Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA)
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May 1, 2026, 12:40 PM EDT - Market open
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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Aug 4, 2022

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Papa Johns second quarter 2022 conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Stacy Frole. You may begin.

Stacy Frole
VP of Investor Relations, Papa John's International

Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to our second quarter earnings conference call. This morning, we issued our 2022 second quarter earnings release. A copy of the release can be obtained on our investor relations website at ir.papajohns.com under the News Releases tab, or by contacting our investor relations department at investor_relations@papajohns.com. On the call this morning are Rob Lynch, our President and CEO, and Ann Gugino, our CFO. Before we begin, I need to remind you that comments made during this call will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements may involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. Forward-looking statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statements in our earnings release and the risk factors included in our SEC filings.

In addition, please refer to our earnings release for the required reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures discussed on today's call. Lastly, let me thank you in advance for asking only one question and getting back in the queue for more follow-ups. Rob?

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thank you, Stacy. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. Before we begin, I'd like to welcome Stacy to her first Papa Johns earnings call since joining the company in May. Many of you have already met with her or will have the opportunity soon as we ramp up our outreach and shareholder engagement over the coming year. She has a very strong finance and IR background, and we're excited to have her as a part of our team. This morning, my remarks are going to focus on Papa Johns top-line sales growth, how we're navigating this dynamic environment, and our continued development momentum. I wanna start off by saying I'm so proud of our team members and franchisees.

Thanks to their hard work and dedication, we delivered our twelfth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales in North America, building on our significant gains over the past two years. We delivered these results despite an increasingly difficult macro environment. This proves the resiliency of our differentiated brand, product innovation, digital capabilities, and winning culture. In fact, weekly per store average sales across every one of our markets are higher today than they were before the pandemic, and our franchisees continue to grow and prosper. That being said, accelerating commodity and labor costs impacted unit economics, margins, and operating income in the second quarter. With continued strategic price increases and the strong performance from our premium priced menu innovations, we were able to partially, but not completely, offset these higher costs. As consumer sentiment continues to soften, I'd like to reiterate a point I've made before.

Pizza offers tremendous value relative to other QSR, fast casual, or casual dining concepts. For this reason, the segment has been historically resilient through past economic cycles. Because we invest in better ingredients, consumers recognize the superior value already offered by Papa Johns Pizza and can feed their family a delicious, high-quality meal very affordably. As we have discussed in the past, our loyalty program and one-on-one marketing capabilities offer more price-sensitive customers compelling incentives to order our high-quality pizza at great value. At the same time, those customers who are less price sensitive are targeted with opportunities to self-select into our premium innovations, bifurcating our customer base and maximizing profitability for our restaurants. We're navigating this dynamic environment with a balanced approach to optimize short-term results while investing for our future.

This positions us even better for long-term growth and margin accretion when the commodity cycle reverts and costs eventually normalize, which we expect heading into 2023. Our long-term perspective and optimism are also reflected in our franchisee development activities. We continue to open new stores and sign significant new development deals, further validating and supporting the brand's long-term potential. In the second quarter, we delivered positive sales growth on top of best-in-class growth over the last two years. Comparable sales in North America rose 1%, contributing positively to a 3-year stack of 34%. Driving these positive comps were premium menu innovations, technology integrations with third-party aggregators, and our revenue management capabilities, which allowed us to strategically execute pricing actions while maintaining demand.

Our brand's unique promise of better ingredients, better pizza, combined with our menu innovations and Papa Rewards loyalty program, enables us to provide strong value to each customer segment at the right price. In the current environment, there is always temptation to chase transactions through aggressive discounting. As we evolve our revenue management capabilities, we have instilled a disciplined approach to provide the right promotions to the super value-oriented customer without risking the erosion of our brand or pricing integrity. Since the beginning of the year, menu prices on average at Papa Johns have risen approximately 7%-8% system-wide. From a menu innovation standpoint, our Epic Pepperoni-Stuffed Crust Pizza, introduced in April, has been a huge hit with customers. It is strengthening our stuffed crust menu platform, which is driving orders and some of the highest percentages of customers expressing an intent to repurchase that we've ever seen.

We're also excited about our innovation pipeline for the second half of the year as we balance the introduction of new innovations with bringing back fan favorites. Additionally, our efforts over the past few years to build strong partnerships with each of the nationwide third-party delivery aggregators continues to be a strategic differentiator for us. We are dedicated to meeting our customers where they are, and these partnerships provide us with a new opportunity for consumers to discover our brand through an incremental sales channel and an ability to leverage their incremental delivery capabilities, particularly at peak times. In our international business, costs declined 8%, though still delivered a three-year stack of 19%. These results primarily reflect declines in the U.K., our largest international market, which is experiencing some of the same challenges that we are facing here in the U.S. and some unique to the U.K.

They have seen record high inflation, the lapping of government stimulus, the VAT tax holiday, and the lifting of COVID restrictions, which may have disrupted normal industry seasonality last year. As we mentioned on our first quarter call, we have strong leadership overseeing our international business and the U.K. This team is focused on differentiating the brand from our competitors, growing our share in existing markets, and efficiently scaling in new markets. Excluding the U.K., our other international markets remained healthy in the quarter, lapping two strong years of positive comp growth. In the U.K. specifically, and our international markets more generally, we see enormous opportunities to apply the model we have developed in the U.S., including our revenue management capabilities, product and technological innovation, and third-party delivery relationships to achieve significant gains in restaurant-level profitability in the future, which will help fuel further development acceleration outside the U.S.

After two years of double-digit comp growth, when our top priorities were keeping our employees and customers safe and meeting customer demand, today we're operating in a very different environment. This is providing the impetus to focus our innovation mindset on our operations to improve customer service and delivery capabilities and efficiencies, which will grow long-term restaurant profitability across the system. To optimize labor, we are evolving our management tools and systems to improve execution. Over the last few years, we made significant operational changes. We introduced centralized call centers, partnered with third-party aggregators, and improved efficiencies through equipment innovation. With these and more improvements underway, we are currently working to build new labor optimization tools to increase restaurant profitability moving forward. We're extremely excited about our new unit development growth story as there are significant market expansion opportunities in North America and internationally.

We already have development agreements in place with nearly all of our top 25 North American franchisees versus only three in 2019, and we are actively pursuing new deals with highly experienced, well-capitalized franchisees around the globe. In the second quarter, we opened 47 net new units, consistent with our expectations, and plan to open between 280 and 320 net new units for the full year in 2022. We continue to sign new deals, which further reinforces our confidence in our multi-year development goal to grow global net units by 6%-8% annually for fiscal 2023 through 2025, continuing the acceleration we have seen over the past year. When franchisees open up a new Papa Johns restaurant or sign a new development deal, they're making a long-term investment decision.

Q2's solid development activity and new deals are a strong indicator of our brand's long-term momentum and profitable growth potential. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Ann to discuss our financial results in greater detail. Ann?

Ann Gugino
CFO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Rob, and good morning, everyone. As you read in our earnings release this morning, we continue to deliver top-line growth on top of significant gains over the past two years. For the second quarter, global system-wide sales were $1.2 billion, up 2.6% in constant currency. Accelerating net unit growth, particularly in international markets, contributed to system-wide sales growth in the second quarter, in addition to our sustained positive North American comp sales. As Rob just mentioned, this growth is a great example of the strength of our brand and our franchisees' excitement to invest in it. Comp sales in North America were up 1.4% across franchise restaurants and down 1.5% in company-owned restaurants. Like the first quarter, the difference largely reflects localized differences in the economy.

In markets with both franchised and company-owned restaurants, we saw similar performance in the quarter. International comps were down 8% in the second quarter, reflecting the continued softness in the UK Rob mentioned earlier. Partially offsetting the UK performance were solid comps from our other international markets, including the Middle East and Latin America. Consolidated revenue increased 1.5% to $522.7 million in the second quarter, largely driven by commissary revenues tied to higher commodity costs. Excluding the impact of our strategic refranchising of a 90-restaurant joint venture in the first quarter, total company revenues increased 5.2% versus the prior year.

The year-over-year impact of this strategic refranchising was most pronounced in revenue, as revenues from the JV were no longer consolidated in restaurant sales revenue and instead recorded in royalties and commissary sales. Its impact on adjusted operating income was less than $1 million and neutral to EPS, consistent with our previous announcement. Turning to margins. Adjusted consolidated operating income for the second quarter was $40.4 million, compared with $48 million for the second quarter of 2021. Adjusted operating margins were 7.7%, down from 9.3% last year, and down sequentially from 8.3% in the first quarter. As we discussed on our last call, we expected adjusted operating margins to decline sequentially due to the acceleration of inflation we were seeing in our company-owned restaurants. This inflation was even greater than initially anticipated.

Food basket costs were up 18% in the quarter, impacted by accelerating cheese costs. Labor costs also remained elevated in the quarter. Together, these factors represented nearly 800 basis points of headwind for corporate restaurant segment margins year-over-year. Strategic pricing actions reduced the impact of this record inflation, resulting in a 400 basis points decline in restaurant level margins year-over-year. The cost headwinds we experienced in the corporate restaurants were also somewhat offset by a $7.2 million decline in general and administrative expenses. Commissary revenues rose 17.5% in the quarter, driven by the continued acceleration of costs. Remember, since our commissary arrangement with North American franchisees passes through food, labor, and fuel costs on a cost plus fixed margin basis, rising costs are slightly accretive to commissary operating income, but dilutive to consolidated operating margins.

Altogether, these factors were an approximate 160 basis points drag on second quarter adjusted corporate operating margins in line with the reduction we experienced in Q1. Going forward, we expect commodity costs, in particular cheese and wheat, will remain elevated in the near term before beginning to moderate towards the end of the year. Longer term, we expect to fully offset the impact of increased food and labor costs through strategic pricing actions and productivity initiatives. However, as we saw in Q2, these cost pressures are immediate, and strategic pricing must be executed carefully as to not significantly impact demand. We will continue to take a surgical approach, being mindful of retaining the strong customer base and positive momentum we've built over the past three years.

It's important to understand that the decisions we are making focus on optimizing results in the near term while leaning into our differentiated strategy and securing our growing market share position for the long term. We are confident that when the current headwinds normalize, we will be in an even better position for long-term growth and margin accretion. Continuing to earnings. For the quarter, on a GAAP basis, diluted earnings per share were $0.70 versus a loss of $2.30 last year, including $0.04 and $3.23 in special items respectively. Recall included in the 2021 special items was a one-time cost of $3.15 related to the repurchase and conversion of the Series B preferred stock.

Excluding these special items, the second quarter adjusted earnings per diluted share was $0.74, down from $0.93 a year ago, primarily reflecting margin compression in our corporate restaurants and the lower international performance, which included approximately $0.015 of headwind from year-over-year foreign currency exchange rates. Now turning to cash flow and the balance sheet. For the first six months of the year, net cash provided by operating activities was $45.6 million. After deducting $30.7 million in capital expenditures for the development of new domestic restaurants and investments in technology innovation, we generated free cash flow of $14.8 million. This was down from $100.1 million from the first six months of 2021, reflecting the impact of our overall business performance, working capital changes, and a $9 million increase in capital expenditures.

We ended the second quarter with ample liquidity, more than $500 million in cash and borrowing available under our revolving credit facility, and have a conservative growth leverage ratio of 2.3 times. We also continue to return significant cash to our shareholders. Last quarter, we repurchased $42.8 million in shares with an additional $20 million repurchased after the quarter as of July 28. In total, we have repurchased more than 975,000 shares since the beginning of the year. We also paid out $12.5 million in common dividends during the quarter. In addition, based on our strong balance sheet and our positive outlook, our board has declared a 20% increase in our 2022 third quarter dividend to $0.42 per share or $1.68 annualized. Our capital structure provides us with substantial operating flexibility.

We'll continue to take a disciplined and balanced approach to managing our cash flows to maximize value for our shareholders through organic growth opportunities, share repurchases and cash dividends. Now to our outlook. With new menu innovations, the return of fan favorites, strategic pricing actions, and targeted offerings for our most value-conscious customers, we expect North America comp sales to continue their three-year positive trend for the second half of the year. As for international, we expect softness in the UK to continue into the second half of 2022, and then it improve into 2023 as strategic initiatives are executed. Since the UK currently represents more than 20% of our international sales, these headwinds will result in international comp sales being down for the full year, but up high single digits on a two-year stack.

Regarding adjusted operating margins, we expect near-term pressure to continue from lower UK contributions and while commodity costs remain elevated and wage inflation continues. For the full year, we now anticipate a decline in consolidated operating margins between 100 basis points-150 basis points when compared with 2021. We do expect to see margins improve heading into 2023 as operational productivity initiatives are executed and costs begin to normalize. We continue to target fiscal 2022 CapEx of between $75 million-$85 million as we invest in technology innovation and the development of new company stores. Full year net interest expense is expected to be approximately $25 million. We expect the tax rate for the remaining quarters to range between 20%-22%, and for the full year to be between 18%-20%.

I want to close by saying how proud I am of our team and their ability to evolve and adapt to every possible scenario that has been thrown their way over the past few years. We operate in an attractive global market that offers significant white space. With strong AUVs and a robust development pipeline, I'm confident our long-term development opportunities and our ability to drive steady earnings expansion through sustainable comp sales growth will continue to deliver significant value for our franchisees, our team members, and our investors. I'm excited for the future of Papa Johns. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Rob for some final comments. Rob?

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Ann. As you've heard from us today, we continue to drive growth by executing on our strategy while being agile in the current environment and sensitive to the additional pressures our customers are facing. We are a company with a proven brand, loyal customers, and solid underlying cash flows that can be used to support value-enhancing initiatives in the future. Our system remains healthy and strong, and I'm more excited than ever about the future. With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Certainly. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. Please limit yourself to one question. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. One moment. Our first question will come from Chris O'Cull of Stifel. Your line's open.

Chris O'Cull
Managing Director, Stifel

Thank you. Good morning, guys. I had a clarification on the outlook and then a question. Ann, did you say that you expect North America comps to remain positive for the balance of the year, or did you give more specificity on that?

Ann Gugino
CFO, Papa John's International

Yeah, that was the guide that we expect North American comp sales to be positive in the back half of the year.

Chris O'Cull
Managing Director, Stifel

Okay, thank you. Then Rob, it appears the larger chains are starting to promote price point value and discounts for limited times. I know you said that Papa Johns is not going to lead with price point value and discounts. As consumer spending slows, can you elaborate how the company's marketing strategy could evolve? Then how does the company determine the level of transaction declines it's willing to accept to avoid that discount type strategy?

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Hi, Chris. You know, we have said that we've been pretty consistent in the past that we're not gonna promote national deep discounts. I think we're pretty much the only pizza player that's delivering positive comps. I think that there's something to being able to deliver, you know, positive comp sales and better transactions without having to go and race to the bottom for the lowest price points. That being said, we absolutely deliver value. You know, we deliver value locally. You know, a discount in San Francisco is different than a discount in Atlanta and Ohio. Our co-ops all have funds that they contribute into that they can use to, you know, manage their markets the way they need to manage them, dependent upon the price sensitivity of their customers in that region.

It's not actually accurate to say that we don't have value platforms and promote value. We just don't do it at the national level and kind of peanut butter it across the country. The other way we're really focused on delivering value is through our loyalty program. I mean, we have 25 million loyalty members at this point, and we're able to surgically deliver incentives that motivate people in different ways to drive transactions. We have a very robust value strategy. It's just not the same as everyone else going out and putting the lowest price point on national television.

Chris O'Cull
Managing Director, Stifel

Excellent. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from Eric Gonzalez. Your line is open.

Eric Gonzalez
Senior Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, thanks. Good morning. I wanted to ask about the U.K., because it seems like the consumer might be deteriorating at a faster rate than the U.S. I'm really wondering what the strategic plan is for that market. I think you mentioned, you know, doing something in 2023 or laying the groundwork for 2023. How might that plan differ from what you might do in the U.S. should the domestic economy deteriorate more rapidly?

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks for the question, Eric. You know, the U.K. is very unique. I mean, the VAT tax implications, I think it was called out in some of the other calls, have had a big impact on the comps. You know, their pricing structure and their tax, the way their taxes are reflected in their prices and the revenue stream is quite different than how we do it here in the States. The VAT tax implications are unavoidable, and I think everyone's kind of pointed to that. In regards to the base business, we haven't necessarily built the same type of capabilities in the U.K., or frankly, we haven't transferred the capabilities we've built in the U.S. yet to the U.K.

I'll point out specifically our revenue management function here in the U.S. I mean, we get the purchase data from almost every transaction that flows through our restaurants. We understand because of our loyalty programs, who's buying what, how and when. We leverage all that to make sure that we understand the elasticities, you know, very closely. We're managing that both at our company restaurants, but we're also leveraging that expertise up against our franchisee operations. In the U.K., we haven't done any of that yet. I use that as only one example of a capability that we have here in the U.S. that can easily be transferred into different markets, the U.K. being our biggest and most important international market. We're gonna overlay that across all of our geographies.

We're doing a lot of work on operations and how we run our restaurants better. We're doing a lot of work on how we buy and utilize media to advertise. All of those things that we're developing here in the US have not yet been transferred into our other markets. I feel like that provides a lot of upside possibility and potential on the comps and the PSAs in those markets. We talk a lot about international representing a huge white space opportunity for development. We're getting more and more confident that the tools that we have here in the US, once transferred over to these other markets, can also drive a significant amount of comp sales and PSA growth.

Eric Gonzalez
Senior Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thank you.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Eric.

Operator

One moment. Our next question comes from Brian Bittner of Oppenheimer. Your line's open.

Brian Bittner
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Thanks. Good morning. Morning, Rob and Anne. You know, the fact that you did keep North America comps positive in the second quarter, it was actually very impressive. You know, represented actually an acceleration on a three-year basis. You know, it's also impressive, Anne, that I think you said you anticipate the three-year trend to continue in the second half of the year. I think I heard you correctly. This result and this outlook is happening despite a lot of mixed messages that we're getting on how the consumer is behaving more recently. You know, a lot of people are talking about weakness at the lower end. Are you seeing any noteworthy changes in behavior within your own business? You know, Rob, what levers do you believe the brand has to pull if we do enter a much more decisive, slower spending environment?

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

A great question, Brian. One consumer change, behavior change that I will point out that's absolutely having an impact is the return to travel. I mean, as our business, you know, traditional QSR, I think is pretty neutral to people going on vacation because a lot of those folks are in their cars driving on the highways and pulling through drive-thrus. We are a planned dinner purchase. When people go on vacation, it impacts our business. We've always had seasonality in our business, particularly, you know, in the summer months while people go on vacation. The last two years, that's been muted. The last two years, as people haven't gone on vacation as readily, as people haven't enjoyed international travel, you know, we haven't seen that seasonality. This year, we absolutely are seeing it.

We were tracking even higher on comp sales coming into June. We were very bullish on our ability to really exceed expectations, both ours and everyone else's. In June, we saw a bit of a slowdown, which we attribute to the travel behaviors that are returning. We evidence that by you know, looking at travel markets where you know, there's a lot of people going to, like Florida, where our business is up you know, significantly. I think there is a return to some of the seasonality that we've seen in the past, and that's why you know, we're really bullish on the back half. Once we get through these tougher comps in these summer months, we see an acceleration in our business.

In terms of the value piece, we can do value. I mean, like I said, we already do value. We offer an $8 carry out special in almost every market for a large pizza. It's not like we don't have low price points. We just do it in a different way. You know, 75% of our business is e-commerce, so our customers are going on the apps, going on the web and looking at our price points. Our localized offers are available, readily available, to everyone going on those digital channels. We absolutely can compete for that value customer. We're just doing it in a different way. I think so far we've been, you know, differentiated in that and have been able to outperform as a result.

Brian Bittner
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Great. Thank you.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Brian.

Brian Bittner
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Great. Thank you.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

Our next question will come from Alexander Slagle of Jefferies. Your line is open.

Alexander Slagle
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks. Good morning. Had a question on people and, you know, I guess, at company stores and at franchise stores, if known, and if you could kind of comment on retention and wage levels and hiring activity and, you know, just trying to get a sense for how the improved people culture and all the efforts around purpose and values and, you know, initiatives to take care of your employees is permeating further through the system and perhaps helping on a relative basis. I mean, I know it's still a very difficult environment out there, hiring and keeping people, and was wondering if you could talk to that.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks for the question, Alex. Yeah, I mean, staffing is always a challenge in this industry. It has been our number one challenge throughout the pandemic for obvious reasons. Our restaurants for two years were focused on doing everything they could to get as many hours in the store as possible. You know, there really wasn't a lot of concern around productivity or overtime or any of these other KPIs. It was really just about making sure that we had people in the restaurants to make pizzas and deliver pizzas. Staffing has actually improved over the last few months. We've seen our recruiting and retention levels improve, which gives us a lot of excitement.

However, as Anne mentioned, our labor costs have gone up both as a function of wage inflation, which we do expect to normalize to a certain extent moving forward, but also as a function of some of our behavior over the last two years of just every hour, you know, put every hour we can in the restaurant. So our team, you know, we have some new leadership in our U.S. operations group, and they're focused on making sure that we can not only staff and recruit and make sure we have the people to run the restaurants, but we do it in the most optimized and productive way. We've got a lot of great talent working on that, and it's not just gonna benefit our company restaurants and our corporate P&L.

The insights that we're garnering and the methods that we're developing, the processes that we're gonna develop are gonna be able to then transfer to all of our franchisees and make them better managers of their labor moving forward, which should improve productivity and margins, which should help us continue to spur domestic development.

Alexander Slagle
Analyst, Jefferies

Got it. Thank you.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Alex.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Lauren Silberman of Credit Suisse. Your line's open, Lauren.

Lauren Silberman
Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you so much. Bob, you spoke to the challenging consumer environment. You're lapping over some pretty tough comps in the back half, especially when including 2019. Can you talk about the most meaningful drivers of comps? It sounds like you're embedding an acceleration through the quarter. Just wanna confirm that. Then just related, you highlighted the value opportunity from loyalty. Where are you guys in your journey with respect to personalization and your ability to offer specific promotions to more value-oriented consumers? Thank you.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Lauren. Yeah, we are confident in the back half of the year. We're confident for a couple primary reasons. One is we've got some new innovation coming, you know, early in the back half, coming here in the next couple weeks. We've got more innovation layered in through the balance of the calendar. Great new items that we feel can complement the huge success that we've seen on our stuffed crust platform. I mean, stuffed crust we launched obviously last year and really kind of created a whole new sales layer lifting our AUVs, and that hasn't left. When we launched Epic Pepperoni, we saw that very incremental both on the revenue side and the margin side.

Here we are, you know, looking at the back half, and we've got some new ideas that I think are gonna complement that. We're really excited about our innovation, but we're also, and I'll tie the second piece of why we're excited about comps to the loyalty piece. We are just becoming better and better with our data. I mean, we have so much data here given the e-commerce, you know, nature of our business and all the transactional data that we get. Our teams, you know, over the last two years have been mining and enriching that data, and we continue to get better and better at it.

Now, given our strategy on how we're gonna, you know, become, you know, a great player in this value mindset, in this industry, it's accelerated. We're even more confident with the ways we're using that data to really reach out, both through our organic channels, but also through paid channels. I mean, we're leveraging paid media to directly target across digital channels, you know, customers that we have determined have the highest propensity to buy our products. We're targeting lapsed users, we're targeting light users to come back to the brand through both organic and paid media. Our confidence is really driven by the revenue side of the business and the comps that we feel, but we're also making a lot of enhancements on the margin side of the business too.

It's not just about delivering those positive comps, it's about doing it in a profitable way, and that's part of the reason why we're not going out and just layering and peanut buttering large discounted national price points.

Lauren Silberman
Equity Research Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you very much.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Lauren.

Operator

One moment. Our next question will come from Brian Mullan of Deutsche Bank. Your line's open.

Brian Mullan
Director Restaurants and Food Distribution Equity Research, Deutsche Bank

Hey, thank you. Just a question on development. You know, I know it's a bit early here, but as you think about the guidance range of 6%-8% over the next couple years, you know, as you start to think about 2023, you know, what are the factors that might cause you to come in towards the lower end or the higher end of that? Is there anything you are monitoring either optimistically or cautiously just outside of, like, equipment permitting delays, which we all understand can create hiccups? Just really any color on how you're feeling about that multiyear ramp.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

We continue to sign agreements and feel really great about the franchisee excitement around this brand globally, both in our markets that we're currently in, but under-penetrated, as well as new markets. You know, to answer your question, I would tell you the only thing that is unforeseen right now is, you know, some of the conflicts. You know, the conflict that we're seeing in Ukraine continues on, and that impacts that region. We're continuing to watch the global environment and make sure that we can support our franchisees and our development capabilities despite any of that.

Brian Mullan
Director Restaurants and Food Distribution Equity Research, Deutsche Bank

Thank you.

Operator

One moment. Our next question will come from Peter Saleh of BTIG. Your line's open.

Peter Saleh
Managing Director and Restaurants and Food Distributors Analyst, BTIG

Great. Thanks. I want to come back to unit development, just ask it a different way. I guess, you know, given the softness that you're seeing in the U.K. and international, does that have any impact whatsoever on the goal of getting to 6%-8% annual growth starting in 2023? Are you seeing any pushback or any pullback from franchisees internationally? And then secondly, can you just talk about what you expect on company unit development this year and maybe on a go-forward basis? Thank you.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thanks, Pete. We are actually having a very solid year outside of the U.K. for our international business. We have incredibly bright spots like the Middle East and even Spain and in Continental Europe, which has been a challenging market for us to really get a foothold in, is up significantly this year. You know, we're positive in almost every market outside of the U.K. There's not a lot of concern around the globe on development. The U.K., although being our largest developed market and a big contributor to our current results, represents a relatively small percentage of our international development opportunities. That being said, as I mentioned in the last question, we're watching everything.

Obviously, you know, a volatile global environment right now, but we're as confident as we've ever been on the excitement around this brand internationally. Company development, you know, we continue to evaluate that. We've built, I think 12 restaurants this year, over the last 12 months. You know, we're looking at the performance of that. Obviously, we're using that as a proxy for kind of this strategy of going in and into these underpenetrated markets and being able to carve them up. That's a longer term strategy, and so we're watching how those restaurants perform.

I'll also just tell you know, in the environment where we open these restaurants, you know, a lot of them opened up in Q4 last year and, you know, we went into Q1, and it was hard to staff these new restaurants. We're really trying to take a more long-term approach and try to make sure that we have set these restaurants up to be as successful as possible, and evaluate them and their contribution to the markets in which we put them in over the long term. Over the next year, you know, we're still planning on opening company restaurants, but, you know, in the double digits.

It's gonna be dependent upon whether or not we feel we're gonna be able to open up them up in the way that they need to be opened to give them the best chance of success.

Peter Saleh
Managing Director and Restaurants and Food Distributors Analyst, BTIG

Thank you.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Thank you.

Operator

One moment. Our next question will come from Andrew Strelzik of BMO. Your line is open.

Andrew Strelzik
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I actually wanted to ask one on the commissary profit dollars. You mentioned the impact that inflation has on that, but we're not really seeing that come through this year. Can you just, you know, kind of walk through what's going on there? Is that just a timing dynamic? You know, has your outlook for commissary profit dollars changed for this year? Maybe can you frame the impact that's having on the operating margin change in terms of the outlook? Thanks.

Ann Gugino
CFO, Papa John's International

Sure. The impact on the operating margin is really more from a mix perspective, just because you're seeing such a large sales increase, because of the commodities inflation and you've got, you know, that relatively fixed lower margin. You know, generally speaking, as I talked about, we pass through those costs on a fixed margin basis, and so we do believe on a full year basis, that will translate into increased commissary operating income dollars year-over-year. We still think that's gonna be in the high single digits. You know, we didn't see the year-over-year accretion in Q1, given the acceleration of cost, and just the timing to recapture. We definitely caught up a bit here in Q2, but we definitely have more to come in the back half.

Yeah, we're still confident that we'll deliver, you know, high single-digit operating income increase in the QCC line.

Operator

Okay. Moving forward. Our next question will come from Nick Setyan of Wedbush. Your line is open.

Nick Setyan
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Wedbush Securities

Thank you. I think there was a comment about 7%-8%, you know, menu pricing year-over-year. When we look at the second half, you know, where do we think the incremental pricing will get total pricing too, in terms of year-over-year? Is that part of the, you know, accelerating comp equation in the second half?

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Great question, Nick. We are planning some pricing here in the near future, 200 basis points. That being said, it's not what we believe is gonna drive the comps in the back half. Frankly, we believe that there will be some normalization of this cost structure. You know, we're starting to see a little bit of that very preliminarily. We think that will mitigate our need to continue to take pricing. You know, we took almost no pricing during the pandemic. All of our check growth was driven by innovation that allowed our consumers to trade up. You know, we're not trying to drive sales with pricing.

We're just trying to mitigate the cost.. We will take as little pricing as necessary while still delivering, you know, getting back to the margins we need to get to. That's a very important focus for us, is making sure that we're getting back to the margin structure that we believe is commensurate with the health of this business. That's gonna be more, I think, driven by normalization of commodities than necessarily our need to take significantly more cost. You're right on that 7%-8% number. That is what we have taken year to date.

Nick Setyan
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Wedbush Securities

Thank you.

Operator

One moment. Our next question will come from Jim Sanderson of Northcoast Research. Your line is open.

Jim Sanderson
Managing Director and Research Analyst, Northcoast Research

Hi. Thanks for the question. I just wanted to follow up on the issue of pricing. Is that, second half menu price increasing, does that also, is that also baked into the, operating margin decline on a year-over-year basis, the 100 basis points- 150 basis points? What are the puts and takes to getting that, operating margin maybe to the, higher range of your guidance for the back half of the year? Thank you.

Ann Gugino
CFO, Papa John's International

Yeah. The pricing would be baked into that guide on the 100 basis points-150 basis point decline year-over-year. Just to add a little bit of color there, you know, we've talked a lot about the inflationary pressure in both wage and commodities that we expect to continue in the corporate restaurant. When you look at it by segment, we would expect, you know, the year-over-year margin pressure to be a little bit more pronounced there. The upside to outperform that, to Rob's point, would be, you know, a continued easing of commodity prices.

You know, we also talked about a number of investments that we're making in wage and productivity, which as Rob pointed out, has not been a huge focus for us during the pandemic, where we were really more focused on that surge in demand, meeting the demand, and keeping people safe. As those initiatives start to take hold, that could provide some upside. You know, we'll continue to see pressure internationally as a result of the UK. Offsetting that, as we've talked a lot about, is the positive comp sales growth, not just in North America, but as Rob pointed out, you know, internationally outside of the UK. We also expect G&A to be down year-over-year in the second half as we continue to take a disciplined approach to cost management.

Those would be kind of the high level insights I'd provide.

Operator

Okay.

Jim Sanderson
Managing Director and Research Analyst, Northcoast Research

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from Todd Brooks of The Benchmark Company. Your line is open. I will now remove Todd Brooks from the queue.

Todd Brooks
Senior Analyst and Managing Director, The Benchmark Company

I'm here. I didn't hear that I was unmuted. Sorry about that.

Operator

No problem. Your line is open.

Todd Brooks
Senior Analyst and Managing Director, The Benchmark Company

Great. Just two quick follow-ups, if I may. One, on the international, I know Anne you just talked about expecting positive same-store sales growth in the second half, excluding the UK. Was international positive in the second quarter, excluding UK? And is there any way you can size maybe the drag from what you're seeing in the UK?

Ann Gugino
CFO, Papa John's International

Yes, the other international markets, excluding the UK, were positive in Q2. In terms of size, I think what I would offer is that the UK, in terms of percent of international system sales, is about 20%. That would be kind of the guidance there. We were definitely down, you know, double digits in the UK.

Todd Brooks
Senior Analyst and Managing Director, The Benchmark Company

Okay, great. One other quick follow-up. Rob, you talked about better success with staffing in the last few months. If we parse that specifically to driver staffing, have you seen the type of staffing improvement there in that specific function?

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Slowly but surely. I don't mean to imply that we are fully staffed. We're nowhere near where we want to be. You know, leveraging our partnerships with the third-party aggregators, coupled with a bit of improvement in our organic driver recruiting and retention has definitely helped ease some of the strain on the restaurants. We still have a long way to go, but it's definitely moving in the right direction relative to where we were throughout the pandemic and especially, you know, where we were in December and January when Omicron was really impacting our staffing.

Todd Brooks
Senior Analyst and Managing Director, The Benchmark Company

Okay, great. Thanks, Rob.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Sure. Thank you, Todd.

Operator

I would now like to turn the call back to Rob Lynch for closing remarks.

Rob Lynch
President and CEO, Papa John's International

Well, thanks again, everybody, for joining us and for your thoughtful questions this morning. As you can tell from our comments today, we're incredibly proud of what our team members and franchisees achieved this quarter and over the past few years. It's been a remarkable three years for this company. Over the last couple months, we have moved very nimbly, guided by our customers, to navigate an incredibly volatile and challenging environment. We've stayed true to our values, continuing to innovate and leaning into what makes Papa Johns unique. Going forward, we will continue to carefully manage short-term opportunities and challenges with an eye toward our long-term potential. We hope that you're as excited about the future of Papa Johns as we are.

As always, I'd like to thank our shareholders and everyone on this call for their interest in our company and for their continued support. Thanks, and have a great day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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