Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida (SBCF)
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Apr 24, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT - Market closed
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M&A Announcement

May 30, 2025

Operator

Welcome to Seacoast Banking Corporation's conference call regarding the announcement of its proposed acquisition of Villages Bancorporation and its bank subsidiary, Citizens First Bank. My name is Demi, and I'll be your operator. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Before we begin, I have been asked to direct your attention to the statement contained at the end of the company's press release regarding forward-looking statements and the risks and uncertainties identified therein. Seacoast will be discussing issues that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities and Exchange Act, and its comments today are intended to be covered within the meaning of that act.

Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO of Seacoast and Seacoast Bank. Mr. Shaffer, you may begin.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

All right. Good morning. Thank you all for joining us this morning. As we provide our comments, we'll reference the merger slide deck titled Acquisition of Villages Bancorporation, which you can find at our website, www.seacoastbanking.com. Joining me today are Michael Young, Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, and James Stallings, our Chief Credit Officer. Our Chief Financial Officer, Tracey Dexter, is currently out of the country on vacation and will not be joining us. We're excited to announce the acquisition of Villages Bancorporation and its subsidiary, Citizens First Bank. This merger represents the beginning of a long-term partnership with the Villages community. We believe the strong cultural alignment between our teams, along with a shared commitment to customer-centric values, will further strengthen the relationship-based banking model that both organizations are deeply passionate about.

As with any meaningful partnership, this merger brings significant benefits to all key stakeholders in The Villages community, including our new and existing associates, as well as shareholders of both companies. The Villages is a distinctive master plan community in north central Florida , offering a one-of-a-kind environment that draws people from across the country seeking camaraderie and active lifestyle and the opportunity to live out their version of the American Dream. Over the past five years, The Villages MSA has been the fastest growing in the nation. Building on this momentum, the developer has launched a second Villages community, an expansion we are excited to support through continued branching and strategic investment in the years ahead.

In looking back over the last five years, our fortress balance sheet and conservatism have served us well through a pandemic, and then through a rapid interest rate cycle, and then further through a liquidity crisis. Consistent with our conservative culture, we retain capital and liquidity to support our customers in good times, but more importantly, during uncertain times. During that liquidity crisis of 2023, we built an industry-leading capital position and have been carefully looking for an opportunity to prudently put that capital to work for our shareholders. We believe the acquisitions of VBI and Heartland Bank shares are very good uses of this excess capital, adding material earnings accretion with a low-risk earnback profile. Both acquisitions have lower loan deposit ratios, which limits credit risk and provides the opportunity to reposition bond portfolios funded with exceptional deposit bases.

Both transactions are truly unique in their own way, and you will find very few financial institutions with these profiles in the industry. Lastly, just as Seacoast holds the number one deposit market share in the high-growth Port St. Lucie MSA, Villages Bancorporation enjoys leading market share in the faster-growing Villages MSA. We believe this partnership further strengthens our unique franchise value as the largest publicly traded Florida-based bank. It enhances our long-term growth trajectory, improves profitability, delivers reinvestment capacity, and expands our ability to support future loan growth, all through low-risk deployment of excess capital. I want to extend my sincere thanks to the teams at Villages Bancorporation and Citizens First Bank for their dedication and collaboration throughout the diligence process and bringing this partnership to life.

We look forward to welcoming their employees and customers to the Seacoast franchise, and I'd also like to thank and recognize the Seacoast M&A team for their outstanding work and commitment to executing this transaction. I'll now turn the call over to Michael to provide additional information on the transaction. Michael.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Thank you, Charles. I certainly echo your excitement for this partnership. I'm going to walk us through today the high-level impacts and benefits of the merger, similarities between our two companies, the transaction details, and finally, the opportunities that lie ahead. Charles provided some background on the Villages community and the cultural alignment between our two companies. Given that VBI has been a private company for its entire 35-year history, I wanted to provide a little more background for those less familiar with the bank itself. Villages Bancorporation has grown to $4.1 billion in assets within and alongside the Villages community through the first phase of growth on the original 30,000 acres from 1983 to 2017. Villages II is expected to roughly double the size of the original development over the next 15-20 years.

This expansion is well underway, as VBI just opened a new town center location yesterday, bringing the total branch count for the company to 19 locations. This will add to Seacoast's 79 locations that it currently operates throughout the state of Florida and four for Heartland. Six of VBI's branches are outside of the Villages development and will provide additional opportunity to grow in the attractive north central Florida market. Similar to Seacoast, VBI operates a very low-risk business model with high levels of capital. The bank has a low loan-to-deposit ratio with $1.3 billion in loans compared to $3.5 billion in deposits, or a 38% loan-to-deposit ratio. The low loan-to-deposit ratio has been largely the result of concentration in 23A restrictions, which have limited the ability to originate commercial loans and hold mortgage originations on balance sheet over the years.

The bank has impressively achieved over a 1% ROA despite those limitations over the prior five years, taking limited credit risk, and in fact, the return on risk-weighted assets is over 1.6% currently. Given the low loan-to-deposit ratio and high profitability, the bank has maintained a similar fortress-like balance sheet to Seacoast. One of the bigger drivers of profitability is the high-quality, relationship-based deposit franchise detailed on page 10 of the investor presentation. The hallmark of the company is its granular, low-cost funding base with over 100,000 customer accounts that have been with the bank on average over eight and a half years. This client base values service, and this has led to a low cost of deposits at 1.4%, representing a low beta funding base in the low 30s over the prior two rate hike cycles.

Importantly, after the events of 2023, you should note that 75% of the bank's deposits are also FDIC insured. Moving to page 20, you can see the similarity in the Villages loan and deposit mix relative to Seacoast. This will certainly be additive to our franchise and similar to what we've done in the past and bring down our overall pro forma cost of deposits by 10 basis points. Turning to the transaction metrics as referenced on slide 12, under the terms of the merger agreement, Seacoast will acquire 100% of VBI's outstanding shares. While VBI will own 19% of the pro forma company, non-voting convertible preferred stock will be issued to certain shareholders in order to ensure the aggregate voting ownership remains below 9.75%. Based on Seacoast's closing price on May 28th, the transaction is valued at $710.8 million.

The purchase price translates to 1.61 times VBI's tangible book value and 6.7 times 2026 earnings per share inclusive of expected cost savings and balance sheet restructuring. The purchase price excluding AOCI represents just 1.33 times tangible book value. The consideration mix represents 25% cash and 75% stock as we deploy excess capital to improve our earnings profile. It's important to note that if the consideration was 100% stock, instead, the deal would have been 6.1% dilutive to tangible book value and approximately 19% accretive to 2027 earnings. The transaction really combines the equivalent of a share repurchase with an acquisition. Now let's cover impact, timing, and assumptions. In total, we expect 24% earnings accretion once cost savings are fully reflected, with a 2.8-year earnback and a 28% internal rate of return, which we feel is very compelling use of capital compared to other alternatives.

Perhaps most importantly, it converts our excess capital into improved profitability and earnings in a low-risk but franchise value accretive manner. We expect to close the transaction in the fourth quarter of this year, subject to customary regulatory and shareholder approvals. We are planning a system conversion for mid-2Q 2026, so cost savings will be fully phased in by the second half of 2026. Our extensive M&A experience and partnership with VBI's strong team has resulted in a detailed due diligence process and a strong plan to successfully execute this conservatively modeled transaction. We expect one-time merger costs to equate to 7.3% of the total transaction value. Cost saving assumptions are low, as we plan to grow the Villages partnership with no branch closures expected as part of the acquisition. Credit assumptions are purposefully conservative, and we revise these to reflect recent macroeconomic uncertainty.

We leaned into the Moody's S3 scenario, which resulted in a total estimated purchase mark on loans of 8.9%, including the day-one CESOL reserve. This reflects 3.5% of an interest rate mark, a 2.9% credit mark, and a $31 million day-one CESOL reserve on non-PCD loans. $5.1 million will be a mark on the PCD loans, and $33 million of gross credit mark will be accretable. There's also the $47 million interest rate mark, which will also be accretable. The other key elements of the transaction to note: we plan to restructure VBI's four-year duration bond portfolio to optimize risk-adjusted returns and protect the tangible book value earnback for our shareholders. Pro forma, we still maintain a robust capital position with 14.7% total capital and 12.8% tier-one capital, and a 10.8% CET1 ratio with a much higher PP&R profile going forward.

Lastly, I want to cover the strategic value of this acquisition. We believe the partnership with VBI and the Villages community has significant strategic merits, including a low-risk deployment of excess capital to improve our return on equity, scale benefits to more appropriately lever fixed costs associated with crossing the $10 billion asset threshold, and it adds significant capacity for future growth. Assuming our current balance sheet, our CRE and C&D ratios will decline, and our loan-to-deposit ratio will drop into the low 70s from the current mid-80s range. This provides significant future growth opportunity. Also, the removal of 23A restrictions, along with strong population growth in the market as the development continues, will enhance our loan growth outlook. We anticipate that additional bankers will be attracted to our franchise, given our ample capacity to support their personal and customer growth.

While not modeled, we further believe there are revenue synergies and opportunities for redeployment of the securities from redeployment from securities to loans at wider spreads. Further, there are additional product capabilities like trust and insurance, which will be additive to VBI's product set and align well with the opportunity in the market. With that, I'll turn the call back to Charles.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

All right. Thank you, Michael. Operator, we're ready to take a few questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue. Your first question comes from the line of Woody Leigh with KBW. Your line is open.

Woody Leigh
Analyst, KBW

Hey, good morning, guys.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Hey, Woody.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Morning, Woody.

Woody Leigh
Analyst, KBW

Wanted to just start with the competitive landscape in the Villages, just given Citizens First's sort of unique position in that market. Just any color on sort of how you expect to maintain that deposit market share. I'm assuming the right of first refusal on new branches is transferable in the deal.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah, I'll take that. Yeah, it's a great question, Woody. Importantly, as the Villages One was developed and now the Villages Two, the Villages Bank shares in Citizens First Bank came alongside that development and built out a branch network to serve the Villages community. That branch network is sort of anchored by town center location. If you were to look at the branch footprint, you'd see the town centers, which are primarily accessible or the easiest accessible by the golf cart paths and the ability to drive the golf carts into that part of the community. That's where the bulk of the deposit base is. We do and will maintain exclusivity of the town centers.

If you want to see the details of that, you can reference the SEC filings and the developer support agreement, as well as we have right of first refusal on the new town centers that are going into the Villages Two. That is a very protective component of the deal. Importantly, probably even more importantly, that is the partnership we'll have with the Villages Development Corporation over time to service the customer base and be a partner over the coming 15-20 years as they build out Villages Two. We're super excited about it. It's a very unique transaction and a very unique opportunity for us to bolt on to what they've done so well over many years.

Woody Leigh
Analyst, KBW

Yeah, that's helpful color. I also wanted to touch on the previous 23A restrictions on Citizens First. Those are coming off now with the purchase. Could you just sort of frame the opportunity there and how it could impact the forward expectations for loan growth?

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. So kind of two ways to think about that. One, there were restrictions on how much lending they could do and how much loans they should—I should rephrase it—how much loans they could put on the books. If you think about it, both commercial and residential were constrained. This opens up our ability to portfolio both commercial lending and consumer lending over time. That 23A restriction comes off completely as a result of the transaction. That constraint's removed. We do feel that that's very accretive in a revenue synergy that I would say we probably modeled very conservatively at this point. Secondly, the other huge revenue synergy here is the ability to introduce a further and deeper trust and investment management platform with a wider product set that they currently were not offering to that community.

I think our loan growth profile remains strong on the backside of this. We've been sort of guiding to that mid to high single-digit range. I think even bolting on this billion-dollar portfolio, we'll still stay in that mid to high single-digit range. In many ways, when you step back and you look at this deal, probably one of the most interesting and compelling reasons that makes this deal different than many other deals that are done in the industry is it reduces our CRE ratios materially and our ADC ratios materially. Not only are we going to have the opportunity to lend into the Villages directly into that community, it opens up more ability to drive loan growth across our franchise.

It kind of really reloads us in terms of liquidity concentration ratios and gives us the ability to really put all these low-cost deposits to work.

Woody Leigh
Analyst, KBW

Yep. That's great color. All right. That's all for me. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on the deal.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Thanks, Woody.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Stalton with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Stephen Stalton
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Hey, good morning. Appreciate it here. Congrats on the acquisition. Very unique and really interesting and exciting. I guess one of the things I'm curious about is the ability to lever up the balance sheet over time. How do you guys think about how long that might take, what the aspirational goal is? I mean, do you want it back to an 80-85% loan-to-deposit ratio in time? How can we think about that and the trajectory of that over the next several years?

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Hey, Stephen. This is Michael. I'll take that one. Look, I think at a 70% loan-to-deposit ratio, if you do the math with kind of a high single-digit growth rate or so on the loan side and maybe a low single-digit to mid-single-digit on the deposit side, it'll take some time to redeploy that. It will really be contingent upon kind of the pace of loan growth. If that were to accelerate, that could help us to remix more quickly. I think this sets us up for several years of growth on the loan side. Quite frankly, I think as the Villages Two gets built out, we're going to have significant deposit growth potential on that side as well. I think that's a high-class problem to have, but we'll be trying to remix towards loans over time.

We'll structure or when we restructure the securities portfolio, we'll ensure we've got enough cash flow, obviously, so we can achieve that. I think over a medium-term period, you should think about a balance of both balance sheet growth and remixing.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. Importantly, Stephen, just to bolt on to what Michael said, when you step back and you think about the ability to reposition this bond book with this very low cost of funds, the margin already is substantially improved. The earnings profile is out the gate really good without even having to press hard into lending. The way we have modeled this and the way you see the pro forma ROA and ROTCE really only assumes the bond reposition. It does not assume the loan mix over time. There is a lot of opportunity here to turn this into material earnings.

Stephen Stalton
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Yeah, for sure. It becomes kind of the icing on the cake. That makes sense. You guys noted the potential for more hiring over time. I think additional bankers will be attracted to the franchise given all the liquidity, which I would agree with. What do you think that looks like? I mean, given some of the restrictions they had on loan growth, is there a big opportunity to add lenders kind of within the community itself or that would lend to the developers or into the community, or is it more just leveraging the liquidity kind of across your footprint over time?

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

It's a bit of all the above. There's the opportunity to build out lending teams further into the broader Villages, Ocala, Gainesville community, and into north central Florida. That's part of the state. If you really kind of run up the middle of the state there from Orlando to Gainesville, through the Villages, it is some of the fastest-growing markets. Obviously, you'll see the slide in there, the Villages being the number one fastest-growing market. There's the opportunity to add into that with lending teams along the way, as well as further opportunities to work with a developer on opportunities in and around the Villages. Lastly, we have the opportunity to redeploy these deposits all the way around the state. It's kind of a little bit of all, Stephen.

Stephen Stalton
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Okay. That's great. Just last thing for me. On the day-two CECL mark, depending upon changes in accounting treatment, is there a chance that that is not needed at the time of close based on your understanding of the FASB changes?

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. We'll have the ability to elect that. We'll see where we are when we get there, but that option potentially will be there for us.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah, Stephen. They haven't finalized.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Kind of the different dilution, yeah.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

I was going to say they haven't finalized that rule, Stephen. There is discussion that it may be the ability to do a look-back retroactively, but we'll have to see once they kind of get all that squared away what direction that will go. That is about $30 million of impact, depending on whether we end up needing to take that as a day-one CECL reserve or not.

Stephen Stalton
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Perfect. Perfect. Awesome. Congrats again, guys. Very cool deal. Thanks for the time.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Thanks, Steve.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Russell Ganter with Stephens. Your line is open.

Russell Ganter
Managing Director, Stephens

Hey, good morning, guys.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Good morning, Stephen.

Stephen Stalton
Analyst, Piper Sandler

Morning. Wanted to ask about the timing of the bond restructuring and how you are thinking about pro forma margin upon deal close.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Michael.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Sure, Stephen. On the bond restructure, it's a sizable bond restructure. We'll evaluate that. I think for competitive reasons, we don't want to divulge too much around timing and magnitude, etc. We plan to execute on that and manage risk, I think, is the important thing. Obviously, we're going to be very thoughtful about the pro forma risk profile of the company. We want to ensure that across a range of outcomes, that the tangible book value earned back that we've articulated will be achieved. That's our number one goal. We'll ensure that that occurs.

I think maybe one of the key distinctions is there's some things within that book that have a little lower spread or a little lower margin that will be more impactful in terms of resetting those up into current products and rates with more normal spreads for a bank balance sheet. We will evaluate that. A lot of that can occur, I guess, in big picture around legal close.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. When Michael says competitive, he means getting the best execution.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah.

Russell Ganter
Managing Director, Stephens

Got it. Okay. No, that's good color, Michael. Thank you. Maybe just to follow up, how you guys are thinking about the pro forma margin with upon legal close and the securities restructuring complete.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Sure. I think if you look at it, Villages on a standalone basis actually has a little bit lower margin. They're very efficient, and so they're profitable, as I highlighted earlier. But the margin is a bit lower because they're primarily invested into the securities with kind of a mid-threes yield. As we step that up towards 5%, that's going to be accretive certainly to their margin. On a pro forma basis, as I talked about, our cost of deposits would likely drop about 10 basis points. That's about probably the impact to the margin over the near term at legal close and post-repositioning. We'll get a 10-15 basis point benefit to margin depending on the interest rate environment and how that plays out between now and then, certainly. That's kind of the impact collectively once you mix them in.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. Between now and legal close and then beyond that, as we rebuild the securities portfolio, we expect sort of much further margin expansion into 2026.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. Redeploying the loans would be accretive to all of that.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah.

Russell Ganter
Managing Director, Stephens

Understood. No, that's very helpful. Thank you for taking that one. Switching gears on the potential revenue synergies that you guys have identified but not modeled. Any additional color you can share in terms of quantifying that potential upside, what the timing could be, and then just a reminder of what the upfront Durbin hit that would offset it?

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. I'll take the first couple, and then I'll let Michael talk a little bit about Durbin. The opportunity is huge, particularly in the trust and investment management side of the business. The team is actually there today beginning that process. I would expect us to make investments in both talent and product to serve that community in the coming years that will continue. As that happens, we'll continue to update you all on that. There is tremendous opportunity there to cross-sell and help expand the offering inside the Villages, Bancorp, and Citizens First Bank. The other big one, as I mentioned, is the 23A restrictions coming off. Our ability to expand their mortgage product offerings is a tremendous opportunity. We'll begin that sort of immediately post-close. I would expect a lot of these synergies to start to develop early in 2026.

We'll legally close this in October. It'll take us a little time to get up and running. Our plan right now is to do the full technology conversion probably in May of 2026. As we move beyond that, I expect the revenue synergies to start to materially show up.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Then, Stephen, on the one other synergy opportunity that kind of hits on both Stephen's question and your question, they did last year about $400 million in mortgage originations. They have been selling all of that. We would have the balance sheet flexibility to decide between retain versus sell and what kind of optimizes our balance sheet on a go-forward basis. They have a very good mortgage business. I think there will be things like mortgage servicing that we have not done historically that potentially bring into the rest of the franchise on the Seacoast side. Lots of great opportunities. On the Durbin question specifically, it is about $800,000 annually that would come out of their fee-income run rate related to Durbin.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

That is reflected in the model.

Russell Ganter
Managing Director, Stephens

Got it. Okay. Thank you both. And then just last one for me, kind of big picture. Charles, just any quick history on kind of how the deal came together, how long you guys have been talking, whether this was a negotiated transaction?

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. Great question. The process started in about late November, December last year. It was a—I describe it as a limited auction. They brought in a number of parties to look and bid on the transaction. We were one of the parties invited in early into the process.

Russell Ganter
Managing Director, Stephens

Great. Guys, that's it for me. I appreciate you taking all of my questions.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Bishop with Hovde Group. The line is open.

David Bishop
Director, Hovde Group

Yeah. Good morning, gentlemen.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Good morning, Dave.

David Bishop
Director, Hovde Group

Hey. Question, Charles and Mike. Noticed in the slide deck, C&I loans are a pretty big chunk of their loan portfolio. Seems like maybe they punch above their weight class there. Just curious what's sort of the makeup of those loans. Is that small business? Just curious how they've been able to sort of grow that so quickly within a community bank wrapper.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

I'll let James take that one.

James Stallings
Chief Credit Officer, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Hey, David. Good morning. James Stallings here. Yeah, we did a pretty deep dive on their portfolio. The bulk of their C&I is pretty consistent with what we see at Seacoast, small business, and primarily businesses around supporting the Villages community. Of note, they do have about $300 million syndicated loan book that they bought, which is all very high-grade stuff that I'm very comfortable with. That's the one thing that's probably distinct from the Seacoast portfolio, but we're growing that portfolio, so it's certainly additive.

David Bishop
Director, Hovde Group

Yeah. Just to add on to that, if you think about the loan book there, it's a billion-three-ish, as James said, $275 million. It's that syndicated book. The remaining billion is about a third CRE, a third C&I, and a third residential and consumer.

The plan is to retain that syndicated loan book? Did I hear that correct?

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. We'll retain it. It's a high-quality, highly-rated syndicated book that we expect. We're not going to continue to build into it, but we'll let it sort of mature out over time. We think it's worth retaining.

David Bishop
Director, Hovde Group

Got it. I think I heard you say that looking at some of the Mortgage Disclosure Act, they've been averaging about, I don't know, $350 million-$400 million of loan originations. Given some of the limitations and now with the acquisition, any way to sort of ring-fence where you can take that to? Can you up 10%, 25%? Just maybe what's the capacity to grow the origination channel is?

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

I think a reasonable way to model is just to continue to model the volumes they've had. What we'll have the opportunity to do is potentially portfolio a little bit more of that volume than they've had given the 23A restrictions. I think I'd continue to, if you kind of look at the last couple of years that they continue to support the development of the community, I think I'd run rate that out about the same of what they have been doing. As the Villages two comes online, potentially that will expand a little bit. It's hard to quantify that.

David Bishop
Director, Hovde Group

Got it. Appreciate the color. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Pfister with Raymond James. Your line is open.

David Pfister
Analyst, Raymond James

Hi. Good morning, everybody.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Good morning, Dave.

James Stallings
Chief Credit Officer, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Good morning, Dave.

David Pfister
Analyst, Raymond James

A couple of questions for you. I guess, first off, obviously, this is a pretty major deal for y'all. I mean, I think a lot of those listening may not understand the uniqueness and the scale of the Villages. I mean, it is a massive and really unique place. This is by far the biggest deal that you've done. I'm curious, how do you think about the playbook and the timeline for integrating and conversion, just given the scale of the deal, the nature of the market, and the share that you've got there?

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

That is the right question. That is our key focus, I would say. What our goal now between now and what roughly May of 2026 will be making sure we have a flawless conversion. The team is going to be heads down and extremely focused on that. Part of the reason we were selected as a buyer was the social considerations and the fact that our teams came together in a very positive way. I feel very good about the cultural integration of the two organizations. I feel very good about our customer-focused approach that we've always executed. I think a little bit uniquely, Seacoast's long history of serving a fairly large consumer business here across particularly our legacy franchise gives us a lot of history and capability to help integrate this customer base.

That is the key to the success here with this deal, carefully and thoughtfully making sure we have a very good conversion next year. That is why we have set it a year off to give us plenty of time to prepare, get all of our ducks in a row, and be ready to rock when the day comes. Our team has had a lot of integration experience, as you know, done a lot of deals. We have integrated a lot of platforms, and I am confident we will be successful here as well. That will be, between now and then, a large part of what our team will be focused on, making sure we are really careful in making sure the integration goes well. Then post-integration, we really are focused on taking care of the customers and the Villages.

David Pfister
Analyst, Raymond James

That's great. Maybe, Charles, high level, could you just talk about the future of the bank as we look forward? I mean, look, it wasn't that long ago that we're sitting at $7 billion or $8 billion. We're talking about seeing opportunity and aspirational targets. There's an opportunity for us to be a $20 billion-$25 billion pure play Florida bank. With these deals closing, we're kind of there. I'm just kind of curious, as you think about the vision for the bank going forward, how do you think about that and maybe your aspirations here in Florida?

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. I think there's a lot of benefits this brings in terms of scale. What we're now developing and what we've seen develop, and this will help further develop, is a statewide brand, a statewide ability to service customers, a larger balance sheet, the ability to bring a wider product set, and really bring a unique Florida-focused relationship-based bank that we see the market being very desirable of. When you look at the upstream regional and national banks, there's a lot of frustrated customers, a lot of frustrated bankers. We now have the scale, the platform, the capability, the products, the technology, the credit package, the team. We've built that over a period of time here. We see the growth profile looking really good.

If you step back and kind of look at the next two to three years, call it, our ability to drive and what we've laid out here, and we're pretty transparent in what we think our pro forma earnings look like in 2026, is you see fairly material growth and improvement in our returns, particularly on return on capital and ROA. The goal here will be to deliver a high single-digit growth profile with very solid returns. We think there's the opportunity to generate a lot of shareholder value in the next two to three years. We'll see how things play out after that. For now, that is going to be our key focus: integrate this bank successfully, grow our franchise, hire the right bankers, and take advantage of the scale that we've built.

David Pfister
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay. That's great. And then just last one for me. I was hoping you could touch, the deal uses a lot of excess capital, right? Obviously, you're still well-capitalized, but kind of on the lower end of where you've operated and relative to peers. Obviously, a big portion of that's from rate marks, right? It's going to be accreted back. Not really worried about that. But just kind of curious, how do you think about pro forma capital and return opportunities? Or is capital preservation going to kind of be the focus for a while?

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

I think at this point, we'll allow earnings to accrete back through as a result of the deal. Capital builds back up. I think this is a very good use of our excess capital. As we've talked about in the past, when you kind of look at the various capital alternatives, dividends, buybacks, M&A, we've said we've been waiting for the right acquisition. This deal, I think, is the right acquisition. It's a relatively lower-risk transaction, lower loan-to-deposit ratio, lower credit risk, and significant earnings profile given the bond reposition. I think it is an extremely good use of that capital and the deal we've been waiting for to put that capital to work. We'll move forward, allow capital to continue to accrete back through over time. Again, we'll just see what opportunities develop in the coming years.

David Pfister
Analyst, Raymond James

That's great. Congrats on the deal, everybody.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Awesome. Thank you, David.

Operator

Thanks, David.

Again, if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Christopher Marinac with Janney Montgomery Scott. Your line is open.

Christopher Marinac
Director of Research, Janney Montgomery Scott

Hey, thanks. Good morning. I appreciate you hosting us all this morning. I wanted to ask about the level of accretion to pro forma earnings. Michael and Charles, I kind of roughly get it to about 8%. Am I in the ballpark there? And then how quickly will that sort of go backwards as you get into 2027?

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Sure. Chris, this is Michael. I think as you look at it, the impact from accretion actually is relatively similar to the core deposit and tangible expense that we expect, just given the size and strength of the deposit franchise that we're acquiring. Those are somewhat offsetting to one another. There will be a little bit of accretion above that. Again, with a small loan book, it's not a lot of accretable yield or accretable income there net of the core deposit and tangible expense. Those kind of balance each other out because really it's the securities book post-repositioning, which will not be accretable yield that's coming through.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yeah. You can see that on slide 21, Chris. If you look at slide 21, you'll see exactly what Michael's describing with the offset there. In many ways, this is not a deal that generates kind of the risk of earnings accretion coming off as one falls off, the other falls off. This is a good creator of core earnings.

Christopher Marinac
Director of Research, Janney Montgomery Scott

Sure. And the same is true with Heartland from February's announcement.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Yep. Exactly.

Christopher Marinac
Director of Research, Janney Montgomery Scott

Same mechanics. Okay. My next question, this has to do with how you see securities in the big picture relative to the balance sheet. We see the numbers, obviously, at close. As you think about maybe roughly 30% of earning assets coming from securities, do you think that will get lower over time? I mean, obviously, you're going to continue to build capital, apply that into the loan growth, given the continued outlook on mid-upper single digits. I'm just curious if securities are going to be a bigger part of the balance sheet for quite some time.

Michael Young
Treasurer and Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Hey, Chris, this is Michael. I think really we modeled it that way out of conservatism because we don't want to over-assume our loan growth. But as I mentioned, a few of the opportunities between the 23A restrictions lifting, the ability to hold more mortgage on balance sheet if we would like to, particularly for our customers in the Villages, which would be a value-added service and expand their product set. I think there's a lot of opportunities just within those two distinct issues. And then, as Charles mentioned, the opportunity to hire and retain strong banking talent, it's going to be very attractive to our franchise. And we've quite frankly had to turn them away just due to P&L capacity. And this frees up that as well. I think there's just a really good growth trajectory on the road ahead.

We will see how successful we are at redeploying that liquidity into loans. From a conservatism standpoint, we just did not want to model that and show kind of just what the standalone earnings would be that we could obviously more explicitly show. I do think, maybe zooming out then more strategically to your longer-term question, how quickly can we get this redeployed? I think there are opportunities, and there will be opportunities over the next two to three years. Our CRE and C&D ratios are going to be low relative to capital. We are going to accrete capital very quickly. We can afford, if you will, a strong pace of growth if it is there for the taking.

Christopher Marinac
Director of Research, Janney Montgomery Scott

Yeah.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

The only thing I'd just remind you that we'll continue to be thoughtful about credit discipline and making good decisions. We're not going to sort of let the big cash pile here drive us into things we shouldn't be doing. We'll be thoughtful as we move through time.

Christopher Marinac
Director of Research, Janney Montgomery Scott

Yep. That's exactly what I was thinking, Charles, as I was curious if you would think of a shorter portfolio instead of a longer duration just because you probably will move those parts of the LEGO set, if you will.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

I think you've known the organization a long time, Chris, and it will be thoughtful.

Christopher Marinac
Director of Research, Janney Montgomery Scott

Great. Thanks for all the background here. We appreciate it.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Seeing no further questions at this time, that concludes our question and answer session. I will turn the call back over to Charles Shaffer for closing remarks.

Charles Shaffer
Chairman and CEO, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

All right. Thank you. Thank you all for joining us today. We're very excited. It's an exciting announcement. To our Seacoast associates, I just want to say I'm amazed by the progress we made over the last decade. It seems we've come full circle on our land and expand strategy that started not far down the road from the Villages with the acquisition of the bank shares in 2014. To all of our new Citizens First Bank employees and customers, we look forward to warmly welcoming you to the Seacoast family. I can't wait to see what the future holds. We will all celebrate Seacoast Centennial in 2026. Thank you all for joining us this morning. Operator, that'll conclude our call.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining, and you may now disconnect.

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