Good afternoon. My name is Elliott, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Mechanics Bank and HomeStreet Bank Investor and Analyst Call. Presenting on today's call will be Carl Webb, Co-Managing Partner, Board Financial Fund and Executive Chairman of the Board of Mechanics Bank; C.J. Johnson, CEO of Mechanics Bank and Partner of Board Financial Fund; Mark K. Mason, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of HomeStreet Bank; and John M. Mitchell, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. All lines will be placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press Star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad.
If you would like to withdraw your question, please press Star followed by the number two. Thank you. Mr. Webb, you may begin your conference.
Thank you. Good afternoon and good morning, depending on where you are. It's the top of the hour, so we're going to go ahead and get started. I am Carl Webb. Here in Dallas, joining me is C.J. Johnson. As far as this morning's presentation goes, we could not be more excited to introduce the new Mechanics Bank. Hopefully, everyone has had an opportunity to review in some detail our investor presentation distributed early this morning. This is not, I'll repeat, this is not your traditional merger-monday bank M&A announcement. It's an opportunity we have been involved in now twice over the past 18 months. It's a unique deal structure and a transaction we are deeply convicted as to its merits. We have our investor deck as introductory background for Mechanics Bank. Obviously, we're a non-public company, so we'll give you some background there.
Also, the forward fund's investing history and current structure, along with financial rationale and the significant value creation that this combination unlocks. Before we begin, here comes the disclosure. I want to remind you that today's presentation contains forward-looking statements, including the discussion of future financial and operating results, benefits, synergies, gains, and costs that the combined company expects to realize from this transaction, as well as other opportunities management foresees. These forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, risks, and uncertainties, which may cause them to differ materially from the current expectations discussed today. Neither we nor HomeStreet undertake any obligation to update them except to the extent required by law. Certain risk factors related to the transaction may be included in the registration statement on Form S-4 that may be filed in the future in connection with the transactions.
Any investors are encouraged to read such registration on Form S-4 and other relevant documents filed with the SEC or incorporated into the Form S-4 in connection with the transactions before making any decisions. Please refer to the information on the disclaimer slide in the presentation. Now, with that behind us, in the interest of time and presentation efficiency, we will go through the slides rather quickly to leave ample time for your questions. By the way, there is no hard stop on our part this morning, only when you have no further questions. I am going to begin my presentation on page five. Mechanics Bank will combine with HomeStreet through a merger of HomeStreet Bank with and into Mechanics, with Mechanics Bank surviving the merger. Mechanics Bank will be the accounting acquirer, and therefore HomeStreet's balance sheet will be fair valued through purchase accounting.
This transaction values HomeStreet at a pre-merger value of $300 million and Mechanics Bank equity value at $3.3 billion, such that legacy Mechanics Bank shareholders will own 91.7% of the combined company post-close. The bank and the holding company will bear the Mechanics Bank name. Now, a little more detail behind the 91.7% in that allocation. 74.3% of that will be held by Ford Financial Funds II and III, 9.1% by RaboBank, 8.3% by, as mentioned previously, HomeStreet, and 8.3% by legacy Mechanics Bank shareholders. As far as leadership, you see it here on the slide. Mark will continue as a consultant for a two-year period, and we will select one HomeStreet director to be added to the Mechanics board. I'm going to spend a minute talking about approvals, particularly given the history of the prior transaction. The FDIC is Mechanics Bank's primary regulator.
We're also regulated by the Federal Reserve and the California DFPI. I will say that this transaction has been highly discussed and highly vetted with all our regulators, both the prior potential transaction back in the fall of 1993 and extensively with this transaction, most recently as of this past Wednesday. We are anticipating a closing in the third quarter of this year. We have expressed that to our regulators. They have not said anything to the contrary or led us to believe otherwise. We have, in our discussions with the regulators, very specifically and intentionally discussed three key areas, and I'm going to mention those briefly. One are our pro forma capital ratios at close. And you can see them here for tier one leverage, CET1, and total risk-based capital. Those are very strong ratios for any bank, and they have acknowledged as much.
Second thing that we discussed in detail was the CRE concentration at close. Today, Mechanics Bank has a 289% commercial real estate concentration, and HomeStreet approximates about 575%. The combined at close should approximate 390%. They are very aware of that, and we have discussed our plans to reduce that concentration over time. I think during the pro forma projection period, it gets down to approximately 300%. The third and very important item that we discussed with the regulators in detail is our ability to pay very substantial dividends, dividends down to an 8.25% Tier 1 Leverage Ratio. All of these numbers will be included in our merger application, our change of control that we will file with all the regulators very shortly. Moving to page six, we believe very strongly in both the very significant economic as well as strategic benefits of this transaction. I love this map.
This map, I think, shows the high strategic value of this transaction. Every major market from San Diego to Seattle is represented here. It is a full West Coast footprint. I think it is a very powerful geography. Scarcity value on the left-hand side, I'll mention it briefly. When we came to California for the first time in 1994, there were 440 banks in California. Today, there are 121. I think that just speaks to the consolidation of California, and it is continuing. We will be a $23 billion pro forma asset bank, and we will be the third largest bank on the West Coast, third in Seattle, and number three in San Francisco. Obviously, upfront, this is after elimination of the money center banks in that statement. We will have top decile profitability, $302 million in GAAP earnings is our estimate for 2026, and $325 million for 2027.
We're going to talk a lot about our deposits in our core funded franchise. We anticipate that we'll have a deposit cost of 1.4% at year end. We'll be 100% core funded. All FHLB advances and brokered deposits at HomeStreet will be paid by that time. I think one unique attribute of this transaction, and C.J. will talk about it more later, is the bifurcated nature of HomeStreet's deposit base. Today, they have $3.1 billion that they pay 91 basis points of cost on. Again, we'll be highly capitalized with strong capital returns. I won't go into that. That was on the prior page as far as our capital ratios. I will turn now to page seven. There are eight very important points on this page, and I thought I would pick one or two to comment on. I couldn't do it. I've got five.
All of them are very important, but I'm going to hit them quickly. The second one, leading profitability among West Coast banks. Our pro formas show a CET1—I'm sorry, an ROATCE of 19% at 2027, and an ROA approximating 150 basis points. It's a simple business model. Ours is today, and so is HomeStreet's. They're very compatible business models. They're both right down the middle of the fairway. It's a low-risk asset strategy funded by absolute best-in-class deposits. We have a long-held belief that deposit cost is the best determinant of a bank's franchise value. Our core funded franchise with no wholesale fundings or brokered deposits is certainly emblematic of that. Below it, substantial dividend potential. We do anticipate paying out a very, very high percentage of each quarter's earnings in arrears. More on that a little later.
As far as strong alignment between our investors and Ford Financial Fund, we consider ourselves to be both founders and owners of Mechanics Bank. We have a very substantial amount of our personal capital invested in Mechanics Bank. When I say a founder, I'm not talking about the founding of Mechanics Bank back in 1905. I'm talking about when we acquired Mechanics Bank in 2015. It was a $3 billion bank, and upon closing of this merger, it will be a $23 billion bank. I don't think you could have greater alignment. I'll go now to page nine. This page represents 50 years of Ford Bank Group investing. I've been around for 42 of those years. All of these four platforms are very familiar to me, and I could talk about this page for an hour. The good news for you is I'm not.
I am, in the interest of time, going to mention one, and that is Golden State Bancorp. This is a very similar transaction to what we're talking about here today with HomeStreet. In 1998, we went public via a reverse merger with Golden State Bancorp. Four years later, we sold a $55 billion asset bank with 355 branches in California and Nevada to Citibank in 2002. All of these transactions have been very successful, but I particularly wanted to call out the Golden State Bancorp because of the similar structure. Could that same outcome occur here? I would just say, why not? Onto page 10, Mechanics Bank represents our third trip to California, Santa Barbara Bank & Trust being our second. The point here being that we know the West Coast banking markets very well.
Each of the four acquired banks that are now under the Mechanics Bank flag are what we call situational opportunities or situational bank investing. I'll mention each one of them quickly. We acquired through a tender offer in April of 2015, exactly 10 years ago, the 30th of April, Mechanics Bank. This was a bank, again, founded in 1905 that through four generations had had disparate family ownership, and the internal dynamics were around the founding families and ownership issues. You had two families that wanted to sell, one that would not sell, so therefore a strategic could not come in and buy 100%. So we acquired 69% through a tender offer in April of 2010. California Republic Bank had outgrown their balance sheet and their ability to access funding and capital because of a large concentration and high production levels of indirect auto.
Scott Valley Bank was a small bank acquisition that we did in 2018 to round out our Northern California footprint. It likewise had family issues that needed to exit for liquidity and estate planning purposes. We funded that bank without a capital call from our LPs, and basically it was funded with internally generated excess capital. Five and a half years ago, we acquired RoboBank's U.S. banking operations. It was absolutely by any measure transformational. Mechanics Bank nearly tripled in size. The issue there was foreign ownership, off-site management, and certainly significant regulatory issues. Basically, they wanted to sell and go home. We went through a process there. We were the winning bidder, and it has been a very, very good transaction for us. RaboBank out of Utrecht, the Netherlands, owns 9.9% of Mechanics Bank today.
We have a very close relationship with them, and they have been an excellent minority partner. I'll mention here the 21% CAGR owned asset growth because I'll bring that up shortly again. On page 11, we think by any standard today, Mechanics Bank is a high-performing bank. I'll draw your attention to a few statistics about halfway down the page on the left-hand side. This is a comparison at year end of Mechanics Bank versus the KRX index. That is an index of 50 publicly traded banks plus Mechanics Bank, so 51 banks in this comparative group. Cost of deposits, 1.38%. Average for the KRX, 2.19%. We're number five out of the 51 bank group. Next, non-interest-bearing deposits as a percent of total deposits, number two out of 51.
The last one I'll mention is loans to deposits at 69%, number eight of 51, eight from the lowest, not the highest. The point we would make here is that we do not run a hot bank. We do not have a high loan-to-deposit ratio. We have a much lower risk profile than most of our peers. On the pie chart at the bottom on the left, the only thing I'm going to mention there is the 17% that refers to auto, which is in runoff. We had a $4 billion portfolio two years ago. That number would have been slightly above 30%, today at 17%. We made the very strategic decision in January and February of 2023 to exit that line of business. I'm going to give you the short answer. I'll anticipate a longer answer later with a question.
It was really a de-risking story along with the benefit of tremendous liquidity because that portfolio was throwing off about $130 million a month in free cash. Little did we know that two months later, liquidity would be the new watchword for banks and for our regulators. Currently, you can see our non-interest-bearing deposits there at 40%. Moving on to page 12, again, we feel like we are a top decile deposit franchise. Our average deposit size is only $43,000, and our tenure is just under 20 years. These are deep relationship deposits. We have grown deposits, $600 million since the RoboBank acquisition. The chart on the right shows the build-in deposits during COVID with the stimulus. All banks had it, and all banks saw the runoff with higher interest rates post-COVID.
Certainly, we were no exception, but we did manage over that period of time to grow deposits 5%. Again, no brokered deposits, no wholesale fundings, nor borrowings. I'll mention very briefly our beta, our deposit beta. While the Federal Reserve raised interest rates over 500 basis points, our deposit beta was 28%. So we had to pass along 28% of the Fed rate hikes in our cost of deposits. You can see on the lower right-hand side, the KRX beta was 43%. On the left-hand side, bottom of the page, I'm going to mention very quickly our cost of deposits at year end, the aforementioned 138 basis points. This is ranked against all publicly traded banks, $500 million in assets and greater. So of the 217 banks, we ranked number 19, significantly better than the top decile.
Below that is our non-interest-bearing deposits as a percent of total deposits, even better there at 40%, number six out of the 217 bank universe. On to page 13. Two or three points off of this page. For the past 40-plus years, we have always been opportunistically acquisitive. Not being modest here, but I do think we have a very particular skill set in bank M&A, and that extends to the integration and conversion post-close of the banks. It is an absolute skill set, and I would just mention RoboBank, for example, where we tripled our size. We made our systems conversion in the middle of COVID. We did it remotely, and we did it under budget and on time. Secondly, it is also part of our growth strategy. You will not hear us talk a lot about growth.
On the right-hand side middle, you'll see a comment about growth, and I think that's the only one in our presentation. We have long held to the philosophy that we can always acquire market share more effectively, more efficiently than we can grow it organically. We think organic growth should approximate GDP, about how our customer base grows. When you see organic growth significantly outpacing that, oftentimes there are troubles ahead. The most recent example of that is two years ago, nearly to the month, where three very high growth-oriented banks failed. That is our thought around our M&A, our strategy, and I think the last thing I would mention on this page is the lower right-hand comment there. Again, conservative asset allocation, not only for us, but for HomeStreet. Very core, low-risk assets, no non-traditional business lines.
One of the reasons that we exited Mechanics Bank Auto Finance over two years ago. A couple of slides on credit quality, beginning on page 14. One is a five-year look back. The other is a ten-year look back. At the top of the page, it shows that post the RoboBank acquisition five and a half years ago, we've had only $11 million of charge-offs at Mechanics Bank. During that same period of time, we have had recoveries and interest recapture of $38 million for a net recovery of $27 million. Will it continue at this pace? No, I don't think so, and I don't want to leave the impression that it will. We have had excellent credit performance. We expect that to continue. The ten-year look back below construction portfolio, we have very little in construction. Multifamily, we have a lot in multifamily and CRE overall.
I think we're very well balanced, but you can see our performance relative to the comparative group of commercial banks in the U.S. The far right-hand side, non-performing assets to total assets, again, including Mechanics Bank Auto Finance in runoff, 18 basis points, and you can see where our competitors reside. Page 15 is a bit busy. It talks about our commercial real estate portfolio. I would also draw your attention later in the appendix. There's also some very good data back there on our commercial real estate portfolio. We have always had a focus on multifamily lending. Our average multifamily loan size is $3.3 million, average LTV 52%, and our debt coverage ratio 1.65 times. We have modest CRE concentrations in retail, office, and the other non-multifamily sectors of retail, all of which we are significantly de-risking and have been since the RoboBank acquisition.
I'm not going to read every one of these statistics for office and retail. Please bear those in mind, though. Again, our CRE concentration today is 289%, but if you net out multifamily, it's only 114%. The chart at the bottom left-hand side, I think, kind of says that all our commercial real estate totals have not changed that much over a five-year period, but it has been basically a remixing story of commercial real estate out of higher risk sectors and into multifamily because over the years, year in, year out, cycle in, cycle out, multifamily performs significantly different, significantly better than other commercial real estate sectors. Again, my last slide is Mechanics Bank standalone, and a couple of things that I would draw your attention to here is the impact of the Fed rate increases in 2022, 2023, margin compression.
Obviously, we're at an inflection point, probably about three quarters ago, where we now have NIM expansion, and you can see that in 2025, 2026, and 2027. That is a part of that increased profitability for Mechanics Bank in those pro forma years. The other thing I want to talk about is 2024. We reported GAAP earnings of $29 million in 2024. That is after taking a $149 million after-tax charge to restructure our AFS available-for-sale securities portfolio. We did it a year ago last week, where we took $1.8 billion of our securities portfolio and sold it at a loss, again, of $149 million. We sold out of securities that were yielding approximately 1.5% and bought back like-kind securities yielding 5.55%. We would do that trade all day long. It positions us very well.
That part of our balance sheet is marked, and obviously, all of the HomeStreet balance sheet coming across will be fair valued. The last thing I will mention is the lower right-hand quadrant on page 16, and that is our tier one leverage ratio today. It is 9.9%. We've obviously been accumulating capital and liquidity in anticipation of this transaction. You'll see 8.6% is our tier one leverage ratio. I said earlier that we would pay down to 8.25% quarterly, and the difference in the 8.25 and the 8.6 is we always pay our dividends in arrears. That will be the case going forward, and by the time we pay that dividend the following quarter, we will have earned back to approximately that 8.6% tier one leverage ratio. This concludes my opening comments.
I will now turn it over to Mark, Chairman and CEO of HomeStreet, to make a few comments, and then after Mark, CJ will discuss value creation and the details of the model. Mark, good morning.
Good morning, and thank you, Carl. Just a couple of brief comments. This merger validates the intrinsic value of HomeStreet's loyal customer base, strong management, dynamic markets in which we operate, and allows our shareholders to participate in the benefits of this combination going forward, a point that's been very important to us here. The combined company will have a strong branch footprint, deposit market share in the best markets in the West, strong core deposit funding, a well-diversified, conservatively underwritten loan portfolio, and a growing wealth management and trust business, and with virtually zero market overlap. No branch closures are expected.
We believe this merger will improve our customers' experience, providing significantly more locations for convenience and a greater capacity to meet their banking and lending needs. It will also create new opportunities for many of our employees, enabling us to retain and attract top talent. Both organizations share very similar banking strategies, strong credit and risk management cultures, and a deep commitment to our customers, community service, and being good corporate citizens. In short, Mechanics Bank is very complementary to HomeStreet, and we're excited about this combination. Thanks, Carl.
Thank you, Mark. Okay, C.J.
Okay, thanks, Mark. I just want to thank Mark and the HomeStreet team for all their efforts working with us through a very thorough due diligence process. It's been great to get to know them, and we look forward to working very closely with them as we integrate these two companies. I'm going to jump back in the deck to page 18. We're here just kind of a quick slide on what this does for us. As Carl mentioned and Mark mentioned, these are very complementary franchises. It's exciting to complete a full West Coast footprint for Mechanics Bank, and it's really hard to drop a better fit. Seattle and Los Angeles are great markets, and Southern California is the one part of the state where we lack branch density. This transaction gives us materially enhanced scale, creating the third largest West Coast and California regional bank by deposits.
There is tremendous scarcity value in the franchise we've built, and it would be very difficult, if not impossible, to replicate our combined branch footprint with the quality deposits that we have. Flipping to page 19, here we show how the merger creates a bank with a top 10 share in many attractive West Coast markets, including Seattle, San Francisco, and especially the Central Coast of California. California and Washington are attractive states for banking, with large, vibrant economies, leading technology, media, and healthcare companies, and many exceptional universities. California is the fifth largest GDP in the world if it was its own country, and Seattle is one of the fastest growing large cities in the United States. The breadth of our branch footprint and the strength of our market share in these core cities will allow us to compete very effectively against the big banks on the West Coast.
Now I'm going to get a little bit of background on the financial thinking around this deal. I'm going to start on page 20, show you a quick snapshot of what happened at HomeStreet with their balance sheet over the past three years. As you can see here, HomeStreet grew earning assets $2.5 billion, or 38%, from the fourth quarter of 2021 to the first quarter of 2023, right before the crisis hit. Over those five quarters, funding liabilities also grew $2.8 billion, or 44%, and it was nearly all kind of high beta at the time, low-cost time deposits, and FHLB borrowings. Unfortunately, at the same time, long-term interest rates shocked up, and the surge deposits that had come into the banking system began flowing back out. Mechanics had some of the same experience.
This confluence of events created many challenges for HomeStreet and really the banking industry in general, but the fundamental value of their company remained. Page 21 shows how we think about that value. It lays out side by side the earning assets and funding liabilities of both HomeStreet and Mechanics Bank as of the end of 2024. The earning assets of each bank are similar, with HomeStreet having a greater proportion of loans and Mechanics a little more liquid, concentrated in investment securities. As you can see, the yields on the earning assets on the left side are pretty similar. Most importantly, though, and Carl mentioned this earlier, and it is highlighted on the right side of the page, is that the cost of core deposits of each bank are also very similar. Core deposits are simply defined as all deposits excluding CDs.
While HomeStreet has a lower percentage of core deposits than Mechanics, its $3.1 billion of core deposits are priced at 91 basis points versus us at 127 basis points. They're actually lower costing core deposits than we have. Obviously, the difference is the bifurcated nature of the funding base shows that the rest of what HomeStreet has is quite expensive, and that results in a large gap in the total cost of funds between the two banks. Fortunately, we have the balance sheet at Mechanics Bank to solve this problem. I'll flip to page 22. Our excess capital and robust liquidity provide the capacity to mark HomeStreet's assets to market and pay down their expensive wholesale funding. This chart is pretty simple and illustratively shows how we plan to deleverage HomeStreet's balance sheet at closing.
At the end of 2024, HomeStreet had $2 billion across FHLB borrowings, brokered deposits, and one high-cost treasury deposit relationship. Prior to close, at Mechanics Bank, we will sell some of our AFS securities and utilize excess cash at both companies, including some expected cash flows coming off our runoff auto portfolio, to pay everything down. Post paydown, we will be 100% core funded as we are today, and by doing so, we free up $160 million of leverage capital to help absorb the interest rate marks at HomeStreet. Page 23 shows a few basic pie charts laying out the loan and deposit composition of each bank, both standalone and pro forma. Again, similar concentrations of earning assets. Our auto is in runoff. On a combined basis, the CRE concentration ratio of pro forma Mechanics goes to 390%, and that's relative to HomeStreet's 575% today.
Significant reduction for HomeStreet shareholders of CRE concentration. Over time, we plan to manage that ratio under 300% as commercial real estate and multifamily loans mature. Another thing to point out on this page is that we plan on running off approximately $1 billion of high-cost HomeStreet CDs in the first year post-close. We will cover the deposit outflows with cash generated from the continued paydowns of our $1.5 billion in remaining auto loans, which have a very short life. This getting smaller will generate excess capital, which will support the growth of high ROE core deposits and dividends to shareholders. Page 42 in the appendix is a very helpful page that lays out granular details about our pro forma deposit franchise, and I'd encourage everyone to take a close look at that.
I'll flip to page 24, and this is a simple build of what we believe the pro forma company will earn on a run rate basis. On the left side of the page, we start with 2026 HomeStreet consensus earnings of $20 million, and then we add 2026 Mechanics Bank standalone projected net income of $205 million. We believe this transaction will create a substantial opportunity for cost savings given the complementary business lines, and we are budgeting $82 million in non-interest expense reduction, or 42% of HomeStreet's 2024 reported NIE. This is $59 million after tax, which is what you see in the chart, and that's on a fully synergized basis. Notably, we expect these cost savings to be fully realized by the end of the second quarter of 2026.
There are also substantial interest rate marks at HomeStreet that we are recording through purchase accounting, notably a $200 million pre-tax loan interest rate mark at close. All in all, these fair value marks are projected to add $52 million in after-tax net income in 2026 with minimal execution risk. Over time, the fair value accretion will decrease as HomeStreet's loans and securities pay down, but this income will be replaced by market interest rates on new loans we originate or securities that we purchase, so these earnings should be sustainable. Next column over shows $34 million in after-tax merger disynergies, which I need to explain a bit. This includes several items, most notably that we plan to scale back mortgage and multifamily origination, including gain-on-sale income, as instead we will hold these loans in our portfolio.
Additionally, given our conservative $85 million credit mark, our net charge-off assumptions flowing through the modeling are higher than Wall Street estimates for HomeStreet. Finally, there is a $3 million pre-tax negative impact from Durbin-related fee income losses related to interchanging. Overall, we expect this company to generate $302 million of fully synergized 2026 operating earnings and $325 million in 2027. This implies for 2026 an earnings per share of $1.31 and 2027 EPS of $1.40. Move to page 25, and here we compare key profitability metrics, ROA and efficiency ratio, against those of our West Coast peers, and as you can see, we look very good. We project an 18% fully synergized ROTCE in 2026 and 19% ROTCE in 2027, which is significantly higher than that of our nearest competitor.
As Carl mentioned, our ROAA should reach 1.5% in 2027, and our efficiency ratio is expected to be 48%, which is close to best in class but still has room for improvement. Page 26, and again, we achieve this level of profitability with a low-risk, well-capitalized, core-funded balance sheet. We compare on this page our cost of funds, loans to deposit ratio, and CET1 ratio to the same peer group, and again, we compare quite favorably, especially with the cost of funds. Two things to note. While our loans to deposit ratio is 78% just after close, over time we expect it to drop back down toward our 69% level today as auto loans run off, commercial real estate loans decrease, and core deposits grow.
Additionally, we expect our CET1 ratio to run closer to 14% by the end of 2027, primarily due to continued auto loan runoff and a pause in our dividends until the first quarter of 2026. Page 27, I like this page because it shows the appeal to HomeStreet shareholders of our merger. Across the board, KPIs are improved, and in many cases, the pro forma company is in best in class relative to our peers. Arguably, the most important KPIs are ROA, ROA-TCE, and net interest margin, and will become number one in all three categories despite a very low risk profile. Notably, HomeStreet's projected 2026 net income increases from a Wall Street consensus $20 million to approximately $25 million, representing 23% EPS accretion to shareholders assuming fully synergized earnings.
Page 28 hits on many of the same themes, and I'll highlight again that our expected pro forma earnings per share for 2026 is $1.31, 23% of EPS accretion, and the combined company will also generate 230 plus basis points of annual CET1 capital. The earnings power, again, doesn't come with extra risk. It's a low-risk company thanks to our simple earnings strategy and our lack of reliance on wholesale funding. Our bank is powered by best-in-class low-cost deposits, which allows us to earn a healthy return without having to stretch for yield. I'm going to move to the next section and page 30. In our view, pro forma Mechanics Bank will materially outperform West Coast and high earnings multiple banks across the most important KPIs. What are the characteristics of high earnings multiple banks?
We've studied them, reviewed a lot of them, and we noticed that these banks generally have a lower cost of funds, greater liquidity, and very little reliance on wholesale funding. High earnings multiple banks tend to have very strong market share, low-risk business models, and top-notch profitability. We think we check a lot of those boxes. On the left side of this page, we show the estimated pro forma Mechanics Bank figures for key metrics related to profitability, funding, and capital return, and left to right, we compare them to our West Coast peers and high multiple national banks. We look good across the board, and especially when it comes to the dividend payout ratio, which we expect to exceed 90%. On page 31, we do some simple math to illustrate the potential upside to HomeStreet shareholders from this strategic merger.
In the middle of the page, we highlight key per-share metrics, including projected pro forma 2026 fully synergized EPS of $1.31, which I mentioned earlier, HomeStreet share price from Friday, which was $9.30, and the projected pro forma tangible book value per share of the combined company at close of $7.51. Across the top of the page, we lay out the median, top quartile, and long-term median earnings multiples for West Coast banks, along with the median 2026 EPS multiple for high multiple banks, which is 14.4x . The footnote has all the banks that we're looking at for this analysis that JP Morgan helped us put together.
We then do the math to show what the implied HomeStreet share price would be if we traded at these peer earnings multiple levels, demonstrating significant potential upside to HomeStreet shareholders if we can achieve either an average multiple and especially if we achieve a premium multiple. Page 32, this is another straightforward but pretty important slide. Across the top, we show a range of potential earnings multiples for pro forma Mechanics Bank from 10x - 17x , and right below that are projected 2026 fully synergized earnings of $302 million, which we referenced before. We do the math on the earnings multiples to show a range of potential values for the pro forma company along with implied dividend yields, illustratively assuming $300 million a year in annual dividends.
As you can see, this implies significant value creation to HomeStreet shareholders if we can achieve peer earnings multiples and with upside if we can achieve a premium multiple. Now, as an example, just looking at the third column over, if we trade to 12x 2026 earnings of $302 million, the pro forma market cap would be $3.624 billion with the value attributed to HomeStreet shareholders today of $302 million. That would imply a share price of $15.64 and substantial value creation. One other thing to point out is if we do achieve a premium earnings multiple, it would still be supported by a very healthy dividend yield. Now, I'm going to flip to page 33. This is a different way to look at an illustrative valuation method for the combined company.
It shows a simple regression of projected 2026 ROTCE for West Coast peer banks and where they trade today relative to tangible book value. The R-squared of the analysis is 0.76, which implies a high degree of correlation. We then highlight our fully synergized 2026 ROTCE of 18% from our prior page and drop that on the regression line, which gives you a price to tangible book value of 2.6x . When multiplied by our expected tangible common equity close of approximately $1.7 billion, you get the implied equity value of roughly $4.8 billion. Moving on to the final page of our deck before the appendix, we felt it was important to talk about the future strategy of Mechanics Bank. Overall, we will continue to opportunistically pursue M&A at the fund level while working with our talented management team at the bank to achieve operational excellence.
I can't emphasize enough how lucky I am to work with our over 1,400 dedicated teammates at Mechanics Bank. We have a truly fantastic group of employees and a talented senior management team who are some of the best in the business. Many of our senior executives have been with the Ford Group across multiple banking platforms, and our team has tremendous experience diligencing and integrating acquisitions with us as we've built Mechanics Bank via M&A this past decade. I also look forward to welcoming the HomeStreet team and getting to know them as we combine our two companies. Our business model is a simple one, and that will stay consistent. We will efficiently integrate HomeStreet into Mechanics Bank, including carefully planning for a core systems conversion that will likely occur in the first quarter of 2026. We will continue our prudence around mortgage and commercial real estate lending.
We will be a balance sheet lender and substantially reduce gain-on-sale. Our CRE concentration will decline over time, and we will explore strategic options to maximize the value of HomeStreet's multifamily lending DUS business. That's delegated underwriting and servicing. Our $1.5 billion in outstanding auto loans will continue to run off, and at some point, we are likely to sell the remaining loans, which will generate additional liquidity for the bank. We will maintain HomeStreet's residential construction lending business, which is well-run and appropriately sized at roughly $300 million in loans to fit within our pro forma company. We will keep growing our wealth management business and will continue to invest in technology across our bank. Most importantly, we will maintain our focus of profitably growing core deposits, which are the lifeblood of any bank.
Before I open things up, again, I'll mention there's a lot of good pages in the appendix. We lay out our exhaustive due diligence process, which we did do twice, and a lot of the financial assumptions underpinning our transaction. With that, we'd be happy to take some questions.
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star followed by two. When preparing to ask your question, please ensure your device is unmuted locally. First question comes from Woody Lay with KBW. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hey, thanks for taking my question. Wanted to start with deposits, and as you look out to the newly acquired markets through HomeStreet, could you talk about the deposit opportunity you have in those markets, and how does the Mechanics Playbook translate to those states outside of California?
Sure. This is C.J. Johnson and let Carl and Mark comment as well. I'll quickly point because I think it's a good page to page 42. This page shows on the top left Mechanics Bank at a 12/31/2024 spot day. It takes our deposit tape, and it kind of breaks it down in summary format to show here's the accounts: consumer accounts, business accounts, public accounts, public funds like cities, etc. We don't have any servicing or brokered deposits. It shows, okay, here's how we break that down. We stratify it a bit. What we really like about this, it shows, all right, we're a pretty balanced bank. We're 48% consumer, 43% business, 9% public. Our average account size is very granular at $43,000 per account. Again, our bank was founded 120 years ago.
A lot of the banks that we've purchased, especially RaboBank, was a series of franchises that had been around a very long time that they purchased through the Central Coast, which were great banks. Scott Valley Bank was founded in 1858. We have had a lot of banks, and California Republic Bank was just a great commercial bank. A lot of these banks had a very long tenure. A lot of our accounts are very old and sticky and granular and low cost. We show that here. Frankly, when we look at HomeStreet and we go to the right side of the page, I think HomeStreet has a lot of similar characteristics that I think is masked by some of the funding they had to add to support growth that we talked about earlier.
You look at HomeStreet, we take their strats, and this is kind of as reported, the totals, the $6.4 billion. We make two adjustments, which are the adjustments we expect to happen in the company. We say we're going to pay off all the brokered deposits. We're going to exit that one $249 million non-core treasury relationship. We're going to run off $1 billion of the highest cost CDs, which I think at 12/31/2024, we're at 4.85%. Once you do that, their total accounts drop from 141,000 to 126,000, $2 billion reduction in deposits. What's left behind is an average account size of $35,000, weighted average tenure of 11 years, cost of deposits of 1.74%. There's a lot of great relationships at HomeStreet. When you bring the two banks together, I think it's very powerful.
We show bottom right, if you do those adjustments, our pro forma cost of deposits increases from 1.28%- 1.39%, which I still think is best in class, and it's exceptionally granular. To your question, we feel it's very similar. I've actually driven probably by about 30 of HomeStreet's branches, almost all in Southern California and many of them in Seattle, and it's very complementary to what we have.
That's great, Collar. I appreciate it. Maybe shifting over to the loan-to-deposit ratio, I think you outlined a 74% by 2027. Is that fully loaded for the auto runoff and the CD runoff? How does that 74% fit into your longer-term risk appetite?
Yes. 74%, that's right. We'll be 78% at close. The auto is $1.5 billion today. That will run to $350 million today. $350 million today. It was $1.5 billion, I think, in the fourth quarter. It's paying down very quickly. Those auto loans will go to zero. Yes. That 74%, though, on the offset of that is we are running off $1 billion of higher cost CDs. To your question, the answer is yes. That reflects the auto runoff and the $1 billion of CD runoff. We expect that CD runoff to occur over probably four quarters. We're going to do it slowly as we adjust CD pricing to try to match the cash flows generally with the other cash flows in the company.
Got it. I just wanted to touch on the dividend strategy. As you look forward to your dividend strategy, should we expect consistent dividends quarter to quarter, or is there a special dividend element? Longer term, how do you think about the payout ratio beyond 2026?
There is no one-time special dividend anticipated anywhere. Again, we're going to attempt to pay a very high percentage of the prior quarter's net income. Again, back down to the 8.25% Tier 1 Leverage Ratio. I don't really see that changing a lot. You know our profit projections for the next couple of three years, and I think the dividends will be very consistent throughout that period of time. There's only so many things that you can do with free cash flow and dividends, and we could pay down debt, and they have HomeStreet has subordinated debt, and they have trust preferred, and they have senior debt, but all of that is pretty much prepaid protected, so that's not an option. We could do bank M&A. We could repurchase shares. We've never done that, but it's not to say that we couldn't at some point in the future.
We think the most efficient way to manage and allocate our capital to the extent that we're not going to be growing the bank substantially is to return it to our shareholders. We think that that will be pretty methodical, very consistent, and again, a high percentage dividend payout ratio, and we don't see that changing.
All right. That's all for me. Thanks for taking my questions. Congrats on the deal.
Our next question comes from Matthew Clark with Piper Sandler. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, everyone. First question for me, just on the cost saves, the 42% of HomeStreet's 2024 reported non-existent expense. Can you just give us a sense for where those savings are coming from? Because they had trimmed the expense base for the last couple of years, and I think the expense-to-average asset ratio was around 2.1% last year. I'm just trying to get a sense for how you plan to almost cut that in half and where it's coming from.
Sure. Our team has a lot of experience bringing banks together, and every bank has a lot of overhead. I think it's generally there's a lot of overlap in shared services. There's very similar businesses in mortgage and multifamily. There is a ton of redundant vendor contracts. HomeStreet's paying a substantial amount for a core systems provider, and moving forward, we'll only have to do that once. I think it's a combination of bringing together the back office and especially a lot of redundancies with vendors. We have a very good track record of delivering on the expected cost savings.
Great. Just on the indirect auto portfolio, the $1.5 billion, can you give us a sense for how quickly that's going to run off for the balance of this year and next? It seems like you might sell it at some point, but just trying to get a sense for kind of the decline we should expect in the meantime.
Sure. When we started to wind down the business, as I mentioned earlier, we had $4 billion in outstanding receivables. That initial cash flow was probably $125-$130 million a month. Today, it is approximating off of balance as of this morning of $1.35 billion. It's approximating a monthly cash flow of $75-$80 million. Obviously, as you get more into the tail of the portfolio, that will decline. At some point, we will sell the tail. I don't know when that will be. This is just off the top of my head without a lot of thought behind it, probably in the next year or so. I think we can look for pretty good cash flow off of it for the balance of this year and into next year. At some point, we know what we have it on the books for.
If we can realize anything close to that, we'll sell it to somebody else because we are getting down to diminishing returns versus our servicing cost. I think C.J. may have mentioned that we are in the process of outsourcing our servicing. Again, our servicing cost for the rundown rolloff portfolio is getting higher each month. We are going to outsource that. That also probably makes it easier to sell that tail to multiple buyers. I think for your modeling and planning purposes, you should probably see it on the books for another three or four quarters. After that, it will be sold and converted to cash.
Yeah. This is CJ. Just to add to that, we would expect the auto by the end of the year to be at about just under $900 million on balance sheet and that we did not sell it, about $400 million on balance sheet by the end of 2026. Around the outsourcing, we did make that decision. That will occur in the second quarter. The second quarter of 2025, you'll see some one-time charges. There are about 150 Mechanics Bank Auto Finance employees that are impacted by that decision. It will be a little bit of noise in the second quarter, but moving forward, we'll have a substantial pickup in efficiency.
Okay. Thanks. Just a housekeeping item just to make sure we're on the same page. Historical financials with the structure of this deal will be HomeStreet. Is that right?
No. The historical financials, Mechanics is the accounting acquirer, so it would be Mechanics. I guess there'll still be financials for both sets of companies historically.
Got it. Thank you.
Yep.
We now turn to Timothy Coffey with Janney. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks. Appreciate the discussion today, gentlemen. Thank you very much. I guess my first question is, when it comes to getting the full valuation for the stock, is there a process or a timeline you're looking at? Because I guess I've got to imagine that part of that has to do with improving the liquidity of the stock.
First of all, there is no timeline. We will be very thoughtful, very measured about how we introduce shares into the market. Obviously, we represent the biggest overhang, 74%. I can tell you, I do not think it is proprietary that Rabo, on their 9.1%, they are likely to sell in concert pretty much with us. We are in no hurry. We are going to do what is best for the shareholders, what is best for everyone involved here. We are not going anywhere. We enjoy doing what we do. We will be very thoughtful. Obviously, a lot of it depends on how the stock performs right off the bat. We will be thoughtful. We will be measured, and we will watch the float, and we will just do what makes the most sense for the shareholders out there. That is a pretty simple answer, but it is also the pretty simple truth.
We just don't know how the market's going to react. There'll be the HomeStreet shares that trade freely. We, along with others, have registration rights. We'll go through that process. When the transaction closes, I'm sure there'll be more shares come into the market, and the float will increase.
Okay. Okay. No, that's really consistent with, I think, how you've approached the market for a while now. As part of this transaction, will the company Mechanics be uplisted? Will it be a full filer on the SEC?
Yes. Yes. We will also likely probably go from NASDAQ to the New York Stock Exchange.
Okay. Okay. That's great. This is kind of the mechanics of reducing the CRE concentration ratio. Is that just through organic growth, or do you envision a repositioning?
No. Our forecast is just through amortization. We're going to build a bit of capital by not paying a dividend in the fourth quarter. We will, just over time, there'll be paydowns and amortization of CRE and multifamily. Some of that comes up pretty in a few years, especially on the HomeStreet side. There's some resets of multifamily loans. We do expect some paydowns to occur when repricing happens. We have a fair amount of CRE maturities occurring at Mechanics, and likely some of those will pay off instead of being refinanced. There's not a contemplated restructuring similar to what you saw HomeStreet do in the fourth quarter. That's not in the projections. It's just natural amortization runoff.
Right. Okay. Okay. That's helpful. It is, I think, really positive to hear that you can take a tier one ratio down to 8.25%. Does that imply a TCE ratio of around 7.5% or lower?
No. I think the TCE should be just above 8.
Okay.
We don't have much AOCI because we sold all of our, we did a restructuring of our AFS portfolio. The TCE is pretty close to the tier one leverage ratio.
Ratio. Yeah.
There will be a little bit.
All right.
There'll be a little.
Oh, I'm sorry. I didn't mean to cut you off.
I was just saying there's going to be a little bit of disallowed DTA in tier one capital related to HomeStreet's net operating losses. That's another reason why the leverage ratio will actually pretty closely approximate the TC to TA.
Okay. All right.
Assuming you can do that.
All right. Thank you very much. Those are my questions.
Yeah.
Right. Right. Of course.
No problem.
Okay. All right. Appreciate it. Thank you.
You're welcome.
Our next question comes from Jordan Heimowitz with Philadelphia Investment Management. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Thanks, guys. I'm looking at a Mechanics Bank across the street from my office, and I can't wait to go there after working up an account. I'm excited to be a shareholder and maybe a depositor soon.
I know.
I have a couple of questions. First of all, the $15.64 valuation you put on HomeStreet, what valuation did that include for the multifamily DUS lender, or is that on top of that?
We wrote up an intangible for the DUS lender of $15 million. It did not increase for the value of the license. We ascribed $15 million of intangible for that license. It did not increase tangible capital.
Okay. Second is, you made an offer once before, and you'd imagine it was either the 13 or the 15 and a quarter in cash. What was the logic of offering this structure this time? I'm saying it's better or worse than going with the cash value, assuming it was the higher number that was a similar price?
Jordan, I'd say a lot of things changed between the HomeStreet process that began for us in the fall of 2023 when we were an all-cash buyer, and we made a significant bid in the process. I think that closed on January 12th of last year, 2024. Obviously, we had repositioned our AFS securities portfolio. We had obviously stockpiled some capital, anticipating that we would be the winning bidder in round one. We were not. We certainly had no forethought that the deal might not get regulatory approval. We had excess capital. We decided the best use of that excess capital was to reposition that $1.8 billion securities portfolio that I mentioned earlier. If part of your question is, "Why was it all cash then? Why is it stock today?" I think that's part of it.
I think there's a time when a company should consider its options and its alternatives. We have and have had deep conviction around the benefits of a combination with HomeStreet. Hopefully, we've presented those appropriately this afternoon. We wanted to win the bid, I guess is one way to put it. We wanted to win the company. We think that the $300 million valuation is a very fair, appropriate for all parties valuation. That's kind of our thinking behind it. It's not that tied necessarily to the first round bid. We spent a lot of time thinking about, one, what's appropriate, and two, what would win? That's why we went back with the $300 million.
The actual price I was very happy with. I was just wondering the logic of cash versus stock. I think you basically said, "Could you use the cash to reposition the AFS, if I understand correctly?
Yeah. We would do that deal all over again. The good news is that Mechanics has the ability to generate capital, and we have a lot of liquidity. Those are the two things necessary to do this deal. That is what we always had this conviction around, that this was the right deal for us. We had what it took to fix it.
Next question is, the LA Olympics are coming in 2028, and the World Cup is in 2026. There has been talk by several of the lenders that are focused on LA of a larger opportunity in multifamily down there as a result of that. Could that increase your growth at all, or has that factored into your assumptions?
I can tell you, Jordan, we've never thought about it. It has never come into our equation about those two very, very big sporting events. It's not been a part of our thoughts around this transaction. Pain hurt.
Okay. If you do not mind, at this time, you mentioned that you are taking consensus estimates for HomeStreet, which is really only assuming a 50 basis point return on assets for 2026. I mean, even by the end of 2026, they should be running at at least a 75-80 on a standalone basis. One could argue that the synergies being assumed or the earnings assumed are very conservative because no one really has a 2027 estimate out there yet. I mean, they should be able to make 50 basis points on assets by going to sleep and just having their assets repriced. You see what I am saying?
I think it's fair that we feel like the estimates we're giving are conservative and achievable.
Okay. The one area you did not mention is Hawaii. They have a small but very strategic footprint in Hawaii, which is very strategic, but it is the lowest-cost deposits, basically, of almost anywhere in the States. Is there any interest in building out that franchise or looking to sell it, or have you thought at all about that?
We have thought about it, not in great detail. We have looked at banks in Hawaii before. I think you've got two banks there that really dominate the market. I would be very surprised to see us reinvest, if that's the right term, or try to grow Hawaii. It's a pretty insular market, and their deposit cost there is reasonably high. I do not see us trying to expand in Hawaii. In fact, Hawaii very much for us right now is a TBD. We will focus on Hawaii basically as we begin looking at all the potential markets. Hawaii is, frankly, just one we have not concentrated on at this point. I know it's a vague answer. I would not expect us to increase our presence or put resources and capital into Hawaii.
Very lastly, before I go across the street and pick up my free toaster, and that is, and I'm sure no one else is going to ask this question, but I was around with the CalFed acquisition and merger. If I remember right, and I could be wrong on this, there were still some CalGZ certificates that you still had. Is there any holding of that on your balance sheet at Mechanics, or is that completely gone at this point?
No. I think you and I are the only ones on this call old enough to remember CalFed. Yes, I'm very familiar with what you're talking about, and those are long gone.
Okay. Okay. Thank you.
Thank you.
Our next question is from Joseph Stephen.
I would, Josh.
Our next question is from Joseph Stephen with Stephen Capital Advisors. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
First of all, good afternoon, gentlemen. Just a couple of things. Carl, the joke with you, I think I could match you on the gray hair and age. So that's number one. Number two is that there's an excellent presentation.
[Thank you.]
Okay. Excellent presentation by both you and C.J. All my financial questions have been answered, but let me ask you a regulatory one. You guys have said this is your second time for due diligence, and you gave a 9:30 guesstimated approval process or closure. Any chance you do better than that? Because a lot of deals lately have been doing better. Second question is, just correct me if I'm not mistaken, but you are a state-chartered non-Fed member bank. Am I correct? Thank you.
Yes, on that.
Yeah.
The Ford Fund II and Ford Fund III are also regulated by the Federal Reserve. We interact with the Federal Reserve. Our primary regulator is the FDIC. We also have a close partnership with the California DFPI. As it relates to can we be, let me go back and restate a little of what C.J. said. He's exactly right. The holding company for Mechanics Bank today is Ford Financial Fund II and Ford Financial Fund III. We are both deemed holding companies. We are regulated by the Federal Reserve, specifically by the Federal Reserve Bank here in Dallas. As far as the regulatory approval process, we have, in all of this conversation, discussion, and vetting with our regulators, been very upfront on the three things that I mentioned earlier, along with the need to close this transaction as soon as possible.
Can we do better? I think there's a pretty good shot. I don't want to go out on a limb, and I know CJ does not either. I think there's a good chance that we're going to get approval this summer. We're going to file the change of control application right away, and we'll start the clock running on that. I think you can look back, and I think somewhere in our slide presentation, we had the approval times on the four banks that are now part of Mechanics. I think that's on page 10. You can see the approval times there from our regulators. We would sure like to get this approved, and we'll probably have 15 days post the approval. As far as our waiting time, it's statutorily 30, but they typically cut that in half.
We'd like to get approved mid-summer, and 15 days later, we'll have to close at a month end for cutoff purposes on our financials. Yeah, I'd like to see this the end of July, end of August. Is it possible? Yes. Is it probable? Maybe. We've expressed all of that to our regulators, and we have a very, very good relationship with all of our regulators. I'm optimistic.
Carl, do you think you'll be able to get it done at delegated authority, or will it have to go to DC?
Oh, we asked that question. We asked for expedited approval. There are some things that probably preclude that. I was talking to the Director of the FDIC's West Region last, I think it was Wednesday. I think it's probably sufficient to say there's a lot of change going on right now in DC. The landscape is not quite what it used to be for good or for bad. He was optimistic that they would have quite a bit of influence over this at the regional level.
Okay. Great. Thank you. Great presentation, gentlemen.
Thank you.
This concludes our Q&A. I'll now hand back to Carl Webb for any final remarks.
Okay. Thanks, everyone, for your attendance and your attention today. Thanks again for your patience also. It's been a bit of a detailed presentation, but we thought it was necessary. Hopefully, you found the meeting informative, beneficial, as well as thought-provoking. We are, again, tremendously excited for this opportunity and for all the optionality that it affords us going forward. We're fully committed to the successful execution and achievement of maximum return for all the stakeholders, of which we are absolutely one. Just never forget how aligned we are. Lastly, we like hearing from you. Let us know if there are further questions or thoughts. Regardless of the topic, your feedback is always valued. With that, we'll sign off, and thank you again.
Ladies and gentlemen, today's call has now concluded. We'd like to thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.