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Financial Community Presentation 2022

Jun 8, 2022

Jim Jaye
SVP of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications, The Sherwin-Williams Company

Well, good afternoon, everybody, and welcome to the Sherwin-Williams 2022 Financial Community Presentation. My name is Jim Jaye, and I'm Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications for the company. After two years of having to do this virtually, we are thrilled to be back with you in person, live from New York. I also wanna thank those who are joining us via webcast today, so thank you for taking the time to join us. I do have a few housekeeping items before we begin today. First, at Sherwin-Williams, as many of you know, we have a habit of starting our events with what we call a safety grabber, and I'll do that today.

For today's safety grabber, I'd like to point out the exits at the back of the room, and in the unlikely event of an emergency, please make your way out the exits and out of the building in an orderly fashion. Next, I would ask that you all please take a moment and silence your phones as a courtesy to our speakers and to the other attendees. Thank you very much for doing that. I'd also like to point out our cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information and third-party market data that we may cite this afternoon. I'd ask that you familiarize yourself with the language here, the terms, the limitations on this slide as they do pertain to some of the information that we're gonna cover today. We have an excellent program for you today. Here's a quick snapshot of today's activity.

You're gonna hear from multiple members of our leadership team about the many profitable growth opportunities that are ahead of Sherwin-Williams. We are confident in our solutions-based approach to meeting customer needs, and we have the very best team in the industry executing at a high level every day. We'll take a short break around 3:00 P.M. today, and following our prepared presentations, we'll move to a moderated Q&A session. For those who are here with us today in person, we'll conclude the day with a reception where you'll be able to engage directly with our leadership team. Please make your way to the lobby and downstairs, where we will have that reception. Similar to the last two years, the presentation slides that you're going to see today will be available for download right after the events are finished today on our website.

You'll be able to get those there. In addition to today's presenters, I'd just like to recognize the other Sherwin-Williams executive officers that are here in attendance with us today. If you could just stand real quickly when I call your name. With us today is Jane Cronin, our Senior Vice President, Enterprise Finance and Controller. Mary Garceau, our Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Secretary. Tom Gilligan, Senior Vice President, Human Resources. Joe Sladek, President and General Manager of our Supply Chain. And Bryan Young, our Senior Vice President for Corporate Strategy and Development. All fantastic leaders and wonderful colleagues. Finally, putting on an event like this is no easy task. You see this great auditorium here all set up. It's an awful lot of work to get to this point. I'd just like to recognize a couple other team members.

First, if you'd stand, is Eric Swanson, our Vice President of Investor Relations. Many of you have talked to Eric over the past several years, and I couldn't ask for a better partner or teammate in Eric. Next is Mandy Pavlich. Mandy's up manning the booth there. Mandy put all the slides together that you're gonna see today, and no matter how much we changed those slides, Mandy never complained and always did everything that we asked her to do, so thank you, Mandy. Last is Natalie Darr, our admin extraordinaire. Where are you, Natalie? Over there. Natalie managed most of the logistics of today's event, and Natalie is the voice that many of you hear when you call Sherwin-Williams looking for me or Eric or anybody else. You're amazing at what you do, Natalie, and you always do it with a smile.

Thanks to all of you for making this event possible. Without further delay, I'm extremely pleased to turn it over to an absolutely extraordinary leader, and that's our Chairman and CEO, John Morikis, who will provide us with an overview of the industry and the demand environment.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Hello, everyone. Great to be with you. To Jim's point, it's been two years, and I might add, it's been a wild two years, so it is good to be here with all of you and to see you all in person. There was one additional name I wanted to point out. Our Chief Procurement Officer is here today, Colin Davie. If you have some questions for him during the reception, I'm sure he'll be a popular man as well. All right, let's get started. I'd like to begin today with some data and key trends on the coatings industry and the demand environment. Let's begin with the architectural view of the paint industry here.

Most of you know that the architectural paint represents about 60% of total revenue for the company. Based on multiple sources and our own market intelligence, our best estimate is that the U.S. architectural paint volume was about 868 million gallons in 2021. That's growth of about 1% over the previous year. That's 1% reflecting an industry that was held back by this pervasive raw material availability issue that multiple companies have spoken to over the past year. Looking at this chart on the left, you see that gallons have grown almost every year for more than 20 years, except for a decline in the Great Recession when there were nearly 4 million foreclosures. Many of those foreclosed homes were not maintained on the interior or the exterior.

The overall pace of growth in square footage also slowed in that period as new residential construction cooled. Nonetheless, square footage did continue to grow. Since that period, both gallons and square footage have continued to grow. Today, we find ourselves in an environment where there's 23% more residential and non-residential square footage out there since the prior gallon peak in 2004. Additionally, those vacant foreclosures have either been destroyed or abandoned. We've underbuilt new homes since the recession such that there's a dire need for more new housing today. In sum, there's a lot more out there today than there was at the prior peak. We also believe there's more to come in new residential and all the architectural segments that we play in. Again, based on various sources and our own intelligence, here's a view of the industry by segment.

The strength of Sherwin-Williams is that we're well positioned in all of these segments. Through our strategy work, and I will say this, we've been very deliberate in our approach to develop a strategy that helps us to structure the company so that we can capitalize on changing market conditions. In 2020, I think the pivot to a surging DIY demand during the pandemic is a great example. In 2021, we saw DIY moderate as the year went on and other segments gained momentum. That strong demand environment has continued in 2022. This next slide is a summary of where we think we are right now. In new residential, starts are strong, and customers, they're bullish. Strong household formations bode well for our future. In residential repaint, exteriors and interior projects are strong. Long-term drivers and demographics are favorable.

In commercial construction, projects that resumed after the pandemic are in the painting phase, and new starts also remain strong. In property management, apartment turns are improving. Return to office, loosening COVID restrictions, and resumption of travel are aiding maintenance activities related to offices, to factories, hotels, restaurants, to schools and other facilities. In DIY, we're seeing the market settle into a more sustainable low single-digit growth rate following the spike that we saw during the pandemic. Let's take a deeper look at some of these drivers. When we look at the U.S., we see a demographic tailwind that should drive demand for years to come. Baby boomers are aging in place and remodeling. Gen X and millennials are moving up, buying their first homes or renting. They're also engaging in professional repaint or DIY projects.

Waiting in the wings is the largest generation in U.S. history, Gen Z, who will drive another wave of household formations. Here's the recent dynamic on new residential. As we've said before, new residential painting typically starts 90 to 120 days after a start. That stretched out a bit here in some areas as delays in some building materials have lengthened completion times. Starts have been strong since the pause we saw during the start of the pandemic. Yes, mortgage rates have risen meaningfully near-term, but by historical standards, they're still very reasonable. Our home building customers indicate that these rates have not made a meaningful dent on their orders, and they're not seeing significant cancellations. In addition to the current strength, the long-term drivers we've often spoken about remain intact.

Sustained household formation underpins housing demand, and this looks to remain very solid for the next several years. 72 million millennials, now age 26 to 41, are forming households. They're becoming first-time homebuyers. They're driving demand for entry-level homes. The issue is not demand, but rather supply. We've gone from a significant housing surplus prior to the Great Recession to a significant housing deficit today. According to a 2021 survey by the Rosen Consulting Group, the under-building gap in the U.S. totaled more than 5.5 million units over the last 20 years relative to household formation. When you add the loss of existing units through demolition, natural disaster, or obsolescence, the implied cumulative demand supply gap totals 6.8 million units.

In order to fill a gap of 5.5 million over the next 10 years in accounting for growth, building would have to accelerate well above the current trend to more than 2 million units per year. In 2021, just to put it in perspective, we built about 1.3 million units per year for the year. Residential repaint, this next slide, is the largest business unit or business area of our Americas TAG portfolio. It's also where we believe we have the most opportunity, even after six consecutive years of double-digit growth. Harvard's leading indicator of remodeling activity is strong and is projected to be positive well into next year. As you know, painting a room in a home is easy, it's impactful, and it's affordable. I suggest you all do it this weekend, by the way.

We believe paint is even more resilient than what is shown on this chart, which contains larger, more expensive remodeling projects. A traditional driver for repaint activity has been existing home sales. The current homeowner, on the one hand, refreshes the home with new paint prior to the sale, and then the new homeowner who's just purchased the home repaints it to make it their own. The total number of existing home sales remains well above pre-pandemic levels, but year-over-year growth has cooled as available inventory has become extremely tight. Since it's hard to find an existing home to move to, many homeowners are opting to repaint their current home instead. Other factors driving repaint are intact. Americans' homes are getting older and are in need of maintenance.

The median age of the nation's 140 million homes is now 41 years old, and half were built prior to 1980. Home price appreciation also gives homeowners confidence to remodel and to repaint. Since the 2012 timeframe, home values have continued to increase. This gives homeowners confidence to invest in repairs, in renovations, and in remodeling. This trend has stayed strong right through the pandemic. We also continue to see the trend for baby boomers aging in place and remodeling. Many of these projects will require paint also. Will people hire contractors for painting or will they do it themselves? In 2020, we saw DIY grow as a percent of total for the first time since the Great Recession. This was driven by consumers nesting during the pandemic and taking on DIY projects.

If we look back to the Great Recession, say around 2008, we saw a similar pattern where DIY expanded for a relatively short period of time. Over the long term, the trend reverted back to do- it- for- me, and we're seeing the same thing now. Do- it- for- me will be driven by demographics, by home price appreciation, by dual income families, by stock market wealth, and the aging housing market stock that I mentioned earlier. Millennials also have shown tendencies towards do- it- for- me. The good news is that Sherwin-Williams is well positioned to serve the market no matter which way the trend may go, either through our own stores or through our retail partners. We've also seen strength in commercial construction demand. As we've said before, new commercial painting typically starts 12-18 months after a project starts.

It's stretching out a bit now with some of the areas due to shortage of building materials and/or labor, and starts that began in the late part of 2022 and early part of 2021 are reaching the painting phase now. Starts remain strong through the balance of 2021 and have continued into 2022, which should provide continued opportunity for Sherwin-Williams going forward. Commercial indicators continue to move in the right direction. The Architecture Billings Index is an indicator of future commercial construction activity. It's been positive now for 15 straight months, and at levels not seen since prior to the Great Recession. Other indicators, such as the Dodge Momentum Index, also remain strong. In addition to new commercial projects, we also feel good about maintenance opportunities as property management activities that virtually stopped during the COVID experience are now being addressed.

We're starting to see more momentum here driven by apartment turns, a return to office, a return to travel and other hospitality related activity. I'll remind you that we currently enjoy exclusive relationships with a very high percentage of the top 20 property maintenance companies. To my earlier point, the strength of our model is that Sherwin-Williams has excellent positions in all of the architectural end markets. This should let us help manage through demand dynamics better than any of our competitors. Our share of wallet initiatives and our new account initiatives should also help us to manage through short-term fluctuation in any given area. Okay, so let me now turn to industrial and special purpose coatings, which make up about 60% of the global coatings market. This is a great opportunity for Sherwin-Williams.

We believe we operate in the right industrial segments, the ones where we can differentiate ourselves from our competitors, where we can drive solutions for our customers, and make the kinds of returns our shareholders expect and, quite frankly, deserve. We seek to avoid more commoditized segments, where the lowest common denominator is often a race to the bottom on price. We've seen tremendous demand in our industrial end markets since the fourth quarter of 2020. While the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index is not a perfect correlation with our business, it does give us directional context as new orders is the largest component of the index. As a reminder, a PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion of activity, and a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This index has been strongest in the U.S., our largest region.

It's also been very positive in Europe, our second-largest region, though we're seeing slowing in some areas in this market. The PMI has been softer in China as continuous regional COVID outbreaks have disrupted production and logistics in manufacturing, and naturally, it's had an impact on demand. Even if new orders slow meaningfully over the next 12 months, there's a large backlog of existing orders that still need to be filled in many industrial end markets. All of us have experienced wait times in many different areas, everything from appliances to furniture. I'm sure either you've experienced them yourselves, or you've heard of others that have experienced the same type of situation. All of us, I think, understand that this backlog should carry well into next year, if not beyond.

Let me take a minute here and walk you through the trends we're seeing in our Industrial businesses. Start with Packaging. Packaging is both a high-growth business and a highly defensive business. This business grew high single digits in 2020 during the height of the pandemic. We've now delivered double-digit growth here for the last five quarters, including approximately a 30% average over the last three quarters. The drivers we've often cited here continue. The shift from plastic to cans due to environmental concerns, growing new product categories, and a shift to our non-BPA coatings. Both we and our customers are investing in capacity in this area. This is a terrific business for us, and we're going right at this with our customers. We'd also categorize automotive refinish as a growth and a defensive business for our company.

Miles driven have improved sequentially, and it is now near pre-COVID levels. We've had a large number of new product and system installations in North America as well, and this is a good indicator of momentum and should support growth going forward. In Industrial Wood, new residential construction continues to drive robust demand in areas like kitchen cabinetry, flooring, molding, and furniture applications. We're also seeing heightened consumer interest in customized finishes and colors for wood products, and that customized demand provides us an opportunity to demonstrate support and solutions to our customers in ways that many of our competitors cannot. Our Coil business, another terrific business, is being driven by momentum in residential and commercial construction. Let's move into General Industrial.

Heavy equipment growth is supported by the strong U.S. construction market, and it has a nice impact on our General Industrial business, as does the infrastructure bill. Additionally, the strong U.S. and Europe manufacturing PMI supports general finishing. Last, we're seeing great momentum in our Protective & Marine business. Oil and gas maintenance activity that was delayed, in some cases virtually stopped during COVID, has recovered strongly, and the U.S. active rig count is growing. The U.S. infrastructure bill here should create ongoing opportunity as well. We're also focused on other end markets in this business, such as water and wastewater treatment, food and beverage plants, and flooring. Before I conclude, I'd like to provide a quick update on the raw material environment. First, we believe we're through the worst of the industry's raw material availability challenges we previously described.

The marked improvement we saw beginning in mid-March has continued, though we did enter this year's painting season with lower inventory than we normally would have. The 50 million gallons of architectural capacity we added in the fourth quarter of 2021 is up and running. This should allow us to keep pace with demand through the season. We'll then build inventory in the seasonally slower fourth quarter of 2022 here. As we communicated on our April call, we expect industry raw material inflation for the year to be up in the low double-digit to mid-teens range. We're tending toward the high end of the range. We anticipate some moderation of costs in the back half of the year, though they will still be elevated year-over-year.

As you know, we've been highly proactive in our pricing actions over the past year and a half in response to this raw material inflation, and you can expect us to continue down that path as necessary. As I come to the end of my prepared remarks, I would summarize the demand environment as continuing to be very strong near term, with many long-term drivers also in our favor. Our people, they're energized and they're operating with momentum. They're focused on share of wallet, they're focused on new account activity, and this is in all regions around the globe. At the same time, the market's not without volatility, and for that reason, our business is purposely designed to weather a wide variety of scenarios. We operate in growth and more defensive end markets.

As we like to say, whichever way the proverbial demand table may tilt, Sherwin-Williams will be there and is extremely well positioned with the solutions our customers need to win, and we will win. With that, it gives me great pleasure and honor to introduce our Chief Operating Officer and President of the company, Heidi Petz. Thank you.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

All right. Good afternoon. Thank you, John. It's great to be here in person with everyone, and again, welcome to those that are listening in on webcast here. I couldn't be more excited at this time in the history of Sherwin-Williams to take the helm as President and Chief Operating Officer. John has described there are many markets in which we're looking to continue to add value and drive profitable growth across multiple end markets, and we're gonna hear from the group presidents here shortly to give you a bit more detail there. We're operating with a lot of momentum and confidence right now. Our teams are highly engaged. We're out in front of customers. We're making sure that we're understanding our customers' needs and finding ways to bring creative, probably now more than ever, creative solutions to their needs.

We're working side by side with our customers, making sure that our focus is on their growth, their success, and their goals, and that hasn't changed. Today, I'd like to talk about what differentiates Sherwin-Williams, and John mentioned a bit, you know, in terms of some of the businesses, but how we're uniquely positioned to win and ultimately what our priorities, ultimately my priorities are for the company going forward in the next year. On the next slide, many of you know this, but just to level set, you know, as we talk about Sherwin-Williams as a global leader in manufacturing, distribution, development, and the sale of paint, coatings, and related products across our professional, industrial, commercial, and retail partners.

You know, we've got revenues from 2021 at the $19.9 billion mark, and the team has been tasked to certainly surpass that here. We operate in over 120 countries with 4,900 company-owned stores, and we've got over 61,000 talented and dedicated employees. We operate in the three global segments that John referred to, The Americas Group, our Consumer Brands Group, and our Performance Coatings Group. These groups really strive to ensure that we're providing our customers with these innovative solutions that we've been referring to, again, to ensure their success regardless of where they're working or the surfaces on which they're working.

The success of each of these segments is supported by a highly efficient global supply chain team, where our scale and our ability to adapt allows us to leverage our expertise, drive synergy, and of course, deliver world-class service, innovation, and efficiencies. On this next slide, you'll see, as many companies and industries have also been through the last three years, we've weathered a lot as a company. A lot of unique circumstances over the last three years. I know I don't need to tell all of you, but maybe as a level set, we've all been through this together. A global pandemic, social unrest, natural disasters, unprecedented and industry-wide raw material shortages. Labor challenges and relentless and historic cost inflation.

I'm really proud of the 61,000 employees who have not only navigated these challenges, but found a way to turn these obstacles into opportunities. We continued to invest in customer-facing activities while at the same time challenging our teams to focus on bringing simplification forward. You'll see here just a list of many of the accomplishments that the team has been able to deliver during these challenging times. The key takeaway that I'd like you all to really think about here is that this group is battle tested. Today, we're a better company, and we are closer to our customers, we are closer to our suppliers than we've ever been.

I'd like to address what has enabled us to really meet these challenges head on over the past few years, and what gives me confidence in our ability to continue to do so, emerging as an even stronger company. At Sherwin-Williams, we talk a lot. You could ask anybody in the organization. We talk a lot about the clarity of mission, making sure everybody is crystal clear on what's expected of them and what outcomes we are looking for them to drive. When 61,000 people are aligned, there's nearly nothing that we can't do. Underlying our business is a clear corporate purpose, and that is we inspire and improve the world by coloring and protecting what matters. How do we do this? We've heard about this earlier, but it's our solutions mindset.

We are laser-focused on not only solving our customers' needs, but solving their toughest challenges. Who benefits? We do take a holistic view here across multiple key stakeholders. When we talk about how we do this with our teams internally, it's how we operate every day. We operate with the same Sherwin-Williams timeless values. Finally, we're all in the room because of how we measure this. Sherwin-Williams has a culture of accountability, period. We count on people to do what they say they will do. Our core metrics for driving shareholder value have remained unchanged, driving sales growth, improving return on sales, driving return on net assets employed, and of course, driving cash generation. Our Chief Financial Officer, Allen Mistysyn, will be talking about these metrics in a few moments later today. Additionally, we've elevated our commitment to driving sustainability and inclusion, diversity, and equity.

I'd like to dig into the top portion of this slide and share a little bit about what I believe is so important to our success, and that is our solutions mindset. I'm gonna briefly cover four key areas that we really focus on here. The first is our relentless focus on our customers and their unique needs, and the key word there being their unique needs. Our customers are under continuous pressure to get more out of their labor and maximize throughput. Our commercial, R&D, and technical service teams are focused on helping them achieve these goals. There's a relentless focus on listening to our customers and meeting their needs. We do recognize it's not just about the lowest price per gallon, but it's about reducing the customer's total applied cost and working in close partnership with them.

The next slide you'll see, we tailor this wide range of services to a very specific set of needs. The list includes, and many of you do know this list, convenience store locations, highly knowledgeable store employees, specialized field sales reps, targeted training, robust digital capabilities, job site deliveries, technical support, blending facilities, and much more. This allows us to create the right experience, whether it's for a small independent residential repaint contractor or a large global OEM. On the next slide, I'll make a few comments here on innovation. Our customers have truly come to expect innovation and leadership from Sherwin-Williams, and we continue to deliver. We received the highest score among paint retailers, exterior paint and exterior stains, in the J.D. Power 2021 Paint Satisfaction Study of customer satisfaction. Innovative products help our customers to be more productive, and that's what they are trying to do.

From maintenance and durability to color and visual appearance to being more sustainably focused, we bring solutions. We have a strong legacy of innovation, and we're doubling down on our efforts. As part of our Building Our Future project, we're building a 600,000 sq ft global R&D center in Brecksville, Ohio, which is right next door to our new global headquarters. The facility will bring chemists, engineers, technicians, and support teams together in a state-of-the-art innovation hub, and we will support product development, coatings research, color technology, and process engineering. We're expecting this new facility to be open by the end of 2024. Importantly, on the next slide, we'll talk on distribution. We've got the distribution model and platform to reach, meet, and exceed our customers' ever-changing needs and expectations.

This model includes our paint stores, as I mentioned earlier, approximately 300 industrial blending facilities that provide this customization that's so core to our business and just-in-time delivery, logistically positioned close to our customers. The model also includes several thousand strategic channel partner locations, nearly 132 manufacturing and distribution centers around the world, and we connect all of this with the largest company-owned fleet in the industry, including over 800 tractors and 2,100 trailers and 3,000 delivery vehicles. Simply put, we can serve our customers when and where they need us. On the next slide, you know, given the challenges of the past year, arguably the past two years, we have taken every step possible to be very proactive in enhancing our supply chain. We get better as a result, and we get stronger as a result of getting better.

Within supply assurance, like many, we've strengthened our agreements with our suppliers and also qualified new ones to make sure that we're always on firm ground. We also completed the recent acquisition of Specialty Polymers, which is contributing to our resin needs with production facilities in Oregon and North Carolina, which reduces our geographic reliance on the Gulf. We're increasing this capacity in our business with modest capital expenditures. Within simplification, we've made tremendous progress during these times in rationalizing SKUs and product lines, and there is still additional opportunity in front of us to continue to do so. Reformulation and platform consolidations are other opportunities. Within logistics capability, our existing fleet of tractors, trailers, and tank cars have proven to be a key differentiator for us.

Over the last year, we've used our fleet to pick up raw materials from suppliers and deliver them directly to our production sites. We're nearly doubling our tank wagons from 200 to 400 to continue to allow us to be nimble and flexible. Within the capacity expansion, as John mentioned, we did bring on 50 million gallons of incremental architectural capacity online at the very end of 2021. The capacity is up and running, and we are enjoying every gallon. We've also announced a recent $300 million investment in Statesville, North Carolina, to bring on more capacity in 2024. On the Industrial side, we've made some additional capacity investments in packaging, one of our fastest-growing businesses. I'm gonna take a minute and talk about the future of work. We've touched on this a bit in the past.

As the availability of labor continues to remain a challenge going forward, we're working to ensure greater productivity in our factories and distribution centers through automation projects, digital transformation, greater collaboration, and very importantly, employee engagement. We often talk about these initiatives as unleashing the hidden factory, if you will, within our existing operations. From a sustainability standpoint, this is becoming an increasingly important element in how we conduct our business. Last year at this event, we took another step forward on our sustainability and ESG journey by unveiling an exciting new framework for our efforts and continuing to commit to new goals. These are all designed to facilitate our progress and expand our positive impact on the world around us. There are so many wonderful things that we are doing right now in this area and progressing each one of these pillars forward.

We'll be soon to be releasing a report that you can actually access and will be available on our website to hear more details about some of the incredible work that is underway. It will include a summary incorporating much of the TCFD framework. While we don't focus on ESG to win awards, here's some of the important acknowledgments that the team has been noticed for, and we're proud of what we've done here. Like all things at Sherwin-Williams, we are committed to continuous improvement, and there's a lot of opportunity ahead. We do look forward to continuing to add to our sustainability platforms. Of course, none of this success happens without our people. We have the best team in the industry. A great example of how we continually build on our team year-over-year is through our innovative management trainee program.

The program began nearly 40 years ago, and as you can see, it has a major positive impact on our company. Six of our current group and division presidents have come out of this program, 44 of our Vice Presidents, and our Chairman and CEO, John G. Morikis himself, has gone through this program. We provide a path for career development and personal wealth building where people are driven to stay. It's one of the reasons that we do have such a strong culture and why people stay within our organization. Our employees are our largest shareholder. Our average voluntary turnover for the company is in the 7%-8% range. It's even lower for our store managers and the sales reps, who are the closest to our customers. This type of retention is really extremely strong for a business with such a large retail component.

We think it speaks volumes about the kind of company we continue to build each and every day. In addition, in 2021, we collaborated with a third party to conduct our global engagement study. The following results from the survey speak volumes about our efforts in fostering an inclusive and supportive culture. As we drive our business forward, we strive to always focus on the right balance of working in and on the business. While that might seem obvious, I might just take a minute to explain how we're thinking about this. When we talk of working in the business, we're focused on execution, near-term delivery on our goals that we've set forth, and certainly delivering the year. We're focused on prioritization, simplification, communication and engagement, and end-to-end supply chain.

When we speak of working on the business, we're focused on thought leadership, seeing around the corner and developing solutions for what's next. We're focused on strengthening our core, strategy differentiation, of course, M&A strategy, and addressing any knowledge gaps. Working with our leaders and our teams to focus both in and on the business is how we will ensure that we are delivering the year while we're ensuring that we're focused on delivering the future success of our business. I'd like to briefly touch on some key priorities here, and obviously, with the few words on here, there's a lot of detail underneath this, but so that I could make sure that you all have kind of a perspective across the enterprise, and you'll hear a bit from the groups.

At an enterprise level, we continue to focus on the key metrics, and of course, you will see a focus, laser focus on innovation, speed to market, talent, sustainability, digital enhancement and transformation, continuous improvement, simplification, and safety. In The Americas Group, you're gonna hear from the teams here shortly. A lot of focus on continuing to keep our foot on the pedal on our strategy. New stores, new accounts, share of wallet, customer reactivation, taking nothing for granted. Reactivation is gonna be a key focus for us, and of course, price cost. In the Consumer Brands Group, it is DIY share growth and a continued focus on the growing and emerging pro who paints, price cost, and our Europe-Asia strategy. In the Performance Coatings Group, core account growth is key. Share gains, international POF or ROS rather, price cost, and a continued focus on M&A.

Our global supply chain, while it enables all of these groups to bring these solutions forward, the key focuses here are technology platforms, logistics expansion, supplier diversification, capacity planning, footprint optimization, raw material simplification, and automation. As I start to wrap up here, I do wanna mention, you know, despite being over 156 years old as a company, the best really is ahead. When you put all this together, our entire leadership team is convinced that Sherwin-Williams will continue to lead. We're extremely excited about where we are going. We have strong organic growth and margin expansion opportunities in all of our businesses. We have powerful brands and a compelling value proposition that helps our customers succeed. We're investing in growth through capacity expansion, stores, innovation, sustainability initiatives, and people. We generate high levels of cash to fund multiple priorities, including dividends, share repurchases, and targeted acquisitions.

We have the best employees, strong retention, and strong recruiting. Our culture is strong, and our experience is deep. Most importantly, our customer relationships have never been deeper, and we will continue to invest in what will set us apart and help them succeed. We're confident, and we will win. At this time, I'd like to introduce our presenters for the day. Justin Binns is President of The Americas Group. Justin brings 25 years of experience with Sherwin-Williams, 20 of which were spent in TAG, including leading the Eastern Division. Justin has extensive knowledge of our paint stores, products, and services and has a deep understanding of customers' needs across our various architectural markets.

Prior to his current role, Justin served as president of the Performance Coatings Group. Todd Rea is President of the Consumer Brands Group. Todd has 29 years of experience with Sherwin-Williams. During my time as president of the Consumer Brands Group, I had the chance to work closely with Todd side by side, and he's one of the best leaders during the toughest times. You're gonna enjoy hearing from him. He's a tireless worker with an outstanding track record. I have great confidence in Todd, and I'm excited to see where he takes our business. Karl Jorgenrud is President of the Performance Coatings Group and brings 28 years of experience in the industrial coatings industry to this role. I've known Karl since our days at Valspar prior to the acquisition, and prior to joining Sherwin, he's ru n two of our largest and most complex global industrial businesses.

I have no doubt that Karl will continue to drive the Performance Coatings Group forward. That after they speak, we'll wrap up today with someone that many of you know very well. That is our Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer, Allen Mistysyn. Allen has been with Sherwin-Williams for 32 years and in his current role since 2017. You will not find a better business partner, steadier hand, or stronger steward. It's now my pleasure to turn the presentation over to Justin Binns.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

Well, thank you so much, Heidi. I used to be super proud of my 25 years until I saw that last slide. Now I know I'm in last place, so I got some work to do. Hello, everyone, and I can't tell you how thrilled I am to be here with each and every one of you in person. As Heidi mentioned, my name is Justin Binns, and I'm happy to have returned to TAG after several years of serving our Performance Coatings Group. I started my career at Sherwin-Williams over two decades ago, as Heidi touched on, in our stores. Over the course of those 20 years, I've led Sherwin-Williams as an assistant manager, a store manager, sales representative, district manager four times, vice president of sales, and general manager of our Eastern Division.

Prior to rejoining TAG, I led our Performance Coatings Group, which includes six global industrial businesses. I've been in my role as the Americas Group President now for about four months, and I look forward to sharing our progress with you all today. From the onset of the pandemic to the natural disasters that impacted the supply chain, the last two years have certainly been full of challenges, which Heidi touched on. Despite the worst, our teams continued to be unrelenting, putting their best foot forward for our customers every single day. Let's talk about who we are. In the Americas Group, or what we call TAG, we focus on our customer's business and our profound desire to be their best partner, and that's earned us the reputation as a market leader. We are the paint brand favored by painting contractors.

We're most specified by designers, and we are top of mind across all of our customer segments. Let's take a look at those segments and who we serve. We define our customer segments into the groups that you see here. In New Residential, we focus on the interior and exterior painting of single-family homes. We have strong and exclusive relationships with many of the nation's largest home builders. Our residential repaint customers focus on the interior and exterior repainting of these homes. This is our largest customer segment by volume or by sales rather, but also where we have our largest growth opportunity. Our commercial customers focus on new construction in office, retail, hospitality, and other non-residential buildings. We have very deep relationships with architects, designers, general contractors, and of course, painting contractors. Our property management customers focus on repainting of multi-family and other commercial properties.

We've earned many exclusive relationships in this space as well. While TAG is mainly focused on the pro painting contractor, we also do serve a specific niche within the DIY segment, where we cater to the do-it-yourselfer that's truly looking for a premium experience. Finally, in Protective & Marine, we provide coatings that protect the high-value assets, including bridges, oil and gas infrastructure, water infrastructure, and many, many others. Our store model provides a high level of service to these diverse customers. Let's talk about how we serve. We're a customer-first company. There's absolutely no doubt about that. We focus on services and solutions that improve productivity, you've already heard that a couple of times today, so that our pros can spend more time on the job. As their productivity increases, so does their profitability.

Investing our energy in differentiated solutions not only helps our customers reach their goals more quickly, but it helps us stand out as an industry leader. Let's talk about what we own, our unique controlled distribution model. If you only remember one slide from my presentation today, this is the slide that you need to remember. The key to our success and our customers' success is our unique controlled distribution model. Every day, we demonstrate how our model, which has been built over many decades, delivers differentiated solutions for the professional painting contractor. Why is this model so successful, you might ask? Because unlike competing models, we own the key elements from start to finish to ensure that we can deliver a premium experience.

From talent development to product innovation, to store mission, to customer data, to logistics and much, much more. We own and control the levers that enable us to provide highly tailored solutions to meet the unique needs of the different customer segments that I described in my earlier slide. We're constantly investing in and working to refine these elements, making them even more impactful for our customers. Let me walk you through what we often call our ecosystem of solutions and services. We own our talent development and our retention process and programs. Our stores are only as good as the people who run them, and you're gonna hear us talk a lot about that today as well. I've certainly seen that firsthand when you take a look at my career path.

Our Management Trainee Program, which Heidi talked about earlier and she touched on, is the true backbone of our business as it develops our future company leaders. As part of that MTP or its Manager Trainee Program, our people learn everything that they need to know about coatings, our customers, and how to utilize all the productivity-enhancing resources that Sherwin-Williams offers. In 2021, approximately 1,400 trainees entered that program, ushering in another generation of leaders who will model our trademark customer experience, partnering with customers to offer solutions and services and products that solve their most complex challenges. Even in the face of shortages and industry disruptions, we continue to maintain our valued relationships with our customers. Where there were obstacles, as our people usually do, they saw opportunities to get creative and keep all of our customers in paint.

We continue to invest in our employees because people are our biggest asset. We added close to 1,000 full-time jobs in 2021 alone, implemented multiple targeted wage increases, and increased the amount of paid time off for our full-time employees. We've also expanded our employee resource groups with now over 250 chapters around the country, led by almost 2,000 employees, which include the African American Network and HOLA, which supports our Hispanic and Latin communities. We also have a women's resource group network and a pride network. Investments like these are why we continue to be a leader in the industry for employee retention. Our stores are also supported by 3,600 reps who work to partner with our customers in the field every single day.

We'll further grow this customer satisfaction by investing in additional segment-focused reps armed with detailed customer data that's unparalleled in the industry. Our reps typically start in our Management Trainee Program that I touched on earlier and progress through managing a store before we put them out into the field. These reps become embedded in our customers' day-to-day operations with a big focus on helping them to succeed. The key is their specific knowledge of how their customers' businesses work. The needs of a small residential repaint contractor are much different than the needs of a large commercial painting contractor. Property management customers have different needs than new residential customers. No task is too small if it aids our customers in being more productive. Our reps are trusted partners to their customers.

They provide personalized service and support, which can range from anything to helping develop project bids, recommending the right product for each job, and ensuring their product makes it to the job site. Now, I'd like to share with you a video highlighting our employees and the extraordinary actions that they've taken to serve our customers.

Speaker 21

Our store managers and our sales reps are the front line of the company.

They genuinely care about solving their customers' challenges.

This is a team that will never quit, you know, will never stop.

Building that valuable relationship, that really turns into a partnership over time through that hard work and dedicated effort.

The 2022 plan is all about customer engagement and supporting the field with the tools, training, and customer insights that they need to maximize their effectiveness.

The secret weapon of Sherwin-Williams is our 61,000 people. That army of Sherwin-Williams people, if you will, they are the true differentiator, and I couldn't be prouder of the things that they accomplish and how dedicated they are to the task at hand.

Our team has been so resourceful, and it's been nothing short of remarkable to watch.

What I've seen from our managers and reps has been humbling and inspiring.

We have reps driving hours out of their market to go pick up product for customers and bring it back just to keep them working.

I mean, they moved mountains to make sure our customers could continue to make money and support their families.

The ability to adapt, fight, and overcome the challenges we faced is awe-inspiring.

I truly believe the best is ahead. It's our people that differentiate us now and as we move into the future.

The work ethic, the determination by the team to really show our customers that we care, that determination absolutely has made us better as a company.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

You know, our people truly are amazing. What I would tell you, through all the supply chain challenges and obstacles that we faced last year, in our stores, we never ran out of our premium product, which is our people. Let's talk about what else we own, like our store count and our mission. Our store footprint allows us to be right where our customers need us, whenever they need us. The U.S. and Canada divisions continue to maintain a strong presence as your neighborhood Sherwin-Williams store with a total store count of over 4,500. As Heidi touched on, we also plan to increase our store footprint even more by opening 80-100 stores annually, continuing our tried and true process of opening new stores to better serve our customers, knowing that our stores are the overall key to our success.

In addition, our store mission is tailored to local area business needs and can evolve over time based on customers' needs. This way, we are always serving our customers with the type of store experience that matches their business and ultimately serves them the best. We also own our customer data in a robust digital platform. We own our point-of-sale data. The thousands and thousands of transactions that we complete across our store footprint every day provide us with deep insights into our customers' needs. Our point-of-sale data and customer history is funneled through our proprietary CRM system, which provides our reps with recommended next best actions unique to their customer based on that customer's behaviors and actions. Having reps focused on specific market segments with centralized customer data gives us great flexibility to pivot in any direction depending upon how the market moves.

Beyond rep support, we also offer digital solutions that provide our customers with personalized resources, tools, and savings to help them grow their business. We continue to invest in our e-commerce platform and other business solution technologies that are highly focused on helping painting contractors. This is gonna be a surprise to you, be more productive and more profitable. In addition to our bidding tool, we recently launched our Pro Color Toolkit, which is designed for our painting contractors to use with their customers. This allows colors to be selected more quickly and confidently, and it prevents a very common reason for project delays and issues. We know these digital solutions are valuable to our customers as we continue to see strong adoption across the board, and we also know that spend increases with this PRO+ usage as well.

Coming soon are a few new other features like customer dashboards and job folders, which will enable our customers to easily manage their businesses and self-schedule delivery. We're also launching Scan-A-Can, which offers highly efficient ways to order online. We also own our product innovation and our offering. We own the product innovation process, which is based on the rich insights we gather from our close relationships with each and every one of our customers. We understand customers' articulated needs, but perhaps even more importantly, we understand their unarticulated or unmet needs. We develop highly proprietary and patented formulas, and this is critical. We also own our own color and production, which ensures that we have color consistency each and every time across all of our product portfolio. Continually innovating with new coatings is a key reason that Sherwin-Williams enjoys such strong customer satisfaction.

We focus heavily on coating application benefits as well as providing the right products for the right situation, yielding customer process efficiencies and profits. Some of our latest product innovations include Latitude with ClimateFlex technology. This product offers a very smooth application in extreme temperatures, has outstanding dirt resistance and excellent early moisture resistance. Scuff Tuff, with its excellent washability and burnishing resistant, it stops scuffs before they even start. We also have the ability to manage our offering, giving us great control in managing our SKUs and continually improving our mix with products that continue to deliver greater benefits. We own a dedicated logistics and delivery fleet. Whether through our stores, our reps, or delivery, our daily interactions with our customers help them run their businesses.

Through our high-touch delivery service, our customers can spend more time on the job site and less time on the road. Pros who used our free delivery service frequently in 2021, on average, spent 10 more days painting instead of driving. We have over 3,100 trucks and 2,900 drivers that average over 2.3 million deliveries a year. That's over 8,900 deliveries a day. Many of these deliveries are also made the same day that the order was placed, which sets us apart from our competition. On top of that, our people also have a special understanding of customer job sites and where those products need to be stored. We own consistent and disciplined pricing. While other retailers may be reliant on someone else's conditions, Sherwin-Williams holds full ownership over pricing decisions and promotional activity.

Our ability to take quick action without a middle person lets us respond to economic demands and market shifts without getting stuck in a bind. We have the upper hand in being able to maintain effectiveness on our terms, no matter the situation. We own inventory control. We're in the driver's seat when it comes to inventory control. From capturing the right inventory to strategically locating distribution centers, we have the right inventory and insights to match where we think the demand is and where it's going. This advantage gives us the ability to control inventory and anticipate future needs so we can focus on always providing the right product and the right product mix. Now, what do our customers have to say about us?

As a result of our employees' efforts and our range of solutions, 97% of our customers let us know they'll buy from us again, and 95% would refer us to a friend. These numbers speak volumes, especially during a time when we were navigating supply chain challenges, and all of this goes to show that strong customer service certainly leads to more business, more referrals, and that it's going to pay huge dividends for us in the future. While competitors continue to add complexity through hybrid partnership models where no one has complete visibility or ownership of the customer, we add value through our controlled distribution model. From the development of our polymers to our own delivery fleet, we oversee the distribution process from start to finish to deliver a consistent customer experience that's based on simplicity and intimacy.

Whether it's the ease of doing business with our nearly 5,000 all company-owned stores or our deep data-informed customer knowledge base and relationships, we own the process, and that, quite simply, is how we win. Thank you all for your time today. It's now my pleasure to introduce Todd Rea, our President of our Consumer Brands Group.

Todd Rea
President, Consumer Brands Group, Sherwin-Williams

Thanks, Justin Binns, and good afternoon. As Heidi Petz mentioned, I'm Todd Rea, President of our Consumer Brands Group, and I'm also excited to be here with you live in New York City. I've been with Sherwin-Williams for 29 years and spent vast majority of my career on the consumer side of our business. I've had the opportunity to hold a number of different leadership roles in consumer within the last 29 years, including my last role as the President of our North America business prior to coming into this role. I have experience working across pretty much all of our channels of distribution, including retail, mass, specialty and industrial.

I'm fortunate to lead an experienced and diverse leadership team that's focused on driving this business, and I look forward to sharing more about the Consumer Brands Group and the growth opportunities that I see going forward. Consumer Brands Group provides our strategic channel partners with access to a portfolio of industry-leading brands that are supported by best-in-class high touch service. We offer differentiated solutions and service that add value to our customers. Everything we do is consumer focused and customer driven. We bring in-depth knowledge of our consumer base to our strategic partners to give them and us the best opportunity to succeed. We serve our customers with the highest touch service possible to ensure execution in store and on shelf. On the previous slide, I talked about our value proposition, and one of the key elements of this is our high touch service.

We think about our business as if we have to sell every gallon, every paintbrush, every can of stain, every single product twice. What that means is we have to first sell to our strategic retail partners, and then we have to inspire consumers and pros to buy our products through their stores. We do this by focusing on the right brands, the right partners, and of course, the right solutions. Our goal is to demonstrate and grow the value of our brands by providing our retail partners with services that elevate each brand and ultimately drive traffic to their stores. We are only successful if we help our customers be successful. Our teams are hyper-focused on end users, and we use these trends in innovation that they are demanding to support our business.

This is how we uncover opportunities and find new ways to customize our solutions to our customers. Throughout the rest of this presentation, I'll talk in more detail about what we are doing, the right combination of brands, partners, and solutions. It all starts with having the right brands, and we are confident that we have the right brands to execute on our strategy. We have assembled a portfolio of leading industry brands that are supported by products that differentiate and provide new technology. These are destination brands that attract consumers to shop at our retail partners. Our Valspar and HGTV Home brands at Lowe's continue to generate deep loyalty among DIY consumers and professional consumers. Our Dutch Boy brand at Menards has been trusted by consumers for decades.

We have the best painting tool brand in the industry with Purdy brushes and rollers, and our Minwax and Cabot brands, as well as our Thompson's WaterSeal brands, are recognized as industry leaders by both DIYers and pros. With a strong distribution footprint, these hero brands are the core strength for CBG and present our biggest growth opportunity. Now I'd like to share a short video that I believe demonstrates the power of our hero brands. Hopefully, this video gives you an idea of the role that our brands play and products play in inspiring consumers. Our portfolio of industry-leading brands are sold through key strategic retail and channel partners globally. In North America, we sell our products through two major home center retailers, Lowe's and Menards, and we've been investing heavily in growing both the DIY and pro business for years.

We also have a broad reach of distribution through key partners like Do it Best, Orgill, Ace, and Walmart, just to name a few. We continue to make strategic investments to support our partners, such as product innovation, digital tools, in-store merchandising, and field support. In addition to North America, we have architectural positions in both Europe and China. In Europe, we distribute our Valspar and Ronseal brands through key retail partners like B&Q and Homebase in the United Kingdom, Brico Dépôt in France, and Castorama in Poland. We expect to continue to grow our footprint in Europe with these great partners. In China, we sell our Huarun brand primarily through retail showroom and project distributors that reach both the professional and the residential consumers. Our strategy in China continues to evolve as there's been significant challenges over the past couple years.

You'll hear us talk about the pro who paints segment, which presents a terrific opportunity for growth for us through our key partners. This is a customer that's a significant part of the market, typically a remodeler, renovator, or general contractor that shops frequently and enjoys the experience offered by a home center or a hardware store. We've seen strong growth in this particular segment of our business over the last few years, and we are encouraged by the investments that we are making, specifically ensuring that our partners have a complete pro-product offering of paints and supplies. We're investing in customer engagement through sales rep support of these initiatives. Over the last few years, we've invested significantly in new pro reps, and we have plans to keep adding more.

We offer best-in-class training for our partners so their sales teams know how to qualify a customer, understand the need of that customer, and ultimately drive conversion and loyalty. We work with our partners to expand distribution capabilities through driving fulfillment of products directly to job sites and supporting their online capabilities. Last, ensuring that there's a strong connectivity between their pro desk and the paint desks with both inside and outside support. Innovation is a critical part of our growth and is core to our business, and comes to life through unique products and brand touchpoints. We like to focus innovation on premium positions within our portfolios and product lines. Most recently, we introduced Valspar Defense, which has advanced water-beading technology, and is a one-coat exterior paint and primer, as well as HGTV Home by Sherwin-Williams Everlast, which has self-cleaning technology and extreme weather protection.

We also like to keep our categories fresh, and we look for ways to make painters more productive on the job. As you'll see with Purdy and our new organizational storage system, we help painters stay organized and be more productive, saving them time on the job. Every solution with our product or brand touchpoint is always rooted in a consumer insight. When our brands successfully address these consumer insights, they establish high levels of loyalty and ultimately make it easier for our retail partners to convert shoppers into buyers. We focus heavily on superior category management so that we can make it simple for consumers to find the right products for their project every time they're in a store. This begins with how we compile insights from sales and marketing data to develop and drive channel strategies.

Our customer strategy and commercialization teams use this information and provide services that help our partners successfully execute at store level. Some of the things we do, make sure that the right assortment of products are on the shelves in the right markets based on customer demand. We use extensive data analysis, and we work with our partners to ensure inventory's optimized to drive productivity. We work to develop informative merchandising solutions to help consumers choose the right products for their project every time. We identify promotional opportunities and build activation plans to increase traffic and drive conversion. A critical part of our value add model is associate training and field support. It's a high-touch service model, and we have a world-class training support for our partners so that they are successful selling every product twice.

Our best-in-class sales organization and L&D teams have developed comprehensive training programs to serve all of our customers. These extensive training programs include deep product knowledge on all of our products, color confidence so our partners can assist customers in making this important decision. We train on project selling to drive attachment rates and general selling skills so that they can increase close rates. We've invested in and leveraged the most up-to-date technology so that we can provide training to our partners in any format that they need, whether that's in store or virtually through innovative learning platforms. Our training enables our partners' employees to successfully assist customers with paint projects, which converts foot traffic into sales. We know how important the in-store experience is, and through research, we know that consumers make multiple visits during their project journey.

This is an addition to online research, which is also a critical part of the shopping process. We work closely with our partners to create an in-store experience with our brands that makes shopping easier and gives them confidence in choosing the right product for their project. For example, with paint, it all starts with the color journey, and we offer color tools and collections that make it simple for them to pick the right color for their project. Our brand teams develop effective in-aisle merchandising that make it easier to find the best product for their project. Our in-store merchandising is focused on making sure that the consumer has the best possible experience for our brands. This includes a focus on the highest quality products that deliver the best features and benefits.

As we shift into a more digital world, we realize that we have to be where consumers wanna be and when they wanna be there on their journey. We know that our end users shift between in-person and digital platforms throughout their shopping journey, and we have opportunities to inspire them throughout that entire process. Therefore, we work to provide a seamless omnichannel experience and have produced digital tools that overlap with the in-store experience. This includes a new Valspar.com website that offers tools like free color chip delivery to your home or free online color consultation to simplify the color selection process. We've relaunched many of our brand websites on a new platform and will continue to heavily invest in our digital capabilities so that we meet customers wherever they are in the process.

Lastly, I believe there is opportunity for us to capture more value, and we are not backing off our stated goals of margins in the high teens or low twenties for this business. We are constantly evaluating our business practice to improve our returns, and we believe that we can optimize our business through simplification efforts and strengthening our core. Simplification can come in many ways, and we are looking to reduce complexity throughout our entire operating model. First, we focus on a disciplined product portfolio management that will improve our overall business mix. We've developed a robust Stage-Gate process to assure that we are making prudent decisions with new product development without adding unneeded complexity to our operation.

Coming out of the raw material constrained environment, we realize that we have opportunities on SKU rationalization, and we expect to reduce a significant percentage of our SKUs by 2024 by looking at long tail products that introduce complexity. Our product teams are working with our R&D and our procurement teams to leverage product and technology platforms that will allow us to formulate products with more speed or are more efficient for our operations or for our suppliers. We'll continue to look at our distribution footprint in all of our regions. If you recall, last year, we divested the Wattyl business in Australia and New Zealand to enable greater focus on our core growth strategies. Ultimately, we have set new financial thresholds that will drive a more disciplined approach to how, what, and where we will do business.

In closing, I am confident that we are strongly positioned to sell every gallon twice with the right brands and the right solutions, as well as having the right partners that are strategically investing in their business for growth. As stated, we can only be successful if our partners are successful, and we believe that our solutions-based approach is how we will achieve this goal. Additionally, we have the right talent. Our world-class team understands what it takes to deliver on our goals and have the products and tools to do so. Our seasoned leadership team is focused and determined to maximize profit in all regions. Lastly, our efforts to simplify our business model will position us to create more value and maximize our profitability. I wanna thank you for your time today. We will now take a break. Thank you.

Jim Jaye
SVP of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications, Sherwin-Williams

Hey, if you could please take your seats, we're gonna start again with the presentations.

Karl Jorgenrud
President, Performance Coatings Group, Sherwin-Williams

All right. Good afternoon, everyone. We're at the final home stretch here. Thank you for joining us. Welcome to the Performance Coatings Group section of today's presentation. My name is Karl Jorgenrud. I serve as the President of Performance Coatings Group, and we refer to that internally as PCG, so you'll hear that a little bit this afternoon. As Heidi mentioned, next week, I'll actually be celebrating my 28th year of service with Sherwin-Williams. I joined the Sherwin family through the Valspar acquisition and have spent all of my career in the industrial coatings space. Since joining Sherwin, I've been fortunate to serve as the President and General Manager of our Protective & Marine division, as well as President and General Manager of our General Industrial.

I'm really excited to be here with you guys to represent the PCG family and share all the great work that the team's been up to. Like all of our industrial sectors, in today's economy, PCG has experienced tremendous challenges throughout the past few years. Our customer-first team has pursued creative solutions across all of our market segments to continue to drive growth for us and our customers. As a reminder, the six divisions that drive PCG's success include Automotive Refinish, Coil, General Industrial Wood, Packaging, and Protective & Marine. Supported by knowledgeable experts, our divisions work relentlessly to develop innovative, profit-enhancing business solutions for our customers. Although each division serves its own set of niche markets, they all operate under one cohesive value proposition which unites PCG together.

Bolstered by our customer-first culture, we are strategically structured to provide total business solutions that differentiate us from our competitors. Through our innovative products and technologies, global expertise, and local service model, we're able to serve our customers in ways the competition simply can't. Our approach keeps evolving to meet the ever-changing dynamic needs of the market and our customers. Now, our value proposition is what differentiates us from our competitors, but our ability to capture and maintain market share is the direct result of our core capabilities and the knowledge, the skills, and the dedication of our people, exemplified day in and day out from the office out to the field. These competencies are what earn the trust of our customers, and they lay a solid foundation that allows us to sprint or pivot as necessary, and they position us for steady growth.

We'd be remiss if we didn't mention the talented group of division presidents who lead these efforts on a daily basis. These six individuals possess more than 173 years of experience, and they join me here today, and I do wanna thank them for their dedication and service to the Performance Coatings Group and in championing our customer-first culture. Thanks, guys. Now let's dive a little bit deeper into each one of these core competencies, starting with our customer-driven innovation. Customer listening is a key component of our research and development process. From concept to commercialization, we focus on strategic solutions that propel our customers forward in their respective industries with a strong emphasis on driving productivity and profitability in their world.

We also look at global trends that impact our customers, like environmental stewardship, health and wellness, labor shortages, digital disruption to anticipate their needs in the future as well. A great example of a customer-driven project that fuses real-world insights and global trends is Collision Core. This is our interconnected suite of apps for the automotive shop owners designed to improve cycle time and profitability, increase intake capacity, improve quality, and optimize labor. The recently launched inventory app eliminates the need for manual ordering, which frees up valuable time for our customers and helps them control their costs. The production app allows customers to gain real-time visibility into what's in progress and what's complete, which optimizes shop scheduling for them. There's also our line of award-winning Firetex products from our Protective & Marine division that deliver critical fire protection using advanced fireproofing technology.

These products create solutions that address aesthetics, safety, and shop throughput for engineering, procurement, and construction customers. We've seen success in the numbers with sales expanding nearly 40% since 2020 for that product line. In our Packaging division, we're excited to see the expansion of the ValPure line, which now includes a revolutionary technology for light metal packaging. The V70 series meets the performance standards of legacy BPA can coating alternatives but does not contain BPA and helps to meet both manufacturer and consumer demand. This versatile technology can be used for multiple pack types too, which streamlines production capabilities for our customers. Our General Industrial division has launched DuraSpar Prime High-Speed Primer, which uses innovative rapid cure technology to reduce oven dwell times and speed up production lines.

This technology also promotes exceptional hardness, which allows customers to start handling parts sooner, ultimately increasing throughput in their factories. Finally, in our Coil Coating division, later this year, we look forward to introducing a new line of radiation cure coatings called RadGuard. Now RadGuard is a 100% solids urethane resin product line that has very low VOCs and supports ultraviolet and electron beam radiation cure technologies, which uses less energy and allows for faster production rates. Now we're always excited to talk about innovation, but our real secret sauce that we have is our people, and that's our biggest asset. With 1,800 sales managers and representatives, 1,300 technical representatives, and 1,500 R&D associates, our employees possess the diverse skill sets needed to understand every facet of our operation and how to best serve our customers.

They're constantly offering expertise, support, and solutions to our customers, whether we're on-site at a customer shop demonstrating an innovative new product or working with our manufacturing, sourcing, and supply chain teams to help keep our operations in motion. Our people provide the highest level of service in the industry, and that can be attributed to the length of service they've had with Sherwin-Williams. Our representatives possess an average of 20 years of experience with the company, which is amazing. While it starts with our people, our connected global expertise extends through our wide network of training centers and labs, which serve more than 75 countries around the world. These facilities allow us to provide customers with local service while also using our global resources, and that combination is unmatched in the industry.

There's our exceptional color and design ecosystem within Sherwin, and this has the best experts, tools, and services in the industry. Our customers look for the latest and greatest in color capabilities from inspiration to customization. With brick-and-mortar design facilities that specialize in color ideation and dedicated color labs equipped to produce eye-catching effects, like sparkle or color shifts, we're able to make customer dreams a reality from a color perspective. For prospective customers or customers who like to stay on top of futuristic product design, our color trend forecasts serve as an inspirational and educational guide as they expand within the world of color and design. For our customers in need of precision color matching and retrieval, we have convenient and easy-to-use and navigate color tools designed for ultimate accuracy.

Ranging from handheld color readers to state-of-the-art color reading systems, we have the ability to equip our customers with on-site tools that keep their operations running smoothly and quickly. As an extension of our global expertise and talent and then color capabilities, we own more than 300 industrial blending facilities and automotive branches throughout the world. At these locations, customers have access to inventory, tinting and blending, and sales and technical support. The service is fast. Our customers have come to rely on us for our quick turnaround capabilities, which help expedite their own operations and stay on top of project timelines. Within the last few years, we've adopted new operating systems that allow us to measure our own efficiencies, like how long it takes to blend a gallon of paint or how quickly it takes to fulfill a customer order.

Since then, we've been able to decrease costs and labor at these facilities and drive core account growth, which is a win-win for us and our customers. As for sustainability, it's just part of how we do business at Sherwin-Williams. Our commitment to reducing our environmental footprint is evident across company-wide goals, such as increasing renewable energy usage and reducing waste disposal intensity. I think especially noteworthy is our Sustainability by Design program, which is a significant effort in our five-stage Stage-Gate process to formally incorporate sustainability attributes such as life cycle thinking within our innovation and product development processes. In the spirit of continuous improvement, this program enables us to evolve our processes to deliver and grow our sustainably advantaged product offering.

A great example of that falls within the ValPure V70 series from our Packaging Coatings division, which I referenced earlier in the innovation section. This product line has achieved platinum-level certification from the Cradle to Cradle Products Innovation Institute, which is the global standard for products that are safe, circular, and responsibly made. We've also launched our line of Powdura ECO powder coatings from the General Industrial division, which uses an innovative polyester resin comprised of 25% pre-consumer recycled plastic. Each pound of Powdura ECO powder contains the equivalent of sixteen 16-ounce plastic bottles. This, coupled with Powdura ECO's ability to meet and exceed existing powder coating performance standards, appeals to both manufacturers and consumers looking to reduce their environmental footprint. In our automotive division, we've launched a new product within the Ultra System line, the CC250 Dynamic Plus clear coat.

Not only does this product offer superior performance when compared to other clear coats, but it has fast application times and quick dry properties, creating significant energy savings in the process. Lastly, we'd like to highlight our cool roof coatings from the Coil Coating division, which contains solar reflective and thermal emittance pigments that reflect infrared radiation and absorb visible light. Essentially, these coatings make roofs stay cooler, which lowers energy costs significantly. They also contribute to four LEED credit categories, which, as we all know, is becoming increasingly more important for our customers in the building sector. When it comes to acquisitions, you know, we pursue strategic and selective opportunities that are driven by unique high-value technology, geographic footprint, above market growth, and exceptional expertise and talent.

We seek prospects that will diversify and enhance our current capabilities, whether that be through new product categories or production facilities. Since the acquisition of Valspar, we've acquired seven additional companies that have all brought a unique advantage to our business. Each one has strengthened our market position and the roster of talent and expertise across the various industrial sectors we serve. Most recently, we announced our successful acquisition of Sika's European Industrial Coatings business, which brings unique anti-corrosive technology and manufacturing capabilities to our Protective & Marine division. We also acquired Tennant Industrial Floor Coatings, which diversified our high-performance floor coating portfolio. Supporting our General Industrial division, we acquired AquaSurTech, a leading manufacturer of durable water-based coatings for the vinyl and PVC building products market.

Now, all of these businesses have proven to be fantastic additions to the Sherwin-Williams family, and our pipeline remains very strong. In fact, we expect to announce another bolt-on transaction very soon. Now everything that we've talked about today ultimately leads to this final slide and why we have such confidence in our commitment to achieving an ROS in the high teens-low twenties for the PCG business. As we outlined today, these core competencies and our people are what drives our success. As we move forward with the second half of 2022, the mission is extremely clear. These teams will continue to drive volume, win new business, and take market share, and capture price to offset the cost of inflation.

Driven by our unique value proposition, which is really centered around customer-driven innovation and an unmatched ability to service and support our customers, we believe we are showing strong above market growth, outpacing overall industrial output. Paired with our platform simplification strategy, which has us consolidating raw materials and SKUs to reduce complexity and risk, these drivers enable our business to be more agile and ultimately allow us to save resources and improve our operating efficiencies, which will boost our bottom line. As for our, in terms of additional acquisitions, we will continue to seek opportunities that bring new and innovative technologies to our portfolio, strengthen our position in strategic markets, and diversify the expertise that PCG uses to serve our customers. Speaking of customers, I think it's about time we actually hear from them. Next, we're gonna hear the voices from various markets we serve within Performance Coatings Group.

Speaker 21

Working with Sherwin-Williams adds a sense of security that is unlike any other manufacturer.

They're invested into our problem as much as we are, and that's the beauty of our relationship.

The support that we get from Sherwin is far beyond our expectation.

I actually have more support now than I've ever had in my 23 years of painting. If there's anything I need, they're on top of it super fast, making sure I have all the supplies, my inventory is stocked.

Sherwin has earned its position here because they treat us like we treat our customers.

We wouldn't be where we are today without the assistance of Sherwin-Williams.

We view Sherwin-Williams religiously because I can send a guy to get what I need at the moment, and if we can't get it at the moment, I can call them, and they'll pick it up and bring it to us.

It doesn't matter what time we call, they're always readily available.

I don't know how to explain it. It's like I have the manufacturer in my facility at all times.

I'm meeting my deadlines and also fulfilling my commitments to my clients.

From a technical side, they're very hands-on, and they're with us throughout the whole project.

They help us with technical training. They've helped with some, equipment identification that we needed to replace or buy. They've been there at every step for us.

Even during a project, we can call tech support and go, "Hey, this is what's going on." We can get some good answers and good experience.

Having Sherwin-Williams here on-site during the installation made us feel like there wasn't gonna be any issues.

It's a whole team of people together with Sherwin-Williams that make a project work.

The support in helping me grow my business, helping us with technical issues, ideas that other shops were using, they've helped us implement those. It's just an all-around great company to be with.

It's been a great relationship.

If I personally get the choice, it's gonna be Sherwin-Williams every time.

Karl Jorgenrud
President, Performance Coatings Group, Sherwin-Williams

Well, hopefully, you enjoyed hearing from the customers as much as I do. I love that video firsthand. Again, thank you for your time today. Now we're gonna hear from our Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer, Allen Mistysyn.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

Thank you, Karl. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I'm going to reinforce many of the messages you heard from John, Heidi, and the Group Presidents that they highlighted today. You heard John talk about the favorable long-term market dynamics for our North American Architectural and general global industrial businesses. Heidi talked about our ability to deliver customer value and our focus on solutions for our customers. We're committed to helping our customers be more successful by meeting their toughest challenges. This solution-based approach allows us to differentiate ourselves in the marketplace, resulting in sustained financial performance and the creation of shareholder value over the long term. You heard the Group Presidents talk about the many opportunities we have in each of our businesses. Today, I'm going to present the consolidated financial metrics and results we believe drive shareholder value.

These consolidated results exclude acquisition-related costs and other one-time adjustments, and we've provided detailed schedules in the appendix to reconcile these results to the results as reported. I'm gonna spend my time on 2021 results compared to 2020, our capital allocation philosophy, and I will discuss our consolidated sales guidance for second quarter 2022 and full year consolidated sales and EPS guidance. As always, my presentation will include forward-looking statements as defined under U.S. Federal Securities Law. Sales in 2021 increased 8.6% to $19.9 billion. I'm not going to go through the detail by segment or region. I refer to our 2021 year-end call in January for more information on those topics. As Heidi mentioned, we have been through a lot over the past three years, and the team has responded.

The three-year compounded average growth rate, 2019 through 2021, excluding the impact of the ANZ divestiture, was approximately 5%. By segment, my long-term growth expectations for TAG are to grow mid- to high-single digits, and we expect to grow 1.5-2 x the market growth. Consumer Brands Group growth of low single digits, and then Performance Coatings Group growth of mid-single digits, including acquisitions. We expect market share gains as we continue to focus on customer solutions, including the convenience of new stores, support from dedicated sales reps, experienced store employees with low turnover, innovative new products, and digital solutions that help our customers be more efficient and make more money.

For the full year 2021, gross profits decreased 1.7% to $8.5 billion, and gross margin decreased to 42.8%. On a three-year stack, we generated over $25 billion of gross profit at a 45% gross margin. We faced a number of raw material headwinds in 2021, including raw material shortages due to natural disasters, which negatively impacted our architectural volumes, primarily in The Americas Group, and significant raw material inflation, which was up in the low 20% range. As Heidi mentioned, our team's response was quick and decisive, and many of the improvements, such as working more closely with our customers, improving our security of raw material supply, and internal supply chain improvements will provide better service to our customers long term and improve our gross margins.

Additionally, we implemented significant price increases across all of our businesses and regions to offset the raw material inflation. TAG recently implemented a 12% price increase effective February 1, 2022, and the effectiveness of that price increase has been slightly better than previous increases. That being said, we have been out across all our businesses in all our regions, and we will continue to monitor the raw material basket and other input costs and increase, implement pricing actions as required. For 2022, as John mentioned, we maintain our raw material cost outlook to be up low double-digit to mid-teens, trending to the higher end of the range. As we stated on our first quarter call, with improving volume, the pricing actions we've been taking, and the continuous improvement projects that have been implemented, we are expecting sequential gross margin improvement as 2022 progresses.

As a reminder, as is historically the case in a raw material inflationary environment, as raw materials increase, we typically see a short-term contraction in gross margins. As pricing actions catch up with the raw material inflation, we start to see recovery and then expansion as raw material costs moderate. Acknowledging there are differences in the drivers of inflation in this cycle, we believe we are in a very similar cycle to 2010 through 2012, where we experienced significant raw material inflation and implemented six price increases in 22 months. As raw materials moderated, we experienced significant gross margin expansion to approximately 600 basis points from 2013 to 2016, with 2016 being the all-time high gross margin of the company. We continue to expect our long-term gross margins to be in the range of 45%-48%.

We have confidence in our ability to expand our gross margins long term through required pricing and continuous improvement initiatives across the company. 2021 SG&A increased 1.7% to $5.6 billion and was 28% of sales down 190 basis points compared to 2020. We continue to invest in our long-term growth opportunities, and we're very committed to this. As Justin talked about how we own the customer experience, we continue to invest in new stores and sales reps in our North America paint stores. We opened 79 new stores and added over 100 reps compared to 2020 and continue to invest in our e-commerce initiatives. Todd talked about selling every gallon twice.

In our Consumer Brands Group, we continue to invest in our hero brands in those programs that drive increased gallons through our customers' departments, and including investments in the pro paints. Karl talked about our customer-first culture, and in Performance Coatings Group, we continue to provide increased services and solutions our customers value, including adding field service and technical reps. Over the three-year period from 2019 to 2021, we invested over $16.3 billion or 29.1% of sales. The investments we have made and continue to make give us confidence we have positioned ourselves to better grow on multiple and end market demand. Although we don't give guidance on SG&A as a percent of sales, you can expect us to continue to see leverage on SG&A over long term as we grow sales faster than our SG&A increases.

Our focus is on growing operating margin, either through gross margin expansion or through SG&A leverage. Based on the factors I just discussed, 2021 operating income decreased to $3 billion, and our operating margin decreased to 14.8%. On a three-year stack basis, we generated approximately $9 billion of operating income, and our operating margin was 16%. This slide shows full-year adjusted profit before tax on the light blue bars and profit after tax on the dark blue bars. 2021 adjusted profit before tax decreased 6% to $2.7 billion, and PBT as a percent of sales was 13.3%. Profit after tax decreased 3.7% to $2.2 billion and was 10.9% of sales.

On a three-year stack, profit before tax as a percent of sales was 14.1%, up 160 basis points compared to a full year 2018, and profit after tax as a percent of sales was 11.4% compared to 10% in 2018. Adjusted EBITDA decreased 6% to $3.3 billion and was 16.4% of sales. Over the three-year period, 2019 through 2021, we generated just over $9.7 billion at 17.4% of sales. We're gonna continue to drive our results through volume growth as we continue to invest in our controlled distribution model and sales reps in North America Paint Stores, our e-commerce platform, product innovation, and providing our customers programs and solutions to help them succeed.

We will continue to implement our continuous improvement projects to drive EBITDA margin growth. Return on net assets employed, as we define it, as adjusted profit before tax divided by our average net assets employed, which includes working capital, net fixed assets, goodwill, and intangibles. We use the average net assets employed to account for the seasonality of our business. Our teams continually focus on how to get the most out of our assets. We measure our performance on asset utilization with this metric. You can see the results over time, but the highlight here is we have grown this metric from the low- teens in 2018 with a full year of Valspar, including all the goodwill and intangibles, to the high- teens in 2020 and 2021.

My expectation is we will continue to drive our asset utilization and efficiencies to drive this metric over 20%. Working capital defined as accounts receivable plus inventory, less accounts payable. This chart shows the working capital dollars on the bars and the line represents percent of sales. We believe working capital management is a core competency of the company. 2021 year-end working capital was $1.9 billion. It increases 6.4% compared to last year. It was 9.4% of sales, which is well below where we wanna run the company. This is due to our 2021 year-end inventory gallons being lower than normal due to the raw material availability issues we faced, and it minimized our typical year-end architectural inventory build.

As we just discussed on our first quarter conference call, and John highlighted, raw material availability improved throughout the first quarter and significantly in March. March was the single largest architectural manufacturing month in the history of the company. As we're able to begin utilizing this 50 million gallons of additional architectural capacity that we recently completed, and you heard Heidi talk about that, you heard John talk about that. I'm talking about it because it's important. It's gonna allow us to build significant architectural inventory in our through our first quarter, but also we're gonna run these factories hard through remaining part of 2022 and into the first quarter of 2023 to allow us to build our inventory, architectural inventory, back to more historical levels as we enter the 2023 architectural selling season.

Our target working capital as a percent of sales remains at 11%-11.5% of sales. This bar shows cash flow performance. Full year net operating cash on the light blue bars and net operating cash less CapEx on the dark blue bars. The company generated $2.2 billion in net operating cash and $1.9 billion of net operating cash less CapEx, which was 11.3% and 9.4% of sales respectively. Over the three-year period from 2019 to 2021, we generate net operating cash of approximately $8 billion or 14.2% of sales, and net operating cash less CapEx of approximately $7 billion or 12.4% of sales.

The strong cash generation allowed us to return $7.5 billion to our shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks. Our targeted steady-state future free cash flow defined on net operating cash less CapEx is to be greater than 12% of sales. This is excluding the capital we're gonna spend on our Building Our Future headquarters and R&D projects. This is over the long term as we continue to grow sales at a multiple of end market growth, increase our U.S. architectural and packaging coatings capacity, and implement systems that allow us to improve our service and manage our inventories better. We have a consistent capital allocation philosophy. We will not hold cash. We believe our target debt to EBITDA ratio yields a high BBB rating.

With our 2021 net operating cash generation, we returned over $3.3 billion, an increase of 13.8% over the prior year to our shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks. We continue to invest in our business in the form of CapEx with a long-term target of less than 2% of sales, excluding the Building Our Future projects. In 2021, we spent $372 million, including $56 million on our building projects, and our core CapEx was 1.6% of sales. For full year 2022, we expect core CapEx of approximately $415 million. That's 1.9% of sales, plus an additional $450 million for our building projects. I'll highlight dividends, acquisitions, and treasury stock in the coming slides.

First, this pie chart shows net operating cash as reported over the past five years from 2017 through 2021, and the uses of that cash over that same time period. We have generated over $12 billion in net operating cash over this time period, or 13.3% of sales. We have returned over $8.7 billion to our shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks. We've invested it in the business in the form of CapEx, and core CapEx was 1.5% of sales.

As Karl mentioned, we completed seven acquisitions for approximately $300 million, and we reduced our debt over $2.4 billion from the peak at the close of the Valspar acquisition at January 1st, 2017 through the end of 2021. I'd also like to talk about our debt to adjusted EBITDA, and the dark bars are debt, the light bars are adjusted EBITDA, and the line is the leverage ratio. Our 2021 debt to adjusted EBITDA increased 2.9 times, up slightly from 2.4 times in 2020, as we upsized our debt in the fourth quarter to primarily account for the Specialty Polymers and CECA acquisitions.

The first quarter of 2022 is included on this chart, and you can see the uptick in the ratio to 3.4x due to the higher debt to fund the acquisitions and the need to fund increased working capital needs, as is typically the case in our first quarter. For the full year 2022, I expect to be at the high end of the targeted 2x-2.5x leverage ratio range as total debt will remain flattish and EBITDA growth primarily in our second half will decrease this ratio as the year progresses. We have very manageable debt maturities with $260 million that came due June 1st, which we paid off. We have no debt maturing in 2023, and very manageable tranches out to 2026.

Our target debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2x-2.5 times excludes operating leases, which will add about a half a turn to the ratio. We have consistently returned a portion of our cash generated from operations to shareholders through our dividends. 2021 was the 43rd consecutive year of dividend increases. In 2019, we returned to our historic dividend policy of returning 30% of prior year earnings to our shareholders. In 2021, we increased the dividend 22.9%, and the three-year compounded average growth rate through 2021, was over 24%. In 2022, management has proposed a dividend increase of 9.1% to $2.40 a share, which will require approval by our board of directors for the remaining quarters.

Acquisitions are an important component of our capital allocation philosophy and our long-term growth strategy. We have a long track record of successfully acquiring and integrating targets into our company and getting above average return. We target companies that accelerate our long-term growth strategy and leverage our capabilities to accelerate sales growth, operating margin expansion, and cash flow generation. I'm just reinforcing what Karl said, and I'm gonna reinforce that we look for companies that bring new technologies that we can leverage across our footprint to other regions of the world, including giving us expanded capabilities that build on our higher industrial margins in the U.S., in Latin America, and we are also looking for acquisitions to fill geographic gaps.

At the same time, and I think this is important, because of our ability to grow organically, we maintain a disciplined approach to M&A and look for the right acquisitions that fit our strategy. We take a consistent long-term approach to treasury stock purchases, and going forward, absent acquisitions, we will buy our stock back. Staying consistent with the past three years' performance, we have purchased almost 27 million shares at an average cost per share of $223.04. Over the past ten years, we have purchased approximately 90 million shares for an average cost of $116.54. That includes no share repurchases in 2016 and 2017 as we conserved cash to service our debt. Our average diluted shares outstanding has declined over 14% over that time period.

We continued to buy our shares in the first quarter of 2022, purchasing 1.45 million shares for $407 million. We have a strong financial profile, and it remained strong in 2021 despite the challenges brought on by the natural disasters. We have great relationships with our banks and have strong liquidity sources. At the end of the first quarter of 2022, we had approximately $1.8 billion remaining in available liquidity sources. Strong annual cash generation allows us great flexibility to pursue growth opportunities, both organically and through acquisitions, and our credit ratings have remained stable over the past year. We continue to build on our strong foundation and focus on our core operating disciplines.

As Heidi and the Group Presidents described, we will continue to provide our customers with the solutions they value that allow them to succeed and provide a return to our shareholders. We have an experienced and determined management team. We are confident about our strategy in delivering strong results over the long term. We are confident in the core businesses delivering above-market organic growth and expanding our operating margins over the long term. We are confident in continued strong cash flow generation that allows us to invest in our business and future growth opportunities and return capital to our shareholders. This slide shows the second quarter sales and full year sales and EPS guidance issued on April 26th, 2022 .

We are reaffirming our consolidated second quarter 2022 sales guidance and our full year 2022 consolidated sales and EPS guidance. For the second quarter 2022, we are experiencing strong sales trends in our TAG and PCG segments that is overshadowing the softness we are experiencing in our consumer brands, international, and domestic markets. As John mentioned earlier, this is a perfect example of how we have structured the company. Whatever way demand trends shift, we are well-positioned to capitalize on these shifts. On our July earnings call, we will give you more color on the second quarter sales trends and give The Street an update on our full year sales and EPS guidance. As a reminder, our full year outlook is heavily weighted to the second half of 2022.

We had a very strong first half of 2021 and a weaker second half due to the raw material availability issues and the significant raw material inflation. To sum up, you heard John talk about the favorable long-term North American architectural and global industrial market dynamics and our strong position to capitalize on changing market demand trends. You heard Heidi talk about the strength of our people, our global capabilities, and our solutions-based approach to our customers. You heard the group presidents talk about the strong demand in most end market segments we choose to participate, and customers reporting strong backlogs through the remainder of 2022, but also, and more importantly, the long-term market share opportunities we have across all our businesses. We're confident in our strategy and our approach, and our ability to deliver strong financial performance over the long term.

We're operating with a lot of momentum, and I hope you see why we continue to be very optimistic about the second half of 2022 and the long-term future of Sherwin-Williams, and the best is still ahead. Thank you for joining us today. Now we're gonna take a short break before we get into the question and answer portion of the program. Thank you.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

No? Yes? Yes, can you hear me? Okay, good. Let me get started with our Q&A. We do have some people in the audience that are available with microphones. If you raise your hand, they'll come running to you. The only thing I'd ask, if you could, is just when you receive the mic, make sure you start with your name and your organization. That'd be terrific. With that, I see Ghansham has his hand up. We'll start there and just keep flowing right across. Okay?

Ghansham Panjabi
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Thanks a lot. Thanks for hosting the event. Ghansham Panjabi with Baird [inaudible]

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Oh, Ghansham, can I put you on one second? We can't hear up here at all. If you could.

Ghansham Panjabi
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Is this better?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah, good.

Ghansham Panjabi
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

All right. Thanks again for hosting this event. Ghansham Panjabi with Baird. You know, on your comments from earlier, you seem very confident on the outsized backlog you have with customers, visibility and so on and so forth. Inventory still seems pretty low for you. You know, as we kinda think about other retail verticals, supply chains have been pretty abrupt in a different world post-COVID. All of a sudden, inventory is down, catches very quickly. In some cases, excessive inventory. How are you sort of thinking about that dynamic specific to Sherwin, especially as consumer affordability becomes a big issue, as it relates to the impact on housing and other segments? Thanks.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Again, I already said.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

I couldn't hear. I wonder if Natalie can repeat that.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Natalie, you're gonna have to help us turn something here so we can.

Speaker 20

Yeah.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

We can't hear at all. I'm sorry, Ghansham. Just hold on one second here. I wonder if we just simply turn one of these things. Before I become the AV guy, we'll wait.

Speaker 20

I just can't understand it.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Is it as simple as turning one of these speakers so that we can hear? All right. Can you try that one more time, Ghansham?

Natalie Darr
Executive Assistant, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications, Sherwin-Williams

Test one. Is that better?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Much better. Thank you. Sorry about that, Ghansham.

Ghansham Panjabi
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

No worries. Is that better?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah, we can hear you now.

Ghansham Panjabi
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Okay, great. I guess the question, sort of, paraphrasing a little bit, the backlogs that you cited for your customers being very strong, right? Inventory levels for you being pretty low. Many of the retailers have told us that, you know, over the last couple of months, companies have talked about demand changes very quickly, and inventories catching up very quickly, in some cases, excess inventory. How are you sort of thinking about that dynamic specific to Sherwin, especially as Q2 reported a pretty good housing ecosystem made changes in the interest rates and also housing price appreciation?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Sure. Let me take a first run at that, and then I'll ask Heidi to talk about it from the supply chain perspective, and then maybe Todd to talk a little bit about what we've experienced through our retail partners. Did you all hear that question? I would say this initially, Ghansham, that my grandmother used to say, "Out of everything bad, there's something good," right? The fact that some retailers have responded to the changes in the market with, "Hey, we might have purchased too much inventory or maybe not the right inventory." The fact that we are really working through and supplying on a not real time, but near real time, where we have not built a lot of inventory, gives us the opportunity to be very responsive with the precious raw materials that we have received.

There's a lot of work that goes into that. Heidi can talk about that. I think the same stands true for the most part for our retail partners, as we're building inventory now and being responsive. I think they're in a very good position. Heidi, maybe I can turn it over to you on the Sherw in side.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. I wanna make sure I properly heard your question. We're we've got 90% of it. But I do think, to John's point, especially right now in a normal season, you know, we're continuing to build inventories on our end and certainly working with retail partners and other customers to rebuild inventories in their Q4s as well. While there's been a lot of kind of day-to-day, hand-to-mouth inventories and making sure we're getting all the products where they need to be at the right time within a week or within the month, there's still a lot of opportunity for us to recover those inventories in a healthy position through Q4.

I would expect that, you know, as we start to get those inventory levels back up to what they need to go into 2023 with, we'll continue to see some stronger pull for inventories as well. They're still trying to come into 2023 strong, and I don't think they're in a strong position until they can ramp up this Q4 and Q1.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. Good. Todd, anything you wanna add to that? 'Cause I think it's very similar, right?

Todd Rea
President, Consumer Brands Group, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. Nothing much to add other than we made really good progress with our retail partners in building inventory through the first quarter, but there's still some opportunity.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah

Todd Rea
President, Consumer Brands Group, Sherwin-Williams

That we have in front of us.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. Good. Did that answer your question, Ghansham?

Ghansham Panjabi
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Yeah.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Okay. Why don't we just slide right down, and we'll go to Nicole there. Right here. Then right behind, we'll go to Eric next.

Nicole DeBlase
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, everyone, and thank you for the presentation. It's Nicole DeBlase from Morgan Stanley. I wanted to ask about the Performance Coatings margin target. You pointed to Karl and Heidi at various sort of levers to get there. I was just wondering how reliant are you on the first half of the volume side? You talk about volumes ahead in end markets. If we see a massive slowdown in some of those end markets, how confident are you on the volume side? Then do you think it's possible to achieve with your current asset footprint? You talked quite a lot about how you'd like to see more M&A potentially to build footprint. Do you think your margin target there is possible absent M&A? Thank you.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. Thank you for the question, and I'll start with the confidence that we do have. We've modeled this in a number of different ways, in a number of different formats, and I think the confidence in our ability to reach that has been. We're as strong or stronger than we've ever been in our ability to do that. Before turning it over to Karl, though, maybe I can 'cause Al and I have been working very diligently, as you would expect, in making sure that the glide path that we're on is something that we have confidence in. Then I'll turn it over to Karl to touch on as well.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. Just to reinforce a few data points that give us the confidence. If you look at where we ended 2018 with a full year of Valspar and a full year of Sherwin, our operating margin was 12.9%. You look at year-end in 2019, we moved that to 14.1%. In 2020, we ended the year at 14.5%. What I would say about 2020, the second half of 2020, was 15.2%, and third quarter was 16%. If you look at the quarters on our industrial business, they're not as seasonal as they are on our architectural, so they're more comparable. We have been able to get to 16%. We were at 15.5 in the second quarter of 2019.

That gives us some confidence that we can move the needle towards that high teens and low twenties. Even with that, we have some of our businesses that are already there or were there in the high teens to low twenties. Based on the operating models and how we go to market, we have a couple regions that are already there, and we will continue to build on the strength in those markets, because we still have a lot of opportunities for growth within the businesses that are already within that range, but also the regions that are in the range. As you look at acquisitions and we leverage the technology, leverage those new services and solutions to these regions, we have a lot of opportunities, and maybe Karl can touch on the other continuous improvement type of projects that we have.

Karl Jorgenrud
President, Performance Coatings Group, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah, just real quickly on the demand side, really that strategy around providing solutions for our customers, you know, we really believe we can continue to take share, whether that's a solution around technology, service, support. You know, as Al mentioned, you look at our many of our businesses are already at that point and in some of our regions. We just got a few of our businesses that we need to take a look at continuing to refocus and make sure that we're working with customers where we can drive value and not just chase anything available. We're really looking and very focused on again, where we provide solutions to the customers.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Good. All right. Good job. Next.

Eric Bosshard
CEO and Consumer Analyst, Cleveland Research Company

Eric Bosshard, Cleveland Research Company. Reactivating customers was an addition we've gotten historically a lot about Sherwin, something you talked about in Q1, too. Curious if you could give us an update on how you're progressing with that, and even if there's any metrics around that would be helpful.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah, I'd say the reactivation that we referenced today is primarily in TAG. I'll let Justin talk to that. Justin or Eric, the metrics that we have, we won't be sharing any of those today. I would tell you that the approach that we're taking does have a lot to do with the supply chain issues that we had and not taking anything for granted. You know, the assumption that because we are where we are in the market is, I think, a fool's approach to the business. Our belief is that we're uniquely positioned in our controlled distribution model, and we wanna make sure that we use the data that's available to us in a way to make sure that we remain close and build on the loyalty that we have with our customers.

Without getting into too much of what that means, I'm gonna turn it over to Justin, 'cause I wanna tell you what we did, not what we're going to do. So.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

Well, I think that's a great point that John brings up. First and foremost, what I do wanna touch on is I think that people hear reactivation, and the first thing you think is we lost customers. The reality of it is that's not the case, right? There might be some lost projects in there, but what we're really focused on, the fact is we have to reactivate almost every customer in our mind because we wanna make certain that we're delivering what we talked about today, essentially, which is that trademark customer service, you know, the profitability, the productivity. That's really where our focus is. Again, as John touched on, we're not gonna share metrics today. I would tell you that we're pleased with where it's headed. There's still lifting left to do. Our people are committed.

It's something that we're focusing on on a daily basis. Ultimately, at the end of the day, we love where we're at because I think we're at that spot right now where for a lot of months, supply was the conversation, right? Supply is in a better position. Now we're back into our wheelhouse where we separate, and we really focus on what we can do to help the contractor be more productive and more profitable in a market where it's pretty critical to do so when you look at it from an inflationary cycle and wages going up. We really like where we are. Again, that reactivation piece for us, it's not just, hey, we lost a customer. That's not the case at all. It's that we bring them back into the fold, and we focus on what we do best. That's how we reactivate them.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

I'll rebuild on Justin's important slide that he referenced about what we own. The fact is that we are uniquely positioned with our controlled distribution model to be able to do some things that most people couldn't. What you should take great pride in as a Sherwin-Williams employee is that we take nothing for granted. We're gonna be working very hard to make sure that very strong relationships are built upon and that these customers will become even more loyal as a result of our efforts.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

Absolutely.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

All right, I think there were a couple more on this side. All the way in the back. Can't see.

Arun Viswanathan
Senior Equity Analyst, RBC

Thanks. Arun Viswanathan, RBC. I just had a question back on the margins. You had a slide that showed maybe 40 or 50 or so basis points of gross margin deterioration last year from the raw. I think the operating margins were down maybe 250 basis points. Could you just discuss that SG&A leverage? You had about 200 basis points of offset through SG&A leverage. Is that kind of what we can expect going forward? Is that kind of the productivity target? How do you drive that 100-200 basis points, or what is kind of the range, and how do you drive it? Thanks.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Thank you, Arun.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah, Arun, you know, I wouldn't say we're targeting that. I think you would expect to get even as the comparisons get easier in our second half, I would expect to even get more leverage on SG&A. I think what you can expect this to do is control the G&A part of SG&A tightly while continuing to invest in our long-term initiatives and all the things that we talked about with new stores, additional reps, the pro paints, hero brands, field and technical service reps in PCG. I think that's the commitment we have to have in that. That's gonna allow us to grow a multiple of the market and also with the continuous improvement projects that we have, drive gross margin expansion along with volume and pricing.

You know, I'm focused on operating margin expansion, not specifically SG&A leverage, but the combination, gross margin expansion, SG&A leverage to drive operating margin expansion.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Through this process, though, I think it's important that we do take a long-range view of this. You know, we are investing in the face of adversity, while our competitors are making bold moves on their part, in perhaps closing stores, territories or other actions. We're gonna take advantage of that. It might. If it takes a little bit of investment that has a good payoff in the longer term, we're gonna make those. I often tell our team, we're not trying to run for the perfect quarter. We've been in business for 156 years. We're looking at the next 156 years. We're gonna do what's right to reposition or to position the company to win in the longer term. It doesn't mean that we're gonna go out and just spend money. These are good investments with good returns and good strategic value.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. I could point back to our own, and you know this. If you go back to 2008 and 2009 in the housing bubble and the financial crisis, and we kept putting in stores-

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Right.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

We kept putting in reps in TAG, and you look at the three, five and 10-year compounded average growth rates were high single digits for that business, which we know was a multiple of the market growth.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

All right. Why don't we slide over to this side? We have Jeff, and then we'll move up, okay? Right there. Yep.

Jeff Zekauskas
Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi, Jeff Zekauskas. If I can ask a naive question. When you look at the margins in the TAG business, I think, you know, maybe it was an order of magnitude 20%. You look at the margins in the consumer brands and maybe an order of magnitude there 15%. If you look at the margins over time, there was usually a premium in the TAG business by a few hundred basis points. Why is that? You know, that is it that average prices in TAG are higher or that average costs in the consumer brands are higher? Is there a normal relationship between those two margins as the business progresses forward?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah, I think there are a lot of different dynamics there, Jeff. I'll take a run at it here, and Al, you can jump in as well. I do think that as you look at our stores business, and the value proposition that we bring to a customer and the price that's associated with that, we often talk about our success as determined by our ability to help our customers to be successful. When people are buying a gallon of paint, and we add more services to that to help them to be more successful, that's incorporated into the cost of goods.

To Al's point, when we're looking at operating margin, we're driving that with that in mind and our ability to invest in some of those areas and get a greater return on our store side is something that we're going to accelerate. Conversely, in the consumer brands business, it's a little bit of a different model. I'd also say that the other element I think to take into consideration is the pace and wave of the raw material costs that came in. I think there's maybe another lever that had an impact on it on the shorter term. Anything you wanna add to that, Al?

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

I would just add over the longer term, Jeff, the volume growth that we see in TAG will be higher than what it is in consumer. You take out the one-time load-ins at Lowe's and different things. That volume we get great leverage on our operating margin. That helps drive that higher. The other thing I would just highlight is that in consumer brands, we do have embedded in that our global supply chain that does have, you know, over the last couple of years because of all the different things that have occurred with raw material availability, COVID. I mean, you get a little slightly more variability in consumer because of the way costs ebb and flow within global supply chain.

Over the longer term, we'd expect to see consumer in that high- teens to low- twenties, and we keep building on our TAG operating margins into the low- twenties to mid-twenties.

Jeff Zekauskas
Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

Yep.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

I see Chris here. We'll have to zip around a little bit here. Chris is gonna ask his one part question today.

Chris Parkinson
Managing Director, Mizuho

Is it A or B or C? All jokes aside. Yeah, thank you for hosting today. Chris Parkinson on Mizuho. You know, given the 1.5 x or 2x market in TAG, clearly there's a market share gain assumption there. Can you just kind of discuss where you kind of compete against your competitive environment when it comes to deliveries per location? You know, I think we're talking about 80 or 100 per day or so. Obviously, e-commerce, that's been something we've been discussing for probably half of a decade. Then just obviously store growth. Just kind of parsing out those additional contributing growth factors would be very helpful.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Chris, I wanna make sure I understand your question. Are you asking by those elements, what's driving the incremental market share gains? Is that?

Chris Parkinson
Managing Director, Mizuho

Just how do you contribute when you talk about the 1.5x-2x ?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah.

Chris Parkinson
Managing Director, Mizuho

Market growth, how do you allocate that? Clearly, there's a market share gain assumption there. How do you kinda allocate or attribute that to e-commerce, number of deliveries, you know, per store, and then also obviously new store growth?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Okay, let me start with Heidi, and then we'll kick it over to Justin just 'cause it's focused mainly on TAG.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

Well, nice to see you again. I would say I'm gonna answer your question with maybe a different lens, and then I'm gonna come back to your question. I think if you were to look at the mix of what gives us confidence in the 1.5x-2x, it really is driven by segment and our confidence in where we can source that growth by segment from a competitive standpoint. I'll let Justin comment on that. I would tell you, broadly speaking, you know, as a manufacturer, distributor, and ultimately trying to provide solutions which now for us, in this environment, is giving choices to our professional painting contractors. If they choose to, you know, interact with us in stores versus e-commerce versus delivery, we've gotta be nimble, flexible, and there's not a one-size-fits-all approach for every contractor. It could be on a Monday, they prefer a certain delivery.

There's a mix that we've gotta be able to have at the ready at any time. You know, over time, we'll have a better perspective, and I'll ask Justin to comment on kind of what our initial snap of that is today. It's going to change over time as we try to respect. There's a lot of labor challenges. We've been committed to keeping our customers on their job site, as we talked about a little bit yesterday, keeping our customers in paint. We would expect that over time we'll continue to see more and more deliveries just as a function of convenience. I'll let Justin kinda share his thoughts on and breaking that out.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

If I might, I think, before throwing it to Justin, I think what we're talking about, Chris, is the bringing the entire ecosystem. I'm not sure we're gonna answer the question exactly as you ask, because we don't look at it that way. We're not running an e-commerce business and then this business and that. I mean, what's unique about our model is that we bring all of this together in a very unique and differentiated way. The rep that that customer is dealing with, that customer feels that that rep is part of his or her business. That rep's responsibility is to be there when they need them. That doesn't come at the cost of a digital or e-commerce order coming in. It's all inclusive. We're leveraging all of these things in a very unique way.

We refer to it internally as kind of an ecosystem, and I think maybe, Justin, you can talk about that as how you and your team really leverage that.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. I mean, I think the thing I would add on, I think you both and Heidi said it really well, is you know, ideally, the demographics are certainly changing when you look at the ownership of painting contractors. When we talk about that table tilt all the way, all the time, we're positioned really well in that table tilt as well, right? There's a lot of times, and I'm sure Heidi could attest to this as well, and John could, you go out on a call, and it's a family-run business, and there's almost two sales calls that are taking place.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

That's right.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

Right? Where the father or mother who's owned that business for 35, 40 years is talking to you about that relationship that our sales rep has established with them, what our stores do for them every single day. You have the next generation who recognizes the value that everything that their father or mother saw in our company, plus wants to know what we're gonna do for them from a digital front, and that digital front might include delivery, right? It might include some of those resources that I talked about today in the slide when I talked about what we own in that robust digital platform of, you know, helping them do bids, right? Helping them with color selections, things that we can make them be more productive through digital platforms.

You know, really, I think and I hope that somewhat answers your question. Again, to John's point, to Heidi's point, you know, we don't look at it and say, "Hey, we're gonna get to 2x by this, this." We're gonna get to 2x by the toolbox that we offer and continually adding tools that are gonna add value to that customer. That's really where we're gonna do it. I do really feel good about where we're positioned on the digital front, plus with just the way that we've gone to market in a really, you know, a long time. It puts us in a good position.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

I'd say the center of the universe in that toolbox is the store, though.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

It is.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

It's-

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

Absolutely.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Very unique in how we leverage that. I think if there's one thing that's probably underappreciated is just that, how much we leverage that store in that local market to be the hub of what it is that and how we build a relationship with a customer.

Justin Binns
President, The Americas Group, Sherwin-Williams

100%.

Chris Parkinson
Managing Director, Mizuho

[inaudible] Thank you.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. You know what, Chris? Just pass it down the other way, if you will. You got a mic?

Mike Sison
Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Mike Sison, Wells Fargo. John, I'm just curious, you know, the raw material availability has been an issue. You know, we don't see a lot of new capacity in the commodity chemical industry coming on in the next three to five years. Lots of unplanned outages. If the raw material availability doesn't improve over time, how are you allocating what you have to the segments or the businesses? Would you consider going upstream in certain cases to ensure that you have enough raw materials to fund your growth?

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah, let me take a run at the first part of that, and then I'll have Heidi talk a little bit about how we make those decisions. I'd say moving upstream is likely something you're not going to see us do much of. The SPI acquisition that we made, Heidi mentioned in her presentation that it helped us to diversify out of the Gulf of Mexico, gave us a little more control on resins, both on the east and west coast, inland, so we're not dealing with the potential of hurricanes. A terrific company, wonderful people. They were toll producers for us. With not a whole lot of capital, we were able to really accelerate the output of these facilities. Utilization improved dramatically.

I would say as it relates to raw material supply, I'd say, you know, there's a lot of things that we're doing. I'll turn it over to Heidi to talk about the simplification efforts that we're moving on and towards that she talked about and the utilization of not only existing but new suppliers. There's a lot of good work that Heidi's leading that maybe you can talk to that.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. I wanna acknowledge Joe Sladek and Colin Davie here for doing a lot of the heavy lifting. I think there's certainly a lot of kind of what's different in this environment. You know, I would say it starts with making sure we're designing the right conversations with the right suppliers around the long-term strategic nature of what we want out of our supply base, especially where the really critical materials are, you know, just that, they're really critical materials. In the interim, there's a lot of work here, and we talked a bit across the groups.

We use the word platform kind of largely, but really what that means for us, if you look across the commercial teams all the way through kind of our technical teams in the labs, is making sure that there's alignment around where we can cut the long tail and how quickly we can do so. That's going to be. That'll move in phases as anything would need to, so that we're still able to put our commercial teams in a competitive position to go compete, you know, whether it's, you know, in stores, by division, by region or certainly from an industrial standpoint. I would share with you that this kind of simplification, taking complexity out of our business is another really important lever.

Ultimately, at the end of the day, it is going to be about making sure that we're sharing kind of future demand, what that looks like, working with the right suppliers so that together we do have the right capacity so that we're not living, you know, long term, having constant discussions on allocations. I think, you know, I think it's a great question. I think there's pieces and parts that have to move in sequence, though.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

I think the work that you and Joe and Colin are doing on, you know, your point about the long tail. You know, we might have a plant that has, whatever, 12 different thickeners in it, and there's no reason other than some chemist at some point designed it that way. The work that Heidi and Colin are working on along with Joe is to really develop those products in concert. There's a greater sense, I think, of collaboration with our partners.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

Absolutely.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

With our suppliers that help us become a better customer of theirs. Maybe less SKUs that we're ordering more of that allow us to be a better partner with them. The fact is that we're gonna be growing. I think a lot of those partners understand that this is a good tractor to hitch your trailer to. We're gonna help them reach their goals, and we're gonna do it in a collaborative fashion.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

One other point I would add, just looking at the team here. There's a lot of work happening in terms of, you know, pushing our suppliers to understand where they have innovation or thoughtful substitution. Taking that back internally, we've got a pretty incredible high throughput machine that allows us to do a lot of kind of accelerated formulation. When we get some of it to a position where there's a constraint on a material, Colin and his team have done an outstanding job really looking for innovations or alternate material that we can then bring back into our labs and compress what would take 10 months into weeks and be able to have alternate supply and not sacrifice performance or quality. That's a lot of work that's happening in parallel.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

We have time for a couple more questions, so if you wanna raise your hands here. Why don't we start. Well, I'll tell you what, we just came off here. Why don't we go to Greg here, and then we'll finish up here, and then we'll slide back. We'll try to be quick with you here.

Greg Melich
Senior Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Thanks. Greg Melich on the corporate side. I guess my question is really on the pricing and getting the gross margins back. I think at the end of last quarter, you said that by the end of 2Q, you hope to be on top of raw materials. Is that still the case given that, you know, some other raws have moved and it sounds like the 12% is going in, so just confirmation of that. I think a bigger second part of the question is how long do we think it takes to get back to that 48% margin. I know back in the 2011-2012 period, it took maybe a couple of years. Do you think that's still the right time horizon, or faster or longer given the current environment? Thank you.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

Yeah. You know, Jeff or Greg. Sorry. Greg, you know, we'll see. We expect to see sequential improvement in our second quarter. We start getting on top of the raw materials with pricing, and then start seeing expansion in our second half. You know, the uptick in raws that we talk about, you know, we're active and it was in particular on industrial. We're active and continuing with pricing. It's not as uniform as TAG, so it's staggered. So pricing has been going in basically throughout the first part of this year. I think we've been very aggressive on the industrial side to get ahead of it as much as possible.

I mean, you know, we learned a lot from 2017 when we closed and we were chasing it on a much longer basis. I think we're in a much better position today. You know, as raw materials moderate and we hold on to that price, I expect to see certainly if that plays out for 2023, we'll be on that path second half of this year and then building on that into next year. Whether we can get to 48%, 45%-48% range, that's dependent on a lot of factors, specifically volume and where the mix is. You know, we'll be on that path going out of this year and certainly into the next year.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

All right, we're gonna take one more question here, and I promise we're not going to leave until we answer all the questions, but we're gonna answer the rest of them after this next question downstairs. We have a question right here.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

Right behind. That's it.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

Right there. Go ahead.

Cory Murphy
Equity Research Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Cory Murphy from Vertical Research Partners. Thanks for taking my question. To build on the raw material question, you affirmed your guidance for the sales growth in the second quarter, now that we're two months into the quarter, are there any surprises to you in terms of raw material cost inflation that you're seeing by segment? Or is there any, you know, imbalances that you're seeing that were different than you would have expected when you first gave the guidance back at the first quarter call? Thank you.

Allen Mistysyn
SVP of Finance and CFO, Sherwin-Williams

I think it's trending much as we talked about in the previous call, Cory . Where we're seeing the greatest inflation has been in our Performance Coatings Group, and it's been more on the petrochemical side of the basket. Certainly solvents, resins, latex. We're starting to see some inflation as well on the TiO2 side. It's been more impactful to this point on Performance Coatings Group. Our expectation was, you know, the year starts out with the biggest inflation, and as the year goes on, we expect to see that year-over-year gap get smaller and smaller. It'll still be elevated year over year in the fourth quarter, but I'd also add it's a volatile market out there, and things are moving pretty regularly. We discuss these costs every month, not just raw materials, but our entire basket.

If we need to be proactive with additional pricing because of movements in raw materials, you can expect us to do that.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

All right. In the name of Sherwin-Williams, we're gonna try to over deliver. We're gonna take one more question, and then we're gonna go down. Right there.

Edlain Rodriguez
Director, Equity Research – Chemicals & Agriculture, Credit Suisse

Good. Edlain Rodriguez with Credit Suisse. This is for Heidi. I think, Heidi, you talked about developing closer relationship with your suppliers, and that entails jumping to the frontline to ensure you get your supply. The question is: What is the price of admission? Like, what does it cost you to jump to that point? Also, how does that fit into your desire to diversify your supply base? Thank you so much.

Heidi Petz
COO and President, Sherwin-Williams

I think it's a great question, and I don't know that it costs us anything. I would tell you know, as I mentioned earlier, you know, part of what we're really trying to do here is take a review of when we share this in terms of supplier diversification. There's a fine balance here of going, you know, building a strategic supplier partnership and also diversifying. Picking our partners here is gonna be really critical. When we talk about what's different and how we're building that strategic supplier partnership, it is elevating that discussion. It is sharing more long view demand that we see, and making sure that they understand what that can look like.

You know, oftentimes it could be, you know, there's a million configurations, whether it's a partnership, a contract, a, you know, anything in the middle. Making sure that there's complete alignment in terms of where we see demand and their willingness to invest in kind of our future demand. I think it continues to be making sure that we've got that alignment, that open communication. We're gonna invest in partners willing to invest in us, whether it's customers or suppliers. I don't think that that's gonna change how we operate going forward. I don't know if there's anything you'd wanna add.

John Morikis
Chairman and CEO, Sherwin-Williams

It's a great answer. We're going to ask management to finish up here, leave Jim Jay up to wrap up, and we hope to see you all downstairs. Jim's got some important information. Let me ask management to leave Jim Jay on stage here. Thank you, all. We'll see you soon.

Jim Jaye
SVP of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications, The Sherwin-Williams Company

Thank you, John. Just on behalf of our entire team, we hope you found today's presentations and Q&A session to be informative. The presentations should be available on our website right now if you wanna download them. Just wanted to say that, you know, we continue to believe that Sherwin-Williams is really well positioned here going forward. From John, you heard about the long-term drivers. Heidi shared the solutions-based approach that we have. Justin described our unique model in the Americas Group. Todd talked about the consumer brands partnerships that we have. Carl talked about, obviously, the industrial piece and how bullish we are on that. Then Al, obviously, with the financial drivers that we continue to pursue relentlessly. Thank you again for your interest in Sherwin-Williams. That concludes our remarks today.

Please join us if you're here live, for a reception downstairs right out the back. Thank you again for your interest in Sherwin.

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