Mercer International Inc. (MERC)
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May 7, 2026, 3:21 PM EDT - Market open
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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Feb 17, 2023

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Mercer International's fourth quarter 2022 earnings conference call. On the call today is Juan Carlos Bueno, President and Chief Officer of Mercer International, with David Ure, Senior Vice President, Finance, Chief Financial Officer, and Secretary. I will now hand the call over to David Ure.

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. I will begin by touching on the financial and operating highlights of the fourth quarter before turning the call to Juan Carlos to further color on the markets, our capital plan, as well as our strategic initiatives. For those of you that have joined today's call by telephone, there is a presentation material that we've attached to the investor section of our website. Before turning to our results, I'd like to remind you that in this morning's conference call, we will make forward-looking statements. According to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, I'd like to call your attention to the risks related to these statements, which are more fully described in our press release and in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

This quarter, we achieved EBITDA of approximately $96 million compared to Q3 EBITDA of roughly $141 million. This solid Q4 was a consequence of improved pulp production at our Stendal mill as we return the mill to near full production after the Q3 wood yard fire, along with higher pulp and energy sales volumes. This was more than offset by lower energy sales realizations in Europe due to the recently implemented energy price cap, along with considerably higher pulp fiber and chemical costs. In the 2022 fiscal year, we achieved record EBITDA of almost $537 million, driven by strong pricing for our products through most of 2022, a relatively strong US dollar compared to the euro and Canadian dollar, along with improved pulp sales volumes.

Currently, Stendal is approaching 100% of capacity. We expect the final repairs to the fire-damaged wood yard infrastructure to be complete in Q2. The loss is covered by our insurance program. We expect it to be settled later in 2023 once permanent repairs are complete. As of today, we have received advanced payments from our insurer totaling roughly $18 million. After giving consideration to our planned 21-day shot of Stendal in November, our mills ran well this quarter when compared to Q3, when we had 17 days of schedule at our Rosenthal mill. Our pulp segment contributed quarterly EBITDA of roughly $98 million, and our solid wood segment, which includes our Friesau lumber operation, along with the newly acquired Torgau mill and our Spokane mass timber startup, contributed quarterly EBITDA of about $5 million.

You can find additional segment disclosures in our Form 10-K, which can be found on our website and that of the SEC. Supply constraints from Western Canadian producers, coupled with increased demand from China, helped keep Q4 pricing relatively stable in our markets, with only pricing declines. European NBSK list prices averaged $1,442 per ton in the current quarter, compared to $1,500 per ton in Q3. In China, the Q4 average NBSK net price was $920 per ton, down $49 from Q3. The price gap between NBSK and hardwood narrowed slightly in the quarter due to hardwood prices decreasing less than NBSK prices with the average Q4 net eucalyptus hardwood price in China at $837 per ton, down $18 from Q3.

In total, average pulp sales realization movements negatively impacted EBITDA by almost $7 million compared to the prior quarter. Our average lumber realizations fell sharply in Q4 due to relative weakness in both the U.S. and European markets. Random Lengths U.S. for Western SPF 2 and better averaged $410 per thousand board feet in Q4, which was down $170 from last quarter. Our average European sales realizations were down approximately $118 per thousand compared to Q3. Today, the benchmark lumber price in the U.S. is currently $455 per thousand board feet. Our electricity sales reflect our strong generation along with elevated prices in Europe, where Q4 prices were in the range of $200 per megawatt hour.

Exports to the grid totaled about 222 gigawatt hours in the quarter, which was up relative to Q3, principally the result of Stendal's return to near full production and the addition of Torgau. The energy situation in Europe changed significantly in the quarter. The December implementation of an energy price cap effectively reduced the net realized price to about $120 per megawatt hour, which, while lower than Q3, remains much higher than our historical realizations prior to 2022. Q4 reflects a full quarter of results from the Q3 acquisition of the Torgau mill. However, net earnings impact was nascent this quarter due to a GAAP requirement to mark to market acquired inventories and order books, in this case, for pellets and pallets to the current market price, a treatment that removes most of the margin from the first full quarter of ownership.

While shipping pallet and heating pellet prices are currently somewhat depressed, we expect a modest contribution to earnings from Torgau in Q1. We reported consolidated net income of almost $20 million for the quarter, or $0.30 per basic share, compared to net income of $67 million or $1.01 per basic share in Q3. For the full year, we are reporting record consolidated net income of $247 million or $3.74 per basic share. We consumed about $8 million of cash in the quarter compared to Q3 cash generation, which totaled about $27 million after adjusting for the acquisition of the sawmill and the related draw on our German revolving green credit facility in Q3. The reduction in cash generation is due to lower EBITDA along with working capital movements that reflect higher inventories.

Capital spending in the quarter was about $50 million and totaled $179 million for the full year. Looking ahead to 2023, we are targeting CapEx of about $175 million-$200 million in our operations this year. Juan Carlos will provide more color on our CapEx program in a moment. At the end of the quarter, our liquidity position increased slightly from Q3 and totaled about $636 million, comprised of $354 million of cash and $282 million of undrawn revolvers, including our new EUR 300 million sustainability-linked facility. Our quarter end liquidity position was up about $15 million from the previous quarter due to increased availability on our credit facilities.

As you would have noticed from our press release, our board has approved a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share for shareholders of record on March 29th, 2023, for which payment will be made on April 5th, 2023. That ends my overview of the financial results. I'll now turn the call to Juan Carlos.

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Thanks, Dave. Overall, I'm pleased with our fourth quarter operating results as it provided a solid conclusion to a record year for our company. Operationally, we ran well and our production and sales volume were up for all our products compared to Q3, and we returned our stand-alone mill to almost full capacity midway through the quarter. As we expected, the pulp markets weakened, but only slightly. Lumber markets weakened more significantly in the quarter, but we are beginning to see signs that this market will improve. As Dave highlighted, there were significant changes in energy policy in Germany during the quarter, which reduced our electricity revenue compared to Q3. While this top-line reduction came quickly, lower costs for natural gas, chemicals, and pulpwood are now following and will materialize in our results in the next few quarters.

We made good progress with the integration of the Torgau sawmill, coordinating the logistics for the various fiber and wood transfers we envision takes time, and I'm satisfied with our progress to date with regards to our targeted synergies. On an annualized basis, we achieved approximately $6 million of synergies in Q4. Once we fully are integrated, we expect to achieve about $60 million per year of synergies. I'm also pleased with the progress we're making in developing our mass timber business. Our design and engineering teams are now actively bidding on numerous mass timber projects. We have currently over 50 projects in various stages of evaluation or bid. Many are complex projects that will take time to negotiate and finalize. We expect a few of these already to be contracted in the coming days and weeks.

As I mentioned, global pulp markets remained resilient through the fourth quarter, with prices down only slightly. There are a number of factors currently in the NBSK space, including some softness in demand in Europe related to weakness in economic conditions brought on by the energy crisis there. Of course, in recent months, reduced supply is now beginning to have a material impact as paper producers look to increase their pulp inventories. The NBSK market has seen the equivalent of two pulp mills permanently removed between 2022 and early 2023. In addition, temporary curtailments driven by fiber supply constraints in Western Canada are also impacting the market.

This includes our Cariboo joint venture, where we're taking two months of downtime this spring and summer due to the lack of fiber. Hardwood prices also held their own in the quarter, although we are expecting some softness in the next few quarters as significant new capacity comes online in 2023, which may be detrimental to this market. It will take some time for the market to digest these volumes, and we expect the hardwood-softwood price gap could expand over time. The fourth quarter lumber market pricing reflected weakening of both the U.S. and European markets. On average, our lumber realizations were down in Q4, 25% from Q3. The negative market sentiment is principally the result of uncertainty created by rising mortgage rates and weak economic indicators. The U.S. market continues to be volatile, but we're seeing some positive momentum.

Despite the volatility today, we believe the midterm backdrop for U.S. lumber conditions remains positive. With low lumber channel inventories as we approach the spring construction season, the large number of sawmill curtailments, relatively low housing stock, and constructed homeowner demographics putting positive pressure on the supply-demand fundamentals of this market. We will continue to watch and to match our mix of lumber products and customers to current market conditions. In Q4, 32% of our lumber sales volumes were in the U.S. market. The majority of the remainder of our sales were in the European market. Also, we saw our logistic channels continuing to improve, which resulted in a modest decrease in our freight costs. High fuel costs are keeping freight costs higher than what we hoped for, but the improvements allows us to be more cost effective, like reducing our reliance on higher cost trucking solution.

In Q4, we saw pulpwood prices peak before reducing partway through the quarter. The high pulpwood costs were mainly driven by demand from the energy sector as users were looking for cheaper forms of energy. Looking ahead to Q1, we are anticipating downward pulpwood pricing pressure in Europe, while European solid demand and supply are in balance, and as a result, we expect solid pricing to modestly decrease in Q1. In Western Canada, decreased log harvesting levels and related sawmill curtailments are putting upward pressure on pulpwood prices. Not surprisingly, these factors are also negatively impacting fiber supply. As mentioned, our Cariboo joint venture pulp mill has announced a curtailment due to lack of fiber, and we have also seen fiber concerns driving the recent announcement of the permanent closure of another interior BC pulp mill.

In 2022, we invested almost $180 million in our operations, the majority of this going into high return projects like our Celgar and Peace River. These projects will generate high returns in the form of lower wood costs and have considerable carbon reduction attributes, which will help us achieve our carbon reduction goals. Looking to 2023, we expect to invest between $175 million and $200 million in our mills, as Dave had mentioned before, we will again be investing heavily in high return projects. This will include the Lignin Development Center and extraction pilot plant and the $27 million expansion project, our Spokane mass timber plant. The Spokane plant investments will allow this state-of-the-art facility to fully utilize a more varied raw material mix, add glulam to our product portfolio and increase joint production.

This is a first step in what will ultimately be an expansion of CLT capacity in anticipation of our efforts to steadily increase our order book for mass timber products. As we think about climate change and the rapid shift occurring regarding reducing carbon emissions, products like lignin, mass timber, green energy, extract lumber, and pulp are all products that will play increasingly important roles in displacing carbon-intensive products. Products like concrete and steel for construction, plastic packaging, fossil fuel-generated electricity and synthetic fragrances and flavors, even synthetic textiles. We're committed to our 2030 carbon reduction targets and believe our products form part of the climate change solution. In fact, we believe that in the fullness of time, demand for our low carbon products will dramatically increase as the world looks for solutions to reduce its carbon emissions.

To that end, going forward, you will see us looking to grow these areas of our business. We remain bullish on the long-term value of pulp, but to bring more balance to our business, solid wood and extractives will grow more quickly. Also, to remind listeners, we remain committed to our carbon emission reduction targets. I encourage you to look at our website for more details. We're so confident in our ability to meet these targets that we converted our German revolving credit facility to a sustainability-linked loan, making us part of a small group of wood product producers willing to invest in carbon emission reduction targets in favor of modest reductions in our cost of borrowing. That's it. Thanks for listening, and I will now turn the call back to Sarah for questions. Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question or make a contribution on today's call, please press star one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your line, please press star two. Please ensure your lines are unmuted locally as you will be advised when to ask your question. The first question comes from the line of Sean Steuart from TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Hi. Good morning. Apologies in advance. I think I have a bad connection. Dave, you mentioned $18 million in insurance proceeds to date. How much was in Q4?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah, it was about six, Kasia.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Okay. Most of it had been received in Q3 then, I take it?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah, that's right. That's right.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Okay, great.

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

There'll be a little bit more coming. The insurance here has actually been quite efficient. The insurer has been providing us advances that sort of match our expenditures. It's generally been coming in as the work has been done.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Got it. Maybe just a single digit few $ million coming in in Q1. Is that fair?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

I think that's fair, yeah.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Great. Dave, can you quantify the mark to market on the hit inventories, how much that impacted EBITDA in the quarter?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah. roughly $10 million.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

The, the Q4 depreciation rate, is that a good rate to use going forward as a run rate for modeling purposes?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah, that should be all right.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Dave, if you could just give a maintenance outlook for 2023. I know it's in your 10-K, but if you could specify between the mills, that would be great.

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Okay. Just one moment here. All right. Okay. In Q1, we will have a the shut at Celgar. Small shut at Celgar. In Q2, we will have a larger shut, so a fairly substantial typical shut at Peace River for a couple of weeks. We also have a shut at Cariboo in Q2. Q3, we will have our typical two-week shut at Rosenthal. Celgar will have their major shut in Q4, sort of a two to three-week shut in Q4.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Thanks, Dave. What are you seeing for paper maker demand right now, and what are your order books looking like?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

It's Juan Carlos. Thanks for the question. In paper demand, what we're seeing is obviously a slowdown in Europe, in the European markets. Those have been the one that have suffered a bit the most since I would say almost end of Q3 and beginning of Q4. But now what we see compensating that is obviously China coming back. So there's a little bit of a balance there in terms of how the paper market is moving.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Thanks for that context. The last one for me, you had Torgau for a little over a quarter. How is that going relative to your expectations? Any context you could provide there? Any ways on progress to date?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Very good, and very happy about the progress in Torgau, particularly with the synergies that we're already able to extract in very little time. When we think about this, we just took over first of October. Looking at the progress that we've made, moving all sorts of products around our mills in Germany has been very. As we unlock further capacity at Torgau, we expect those synergies just to increase. What we're aiming for, obviously, is to increase our lumber production over there. At the same time, we have benefits when it comes to the movement of wood chips or the movement of fines, sawdust and whatnot.

It's a very positive addition to our overall portfolio.

Sean Steuart
Managing Director and Equity Research, TD Securities

Thanks very much, everyone. I appreciate the context. I'll get back in the queue.

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Paul Quinn from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks very much. Morning, guys. I guess maybe this is for Dave, but Dave, if you could just give me a rough cost of the shuts at Cariboo and Celgar. How should we model that in?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Of for 2023, Paul?

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Just the sort of fiber-related shuts that you're taking in both mills.

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Okay, not the maintenance shuts. You're talking about-

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Right.

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

The curtailments?

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah.

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah, I don't think we have. I don't think we can disclose that. I can tell you that the reason you do it is because that incremental fiber that is available to operate the mill is higher than what it would take to just to cover your fixed costs. Generally, that's the call we make.

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

I don't have.

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Just. Yeah, you don't have the specifics. What about overall fiber costs in general? I mean, you're obviously seeing a big price increase in Europe, but I suspect that's also affecting you in BC. Alberta pretty flat?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Yeah. Alberta, Paul, this is Juan. Alberta is. We have seen a bit of increase, but nothing too dramatic. Remembering in Alberta, customers that we work with, we have quite a significant amount of wood at our disposal. It's a very different situation from what we experience in British Columbia. Now, having said that, obviously, also in Germany, we had over the quarter a very high increase in wood costs associated with all the energy crisis and all the scare that there was going on during that period of time. Obviously, that has now eased down significantly.

Actually, what we're seeing today is an important reduction of the cost of the wood chips in Germany, which obviously is very, very favorable to us. Not yet to the level that we would want it to be, but clearly heading in the right direction, and we expect that to continue going forward. I think that's very positive overall. In the case of BC, obviously with the curtailments of continuous curtailments of sawmills, that is putting a significant strain in the whole system. We'll see now that this other pulp mill has been shut down, as was announced recently.

That creates a little bit more balance, yet we have to see how the development goes for the coming months.

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Just longer term on fiber availability, especially in BC, 'cause it seems most constrained there. What do you think is the positioning of the mills that you've got in that jurisdiction? Are they gonna be able to, you know, be able to be fibered up going forward, or is it gonna be, you know, rolling downtimes because of the lack of residuals?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

There's a... If I talk about Celgar specifically, there's a couple things that make Celgar probably in a stronger position than other pulp mills that are in BC, and it's its geographic location. Since we're close to the U.S. border, we have the advantage of being able to tap into the U.S. market for chips. We're actively pursuing that, and now basically setting up the proper logistics that would allow us to have a good flow of chips from the U.S. in case the BC continues to put more and more pressure on this. That way we can protect ourselves from further issues in British Columbia. I think that's something very positive for Celgar on number one.

Number two, we have the woodroom that we've announced and that will be ready not only in Peace River, but also in Celgar later in the year. We expect that woodroom to be up and running by the end of the year. That, the fact that we are able to bring that woodroom in play, that basically reduces the dependence that we have on sawmill residuals. So that's another very important step to make sure that Celgar runs without interruptions, once those things are in place. In Cariboo, it's a little bit different situation. We don't have those options of the woodroom or the proximity to the U.S.

Together with our partners, we're working very diligently in making sure that we secure the necessary wood that is required for the mill. We'll see how the development of this year works, but we're actively pursuing options to see if we can reduce the 60-day short curtailments that we've announced before. We're in the works on that.

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

All right. Dave, maybe over to you just, that $175 million-$200 million in CapEx. How do you split that between maintenance and then, the amount that you're spending on high return projects?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah. It's always a tricky one because, one person's definition of MOB is, might be different than another's. It's probably a pretty good mix of, it's probably close to 50/50. It's got some terrific projects like Juan Carlos had mentioned. This will be the year that we do the bulk of the work on the Spokane CLT plant, so we're looking for some expansion there. We're also doing some work at Torgau, some early optimization work to increase the lumber production at Torgau. Of course, these, the woodroom that Juan Carlos talked about at Celgar. We're also doing the same thing at Peace River, which is nearing completion, and both of these projects are extremely high return. I would say it's probably roughly 50/50.

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Just lastly, sorry, I haven't been on these calls for a while due to the conflicts. Paper Excellence is close to from their acquisitional Resolute assets, the best, you know, both Dryden and Tebay. Any interest in those mills?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

not really, to be honest, Paul. I think we're happy with what we have, and we'll continue to focus on those.

Paul Quinn
Director of Paper and Forest Products, RBC Capital Markets

All righty. That's all I had. Thanks. Best of luck.

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Richard Stevens from Momenta. Please go ahead.

Richard Stevens
Chairman of the Board, Momenta

Hi, thank you for taking my question. I just wanted to follow up on one statement, or I thought I heard you guys say, just to make sure I fully understand. I think you had new capacity coming online in 2023, that it would take some time to absorb this capacity. Is that capacity actually coming out of China? While you're importing right now into China, as China opens up, that they will be a net exporter of product, more than likely that product will end up into Europe. Is that fair to say?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

When we were I believe, Richard, what we were referring to, an additional capacity was more on the NBHK market. hardwood market that will see a very significant capacity coming through during the year. That capacity is coming basically from South America with Brazil and Uruguay coming, and Chile coming to play. And that's something that will during the course of this year and next year will add quite a significant amount of pulp, of hardwood pulp into the market. The destination of that, obviously, as you will say, China is gonna be a significant market for it. I would say that if not the most predominant one, the offtaker of a large part of that.

That's why we made the statement that we believe that NBSK is gonna be going through probably a bit tougher cycle as that amount of capacity is being absorbed by the market. One thing that I would comment though is usually when those things happen, it's kind of phased in. It's not that you have 2 million tons of pulp dumped in the market from one day to another. Those things are usually phased in a way that it sinks a little bit easy to go through it and as they ramp up their production.

Obviously, it's an important factor for, I think for the end of this year when some of those things are fully up and running and even more in 2024.

Richard Stevens
Chairman of the Board, Momenta

Got it. Okay, that's very helpful. All right, I appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Andrew Kuske from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Andrew Kuske
Managing Director and Head of Canadian Research, Credit Suisse

Thanks. Good morning. I guess the first question is for Juan Carlos, and it's really along the lines of the balancing the business. You mentioned this earlier on about your imbalance in business. How do you think about the business mix for Mercer on a longer term basis? Whether we're talking, you know, 5 years out, 10 years out, how do you think about that?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Thank you, Andrew. Yes, we're very, very focused on that specific item that you just mentioned on balancing better our company and diversity so that it's not so heavily dependent on pulp overall. We believe that there's still very good opportunities for us to grow in pulp, but we will pursue higher opportunities for growth in lumber and CLT. Not only that, but also in our biomaterials space with lignin. As Dave mentioned, and I think I mentioned as well, we have this already this lignin investment going through in 2023. If you ask me, looking 10 years ahead, I would hope to see a company that is much more balanced.

By that I wouldn't be surprised if pulp is anywhere below 40% and lumber is anywhere above 1/3 of our company and some of these biomaterials take, start taking some 2-digit space into this mix. That would be, how I would, how I would paint it for the future with lumber and pulp they're almost at balance.

Andrew Kuske
Managing Director and Head of Canadian Research, Credit Suisse

Okay. That's very helpful. Then I guess the second question, I'm sort of thinking about the same kind of timeframe, goes to Dave. You don't really have any near-term matures at all. You've been very adept, and this isn't to be patronizing, but you've been very adept over the years of sort of flexing things, levering up when appropriate and then paying down debt, and being well-positioned generally through the cycle. How do you think about the evolution of the balance sheet if the business mix changes? Do you move from, you know, high yield issuer into investment grade, and just have different market access points?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah, no, we do think about that a lot, even though we don't have, we don't have any near-term maturities. I think, we've been pretty fortunate to have the kind of that core foundational unsecured, no covenant, you know, very flexible financing structure in the past. That may not be the place, maybe, as we get closer to the first maturity, which is in 2026. We'll have to see what the market conditions are for other sources of financing. Yeah, and a lot can change in the next year as well. As you, as you know, we've been generating, we've got a pretty good cash flow, pretty good operating cash flow.

I think we're gonna have the opportunities if the markets aren't there to roll those facilities over, we'll have the opportunity to do something else. That may include shrinking the debt up, and it, but it may include, we'll look at the other sources of financing at the time. Of course, we're always balancing that with what we have in the pipeline for CapEx or M&A opportunities. As you know, we've had a little bit of extra cash on the balance sheet at times in the last couple of years, and we've deployed that to pick up a couple of assets in the Spokane facility and recently the Torgau facility.

I think we may have struggled to get those assets if we didn't have a little bit of dry powder on the balance sheet. I think you'll you'll see us at times be a little bit conservative or what might look outwards to be a little bit conservative to make sure that if we do come across an opportunity that aligns with the strategy that Juan Carlos was talking about, that we're able to jump on those opportunities quickly. Sorry, Andrew, that's a bit of a ramble, but yeah, there's a lot of moving parts, but we're paying a lot of attention to that particularly over the next year or two.

Andrew Kuske
Managing Director and Head of Canadian Research, Credit Suisse

Okay. Appreciate the color. Thank you.

Operator

If you would like to ask a question or make a contribution on today's call, please press star one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star two. The next question comes from Forest Inman as a private investor. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hey, thanks for taking my questions. Can you just give us an update on the woodrooms? I think you had spoken about these at length in the past and talked about the opportunity for grant proceeds tied to the completion of those. Is that still possible? What would the quantity of the proceeds be?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Yeah. The woodrooms are progressing well. One that is very close to completion is the one in Peace River. We expect that to be concluded and starting up already in the second quarter, early in the second quarter. We're already halfway through the commissioning phase. That is obviously of high expectations, and we've gotten good support from the government into that project. That's that to us is very important. As we mentioned before, the one in Celgar, that one we need to associate it with. There's some work that needs to be done, and we want to do it at the time of our shutdown.

As Dave mentioned earlier, that shutdown is scheduled for the fourth quarter, for October. It is linked to the fourth quarter shutdown, for us to be entering to that commissioning phase in Celgar. As far as the values, Dave, do you remember about how much?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yeah.

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Which one?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Round numbers. The Peace River wood room is in the range of, $50 million-$60 million, and will start up in the next few months here. The Celgar one is about in the range of, $30 million-$40 million.

Speaker 8

I think there was talk in the past that there would be some grants associated with that. Are there still grants tied to those?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

Yes, there are. Yeah. Those numbers that I'm referring to, those are net of grants.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thank you. Second question. Can you just give everyone an update in terms of where we stand with the cross-laminated timber? Obviously, been on this asset out of bankruptcy. There was some commentary. It was a really, you know, nice facility, brand new, lots of equipment, lots of capacity. We started doing some finger joint work. We've added, you know, a pallet business in there as well. It's just a little confusing, you know, given how the mix of that segment has changed. Now you've talked about some investments to increase capacity. You know, taking a, you know, a big step back, what is the, you know, profit outlook for that business going forward, either over the next 1-2 years?

What's the targeted, you know, return on investment for that, Spokane facility? Just to help everyone understand, you know, what does that, you know, building, what's it able to do in our minds?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Absolutely. As I mentioned earlier, we're very happy with the way things are evolving there. When I say that, despite the fact that materially, in our revenue, it doesn't show up yet, what we see is a tremendous amount of project and bidding work that we're doing with the team that we have assembled in Vancouver. That is what gives us extremely high confidence about the future of this business. We have several projects, as I mentioned, earlier, that are in the bidding process.

Some of them in the very, very final stages and with very high confidence that we will close on a few that are very significant and that will make a mark for, let's say, the full load of our CLT facility. That is very important. That's why, as we were seeing already this unraveling, even though we've only been into this, as you well said, for a short period of time, and this is coming out of bankruptcy, almost considered, for us, it's considered as a startup. That's why we decided to make the investment ahead of time because we see the need for that facility to develop itself further, even though it was state-of-the-art technology but obviously there's opportunities to do more.

One of the things that we are adding is the capacity to put glulam in there, glulam and CLT. As we phase many of these projects that we're bidding on, we see more and more the need of those two going together in many of the construction projects that we're working on. Having the facility being capable to provide both offerings is obviously something that would be very attractive to our customers and hence our desire to go through with that investment.

In terms of your question of how material it can be, going forward, without getting into committing to numbers, I would say that there would be by the end of 2024, we should be much closer to rounding values in closer to the $100 million profit overall in this facility. That is our aim. We see a very strong like-likelihood that we will be able to achieve that growth. It is important that we talk about how those projects materialize, and we will be sharing more of that as we go into the future.

Speaker 8

Okay, that's some interesting color. In the past, we've had some credit facilities tied to individual locations. If we're gonna be doing type of profit number that you put out there for 2024 in that ballpark, I mean, does that facility warrant its own credit structure associated with it?

David Ure
SVP of Finance, CFO and Secretary, Mercer International

I think your question, will it be big enough to support its own facility to Forest? We'll have to wait and see at the moment. We'll take that as it comes. Possibly could. It possibly could. We'll see how it develops. As Juan Carlos had mentioned, we're pretty bullish about it, and we'll probably, if it goes the way we think it's gonna go, we're gonna invest more in that business, and it may need some financing, and that might be appropriate to do. At the moment, we're covering that with our existing finance structure and cash.

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Just one thing to make sure that, because I don't know if I misspoke, but when we look at the value of this and the expectations for it for next year, 2024, that I mentioned closer to $100, I refer revenue more, not profitability.

Speaker 8

Oh, okay. Thank you for clarifying that. And then last question on Friesau. Can you give us an update in terms of where we stand on capital expenditures there? I believe at one point there was, you know, a fair amount of planer capacity, sorter capacity going in, and I think there was some thought of, you know, additional either sorting or planing capacity. I can't remember exactly which one. Can you just give us an update in terms of, you know, how we're looking at CapEx at that facility at this point in time?

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

The majority of the CapEx that was intended for Friesau after acquisition a few years back has now been concluded. We've made very good progress on it. There's very little that is left yet to be executed there. Now the focus is now turning on the CapEx that we want to put into Torgau as we see a tremendous amount of potential in that facility. That is back to your original question about CLT. You mentioned that or made some comment associated with pallets. Just to be clear, our Spokane facility in Washington is not doing any of that. It is just focused on CLT, glulam, and finger joint.

The acquisition of Torgau, that's where the pallet and the pellet business comes in. That's obviously something that we intend to maintain, but what we want to grow with that facility is the lumber output. It's a facility that has four saw, four sawmills, four saw lines, and only two of them are being used in a proper way. We know that there's a tremendous amount of potential to be extracted. That's why we wanna divest or, excuse me, direct our investment more towards Torgau as we unlock the potential that that facility really has.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

As there are no further questions, I will now hand the call back to Juan Carlos for closing remarks.

Juan Carlos Bueno
President and CEO, Mercer International

Okay. Thank you, Sarah. Thank you all on our call. Dave and I are available to talk more at any time. Don't hesitate to call any one of us. Otherwise, we look forward to speaking to you again on our next earnings call in May. Bye for now.

Operator

Thank you for joining today's call. You may now disconnect your line.

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