Greetings, and welcome to Kimco and Weingarten Strategic Merger conference call. At this time, all participants will be in listen-only mode. The question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. At this time, I'll turn the conference over to David Bujnicki with Kimco Investor Relations. David, you may begin.
Good morning, and welcome to the joint conference call to discuss the combination of Kimco Realty Corporation and Weingarten Realty Investors, which was announced earlier today. Joining me on the call are Kimco CEO, Conor Flynn, and Weingarten Chairman, President, and CEO, Drew Alexander, as well as other senior members of both management teams. As a reminder, statements made during the course of this call may be deemed forward-looking, and it's important to note that the company's actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks, uncertainties, and other factors. Please refer to the company's SEC filings that addresses such factors. During this presentation, management may make references to certain non-GAAP financial measures that we believe help investors better understand our respective operating results. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures can be found in the investor relations area of our respective websites.
Also, in the event our call were to incur technical difficulties, we'll try to resolve as quickly as possible, and if the need arises, we'll post additional information to our IR website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Conor Flynn.
Thank you, David, thank you everyone for joining us on this exciting day for Kimco and Weingarten. With the unanimous approval of both companies' boards of directors, we're thrilled to be joining forces in a combination that is highly strategic and positions the merged company to unlock considerable value in some of the highest growth markets in the country. This is a transaction that both companies have contemplated from time to time. We recognize that now is the right time to execute on this opportunity. We share a remarkably similar operating philosophy and approach to the business. By coming together, we're forming the nation's preeminent open-air grocery-anchored shopping center and mixed-use real estate platform.
With our focus on these last-mile locations that are more valuable than ever due to their hybrid role as both a shopping destination and an omni-channel fulfillment epicenter, we have significantly strengthened and improved our portfolio quality while increasing our scale in our targeted high-growth Sun Belt markets. The combined company will continue to focus on operating a dynamic and well-diversified portfolio in these markets, but with greater scale, resources, and embedded opportunities. The complementary business operations will allow us to realize substantial annualized cost efficiencies, making this combination immediately accretive to Kimco's key financial metrics while also de-leveraging our balance sheet. Let's walk through some of the transaction merits. First, the geographic alignment of Kimco and Weingarten are highly complementary, allowing us to expand our scale in our targeted first-ring suburbs of core markets across the Sun Belt.
Together, we'll have more than 550 open air grocery anchored shopping centers and mixed-use assets comprising more than 100 million sq ft of gross leasable area, primarily in top domestic metropolitan markets. The combination of these assets brings not just greater scale, but better density and visibility into emerging trends shaping necessity-based retail, enhanced asset quality, and tenant diversity. Combined, 82% of the company's total annual base rent will be derived from strategic Sun Belt markets with favorable demographics along with high barrier to entry top coastal markets. Importantly, both portfolios performed exceptionally well over the past year, and the pandemic has enhanced the value of these properties that now operate under a last mile hybrid model serving as vital fulfillment centers.
The combined platform will also have a highly diversified, strong credit tenant base with the top 10 tenants all essential in industry-leading grocers and best-in-class retailers. No single tenant will represent more than 4 % of ABR. Second, the combined platform offers a compelling springboard for value creation, starting with the substantial pipeline of value-enhancing redevelopment opportunities. Weingarten brings a largely funded and de-risked development pipeline that will require minimal CapEx and presents vast potential in the form of embedded untapped redevelopment. This creates an exciting pathway to future growth and value creation, much of it in Kimco's existing target markets. We also see considerable embedded NOI growth opportunities at the property level by marking rents to market, realizing contractual rent increases, re-merchandising, and growing portfolio occupancy, and pursuing new multi-use value creation opportunities.
Third, this accretive combination will benefit from enhanced financial strength with the flexibility and resources to efficiently capitalize on the value creation opportunities ahead. We also expect to realize significant cost synergies of $35 million-$38 million on a GAAP basis and $31 million-$34 million on a cash basis over the next 12 months. Upon closing, Kimco's net debt-to-EBITDA ratio will improve, and we expect to have more cost-effective access to capital to expand our disciplined approach to pursuing value creation opportunities. In terms of the major aspects of the proposed transaction, each Weingarten common share will be converted into 1.408 of newly issued shares of Kimco common stock, + $2.89 in cash. The cash portion of the transaction is expected to be funded through a combination of cash on hand and the existing lines of credit.
On a pro forma basis, following the closing of the transaction, Kimco shareholders are expected to own approximately 71%, and Weingarten shareholders are expected to own approximately 29% of the combined company's equity. With that, it is now my pleasure to hand it over to Drew Alexander to share his own views on this highly compelling and immediately accretive combination. I just want to say how much I'm looking forward to working with the Weingarten team to capitalize on the industry-leading strength of our combined platform and create even more shareholder value in the years ahead.
Thank you, Conor. We are truly thrilled to be part of this historic merger, which will create the only shopping center REIT in the top 30 of the RMZ index. While we have successfully built and continue to operate nearly 160 open air, grocery-anchored centers in some of the fastest-growing markets in the Sun Belt and Western U.S., joining forces with the highly capable and proven leadership team at Kimco is the right long-term decision for our company to move to the next level of growth and the creation of long-term value for all stakeholders. Similar to Kimco, we have targeted building out our geographic alignment in key growth regions of the country. We also believe our cultures are well-aligned given our commitments to putting ESG at the forefront of our organizations.
This was quite clear in how we both successfully navigated the pandemic by embracing and supporting our tenants and local communities. It is easy to imagine the strength and resources that both companies will have by coming together on an enhanced coast-to-coast scale. We also expect a future pipeline for value creation opportunities will truly be unlocked through the combined platform, given Kimco's in-house expertise and commitment to the highest level and best use of its real estate platform. As we look ahead with an even lower cost of capital, the merged company should have a multitude of competitive advantages that ultimately, as we and our boards believe, will help maximize long-term value for shareholders.
Before I pass the call back to Conor, I want to thank the entire Weingarten organization for their tireless effort and commitment to making us a market leader, and a special thanks to my dad, Stanford Alexander, our founder. As we go forward with the new leadership, the right cultures, and proven and cycle-tested operating expertise, Kimco is the right partner to bring our combined platforms to the next level. With that, I'll turn it back over to Conor.
Thanks, Drew. We are absolutely energized by the opportunities facing the combined company in the coming years. We will have enhanced asset diversification and quality of open air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use properties with greater last mile fulfillment opportunities. We will have meaningfully expanded our presence in high growth, first ring suburbs of core markets. With the strong demographic trends and growth prospects of Sun Belt markets, combined with our presence in top coastal markets, Kimco is well-positioned to drive sustained NOI growth. We have also de-risked the portfolio with even greater tenant diversity. This, along with a compelling development pipeline that requires minimal capital expenditures and presents vast potential in the form of untapped redevelopments embedded within the portfolio, fosters compelling future growth opportunities for the combined company.
As I previously mentioned, we also expect to realize substantial operating and annualized cost efficiencies as we move forward given the strong geographic overlap. Importantly, we are executing this transaction in a manner that will be immediately earnings accretive and de-leveraging, allowing us to continue to maintain our financial strength and flexibility. We are already working on a proxy and other materials that are required to close. While it will take a number of months to close this transaction, the two teams will be working to ensure we come together with minimal friction and are poised from the first day of closing to truly create long-term value for all. With that, we will open it up for a few questions. Operator.
Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. In the interest of time and to allow as many as possible to ask questions, we ask you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Once again, it's star one to ask a question at this time. Thank you. And our first question will be coming from the line of Rich Hill with Morgan Stanley. Please just give your question.
Hey, good morning, Conor. It's good to hear from you and Drew, look forward to working with you. Hey, Conor, I want to start off with a high level strategic question. Kimco, over the last five, six years, has done a really remarkable job of repositioning your portfolio. Maybe two questions. First of all, do you see any more sales coming on the heels of this merger? Number two, can you comment on how much of this was driven by the Sun Belt? I see you emphasized a number of times the amount of ABR coming from the Sun Belt. If we can think through both of those, that would be really helpful.
Sure. Hey, Rich. Thanks for the question. You're right. We have done a lot of heavy lifting to transform the portfolio to get the asset base clustered in the best markets across the country. That's the beauty of this deal, in my opinion. Weingarten and Drew have very similar strategic goals that they have accomplished by transforming their own portfolio. If you look back at what their portfolio looked like or what Kimco's portfolio looked like five-plus years ago, it's dramatically different. That's why we're so excited about the combination. Because of all that heavy lifting that's been completed, we really feel like the combination gives us the ability now to really move forward with a really enhanced portfolio. The Sun Belt is an exciting spot to be.
We've been seeing the pent-up demand for space in our own portfolio that's in the Sun Belt, and the Weingarten portfolio just enhances that. When you look at their asset base that's primarily grocery anchored across the best markets in the Sun Belt, we really do see enhanced growth profile coming from that combination, and that's why we get excited about it. We've been watching the demographic shifts, we've been watching the population grow around our shopping centers. Sun Belt, I think, has a lot of ingredients that are going to work, not only short term, but long term.
From the lease-up side of it in the short term to really drive earnings accretion, and then from the long term, from the mixed-use redevelopment entitlement work that we can do, I think it's a wonderful opportunity for us to really create significant shareholder value for both sets of shareholders.
Got it. Helpful. Hey, Conor, I recognize you've given us a lot of breadcrumbs to think about during discussion, but there hasn't been any hard numbers put around it. Any guidance you can give us on how you might be thinking about that?
We did disclose the cost synergies, right, Rich?
Yep
Can probably add some direction a bit more on that. The cost synergies are obviously clearly important to the accretion.
Yeah. Again, the deal itself is immediately and it is clearly accretive. Again, it is very much driven by the synergies that we've outlined. We do expect $35 million-$38 million of savings that will come over the first year. The transaction, again, it's also de-levering at the same time. The combination really does make a lot of sense for us.
Thanks, guys. Look forward to digging in on the new combined model.
Thank you. As a reminder, you may press star one to ask a question. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. The next question is from the line of Samir Khanal with Evercore. Please proceed with your question.
Hi, guys. Good morning. Just looking at sort of the combined company. How do you think about maybe the long-term NOI growth of the business at this point? Just trying to see what else is there beyond $35 million-$38 million of synergies. Any opportunities to improve margins sort of beyond the first year as we think about long-term NOI growth here?
Yeah. I think there's a couple of things that you should anticipate. There is definitely lease-up ability that we expect to happen. The occupancy levels, there's room really to grow from here. We see that as one major component that we expect to happen over time. You also have the stabilization of the developments. There are several major developments, both in Kimco and in Weingarten, that are on the ramp up. I think those combinations should really help fuel some of the NOI growth.
Yeah, that's right. I think when you look at the combined portfolios, we really do believe and have conviction that the long-term same-site NOI growth profile is enhanced. Clearly there's going to be some lumpiness coming from the recovery from the pandemic. As you saw in our press release, the record-setting leasing that we've been experiencing in the fourth quarter really carried over to the first quarter. We continue to think that there's lots of room to push that occupancy back to pre-COVID levels, which was at an all-time high, and hopefully push through that all-time high record.
I guess just the pricing on the deal. Did you guys I didn't see a cap rate. What was the cap rate on the deal here?
The cap rate is-
Five five.
I'm sorry, what was that?
The cap rate's in the upper five range.
Okay, great. Thanks.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Jeff Spector with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question. Mr. Spector, please go ahead. Your line is open for question.
Sorry about that. Congratulations to both of you and your companies. Just want to confirm the numbers listed in the presentation. Does it include or reflect any dispositions?
Those numbers do not reflect any dispositions, Jeff. What we look at is obviously they have significantly transformed their portfolio. We have done as well. We continue to maintain a robust asset management function at the company. As you know, a lot has changed in retail over the years. We do believe we're in a great spot for growth going forward and like the portfolio's combination and what it brings to the table. We always want to make sure we've got our fingers on the pulse on where the demographics are shifting, where retail nodes might be evolving to make sure that we're ahead of the game. Right now, we feel like the combined portfolios really have been well transformed and are in great spots going forward.
Thank you. I guess if you could just maybe discuss post-COVID here, what are some of the shared strategies that, let's say, both companies were moving towards? I know, Conor, we've discussed over the years with you, curbside pickup and other initiatives that Kimco was improving at its portfolios. What are some of the more strategic initiatives planned?
Yeah, I'm happy to comment on that. Drew shares the exact same vision. Really, the last mile locations that we both have conviction on long term is really the game changer that the pandemic shined a light on. When you look at how the store has evolved and how important it is now to retailers that use it in a hybrid model. I think Target is a best-in-class example of how they've laid out what the future is going to be for retail. It's a combination. It doesn't matter if you start shopping on your phone, on your laptop, and it's up to the consumer to decide what's the most convenient way for them to get the good. It's all about convenience and value and access.
When you have a store close to where people live or where people work, that muscle that consumers have been flexing through the pandemic is now ingrained, where they can get the good, whether it's from curbside pickup or it's buy online, pick up in store. We continue to think the best way to enhance the portfolio is to partner with our retailers to make sure they're making the investments inside their four walls, and we're making the investments on the property level outside their four walls to make sure that that property is enhanced to really give the best shopping experience possible. You're seeing all the numbers come out from our best-in-class retailers. You're seeing the category killers continue to take share. Grocery is here to stay. It continues to be optimized with omnichannel experience.
That last mile location is very, very difficult to replicate with a fulfillment center. They already have a fixed cost with their store base, and now they're optimizing that store base to utilize it as a fulfillment epicenter. We've got a lot of data analytics and a lot of things working in our favor to help optimize our portfolio and partner with our retailers. A lot of the best in class are already doing it, and our job is to make sure the rest of our retailer base follows suit, because I think the blueprint is very clear.
Thank you. Good luck closing.
Thanks.
The next question is from the line of Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, good morning. Hope you guys got some sleep last night. Two questions here. First, Conor, just going back, one of the earlier analysts asked about your prior history. If we go back, you guys have spent basically the past decade undoing the prior decades of M&A and Kimco expansion and funds management all that stuff. I got to believe that this deal was not taken lightly. What gave you confidence to actually get back in the M&A game when, as I say, you guys have spent almost the past decade undoing a lot of prior M&A. What gave you the confidence this time around?
Sure. It's a good question. I think when you look at the portfolio we have today and all the transformation that's been done and the heavy lifting we've done, we want to make sure we continue to move forward in that same direction. That's why we have such conviction about this combination. If you look at the strategic merit of the deal and what Weingarten has been doing over their past decade, it's been very, very similar to Kimco's path of transformation. When you look at the quality that Weingarten brings to the table, the geographic diversity that they bring to the table in some of the best markets across the country with the highest growth profile, it's right down the fairway with what we've been strategically focused on. It's grocery anchored. It's in the best markets. We can utilize our platform to drive growth.
We feel like the combined company is stronger. It's immediately accretive to earnings. It lowers our balance sheet leverage. It enhances our long-term same-site NOI growth profile. It expands our footprint in the best markets across the Sun Belt. The larger company should have lower debt costs. If you look at the debt schedule, the maturity profile, there's a lot of opportunities in the near term. In 2022, we both have bonds. In 2022, we have callable preferreds. You think about obviously the access we have to the unsecured bond market and what the combination could do to some of our cost of debt, it's an exciting combination. Then obviously, we look at the long term as well, the value proposition.
We have focused on entitlement work across our 400 assets. We believe that's part of the magic that Kimco can bring to the combined platform, is we've got 5,000 apartments entitled. We had a goal on our portfolio to get it to 10,000. We think we can really start to mine the Weingarten portfolio for those opportunities for future value creation for the long term.
Okay. On the mechanical side, for all the arbs and for us, can you just lay out the go- shop if there are any collars or fixtures in the merger consideration and then the break fees?
Yeah. Alex, those will all be in the merger agreement. I would just refer you to those items in there, which will be filed in the next day or so. That's the best place to look for those items.
Just generically, Glenn, the break fee or a collar, can you give any color on either of those?
There's no collar in the agreement, as Conor laid out. The exchange ratio is 1.408 plus the $2.89. That is the consideration. Again, I'll just refer you to the merger agreement for the break fees.
Okay. Thanks, Glenn. Thanks, Conor.
The next question is from the line of Craig Schmidt with Bank of America. Please proceed with your questions.
Great. Thank you. Congratulations. Conor, you mentioned in the call that this was the right time to execute. I wonder if you could comment, what makes this the right time, and what of the phase that we are in in COVID had anything to do with your thinking it's the right time?
Yeah. Thanks, Craig. Hope all is well. We do believe timing is everything on a deal like this. When you look at the situation that we're in right now with the pent-up demand that we believe we're in the early innings of this recovery and reopening trade. When we're experiencing robust and record-setting leasing demand on our portfolio, that obviously we have a lot of similar markets to Weingarten, we felt like the opportunity was right. When you look at our cost of capital and you look at the recovery and you look at what the growth profile going forward can be with the enhanced combination, that's why we thought the opportunity was just too good to pass up. We thought the combination would really position ourselves for the long term to be the best in class in our sector.
Thank you. I just, looking at the companies coming together, have you compared how you approach leasing? What is maybe best in class, and how you can make your leasing effort consistent across the entire portfolio?
Absolutely, Craig. That is number one, two, and three. We talk about leasing. That is absolutely, that's what we do best. We're focused on the blocking and tackling of the leasing side of the business. When you look at where Kimco was pre-pandemic, setting all-time high occupancy records, looking at different ways to enhance and improve our leasing process, we're all about shortening the deal curve. From the time of you when you initially start your negotiation to when the point where you sign the lease to when the rent starts to flow, condensing that schedule has been a priority of ours for many years, and we continue to get better at it. I am sure Weingarten will bring some very interesting lessons to the table, and Kimco will as well.
Our job is to make sure we put together an all-star team to make the leasing side of it the best in class, and I believe we can do that with both teams.
Great. Thank you.
Our next question is from the line of Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions, and congratulations. Wanted to go back a bit to the cost synergy, the $30 million-ish over the next 12 months. How much of that is corporate level G&A versus operating or NOI level savings? I'm trying to get a sense of how much is sustainable beyond the next 12 months. Maybe some color on how much margin upside do you think you can add to the Weingarten assets? Thanks.
Yeah. Again, the synergies, the way we look at them, again, on a GAAP basis, we're expecting savings of somewhere in the $35 million- $38 million range. A good portion of that savings is really from executive-level overhead, corporate overhead, as well as certain property management expenses that will benefit because of the overlaps in the portfolio. That is really the bulk of it. It is sustainable going forward. That's really what we've baked into the model. Again, the synergies themselves, they don't even capture the benefits that'll come from scale as well as Conor mentioned, what will probably be an improved cost of capital. That's what the primary driver of that is.
From an NOI and a margin standpoint, again, we do think that the developments that are there, the redevelopments that we have opportunities for, again, marking more leases to market as they come due will be very helpful, as well as further lease up of the portfolio. We do think, again, coming out of the pandemic, both our occupancies are below what our previous peaks were, and we see real opportunity to further re-lease the portfolio.
Yeah. The geographic overlap should lead to some improved margins as well. If you think about how laser-focused we have been on our margins and how to improve efficiency, with a larger combined company that significantly overlaps where we have boots on the ground, it should allow us to utilize our tools to make sure that we improve our margins as well.
Thank you for that. Just to follow up, Conor, look, I think it's kind of been touched on, but you've done a lot of heavy lifting here with Kimco the last couple of years, selling assets, ramping redevelopment, and now you're doing this deal as you pointed out, has significant strategic and geographic benefits. I guess I'm curious, is this the Kimco you've been working towards and dreaming of the past few years? In more seriousness, what are some of the remaining key strategic initiatives left here beyond integrating this portfolio and de-leveraging the balance sheet?
Sure. Our team has been dreaming about having Kimco Realty be the best in class. The combination with Weingarten Realty Investors, the focus on grocery-anchored portfolio in the best markets positions us. We have to put up the numbers. I'm going to be very clear about this, that we don't believe we should be given anything. We have to prove it, and the numbers should speak for themselves, that if we have operational excellence, then we should be reflected with a higher multiple. We feel we have still a tremendous amount of work to do. We don't feel like we're anywhere near where we need to be yet. The combination clearly creates a nice pathway for that to occur, but there's a lot of work still to be done.
We continue to focus on the leasing side of it as the low-hanging fruit, the engine for growth that we see just as the best use of our time and effort. Long term, there's a lot of untapped potential in the combination of the two portfolios. We have just started to unlock the value of our entitlements. There's a number of ways to do that. We're being very selective on the ones that we activate. We want to make sure we focus on our growth going forward. Now with the leasing side of it really driving it, we want to activate those entitlements and create the highest and best use for our real estate, but we want to be super selective and mindful of the fact that we want to be pushing the growth profile of the company to the best that we possibly can.
We have conviction that we can do that, but there's a lot of work to be done, then we're going to let the numbers speak for themselves.
Great. Much appreciated. One last minor one. Does this limit your ability to sell any Albertsons stock? Thanks.
No, it does not. There's still lock-up provisions that are in place from the consortium, and so those are the provisions that are restricting us.
Got it. All right. Thank you, guys.
Our next question is from the line of Wes Golladay, Baird. Please proceed with your questions.
Hey, good morning, guys. I just had a quick question on the strategic path forward for development. Will you do more on-balance developments going forward now that you're a bigger company?
Hey, Wes. What we've been thinking about is how to activate the entitlements to make sure that we don't take too much risk and that we continue to focus on FFO growth. We've talked about this with everyone over the years, that we go through our decision tree of should we entitle and then sell those entitlement rights, should we ground lease those entitlement rights, should we joint venture those entitlement rights, or should we self-develop those entitlement rights? Where we sit today, we see a lot of added value with activating the project, and we have done a number of ground leases.
I would expect to see us do more of that structure going forward, where we can activate the entitlements, but not necessarily put on a tremendous amount of development risk on the balance sheet, because we still have a strategic goal to lower our leverage. This deal on itself is de-leveraging, but our net debt to EBITDA is not where we need it to be. We obviously have the focus of recovering the lost EBITDA from the pandemic, and that will be the sort of the near-term boost. Then we'll have some refinancing opportunities as well in the Albertsons monetization. We want to be mindful of the fact that we want to get our balance sheet to a point that is extremely time-tested. You look at how we flexed it through the pandemic, and obviously the leverage metrics are a bit elevated right now.
That's really a goal of ours, is to bring those down to our strategic long-term game plan.
Got it. Have you cited those pro forma leverage for the deal with the, I guess, closing costs and synergies? Do you have an estimate of that?
Yeah. Again, we expect leverage will come down. When you look at net debt to EBITDA on a look-through basis, including JVs and preferreds, that the improvement will be about 0.3 times.
Okay.
It'll have a good start. Again, as kind of pointed out, as the EBITDA improves and the NOI improves, as credit loss starts to come down, those numbers will improve further.
Got it. Thanks.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Floris van Dijkum with Compass Point. Please proceed with your questions.
Thanks for taking my question, guys. I wanted to get a sense of how are you funding the cash basis of the transaction? I think it's only $375 million or $373 million, but if you can give us a little bit of input on that'd be helpful.
Sure. Again, we have a cash that certainly is on our balance sheet. We have in excess of $200 million of cash already on the balance sheet. We have a $2 billion revolver that's untapped. Those are clear paths for us to easily fund the transaction. As you know, we've always been pretty opportunistic looking at the bond market. Plenty of options about how to cover it, but there's cash available between balance sheet and our revolver.
Thanks, Glenn. The other question is, so what does this say, and this is the question perhaps that a lot of the investors are trying to decipher as well, but what does this say about values for the strip sector? I mean, you're willing to pay a 5.5 cap rate or somewhere in that neighborhood for Weingarten. I think The Street is using a mid-low to mid-six cap rate for you guys. Do you think that values are going higher? Are cap rates going lower in your view?
Well, we're paying a high five, as we said earlier, Floris, and I think we recognize that we have conviction in the growth profile of the company. When you look at the lost occupancy that was at the hands of the pandemic and the leasing stats that we just published, we have conviction that we can Even though it's a spot cap rate, I think you've got to really have visibility into what we intend to produce with the numbers, is to show the growth profile of how when you look back at 2019 NOI and how quickly we can get back there. We believe our leasing strategy can help us really create a pretty significant growth profile with the combined organizations.
Yes, the spot cap rate is a high five, but I think it's also important to recognize the occupancy levels and the demand drivers and what we anticipate delivering in terms of growth.
Maybe one more. Houston will be a new market for you guys. Which markets do you think you're going to have the greatest overlap? I'm thinking off the top in D.C., where Weingarten's mixed-use assets are very close to your Pentagon City asset, and some possible synergies. Have you thought about which markets in particular you should see some of the greatest portfolio synergies and overlap?
Houston is an existing market for us, but obviously, Weingarten based there brings a lot to the table when you look at the overlap. You're right about the D.C. corridor. With our Pentagon project across from Amazon's HQ2 and their two mixed-use projects there creates a really nice synergy to utilize the mixed-use component for that area that's really just getting going. I would say that across the Sun Belt is really where we're really excited. When you look at the biggest markets as a combined organization, clearly, with Florida being a significant growth market for both of us. You look at the Miami-Fort Lauderdale combination and the concentration of the two companies, that's a very exciting and powerful combination. When you look at the map, it's very actually close to what a Kimco map looks like.
It's just the circles where we have concentration are strengthened because of the Weingarten concentrations in those markets.
Thanks, Conor.
Our next question is from the line of Juan Sanabria with BMO. Please proceed with your questions.
Hi, good morning and congratulations. Conor, maybe just a big picture question. Clearly, the shopping centers have been beneficiaries of the pandemic, realizing the importance of the essential retailers that are housed there and at the crux of the community. Curious on how you think about the change in consumer behaviors and everybody kind of using the BOPIS function and maybe spending less physical time at the actual grocers and some of these grocers kind of being overrun by pickers, whether they work for Amazon or other outlets. How do you see the inline tenants kind of embracing the changed consumer behavior, maybe not benefiting as much from the daily traffic, and kind of just changing the feel of when you do go to some of these centers, and how do you try to manage that process? It's just a bigger picture question on my end.
It's a good question. I think there's more focus on merchandising mix than there ever has been before. You typically have an anchor tenant that drives traffic that comes to the shopping center, like a grocer, multiple times a week. Our job as a landlord is really to focus on what other uses are going to create the most vibrant cross shopping community. When you look across the spectrum of retailers today, who gets you most excited when you pull in to pick up a grocery order that will draw you to cross shop? When you look at our top tenant list, it's really a collection of those tenants that bring something special to the table, and really can create a vibrant experience.
Even if you've selected to maybe buy online, pick up in store, or utilize curbside pickup, our job is to make sure when you're in the parking lot, that it may not be that trip, but your eye catches something that's in the tenant lineup that says, "Okay, that's an exciting tenant that I need to come back and explore." You look at what's working today in retail. You look at the treasure hunters like TJ Maxx, Ross, and Burlington. You look at the big box players like the Walmarts, the Costcos, the Targets. You look at the grocery, and it's across all the spectrum there, whether it's traditional grocer or specialty grocer or discount grocery. You look at the rebound in demand from restaurants, fitness, health and wellness, medical. It's a combination.
You need to have that combination of a merchandising mix that drives traffic at all points during the day, but creates that vibrant cross-shopping community. That's the key with the reopening that we need to make sure we continue to focus on, because that's going to make that shopping center sing.
Thanks for that. Just one other question. Can you give us some historical perspective on the occupancy and the base rent for the two portfolios? Clearly you want to get to pre-pandemic levels, was there any sort of rationale or maybe geographic reason why the Weingarten portfolio maybe has a bit lower relative occupancy to Kimco but a higher ABR per square foot? Is it anything we should be aware of as we think of those kind of normalizing back to pre-COVID levels?
We actually think that's where the juice is. That's where the opportunity is. When you look at the historical occupancy performance between the two companies and you look at the combined synergies and what we can do as a combined entity, that's where we think we can drive the occupancy up to those pre-pandemic levels. Our goal is to hit a new all-time high. With the demand that we're experiencing today, again, we don't think it's a flash in the pan. We think there's a new blueprint for retailers to follow. We think the stronger have survived and have gotten even stronger. There's a lot of market share up for grabs today.
Think about all the businesses that have been dislocated or are not recovering, and the well-capitalized players that are out there signing leases today are eager to take that market share and position themselves for long-term growth.
Thank you.
Our next question is from the line of Chris Lucas with Capital One Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my questions. Hey, Drew, for you, I guess the sort of the inverse of the question that was asked of Conor, the timing, why now? You're just coming out of the sort of the worst of the pandemic. There is a lot of potential upside. Why sell now?
Good morning, Chris, and thanks for the question. As Conor said, I think the strategic vision between the two companies is just so compelling. Kimco and Weingarten have worked together and shared best practices for 30 years. Many of those sayings that Milton is famous for, Stanford has said the same things. I worked with Conor's father. When you talk about the culture and the fit and the ability to put these two things together, the value of the Kimco platform, the geographic focus of the company, the synergies that have been talked about by Glenn from a cost perspective and also an operational ability to put our best practices, the better debt, the huge geographic overlap, the great tenant diversification and essential tenants.
I just think it's such a strategic, compelling story, as Conor said, as we come out of this reopening trade that just so positions all our shareholders for the future. It's just a great strategic fit.
Okay. Conor, quick one for you or for Glenn. You talk about accretion on the deal from the outset. Is that on a cash or on a GAAP basis?
It's on both. It'll be on a cash basis and a GAAP basis.
Okay, great. Thank you. That's all I had. Appreciate it.
Our next question is from the line of Michael Bilerman with Citi. Please proceed with your question. Mr. Bilerman, please proceed with your questions.
I'm sorry about that. I was on mute. Glenn, maybe just sticking with you on the accretion, I would've thought there would've been a larger spread between GAAP and cash, just given the debt mark-to-market, the FAS 141, if you're having that. There may have just been much more lease accounting, and I don't know if the pandemic has thrown everything off. I would've thought it would've been higher on a GAAP basis than on a cash. Maybe you can just highlight some of the differences that would make them more similar.
Sure. First of all of those adjustments that you're talking about, which would be like straight line rent adjustments above and below market rent, marking debt to market, that is not baked into those synergies yet. The difference between the cash and the GAAP is really just based on capitalization. That's what's driving that. You're right. Those other factors, again, they haven't been calculated yet. That'll take time, and as we get to closing and the integration, we'll have a better sense of how wide that spread is. I believe to your point, it will be wider when it's done.
Right. The reality is what you're really quoting is a cash number with some small GAAP adjustments that are known. The true merger ones where you do get a much bigger GAAP accretion number will come out later on. Is that fair?
Yes. That's correct. Yeah.
I may have missed at the beginning, just in terms of process, and Drew, I don't know if you want to address this. It doesn't seem like there's a go shop. Maybe just talk a little bit about how you settled on Kimco versus other strategic partners, whether there was a potential cash offer that may have been out there at a lower price or at the same price. Can you just talk a little bit about sort of the process that the company went through to settle on this?
Sure, Michael. Good morning, thanks for the question. I think a lot of those details will be discussed in the proxy statement, which as Conor mentioned, is being worked on. I think the main thing revolves around the great strategic fit. If you look at the map on slide nine in the roadshow deck, 85% of the base rents coming from the top major markets. We talked about the densification opportunities in the Weingarten portfolio over a long period of time, and the ability to partner and work with the Kimco team to deliver those. We just think it's so strong. It's just such a good strategic fit that it was very compelling for us, and we think the best great outcome for all shareholders.
I guess you don't have a go shop after this, right? You ran a process, you had other parties involved, you had market checks, and this is going forward as is. In some other deals we've seen, especially in this environment, things are negotiated one-on-one, and then the company has a limited 30-day or 45-day go shop, and I just didn't know whether that was relevant in this case.
As mentioned, the proxy will be out reasonably soon, and we'll get into those details. You know us well enough to know we were very deliberate about it and thoughtful about it, and just think the strategic benefits of this deal are extremely compelling.
You do not have a. It's just a very specific. Was there a full process run? Or not?
That's a question that I think will be described in more detail in the proxy.
All right. Last one from me. Just thinking about the exchange ratio and price, it would appear that this was basically an at-the-market one-for-one stock-for-stock deal. Then, the premia was the $3 in cash. Is that a fair way to think about it?
Michael, we really looked at the 90/10, the stock-cash split, being the best way to really make the deal accretive and de-leveraging. When you look at what it brings to the table for the combined shareholder base, I think the key focus was to make sure that the combined shareholder base was going to benefit. When you look at the benefits of the combination, it gets really exciting. The 90/10 split, I think, was the sweet spot where that could accomplish exactly that.
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Linda Tsai with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.
Congratulations and thanks for taking my question. Just going back to the organic growth Kimco has discussed before, having a portfolio of below-market and legacy leases. Is this an opportunity in the Weingarten portfolio as well?
Absolutely. I'll let Drew take that one.
I definitely think so. I think, it's been discussed, the transformation that we've gone through positions us with wonderful centers and great opportunities to continue to push NOI and grow shareholder value.
Thanks. When you think about the redevelopment opportunities across the combined portfolio, what types of mixed-use opportunities jump out?
We've been very focused on really looking at the highest and best use of the real estate. The question we always ask is, if we had a blank slate, what would be sort of the best way to enhance the community? Because community is the center point of most of the assets that we own. We sort of are the hub or the heart of the community. The way that things have transformed over many years is the shopping center has become, in many cases, the hole in the donut, where density has come up around it. We're still sitting on 80% parking lot, 20% one-story building. Some low-hanging fruit that we can pluck for our shareholders. To that case, what we've been doing is looking at residential and multi-family as a way of complementing the existing retail.
We continue to look at office, and we continue to look at hotels and make sure that we don't put a blind eye to whatever the highest and best use is. What we found is that the multi-family side is really the low-hanging fruit for us to add to the mixed use of the shopping center because it enhances the retail. Many times people look to live close to a Whole Foods or a Trader Joe's, and so we bring the amenities to the table with our existing asset base. We do believe our entitlement team creates a really significant growth driver for long-term shareholder value for the combined organization. We're going to be diving into the combined portfolio, looking and mining for those opportunities, and continue to think long term, that's the best way to create shareholder value.
Maybe this partially answers the question, Conor, in terms of that vibrant cross-shopping experience that you referred to that consumers seek, could you point out some centers in your combined portfolios that encapsulate this?
Oh, sure. If you look across the portfolios, I think we both are laser-focused on that because that's really sort of the driver of what allows you to drive rents, to give you pricing power. If you have that sweet spot of merchandising mix that you can really enhance and bring in new tenants that want to be there to capture that's really the exciting part of the shopping center, is when you look at Drew's best assets, and you look at River Oaks, and you look at The Palms in Miami, and you look at some of those assets that have, whether it's Publix or Whole Foods or Kroger or Albertsons or Trader Joe's. You combine sort of the best in class and just get an exciting lineup of tenants that are enhancing each other.
We do a lot with data analytics, as you know, and we recognize which tenants really drive cross-shopping and which can really enhance merchandising mix, and which can actually expand your trade area. Rather than just servicing the local, you can bring in tenants that actually can expand your trade area, which in essence leads to more sales, which in essence leads to more pricing power. That's the exciting part, is I think retail is now starting to get a new blueprint of how to utilize and how to combine the omni-channel, the e-commerce, with the brick-and-mortar and have it be worth more.
Thanks.
Our next question is from the line of Greg McGinniss with Scotiabank. Please proceed with your question.
Hey, good morning. Conor, it feels like we've been hearing kind of for years now that retailers are gaining more leverage in leasing negotiations. Does a larger portfolio provide much benefit in those discussions, or are retailers just more focused on specific markets than broader landlord relationships?
I would say, generally speaking, when you look across the entire U.S., retailers typically have markets where they have pricing power, where there's probably an oversupply of retail. That's why collectively, Weingarten and Kimco has done so much heavy lifting to get to the markets where we believe have high barriers to entry, have a balance of supply and demand. It's been a decade plus of all-time low new supply. If you think about density, and that's the way we really focus our portfolio, and you think about the likelihood of somebody else tying up a parcel in a dense area and dedicating 80% of that parcel to just parking that doesn't generate any revenue, the likelihood of that economics working out is slim to none.
That's where we see pricing power for our combined portfolios, is because of the lack of new supply and this robust demand that we're experiencing, you're going to see us continue to have pricing power. You'll see us continue to post spreads that are consistent with our historical averages. That's where I think we're positioned for growth going forward, is it's a very different dynamic when you're looking at markets that have those types of ingredients.
Right. Okay. Thank you. Conor, both you and Drew have talked about actively looking for acquisitions, maybe not quite of this size and scope, but just more generally. I'm curious, how do you expect digesting this deal to kind of impact your acquisitions appetite or for the more creative investment opportunities that you've been pursuing over the last year?
Sure. Our core focus for acquisitions is almost exactly what Weingarten brings to the table. If you look at grocery-anchored assets in Sun Belt markets in the best quality locations, that's exactly where we want to put our capital to work. We think we can use our platform to drive growth, and we look for things that have a little bit of vacancy in it. Again, we're going to focus and do what we do best and drive that occupancy up and lease it up as best we possibly can. When you think of what we're looking to buy, if you were to distill Weingarten down to one shopping center and utilize those ingredients of what they bring to the table, that's exactly what we're looking for. We do believe in the last mile locations, we do believe in the grocery-anchored shopping center.
We have conviction in the growth profile that we're experiencing in our own portfolio, and we'll continue to mine for those opportunities. I will tell you there is still a very wide disconnect between public and private pricing. We have seen bidding wars occur for grocery-anchored prime shopping centers. Many times they price out what public companies can pay for them. That's just, I think, again, we're in the early innings of this, but you're going to start to see a lot more trades come that justify that.
Great. Thank you.
Thank you. Our final question today is from the line of Ki Bin Kim with Truist. Please proceed with your question.
Thank you. Congratulations on exciting news today. Glenn, you hit on something that's pretty important, the implied cost of debt capital savings. When you look at the combined company and the improved leverage profile, and we're still kind of in the middle of COVID, so there's probably more NOI upside. When you look at the kind of overall improved leverage profile, what do you think is reasonable to expect from a debt cost of capital savings? Because every 10 basis points that you save probably equates to about $8 million.
Yeah, look, it's something that evolves over time. It doesn't happen overnight. Again, I think with the larger scale and the continuing improvement in metrics and the continued support from the rating agencies that you'll see that our overall cost of capital, certainly relative to peers, will continue to improve. It's hard to pinpoint a specific number, and it sometimes depends on the day when you go to market, but we try to just be opportunistic and pick our spots when to go. Overall, we do think over time, you will see continued lowering of overall cost of capital.
Okay. When we look at Weingarten's redevelopment and development pipeline, they have three big projects, but it's been mostly funded. There wasn't a lot of what you call shadow pipeline, at least highlighted in the supplemental or in discussions. When you look at Weingarten in totality, how much more expansion opportunities do you see?
Well, Drew can add some color here, but the low-hanging fruit for us is really River Oaks, I think is just getting started. You look at their first tower there, The Driscoll, and the lease-up that they have accomplished in a short period of time, it's exciting because that's just the first tower of many, in my opinion. Very similar, I think, to the opportunities that we have at Pentagon. We're under construction on the second tower there. When you look at what River Oaks brings to the table, that's an exciting opportunity. I would say right behind that is The Palms in Miami. Clearly there are some big pieces of redevelopment and some multifamily opportunity there that I know Drew has been working on, and clearly I think those are two that just jump out at me. Drew, anything else you wanted to add?
Sure. Good morning. As you may recall, there's a slide in our roadshow deck that outlines $2 billion of long-term redevelopment opportunities. One of the things that we've collaborated around as we looked at structuring this deal and we'll dive into more in detail is how we spread those out. In addition to River Oaks and The Palms, which Conor discussed, we're making great progress in Scottsdale on a ground lease. We have a project near Kimco's projects in the East Bay of San Francisco that we're looking at, the Gateway Center. Again, the roadshow deck outlines that $2 billion that needs to be thought about. Going back to the strategic fit and how well the companies just communicate and think about things.
As Conor said, you look at selling, you look at ground leasing, you look at doing it on balance sheet, all other things being equal, the ground lease alternative is pretty compelling. We'll work hard on the entitlements, we'll make good financial discipline decisions going forward. It makes a ton of sense. The other thing Conor and I have discussed is, we're seeing such strong rebound in these good centers that in some cases, while we could densify, it may not make sense in this cycle because we can just lease the space up. Having the bigger platform gives us the operational synergies to do more and think longer term, take advantage of the pandemic reopening. That's why this deal just makes so much big-picture, long-term strategic sense for all shareholders. Activating the redevelopments in a long-term, judicious, thoughtful, value-added way.
Okay. Given that I'm the last caller on this call, maybe I can squeeze in a third question. Over the next couple of years, how much dispositions should we expect from the combined company?
I think that the dispositions, the heavy lift has been completed. When you look at the leasing demand that we're experiencing across the portfolio, it's pretty exciting to be in a spot where we've transformed the portfolio, and Weingarten has done the same. We don't see a meaningful disposition program coming from the combination. We both have very similar strategic visions that we had to move a lot of product out of the portfolio to be in a position to showcase the growth profile going forward. If you think about what the pandemic did was it removed some of the weakest credit tenants from our rent roll. Now we have the opportunity to backfill those vacancies with the best-in-class omni-channel players that are going to enhance our merchandising mix and really drive NOI growth going forward.
We're really pleased with the quality of the combination, and we don't necessarily think that there's going to be a significant disposition program anytime soon.
Okay. Thank you, and congrats again.
Thank you. Thank you to everyone today. This will conclude today's conference. You may now disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.