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Earnings Call: Q4 2023

Feb 27, 2024

Operator

Hello, my name is Drew, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the KNOT Offshore Partners Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press Star, followed by one on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind, please press Star, followed by two. Derek Lowe, you now may begin your conference.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Thank you, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Derek Lowe, and I'm the Chief Executive and Chief Financial Officer of KNOT Offshore Partners. Welcome to the Partnership's Earnings Call for the Fourth Quarter of 2023. Our website is knotoffshorepartners.com, and you can find the earnings release there along with this presentation. On Slide 2, you will find guidance on the inclusion of forward-looking statements in today's presentation. These are made in good faith and reflect management's current views, known and unknown risks, and are based on assumptions and estimates that are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond our control. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in forward-looking statements, and the partnership does not have or undertake a duty to update any such forward-looking statements made as of the date of this presentation.

For further information, please consult our SEC filings, especially in relation to our annual and quarterly results. Today's presentation also includes certain non-GAAP measures, and our earnings release includes a reconciliation of these to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. On Slide 3, we have the financial and operational headlines for Q4. Revenues were $73 million, operating income $18.1 million. There was a net loss of $5.3 million after accounting for an unrealized, in other words, non-cash loss of $8.9 million on derivatives and Adjusted EBITDA of $45.7 million. We closed Q4 with $63.9 million in available liquidity, made up wholly of cash and cash equivalents.

We operated with 99.6 utilization of the vessel time available for scheduled operations, which is equivalent to 96% of total fleet time after accounting for the planned dry dockings of Torill Knutsen and Ingrid Knutsen. Following the end of Q4, we declared a cash distribution of $0.026 per common unit, which was paid in early February. On Slide 4, we have the headlines of the contractual developments since our last results call, which was on December the fourteenth, 2023. In our major market, Brazil, Carmen Knutsen saw exercise of a 1-year extension option by Repsol, which commenced in January. Repsol holds a further 1 year's option, which, if exercised, would see Carmen Knutsen employed through to January 2026. And Dan Sabia's charter to Transpetro has been extended to early June this year.

In the North Sea, Hilda Knutsen, Torill Knutsen, and Bodil Knutsen have continued to operate under time charters to our sponsor, Knutsen NYK. For Bodil Knutsen, this charter will last until the end of March and delivery to Equinor to commence a charter of 2 years fixed plus 2 years options. For Hilda Knutsen and Torill Knutsen, the charter is to rolling 1-month terms up to January 2025. The continuing area of focus for our contracting team, especially for near-term deployment, is on Dan Cisne, Dan Sabia, Hilda Knutsen, and Torill Knutsen. We received redelivery of Dan Cisne in December 2023. Her size is more suited to the North Sea market, and we are assessing her technical compatibility for shuttle tanker work in the North Sea. In the meantime, we are deploying Dan Cisne on conventional tanker work.

Dan Sabia is due for redelivery to us in June, which is the extended expiry date of her charter to Transpetro. Marketing of all four vessels continues to potential charterers, both existing clients and others, including the partnership sponsor. On Slide 5, our outlook remains positive on both the industry dynamics and the partnership's positioning to participate fruitfully in our markets. Significant growth is anticipated in production in fields which rely on service by shuttle tankers. We see recently reported orders of around six vessels as an endorsement of confidence in the sector. Three of these vessels have been ordered by our sponsor for delivery over 2026 and 2027. Each of these is a 10-year fixed contract with Petrobras, along with a client option to extend by a further five years.

We would expect to see further new build orders placed, in order to service the large new production volumes coming online in the years ahead. A measured amount of new shuttle tanker ordering is imperative and should not be understood as some sort of negative development for the sector. We do also remain mindful of the near-term market conditions, where we are focused on the marketing of the four vessels, as I described earlier. In the meantime, the partnership remains financially resilient, with a strong contracted revenue position of $699 million at the end of Q4 on fixed contracts, which average two years in duration. Charterers' options are additional to this and average a further 2.1 years. Our pattern of cash generation and liquidity balance is sufficient for our operations and the significant paydown rate for our debt.

And we have demonstrated the strength of our relationships with the lending banks by several refinancings completed over the last year. Finally, the average age of our vessels, at 9.7 years, places us well when compared with the useful life model at 23 years. On to Slide 6, you can see the consistency of revenues and operating income when comparing with those of previous quarters, including Q2 of 2023, when that is viewed without the impairment. Slide 7 similarly reflects the consistency of our Adjusted EBITDA, and you can find the definition of this non-GAAP measure in the appendix. On Slide 8, the most notable change in the balance sheet over 2023 has been the reduction in current liabilities, which has arisen from the refinancings secured during 2023. Long-term debt has increased as a reflection of these refinancings.

However, the overall change in the partnership's liabilities has been a reduction by $92 million, which is reflective of the debt repayments we've made during the year. On slide 9, we've expanded on the terms of the partnership's debt facilities to provide added color around the dynamics of debt repayment. The highlighted column shows how the outstanding balances of each facility have been reducing because of the repayments we've been making in line with scheduled repayment terms. The current installments are the amounts of capital repayment due over the next year, which do not include interest, and the balloon payments are the final amounts of principal, which will be due on the maturity dates.

Of note, $153 million is due to be paid on these debt facilities over the 12 months following December 31, 2023, of which $57 million is a balloon repayment due in May 2024 on the loan, which is secured by Hilda Knutsen. Our practice with a significant repayment such as this is to seek a refinancing, and our track record demonstrates the viability of this approach. Negotiations are well advanced with potential lenders for a new facility to be secured also by the Hilda Knutsen, sufficient to finance the balloon repayments of the maturing facility. The partnership is not aware of any reasons why this refinancing would be unlikely to complete. However, there can be no guarantees of the success of any financing exercise.

Aside from that refinancing, $87 million will be repayable over the course of this 12-month period, of which $10 million has already formed a repayment of the Dan Sabia facility in January. This leaves both Dan Cisne and Dan Sabia free of debt, and we don't have any plans to incur additional borrowing secured by these vessels until we have better, better visibility on their future employment. Slide 10 shows the contracted pipeline in chart format, reflecting the developments I set out earlier. Similarly, slide 11 highlights the focus of our commercial efforts on adding near-term contracts, primarily for the four vessels mentioned earlier. On slide 12, we see our sponsor's inventory of vessels, which are eligible for purchase by the partnership. This applies to any vessel owned by or on order for our sponsor, where the vessel has a firm contract period at least 5 years in length.

At present, 5 existing vessels and 5 under construction fall into this category. There is no assurance that any further acquisitions will be made by the partnership, and any transaction will be subject to the board approval of both parties, which includes the partnership's independent conflicts committee. As we have said, our top priorities remain securing additional contract coverage for our existing fleet and fostering our liquidity position. On slides 13 and 14, we have provided some useful illustrations of the strong demand dynamics in the Brazilian market, as published by Petrobras. We encourage you to review Petrobras' materials directly at the web pages shown there. The primary takeaway from each of these slides is consistent. There is very significant committed demand growth coming in the Brazilian market in the form of new FPSOs that will require regular service from shuttle tankers.

We believe that recent reports of up to 6 vessel construction contracts are an endorsement of the strong anticipated market conditions in the medium and longer term, and do not think this is an excessive amount of added supply in the context. As I mentioned earlier, 3 of these recent new build contracts are for our sponsor, Knutsen NYK, and are due for delivery over 2026 and 2027. On slide 15, we provide information relevant to our U.S. unit holders, in particular, those seeking a Form 1099. Those holding units via their custodians or brokers should approach those parties directly. Those with directly registered holdings should contact our transfer agent, American Stock Transfer, who come under the umbrella of Equiniti Trust Company, whose details are shown there.

On slide 16, we include some reminders of the strong fundamentals of our business in the market we serve, our assets, competitive landscape, robust contractual footprint, and resilient finances. I'll finish with slide 17, recapping our financial and operational performance in Q4 2023 and the subsequent time, and our outlook for 2024. We are glad to have delivered high and safe utilization, which have generated consistent financial performance. We are pleased with the new contracts and extensions we've secured during the quarter and since, along with our ability to navigate our refinancing needs and CapEx relating to dry docks throughout last year. And our continued commercial focus remains on filling up utilization for 2024, while looking further forward to longer-term charter visibility and liquidity generation. Thank you for listening, and with that, I'll hand back, the call to the operator for any questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, please press Star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind, please press Star followed by two. Our first question today comes from Liam Burke from B. Riley. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Liam Burke
Managing Director, B. Riley Securities

Yes, thank you. Hi, Derek. How are you today?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Hi, Liam. Good, thank you. And you?

Liam Burke
Managing Director, B. Riley Securities

I'm fine. Thank you. On the Dan Cisne and Dan Sabia, asset values in the traditional tanker market are pretty healthy. And you've got one of those vessels currently working as a conventional tanker now anyway. Would a priority be to sell these two tankers for conventional use and redeploy that capital?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

I wouldn't say it's a priority. We think any shuttle tanker is better equipped to earn higher rates in the shuttle tanker market rather than in the conventional market. And that goes for both us operating them or potential purchaser. So our interest is in actually operating vessels in the shuttle tanker market, and, and we're marketing them as such.

Liam Burke
Managing Director, B. Riley Securities

So, I mean, based on the supply-demand outlook, you see the earnings power of these two vessels, outperforming a one-time sale and redeployment of capital?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

For the time being, yes. Obviously, we've got a gap in utilization coming up, which we're seeking to fill.

Liam Burke
Managing Director, B. Riley Securities

Sure.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

It's a function of how well we secure or negotiate contracts for them.

Liam Burke
Managing Director, B. Riley Securities

Okay. And then just on your current debt, you laid it out, you've paid $10 million, you've got a $57 million balloon that's due in May, you've had a long history of successfully refinancing. So if I look at the balance and your current cash balance and your predictable cash flow, once you're past that refinancing, 2024 debt service should be pretty manageable.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

It will be pretty consistent with previous years. So if you look at the reduction in debt over 2023, which was $92 million, the equivalent figure on slide 9 is the $90 million, of which, as I say, we've paid $3 million from that column, an additional $6.5 million from the Balloon Payment list.

Liam Burke
Managing Director, B. Riley Securities

Great. Thank you, Derek.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question today comes from Poe Fratt from Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Good afternoon, Derek. Two questions on the quarter. If you could just highlight the sequential increase in OpEx, what caused that? And then also, it looks like the tax rate jumped a little bit, or just there was a tax payment as opposed to, you know, what you would have expected with the loss. So can you just address those two things?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Sure. Hi, Poe. Thank you for the questions. Yeah. So, OpEx is typically impacted by unit costs in our major expenditure items. So things particularly like manning, if you extend that to or crewing, if you extend that to costs like crew travel and so on, on an off shift. So those, that was the - so that's what the unit pricing and other supplies like lube oil and so on, that's the major impact when OpEx changes. And then tax rates. The tax item you can see at the bottom of page 6. It's an adjustment to the value recognized in Q3, so there's a single item there, the net amount of which is something like $4.4 million.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Great, that's helpful. And then, can you talk about OpEx going into this year as far as 2024? And then, Derek, would you discuss the impact that the Dan Cisne is gonna have on utilization and, you know, potential revenues as it works as the conventional tanker versus a shuttle tanker?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Sure. So, we are, as I said, we're marketing all four of those vessels, which are either on short term or limited contracts, of which Cisne is the most notable one because it's being redelivered to us. Our preference is to secure medium and longer term shuttle tanker work. So the conventional work is pretty much spot market for the Cisne, and we don't see it as a strategy in anything other than the near term to deploy into that market.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Great. Should we expect any downtime on it as it, you know, flips between charters? And then also, can you confirm that, you know, you don't expect any dry docking activity in 2024?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Correct about dry docking. We don't anticipate any dry docks in 2024. What you'll see on Dan Cisne is the utilization information will come through in the first quarter's results because we received redelivery, I think it was around mid-December, so it had very little impact, if any, on the Q4 figures. And so, our impact will come through in Q1 figures.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Okay. So expect a little bit of downtime. And can you, you know, the other major option, it seems like, is, you know, on the Anna with Total. And what's the notice period on that, and have you heard or, you know, when do you expect to hear on a potential, you know, option exercise there?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Yeah, I believe the notice period is between one and two months. Obviously, we're coming up to the end of that notice period over the next month or so. I know we're always in active dialogue with all of our clients and potential clients. We don't, while we don't have any news to announce there, it's not currently causing us any concern.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Okay, great. Thank you. Thank you, Derek.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Thanks, Poe.

Operator

Again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star then one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from Jim Altschul from Aviation Advisory Service. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Jim Altschul
President, Aviation Advisory Service

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. A couple, couple of related questions. Well, the big thing is with the utilization, because in the fourth quarter and for the whole year of 2023, you had something like 99% utilization. Now, I guess, was it the Dan Cisne will be off hire for part of this quarter? You indicated that you have, as of today, charter or coverage or something like 70% for some, a little more than 70% for the full year. What is what is utilization, what is the percentage figure going to look like for the first and second quarters based on the contracts you now have?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Well, Jim, thanks for your questions. So the range of utilization that, or contracting that we currently have in terms of full visibility for this year, 79% fixed and 91%, if that, if you include exercise of all client options. Those figures, I appreciate they're in chart format, but they're set out on slide 11. I don't have the individual numbers directly to hand, but you can see, you know, the chart gives you a good enough, a good indication of those levels.

Jim Altschul
President, Aviation Advisory Service

Oh, I'm sorry. I didn't look at that. I just looked at the news release. Sorry about that. But,

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

No problem.

Jim Altschul
President, Aviation Advisory Service

You're gonna have, so you're gonna have one ship off hire for this quarter, the Dan Cisne, if I remember correctly. And also, maybe I wasn't listening carefully enough, but will there be much of an impact on the revenues from the fact some of the ships that were on charter are now on short-term, conventional tanker contracts? Is that going to make a meaningful difference? A combination of all these things, is that going to make a meaningful impact on first quarter revenues?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Well, we're only talking about one vessel, so 1 out of 18. So the percentage there is order of magnitude 5%. And that's assuming no income, but actually, as we've described, with the conventional work that she's been able to do, there has been some income and some utilization. So those overall figures should feed through to the figures in Q1. But it's not a question of entirely removing a vessel from the performance of the fleet over this quarter, and it is limited to one vessel in this quarter.

Jim Altschul
President, Aviation Advisory Service

Okay. Is it reasonable to assume that the rates you're getting on short-term, conventional tanker work are less than you would get on a medium or long-term charter for shuttle tanker work?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Yes, that's correct. And obviously, they're modeled on a slightly different basis because of the short-term nature of those, of the conventional contracts we're looking at as well.

Jim Altschul
President, Aviation Advisory Service

Thank you very much.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Okay, thanks, Jim.

Operator

Lastly, we have a follow-up from Poe Fratt from Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Yeah. Hi, Derek.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Hi.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Can you talk about the backlog? You know, there was a pretty healthy increase in the backlog of, you know, to $699 million from $645 million from the time of the third quarter call. Can you just talk about that incremental increase? Because it didn't seem like your contracted backlog in years went up that significantly, but you did add $50 million. Can you just talk about the mechanics of that, Derek?

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Sure. I mean, the obviously, we burn off backlog each quarter as well, and that would be factored into it. And I appreciate that serves to reduce the number before any additions. The main addition to the backlog was the Carmen Knutsen with the exercise of one-year option by Repsol. We also had the

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Yeah, I

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Extension of the Dan Sabia for an additional six months for the first half of this year as well. So those are the major changes.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Yeah, I sort of calculated that as adding about 4.5 years of backlog, and you burn off every quarter, about 4.5 years of backlog. Just, and so, you know, you take the 645, you take out the $72 million of, that you recognized in the fourth quarter of revenue, and to get to the new number, and that delta is about $126 million. And it just seemed a little bit higher than I would have anticipated, given that, you know, the, the Torill and the Hilda, which I assume are included in the backlog, are working at reduced rates, and the Carmen was really the only option that, you know, would have been expired or would have been exercised at, you know, a, a decent rate in my mind.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Yeah, I mean, the Carmen was the main headline since we held our call in December. And these figures relate to quarter end, so you need to look at also at the additional contracts secured during Q4, but that were before December the fourteenth. Apologies for the complexity there. So on slide 4, you've got just a reminder there, and it will also be in our Q3 release as well. So there was additional work secured for Windsor Knutsen, which we announced in December, and Brasil Knutsen as well, and then a 1-year extension on each of the Tordis Knutsen and Lena Knutsen. So those will also been part of the addition to backlog over that time.

Poe Fratt
Managing Director and Senior Transportation Analyst, Alliance Global Partners

Okay, great. That's helpful. Thank you so much.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Yeah, thanks. So apologies, it's in two places, but we didn't want to re-announce the same thing twice.

Operator

There are no further questions. I will now hand back over to Derek Lowe for any closing remarks.

Derek Lowe
CEO and CFO, KNOT Offshore Partners

Thank you again for joining this earnings call for KNOT Offshore Partners' Fourth Quarter in 2023, and I look forward to speaking with you again following the First Quarter Results for 2024.

Operator

That concludes today's call. You may now disconnect your line.

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