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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Feb 21, 2023

Operator

Good morning, welcome to JBT Corporation's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Earnings C onference Call. My name is Chris, and I'll be your conference operator today. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. At this time, all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question during this time, simply press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. I'll now turn the call over to JBT's Vice President of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Kedric Meredith, to begin today's conference.

Kedric Meredith
VP of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, JBT Corporation

Thank you, Chris. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2022 Conference Call. With me on the call is our Chief Executive Officer, Brian Deck, and Chief Financial Officer, Matt Meister. In today's call, we will use forward-looking statements that are subject to the safe harbor language in today's press release and 8-K filing. JBT's periodic SEC filings also contain information regarding risk factors that may have an impact on our results. These documents are available in the investor relations section of our website. Our discussion today includes references to certain non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measure can be found in the investor relations section of our website. I'll turn the call over to Brian.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Thanks, Kedric. Good morning, everyone. JBT captured double-digit growth on the top and bottom lines for 2022, notwithstanding the much-discussed challenges associated with rapid inflation and supply chain disruptions. In each quarter, we realized sequential margin improvement at both FoodTech and AeroTech. We ended the year on a strong note, especially as it relates to profitability and orders at FoodTech. While there remains a level of caution among our food customers, it is clear they need to invest in capacity, automation, optimization of yield and uptime, and sustainability. During 2022, we completed two strategic acquisitions. As I'll talk about later, they are highly complementary to our FoodTech solutions and are quickly adding value. At AeroTech, margin improvement continued to progress, albeit at a slower pace than originally planned. At the same time, the demand side remains robust, positioning the business for a great 2023.

As demonstrated by our 2022 performance, JBT enjoys a highly resilient model. Nearly half of FoodTech represents recurring revenue from parts and aftermarket services. The food and beverage end markets enjoy a higher level of stability throughout the business cycle. Moreover, JBT's highly diverse product line and broad participation across end markets enhances the stability of our business. With that, I'll turn the call over to Matt to provide details about the year. He'll also present our initial guidance for 2023, another year in which we expect further growth and margin expansion.

Matt Meister
CFO, JBT Corporation

Thanks, Brian. JBT delivered solid double-digit revenue and earnings growth in 2022. Total revenue increased 16% and adjusted EBITDA grew 11% year-over-year. Earnings per share and adjusted earnings per share increased 10% and 18% respectively. In FoodTech, 2022 revenue increased 14% with growth of 12% organic and 7% from acquisitions, partially offset by a 5% negative foreign exchange impact. For the year, FoodTech generated adjusted EBITDA of $290 million with margins of 18.2%. FoodTech margins improved each quarter sequentially, adjusted EBITDA margins of 19.7% in the fourth quarter as we continued to close the gap on price cost and benefit from higher volume. In AeroTech, 2022 revenues increased 23%. Full year adjusted EBITDA margins were 8.4% and 10.3% in Q4, continuing their sequential margin recovery.

As I'll discuss in the guidance, we expect that momentum to continue into 2023. With that, we posted earnings per share of $4.07 compared with $3.69 in 2021. 2022 results included a $0.25 per share negative impact from foreign exchange translation, offset by $0.26 per share of discrete tax benefits. Adjusted EPS, which excludes LIFO expense, M&A, and restructuring costs, was $4.77 compared with $4.04 in the prior year. During the year, we took restructuring charges of $7 million, including $4.2 million in the fourth quarter as we implemented additional actions to reduce our cost structure in Europe.

In 2023, we expect to incur another $3 million-$4 million of charges and anticipate the total impact of these actions to generate run rate cost savings of approximately $9 million-$12 million in 2024. Free cash flow of $59 million for the year represented a conversion rate of 45%. As we've discussed, in 2022 we invested in our digital strategy, increasing capital expenditure investment by approximately $40 million. Additionally, the change in the U.S. tax law that required the capitalization of R&D costs resulted in an acceleration of cash tax payments of approximately $25 million. Finally, we are carrying a higher than normal level of inventory. As the supply chain situation improves and vendors catch up with demand, we expect better inventory turns in 2023.

We are pleased, however, with the progress we made on net debt leverage, achieving our target of 3x by year-end 2022, down from 3.4x at the end of the third quarter. This demonstrates our ability to deploy capital and de-lever quickly to our target leverage ratio of 2-3x adjusted EBITDA. Moving to 2023, we anticipate full-year total JBT revenue growth of 6%-10%. That's comprised of 5%-9% growth in FoodTech, including 1%-4% organic and 10%-13% growth in AeroTech. We expect FoodTech's adjusted EBITDA margins to be within the range of 18.5%-19.5%, which includes OmniBlu expense associated with the launch and ongoing customer support efforts. These expenses should be largely offset by anticipated OmniBlu revenue.

All this considered, that represents an adjusted EBITDA range of $310 million-$335 million from JBT FoodTech in 2023, a year-over-year increase of 11% at the midpoint. In AeroTech, we expect significant improvement in profitability with adjusted EBITDA margins of 12%-12.5%. We are forecasting corporate expense of roughly 2.7% of revenue, excluding any LIFO, M&A, and restructuring expense. Included in corporate expense, although at a much lower amount than last year, will be ongoing development costs related to OmniBlu as we expand to additional product lines. Interest expense is forecasted to be between $26 million and $27 million. We are projecting an annual tax rate of 22%-23%.

That gets us to projected 2023 EPS of $4.50- $5.00 and adjusted EPS of $5.00- $5.50. We are forecasting adjusted EBITDA of $330 million-$350 million, which represents a year-over-year gain of 21% at the midpoint. We expect free cash flow to return to more historical performance levels with a conversion rate of greater than 100% for the full year. Regarding the first quarter, which is typically our slowest, we anticipate year-over-year revenue growth of 7%-10%. This is comprised of 4%-7% growth at FoodTech and 15%-20% at AeroTech. We anticipate FoodTech adjusted EBITDA margins of 16.5%-17% and AeroTech margins of 10%-11%.

With corporate expense of 3.2% of sales, excluding any LIFO, M&A, and restructuring charges, as well as interest expense of $7 million-$7.5 million, we are projecting GAAP earnings per share of $0.50-$0.60 and adjusted EPS of $0.65-$0.75. With that, let me turn the call back to Brian.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Thanks, Matt. As I stated at the top of the call, we were encouraged by the pace of fourth quarter orders. FoodTech orders of $432 million were up 24% sequentially, exceeding our expectations with improvements in Europe and Asia. Despite price weakness and pressure affecting our customers in the poultry industry, we also experienced some order improvement in North America as a result of JBT's highly diverse product portfolio. That is, JBT had some nice wins in the period in the pet food, fruit and vegetable, infant formula, and pharmaceutical end markets. While the backdrop of economic uncertainty, including higher interest rates and operating costs, may impact the pace of customers' investment decision-making, we remain pleased with our robust pipeline and high level of customer engagement.

We recently attended the International Production and Processing Expo, otherwise known as IPPE, the largest event for the poultry and meat industry in the U.S. It was good to see some of you there. We introduced several new products at the show, including a lower cost, more compact DSI portioner. This product, which leverages JBT's strong DSI franchise, addresses the needs of smaller food processors with a highly effective, compact, plug-and-play water jet cutting system. We also introduced a chicken breast deboning solution that specifically targets what is known as the large bird market. This is a gap in the market today where existing automation solutions underperform on yield relative to manual labor. Our solution, known as Yield King, addresses this challenge and as a result is generating a lot of interest in the market. We also featured our digital solution, OmniBlu.

Since our last call, we have signed many additional contracts on our first wave of product introductions. OmniBlu represents a new way of doing business for our customers with a digitally enabled solution that optimizes machine performance and maintenance management, provides frictionless parts and service, and enhances uptime, capacity utilization, yield, and quality. We are encouraged by customers' response to OmniBlu as they realize its tangible and measurable benefits. We expect our investment in OmniBlu to generate long-term advantages for JBT as we continue to commercialize over the next few years. Its revenue stream from subscription fees and incremental aftermarket revenue will expand our growing recurring revenue base. Our digital connection further solidifies our partnership with customers. Regarding the deployment of capital, we are pleased with the value we have already captured from the acquisitions of Alco and Bevcorp.

Specifically, we are generating supply chain synergies with the core of JBT, and we are enjoying commercial synergies such as a new full line vegetable processing solution, which combines capabilities from our Alco, Urtasun, and Frigoscandia brands. At AeroTech, fourth quarter orders picked up as expected with a 42% sequential gain and continued strong demand from the infrastructure and commercial airline markets. AeroTech's record year-end backlog and the expectations of further order strength in the first quarter positions the business for a great 2023. Regarding our intent to become a pure-play food and beverage solutions company, as you know, we've been exploring a range of options for AeroTech with the goal of identifying the best value creation for shareholders.

While we are keeping a range of options on the table and an eye on the debt markets, our current view is that a separation is more likely to be realized through a sale of AeroTech. We remain on track to announce a defined path in the first half of 2023, with transaction execution targeted for the back half. Before I open the call to questions, I'd like to talk about JBT's corporate responsibility and sustainability initiatives, issues that are at the core of our cultural DNA. We view JBT's responsibility and sustainability framework through the lens of customer solutions, responsible operations, and people and communities. Last quarter, we outlined the many ways we aid customers on their sustainability journey, from environmentally friendly packaging solutions and low emission technologies to systems that combat food waste and lower energy and water consumption.

In helping our customers reduce waste and more efficiently use precious resources, we're also enhancing our value proposition and competitive strength. At the same time, we are taking steps to reduce the environmental impact of our plants and office operations around the world and are embedding these efforts into our continuous improvement program. For example, we're collecting, analyzing, and auditing global utility usage to track cost and consumption for the entire enterprise to give us a platform for developing and reporting against emission reduction targets. In terms of people and communities, we've promoted employee volunteerism, charitable contributions, and enhanced matching programs and engagement initiatives around the world. Most importantly, we have maintained an unwavering commitment to all employees to create a safe, engaging, and inclusive workplace. On that note, I'd like to thank everyone at JBT. They are the reason for our growth and success.

With that, let's take your questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star then one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for a few moments to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question is from Walt Liptak with Seaport Research. Your line is open.

Walt Liptak
Managing Director and Senior Financial Analyst, Seaport Research

Hi. Thanks. Good morning, guys. Morning, team. Thanks for the clarification about AeroTech and the timing. I just wanted to make sure I understood it, that, it sounds like it's a sale, is more likely. Is that an all-in-one transaction? I think you said that the timing might be in the second half. Does that mean an announcement in the first half and closing the deal in the second half or something different?

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Essentially, yes. It more likely is going to be a sale, and of course, ideally, it would be in full, right? We think that the platform value of AeroTech is more than the sum of its parts. Therefore, we do feel that that's certainly the better path. In terms of timing, you essentially have it. We'll provide more detail here in the second quarter, and then thereafter look to execute and transact in the back half.

Walt Liptak
Managing Director and Senior Financial Analyst, Seaport Research

Okay. All right. Great. Thanks for that clarification. I wonder if you could just provide a little bit more detail about, you know, what you're seeing from the poultry market and, you know, primarily, you know, it looks like the CapEx plans are still on track. You know, but just what you're seeing, is there a delay that's happening or is it just a timing issue?

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Yes. As you've seen probably from the poultry industry, it's a bit of a challenging time right now in terms of profitability. We are heavily engaged with them, so orders were a little bit lower in the fourth quarter from them, but we were able to offset that with our diverse product offering. That was good news. What we do hear from them is that the need for automation, sustainability, productivity, and even volume remains high on their list and the pipeline remains quite strong with them. As you stated, their overall intentions on CapEx remains solid. We do expect that to start converting here as we enter the spring.

Walt Liptak
Managing Director and Senior Financial Analyst, Seaport Research

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from John Joyner with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Mircea Dobre
Managing Director of Equity Research, Baird

Hi there, guys. Thank you for taking my question.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Hi, John.

Mircea Dobre
Managing Director of Equity Research, Baird

Hi there. It's Mig Dobre on for John Joyner. Thank you for taking my question.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Okay. Thank you.

Mircea Dobre
Managing Director of Equity Research, Baird

My question primarily relates to the food tech end-of-the-line solution, which kind of seems like a large market opportunity for growth for JBT. Can you talk about some of the white space here and maybe areas that JBT can fill out through its capabilities? Thank you.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Yeah, absolutely. The end of line is indeed a very large opportunity. As you know, we invested in 2019 in our ProSeal acquisition, as well as our ACS Automated Coating System on that side as well. When you think about packaging in general, everything ends up being packaged, right? In one way, shape, or form, whether or not it's going to retail or if it's going to food service. It is a very large market. It is a meaningful part of our M&A strategy as we go forward from here. We do look forward as we continue to deploy capital as part of our strategic plan that we introduced in 2022, as we look to meet our 2025 targets. That is a nice space to be in.

Mircea Dobre
Managing Director of Equity Research, Baird

That's great. Thank you for that color.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Lawrence De Maria with William Blair. Your line is open.

Lawrence De Maria
Group Head of Global Industrial Infrastructure, William Blair

Hey, thanks. Good morning. Two questions. First question, obviously, 1Q is looking a little lighter than expected, which implies another big ramp throughout the year. Can you maybe just help us understand first half, second half split, you know, or maybe a little bit more around just some of the modeling to help us understand how big of a ramp we should expect throughout the year with the hockey stick?

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Sure, Larry. You know, I think the first quarter, as you noted, is certainly a little bit, a little bit lighter, primarily because sort of seasonality that typically happens at JBT. As well as we had, as you can recall, a little lighter order volume in Q3 that impacted backlogs for the first quarter. Certainly, I think our backlog as we enter into the year is actually pretty healthy for the remainder of the year. We have visibility between backlog for the year, as well as our very dependable recurring revenue streams to between 70%-75% of the revenue for 2023. I think we feel pretty confident in the middle part, in the back half of the year.

Certainly there's some book to build we have to get, but the margins will continue to improve sequentially as we go through the year and benefit not only from the higher volume, but also just continued productivity in the FoodTech business.

Lawrence De Maria
Group Head of Global Industrial Infrastructure, William Blair

Okay, thanks. Moving over to the AeroTech. I mean, can you give us any kind of color on, you know, initial thoughts on multiples price talk, and what would post-sale corporate look like?

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Sure. In terms of, you know, multiples, you know, Larry, we're gonna let the market speak as to what the value is of that. Certainly, again, as I mentioned, it is an attractive asset as a whole. It's a platform business. I think in terms of both, it's gonna generate interest from both strategic interest as well as the financial buyer space. Again, we're gonna let the market speak for that. In terms of the corporate overhang, there is essentially, you know, we allocate quite a bit of our corporate expenses as is today. The percentage of sales will go up a little bit when it comes to, you know, FoodTech. Because AeroTech has lower margins as a whole, ex AeroTech, the margins actually increase.

Lawrence De Maria
Group Head of Global Industrial Infrastructure, William Blair

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Again, that is star one if you'd like to ask a question. It appears that we have no further questions, so I'll turn it over to Brian Deck for any closing remarks.

Brian Deck
CEO, JBT Corporation

Great. Thank you. Yeah, we understand this is a busy period for earnings announcements, so, Kedric and Marlee are available for the rest of the day or for the week to take questions. Thanks very much, everybody. Appreciate it.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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