MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2021

Feb 23, 2022

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the MFA Financial Inc fourth quarter 2021 earnings call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question- and- answer session. Instructions will be given to you at that time. If you need assistance during the call, press star and then zero and an operator will assist you offline. As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Hal Schwartz. Please go ahead.

Hal Schwartz
SVP, General Counsel, and Secretary, MFA Financial

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. The information discussed on this conference call today may contain or refer to forward-looking statements regarding MFA Financial Inc, which reflect management's beliefs, expectations, and assumptions as to MFA's future performance and operations. When used, statements that are not historical in nature, including those containing words such as will, believe, expect, anticipate, estimate, should, could, would, or similar expressions, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. These types of statements are subject to various known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions, and other factors, including those described in MFA's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020 , and other reports that it may file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

These risks, uncertainties and other factors could cause MFA's actual results to differ materially from those projected, expressed, or implied in any forward-looking statements it makes. For additional information regarding MFA's use of forward-looking statements, please see the relevant disclosure in the press release announcing MFA's fourth quarter 2021 financial results. Thank you for your time. I would now like to turn this call over to MFA's CEO and President, Craig Knutson.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Thank you, Hal. Good morning, everyone. I'd like to thank you for your interest in and welcome you to MFA Financial's Q4 2021 financial results webcast. Also with me today are Steve Yarad, our CFO, Gudmundur Kristjansson and Bryan Wulsohn, our co-chief investment officers, and other members of senior management. The fourth quarter of 2021 was a stark wake-up call for the fixed income market. After languishing in a 15-25 basis point range for nearly 18 months since late March of 2020, two-year Treasuries rose 50 basis points from the end of September to the end of December, and the curve flattened significantly as 10-year ended the quarter essentially unchanged from September 30. The first six weeks of 2022 have been even more volatile, with twos higher by 75 basis points, fives by 55, and 10s by 40.

The rate environment had an inevitable negative impact on our fair value assets, but MFA nevertheless turned in a respectable fourth quarter and a very strong 2021. We added SOFR interest rate swaps in the fourth quarter and have continued to manage our duration exposure into this year. We are certainly not immune to interest rate risk. We're still waiting for that vaccine. Between our relatively short duration assets, our successful execution of $2.6 billion of securitizations last year, and our nimble hedging response to dramatic rate moves more recently, we think we've weathered the storm reasonably well. That said, this is no time for complacency with inflation seemingly raging, the Fed on the move, and a very tense geopolitical environment making it impossible to predict interest rate movements, particularly in the short- term.

Away from rates, MFA's focus on residential mortgage credit serves as a terrific offset to interest rate risk, as continued very strong housing trends bolster the value of the underlying assets securing the mortgages we own and lower LTVs. Robust housing prices have also created a strong tailwind for delinquent mortgages and REO properties as these trends lead to improved resolutions and outcomes. Please turn to page four. We reported GAAP earnings of $35.9 million or 8 cents per share for the fourth quarter. These results were driven largely by $42.6 million of unrealized and non-cash net losses on fair value loans. Lima One had a strong contribution to our earnings for the second consecutive quarter. Despite the volatile quarter, book value was relatively stable, with GAAP book value down less than 1% and economic book value down less than 2%.

Economic return for the quarter was 1.5% for GAAP and essentially flat on economic book value. Please turn to page five. We acquired $1.4 billion of loans in the fourth quarter, and we grew our loan portfolio by $830 million- $7.9 billion after portfolio runoff. These purchases included $950 million of non-QM loans and $500 million of business purpose loans. We completed three securitizations totaling $937 million during the fourth quarter, including two agency-eligible investor loan deals and one single-family rental loan deal. Our net interest income increased versus Q3 by 13% to $70.1 million in the fourth quarter.

We continue to make excellent progress in liquidating REO properties as we capitalize on strong housing trends, selling over $50 million of REO properties for a net gain of over $10 million. Finally, we've opportunistically continued to repurchase MFA common shares, adding 8.5 million shares at an average price of $4.42 during the fourth quarter. Please turn to page six. To briefly review the full year 2021, we achieved extraordinary portfolio growth, particularly considering the paucity of investments available in the early part of the year. Our purchase of Lima One was a transformational and timely transaction as we fortified our ability to source attractive assets. We completed eight securitizations totaling $2.6 billion, locking in very attractive fixed rate term financing.

As we've pointed out every quarter, we continue to grow our net interest income, increasing this important and reliable earnings driver by 47% for the year to $242 million and $70 million in the fourth quarter. Mortgage investors rarely talk about, let alone brag about their REO portfolios, but we sold almost $190 million of REO properties in 2021 for a net gain of $23.5 million. As a rule, REO property resolutions tend to be the least desirable and least profitable outcomes when working out non-performing loans. Our asset management team turned this into a profit-generating enterprise in 2021. Our book value increased by about 5% during the year 2021, despite a rough fourth quarter in rates, and our economic returns for the year were also very respectable.

We also purchased just over 20 million shares during the year at an average price of $4.26. Please turn to page seven. This slide illustrates the components of our investment portfolio and also the nature of our asset-based financings. While the liability pie chart shows $2.6 billion of mark-to-market borrowing, about half of this borrowing is at a significant discount to our available borrowing amount. This underlevering creates a cushion that increases the amount of asset price decline that would need to occur before we receive a margin call. While this borrowing is technically mark-to-market, our conservative borrowing practice produces a considerable synthetic margin buffer. Please turn to page eight. Finally, in the feel-good department, and just to demonstrate that it's not solely about the numbers, I'm happy to report three significant accolades for MFA.

For the third year in a row, MFA was included in the Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index. We were recognized as one of 418 public companies across 45 countries and regions for our commitment to and support of gender equality. Additionally, MFA has been certified for the second consecutive year as a great place to work by the Great Place to Work Institute. This award is based on anonymous employee feedback through an engagement survey that we conducted through this organization. This important validation of our culture is a testament to our people. Management does not make MFA a great place to work. Our people do. If management has a role, it's simply to hire great people, and our team collectively creates our culture. In today's work from home world, this recognition is also an important distinction for hiring, as recruitment is virtually all virtual these days.

Lastly, MFA has again been recognized by 50/50 Women on Boards, and we have achieved their highest rating level for gender balance. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Steve Yarad to discuss additional details of our financial results.

Steve Yarad
CFO, MFA Financial

Thank you, Craig. Please turn to slide nine for an overview of our fourth quarter 2021 financial results. MFA's results for the fourth quarter were solid overall, particularly given the challenging rate environment. We continue to see the impact of the successful execution of our asset aggregation strategy and financing initiatives, with another quarter of loan portfolio and net interest income growth. In addition, a second consecutive record quarter for originations at Lima One resulted in another meaningful contribution to our overall results. Earnings of $0.08 per common share were impacted by valuation changes on loans, partially offset by gains on hedges and securitized debt held at fair value, as well as a significant gain on a minority investment.

After removing the impact of these items from the quarterly results, the residual net income of $47.3 million, or $0.108 per common share, is in line with our fourth quarter dividend of $0.11 per common share. I will now provide some additional details of the key components of our Q4 results, which include. Net interest income of $70.1 million was $8.3 million or 13% higher sequentially. Residential whole loan net interest income again increased this quarter by 7%, again reflecting portfolio growth and the ongoing impact of securitizations, which has lowered the cost of financing. Our net interest spread came in at 2.98%, unchanged from the prior quarter.

Our overall CECL allowance on our carrying value loans decreased for the seventh quarter in a row, and at December 31 was $39.5 million, down from $44.1 million at September 30, and less than half where it began the year. The decrease reflects continued runoff of our carrying value loan portfolio and adjustments to macroeconomic and loan prepayment speed assumptions used in our credit loss modeling. This reversal and other net adjustments to our CECL reserves positively impacted net income for the quarter by $3.5 million. Actual charge-off experience continues to be relatively low. For the full year, charge-offs were $3.4 million. In 2020, charge-offs were $2.4 million. Pricing across our residential whole loan portfolio was impacted by the volatile rate environment.

For loans held at fair value, net losses of $42.6 million were recorded. It should be noted that for the full year, loans held at fair value generated $16.7 million of net gains. Further, in the fourth quarter, unrealized losses on the fair value loan portfolio were partially offset by $7.2 million of gains on TBAs, swap hedges, and securitized debt held at fair value. Included in this quarter's results is a $24 million gain on a minority investment in one of our residential whole loan origination partners. During the quarter, this company successfully completed a capital transaction with a third party unaffiliated to MFA. As a result of this transaction, GAAP required that we revisit the carrying value of our minority stake.

We recorded a significant impairment write-down on this investment back in Q1 of 2020, when COVID-related uncertainties were very high and origination companies were essentially shut down. Based on the terms of this new capital investment, which included a $4 million principal repayment to MFA, we adjusted the carrying value of our investment to the fair value implied by the transaction. This resulted in a significant reversal of the prior impairment, as well as a gain for the amount of principal repayment received. Lima One also contributed $13 million of origination, servicing, and other fee income during the quarter, reflecting a second consecutive record quarter for origination volumes. Gudmundur will discuss this in more detail shortly. Finally, our operating and other expenses, excluding amortization of Lima One intangible assets, were $41 million for the quarter.

This includes approximately $13.7 million of expenses, primarily compensation related at Lima One. Lima utilizes a sales commission structure where incentives increase as cumulative production targets are achieved. This will typically result in higher incentive compensation in Q3 and Q4 each year, particularly given the record production volumes achieved by Lima since acquisition. MFA only G&A expenses were approximately $15 million for the quarter, which is in line with the prior quarter. Other loan portfolio related costs, meaning those not related to Lima One loan origination and servicing, were $12.3 million, which is higher than our typical quarterly run rate, as it includes approximately $5.2 million of securitization deal related expenses. Because we have elected the fair value option on recently completed securitization deals, GAAP does not permit us to capitalize these costs.

With that, I will now turn the call over to Bryan Wulfsohn.

Bryan Wulfsohn
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Thank you, Steve. Turning to page 10. 2021 was one of the hottest years for home prices in over two decades. Prices increased at a year-over-year rate of almost 20%, fueled by historically low rates coupled with limited supply. In recent months, we have seen rates move higher with the 30-year conforming mortgage rate hovering around 4%. Increased mortgage rates should have a dampening effect on home prices. However, the severe lack of supply may still continue to push prices higher, albeit at a reduced rate. The labor market is strong. Unemployment is at 4% and wages are rising at some of the fastest levels in recent history. MFA's focus on mortgage credit continues to perform well and benefits from the current economic tailwinds. Turning to page 11.

MFA was active in the fourth quarter, adding $950 million of non-QM loans to the portfolio. We grew our base of originators over the quarter and strengthened existing relationships. We are currently in the market with securitization, and although we have seen widening in spreads, we expect to continue to be a programmatic issuer of securitizations as it is still the most efficient form of non-marked-to-market term financing. The credit on our portfolio has improved significantly from the onset of COVID in 2020. 60+ day delinquencies are now down to 3.5%, and we have yet to suffer a credit loss on our non-QM portfolio as a few loans taken to REO were subsequently sold for gains. Many loans that experience delinquencies end up being paid in full as our borrowers have equity in the property to sell their property themselves.

The weighted average original LTV for borrowers that are 90+ days delinquent is 65, and that does not account for any potential home price appreciation post-origination. Turning to page 12. After September's announcement from the FHFA and Treasury to suspend the 7% cap on investor loan purchases for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for at least one year, pricing for agency-eligible investor loans became less attractive, and we significantly slowed purchases in the fourth quarter. We utilized TBA hedges against this portfolio, which helped protect against rate moves and spread widening over the quarter. We executed on our second securitization of this collateral in the fourth quarter of 2021 and expect to execute a third in the coming months. We do not expect further growth to this segment of the portfolio without a more favorable environment relating to loan pricing and/or securitization execution.

Turning to page 13. Our RPL portfolio of approximately $900 million continues to perform well. 81% of our portfolio remains less than 60 days delinquent. Although the percentage of the portfolio 60 days delinquent in status was 19%, almost 30% of those borrowers continue to make payments. Prepay speeds in the fourth quarter increased further to a three-month CPR of 18. The combination of the length of time our borrowers have remained current on their mortgage and home price appreciation has unlocked refinancing opportunities for many of our borrowers. We have a small amount of borrowers still receiving COVID assistance and believe that any impact from COVID will be minimal on the RPL portfolio going forward. Turning to page 14. Our asset management team continues to drive strong performance of our NPL portfolio.

The team has worked in concert with our servicing partners to maximize outcomes on our portfolio. 38% of loans that were delinquent at purchase are now either performing or paid in full. 49% have either liquidated or are REO to be liquidated. Our sales of REO properties have continued at an accelerated pace at advantageous prices. Over the quarter, we again sold almost 3 x as many properties as the number of loans converting to REO. 13% are still in non-performing status. Our modifications have been effective as almost three-quarters are either performing or have paid in full. We are pleased with these results as they continue to outperform our assumptions at the time of purchase. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Gudmundur to walk you through our business purpose loans.

Gudmundur Kristjansson
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Thanks, Bryan. Turning to page 15. We closed the acquisition of Lima One on July 1, 2021, and realized an immediate impact on MFA's results in the second half of the year, as Lima One originated approximately $1 billion of high-yielding business purpose loans in the second half of 2021. All of which were absorbed onto MFA's balance sheet. Fourth quarter activity was particularly robust, with over $600 million originated in the fourth quarter, a 50% increase over third quarter origination, and a record quarter for the company. First quarter is usually the slowest month in the BPL space, but we have maintained strong momentum into 2022 with approximately $200 million originated in January. A key benefit of the acquisition is Lima's ability to provide MFA with a reliable flow of high quality, high-yielding assets that are difficult to source in the marketplace.

When we announced the transaction in May, we mentioned that we believed that Lima had the potential to grow substantially beyond the run rate at the time of $1.2 billion in annual origination. That has played out faster than we expected, as Lima originated over $1.6 billion in 2021, about 33% more than we expected at the time of acquisition. This tremendous result is in many ways due to the time and energy we spent around the deal closing to develop a clear strategic plan for the Lima One business, including short and long-term goals for the management team, as well as exceptional execution by the management team throughout the second half. We have improved financing costs and expanded financing options by adding multiple new warehouse lines and issuing securitizations.

We passed some of those efficiencies on to Lima One's borrowers in more competitive pricing across most of Lima One's product offerings. This has allowed Lima One to be more competitive and grow volumes across all of their loan product offerings. With Lima One track record, increased volume, and strategic marketing efforts, we continue to see Lima One's brand in the BPL space grow. They are widely recognized as one of the nation's leading BPL lenders, and uniquely offer a diverse set of BPL products for short and long-term investment strategies.

The increased volume would not be possible without the strong operational infrastructure Lima One has built, which has shown an impressive ability to scale up origination volume quickly while maintaining origination quality. We are excited about the progress we have made this year with Lima One and continue to see great opportunities to grow their origination footprint and gain market share.

As we mentioned earlier, the first quarter is off to a great start, and we expect origination volume in 2022 to exceed 2021. In addition to the benefit of adding assets to our balance sheet, Lima is a profitable company. Lima generated $10.2 million of net income from origination and servicing activities in the quarter, representing an annualized return on allocated equity of approximately 30%. Finally, we closed our second business purpose rental loan securitization in the fourth quarter, with approximately 90% of the collateral consisting of Lima One originated loans. With the increased rental loan acquisition volume from the Lima One acquisition, we expect to do our third business purpose rental loan securitization in the first half of 2022. Turn to page 16. Here we will discuss the fix and flip portfolio.

The portfolio grew by $137 million, or 23% in the quarter. Loan acquisition activity remained elevated due to the Lima One acquisition, as we added approximately $220 million UPB, with over $370 million max loan amounts in the fourth quarter, and have added over $110 million max loan amount in January. As a reminder, fix and flip loans finance the acquisition, rehabilitation and construction of homes. Typically, a certain amount of the loan is held back in the form of a construction holdback, which explains the difference between UPB on day one and the max loan amount, which represents the fully funded loan at the completion of projects.

With a persistent increase in fix and flip acquisition activity, we are actively exploring securitization options for our fix and flip portfolio and expect to make securitizations a consistent part of our fix and flip financing strategy. The UPB of 60+ day delinquent loans were relatively unchanged at $109 million in the fourth quarter, but declined significantly in 2021 as it dropped by over $50 million. 60+ day delinquencies as a percentage of UPB declined 3%- 15% at the end of the fourth quarter.

A few things to note here is that all the loans that are 60+ day delinquent, except one, were originated prior to April 2020 and are simply working their way through the appropriate loss mitigation activities. Lima One originated fix and flip loans held by MFA have only about 4% 60+ day delinquency, speaking to the quality of the origination and servicing. The strong housing market, generally favorable economic conditions, and the efforts of our BPL and asset management teams have led to good progress on seriously delinquent loans. We continue to see a sizable amount of loans pay off in full out of serious delinquency. When loans pay off in full from serious delinquency, we often collect default interest, extension fees, and other fees at payoff. For loans where there's meaningful equity in the property, these can add up.

Since inception, we have collected approximately $6.5 million in these types of fees across our fix and flip portfolio. Turning to page 17. Our single-family rental loan portfolio continues to deliver attractive yields and exhibit strong credit performance, with 60+ day delinquencies declining 990 basis points in the quarter to 2.6% and fourth quarter portfolio yield of 5.16%. Purchase activity remained elevated in the fourth quarter as we added approximately $250 million of single-family rental loans in the quarter. As a result, our portfolio grew by 29% in the quarter to over $920 million at the end of the year. Acquisition activities have remained robust in the first quarter, as we've already added over $80 million in the month of January.

The acquisition of Lima One has significantly boosted our ability to source single-family rental loans and we believe that we will continue to grow our single-family rental loan portfolio in the near future. We issued our second rental loan securitization in the fourth quarter. The deal was backed by approximately $284 million of loans. We sold bonds representing about 91.5% of loan UPB with a weighted average coupon of approximately 2.15%. Approximately 75% of our single-family rental portfolio is financed with non-mark-to-market financing and almost 60% through securitizations. We've done two single-family rental securitization and expect to continue to programmatically execute securitizations to efficiently finance our single-family rental loans. With that, I will turn the call over to Craig for some final comments.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Thank you, Gudmundur. We believe that we produced solid results in a difficult fourth quarter of 2021, and we're very pleased with our results and the successful execution of our strategic initiatives for the year. Our portfolio growth, coupled with securitization financing, should enable us to continue to produce consistent net interest income. A thriving Lima One will continue to provide us with a means to generate high-quality assets at attractive yields. MFA's focus on residential mortgage credit should position us well as we enter a year that will surely challenge investment strategies that are dependent solely on rates. Cynthia, would you please open up the line for questions?

Operator

Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a question, please press one and then zero on your touch-tone phone. You will hear a tone indicating that you've been placed in queue. You may remove yourself from queue by pressing the same one-zero command. We will take our first question from the line of Bose George with KBW. One moment. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Mike Smyth
Political Analyst, Global News

Try to call around the phone.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Bose, we have a hard time hearing you. I don't know if it's your phone.

Mike Smyth
Political Analyst, Global News

Sorry, is that better?

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Much better.

Mike Smyth
Political Analyst, Global News

Hey, this is actually Mike Smyth on for Bose. I was just wondering if you could provide some color on the volatility in the securitization markets. Have you seen some of the older inventory cleared? You know, how long do you think the volatility could persist for?

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Sure. Brian, do you wanna talk about non-QM?

Bryan Wulfsohn
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Yeah, sure. I mean, we've seen a significant amount of supply come to market over the past several months, and that's continued through the beginning of the year. We've seen spreads move around, you know, approximately 50-60 basis points at the, you know, at the triple A level. Really the only thing that sort of cures that is time. We think that, you know, due to this rate move and, you know, what we've seen on the origination side of things in the non-QM space, things have been slowing down. If that continues, sort of that supply-demand imbalance will correct itself. That's sort of the only way we sort of see that happening is through the passage of time.

Gudmundur Kristjansson
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

There's not really a, you know, a catalyst that we see that's gonna, you know, snap spreads back or anything like that.

Mike Smyth
Political Analyst, Global News

Gotcha. That's helpful color. Have you seen any changes in loan prices to reflect the wider spreads in the securitization market?

Bryan Wulfsohn
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

We've seen some movement in loan pricing, but not to the extent of spread movement that we've seen on the securitization side. This is historically what we've seen, you know, in loan pricing. Whenever we see movement in spreads on securitization, it's sort of there is some move, but it's not the full extent of the move. If you were thinking that spreads might have moved on securitization, you know, 50-60 basis points, it might be 20-25 basis points in, on loan pricing.

Mike Smyth
Political Analyst, Global News

That's helpful color. Just one more for me. You know, what do incremental returns on new investments look like? You know, how do you view this versus potentially buying back the stock at a 10+% dividend yield?

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

I think we always look at the stock price. We bought back stock consistently through the year, you know, at discounts to book. I don't think it's an either/or type of proposition that either, you know, we make investments or we buy back stock. We've bought back 20 million shares, but at the end of the day, you know, it's not a liquidity constrained decision. I think, you know, on the asset side, we're still looking probably worst case at high single digit, low double digit returns.

On business purpose loans or some of the fix and flip loans where those securitizations, even though those are again more expensive these days, you know, those are probably closer to 20% type ROE. There's still attractive ROEs to be had. As Bryan said, we haven't seen loan prices completely adjust to current market levels. You know, that probably puts a little bit of a damper on enthusiasm to purchase loans until the prices do correct to reflect securitization executions now. I think, you know, that will certainly happen in time.

Bryan Wulfsohn
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Yeah, I think if you think in terms of attractiveness of investments and returns that we're making, in 2021 was an unusually attractive year given the fact that rates were so low and you know securitization execution was so efficient. As we now move into Q1 of 2022, I think we're seeing more of a normalization of the environment where you know there's a better balance between you know the yields you can earn on the asset versus the cost of funds. We view the current environment as continued to be attractive to execute securitization. You know going forward is different what happens to rates. We gotta be mindful of how we manage our interest rates and so on and so forth, but we continue to find good opportunities.

Mike Smyth
Political Analyst, Global News

Great. I appreciate you taking my questions. Thanks again, guys.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Thanks, Mike.

Gudmundur Kristjansson
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Thanks, Mike.

Operator

Thank you. Next, we will go to the line of Eric Hagen with BTIG. Your line is open.

Eric Hagen
Managing Director, BTIG

Hey, thanks. Good morning. Maybe a couple from me. Can you say how much stock you've repurchased to date and what your book value is? Number two, what would you say is the yield on newly issued non-QM loans? Like, how does it compare to the 3.85 that you show for the existing portfolio?

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Sure. Steve, you wanna take the first part?

Steve Yarad
CFO, MFA Financial

Eric, thanks for the questions there. We if you look at our press release, you could see that, on page two we give an update as to what the stock repurchases have been through the 18th of February. You can read that for yourself. We've got about $45 million left under the current authorization for stock repurchases. You know, we've been actively repurchasing stock so far since the end of the year. In terms of book value, for January, you know, we've closed the books for January. Obviously, you know, we haven't really started closing the books for February yet. We've been very pleased with the way the portfolio has held up through January.

We've added swaps in January, and as a result of that and the other hedging activities that we had in place, you know, we started in the fourth quarter. We haven't seen any meaningful decline in book value through the end of January. It's sort of flattish to just marginally down, even taking into account an accrual of a dividend, which we, you know, we don't record the dividend until it's declared. Yeah, very pleased with that performance through January. And, you know, into February, we've added more swaps as well to date. I think in the press release, we talk about our duration being 1.3. Right now it's closer to one given the additional hedging that we've done.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Bryan, you wanna talk about yield levels on non-QM?

Bryan Wulfsohn
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Yeah, sure. On new investments today, I would say the yields are somewhere in the order of ±4% where you can, you know, after this rate move.

Eric Hagen
Managing Director, BTIG

Got it. Within the rehab portfolio, can you say how many loans make up that portfolio? Should we expect the unfunded commitments, I think it's like $285 million, to be had over the course of a year, or is the timeline something, can you describe the timeline for those unfunded commitments? Thanks.

Gudmundur Kristjansson
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Yeah. I'll deal with the unfunded commitments first. I mean, on average, fix and flip loans are outstanding for anywhere from, you know, six-12 months, and probably the average life to pay off for our loans tends to be around 10-11 months. As you think about that, usually, like, if you just focus on a single loan and it's drawn down over time, it probably would take it, you know, until nine-10 months to be fully drawn, then it's marketed and sold to an underlying property. I think that's the right way to think about that, the undrawn commitment amount to be drawn down over the course of, you know, anywhere from nine-10 months.

In terms of the number of loans, I do not have that in front of me, but the average loan size, you know, is in the context of, think about, you know, $300,000, something like that. If you use that as a proxy, you can get to the loan count. We can also follow up with you if that's important to you.

Eric Hagen
Managing Director, BTIG

No, that was helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Douglas Harter with Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Josh Bolton
VP of Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Morning, guys. This is Josh Bolton on for Doug. Curious about your kind of high-level thoughts around aggregation risk as you're getting these loans in the door and then planning on securitizing. Just how much risk is there? How long does it take in the different buckets to get to size to securitize, and how do you manage through that risk of holding those loans until

The pricing of a deal can happen. Thanks.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Sure. You know, thanks for the question. I think, you know, it varies by product. You know, non-QM is probably the largest size or most prolific. You know, until the fourth quarter of last year, you know, managing that accumulation period was not really all that difficult because, you know, interest rates and spreads didn't really change very much. I think, you know, you can see what we did, hedging the portfolio in the fourth quarter, and then as Steve said into January and February and you know, look at our book value which Steve basically said was flat in January. I think, you know, we are managing that risk.

You know, the securitization market as Bryan said was a little bit crowded at the end of the year. You know, and Bryan did mention before we're out with a securitization, so you know, we're not waiting to securitize to wait for spreads to come back in. It, you know, still makes sense to do. Is it as attractive as it was early last year? No. In all honesty, every time we sold triple A bonds at less than a 1% yield, you know, we pinched ourselves to make sure that we were awake. I mean we recognized it for what it was. It was a great opportunity last year, but that's probably not the norm going forward.

Bryan Wulfsohn
Co-Chief Investment Officer, MFA Financial

Also as Steve pointed out earlier, I mean we coming into the end of last year and into Q1, we have significantly increased interest rate hedges because rates have become more volatile and the outlook for rate is more uncertain. We are mindful of that, you know, gap between acquisition and into a securitization. We expect to continue to hedge that efficiently. You know, Bryan alluded to it before in terms of the agency investor deals, we like TBA shorts because those price more closer to agency products versus rates in general. That's an important mix of how we manage that. We are in the market with deals every single quarter and, you know, it's part of our business model to execute those.

Josh Bolton
VP of Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Great. Appreciate the comments. Thanks guys.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Thanks, Josh.

Operator

Thank you. Allowing a few moments, I'm showing no further questions in queue.

Craig Knutson
CEO and President, MFA Financial

Well, we wanna thank everyone for your interest in MFA Financial, and we look forward to our next update when we announce first quarter results in May.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude your conference call for today. Thank you for your participation and for using AT&T Executive Teleconference Service. You may now disconnect.

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