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Earnings Call: Q4 2018

Feb 7, 2019

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Republic Services fourth quarter 2018 investor conference call. Republic Services is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol RSG. All participants in today's call will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Nicole Giandinoto, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer.

Nicole Giandinoto
SVP of Investor Relations and Treasurer, Republic Services

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us. I would like to welcome everyone to Republic Services' fourth quarter 2018 conference call. Don Slager, our President and CEO, and Chuck Serianni, our CFO, are joining me as we discuss our performance. I would like to take a moment to remind everyone that some of the information we discuss on today's call contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties and may be materially different from actual results. Our SEC filings discuss factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The material that we discuss today is time-sensitive. If in the future you listen to a rebroadcast or recording of this conference call, you should be sensitive to the date of the original call, which is February 7th, 2019. Please note that this call is the property of Republic Services, Inc.

Any redistribution, retransmission, or rebroadcast of this call in any form without the express written consent of Republic Services is strictly prohibited. I want to point out that our SEC filings, our earnings press release, which includes GAAP reconciliation tables and a discussion of business activities, along with a recording of this call, are all available on Republic's website at republicservices.com. Also, included in our press release are unaudited supplemental schedules that include a pro forma view of fourth quarter 2017 revenue and costs had we adopted the new revenue recognition standards as of January 1st, 2017. During today's call, all references to changes versus the prior year are based on the 2017 pro forma figures, which are comparable to 2018 results. Finally, I want to remind you that Republic's management team routinely participates in investor conferences.

When events are scheduled, the dates, times, and presentations are posted on our website. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Don.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Thanks, Nicole. Good afternoon, everyone, thank you for joining us. We are very pleased with our strong finish to 2018. Full year 2018 EPS was $3.09 in line with our guidance range. Free cash flow was $1.2 billion exceeded the upper end of our guidance range. Total acquisition investment was over $200 million. Total cash return to shareholders was $1.2 billion, total shareholder return was 9% compared to the S&P 500's negative return of 4%. The team delivered these results despite a $145 million headwind from the recycling business. We accomplished this by capitalizing on strong solid waste trends to drive both price and volume growth, strengthening our market position and improving route density through acquisitions, executing our plans to mitigate recycling headwinds in the short term while advancing our long-term strategy to transform the business, efficiently returning cash to our shareholders.

During the fourth quarter highlights, we delivered double-digit growth in earnings per share, invested $87 million in value-enhancing acquisitions, divested $79 million of non-strategic assets. We also returned $284 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Throughout the fourth quarter, the pricing environment continued to be favorable. We achieved core price of 4.3% average yield of 2.7%, our highest pricing level in nearly a decade. We also achieved an all-time low customer defection rate of sub 7%. We attribute these accomplishments to our laser focus on enhancing the customer experience and delivering superior service. Additionally, we successfully converted 27% of our CPI-based contracts, representing $660 million to a waste-related index or fixed rate increase of 3% or greater. These waste indices are more closely aligned with our cost structure and continue to run higher than CPI.

During the quarter, we also continued to see underlying volume growth in our collection and disposal businesses. Excluding the impact of non-regrettable losses and a difficult special waste comp, total volume increased 90 basis points over the prior year. Our recycling business also improved in the fourth quarter. The team continued to tightly manage operating costs and increase recycling collection and processing fees. As expected, the current market conditions continue to serve us as a catalyst to transform recycling into a more durable and economically sustainable business. Additionally, we opened our first Next-Gen recycling processing center in Plano, Texas. We call it Next-Gen because unlike a traditional processing center, where we primarily sort and remove items that are not recyclable, here we are leveraging state-of-the-art technology to extract items that are recyclable. This positive sort configuration allows us to produce a higher quality product with less labor.

The facility also includes a 5,000 sq ft learning resource center for the community, so residents can learn the proper way to recycle and reduce their environmental impact. Our partnership with the City of Plano is an example of our new recycling business model. We are paid an appropriate fee to process the material, the majority of the commodity value is rebated back to the community. This contract structure enables us to invest in new technology while earning an appropriate return on our investment. Lastly, given we operate one of the largest vocational fleets in the U.S., we are continuously evaluating innovative approaches and technologies to improve the performance, economics, and environmental impact of our trucks. Earlier this week, Mack Trucks announced our partnership to design and test electrification in a fully integrated garbage truck with zero diesel propulsion components.

We are proud to be partnering with Mack and optimistic that this will result in a significant step towards an even cleaner, more efficient fleet. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Chuck to discuss our fourth quarter financial results in greater detail.

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

Thanks, Don. Fourth quarter revenue was approximately $2.5 billion, an increase of $65 million or 2.6% over the prior year. This increase includes internal growth of 2.3% and acquisitions of 30 basis points. The components of internal growth are as follows. First, average yield increased 2.7% and was the highest level we've seen since 2009. Average yield in the collection business was 3.4%, which included small container of 3.2%, large container of 4.5%, and residential of 2.6%. In our post-collection business, average yield was 1.5%, which included landfill MSW of 2.1%. The majority of our third-party landfill MSW business is with municipal customers that have contracts containing pricing restrictions. Total core price, which measures price increases less rollbacks, was 4.3%. Core price in the open market was 5.1% and in the restricted portion of our business was 2.9%. The second component of internal growth is total volume.

As expected, total volume decreased 70 basis points over the prior year. Excluding the impact of non-regrettable losses and a difficult special waste comp, volume growth would have been 90 basis points. Volume in our small container business decreased 80 basis points as anticipated. This includes 130 basis point headwind from intentionally shedding certain work performed on behalf of brokers, which we view as non-regrettable. Excluding these losses, small container volume would have increased 50 basis points. Volume in our large container business increased 80 basis points, and volume in our residential business decreased 1.9% due to our strategic decision not to renew certain contracts that fell below our return criteria. Next, turning to landfill volume. Landfill MSW volume increased 7.2%, while special waste decreased 11.6% and C&D decreased 10.7%. The decrease in special waste and C&D volume was due to a difficult comp in the prior year.

In 2017, both special waste and C&D volume grew over 30%. The third component of internal growth is fuel recovery fees, which increased 70 basis points due to the rise in the cost of fuel. The average price per gallon of diesel fuel increased to $3.26 in the fourth quarter from $2.87 in the prior year, an increase of 14%. The current average diesel price is $2.97 per gallon. The next component, energy services revenue, was flat versus the prior year, which was in line with our expectations. In the Permian Basin, where we are well-positioned, drilling activity remained steady. The final component of internal growth is recycling processing and commodity revenue, which decreased 40 basis points. The change in revenue primarily relates to a decrease in the number of tons sold and lower recycled commodity prices.

This decrease was partially offset by the new recycling processing fee rolled out to our open market recycling collection customers. This fee contributed 35 basis points of pricing. It's important to note that our average yield of 2.7% does not include this benefit. Excluding glass and organics, average commodity prices decreased 15% to $106 per ton in the fourth quarter, down from $125 per ton in the prior year. Next, I will discuss changes in margin. In the fourth quarter, adjusted EBITDA margin decreased 80 basis points to 27.4% from 28.2% in the prior year. This included 10 basis points of margin expansion from the solid waste business, which was offset by a 40 basis point headwind from recycling and a 50 basis point headwind from one additional workday. Fourth quarter 2018 interest expense was $96 million, which included $10 million of non-cash amortization.

Our all-in tax rate for the fourth quarter was 20%. This includes an adjusted effective tax rate of 12% and a non-cash charge of approximately $30 million related to solar energy investments that qualify for tax credits. Fourth quarter adjusted EPS was $0.80, an increase $0.19 or 31% versus the prior year. EPS included a $0.12 benefit from tax reform. Excluding this benefit, EPS would have increased 11%. Adjusted free cash flow for the full year was $1.2 billion and cash conversion was 42%. Free cash flow exceeded our expectations, primarily due to better than anticipated improvements in working capital. During the year, we improved both DSO and DPO by approximately two days. This improvement provided a one-time benefit to free cash flow. Looking ahead, I'd like to review the highlights of our 2019 financial guidance, which is consistent with the preliminary outlook we provided in October.

For the year, we expect adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $3.23-$3.28. After normalizing for taxes, our guidance represents double-digit growth in earnings per share. Next, we expect adjusted free cash flow of approximately $1.125 billion-$1.175 billion. Included in our free cash flow guidance is a working capital headwind of approximately $45 million and $50 million of incremental capital we are investing for the benefit of our frontline employees as a result of tax reform. Excluding these two items, our guidance represents high single-digit growth in free cash flow per share. Total annual revenue growth is expected to be 4.25%-4.75%. We expect adjusted EBITDA margin to expand by 30 to 50 basis points over 2018, demonstrating the operating leverage in our business. Furthermore, given the strength of our current pipeline, we anticipate investing approximately $200 million in tuck-in acquisitions.

2019 net capital expenditures are expected to be $1.2 billion. Finally, we expect to return $1.4 billion of total cash to shareholders through $500 million of dividends and $875 million of share repurchases. I'll now turn the call back over to Don to make a few closing comments before going to Q&A.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Thanks, Chuck. Our strong finish to the year positions us well for continued growth in 2019. We'll achieve this growth by securing price increases in excess of our cost inflation, growing volume for the seventh straight year, continuing to transform the recycling business by transitioning our municipal recycling customers to a more durable fee-based pricing model, and educating customers on what and how to recycle through our Recycling Simplified campaign. We'll be executing our strategy of profitable growth through differentiation to attract and retain the best people, enhance the customer experience, and drive additional operating leverage through the use of technology. Finally, effectively deploying capital to fund profitable organic growth, invest in value-enhancing acquisitions, and consistently and efficiently, as always, returning cash to our shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. At this time, operator, I'd like to open the call to questions.

Operator

Thank you, sir. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touchtone phone. In the interest of time, we ask that you limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question today. If your question has been answered and you would like to withdraw your request, you may do so by pressing star then two. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. Your first question will be from Tyler Brown of Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Tyler Brown
Analyst, Raymond James

Hey, good afternoon.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Hey, Tyler.

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

Hey, Tyler.

Tyler Brown
Analyst, Raymond James

Hey. I see in the guide that you're expecting 25 to 50 positive basis points on processing fees, commodity sales in the guide. I think that the RISI data that came out yesterday showed a dip in fiber prices. Can you just give us some clarity? I guess on the one hand, I surmise you've got continuing a push on processing fees, but it's a little unclear. Specifically, what are you kind of assuming recycling prices in the guide?

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Yeah. The guide is $105. I know it's a little bit lower than that right now, but if you think about sort of how this thing normally works through the cycle of the year, we feel that it'll bounce back through the middle of the year, and over time we'll average it at the right rate.

Tyler Brown
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

105 is in the number

Tyler Brown
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. Don, I know you probably dislike getting that question as much as I dislike asking it. In that vein, do you think that over time, Republic will really, for all intents and purposes, eventually inoculate itself from commodity price changes, really pushing the risk down to the waste generator? If so, how long do you think that process might take?

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

I like your term inoculate, we're all about that. If you think about my comments, we used our new contract with the City of Plano, right? That's an example of what we're doing. We believe the right way to do this is to get paid appropriately for the collection, to get paid appropriately for the processing. When I say appropriately, that means within a return that we can live with. That there is a function in the contract for contamination, that the cities and communities have to bear that burden. In the end, they get the benefit of what's left over, which is the commodity value less contamination. That's fair. Again, we've made it increasingly easy for customers to recycle. We're committed to be a good environmental partner for those customers that want to do their part.

Where customers don't want to be responsible, that's got to be on them. We're only making investments in recycling going forward that have a true sustainability from a profitability perspective, and that has to work just like I described. We're having success. To be frank, there's all kinds of customers, right? We've had conversations with all of our 1,100 contracts. Some have immediately already agreed to new terms that work. Some have told us, at this point, "No way." Some have said, "Let me think about it." We're in the second or third round of talks. We are going to continue to push this. I think, frankly, any operator would have to be I'm trying to think of a nice word, an idiot to sign up for recycling the old way when we've got this big global macro thing in front of us.

We did a great job. The team did a great job isolating the problem in 2018. We've done a ton of great work in 2018 that's going to anniversary and carry forward into 2019, the work continues. We're going to have more success in 2019 than 2018, that's one of the reasons we've got the confidence. We're going to change the model. People tell us they want to recycle, I'm kind of a broken record around here. Every homeowner is going to have to pay us about $1 more a week, and they're going to have to give us about 2 minutes more a day of their good, responsible time. If they don't want to do that, we'll be glad to provide trash service instead of recycling service, because we're really good at that.

Tyler Brown
Analyst, Raymond James

All right. Yeah, that's really good. One last one, just on the volume guide of 0-25 basis points. Can you talk about some of the puts and takes there? I thought you were largely through the broker culling. I don't think special waste has any real big comps. Frankly, it just doesn't really feel like a 0-volume environment. Can you just talk about what's driving that outlook? Is that just conservatism or is there something more idiosyncratic? Thanks.

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

No, there is a headwind associated with the special waste that we have going from 2018 back into 2019. That's part of the reason why that volume growth is a little muted. At the end of this year, we're going to be about halfway done with shedding the brokers. If you extract that out of the equation, if you remove broker volumes and those event volumes, then the volume growth is closer to 1%-1.25%.

Tyler Brown
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, perfect. Thank you.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Yeah, let me add to that. On top of that, we've got some strong price here too, right? We're being very intentional about where we can get pricing, and we understand the trade-off of price and volume. For instance, in our temp roll-off business and so forth, you know how that works, Tyler. If we can get an extra point of price because demand is there, we might let a little volume go for that purpose.

Tyler Brown
Analyst, Raymond James

Right. Okay, thank you.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Great.

Operator

The next question will be from Brian Maguire of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Brian Maguire
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, good afternoon, Don, Chuck, and Nicole.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Hey, Brian. How are you?

Brian Maguire
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, just a question on just the interrelationship between the CapEx and volumes, because it seems like the CapEx will be up again. I thought of, in the past, the model being a little bit more like 10% of sales. It looks like we're going to be in that 11%-12% range. 10% of sales if we're getting roughly 1% volume growth. Totally appreciate walking away from some broker business and some residential business that doesn't meet your return hurdles. I would've thought with that would've come actually maybe some reductions in CapEx or shifting of trucks from less productive routes to more productive routes. Can you help me maybe understand where this CapEx is being spent and where that number could be heading over time and, in kind of a flat volume environment, why it should be so high?

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

Yeah. Keep in mind that included in that CapEx guide, there's $75 million of what we're calling spend associated with tax reform, and that's money, as I said, that we're going to put back into the business benefiting the frontline employees. If you pull that out of the equation, then what you end up with is CapEx that's closer to 10.5% of revenue, which is right in line with what we've told the Street that we would be at post-rev recognition, which is on a historical basis, that's closer to 10%. That's right in line with what we believe our long-term average should be.

Brian Maguire
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

This will be the last year with that sort of outsized spend on employee stuff?

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

Yeah, we've got one more year, that being 2020, where we have about $100 million that we're going to spend doing the same thing. Keep in mind that we talked about this back when tax reform was first enacted going into Q4 2017.

Brian Maguire
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Just one more from me, just on tax rate in general in 4Q was a little bit lower than your guidance. Just wondering if you could help us with that. Then just thinking about the 2019 guidance. I appreciate the EPS is kind of in line with what you outlined earlier, but it looks like the tax rates may be a little lower. I was a little confused on that. Maybe I'm reading that wrong, but it seemed like it was 24% versus, I think, 27 before. Just trying to understand the puts and takes there.

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

Yeah. Both in 2018 and again in 2019, we're going to benefit from solar projects. These investments that we're making that come with tax credits that we're able to utilize in order to reduce our effective tax rate, but also to reduce our cash taxes. Just to put that in context for you, for 2018, our effective tax rate was 20.7%, and then we had certain non-cash charges associated with those solar projects that are included below operating income. Right? If you think about those two items together, then the net tax rate, including both of those items, is closer to 22.8%. As we go into 2019, our effective tax rate is 24.2%, and then we have about 3.1% in non-cash charges related to those solar projects. Once again, if you put those two together, you end up with a tax rate of about 27.3%.

Brian Maguire
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Those non-cash charges, you're going to include that in that EPS?

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

Yeah. That's included in our EPS guide. Yes.

Brian Maguire
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Okay. Bringing that out to 27. Okay. Just checking on that. Thank you.

Chuck Serianni
EVP and CFO, Republic Services

You're welcome.

Operator

The next question will be from Hamzah Mazari of Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Hamzah Mazari
Analyst, Macquarie

Good evening. Thank you. My question is just around the cost side, specifically how you guys are managing labor cost inflation, labor shortage. What's baked into your guidance there? I realize employee turnover is lower for you because every driver wants to work for Don Slager, but just any thoughts in terms of cost inflation?

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Yeah. Our overall inflation we think for 2019 is kind of in that 2.5 range. Labor will be a little higher than that. We do have pockets where we've got some labor shortage just because maybe there's local economic issues. Our turnover is essentially flat year-over-year. It's up a little bit with the growing economy. That's to be expected. We're not sitting on our hands. We're still working hard to improve the work environment. Chuck mentioned some of the investments we're making in facilities, and specifically around employee facilities, locker rooms and training rooms, et cetera. There's some labor pressure with long-haul trucking, which will impact our costs in and around transporting waste from our transportation to our landfills. We're dealing with that. We're also doing a great job in and around with our procurement team. They've got goals this year.

There are some spend categories that we historically haven't looked at, we'll dig into those, and we'll find some savings there as well. The driver shortage, so to speak, isn't keeping us up at night. We're working hard to retain and attract the best people, and I think we're on a good track. Landfill ops is going to be another part of the story. The leachate expense is going to be about flat year-over-year to what it's been this year, and that really is related to leachate because of just changes in POTWs or public treatment works that are changing their technology and starting to raise prices on leachate disposal. That's something we can manage through, and it's something we can price for. I think that's going to be something, again, that affects all people in our business.

I think more than likely, you will see more companies turn into some kind of price action to recover some of those costs.

Hamzah Mazari
Analyst, Macquarie

Great. Just my follow-up question on pricing, you guided 2.75%. It feels like that is the highest price since 2009 or just prior to waste or downturn because you guys are late cycle. Anything different in this pricing environment that you see versus prior to the downturn? Clearly, there is a lot of changes in this space over the last, I don't know, 10 years. Any thoughts on how this pricing environment is different, Don? Thank you.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Well, I will say this. Look, when organic growth is decent to good, that sets up the industry for a better pricing environment. I have always said that. When there is decent organic growth, pricing tends to be better. The overall increase in capital cost, capital intensity, complexity of the business I think gives people a reason to price that maybe they did not have before. That lifts us up a little bit. Certainly CPI has moved in our favor

We are de-risking our CPI portfolio by moving to alternative indices that work for us. That is going to benefit us going forward. Moving to alternative index, we have said $660 million now of that book has been converted. The hard work we are doing in and around recycling, with the question that Tyler asked, we are doing a lot of contract renegotiations and new pricing. That is going to help. We have got a recycling processing fee that we have implemented. That is going to add some lift. Some of these things are not fully implemented yet. We have still got some time to run under them and have them build through 2019 and frankly, anniversary into 2020. We think there is a fair amount of upside there. As it relates to just us pricing customers, we have got a lot better at it. We are smarter about it.

Our overall defection is down sub 7%, which would tell you that, again, that's the lowest in the history of the company. We're spending a lot of time on customer experience. I don't believe you can just raise a customer's price. I think you've got to raise a customer's willingness to pay. We're working on further improving our service levels, meeting our service commitments, improving our products, improving our fleet. Certainly, having the best people on the front lines of our business. All those things, I think, give us pricing power in the end, and those things we're going to continue to work on. Again, as you said, Hamzah, best pricing in 10 years, basically. It's been building through the last few quarters. We're pretty confident we can achieve these levels in 2019.

Hamzah Mazari
Analyst, Macquarie

Great. Thank you.

Operator

The next question will be from Noah Kaye of Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Noah Kaye
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions, great to hear about solar projects and electric trucks. Always nice. I want to ask you about the outlook. You're reiterating the components of the preliminary outlook you provided in November, I think we shouldn't be surprised by that, because investors have come to expect that consistency from you. The final numbers looking the same. Has anything changed in the last three months within your assumptions, whether it's on volume, price, M&A, or the cost side? I ask in light of what is still a very sort of dynamic macro situation.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

What's changing in the macro is, last year we spent a lot of time wringing our hands over this China thing. We're no longer dependent on China. Our team's done a lot of work moving material to new ports, opening new lanes. All of our material that we collect is handled and recycled ethically. We've overcome the operational hurdle of that, and now we're settling into sort of a new cost model. Working through that, and I've already described what we're doing there. From a growth perspective, we've always said we grow with population growth. That drives household formation, business formation. When there's population growth and there's job growth and there's wage growth, that's good for waste generation, right?

As long as we see this same kind of housing start number and consumer sentiment, spending is good, we think that's enough for us to continue to grow into the future. We feel good about that. Chuck Serianni described some of the capital spending. Our CapEx is very consistent, other than when we got the gift from the government with tax reform, we decided to spend $200 million, I guess, to improve our employee facilities. These are not offices for general managers and staff. This is for frontline, hardworking men and women who show up at 2:00 A.M. in the morning and drive garbage trucks and fix garbage trucks and work at landfills. Those are the people we're most concerned about improving their work environment. We're spending real money for a really good cause. That's not a surprise because we told you about that.

Again, as you said, the business is very, on one hand, slow-moving, which is maybe a bad thing for you. It's slow-moving, which is a good thing for you because it makes it predictable. It shouldn't be a surprise to anybody that our guidance is right on top of the preliminary outlook, because we've got a pretty good handle on our business. What'll change in 2019 going forward? How fast can we move on restructuring the recycling business? That's going to depend on customer sentiment. It's going to depend on how well the market adjusts, and it'll depend on what other competitors do, frankly. Our resolve is greater than it's ever been, and we're making some really great headway, and we're having great examples of where customers are taking a good common sense approach. Again, I gave an example in my written remarks.

We feel good about the business. We've got a really solid team here, and we're off to a great start.

Noah Kaye
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thank you for that. Just to come back to the labor question, I was really struck by the labor and benefits line. Expenses were up, I think just 3% year-over-year. Obviously, that's a significant improvement in your cost containment. Anything you would point to in terms of a kind of an improved success containing those labor costs? Anything we could think about going forward? Because obviously we saw a lot of growth over the first three quarters of the year, and what you are sort of suggesting for 2019 suggests kind of a deceleration of labor cost inflation.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Well, look, I'll hand that off. Kudos to our operating leadership. They're really labor-focused on productivity, on efficiency, on safety. Employee engagement is a big deal around here. As I said, I think we're probably the only solid waste company that does a nationwide employee engagement survey every year. 85% of our employees respond, which is double that of a world-class company. Our employee engagement scores are high. Our people trust that if they give us their opinions, we'll listen, and we'll respond. We really are genuinely in earnest trying to make this the best place to work, where the best people come to work, and I think that helps us a great deal. That's just not a slogan. It's what we really think. Again, our operating leaders echo that throughout the organization. I think that's part of it.

Again, every year, we get a little benefit from the things we do last year. We have continued to automate the residential fleet. We've continued to make improvements in other areas. One Fleet continues to pay off. That investment, we don't talk about One Fleet anymore, but it's part of what we do now all the time, and it makes us more reliable. Reliable trucks mean more efficient trucks. They mean more happier drivers. We're just going to keep building on the Republic way. Year on year on year, we get better at the things we launched two and three years ago. We launch new things. While maybe not one of them by itself is a game changer, it's the combination and sort of the sum of the parts that really make a difference for us. We're just going to continue to build on that. Appreciate the compliment, I think.

Noah Kaye
Analyst, Oppenheimer

That's right. Thank you.

Operator

The next question will be from Sean Eastman of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Sean Eastman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hi, guys. Thanks a lot for taking my questions. Really excited to be joining the group here. I just wanted to touch on the M&A front. The $200 million planned investment seems to indicate an above-normalized year again in 2019 that's expected. Just hoping to get an idea of the profile of the discussions underway with your targets. Is it the usual singles and doubles, or is there a good probability we might see something towards the upper end of that range in terms of target size?

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Well, it all depends, right? Look, we wouldn't tell you $200 million unless we felt pretty strongly that we could deliver it, right? We've got a great pipeline. Again, we've got a great development team. We've got a lot of good people in place now who've been in place for a while with all the business. Again, we don't go around incenting sellers because these are good companies we buy. If you've got a really great company, you're not likely to sell it unless someone pays you an arm and a leg for it. When it comes time for you to be in that moment where you reach your business life cycle or your personal plan comes to fruition, and it's time to monetize your life's work or something else happens, some kind of a life event, that's when we buy good companies.

We've been able to keep our multiple really consistent over the year. We're not overpaying for deals. There are a lot of really nice companies out there, some companies of all sizes that we'd love to someday have an opportunity to be part of our network. Our job is to know the owners, to know where they're at in the life cycle, and to be able to write the check. We've consistently done that. We've sort of built our momentum up over the last few years, and we've got the appetite to do very big deals. It's just a matter of whether or not it's their time. It's kind of like when the seller's ready, we're ready. We're very good at integrating businesses. We're first and foremost focused on tuck-ins because those are, again, lowest risk, quickest return, best returns.

It doesn't mean we wouldn't look at a brand new market. If we could go into a new market and have scale and vertical integration, or at least the opportunity to over time, we would look at that. You'll see us kind of stay in our lane and with most of the acquisition activity. We've done some good work in around the E&P space, there might be an opportunity or two there that we'd look at. We're very diligent about the ROI on these deals. We always compare and contrast the better use of cash to buy more cash flow at the right multiple or buying in our own stock. We're very comfortable with the value of our company and what value we're going to create over the next three years. We always look at that intrinsic trade-off. This is kind of our formula.

It's been kind of a balanced approach of cash allocation, dividend, buyback, keeping a strong capital structure, keeping our debt where we think it needs to be, and having plenty of powder to do more acquisitions.

Sean Eastman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. I appreciate that. The next one I have is just on the differentiation strategy. You guys were speaking to the customer experience, customer willingness to pay. I was just hoping maybe you could talk anecdotally about where you guys have been finding you're getting some additional pricing power through that strategy. I just want to understand that a bit better.

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

Our marketing group's put a lot of effort into gaining customer insight. Again, we probably spend more money on customer insights than any of our competitors, really getting to know what they think, what they want, and for us to prioritize those things. Some of them seem pretty obvious on the surface, and some of them don't. There's a lot of learning there. We're looking at digital opportunities. We're looking at ways to make it easier to do business with the company. We do have a digital channel for subscription residential business that actually has worked quite well, and new business coming into that channel comes in at a higher price than if we were going door to door. People are willing to pay for convenience and reliability.

You'll hear us talk more and more about digital as we go through time, not only digital in the trucks, digital in the operations to make us safer and more efficient, but digital as we connect more and more to customers. We think customers want to pay for that and are willing to because it makes their life easier. We'll continue to do that. Job one, though, is get the garbage off the ground every day on the right day, in the right hour, do it safely and be a good environmental partner and we're pretty good at that, too.

Sean Eastman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay, great. I really appreciate the time and insights. Thanks very much.

Operator

The next question will be from Michael Hoffman of Stifel. Please go ahead.

Michael Hoffman
Analyst, Stifel

Thank you for taking the questions. Don, can you share with us where in the business model we're going to see the effect of the operating leverage? Is this going to be mostly OpEx, or will it be a mixture of OpEx and SG&A as we work through that 30-50 basis points of operating leverage?

Don Slager
President and CEO, Republic Services

It's mostly going to be OpEx, right? Just to say, we still have some SG&A savings on the horizon. I will say, look, you always hear me say this, Michael, we've got two constraints. One is cash. We're only going to put so much cash to work on initiatives every year. The reason for that is, we can only take on so much change at a time. We've got 35,000 employees. We're trying to lead them in a direction, and we got to get all 35,000 people to buy into that plan. We can't overload them with too many new things. There's benefit and then pricing, right? We're going to price to beat inflation. We had years and years where we couldn't do that, and now we've got momentum on our side to do that as well. Those things go hand in hand.

Better operations mean happier customers mean better pricing.

Michael Hoffman
Analyst, Stifel

I appreciate the approximately about 200 in the quarter