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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

May 4, 2023

Operator

Welcome to Ryman Hospitality Properties Q1 2023 earnings conference call. Hosting the call today from Ryman Hospitality Properties are Mr. Colin Reed, Executive Chairman, Mr. Mark Fioravanti, President and Chief Executive Officer, Ms. Jennifer Hutcheson, Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Patrick Chaffin, Chief Operating Officer. This call will be available for digital replay. The number is 800-757-4768, with no conference ID required. At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen-only mode. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Ms. Jennifer Hutcheson. Ma'am, you may begin.

Jennifer Hutcheson
Executive VP and CFO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Good morning. Thank you all for joining us today. This call may contain forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements about the company's expected financial performance. Any statements we make today that are not statements of historical fact may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Words such as believes or expects are intended to identify these statements, which may be affected by many factors, including those listed in the company's SEC filings and in today's release. The company's actual results may differ materially from the results we discuss or project today. We will not update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of any new information, future events, or any other reason. We will also discuss non-GAAP financial measures today. We reconcile each non-GAAP measure to the most comparable GAAP measure in exhibits to today's release.

I'll now turn over the call over to Colin.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thanks, Jen. Good morning, everyone. As you recall, we exited 2022 on a high note, led by a fantastic fourth quarter response to our holiday programming. I'm pleased to report today that in the first quarter of 2023, our momentum continued with our group business off to a tremendous start. For the quarter, our consolidated hospitality portfolio achieved 72.3% occupancy and Q1 records for group transient and total ADR, as well as total revenue and total adjusted EBIT, EBITDA, EBITDARE. This is quite a feat and something the overall industry cannot yet boast. It's a testament to our differentiated group focus, the strategies we have employed, and the capital we have invested over the last three years.

Whether it was strengthening our customer relationships, rebooking pandemic cancellations, capturing new group and leisure demand with expanded programming and offerings, or improving our operating efficiencies in technology, altogether, our strategies and investments elevated our value proposition for group and leisure customers. This is really what you're witnessing in these results. Our hotels finished the first quarter strongly, with the month of March being the best non-December month for total revenue of all time, and March adjusted EBITDA being the all-time highest of any month, including December. On that note, we're pleased to substantially increase our guidance range for the hospitality segment for the year, as Mark and Jen will detail.

Our strategy over the last three years is clearly paying dividends, figuratively and literally, as I'm also happy to announce our board has authorized an increase in our quarterly dividend to $1 per share from $0.75. In our entertainment business, we're off to an equally impressive start to the new year. Excluding our acquisition of Block 21 on a same-store basis compared to last year's Q1 , our entertainment portfolio delivered 33% revenue growth and more than doubled same-store adjusted EBITDARE. Nashville continues to flourish as a destination for all things music and entertainment. Our assets here set a number of records of their own in the first quarter, besides simply total revenue and adjusted EBITDARE. These include record total attendance for the Opry show and record tour attendance for the Opry House as well.

The Ryman Auditorium also set a record for the number of events. Just as the groups in our hotels are spending well on property, we saw record per cap food and beverage revenue at the Opry and The Ryman. I could go on, but I will stop here and remind you that the work is not finished for this business either. In fact, quite the contrary. We're in the early stages of new growth, as illustrated by the progress we're making on building out our new and latest and biggest Ole Red venue in Las Vegas. We've begun to transform operations on the ground at Block 21 in Austin. Hopefully, you'll see our latest announcement that we did a couple of weeks back when we unveiled our new partnership with country music's biggest sensation today, and my buddy, Luke Combs.

Together with Luke, we will completely reinvent the Wildhorse Saloon in downtown Nashville, converted it into a multi-level, multi-concept, immersive entertainment experience capped by the best situated rooftop venue in Nashville, all with themes inspired by Luke's music and his passions. Fun times ahead. Stay tuned. Mark, why don't you give the folks an update on the numbers for the quarter?

Mark Fioravanti
President, CEO, and Board Member, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thanks, Colin. The Q1 was a great way to start a new year, especially relative to the last three. The strong performance we saw across our businesses was more affirming than it was surprising for us, given the strategic investments and the work we've done over the last three years. We were pleased to see both group and transient contributed to the strong occupancy, ADR, and total RevPAR results we reported last night.

On the group side, we traveled just over 4% more group room nights than the first quarter of 2019. The occupancy comparison to 2019 was helped by the Rockies as it was in its first quarter of operation after opening in December of 2018. On the other hand, we also have 300 additional rooms in inventory compared to the first quarter of 2019 due to the Palms expansion opening in 2021. To reach this level of occupancy across the portfolio of our size less than a year after Omicron is impressive, and something you still won't find more broadly in our industry. To post these levels of RevPAR and total RevPAR, while not yet exceeding 2019 on occupancy, is remarkable.

Our ADR and RevPAR posted over 18% growth compared to the first quarter of 2019, and our total RevPAR grew 24.5% against the same period. By segment, group ADR was up 12.7%, and transient ADR was up 39.3%, again, compared to the first quarter of 2019, as both segments reached new all-time first quarter records for ADR. This performance came against the not so easy macroeconomic backdrop, with record inflation and difficult wage environment compared to 2019. We executed sharply on our improved operating model, delivering over $151 million of adjusted EBITDARE in our hospitality segment, or 33% growth over the first quarter of 2019. This is over 180 basis points of margin improvement to a record first quarter adjusted EBITDARE margin of 35.6% for this segment.

Group outside the room spend truly shined this quarter, notably in terms of catering. Driven by a favorable mix of corporate group room nights and group spending freely on property, several hotels set individual monthly catering revenue records in March. In total, food and beverage revenue grew over $44 million, or 26% compared to the Q1 of 2019. The operational improvements and reconcepting we have accomplished across many of our outlets drove excellent flow through on this revenue stream of close to 47%. Excluding higher cancellation and attrition fee revenues and the lower contribution from Gaylord National bond interest, we drove a total of $79.5 million of incremental operating revenue at 40% flow through over the first quarter of 2019. This is despite being back in the incentive management fee with Marriott and the material labor expense differential compared to that year.

On the strength of this quarter, and as we move into the year and gain further visibility, we're pleased to increase our full year guidance ranges for RevPAR and total RevPAR growth, as well as adjusted EBITDARE for the hospitality segment. We now expect RevPAR growth on a year-over-year basis to be in the range of 11%-13.5%, and total RevPAR growth to be in the range of 8.5%-10.5%. This is an increase of 175 and 150 basis points at the midpoint, respectively, compared to our initial guidance in February. We expect full year adjusted EBITDARE for the hospitality segment to be in the range of $570 million-$600 million, an increase of $20 million at the midpoint.

By quarter, we expect the last three quarters of the year should each contribute about the same share to their Q3 total as the last three quarters of both 2019 and 2022 did to theirs. That is, the second and Q4 should contribute a bit more than 1/3 of the total, and the Q3 a bit less. We continue to see no deterioration in the key leading indicators we track, but of course, we read the same headlines as everyone else, and so we believe we have had an appropriate amount of caution in our near-term views. Looking beyond 2023, we were also pleased with the group sales production in the quarter.

We booked over 348,000 gross group room nights in the quarter, which while down compared to the first quarter of last year, was up 9% when you back out the Omicron related rebookings in last year's first quarter. As we frequently emphasized, we continue to prioritize ADR in our sales production to capitalize on the favorable supply demand backdrop in our space. On that front, we were successful yet again in the first quarter with an average rate across all new group bookings of $252 an all-time high for the first quarter and up 9% to the first quarter of 2022, and 23% to the first quarter of 2019. This ongoing strength in production continues to bolster our confidence for the remainder of 2023 as well as future years.

As of April 1st, we had more net group rooms revenue on our books for the balance of the current year, as well as each of the next four calendar years from 2024 to 2027, as we did back on April first of 2019 for the balance of that year and for the period 2020 through 2023. In short, our hotel business is in the best position it's ever been in terms of total group rooms revenue on the books for all future years, which sets us up to continue driving the profitability of these assets in the years to come.

In addition to our on the books revenue, we also look forward to our current and planned growth capital investments making their own contributions in the years ahead, led by our latest project, the renovation of the Gaylord Rockies Grand Lodge, and the construction of a new group pavilion, which we expect to open next year. These types of investments will further differentiate our portfolio compared to the industry as we emerge in the post-pandemic era. As we finally lap the Omicron impact of the first quarter of last year, we look forward to demonstrating the full year earnings power and growth potential of this great one-of-a-kind portfolio, including the contributions to come from these high return investments.

In our entertainment segment, the Q1 performance of our same store assets that Colin highlighted was another great storyline with the city of Nashville continuing to outdo itself. Adding the incremental contribution of Block 21 on a consolidated basis, the business generated $67.3 million of revenue and $14.3 million of adjusted EBITDARE, compared to $32.8 million and $8.1 million in the first quarter of 2019, respectively. Given this performance and our current pace for the remainder of the year, we're increasing our guidance for the entertainment segment profitability to a range of $94 million-$104 million of adjusted EBITDARE, an increase of $7 million at the midpoint compared to our range in February. This represents $41 million more in profitability at the midpoint than this business delivered in full year 2019.

That's a significant amount of growth over a four-year period interrupted by a pandemic. As Colin noted, we have more on tap. We're working on some truly exciting opportunities in both our hospitality and entertainment businesses, and our balance sheet and liquidity is an important element in allowing us to execute on multiple opportunities at once. I'll turn it over to Jennifer to update you on where those stand, as well as our dividend and consolidated guidance range.

Jennifer Hutcheson
Executive VP and CFO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thank you, Mark. In the first quarter, the company generated total revenue of $491.7 million and net income to common shareholders of $61.3 million, or $1.02 per fully diluted share. Note, as usual, that our fully diluted share count in the quarter reflects the put rights held by Atairos as part of their Opry Entertainment Group investment. Those rights are not yet exercisable, and we retain the option to settle any exercise of these rights in cash. Any exercise of the put rights would also result in Atairos' 30% ownership in OEG reverting back to Ryman.

Total consolidated adjusted EBITDARE for the Q1 was $157.7 million, led by the outperformance of both our hospitality and entertainment segments, while our corporate segment remained within our expectations. We are reaffirming our corporate segment guidance with this release. Together with the operating segment guidance Mark outlined, this puts our new consolidated adjusted EBITDARE guidance range for the year at $632 million-$675 million, or an increase of $27 million at the midpoint compared to our previous guidance. The midpoint also represents a 17.6% increase over 2022 and a 28% increase over 2019 actual results.

We are also increasing our guidance for adjusted funds from operations, or AFFO, for the year to a range of $425 million-$454 million, primarily reflecting the flow-through of the increased adjusted EBITDARE. At the midpoint, this represents growth of 21% over 2022 and 23% over 2019 for AFFO. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $318.5 million of unrestricted cash on hand, and our $700 million revolving credit facility remained undrawn. Our pre-Entertainment Group $65 million revolver had a balance of $7 million outstanding. The combined capacity of our revolving credit facilities and cash on hand give us total liquidity of approximately $1.1 billion after deducting $14 million of outstanding letters of credit.

We retained an additional $95 million of restricted cash available for certain FF&E projects and other maintenance. On a trailing 12-month basis, our net leverage ratio of total consolidated net debt to adjusted EBITDARE stood at four times. Based on the midpoint of our guidance, we anticipate we will end the year at approximately the same ratio, factoring in the resumption of the dividend at the newly declared $1 per share, which represents a 33% increase over our prior dividend level of $0.75 per share. This is a significant accomplishment looking back at the losses we sustained during the pandemic, as this leverage level is not only well within our target range, but also below our year-end 2019 level.

This is another testament to the actions we took during the pandemic, rebooking lost business and investing for the recovery ahead to get us to this point. In terms of interest rate exposure maturities, as of quarter end, approximately 90% of our outstanding debt was at fixed rates, either directly or with the benefit of swaps, with two swaps expiring in 2023 on the Gaylord Rockies term loan and our corporate Term Loan B. We've met all the requirements to exercise the first of our three one-year extensions on the Gaylord Rockies term loan, we today launched the recast of our corporate credit facility and Term Loan B with our bank group. These actions address our maturities through 2024 and ultimately through 2026 when taking into account the remaining extension options on the Rockies.

Any impact to interest expense as a result of these refinancings or extensions has been incorporated into our guidance range. Our balance sheet and liquidity continue to be in excellent shape to not only support our capital deployment opportunities, but also to continue delivering meaningful dividend growth as our business continues to reach new levels. It remains our intention to pay 100% of our REIT taxable income through dividends. With that, I'll turn it back over to Colin.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thanks, Jen. I think Gretchen will open up the lines for questions, please.

Operator

At this time, if you'd like to ask a question, please press the star and one on your touch-tone phone. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star two. Once again, that is star and one to ask a question. We'll take our first question from Smedes Rose from Citi.

Smedes Rose
Director, Citi

Hi. Thanks. You have a lot of positive data on the group outlook, and I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit about group composition and maybe what you're seeing kind of from association versus corporate? Are there any areas where there's still room to make up versus maybe areas that are now back to kind of peak levels kind of as you think about your group segmentation?

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Smedes, good morning. Patrick.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Good morning, Smedes. It's Patrick. Great question. If you look at our mix for the remainder of this year, it's pretty similar to what we saw in 2022, a little bit heavier mix of corporate versus association. If you look at what's on the books for 2024, there's an increase, a pretty material increase in the amount of corporate on the books, which we see is a very good sign because of the opportunities that creates for us on the banquet side of the house. I would tell you that that's indicative of what we've seen so far. Corporate has come back much faster. They're doing very well outside the room, and we are getting excellent rate growth from corporate groups.

Association has been a little bit slower, as you would expect, just given the nature of that piece of the industry. We're also getting very good rate from association as well. Good signs that association is coming back, but not quite as fast as corporate, but that bodes very well for our business going into the future.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Lead volumes?

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Lead volumes look very, very good. Our lead volumes at the end of the first quarter, were up over 2022 and 2019. On the corporate side, that was clearly the winner in terms of lead volume growth versus 2019.

Smedes Rose
Director, Citi

Great. Thank you. I just wanted to ask you too, I know you have to report, the way you do because of Atairos', options to put its interest back to you, but I think you have about almost four quarters now with them under your belt. Can you maybe give a sense of their satisfaction with the arrangement as you have it now? Kind of, are they contributing from a strategic perspective? Or maybe you could just sort of update us on how that relationship looks.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

I'll start, and Mark, you then may wanna jump in. You know, I can tell you from my perspective, you know, things were a little slow as we were navigating the, you know, the massive organization of Comcast NBCUniversal. I would say over the last six months, we've become very, very excited about the prospects here. I would tell you, these folks that we're dealing with at Atairos are really good people, and we have a very strong relationship, our company does, with them. And I really enjoy the amount of sort of strategic thoughts that we get from this organization. We've got a lot of good stuff that we're working on with them.

We announced the People's Choice Awards.

Mark Fioravanti
President, CEO, and Board Member, Ryman Hospitality Properties

People's Choice and Country Awards. We're producing an Opry Christmas special with NBC.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Those projects are starting. Smedes, to Colin's point, you know, one of the important aspects of why we selected Atairos, NBC Universal was cultural compatibility. I think how they viewed the business that we run currently in terms of the brands and the stewardship responsibilities there, as well as, you know, what the broader long-term growth opportunities are. You know, we are working very closely with them on a whole bunch of different not only near-term opportunities but longer-term strategic opportunities.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. I would hope that over the course of the next, you know, six months, there's gonna be more announcements we'll be able to make, to, you know, illustrate the importance of this partnership.

Smedes Rose
Director, Citi

Great. Thank you. Thank you guys. Appreciate it.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thanks, Smedes.

Operator

Our next question comes from Shaun Kelley, Bank of America.

Shaun Kelley
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, good morning, everyone. Colin or Mark, I just wanted to maybe start with the kinda looking out to 2024 and beyond. Can you just give us a sense of, you know, pricing across the portfolio, the strength of that? Also maybe a little bit of color around mix shift. The reason I'm asking is obviously, you know, with the way that group business, you know, tends to work, you know, you should have some, I think, continued benefits from that going forward, even beyond, you know, sort of all of the recovery years that are now increasingly behind us.

Just trying to get a sense of magnitude of how much kind of price on the books, you know, could be up as we start to move into, you know, again, a much more normalized, and in some cases, maybe a little bit of a slower, you know, operating environment. You know, how much do you have kinda locked in on that side in, you know, 2024, 2025 and beyond?

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Let me make one statement, then I'm gonna turn it over to Patrick, and I don't know whether you wanna weigh in on this, Mark, as well. You know, we have been very aggressive with our manager, Marriott, as it relates to pricing of the group industry. We feel the way we have invested capital, the level of quality that our assets deliver to the consumer, we feel that there's big opportunity on pricing here. We've been, you know, pretty aggressive on pricing. You're quite right. As the business that we booked last year and the year before flows into our company in 2024 and in 2025, we are very excited about our pricing grid. Pat, you wanna give Shaun more data on this?

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Sure. Just give you a couple of data points. The Q1 of this year, we booked room nights at a 9% growth in ADR. I would tell you that we are targeting that 7%-10% range each quarter with the sales team. You know, that's a pretty aggressive target, but we see a window of opportunity here, and we're having great luck with achieving that. As you look to sort of your second question as far as mix, if you think about what I was sharing with Smedes a few minutes ago. Right now we have a higher mix of corporate room nights on the books for 2024, a pretty material increase of where we stood this time of year for 2023, a year ago.

With that, growth in corporate mix, that will help us continue to push on rate as well as then expand our banquet contribution per group room night once the group actually travels. We actually see 2024 and 2025, and hopefully beyond, but just speaking to 2024 and 2025 as very encouraging as we see group room rate moving in a very positive direction, getting to the upper single digits, and in some cases, some months we're pushing into double digits growth in ADR, and then the higher mix of corporate helping us on the banquet side and audiovisual side as well.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Let me just say one more thing. You know, Shaun, you're focused on rate, the other part of all of this that I think is so extraordinarily important is the issue of demand. When Patrick talked just a few minutes ago about what's gone on in lead volumes, as we look at our lead volumes sort of today, they are tremendous. One of the things that we've encouraged Marriott to do is add more sales personnel into our hotels because demand looks pretty robust, that should flow through in pricing. The other side of the coin is supply there's no new supply coming in our segment. We're in a pretty decent sweet spot here for group.

Quite frankly, this is one of the reasons that we're able to, you know, post revenue gains and profit gains, the likes of which we have.

Mark Fioravanti
President, CEO, and Board Member, Ryman Hospitality Properties

The third leg of that, Shaun, is that, you know, as I mentioned in my remarks, you know, we've been investing capital in some enhancements, particularly around food and beverage, reconcepting, both at the National, at the Palms, as well as significantly out at the Rockies. What that's gonna drive is, you know, incremental, outside the room spending, both leisure and group customers over the next, you know, handful of years.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. Yeah, that's a very important point.

Shaun Kelley
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. Thank you for all the color. As my follow-up, if we could just go to entertainment for a minute. Obviously, you know, a great result in the quarter. A year ago, you know, we were talking a little bit about, you non-touring schedules and things that I think impacted the business as we were coming out of COVID and some noise there, and it seems like we're back to, you know, a growth cadence. Could you just talk a little bit about both the drivers and the quarter, and then I think more importantly, going forward on some of the CapEx that's gonna be driving, you know, that, you know, that division and pipeline moving forward.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

You wanna take it, Mark?

Mark Fioravanti
President, CEO, and Board Member, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. You know, if you look at, if you look at the results in the quarter for the entertainment business, really across the board, we saw very strong demand in all of our venues. You know, whether that was, you know, the number of concert nights we had at the Ryman, which was a record, or whether it was the number of admissions or tours that we had at the Grand Ole Opry, again, record. We're seeing strong demand, continued demand for the product. Same...

We had we set some records at Block 21 as well, both in terms of show production, but also in terms of food and beverage, because we brought that business in-house, starting January 1 as opposed to outsourcing it. We were able to drive significantly higher profitability from food and beverage. You know, in terms of capital, we have a number of projects currently. You know, Colin mentioned two earlier with Las Vegas and the work that we're doing with Loop, you know, down at the Wild Horse. We're also in the middle right now of we've expanded our retail offering at the Ryman.

We're building out a VIP lounge experience at the Ryman, which will also help drive, you know, out ticket pricing as well as spending in the venue. We have a number of projects we're undertaking at Block 21 as we continue the evolution of that venue in terms of tour, enhanced tour product, enhanced retail that will open in a month or so, and enhanced food and beverage.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. The last thing I'll say, Mark, is that the other thing that we're so damn blessed about is the fact that our product is in really great markets that are growing like no tomorrow. You know, the opportunity we have is really, really tremendous here. The other thing is the quality of our product is really strong. It's different to a lot. Here in Nashville, the quality of our product is different from what you tend to see in this market, and that's why we're posting the numbers we're posting.

Shaun Kelley
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you very much.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thank you both.

Operator

Our next question comes from Dori Kesten from Wells Fargo.

Dori Kesten
Director, Wells Fargo

Thanks. Good morning. If any of you back out the cancellation and attrition fees for last year and this year, your total RevPAR guidance backs into, you know, 9% to 10.5% growth for out-of-room spend. Can you walk through why you're thinking out-of-room spend will lag room spend this year?

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Say that question one more time. Why out-of-room spend will lag what?

Dori Kesten
Director, Wells Fargo

Room spend.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Why out-of-room spend will lag room spend. Well, I mean, in the short term, we're achieving tremendous growth rates in ADR from our transient side as well as for the year group. We're getting a much higher growth rate on that rate that we're booking in the short term. I mean, I haven't seen the calculation you're speaking to, but, you know, that is the first thing I'd point to, Dori, that, you know, you're getting really good, strong growth in outside-the-room spend, but it may not be quite as strong as what you're getting in terms of room rate. The environment we're in right now, room rate is positioned to grow much faster and higher than we've seen it in the past as long as my career has existed.

Dori Kesten
Director, Wells Fargo

I guess as you think through your guidance, for the remainder of the year, how much conservatism, if you think there is, do you think is built in, with respect to in the, in the year, quarter year bookings, cancellation, attrition, or transient as you look forward to Q4 as ICE!?

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

you know, look, we sit here hour by hour, we, you know, listen to all of the rhetoric coming from multiple economists, Federal Reserve, you know, interest rate hikes, bank problems, we sit here and we say to ourselves, "We get no benefit from being Herculean in terms of our guidance, because if we miss it by $0.01, we get hammered." you know, we've provided guidance here that we believe is appropriate given the business levels that we are seeing and the business that we have on the books.

You know, I just wanna make this one statement that not only to you, Dori, but to also the other analysts that are listening, you know, last year, we raised guidance three times in the course of last year, and we've raised it one more time this year. When you look at the midpoint of our guidance for this year, and you compare it to 2019, which is the last year, you know, that we all remember pre-pandemic, we're growing profitability by almost $150 million in this period of time between 2019 and 2020 and 2020 and 2023. You know, I feel that our performance, my personal view is that this performance is extraordinary. You know, there's no other hospitality reposting numbers like this.

You know, if there is a little bit of conservatism in the, in the back three quarters, it's because, you know, we're frankly concerned by the economic environment that we're dealing with. The other thing that folks seem to forget is that what we did last year on the second, third, and fourth quarter of last year was unprecedented. We grew profitability in the second, third, and Q4 last year over 2019 by almost $100 million. No other hospitality redid that. This is spectacular numbers. You know, we're coming off the back of an incredible, you know, back end of last year, and as we sit here today, we're saying, you know, this is, this is, this is decent guidance and we'll see what happens.

Hopefully when, you know, we do the earnings call in August, we'll be telling you that hopefully we're gonna increase guidance again because, you know, that's what we've been doing here for the last year and a half.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Hey, Dori, it's Patrick. As the hotel nerd in the room at the moment, I would tell you there's probably four things that I'm kind of watching and not sure where they're going. This may be part of the reason that we're taking a cautious approach and just trying to wait and see what happens. You know, ICE came back for the first time in 2022 after being gone through all of COVID. We have been trying to figure out exactly how much of that demand that we saw was pent-up demand. Was it 5%? Was it 20%?

Not knowing exactly how much of that was pent-up demand after the show being gone for a number of years and how that impacted transient performance and admissions to the show, that makes us say we need to wait and see how Q4 builds for 2023. It could be similar, it could be dissimilar. We don't know. The second thing I would tell you is banquet performance in the Q1 of 2023 was phenomenal, March especially. We saw groups performing at levels we've just never seen them perform at. We had a great mix of corporate room nights in the Q1 , we don't know if that trend was just specific to the Q1 or if it will carry into the rest of the year.

With only three months under our belt, we did not wanna predict the future until we have a better sense of how the remainder of the year will play out. you know, in your note you talked about cancellation and attrition. yeah, we're not gonna collect anywhere near what we collected in 2022 because we don't have as much COVID remaining from Omicron and other events. as room rates increase, our ability to collect higher levels of attrition is increasing. could there be some upside there? Yes. we'll kind of watch that and see what materializes.

The last thing I would point to is, you know, we're now up against a lot more incentive management fee with Marriott, which is a really good problem to have, but we have to figure that into our projections for the remainder of the year as well.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Putting all of that aside, you know, we're gonna grow profitability this year at the midpoint over last year by $100 million. Putting it all aside, we're gonna grow profitability over 2019 at the midpoint, about $143 million. These are tremendous numbers, and I don't know where else in our industry you're seeing this type of performance.

Dori Kesten
Director, Wells Fargo

Thank you. I appreciate that response.

Operator

Our next question comes from Chris Woronka from Deutsche Bank.

Chris Woronka
Director and Senior Equity Analyst- Hotel /Lodging, Deutsche Bank

Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for all the details so far. Wanted to ask you about out of room spend looking forward as we think about. I think Patrick just kind of touched on it, but, you know, as meeting planners agree to these higher room rate increases, how do they look at agreeing to the higher out of room spend as well? I'm really just trying to get some perspective on how the meeting room planners look at, you know, increasing the cost of meetings. Is it an all-in approach or are they kinda drilling down and saying, "You know, we have to have rates up double digits. Do we wanna do less on the out of room?" If that, if that makes any sense.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah, a great question. It's something we were kind of wondering about as we were coming out of COVID and the rate environment started improving, allow us to start pushing rates up. The first thing I'd point to is what I've already talked about, as far as the increase in corporate mix as we get into 2024 and beyond. The other thing I would say is, yes, they are paying higher rates, but the feedback we continue to get from meeting planners, from attendees is they recognize more than ever the importance of getting together face-to-face.

For them to bring everyone together and then go on the cheap as far as how they take care of their attendees and their employees in this big group meeting, it would not look good for them to do that because they're trying to bring everyone together and get the company moving. A lot of our meeting planners have said these meetings are becoming essential for our culture, given how spread out and disconnected our workforce is now. When they're getting on property, we saw it happening in 2022, and it's continuing to 2023, their willingness to open up their wallets and spend a lot more outside the room has been very encouraging.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

The other thing, Pat, that, you know, we've gotta remember is the market, the stock market is trading at about $33,000, $34,000. Corporate profits are really good. You know, we're not in a 2009 environment where organizations are sort of, let's pull back, let's pull back.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

They're benefiting from inflation as well.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

They are. They're exactly right. You know, this is a moment in time that we have to take advantage of.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. I mean, I was at one of our hotels earlier this month, and, you know, they really didn't have. If you looked at what they had in March, they had tremendous banquet performance, but they didn't have any of the marquee groups that had traveled to that hotel during the month. We're kind of scratching our heads and said, you know, "How were you able to get such tremendous growth and outside the room spend?" They said, "We just saw across the board midsize groups and large groups, none of the ones that are normally the marquee top performers, but a lot of these groups that showed up just opened up and spent a lot more than they ever have in the past." We were very encouraged by that.

Chris Woronka
Director and Senior Equity Analyst- Hotel /Lodging, Deutsche Bank

Yeah. Thanks for all the color on that, guys. It's super helpful. Kind of follow-up is on the go back to the entertainment business. Look, you guys, you know, you've got the programming at the hotels nailed. You've been doing it for a long time, doing it well. Now you're kind of evolving the entertainment segment. You're growing it in different ways. The question would be, is there any point where you think you wanna kind of integrate these? I don't mean from a structural standpoint, I mean from a branding standpoint or customer standpoint. Is there any opportunity to kind of, you know, bring these things in-house?

I know Marriott has the brand, the Ryman, the Gaylord brand, so it's not really that, going down that path. It's more from the customer experience. Is there anything you can do to integrate these hotels more into the entertainment businesses, if that, if that question makes any sense?

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Well, where the product sits close to one of these big hotels, we do that. We push hotel rooms through the Opry into Opryland. We divert Opryland customers into the Grand Ole Opry into the Wildhorse. The banqueting revenue that we're generating at the Wildhorse, downtown events from Opryland.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Best ever.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Best ever. We're doing that. We've got some other ideas. Chris, your question is a real good one. We've got some other ideas that Patrick and the team are working on right now that would also potentially situate entertainment experience next to one or two of our big hotels outside of Nashville. Those are things that we're looking at. Being able to maximize the worth of the customers that we have relationships with is something that's on our mind hourly.

Chris Woronka
Director and Senior Equity Analyst- Hotel /Lodging, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Very helpful. Thanks, guys.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thanks, bud. Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Your next question comes from Patrick Scholes from Truist Securities.

Patrick Scholes
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Truist Securities

Hey, good morning, everyone. Question for you. Do, you know, do you think you're taking share from urban markets or and or conventions within those other urban markets? Thank you.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Wanna take that, Mark?

Mark Fioravanti
President, CEO, and Board Member, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. Yeah, I would say that the answer is yes, particularly as when you look at our geographic distribution, you know, when you think about the Sun Belt locations, markets like Florida, Texas, Nashville, Denver, you know, we're seeing and hearing more and more from meeting planners and organizations that, you know, they're moving out of, you know, some of the more controversial and kind of socially challenged markets, you know, places like, you know, San Francisco, Portland, Chicago, et cetera. We definitely think that, you know, we're seeing that opportunity geographically.

I would also argue that we're seeing that opportunity because of the investments we're making in our product, you know, that, you know, we're finding ways to create more and more value and deliver, you know, more and more benefits to both the meeting planner and the attendee. You know, our. On a market by market basis, I think we're you know, superiorly positioned, but also on an asset by asset basis, when you look at us compared to our competition, we just offer more to the consumer.

Patrick Scholes
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, Truist Securities

Okay. Thank you. That's it.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thanks, Patrick.

Operator

Our last question comes from Bill Crow from Raymond James.

Bill Crow
Managing Director, Raymond James

Good morning. I guess I just snuck in the deadline there. The question really is two-parter. First on Washington D.C., can you just kind of tell us how that recovery is playing out relative to the recovery you saw at the other major assets over the last year?

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Well, Mark, I mean, we're really pleased with the work that we've undertaken to improve the quality of that asset. And I think, Patrick, we're pleased with the response from the customer.

Patrick Chaffin
EVP and COO, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. I would point to several things. There's no doubt the D.C. market has recovered slower than the other top 25 markets, especially the ones in which we operate. There's a lot of challenges going on specific to that market. You know, to borrow, I'm just a Southern boy, so we're kind of the tallest hog in the trough, as far as the challenge market, but we're really performing well against the competition in the market. Plus, we've made a lot of changes to that hotel since we went into the COVID period, and that's benefiting our employee satisfaction, our guest satisfaction, our group satisfaction. We're seeing levels of performance at that hotel that we've never seen before. We've made some of the right changes. We did renovation of the room product.

We've done a complete re-concepting and repositioning of most of the food and beverage outlets to set them up better to operate in a union environment and some of the realities of the National Harbor around that hotel that has benefited us tremendously. We're seeing our food and beverage outlets perform at levels they've never performed in the past. On all fronts, we're seeing great recovery in that hotel, even though it is in a challenged market, and that's translating into really solid EBITDA growth for the hotel, given where occupancy is at. You know, that market will continue to recover, and we'll continue to watch that, but we feel like we're doing all the right things to get that hotel moving faster than the rest of the market.

Mark Fioravanti
President, CEO, and Board Member, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. I mean, and as we did, like pre-pandemic, we dramatically over-indexed as it relates to group. The challenge that we have and the opportunity that we have in that hotel is how do we bring more transient leisure business to National Harbor and into that hotel? That's the segment where I think we have the greatest opportunity.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah.

Bill Crow
Managing Director, Raymond James

Yeah. That's helpful. Thanks. Finally, Austin and the acquisition, I just wanted to see how it was penciling compared to your underwriting expectations.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Well, we've been... I mean, I think it's fair to say, Mark, we've been pleasantly surprised. We knew this asset, that combination of assets there was world-class. And even with just a little bit of pixie dust, we've seen really improved performance there. I think over the course of the next 12-18 months as we deploy capital, we I think we're gonna be very, very happy with that investment.

Mark Fioravanti
President, CEO, and Board Member, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Yeah. I mean, financial performance has been better than we underwrote it. You know, the one difference from how we thought about it when we bought it was just kind of the timing of some of the renovation work, particularly around the hotel. We've pushed that a little bit into 2024 just as we've gone through the design and pricing process. Ultimately, I think we've settled on a time period that will actually reduce our disruption because we'll get past South by Southwest, then we'll undertake the rooms renovation. We're very, very happy with performance thus far, and I would tell you that we feel more confident in the potential there longer term than I think when we underwrote it initially.

Bill Crow
Managing Director, Raymond James

Okay. Thank you all.

Colin Reed
Executive Chairman, Ryman Hospitality Properties

Thanks, Phil. Gretchen, thank you. I think that is end of this morning's earnings call. If anyone has any other questions that they want to pose, they know how to get hold of Mark, Jen, and the team. Thank you, everyone. More to follow.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's conference. You may now disconnect.

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