All right. Please take your seats so we can start the presentation promptly. So welcome to our 2019 Investor Day presentation. We've got a great presentation for you and a very fun cocktail hour.
So with that, I'm going to turn it over to our CEO, John Kilroy.
Thanks, Vishal. So we're drinking out of regular glass bottles. I'm not sure I'll bring my Diet Coke up here. Hey, welcome everybody and thank you for being here today. I think this is being webcast as well, correct?
So we welcome everybody who's listening on by that means. A couple of things. First of all, it's Veterans Day and there's 2 wonderful things about Veterans Day. 1 is that we should celebrate them. They do a heck of a job for the country and for all of us.
So round of applause for Veterans Day, veterans. Okay. And the other thing that has just become clear today is this a good day to drive on. So whatever distance you traveled, think of adding a multiplier of 3 to 4 on that on a normal workday. That's the difference.
I also want to point out a couple of facts about the property we're on here and that's the entirety of Columbia Square of which Neuhaus occupies approximately 110,000 feet, the historic buildings. Some of you have heard us say this before in of NAREITs gone by or individual tours, but this is this location is the most famous entertainment property in the world. And that's not my words, that is the historians for Hollywood. So let me just give you four little things about this particular property, this 4 or 5 acres that we have here. This is Studio A, it was Columbia Broadcasting Systems' entry to the West Coast.
This Greater Doyhouse facility was built by Columbia Broadcasting System in 1938. It was a Swiss architect. He was considered the leader in modern architecture at the time for office. This was the first dedicated building for music, the first dedicated for broadcast music in the world. But before that, it was the site upon which the first motion picture studio in Hollywood existed.
And in between those two things, it was a site upon which the first black acted, black directed, black produced movies were made. So it was a music building. It was the first motion picture location and then it morphed into a couple of other things. This is the site upon which Lucille Ball and Desi Arnaz, anybody know who those people are? Maybe Rob Promisel or myself, anybody else?
Okay, maybe Tyler, Jeff. This is where they did their live broadcast on the air. This is where Bing Crosby first sang White Christmas. This is where Orson Welles did his big address. And then it moved off moved into other phases.
It became a television production facility. So we have the 1st dedicated music, 1st motion pictures and one of the earliest television production. And then of course, it was also an entertainment venue over the years. This is the site upon which Jim Morrison and The Doors, one of their earliest performances was here. I was told it was their first somebody questioned me.
I think Nick Yulico is going to look it up. So I'll just hedge a little bit and say it was one of the earliest. But this really is an amazing property. So for us at Kilroy to get involved in this early on and reposition this piece of property with all the things that are here, I would invite you if you haven't seen it, walk around outside, Fender Guitar's headquarters is here, Viacom's consolidation of all the West Coast properties are headquartered here, Major fashion houses are located in the other 2nd office building and then it's topped out by a 200 unit luxury high rise apartment building. It's also a map for condo.
So this is very illustrative of the kinds of mixed use projects that you see Kilroy doing all over the country now. On our presentation today, we don't need to do that. I think this is really lovely, Michelle, and I can't read any of it. So I can't read that with the lights on, but I can see that we have 6 items on the agenda, and I think the cocktail hours, the red one, for obvious reasons. What we brought together today is some of our top and brightest minds.
I wouldn't be one of them. I'm the oldest mine. And we're going to talk a little bit about what we've been doing in the company and what you should be expecting going forward over the next number of years and how we reposition the company for the future. So with that, since our last Investor Day in the stabilized portfolio, we ended last year with 2,800,000 square feet of leasing. I don't know if we can do that this year because we started out so highly leased, but you've seen a lot of development leasing this year.
I think we're going to have another spectacular year this year, and I think we're well set up for next year as well. In development, we've obviously done a lot of leasing with 333 Dexter on Vine, on Vine is Netflix, 333 Dexter is Apple up north, KOP is Kureyoff or Oyster Point. You saw some of the deals we just did with Stripe and Cytokinetics there where we're all leased in 1 Paseo Retail. It's been just a slam home run down there. We're already 80% leased in the signed leases in the OP office space.
From a capital allocation standpoint, we've sold $500,000,000 of buildings over the last since the last Investor Day. We've acquired $372,000,000 of properties in some really vibrant areas. We're going to talk a little bit about that. And then Tyler is going to hit the balance sheet towards the end. And by the way, this new and expanding relationships, okay, Netflix, that was new, but we've expanded that.
Stripe is new. Sony, we've had a long term relationship with them. Just did a couple of 100,000 square foot deal up, a consolidation up in the Bay. Same thing with WPP, DoorDash headquarters, that was new over the last 12 months. Kenobi Martins, we expanded them down in San Diego.
Settle Kinetics, that's new. Neurocrine, that's been a client for a long time. We just expanded them tremendously. Post MACE, 23andme, it goes on and on and on. And if there's anything I can leave you with, with regard to Kilroy, we cultivate relationships and we expand them and you've seen that over the years and I think you're going to see that in a big way over the next couple of quarters.
So we like to think we're best in class. I know a lot of people talk about that. We have the best in close class portfolio. All you need to do is look at it and see the average age of it and see the rents we get. We think we're in the best markets.
I'm very proud of the team we have. I think we have one of the best teams, if not the best team. And I'm just really proud of what we've been doing here. And in terms of the portfolio, as I said, best in class, number 1 in sustainability, on and on year after year, 10 years average age. And it's amazing to me, we go a year or 2 and the age drops down and it shows you how much development we've got going on and also that we've sold off older non strategic properties.
In terms of the markets, I'm not going to get into that very much because I know Rob is going to talk about it, but we love our fundamentals in our West Coast markets. We think there's a lot of room for rent growth in all of our markets. And I think we have the best team we've ever had. We're really cultivating the young people. Anybody under 40, I consider to be a kid.
That's probably not PC in San Francisco, maybe not in LA, but it's true that we've got some of the most incredibly dynamic fellows and gals here. I think a bunch of them are maybe in the back. You'll meet them later. And then in terms of sustainability, I remember when we started talking about this 6, 7 years ago and a lot of investors would look at us and sort of go like, well, what's the big deal? I will say this, the Europeans were far ahead of the Americans with regard to the importance of sustainability.
I think the American investor is catching up, not all of them have caught up, but we said we were going to be number 1 and we were 5% or 6% sustainable LEED certified 7, 8 years ago, Tyler, something like that. Michelle probably knows better than I. Well, you can see now, we're 64% LEED certified. Everything we do is either gold or platinum. And in terms of we've been 7 years in a row, GRSB is number 1 in North America.
We're the 1st real estate company, not only public, but public and private in North America to declare and we will make this to be carbon neutral by the end of this next year. So this resonates with our tenants, It resonates with our employees. It resonates with the communities. And it's frankly a very powerful tool for us as we market to our clients and as we talk to cities about what we do and approvals we want. And then in terms of capital allocation, we've done $11,000,000,000 between dispositions, ventures, acquisitions and development so far this cycle.
And I read today and I forget who it was, I think it was in Bloomberg, somebody saying that this cycle is predicted to go another 3 years. Hopefully, that's the case. You never know when it's going to end, but all these little blue things are activity. And you could see starting roughly 2010, activity increased pretty dramatically. In terms of execution, we've had $8,000,000,000 of acquisitions in development starts since 2010.
And from a value add standpoint, we that $3,200,000,000 of acquisitions was at an average price of $4.60 a square foot. Most of that stuff today would trade somewhere between $91300, dollars 1400 depending upon the asset, depending upon the building. In terms of development starts, $4,700,000,000 of development starts and these really are world class projects. They're exactly the kind of properties that people want to be in with the floor plates, the ceiling heights, the densities, the mechanical systems, the vibe, etcetera, etcetera. So we think these assets are not only great now, but are going to be very good for the future.
And all you need to do is look at some of the markets that many of you office in and you can see what the consequences are of not having there's a location problem sometimes, but not having assets that meet the modern work forces requirements. They can't handle the density. They don't have the floor loading. They don't have the height. They don't have the mechanical systems.
And no place is that more pronounced than some place I just got back from on Saturday that we'll go and mention, because I have a lot of friends that run those companies. In terms of development, plus or minus on any given one, if you look at market cap rates and you look at the yields that we're building to, the return on costs unlevered, starting yields, we think that's basically a turnkey, basically creating twice the value of the investment. And then in terms of capital recycling and funding, I think most of you know this story, but we've done 2 point $9,000,000 worth of either dispositions or the big venture we did with Norges a few years back. We've moved out of suburban San Diego. We've moved out of the industrial.
We probably should have kept it in retrospect. The Orange County office, we didn't have much. We sold a bunch a few years ago. We sold the last building that we had there just last week or 2 weeks ago. And then, of course, the 101 Quarter out in 1000 Oaks and Westlake Village in Calabasas, just too small a market and the rents never seem to go up.
In these all these markets, with the exception of the industrial, all of them are characterized by lots of turnover, lots of CapEx. And by the time you go through all that, you're really not moving any value up. And John Guinee's reports, he would call that value destruction. Getting rid of them, redeploying, I hope you would call it value creation. And then we've done all this with leverage neutral.
Balance sheet is something that I personally, and I know Tyler primarily, but I personally am very keen on making sure that we have the firepower and that we can withstand the problems that may come up. In terms of development program, I've probably said enough about this, but the exchange on 16th, the modern superfloors, the heights, Oyster Point, we started that 8 months ago. First phase is all leased, well above pro form a and I think 24 months ahead of shale completion. One Paseo, the mixed use project, we've got a case study on that that we want to show you. And in terms of value, as I mentioned, I think we've really created a value that is twice what our investment is on most of these.
Some of them might be more, some of them might be less. But Michelle and Elliot are going to talk a little bit about some of the things going on in the value side of things, so I won't steal their thunder. But again, these are fantastic properties. And oh, let me go yes, go back. Those little medallions are in the corner of each of these photographs represent whether they're platinum or gold.
It's very hard to get gold in some of the mixed use projects, but we do our best to get there. In terms of case study on One Paseo, and this really is an irreplaceable asset. And I will freely admit that there was a time there I thought when Paseo could be a lemon, because you recall, and I think it might have been Green Street who came up with the term entitlement purgatory, 8 years of hell and a lot of money. And we had to change down zone what we wanted to had originally had approved. And frankly, this is a case of falling out of a tree and or that James Bond thing where he goes off the cliff and his parachute's on fire, he lands on the big yacht with a beautiful gal.
This is kind of what happened to us at Juan Paseo. We ended up with a better project for having gone through it. We obviously ended up with much better rental dynamics on all the components and we ended up with an extraordinarily great design that's impacted not only all the mixed use components of One Paseo, but all our neighboring 1,500,000 square feet, and it's I would invite you, if you haven't been down there, the apartments, the first phase just opened, the retail is all now open. And it is just a phenomenal project. This is a picture of a rendering, but it is the way it looks.
This is a playground for the kids and whatnot. And all of these stores you see here, there are many more, whether they're national or whether they're local, this is either the number 1 or number 2 store in the national franchise in terms of rent or in terms of sales per square foot. It's just absolutely been a winner. And the wonderful thing about this is, and these are the residential units here, and they look better than what the renderings are. The first phase just opened up a couple of 100 units.
It's 38% leased in 3 weeks. They couldn't even tour I think everything's great. Thank you. No more back on now? No.
Hello? No. Can I? Okay. Well, good.
Maybe I just jiggled something. So anyway, on the apartments, we're not we didn't start as apartment people. We started as people that had to do mixed use. We want to make sure we were working for our shareholders and not just turning over these fantastic resi sites to the residential guys. And I think it's worked out pretty well for us.
I invite you to go down and look at this project. It will blow your mind. It's blowing my mind and I got a pretty high bar and it is just absolutely fantastic. I think we're just going to absolutely crush it. But with the synergy between the apartments, think about the apartments drive the retail and they also help the office.
The office hasn't even opened yet. It's 80% leased to 3 or 4 major private wealth international private wealth companies, Deloitte Touche's regional headquarters, pharmaceutical companies, corporate headquarters and so on and so forth. We need the highest rents in that office space that anybody's ever gotten in an office space in San Diego for a building that's not even done. You don't normally do, leasing on spec multi tenant office space in San Diego. This is everything is crushing it.
The retail is the highest rents, the apartments the highest rents, the office is highest rents and now we've interconnected with our adjacent properties and some of the properties down the road that we own there in office space via shuttle and every other types of apps and whatnot And all of a sudden, we're now seeing our rents in those other buildings go up by 25%, 35% over what we projected. So this is a gift that keeps on giving. These are the office buildings. They come on stream, Michelle. Pardon me?
Middle of next year, yes. So but the art here, the programs, we hired a woman away from what's the shopping center they sold, the big one from Australia? Westfield. Yes, we hired the gal who ran their UTC 2,000,000 square foot shopping center, all the events. We have for the 1st year at One Paseo over 300 events, everything from the Ferrari Club to finger painting to Thanksgiving wreaths to holiday wreaths to Halloween pumpkin things and so forth.
So it's really a fun project. And just in terms of a little bit on our residential, we don't always talk a lot about this, but here at One Paseo, as I mentioned, we have 200 units here at Columbia Square, moved occupancy up to 96%. And to point out, it was our first apartment thing. We did 100 of the 200 units as an extended stay. That was a flop.
I fully admit that. We screwed up and we've recovered. We're not going to do everything perfect to begin with. If you can do near perfect, that's pretty good. We have 237 units in San Juan Paseo, as I mentioned, they're 38% leased.
We're doing about 7 or 8 a week. And we have 193 units coming on stream at On Vine, which is the project where Netflix took roughly 400,000 feet. It's next to the Academy of Motion Pictures over here, just a couple of blocks away. And I'd invite you while you're in L. A.
To go by and look at that. It's a pretty spectacular project. These are all very high end. The other thing to take away on this, they're all mapped for condo. That means they have the sufficient parking and all the other things.
So I think there's a big value downstream if we want to convert any or all of these to condos. And then in terms of financial performance, I mean, I think everything about finances can be summed up in the word discipline. Tyler and Michelle and the team do a great job on this. And our goal obviously is to expand earnings, expand the dividend, expand the share price. And if we look at 2,009, that was a low point for sure, but enterprise value of about $2,500,000,000 It's about 4.4 times that today with a 2.71% total shareholder return, $84.50 I don't know what it was today, but that's, I guess, what it was a couple of days ago when we published this.
And what you can expect from Kilroy, and you've all heard me say this as we've met at NAREIT and so forth, is more of the same. World class development when it makes sense, dispositions to fund development or acquisitions when that makes sense, Acquisitions when it makes sense, it doesn't really make a lot of sense today unless there's a value add component, sometimes do nothing, but always maintain a strong balance sheet. Don't just expect I could have who could have anybody in this room, 10 years ago thought we were going to essentially be giving money away for 10 years in terms of interest rates. I don't think anybody could raise their hand. If you can and you really did see it, I'd like to hire you because we won't need Elliot as a strategist, we just need a clairvoyant, that would be great.
And then from a growth standpoint, talk a little bit about how we position the company. So number 1 is the core portfolio, as we mentioned in our conference call the other day, is about 21% mark to market, below market. And in our markets, Rob will talk about the fact that we think that those markets are going to grow, not at even rates, but disproportionately higher than most of the rest of the country. So the 21% gap, I think becomes a bigger number over time. Now we can't realize all that until leases roll, but you've seen the power of getting into markets where rentals have rolled up big time, and you've seen that in our recent reporting both on cash and GAAP.
And then development under construction at 2,200,000,000 dollars The office and the life science component, which is the lion's share, is 90% leased at or above pro form a. And we won't talk about any particular project, but we're basically doing around 8% ROC unlevered on office and life science when you add it all together. Obviously, the retail is a little bit lower and the resi is lower. In terms of the future development pipeline, we've got, depending upon how we move things around and so forth, a pretty robust program. We'll talk about that in a minute.
And then on acquisitions, we underwrite everything. A number of you called us, gee, we hear you're buying this building or we hear you're buying that building and are you buying it and it's stabilized and it's core, where's the beef, etcetera. You will hear us being used as a stocking horse as a kind of not an actual one, but to gain other people that are investors to consider properties that Kilroy is underwriting it. They have pretty strict standards. Therefore, we should take a look at it.
We should buy it. A lot of the rumors you hear aren't true, but we do look at everything and we underwrite most everything. And in terms of new markets, Elliott's in charge of monitoring new markets. We're not looking at any other market seriously right now at all. But we long before we went to San Francisco and Seattle, we were looking at them, because we want to make sure when and if it made sense, we knew enough about the market to determine whether we should be there.
Under construction of the $2,200,000,000 projects, Dexter, of course, that was long term leased to Apple and it was done, how many months? I think it was roughly 8 to 9 months before shell completion On Vine, that was leased something like 20 months, 24 months before, shale completion. One Vaseo, you heard what I mentioned a moment ago about that. Town Center Drive is the one building up here other than the one on the right, which we just started. That is that's the 10%.
And all I will say is well, Rob will talk further. On KOP Phase 1, 8 months after starting construction, it was roughly a 34 month, as I recall, to shell completion or stabilization. So we beat that by 24 months. And then we have 2,100 Kettner. And what I want to mention about 2,100 Kettner, it's a little project now for Kilroy.
I never thought that I 20 years ago, if you had told me that $100,000,000 $140,000,000 project is little, I would have said, not for us, it's not, it's huge. But as my 16 year old boy says, dad, the dollar doesn't buy what he used to buy because he's been studying what the dollar was worth in 190 4. By the way, today, dollars 19.04 if he's right, has $4 of purchasing power compared to $1 back I mean, excuse me, has 4% of the purchasing power of a $2,004 In terms of Town Center, I think it's just going to be a fantastic project. KOPP Phase 1, we talked about that. Kettner, what's important about that is it is important to where we and our strategy are going in San Diego.
And I've got a slide on that. Kettler, here it is, brick and timber type building. And it's just a really exciting neighborhood. In some respects, it has similarities to here in that around this neighborhood we are right now, 3,000 apartment buildings have been built since we bought our first building here in 2012, 3,000. So there's a robust supply to accommodate workers.
In Little Italy, you have a huge amount of supply that come on stream that's wonderful and the restaurants and all the vibe. But in assembling this block, it's the only block I think we'll ever be able to assemble in Little Italy. So that we start thinking, okay, Soma, what did it look like when we got there? What did Italy look like when we got there? And what might be the next place to be?
And I think we've kind of figured that out. This, of course, is what we're teeing up. What you see in red is Phase 1 of Kilroy Oyster Point, South San Francisco. And when we talked about this early on, a number of people said, well, is this going to be life science or is this going to be tech or is it going to be both? And I said, we're going to do exactly what we did with the exchange on 6th Street, which we leased to Dropbox.
We had letters of intent before we made that lease for almost all of it with life science companies. And that gave us the idea, frankly, of getting more involved in life science, the early on marketing efforts on the exchange. And what we've done here is we've created a very appealing master plan community. You don't see all the amenities in a little rendering like this. We own the marina in the foreground that's roughly 10 acres.
We can do all kinds of different things with that. The red was 260,000 feet in round numbers to Cytokinetics, a life science company, Stripes corporate headquarters, which was a big expansion for them, and they may expand further. And then we have 2,500,000 square feet that we just are receiving. I think we receive next month or the month after to site plan approval and then we can draw permits when we submit plans. And we're not going to build 2,500,000 square feet all at once, but we have an ability to offer people scalability, which is so important to all these users, because they know if they go in and they take 500,000 square feet or 300,000 feet, they'll likely be in 600,000 square feet or 1,000,000 square feet downstream.
And so we're able to offer that. What's not shown on here, immediately to the right of the photograph is the property that we call Oyster Point Technology Center upon which we have 145,000 feet. We have to go and get entitlements, but I'm confident we'll get them and we can then build another 600,000 or so 100,000 feet, 500,000 feet above the next 2,500,000. That's something to do downstream. But I love these projects where everything you do adds value to what you've already done and creates more value to what you're going to do.
That's the way you should think about us is constantly trying to add value. This is a Flower Mart. And you saw that the lawsuits got settled. We and others were instrumental in that. This project received full approval to Planning Commission.
We'll have our development agreement by the end of the year, and that will permit us to go forward with the first phase. And the first phase is a leasable, rentable market, not Citi. Citi says 1,400,000 square feet. That equates to about 1,700,000 square feet. Remember when we did the exchange and if we went back and you look, Gilderman is looking at me like, yeah, he's going to grill me on this.
We don't have a call in thing. You can ask a Q and A. But here's the way it works. Cities measure it by a different measurement than BOMA measures it by. With the exchange, we had 670,000 square feet, as I recall, worth of entitlements, but it measures 750,000 square feet to BOMA measurement.
So that 1.4 that we're going to get in the first tranche or whatever is about 1.7. And the 2 we'll end up at the end of the day with a little over 2,000,000 square feet of office space at this location, 2,000,000, 2,001,000, whatever it was, 150 100,000 square feet of market hall and some ancillary things. The Flower Mart timeline, you see what's happened in the past on the left. Board of Supervisors approved the project development agreement. That will be done by the end of the year.
And then Flower Mart Construction could start the earliest of 2021. We're not going to start it without a lot of things lined up like I like tenants, I like the capital structure, all the rest, the market's got to be good, etcetera. But that's the earliest we could start it. And so that if that's the earliest we could start it, we could start doing tenant improvements in 2024 and potentially be stabilized in 2025. Don't write that down as an absolute because there's a lot of things again.
I'm giving you what the earliest could happen. And then if we go to the pipeline. So we've blown through our pipeline and a number of you have asked us over the years, well, okay, we'll give you value for what you've done, but we're not going to give you value for what you might do because how can you keep doing this? That is one of the wonderful things about Kilroy. And I'm not saying Kilroy me, I'm saying Kilroy the company.
This is what we do and we've done it time and time and time again. So I'm happy to share with you. This is our East Village site in the upper photograph down in San Diego. We bought 1 and 2 thirds or 1.75 city blocks. It's an area that reminds me exactly of SoMa around 2,008 or so.
A lot of junkies walking around, homeless people here and there. Of course, we've got that in every city now, but a lot of apartments. I think 4,500 apartments have come on stream in the last few years. They released 3,000 are in the pipeline underway right now and another 2,500 behind that. So lots of apartment, great freeway access, got the trolley access and so forth, places where people want to live, where all the restaurants are going, all the entertainment and the gyms and so forth.
And then below that, the recent acquisition, Black Welder here in the Culver City area, which we're really excited about. And in terms of East Village, this is a blow up. It's about 8 minutes to the airport. It's so you see downtown over on the left. You're not going to see big tall buildings like downtown here.
You're going to see buildings like SoMa here. You're going to see projects like we have here in this community. You're going to see different price points as you do now on residential. You're going to see all kinds of other amenities. Transit is not fantastic in San Diego, but it's best at this location probably of any others.
And the existing office supply in this area is zip. It's all old kind of funky or whatever. So we think we've got a really terrific opportunity here. The existing tenant is going to be there for the next couple of years. So we'll be doing our planning.
This is fully entitled. It is not subject to CEQA or any of that stuff. It's got a special district. And then we go to Blackwelder here. If you're got out some hours or whatever over the next few days or you want to work with our team for the future to tour this, we bought a site.
It's got a number of little buildings and it's all leased The rents are about 35% below market. To immediately above it, where you see the red and then you see a white to the left and then blue, the blue. 1200 apartment units underway, a 30 story apartment building, low rise apartments, 100,000 feet of retail, wholesale market right next door. And this project is zoned for a lot more square footage than what's on it today. And our thought is that over the next few years, we'll work towards a plan that robustly increases the square footage at this location.
From a transportation standpoint excuse me, I guess I got to go back. Oops. You see the rail stop right above it here. The metro line is about a 5 minute walk, 4 minute walk to Ivy Station. And you can then go to right downtown to all amenities that Ivy Station has a lot of amenities in downtown, Culver City proper.
And then the next stop is over at our project at Westside Media Center LA and then on down to Santa Monica proper. So this is one of the 2 transportation lines in Los Angeles that actually works. You've got the metro red line, which goes from this downtown and stops here a block away and then goes on down through a number of other entertainment clusters. And then you've got the metro line here or the expo line rather that also really works. And then so if we take a look at our developed pipeline, and I want to caution everybody that we're not going to start all this stuff in 2021.
We're giving you the earliest possible dates. And they can be influenced by cities, it could be influenced by the economy, certainly could be influenced by leasing and capital markets and all the rest. But, you see that in bright screaming yellow, earliest start subject to market and a lot of other things. And this shows you this. By the way, all this is being posted.
So, I should probably tell you that earlier. But you can see the square footage there. South San Francisco, it's a little over 2,000,000 square feet, 2,500,000 square feet. Central SoMa, that's another 2,300,000 with the Flower Mart. Downtown San Diego, pencil in 500,000 to 600,000 feet, probably office.
We don't need to build resi there. Everybody else is building it. So why do it? Culver City, we'll figure that out as we go forward. And then again, development, so we will have done under the what's under construction, what's recently completed, the future pipelines, dollars 12,000,000,000 to $14,000,000,000 stabilized value with a cost of somewhere between $7,000,000,000 $8,000,000 And the value creation, we think is 5% to 6%.
And if you discount that, 6.5%, I mean, there's a lot of things that have to happen. So maybe the discount rate, but that would equate to $3,500,000,000 to $4,500,000,000 in present value. And now Rob is going to talk about the markets. And Rob, don't screw up. I always try to give him a confidence builder.
There you go. And you can read that one.
All right. Thank you.
Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to KRC's Investor Day. I'm going to rearrange things here. I'd like to start with a thank you. A little personal story about this project actually.
When I started at Kilroy in 2013, this project, not this building because this is a historic building, but the rest of the project was a 4 story hole in the ground. And I have to say, this has been, in my career, probably the best, most fun project I've ever worked on. And I think you know all of us that when you're here, when we're at NAREIT, etcetera, you see a lot of videos and skyline shots and things like that. And I think one of the most fun things, most energizing things in working on ground up development is actually taking something that is a hole in the ground and creating a dream, creating something that is that hook that gets a Viacom or that gets a Fender. And the story has to be put together in a way that resonates at various levels within the company because it's no longer just a single user that's making a decision about where they go.
Personnel and HR are involved, so housing needs to be around. And I look at the neighborhood now when we came in today, all the housing that we talked about coming is here now. And when we get into some of our development projects and things I'm going to talk about, you'll see that this theme continues through the Kilroy portfolio. So I'm going to hit on 3 did we I'm going to hit on 3 key areas that tech is the center of everything, and we'll get into that a little bit more in the next slide. Our portfolio, both from a life science, media and tech composite, is so well located compared to other parts of the country.
This is very concentrated in terms of San Diego to Seattle. You have the best of the best. And I think one of the things, again, going back to sort of the Columbia Square analogy I used, is that in each market, we're building product that's unique to that market, that's attracted to the tenants in that market. And the way you market that project is different in Seattle than it is in San Francisco than it is in Hollywood or in San Diego. And that's what makes it really fun and energizing.
And we've got terrific marketing teams, our development teams, our architects, John, everybody that has this vision of what a project can become pulls together to make these things happen. Why are we in tech? Why do we like life science? Well, look at the returns. 2x fire category sorry, fire category folks, but 2x.
And I even lump media into some of that. And that's truly an incredible sorry, wrong slide. But that is an amazing achievement, and that's not letting up. And I hope John's right. I actually hope it's 5 years, but maybe it's 3 years that this cycle has to run.
But what we're seeing on the ground is no let up in terms of tenant demand, tenant interest in product and having conversations about long term needs and space needs. This next slide is going to be controversial, but West Coast has led the IPO value in terms of value as well as just IPOs in the market. And they've been extremely successful. And let's talk about the 2 800 pound gorillas in the room, which are WeWork and Uber. And I'm not going to individually talk about them, but I'm sure that they're all in your mind, and I want to diffuse the questions that I'll get later about the slide and what I just said about the valuation of IPOs.
But in both if you I'm just going to lump them together, but some cases, there were local government problems with the entity. Some cases, they grew too fast. Some cases, there were management issues. So I look at these, and based again on what we see on the ground, these are, right now anyway anomalies. And we're not seeing every company in the world is not just going to knock it out of the park, right?
Some are going to not make it, some are going to knock it out of the park and some are going to be middle of the road. And I think that's what you're seeing in the case of these 2. And the way I look at WeWork especially is that, that space that they've built is really fundamentally a great space. And if they're not using it, tech companies will use it. And I guess I would finish my two comments on WeWork and Uber.
And this goes back to, again, a very California centric kind of thing and also Seattle. But they're innovators, right? You're not going to be getting away from ride sharing until they're autonomous vehicles. You're not going to see co working go away because WeWork is reconstructing itself. So they, in fact, were innovators.
WeWork is New York, so I'll give them a little handshake to New York for innovation as well. In terms of VC funding, which is a big driver for all of this and the unicorns and young companies that are starting, we're right now at $26,000,000,000 so on record on track to meet or surpass 2018, which is a record year. And we're seeing that in Silicon Valley. We're also seeing it in San Francisco with a lot of VC firms actually opening offices in San Francisco. So there are a lot of there's a lot of information on slides, and I'm not going to read through all this.
But one of the fundamental things that really differentiates the West Coast, I think, from other markets is the concentration of an educated workforce. That's what everybody is fighting for, whether you're life science, whether you're media, whether you're technology, you're after that worker. And if you look in the Bay Area or actually just look in California, you've got Stanford, Berkeley, UCSF, UCLA, Caltech, UC San Diego, the list goes on and on. San Diego, not many people know this, but San Diego graduates more engineering students than Cal and Stanford combined. And we'll get into San Diego in a little bit, but San Diego is on the rise.
John touched on it a little bit earlier with our success at One Paseo. And in the past, I think what was happening was those engineering graduates were moving elsewhere because they could get more lucrative jobs in other markets. But tech has found San Diego, and it's going to continue to expand there. That's my feeling. And I think that both our Little Italy side, which is smaller, but our East Village site is really going to appeal to that larger user that wants the quality of life for their employees, the cost of living, etcetera, etcetera.
The last little statistic I'd leave you with is of the top 15 universities nationally, that graduate people in the health care, life sciences and biological fields, 3 of them are in California, the top three, the top 3: UC San Diego, UC Davis and UCLA. So when you blend in that engineering talent to the life science talent, the West Coast really does have a unique position. So John did talk about our development pipeline, and I look back. So we talked about Columbia Square, but there was the exchange. There was last year at this conference, I was answering questions about Dexter and when it would be leased.
Well, we love the tenant we got. We don't use their name often, but we love it. We all use their products. In fact, I have one on me. But Dexter, Academy, that's where we've been.
But then when you look at the portfolio and what potential growth lies ahead between Kilroy Oyster Point to have Phase 1 done already in terms of leasing is unprecedented. And what's not to like about being on the Bay in San Francisco with a 30 plus acre site? It's going to appeal to life science. It does appeal to life science. It's a very tight market there, and it's also obviously appealing to tech because of that recent lease we did.
And I would touch on I think some of the same fundamentals. I talked a lot about the Bay Area, but Seattle has that same educated workforce that everyone's after. San Diego, we touched on. Los Angeles has some great schools as well. But it's also if you look at all of these markets, we're on the coast.
We have there's an end. We're not Arizona. We just can't keep building. And that's what drives value because tough barriers to entry, and eventually, you get to the beach. If you look at the companies that have spawned during this last cycle, California accounted for twothree of all the unicorns in the nation.
And if you look at this list, it's pretty impressive. A lot of these are our tenants, and a lot of them are growing. Some are not tenants, and they will be one day if I have anything to say about it. But there were 120 unicorns created in our markets, in Kilroy Realty Markets, so Seattle, San Francisco, Silicon Valley, Hollywood, etcetera. And it's truly impressive.
And based on what I said earlier, about $26,000,000,000 in year to date funding, we don't see a let up
in that.
So we talked a little bit. I'm going to skip through this pretty quickly. But a lot of what I've been saying leading up to this, and we talked a lot about it at NAREIT or excuse me, on our earnings call, in each market, starting with Seattle, you've got Bellevue and you've got South Lake Union. Those are the 2 places you want to be. I think what's been what's caught up actually is downtown Seattle.
You've seen some tech coming into Downtown Seattle. The advantage of South Lake Union and Bellevue is that you have a little bit more room to spread out and build the type of projects we like to build. Tech still, in a lot of cases, has an aversion to high rise small floorplate buildings because they're just not efficient. But we're going to see double digit rent growth in Seattle, and we're going to continue to see that. And I'll show you a slide in a little bit that underscores where actually the entire West Coast fits within a bigger picture.
San Francisco, just unprecedented. I've never seen it like this in my career. I'm sure some of you have heard Uber is putting space on the market on Market Street. There's the WeWork question. I look at that actually as healthy because it's providing a little bit of a safety valve or a pressure release valve for these tenants where really right now there's no blocks of space over 100,000 feet.
So that Uber space will get absorbed. Some of it's in smaller floor plate buildings which appeal more to a north of market fire category type tenant. But those fire category tenants are also squeezed out by all the absorption that's happened in the market. Hollywood, again, just such a great story. You've got this project.
You've got our Academy project that Netflix is taking. And then John hit on Blackwelder, which is Culver City just down the way here. And rent growth is going to start pushing into the double digits there. No question about it. You've got big players like Amazon.
You've got Apple, both competing for space. And you just look at the 1,000,000,000 and 1,000,000,000 and 1,000,000,000 of dollars that are being poured into developing content. And where is that content being created? Right here. And then San Diego, San Diego, again, it always when we go through our earnings calls, San Diego is always last.
I should start with it actually because it's just such a great story in terms of where rent growth has gone and where it's going to go. You've got Amazon in the market now. Apple's in the market. You've got other tech companies looking in the market. Google has bought many companies in San Diego.
Unfortunately, years ago, they closed those operations and moved them to Colorado Springs or other markets. But they're really starting to see the benefits of San Diego, which are that educated workforce, a lower cost of living for their employees, frankly, probably a little bit better quality of life because you're not commuting an hour to 1.5 hours to get to where you need to go for work. So I think I expect big things in San Diego, and it's really exciting to be working in that market. I'm really pleased that we're 97.3% leased today, and we've leased 3,100,000 square feet year to date. So it's been a really busy year.
And in all those cases, I guess the one I started out with 3 areas that I wanted to focus on. 4th one I'm going to bring up, which is management. You could all sit here today when we go through these vacancy factors, 2% south of market or 1% in South Lake Union or Kilroy Oyster Point, 2%. And it feels like it's a bid ask situation. We just tell them what the rent is, they sign up and we move on.
It's not that at all. In fact, what also is challenging is that you're no longer sitting down with a tenant with a plan of a floor and saying, Here's where your conference room goes, here's where your cafeteria goes, and you lay that out. That's old school and it doesn't it's not what happens anymore. Today, you're custom building, whether it's multiple floors or an entire building for a tenant. So even though we design our buildings to be multitenant or single tenant or life science or office, we sit down once we have a tenant and once we've engaged them, and we start working on what are the things that are important to you.
The CEO rides a bike to work, so we start developing, designing bigger, better, more robust bike storage facilities and bike spas. Actually, I never thought in my life I'd hear about a bike spa, but we're doing a bike spa for 1 tenant. And that part of it is where the value add is. And I think that part of that creation, that design and that working with the tenant is what makes the difference between a mediocre return and a really good return. And I know having been in the private side before in private equity, the returns we're getting at Kilroy are the returns that private side dreams about.
And a lot of it is the markets, but a lot of it is the time and attention that our teams put in, whether it's, again, architecture, construction, development, legal. We all sit around the table and pull a deal together with a company like Stripe. And each tenant is different. You learn so much working with them. Supply and demand, what can we say?
I mean, every quarter, it's been about the same. We're tracking about 10,000,000 square feet in San Francisco. Seattle is about 7,000,000 square feet. These are record years, the last 2 to 3 years, particularly in Seattle. Seattle, I think, has a lot more room to grow in terms of net rent.
As I said, San Diego is on its way and L. A, more of the same because of that pressure. But Seattle is really a bargain, and that's, I think, going to change. Our Life Science platform, we, as you know, have been in San Diego for a long time. We've got Kilroy Oyster Point, and I'm personally really excited that Phase 1 is done because now we get to work on design for Phase 2 and really creating an environment that attracts the best companies.
And one thing that's really, I think, interesting about life science is we talk about tech and we talk about how they use their office space. Life science companies are going through the exact same situation. They're no longer wanting big lab benches. They're building innovation clusters within their floors. They're wanting these amenities.
They're wanting all hand space where you can have auditorium type seating and have your employees there for communication efforts, morale, what have you. And so they are, in essence, fighting for that same talent that our tech companies are. And this also spreads to, it's not just the highly paid professional scientist or engineer, it's also the HR professional, it's the accounting, the finance professional. They're fighting daily to get the best talent. And the way you do that is you attract them to a world class work environment.
So we have right now in our stabilized portfolio 11 buildings, 1,200,000 Square Feet of Life Science, and we're going to grow that. It's a really I think these the way these companies, as we talked about earlier with tech but media, specifically life science, to see how they're changing. And they're probably 4 years behind maybe where tech was in terms of just thinking about how they use their space. That they're moving all their mechanical equipment off of the center of the floor, pushing it into the core and really creating that environment that replicates tech. So I skipped a few slides.
There we go. So this slide, it gets very hard to read, but the I'm going to go down. Seattle, the lowest red line on that screen is Seattle, and that's showing an average rent, office rent of about $50 a foot. And if you look at the demand that's been in Seattle, as I just said, about 9,000,000 feet right now 7,000,000, excuse me. Last year was a record year for rent growth as well as absorption.
This is going to continue. So that Seattle is a bargain, but it's going to move, and it's going to move quickly, and it's going to move by double digits. If you look at San Francisco, which is the top red line on that graph, look where it sits in other world markets. Hong Kong being the most expensive, London second, even New York, Manhattan, up in the top five. So we think on the West Coast markets, there's a lot of room to move in terms of rents.
And honestly, I don't want to say that tenants are rent insensitive, but it's not when we're negotiating a lease, rent is a component of it. But I'd say equally as important to these companies is growth. How do they grow? So if they take 500,000 feet from you, how do they get to 750? How do they get to 1,000,000 over time?
So I'm done. I will just hit on a couple of key takeaways again. The technology, media and life science are going to continue to grow. They're the engine that are driving our business as well as a lot of other businesses. The West Coast markets remain vibrant.
Each and every one we're in It's just so exciting to work in because it's just very, very busy time. And then lastly, I'd say we're uniquely positioned in the way that we design, develop our projects and the way we engage. John said something earlier about estate professionals, being able to call them 2 or 3 years into a lease and have a conversation about maybe we need something or they call us because they need something but collaborating. And that often leads to expansion discussions, which is part of what I love. But John takes it very seriously.
He's met with probably 5 or 6 CEOs of clients of ours in the last 3 months, I'd say. I take it seriously. It's a lot of what I do. And our regional leads, each one is a local sharpshooter. They deal with the local personnel in these companies as well.
So it's an exciting time to be at Kilroy. If you can tell, I'm a little pumped up about it because there's a lot going on, and it's really been rewarding. So with that, I'm now going to turn it over to my colleagues, Michelle and Elliot, who will take over.
Thank you. Hello, everyone. Welcome to the second half of our presentation. Not only will we be covering a lot of numbers today, but we're giving everyone a guitar. Just kidding.
That would cut into FFO way too much. But if you want to buy 1, we know where Fender works. So with that, let's get started. So 3 key messages that Elliot and I will be covering in our section today. One, we're going to support our thesis that we've got the best class best in class portfolio.
2, we're going to demonstrate that our portfolio outperforms the peers as well as our broader markets through metrics and analytics. And 3, we're going to talk about portfolio selection. And we're going to show you that our portfolio is well located and well positioned for the future. So let's talk about some of our best in class metrics. Six very impressive numbers here that you should associate with Kilroy.
1, cash same store NOI. Over the past 5 years, just under 5%. 2, we've got baked in annual escalators that range between 2.5% to 4%. 3, John and Rob talked a lot about the attractiveness of our portfolio. Well, that has translated into really strong
occupancy and leasing numbers.
4, with respect We have signed more than 9,000,000 square feet
of leases,
We have signed more than 9,000,000 square feet of leases in the stabilized portfolio at an average cash spread of 18% and 36% on a GAAP basis. 5, we've got a very sophisticated operating strategy. It's leasing, leasing, leasing and growing revenues and cutting expenses, which has helped us maintain an NOI margin of about 72%. And 6th, with respect to CapEx, in light of the large leasing volumes, we've been able to maintain CapEx as a percentage of NOI in that 18% range. And Elliot is going to cover it a little bit further in his section.
So touching on leasing for a little bit, leasing is the engine that drives our company. If we're not leasing space, we're not doing our job. So slide 51 looks at our track record leasing over the last 6 years. And what we want you to take away from this is we've leased 1.8 times the amount of space that has been expiring on a particular year. So what exactly does that mean?
Well, three thoughts. 1, Michel referenced our occupancy and how high it's been over this cycle. You don't get to a high occupancy and you don't maintain a high occupancy unless you have more people coming in the portfolio than going out. And you can see from the chart here that was the case. 2, our ability to deal with vacancy.
While we would love every tenant to stay in our portfolio forever, occasionally some tenants decide to leave. This chart shows that we have the ability to address those vacancies if and when they happen. And then 3rd, our leasing spreads. So if you look at the numbers in yellow, you can see that we've had pretty attractive leasing spreads over this timeframe. Well, if we're leasing more space than is expiring in a particular year, we're realizing that mark to market sooner.
So we think that's a good outcome. So with that said, how does our lease schedule look going forward?
Michelle? So let's take a look. This is the next 6 years in terms of our expirations. It's smooth and manageable. It's going to average about 7%, which compares favorably to the 11.5% over the prior 6 years.
With the exception of 2 in 2024, there's only 1 greater than 100,000 square feet in each year. Specifically in 2020, we've got as we've mentioned on prior calls in the Q4, we've got an exploration in Long Beach that's about 135,000 square feet. And in the Q1, we've got a slightly smaller one. It's about 60,000 square feet in Seattle. Now on one hand, we've got a very manageable rollover profile.
But on the other hand, we've got the opportunity to really capture the below market rents as you see in yellow there. And as Elliot mentioned, we have signed 2x the number of expirations. So we've got a really great opportunity to capture this increase in rents as rents continue to rise.
So touching on operating margins briefly, Michel referenced our super sophisticated operating strategy of pushing rents and cutting expenses. It took us a while to come up with that one. We're pretty proud of it. But the byproduct of that is margins that you can see here are pretty healthy and compare favorably to peers.
Let's take a look at our top 15 tenants. The chart to the left is data as of ninethirty. Our top 3 tenants, Apple, Dropbox and Adobe. All 15 tenants are publicly traded companies or subsidiaries of publicly traded companies. 9 of the 15 are investment grade rated.
Let's look at the chart to the right, what's highlighted in yellow. On a pro form a basis, pro form a for the significant leasing we've done in the stabilized and development portfolio, we added 4. It's Cruise, Stripe, Netflix and DoorDash. Apple, including its sublease with at our Matilda campus in Sunnyvale, will be the 2nd largest tenant after Dropbox. On a top on a pro form a basis, our top 15 tenants will comprise just under 50% of our revenues.
And the average lease term is about 10.5 years. So we think this is a really powerful revenue base, long term leases with really strong high quality tenants. And generally, from a credit underwriting perspective, we've got a very extensive and diligent process. We generally line up calls with tenant financial teams. And oftentimes, it's with the CEO and CFOs.
And ultimately, we obtain really large letters of credit. To date, we have about $225,000,000 in LCs. And lastly, you must be asking us what our WeWork exposure is. Well, it's 0. Our total co working exposure is about 1% of our revenues.
So switching to analytics for a little bit. We've talked a lot about our portfolio quality and we know how much everyone in the room likes numbers, so we figured we'd look at some numbers and see if they support what you've been hearing about our portfolio quality. If they don't, you probably won't be hearing from us next year, but let's see. So we're going to touch on 2 topics: 1, our submarket selection and then 2, CapEx. So starting with submarket selection, You can see on Slide 55, we have the change in vacancy and change in rents over the last cycle, starting from 2010, all these numbers as per CBRE.
Well, when looking at something like this, it isn't exactly helpful in analyzing Kilroy. Two reasons why. 1, we're not just the San Francisco company. We're not just the Los Angeles company. We're a mixture of all of these companies, the markets that you see here in red.
And then secondly, we're not in every submarket in San Diego or every submarket in Seattle. We're in specific submarkets that we decided are the best place to concentrate our assets. So with that said, if you took all of Kilroy's submarkets, roll them up together, what would that look like? How would that have performed? Let's take a look.
Slide 56 addresses that question. And what you can see here is that we've had a 9% decline in vacancy over the past cycle. That compares to the U. S. At 4%, LA 4%, San Francisco 8.5%.
So we did better than all of those. We also did well compared to our peer group. You might be asking yourself, well, didn't all the West Coast markets do well? Where did Kilroy actually add value? And that's a fair question and that's one that we asked ourselves as well.
And so said another way, how did the submarkets that we concentrated our portfolio in compare to the metro region in which they sat? Did they add value or did they detract from value? Well, let's take a look. This slide addresses that very question. And the way to read it is, if your bar is below the x axis, your submarkets outperformed the metro region in which they sat.
And if your bar is above the x axis, they did not. So Kilroy submarkets outperformed their region by 130 basis points. Some reasons why: Delmar Heights in San Diego, South Lake Union in Seattle, and Soma in San Francisco all outperformed the regions in which they sat. So we think that this speaks to not only Kilroy having the right top down strategy of focusing on the West Coast, but we optimized value creation by concentrating our portfolio in the best part of the West Coast. Michelle, how would this look if we looked at rents?
Let's take a look. So using the same data from the same timeframe, our markets generated a rent growth of 77%. But we all know West Coast markets did really well during this timeframe. So the question is, did we benefit purely from market strength or did we differentiate ourselves through specific submarket selection? Our submarkets outperformed its peers or the broader market, sorry, by more than 10.5%.
In particular, Del Mar, Hollywood and SoMa performed its respective broader markets by 10%, 20% 35%. Now while we recognize this data is historical, in looking forward, we think our 2 recent acquisitions in our 2 new submarkets of Culver City and East Village, both embody very similar characteristics to that of our existing submarkets in terms of vibrancy, live, work, play and access to transit will be primed for outperformance in coming years. So this analysis using vacancy rates and rent growth, hopefully, we've demonstrated that our assets are very well located.
So moving to CapEx, Michelle referenced at the top of our section that we've averaged you can see here is in line to slightly better than average versus our public peers? But secondly, and probably more important, is what return, if any, are investors getting on this capital? How can we demonstrate that? Well, we put a little case study together to try to answer that question. We took all of our same store assets starting from 2015.
We excluded development assets and we said, how much capital from 2015 to today have we spent in total? And by the way, this represents about 60% of our company. So over this time period, we spent a total of $300,000,000 in capital. Building improvements, tenant improvements, leasing it's everything. But more and possibly more importantly, our annual NOI run rate by the end of this period was $60,000,000 higher.
So said another way, for every dollar in CapEx that we spent, the NOI run rate went up $0.20 We think that 20% return, if you will, is an attractive one. Now, you might be asking, where do we go from here? And while we can't exactly give you a number, we do want to point to our capital allocation, our capital recycling over the last few years. John referenced it earlier in his remarks, but when you look at the types of assets that we've been selling, not only are they non strategic assets in less core markets, they were capital intensive assets in markets that didn't have a high return on that capital. Conversely, and we've taken those proceeds, and we've redeployed them into development and select acquisitions, which have much lower CapEx burdens.
So we feel that investors are not only getting a turnover that is accretive in quality, but we're doing so in a cash flow friendly manner. We hope that these short but sweet analyses that we put together demonstrate that we're thoughtful and analytical when it comes to our capital allocation and our portfolio composition.
So we started with 3 key messages and we're going to wrap up with 3 key takeaways. One, we've got a very strong internal leasing team with a top notch tenant base. 2, we've got a lease rollover profile that is both manageable as well as allows us the opportunity to capture significant upside as rents continue to increase. And 3, we've got a differentiated portfolio and platform. So with that, I'm going to turn it over to Tyler Rose, our CFO to cover even more numbers.
Yes. Okay. Thank you. Thank you, Michelle. Good afternoon, everybody.
The only thing standing between you and a potential Fender guitar are a few more number slides. So here we go. I'm going to focus on 3 key messages as the rest of the team did. The first one relates to our long standing commitment to a strong balance sheet. The second one gets into our embedded NOI growth, both from a stabilized and a development perspective.
And the third, how that drives earnings in NAV and dividends higher over time. So many of you have seen this chart before. It sort of shows you our investment grade metrics. I think a couple of points to point out is debt to EBITDA is very important to us. We're currently at 6.0 times.
I'll have another slide on this later several slides on this later, but this number does move up and down, but our goal over time is to be in that high five, low 6 range. The second is our borrowing capacity. We have nothing drawn on our line today. So we have a lot of liquidity, a lot of debt capacity. And the third is to say that our 95% of our portfolio is unencumbered.
We have very little secured debt, which gives us a lot of flexibility to sell properties and to move tenants around. That isn't true when you have mortgages and debt to deal with lenders. From a debt maturity perspective, you can see on the chart, we have a small $150,000,000 floating rate term loan in 2022, but nothing really major until 2023. So we think we're really well positioned here. It's well staggered.
It's conservative, gives us a lot of flexibility. Again, back to debt to EBITDA and leverage in general, you've seen this say before, we'd like to be on the left side of this chart. We will move around as we start new development, we tend to move to the middle of this chart. And then as we complete new development and EBITDA comes online, like we're going to see in 2020 2021, we'll move back to the left. But again, we want to be in that 6x high 5, mid to low 6 range over time.
Debt to market cap, again, we're very strong today. That is important, but we really focus on debt to EBITDA. From a funding and spending perspective, we have $850,000,000 to spend over the next 3 years on our under construction properties. About $500,000,000 of that is in 2020. We currently have about $250,000,000 of either cash or ATM availability to fund that.
So the remainder will come from dispositions. We obviously have access to the debt and equity markets. And so we have very easy funding for 2020. In terms of the future projects, that's subject to market conditions. You can see it ranges from a $0 to $1,000,000,000 That's there's an opportunity there where we may look at joint ventures as we've talked about.
This chart sort of shows how we've managed to keep our investment grade balance sheet during a long period of significant growth. We've averaged 6.3x from a debt to EBITDA perspective during this entire period. And if you look at the far right in the chart, it sort of shows 2 examples of a worst case or a downside case, which assumes we have only debt to fund our remaining under construction properties and we don't achieve any additional leasing. And the far right chart or bar shows if we do the leasing. But you can see it's really not that sensitive.
We're in that low 6% range or high 5% range in either event. And that's again our goal. And this chart shows how we've de risked our development through leasing. This is debt as a I mean, development as a percentage of enterprise value. We've averaged 13%.
You can see we're at 15% today, but 13% of that, and this is office we're talking about, 13% of that is leased and only 3% is not. So we're very comfortable at this level of development as percentage of enterprise value, because it's leased. And you can see some of our stats here. We were 97% leased upon stabilization in our development portfolio. And then moving to embedded growth on the stabilized portfolio, as you know, our same store numbers for 2019 are relatively flattish, but the second half of the year has been positive, and we think that trajectory will continue into 2020.
Part of that's due to all the leasing we've done and the 2018 expirations we have now, we'll have a full year. And part of it's due to rents as all the other speakers have talked about. Our portfolio was 21% below market and our 2020 expirations are 17% below market. So we think same store is going to be much better in 2020 and we'll be providing guidance on that in the Q4 call. In terms of development embedded growth, you can see all the projects we've been talking about over the next 8 years.
The 1st 4 years are sort of baked. We know these are real projects. Leasing is basically done. This is coming online, lots of NOI growth. The remaining 4 years really depends on market conditions and when we start those projects, but I don't think there's any company in our sector that has this amount of embedded growth in their portfolio.
And then this is an illustrative example of how that NOI growth in terms of numbers. So we're at $500,000,000 today. With the under construction properties, we moved to 45% growth to a roughly $700,000,000 of NOI. And then with our future development, again, depending on timing, we'll drive it to over $1,000,000,000 of NOI. So that's double the NOI where we are today with what we've got going on right now.
So if you move that to how that affects earnings, if we get a GAAP return, let's just say conservatively of 7% to 8%, and let's say our cost of capital is roughly 5% right now, So that's a 2% to 3% spread on development. And you look back at the prior chart, all those 1,000,000,000 of dollars of development, that's pretty powerful earnings growth and the ability to raise dividends. And that's what we've been doing. If you look back over this cycle, 2010 to today, we've grown FFO 65%, well ahead of our peers. We've grown NAV 167%, well ahead of our peers.
And we've grown our dividend since 2016, 29%, well ahead of our peers. So we think with the embedded growth, with the NOI growth, we can continue this trajectory into the future. So I'm going to turn it back to John to wrap up. John?
I don't know if I'm on. Yes, I am. Thanks, Tyler. Appreciate it. Thank you.
Okay. We're like literally a minute from Q and A, which is going to be very short, so we can have some fun. Those guitars over there, somebody is going to go home with some of those things. So I finally have to look at a note. Just a couple of quick things here.
We've talked a lot about our platform, how we think we've differentiated ourselves from our competitors and with our clients. It's interesting. We talk a lot about office space as we talk about things with you. We rarely ever talk about office space with our tenants and we rarely call them tenants. We call them partners And we talk about workplace environments and how we can be partners with them and helping them to attract and retain their most valuable asset, their people.
And Rob mentioned that I meet with a lot of CEOs. I met with a CEO last week at our Innovation Center in San Francisco of a company. This is his 3rd company. This is already a unicorn. It's going to be huge.
And one of his advisors is a friend of mine, CFO, previous CFO of a major tech company in San Francisco. And he said, look, we've leased 20 some 1000 feet from you or at least we're under a letter of intent. We need a path to 500,000 square feet in 5 years and a path to 1,000,000 square feet in 10, and maybe that'll be in 5. And you're the people that we know can accommodate us. We have to do business with you.
You've got the reputation. When he talks to his peers, the people that are the CEOs, more frequently than not, they're in their 30s or 20s of a lot of the companies we do business with. It's an ecosystem or a club, but it's an ecosystem that you want to be part of. And we've worked very hard to be part of that ecosystem. So the last comment I'd leave you with is this, before I talk about Fender.
This doesn't happen overnight, and it didn't happen just because of me and Jeff and Tyler and Michelle and others. It's happened because we have an extraordinary team of people. A bunch of them, if they're tall and young and male, they're back there someplace. And if they could be tall or not as tall, women are also back there. They're some of the brightest people in our industry.
And I'm really proud to call them associates and partners of mine. So with that, I think we do we go to Q and A or do we talk about Fender? Q and A. Okay. Who's got a question?
Nobody. That's awesome. Oh, somebody over there. No, behind way over there. Whoever that is.
Yes, raise your hand again, please. Can you talk about the Blackwelder sorry. Can we talk about Blackwelder? Can we talk about the Blackwelder deal, your basis and what the long term investment horizon is? Yes.
I tried to cover that, but the cost was 100
dollars? $89,000,000 am I allowed to know?
100 and what was Blackwell, dollars 186,000,000 I remember the numbers better, yes.
But going in yield? Going in yield was mid-3s, but we're going to drive that to 6% with the growth in the rents.
And from a redevelopment standpoint, I don't want to give you a specific number. That was Jamie, was it? I don't want to give you a specific number because we've got to go through an entitlement process. I just assume our competitors don't know what we're going for. But I can tell you the Cumulus project next door was roughly 4 FAR.
And the FAR and if we did the 4 FAR, we'd be sort of 600,000 feet. I think we or 650,000 feet. We may do better than that. We'll see. Yes, Michael?
Thanks. John, you have an amazing growth profile embedded in the company between the development and the core. You talked a little bit about looking at other markets and said there was nothing immediately on the horizon. But what markets are you spending the most time from a research perspective that you think could be additive to the enterprise?
Well, first of all, I want to make clear, we have no discussion going on or plan at this point to grow into another market. But we've assessed a lot. I'm reluctant to share that for competitive reasons. I don't think it gets us anywhere if we do that. But if they are vibrant markets that are appealing to technology or entertainment and those that follow and have the amenities, the transportation, lifestyle, the culture and all the rest, you could sort of say that would be amongst the list of good candidates.
I will say that our markets have expanded even within the clusters we have now because how we speak in terms of circles is where we want to be. It's not always adding another circle. Sometimes the circle gets bigger, and that's what we've seen in San Diego. So I right now, I look at it, I go, the opportunities within 2 hour plane ride of where we're headquartered are amazing. So why would we go someplace else at this point?
But that doesn't mean we won't look. Yes, Steve. Sorry. I beg your pardon. I'll come back.
No, Steve, I saw your hand. I'm sorry, guys. The light's very unfair. I can see some people, but not everybody.
Yes. Can you just talk about some of the land opportunities you're looking at in Bellevue and how you sort of look at that submarket? You've done a lot in South Lake Union. Sort of what are the opportunities on the east side of Seattle?
Yes. You've heard me say that one of the things we like about Seattle is that the rents are relatively cheap compared to other markets where the same kinds of tenants are. San Francisco, we're now seeing rents in the $80 triple net range for quality product. I think we'll see better than that, frankly, on some of the projects to come. Seattle, by comparison, was when we entered it, it was sort of in the mid to low 20s with a previous high of 32.
When we underwrote the 333 Dexter, we underwrote it, I think, at 37. And we did, obviously, a lot better than that. Rents are going to go up a lot more in those markets. Bellevue has got some good things going for us, got some transportation. One thing that makes me a little nervous about Bellevue is there's so many such concentration of really of a few really big companies.
And down in Lake Union and Seattle, you have a much greater diversity of tenant and a much greater number of big and midsized tenants. So we're trying to figure out exactly what we're going to do. I think if you listen to our Q3 call, you might have a little bit more clarity, but they're both great markets. A lot going on in Bellevue right now, a lot going on. Most of it's positive.
I think you're going to see and we've seen already some people. If you want to be in a circle within Bellevue, and that doesn't mean the circle won't expand, you're seeing some people pay up for some stuff that I don't think is going to be in the circle in the next 10 years just because it's got a Bellevue name. You see the same thing in West LA or here, San Francisco, some people buying some stuff just because it's in San Francisco or just because it's here, and it's not the stuff that we're really interested in. So I'm sorry to be wordy, but hopefully that gives you a little bit more clarity. I think it was yes, sir.
Do we only have one microphone? Okay. Let's let's let's okay. I'm sorry. I didn't even know you had one over there.
But hang on. Go ahead.
John, last year, around this time, I think we were talking about Prop C in San Francisco.
And
since then, we've had like the Uber contractor contract law get passed. I mean, can you talk about the regulatory environment in your markets and how does that come up in the conversations with your tenants and partners when they're making such long term decisions?
There's been a fair number of pieces written, and I don't want to give the reference incorrectly, but I think it's by a number of the major brokerage firms, international and U. S. Big real estate brokerage firms, talking about how they think that most of these tenants are relatively in insensitive to it. They've bone and grown about it. It's more about people than it is about taxes.
I'm old school. I believe if you pay for a pothole to be fixed, you should get a pothole to be fixed. You shouldn't pay for a pothole to be fixed only to continue an unsupportable pension program and never get the pothole fixed. I hate to be so corny, but that's the way I look at it, very simplistically. So what we're seeing, you see it in New York, you see it in Chicago, you see it in every big city in the United States.
We're seeing infrastructure that needs to be dealt with, they got to find a way to deal with homeless, and they got to find a way to provide more affordable housing. So you're ending up with all kinds of legislation, And some of it's good, and we support. And some of it is cockamamie, and it's stupid. And sometimes the stupid stuff gets passed. And all you need to do is look at Washington and ask if you're happy.
And that's every other government agency seems to be a microcosm of that same kind of insanity. So I personally don't like debt. I personally don't like potholes. I personally don't like homeless. I personally don't like all these propositions.
And one of the reasons these cities do it and the state does propositions is because you don't have politicians leading and finding real solutions. You have a lot of people talk. And so all I can tell you is that when we talk to our tenant base, some of them will go, yes, I'm irritated in that. They may, at the margins, say they want to do something different or whatever, but we're not really seeing it the way. I think, what's wrong with me?
I'm just I guess I'm too conservative. And a lot of people just don't seem to get bothered by this. I don't want to be pollyannish about it. I think the policies in some of these cities are absolutely insane. The fact that you can have people out defecating on the street, shooting up, whether it's on the incline this California incline in Santa Monica or whether it's around here, whether it's in San it doesn't matter where it is.
It's a public health issue. And so I'd like to see more done that really gets our cities cleaned up and whatnot. But I'm not seeing it with tenants saying we're going to leave. That doesn't mean some of them won't say that, and some may feel it. We're just not seeing it.
Yes, sir?
Yes. So it's probably a related issue. I mean, your fundamentals are obviously excellent. And so in terms of the worry words out there, would tax Is that Rich? No, it's James Sorbo.
Okay, sorry. I couldn't tell who it was. I thought I recognized the voice. Pardon me. Go ahead.
Yeah. So, would tax uncertainty be in the top three risks for Kilroy in the next year? Tax uncertainty? Yeah.
No. I think it all starts with idiots on the right and idiots on the left. And there's not enough people in between. I think that's the biggest risk we've got as a country, whether it's looking at Kilroy or looking at international harvester or looking at your own jobs and whatnot, I think we've just got idiots running the ship. I think that's 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th, 10th and maybe all the way to 20.
I'm not thinking do I like the taxes? No. My personal taxes, your taxes, everybody that's in the 1% by the way, what is 1% like $200,000 or something? Everybody in that 1%, their taxes in California, New York, all these places skyrocket because you can't deduct your state income tax. But I'm not hearing of anybody any companies moving because of that.
What you hear is companies expanding into markets in which they can find that which is their most dearest asset, which are highly qualified people, not moving away from the generally expanding into. Anybody else? Okay. We've nailed it. What am I supposed to do now?
You're going to introduce. Jay?
Jay Luke. Yes. Thanks, John
and Tyler.
Yes, last one. But it's a 2 part. Could you tell us a little bit about the expected same store or year over year earnings growth of 7% and how you expect the dividend to continue to grow in line with that? And then secondly, if you can talk about the high low on NOI doubling from $500,000,000 to $600,000,000 to $1,000,000,000 and what major milestones you have to hit to see that happen?
Well, on the dividend, so we as I mentioned in my comments, we've grown the dividend 29% over the last 4 years. We're not going to talk specifically about what our dividend growth is, but usually every May, we increase the dividend. And given our earnings growth has been pretty substantial and our earnings in 2020 should grow again, we would anticipate nice dividend growth in 2020. But I'm not going to get into the specifics, but it should follow the same pattern. And the second question It was getting to the $1,000,000,000 of NOI.
Yes, I mean that was the $500,000,000 to $715,000,000 was basically what's baked. Those are under construction properties leased. We're going to get to that $715,000,000 The $715,000,000,000 to the $1,000,000,000 is the future Flower Mart KOP Phase 2 to 4, so forth. When we start those, how those time out is unknown, but when we finish all those, that's when you get to the $1,000,000,000 So that could be over a longer period of time.
Okay. So thank you all for your questions. Thanks for bearing with us. I want to say whoever organized the air conditioning, thank you because normally these things are way too warm. And I want to talk a little bit about fender because, Shannon, are you coming up here?
Do I go ahead and say this? Okay. So Shannon Kanuth, who's our Senior Vice President of Marketing, is going to join me here in a minute. She and her team have put this event together. They do a lot of events, up and down the platform for us.
But this evening, you've seen the guitars, you heard us talk about Fender. They're obviously an iconic brand here in the United States. They're the probably without question the coolest tenant we have. They're one of my favorite. They're amazing people.
And I'm so proud that they returned from California. The roots were in Orange County in California. They moved, I think, to Arizona. They moved back here. They made the decision.
They really wanted to be in a cool place that represented their brand to their international and national clientele. They've got a lot of great things going on where you can do online guitar lessons and whatnot. Shannon will talk about that or somebody will, but they're just an amazing company. They're 70 3 years old. They're synonymous with all things rock and roll.
And Shannon, here we go.