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Bank of America Securities’ Global Agriculture and Materials Conference 2024

Feb 29, 2024

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Welcome back to day two of the Global Agriculture and Materials Conference. We're delighted you're here as always, and we are honored by all the companies and speakers who participate in our conference and all of our clients. So welcome again. We are particularly delighted to be welcoming back Packaging Corp to be presenting at the conference today. It'll be a fireside chat. Here today from the company are Mark Kowlzan, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer Bob Mundy, and Senior Vice President Ray Shirley from PCA. Now, Ray Shirley has been with the company, I think, over 20 years, true, Ray? And is Senior VP of Technology and Engineering. Bob Mundy, who we all know, is Chief Financial Officer, and he's been with the company since 2015, previously having been at Verso.

Mark Kowlzan is Chairman and CEO and has been Chairman for the company since 2016 and Chief Executive Officer and Director since 2010. Packaging Corp is one of the very few companies in our sector that has kept up with or outperformed the S&P 500 over this period of time. So congratulations to all of you for what you've done over time. Bigger picture, maybe, Mark, to start, we've gone through an interesting period. How about that in terms of containerboard? Do you have some slides that you want to talk to?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

I'm just going to stand here and we're going to talk, and then I'll sit back down because we're going to get right into questions. But I'm going to give you some updates.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Please do. Okay.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Again, I presume someone must know at least who we are, but so I'm not going to put a big deck on and go over the boring history of the company. If you have a question, by all means, ask the question. I wanted to start out this morning and thank everyone for taking the time to be with us. Really appreciate it. Then we'll get right into some updates that we believe will be very important to you. As you recall, if you paid attention to our earnings call at the end of January, our volume was up significantly for the fourth quarter. For the first month of the new quarter, we called out a number about 10% up on volume.

Here we are finishing up two months in the first quarter, and our bookings are up over 13%, and our billings are up a solid 10% on box plant cut-up. So things haven't slowed down for us. Things have actually picked up stronger in the first quarter. And so we wanted to make sure everybody understood that this is a significant turnaround. We started seeing this late last third quarter, and then it took off like a rocket in the fourth quarter. And across the board, our volume is strong nationwide. Along with that, our paper sales volume has picked up dramatically on the paper side of the business. And if you think about our paper side, most of it is cut size, reprographic type paper, but we do make a fair amount of printing and converting grades, offset type paper. And the order book is full.

We're running the International Falls Mill as hard as we can to meet orders, and we're turning orders away. So along those lines, effective this morning, we've begun notifying customers of a $100 price increase on all our uncoated freesheet grades. Customers are being notified of that as we speak this morning. Things are very strong. Things are good. Everything we talked about on the earnings call just continues to get better. With that, I'd like to just open it up for questions, and George, we'll just have a discussion. Again, I apologize if there are people here that don't understand the history of the company. Please ask that question, and we can give you the rundown on who we are and how we've gotten to be what we are. But thank you.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Thanks, Mark. So Mark, why don't you take that seat then? Any questions from the audience to start?

Morning today. I guess maybe from my vantage point, so billings up 13%, bookings up 10%.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Bookings are up 13%.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Billings .

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

The billings, the actual boxes that we make and the invoices that we're sending out are up 10%. So the order book and the order activity is strong, and the customers are busy.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Is there any particular takeaway from where trends are most active? I know it's across the board, but are any markets that are particularly robust? And what does it tell you? We read about the consumer still being pinched. We read about demand trends. Frankly, for a lot of our other companies coming out of fourth quarter reporting, first quarter was going to be an inflection point. This is broader than corrugated. Flattish, maybe a pickup in the second half of the year. What are the implications that your customers are seeing this strength and have been seeing this strength for a couple of quarters now? What it means for the rest of the economy, do you think, Mark?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Well, we see this daily. There's some segment of the economy that's struggling a little bit. We saw this through 2022 into 2023 where, quite frankly, we've got, say, 15,000 customers in the United States. Different segments were down. Auto industry had a tough time for a period just getting chips in various parts. Homebuilding was struggling for the same reason. Things stabilized. Even though interest rates are up and new home construction may have slowed down, things have kind of leveled out. And so there's a constancy in the demand across the board. All of our ag business, food business is very stable. And so nationwide, coast to coast, from the Gulf Coast, Pacific, Atlantic, Midwest, we're seeing strong demand on all of our customer base, whether it's a food-related product, an ag product right off the farm, or manufactured good, whether it's auto, home.

It's just very stable and very strong, which actually bodes well for us. I'll make this point. We wouldn't be able to satisfy the kind of numbers I just talked about with an order book that's up 13% and the billings going out at 10% if we hadn't have done what we've done over the last number of years. Back in 2019, we reorganized our entire corporation as far as how we took care of business day to day. That's why I brought Ray with us today. Ray is our Senior Vice President of Technology and Engineering. For many, many years, we had an organization that it was the box plant side of the business, the mill side of the business. I came from the mill side of the business decades and decades and decades ago.

But we built up this incredible talent base, and that's what took care of our mill system. As we wound down some of these reconfiguration projects, we had 150 of these engineers, technology specialists that had a lot more time to do things. And we realized we had the need on the box plant side of the business to bring that technology and capability to bear. So Ray assumed a new role in 2019. And so we formed an umbrella technology and engineering organization. So it's just one organization now that takes care of everything in the company, which has been incredibly effective for us. And so it has shortened our time, Bob and I, in terms of how we handle capital discussions at the plant level through Ray. We have a real-time, every day, seven days a week, discussion going on. What's happened in the last 24 hours?

Who's doing what? Where Ray's deploying if someone needs help, if there's an issue. We have people on the ground very quickly. We have people taking care of all these matters. But during these six years, we've recapitalized a massive amount of the box plant side of the business because we had that capability. If you include 2024 as the sixth year, we will have gone through primarily the entire box plant system. There's a few that we haven't gotten to yet. But for the most part, we've recapitalized and retooled our box plant system. We've got 63 new converting lines. And think about that, 63 new converting lines put in, but one new converting line probably took out two or three old converting lines that were inefficient and very labor-intensive.

We reconfigured all of the work and process flows through these plants, automated, robotized, and turned these plants into some very, very efficient box plant systems. I'm looking at the audience, and some of you wouldn't understand this, but 25 years ago, 30 years ago, people used to laugh at PCA because we had old sheet plants. We probably had the largest number of sheet plants. Those are plants that don't have a corrugator. They buy sheets or they get sheets from a sister plant that has a corrugator. But we had a lot of old, inefficient sheet plant operations. And to give you an idea, they might produce on an annual basis 250,000-300,000 sq ft of boxes a year, whereas a big full-line modern plant will produce 2.5 billion sq ft a year today.

What we've done in the 6-year period of time, all of this investment we've made has taken a sheet plant that went from 300,000 sq ft to 1.5 million sq ft. And so you're getting some big numbers out of these plants and productivity, unit labor hour cost, dramatic improvements. We're probably 30%-35% more efficient today on a unit labor hour basis than we were four or five, six years ago. So all of these things that we've been doing allow us to generate the kind of numbers we generate, but it also allows us to grow with the customer base and stay up with this volume growth.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

When you grow the sheet plants that way, you got to make sure you have the paper as well. You've been doing an amazing job on that front too. When you think about, well, let's come back to one thing you said. You said you're in constant conversation. So does that engineering group meet regularly on a basis?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Every day. This is an every day race on the phone every day with everybody in the box plant system. From the box plant level up through Ray and his organization, everyone's talking, everyone's communicating in real time. I'm being communicated with in real time every day, especially on the mill side of the system. I receive a call every morning, bright and early, seven days a week, holidays included. I get up at 4:00 A.M. I'm already looking at the data, looking at what's been happening. By the time calls start coming into me, I know what to ask, where issues are. That's why we're able to respond so quickly, even on the capital side of things, in real time, as Bob and I talk on a daily basis. We'll just chat about, this is what I heard.

This is what's going on here. Somebody's got a great idea here. You'll probably be seeing this coming along. But we can get ahead of these opportunities and vet all of the assumptions, vet all of the thought process. And we keep all of our group unencumbered and just driving forward with these opportunities. We have no when you think about the layers of management and the bureaucracy, there is none. It's us. And we're talking in real time. As many of you know, Tom Hassfurther, who runs the packaging side of the business for me, he and Ray are talking on a daily basis. I'm talking with Tom. No matter where we are, we're linked in and talking in real time, but we don't have committees. We're the committee. We're the committee. It's a phone call away. A decision can be made.

I have to believe that that's one of the reasons that we are so able to do what we do. And so it's but to that point, and over these six years, if you include the spending that we will finish up this year, we will have spent $1.5 billion in the box plant side of the business, retooling these box plants. But we have. Now, this is another fact. You'll appreciate this because many people don't think about this. During this period of time, we've shut 10 plants down. So we built, if you include the new plant we're starting up in Salt Lake City next month, we'll have built four brand new, state-of-the-art, full-line plants. We've shut 10 plants down that really needed to be shut down. They were ancient artifacts. And so we've gone about this holistically.

And so you end up with the capability to go- to- market in a very efficient, low-cost fashion. You can service your customer base. And that's the other thing that we can do with it. And you heard Paul Stecko said this years ago, the former CEO and Chairman, this goes back 20 years ago, that we do the hard-to-do things. We do things for our customers that our competitors don't want to do or do not have the capability of doing. And so again, within a region, we'll have the big anchor, full-line corrugating plants surrounded by some of the smaller sheet plant operations. But these sheet plant operations now are incredibly productive. And they support one another. And so your plant and your plant and your plant, we're all working in cooperation with one another, servicing this customer base with whatever they need.

We'll do whatever they need. They're going to pay for it, though. That's one of the reasons our margins are as good as they are.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Mark, how many box plants did you say you opened 10?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

I think we shut down 10. With the four we've got started up, I think we're at 86 now.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Did you do anything on the sheet feeder side, given what you're doing on the sheet side?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Well, again, within these plants, we only have one big sheet feeder down in Texas. That supplies a lot of the market in the Texas region over into the Mexico side of the border. But we've purposely not gotten into the sheet feeder business.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Switching gears, and I'll turn it over to the audience for a bit. The uncoated freesheet price hike that came out, what kind of demand are you seeing right now if you think about year-on-year? It kind of came out of nowhere.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

No, I mean, through 2022 into 2023 last year, we saw things slowing down on our, especially on the printing and converting grades, offset-type printing grades. Things are slowing down. Our cut-size reprographic grades slowed down somewhat. But it also allowed us to really realign all of the logistics side of that business and how we go- to- market, where we distribute the organization. So we were able to take cost out there. But during the fourth quarter and into now the two months of the new year, we're back to running the International Falls Mill full out. Again, we're in a real good position. And this is across the board on printing, converting grades, and the reprographic cut size.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

One last, last question, Mark. So if you look back, if you look at your volume right now in box shipments, where are you relative to where you were in 2019? Have you recovered beyond where you were prior to COVID?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Yeah. We're significantly ahead of 2019. We are almost at the peak was 2021. Into 2022, things started slowing down. But we're just a few percentage points below the all-time peak volume in 2021. That's when we had numbers. We were up 15% over 2018, 2019 type numbers. And so we've recovered to within a few percent of the all-time peak volume. But again, our system is so much more capable of producing much more efficiently at lower cost. The mills, obviously, we've done a lot of work in the mill system. We've reconfigured DeRidder, Wallula. We're just finishing up the Jackson mill. Jackson, Alabama, is finishing up as we speak through its 58-day outage, the second phase of the total reconfiguration of that operation. And so again, it's Ray's organization and Jack Carter, who runs the mill side of the business. Again, we have a unique group of people.

Many of us in the operating side are chemical engineers. Some of us have master's-level engineering and MBAs. So we understand how to make the product and also drive the profitability. There's no other company that has the capability that we have. A note I want to make also about currently what's happening in the space. When you think about what we read in some of the news about OCC and what that's doing to the makeup of the business. In the last three, four, five years now, and we'll just round it off, there's about 2.5 million tons of new capacity that came on over the last few years. At the same time, mill capacity was taken out. Some of our bigger competitors announced shutdowns. The capacity that came out was fully integrated kraft-type production. So what replaced net-net was 100% OCC-based recycled demand. So again, you've heard us.

You've heard Paul Stecko, anyone that's been around PCA space for a long time. We always wanted to remain flexible with our fiber flexibility. We never wanted to be so far into recycle or so far into the kraft. But we could flex either way and take advantage of the marketplace. We have that capability. But if you're 100% beholden to OCC or DLK, you got a big problem right now. OCC is up 200% in the last 12 months while prices for product are down. So if you think about that kind of squeeze where a producer making containerboard that's facing prices, especially if you're producing a medium recycled medium on the pricing side, you're down $170 a ton where OCC is up 200%. That's a tough squeeze to be in. So every day I wake up and I root for higher OCC prices.

That's good for us.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

It's your fault then, Mark, basically what we're seeing here right now.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

We position ourselves in the marketplace. We do it with flexibility in mind.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Thanks, Mark. Any questions from the audience? Hey, Mark, let's talk about the mill system. Historically, Packaging Corp was viewed to be incorrectly, correctly viewed as more of a heavyweight system. Talk about what, if you agree with that premise, talk about what some of the changes that you've made at Wallula, at DeRidder, at Jackson now mean for that, number one. Number two, as you were touching on recycled fiber versus virgin, can you update us on what your mix is right now when you're done with Jackson?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

The mix, we're probably about 20% recycle. But again, we could push that up probably 25%. But we could go to zero if we had to. But there's a sweet spot in there. Even though with prices up for OCC 200%, we have a need. And to balance out our portfolio, we'd probably go down to 12%-15% if price has gotten so high. We could supplement that with kraft fiber in most cases. But we're in a place where we don't want to have much more OCC, but we're good because we spent the money in all these reconfigurations, DeRidder, Wallula, the big new OCC plants. So we take advantage of the Pacific Northwest, the Gulf Coast region, Jackson, Alabama. We just finished the big OCC operation build out there last year. So we balance that off with kraft fiber and recycle within these big mills.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Did you put more OCC, I forgot, in Jackson as well?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Yes. Then the other question, the other part of the question was.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

I mean, historically, you were more of a heavyweight.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Well, if you went back 20 years, not just PCA, but a lot of the industry was heavyweight. Over the last decade, we've significantly shifted to the lighter weight, high-performance grade mix. And in these last six years, primarily, we've developed our own proprietary grades of we call it an SP grade. It's a special performance, special purpose type of grade. It's actually lighter weight than most of the advertised grades you see, but it offers the same performance capability. But we've primarily shifted all of our box system into these lighter weight grades. If someone was thinking about 35-pound high ring as a liner and then 23-pound medium as the medium portion, most of our boxes are done in this category. But we're actually lighter because we don't sell this SP grade out to the marketplace.

We only use it in our box plant system that's going into our customer boxes. But because we're over 90% integrated, most of our production flows through our own system anyways. But we are now primarily a lightweight system. But you can be a lightweight, high-performance system if you do it efficiently. And so we're lightweight, high-performance, kraft-based primarily. That's why we have our mills that if I took you into one of our mills and you'd go, "Well, isn't this mill a 60-year-old mill?" Because you'd be looking at a mill and you'd think it was brand new. I mean, in the last 15 years, we probably spent $3.5 billion in the mills with all of these reconfigurations and all of the projects. But that's what allows us to run as efficiently and effectively as we do.

We have some of the lowest-cost mill assets in the world because we know how to take care of them. We know how to operate them. That's our expertise. If you think about it, you've heard me say this before when we did more of these type of events. But PCA has something unique. We have an incredible technology talent, a manufacturing talent, and a capability unlike anyone else. And we also have the marketing sales prowess unlike any of our competitors. So how we go- to- market and how we operate is unsurpassed. And that's the unique talent base that the management team brings to bear.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Mark, you said your average basis weight now on liner is below 35 pounds, would you say, running through your?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Yeah, it's in that. But if you think about a decade ago, we were up in the 52-pound because 56-pound, then it went to 52-pound as the heavier weight. 25 years ago, 69-pound, dropping to 56-pound, then to 52-pound. 42-pound went away. 35-pound took that place. But now we've gone below that with the high-performance special SP grades.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Understandable.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

That's why, again, we get these efficiencies that we're not wasting fiber, George.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

What about the smaller mills like Filer City and Tomahawk? Are there any other projects that need to be done around the mill system? We've heard about DeRidder and so on for the last 10 years, but.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Filer City, Michigan, is a good example. One of the machines up at Tomahawk, Wisconsin, these are 100-year-old. Filer City is a 100-year-old mill. But again, if I took you there, you'd think it was a brand new mill built in the last 10 years. I've been with PCA for 28 years now. For 28 years, that's all we've done was continually make improvements and investments. It's not just a big flashy new paper machine or in a box plant, putting in a big new corrugator. We go into these projects and we're looking holistically at all the infrastructure. Again, we're all engineers. We're looking at the power infrastructure. All of the things that you wouldn't normally think about, it's no different than your home.

If you have an old home and your heating systems, your air conditioning systems, if you haven't upgraded them in the last 30 years, they're probably pretty inefficient and the dollars are flowing out the door. If your windows are not well sealed. So we look at all of this holistically. It's almost like saying every unit of fiber that comes in the mill, every gallon or pound of chemical that comes in the mill, how do you convert that in the most efficient manner? All your units of fuel, natural gas, whatever you're using for fuel, black liquor that we burn, are you converting these units of energy in the most efficient manner and then making the end product in the most efficient manner? We have that capability. That's how we think. That's how I think every day. That's all the people around me.

Bob is the only CFO in the industry that knows how to run a mill and a box plant. He grew up in the industry. We are a unique bunch. If you haven't noticed, I actually enjoy doing what I do. I go to bed thinking about these things. I wake up at 4:00 A.M. By 6:00 A.M., I've had a pot of coffee. But my brain is whirling on all these opportunities. He's laughing because he's been with me for 28 years. So apparently, he's still having fun too.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Two questions come to mind. One, on the project side, Ray, Mark, Bob, don't you run out of things? Isn't there a horizon where at some point you've looked at everything holistically from the box plants to the machines to the winders to the press section to the dryers and there's nothing left? And the answer is probably no. Okay. But I know you're going to say that. But if you can give us a reason why you continue to find that and what the productivity improvement, over a five-year period, what you think you can add to the business in dollar terms and profit can come from those continued projects, number one. And number two, I know you're probably sick of this question. I'll try anyway again. The rest industry is not growing at the rate that PCA is saying it's growing.

So do you think you're just tip of the spear here? Or is it just your unique capabilities that are allowing it?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Bringing some history to bear here. If you went back to the year 2000, we became a new public company in the year 2000. We were part of the Tenneco conglomerate.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

I was there.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Yeah. Exactly. And so when we went out as Newco Packaging Corporation of America, there were a lot of opportunities that we could take advantage of. One of the things that was occurring at the time was the consolidation in the industry. And so if you went back 30 years ago, there were probably 28 companies in this space making corrugated products. I mean, bigger companies. And now there's half dozen of us. So what was happening during this consolidation in the 2000s, in that period of time from the late 1990s into the 2000s, this consolidation in the industry took place. We were the benefactors. As customers were looking at the landscape and wondering what was going to happen, we ended up capturing a lot of that business through those decades.

The other factor, and people don't realize this, I've been running the company now going on 15 years. We've made 22 acquisitions. People don't think about PCA as an acquirer. We've made 22 acquisitions, Boise the biggest, and Boise is the most successful acquisition in the history of the industry. But we made 21 other smaller acquisitions that are equally successful. We bolt them on. A lot of them, we pay with cash on hand. We don't borrow money. Very prudent in how we do that. But we have outgrown the industry. And you used to see these numbers, George, every year. And I'm looking at Mr. Tyree over there. We'd show you the numbers every time we met with you on our volume growth compared to the industry.

For the better part of 15 years, our numbers were on a slope that were like 100% growth over that period of time. The industry was flat. For a better part of a decade, the industry number was negative growth. We were in that industry number, but we were still up in an incredible trajectory. I mean, today, if you look at where we are right now today over that period of time from about 2000, so a 24-year history, we're up probably 130%-140% while the industry is basically flat. We've also seen times because someone would say, "Yeah, but your volume went down pretty dramatically last year." We've seen that happen before during the economic crisis in 2008, 2009. Our volume fell off faster during that late summer, fall period of 2008. Our volume came to a halt very quickly.

But by springtime of 2009, and I remember it because it was my birthday, March the 10th, 2009, the market took off and we saw the volume in April just taking off like a rocket. And it was the same thing. Then we outpaced the industry again for many, many years. And so we've seen this downturn last year where we dropped quickly, but now we seem to be coming back much more quickly. We have much more capability than anybody in the industry to take advantage of that. And all of that opportunity flows to the bottom line. And so I think part of what happens in our marketplace, dealing with more local account business, which, by the way, even though someone would think we were dealing with a lot of small local account business, these local accounts have grown pretty dramatically in the last decade, last 20 years.

So now they're not just local accounts. They're regional accounts. And some of them have grown up into national accounts. But we've been together all these years. We take care of their box needs. They know they can depend on us.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

They're 70% of your mix, Mark, give or take?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

It's still in that 2/3, 70% is what everyone thought of as the local account. But these local accounts have grown dramatically. That's where our volume has gone. So it's not just the small mom-and-pop local account down the street. It's the entrepreneurial group, the entrepreneurial family that has grown that business over the last decade or two. And we've grown with them. But some of the dynamics taking place in the marketplace now, I'm looking forward to that. We will be the beneficiaries of that. We're tooled up and we have the capability in our mills and box plants to grow. We have the organization that can grow. The customers know that. And I'm pretty bullish on how we're moving forward and where we're going.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

I know you must get this question a lot. I'll raise it here as well. A number of the other corrugated companies, well-respected, a lot of history have said in the market, and one of the remaining companies have said they also want to now pursue more of a value over volume has been the phrase, strategy. How do you think that affects Packaging Corporation and its model, if at all, over time? Recognizing you don't just show up and do it. It's even doing it for three decades.

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

It's easy to say that, but many of them don't even know what that means. I'll throw one out to you. In the last 15 years, one of the things that came from the Boise acquisition. Boise had a transportation organization in their company. Trucks, tractor trailers, truck drivers. We had sold our business back in the 1990s. We had a small trucking operation up in Michigan. Much of the industry and the world around us got rid of their trucking fleets and just went out to the market and let private carriers handle their products. Boise had a very efficient trucking organization and a railroad. We actually own a railroad up in Minnesota. I sat down and my inclination was, "Get rid of this. It's overhead.

We don't need it." The more I started looking at it, thinking about, "We could take advantage of this." These acquisitions we were making, these smaller businesses around the country, they had trucking operations. They had their own employees. They had their tractors and their trailers. I started thinking about this. We had the foundation of a nationwide capability here that no one else in the industry had. So over the last 15 years, we've invested in that trucking organization. We poured a lot of capital into tractors, trailers, hiring drivers, and enhancing that capability nationwide now. So on a given day in the country, we've probably got 500 trucks running around the country, 1,000 trucks running around the country, PCA trucks and drivers bringing boxes to customers. So we have that capability.

And we also still, when you talk about people wanting to get into a value mode, we'll do partial truckload orders. We'll do, again, the hard-to-do deliveries. A customer calls us up this afternoon and says, "I got a problem. I got to have boxes tomorrow morning." We'll get them their boxes. Again, they're going to pay the price for them, but we'll get them their boxes. If we have a problem in a plant, someone, I think anybody that's followed this space during the last four or five years, during some of the winter weather events, some of the calamities that occurred with cold weather, some companies were explaining that they weren't able to satisfy customers because of the weather issues. The plant was frozen. The plant was down.

Within any given region, within any part of the country, I could have a plant down over here, but I've got three other plants that can take care of what that plant does to make sure a customer never runs out of their boxes. And so we have that capability. But part of that capability is that the plant management, the regional management, thinks as one unit, that it's not me, it's not you, it's us together. How do I help you? How do I help you? How do you help me? Because at the end of the day, we look at this at the end of the quarter, it's the number we generated, not look at my plant and what I did. Everyone knows they're all in this together. They all share in the benefit together.

It behooves everyone to work as one unit and help one another, take care of these customers. We'll have inquiries from our sales. We still have the largest number of salespeople, boots on the ground, in the nation. We're the third largest player in this space. We've got more salespeople than our two largest competitors do. Our salespeople will have an inquiry. They'll talk amongst themselves. They'll talk to the plant management. Someone will say, "You know what? I've got some time on my converting line over here. And I can make that box for you. And we can do it profitably. Yeah, let's take that business." That is constantly going on. That doesn't happen at our competitors.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Mark, we're having this conversation, I don't know, three years from now. What will we find from Packaging Corporation ? How will it look differently? What will it look like from a financial standpoint? If you can comment at all. And if not there, conceptually, three years from now, what are you saying?

Mark Kowlzan
CEO, PCA

Well, all right. When I came here 28 years ago, we were producing about 1.5 million tons of containerboard. Now we're pushing 5 million tons. We've finished up with Jackson. We're going to have 5.3 million-5.4 million tons of containerboard capacity. We've got an incredibly efficient fleet of box plants that we're making better all the time. We're looking at acquisition opportunities. I remember when I told some of you, and I'm looking at Jim over there, and I said the stock would be at $100 a share, and then it would be $150 a share, and then we'd be pushing $200 a share. I think we're starting to get towards that $200 a share level. Well, I started using a term in the last year that's three for three, that within three years will be a 300. And so the economy has to cooperate.

We have to have a customer. But we know how to take advantage of the marketplace and grow with the customer base, very profitable growth, and do it very effectively. And so I would expect if the economy continues to do what it needs to do, we will continue to deliver the kind of results we delivered over the last two decades. And that means an upward slope of earnings and share price.

George Staphos
Managing Director, Bank of America

Thanks, Mark. We look forward to marking the progress. Ray, Bob, Mark, thank you very much. Everybody, please join me in thanking Packaging Corporation for a terrific presentation.

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