Reliance, Inc. (RS)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2018

Apr 26, 2018

Speaker 1

Greetings, and welcome to the Reliance Steel and Aluminum Company First Quarter 2018 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms.

Brenda Miyamoto, Investor Relations for Reliance Steel and Aluminum Thank you. You may begin.

Speaker 2

Thank you, operator. Good morning and thanks to all of you for joining our conference call to discuss our first quarter 2018 financial results. I'm joined by Greg Mullins, our President and CEO Carla Lewis, our Senior Executive Vice President and CFO Jim Hoffman, our Executive Vice President and COO and Bill Sales, our Executive Vice President of Operations. A recording of this call will be posted on the Investors section of our website at investor.rsac.com. The press release and the information on this call may contain certain forward looking statements, which are based on a number of assumptions that are subject to change and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties or other factors, which may not be under the company's control, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievement of the company to be materially different from the results, performance or other expectations implied by these forward looking statements.

These factors include, but are not limited to those factors disclosed in the company's annual report on Form 10 ks for the year ended December 31, 2017, under the caption Risk Factors and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The press release and the information on this call speak only as of today's date and the company disclaims any duty to update the information provided therein and herein. I will now turn the call over to Greg Mullins, President and CEO of Reliance.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Brenda. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our financial results. We had an exceptional Q1. The positive pricing and demand fundamentals experienced in the Q4 of 2017 continued through the Q1 of 2018, with pricing momentum building throughout the quarter. This resulted in record quarterly sales of $2,760,000,000 driven by higher selling prices and record volume of 1,600,000 tons sold.

Our strong gross profit margin of 29.7 percent, along with our record sales generated the highest quarterly gross profit dollars in our company's history of $819,900,000 Continued strong execution by our managers in the field, supported by the positive business environment, produced the 2nd highest quarterly earnings in our company's history at $2.30 per diluted share, exceeding our expectations. If not for the benefit from tax reform in the Q4 of 2017, our earnings per diluted share of $2.30 in the Q1 of 'eighteen would have been our highest on record. The metal pricing environment remained very strong throughout the quarter, resulting in a 5.6% increase in our average selling price compared to the Q4 of 2017, near the high end of our expected range and an increase of 10.3% compared to the Q1 of 'seventeen. Strong demand along with anticipated Section 232 actions drove higher metal pricing on nearly every product we sell. Section 232 activity accelerated in early March, creating the most significant price movements of the quarter, which have continued into April, especially for carbon steel products.

In addition, recent sanctions on certain Russian entities have now sparked significant increases in aluminum pricing. Together, these factors are resulting in a very positive pricing environment as we begin the Q2. The demand environment remained favorable throughout the Q1. We experienced what we believe to be a limited amount of pre buying activity from certain of our customers as a result of the rapid price increases and concern about metal availability. We believe these pre buying, combined with improved demand and normal seasonal increase in shipping volumes during the Q1, drove a 10% increase in our tons sold over the Q4 of 2017, exceeding the high end of our expected range.

In the month of March, we achieved a meaningful increase in our FIFO gross profit margin over an already strong February level equal our ability to increase our average selling prices in advance of receiving higher cost metal into our inventory. As I mentioned, the most notable price increases in March were for carbon steel products, which represent a little more than 50% of our sales dollars. We are excited about the current environment. We typically use cash during the Q1 to build our working capital as activity levels generally improve from seasonal 4th quarter levels. Due to our strong earnings, however, we were able to generate positive cash flow from operations of $13,300,000 in the first quarter.

Through continued effective inventory management, we maintained our inventory turn rate of 4.5 times based on tons consistent with 2017. We remain comfortable with our inventory position, which enables us to achieve an industry leading gross profit margin as well as provide just in time delivery to our customers, often in 24 hours or less. Turning to capital allocation. With our 2018 capital expenditure budget of $225,000,000 we continue to make strategic investments in both equipment and facilities to drive organic growth. As previously discussed, the bulk of these investments are growth related and are focused on expanding our value added processing capabilities to provide our customers with high quality products and services and quick turnaround, which supports our ability to drive our gross profit margin higher.

To drive further growth, we also maintained our focus on acquisitions of well run businesses that complement our diversification of products, services and geographies and or increase our value added processing capabilities. The pipeline for acquisition opportunities remain robust and we continue to see an uptick in the number of potential targets coming to market. On March 1, 2018, we acquired all the outstanding stock of DeBose National Energy Services in Clinton, North Carolina and its affiliate, DeBow's National Energy Fasteners and Machine Parts in Cleveland, Ohio. With combined net sales of $36,300,000 for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2017, DeBose Energy and DeBose Fasteners specialize in global fabrication, supply and distribution of metal and metal products to the nuclear industry, including utilities, component manufacturers and contractors. The DeBose acquisitions were accretive to our Q1 earnings and aligned well with our growth strategy of acquiring niche businesses that provide specialty products with high levels of value added processing at attractive returns.

The DeBose companies have consistently grown their fabrication capabilities over the past several years, and we look forward to continuing that trend. Returning capital to our stockholders also remains a key focus for Reliance. During the quarter, we repurchased $50,000,000 of our stock at an average cost of $84.38 per share, underscoring the confidence our Board and management team have in our strategy and outlook. Effective for the Q1 of 2018, we increased our regular quarterly cash dividend by 11.1 percent to $0.50 per share or an annual dividend of $2 per share. We have paid regular quarterly dividends for 59 consecutive years and increased the dividend 25 times since our 1994 IPO.

In summary, the Q1 marked a very strong start to the year, and we are extremely proud of the performance by our managers in the field. Their strong execution through pricing discipline, inventory management and expense control resulted in yet another quarter of significant company milestones and achievements. We generated record quarterly sales, record quarterly gross profit dollars and our 3rd highest quarterly pretax income dollars of $225,200,000 surpassed only by our pre tax income levels in 2,008. We remain encouraged by the positive pricing momentum and improved demand environment that has continued into the Q2. While there is still some uncertainty in the market, we are confident in our ability to maximize opportunities in the current environment with a focus on further increasing value to our stockholders.

I will now hand the call over to Jim to comment further on our operations and market conditions. Jim?

Speaker 4

Thanks, Greg, and good morning, everyone. First off, I would like to thank our folks in the field who contributed to the multiple records we achieved in the Q1. Thank you all for a job well done. Now, I'll discuss demand and pricing for our carbon, steel and alloy products as well as our outlook on certain key end markets. Bill will then address our aluminum and stainless steel products and their related end markets.

Demand for automotive, which we service mainly through our toll processing operations in the U. S. And Mexico, continues to be strong. Our volume growth in this market has been primarily due to increased aluminum content into automobiles. We remain focused on continuing to grow both our carbon and aluminum processing volumes by investing in facilities and equipment to support this important end market.

Demand in heavy industry, which includes railcar, truck trailer, shipbuilding, barge manufacturing, tank manufacturers and wind and transmission towers continued to improve compared to the Q4 of 2017 and is up considerably from the low levels we experienced in the Q1 of 2017. In particular, construction and agriculture equipment spending improved. We believe tax reform is supporting the spending uptick for heavy equipment as our customers are experiencing heightened demand for their clients who have increased their capital investments for the year. Accordingly, we are optimistic that demand in heavy industry will continue to strengthen. Demand in non residential construction market, including infrastructure, grew at a steady rate throughout the Q1, It still remains well below peak levels experienced in 2,006.

We believe tax reform has contributed to the increased activity we are seeing in this market, and we remain optimistic that domestic infrastructure spending will continue to improve, with the potential for incremental upside from federal infrastructure spending. We are well positioned to support increased volumes in our existing footprint as this end market continues to recover. Demand for products we sell into the energy market, which is mainly oil and natural gas, has been gradually strengthened. We continue to see growth in rig counts and drilling activity with mill lead times extending. Completion activity has also been gaining strength.

We are well positioned to support increased demand growth as this market continues to improve. Now, let's talk about pricing. Milk pricing for carbon steel products was extremely strong in the Q1 of 2018 due to the accelerated Section 232 activity during the quarter, which coupled with a strong demand environment has extended lead times well into the summer months. There has been multiple price increases announced for most of the carbon steel products we sell with April mill pricing up over $200 per ton from December 2017 levels for carbon steel plate and tubing, which represents our highest volume products. As a result, we were able to pass a portion of the announced price increases on to our customers during the Q1 before receiving higher cost metal into our inventory.

Looking ahead, we believe that pricing for carbon steel products will remain at current levels with the potential for continued increases on certain products in the Q2 of 2018 given the strong fundamentals in place. However, we do not anticipate the rate of increase in the 2nd quarter will be as strong as in the 1st quarter. It's also important to note that our FIFO gross profit margin is expected to compress from current levels as we receive higher cost metal into our inventory. Lastly, pricing for alloy products improved during the Q1. We believe that further increases in activity levels in the energy market should help support higher pricing going forward.

In summary, we are very pleased with the momentum we experienced in the quarter in both demand and pricing trends, and we maintain our positive outlook as we continue through the Q2 subject to any potential impact customer pre buying activity may have had in the Q1. Thank you for your attention today. I will now hand the call over to Bill to comment further on our non ferrous markets. Bill?

Speaker 5

Thank you, Jim. Good morning, everyone. First, I would also like to thank our folks in the field for their strong execution throughout the Q1. Excellent job. I'll now review pricing and demand for our aluminum and stainless steel products, including the key industries in the primary markets we sell these products into.

Aerospace demand was once again very strong in the Q1. Lead times for aluminum aerospace plate have extended compared to the Q4 of 2017. Demand in aerospace has been supported by commercial aircraft, most notably single aisle planes, as well as increased activity for many of our defense customers. The backlog for orders remains strong and build rates have been continuing to improve since the start of the year. We maintain our positive outlook for the aerospace market and feel we are well positioned to increase our market share and grow our global presence in this area as overall demand continues to improve.

Global activity in the semiconductor market has been rapidly improving. As a result, we are in the process of expanding our existing capacity in the U. S, South Korea and China to support strong customer demand. We maintain a positive outlook for the semiconductor market in 2018 based on solid demand trends and an encouraging outlook from our customers. Moving on to pricing, the majority of our sales into the aerospace market consist of heat treated aluminum products, especially plate as well as specialty stainless steel and titanium products.

Demand for heat treated aluminum plate has continued to improve. The price increases for aluminum heat treated products that took effect in April have been fully supported by the mills. We believe the recent price increase announced to take effect at

Speaker 3

the end of this month

Speaker 5

will also have market support. Looking ahead to the Q2 of 2018, we are optimistic that pricing for these products will continue to strengthen. Most of our common alloy aluminum products are sold to sheet metal fabricators that support a variety of end markets. Demand for common alloy aluminum sheet increased during the Q1 with lead times extending and now on allocation. Conversion price increases and significant increases in the Midwest spot price have full support in the market.

We expect pricing for these products to continue to strengthen in the Q2. Please note that about half of our aluminum sales are to the aerospace market, which is the one piece of our business where we participate in long term contracts with fixed selling pricing, fixed selling prices. As a result, generally our aluminum average selling prices will not follow market pricing as closely as many of the other products we sell. Finally, demand for our stainless steel flap products, which are primarily sold in the kitchen equipment, appliance and construction end market was up significantly in the Q1. Our average selling price for stainless steel products also increased driven primarily by ongoing price increase announcements by the mills as a result of rising input cost as well as Section 232 developments.

So far, all the price increases, including the recently announced May increase, have been supported in the market and demand for stainless steel remains strong. Thank you for your time and attention today. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Carla to review our Q1 2018 financial results.

Speaker 4

Carla?

Speaker 6

Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everyone. Our net sales in the Q1 of 2018 were a record at 2.76 $1,000,000,000 up 14% from the Q1 of 2017 with our tons sold up 3.6% and our average selling price per ton sold of 10.3%. Compared to the Q4 of 2017, our net sales were up 16% with our tons sold up 10% and our average selling price per ton sold up 5.6%. Our gross profit margin in the Q1 of 2018 was 29.7%, which exceeded the high end of our estimated range of 27% to 29% and drove record quarterly gross profit dollars of $819,900,000 On a FIFO basis, our gross profit margin was 30.6%, up from 30.2% in the Q1 of 2017 28.7% in the Q4 of 2017. As we've explained previously, we may exceed our range in periods of mill price increases when we are able to pass on higher prices to our customers in advance of receiving the higher cost metal into our inventory.

As a result of higher metal prices during the quarter, we recorded a net LIFO inventory valuation charge or expense of $25,000,000 for the Q1 of 2018 compared to $10,000,000 in the Q1 of 2017 $4,500,000 in the Q4 of 2017. We have increased our estimated full year 2018 LIFO expense to $100,000,000 from our previous estimate of $80,000,000 given the significant price increases announced to date. We anticipate some softening in prices in the second half of the year from current levels, but continue to expect our year end inventory cost on hand will be higher than at the end of 2017. We will update our expectations quarterly based upon our inventory costs and metal pricing trends. As a percentage of sales, our first quarter SG and A expenses were 18.8%, down from 19.7% in the Q1 of 2017 and down from 20.2% in the Q4 of 2017.

The reductions as a percentage of sales were primarily due to higher selling prices during the Q1, which increased our net sales. Our same store SG and A expenses were up $38,100,000 or 8% from the Q1 of 2017, primarily due to our 3.5% increase in same store tons sold, compensation increases related to annual wage increases effective January 1 and higher incentive due to our increased earnings levels along with significant increases in freight expenses. Our effective income tax rate for the Q1 was 24.0 percent, down from 32.7% in the Q1 of 2017 due to tax reform contributing favorably to our earnings and cash flow. Net income attributable to Reliance for the Q1 of 2018 was $169,000,000 or $2.30 per diluted share, the 2nd highest in our company's history. Non GAAP earnings per diluted share were also $2.30 up 51.3 percent from 1 point that's 88.5 percent from $1.22 in the Q4 of 2017.

Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow. As a result of our higher average selling prices and shipment levels, along with our strong gross profit margin and effective working capital management, we generated $13,300,000 in cash from operating activities during the Q1 of 2018. We invested $41,800,000 in capital expenditures, spent $39,600,000 for an acquisition, repurchased $50,000,000 of our common stock and paid $38,500,000 in dividends to our stockholders. At March 31, 2018, our total debt outstanding was $2,060,000,000 resulting in a net debt to total capital ratio of 28.6%. Our net debt to EBITDA multiple was 2.0x, in line with our targeted financial profile.

At the end of the Q1, we had $757,100,000 available on our $1,500,000,000 revolving credit facility. Turning to our outlook. We are optimistic with regard to business activity levels in the Q2 of 2018 and anticipate that the end markets in which we operate will continue to improve, although shipment levels are expected to be impacted by the pre buying activity that occurred in the Q1. As a result, we estimate that our tons sold will be down 1% to up 1% in the Q2 of 2018 compared to the Q1 of 2018. We also believe pricing fundamentals will remain strong.

Accordingly, we expect our average selling price in the Q2 of 2018 will be up 5% to 8% compared to the Q1 of 2018. As a result, we currently expect earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $2.60 to $2.70 for the Q2 of 2018. In closing, we had excellent financial results in the Q1, thanks to outstanding execution by our managers in the field in a favorable environment. We are excited about our position in the market given our current outlook and remain confident in our ability to continue to successfully execute in this favorable market as well as to continue our growth and stockholder return activities given our strong financial position. That concludes our prepared remarks.

Thank you for your attention. And at this time, we would like to open the call up to questions. Operator?

Speaker 1

Thank Our first question comes from the line of Chris Terry with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 7

Hi, Tim. Thanks for taking my question. The first one is just on the guidance of negative 1% to 1 percent change in volumes in 2Q. With the May 1 deadline approaching on the temporary exemptions on Section 232 and potential decrease in the imports after that, have you taken that into account or how is that what is that guidance predicated on from an import sense?

Speaker 3

It's really not. It's based on demand, okay, and historical patterns that we've experienced in the past. We think there was

Speaker 5

a little bit

Speaker 3

of hedge buying, okay, in the Q1 that we think will affect us minorly, but still affect us in the second quarter here. So that's why it really wasn't affected by imports at all. It was affected our guidance is based on demand.

Speaker 7

Okay. Okay. Thank you. And then just wondering if you could talk a little bit more about the aerospace entry into India and how that's going?

Speaker 5

It's Bill. Yes. It's Bill. Yes, it's going it's a little bit behind schedule just getting some of the permits on place, but we've got equipment ready to put into the building and we're just waiting on final permits to move the equipment in there and get things up and running.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thank you. And then just the last one on the capital management side. I guess given the move in the share price, how are you thinking about buybacks versus the increase in the dividend that you've had recently in forward periods?

Speaker 3

We're going to be looking at buybacks as we have in the past. We bought $50,000,000 worth of our stock repurchased in the Q1. And if we have a dip that we feel is advantageous for us to get back into the market and purchase our stock, we'll definitely do that.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. That's all for me. Thanks.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Seth Rosenfeld with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 8

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions today. First question on pricing and then the second question on M and A, please. On the pricing outlook, thanks for your earlier comments on sustainability, perhaps incremental upside into Q2. Can you just speak a little bit more about any discrepancy you're seeing, especially within the carbon steel market between flat and long products or plate products, both in regards to activation for pricing, but also whether or not you've seen any of the pre buying amongst customers being exaggerated in any of the specific product categories?

And then second question on M and A. Can you talk a little bit more about how you're thinking about sector valuations? You did comment there's more assets coming to sale, but are you still comfortable with valuations at these levels? And then more recently, there's been some talk about Thyssenkrupp looking to dispose of their material services business. Can you talk us through your level of interest in an asset of that size?

Thank you.

Speaker 4

Yes. Hi, Seth. This is Jim Hoffman. I'll address the pricing, and I'm sure Greg would like to address the M and A. As far as pricing is concerned, we don't know what's going to happen.

All we know is we don't think there will be a dramatic reduction. As far as the pricing between long and flat, both products continue to go up. We have rapid increases actually since the Q4, they continued to climb. And like Greg said earlier, we think that was based on demand. Was there some hedge buying?

Perhaps. We don't know. We have no way of telling that. But we like the environment. Their environment, as we've always said, when the prices are higher, that's a good thing for Reliance.

I personally think the prices are not out of line. I think they've actually climbed into where they always should have been. So, we anticipate the Q2, no dramatic reductions, but it could also continue to go up as the demand goes up.

Speaker 3

On the M and A front, we're seeing it's very robust. We're looking at it carefully and we anticipate that we're going to acquire, that's what we do. So we look for potentially some good deals ahead of us, but you never know. So all I can say is it just evolves and we don't as a company, as a management team, we don't say we want to do X number of acquisitions in a year or anything like that. We just we look at the opportunities, we value them when we think it's the right thing to do and then let the chips fall.

So the good news is that it is a good environment for that. And I will say this also that our valuation process regardless of the environment that we're in is always the same. We've been successful in how we value companies. We've acquired over 60 companies since we our IPO in 1994. Our valuation process does not change and no matter what environment we're in and we think it's been very favorable to our shareholders.

Speaker 8

Thanks. Just one follow-up then on M and A. Obviously, your focus to date isn't on the U. S. Business.

I know there have been some strategic investments overseas. When you think about large scale M and A, is there interest in diversification perhaps into the European market? Or do you think that for something focused on more commodity grade products, the folks will remain in the

Speaker 3

U. S? We're open to basically any opportunity there is based on profitability, management team, etcetera. So we're not inclined to the profitability, we prefer it to be in North America. But very honestly, wherever geographically an opportunity will arise, we're going to look at it closely.

Speaker 8

That's great. Thank you very much.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Timna Tanners with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 9

Hey, good morning, everyone. Good

Speaker 4

morning. Good morning. Good morning. Good morning. Good

Speaker 9

morning. I wanted to ask on the LIFO guidance. I appreciate the detail there and I know it's tricky. But Carla, when you talk about H2 price decline, is that just for conservatism and for the explanation of how you pick that LIFO number? Or do you have any specific conviction on what drives that?

Speaker 6

Yes. So Timna, we're typically a little conservative here and trying to figure out what's happening with pricing next week is difficult at this point. So we think prices are going to hold through the Q2 and just factoring in the potential for some decline in the back half. At the end of next quarter, based on where we are on pricing, we'll update our guidance. We do, do every month, we do our LIFO calculations.

So based upon what the actual is through the Q1 of the year, we think $100,000,000 is the right number for the year at this point. That assumes prices go up a bit from where we are in the Q1. And remember, it's not just the price increases that have been announced. We still have to receive some of that higher cost inventory into our books to get to the $100,000,000 But yes, we're just anticipating that potentially in the back half there might be some downward pressure, but there is nothing indicating that at this point.

Speaker 9

Okay. That makes sense. Totally understand. You in the past recent past have talked about selling to your competitors a bit and keep hearing about credit constrained service centers on the smaller end. Is that something that's sustainable for Reliance to do to kind of boost its shipments perhaps by selling to smaller service centers?

Or do you think that this higher credit constraint situation perhaps leads to more M and A opportunities, they too small or that a possibility?

Speaker 3

Good morning, Jim. We're going to I really don't see that moving the needle at all, very honestly, okay. We sell to the smaller ones and but we are also very conscious of the fact that we have to control our inventory for the customers that are loyal to us. So we're being very cautious. We have availability for metal that's not really a constraint with us.

But we are also cognizant of the fact that some of the smaller companies, especially on the West Coast that like quite a bit of their metal from off shore, okay, are not able to get that and are coming to us and we're being careful on how we control our inventory position. So the credit crunch and all that other stuff as it applies to them really doesn't I mean, it doesn't come into my mind, probably comes into our credit managers' minds, okay, as well it should, but it really doesn't have an impact on our business model.

Speaker 9

Okay. And then last one, I owe you a tough one, Greg. Do you have any insights into the administration's appetite to go after trans shipments? I'm asking because you're a large distributor, of course, of beams and trans shipments have been big there. Do you have any insights into how far down the value chain the administration might go with some of those products?

Thanks.

Speaker 4

Hi, Tim. This is Jim. We don't have any insight into what's going to go on. Well, we talked to a lot of people and the answer is the same. They don't know either.

We're not going to speculate on this type of thing.

Speaker 3

I'll tell you what, Gemina, when you figure that out, give us a call and let us know the answer is

Speaker 9

I'll be right back to you, Suraj. Thanks a lot.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Naved Roshuli with Cowen and Company. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 10

Hey, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. Just to start with gross margins, I was wondering if you guys can quantify how much of the uplift in margins in the Q1 was due to inventory that was purchased at lower prices and that you were immediately able to push through better pricing on?

Speaker 6

Yes. We can't really quantify that specifically, but I think the trend during the quarter, Naveed, was what we normally anticipate, that we do push the price increase from the mills onto our customers, most of our customers prior to receiving in the higher cost inventory. And we'll still be in that environment in the beginning of Q2. But to try to quantify what percentage of our gross profit margin was from that, we can't really do.

Speaker 10

That's fair. And then did I hear you guys correctly, the FIFO gross profit margins are expected to compress in 2Q sequentially?

Speaker 6

Yes. So because during the Q1, there were multiple price increases across most of our products. We have not received that higher cost inventory into our system yet. So based on our normal trend, we would anticipate that bringing them down. To the extent prices do continue at the mill level to increase during the second quarter, We'll continue a little bit of that margin enhancement during the second quarter until the price increases from the mill level will slow down and our inventory costs catch up.

Speaker 10

Got it. That makes sense. And then SG and A, obviously, a smaller percentage as a percentage of sales because of these price increases. How should we think about SG and A trending for the remainder of the year? Is it better to think about it on like a nominal numerical basis versus a percentage given the big swings in pricing that we're seeing?

Speaker 6

Yes. I think you look at it as kind of fixed dollar amount. So in the Q1, we were about $519,000,000 We did have an acquisition that was only in for 1 month. So we would expect our SG and A to go up, includes up to 3 months going forward. And also to the extent that we continue to achieve higher earnings levels, we're paying our commissions to our salespeople, etcetera.

But we would expect our $519,000,000 to be a fairly steady amount going forward.

Speaker 10

Got it. And then one last question. With the it was mentioned earlier that the May 1 deadline, just a few days away, With these 232 exemption set to expire, not a lot of color as to what's going to happen. Just wondering what you're seeing on your end as far as demand discussions with customers. I'm assuming part of that pre buying was concerned as you guys mentioned about being able to procure material.

It seems like that would potentially be heightened at this point. Just want to get any comments around that. Thank you.

Speaker 3

I'm not sure very many of our customers. You have to understand our average order size is $1700 plus, okay. So the majority of the customers that we service are not sophisticated buyers of metal. So the Caterpillars, Deere's, Boeing's, etcetera, that's the exception to our customer base. And for those people, they may know about May 1st, but there's not a whole lot of our customers that even know what May 1st is bringing.

We don't anticipate with our customers a lot of pre buying. It was a little bit done, we think, in March. Okay. But going forward, we don't expect very much of that. Prices are pretty high at the time and we literally don't see that as something that our customers are really focusing on a May 1st deadline at all.

Speaker 10

Got it. Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 3

Thanks for calling.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Olin with Longbow Research. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 11

Hey, good morning.

Speaker 3

Good morning. Good morning.

Speaker 11

I wanted to just ask another question on the M and A side. And I guess where I'm curious is if you feel like your asset footprint today is strong enough to capture a lot of this multiyear growth you're talking about aerospace and the aircraft build rates. And I'm also curious if you would consider either increasing your exposure in some of these specialty materials like nickel alloys or titanium or would you even consider moving into like products like composites or maybe fasteners?

Speaker 3

The answer to that, Chris, is we're basically open to everything, okay. We're not adverse to getting into composites. We're in titanium now, high nickel alloys, which we're in. So that's something actually that is attractive to us. So any and all opportunities when it comes from the M and A side that would enhance our profitability, we're all in.

Speaker 6

We try to be careful not to compete directly with our customers when we look at M and A, but certainly those are opportunities we could look at.

Speaker 5

And Chris, when it comes to the footprint, we've got a pretty strong and solid footprint from an aerospace standpoint, always open and looking where we might expand that more, but we're very comfortable with our footprint.

Speaker 11

And Aerospace today is still about 10% of your sales?

Speaker 6

Yes, about 10% to 12%.

Speaker 5

Yes, 10% to 12%.

Speaker 11

And then the other question I just wanted to ask was your thinking on construction demand and if you've seen anything different in terms of infrastructure orders and you have enough exposure on that side?

Speaker 4

This is Jim. Yes, it was a strong quarter. It continues kind of a slow burn up. I mean, it wasn't anything unusual. It was just a good quarter and we anticipate that going up.

A lot of the data, the forward looking data all look strong. We've got several really fine on residential construction type businesses and we're proud of them and they continue to do well. So, we don't see any of that changing, but the Q1 wasn't really a surprise when it came to non residential construction.

Speaker 11

Okay. Thanks for your time.

Speaker 4

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Phil Gibbs with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 12

Hey, good morning.

Speaker 4

Good morning, Bill.

Speaker 12

Hey, Bill, you mentioned you've got some fixed selling prices into the, I believe, aerospace heat treat market. Should we surmise that the mills have fixed selling prices to you as well? I'm just trying to understand that dynamic.

Speaker 5

Yes. Those agreements are typically where we've got a fixed selling price locked into the customer and then we've got that fixed cost locked into the mill and the materials hedged. So basically the margin is

Speaker 4

locked in. Okay. So

Speaker 12

you made that comment specifically just to say, look, aluminum has gone up, but don't expect our aerospace profitability to kind of blow out. I think that was kind of a qualifying statement you were making.

Speaker 3

That's correct. About 50% of the aerospace business that we do is contractual with fixed prices on the buy and on the sell. So our margins are secured and then the other 50% is spot. Okay. So there, we would hope that our margins would be enhanced.

Speaker 12

So you're talking both about Heat Treat and then your other products that you're selling. It's not just that piece, you're talking about the whole aerospace

Speaker 3

business. We're talking about aerospace period.

Speaker 6

Yes, but the majority is ETRI's play. Okay,

Speaker 12

perfect. And Greg, obviously, you put some guidance out for the Q2 demand or shipments, specifically April. How is April looking relative to average 1Q daily trends so far?

Speaker 3

From a volume standpoint, it's pretty steady with the Q1. So but we have some price increases that are helping us in that regard. So I think our guidance that we gave on volume, plus 1, minus 1, that range is from what we can see today. That's good guidance and we'll see what happens on the pricing front. And Phil, as you know, our growth in revenue dollars and profitability and margins everything are driven more by pricing than it is by volume.

So I got to tell you something, Phil. We're really excited about the Q2, okay. Q1 was awesome, okay? So we're kind of sitting over here giggling and laughing and having a big smile on our face because we knocked the hell out of the ball in the Q1 and we're going to do even better in the Q2. Carla just kicked me by the way.

She's kicking me.

Speaker 12

I'm excited too. We can be excited together. Carla, my last question is just on the 8% same store year over year increase in SG and A. You pointed to some of the drivers. How much of that increase or maybe a percentage of that increase was driven by the wage and maybe compensation component and how much of it was related to freight?

I'm just trying to isolate a couple of things.

Speaker 6

Yes. So the majority of it was compensation related. We've consistently given wage increases every year. So overall, those are usually about 3% company wide. So that's the bulk of it.

But we are making higher profitability levels. Greg is very excited. So we are paying higher commissions and incentives because our people are making higher earnings levels for us. But certainly, there were some increases in freight, but the majority of our orders we deliver on our own trucks, as we've talked about before. Fuel charges went up.

So our freight rates are up noticeably where we use 3rd party carriers. We can control our freight rates a little more, but the bulk of the SG and A was compensation related. Base wage rates are mainly May, January 1st, so much of

Speaker 3

that was there for the full quarter. Okay.

Speaker 12

Well, Greg, you've got a really great poker face. So if you're excited, things must be good. Thanks.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Phil. Yes, things are pretty good. We're enjoying ourselves from a business point of view. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Mr. Mullins, there are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the floor back to you for any final comments.

Speaker 3

Well, thanks again for your support and for participating in today's call. We'd like to remind everyone that we will be in Boston presenting at KeyBanc's Basic Materials Conference in May. We hope to see many of you there. And with that, have a great day.

Speaker 1

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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