The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
NYSE: SMG · Real-Time Price · USD
56.09
+0.18 (0.32%)
Sep 15, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT - Market closed
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q1 2013

Feb 6, 2013

Operator

Good morning, welcome to the first quarter 2013 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during that time, simply press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Thank you, Jim King. You may begin your conference.

Jim King
VP of Investor Relations, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Amber. Good morning, everyone, welcome to our first quarter conference call. With me here in Marysville are Jim Hagedorn, our CEO, and Dave Evans, our CFO. Jim is going to start with an overview of the current state of the business, both in the context of our Q1 results as well as the progress that we are making to meet our full year goals. Dave will walk through the financials and talk about our outlook. After their prepared remarks, we will open the call to your questions. Also with me in the room this morning are Barry Sanders, Jim Lyski, Mike Lukemire, Randy Coleman, and other members of the management team. In the interest of time, we ask that you limit your calls or your questions rather to one, and then one follow-up.

If there are questions we do not address, I am glad to handle those with you offline, and I think we have already got calls scheduled with many of you. With that, I want to move on to the call and remind everyone that our comments today will contain forward-looking statements. As such, actual results may differ materially, and due to that risk, we encourage investors to review the risk factors outlined in our Form 10-K, which is filed with the SEC in our most recent Form 10-Q, which we filed later this week. As a reminder, this call is being recorded in an archived webcast. The call will be available to investors on our website. If we make any comments this morning related to non-GAAP financial measures not covered in the release, we will provide a bridge to those items on the website as well.

With that, let me turn the call over to Jim Hagedorn to discuss our performance.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. I want to start by saying I'm pleased with the start to the year. We saw a smaller operating loss in the quarter compared to last year, driven by higher year-over-year sales in the core business, a solid start from Scotts LawnService, and improved gross margins. This gives us good momentum at the start of the year and keeps us on track with the guidance we provided to you in December. With that said, and as most of you know, our first quarter usually represents less than 10% of our full year and is always a loss quarter for us as we prepare for the peak of the season. It's hard to really draw any trends out of what we see in October through December. While we're pleased, we still have a long way to go.

My comments this morning will be brief. I want to divide them into three sections. First, I want to provide a little more detail about what we're seeing in the business so far this year. Second, I want to talk about the progress we're making to meet our full year goals, as well as some longer-term initiatives embedded in Project Max. Third, I want to reserve a few minutes to talk about my partner, Dave Evans, who will be leaving us in a few days, and some of the organizational changes we're making in light of his departure. Let's start by talking about the quarter. I want to begin by looking at consumer purchases of our products as measured by point of sale data or POS at our largest U.S. retailers. For the quarter, we were up 1%, primarily driven by a modest uptick in unit volume.

It's important to recall that while we did take a low single-digit price increase for fiscal 2013, these increases didn't take effect until January. The level of consumer engagement we saw in the quarter was primarily front-end loaded in October and early November, where we saw a solid conclusion to last year's lawn and garden season. We saw especially good results in Ortho and in mulch, both of which again posted strong double-digit gains. We were glad to see a 5% increase in our soils business after a tough year in 2012. The strength of the consumer purchases in the quarter was really rooted in the warm weather markets with an 8% increase in California, 5% in Texas, and 1% in Florida.

With the exception of Arizona, which was down 2%, we saw POS gains in the quarter throughout the Deep South as well as the entire Southwest and West Coast. If we extended our POS through the month of January, we saw those trends holding firm in all three states. We're cautiously optimistic in Florida, where we're already 20% through the season. Consumer engagement levels there remain solid, with year-to-date POS up 6% and strong retailer support as well. Retail inventory levels across the U.S. were flat at the end of the quarter compared with a year ago. That puts us in good position as we get ready to accelerate shipments and get retailers ready for the peak of the season. Our shelf presence is also strong at the break of the year, with gains in some retailers and no worse than status quo with others.

The pricing we introduced has held firm. We're seeing retailers in all channels of trade inch up their price to the consumer. There's no obvious headwinds that we see right now. Still, I don't want to overstate the case. We're still early in the year. As we saw in 2012, early season gains can evaporate quickly once we get into the peak of the season. We have some good new ad campaigns breaking over the next several weeks. We continue to believe that the goals we set out for the year remain attainable. One more item about the quarter before I move on, that's the continued strength of Scotts LawnService.

Sales in the quarter were up 19%. The business nearly broke even in the quarter with an 80% improvement in its bottom-line performance. Weather was a big benefit as some revenue got pushed out of last year's Q4 and into Q1 of this year. Customer count still remains at an all-time high. We continue to benefit from higher retention rates and customer service scores. The management transition from Peter Korda to Brian Kura has occurred seamlessly. The team continues to plow ahead in executing its plan. I want to congratulate that team for its continued good work and reinforce for our investors that we see Scotts LawnService as having strong long-term potential, a point that Dave will elaborate on in a few minutes.

Let me transition to a discussion about the full year and some of the other initiatives we're talking about as being essential to making the year. I've already said I feel good about our marketing efforts and the level of retail support that we're seeing. The top line is entirely about consumer attitudes entering the season. We're cautiously optimistic. We continue to believe that consumers are highly sensitive right now. A solid housing recovery, nearly record stock prices, and early signs of compromise in D.C. seem to have consumers in a relatively good place. As we saw with holiday spending, consumers got skittish from all the noise surrounding the fiscal cliff. It doesn't take much to slow down consumer spending these days. We continue to approach the year with conservative expectations for company-wide sales growth of 1% to 3% on flat unit volume.

Beyond that, our supply chain and marketing teams are making good progress on the cost-out initiatives that we outlined during our Analyst Day. I'll let Dave get into the specific numbers, as well as the issues that positively impacted gross margins during Q1. We continue to be confident that we'll see gross margins improve up to 125 basis points this year. I'm also confident the actions we've taken will lead to the decline in SG&A that we've projected. The adjustments we made to our sales force have reduced our costs but are not reducing our in-store presence. In fact, the number of hours that we're spending in stores is actually higher. These changes in no way impact our ability to serve either our retail partners or consumers. Jim Lyski and his team have begun securing our media buy for the year.

While spending will be at lower levels than a year ago, the efficiencies we continue to gain will make that reduction appear less significant than the numbers might indicate. Don't forget, while our media spending will be lower than last year, it will still be our second highest level investment ever. At our Analyst Day meeting in December, we suggested we'd be making changes to our international consumer business as we believe the overhead structure there is not sustainable. If you listen to my comments at our annual shareholder meeting, we reiterated that point. Where are we? By the end of the year, I expect we'll be well on our way to reducing SG&A in Europe by no less than 10%.

While we have a path to get there, the regulatory hurdles in Europe related to restructuring efforts are significant, it really precludes me from being overly specific right now. As Dave has suggested to you in the past, these changes are likely to lead in some restructuring charges by the end of the year. Those will likely be more than $10 million and will be accounted for as an adjustment to earnings, meaning that we've excluded them from our guidance. With all of that said, we're reaffirming our guidance of $2.50 to $2.75 per share. By the time we report our Q2 earnings, which will be in early May, we should have a much better read on how the season is coming together. One more point before I switch gears.

Since our announcement last week regarding Dave's departure, many of you have asked whether our focus on margin improvement, cash flow, and returning cash to shareholders may change. That's an easy question. The answer is no. It's great to have a finance partner who shares and who's helped develop the vision for how we'll operate the business. The story we laid out in December and the commitment we've made to our shareholders is firm. I'm glad to say that Dave's chief lieutenant, Randy Coleman, has been an integral voice in this process since day one. Randy will remain an integral voice and is tasked with keeping all the operatives focused on the numbers that we said we would deliver.

For the record, we will file SEC documents later this week stating that Randy will be functioning as the chief accounting officer for the organization until we identify a CFO. Speaking of that, let me transition to some comments about Dave as well as the rest of the team. I'll give him one last chance to share the stage here. Dave's been at this company for 19 years, he's been my finance partner for the last seven, which is hard to believe has gone by that fast, Dave. I've had a lot of finance partners during my career, I don't hesitate in saying that Dave definitely was the best. He's not only a great finance guy, he's a great leader, a great executive, and has been really critical to the culture of Scotts Miracle-Gro over the past decade.

I want to publicly thank him for his commitment and wish him well as he takes his life and career in a new direction. I know that Dave is well respected by all of you, and that you may see his departure as a loss for the company, and it's hard to disagree with that. Dave leaves behind a very strong bench. We started a formal process of talking to a limited number of both internal and external candidates to serve as CFO. We hope to finish the process within the next 45 days. Whether we replace Dave with a member of the existing team or someone outside of the company, I'm confident we'll end up in a good place. After Dave announced his resignation, Barry and I talked about using his departure as an opportunity to go beyond simply backfilling his role.

Changes at the executive level don't happen that often, and when they do, we must attempt to end up in a stronger place than where we started. Sure, we'll have a void when Dave leaves, but we're already moving forward with some important organizational changes that should further de-layer the management team and make us a smarter and more nimble company. First, we're realigning Barry's team to give him more freedom to spend time in the field and to work more closely with the sales and marketing teams. We will no longer have a head of sales per se. Instead, our regional offices will report directly to Barry. Jim Lyski will continue to report to Barry, and the strategic business units, lawns, gardens, and controls, will report to Jim. We've made an important leadership change in the gardens business, which will now be run by Jim Hagedorn.

Jim is the former chief operator of The Longaberger Company when it was still a billion-dollar business. He joined Scotts and oversaw the closure of Smith & Hawken. He ran our purchasing group and spent the last year running strategy for Dave. Naming a leader and general manager of his caliber to run an SBU should send a clear message regarding our commitment to driving the long-term growth and value of our gardening business around the world. In order to facilitate the changes to Barry's team, Mike Lukemire, formerly head of sales in North America, will oversee all the operating support functions beginning on May 1st. This includes supply chain, IT, R&D, environmental health and safety, as well as business planning.

Mike's long and diverse experiences here make him the perfect person to consolidate all the operational support functions and allow Barry to focus even more of his time and leadership on driving growth. I want to emphasize the word growth. While I know we've taken a conservative approach to planning this year, probably do again in 2014, driving long-term global growth is very much what we're all about here. The changes occurring on the operating side of the business are all focused on that goal. We've also made some refinements to the corporate team. Jim King, who all of you know, will now report directly to me and will help drive our vision and agenda with the entire leadership team and manage our dialogue with the Board of Directors.

While other corporate functions will also be consolidated under Jim's leadership, he will continue to oversee IR and will remain the principal point of contact with you guys. I'm sorry to see Dave walk out the door next week, and I'll miss him, and I think he'll miss us. I feel good about the team. I feel good about our plan. I feel good about the results for the quarter. I'm also confident of our ability to execute with a continued focus on margin improvement, cash flow, and total shareholder return. With that, and for the final time, let me turn the call over to Dave Evans to discuss the financials.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. For the final time, I'll take the next few minutes to share some insights on the quarter, on the year, and on some of the key initiatives that I believe give this management team and the company strong momentum moving forward. Starting with our first quarter results, sales were $205.8 million, an increase of 3% over a year ago and in line with our expectations. The sales increase was attributable to Scotts LawnService and U.S. consumer. These increases were partially offset by decreases in sales outside the U.S., within corporate and other. I'll provide some color, starting with Scotts LawnService, which reported a sales increase of 19% for the quarter. This increase was attributable to a 6% growth in year-over-year customer count, as well as a weather-driven delay of sales from Q4 2012 to Q1 2013.

You may recall we reported only a 1% increase in Scotts LawnService sales in Q4 2012. As Jim said, we're pleased with the steady growth and long-term prospects for the Scotts LawnService business. Over the past few years, the operating team has built a stronger foundation for sustained long-term growth. Although our largest competitor in this segment is four times our size, we're now outperforming them on all key metrics, including growth in revenue, customer count, retention, and profitability. Our focus has been on providing a positive service experience for our customers to deliver steady and profitable growth while continually improving yield on sales and marketing investments. We've stated in recent quarters that we now see SLS as a core part of our business, engendering activity focused on increasingly leveraging two principal assets of the company, our brands and consumer relationships, to develop service as a long-term growth platform.

I would highlight that our service business enjoys higher gross margin rates than our corporate average, and that we are increasingly able to drive SG&A leverage within service through top-line growth. As it relates to 2013, we continue to expect sales growth of 4%-6% for SLS, with the strong start giving us increased confidence. Moving on to Global Consumer, sales were up 3%, or 2% excluding FX. On a constant currency basis, sales within the U.S. were up 4%, while sales elsewhere declined nearly 10%. The decline internationally was primarily an issue of the timing of shipments between Q1 and Q2 in the U.K. and France. The 4% increase within the U.S. reflected the lower year-over-year retailer inventory entering Q1 and growth in our POS at our largest U.S. retailers. As Jim noted, our largest retailers exit Q1 with inventories flat to 2012.

For the second fiscal quarter, we expect to see a benefit from price increases, but this will likely be offset by reduced volume. The decline in volume expected in the second quarter assumes March weather reverts to the mean. Recall that last March, we saw consumer purchases of our products surge nearly 30%, in part due to a weather-driven pull forward of the season. For the full year, we continue to guide to flat unit volume for the Global Consumer segment, with price increases of 1% to 3%. You've heard Jim say that we're not seeking growth for the sake of growth, and to that end, we did cede some non-core listings where margin rates didn't meet our expectations. This is incorporated within our earnings guidance.

For Corporate and Other, which now consists exclusively of sales under the supply agreement with ICL, sales were $7.8 million for the quarter, compared to $12.9 a year ago. As previously mentioned, we expect sales here to decline about $10 million for the full year, almost all in the first half. Recall that these sales are at zero margin, so this has no consequence to the bottom line. Moving on, gross margin rate increased 230 basis points for the quarter. The year-over-year improvement was primarily attributable to two factors. One, increased volume in our Scotts LawnService segment, which, as I stated earlier, enjoys higher gross margins. Two, favorable product mix within our Global Consumer segment. We saw modest and expected headwinds from increased commodity costs during the quarter.

As noted at our Analyst Day, we expect this headwind to continue through our second quarter, after which we expect commodity cost to be approximately neutral in aggregate to the prior year, consistent with our plan. Entering February, nearly three-fourths of our commodity purchases are locked for the year. While that still leaves about $125 million of commodity costs subject to change, the value at risk is in balance with other considerations, including the robustness of forward markets for those commodities. For additional color on our focus on gross margin rate, I will tell you that cross-functional teams remain focused on product cost-out efforts, and we continue to expect savings of $15 million-$20 million in 2013.

During the first quarter, we executed projects that will allow us to realize about $7 million of those savings, and we're well on our way to executing additional projects and to reaching our 2013 target, as well as our long-term goal of $60 million in savings by 2016. Recall, we expect two-thirds of these savings to be achieved by the end of 2014. While I'm on the topic of gross margin, there's also significant and continued focus on completion of our trade program redesign within the U.S. and continually improving our pricing insights and analytics. These efforts are in preparation for 2014 line reviews, which start late this spring. For 2013, while we continue to expect gross margin rates to decline year-over-year for the first half, we also still anticipate full-year improvement of up to 125 basis points.

SG&A in the quarter was $124.5 million, relatively flat compared to last year and in line with expectations. During the quarter, we had an increase in employee-related costs, including severance, partially offset by certain cost productivity initiatives. These actions reflect some of the steps we are taking to adjust our cost structure to improve near-term profitability while still balancing the need to invest in growth capabilities essential to long-term growth. As we said in December, we believe we are positioned to reduce SG&A 2%-3% this year, inclusive of increased year-over-year variable compensation expense calibrated to levels commensurate with our earnings guidance. The teams remain focused on driving additional efficiencies in 2014 with a clear focus on improvement in operating margin rate. The rest of the P&L is in line with expectations. Interest expense in the quarter was $13.2 million, compared to $15.3 million a year ago.

The tax rate for adjusted earnings for the quarter was 35%. For the full year, we expect a tax rate of about 36%, give or take. We ended the quarter with a basic share count of slightly more than 61 million shares. Taking it all to the bottom line, adjusted loss for the quarter was $68.5 million, or $0.12 per share. On a GAAP basis, loss from continuing operations was $68.3 million, or $0.11 per share. Let's shift gears and talk briefly about cash flow and the balance sheet. We are still on track to generate at least $250 million of operating cash flow for the full year. For seasonal reasons, we always use cash and increase borrowings in Q1, this year was no different.

Cash used in operating activities was $32 million less than prior year, with most of the net benefit derived from improved inventory, accounts payable, and accounts receivable management. We are making positive strides in improving inventory management and still expect reductions of about $30 million-$40 million at fiscal year-end. We finished Q1 with debt-to-EBITDA leverage of 2.8 times, and as noted at Analyst Day, we still anticipate our leverage ratio to fall back within our target range of 2 to 2.5 times in the third fiscal quarter. As we previously mentioned, as our debt level falls below 2.5 times, we will actively explore how best to return excess cash to shareholders. Speaking of shareholders, let me transition to some final comments.

When I became CFO, I had no previous exposure to our shareholders, analysts, or bankers, and the IR function was foreign to me. After seven years, it has become one of the more enjoyable parts of my role, and I do appreciate the relationships I have built with many of you listening today. I also want to acknowledge what a privilege it has been to serve as CFO for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, for Jim Hagedorn, and for the board of directors. I am extremely proud of the finance team, without which I would not have been able to represent the company in the professional manner I hope I have. Trust me when I say the company and my successor are in good hands with this team. I am honored to have served alongside so many other talented and dedicated colleagues at Scotts outside the finance group as well.

They truly exemplify the word team. I leave with the deep satisfaction, the knowledge of the focus and commitment that the entire leadership group has on realizing the full potential of the company's brands, market position, and competitive advantages to drive total shareholder return. Since I will remain a shareholder, this is still important to me. Finally, I especially want to thank Jim Hagedorn for the tremendous opportunities I've had at this company under his leadership and the friendship we've developed over these past seven years. It's been a good ride, Jim. With that, let's get back to business. I'll now turn the call back over to the operator for your questions. Thank you.

Operator

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Again, that is star one for any questions. Our first question will come from Sam Darkatsh with Raymond James.

Sam Darkatsh
Analyst, Raymond James

Good morning, Jim, Dave. I'll be one of many today, Dave, in saying congratulations to you in your next chapter. It was an absolute pleasure dealing with you over the years.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thank you so much.

Sam Darkatsh
Analyst, Raymond James

Couple questions. First off, I know your price increases went through in January. What are you seeing competitively in terms of other pricing actions from your competition? Then I have a follow-up as well.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Sam, this is Barry Sanders. If you recall, last year we didn't take pricing and we saw our competitors take pricing last year. I would say this year it's reverse of that. We've clearly stated that we've taken the pricing. To the best of our knowledge, we haven't seen any other pricing activity in the market from the competitors.

Sam Darkatsh
Analyst, Raymond James

You talked at the analyst meeting about retailer expectations for the season being up low single digit in comparison to your flat volume guide. Is that a result of, even though you had improved listings, you're concerned about potential market share degradation because of the change in pricing? Is it being conservative? By those retailers, is it pretty much across the board, each of the major three retailers are looking at low single digit, or are there big gaps between the three?

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Sam, I'm going to start, and then I think I'll just hand it over to Barry to sort of complete the question. It's a reasonable one, and I think that is the question. This is one of those really hard things for people who work here and I think people who follow our company.

I look at the sales for Q1, especially because maybe because that's my main house is Florida. It's been a really nice season so far. POS has been pretty good. I would say the answer is conservative. We're budgeting for flat unit volume. I think we're hoping to do better than that. It was really important in the process of building out our budget and our ability to execute for a result, to do it on a conservative basis. I think we're operating like we want more growth, but we're budgeting not to get it. I think that just makes. This goes back to this issue of predictability in earnings. I just think it's a rough time out there. I think if you look at sort of sales in November, they look pretty good, sort of around Thanksgiving for Christmas.

This is not our business. I'm talking just generally for people in the Christmas trade. I think it sort of ended up, I don't know, up half a point or something like that. I think a lot of it was the sort of nonsense that happens in D.C. and just people get worried. I think that we're on the right track, but it's being conservative, working for a better result. I know that Barry and Mike and the regional presidents and the business operators, all want and expect more. We're just not planning for it. I think this is an important sort of place for us to be at this time in how we budget.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Sam, this is Barry again. I would say, without giving any specific guidance on any of our retail partners, I would say our numbers tend to be slightly lower than what they're expecting, which is a big change from where we've been in the past. I think it's a prudent way to plan, and make sure that we're going to be consistent. As you saw last year, when we see big upticks in volume like we did at the beginning of last March from favorable weather, we have a lot of capacity and flexibility in our operations to deliver. I think it's a good financial planning approach. If the numbers turn out to be better, we're certainly prepared to manage that. If it turns out that we're right, I think that's also a good place for us to end up.

Sam Darkatsh
Analyst, Raymond James

Thank you again. Again, Dave, congratulations and best wishes.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Sam.

Operator

Our next question is from Alice Longley with Buckingham Research.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

Hi, can you hear me?

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yes, we can, Alice.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

Okay. Just sort of expanding on that. With the other players not taking any pricing, can you give us more confidence that you're not losing share, in terms of what retailers are telling you? Also, was there any pre-buying by retailers in the first quarter ahead of the pricing? Is that something that might have boosted your sales? Last part of that is, what was the upside surprise in the quarter for you?

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Maybe I'll take the first part of that, Alice. I would say, just backing into it, and I'll make sure I try to cover all the questions, is January is fiscal year-end for the bigger retailers. Making sure they're hitting their inventory targets and making sure they're managing their balance sheet. I did not see any forward buying. From a market share standpoint, the data we get, and I would say it is early, we have seen no market share losses. When I look at the line reviews and where we're at from what we've sold in, I think what Dave said is we're at least neutral, if not positive on where we're at. I look at the promotion plans and where we're at with the retailers. I have not seen anything.

When you look at those pricing, I think it's basically a catch-up for us from where we're at. I don't see any gaps out there in pricing that I think is going to be a real market share issue at all. Upside? I'm going to sort of treat it like, what was positive about the quarter? Look, I think the West Coast POS is looking really good because I was wondering if Jonesy left us a disaster out there when he came over to run Channel. This is Phil Jones. I'm pleased with the West Coast, which I think has been very difficult for us to sort of see real responsiveness, so far, is looking pretty good, as does POS Florida. I can just tell you, it's been pretty good weather. I'm going to say, I think that's a positive.

Just from a management point of view. We've done a lot of work since Dave surprised the shit out of me, to really look and say, how do we want to organize? Right now my plan is to take strategic planning directly to me. Jim King will come to me, and that'll include government relations, reporting to Jim. In addition, on sort of Barry's side of the business, as we talked about it was really clear to me and I think to others that Barry's schedule is super busy. This is not because I feel sorry for him, but it's a matter of saying, how do I help him? How can he help himself to build a structure that gives time to sort of spend against the things that really drive value.

This new structure we're talking about, I'm going to say is a sort of side benefit from taking a look at structure once Dave made his announcement. I'm really pleased with the look, because it goes back to kind of a lot of the days where I had Mike Kelty, I was allowed to spend a lot of time kind of in the field and working on the things I like to do, which is drive growth. Mike Kelty, in this case now, Luke mire will sort of own a lot of stuff back here. This is not just the old Luke mire that you guys know. This is the new Mike Lukemire, who's been on the road, on the selling side for the last four years.

I think this is a tremendous opportunity for the company and for Barry to really be able to sort of focus themselves in both areas where they can add a lot of value. The changes that we've made on Lyski's team, I also feel really good about as we strengthen the sort of general management positions within the brands and give them more accountability and responsibility for their P&L. It's kind of a long answer, but I would say that's the big upside, is that I think the results are pretty good so far. The POS in the Southern markets has been pretty darn good. These other changes that we're making organizationally, I think, are pretty positive, I can sort of thank Dave for being a catalyst for that.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

I would like to add something for Dave. I want to wish you all the best in your new job. It sounds exciting. I think we have all liked working with you and respected you a great deal. I hope you have as much fun ahead as I hope you have in the past.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks so much, Alice.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

I do have one other question, though. Can you tell us a little bit more about actual dollar sales comps that you expect in the second quarter and also EPS? Because your numbers can be very erratic by quarter. Thank you.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Well, Alice, I think I would just reiterate what we said at Analyst Day, except now you've filled in the missing piece of Q1, which is we would expect our earnings to be at best flat and more likely to see a slight decline in our first half earnings, driven by the top line, which is really driven by a kind of a normalization of consumer demand between March and April. Does that help you? Because I don't think we've given specific guidance on top line.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

Well, if you could tell me a little bit more about sales. I understand now first half earnings, flat to down. What about sales for the first half?

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Down.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

Down. Like low single digits or?

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Down.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

Okay.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

Thank you.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Alice, when we developed our plan, just for clarity, I mean,

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Listen, before, because I hate the word down. Last year, the start of the season, I got to tell you, from my point of view, I went home several times and told my wife, "It could snow for the rest of the year, and we still make our numbers last year." That's how positive the start of the year was. If we're saying we don't know that, or we don't think that's going to recur, then it'll balance. Those sales will move into the second half. That's all. We're not like all worried and stuff. It just basically says, did we think last year was unusually good? The answer is yes, in the first half.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah. Alice, just to maybe be a little more helpful. Thinking about how we develop our plan, we look at a multi-year average. What I would suggest is you could look at our 10-K and look at the percentage of sales that occur in each quarter over a four-year history and look at our full year and assume that the first half looks a lot more like the average of the preceding four years. That's kind of the best way we have to budget, is based on long-term averages.

Alice Longley
Analyst, Buckingham Research

All right. I'll do that. Thank you.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Sure.

Operator

Your next question is from Joshua Borstein with Longbow Research.

Joshua Borstein
Analyst, Longbow Research

Yes, this is Joshua Borstein in for David Macgregor. Thanks for taking my questions. I was just hoping you could dig a little bit more into the favorable product mix that you referred to in the Global Consumer segment.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah. Josh, a couple things that were helpful to mix. One is we had some strong performance in our lawn fertilizer business. Some of that was a carry forward from last fall. That's good news for us. The second part as well is that Monsanto, through Roundup, continues to deliver strong, that helps.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Fertilizers.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Lawn fertilizers and Monsanto. Those would be the two biggest things. As Jim said, our soils performed well and Ortho performed well. If you kind of contrast that with last year, when we were really reporting negative mix, those were in the periods where we were just seeing product lines like mulch just explode. That wasn't the case in this quarter.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

I'd also say lawn service, just within the mix of the quarter, is extremely positive to margin. Our service business is just pretty high-quality business all around. It's not only seeing good growth, good customer count, but consistently good and higher than average margins in the lawn service business. That helps as well.

Joshua Borstein
Analyst, Longbow Research

Thank you. Then just a follow-up. Going into the spring here, maybe this applies more to the warm weather markets, do retailers appear as committed to the lawn and garden category as last year? Have they cut back at all? Have they increased at all from what you're seeing?

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Josh, this is Barry Sanders. Jim Lyski, our Chief Marketing Officer, has met with all the chief marketing officers of our major companies. I would say

Support levels, at least at the same level they were last year. We're very pleased with the plans that they've put in place. We think they've made some improvements on the messaging of what they've done last year. I would say, at least equivalent and better plans. I don't see anybody backing up at all.

Jim Lyski
CMO and EVP, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah. No, I think they have some exciting programs coming into both spring and fall that they're excited about and that heavily involve Scotts Miracle-Gro.

Joshua Borstein
Analyst, Longbow Research

Thanks, congrats on the quarter.

Jim Lyski
CMO and EVP, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question is from Bill Chappell with SunTrust.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Good morning.

Jim Lyski
CMO and EVP, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Hey, Bill.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Dave, also positive, though I kind of came away with more like Kenny Rogers of, "You picked a fine time to leave us" with Jim. It does sound like it's a good opportunity, so we will miss you. A couple quick questions. One kind of more macro, trying to understand kind of the housing market and what you're seeing. If you go back a few years ago, it seemed like your business held up relatively well as the housing market blew up and didn't know as we're seeing the housing market improve, if you're seeing that in your numbers, if maybe that's what you're seeing out of lawn service picking up as a leading indicator or anything you kind of have on the outlook over the next few months.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Look, I think these correlations to our business, we're still trying to sort of understand. I think that if you sort of do it, what I call hag map, it can't be bad for us that housing is strengthening. It can't be bad for our major DIY customers that housing is strengthening. I'm sure Frank and all the folks at Lowe's would say the same thing, that these are important for us. What exactly the correlation is, I know, Dave, your folks have tried to sort of drive correlation between housing starts, sale prices, and I think there is some casual sort of correlation. Again, if it's positive, I think it's positive. I don't know. Would you go beyond that?

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

No. Bill, I think we've spent an enormous amount of time looking backwards, and I think you can start to peel out the major drivers. It's much broader when you look backwards. You look at factors like retail support, competitive activity. It is hard to conclusively draw a tight correlation with high confidence other than to say there is a causal relationship, and we're much more happy when housing is recovering than when it's declining. That's going to be a positive force. We also know that there tends to be more of a delay in terms of a delayed response to the consumer when you get churn, in terms of how that translates to their attention that they give to their outdoor lawn and garden.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

You're just saying that inside, and then after they finish their inside projects, they tend to go outside.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yep.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Sure. In terms of the lawn service business, now those two, three quarters, that's as healthy as it's been in a long time. Does that say anything more about, at one point you had thought about expanding and making more acquisitions? Are you still thinking about that, or is everything kind of on the back burner until we kind of get through this year?

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

No, I wouldn't say it's on the back burner. As we've talked about sort of uses of cash, we did reverse the two-thirds into growth. We did reverse two-thirds into growth. Basically, we're saying two-thirds go to the shareholders. Dave and I have asked. The operators have complied with an enhancement, I think, to cash flow. Not just this year, but going forward, we've set some goals for cash flows that I think are not too challenging, but they're sufficiently challenging that people have to be concerned about it and work against it. Within that, as we look at sort of opportunities to grow the business, there's a lot to like in our opinion on the service side. The margins are sort of, I don't know, call it approaching 50%. The business seems to be growing.

We have a very low penetration rate so that we don't need a rapidly growing service business in order to sort of take share in a very fragmented market. The fundamentals of our service business seem to be secure and good. If you go back and you look at our customer count, as good as it is, we're probably at customer counts that we had a couple of years ago, okay? As during the crisis, we lost customer counts. The business has improved because of the fundamentals of the operating side of the business. Now we're seeing growth in customer count and back to kind of historically high levels of where we have been.

Jim Lyski
CMO and EVP, Scotts Miracle-Gro

When we look then, put all that together and say, if we were investing $1 in sort of M&A, call it the side, but business development through acquired growth, I think we look pretty favorably at both Lawn Service and pest control.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

As Dave and I have sort of discussed with Barry how much capital we'd be willing to dedicate to growth opportunities, which is not zero. Even in today, it's not zero. I think that Brian and his team have a pretty good place in line for opportunities that are pretty easily bolted on. Even while all these troubles happened, they've been quietly acquiring and doing a really nice job at integrating. I think that this is a business that there's opportunities. We have not made decisions on any sort of major growth within service, but it's clearly a business that I think the management team likes and feels confident that the operating team could grow that business and given some cash.

They'll get some this year, and I think probably throughout our planning period, they'll get a pretty good slug of the available cash that we make available to the consumer side.

Bill Chappell
Analyst, SunTrust

Okay. Thanks for the color again, Dave. Best of luck.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Bill.

Operator

Your next question is from Joseph Altobello with Oppenheimer.

Joseph Altobello
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Hey, Joe.

Joseph Altobello
Analyst, Oppenheimer

First to Dave, obviously, I want to echo the sentiments of everyone on this call. Good luck in your future endeavors. It's been great working with you the last few years here. That being said, I did have a couple of questions. I guess first, you guys mentioned that your warm weather markets are doing well early in the season. I did want to talk about your other markets, mainly Midwest and Northeast. I think last year, obviously you got impacted by consumer sentiment, but also, the warm winter left a lot of those lawns pretty pristine. This year, I think we got a little bit more snowfall than we did last year. I'm just curious what those lawns look like in Ohio, in Indiana, in Upstate New York, for example vis-a-vis where they were last year.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah, Joe, I would say snow in the winter is good for us, the drought last year left them in pretty bad shape. I think this year our expectation, when you look at those markets, it should be good for the seed business, it should be good for the lawn fertilizer business. I would say that extends all the way from the west of the Midwest all the way up through the Northeast. Our expectation would be is those markets should perform pretty well this spring.

Joseph Altobello
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay. Great. Secondly, in terms of retail support, you mentioned that you're expecting it to be at least as good as last year. I'm just curious, what sort of determines how retailers decide how much support they're going to give to the category? Is there any correlation between their support and what they feel like you guys are going to give in terms of advertising spending?

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

I'm going to start and hand it over to Barry. I do think that last year we felt that as we sort of pre-announced our significantly increased support, that there was some gaming of that so that it unfortunately, put it that way. I think that what I understand from the operating team is that the level of support will be equal to higher and that even accounts that aren't spending more, and this, I think, would be a reference to Lowe's, that the quality of the media support will be more focused on brands as opposed to kind of rolling a carpet out, and we feel good about that so that the advertising, as we understand it from conversations with our retail partners, we believe will be more effective and more tied to our work. I don't know, Barry.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

I think, Joe, what they do is they look at the category, and we participate in a segment of category. There's a lot of other merchandise around us, live goods, the equipment and so forth. I think they first take a look at what they think the category is going to do, and I would say all of our big retailers are bullish next year on what they think the category is going to do, which determines what the spending is going to be. Then we work with them on the specifics of what those programs are going to be. They share with us. I think the thing that's improving quite a bit is there used to be their program and our program.

I think one of the good things that Jim Lyski has done to help our marketing is build better integrated plans with them and have them share with us what they're going to do and what we're going to do. I think our line of sight is much better for what they're doing and the quality of both of our advertising and what we're doing and what they're doing is better integrated and it's complementary. I think the other things that drive it is when we come out with new innovation, that gets a lot of support, and I think they support it from both their merchandising and their communication efforts as well as what we're doing. Like I've already said, the programs of what we put together, and I think what you would see from our standpoint is our brands are big foot traffic drivers.

I think people try to get away from that and maybe try to manage the mix, it always comes back to the brands are going to drive the foot traffic. I would say as we've worked with them and what Jim has done with them to develop the programs, I think there's a good balance between driving our brands and then driving the overall category. I think it's in good shape.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

I also think, Joe, there's a lot of psychology to lawn and garden. It's really the first real seasonal product that happens after the winter and in the year. I think a lot of retailers look at it as, it's a fairly low-cost project business. It's well branded. There's a lot of, I think, pent-up demand. The consumers want to get outside and put color around their house. I think they view it as kind of a bellwether for how the season's going to go. It's always surprising to me when you talk to some of these big retailers, how important lawn and garden is to them, and that their commitment to it, I think, largely is based on getting their year starting properly. I think that's really important to them, and I think that's good for us.

I don't see that changing, at least this year.

Joseph Altobello
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay. That's very helpful. Thanks again, guys. Again, good luck, Dave. Take care.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Jim.

Operator

Your next question is from Jason Gere with RBC Capital Markets.

Jason Gere
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, thanks. Good morning. Dave, again, congratulations and the best of luck. It was great working with you the last couple of years. Most of the questions I think have been asked, I guess just the one thing I was trying to get a little bit more color on is when you look at the market share gains last year when you didn't take pricing, and now as the price gaps, I guess, will widen where you are taking pricing. Are there any categories out there that you feel like you might need more merchandising support that are a little bit more sensitive to the consumers might be a little bit more economic sensitive to just as the year plays out?

Obviously innovation's going to play a big role here, but I'm just wondering where you have the greatest confidence in terms of categories that are taking pricing versus where maybe the innovation's not as strong. Thanks.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Well, I don't know. It's going to be hard for me to put all the dots together of what you asked except to say an area that has been disappointing for us, mostly on a margin side, is mulch. Mulch is a really fast-growing business right now, I think in part because consumers are looking for sort of a lot of value for not so much money. As that product has kind of moved pretty hard to mid-tier, meaning not commodity, but sort of toward the middle, a good product, highly promoted, branded, our margins have really suffered in that. I would say that if you look at the business, it's not really an innovation drill, except the innovation is in the supply chain.

The amount of work that's happened over the last 12 months within our supply chain and under Barry Sanders' leadership and Dave Swihart has been very significant sort of innovation in the supply chain to get our margin up by, I'm going to say, at least 10 points and within the mulch business. That's hugely critical. To me, I'd almost look and say, where is the fastest growth rates happening and how are you doing there? A question that hasn't been asked, and I'm not going to look to sort of deal with it hard here, is that there is a lot of white space, which is what we're calling white space opportunity for us to grow our business and sort of what I call adjacent categories that we're really not participating in enough or at all. Repellents would be one that we're doing now.

I think naturals and there's quite a few different sort of categories even within growing media and in live goods that we're not playing particularly hard in. These are future opportunities for us as we look to say even if the categories are growing slower than our existing categories, where can we go? I would say this is a big issue for us is mulch and getting our margins right. We've made a lot of progress there. You're going to add something better?

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

No, Jim, just compliment.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Geez, we're all being so nice to you.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Jason, I'd say we said a couple of years ago we were going to get better at understanding the consumer, not just the retailer and so forth. We've had a good effort against that. I think the way to think about this is, and this is what Jim Lyski has added is, as we define categories, it's benefits divided by cost equals value for the consumer. For every category, I think relative to our brand, the competitive environment, the products and so forth, that's different. We've looked at all the categories. I think we're doing a much better job at understanding the competitive environment and the elasticity. I think don't perceive that we're taking pricing just ubiquitously across the board. We're looking at every category, determining what we think the value the consumer perceives, and we're taking that pricing.

When I look across our categories, the most competitive category we have is in our controls market, primarily Ortho. We're investing quite a bit in innovation. You've seen the Ortho Wand. We're coming out with new packaging. I think we're developing better claims, but we're also very cognizant of managing that price so that we understand what the impact is going to be. Why we can say we're comfortable is we've looked and managed what we think those gaps are going to be, and we're very comfortable that we don't think we're going to lose share this year given the pricing. On some other categories where we don't think we have the value equation right, and Dave talked about this in a script with maybe some bird food and some commodity soils.

We don't think we have that equation right, and we're not going to take the negative margins that we'd have to take on those. We've given that away, and when we get that equation right, we will go back after that. I think we're looking at it all. I think those are most competitive environment. Quite frankly, we've added our partnership with SCJ there, and we're seeing some real benefit and value from doing that. I think we're comfortable that with the pricing we've taken, we don't see that as being a problem this year with the price gaps that you're going to see.

Jason Gere
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Just on that note, as you talk about some of the white space opportunities, when you brought up bird food, when you look at some of the categories there where it might be hard to differentiate or add value. You guys haven't been shy in the past about exiting businesses that just economically didn't make sense. As you look to the portfolio now, are you any closer to making some tougher decisions or how do you think about that over the next couple of years?

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Well, I think we're actually making those tough decisions. If you look at our sales of kind of our core business excluding sort of opening price point commodities, especially in dirt and bird food, the numbers are up quite a bit more than what you're seeing in this release. That's a result of basically making choices. I don't think we're ready to exit bird food, Dave and I have been very clear to Barry, and I think the operators agree. We're not into businesses that lose money. We will be neutral to positive on an earnings point of view on bird food this year.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

That's a big deal because if you said, "What's the one business that you're in that basically you're kind of scratching your head and say, 5 years from now, you guys are going to be like King Kong and making money in it?" I don't know that we'd have an answer that anybody would like, put it that way, in regard to bird food. The choices we're making is accepting that it's going to be a smaller business that's net positive to the P&L is a choice we've made. We made choices to where we didn't think it added value to our business or the relationship with a retailer that we're just not going to chase a price down into the dirt. I think that's the kind of work we're doing now. We're highly focused on our consumer business.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

We're focused on our service business, we like those business, that's kind of who we are. Within that business, if you say, what is it that you don't like so much? The next thing would be, which is a very major project that Barry and Mike and Michelle Gass are going to be working on is Europe. Europe, if you looked at the numbers in 2011, you would have said was really making good progress. Legitimately, the weather was terrible in Europe last year, our results were terrible. P&L results were terrible in Europe. There's this huge sensitivity to if it's good, it's pretty good, if it's terrible, it's really terrible.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

That we basically go back and look and say our expense structure is just out of line and drives sort of a lot of negative leverage, especially when the business, we're in a seasonal weather-driven business. I would say bird food and Europe are going to be highly focused on sort of configuration within the existing business and with an expectation that if we can't fix it, we exit.

Jason Gere
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

You bet.

Operator

Your next question is from Carla Casella with J.P. Morgan.

Carla Casella
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi. With the cost savings that you're looking at generating this year and the better cash flow, can you just talk about your priorities for cash flow? I mean, you've talked a little bit about acquisition and investing in the business, but if you could rank them, how would you rank your priorities for cash flow?

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Return to shareholders.

Carla Casella
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay, great. Thanks. That's easy.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah.

Operator

Your next question is from Jon Andersen with William Blair.

Jon Andersen
Analyst, William Blair

Okay. Dave, congratulations. Best of luck going forward.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Jon.

Jon Andersen
Analyst, William Blair

I guess my question is on the independent retail channel. I realize it's a smaller part of the consumer business. You've recently appointed a new head of the channel, and I'm wondering what your expectations are for that business and kind of how your approach to the garden centers, the hardware co-ops may change this year versus prior years or going forward versus prior years.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah, Jon, this is Barry Sanders. I would say we've built what I would consider some world-class capability into the company in the way that we market our sales approach and also our supply chain. I would say the benefits that we had been given to the independent retailer were lagging from what we were doing with our big customers. We needed to make a change. We needed to apply all of the capability we have as a company. It's an important channel to us. We needed to get the programs right with them, the way that we were approaching the business and be better business partners with them. Our expectation is that that business should be growing equally as fast, if not faster than the rest of our business because we have the lowest share in that.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

When we announced our regionalization initiative three, four years ago, we said a big part of that approach was going to be getting what we considered to be our average share in all geographies and all channels of business. With shutting down our West Coast office, Phil had done a very good job with that independent channel on the West Coast and really innovating the way that we went to business with them. We thought that that would be a good utilization of those resources to make them in charge of not only the independent channels, but all of the channels outside of the big boxes.

We brought them back into Marysville. I would say so far, the performance of what they're doing is actually very good. I would say that our business in that channel, specifically the independents, are up ahead of the rest of our business this year. Good progress so far.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Luke, you want to add anything to that?

Mike Lukemire
President, US Consumer Regions, Scotts Miracle-Gro

No, I think Barry covered it. I think that that capability with the build, we were actually probably five years behind where we were on the big boxes.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

I think, not to belabor the question, Barry went out on the road last year, came back after the spring and basically said, "Christ, we still treat these guys like it was 20 years ago." The sort of whole approach to running the business within our top accounts is pretty advanced and extremely professional, and this is not a cut on that it was unprofessional. It just wasn't at the same level, and the amount of work that happens at the supply chain, at the sales level, inventories, shipping, how we go to business.

Barry came back and said, "There's just a lot of room for improvement here." I think Phil has been after it pretty hard, I think put a new team in place to sort of get at it and look at things differently, I think it's been viewed as positively by the accounts.

Jon Andersen
Analyst, William Blair

Thanks. That's helpful.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yep.

Jim King
VP of Investor Relations, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Amber, I'm going to interject here. We're going to take two more questions and then wrap up.

Operator

Okay, our next question is from Olivia Tong with Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Olivia Tong
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Great. Thank you so much. I guess on lawn service, how would a lawn service had looked had you not had that weather benefit? With the improving margins on the gross margin side, if I remember correctly, the operating margin, SG&A is higher, the operating margin is still a little bit below corporate average. With the improvements on the gross margin side, do you think that longer-term lawn service gets closer to consumer margins?

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Yeah.

Volunteering. You guys can all volunteer for this one.

Jim Hagedorn
Chairman and CEO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Olivia, so when you said what was the weather impact? Well, we know our customer count was up 6%, that wasn't weather driven. We also know we had increased penetration with different services within those customers. That's a specific objective that they always have, is getting greater realization through additional services. That's all been good. Would we have had 19 with average weather between for the whole season? No. I think we still would've been looking at high single digits. Where's business going? We like the business because over time, we've really built a solid, strong foundation for kind of responsible growth. Because we're such low share, there's an easier pathway to understand where we get that growth. It's a business that's generating, as Jim said, gross margins of closer to the 50 range.

David Evans
CFO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

As we grow, what's attractive about the growth is increasingly allows us to leverage our SG&A to drive that operating margin rate up. It's hit the double digits now. I think earlier in past years, two, three, four years ago, we were talking about operating margins in single digits. They're double digits now. I think probably within the next couple of years, they're going to be up similar to what you expect in our consumer business. There's a lot of opportunity here for kind of a nice growth vector for the company to continue to drive growth and growth in its operating margins at the same time.

Olivia Tong
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Thanks. Then on the consumer business, if I recall, you guys said that the U.S. was up 4% for sell-in, but POS was up 1%. Usually, at the beginning of the year, you see the reverse of that. As you whittle down the inventory at year-end, can you kind of just bridge the gap there?

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Olivia, we ended Q4 down around 8% in inventory because we had such a strong September in some of the categories. Part of that was really just the retailers getting back in stock. They ended September lower than where they expected and where they needed to be inventory-wise. We hit their targets for their quarter, but we had to actually ship back in more to get them back in stock where they needed to be.

Olivia Tong
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Got it.

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

We went from 8 to essentially flat, which is where they wanted to be.

Olivia Tong
Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Okay, that makes sense. Just lastly, on advertising spend last year when you did that big uptick, you also pulled it forward closer to the season. How do we think about the cadence of advertising spend for 2013? Would it be similar to 2012?

Barry Sanders
President and COO, Scotts Miracle-Gro

I think the spend in Florida right now, as Jim alluded to earlier, the weather's been quite nice down there. The consumers are engaged. The stores all have programs in them.

Jim Lyski
CMO and EVP, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Forward of one to two weeks. Otherwise, we're sticking to plan. I would say we pulled some advertising aggressively into March last year to take advantage of the activity that was going on. We'll monitor March to decide if we do that again this year.

Speaker 18

Wise.

Operator

Our final question is from Eric Bosshard with Cleveland Research.

Tom Mahoney
Analyst, Cleveland Research

Hi, good morning. This is Tom Mahoney on for Eric. I just wanted to get you guys to talk about any key new products or innovation this year and how you are doing on placement with those ahead of the season.

Jim Lyski
CMO and EVP, Scotts Miracle-Gro

All right. This is Jim Lyski again. I would say, first, our retailers are significantly behind year two innovations like Snap and the Ortho Wand. We will expect them to aggressively support those in the U.S. In Europe, year two of the Roundup Gel has seen significant interest from retailers over there. We will expand to another six or seven countries. This year, in the U.S., the number 1 introduction will be on Ortho Animal Repellents. We have seen great sell-in across our retailer base on those, and we are just starting to see consumer takeaway down south, and it has been above our expectations already. We are introducing a lower opening price point product line-up, a $5 line-up that SCJ is helping distribute into grocery drug. They have been able to sell that product into every account that they manage for us, we are bullish on that one also.

In Europe this year, we are introducing Flower Magic across multiple countries, playing off of the benefit we got off of EZ Seed, which is known as Patch Magic over there. Flower Magic, big introduction in Europe, the retailer support of that has been significant, both in shelf space and in promotions.

Tom Mahoney
Analyst, Cleveland Research

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. I'll now turn the call back to Jim King for any closing remarks.

Jim King
VP of Investor Relations, Scotts Miracle-Gro

Thanks, Amber. If we didn't get to any questions today, just feel free to give me a call directly later on in the day, 937-578-5622. One housekeeping item, Barry, Randy Coleman, and myself will be presenting on March the 6th at the Raymond James Conference in Orlando. That's going to be a webcast event, so you'll be able to listen in to that if you don't attend. Other than that, we will be communicating again with you in early May when we report our Q2 results. Thanks for joining us today. Have a good day. Bye.

Operator

Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.