Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2019

Nov 7, 2019

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Nomad Foods third quarter 2019 earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star and zero. I would now like to turn the conference over to Taposh Bari, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Taposh Bari
Head of Investor Relations, Nomad Foods

Great. Thanks, Carl, thank you all for joining us to review our third quarter 2019 earnings results. With me on the call today are Chief Executive Officer, Stéfan Descheemaeker, and Chief Financial Officer, Samy Zekhout. Before beginning, I would like to draw your attention to the disclaimer on slide two of our presentation. This conference call may make forward-looking statements that are based on our view of the company's prospects at this time, and actual results may differ due to risks and uncertainties which are discussed in our press release, our filings with the SEC, and this slide in our investor presentation, which includes cautionary language. We will also discuss non-IFRS financial measures during the call today. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered a replacement for and should be read together with IFRS results.

Users can find the IFRS to non-IFRS reconciliations within our earnings release and in the appendices at the end of the slide presentation available on our website. Please note that certain financial information within this presentation represents adjusted figures for 2018 and 2019, and that all adjusted figures have been adjusted for exceptional acquisition-related share-based payment and related expenses, as well as non-cash FX gains or losses. All comments from here on will refer to those adjusted numbers. Finally, users should be aware that 2019 figures have been presented in accordance with IFRS 16, the new standard for leases. As such, certain financial metrics may not be directly comparable to 2018 figures. However, we have disclosed the impact of this change in the press release, where the impact on comparability has been deemed material. With that, I will hand the call over to Stéfan.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Thank you, Taposh, and thank you all for joining us on the call today. Earlier today, we reported the third quarter 2019 earnings results and narrowed our full-year EBITDA and EPS guidance. Highlights from the third quarter include organic revenue growth of 2.5%, driven by a 4% increase from price, offset by a 1.5% decline in volume and mix. Adjusted gross margin expansion of 110 basis points to 29.5%. Adjusted EBITDA of EUR 96 million, representing growth of 14%, and adjusted EPS of EUR 0.25 per share. We're pleased with our third quarter results, which demonstrate the healthy balance between top-line growth, gross margin expansion, expense discipline, and cash generation. Moreover, I'm proud to say that our business has now delivered 11 consecutive quarters of organic revenue growth, reinforcing the strength of our brands, the focus of our people, and the sustainability of our business model.

Turning to the details of the quarter, we continue to see strong momentum in our core portfolio, which grew 5% in Q3 and represents 68% of year-to-date revenues. Within our core, fish fingers, spinach, and local market categories performed particularly well. Importantly, we continue to effectively manage the rest of our portfolio, part of which is being replaced by core SKUs. In aggregate, the non-core business posted a decline in low single digits, an improvement versus a mid-single-digit decline during the first half of the year. Most of our countries grew during the third quarter, including U.K., Italy, and France, which each achieved organic revenue growth of 4%. Performance was strongest in Germany, Spain, and the Netherlands, which each grew more than 5% during the quarter.

As we anticipated, the Nordics experienced organic revenue decline, as we delisted low-margin and non-core products with the long-term objective of strengthening our business model and profitability in this strategically important region. As you know, execution of our model requires us to make strategic choices, which in turn allows us to invest behind the highest returning areas of our business. This portfolio strategy has been fundamental to our success since day one and will continue to govern where and how we invest. By nature, this approach will result in positive and negative outliers, but with a very clear objective: to drive sustained organic revenue growth and market share expansion. Third quarter organic revenue growth reflected growing contribution from innovation, where our strategy is now more targeted and intentional as we invest behind a limited number of big bets with the objective of building sustainable platforms.

This year, big bets included Artisan, a new line of fish products with innovative and on-trend coatings. Veggie Power, a modern blend of veggie mixes which launched in 2018 and has since been expanded across the network, and Green Cuisine, our plant protein range, which recently launched in the U.K. and will be rolled out across Europe. We're pleased with what we have seen across these platforms, which have achieved solid distribution with retailers and encouraging trial with consumers. While each innovation will have its own unique proposition, our strategic intent is to introduce new products which are margin accretive, complementary to our core, and aligned with macro trends such as convenience, sustainability, and nutrition. Green Cuisine is a great example of the type of innovation that we bring to our consumers.

This range, which was launched in the U.K. earlier this year, is made of peas, a crop in which our brand have incredible heritage. We have formulated these products, which are manufactured in-house, with the goal of delivering on both taste and nutrition. As you may know, our Green Cuisine burgers have a fraction of the saturated fat content of many of the competing products in the market. We activated Green Cuisine with a great advertising campaign, which has driven strong velocity across its three SKUs, burgers, meatballs, and sausages. It's still very early days, we're encouraged by what we have seen and have plans to further develop our offering in the U.K. and beyond. Before turning the call to Samy, I'd like to share some updated thoughts on our balance sheet and intended uses of capital.

As you know, we raised $400 million of capital earlier this year. As a result, we ended the third quarter with over EUR 700 million of cash on hand and leverage of 2.8 times. With that said, acquisitions are a key part of our growth story and an area where we intensely focused on driving shareholder value. Over the past several months, we've been pursuing acquisitions which meet our strategic and financial criteria. In fact, we currently have a handful of situations, which we are actively evaluating. Our strong cash balance allows us to operate from a position of strength, and we look forward to updating you when the time is right. In the meantime, it should be clear that we are committed to continuing growing organically and through smart and disciplined M&A.

In summary, we're pleased with our third quarter results, which have us on pace to achieve another year of strong growth and cash generation. With that, I will hand the call over to Sami to discuss the financials and guidance in more detail. Sami?

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Thank you, Stéfan, and thank you all for your participation on the call today. Turning to slide six, I will provide more detail on our key third quarter operating metrics, beginning with revenues, which increased 2% to EUR 540 million, driven by 2.5% organic revenue growth. Third quarter adjusted gross margin expanded meaningfully by 110 basis points to 29.5%. This was attributable to three factors. First, an improved pea harvest versus last year, which helped our margin and will increase our pea supplies for the forward season. Second, improved gross margins within our recent acquisition, Goodfella's and Aunt Bessie's. Third, pricing actions in response to higher fish prices, which we have experienced throughout the year.

We are pleased with our gross margin progression through the first nine months of the year and remain on track to achieve modest gross margin expansion for the full year, excluding the impact of M&A mix. The team has done an exceptional job navigating this year's correction in fish prices, mainly in Alaskan pollock. Through the first nine months of the year, these actions have resulted in relatively stable gross margin in our base business, combined with a 4% increase in price and a 2% decline in volume. The relationship between pricing, volumes, and gross margin is one that we will continue to closely monitor, along with the evolution of our market share and penetration at the consumer level.

It is critical that we, as an organization, remain strategic in our approach to navigating inflation while maintaining our ability to sustain organic revenue growth and market share expansion over both the medium and long term. This will require an increased agility on our part, as well as greater contribution from certain areas of the business, namely productivity and innovation. On productivity, we have made significant progress over the past year, and we lean more on supply chain as an offset to inflation. This will be achieved through a combination of procurement savings and manufacturing efficiencies.

On innovation, as you heard from Stéfan, we have seen strong early signs from the launches that we brought to the market, and we look to further invest in the coming years to ensure that our brands remain at the forefront of evolving consumer trends with convenience, sustainability, and nutrition, these three fundamental pillars. Moving down to the rest of the P&L. Adjusted operating expenses increased 1% year-over-year, reflecting the planned shift in media spend from Q2 to Q3. NP increased 3%, while indirect expenses were flat to last year. Adjusted EBITDA was EUR 96 million, and as expected, including the EUR 4 million benefit related to IFRS 16, the new standard on lease accounting effective this year. Excluding this benefit, adjusted EBITDA grew 10% versus the prior year. Adjusted EPS was EUR 0.25 for the quarter, declining 4%, reflecting the offering of 20 million shares in March 2019.

IFRS 16 did not have a material impact on EPS during the third quarter. Turning to cash flow on slide seven, we generated EUR 117 million of adjusted free cash flow for the first nine months of the year, as compared to EUR 97 million generated in the same period last year. Factors contributing to adjusted free cash flow performance include: adjusted EBITDA of EUR 316 million, a 15% year-on-year increase, a working capital outflow of EUR 96 million, CapEx and cash taxes of EUR 29 million a piece, and cash interest and other of EUR 45 million, due to primarily the reallocation of the lease payment from operating cash flow to financing cash flow as a result of IFRS 16. Free cash flow conversion was 68% of adjusted profit through the first nine months of the year.

This reflects the seasonal nature of the working capital cycle, which tends to peak during the third quarter due to the timing of the harvest. With that said, we are pleased to report improved conversion versus a year ago and are making progress on the actions that we've identified to drive improved cash flow efficiency during the remainder of the year. With that, let's turn to slide eight to review our 2019 guidance, which is based on foreign exchange rates as of November 5th, 2019. For the full year 2019, with two months remaining in the year, we are narrowing our guidance to the upper end of our range and now expect to achieve adjusted EBITDA of approximately EUR 425 million-EUR 430 million and adjusted EPS of EUR 1.20-EUR 1.22. Full-year guidance continues to assume organic revenue growth at a low single-digit percentage rate.

Based on current foreign exchange rates, we expect FX translation to represent approximately 30 basis points help on reported revenue growth in the fourth quarter and a drag of 20 basis points for the full year. That concludes our remarks. I will now turn the session over to Q&A. Thank you. Operator, back to you.

Operator

Thank you, sir. We will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad. You will hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star, then two. We will pause for a moment as callers join the queue. The first question comes from Jason English of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Jason English
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey. Good morning, folks. Thanks for slotting me in.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Hey, Jason.

Jason English
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

I wanted to come back to the pricing narrative. You guys have obviously done a phenomenally good job navigating all the cost pressures that you faced with this year and demonstrated a strong ability to price. I heard in your prepared remarks the emphasis on a need to maybe lean heavier on productivity, lean heavier on innovation, and if we look at some of the Nielsen data, which we know has plenty of imperfections, it does suggest that private label, particularly in the U.K. and categories like fish, is finding another leg of momentum. It begs the question of whether or not you may be reaching some upper limits on the ability to push price even further. I'd love your thoughts on that, what you're seeing in terms of need to push more pricing.

I know it's a moving target, given the pound volatility, and then your ability to push pricing if needed further in that market.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Okay. Thanks, Jason. Obviously, it's a long question with different aspects. I would first contextualize the Nielsen numbers. As you know, it barely covers something like a bit more than 50% of our total sales. It's obviously an interesting KPI, but it's just part of it. That's one thing. This being said, in terms of pricing, to your point, it's a never-ending story. We always have to find the balance between price, volume, market share, and margin, and I don't think it's going to change anytime soon or in the future. At the same time, I think the private label guys do have to do the same thing. I think what has been key and that will be key for us is to remain agile.

Definitely we have demonstrated, overall, obviously, here and there are some exceptions, but we've demonstrated interesting pricing power in 2019, which again, it doesn't come by chance. It's a combination of innovation and investment behind the brands and all the things. I think the key word, Jason, is agility and finding the right balance between these different elements. Long term, you know the story as much as we do. It's all about the power of our brands, and we need to be paranoid with brand people, and we need to keep investing behind these brands. It's a never-ending story because obviously private label really forces, which is healthy by the way, forces us to raise the game.

Jason English
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. All right. Thank you. I'll pass it on.

Operator

The next question comes from Steve Strycula of UBS. Please go ahead.

Steve Strycula
Analyst, UBS

Hi, good morning. Just to pick out what Jason was threading on, how do we think about the price gap piece of it, Stéfan? Given your background and where you're a board member, you're very familiar with the pricing model, and we saw that it didn't work out so well for Kraft, which I know you're not a part of, but just wanted to understand, is price cap something you're being very mindful of? I think the spirit of what people want to know is, should we expect volumes to start improving based off the innovation that you're seeing in the marketplace? Can you help us think about it? I'm not asking about Nielsen, but just more broadly speaking across your business. I have a quick follow-up.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

To your first question, the price gap, it's absolutely. It's a fundamental KPI for us. We do this definitely first for our must-win bundles, the key SKUs, and we're checking where we stand. Again, overall, country by country, channel by channel, it may differ, but it hasn't widened. That's the key. Sometimes takes a bit more time because obviously people have different hedging situations, so they obviously, sometimes the commodity price is impacting them a bit later, and they're taking a decision to impact the consumers and all the rest of it. I would put it that way. That's the key piece for us. To your second question, long term, we are committed to volume growth, profitable volume growth, obviously. That's a key consideration for us. Obviously, you might have here and there some bumps in the road.

Overall, that's definitely something we want to do. Innovation is playing an increasing role with that. We were talking about Green Cuisine. It's a very important point for us. We believe that with these kind of products, these kind of new innovations, we have what it takes to win with the consumers.

Steve Strycula
Analyst, UBS

Thanks, Stéfan. As a quick follow-up, can you give us an update as to what's happening with, call it, the two acquisitions you've done more recently? Where are we in the turnaround of those businesses, or call it the progression of those integrations? To your comment on M&A from earlier, do we think that Brexit complicates how you would look at closing on a deal, given some of the cross-border implications? Would it be safe to say that maybe we're focused on just mainland Europe, where you don't have maybe as much cross U.K. versus EU exposure? Thank you.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Let me answer the second question first. The answer is no, it did not impact any. Brexit did not impact our thinking process, and our potential acquisitions, or let's say, opportunities in continental Europe and elsewhere. That was not really a consideration. Beyond, obviously, we are not going to comment further in terms of the future. Back to the past and the present with the two acquisitions, I would say we are pleased with both. The integration is moving very swiftly. By the way, as an example, we have, I think it was three days ago, we now have a fully integrated SAP system for the whole organization, so for Aunt Bessie's, for Goodfella's, and for Birds Eye, which is great, by the way, in terms of visibility for us, because then you have exactly the right set of numbers.

I would put it that way, overall, in terms of results, we are really totally in line with the results. Maybe a bit more cost savings, a bit less of top line here and there. We had the one delisting, for example, which is of a temporary nature, we believe, because we have great brands. Overall, no, we're very pleased with both, and they do well. Oh, I forgot to mention, by the way, something that you never can count in a business plan, as we mentioned Goodfella's. I remember someone told me, "Are you including anything in continental Europe?" I remember my answer was at that time, "Of course not." You know what? We're doing things now in Portugal, and it's doing well.

We now have, after a few months, it's early days, but after a few months, we have a 4% market share in Portugal with Iglo as a brand and with products that are coming from Ireland.

Operator

The next question comes from Bill Chappell of SunTrust. Please go ahead.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Thanks. Good morning.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Morning, Bill.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Stéfan, Good morning. Your commentary on M&A, it's a lot stronger, both in the press release and what you're saying than you've said before. Usually, you kind of dismiss if it will come from time to time. Is it fair to say that you were hoping to have something to announce by today, we're that close to the finish line? Then any kind of color you can give us in terms of size of deals you're looking at. Is there one very large deal, or is it more kind of bite-sized deals that you've been doing so far?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

The answer to your first question is no. We were not expecting to sign anything right now. Obviously, we are quite active in terms of pipeline. Different level, obviously, of how advanced or not advanced we are with the different files. In terms of size, I will not necessarily comment on the size. The only thing I would say is if you just at this stage focus on frozen food in Europe. Basically, we're really looking at, let's say, opportunities on the country basis, category, and channel.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Okay. I'll stay tuned. In terms of just looking back to the question on price, as we look to next year with volume kind of flattish to down, and most of the growth being driven by price, do you expect another round of pricing next year to drive growth, or would you expect volume to start to pick up the slack?

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Bill, Samy Zekhout. Hi. I just want to reiterate the fact that effectively we're very keen on the market situation. There will be inflation. We're planning for that, and what we're trying to achieve, let's say, in our strategy is balancing, if you want the focus on pricing, on inflation, and effectively making sure that our share is progressing the right way in a profitable way. There will be pricing, but let's say we're going to have to make sure that we continue to grow our business and accelerate our growth and create value through that, for sure.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Got it. Last one from me, just back on Green Cuisine, any sense of where the plant-based meat market stands in Western Europe and opportunity and what you think, especially going into 2020?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

By definition, we have goals, but by definition, I will not comment about the goals. These are internal goals, but what is very interesting to see is that there is a lot of enthusiasm across the countries for Green Cuisine, enthusiasm behind the quality of the product, enthusiasm behind the quality of the launches, the potential launches. That's overall very reassuring, I would put it that way. The consumer reaction in the countries where we already are ahead of, like the U.K., for example, it's very encouraging. Still, I believe we are very imperfect, so we can do much better, but what we've seen is very good. Quite frankly, congratulations to the R&D team because they've come up with really good products, quite frankly. It's starting with that.

Beyond the consumers, again, and it's not anecdotal, I can tell you that the retailers are very excited. Obviously, you're going to have all your original negotiation, but they're very excited, and it's a great starting point.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Great. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Brian Holland of D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Brian Holland
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thanks. Good morning, gentlemen. First question, just to follow up again on the pricing side of the equation here. It's always been sort of my understanding that given your sort of stated strategy for profitable share capture, that would always lead me to believe that you'd be a little bit more aggressive in pricing, maybe said another way, earlier to take pricing than some of your competitors. It's also been my understanding that, especially on the frozen fish side, I believe you've got some highly levered competitors.

I know you're not interested in being in the business of predicting what your competitors will do, but as you look at the landscape and you kind of have some historical context, at least, would you expect, and I think I heard this from what you said earlier, but is there an expectation that the price gaps maybe could narrow, not because you'd be pulling back on pricing, but because potentially, some others probably still have some pricing to take? Is that fair?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

To be clear, we are monitoring effectively our pricing versus competition, and more importantly, as well, we are monitoring the reaction of the consumer in line with the balance between the value equation of pricing and quality. What we have seen so far in the pricing, we have realized, which is the focus on your question, is that effectively the consumer elasticity is very much in line with what we have predicted and with the market. We're not going to comment as to whether or not this will narrow down or not, because at the end of the day, it depends as well on the competitor. What's important for us is focusing on the value equation, and more importantly is win with them.

In other words, making sure that our share is going to grow in a context of inflation is going to be important, and that's going to require agility, and that means that it may not just be straight through pricing. It may be as well other elements, which is leveraging our mix, leveraging PPL, leveraging all of the elements that we have around net revenue management, which will make us, if you want, which will enable us to leverage the brand and deliver profitable share growth.

Brian Holland
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Thanks. I appreciate that color. On the volume side, forgive me if you addressed this already, but any sense, just given some of the innovation you're bringing to market or have brought to market, from a cadence standpoint, is that a little bit more Q4 weighted, such that maybe that would help the volume at all? Is that any factor in what we would see both in Q3 and the softness and maybe how Q4 plays out? Is there anything worth noting there?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Not really.

Brian Holland
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Okay. Last question for me then is on the currency, or I guess just kind of on the overall inflation side. Seems like level of inflation is moderating, pea harvest, as you commented, fish. The biggest swing factor, it seems to me, would be kind of on the currency side. Is there any thought at this point about how you would manage that, obviously, given the uncertainty that still swirls with Brexit, how you might try to mitigate some of that volatility next year?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

On FX, we're indeed monitoring that this has an effect and this has been effectively fluctuating here and there. Just to make it simple, we do effectively have a hedging strategy as well to make sure that we mitigate the risk moving forward to allow the business to focus on driving effectively the business strategies. The FX still is effectively a dynamic factor, and we're just taking this into consideration as we establish and execute our hedging strategy. To answer your question, yes, it is a factor we're taking into account, and we are taking action against that.

Brian Holland
Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Robert Moskow of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Matt
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hi, this is Matt on for Robert. In case of a hard Brexit, can you guys describe the product lines and input costs that will be most impacted? Is it going to be coming from fish costs or the finished fish products that are imported from Germany? What about U.K. vegetables and U.K. ready-to-eat meals? Thank you.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Okay. To make it simple anyway, even in a hard Brexit, there will be, which obviously is now we think, off the table. Still, we are well prepared, obviously. The first thing is to take into consideration is there will be subsidies from the U.K. government for quite some time. That's the biggest thing. It's overall, where we can have an impact, it's more in terms of supply chain, where to relocate some products. Those are the kind of things we are getting ready. That's that, but it's not necessarily limited. It's not necessarily fish and all these things. To make it simple, we are really well prepared. We spend a lot of time, I can tell you, behind the Brexit meetings, and I would say that right now we shelved it a bit, but again, ready to come back if needed.

Matt
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Great. Is there any individual product that will have more exposure than others in case of-

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Let's say maybe a bit of poultry is a bit more impacted at this stage. Again, we are taking measures right now. We're thinking about where could we have the right level. Again, we're not going to do anything right now which is definitive because, again, things are very fluid. Probably, I would be a bit more optimistic than I was probably a few months ago. Again, even for these products, we are ready.

Matt
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Great. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from John Baumgartner of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

John Baumgartner
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Good morning. Thanks for the question.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Good morning, John.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Hi, John.

John Baumgartner
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Stéfan, I wanted to ask, when you think about private label. Hi, good morning. Maybe taking it in a different direction. It looks like even though private label is gaining share in frozen fish, it doesn't seem to be on aggressive pricing. I look at most of your markets, private label pricing is up at least with the category, if not above it. It seems that the losers of share are the secondary brands. I'm curious, do you see anything in terms of changes in merchandising in the frozen fish case where maybe retailers are looking to keep the market leader in Nomad, merchandise more private label, and then squeeze out some of the secondary brands? Is there anything there in terms of a shift in merchandising that we should consider going forward?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

I would say it's really on a country-by-country basis. For example, in the U.K., we still have a very strong competitor like Young's, and they're doing well. Congratulations to them. I would like to say the other way around, but it's fine. That's life. In other countries, probably you're right. In some other countries, I don't think you should focus too much on fish. I think it's a global phenomenon than where in the stores, increasingly so, you're going to have the private label, then the A brand, maybe the B brands, and that's it. I think in Europe, we're more advanced than in the U.S., where you still have C and D brands. I would be a bit more concerned if I were a C or D brand in the U.S. I don't think I would focus on fish. I think it's a global phenomenon.

It's our job, obviously, as an A brand, because we are the A brand, to keep investing. We have no choice. We need to keep the space between us and the private label so that we can win with the consumers.

John Baumgartner
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. Thanks for that. Just as a follow-up, thinking about net revenue management, I know 2019 is a year where the whole NRM approach seems to be maybe accelerating a bit in terms of capability, and that will continue again next year. It looks like across your two main categories of the fish and frozen veggies, it seems like maybe the fish category is a bit more sensitive in terms of volume response to maybe reductions in promo. I'm curious as to your observations, whether it's learning anything about how to maybe wean consumers off buying on deal and fish, or maybe it's positive read-across in terms of the resiliency of the veggie category. Just any kind of high-level thoughts in terms of how the NRM is evolving versus your expectations and how it's going to inform the strategy going forward.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Overall, again, we're very pleased, and we're very pleased we start early, by the way, the game with net revenue management. We started with promo. We did that very sequentially. We started with promo efficiency, and I'm surprised to see that there is still a lot of potential. It's a never-ending story. You still have bucket of less performing promo that you can move, and again, not limited to fish or veg. I think it goes across the categories. Obviously, with net revenue management, we have raised the game, probably a bit out of necessity last year with the COGS increase. We've worked a lot in terms of price elasticity. Again, I think as Sami mentioned, overall, and again, you have exceptions, sometimes a bit down and sometimes a bit up. Overall, it worked as expected, I would put it that way.

We're still learning a lot, but the level of price elasticity is overall as an average is very much in line with our expectations.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

It will continue to be a clear contributor to value creation. As you said, there's an element where the first year is the year where you have a lot of low-hanging fruit. After that, it's not that the outer years are less, but the point after that, you are more in a maintenance strategy, where then it allows you to really balance the equation between volume, pricing, and overall share growth in a profitable way. It will continue to be a key pillar. To be fair, in 2019, it was a really hard resistance test to really execute on an NRM strategy in a context of higher inflation. What it proved, effectively it worked. As we move forward, we continue to leverage that together with the other activities.

John Baumgartner
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Jon Tanwanteng of CJS Securities. Please go ahead.

Jon Tanwanteng
Analyst, CJS Securities

Good morning, gentlemen. Thanks for taking my questions.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Good morning.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Morning.

Jon Tanwanteng
Analyst, CJS Securities

Could you start by giving us a little bit more color on the Nordics? What is the path for top and bottom line growth there? Are you defocusing the region in favor of higher return opportunities, or are you going to come back there and execute on maybe some of the low-hanging fruit?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

I would be that way. The first thing, which is very important, it's a strategic region for us. By the way, the frozen food consumption is higher than in most of the other countries, which is great for us. If we believe that they are the vanguard of the consumption in the future, it's very encouraging. I think we're talking about the Nordics, but it would be fair to say that in the Nordics, you have Sweden, which represents around 50% of the business, and the others, mainly Norway and Finland, which represent another 50%. The others are performing well with good margin recovery. We kept saying that, yes, sales in Norway are declining, but quite frankly, it doesn't wake me up at night at all, I can tell you, because it's really low margin business that we have decided to stop anyway.

It's a bit spectacular in terms of sales. I can tell you in terms of gross margin, especially knowing that it's not even produced by ourselves, there is not even fixed cost recovery here. It's much less spectacular in terms of gross profit. It allows the organization to really focus behind the SKUs that matter. It's really a good application of the must-win battle concept to Norway. You see the dynamics in Norway, it's doing well from all the aspects. Sweden is more complicated. Last year, we had a country like Spain that was not doing as expected. They've been through a real turnaround, which implied, obviously, a refocus behind the key categories. Also probably a renewed level of energy. We now have a new leader there.

I'm confident it's going to work pretty much like in Spain, but it will take a bit of time, it's not going to be linear to get there. If they apply very much the same model, we'll get there.

Jon Tanwanteng
Analyst, CJS Securities

Okay, great. Thank you for the color. Then I just wanted to dive a little bit deeper into the traction and momentum you're seeing on the new product side, especially the healthier options. First of all, what percentage of revenue are they right now, and where do you see them going over the next couple of years? Maybe from a margin profile, where do they stand versus the corporate average, and how are you supporting them from a marketing and investment perspective?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

The first piece is as we stand, obviously, I'm not going to comment on the 2020 and our ambitions, but it's still small because it's limited to a bit of the U.K. and a bit more in the Nordics, especially in Sweden. That's small. Back to the question of margin, good margin. Definitely good margin. The thing is, what's important to know is we're starting the category. It's important to set the price at the right level. Where the category is already more established, it's obviously a bit more difficult to come with a price that is too different. In most of the countries, we're just starting, it's a great opportunity, and we're working very hard with the teams to make sure that we're going to price at the right level. What we've seen is our margins ambitions are, quite frankly, are pretty good.

The fact is, the brands, and we've seen this with Birds Eye, Green Cuisine in the U.K., all brands have the credential, the credibility to get there. It should be incremental. We're very bullish with this new, let's say this must-win battle to be.

Jon Tanwanteng
Analyst, CJS Securities

Got it. How quickly can you roll them out on a regional basis? Are there puts and takes for the different countries and how accepting or how much it might cost to do that?

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

To your point, I think our model is very much. It's a very delicate balance between global and local. Every launch is obviously the product of the. Global comes with the product, the platform, and then it's really up to the countries to take the platform, because obviously they're going to make it work. They need to obviously have the motivation and everything behind it. Again, it is psychology, but it's very important to have that kind of things. With that in terms of investment, it's a sizable investment in terms of A&P, which is normal, because you have to start. That's it. The good news, obviously, compared to most of our competitors, is we have the distribution muscle in the frozen area that nobody has.

Jon Tanwanteng
Analyst, CJS Securities

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Operator

At this time, we have no more questions, and we'll turn the call back to Stéfan for closing comments.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Thank you for joining to review our third quarter results. We had another strong quarter, marking 11 consecutive quarters of organic revenue growth for the company. Our growth model is demonstrating our ability to generate sustained top-line growth, which should see steady contribution from innovation as we introduce new and on-trend products to the market. Finally, we have a very well-capitalized balance sheet and are actively pursuing several opportunities with the objective of driving additional shareholder value by way of M&A. Have a great day, and I look forward to updating you on our full year results early next year.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.