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Earnings Call: Q4 2026

Nov 4, 2026

Summary

Q4 FY26 revenue was $10.4B, with FY27 growth increasingly driven by data center, Automotive and IoT. Guidance includes a $5B FY27 data center target, while memory pressures and data center mix weigh on handset and gross-margin outlook.

Brett Simpson
SVP and Head of Investor Relations, Qualcomm

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Today's call will include prepared remarks by Cristiano Amon and Akash Palkhiwala. In addition, Alex Rogers will join the question-and-answer session. You can access our earnings release and a slide presentation that accompany this call on our investor relations website. In addition, this call is being webcast on qualcomm.com, and a replay will be available on our website later today. During the call today, we will use non-GAAP financial measures as defined in Regulation G, and you can find the related reconciliations to GAAP on our website.

We will also make forward-looking statements, including projections and estimates of future events, business or industry trends, or business or financial results. Actual events or results could differ materially from those projected in our forward-looking statements. Please refer to our SEC filings, including our most recent 10-K, which contain important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. Now to comments from Qualcomm's President and Chief Executive Officer, Cristiano Amon.

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Thank you, Brett, and good afternoon, everyone. In fiscal Q4, we delivered non-GAAP revenues of $10.4 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.17. QCT revenues of $9 billion, up 6% sequentially, were at the high end of our guidance. Licensing business revenues were $1.3 billion. For fiscal 2026, we reported non-GAAP revenues of $43.2 billion and QCT revenues of $37.2 billion, highlighted by year-over-year revenue growth of 24% across combined automotive and IoT. We closed fiscal 2026 with many of the uncertainties that have been weighing on our business now behind us. Specifically, QTL license renewals, the loss of Apple as a customer, and the negative impact of memory pricing on the size of the mobile industry. Regarding the latter, the June quarter marked the low point for our China Android business, and we have seen sequential growth this quarter.

Going forward, our plan assumes global handset units will remain flat to down in calendar 2027. The timing and shape of the Apple modem transition is fully incorporated in how we're planning the business and is well understood at this point. We also renew important QTL licensing agreements, including Apple and Huawei. Now, we enter fiscal 2027 as a broader, more diversified Qualcomm with strong momentum and significant opportunities ahead. First, non-handset revenues in QCT will grow by more than 60% year-over-year. Second, our data center business begins its ramp with revenues expected to exceed $650 million in the December quarter. Third, automotive revenues reach an $8 billion annualized run rate exiting fiscal 2026, $1 billion ahead of expectations. Fourth, we establish a solid foundation in how agentic AI transforms the edge and leads to new product categories for Qualcomm.

And finally, we reached a landmark agreement with SpaceX to power their nationwide terrestrial 5G network in the U.S. Our technology investments are aligned with the direction the industry is moving. We made key acquisitions to build on our hardware and software capabilities as we evolve into a full-stack semiconductor company. We announced strategic agreements with industry leaders, including Meta, Amazon, BMW, and Stellantis, with more to come, and our design win pipeline across the company grew 70% year-over-year. This is the backdrop that positions Qualcomm to deliver on our fiscal 2029 targets of $40 billion in non-handset revenues, with over $15 billion coming from data center. Now, I will focus on the areas that are top of mind for investors. Let me start with licensing, where we reached a milestone this quarter. We are extremely pleased with our renewals with Apple, Huawei, and Transsion.

These agreements provide stability for QTL as we move to the 6G era. They also demonstrate the enduring value of our IP and patent portfolio. Just as in every prior generation, we expect our inventions to be foundational to 6G. Importantly, our QTL revenue run rate remains unchanged. The next renewal cycle begins in fiscal 2030 and runs through fiscal 2033. Licensing gives Qualcomm a durable, highly profitable foundation as we scale our next set of growth opportunities. Data center is another area where we made considerable progress this quarter. It is one of our top strategic priorities and a major focus of my own time as we build this business around long-term customer relationships, a broad product portfolio, and an open software ecosystem. AWS is a good example. Our agreement spans multiple product generations across custom silicon for AI inference and optical connectivity.

Custom accelerators began shipping in October, and our connectivity solutions with AWS ramp later this month. We also secured a second optical connectivity customer. With Qualcomm High Bandwidth Compute, our AI250 silicon is exceeding our expectations for power efficiency and bandwidth, and early yields are on track. These results are generating significant interest from AI customers and memory partners, and we added two major prospects in the quarter. Our Dragonfly C1000 CPU remains on track to ship to Meta as scheduled, and we engage with a large new potential customer. We are optimistic about the opportunities we have today with our high-speed connectivity solutions, such as optical DSPs, and we are investing in bringing optics directly alongside our XPUs and custom silicon, as we demonstrated with Lumentum and Corning at ECOC 2026. In software, our full-stack integration with Modular is progressing well.

Modular is delivering impressive performance as an open, multi-vendor stack running on NVIDIA and AMD GPUs, Amazon Trainium, and Google TPU. Optimization for Qualcomm accelerators is also underway. Last month, Modular made the full MAX source code available, and this builds on open sourcing the Mojo language in August. We are also excited that Modular Cloud went live during the September quarter and is already processing tens of trillions of tokens per month. We will share more details soon about how our ecosystem partners are using Modular Cloud. Our data center business is off to a strong start. We are reiterating our $5 billion revenue target for fiscal 2027, with healthy order coverage supporting continued revenue growth in fiscal 2028. In automotive, we exit fiscal 2026 at an annualized revenue run rate of approximately $8 billion, well above the $7 billion expectations we provided last quarter.

Additionally, fiscal fourth quarter automotive revenue grew nearly 90% year-over-year. Commercial shipments of our fifth-generation Snapdragon Digital Chassis began in the September quarter and will continue to ramp in fiscal 2027. As a reminder, this platform is our most advanced to date, delivering a significant increase in performance and represents our largest generation-to-generation content increase in Qualcomm's history. Our products also evolve from SoCs to integrated compute modules. Customer demand remains strong across our portfolio, and Qualcomm is positioned to become one of the largest automotive semiconductor suppliers by revenue in fiscal 2027. In robotics, our premium-tier Dragonwing IQ10 processor is set to begin its commercial ramp and continues to generate strong customer momentum. During the quarter, ecosystem partners demonstrated AI models of up to 80 billion parameters running directly on IQ10. In fiscal 2027, we will continue to expand the technologies and capabilities across our robotics platforms.

As we anticipated, the proliferation and capability of AI agents is increasing rapidly, and we're seeing growing consumer adoption as a result. A prime example is Meta Muse, which reached over 10 million downloads in just 40 days. We're also seeing more companies designing experiences and devices around agents. This includes agentic smartphones, smart glasses, and other new personal AI form factors. Meta's Audio AI Glasses, Muse Charm, Gemini Eyewear, and Alibaba's Qwen AI Glasses are recent examples of intelligent wearables, with more to come over the next year. The smartphone is an essential device for agentic experiences, as it's the device that knows people best. It's always with them and has their context, preferences, and permissions. The device is also evolving to simultaneously support what the user is doing and what agents are doing on the user's behalf.

Delivering these experiences will require greater computing performance, power efficiency, and connectivity, which play directly to Qualcomm's strengths. More of our customers are already building agentic features into their flagship devices, and we're pleased to share that the world's first agentic smartphones were launched on Snapdragon. Heading into fiscal 2027, we're pleased with our premium-tier Android share position, and we expect it to strengthen as the transition to agentic smartphones drive an increase in computing content per device. For perspective, leading AI companies are targeting smartphones by 2028 capable of running 100 billion parameter models locally with an all-day battery life. Reaching this goal will require a step function change in on-device compute performance. Finally, I'm very proud to share that SpaceX selected Qualcomm to power Starlink Mobile's nationwide terrestrial 5G network in the U.S.

Starlink is building one of the most ambitious new cellular networks in the country, and our Dragonwing infrastructure platforms will bring together advanced massive MIMO, purpose-built RAN processing, and commercial-grade Layer 1 software. Under a multi-year agreement, deployment begins in 2027, and it is expected to be one of the largest 5G deployments in the United States. Together, we have an opportunity to advance United States wireless leadership, starting with 5G and the convergence of satellite and terrestrial connectivity. This new architecture establishes a foundation for next-generation connectivity and network intelligence. This is a significant win for our infrastructure business and the beginning of a strategic relationship with tremendous potential. Before I close, I would like to briefly address our litigation with Arm. We're gratified that the jury found Arm breached its long-standing architecture license agreement, ALA, with Qualcomm.

failed to honor its commitments, intentionally acted to disrupt Qualcomm's business, and engaged in unfair competition both as a supplier and a competitor. Together with Qualcomm's prior court victory, this outcome further exposes Arm's intentions to harm Qualcomm and its ecosystem. This outcome is a victory for innovation and competition, and we remain focused on developing and delivering industry-leading semiconductor products, including our Oryon CPUs to customers and consumers worldwide, from mobile to data center. In summary, we enter fiscal 2027 having made important progress against the ambitious growth plan we outlined at Investor Day. Since then, we have signed major strategic agreements and positioned our data center business to ramp at scale. We remain focused on execution as we build the next chapter for Qualcomm, and we are confident in delivering on our fiscal 2029 targets. With that, I will turn it over to Akash.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Thank you, Cristiano, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me begin with our results for the fourth fiscal quarter. We delivered non-GAAP revenues of $10.4 billion and EPS of $2.17, with revenues at the high end of our guidance. QTL revenues of $1.3 billion and EBT margin of 70% were in line with our expectations. QCT revenues of $9 billion were at the high end of our guidance, and EBT margin of 24% was in line with expectations. QCT handset revenues of $5.1 billion reflected the impact of industry-wide memory dynamics on the global smartphone market. In QCT Automotive, we delivered our first $2 billion revenue quarter with 89% year-over-year growth, driven by the growing adoption of integrated module products for our fifth-generation compute platforms.

QCT IoT revenues of $1.9 billion were up 4% year-over-year, led by our industrial, networking, and robotics category of products, which grew 20% versus the year-ago period, offset by the impact of memory constraints on consumer products. Total non-handset revenues in QCT, including Automotive and IoT, grew 36% year-over-year, underscoring the continued execution of our growth initiatives. Lastly, we returned $2 billion to stockholders, including $1 billion each in share repurchases and dividends. Before turning to guidance, I would like to provide an update on a couple factors reflected in our financial performance. First, in QTL, we have now completed long-term license agreements with Apple, Huawei, and Transsion, and do not have any upcoming license renewals with major handset OEMs for the next several years. Following these agreements, QTL revenue run rate and long-term revenue forecast remains unchanged.

Second, as we outlined last quarter, we are implementing price increases across our products to reflect the higher semiconductor input costs. We expect the full benefit of these actions to be reflected in QCT gross margins in the second half of fiscal 2027. Finally, we are excited that fiscal 2027 marks an important milestone for our data center business as we transition from customer engagements to revenue generation. Our first fiscal quarter guidance reflects the commencement of shipments to two hyperscaler customers for custom silicon engagement. As we have discussed previously, we expect these custom silicon engagements to be accretive to QCT operating margins, but dilutive to gross margins. These factors are reflected in our fourth quarter performance and first quarter outlook. I will now provide our guidance for the first fiscal quarter.

We are forecasting revenues of $10.4 billion-$11.2 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $2.15-$2.35. In QTL, we estimate revenues of $1.3 billion-$1.5 billion and EBT margins of 72%-76%, reflecting normal seasonal trends. In QCT, we expect revenues of $9 billion-$9.6 billion and EBT margins of 20%-22%. Please note that QCT EBT margin guidance includes an impact of 3 percentage points due to the addition of Data Center in the QCT segment starting in fiscal 2027, and reflects investments for AI accelerator and CPU platform ahead of revenue ramp. Importantly, this segmentation change has no impact on total company guidance or on our long-term QCT EBT margin target of 30%.

We forecast QCT handset revenues to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage sequentially, as growth in Android revenues is offset by the continued ramp-down in Apple product revenue. In QCT Data Center, we expect revenues of greater than $650 million, driven by commencements of shipments to custom silicon customers. We expect combined QCT Automotive and IoT revenues to be approximately flat sequentially. Lastly, we anticipate non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $2.8 billion in the quarter. Before I conclude my prepared remarks, I'd like to outline the progress in the execution of our growth strategy. In fiscal 2027, we expect to achieve two key milestones for revenue diversification. First, non-handset revenues in QCT across Automotive, IoT, and Data Center will grow by greater than 60% on a year-over-year basis starting in the first fiscal quarter. Second, non-handset revenues will represent more than 50% of QCT revenues in the fiscal year.

In Data Center, we're executing to the revenue targets we outlined at Investor Day, including $5 billion in fiscal 2027 and $15 billion in fiscal 2029. We expect Data Center revenues to scale throughout fiscal 2027, exiting the year at a $7 billion run rate. We're also expanding our customer engagement pipeline across additional global hyperscalers, including the long-term strategic agreement with Amazon Web Services, with a potential revenue opportunity of up to $60 billion over the next 10 years. During the quarter, we also successfully validated our High Bandwidth Compute technology in lab trials, marking a key milestone in delivering an innovative AI inference accelerator solution designed to address the memory bandwidth challenge in Data Centers.

We are also well-positioned to lead other key industry trends, including the transition to agentic AI in consumer devices and the adoption of physical AI across automotive, industrial, and robotics. Finally, we would like to thank our employees for their exceptional execution and innovation throughout fiscal 2026. Their commitment enables us to deliver industry-leading products to customers around the world. This concludes our prepared remarks. Back to you, Brett.

Brett Simpson
SVP and Head of Investor Relations, Qualcomm

Thank you, Akash. Operator, we are now ready for questions.

Operator

Thank you. To queue a question, press star then the number one. To withdraw your question, press star two. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the numbers. One moment, please, for the first question. The first question comes from the line of Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

Joshua Buchalter
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Hey, guys. Thank you for taking my question. I mean, last quarter, you guys kind of telegraphed the gross margin step-down that was expected from the ASIC business starting to ramp. How should we think about it through the rest of the year, though? Because just the simple math of having to get to your $7 billion run rate exiting the year implies the data center business should grow close to 3x. Should we expect gross margins to continue to trend down through the year as a result of the larger data center business and this being the year where custom silicon is ramping aggressively? Thank you.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Hi, Josh. It's Akash. Let me kind of frame the overall gross margin framework for the company. As you know, we mentioned this last quarter, we are implementing price increases to reflect the higher semiconductor cost across the industry. We start realizing the benefit of that in our second fiscal quarter, and we'll see the full benefit of that show up in second half of 2027.

The way it plays out is as these price increases come into effect, our baseline gross margin goes back to our historical range of 48%-50% at the low end of that range. Separately, on your question on data center, as we said previously, we expect that to be something that is accretive to our operating margins, but dilutive to gross margins. That calibrates the gross margin down from the framework I just outlined. That's no different than what we told you last quarter, and we're executing on that plan.

Joshua Buchalter
Managing Director, TD Cowen

Thank you for the color there, Akash. For my follow-up, it was good to see the HPC demos that you outlined earlier this week. Can you speak to what type of workloads you're seeing the most traction for your accelerator parts initially? Then, any updates on the commercial traction as we think about that? I believe that's supposed to start contributing and ramping in the fiscal second half of this year, which is kind of only a couple quarters away at this point. Thank you.

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Thanks, Josh. This is Cristiano. We're very happy with the progress we're making on HPC. We're actually doing better than what we said on Investor Day. We had a target on the design to about 0.5 picojoules per bit. We're doing better in the lab. We're doing about 0.3. Yield is exceeding our expectations. So we're very happy with the technology progress. The main workload that we're getting a lot of traction, it's incredibly efficient for decode. So decode, it's where we're getting a lot of the positive feedback. We are engaged with customer. It changes the conversation when you have a PowerPoint to where you have silicon.

I think that continues to build confidence in the projections we have, not only for our custom ASIC, but for merchant solutions coming up as we think about 2029 targets. What is also interesting, it's now became part of the conversation of custom silicon with HPC, combining our HPC with some of our customer accelerators. I would just say customer engagement is very positive.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Joseph Cardoso with JP Morgan. Please proceed with your questions.

Joseph Cardoso
VP and Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks for the question here. Maybe just wanted to start off first with, happy for you guys to give us the disclosure around how to think about the data center revenue ramp through the year. Maybe can you just provide a little bit more color on how you're thinking about your customers and how they get paced into that revenue ramp through the year itself? Then maybe the second aspect there too is, I think in the past you talked about two customers. So can you provide any color on the third customer here that's mentioned in the slide deck and how you're thinking about that, getting it to find in the guidance that you provided for this year, the third customer ramp at another point? Then I do have a follow-up. Thank you.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Okay. Joseph, this is Akash. So let me address the financials, then Cristiano will comment on top on customer ramp. So for fiscal 2027, we are looking at $5 billion revenue forecast that we've previously provided. We're guiding greater than $650 million in the first quarter, and we expect this revenue to ramp throughout the year as we go through the quarters. We'll exit the year at approximately a $7 billion exit rate going into 2028. Very happy with that. We will be very well-positioned from a supply perspective to execute on the $5 billion target. Really, we expect to be constrained by supply rather than demand for upsides beyond the $5 billion.

When you look at fiscal 2028, we are looking at a $7 billion starting point, and the customers that we have in 2027 will extend to 2028 as well, and it gives us really strong design win coverage to deliver very strong year-over-year growth in fiscal 2028 as well. Then, as you know, we have set a target of $15 billion for 2029, which the customer engagements that Cris and I will outline right after this will position us very well to have a very high coverage of that number as well.

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Just real quick, Joseph, on the customer. The majority of the $5 billion in fiscal 2027 come from the two hyperscaler customers, so one of them being Amazon. I think the details of those were made public on the custom silicon plus connectivity. We do have another customer on the accelerator and an advanced discussion also on subsequent custom silicon that is part of the ramp towards 2028 and 2029. We had said in the script, I think, we have new prospects, especially on the CPU as well, I think, beyond Meta, and we're working with the customers.

Joseph Cardoso
VP and Analyst, JPMorgan

Got it. Appreciate the color there. Maybe just wanted to double-click on how you guys were framing handset revenue kind of exiting the year and into next year. Specifically, how are you guys thinking about the growth here in terms of pricing layering on? I know it sounds like you're not expecting that to be in the period or to kind of tranche here over the subsequent quarters, but any more color you can help us think about how that pricing ends up influencing kind of the numbers here and the magnitude that we should be thinking about?

As a second question, just bigger picture, obviously when we look at the market data points on the handset market, it does seem like a contraction on kind of the memory prices has been something we've been witnessing through this year. Just any early thoughts on how you're thinking about the health of the market going into next year? Would appreciate it. Thank you.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Yeah, Joseph, when you look at the overall handset market, 2025- 2026, as like other industry analysts, we are projecting a low teens to mid-teens decline in the market. As we go into 2027, we're thinking flat to slightly down for the handset market. That's how we've always projected our business based on that assumption, and it's playing out consistent with expectations. Specifically for QCT handset revenue in Android, as you'll recall, we called the June quarter the bottom for QCT handset revenues and Android in China. What has happened since is we've seen revenue grow into September and December quarter. We are encouraged to see that. We've been conservative in our planning, and it's playing out exactly as we'd expected.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your questions.

Joe Moore
Managing Director and Head of Semiconductor Research Team, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thank you. In terms of the royalty rate, you sort of said that the revenue run rate of QTL is unchanged. Is that the rate per device kind of similar as you look at these new contracts that you signed? Is there any change there? I assume that's right, but I just want to make sure.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Yeah, Joe, we obviously don't specifically talk about the details of the contract, they're confidential, but we are indicating that the revenue run rate remains the same, which you should take it as we were able to hold the rates and the royalties as we renewed the contracts.

Joe Moore
Managing Director and Head of Semiconductor Research Team, Morgan Stanley

Great. That's helpful. Separately, on the Amazon deal, the warrant structure that you have there, do you view that as kind of the model for approaching other customers? Do you expect to have those types of warrant arrangements, or is that unique to that specific relationship?

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Well, if you look at our general set of engagements across data center, the engagements are very traditional, normal kind of customer engagements in the semiconductor industry. The Amazon warrant structure is the exception, and as you know, the warrants that we issued were at-the-money warrants. That is the only exception that we have at this point. I think as we consider data center engagements going forward, we will look at other structures on a deal-by-deal basis, but you should think of our framework as being aligned with the traditional semiconductor model.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS. Please proceed with your questions.

Timothy Arcuri
Managing Director, UBS

Thanks a lot. Akash, I was wondering if you can provide a little bit of maybe outlook into March. I know that you do not want to guide March, but I think last call you thought that revenue would be up a little bit in March. You have easy comps for Apple into March. Android should be a little better. Can you just give us kind of just a sense on March would be great. Thanks.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Yeah. Tim, you are right. We are not guiding March at this point. Let me make a few comments on the year that I hope are helpful. The first is, typically in previous years, December has been our strongest quarter in the year. Now with Apple product revenue ramp down, we do not expect December to be the high quarter for us. When you look at data center revenue, we have talked about kind of greater than $650 million in the first quarter, but we expect that to ramp as we go through the year, so that kind of defines our quarterly profile to some extent.

The third is. When you look at 2026- 2027, we expect auto IoT plus data center, kind of non-handset revenue to grow by greater than 60%. So this revenue would more than offset the decline in Apple product revenue. Finally, I think if you look at to fiscal 2027, we expect handset now to be less than 50% of our total revenue. Obviously, that's a key milestone for our diversification plan, and we are happy to achieve that this year.

Timothy Arcuri
Managing Director, UBS

Got it. You don't want to Is that because last call you did say that March would be up? I guess you don't want to commit to that now?

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Yeah, I think it's the reasonable framework that I think the way people have been looking at the business is a reasonable way of looking at it.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research. Please proceed with your question.

Stacy Rasgon
Managing Director and Analyst, Bernstein Research

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to dig into your handset market outlook a little bit. I am a little surprised still with the outlook for flat, especially given where we seem to be running at the end of the year. We are probably down more than 20% year-over-year increase here, and things do not look better, do not look all that great in Q4. You also said your own China Android revenues were actually starting to grow in, I guess, September and December. You are also doing price increases. How do you know in the context of everything that is going on that that is just not pre-buys in front of the price increases in Android? I am just struggling a little bit with the handset outlook. Any further color you could give on that would be super helpful for me. Thanks.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Sure, Stacy. Let me break it down into two parts. Let us talk about the market and then separately talk about QCT product revenue within Android. Overall market, as I said earlier, our view is that 2025- 2026, it is down low to mid-teens. Then 2026- 2027, we are projecting flat to down for the total market. So we think that is a prudent assumption as we plan, given the uncertainty overall in the environment.

Specifically on QCT revenue, as you will recall, the impact we saw in 2026 was not just from the change in the market, but also channel inventory drawdown by OEMs. We do not expect that impact in 2027 because we have been following channel inventory. As you know, we get QTL information as well that we can check against. The channel inventory continues to be thin, so we expect QCT revenue really to be aligned with the overall market, and that is how we are projecting it going forward.

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Maybe, Stacy, Cristiano, just to add another thing. One of the things we had said before, and that is because of our long-term partnerships that we have with our customers, a lot of the price increases, the reason that they have a delta versus the cost increase, and we talk about prices become more effective in the numbers in the second half, we have been pricing newer platforms, new phones, so less subject to pre-buying effect. As Akash said, I think based on the data we are seeing in the market, June remains, I think, the bottom, I think, for China Android.

Stacy Rasgon
Managing Director and Analyst, Bernstein Research

If I could ask one follow-up, please. You talked about Samsung market share framework, 75%. Is that still the framework share you have in mind for your share with them in their next generation platform that ramps in 2027?

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Yeah, absolutely. Here is how we think about the Samsung business, and here is a simple way to do it. If you think about our business in the past, the baseline was 50%. This baseline is no longer 50%. It is north of 70%, as we have been doing. When you think about future generations of Galaxy, this is how we plan our business, and I encourage all of you to plan the same way. That is the new baseline with Samsung. The other thing with Samsung is we are expanding the business. So traditionally, we were not the main supplier of all of their wearables and other devices, and you started to see that associated with the premium Galaxy design as well.

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Ben Reitzes with Melius Research. Please proceed with your questions.

Ben Reitzes
Managing Director and Head of Technology Research, Melius Research

Hey, guys. Thanks. I am switching my question because Stacy just asked on the Samsung. So I wanted to ask about automotive with regard to the beat in the quarter versus expectations. I know you are talking about IoT, automotive, and data center all growing 60% for the year. But specifically in automotive, it was particularly strong versus expectations, and you are increasing some prices that you mentioned. Is there a chance that there was pre-buying there in the automotive segment, or do you feel like this kind of performance is sustainable throughout the year? Then I have a follow-up. Thanks.

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

No, very good. Thank you for your question. Look, we have been saying, I believe we have said that last quarter about the transition for fifth-generation platform. Just to give an idea, for cars that you see now on the road that were for the third-generation platform, the silicon content increase versus the fifth generation, it's 8x. There's a lot more compute content into the automotive, and most of our automotive growth is really share where the design win pipeline translate into revenue. That's where you started to see step function increases on the SoC revenue, and that will continue.

Ben Reitzes
Managing Director and Head of Technology Research, Melius Research

Okay, thanks. Akash, with regard to the EBIT margins, the EBT margins for QCT. How's that going to progress throughout the year from the 20% to 22% that you guided for, given the mix shift towards data center? I was a little unclear there. How should we model that as we go throughout the year? Thank you.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Yeah. Ben, so maybe it's a good opportunity to clarify that one of the changes we've made in the way we segment the business is QCT now includes data center. In 2026, it was outside the QCT segment. Just that change kind of reduces QCT gross margin, operating margin by 3%, as of course, we're investing ahead of revenue in a couple product lines. It doesn't change the overall Qualcomm numbers. It's just a change within segments that is included now in the QCT numbers. We're, of course, not guiding specific quarters or years for operating margins, but you should think of it as our operating margin target for QCT doesn't change. We're still looking at a target of 30%, and as revenue starts scaling across the next two through three years, we're confident in our ability to achieve it.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Vivek Arya with Bank of America. Please proceed with your questions.

Liam Pharr
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, this is Liam Pharr on for Vivek. Thank you for taking my question. On networking interconnects, you mentioned the AWS optical ramp and a second optical connectivity customer. Could you help us size how large connectivity is today and how you see it growing into fiscal 2027 and 2028 as you move to 224G and 1.6T? Does the ongoing consolidation in the optical interconnect space impact you in any way? Do you see any natural synergies between interconnects and lasers from an ownership standpoint? Thank you.

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Very good. Actually, thank you so much for your question. Really appreciate that. So we are not breaking that down, but you should assume that there is interconnect connectivity revenue within the $15 billion that we talk about it, and some of the $5 billion that we talk about in data center, $5 billion 2027, $15 billion 2029. We have been very optimistic about this. We have been investing. This asset came to Qualcomm as part of the Alphawave acquisition. I think Qualcomm is probably a natural place for comms, and we have been investing into this. We have very interesting technology demonstration of progress with optical and co-packaged optics in the quarter, in the 2026 ECOC in Europe. We actually did the demonstration with Lumentum. You bring a good point. I think the structure of the industry is going to change.

My analogy is what happened on RF front end, and that creates opportunity. We have been engaged in very interesting conversations with some of the laser companies, especially as different forms of partnerships and strategic partnerships are going to be formed. This is actually a very exciting opportunity for Qualcomm, and you are going to see over time a lot more products from Qualcomm on optics. We have been working on the roadmap that we outline in 400 gig, 800, and 1.6 tera.

Liam Pharr
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. On the Dragonfly CPU, you mentioned new prospects beyond Meta. How should we think about the relative upside in CPUs relative to custom accelerators? With the Arm remedies phase still pending, does the outcome have any implications for your CPU roadmap or cost structure? Thank you.

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Let me break that question in two. No implications on our CPU roadmap. I think we have been very clear about where we are with the Arm trial. We are actually very happy with our ability to continue to develop and ship Oryon products. I will look at that as probably upside in the projections that we made on $5 billion and $15 billion. We just had Meta as a customer. Any new customer above that is an upside to the revenue target.

Operator

The next questions are from the line of Jim Schneider with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your questions.

Jim Schneider
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I was wondering if you could maybe just clarify relative to the three distinct hyperscale customers that you are ramping through fiscal 2027, will all three of those be at some kind of revenue materiality exiting the year, or will it just be maybe two of them and one will kind of fall outside the year? Thank you.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

You should think of two of those customers at a very significant scale making up that $5 billion, and they will extend into fiscal 2028 and then 2029 as well. Think of it as a long-term, multi-generation, multi-product relationship, and both the relationships are at scale.

Jim Schneider
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you. Then, as we model fiscal 2027, you provide some helpful overall EBIT margin commentary in terms of the profile of the year, but is there any way to think about OPEX, and specifically, is there any kind of material OPEX step-up that we should be thinking about during the course of fiscal 2027? Thanks.

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Yeah. I think you should just think of our OPEX approach as consistent over the last year. We're guiding $2.8 billion for the September quarter. The focus on OPEX is really kind of bringing in new skills that don't exist in the company as we diversify, especially within Data Center, and that'll continue to be the focus area for us going forward. Just maybe one timing thing is just we typically have calendar year employee-related expenses reset when we get to January, so that'll happen, but that's kind of consistent with previous years that you've seen.

Operator

Thank you. Our final question is from the line of Chris C aso with Wolfe Research. Please proceed with your questions.

Chris Caso
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Yes, good evening. I guess first question is with regard to the Starlink announcement you made this morning. Could you give some more color on that in terms of timing, magnitude, and what Qualcomm is providing into that venture?

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

Yes. Thanks for the question, Chris. Timing, I think we talk about 2027. You should think about from a financial standpoint, it will start to appear as we exit fiscal 2027. It is more of a fiscal 2028 from a revenue standpoint. Magnitude, I think what we can say at this point, and I think it is probably how we both articulated into the announcement, is a nationwide network in the United States and probably one of the largest build-outs of a network. It is terrestrial network. We provide silicon content for radio, including massive MIMO, as well as the accelerator for the digital unit, and we provide software on the Layer 1. It is a great partnership with SpaceX for next-generation, I think, infrastructure. The industry has been running on dedicated equipment.

I think we have seen a lot of trends of technology ranging from Open RAN to AI native as an opportunity to innovate in this space. As we talk about it is a multi-year agreement, and including how we are going to be thinking about the next generation of wireless as well. We are very proud of this announcement. I think it is great, also from the United States technology leadership standpoint, and we are going to be executing on it.

Chris Caso
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Great. As a follow-up question, I wonder if you could give some color, and I know you talked a bit about this in the Analyst Day, but in terms of what product categories are in the Data Center revenue in the $5 billion in fiscal 2027 and when other products layer in. Obviously, for near term, for this year, is it all connectivity revenue? Is there, assuming that there is no accelerator revenue in the numbers for the $5 billion that comes in 2027?

Akash Palkhiwala
CFO and COO, Qualcomm

Chris, so for the $5 billion in 2027, most of that revenue is actually custom silicon engagement for the main AI accelerator at our two hyperscaler customers. The next category that is material in the $5 billion in fiscal 2027 is the connectivity revenue. So you should think of those as driving the FY 2027 revenue ramp. When you think about the $15 billion revenue in 2029, that will be inclusive of the custom silicon engagement, expansion in connectivity, but then we will also have CPU and AI accelerator both coming in. That is why we feel confident about achieving the $15 billion and really going beyond that as we execute on the product roadmap, given how good our technology is looking and the interest that we are seeing from various hyperscalers.

Operator

Thank you. That concludes today's question and answer session. Mr. Amon, do you have anything further to add before adjourning the call?

Cristiano Amon
President and CEO, Qualcomm

No, I just wanted to thank our employees and our partners. As I said in my prepared remarks, this is an important, I think, close of a fiscal year for Qualcomm, and it really positioned us to start fiscal 2027 with all of the things that within our control and focus on growing in a much more diversified company. We're very excited about that. We have a lot of things we're doing in parallel, but I guess we develop that capability as we diversify the company, and we're excited about our future. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.