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Earnings Call: Q4 2021

Feb 17, 2022

Operator

Good day, Welcome to the NexPoint Real Estate Finance Q4 2021 Quarterly Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Ms. Jackie Graham . Please go ahead, ma'am.

Jackie Graham
Director of Investor Relations, NexPoint

Thank you. Good day, everyone, and welcome to NexPoint Real Estate Finance's conference call to review the company's results for the Q4 and full year ended December 31st, 2021. On the call today are Brian Mitts, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Matt McGraner, Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer, Matt Goetz, Senior Vice President, Investments and Asset Management, and Paul Richards, Vice President, Originations and Investments. As a reminder, this call is being webcast through the company's website at nref.nexpoint.com. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that this conference call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that are based on management's current expectations, assumptions, and beliefs.

Listeners should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements and are encouraged to review the company's annual report on Form 10-K and the company's other filings with the SEC for a more complete discussion of risks and other factors that could affect the forward-looking statements. The statements made during this conference call speak only as of today's date and except as required by law, NREF does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. This conference call also includes an analysis of non-GAAP financial measures. For a more complete discussion of these non-GAAP financial measures, see the company's presentation that was filed earlier today. I would now like to turn the call over to Brian Mitts. Please go ahead, Brian.

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Thank you, Jackie. Appreciate everyone joining us today. I'm gonna discuss our results for the quarter and the year, and then turn it over to the team for detailed commentary. Net income for the year was $3.93 per diluted share compared to net income of $1.74 per diluted share in 2020. Earnings available for distribution was $1.89 per diluted share in 2021 as compared to $1.46 per diluted share in 2020, or an increase of 29.5%. Cash available for distribution was $2.21 per diluted share in 2021 compared to $1.67 per diluted share in 2020, or an increase of 32.7%. Net income for the quarter was $0.09 per diluted share compared to net income of $1.32 per diluted share Q4 2020.

Earnings available for distribution was $0.54 per diluted share in Q4 2021 compared to $0.44 per diluted share in Q4 2020 and $0.51 per share in Q3 2021, or an increase of 22.7% and 5.9% respectively. Cash available for distribution was $0.63 per diluted share in the Q4 of 2021 compared to $0.47 per diluted share in the Q4 of 2020 and $0.62 per diluted share in Q3 of 2021, for an increase of 34% and 1.6% respectively. Book value per share increased 2.2% quarter-over-quarter and 10.4% year-over-year to $21.51. We recognized a mark-to-market gain of $9.1 million on the company's investment in NexPoint Storage and $900,000 on the company's CMBS and IO strip portfolio.

During the quarter, we originated or purchased the following investments. We purchased a $61.3 million floating rate Freddie Mac K-Series B-piece with an estimated yield of 525 basis points over SOFR. We originated mezzanine convertible notes with an aggregate principal amount of $40.8 million. Matt McGraner will discuss this investment in his remarks. We originated a preferred equity investment for $30 million yielding 10%. We re-originated another preferred equity investment of $3.8 million yielding 10%. We originated a third preferred equity investment for $5 million yielding 10.5%. After quarter end, we funded an additional $41.8 million to this investment. We ended the quarter with 74 investments totaling approximately $1.7 billion.

During the quarter, two single-family rental loans were repaid totaling $20.2 million with penalties of $3.6 million paid. Of the gross proceeds received, $18.6 million was used to pay down the Freddie Mac senior facility. As of February 17th, 2022, across the portfolio, weighted average coupon is 6.32%, weighted average remaining term on investments is 6.5 years. Weighted average loan-to-value is 67.9%, and weighted average DSCR is 1.99x . The values used for the collateral that we use in the LTV calculation is the value at the time the loan was purchased or originated. Values for multifamily and SFR assets have moved dramatically over the past few years and months.

Paul will talk about these revised weighted average loans values using our estimates of the changes in the underlying collateral value during his prepared remarks. As of December 31st, our debt capital consisted of the following: $766.3 million in senior secured facility on the single-family rental loans, $59.9 million in the senior secured facility on the mezzanine pool, $286.3 million in repurchase agreements, $171.5 million of unsecured notes, and $32.5 million in mortgages payable. As of February 17th, 2022, our debt has a weighted average remaining term of 4.8 years and a weighted average rate of 2.79%, which provides a 353 basis point spread on our investment income over the cost of our debt.

As of December 31st, 23.9% of our financing is subject to mark-to-market. Our debt-to-equity ratio was 2.5x at December 31st. We paid a dividend of $0.475 per share in the Q4, and the board has declared a dividend of $0.50 per share payable on March 31st for Q1 of 2022. Our dividend is 1.14x covered by earnings available for distribution and 1.3x covered by cash available for distribution. Today, we are issuing guidance for earnings available for distribution and cash available for distribution for the Q1 of 2022 as follows, earnings available for distribution per diluted share of $1.22, and cash available for distribution per diluted share of $1.57.

Large increases over the prior quarter and prior year are driven by prepayment penalties on the single-family rental loans that we have received for this quarter. Now let me turn it over to the rest of the team to provide their commentary. Matt Goetz?

Matt Goetz
SVP of Investments and Asset Management, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Thanks, Brian. The Q4 and full year of 2021 results continued to show strong performance across each of our investments and asset classes. We continue to focus on investment verticals where we believe we have an advantage due to our experience in owning and operating commercial real estate. Our ability to leverage information from being both an owner/operator and lender to commercial real estate investments allows us to find relative value throughout the capital stack with the goal of delivering higher than average risk-adjusted returns. We continue to believe our investment strategy, focusing on credit investments and stabilized assets, conservative underwriting at low leverage with well-heeled sponsors, will provide consistent and stable value to our shareholders. During the Q4, the loan portfolio continued to perform strongly and is currently composed of 69 individual investments with approximately $1.7 billion of total outstanding principal.

The loan portfolio is 98% residential, with 45% invested in senior loans collateralized by single-family rental homes and 53% invested in multifamily via agency CMBS, preferred or mezz. 2% of the loan book is in life sciences. The portfolio's average remaining term, 6.5 years, is 91% stabilized, has a weighted average loan-to-value of 67.9% and an average debt service coverage ratio of almost two times. As Brian mentioned in his earlier remarks, and Paul will describe further later on, we believe the market loan-to-value of the entire book is approximately 52%, as new appraisals have not been performed on a large portion of the assets since they were originated in 2018 or 2019. The portfolio is geographically diverse with a bias towards the Southeast and Southwest markets.

Texas, Georgia, and Florida combined for approximately 50% of our loan exposure on a geographic basis. 100% of our investments are current. As mentioned in our earnings, none of our underlying loans are currently in forbearance. For reference, as of the multifamily forbearance report published by Freddie Mac on a monthly basis, there are 243 forborne loans totaling $2.1 billion of outstanding UPB, equating to 90 basis points of the total Freddie Mac securitized loan population by loan count and 60 basis points of securitized unpaid principal balance. Moving to the opportunities we were able to take advantage of during this quarter. During the quarter, we originated two mezzanine notes on stabilized multifamily assets located in Dallas, Texas and Bentonville, Arkansas, with an aggregate principal amount of $20.4 million.

The sponsors on the two transactions are repeat borrowers and have extensive experience in the value-add multifamily sector. The properties are 98% and 95% occupied and weighted average debt service coverage ratio of 1.92x . Our mezz investments have an average current yield of 6.5% and an all-in unlevered estimated yield of approximately 11%. On November 8th, we purchased $30 million of preferred equity collateralized by a single-tenant stabilized pharmaceutical manufacturing property with a current yield of 10%. On December 9th, we purchased $60.13 million of Freddie Mac floating-rate K-Series B-piece with an estimated yield of SOFR + 525.

This B-piece is originated at a tighter spread than our previous K-Series floating investments as it represents the bottom 10% versus 7.5% of the debt capital stack, has an underwritten debt service coverage ratio of over 2.3x , with strong sponsorship on the underlying loans. During the quarter, we also originated a convertible note in the amount of $20.5 million for a well-heeled sponsor focused on ground leases with an estimated yield of 9% with future upside and a look-through loan-to-value of 18%. Two loans of the single-family rental book were repaid with a total principal balance of $20.2 million. The combined IRR realized on these investments was 31.4%. Paul Richards will go into more detail on how the capital was accretively reinvested in his prepared remarks shortly.

In summary, we continue to find attractive investment opportunities throughout our target markets and asset classes, and we'll continue to evaluate these opportunities with the goal of delivering value to our shareholders. I would now like to hand the call over to Paul Richards.

Paul Richards
VP of Originations and Investments, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Thanks, Matt. During the Q4, the company was again active in the primary bond market. As previously discussed, we deployed $61.3 million on a Freddie Mac floating-rate B-piece at SOFR + 525. Even as the market has experienced inflation headwinds, which have caused the market to price in multiple rate hikes, there has been an initial demand for 30-year B-piece bonds. We have continued to see pricing tighten as evidenced by the last auction, with spreads on small balance loan B-piece coming in tighter than pre-pandemic levels. We continue to be sensibly levered on our repo at roughly 57.5 LTV at quarter end. Lastly, we wanted to briefly touch on the continued performance of the SFR loan pool in the Q1 2022 loan pay downs. All loans are current and performing as the demand and immense tailwinds for single-family rental continues to pick up speed.

We fully accept this trend to persist as tenant retention, new lease and re-lease growth rates and occupancies are at all-time highs, creating a tremendous backdrop, especially for us as a lender to high quality institutional SFR sponsors. The portfolio has had two SFR loan pay downs in the Q1 of 2022, which has generated a combined IRR of roughly 35% versus the original underwritten IRR of only 9%. Due to the early prepayment penalties, the investments were able to generate an additional $7 million of net proceeds than the originally underwritten and in approximately one-third of the original investment time horizon. To finalize the prepared remarks before we turn it over for questions, I'd like to turn it over to Matt McGraner.

Matt McGraner
EVP and CIO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Thanks, Paul. We're obviously pleased with our Q4 and full year results for 2021, and we look forward to another strong year in 2022. I wanted to quickly touch on a special situation investment we made late in the Q4 that Matt McGraner just mentioned. A sophisticated ground lease sponsor ran into some supply chain and COVID-related financing delays and needed a quick and efficient financing solution late in the year. We responded in the span of two weeks in late December and met the sponsor's needs, originating $75 million of convertible notes yielding a fat 19% with an ability to convert to common equity at a 12.5% discount.

The attachment/detachment point of our investment in the company's assets is roughly 18% LTV and creates a favorable risk-reward investment for NREF, both in terms of yield and total return potential. Finally, we're in the middle of refinancing NexPoint Storage Partners' capital stack as we speak. We've chosen a lender to refinance the senior debt portion at a more favorable rate and proceeds and expect these efforts along with the strengthening self-storage sector generally to be accretive to the common equity held by NREF. We expect to close this financing in Q2, and we'll provide an update during our next quarterly results. That's all we have for prepared remarks today, and now I can turn the call over to the operator for questions.

Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, that is star one to ask a question. We'll go ahead and take our first question from Stephen Laws with Raymond James.

Stephen Laws
Managing Director in Equity Research, Raymond James

Hi, good morning. You know, first I want to say congrats on a nice quarter and certainly another dividend increase that you guys delivered to investors. You know, can you talk maybe, Brian, a little bit about the guidance? You know, it looks like a big Q1. You know, what items are being pulled in? You know, I think your EAD is like 45% of next year's total guidance in Q1. Can you talk a little bit about what's gonna drive the one-time items in Q1 to benefit earnings?

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Yeah. Most of that increase, Stephen, is related to the prepayment penalties, the prepayments of the SFR loans. It's just a function of how that's calculated. You know, the calculation of that metric is something that the SEC has been focused on across the sector. You know, with these prepayments that we're seeing and we'll probably continue to see just given the strength in the single-family sector, you know, we may see more of that down the road. That's what's driving most of that increase for the Q1. Obviously, the remainder is just the new investments that we've made that we discussed, and then accretively reinvesting the payments that we're getting, prepayments that we're getting on those SFR loans.

You know, as currently structured, those are some of our lowest yielding investments, and we're plowing those back into higher yielding, you know, with the ground lease that Matt mentioned.

Stephen Laws
Managing Director in Equity Research, Raymond James

What, you know, piggybacking on that, Brian, you know, when you think about the guidance you guys just issued for the full year, you know, how conservative or how did you go about thinking, you know, calculating, you know, expected contributions, you know, maybe not in the next three months but say second half of this year into your guidance?

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Yeah. We didn't make any assumptions around prepayments or one-time type of things. We try to give a more smoothed out, stabilized return profile just based on the investments we have. Obviously, if people make those prepayments, we generally view that as a positive in that we can clip a big penalty and recognize that immediately, but then redeploy that in higher yielding investments. We've run those analysis and scenarios that show, you know, if the entire book repaid in 2022, what that would look like and what we could drive earnings. It'd be hugely accretive to both book value and our earnings available for distribution [audio distortion] .

Stephen Laws
Managing Director in Equity Research, Raymond James

Great. You know, switching over to the portfolio, one item, common stock investment looks like it appreciated nicely in Q4. Can you talk about your intentions with that? You know, when you may look to say, you know, harvest those gains and recycle capital into, you know, cash flowing investments, you know, any timing to that?

Matt McGraner
EVP and CIO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Stephen, hey, it's Matt McGraner. Are you talking about the storage on this one?

Stephen Laws
Managing Director in Equity Research, Raymond James

Yes.

Matt McGraner
EVP and CIO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

[audio distortion] Right. Yeah. So we're probably gonna close the refinancing of the senior debt, I would say in May. Following that, we're gonna restructure the preferred, the Extra Space preferred, and we expect to blend that down to creating kind of an enhanced profile of the common equity, the value, you know, the yield to the common equity to make it as valuable as we can. Once we do that, I think we look to recap that out or, you know, if we think it's better to hold for an exit upon a re-IPO in 2023, which we think is viable, we'll do that. Look for an update in the second half of the year, probably in Q2, and we'll have better visibility into it. Either one of those outcomes I think would be greatly accretive for this company.

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Great. Yeah, that's helpful, Matt. I appreciate you taking my questions this morning. Take care.

Matt McGraner
EVP and CIO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

[audio distortion] Thank you.

Operator

Once again, that is star one to ask a question. We can go ahead and take our next question from Jade Rahmani with KBW.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

Thank you very much. Can you say more about the ground lease investment? What kind of entity this was and the capital structure this is? Is it shared by an individual investment, by a portfolio, by some kind of equity interest? If you could elaborate, that would be helpful.

Matt McGraner
EVP and CIO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Yeah, sure. Happy to. It's a private REIT that was formed in I think around early 2020. They went out, they raised capital in a Rule 144A offering, raised about $100 million of equity, went and started originating deals through 2021. It's a sophisticated sponsor that's externally managing this vehicle. Hit some delays in the Q4 with some additional LPs via follow-on for their Rule 144A offering. We came in and they had to close those deals. We effectively bridged that with this instrument at the corporate level. These are you know, we funded the company, and then the company then funds the you know, these investments.

Like you said, we liked, we like this risk reward. We like the nine assets that they were originating ground leases on, a significant portion of them are multifamily, which is, you know, obviously one of our bread and butters. Just jumped on it and, we think it's a great investment. Again, both with yield and total return potential, to the extent that we wanted to hold it.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

Okay. Was this a preferred equity investment?

Matt McGraner
EVP and CIO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

No, it is true debt. It's a convertible note.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

Okay. Got it. I guess any update on the Progress Residential single-family rental portfolio? I've seen that has not started to prepay. If not, when might you expect that to occur?

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

We haven't gotten any word from them or any communications or indications. So it's hard to tell. I mean, it's a big number that they would have to prepay. You know, it's part of the Progress Residential deal, and they are definitely issuers of securitizations. Having said that, though, that market has gotten a lot wider here recently. So it really depends on what Progress Residential want to do with that portfolio. You know, if they wanted to repay it, we would immediately start to look for places to put it, and I think we have plenty of places that we could roll that. I don't know. Paul, have you gotten any indication from them on anything different?

Paul Richards
VP of Originations and Investments, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

No. That's what you said is exactly what my thoughts are, and it's, you know, roughly a $75 million-$80 million prepayment penalty as it currently stands. It's still a half year, still has a prepayment window.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

So far prepayments you're getting, what is the refinancing going into? [audio distortion] Are they filing this refinancing with lenders or something else?

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

You break it up a little bit, but I think we got the gist of the question. I think they're just going into either securitizations or in some cases they are just getting another bank that, you know, essentially isn't necessarily cheaper than what they're rolling out of. But because the values have run up so much, they're getting the additional proceeds. I think their analysis is that it's worth paying the prepayment penalty and maybe getting a cheaper rate or somewhere similar, but getting a lot higher LTV on their investments. You know, a lot of these investments were underwritten at 60%-65%. Today they can finance those at 80-85%, even higher in some cases, LTV. I think the math is working out in their favor, and that's where they're rolling it into.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

The spread widening you mentioned in the securities market, what do you think is driving that? Is it a supply issue based on the magnitude of issuance in January that we saw or something else?

Paul Richards
VP of Originations and Investments, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Hey, Jade, it's Paul. Yeah, I think that's right. I think you saw a very large increase in supply in Q4 of last year and a continuing in Q1 of this year. Now also, you know, the interest rate shock, you know, on the five- and seven-year, but that didn't help either. I think you'll probably see the LTVs in general are 88.5% in some cases on these deals. So they're higher as Brian alludes to versus, you know, bank debt or in this case, as we had a 65% LTV loan with them currently. So those are all factors kind of contributing to the spreads widening recently.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

Okay. I guess, is there a range of earnings post the Q1 or in terms of the Q1, could you tell us what earnings would be excluding the upside repayment income? Just to have an anchoring, you know, earnings expectations beyond these accelerated repayments.

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Yeah. We can get that number and kind of pull out the prepayment stuff. We wanna be careful though. Like I said, the SEC has been monitoring, you know, disclosures of these different metrics pretty closely, so we wanna make sure that we're in line with that and not providing something that's kind of outside of what they were looking for.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

Okay. Does the dividend increase compensate any benefit from the prepayment income? Because I assume. Well, reading the language of the press release, it says an increase in the quarterly dividend. It doesn't cite just specifically the Q1, so that implies that this is a recurring. The dividend's gonna be $0.50 for the foreseeable future. Is any part of the dividend increase related to the SFR early prepayment income?

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

No. It's meant to be a consistent dividend. It's not a special dividend and wasn't driven by any of the prepayment numbers.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

It's fair to assume that recurring earnings might be something close to the dividend.

Paul Richards
VP of Originations and Investments, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

That's right.

Jade Rahmani
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst in CRE Finance, Homebuilders, and Single-Family REITs, KBW

Okay. Let's see. Just double-checking a couple things. Yeah. No further questions . Thanks so much. Really appreciate your time.

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Thank you.

Operator

All right. It appears there are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the conference back to the speakers for any additional or closing remarks.

Brian Mitts
CFO, NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Yeah. Thank you. Appreciate everyone's time and appreciate the questions. We'll be in touch next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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