Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Feb 23, 2023

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, greetings, and welcome to the Nomad Foods Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Earnings Call. At this time, all participant lines are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce you to your host, Anthony Bucalo, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Anthony Bucalo
Head of Investor Relations, Nomad Foods

Hello, welcome to the Nomad Foods fourth quarter 2022 earnings call. I'm Anthony Bucalo, Head of Investor Relations, and I am joined on the call by Stéfan Descheemaeker, our CEO, and Samy Zekhout, our CFO. Before we begin, I would like to draw your attention to the disclaimer on slide two of our presentation. This conference call may include forward-looking statements that are based on our view of the company's prospects, expectations, and intentions at this time. Actual results may differ due to risks and uncertainties, which are discussed in our press release, our filings with the SEC, and this slide in our investor presentation, which includes cautionary language. We will also discuss non-IFRS financial measures during the call today. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered a replacement for, and should be read together with IFRS results.

Users can find the IFRS to non-IFRS reconciliations within our earnings release and in the appendices at the end of the slide presentation available on our website. Please note that certain financial information within this presentation represent adjusted figures for 2021 and 2022. All adjusted figures have been adjusted for exceptional items, acquisition-related, share-based payment and related expenses, as well as non-cash FX gains or losses. Unless otherwise noted, comments from here on will refer to those adjusted numbers. With that, I will hand you over to Stéfan.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Thank you, Tony, and thank you for joining us on the call today. I'm pleased to report that 2022 marked our sixth consecutive year of generating record sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS. I would like to thank all dedicated people at Nomad who made this possible under historically challenging conditions. Last year, we made significant adjustments to our business model as we evolved to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 and the Ukraine War. Importantly, we maintain our strong foundations built on world-class people, iconic brands in a great category, and healthy financials that will allow us to continue investing for the long term. Frozen food remains a great value for consumers with sustainable growth expected ahead. Frozen food is high in nutrition, low in waste, and the best value for money across the food category.

During periods when consumers are looking for value and nutrition in their food choices, frozen meets those needs and more. As the category leader, Nomad is positioned to deliver that value to all millions of consumers. In 2020 and 2021, our business excelled during COVID lockdowns as consumers pantry loaded and ate more meals at home, adopting many of our products into their everyday lives. I'm happy to say that we've held on to most of these gains. In 2022, we started the year with the supply chain still under pressure from COVID impacts. The war in Ukraine further complicated the situation, creating historic input cost increases and consumer uncertainty. We took four major steps to successfully mitigate the short and long-term disruptions. First, we de-risked our fish supply by diversifying our species and geographies while ramping up high-quality farm sources.

Second, we leveraged our powerful supply chain to build inventories of key ingredients to protect against any shortages. Third, we successfully priced our products to close the gap with this rate inflation. Finally, we refinanced our debt portfolio in November, extending our debt maturities to mid-2028 and 2029. We believe that 2023 is setting up to be a transitional year to a more normalized consumer environment. With the improvements we implemented in our business last year, the plans we have in place for this year, we are on the right path to meet our financial objectives and maintain our growth. We also have the right plans in place to capture market share boosted by our great brands, communication, and innovation. We plan to strengthen our brands by increasing investment in A&P, and it is especially crucial as conditions normalize.

We will also be broadening of our affordable choices to address inflationary pressures on consumers. We will manage our supply chain for greater efficiency and use those cost savings to help fund top line growth. Finally, we plan to maximize the value of our portfolio through prudent pricing and improve Revenue Growth Management strategies. This will help drive our effort to recoup the cumulative impact of two years of record-setting cost inflation. Revenue Growth Management will be especially important as we maximize the value of our portfolio and win market share by placing the right product at the right place and at the right price.

Taken together with the expected rebounding of our cash flow and the increased visibility of extended debt maturities, we believe we will have significant flexibility to return cash to shareholders while positioning our business for growth beyond next year. We will be taking a deeper dive into our strategy later today at CAGNY, and we hope you will join us then. With that, I'd like to recap our 2022 key financial metrics, beginning with revenues. Q4 organic revenues grew 7.7% or 3rd sequential quarter of improving sales trends. Our full year organic revenues grew 1.8% as our price increases in the back half of the year offset volume declines. This low single-digit organic sales performance is in line with our guided expectations from the beginning of the year.

Adjusted gross margin declined 80 basis points to 25.7% in the fourth quarter and declined 120 basis points for the year. We saw sequential improvement in gross margin trends in the second half due to our pricing initiatives. adjusted EBITDA was up slightly at EUR 113 million in Q4 and grew 8% to EUR 534 million for the year. Finally, adjusted EPS was EUR 0.33 per share in Q4, flat versus last year. At current U.S. dollar spot rates, our Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.35. Adjusted EPS was impacted by our November refinancing, and we saw an approximately EUR 0.02 impact on earnings for Q4 and for the full year. Despite a historically challenging macroeconomic environment, we delivered another record financial performance in sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS.

Since 2016, we have increased our total revenues by more than 50%, adjusted EBITDA by more than 60%, and doubled our adjusted EPS. We have generated more than EUR 1.7 billion in adjusted free cash flow during that period as well. Our organic revenues return to growth as successful price increases exceeded mid-single-digit declines in full year volume and mix. The fourth quarter, we further narrow the gap between price and input costs, a gap which had widened after the outbreak of the war. When looking ahead to this year, our dialogue remains active with retailers regarding further updates to our pricing. Adjusting pricing will allow us to recover our costs while protecting the business with stepped-up investments in A&P and innovation. Excellence in execution is a hallmark of Nomad, and our supply chain had a great performance.

Our service levels ended the year at 96.6%, a 30 basis point improvement. As of today, we have more than 50% of raw material costs covered for the coming year. We believe our supply chain is a source of competitive strength and a source of savings to sustainably help fund top line growth this year and beyond. Last year, we raised prices to protect our margins and ensure that we will have the appropriate profitability to invest in our business. Many of our private label competitors did not follow our pricing. As a result, we've seen volume declines and margin losses in market share. However, this was predicted and is part of a broader process. We believe volume and market share losses are short-term in nature, which we expect to rebound this year as we will discuss at CAGNY later today.

We successfully extended our debt maturity profile in November. We refinanced our $960 million Term Loan B, due mid 2024, with two Term Loan B totaling to $830 million due 2029. Our debt portfolio is now secured until mid 2028 and 2029 at a competitive interest cost and is 75% fixed. With our maturities extended, we now have significantly more latitude in executing our use of cash strategies. This year, we're taking important steps to make Nomad strong in the market and better positioned for long-term growth. First, we refinanced our debt in November to give us greater visibility on how we invest our cash. Commercially, we're investing in our brands with greater A&P to ensure that we have the resources to innovate and grow our leadership position.

When accounting for higher interest charges and stepped up investments, we are establishing our 2023 adjusted EPS guidance at the range of EUR 1.50-EUR 1.55 to reflect those investments. This represents an adjusted EPS range of $1.61-$1.66 at current U.S. dollar spot rates. The guidance excludes any impact of capital allocation. Excluding the impact of incremental interest in investment in A&P and people for 2023, our forecast adjusted EPS range for this year would have been in the range of EUR 1.70-EUR 1.75. This would also have excluded any positive impact from capital allocation. We made significant adjustments to our business model as we navigated last year's volatile macroeconomic environment. First, we completed a major initiative to protect our fish supply.

Throughout the year, we continually sought alternative sources for our signature fish products. We also secured new high-quality farmed fish, and we expect to see the benefit of that early this year. We believe this protects the security of high-quality supply for sourcing, but also provides opportunities to exercise pricing power when purchasing fish in the future. Second, we leveraged our world-class supply chain to address volatile markets against unprecedented cost increases. Procurement was a key source of strength in 2022 as we built raw material inventories to protect against possible shortages. Our service levels improved through the full year, delivering consistently for our customers and consumers. We continue to improve our supply chain efficiency through intense internal cost control programs, and we expect much of those savings to be reinvested in top-line growth this year. Finally, we priced to close the gap with inflation.

In a typical year, we price once in the first quarter. With the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, we saw rapid increases in raw material prices, and we were compelled to act. We took pricing throughout the year where appropriate and made significant progress in closing the gap between price and cost. We will enter this year with improving margins needed for investment in our brands. Alongside a vigorous Revenue Growth Management strategy, we will continue to price consistently with inflationary market dynamics as they occur. With that, I will now hand the call over to Samy to review our financial results and guidance in more detail. Samy?

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Thank you, Stéfan, and thank you all for your participation on the call today. Turning to slide seven, I will provide more detail on our key fourth quarter operating metrics, beginning with reported revenues, which increased 6.6% to EUR 750 million, up 7.7% organically. Fourth quarter revenues were negatively impacted by 1.1% of unfavorable effects. For the year, total revenues were up 12.8%, driven by 1.8% organic growth and 10.8 percentage points from acquisition. Overall, our sales benefited from lapping 2021 comparisons as well as strong pricing execution across all four quarters of the year. We did see elasticity in our top line performance. This impacted our market share and overall volumes.

Our volume and mix was up mid-single digits, while our value share was up about 0.5 points for the year. We expect market share to improve sequentially this year due to our innovation efforts on value and affordability, as well as stepped up A&P investment. Adjusted gross margins were 25.7% during the quarter, reflecting an 80 basis points decline versus the prior year. Margins were impacted by higher raw material costs, offset to some degree by pricing. This is the second quarter of an improving gross margin trend. We will continue to look at pricing to stay price competitive in the market and manage any additional inflation. However, as we look out to the next year, our expectation is for relatively stable gross margin as we will continue to recoup costs through price.

Finally, we are planning to refresh our Universal Shelf Registration Statement on Form S-3 on March the first to ensure that we can continue to access capital markets efficiently. No offerings are currently planned. Moving down to the rest of the P&L, our adjusted gross profit grew 3% to EUR 193 million for the fourth quarter. Adjusted COGS increased to EUR 558 million, an increase of 7.7% and EUR 40 million versus last year. Adjusted operating expense of EUR 103 million was up 9% year-over-year. Our adjusted EBITDA and our adjusted EPS performances were positively impacted by higher pricing in our core business, offsetting a considerable portion of our raw material costs for this quarter and the full year. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of EUR 113 million was up slightly versus last year.

Adjusted EBITDA margin landed at 15.1%, a decline of 90 basis points. Our adjusted EPS of EUR 0.33 was flat in Q4. This translates to $0.35 in U.S. dollar term at spot rate. adjusted EPS was negatively impacted by debt refinancing, and this had a roughly EUR 0.02 impact on earnings for Q4 and for the full year. Full year adjusted gross profit grew 8% to EUR 850 million. Full year COGS increased to just above EUR 2.1 billion, up 14%, driven by raw material inflation. Full year adjusted operating expense grew 12% for the year to EUR 380 million. As a percentage of sales, adjusted operating expense was flat at 13%. Full year adjusted EBITDA landed at EUR 524 million, up 8%.

Adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.8%, also down 90 basis points from last year. Full year adjusted EPS of EUR 1.68 landed in the middle of the guidance range we provided in Q2 earnings, up 8%. This was $1.80 at current U.S. dollar spot rates. Excluding our November refinance, we estimate our 2022 adjusted EPS would have been EUR 1.70 or $1.82 at current USD spot rates. Turning to cash flow on slide 9. We generated EUR 189 million of adjusted free cash flow for a cash flow conversion of 65%. Cash flow was impacted by a working capital increase of EUR 96 million and the one-time implementation of the Unfair Trade Practice Directive or UTPD in the EU, an EUR 80 million drag.

In 2023, with more normalized working capital levels and UTPD in the base, we expect to return to a cash flow conversion of 90%-95%. Our cash flow performance was short of our typical annual goal of 90%-95% conversion. However, we took important steps last year to protect our business by building raw material inventories to mitigate shortage risks. We made it a top priority to guarantee supply for our customers and consumers, and we did so. We are proud of this accomplishment, and we believe keeping products on the shelves was crucial in maintaining the confidence of our retail partners and consumers. Condition in the raw material markets are improving, and we have begun releasing working capital. We expect to continue doing so throughout this year. CapEx of EUR 79 million was flat versus last year.

We supported strategic investments and integrated our recent acquisition into our broader company spending plan throughout the year. Changes in cash tax decreased EUR 15 million to EUR 80 million, while cash interest was at EUR 22 million to EUR 80 million, mostly due to the comparison with last year's refinancing period. Let's turn to slide 10 to review our 2023 guidance, which we are initiating today and is based on foreign exchange rates as of February 21, 2022. Starting with the top line, we expect revenue growth in the mid-single digit range for the year. We expect our pricing initiatives to offset expected volume declines which we expect to rebound. We expect this year's cash flow to be consistent with our historical performance.

With our working capital and UTPD adjustment behind us, we expect our cash conversion ratio to rebound to previous level, 90%-95%. As Stéfan highlighted in his opening comments, with higher interest costs from our refinancing and stepped up commercial investment, we expect adjusted EPS in a range of EUR 1.50-EUR 1.55 per share or $1.61-$1.66 at current USD spot rates. This excludes any impact of capital allocation. When excluding the impact of incremental interest and stepped up investment in A&P and people for this year, our forecast adjusted EPS range for 2023 would have been EUR 1.70-EUR 1.75. This also would have excluded any positive impact from capital allocation. I will now turn the session over to Q&A. Operator, back to you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from the line of Andrew Lazar from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Andrew Lazar
MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Good morning, everybody.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Morning, Andrew.

Andrew Lazar
MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Maybe to start off, fourth quarter gross margins came in below where we had forecast. Pricing was in line with what we modeled, volume was even a little bit better. I was hoping first just to get perspective on what I know the margins sequentially improved, but they were still down year-over-year. I'm curious what drove some of that as a starting point. Thanks.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Yes. Hi, Andrew. Actually, that was exactly in line with what we had planned for, which was effectively the continuation of the execution of our pricing strategy to recover cost. Costs were flowing through the quarter. It's just a question of phasing and timing. I mean, on that one, that doesn't change the point and the strategy to recover inflation through pricing.

Andrew Lazar
MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Okay. Then you talked about.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

We are price leaders. Sorry, just additional point. We are pricing ahead of the others anyway. We price leaders-

Andrew Lazar
MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Yep, understood.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

It's a question.

Andrew Lazar
MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

I know you talked about stable gross margins for the year, I think in 2023. I was hoping you could add a little context maybe around the expected sort of cadence. Would we expect gross margin to still be under some pressure in the first part of the year, start to recover a bit in the back half to get stability for the year? Just any perspective on cadence of margin and profitability through the year would be helpful. Thank you.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

It's exactly that. We won't see the significance of, let's say, the change that we saw last year, but effectively now that the, if you're on the full process of pricing is in place, we have now very good visibility on the inflation as we move forward. Effectively, we would see a sequencing of the gradual improvement of the margin over the year. Absolutely.

Andrew Lazar
MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Baumgartner from Mizuho Securities. Please go ahead.

John Baumgartner
MD and Senior Research Analyst, Mizuho Financial Group

Good morning. Thanks for the question.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Please go on.

John Baumgartner
MD and Senior Research Analyst, Mizuho Financial Group

Samy, just thinking of the cost environment for 2023. I don't think I heard you give an actual cost inflation estimate for this year, although I may have missed it. Just wanted to confirm on that front. I think I heard that more than 50% of your raw materials are covered for this year, which I think is sort of similar to where it was back in November, and it sounds like you have good visibility into cost at this point. Can you sort of reconcile, has anything changed structurally with the shift in fish sourcing where that precludes you from taking that coverage position higher at this point? Are you expecting relief and you're giving yourself flexibility where you haven't taken coverage higher at this point? How do you think about the cost environment going forward right now?

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Absolutely. I think we had mentioned the point that, let's say after a year of significant inflation in 2022, we are seeing effectively the trend softening. Okay. Clearly, it is not moving to a point of decline, but effectively, we're seeing much lower inflation on several of the raw material and packing material across the board overall. The inflation level that we are going to face in 2023 will be lower than the one of 2022, but will still be there and will require some pricing action in order to continue on the journey of protecting our, let's say, cost structure in order for us to allow for investment in the, in the future. The 50% that has been mentioned, John, was actually a projection.

We stated that by the end of the year, we intended to be effectively at in the range of about 50+%, and we're continuing on that journey. Why aren't we effectively increasing that is because effectively there are down trends now in the market, and we want to opportunistically take the, let's say, action in order for us to source ourselves at a lower cost when effectively the ingredient price are going down. Effectively, we feel that staying at that level makes sense given the trend that we see in the market, I mean, at this stage. Of course, if there are opportunity to lock good prices in relation to the type of inflation we're expecting, effectively, we'll do so for sure.

John Baumgartner
MD and Senior Research Analyst, Mizuho Financial Group

Okay. Thanks for that, Samy. Just quickly on Fortenova. I'm curious the expectations for 2023. I know you've been sort of ahead of pace with integration, rolling out additional coolers. Operationally, is there anything different we should be looking for in 2023 in terms of innovation, distribution, you know, anything in the marketplace there? Is it fair to think that in 2023, Fortenova, the revenue growth should be accretive to the guidance you've given for the overall company? Thank you.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

The answer to your second question is yes, absolutely. What we're also going to see in 2023 is, as you know, integration takes time. The first year was, I mean, we did very well, but the integration is a multi-year process, and 2023 obviously is going to accelerate this process. We're very pleased with what we see in Fortenova. We also see that, for example, we have top-line synergies by combining with our products as well. We also see some opportunities that I will not mention too much at this stage. Time will tell. Time will come where we can see some reverse top-line synergies, more specifically in ice cream, where it makes sense.

We're never going to change our point about must-win battles, where we need to be strong, where it matters. We see some interesting options in very carefully chosen places where ice cream may make sense. Very pleased and quite frankly, as always, in the current situation, you see also things that you not necessarily have seen when you started. Overall, what I can see is definitely more good news than bad news.

John Baumgartner
MD and Senior Research Analyst, Mizuho Financial Group

Thanks, Stéfan.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rob Dickerson from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Robert Dickerson
MD and Senior Research Analyst, Jefferies

Great. Thanks so much. I guess just a question around the brand investment. You know, I think Samy, I believe last quarter, you know, you had said you would like the gross margin to kind of approach back into at least the high 20% level, you know, until you were able to lean into the business a little bit more aggressively. Now, you know, clearly you are leaning in. Sounds like that's out of kind of near-term need. I'm just curious, you know, as you speak to kind of offering maybe more value-based products, right? It doesn't sound like there's this intention to really, you know, materially increase promotional spend, but maybe rather kind of, you know, be shifting the mix to some extent to recapture some of that volume share as we get through the year.

Maybe you could just provide a little bit more color as to kind of where the brand investment is going and, you know, if there is some gradual kind of product offering shift, to now more effectively compete against the lower priced private label. Thanks.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Yes. Thanks, Rob. Actually, we will be effectively considering both, and I think your question is probably about the balance. The reality, if you want, is that over the past two years, we have, for right reason, if you don't take down our investment in the A part of the A&P in advertising and with the strength of our brand, in particular in awareness and equity strength overall, we feel effectively this is the moment to recapture some of this and really emphasize the communication on our brands on what they are, what they stand for vis-à-vis the consumer, and as well, to regain momentum with the retailers because they really view us effectively as the category captain there.

We will be reinvesting back on the core of the brands, on the innovation as well as effectively on some of the cost of living innovation that we are driving in the market. That's part of the A. On the P side, effectively, there will be an element that's gonna be important. We are not going to tolerate volume share loss, okay, and overall share loss, if you want. We will be effectively taking action when it comes to, let's say, staying competitive versus our competitors, particularly private label and discounters.

In order for us to maintain the price level that are needed. We'd expect them to overall effectively get to the same reality as we are facing from an inflation standpoint and have to price for that. At the same time, we will need as well to be promo competitive in order for us to maintain our competitiveness in store on that one. It's gonna be really a balance, I think, Rob, on that one, which is really needed above the line and below the line.

Robert Dickerson
MD and Senior Research Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, got it. Then just quickly, you know, for the guide, you know, pricing more than offsetting volume declines, then also, you know, hoping that there's a recapture of volume share. Does that imply as, you know, let's say at least, you know, if we're sitting here in maybe Q4 of next year, that, you know, hopefully here the expectation is that volumes could actually turn positive? That's all I have. Thanks.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Well, that's definitely the concept for us is simple. At this stage, with the price gap we have, we're losing volume, which was expected. To Samy's point, in the meantime, we're also starting to invest big time in A&P. I think we just want to emphasize the RGM program that we're putting in place, which is quite frankly, very strong. At the same time, while we see also some signals from competition that, you know, they're starting to increase price. We also see, back to Samy's point, inflation is starting to soften.

All these elements taken together, things we can control and things we control less, obviously, makes us much more confident from that standpoint for the second part of the year.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

If I may, Rob, I mean, just to complement Stéfan's point, I think to your point, I think it's gonna be something around between the quarter four and Q1 of the following year. The intent effect is to see a smoothening down of the volume decline as the year change, and then gradually get back to normalization in 2024 and regaining momentum on the volume side at that time.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

You know, traditionally, when you see any economic downturn, you know, what we see in all categories is two things for the time being. One is frozen is doing very well for obvious reasons. It's, it's affordable, it's convenient, it's good value for money. That's, that's obviously very good for all the players and starting with us. Also temporarily, private labels are doing well for the reasons we mentioned. That's why I think Samy is absolutely right to mention that it's going to be gradual, also helped by our investment program.

Robert Dickerson
MD and Senior Research Analyst, Jefferies

All right, great. I'll see you later today. Thank you.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Yeah.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Cody Ross from UBS. Please go ahead.

Cody Ross
Analyst, UBS

Good morning. Thank you for taking our questions. My first question, I just wanna compare or if you can compare and contrast your volume today versus your volume pre-COVID. Are you seeing more volume come through the system or is volume down given all the pricing that you've taken over the last few years? Then I have a follow-up.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

From a volume standpoint, in aggregate, effectively, what we're seeing is about a slight decline versus the pre-COVID. Remember, in COVID times, we had a substantial increase in our volume in the range of about, I think, a high single-digit at that time. Then it started to erode effectively, and after the past year, we had about the same amount. I would say from a pure volume standpoint, we are clearly slightly down. However, I think what's really important to note there is that from a consumer reach standpoint, actually, we are now reaching more consumers versus where we were pre-COVID, about half a million more consumer. That was really a very important point for us, given the strength and the momentum we all got during COVID, is to maintain this consumer share, if you want, higher than what we had pre-COVID.

Volume-wise, you're right.

Cody Ross
Analyst, UBS

Great. Thank you. My follow-up is just around 2025. I didn't see anything in the press release or the slides today about your 2025 targets. I just wanted to go back to there. How comfortable are you, with your 2025 targets, just especially on EPS, given it require over a 20% CAGR to hit that? If you are comfortable, just what drives your confidence? Thank you.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Yeah. Thanks for the question. To make it simple, we are still on track operationally for 2025. At the same time, the interest rate environment has changed since we established that guidance, as you may remember. Looking, looking ahead to 2025, we are strengthening our investment plans. You heard about it. It's going to be funded in 2023 and beyond, funded by cost savings to sustain our growth momentum in the years to come. We committed, as we always have been, and you see our records, to deliver superior shareholder return, and we have many options available for us to achieve this. You can remember, you know, the kind of capital allocation program we've been through these years. It's quite significant.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one. Our next question comes from the line of Jon Tanwanteng from CJS Securities . Please go ahead.

Stefanos Crist
Equity Research Analyst, CJS Securities

Good morning. This is Stefanos Crist calling in for Jon. Thanks for taking our questions.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Morning.

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Morning.

Stefanos Crist
Equity Research Analyst, CJS Securities

Good morning. Can you just talk about your plans for the improved cash flow this year? Is debt paydown the most attractive or are you seeing opportunities for repurchases or M&A?

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

At this very stage, we're reviewing all options. I mean, as you said, we have a wide array of options, I mean, ahead of us. I mean, effectively ranging from share buyback to effectively M&A and other elements relating to capital allocation. What's important to really highlight is the fact that we're returning to a strong cash flow performance in 2023. We really now are going to consider all possibilities in order for us to maximize the return on the, let's say, to shareholders overall.

Stefanos Crist
Equity Research Analyst, CJS Securities

Thank you. Just a little more detail on the price increases. Can you just talk about how receptive your customers have been compared to negotiations in the past few years?

Samy Zekhout
CFO, Nomad Foods

Yeah, overall, I think it has gone— Remember a year ago when when we were, I think, at, let's say, at CAGNY, announcing effectively that we had to go through a second pricing, there was an element of question mark. Frankly, the three price increase over the year have gone through reasonably well, and we haven't seen any dislocation whatsoever, given the dialogue that we have undertaken with the retailer and the way we've been executing the pricing overall by leveraging not only just list price, but as Stéfan was alluding to effectively all of the possibilities of our renewed RGM, Revenue Growth Management strategy, I would say on that one.

What has been going through in 2022 has gone reasonably well with two markets that are kind of spilling over into 2023, which are going to execute the pricing, but clearly a bit later. We will have to clearly continue on this pricing journey because of the fact that there is still inflation in 2023, albeit, if you want, smaller. As I said, it's a question, frankly, of laying down the issues well and finding the right balance between top and bottom line and our growth versus effectively the retailer growth and while staying competitive with our customers, I mean, and with our consumers, I would say overall. So far, as I said, it's been going quite well overall, and we are very happy when you think about the context into which this has been realized with an ongoing changing environment.

I think the organization has done an absolutely Herculean job in order to execute, I mean, something that was deemed to be viewed, I mean, impossible and which is now in market as we speak.

Stefanos Crist
Equity Research Analyst, CJS Securities

That's great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. As there are no further questions, I would now like to turn the conference over to Stéfan Descheemaeker , Chief Executive Officer, for any closing comments.

Stéfan Descheemaeker
CEO, Nomad Foods

Thank you, operator, thank you for your participation on today's call. 2022 was another eventful year with many challenges to address. We adjusted to Brexit, we adjusted to COVID, and we have now adjusted to unprecedented inflation and pressures. Frozen food remains the best value for consumers across food, and we remain focused and committed to delivering our ambitious financial objectives. I look forward to speaking with you at CAGNY to give you more details on our plans. Thank you all, and back to you, operator.

Operator

Thank you. The conference of Nomad Foods has now concluded. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.

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