection of our entire organization. We have a lot of tenure in our company. So the average tenure of our officers is just under 27 years at J.B. Hunt. If you were to just take that into our senior VPs at 21 years, our VPs at 20 years, our directors at 14 years, we have a culture of innovation, but we also are a growth company. Because of that, our people really lean into us. Even during this time, it's been a really good change for us overall.

Darren Field
Presidentand EVP of Intermodal, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

So hitting on Intermodal, sorry, I actually feel a lot better than I sound. We are the largest Intermodal provider in North America with just over 125,000 containers. We have a proprietary chassis that only fits our container. We own all of that equipment that goes all the way back to Mr. Hunt's belief in making sure our Intermodal customers had the same experience with an Intermodal shipment that they did with truckload. We really believe in controlling our own equipment, maintaining it, taking great care of it, and designing and innovating with that equipment over time. You know, when we think about the position we're in today, we do own more equipment than what we're using. Back in March of 2022, we announced plans to grow to 150,000 containers jointly with BNSF at that time.

I think that it's important to remember our customers were coming off of a number of years, whether it was from an implementation of PSR components that struck some of our customers in a negative way and did not really feel good about the service they experienced. We got into COVID, and we did not have enough capacity to meet our customers' needs. Shelley highlighted nicely our focus on operational excellence. I think the equipment pre-investment is also along the same lines as operational excellence in that we were trying to repair the reputation of Intermodal that our customers had experienced up until that point. And now we are in a good position and really set well to grow into the future. We do not need to spend a lot of money to buy containers at this point. We are set for a nice pathway, certainly, to grow.

You know, we have long-term relationships with BNSF, NS, and CSX. We certainly have relationships with nearly all the railroads in North America and look forward to using those railroad relationships long into the future. We highlight our map in that we think that the way we go to market, the way we bring customers and translate what the railroad's capabilities are for the customer and then translate back to the railroad how they need to, what kind of network requirements, what kind of service it needs to exist in order to attract additional highway conversion business. We see somewhere in the neighborhood of 7 million-11 million loads annually that we believe are ripe for conversion to Intermodal.

The vast majority of that business is in the Easter network, which would be served by today Norfolk Southern and CSX combined, and look forward to years to come with expansion and highway conversion to Intermodal.

Brad Delco
EVP and CFO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Real quick, just want to highlight an announcement we made on our second quarter earnings call, really lowering our cost to serve. We announced that we were going to attack about $100 million of structural cost and committed to our investors, our shareholders, that we would give updates each quarter as we executed on this plan. We just recently reported our Q3 results. Very, very proud of the performance overall of the business. With flat revenues, we were able to grow GAAP operating income 8% and GAAP EPS 18%, and highlighted that we had achieved greater than $20 million of cost savings in the quarter, so clearly on an annualized run rate basis, getting really close to the $100 million we've identified. The one other thing we did add is that our internal target is a lot greater than $100 million.

And so we still see opportunities for us to challenge ourselves in the three areas of the business where we think there are opportunities around driving efficiency and productivity. Darren talked about asset utilization and then how do we think about leveraging technology to look at business process. Off to a really good start on lowering our cost to serve. Really think that sets us up well in terms of creating nice operating leverage for our business, particularly if or when market dynamics change. From a balance sheet perspective, very healthy. We're at 1x trailing EBITDA, so we consider to be very modest but very, I would say, targeted levels of leverage on our balance sheet. We've always kind of used 1x as our target. That sets us up really well when we think about pre-funding our growth.

We do not really require a lot of capital to take advantage of the opportunities that may come to us moving forward. I will just end here on the last slide. Our number one priority for capital is to reinvest in our business. You could see that highlighted here by the blue bars. The gray background is our trailing 12 operating cash flow. We have been operating well within our cash flow generation, which has been strong. You could see the purple bars, opportunistically buying back stock over the last two years. I think year- to- date have returned about $728 million on that share repurchase authorization. Going forward, like I said, I think we are in a really good perspective from where we need to spend capital.

The one business segment that I don't think we talk about enough, but dedicated, is really our most capital-intensive business. When we do need to deploy capital in that business to grow, that comes with five-year contracts with fixed and variable components to our pay, with annual price escalators linked to ECI and CPI. So, really success-based CapEx. We look forward to periods of time where we do have to deploy capital in that area to support our growth. So, Dan, probably more than you asked or bargained for, but turn it back for that one question that encompassed about seven.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

Now, I think we're done.

Brad Delco
EVP and CFO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Wonderful.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

This was great. I really appreciate you taking the time to walk through these slides. I think it really frames things nicely. Maybe to pivot back to that initial question, there have been a lot of changes in the market. It's been a lot to keep up with. For me, I can't imagine what it's been like for you. The government shutdown has certainly come with its fair share of challenges, second and third- order effects of it, front-loading of inventories, tariffs, a lot to process. How do you think about the state of freight today? To your point, we're going on nearly four years of downturn. How do you think about the path forward when you contemplate things like fiscal and monetary stimulus, potential for enhanced rebate checks, things of that nature?

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Well, I think this is the longest downturn of my career of 31 years. I think maybe the longest downturn maybe in our company's history for the duration. It has been difficult, Dan, to get really excited about any one thing because we have had false starts. And it just seems like more variables that are coming at us than not. You just said a lot of things about just this year. That does not even include what happened the previous two and a half years. As we have really set the company up at the beginning of this year, as we realized that tariffs were going to create some disruption in the supply chain, talking to our customers, that is one of the reasons we really took a step back and said, OK, we have got to thrive even in this environment. We cannot wait on a turn.

We have to make sure we put our company in a position to win. And so that really was us putting together our executive team. This is the first time we've done it at this level. We've done a nice job over the last two and a half years managing our cost the way everybody has. But this was really a deeper dive. It was really going across more than 10 different areas across the organization and each executive taking that area and really determining nothing really was off the table if it did not jeopardize our long-term potential. And so you saw us come together. That is the reason that we made the $100 million cost takeout. That was for two reasons. One, that allows us to repair our margins. But two, it makes us more competitive in the long term on behalf of our customers.

And that's very important. We're large in our space, but it's a $600 billion addressable market for us. As we're a growth company. It's important that we grow, but it's important that we maintain our margins inside our margin target or get towards our margin target. And so that was kind of a two-pronged approach for us. As we've stepped through the rest of this year and now certainly things are coming out on regulations, Dan, we did write a white paper that's available on our website as well, really just trying to outline for our customers, OK, this is what's happening in the environment. It's up to 400,000 drivers. You know why don't you make the assessment on how much you feel like that will come out in the next two years, if that'll be shorter than longer, what those things are.

Our customers count on us to give them and be experts on how they should be planning. We knew they were coming into budget season. I will say, I think from a customer's viewpoint, Dan, they have been hearing us for a while now. They understand the need for price, but no one's just willing to write a check immediately. They understand inflation. As we've given them that data, I would bet customers say, you know what, let me just keep riding it the way it is. That is helpful to them for their upper management. If something were to change, they now have that so they can understand that. We are putting our company in a position to win. For us, that means we are going to keep focusing on operational excellence, keep growing our market share.

I think you saw some of that separation happen for us in the third quarter. Very proud of the work of our teams doing that, very focused in on what we can do. And most important, as we start to come out of this, I do not know when that will be, is that next year, early next year, late next year, 2027, as we do, we are in a position of strength. We have lowered our cost to serve. We are continuing to lower our cost to serve. We have the capacity. We have pre-funded our growth. So our ability to really extract value when the market does turn is even greater as we move into next year.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

Right. I am sure there are sensitivities around getting really deep into the cost structure question. Could you just frame again what the initiatives were that were established earlier in the year, the divisions that they affect, and ultimately what that means for the next 12 months? It is kind of an iterative process. It is going to develop over time. I just want to be really clear about the messaging on that.

Brad Delco
EVP and CFO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Sure. So you know, Dan, when we announced that, what we said was, first of all, it would impact all five of our business segments. We did not necessarily break it down by segment, but we said, hey, we have public margin targets in each of our businesses. To the extent one of our businesses is further away from our margin target, then it is probably an area where you would say might get a greater proportion of, or you might attribute greater of these cost-saving initiatives to that area of our business. Where I would highlight it, dedicated is not far off. Matter of fact, in Q3, we operated within our margin target range. Does that mean that there are not opportunities for us to reduce or lower our cost to serve in dedicated? No, they have done a really good job.

Part of that execution actually got them back into the margin target range. Whereas Intermodal, we were a couple 100 basis points off of the low end of our margin target range, also holding on to a lot of equipment. What we said is it would impact all of the businesses relative to their size and scale when you think about us on a consolidated basis, but giving some consideration to where we were relative to those targets. In terms of the areas, I mean, we outlined kind of the three areas. We talked about productivity and efficiency. Really, let's just keep it simple, doing more with less. Some of that has to do with span of control and our people. And so we have, throughout this downturn, we have had no mass layoffs. We've managed through headcount through performance management as well as through attrition.

I think we're off about 15%, Shelley, from peak, but versus where we were a year ago, we're down around 6.5%, I believe. We've seen our volumes hold up relatively well versus the resources needed to support that volume. I put that into the productivity and efficiency bucket, asset utilization. Darren, when we were talking about Intermodal, we had record performance in terms of our asset utilization Intermodal in the third quarter. A lot of great and hard work that, Darren, you could go into a lot of details on. And then the third bucket is thinking through process and leveraging technology in terms of how we drive. Again, it ties back into number one, productivity and efficiency.

Those three buckets, it's hard to say what falls into which bucket because Darren could give the example of how we were driving so much productivity in our Intermodal dray fleet in Q3, which actually was a function of technology helping us drive better asset utilization. They are all very well interconnected, if you will, but certainly came out of the gate ahead of schedule on our cost initiatives.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

I think one thing that's important, Brad, I've heard you say this multiple times, it's important for us to deliver it in our financial performance. And so for us, there are some that are ahead of schedule that we're, I don't know of any behind schedule, so that's good. But we want to make sure that it's recognized. We recognize that there is inflation that's continuing to come at us. And so just want to make sure that's what we've publicly disclosed as our first $100 million, but our sights are set on something much larger.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

Yeah. It's been a long time since there's been a supply-driven narrative. The only one I can remember is back in 2000. So maybe to expand on the regulatory dynamic that seems to be present, you mentioned your white paper. I think a lot of us are trying to assess, notwithstanding the stay yesterday, which I think is more of a speed bump than anything, more of a judicial administrative speed bump. How are you thinking about ELP? How are you thinking about non-domicile driver CDLs? How substantive is the development in those areas, particularly over the next 12 months, because I think the biggest impact is likely to be felt between now and the end of next year?

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Dan, one thing we've talked about in our second or third quarter call, we talked about what we saw coming into the rest of this year, which really would be, we think there's going to be a peak and things kind of loosened as the quarter happened or progressed, not necessarily for J.B. Hunt, but from a market perspective, I think that both of those themes are still there. Maybe one thing that we've seen a little different is we see pockets of tightness, not tight tightness that are occurring in our brokerage area, which typically that's where you would see some of that happen. We're not ready to say to what extent that is any of these government regulations, but that is the major change that has happened. Again, it's pockets of tightness, not across the board, but we have seen some of that.

We've seen some states already enforcing. We've also seen, I think there's a level of fear from some of the contract carriers of, what if I operate outside of my state or if I operate outside of who gave me my non-domicile CDL? I think there's a lot of misunderstanding about it as well. As they are learning and trying to understand, I think that could be some a little dislocation that's happening today. If you just do the math, we really reconcile to the three and a half million drivers that are out there. There's more than one data source, but that's the one we more closely align to. If we really count up to 400,000, I mean, I would say that that number, 400,000 on three and a half million is meaningful. Now, over what time period?

That is what it really comes down to. We are in a freight market that is no good. You are in a depressed freight market and seeing a few signs of pockets of tightness. That would tell me typically when freight is down like this, you would not feel those bumps. That could tell you the bumps could be bigger than maybe what we are expecting.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

Good context. Domestic Intermodal. There's been a lot to process this year. Anytime unexpected events occur, it presents both challenges and opportunities. I think it's very clear that the market is trying to pivot to being more competitive, maybe for the first time in a long time, pivoting to a concerted effort to try and grow domestic Intermodal. At the same time, there's also increased competition between the rails in a way that a transcontinental rail wouldn't otherwise present the market. Can you frame the domestic Intermodal market, what's going on, and where you see yourselves in the midst of everything that's developing?

Darren Field
Presidentand EVP of Intermodal, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Sure. Hey, you know growing Intermodal, converting highway business to Intermodal has long been our mission. Certainly, we've had a lot of success in educating customers on how to use the network that exists and how to put that supply chain answer into their toolkit. And I think that the rail industry did go through a period where there was elimination of service lanes in an effort to improve financial performance, and we respect and understand the need to do that. But our customer experience in, call it 2015 through 2019 up until the pandemic was pretty poor with rail service. It was not a highly thought of supply chain answer. It was largely price-driven. I do feel like the railroads got refocused on their service product, got very, really Intermodal became the growth channel available.

There was not a lot of growth opportunities in industrial products, and certainly their coal businesses were falling. There was, I guess, a different level of attention on how do I improve the service product. I think that we felt really good about the way we communicated around those needs with our rail providers and really worked together in a way to bring out a better operational experience for our customers and look for ways to grow. All that being said, railroads can work together. BNSF, Steel- Wheel Interchanges business with both CSX and NS here in Chicago, for example. There are a number of places where the railroads work together to drive efficiency for each other. How can they continue to do that? I do not know if a transcontinental rail merger enhances that in any way. I think that is what the STB is charged to do.

Are they actually enhancing competition? We will all be waiting to see. I think that I understand why someone would hear a transcon railroad that left Los Angeles and went to New Jersey is going to be better than two railroads trying to meet. I can understand that. However, the density and all of the overlapping of networks is very important in the rail industry. It is not as simple as, well, the transcon railroad will run all the way across the country and then everything else will kind of just stay the same. They all really complement each other. There is a lot of car balance in the way the assets get utilized together. There is a lot yet to be determined.

I think we certainly shared on our third quarter call that we do not necessarily view this as something that has to force a change in the way we operate. We continue to see tremendous opportunities for growth of our Intermodal business in local eastern networks where Norfolk Southern and CSX both operate. We certainly can recognize that there are things that Norfolk Southern does that CSX does not do, and there are things that CSX does that Norfolk Southern does not do. We have utilized two railroads in the east for a reason for a long time. Certainly, our customers look to us to have the answers around how do I put together my Intermodal answer inside my supply chain network. I think it is very important. I am sure CSX may have talked about the Howard Street Tunnel. That project was underway well before any kind of merger was announced.

That is a really big, significant impact on the CSX network moving forward and allows them to really compete head up against NS in many of the Atlanta up to the Northeast routes. We look forward to an opportunity to understand how we can benefit from that. We're like a lot of people. We're going to be sitting back watching, and we're going to be communicating with all of the railroads about what our customers want and expect and need in order to utilize the Intermodal network and feel like all the railroads want to hear what we think about that. We look forward to more news to come in the future as this thing has a life of its own, really.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

For sure. Very dynamic. No question. Automation, brokerage, opportunities for cost out, opportunities for better buy rates, improved identification of capacity. Anything else that you think that's relevant in the organization from the standpoint of automation and cost out? I know it's a term everybody seems to be latching onto here in the last 12 months- 18 months, but I don't want to miss the opportunity to at least address it.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Yeah. Actually, if we could just go up a level for us because we do so much more than just brokerage, although that will also participate inside that space. As we think about automation, one of the things for efficiency for us is to first start with making sure we have a lean process. We want to make sure that we understand what's the most efficient way to move goods or move shipments or even do this type of work within a load. Once that's established, it really is about automating what's possible through our already investments, the investments we've already made through J.B. Hunt 360 . Do we have a modern platform? We have the ability to really scale inside that platform. What steps can we take inside that?

Then we're layering on top of that, what AI makes sense from a cost-benefit perspective for us to really drive increased efficiency and productivity. And so what I would tell you, we did make a public announcement with a company called UP.Labs. I referenced that on our third- quarter call. That's really taken two different processes. One, I'm going to say from beginning of the order to completion and really identifying the waste inside that system and how could we really create automation inside that. So when we think about automation, we don't just think about it from a people perspective. We actually think about it from a dray perspective and a number of assets perspective and how many resources do we really need to have in that. The second area that we've worked on is really in our quote-to-cash area.

And so how do we think about our business, not just the number of people we have there, but actually, do we have the right bill at the right time? Do we have a good opportunity for cash flow? And also, are we underbilling in any place? Those have had nice returns, if you will, for us to continue to make investments. We are doing that across the board. If you were to look at what we were to do, you talk specifically about brokerage. We manage over $2 billion of carrier transactions, and 60% of that we have automated in check calls and how we are looking at the number of hours we have saved across all of our different customer experience teams and orders and how many are coming in automated. That is getting better every single day.

For us, we've got all of those processes in place across the organization with a lot more to come. I think it comes down to what I said at the beginning. We want to show that in our financial performance. And as we have that financial performance, we'll walk through kind of those steps that we took to make that happen.

Dan Moore
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Baird

I had hoped to have some time to answer some questions from the gallery here, but we are out of time. I want to thank you all for being here. I hope everyone has a good conference, good set of meetings, and look forward to catching up with you guys when you report results after the report.

Shelley Simpson
President and CEO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Thank you.

Brad Delco
EVP and CFO, J.B. Hunt Transport Services

Thanks, Dan.

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