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Earnings Call: Q3 2020

Nov 6, 2020

Cyndi Holt
VP of Investor Relations, Tanger

Good morning. This is Cyndi Holt, Vice President of Investor Relations, and I would like to welcome you to the Tanger Factory Outlet Centers' third quarter 2020 conference call. Yesterday evening, we issued our earnings release, as well as our supplemental information package and our investor presentation. This information is available on our investor relations website, investors.tangeroutlets.com. Please note that during this conference call, some of management's comments will be forward-looking statements that are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, and actual results could differ materially from those projected. We direct you to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a detailed discussion of these risks and uncertainties. During the call, we will also discuss non-GAAP financial measures as defined by SEC Regulation G, including funds from operations or FFO, core FFO, same-center net operating income , and Adjusted EBITDA.

Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings release and in our supplemental information. This call is being recorded for rebroadcast for a period of time in the future. As such, it is important to note that management's comments include time-sensitive information that may only be accurate as of today's date, November 6th, 2020.

At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Following management's prepared comments, the call will be opened for your questions. We request that you ask only one question and one follow-up to allow as many of you as possible to ask questions. If time permits, we are happy for you to re-queue for additional questions. On the call today will be Steven Tanger, Chief Executive Officer, Stephen Yalof, President and Chief Operating Officer, and Jim Williams, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn the call over to Steven Tanger. Please go ahead, Steve.

Steven Tanger
CEO, Tanger

Good morning, and thank you for joining us. I will provide a review of our third-quarter performance and an update on each of our key priorities. Steve Yalof will provide additional details on our strategic initiatives, and Jim Williams will discuss our financial results and balance sheet. During the third quarter, we made meaningful improvements across each of our areas of focus, including liquidity, rent collections, driving traffic to our centers, leasing, and shopper engagement. Our centers offer a compelling option for retailers with an attractive, relatively low cost of occupancy. For shoppers, our open-air outlet centers offer an inviting way to find the brands and value they seek, as evidenced by the rebound in traffic that we experienced as the third quarter progressed. We believe we are well-positioned to capture pent-up demand going into this holiday shopping season and beyond.

In the third quarter of 2020, same-center NOI was $66.6 million, a decline of $10.9 million compared to the prior year, driven in large part by the impact of COVID-19 on rent collections. We are pleased that the year-over-year change is significantly better than it was in the second quarter. Furthermore, since the start of the third quarter, we have generated positive cash flow each month, resulting in $640 million of available liquidity at the end of October. We have made significant progress in terms of rent collections, which were markedly improved compared to the second quarter. For the third quarter, we expect to collect approximately 92% of rents billed, including 89% that we have already collected.

We only have approximately 3% of third- quarter billed rent that is being deferred or still under negotiation, and 5%, which we do not anticipate collecting due to one-time concessions or bankruptcies, or because we otherwise deemed them uncollectible due to tenant financial weaknesses. In the select cases where we have granted one-time concessions, we have done so in exchange for landlord-favorable lease modifications, such as co-tenancy waivers, term extensions, and early option exercises in an exchange of value for value, with the ultimate goal of preserving our ongoing income stream while offering desirable brand variety and product choice to our shoppers. This year's third quarter was negatively impacted by reduced back-to-school shopping caused by some districts requiring schools to be virtual. Uncertainty was prevalent, including shoppers' comfort in going to stores, retailers' ability to open and staff their stores, and the full availability of inventory.

Given that changing backdrop, we are pleased with our performance. For the quarter, traffic rebounded to 86.5% of the prior year. Even as stores opened to accommodate retailer needs, our open-air centers have operated at 30% fewer hours per week since reopening. In addition, many local mandates required only 50% of capacity at one time in retail stores. Of note, traffic picked up tremendously from the beginning of the quarter to the end. By mid-June, non-essential shopping mandates were lifted at all of our centers, and store openings accelerated as the third quarter progressed. At the start of the quarter, approximately 88% of total occupied stores in the portfolio had reopened. At the close of the quarter, that increased to more than 99%.

We have increasingly moved from a defensive and reactive approach that was necessary as we learned how to adapt and operate within the protocols of the pandemic, towards a proactive strategy of safely getting customers back and shopping. As of today, we have increased hours and access as we maintain our priorities of shopper safety, retailer ability to staff the stores, and the desire to offer as much access as possible to our customers. Blended average rental rates for all leases that commenced in the quarter were off 6% on a straight-line basis and 11% on a cash basis. At quarter-end , occupancy for our consolidated portfolio was 92.9%, down 90 basis points from the end of the second quarter, due in large part to Ascena closing 29 stores totaling 137,000 sq ft.

While several tenant bankruptcies and brand-wide restructurings remain fluid at this time, we expect approximately 80 stores comprising 400,000 sq ft to close between the fourth quarter of 2020 and the second quarter of 2021. We also expect there will be an impact on rental rates as mid-lease modifications are implemented in select cases and as some tenant leases are renewed at reduced spreads. These tenant situations have accelerated as the pandemic further impacted their businesses. That is one element of our business that we cannot control. While there will likely be additional fallout, as we sit today, our tenant watch list is smaller than it was going into the pandemic.

Our confidence in our platform is steadfast, and while the current level of vacancy does create near-term pressure on our NOI, it also creates opportunity as we curate our centers and target new tenants that will increase the shopping options available to our centers. Importantly, we have maintained our strong liquidity position. With an improving outlook, we've fully repaid the outstanding balances on our $600 million unsecured lines of credit. With the increase in rent collections, we have achieved positive cash flow each month since the start of the third quarter. As of the end of October, we had a cash balance of approximately $40 million. Balance sheet strength has long been a core tenet of Tanger, and this discipline is serving us well. We believe a fortified balance sheet remains crucial to navigate challenging times and to emerge with the strength necessary to pursue potential opportunities.

Our priorities remain consistent. Maintain a strong balance sheet, provide a compelling value proposition for our retailers and consumers, and maintain a high-quality portfolio with desirable brand-name tenants. While we are encouraged by sequential improvements and our long-term outlook, we do recognize the continued challenges we face, largely due to the impact of COVID-19. Leasing remains a top priority, as does continuing to build on our positive traffic momentum, particularly as we enter the holiday shopping period.

As we evolve from the defensive stance we needed to take at the outset of the pandemic, we are taking a fresh look at our center operations with a view towards achieving additional NOI and sustained long-term growth. Finally, I want to express my ongoing best wishes for everyone's good health and well-being. We remain committed to supporting our employees, customers, and communities through this difficult time. I will now turn the call over to Steve Yalof.

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

Thank you. We've made significant progress in terms of stores reopening and rent collection since last quarter's call. These continue to be priorities for our entire team, and we're highly focused on returning to long-term sustained growth. Our immediate emphasis is on leasing available space, driving traffic to our open-air outlet centers, and building shopper engagement through the important holiday shopping period. We are effectively executing on our initiatives aimed at operating more efficiently to optimize costs, maximizing revenue, and driving NOI growth. In terms of leasing, we continue to get in front of our great brands and generate tenant interest, many of which are already Tanger customers that are looking to expand their footprint with us, such as Calvin Klein, West Elm, Pottery Barn, and Aerie. These brands have opened new locations during the pandemic, including marquee stores in center court locations.

We are also strategically and successfully utilizing pop-up stores. Pop-ups allow us to fill vacancies and to introduce new brands and new categories to Tanger, such as in the home category, popular food and beverage concepts, well-known local brands, and digitally native brands. While the rent per square foot on these pop-up leases is lower than the portfolio average, they fill a number of objectives, including keeping the space occupied with desirable retailers and setting us up for additional future growth with many of these tenants. Two such examples are Tory Burch and Vineyard Vines, both of which initiated their relationship with us as pop-ups and have since expanded to have multiple long-term leases.

While leasing velocity remains moderate in this environment, we believe the open-air outlet distribution channel continues to be critically important for many retailers, providing a low relative cost of occupancy, making it a compelling option for retailers new to the channel, particularly strong local brands. Through our leasing efforts, we limited our occupancy decline for the quarter to 90 basis points as new leases offset almost half of the vacancies created by the recaptured space. We've been focused on evolving our marketing strategy to drive customers to our centers while also increasing customer engagement. Enhancing our digital strategy and marketing efforts has been an objective for some time, and the current environment has only accelerated this initiative. During the quarter, we launched some exciting enhancements to the Tanger digital capabilities, where shoppers can access exclusive deals and earn rewards.

As of the end of the third quarter, Tanger App downloads were up 26% year-to-date . Similarly, we have continued to utilize the Tanger Virtual Shopper program, which allows shoppers to seamlessly access products from across our platform. This program is having the intended result of engaging shoppers and allowing them to shop in the way that fits their needs. As we lead up to the holiday shopping season, we are planning for one that looks different from what it has in years past. Instead of the typical focus on the day and weeks following Thanksgiving, we are starting early and encouraging people to shop early, shop now, shop Tanger. We are working closely with our retailers to provide exclusive promotions at our centers and to provide a safety-conscious and fun environment for shoppers.

At this time, tenants are communicating that they're in good shape with regard to holiday inventory, having effectively worked through inventory that had built up during the shutdown. We believe we have a compelling opportunity from an operational perspective with some enhancements to our field management team. To drive this, we've added a seasoned executive to our team. Leslie Swanson has joined Tanger as Executive Vice President of Operations and is responsible for overseeing the planning and execution of operational strategies and expense management initiatives, growing center occupancy, and developing new revenue opportunities. The underlying elements of this approach are to ensure we have an empowered, field-driven organization laser-focused on increasing NOI.

There are some opportunities, particularly on the expense side, that we can unlock in the near term and others that will take longer to realize, but I'm confident that we can drive incremental revenue and profit over time. Finally, I would like to highlight some of our ESG activities. With regard to the social element, supporting local communities is embedded in our culture. Tanger continues to support important social services throughout the pandemic by making our centers available for blood drives and food collection and distribution sites. As part of our efforts to foster civic engagement, Tanger partnered with two nonpartisan organizations, HeadCount and Power the Polls, to encourage voter registration and offered our full-time employees paid time off to volunteer at polling stations. We are dedicated to engaging with our stakeholders on ESG matters at all levels.

To further this engagement, Tanger will complete a comprehensive materiality assessment early next year to help guide our ongoing ESG strategy, goals, and objectives. We're committed to ongoing improvement and transparency, and we look forward to reporting on our efforts and progress. The entire team is excited by the future prospects for Tanger. Although the near-term environment remains uncertain, and it will take some time to return to sustained growth as we continue to work through the impact of the pandemic and recent tenant reorganizations, I believe we have an unparalleled platform and brand from which to achieve growth and create value. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Jim to take you through our financial results, balance sheet, and liquidity recap.

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Thank you, Steve. Third quarter results showed a strong improvement from our second quarter performance. Reflect the ongoing impact of uncollected rent and reserves related to the pandemic and tenant bankruptcies. Please refer to the earnings release we issued last night for additional details provided to quantify the impact on rental revenues. For the third quarter, net income available to common shareholders was $0.14 per share, compared to net income of $0.25 per share in the prior year. Third-quarter core FFO available to common shareholders was $0.44 per share, compared to $0.58 per share in the third quarter of 2019. Same-center NOI for the consolidated portfolio decreased by $10.9 million for the quarter, including a $6.6 million charge to write off uncollectible revenues or reserve for rents that were deferred or under negotiation at quarter-end and may not be collectible.

In addition, we recognized a write-off of approximately $2.4 million in straight-line rents associated with the bankruptcies and uncollectible accounts. The outcome of the bankruptcies is still not fully known at this time. The rents deemed uncollectible are largely pre-petition rents. Tenants who are currently on a cash basis of accounting comprise less than 3% of our monthly rents. We also continued to collect rents billed for prior periods. As of October 31st, our second quarter collections improved to 43% of rents billed, as expected payments were received, rents previously under negotiation were resolved, and a portion of rents written off in the second quarter were paid. With regard to rent deferrals, we recognized revenue from these leases in our net income, FFO, and same-center NOI and recorded a lease receivable on our balance sheet.

In the third quarter, approximately $2.2 million of rental income billed represented deferred rents or those that are under negotiation. This is a market decline from the $28 million deferred or under negotiation for rents billed in the second quarter. Substantially all of the deferred rents are due in 2021, the majority of which are due in January and February. That said, we have taken a prudent approach towards collectability. In total for both quarters, we have taken a reserve against revenues for potentially uncollectible accounts totaling $11.8 million, which represents 6% of rents billed and 39% of rents deferred or still under negotiation. As we have previously discussed, we have always prioritized maintaining a strong financial position, and particularly through the pandemic, this discipline has proven to be critical.

With the improvements in rent collections, the ongoing focus on cost controls, and a prudent approach to capital allocation, we currently have $640 million of available liquidity, including $40 million of cash and $600 million of unused capacity on lines of credit. At the start of the pandemic, out of caution, we drew down our entire line of credit. With the improving environment during the quarter, we fully paid down the balance. We have no significant debt maturities until December 2023. In terms of capital allocation, we will continue our disciplined and conservative approach. Our priority uses of capital include investments to deliver NOI growth, such as re-tenanting vacancies, reducing leverage that has increased in the current environment, as well as evaluating selective accretive opportunities over the long term.

With regard to dividends, the board will continue to evaluate future dividend distributions on a quarterly basis, but we remain committed to paying our dividend as required to maintain REIT status. Due to the ongoing uncertainty around the current environment, we are not reinstating guidance at this time. We anticipate the remainder of this year and into next year to be pressured as we see potential store closures and rent modifications from these recent announcements. Nevertheless, we believe our balance sheet is well-positioned from a liquidity perspective and are continuing to make the appropriate steps to navigate the current environment. I'd now like to open it up for questions. Operator, can we take our first question?

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time we'll begin the question-and-answer session. To ask your question, you may press star and then one you may attach to your telephone. To withdraw your question, you may press star and two. If you are using a speakerphone, would you ask to please to pick up the handset before pressing the number for the best sound quality? Once again, press star and then one to ask your question. Our first question today comes from Katy McConnell from Citi. Please go ahead with your question.

Katy McConnell
Analyst, Citi

Great. Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Could you provide a little more color on what the pipeline of backfill leasing demand looks like today? Based on the progress you made addressing 2020 expirations, can you talk about how spreads are trending for those leases you're actually signing today as opposed to the prior 12 months?

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

Good morning. This is Steve Yalof. I'm going to let Jim talk about the spreads, but, as far as leasing is concerned, the first thing I want to share is that everybody in our company is a leasing representative. Steve's leasing. I'm leasing. Our center managers are leasing. Our retailers, although they're taking a cautious approach, are talking about future open-to-buy . Our leasing strategy is a sound one, and we're talking to a lot of the national retailers that are currently in our footprint about expanding.

Some of the recent bankruptcies have created opportunities where we have space available in some shopping centers that are typically high occupancy and have given us the opportunity to get in front of a number of new retailers , creating opportunities that hadn't been there in the past. We're also employing our pop-up strategy, as I said in my remarks, and we think pop-up as a strategy is a great opportunity to turn some of that vacant space into net income. Obviously, short-term leases give us the opportunity to reprice our real estate ultimately as we come to the end of this pandemic. I'll turn it over to Jim to sort of share with you a little bit more about the leasing spread.

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Yes. Hi, Katy. This is Jim. Good morning. We're not going to be able to give you much guidance into 2021. We do, and as we've said, we expect to see a little bit of continued pressure on the spread as we're working with our tenants through this environment and the challenges that it faces to maintain high occupancy.

Katy McConnell
Analyst, Citi

Okay, thanks. Seeing as you made great progress on the rent collections this quarter, I'm curious when you'd expect to get back to a more normalized level of collections. Based on that progress in 2Q, can you touch on any top or bottom categories that contributed the most to the improvement or that are still lagging?

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Katy, I think we're delighted to see that our collection rates get to 89%. Really, if you look at what we expect to get, we think that'll get up to 92%. There's a piece that was deferred under negotiation, which was 3%, which is pretty small, and I think pretty incredible when you think that we've pretty much had to work with almost every tenant in the portfolio, and we're down to that pretty small percentage.

We're working through that, and I think we'll continue to make progress there. We've also seen the rents for the second quarter and third quarter to be impacted by the bankruptcies, and a lot of that, the write-off coming from the bankruptcies, was pre-petition rents. Now we're in the post-petition period, so unless there's further bankruptcy filings, we don't expect to see 2% of the rents written off for the bankruptcies. We do, though, see, looking ahead, to see some more store closures and some rent mods coming in as we work through the bankruptcy tenants.

Katy McConnell
Analyst, Citi

Okay, great. Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Greg McGinniss from Scotiabank. Please go ahead with your question.

Greg McGinniss
Analyst, Scotiabank

Hey, good morning. Just building on Katy's question a little bit. Based on that pretty impressive 89% collection number, you clearly have been hard at work receiving past rents owed. Could you just provide the final collections number by month in Q3, and then kind of where you expect collections to trend by year-end? Is that 92% number the bogey here?

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Well, Greg, again, we're going to be a little bit reluctant to give you guidance for our fourth quarter. Yeah, the collection rates for the month are very similar , particularly the latter marks to where our average had turned out to be of 89%. So far, what we're seeing in October is very similar to that rate.

Greg McGinniss
Analyst, Scotiabank

Sorry, the July and August collection numbers. If you don't mind.

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Obviously, July was lower, but we prefer not to give the monthly breakdown. I think the important piece is that where we're trending is toward the end of the quarter, and looking into the fourth quarter is more like the rates, what we're seeing in the table.

Greg McGinniss
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay. I guess then, Jim, as noted in the earnings release, there were some rents written off in Q2 that were repaid in Q3. Would you mind just outlining the impact of adjustments built into Q3 results that actually apply to kind of last quarter's reserves and write-offs?

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Yeah. There's quite a bit of movement, Greg, in the various buckets. Part of this analysis, there's a big chunk of money that's deferred and won't be paid until 2021. As we move through the year, we'll have to continue to go through what's still on the books, what's still unpaid, and do a collectibility assessment. In some cases, we've increased the reserves, what we had. In some cases, we've had some positive results where folks either paid what we didn't think they were going to pay, or we got some termination fees, whi ch were previously written off. Net-net, the impact of truing up those items in the second quarter that rolled into the third quarter was pretty much a wash.

Greg McGinniss
Analyst, Scotiabank

I guess just one more from me on the Terrell outlet sale. Just curious what the drivers were behind the disposition, whether we should expect to see further non-core sales in the future, and then what the NOI contribution was from that asset. Obviously, it's smaller.

Steven Tanger
CEO, Tanger

Yeah. Good morning. Yes. Terrell was a very small, poorly productive Non-core asset. It's consistent with our longstanding policy of an aggressive and active asset management program. I'm not going to get too much into the details because it was an insignificant transaction, and it is consistent with our long-term plan.

Greg McGinniss
Analyst, Scotiabank

All right, thanks, Steve.

Operator

Our next question comes from Todd Thomas from KeyBanc. Please go ahead with your question.

Ravi Vaidya
Analyst, KeyBanc

Hey, good morning. This is Ravi Vaidya on the line for Todd Thomas. Hope everyone's doing well. I wanted to ask you guys about what concepts your team is seeing incremental demand from. We're hearing about retailers cutting their enclosed mall footprints. Gap was an example. Any sense of how those types of tenants are thinking about the outlets?

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

Good morning, Ravi. First of all, as it relates to Gap, we had a very favorable resolution with Gap. In fact, looking at new concepts with Gap as we speak. I think, as we reduce our dependency on apparel and footwear going forward, home furnishings, sporting goods, hard goods, and entertainment concepts are things that we're focused on right now.

Ravi Vaidya
Analyst, KeyBanc

Okay, great. Sounds like traffic has recovered, especially in September , close to prior- year levels. Can you offer any commentary on how that's translating into sales? Any updates on sales metrics or performance of the Tanger Club membership, average basket size, anything like that?

Steven Tanger
CEO, Tanger

Our centers are all open-air, where basically consumers feel more comfortable in today's environment when shopping. Last year, I just want to point out, we were compared to a period of time with Hurricane Dorian in September, where seven of our coastal centers were closed. Without that impact, we still would've been about 96% of prior levels. In all transparency, we wanted to point that out. We do believe that we have compelling offerings to consumers, and we are prepared to satisfy what our research shows is tremendous pent-up demand for people to go shopping.

Ravi Vaidya
Analyst, KeyBanc

Okay. Just one more from me here. Given the additional space you expect to recapture, the 400,000 sq ft, just wondering if you have a sense of where occupancy bottoms out and when? Just to clarify, is that 400,000 ft only for tenants in bankruptcy, or are there other closures and non-renewals in that total space you're going to recapture?

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

In that number are both bankruptcy and restructuring. Obviously, it's a fluid situation with COVID right now. It's hard to make a determination as to where occupancy will land. Again, I reiterate that leasing is one of the main objectives for the entire organization. We see that some of these spaces that we're getting back, particularly in some of our better assets, are creating great opportunities for us to get in front of new retailers, particularly those that haven't been on our platform before. We think that's going to be a great opportunity for us to build upon as we continue to maintain our strong leasing relationships with a lot of retailers.

Ravi Vaidya
Analyst, KeyBanc

Thank you. Appreciate the color.

Operator

Our next question comes from Craig Schmidt from Bank of America. Please go ahead with your question.

Craig Schmidt
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. I'm wondering, do the pop-ups impact leasing spreads? The pop-up leases.

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

No, they don't, Craig.

Craig Schmidt
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Regarding the home and hard goods categories, the new retailers that are entering your properties, what kind of ABR do they pay, comparable to the overall portfolio?

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

We don't really break down the rents by category. From a contribution point of view, we look at great halo retailers, like some of the deals we just did in Lancaster. We added West Elm; we added Pottery Barn. Those were retailers that were positioned in other centers in that community, but they wanted to position themselves where the traffic is, and they came to our shopping center. With the great brand followings that they have, we see that those retailers, in addition to the rents that they pay and hopefully some overage rent that we'll get as their sales perform, we also get a whole new category of shoppers shopping in our shopping center, and I think that's great. Obviously, all ships rise.

Craig Schmidt
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Caitlin Burrows from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead with your question.

Caitlin Burrows
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, good morning, everyone. I guess maybe on the same store NOI for that revenues were down in the quarter, but so were expenses. NOI, I would say, was kind of even with them. I was wondering, going forward, you did talk about expense savings, but is it possible to continue these expense savings while revenues are lower, so that kind of evens out the same- store NOI declines? Do you think that the expense? May s avings not be able to keep up with the revenue? Thanks.

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

Caitlin, this is Steve again. With regard to expense savings, I think a lot of the Q3 expense savings had to do with the fact that we had cut our hours by 30%. Actually, starting today, we're going to add back two hours a day for the holiday shopping season. Implicit with longer hours come increased expenses. As I mentioned in my opening remarks, we just brought a very seasoned veteran of operating shopping centers to our team. One of the legacy field operations of Tanger, being a little bit more marketing- driven, is now pivoting to more of an operational model. We think that embedded in that pivot to more operations will come more expense savings on the field line.

Caitlin Burrows
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. Got it. Then, just on the lease termination fees, they were high this quarter. I know that you guys had mentioned last quarter that you were expecting them to be high. I was just wondering if that expectation now of this elevated level is over, or do you think that what you had been talking about last quarter - that it would be coming- if there's still more to that, or if we should return to a more normalized level.

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Hi, Caitlin, this is Jim. I'll take that question. We have been getting a few termination fees, but the primary reason for the termination fee that we recognized is a pretty significant termination fee we received from a single tenant, and we recognized about half of that in the third quarter, and the other half will be recognized in the fourth quarter.

Caitlin Burrows
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. Got it. Okay, thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from Vince Tibone from Green Street Advisors. Please go ahead with your question.

Vince Tibone
Analyst, Green Street Advisors

Hi. Good morning. What percentage of your square footage is currently leased to pop-up or temporary tenants, and how does that compare to where it was a year ago?

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

Good morning, Vince. It's Steve. Historically, temporary tenants are about 4% of our portfolio; right now, t hat's expanded to about 5.5%. Again, short-term leases and pop-ups, to us, obviously, occupancy is critical, and it's our goal right now to maintain occupancy. Occupancy means cash flow. In a lot of those short-term leases where we have short lease expiration periods, obviously, give us the opportunity to reprice our real estate when we get to the other side of this current pandemic.

Vince Tibone
Analyst, Green Street Advisors

Got it. Thank you. Just a follow-up on Craig's question, I just want to clarify. Is all the pop-up leasing not included in any of the leasing metrics? Because I see you break it out into two different sections, all lease terms, and then terms of more than 12 months. None of the pop-up leasing shows up even in the All Lease Terms section. Is that correct?

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Vince, this is Jim. Let me just clarify. If you look at the footnote in our supplement, we tell you that what's not in the spread is some of the temporary tenant leasing income, which was where pop-ups would be. What's in short-term leases are those that are beyond a year or more. Those would fall in the spreads.

Vince Tibone
Analyst, Green Street Advisors

Okay. How much lower is the typical rent on the pop-ups? Because I think that's maybe a gap in NOI , it's hard to see how much that impacts, but because it's not showing up in spreads, then I don't know where else it would flow through in the financials besides revenue ultimately. Can you help us think about whether your 10 tenants are going to increase, and what the rent level is that they generally pay, relevant to the portfolio average?

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

This is Jim. I'll start off, Steve, I'll let, if you want to jump in. As Steve said, I mean, the pop-ups, just due to their short-term nature, are not going to pay the full rents, and we don't really get into what those rents are and how these compare. It's on a case-by-case basis. It's a tenant-by-tenant basis. It depends on who we're talking to and who's coming in. Obviously, the goal there is to bring in some exciting new and fresh tenants to upgrade our tenant mix, and we think that's where we need to go and take the portfolio. I think we're having a lot of success in talking to these tenants and getting them interested in coming in and opening space in our centers. Certainly on a pop-up basis.

Vince Tibone
Analyst, Green Street Advisors

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and one. Our next question comes from Mike Mueller from JPMorgan. Please go ahead with your question.

Mike Mueller
Analyst, JPMorgan

Yeah. Hi. Looking at the reserve components, the $2.3 million tied to bankruptcy, primarily pre-petition, and then the at-risk due to financial weakness, that's about $3.6 million together. If we're thinking about the 400,000 sq f t of space that you expect to lose over the next few quarters, what portion of that $3.6 million is tied to that 400,000 sq ft? What portion is tied to, I guess, other tenant situations outside of the 400,000 sq ft that you know you're going to lose?

Stephen Yalof
President and COO, Tanger

Mike, I don't have that kind of breakdown in front of me that I can share with you. There's certainly a component that's in the bankruptcy section, but I just don't have that information. I'm sorry.

Mike Mueller
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Well, that was it. Thanks.

Operator

Our next question is a follow-up from Vince Tibone from Green Street Advisors. Please go with your follow-up.

Vince Tibone
Analyst, Green Street Advisors

Hi. Thanks for taking more of my questions. Just what drove the impairment charge at Foxwoods? Does that mean the property is being marketed for sale?

Jim Williams
EVP and CFO, Tanger

Hi, Vince, this is Jim. The impairment related to Foxwoods is primarily the result of just that property being tied to the casino industry. It's had some challenges with rents and occupancy. Certainly seen that market, the casino industry having its own challenges. I think one of the casinos is still not open today. We do a quarterly analysis each quarter, and based on our analysis and based on the facts and circumstances at that time, we determined that an impairment charge was necessary for Foxwoods. That doesn't necessarily mean that it's being marketed for sale. It doesn't mean it's marketed for sale.

Vince Tibone
Analyst, Green Street Advisors

Okay. Thank you for that color. Just one last one from me is: can you share some color on how much variability there is among traffic trends across your portfolio and any notable trends by region? Specifically, how are your two important Long Island centers performing, compared to the rest of the portfolio?

Steven Tanger
CEO, Tanger

Vince, I'll take that. The portfolio we have is not dependent upon visitors and tourists from other parts of the world, which obviously have been impacted by this terrible virus. Our properties are drive-to American resorts where people tend to go year after year together. If I told you the southern properties were doing better than the northern properties, I don't know if I would give you a true picture. Each has different variables impacting traffic, some of which are weather, and other issues that present themselves today that might be extraordinary non-recurring issues. I don't think we would give you much data on the geographic distribution of the sales and traffic that would be helpful to you.

Vince Tibone
Analyst, Green Street Advisors

Okay, fair enough. Thank you for all the time.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll conclude today's question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference call back over to Steven Tanger for any closing remarks.

Steven Tanger
CEO, Tanger

I want to thank everybody for participating in our call today. We hope to see, virtually, a lot of you at Nareit in a couple of weeks, and eventually, be able to visit with you face-to-face as we always have. Please be safe and go shop at our open-air outlet centers. Have a great holiday if we don't see you or speak to you before. Goodbye.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll conclude today's conference call. We thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.