Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Northrop Gremets Second Quarter 2019 Conference Call. My name is Natalia, and I will be your operator today. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Mr. Steve Movius, Treasurer and Vice President, Investor Relations.
Mr. Movius, please proceed.
Thanks, Natalia, and welcome to Northrop Grumman's Q2 2019 conference call. Before we start, please understand that matters discussed on today's call constitute forward looking statements pursuant to Safe Harbor provisions of federal securities laws. Forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, which are noted in today's earnings release and our SEC filings. These risks and uncertainties may cause actual company results to differ materially. Matters discussed on today's call will also include non GAAP financial measures that are reconciled in our earnings release and supplemental presentation.
On the call today are Kathy Warden, our CEO and President and Ken Bedingfield, our CFO. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Kathy.
Thank you, Steve. Hello, everyone, and welcome to today's call. We had an excellent second quarter results across the board, including business capture, backlog growth, sales, earnings and cash. Based on our strong performance and our outlook for the remainder of the year, we are increasing 2019 guidance. I want to thank the Northrop Grumman team.
I'm particularly proud of our ability to deliver innovative quality products and services, which enable global security and human advancement. Starting with space, as we celebrate the 50th anniversary of our nation's Apollo 11 lunar landing, we are proud of our strong legacy in supporting each of our nation's manned space flights to date. Looking forward, we're poised to continue supporting manned space flight through NASA's Artemis program, which is expected to return humans to the moon by 2024. In addition, this quarter Innovation Systems has passed its 1 year anniversary as our 4th sector, and I'm delighted with the progress we're making. Cost and operational synergies are on track and our margin rates across the company are benefiting from the synergies realized since the acquisition.
We are also realizing revenue synergies sooner than we expected. A good indicator of our success in capturing revenue synergies is our growing share of restricted work. We booked $843,000,000 in restricted space awards during the Q2 and $4,500,000,000 in the 1st quarter. At the company level, restricted work across multiple domains continues to grow as a percent of total revenue. This demonstrates our strong alignment to the National Defense Strategy and our ability to leverage our entire portfolio to create innovative solutions for our customers.
We booked net awards of $13,500,000,000 in the 2nd quarter $25,800,000,000 year to date. Now net awards are approximately 1.6 times sales and our total backlog is up 18% to $63,000,000,000 The large multi year awards we are capturing across the company are the building blocks for sustainable long term profitable growth. Year to date, AeroStay Systems has booked net awards of approximately $13,000,000,000 and total backlog has increased 20 percent since year end. In the Q2, we booked $3,600,000,000 for the E-2D. Approximately $3,300,000,000 was booked at AS for the U.
S. Navy's Next 24 Advanced Hawkeyes and associated deliverables with the balance awarded at Mission Systems. In addition to U. S. Navy Aircraft, the multi year includes an option for the 9 additional E-2Ds for Japan.
In the Q2, we delivered the first of 4 E-2Ds currently under contract for Japan, and we anticipate being under contract for the additional 9 by the end of this year. On the F-thirty five program, we booked awards of over $4,000,000,000 in the quarter across our 4 sectors. At Aerospace Systems, we finalized a 4 $900,000,000 agreement for production lots 12 through 14 centrifuge select units and booked an award to launch units and booked an award of approximately $3,000,000,000 net of previous incremental funding. Mission Systems added $1,000,000,000 of award for additional F-thirty five radar, C and I and DAS production. And IS and TS together were awarded approximately $100,000,000 for their scope on the program.
Moving to Innovation Systems. Year to date, net awards totaled approximately 3,000,000,000 dollars In addition to our prime role supporting U. S. Government hypersonic weapon systems development efforts, we are also supporting Lockheed Martin and Raytheon program. In the 2nd quarter, Lockheed Martin awarded us 2 $65,000,000 for the intermediate range conventional prop strike program.
And IS is working with Raytheon on the hypersonic air breathing weapon concept or HAWK program. Shortly after the end of the quarter, Space Norway awarded IS a 2.50 $1,000,000 contract for its Arctic satellite broadband mission to provide critical ground infrastructure and to design, manufacture and integrate 2 satellites. This activity increases utilization of our hot production line, enhancing affordability and production efficiency across our customer base. In addition, Aerospace Systems is developing the payloads for the Space Norway satellite, which will be hosted on the IS bus. This is another example of revenue synergy in the space domain and it highlights our industry leading end to end capability.
Now moving to Mission Systems. We signed a $1,000,000,000 contract to begin full rate production on our Gator program after achieving initial operating capability in the Q1. GATR is our 1st ground based Gallium performance and reducing customer costs. Gator provides real time 360 degree situational awareness against a broad array of threats and we see this system having strong opportunity for international sales. Mission Systems is also supplying the upgraded integrated avionic suite for the Black Hawk program, which entered LRIP in April.
An initial 25 kits were ordered under this L rip and the Army plans to upgrade 760 BlackHawk with this avionic fleet. And lastly, the Army awarded us an OTA for agile software development of the next incremental build at the IDCS capability. This log is up 14% from year end. The common thread running through our successful efforts on Gator, Blackhawk as well as IBCS is our modular multi mission open architecture approach to next generation defense electronics. We are reaping the benefit of substantial technology investments we've made to support development of solutions that give the customer advanced performance and greater affordability as well as the ability to rapidly address future threats.
Turning to Technology Services. Global Services booked $223,000,000 for an international training program, a $70,000,000 task order to support the Joint Chiefs of Staff and a $59,000,000 contract to provide enterprise defense cyber operations for the Marine Corps. In Global Logistics and Modernization, we secured a $162,000,000 Army award for sustainment of the Hunter unmanned Aircraft System. And on EAPUP, our electronic attack pod upgrade program, the Air Force exercised a $44,000,000 option. Our business capture has been outstanding year to date and we expect strong bookings to continue.
We have a robust opportunity set across the corporation with large potential awards in restricted space, national security space Launch, GBSD and product line expansion in airborne radar and electronic warfare. In May, on the National Security Space Launch Program, Innovation Systems successfully conducted a full scale static fire test of the first stage of our new Omega rocket. This milestone keeps Omega on track to perform its first launch in 2021 and be be requirements. And as you know, the final RFP for GBSD was released last week. Northrop Grumman has been a trusted systems engineering partner for every new ICBM system over the last 60 years.
We look forward to offering a highly capable, technically mature and affordable solution that addresses evolving threats and fulfills our nation's critical nuclear deterrence mission. Turning to P and L. At the midpoint of the year, sales are up 20%. As we indicated last quarter, Mission Systems sales growth is accelerating and the top line is stabilizing at technology services. Looking ahead, we continue to expect sales of approximately $34,000,000,000 for 20 19.
In addition to solid top line results, our sectors our our segment margin rate, driven by strong performance and cost synergies. Year to date, our segment OM rate is up 60 basis points, and we are raising our guidance for the year to approximately 11.5% from low to mid 11%. EPS rose 12% on the quarter and we now expect full year earnings per share to range between $19.30 19.5 $5 Cash generation was also a highlight this quarter. Our businesses generated $1,600,000,000 and after capital expenditures of $252,000,000 free cash flow totaled approximately $1,400,000,000 For the year, we continue to expect 2019 free cash flow of $2,600,000,000 to 3,000,000,000 we increased our quarterly dividend by 10%. We continued repurchasing shares toward our 2019 target and we will retire $500,000,000 in debt in August.
Now turning to the U. S. Budget. We are pleased by reports that Congress and the administration have reached an agreement on fiscal years 2020 2021 that should prevent harmful budget cuts and disruption. Predictable funding enables our customers to increase investment in critical technologies needed to stay ahead of rapidly advancing global threats.
We believe our nation's leaders understand the threats we face and will act to provide the necessary resources to modernize key capabilities. Northrop Grumman continues to invest in advanced capabilities to enable long term value creation. Our new franchise programs and leading technologies demonstrate the the portfolio and cost structure are competitive differentiators that as evidenced by our business capture success will continue creating value for our customers and shareholders. Now I'll turn the call over to Ken for a more detailed discussion of our financial results and guidance. Ken?
Thanks, Kathy, and good afternoon, everyone. I also want to thank the team for a strong second quarter. I'd note that our presentation includes an EPS bridge from Q2 2018 to Q2 2019 and a bridge to our updated 2019 EPS guidance. As you can see from the bridge on Slide 6, the majority of the EPS increase is driven by strong year to date operational performance and full year expectations, with the remaining $0.10 primarily reflecting lower expected unallocated corporate expense. Let's turn to the sectors.
Aerospace Systems rose 2% in the quarter, reflecting higher F-thirty 5 volume and increased civil space activity in Space Systems. Autonomous sales were comparable to the prior period. I will note 2nd quarter sales were also unfavorably impacted by the timing of supplier costs. Operating income rose slightly and AS operating margin rate was comparable to last year's Q2. We continue to expect AS sales for the year in the high $13,000,000,000 range with a mid to high 10% operating margin rate.
No change to prior guidance. At Innovation Systems, based on pro form a sales comparisons, 2nd quarter sales rose 8% due to higher volume at Flight Systems and Defense Systems. Flight Systems had increased volume on military aerospace structures and launch vehicles, defense systems at higher volume and tactical missiles, including the AARGM program. IS operating income was $169,000,000 with a strong operating margin rate of 11.3 percent. IS year to date margin rate reflects several favorable adjustments and the largest of the businesses grew above the sector growth rate.
Increased volume on infrared countermeasures, airborne radar and restricted programs drove the sensors and processing growth. And higher volume on restricted programs drove growth With previously discussed program completion headwinds behind us, mission systems growth rate has accelerated as we ramp up on a number of programs such as F-thirty five, GATR, Kirkham and IBCS to name just a few. We continue to expect MS revenue to grow in the low to mid $12,000,000,000 range this year with a margin rate of approximately 13%. No change to prior guidance. At Technology Services, I'm pleased to report sales were comparable to the prior year period.
TS operating profit increased 19% and operating margin rate increased 170 basis points to 10.8%. Looking ahead, previously discussed program completion headwinds moderate in the second half and we expect TS sales will continue to stabilize. We continue to expect TS sales in the low $4,000,000,000 range, no change to prior guidance. And based on strong first half performance, we are again raising guidance for TS operating margin rates. We now expect a low 10% range versus prior guidance of approximately 10%.
As we roll all that up, we continue to expect 2019 sales of approximately $34,000,000,000 And based on strong year to date performance and sector guidance increases, we are increasing guidance for total segment operating margin rate to approximately 11.5%. Below segment OM, we now expect unallocated corporate expense of $225,000,000 versus prior guidance of $250,000,000 Higher segment OM along with a lower unallocated corporate expense moves our full year guidance for the total operating margin rate to the high 10% range. Through the first half of the year, our effective tax rate is 16.4% versus 17.5% at this time last year. Our year to date effective tax rate reflects a higher level of research credits than we currently anticipate for the second half of the year. So no change to our guidance for 2019 effective tax rate.
As a result of improved performance, we are increasing our mark to market adjusted earnings per share guidance to a range of 19.30 dollars to $19.55 This continues to be based on approximately 170,000,000 weighted average shares outstanding. Turning to cash, it was a very strong quarter. 2nd quarter cash from operations reflects improved trade working capital and higher earnings. Improved trade working capital includes the recovery of 1st quarter delayed billings that resulted from our ERP conversion to a single instance of SAP covering the majority of our businesses. For the year, no change to prior guidance of $3,800,000,000 to 4 $200,000,000 cash from operations and $2,600,000,000 to $3,000,000,000 of free cash flow after capital expenditures of about $1,200,000,000 We continue to plan share repurchases of approximately $750,000,000 this year subject to market conditions.
And as previously discussed, we intend to retire about $500,000,000 of debt in the Q3. Beyond this year, we expect growing cash flows as a result of growing earnings, some improvements in working capital and our well funded pension plans. As a result, we expect to have increasing capacity for value creating capital deployment. In summary, it was a strong quarter, a good first half and we expect strong results for the remainder of the year. I think we're ready for Q and A.
Steve?
Thanks, Ken. I would ask each participant to limit themselves to a single question. Natalia, would you please open the line for Q and
A? Your first question is from the line of Myles Walton with UBS.
Thanks. Good morning.
Good morning.
Hi, Myles.
I was wondering on the bookings front, obviously, extremely strong in the first half and particularly here in the second quarter. But I think in the 10 Q you filed, it also shows a slower burn of that backlog, about 40% over the next 12 months as opposed to the 50% over the next 12 months for the last several quarters, not couple of years. Can you talk about, how indicative that growth in backlog is about your acceleration of growth given that, kind of reduced burn rate, if that's accurate? Yes. We
are really, we are really happy to see the awards and the backlog that we've been able to get in the first half of the year. And as Kathy mentioned, we do expect to see continued strong awards in the second half of the year. I would just point out that a number of the awards we've been booking like the B-twenty 1, E-2D, which is a 5 year multi year contract, F-thirty five lots, 12 to 14. Many of these programs are going to support multiple years of revenue. And so given the in particular the awards booked in the first part of the year, first half of this year, the biggest ones being E-2D as well as F-thirty five and then some restricted space activity, we expect those awards to result in sales for a multiyear period and give us really good visibility into strong sales growth for a number of years to come.
And so given those the impact of those large kind of multiyear awards, we do see that those will result in our backlog turning into sales at about 40% in the next 12 months versus our previous average of about 50%. But it does not give us any pause as to any guidance we've given with respect to 2019 sales or with any indication we've given you about where we think we can be on 20 20 sales. And I'll just remind you, we talked about a mid single digit range on 2020. But given our awards activity and the opportunities we see in front of us, we think we've got opportunity to be in the higher end of that range for 2020. So we think it's really a good news story and supports, again, this what we've been talking about, the level of visibility we have into, some long range sales growth for this business.
That's great color. Thanks again.
Your next question is from the line of Ron Epstein with Bank of America.
Yes. Hey, good morning guys. Good afternoon actually. Quick question. It's my understanding that the RFP came out for for the next phase of GBSD.
Can you share any thoughts on what you guys are thinking about it and how you feel about it?
Yes. Thanks, Ron. This is Kathy. And as we look at the RFP, which did come out Monday a week ago, we are really seeing what we expected to see. And we are positioned to be able to support the U.
S. Air Force requirements and view this as a strong opportunity for our company. As I noted in my own remarks, we have been supporting the ICBM system for over 60 years. So we have the knowledge and the expertise needed to put together a strong offer for the U. S.
Air Force and we look forward to doing that. There is a 150 day response period, so we'll be submitting the proposal late this year and still expect an award in the mid to late part of 2020.
Great. Thank you very much.
Your next question is from the line of Peter Arment with Baird.
Hi, yes. Good afternoon, Kathy, Ken. Kathy, you mentioned the revenue synergies that you're starting to book. Obviously, a lot of it's been restricted. So, you can't really talk about it.
But I just wanted to talk about how that flows through to growth. Do we expect to start to see that layer in kind of the way Ken described the burn rate on the backlog or is something that happens faster? Maybe just some color there. Thank you.
Yes. We had talked about revenue synergy really not starting to kick in, in earnest to 2020. And I've mentioned in last quarter's call as well as this one that we are seeing those revenue synergies sooner than we expected. They are on efforts that are restricted and developmental largely, and therefore, you see a fairly slow ramp of that revenue in 2019. You'll see it more materially happening in the 2021 timeframe as we've talked about previously.
As you noted, it is in restricted space. And today, I shared the Space Norway award because it's something that's unclassified that we can talk about that demonstrates how in that case Innovation Systems and Aerospace Systems are working together with IS providing the bus and the integrated ground and then AS building the payloads for the satellites. Together
in
together in multiple mission areas. But certainly we're seeing more of that in space than any other domain.
Appreciate the color. Thank you.
Your next question is from the line of Doug Harnett with Bernstein.
Thank you. Innovation Systems, when you had what we would consider to be very good margin So when you look first, can So when you look first, can you talk about what's been driving the good performance, the good margin performance at Innovation Systems? And then as you look forward and think about how you take parts of that business and link it to other to aerospace and to mission systems to capture revenue synergies, how do you ensure that you can continue to improve margin there?
So Doug, let me start and then I'm going to ask Ken to provide some color on some activities in the first half of the year, which won't be recurring that did have a positive impact on the IS margin. But more broadly, the good margin performance we're seeing at Innovation Systems is due in part to their strong performance and also in part to the cost synergies that we are realizing across the company. And the more that we're able to utilize the facilities, the footprint and the infrastructure that we have across the business as a whole, IS and all the sectors are benefiting from that. So it's not just the cost that we're taking out that I referred to as cost synergy, but also starting to realize some of the operational synergy that's having a positive impact on margins as well. In terms of our outlook for IS, we expect that strong performance to continue.
But as I noted, there were a couple of events in the first half that increased their operating margins. And Ken, I'll ask you to shed some light on that.
Yes. I would just add that, you may remember, Doug, in the Q1, we talked about the contribution of some commercial negotiations that we had planned to occur in 2019, but which occurred earlier than we expected driving the Q1 margin up. And then in Q2 largely we had some positive adjustments on some of our contracts that drove some additional margin rate. And obviously, as we look at the second half of the year, we'll work hard to manage risk and realize opportunities to try to continue to drive upside to margin rate. But we've had a real successful first half of the year so far and still need to pull it in for the full year.
In terms of the question specifically about the 26% versus the 29%, I would just remind you that the previous year period only included about 3 plus weeks of activity. So probably not a material change in terms of the revenue then versus revenue now. But certainly, we can perform on cost type contracts and drive favorably EAC adjustments there as well.
Okay, great. Very good. Thank you.
Thanks, Doug.
Your next question is from the line of Seth Seifman with JPMorgan.
Thanks very much and good afternoon. In Aerospace Systems, I guess, in the first quarter, we saw a step up in sales to about $3,500,000,000 and what's done in the first half and the guidance sort of implies that we're going to stay at about that level through the end of the year. When do we see the next leg up in aerospace revenue? And then, Kathy, on the Q4 call, I think you talked in a little bit more detail about the 3 pieces, manned, unmanned and space. And so maybe if you could talk qualitatively about the outlook now that you've got a few more of these awards under your belt for the next couple of years for each of those?
I'm going to ask Ken to start with giving you the outlook for the remainder of the year and then I'll talk to our overall view of the 3 segments.
Yes. So Seth, just a couple of comments I guess I would make for AS. I would say that as I referenced in my remarks, we did have some timing of some supplier costs that moves the right a little bit from Q2 into the second half of the year. We did have a relatively tough compare for AS growth, which had grown 11% Q2 of 2018 on top of 11% Q2 before that. So AS has been a solidly growing business and we continue to be comfortable that it continues to grow as we look forward.
We're comfortable with our full year guidance for AS and feel good about where we are and where that business is going to be going in the next few years. And I'll let Kathy comment more specifically on kind of the divisions within AS.
Yes. So we've been seeing growth across the three segments of AS, Manned, Unmanned and Space in each quarter that varies a bit. This quarter, Manned and Space were up offsetting some slight declines in unmanned, just largely timing of deliveries in that business. As we look forward and over the long term, we see space as likely the fastest growing segment of aerospace in that we see budget increases in that area. It's a key area where we're identifying and executing revenue synergies across the entire portfolio.
So I do see that being one of our fastest growing segments in the company over time. I would say that MAND continues to benefit from a number of key franchise programs like E-2D, the additional awards there with the U. S. Navy, but also it will be fueled by the international growth that we noted with Japan. And then of course, we continue with up 35 to see some decent growth in that man segment as well.
But unmanned too has a nice growth outlook as we take Triton to early operating capability later this year. We'll be ramping up production on that program over time. And we also, as you know, have strong international demand there with units going to Australia and some interest in Germany as well. So I really see nice opportunity across all three elements of the aerospace portfolio.
Great. Thank you very much. Your next question is from the line of Robert Stallard with Vertical Research.
Thanks so much. Good afternoon.
Good afternoon.
Ken, you mentioned that next year you should have some more flexibility for value added capital deployment. I was wondering what your priorities might be in that area and whether prefunding the pension might have moved up the agenda there?
Sure, Rob. I'll comment on that. I would say that as we look at the value creating capital deployment opportunities, I'm probably not going to lay out the specifics for what 2020 might look like until we actually give guidance for 2020. But I would probably reference it to our consistent allocation over the past number of years. In particular, I would note that we've been repurchaser of our shares for many years dating back to 2,003.
We certainly expect that to continue. We've talked about what our CapEx profile looks like. Certainly continue to invest in technology through R and D investment and things like that. In terms of pension prefunding, I haven't seen that really rise too high on my radar screen at this point. I would say that we've had pretty solid pension returns year to date and that should help us from a required funding perspective.
And think if you think back to our previous discussion, we didn't have a whole lot of funding required for the next couple of years on pension. So not necessarily high on my radar screen. My previous commentary on the debt payoff in August of this year, We do expect that after we pay that off and then we look forward at our growing EBITDA and cash flows, have the opportunity to get back to our preferred BBB plus credit rating at that point. So lots of optionality on kind of managing the balance sheet, I would say, from that perspective. And just lots of opportunity as we see again a growing set of cash flows to think about what the most value creating capital deployment is.
That's great. Thank you.
Your next question is from the line of Robert Spingarn with Credit Suisse.
Good afternoon.
Hey, Rob.
Hey there, Ken. Just on that growing set of cash flows. You talked earlier about the strength of the multi year awards and that 2020 revenues could be at the high end of expectations. So it's becoming clearer that double digit growth for free cash flow per share is possible. So I wanted to I know you don't want to get too far ahead of yourself, but how do you feel about the 15% to 20% growth implied in the consensus free cash flow for 20.20 of $20 per share?
Great. Thanks for the question. As I mentioned previously, we're not ready to give guidance for 2020 at this point. But I think we've been clear and I'll continue to be clear that this is a business that will be a strong generator of cash as we look forward. And let me just walk through a few of the drivers of that for 2020 and beyond.
First, as you mentioned, expect to continue to see solid growth, and that's for multiple years given our portfolio alignment, to what our customers' needs and the changing threats and also as evidenced by our strong backlog. We continue to expect to generate strong margins and convert those margins into cash. We invested ahead of the curve and we continue to expect our CapEx will moderate in future years. Pension plans are well funded to Rob's question previously, some of the best funded plans in industry to frank. And as we look forward, we continue to think that working capital should moderate a bit starting in 2020 and with more opportunity in the out years.
So with kind of that framework, I think you're hitting on the right issues or the right thoughts and I wouldn't argue with your thesis or assumptions on solid free cash flow growth.
Okay. Thank you.
Your next question is from the line of Sheila Kahyaoglu with Jefferies. Thank you. Good afternoon, Kathy and Ken. And just on the missiles market, it's been a big focus lately. Maybe can you talk about Orbital ATK, what it's brought incrementally in terms of technology and the exposure?
And how do you think about the opportunities going forward and maybe your market share today?
Thanks. So as we look at the missile space, there is clearly opportunity for us to continue to be key suppliers to Raytheon in Lockheed, which we've been doing in more traditional cruise missile space. And as I noted on today's call, we continue with that partnering in the hypersonic weapons space as well. And then there are some select instances and I've pointed to some of those in our prior discussions. ARGAM ER is a good example where we are the prime provider for the missile.
We can provide that full integration and delivery capability, but we also have clearly the specialization in propulsion for, other prime missile systems. And so when we think about the business, we really do focus ourselves on continuing to evolve the technology in not only the propulsion systems, but our ability to provide guidance and the other elements of the system, the composite structures that we can offer to others or in select instances, provide through our own Prime offering. We see that area growing for IS as we see it growing for the other Primes as well. And so we think that there's plenty of market opportunity for the 3 of us in that arena. Thanks.
Your next question is from the line of David Strauss with Barclays.
Thanks. Good afternoon. Kathy, could you address your competitive win rate within TS and whether you still think that TS as a whole can return to growth in 2020? And could you also address your positioning within Nelpam's competition, the Sensoft that's going on there? Thanks.
Sure. Let me start with Technology Services. Our win rate there in the first half of the year has been very solid, particularly on recompetes where we've been able to defend the business that we have. And as you know, at the beginning of the year, we laid out a trajectory for that business. The actions that we've taken have stabilized the top line and you also see that we're increasing the margin rate in that business because the team is executing to that plan quite well.
Now as our guidance indicates, I expect that that sector is going to be flattish for the remainder of the year and we still expect that the sector will return to growth in 2020. It's largely driven by still having some headwinds from programs that have exited the global services part of the portfolio, while we are growing the global sustainment and modernization part of the TS business. And I just want to also note that TS is providing us affordable life cycle support and modernization for systems and platforms that we build as well. And so they're an integral part of many of the programs that we have and they offer us affordable options for that services component of the program execution for the bid. So now turning to the second part of your question around LTAM, we are in an active competition there.
We did submit a bid and we feel confident that we have an offer that is competitive and is based on mature GaN technology. So we'll wait to see what the Army thinks, but we certainly are pleased to be able to participate in that competition and bring forward what we think is a good
offer. Okay, Natalia, next question?
Your next question is from the line of Jon Raviv with Citi.
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Kathy, I know investments are very important part of the thesis and the differentiator for Northrop. One of your near peers would say has engaged in some M and A where investment is also a part of their thesis too. So any thoughts or perspectives on the importance of size and scale in being competitive going forward?
The importance of size and scale in being competitive going forward in the defense market?
We're certainly assessing the implications of the consolidation in our market. But let me share how we think about our own strategy. I see that we have a strong portfolio, especially now with the addition of innovation system and this portfolio is well aligned to our technology. I gave one example today of a multiyear investment stream we've had in Open Mission Systems Electronics and some of the programs that we're now winning in Mission Systems as a result of those investments. We of course have over
the last several years.
And we over the last several years. And we have a competitive cost structure as witnessed by some of our recent wins and the sighting of our cost advantages in strong basis to support business capture, but we also have a strong and improving balance sheet that's going to continue to allow us this investment optionality into the future. And we've demonstrated the ability to compete and win at our current scale. So I see often that the quality of investment choices is even more important than the pure size of the investment itself. And looking at where we are with a focused strategy, well aligned investments to that strategy, I feel good about where we're positioned.
Thank you.
Your next question is from the line of George Shapiro with Shapiro Research.
Yes. Good afternoon. I was wondering, Kathy or Ken, if you could go through some of the programs that are in unfunded backlog for Aerospace since that was a big part of the jump in backlog this quarter?
George, to be honest with you on that one, I don't have the data in front of me. So I'd have to get Steve to follow-up with you with the specifics on that after the call today. Okay. Is there another question you wanted to go through?
Yes. The EACs in Aerospace, were down were 54 versus 95 last year. Can you talk through what might have been negative in the quarter or why it was down by as much as it was?
Yes, I'd be happy to go through that, George. I don't think there were really negatives of any significant consequence in this year's Q2. You may remember that last year's Q2 we did have a pickup EAC positive adjustments of about $69,000,000 on a couple of restricted programs. So really, if you look at it, it was more positives in last year's Q2. And if you think about this year's 2nd quarter with a similar margin rate, that would tell you that the underlying baseline EAC rates that we're booking at is stronger than it was for last year's Q2.
So we feel good about where we are. I'm always careful to put too much credence into the EAC adjustments because there's always timing and fluctuations and ups and downs. And I think the most important thing is we continue to perform. We have not seen an uptick in negative adjustments and continue to deliver consistent, strong performance at each Your next
question
Your next question is from the line of Rajeev Lalwani with Morgan Stanley.
Hi, Kathy. Hi, Ken.
Hey, Rajeev. Hi.
Just an F-thirty five question. Lockheed's been pretty vocal about getting the price down and it seems like they're successfully doing so given that it's one of your biggest programs. How is that filtering down to you on the revenue and or margin side? And as a follow-up, can you highlight any contracts that are maybe rolling over the next 6, 12, 18 months that could create a little bit of noise, if you will, as we start looking at growth rates moving ahead?
Sure, Rajeev. I'll start on that one and then Kathy can add any color. But from an F-thirty five perspective, I would just say that we're performing well. We've been delivering quality product on time or ahead of schedule. We do have 4 contracts across a number of sectors.
Actually we have more than 4 So it's a significant So it's a significant program for us and we've been really working hard to support our customer, Lockheed Martin, as well as the U. S. Government to deliver to that target that has been established from a price per unit perspective. And clearly, our cost is a part of the cost reduction that our customer is seeing. So we feel really good about where we are on that program and we've seen really solid operational performance and we're pleased with where that program is at this point.
And then was there
I think Rajiv, your second question was related to any recompete coming up in the second half of the year. Is that right?
Yes. Or just simply contracts that are rolling off. But yes, you got the right idea.
Right. So we have the remaining headwinds from the Virginia State Outsourcing contract that is still in TS through the Q3. And then we have in our Innovation Systems sector a contract for Lake City ammunition plant and that is expected to be awarded in September of this year. That would be about 10% of the revenue in Innovation Systems. And it does not currently have economic value.
So there would not be a profit impact. But we are positioning to compete for that contract and are expecting to hear in the next couple of months.
Yes. I would just add that the ammunition contract that Kathy talked about has a bit of a longer phase in than most contracts. So probably start it would start to transition in kind of mid to late 2020. Although we've put together a competitive bid and we've got a lot of confidence that we'll see that production continue to be a part of our business. And on VIDA, I would just say that it's had a more significant impact in the first half of the year and we see it really only about $75,000,000 of headwind as we look at the second half for TS.
So not a significant set of contracts that could sort of move against us.
Thank you.
Your next question is from line of Hunter Keay with Wolfe
Research. Thank you. Good afternoon. I've got a follow-up on GBSD. Can you help us frame the long term opportunity for that program, including some of the sustainment work?
And then also, please tell me I'm being too nitpicky, but Kathy, why did you include the phrase technically mature when you're talking about the offering in your prepared remarks? And the nature of the question is basically, now that you've got a chance to review the RFP, is this less of a science project, if you will? Is there anything in there that would suggest that the customer is looking for proven technology as opposed to more sort of ambitious development work as they think about the award? Thanks.
So to frame out the opportunity for you, it clearly starts with the development of the modernized ICBM system and then moves into a production phase over a number of years to actually produce the capability and then would move to sustainment, but that sustainment scope is not part of the RFP for this offering. This really is about the development and the production phase of the contract and transition to sustainment. My phrasing on technically mature is because we've been executing tech maturation and risk reduction program for the last several years on GBSD and through that process we have been able to retire risk and really mature our offering. And so we do feel that at this point in time what we're able to offer has rung some of that risk that we would have identified at the early stage of our design concept out of our offering.
Thanks. Your next question is from the line of Pete Guditsky with Alembic Global.
Yes, good afternoon. Kathy, I wanted to get your thoughts on this idea from kind of early on in the administration that we're going to look at export control reform that could help with UAV exports. I think it gets to the missile technology control regime or some other controlling agreement. I was wondering, have you guys seen progress on that? Or is it still to come?
Or did it just kind of fall off the table in terms of a major priority for the administration? So initially, I thought that maybe it could be a big opportunity for you guys.
Pete, it certainly hasn't fallen off the table. We're still engaged actively with the State Department in looking at MTCR and also specifically looking at certain countries that have requested our unmanned systems capability. And I would say that we see much more opening to have that dialogue and request from us to come forward with areas that have expressed interest and put some ideas on the table. It is slow to develop those into actual approval for export. And so we're still working through a process that requires a lot of steps for us to get there.
And the look at MTCR also requires multinational engagement to make a change to that policy. So that too we expected and are seeing that will take some time.
Okay. So we should be patient on that front. Okay. Thanks guys.
Yes. We are being patient but not patient. We're pushing.
Your next question is from the line of Cai von Rumohr with Cowen and Company.
Thank you very much. So, Kathy, you mentioned you're supporting 2 of your peers on hypersonics. With IS, you now have capability in propulsion, you have capability in guidance. Are you aspiring to become a bigger prime yourself? And if not, why not?
And also, one of your peers talks about defensive hypersonics as a bigger market. Is that an area that you're focused on because there you also look like you have the technology
part of part of the market, we are establishing ourselves as a prime. We have capabilities in the missile defense regime today and in the space regime that we believe will be highly relevant to counter hypersonics. So that is an area that we are aggressively pursuing. In the case of hypersonics, thinking of the offensive weapon systems themselves, As I noted today, we do have prime effort. We also are supporting both Lockheed and Raytheon.
And that's an important part of our strategy. We have been in Orbital ATK prior to joining Northrop Grumman had been a merchant supplier to Raytheon and Lockheed. We got into agreements to support them on certain programs and we are very committed to uphold those agreements and continue to support them with our best and brightest people and technology. As we look forward over the long term, we certainly will look at every new opportunity as one that we would make a decision. Is it right for us to pursue that as a prime or continue to have partnerships and work through the primes of Raytheon, Lockheed and perhaps others that might emerge in the space as well or both and offer capability to everyone who is choosing to pursue the marketplace.
And so those are decisions we'll take 1 by 1. We are certainly not looking to take an aggressive stance in that marketplace because as I said, it's a growing market and it's one that we feel is big enough for 3 parties to adequately play. And we want to make sure that our technology is getting into the hands of the warfighter and that we're giving them the best capabilities in a timely fashion. And sometimes it makes sense for us to work with our competitors to do that.
Thank you, one more question.
Thanks, Kai.
Yes. Your final question is from the line of Joseph DeNardi with Stifel.
Yes. Good afternoon. Ken, you talked about your confidence in the cash flow generation of the business and kind of the capital deployment strategy. You guys have one of the lowest dividend yields in the industry. Obviously, there are 2 components to that equation.
But can you talk about how you think about the dividend, either as a percent of kind of free cash flow or total capital deployed and whether you have more ambitious plans for that going forward? Thank you.
Sure. I'd be happy to talk about that. Thanks, Joe. From a dividend perspective, I guess I'll start with, we simply don't chase yield and can't chase yield. That being said, we've seen significant increases in our dividend every year for the last number of years.
I think it's been 6 years or so with double digit increases. And in fact, 2 increases, I guess, it was in 20 18, 2 10% increases or 10 plus percent increases in 2018. So we've been seeing significant increase in our dividend per share. And I will say that you can think of us as certainly continue to think about what our future dividend increase would look like. But again, that being said, we don't chase yield and it remains an important part of our capital deployment strategy.
We've tended to think of it as kind of a range of 30% to 40% of our pension adjusted net earnings. And we've tended to be in the middle of a pack to our peers in terms of looking at our dividend based on that measure. And so we think from a yield perspective, may be a little bit low, but we think from a again looking at it relative to our pension adjusted net earnings that we're pretty squarely in the range in terms
Thanks, Steve. I
Thanks, Steve. I once again want to thank our team for their outstanding performance. Our business capture, our growing backlog, our fruitful investments, they continue to provide the opportunity for long term value creation for our customers and our shareholders. I also want to thank all of you for joining for the call today. I hope that you enjoy the remainder of your summer and I look forward to talking to you again in October.
Natalia, that concludes our call.
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.