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Earnings Call: Q3 2016

Nov 3, 2016

Speaker 1

Afternoon, and welcome to the Las Vegas Sands Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Daniel Briggs.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Joining me on the call today is Sheldon Adelson, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Rob Goldstein, our President and Chief Operating Officer and Patrick Dumont, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before I turn the call over to Mr. Adelson, please let me remind you that today's conference call will contain forward looking statements that we are making under the Safe Harbor provisions of federal securities laws. The company's actual results could differ materially from the anticipated results in those forward looking statements.

In addition, we may discuss non GAAP measures. A definition and a reconciliation of each of these measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures is included

Speaker 3

in the press release.

Speaker 2

We also want to inform you that we have posted supplementary earnings slides on our Investor Relations website for your use. We may refer to those slides during the Q and A portion of the call. Finally, for those who would like to participate in the Q and A session, we ask that you limit yourself please to one question and one follow-up question, so we can allow everyone with interest to participate. Please note that this presentation is being recorded. With that, let me now turn the call over to Mr.

Chairman, Sheldon Adelson.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Dan. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I'm pleased we continued to execute our strategic objectives during the quarter and delivered a strong set of financial results with company wide adjusted EBITDA reaching 1,000,000,000 dollars 140,000,000 an increase of 9% over the prior year. The quarter was distinguished by an outstanding result in Macau, where we achieved solid growth in mass gaming revenues, increased our EBITDA and profit margin and opened the Parisian Macau with a smashing success. In Singapore, Marina Bay Sands continues to deliver steady cash flow with adjusted property EBITDA being in line with last year.

The resilience and consistency in cash generation reflects both the strength of our business model and the geographic diversity of our cash flows, which in turn underpins our balance sheet strength. Accordingly, we can and will continue to return excess cash to shareholders while maintaining our ability to invest in new development opportunities. If you may recall, I first indicated back in January that we were seeing signs of stabilization in mass gaming revenues in Macau and in June our mass gaming revenues saw positive year on year growth for the first time in 2 years. I'm pleased to say that this encouraging trend continued in the Q3. Our mass table revenues grew by 6% year over year, the first quarter of positive growth since quarter 3 of 2014.

This growth rate accelerated to 15% in the month of September as we benefited from the strong opening of the Paris in Macau. 9 years ago, we opened the Venetian Macau which was the first step in realizing my vision for the Cotai Strip. A critical mass of MICE based integrated resource that will contribute to the development of Macau as a world center for leisure and business tourism. The opening of Parisian Macau not only significantly enhances our critical mass on the Cotai script, but adds another themed iconic must see destination that will be complementary to the Venetian Macau. While I never doubted the Breeze and Sotheby suggest, it was nonetheless very gratifying to see the property open with such strong patronage across all its different facilities and amenities.

For the 1st 18 days of operations, adjusted property EBITDA averaged US1.1 million dollars per day and daily visitations to the prison and daily visitations to the Parisian exceeded 40,000. We experienced no noticeable cannibalization at our existing properties after the opening of the Parisian. And if anything, we saw an increase in activity in the hotels on our Kokai Strip development, including the casinos. Our marketing efforts leading up to the property opening clearly paid dividends. A Parisian Macau hashtag on major Chinese social media social media channels recently exceeded, listen to this, 1,200,000,000 views and impressions.

To the best of our knowledge, this is unprecedented. This awareness has translated into strong property visitation. Based on our customer surveys at the various points of entry in Macau since the Parisian opening, the most visited casino resort in Macau remains The Venetian, and in 2nd place was Perision. Our strategic vision was to create a critical mass of interconnected resorts on Cotai. With the completion of the Parisian, we have almost 13,000 hotel rooms and 4 interconnected resorts, over 8 40 stores across 4 shopping malls, 2,000,000 square feet of meeting and exhibition space and 4 performance and event venues including our Venetian Cote Arena which can be utilized either for our MICE business or for major entertainment events.

This critical mass of product and amenities allows us to cater to virtually every type of business. Business and leisure visitors from Macau will be able to enjoy all of this and more under one roof at one destination without ever leaving the buildings. You never leave air conditioned space. Because of our industry leading investments in MICE based integrated resorts in both Macau and Singapore, which places us in the pole position when it comes to emerging market opportunities. We are unique in the absolute scale of our EBITDA and cash flow as well as in our dominant share of the industry's EBITDA and cash flow.

Scale, diversity and critical mass allow us to outperform our competitors. Our ability to generate consistent and industry leading cash flow in turn underpins our balance sheet strength. That balance sheet strength at 2x net debt to EBITDA at the end of the third quarter allows us to stay fully committed to our development plans while continuing to return excess capital to shareholders. Again, this is unique in our industry. Now let me give you some additional highlights of our results in Macao for the quarter.

For quarter 3, adjusted EBITDA for our Macao operations was US629 million dollars an increase of 15% against the prior year and an increase of 29% against the prior quarter. Growth was driven by strong mass gaming revenues, continued execution on cost efficiency programs and higher hold in the Premiums Direct segment. All normalized EBITDA was 5.65 $1,000,000 up 5% against the prior year and up 14% against the prior quarter. Whole normalized EBITDA margin in our Macao operations improved to 34.7%, an increase of 170 basis points against the prior year, primarily reflecting cost efficiencies and improved business mix. Rob and Patrick can elaborate on this later.

We have realized more than US300 $1,000,000 of annual cost savings since quarter 1 of 2015. And we also achieved our annualized cost avoidance of US140 $1,000,000 by leveraging existing resources for the opening of the Precinct. Sustainability including energy efficiency is a strategic imperative for the company and we are proud that the Parisian Macau is our most energy efficient property to date. The Parisian Macau is targeting LEED silver certification for new construction and would be the 1st integrated resort in Macau to achieve this distinction for the entirety of its operation. LEED Certification addresses sustainability measures including energy and water efficiency, waste management and indoor air quality.

We are proud that our focus on sustainability will help us minimize the impact we have on the environment, while also providing a financial benefit in the future. Our mass table gaming revenue in total grew by 6% year over year, while our premium mass segment grew by 15%, a solid result given the significant increase in gaming and hotel capacity in the market. We experienced broad based growth across premium mass and mass segments underpinned by our ability to drive increased patronage with hotel accommodation, shopping malls and entertainment events. During the quarter which included the peak summer season, hotel occupancy across our portfolio increased by almost 4 percentage points against the prior year and 90% despite significant growth in both our own inventory and that of the markets. This again highlights our advantage during peak periods with the higher hotel occupancy feeding positively into our gaming and retail revenue.

In a market where peak periods, weekends and holidays matter than ever before and where mass market customers will generate the lion's share of future revenue and profit growth. Our capacity advantage was further strengthening by the opening of the Parisian. The Parisian Macau generated US19 $1,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA in its 1st 18 days of operation. Mass table and slot revenue per day at the Parisian was US2.6 million dollars while hotel occupancy was 88%. Not only has the Parisian been successful as a standalone property, I believe the Parisian also benefits our entire Cotai portfolio.

Our overall Macau property visitations increased by 19% in September compared to the same month end of prior year. The Plaza Four Seasons property in particular has experienced an uplift in visitation and business volumes since the Parisian opened. It is also worth noting that despite the recent increase in the supply of luxury retail in Macau, our retail sales at Four Seasons Mall grew by 7% in September. The completion of the bridge between Four Seasons and the Prairies in late November will further increase the synergies in traffic and patronage between our properties. Last night I got a call from Will Provong, our President of Macau confirming that we will open by the end of November.

We'll open that bridge, pedestrian bridge connecting the Parisian with Lot 2. We remain fully committed to playing the pioneering role in Macau's transformation into Asia's leading business and leisure tourism destination. At TrackRack and in being transformative, pioneers in mice, retail and entertainment speaks for itself. In summary, we regard it as a privilege to contribute to Macau's success in realizing its objective of diversifying its economy. Supporting the growth of local businesses, providing meaningful career development opportunities for its citizens including through our Sands Academy and reaching its full potential as Asia's leading business and leisure tourism destination.

Regarding Sands Academy, we were the first ones in Macau to include a career development center of this scale or of any scale in our operations from the beginning. First career development center was opened 9 years ago in August 27 when we first opened the Venetian Macau. We have been committed to the career growth of our team members since the beginning. We have steadfast confidence in both our and Macau's future success. Now moving on to Marina Bay Sands in Singapore.

We delivered a solid quarter at Marina Bay Sands with EBITDA of US391 $1,000,000 Total normalized EBITDA was US368 $1,000,000 Our mass win per day was in line with prior year and grew 6% against the prior quarter in constant currency. Electronic gaming revenue reached an all time quarterly record when measured in Singapore dollars. The hotel continued its strong performance with occupancy of 98% and an ADR of $4.75 which was an all time record for Marina Bay Sands and a 10% increase compared to the prior year quarter. Our retail mall continued to outperform the Singapore market with tenant sales per square foot for the year ending September 30 of approximately US1400 dollars Let's move on to my favorite subject, Yay dividends. The return of capital to shareholders.

Las Vegas Sands Board of Directors has approved a $0.04 increase in our recurring dividend program for the 2017 calendar year, bringing our annual dividend to 2 $0.92 or $0.73 per quarter. We remain committed to maintaining our recurring dividend programs at both Las Vegas Sands and Sands China and we remain committed to increasing those recurring dividends in the future as our cash flows grow. At the same time, we will remain opportunistic in returning SCS capital via our share repurchase program. Las Vegas James Board has authorized the amount remaining under the revised stock repurchase program for another 2 years. While we chose not to repurchase any stock this quarter, we look forward to continuing to utilize the stock buyback program to return excess capital to shareholders and to enhance long term shareholder returns in the future.

Our industry leading cash flows, geographic diversity and balance sheet strength enable us to continue these recurring dividend stock repurchase programs, while retaining the financial strength to invest for future growth and pursue new development opportunities. This was another quarter in which we accomplished many important strategic objectives. Our original vision for the Cotai strip in Macau was further realized with the addition of the Brazil. And the new property is doing a very strong opening. The structural advantage created by our unmatched critical mass and diversity of offering was very clearly a display in our strong financial results during the quarter, both in Macau and globally.

All of this enables us to look ahead to the future with confidence. We have a strong organic growth outlook. We're in a great position to pursue new development opportunities And we have both the intent and the financial strength to continue to return excess capital to shareholders. Before we get to questions, I would also I would like to welcome Lawrence Jacobs known as Lonnie, our new General Counsel to our company. Lonnie brings a wealth of experience and we look forward to his contributions in the years ahead.

Thank you for joining us on the call today and I will take some questions.

Speaker 1

Your first question comes from the line of Shaun Kelley with Bank of America.

Speaker 4

Hey, Shaun.

Speaker 5

Congratulations on a strong quarter. I was just wondering if you could maybe comment on there's increasing press around the possibilities of potential legislation in Japan. It's obviously been an area you've been focused on for years. So could you give us maybe the latest update and what you're hearing on the ground there?

Speaker 3

What we're hearing from various people is anywhere from 99% to 100% certainty the bill is going to come up this diet session. But we got to look at the bill, the original bill, they may have changed it since, but the original bill called for a 1 year period to determine the who, what, when, where, why and how of integrated resort with casino. So we're going to see what happens over the next year. Are we there? We are there.

We have people there. We have our Head of Asia Global Development, George Sanasiewicz, there quite frequently. I go not frequently, but not infrequently. And I'm going again I think in a month or so, going to December. We'll see what the bill says when it passes.

We are in touch with Osaka quite frequently. And I think that Osaka from what from the scuttlebutt we hear thinks that we're the best company to do that because we've got to consider what position that will put us in visavis Tokyo. So we don't know whether or not they'll allow 1 foreign company to have 2 locations or they might do more than 2 locations. In any event, it's very optimistic and I've always stated based upon my many visits and conversations with people in Korea that if Japan legalizes casino gaming for its population that Korea will rapidly do the same thing. We don't know that for sure, but that's speculation.

Speaker 5

Great. And maybe just a quick follow-up would be turning to the Parisian, which is obviously extremely strong in the 1st 18 days. One of the big questions we've gotten from investors since our trip over there is how much of the growth is just euphoria around the opening. So any color you could provide to us on how patterns or trends are continuing into October here early in November would be great?

Speaker 6

Yes. Unfortunately, we're not going to comment on current quarter, but we'll be happy to update you in January how we did.

Speaker 2

Thank you very much.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Joe Greff with JPMorgan.

Speaker 7

Hello, everybody. Two questions, 1 on Macau and 1 on Singapore. On Macau, can you talk about what the competitive response has been since the Parisian opened both from newer properties and older existing ones? And then on Singapore, mass win per day of $4,800,000 in the 3Q showed some nice sequential growth. Can you talk about what's driving that?

And is it just seasonality or is there something more than just seasonality? Thank you.

Speaker 8

Hey, Joe, it's Rob. I'll take Singapore first. As you know, we had a weak quarter last quarter in that most critical segment, the non rolling slot ETG segment. We're disappointed and we're honest about that 3 months ago. We're very happy to see a return to what's been the status quo for a couple of years that $4,800,000 plus a day at a 60 plus percent margin.

I really we said more activity in the floor of both foreign mostly foreign activity, more overnight stays from Indonesia and Malaysia driving that, Really encouraging because as we said to you time and time again, maybe ad nauseam that that is the segment drives MBS. So it was a great return for the quarter, solid performance, more foreign visitation, more use of the MBS room product. And I think the aberration of Q2 is behind us. So feel very good about that, a little bit of a sigh of relief after weeks Q2. As for Macau, as Sheldon referenced in his opening remarks, we're just really encouraged by the must see destination appeal of that property.

And I would say to you that even more encouraging than I think Sheldon's comments said it very well in terms of it's a destination resort that's got all kinds of traffic and all kinds of people flowing in every day. Perhaps the most encouraging thing to us though is the positive impact we're seeing at Four Seasons, Venetian. Sheldon referenced the retail uptick in the Four Seasons, but we're seeing also uptick in the retail mall, the room demand. The Venetian had a very strong quarter. We feel encouraged that our strategy, critical mass and running this 12,000 or 13,000 prototype building almost as one resort.

We almost see it as one integrated resort with 13,000 sleeping rooms, plenty of casino capacity, 13,000 restaurant seats, 800 retail stores and the ability to do pricing power diverse. 50. Okay, 8 50, I tried to cheat it by 50 stores, but I think the truth is we're seeing renewed power there and energy inside our buildings and it gives us unique pricing power. It gives us the ability to offer the customers diversity. If you want the 4 Seasons versus the Holiday Inn, all kinds of retail, I think you've been to retail in the Parisian.

It's extraordinary. It's not the same stuff you see in the rest of Macao. And what makes it so wonderful is, it is diverse, it's different, more fashion forward and the theming is great. The curbside appeal of the Parisian theming is great. But as well as we're doing the Parisian, we're even more encouraged by the synergistic feel we're getting for the rest of the buildings.

As for the competition, I really can't say they do much different. I think people are I think a lot of people are happy to see the Appreizion open because it creates more traffic in that critical Cotai corridor and it grabs more trial into Cotai. So I think everyone is benefiting honestly from the Parisian traffic. It's clearly been a very, very powerful opening and we benefit mostly as you know. Our Sheldon's critical mass strategy is most in evidence when there's holidays, weekends, high volume periods, that's when we really drive some terrific numbers.

And I think we're seeing that again and again with the Parisian. Everybody is participating. I think all the new properties, they'll taste of the business coming to Cotai, coming to see the Parisian. But I think we're benefiting more than anybody. I think we're benefiting because we have a 13,000 room IR there.

So very encouraged by both its performance, its impact and we hope our competitors share our enthusiasm.

Speaker 3

There is something I'd just like to add to that if I may. This is Joe, right? Yes, Joe. Yes. Everybody would reasonably think that if we open another property on the Cotard Strip that we would have some cannibalization of the other property.

The amazing thing is that not only do we not have cannibalization, we have improvement in visitation and improvement in business in our other properties. Look, this is the only property of its type in the world. It is a behemoth single hotel with 850 retail stores. We put a cow on the retail map unquestionably. We have 2,000,000 square feet of Myspace.

We have actually 6 casinos because lots 56 are 2 different casinos, although we count the whole thing as Santacotta Santo 1. We as soon as we open the connection between the Parisian and the Four Seasons, We can safely and accurately say that you don't have to leave the building or an 8 condition space to go to any one of the 13,000 hotel rooms. None. You don't have to leave air conditioned space. What other property in the world has that?

There's no city in the world that has. This is truly the cocktail strip.

Speaker 8

I'll tell you Joe, what Sheldon just spoke about is in sync with that market today. I mean what's really happening is the mass market driven by lots of body count, lots of overnight stays, lots of demand for retail and restaurants and sleeping rooms. I think we have the right product that's in sync with the market in Macao today and it's reflected in these numbers and as that market continues to ramp forward and ramp up, I think we'll be a very, very happy participant.

Speaker 7

Appreciate the comments. Thank you.

Speaker 8

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Harry Curtis with Nomura.

Speaker 9

Hi, Harry. Just wanted hey, Sheldon, it's probably a question for you because I wanted to focus on the midweek group meeting and association business. The midweek tends in Macau to be quite a bit softer than the weekend other than holidays. And so I just want to get your point of view on the opportunity to change the mix of group meeting and associations midweek? And what might the revenue lift look like once you begin targeting that market more seriously?

Speaker 3

Well, we've been targeting the market seriously, but there was a potpourri of different properties. Now they will have 13,000 rooms that you won't have to leave the building to access. It's going to make quite a bit of difference that will be a real plus to attract various groups. We just had a 20,000 person group when we were there. They took up all the hotels in Macau.

So we're putting a pedestrian walkway between Lot 6, which is the southernmost end of the Senkoto de Centro and the Parisian. That's a very that will be a very big and very productive pedestrian overpass. Once you have the Cotai strip and that many rooms and that many ballrooms, exhibition space, ballrooms and breakout meeting rooms. There's no place like it in the world. So this auto attract an awful lot of other people.

People could come to a city, go to a nice event and never have to the building. They won't have to rent cars. They'll just take a bus or a taxi to one of the hotels and then they can go anywhere.

Speaker 8

Go ahead. Can I jump in, Harry? Just behind Sheldon, it's Rob. I just want to give a little historical context. 20 some years ago when we started here in Las Vegas, as you well know, there was no one want to put hotel rooms to convention customers because we were seen as, how can I say it politely, we weren't seen in favor of midweek rooms?

In fact, people used to fight against Comdex and fight against conventions and fight against groups. Obviously, that's all changed today. Any earnings call of many major Las Vegas company, that group segment that Sheldon pioneered has become the dominant reason why people can build hotel rooms here for mid week occupancy. It took many, many years and a lot of people had to be turned around to non gaming potential. I think the same thing is happening as you watch it evolve right now.

The same philosophy is going to happen at Cal. For the first time you've got an abundance of rooms, You don't have a plethora of VIP guests to fill those rooms. And so I think our competitors as well as our 13,000 rooms are available for the first time. We have the group space that Sheldon built and that group space hasn't been fully utilized. But now with demand midweek being what it is and with lots of sleeping rooms in Macau, I think you'll see the evolution of that non gaming business, the hotel room customers Sunday through Thursday becoming very important in the years to come.

The same way we built the retail that Sheldon referenced, people chuckled and said no one goes to shop in Macau. Obviously, they do. That's going to happen a while. That evolution of that meeting space that Sheldon authored in Las Vegas and how he did it in Macau, you know it's going to become important and it's just a question of time. The junket demise and the VIP midweek difficulties will make that very appealing to everybody on the coat tie strip to fill it with very good group business.

That's both high rate paying and because there's any more Asian, there's more of an opportunity for gambling opportunities at night. So I think that's a train to start to leave the station. It's been slow coming, but there hasn't enough room product or enough other companies who want to participate. Just like it happened in Vegas, it's going to happen in Macau. It's ahead of us.

It's not today, it's still down the road, but it's going to happen.

Speaker 9

Thanks, Rob. And I just had one follow-up question on the dividend. I wanted to shift gears here because it's been the level of EBITDA in Macau to maintain the dividend has been targeted at about $2,500,000,000 annually. And now it looks like given the success of Parisian that that's quite doable. The question I have is, what's the simple math behind every if you exceed that $2,500,000,000 say by 5% or 10%, would you plan to take the dividend up by a like amount?

Speaker 6

Hey, Harry. It's Patrick. How are you?

Speaker 9

I'm good. Thank you.

Speaker 6

I think it's an interesting question. I think a lot of it would depend on the expectations of future cash flow growth from the year that you just described. So as we said before, there's a very careful evaluation process that goes into the dividend planning. And so it would have to be taken into context of the future growth of the company, the future growth of cash flows, and our view of sustainability of growth of the dividend. So those are the kind of the those are the thoughts that go into

Speaker 10

the dividend decision both at SCL and

Speaker 6

at LBS. The dividend is a cornerstone of our return of capital strategy and it's very important for us to keep it going in a sustainable and in a growing way in the future. So while we can't comment specifically on how we view the SCL dividend and increase in EBITDA, we really hope that it happens and we're looking forward to the continued growth of the Parisian and the Cotai strip in the future. So we'll come back to you with more information as our EBITDA continues to grow.

Speaker 9

Thanks everyone.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Anil Daswani with Citigroup.

Speaker 10

Okay. Good morning, guys, and thanks for taking my call. A couple of questions from me. First of all, you guys did an amazing job with hotel occupancy. Can you just highlight if there's been any change in the comp ratios that you provide for those properties?

Secondly, could you maybe comment a little bit on how the different segments are playing out, so premium mass, mass, etcetera? Is there any focus of any particular property on any specific segment? Or are you just happy to grow them separately at each different property?

Speaker 8

I'll take it. It's Rob. I think the second question will take first. We're obviously happy to grow at every property, any property. The competition in Macau and Cotai is hard, strong.

Our growth though, I think, comes from our diversity and our pricing. And frankly, what makes us so unique, as I referenced earlier, was the ability to sleep people in the Four Seasons or the St. Regis as well as the Holiday Inn product. It's a very diverse mix of rooms And we're not seeing a lot of change. We're doing better in the premium mass.

Perhaps we'd like to see more base mass pickup, but we attribute that to there's so much new product, new sleeping rooms, new not another 600 table games in the last year. So there's going to be some trial even from our customers that goes to other properties because the properties out there are very, very good and they're worth seeing. But we're not seeing a whole lot of difference in terms of the the properties remain constant. Our strongest performer from a pre and mass basis is our Sands Cotai Central. That's our weakest performer from a pure mass basis.

The Venetian is a juggernaut. It does it all. It's amazing property. It has everything you want it to have. It's got incredible sleeping rooms, a large casino, a fabulous retail product.

It's tied to the Four Seasons physically and now it's tied to The Parisian. So again, diversity of pricing, diversity of product, be it lodging, be it retail, be it gaming is where we excel and we really excel weekends and holidays. As our comp ratios, we haven't changed much at all. Let's be clear, Sheldon referenced the $1,100,000,000 impressions we got on our social media approach. I think that bodes well.

We are in the hotel selling business for a long time. A lot of people are new to it in Cotai or in Macau because it's been a VIP dominant market. But our competitors are smart. They're going to get there very quickly and figure out how to sell more hotel rooms. We've just been doing it for a lot longer.

We have more armor. We have more bullets in the gun because if you look at our convention ability, we're the only guys in town with that much group space to fill mid week. The only people in town with a large scale arena we can put in these massive arena shows. So we have an unfair competitive advantage when it comes to selling rooms. We've been doing longer.

We have more product doing better. We're not a boutique company. We're not a premium mass company only. We do it all in the mass space. So we've not seen a change in our ratios as far as comp cash.

We have seen more competitive pressure, which we welcome is good for Co Tie. We welcome more sleeping rooms on the Co Tie strip because we think in the end, we get the lion's share of that business. And as that market continues to ramp, we will be its biggest participant in the growth.

Speaker 10

Thank you and congrats on a great set of results.

Speaker 8

Thank you very much.

Speaker 3

We've I just want to add on, we've always been the EBITDA leader in Macau. We have never once been even second. We've always been 1st. Galaxy has done a very good job of getting into the market, but we're still twice as big as they are in EBITDA. Same thing in Singapore.

They I think Duoproix just came out with earnings yesterday. Did I hear it right that we're double what they are? About 74%. We're 74% of the market. There's got to be something we're doing right and our competitors are not doing.

And now that we've got this behemoth, one stop shop for everything, unprecedented in the world, I think we're going to continue to have high hotel occupancy and continued increases in our gaming market.

Speaker 8

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of John Oh with CLSA.

Speaker 4

I'd like to refer to Sheldon's remarks earlier when you said that trends in September are pointing to mass growing at roughly 6% and premium mass at 15%. As we look at visitation trends in the month of September, I believe the Macau tourist official number was up 0.5%. And to see such a strong mass performance and premium mass performance despite visitation numbers not being anywhere closer, that would suggest that spend per customer is a very strong indicator. Would you be confident to say now that spend per customer as an indicator across all your properties in Macau is a positive indicator that it is now a growth segment again?

Speaker 3

It is a growth segment. Yes, I think, John, when we show the market itself is growing, PGR in the market.

Speaker 8

Right. I think we should I'm not sure we're going to we understand the question totally, but what Sheldon referenced was a 6% year over year growth in table game in mass and 15% in the premium segment. We think the market numbers look at you see October's numbers as reported by the government and you see what's happening in the market is clearly a trend here. We're getting better customers in the market. We're getting more spend in the market.

I can't say the correlation to more spend per customer. I can be clear about that. But I think what we are seeing

Speaker 3

We haven't done any surveys.

Speaker 8

Yes, I think we're seeing is just lots of visitation and we're seeing lots of growth and we're very encouraged by it. I wouldn't be so bold as say we can exactly correlate those 2. But clearly Visitation is it is what it is and revenues are growing and they are growing. I think some of your comment, they grew well in October, but had not been for a couple weather instances and so one of the things happening, it may have been double digit. We're looking for a double digit growth for the whole market.

And again, we are a big believer in the rising tide theory, love to see Macau grow at 12%, 15%. We'd all make money. We'd all grow together. And that's what we hope happens in October, November and beyond. We're looking for solid growth, mass, premium mass and all participants.

Let's all roll in the same boat.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. And if I can follow-up with and this is maybe just I'm just seeking for a broader comment on the ramp up speed for the Parisian. You guys have attained roughly about $1,000,000 of EBITDA per day within about roughly 18, 19 days of opening in the month, and that's impressive. So when I think about and I'm sure everybody on this call today will be going back to our models and we're going to be thinking about what's the real earnings power of Parisian given that this has kind of surprised us a little bit.

I'm just trying to think about how do we really size up the earnings potential of Perrigian. I mean given that it's roughly the same number of rooms with The Venetian, but The Venetian is roughly earning about 3 times more in EBITDA per day right now based on the current run rate. And at one point, it was running at over $5,000,000 a day. Would you say that the Parisian has the tools to potentially do what the Venetian could do? Any comments around that?

Speaker 3

I think Can it do what the Venetian look, the Venetian is so powerful. The visitation went up and the gaming business increased. You're looking at we're calling around a behemoth hotel, a behemoth integrated resource. Big one too. Yes.

And it's a big one. It's we're sailing in uncharted waters. I hope that the Parisian can equal what the Venetian has been doing. But right now, it's not indicated, it's doing very well. We're averaging 40,000 people a day.

Our restaurants are so full, it's tough to get a seat, so we're adding on some we're taking out some straight retailers and adding more restaurants. It was really designed the government wanted a 3 star hotel. A lot of the rooms are designed as 4 star. So but the Venetian is very unique. Every room is a suite.

And so there is no star rating that you could say it's a 6 star hotel or a 5 star deluxe. It's tough to compare any other hotel to The Venetian. The quality and the critical mass of The Venetian, the size of the casino, the loyalty that it has and following from people who come to the mass market, I don't know. I certainly would hope so, but if not, if it doesn't equal elimination, it will should get a lot closer than the other properties, sir.

Speaker 8

John, I think you should be I think Sheldon's comments are excellent. I think you have to be careful looking. The nation has been operating for almost a decade. It's got an immense loyalty. I mean, it's so sticky.

It's unbelievable. The quality of people in there, the quality size of retail, size of food and beverage, the room product, it's a very unique product. And the answer is no. A reason you can't get to Venetian numbers. It can do very well.

It can ramp and grow. But you're comparing apples and oranges because I think it was built at different time. It was a lone wolf out there back in 'seventy when we opened that thing. It's got unique everything from rooms to food and beverage. We have too much we have a lot of great food and beverage.

We don't have that same scale in the Parisian. We don't have the room product we have in the Venetian. It wasn't it's unfair, but I do think the Parisian is going to keep ramping, keep growing, getting stronger by the day. I also think one thing it has going forward is, it's going to cross track them very well with the Four Seasons and that's going to give the freezer more lift, the lift of Four Seasons as well. Think of how we have there, we have all this unique room pricing across the SCC, we have the product at the Four Seasons, we have The Venetian, we have all that great retail at 4 Seasons shops, which is getting stronger by the day.

So it's going to help Parisian, but I think it's unrealistic to think it's going to be approached Venetian numbers. Venetian is $1,500,000,000 it's $1,200,000,000 you referenced $1,600,000,000 at the peak. Hard for me to see it getting there. Great property, great start, but those are very big numbers. That is the juggernaut in Macau.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thanks for the commentary. I really appreciate that.

Speaker 6

Sure.

Speaker 1

And your next question comes from the line of Thomas Allen with Morgan Stanley.

Speaker 11

Hey. Just following up on the last question. Parisian had 28% margins in the quarter. I don't think you reached that level at Sanasco Thai Central until a year after the property opened. So can you just help us think about the trajectory of the margins from here?

Thank you.

Speaker 8

Sure. Well, let's be clear, the reason for that Thomas is I think you know is that they're very different products. SCC is a very powerful room product that is more dependent. It opened at a different time as well, but it's dependent on premium mass customers. That's the calling card for SCC.

It does very well, but it's a premium mass house. It doesn't have a themed walk in free traffic. The Parisian is getting ridiculous walk in traffic that it's free business. They walk in, they gamble, some sleep, there's some don't, but the margins are great because of that. What it doesn't have yet is that premium mass customer that we get at the SEC.

So the margins are going to be better I think for quite a while at the Parisian because that's a they're paying retail for the room or we're comping less people as he much more comp driven and different time as well. The interesting part of it is going to be how does it intersect with when the Four Seasons fridge is completed, how much cross serve play we get on weekends, holidays from the high end Four Seasons customer and we get more premium mass to gravitate. The race in Macall for the premium mass is a big one. There's a lot of people out there with great products that are looking for that segment. So can we grow that segment quickly at the freeze and that remains to be seen?

The SEC is our biggest premium mass customer, but that's our biggest comp house, fact our biggest it's softer than margins as a result of that. Preeze has just overwhelmed us with demand. So we've got to figure out how to take advantage of that demand and offer the customers the kind of things they want to satisfy that segment. But I think it's clear that the FCC got off at a different time and was much more of a different product. It didn't have any free traffic.

It's still it doesn't have much to this day. So different products, different margins.

Speaker 3

And it's less VIP. Less VIP.

Speaker 8

Much less VIP.

Speaker 6

Yes. One thing to add is that if you look at the margin of the Parisian and you look at the margin of overall property set on a normalized basis, the Parisian is geared for growth. So that as we continue to grow revenues there and as we increase play volumes and the very high margin mass and premium mass segments, you'll see that that margin will actually creep up closer to the margin of the consolidated property set as a whole. So that the cost base is in and that we should get pretty good operating leverage as we continue to get increased play.

Speaker 8

I don't think again you would appraise him for what 18 days, 17 days and make a real bold statement about that property. It's just so young. It's just not us. I think at this full quarter we'll have a better look at what that property can do.

Speaker 11

Helpful. Thank you. And this is my follow-up. In your prepared remarks, you talked about share repurchases. You've been talking about them for some not doing them, but the potential to do them in the future.

Parisians opened, how are you thinking about them at this point?

Speaker 6

So I think we've always viewed the dividend as the cornerstone of our return on capital policy. Very important to us. It's something that we view as fundamental. We always viewed share repurchases as a way to return excess capital to shareholders in an efficient manner in an opportunistic way. So as our cash flows grow, we'll feel more confident about returning capital in terms of increasing dividends, but also in terms of using the share repurchase authorization actually buying back some stock.

So as our cash flows grow, you should look to us to be more aggressive in the way we return capital to shareholders.

Speaker 4

Helpful. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Felicia Hendrix with Barclays.

Speaker 12

Hi, thanks for taking my question. Just sticking on the topic of Parisian, I was just wondering if you could help us understand a little bit more about the complexion of the Parisian customer, just in terms of are they mostly base masks? Are you seeing some mid to higher end masks where they're coming from kind of income and visitation relative to your other properties? Any kind of different or similar patterns in the typical Sands China customer?

Speaker 8

Yes, we're seeing definitely seeing more of a mass mass, base mass customer in the Parisian as the dominant customer right now. What we're trying to sort through is we want to be more aggressive on the premium mass side or direct that over to Four Seasons, Venetian SEC and can attract new customers obviously, which the real goal will be to attract fresh customers to building. But the dominant segment right now at the Parisian certainly is a mass gaming customer, not a we have good junket play there for the few we have, actually very solid junket play, but our premium mass is not as exciting as other properties. It's mass driven at this point.

Speaker 12

Okay. And just to finish with that question, just in terms of like where they're coming from, I mean, are you seeing kind of an incremental visitor from different regions or is it similar to what you are seeing like from Guangdong and kind of the general complexion of the regular Sands China customer?

Speaker 8

Well, for those we have data on, it's coming from Guangdong from Mainland China. But I don't there's a lot of unrated business in that building. So it's hard to tell everybody since again, unrated, we don't have the data we would have on people asleep in the hotel or people have ratings in the casino. Again, this is a brand new building that we're just gratified the run rate appears to be strong after the first what 17, 18 days. We're very happy with it.

We're more happy to just be awareness of the property, the sheer foot traffic in that building is at the opening night I went down the casino floor and it was overwhelming, but it stayed that way for the entire week. So we're just gratified at the customer acceptance and we again, I think it's hard we're in a tougher and tougher on breaking numbers out because this integrated behemoth strategy Sheldon referenced with basically a 13,000 hotel. We're going to less and less able to differentiate because I think we're going to use our pricing power, multitude of hotel room capacity, our multitude of gaming capacity, our retail diversity. We're going to try real hard to price this thing according to the customer demand, move the customer demand around our portfolio and run this thing to maximize cost efficiencies, but provide a great customer experience based on your budget and your demand. So it may just be that the reasons are being wildly helpful to making that portfolio stronger.

We're encouraged early returns are terrific. It's a base mass hotel at this point. It's not driven by premium mass and isn't driven by junk, although we had some good junk at play in there.

Speaker 12

Thanks. And as my follow-up, can you just help us understand just know it's 18 days and you said you had a lot of unrated play, but in terms of just the source of customers so far, like in terms of database, what little database there is so far, OTA wholesale versus new marketing?

Speaker 8

What's strong on the hotel side, again, I think Sheldon referenced it, we had terrific demand outside of our usual database for Mainland China. The social media approach here was just terrific and the people work for us there exemplary work. Our team should be applauded for what was an incredible launch. So we're seeing a lot of new business. It's not just database.

It's fresh customers coming in from Mainland China. 1, they want to see the product. It just people it's I think Sheldon referenced number 2 behind the Venetian places you want to see. And let's be honest, that themed approach that is the magic elixir that people want to see that Parisian theme approach, the Eiffel Tower, that facade has great curbside appeal. It is driving all kinds of awareness.

It's easy to understand it when you watch the videos, when you watch the social media stuff. It's just easy to understand. Just standing outside that building, no place ever had that many people outside taking selfies of them in the tower, the facade of the building. We're in new waters here with new customers that we like seeing. I'm not sure we're stealing share as much as creating new demand from China for the sleeping rooms.

The gaming, as I referenced, is still in its early days, but we got to decide how much we want to push into the premium business there because it's a mass powerhouse so far. And but again, 7 days to 18 days that we were reporting this quarter, hardly enough time to understand the power of the Parisian. But we are thrilled with the acceptance of it. We're thrilled with the walk traffic. You've never seen walk traffic.

I've been going to Macau since the '80s, never seen people walking back and forth in droves between the Four Seasons and the Parisians, pretty staggering. And again, our team, our marketing folks in Macau did some great work on the social media side.

Speaker 12

Thanks. I'm sure you and Sheldon have plenty of your own selfies in front of that property.

Speaker 8

That's all I do all day. Yes, pretty much that's all I do.

Speaker 12

All right. Thanks

Speaker 3

a lot. Okay.

Speaker 1

And we have time for one more question and that question comes from Carlo Santarelli with Deutsche

Speaker 13

Bank. A lot of my questions have been asked, but the one thing that we didn't talk about much on the call was kind of the VIP segment in Macau. And clearly, you see it in the DICJ numbers and we saw it in your numbers here today that there seems to have been obviously a change in that customer in the 3Q. Would you guys care to opine on maybe how you foresee the VIP segment going forward? Have we kind of hit a trough and maybe are starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel?

Or do you think there was more of a temporary kind of bounce?

Speaker 8

I can only speak, Carlo, for our portfolio, but I don't think it's temporary. I think this is not obviously our portfolio material to our composite EBITDA. It's rather unimportant at this point. I don't know how it recovers in a meaningful way. We are a mass driven house, premium mass driven house.

It's become the point where we offer that opportunity for the customers who want it because it's part of our diversity. But I don't see how it gets much stronger with all that's happening in China and all that's happening both from the economy's perspective and compliance AML perspective, I just think that's a market that I don't I said a couple of years ago, people were very upset. I said,

Speaker 3

I thought it's going to

Speaker 8

be very, very tough sledding and it's a broken model. I think it remains broken as far as I can tell. I can't speak for our competitors, but from the LV SCL perspective, it's not a focal point. We won't turn it away, but we have to focus or make our money. We make our money in table games, mass and premium mass and slot machines, PTGs.

We'll offer junkets and we'll wait for a better day, but we don't see that day coming these next two quarters.

Speaker 13

Thanks, Rob. And if I may, just one quick follow-up and an iteration of this was asked earlier, but when you think about your cash balances and your leverage position, how do you guys balance the thoughts of increasing dividends relative to buybacks, but in the context of the potential for a large scale development, be it in Japan or somewhere else at this stage?

Speaker 6

Hey, Carlo, it's Patrick. How are you?

Speaker 8

Good. You?

Speaker 6

So it's a discussion that we have quite frequently. And I think the way we think about it is, if you look at the timing of cash flows required to fund the Parisian, there's actually a fairly long development cycle where cash comes out of the system, probably over 3 to 4 years. And there's a lot of visibility going through the development of these projects. So given where we are in our dividend growth cycle and hopefully the trajectory of growth that we're seeing in Macau, we'll have some ability to do some planning work. And hopefully what the Chairman says holds true and we end up getting opportunities in either Japan or Korea or both.

So the timing of this should work favorably in the future depending on the dividend growth rate we choose and the requirement for funding these developments if they do occur in the future.

Speaker 3

So it's

Speaker 6

something that we work through, but it's really a timing question.

Speaker 13

I appreciate it. Thank you.

Speaker 4

Thanks very much.

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