Good afternoon, and welcome to ShotSpotter's fourth quarter and full year 2021 conference call. My name is Carl, and I will be your operator for today's call. Joining us are ShotSpotter's CEO, Ralph Clark, and CFO, Alan Stewart. Please note that certain information discussed on the call today will include forward-looking statements about future events and ShotSpotter's business strategy and future financial and operating performance. These forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and may cause the actual results to differ materially from those stated or implied by those statements. Certain of these risks and assumptions are discussed in ShotSpotter's SEC filings, including its registration statement on Form S-1.
These forward-looking statements reflect management's beliefs, estimates, and predictions as of the date of this live broadcast, February 22, 2022, and ShotSpotter undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this call. Finally, I would like to remind everyone that this call will be recorded and made available for replay via a link available in the investor relations section of the company's website at ir.shotspotter.com. Now, I would like to turn the call over to ShotSpotter's CEO, Ralph Clark. Sir, please proceed.
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today. I'd like to start off by saying how thrilled we are to announce the acquisition of Forensic Logic. This acquisition represents an important step in building out and executing to our precision policing platform aspirations. Before I dive into more details on Forensic Logic, I wanna first share a brief review of our Q4 and 2021 year-end results. I'll then share our outlook for 2022 before turning it over to Alan and then taking your questions. We reported Q4 revenues of $14 million, representing 10% year-over-year growth from the $12.6 million of revenue we reported in Q4 of last year. We had anticipated securing a contract amendment due in November for our professional service maintenance and support of Crime Center at NYPD.
However, due to a changeover in the administration of the New York City Comptroller's office, we were only able to formally secure the final signature on the contract amendment in early January, post our Q4 revenue cutoff date. This will result in $2+ million of catch-up revenue that will be recognized in Q1 of 2022 for services rendered and earned in November and December of 2021. We had another strong showing of domestic Respond go live miles for Q4, including expansions in 7 cities. Albuquerque, which became ShotSpotter client in 2020, is a particularly compelling case study. Their Q4 expansion represents their third expansion to date. There are still another 4.5 miles expected to go live in Q1 of 2022, which will make Albuquerque our fourth largest deployment at approximately 28 miles.
In total, the company booked a record $100 million of business, including several large multi-year renewals. ShotSpotter Respond was taken live in over 100 new miles for 2021 compared to 49 miles the year prior, surpassing our earlier forecast of 90 miles for 2021. We're pleased to see this accelerating traction. We also experienced another incredibly strong year in customer retention. Our customer attrition had an impact of less than 1% of GAAP revenue, net of price increases for 2021. This continues to demonstrate the sticky nature of our solution once deployed. This is not by accident, but by design. We enjoy a unique high-quality technology solution that has been proven to perform in a variety of challenging acoustic terrains.
Importantly, we are intentionally focused on customer onboarding and training to help our customers adopt policies and best practices that help them achieve, measure, and communicate positive outcomes. We also continue to benefit from strong brand loyalty reflected in our world-class net promoter score or NPS of 59, which drives our SaaS industry-leading sales and marketing spend per dollar of new annualized contract revenue of only $0.37. We believe we are reaching the tipping point of having a critical mass of referenceable law enforcement executives that are helping to drive low-cost viral adoption of our solutions. We've successfully overcome some selected organized campaigns from the Abolish the Police movement and have succeeded in keeping solid sales motion.
We're extremely proud of the fact that numerous city councils, after transparent discussion and thoughtful deliberation, have overwhelmingly supported the adoption of ShotSpotter as a part of their toolkit in addressing gun violence and saving lives. A few recent examples include a 10-to-1 vote in Denver, a 7-to-1 vote in Pasadena, a 14-to-1 vote in Houston, and a unanimous vote in Mobile, Alabama. These elected officials recognize the importance of addressing the public safety gap in some of their most vulnerable neighborhoods that are struggling with persistent gun violence, and they have supported ShotSpotter as a valuable tool to be used in saving lives and protecting their citizens. On the international front, Cape Town, South Africa, reissued their tender to procure and redeploy an expanded acoustic gunshot detection service over their original ShotSpotter coverage area.
We have submitted our bid response, and we are confident that we are well-positioned to meet the technical, financial, and experience requirements set forth in the tender. Our $300 million defamation suit against Vice Media is still ongoing. However, we've recently been successful in securing five formal and public retractions of material misstatements from publications that had repeated Vice's false assertions. These retractions were issued following their review of public court documents that unambiguously support our position. We remain confident in our ability to defend our stakeholder base, correct the record, and hold Vice to account for their malice. Now to Forensic Logic. We're very excited about adding Forensic Logic CopLink X to our solution platform.
The Forensic Logic CopLink X solution is the largest law enforcement data sharing and crime analytics network, providing authorized subscribers access to more than 1 billion federated and indexed records from over 2,500 agencies. The platform includes an advanced Google-style search engine and analytical tools. It is used by hundreds of municipal, county, state, and federal law enforcement agencies to create case momentum on a local and cross-jurisdictional basis. CopLink X users include investigators, analysts, patrol officers, and command staff in order to initiate investigations, find patterns across crimes, and be more efficient and overall effective. Similar to our LEADS acquisition, where we shared a common customer in NYPD, we've gotten to know Forensic Logic over the years through our shared Oakland Police Department relationship. We're already seeing strong operational product and go-to-market synergies between our solutions.
There are a number of cross-selling opportunities in both directions that are underway, including a collaborative pursuit of a state-level investigative case management and data services RFI. On the product side, Forensic Logic has strong and established product market fit. We see CopLink X differentiating our Investigate solution and extending response reach deeper into Crime Gun Intelligence Centers, or CGICs, with an integrated NIBIN product feature that improves the investigative process when Respond leads to increased recovery of shell casing evidence. There's probably no more impactful use case study of operational synergy than the attempted violent robbery involving 4 assailants targeting a retired OPD captain, Ersie Joyner, in the afternoon of October the twenty-first. This tragic incident resulted in one of the assailants being killed and Ersie suffering from 22 gunshot wounds.
Fortunately, due to the ShotSpotter alert, Oakland PD was able to respond rapidly to the precise scene before the first 911 call came in and immediately get Ersie to Highland Hospital, where surgeons were able to save his life. Soon after, investigators across multiple Bay Area agencies were querying the Forensic Logic platform and quickly learned that the deceased assailant was involved in a similar robbery attempt with a stickup crew in another local jurisdictions two years prior. By connecting the dots, it was not long before they had developed enough intelligence to get up on the other assailants and then make arrests in Sacramento and Houston, where the assailants will now stand trial.
Forensic Logic grew revenue over 38% last year, bringing on customers like the Tennessee Department of Safety and Homeland Security that uses the information sharing platform for all 25,000 members of state and local law enforcement agencies within Tennessee. We estimate Forensic Logic adds another $500 million plus of recurring revenue TAM to our franchise across domestic, local, state, and federal law enforcement agencies. We believe it further enhances our position as a unique precision policing platform solutions provider and will become a key growth driver for the company in coming years. We enter 2022 with a robust $63 million of organic annual revenue, including $10 million of annual recurring revenue from our recently upsized maintenance and support contract with NYPD.
Forensic Logic will add another $6 million of recurring revenue, which then totals $69 million of visible ARR going into 2022. This compares to the $53 million of ARR a year ago. Given the accelerated growth and confidence we have in our core business, combined with the revenue contribution from Forensic Logic and the $2 million of November-December catch-up revenue from our NYPD amendment that we'll recognize in Q1 of 2022, we are now raising our full-year 2022 revenue guidance to $81 million-$83 million from our last revenue guidance of $71 million-$73 million. Our new guidance represents a 41% growth from 2021 to the midpoint of 2022 guidance. Now, Alan, over to you.
Thank you, Ralph. I'll cover highlights for both Q4 and 2021 as a whole. In Q4, we went live in 1 new city and 1 new security customer. We also went live with 7 Respond city expansions and achieved revenue growth of 10% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020. In spite of losing 1 city in Q4, our 2021 revenue attrition will be less than 1%, similar to last year's excellent results, as Ralph has mentioned. We're pleased to report that for the first time ever, and related to many customers renewing for multi-year periods, we had total bookings for the year of over $100 million.
Let me provide more details on the quarter, and then I will share some thoughts around 2021 and update guidance for this year. Before I dive into details, it's important to understand that our Q4 results in 2021 as a whole were affected due to the contract amendment related to our leads work that we had hoped and expected to receive before the year end, but didn't get fully executed until January. This reduced our GAAP revenues by over $2 million. We were required to continue work during the time while we were waiting for the contract amendment, so on an accounting basis, we had to continue recognizing and expensing the associated cost of goods sold related to this ongoing work. This affected all of our financial metrics in the fourth quarter and ultimately the final results for the year.
That said, we are pleased to announce that the amendment has been fully executed. This will help our first quarter financial results and was one of three elements that are contributing to the significant increase in our revenue guidance for 2022 as a whole, which I will cover in more details in a minute. Fourth quarter revenues came in at $14 million, a 10% increase over the $12.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Revenues increased as our deployed miles increased year-over-year, but we had minimal revenue contributions from our leads division in the fourth quarter. We have routinely mentioned that revenue from leads is very lumpy on a quarter-to-quarter basis. Leads revenue in Q1 of 2022 will be significantly higher than all quarters in 2021.
Gross profit for the fourth quarter of 2021 was $7.5 million, or 54% of revenue, versus $7.5 million, or 59% of revenue for the prior year period. Gross margin was lower due to the delay of the contract amendment execution for LEADS and some of the ongoing costs related to our replacement of 3G sensors. We expect this to improve in Q1. Our net loss for the fourth quarter was $3.3 million, or a loss of $0.28 per share on 11.7 million weighted average shares outstanding on both a basic and diluted basis. This compares to a net loss of $220,000 or $0.02 per share based on 11.5 million basic and diluted weighted average shares outstanding for the prior year period.
In addition to the delayed contract amendment, the reason for the higher net loss for the quarter was related to several items. Our expenses continued to be higher as a result of ongoing strategic communication costs, a significant increase in legal costs related to our lawsuit against Vice Media, and an increase in legal fees associated with addressing subpoenas for detailed information about our technology and details on historical incidents. Our net loss for the quarter was also affected by expenses related to recent company acquisitions in two respects. First, an increase in the contingent consideration liability related to the LEADS 2022 earn-out by approximately $1.3 million as LEADS-related revenue in 2022 is now expected to be greater than $16 million.
Second, our acquisition of Forensic Logic added more than $540 thousand in expenses related to the transaction in Q4. These acquisition-related amounts are both added back to our adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $1.9 million, a decrease from the $3.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. As a reminder, adjusted EBITDA is calculated by taking our GAAP net income or loss and adding back interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, stock-based compensation, and acquisition related expenses, including adjustments to our contingent consideration liability related to earn-outs. Now turning to our expenses. Our operating expenses for the fourth quarter were $10.7 million or 76% of revenue, versus $7.7 million or 61% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2020.
As expected, in addition to the operating expense increases related to legal and strategic communication, we also had costs associated with personnel expansion and costs related to the leads earn-out liability, which were not included in the fourth quarter of 2020. Breaking down our expenses, sales and marketing expense for the fourth quarter was $3.6 million or 26% of total revenue, versus $3.1 million or 24% of total revenue for the prior year period. We continue to focus on investing appropriately to grow our sales and marketing capabilities for all of our products. These investments are important for our continued growth and are working well as we continue to build our sales pipeline and expand our marketing efforts. We continue to focus on maintaining high levels of customer satisfaction, which helps keep our attrition rates low.
Our R&D expenses for the third quarter, $1.9 million or 13% of total revenue, compared to $1.5 million or 12% of total revenue for the prior year period. We continue to invest in increasing the functionality of all of our products. G&A expenses for the quarter were $5.2 million or 37% of total revenue, compared to $3.1 million or 25% of total revenue for the prior year period. The increase in G&A expenses in absolute dollars were primarily related to increased legal and strategic communication expenses, which exceeded $900,000 for the quarter and the $1.3 million in increased contingent consideration liability related to the LEADS acquisition. Our revenue results for 2021 were $58.2 million, an increase of over 27% from 2020.
The increase was related to revenues related to leads and significant expansion in customers using our gunshot detection solutions. Having added over 100 miles live during the year. Gross profit for 2021 was $32.5 million or 56% of revenue versus $27 million or 59% of revenue for the prior year period. Gross margin was primarily lower due to the delay of the leads contract amendment execution and some additional costs related to slightly higher prices for some sensor components. As of today, the ongoing challenges with the global supply chain have not materially prevented us from continuing our ongoing 3G sensor replacement or slowed down the deployment of newly contracted respond miles or expansions. We continue to closely monitor all ongoing supply chain issues.
Our net loss for 2021 was $4.4 million or a loss of $0.38 per share on 11.7 million weighted average shares outstanding on both a basic and diluted basis. This compares to net income of $1.2 million or $0.11 per share based on 11.4 million basic weighted average shares outstanding and $0.10 per share based on 11.7 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding for the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 was $10.4 million, a decrease from the $11.9 million in 2020. As a reminder, adjusted EBITDA is calculated by taking our GAAP net income or loss and adding back interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and stock-based compensation and acquisition-related expenses, including adjustments to our contingent consideration liability related to earn outs.
Our revenue retention rate improved to 125% in 2021, up from 107% in 2020. Additionally, our sales and marketing costs to acquire $1 of annual contract value for the next twelve months also improved to only 37 cents per $1 in 2021 versus 51 cents per $1 in 2020. Deferred revenues as of December 31 was $26.7 million, which was up from $21.8 million at the end of Q3. We ended Q4 with $15.6 million in cash and cash equivalents versus $13.1 million at the end of the third quarter.
In fact, as of today, even after the expenses related to the Forensic Logic acquisition, the $5 million of cash as part of the purchase price, the cost of replacing almost half of our 3G sensors, and even after paying all of 2021 bonuses for the entire company, we still have cash of approximately $13 million. We have no short or long-term debt outstanding and a $20 million line of credit available if we ever need it. Our revenue guidance for 2022 is increased by $10 million at mid-range to $81 million-$83 million. This increase is related to the added revenue from the delayed contract amendment, improvement in our core business bookings, and approximately $6 million in revenue from our recent Forensic Logic acquisition. Additionally, and ordinarily, we did not give any quarterly revenue guidance.
We are indicating that we believe revenue in Q1 will be north of $20 million. Our annual recurring revenue started on January 1, 2022, is north of $63 million, up significantly from the $53 million that we started with in 2021. This does not include additional recurring revenue of $6 million from Forensic Logic, which will further support our growth and increase revenue guidance. Now back to Ralph for some final thoughts, and then we'll be happy to take your questions.
Thanks, Alan. Just a brief couple of comments before we take your questions. I hope many of you got a chance to see our inaugural ESG report that we published today. We hope it will provide additional insight into how we work to make the world a better place. I want to personally thank Nasim Golzadeh and the employees from the cross-functional team that she led in producing such a wonderful first report. As a company, we are passionate about leaning into our purpose and doing work that matters. We'll now take your questions.
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press Star then one on your telephone keypad. You will hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press Star then two. We'll pause for a moment as callers join the queue. Your first question comes from Richard Baldry of Roth Capital. Please go ahead.
Thanks. Can you maybe dig into Forensic Logic a little deeper? Any metrics we should be monitoring around that, whether it's, you know, total customers, ARPU? How do you think about their penetration of the market? Whether your existing sales, you know, can sell or cross-sell it, or if they'll bring in their own sales team with them, which will be, you know, primary for that, just so we can better understand how it'll integrate. Thanks.
Yeah, thanks for that question, Richard. Maybe I'll start, and Alan jump in here. I think the first thing to note about our Forensic Logic acquisition is the very strong product market fit that they offer as a part of their integrated CopLink X platform. We've seen that platform perform in a number of places, and we think that they're very early in the stages of penetrating a much broader market. They have made some really great progress, but there's a lot more to be done. I think LEADS was one of the transactions that I talked about during my prepared comments with respect to the statewide deployment in Tennessee.
We think there's a number of opportunities to kind of take that, what they're calling the SMART program, and apply it across a number of other states, here in the U.S. In fact, we have jointly collaborated just before we closed the transaction on a joint pursuit of an RFI of a similar sort of a statewide agency. We're pretty excited about that. We think there's a lot of opportunities to cross-sell into each other's markets. We're already having them introducing them to a number of our called tier one clients that don't have the CopLink X platform. Because they're such a strong product fit between CopLink X and Respond, CopLink X and Investigate, as well as our Connect solution.
We think there's a lot of value out there that we can capture from selling into our marketplace. Frankly, they have some very good relationships in some places where we're looking to get some traction, Southern California being a key part. Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department is a very large customer of theirs. We just now are starting our penetration in Southern California with our Pasadena deployment that just went live earlier this quarter. We see a tremendous amount of opportunities to upsell the ShotSpotter solution into their install base where they've got great relationships. I talked a little bit about the metrics already. Last year, they grew their GAAP revenue over 30%.
We're starting with a $6 million annual recurring revenue base that we're going into 2022. We think there's some upside there on the GAAP revenue side, although we're only modeling $6 million as a part of our guidance. We definitely think that there is an opportunity to do better than that. They're Bay Area-based, approximately 35 employees. Again, we've gotten to know them over the years because of our shared relationship in OPD, and we're looking forward to sharing more metrics and progress and traction that we're making with Forensic Logic in our next earnings call.
A, could you talk a little bit about the pipeline entering the year? If we look at, you know, the guidance minus the ARR, there's some, you know, business obviously to be done. A, as part of that, talk about the funding environment. It seems like, you know, municipalities do have pretty good funding, and the earmarks may be moving their way along. Maybe putting those two together to give us an idea for how you feel about 2022 at the beginning of the year. Thanks.
Do you wanna start on that, and then I'll jump in afterwards?
Sure. I'll start to talk a little bit about the pipeline. We are dealing with probably the strongest pipeline we've ever had. That is tied somewhat to the funding, which Ralph will talk a little bit about. I would also say that, you know, we went live in over 100 miles, about 101 miles for 2021. Because the pipeline and things we already know, we're expecting to get beyond that. It'll be higher than that for 2022. Maybe you wanna cover some of the funding, Ralph.
Sure, yeah. In addition to, you know, hopefully executing more than 100 go live miles this year, I think we're looking to have international kind of come on board this year. We haven't seen any new international revenues of substance in 2021, but we're expecting that to change, kind of given our response to the Cape Town, South Africa, RFP, and some really nice sales motion we have in the Caribbean and Latin America. Then we're obviously expecting some uplift in security, our security solutions, as well as our Connect solution. We actually just went live today on a six-figure annual recurring revenue deal of a very large agency in the Southeast region.
We're excited about building on that, and we've invested, frankly, in bringing on more sales resources to go drive some of those solutions outside of our traditional acoustic gunshot detection. We're certainly expecting some really solid traction with the Investigate solution, and we've already talked about the fact that LEADS is expecting to contribute more than $16 million of revenue in 2022. The reason that we're making the investments we're making in kind of driving some growth outside of our kind of traditional acoustic gunshot detection, although again, that's a very robust pipeline of deals, is we're seeing a really unique opportunity to have impact.
The funding environment is probably better than it's ever been since I've been with the company, and I've been with the company since 2010. The amount of federal resources that are coming into municipalities is really strong. We've seen the current administration endorse specifically acoustic gunshot detection as a very good use of funds for their coming out of the federal funding mandates. We're even seeing states step up as well. I think probably some of you noticed Governor Phil Murphy of New Jersey signaled that he's going to invest a lot of money in the local municipalities to help them deal with the gun violence problem, and again, mentions acoustic gunshot detection as a viable solution. We think the time is right.
We've got a critical mass of really big references that we can sell off of. We're really quite excited about 2022 and beyond.
Great. Thanks.
The next question comes from Charlie Erlikh from Baird. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Just thinking about 2022 guidance, trying to get a sense for, you know, which drivers you think could be the most meaningful, maybe between just, you know, organic Respond sales via your direct sales force, to being cross-selling Respond into some of the Forensic customers that you've gained now. Three, the international contribution as well. I'd love to just hear, you know, what the main drivers of the revenue growth in 2022 expectations are. Thanks.
Yeah, sure. This is Alan. Just go ahead, Ralph, please add additional comments as well. I think it's the first time that we've been able to enter a year with the ARR as high as it is, of $69 million, $63 million for organic and also $6 million for Forensic Logic. There's a couple things that, as Ralph mentioned, we have in there and several things that we don't. We don't have too much in there for some of the expansion that we could see internationally. We also don't have much more than the $6 million that we know we're going into with Forensic Logic. Both of those are potential things that are going to add in terms of how the actual revenue gets achieved.
I would say, as the pipeline is, knowing what we know already in terms of the contracts, we feel excellent about getting more than those 100 miles live. To the extent that those go live sooner in first half of the year versus latter, then the revenues are actually gonna be a lot higher even from that.
Yeah. Maybe I'll just add again, I think.
Yeah.
Yeah. I was just gonna add that, again, just we have to double-click on the notion that we're starting the year with $69 million of visible annual recurring revenue, including what we're expecting from Forensic Logic. We've talked about the fact that there's another $2 million of catch-up that we weren't able to book in or recognize in Q4 that's gonna come in in Q1. I think you'd add, you know, $2 million of very visible revenue. In fact, we've already gotten it for Q1 that you'd add to the 69. That kind of puts us at 71. We have very visible backlog of professional services work as a part of our LEADS organization that we estimate to be in the $5 million range remaining for 2022.
You put those two together, it's 7, and then you'd get another 7 from growth of domestic sales for Respond along with international, along with Investigate, along with Connect, along with Security. And then if you know, Forensic Logic does better than the $6 million, because again, we're only counting $6 million as a part of our going in ARR, that's where you kinda get to the upside potentially beyond our current guidance. We have a lot of levers available to us to get to that range.
Got it. That's very helpful. I also wanted to ask about attrition both in Q4 and then 2022 expectations. You mentioned that, you know, the attrition number you mentioned in Q4 was net of price increases. I'm wondering if you're able to provide the gross of price increase attrition in the quarter. I'm also wondering what your attrition expectations are for 2022 baked into guidance. Thanks.
Yeah.
Maybe I'll just start on the front.
Go ahead, Ralph.
Well, yeah, we got to be in the same place one of these days. Yeah, I was just gonna say, I don't think we're gonna get into a lot of details about the moving pieces for the net attrition number. Alan, I think if you wanna talk about how we're thinking about attrition kind of going forward in 2022, that'd be awesome.
Sure. Yeah. I think that it is important to understand that, you know, when you talk about revenue of, you know, north of $58 million, and we're saying that our attrition is less than 1%, then you know it's less than $580,000. Very, very small in terms of only 1% attrition. We are looking in 2022 for hopefully similar amounts of attrition. Normally, we would say prior to pandemic, we would have said our attrition might be closer to 2%-3%. Based on what we've seen in the last two years and based on what we see in terms of the funding, we expect our attrition to hopefully still be around the 1% or close to that for 2022.
Awesome. Thanks, guys.
The next question comes from Brian Ruttenbur from Imperial Capital. Please go ahead.
Great. Thank you very much. A couple quick questions. Let's start off with housekeeping. CapEx for 2021 and what do you expect for 2022?
This is Alan. We had CapEx a little about $7.8 million for 2021. Now, that did include about $1.8 million of that was related to some of the 3G sensor replacement. We would-
Okay.
Expect that the CapEx could be similar for 2022 as we finalize and finish the remaining amount of the 3G sensors and have miles to go live that are similar to what we had in 2021 or slightly higher.
Thank you. Next question is on the flow of revenue. So you're talking about, if I heard it right, north of or right around $20 million in the first quarter, and then there'll be a drop-off because you're getting that makeup of the $2 million, slight drop-off and then kinda steady from there growing from that second quarter. Is that how to look at it?
Yeah, this is Alan. You're correct. Normally, what you would see from us is a flat revenue from Q4 to Q1. Obviously adding the $2 million from the contract amendment and more revenue from Forensic Logic, that doesn't make sense. What you think about in terms of Q1 is if you just take the ARR of $69 million combined, divide that by four, you're starting somewhere around $17 million by that alone. You add the $2 million catch-up from the NYPD amendment, we're over 19. Then on top of that, we know there's gonna be over $1 million for professional services, and we're also gonna be going live on Respond Miles. That's how it's pretty easy to see how we're gonna get to $20 million for Q1.
Your comment about Q2 is accurate. We're not gonna get that $2 million again in Q2, so it is likely that there might be somewhat flattish revenue going from Q1 into Q2 or even a slight reduction, but not much based on what we're expecting right now.
Okay. No, that's very helpful. Thank you very much. The profitability, should we get a disproportionate profitability bump in that Q1 because of, you know, the expenses that were already recognized, I assume, in Q4 without the revenue, then your margins are gonna be massively inflated. Maybe massive is not a financial term, but inflated in the first quarter because you're not gonna be recognizing those same kind of expenses on that $2 million.
Yeah, this is Alan again. You are correct. We did get most of the cost of goods sold, well, actually all of it related to the November and December performance of that contract in Q4. When we get the $2 million in revenue, it's going to be mostly hitting down to gross margin and down below the net income. We do have some commissions that are related to that, so you won't see all of that. However, Q1 is gonna be significantly higher in terms of our profitability versus what it would be without that $2 million.
Okay. Last question, it's more of a macro. I like the acquisition of Forensic Logic. That makes sense. What else do you need to add out there? What are the missing components that you need to sell into these large municipalities and, you know, other, you know, municipal and local governments that make sense for you to add on? Is it all software related, or is there any other direction you're planning to go?
Yeah, this is Ralph. I think we're in a pretty good shape right now. If you think about law enforcement as you know kind of pursuing a you know digital journey of automation and using data to be more precise and impactful and hopefully equitable in how they work with providing public safety to cities, I think we're in a good place. I mean, we have a really unique acoustic gunshot detection solution. We're now adding this kind of massive data set that can be you know purposely used, I would say, by law enforcement to you know engage in precision policing.
We've got kind of patrol management solution, and we have an incredibly powerful investigative case management solution, which for us is interesting because it allows us to kind of move outside of our traditional TAM of local law enforcement agencies and kind of move upstream to kind of state investigative agencies as well as federal investigative agencies that typically wouldn't be a customer for acoustic gunshot detection. I feel like our plate is pretty full right now, and we have everything we need to kind of execute to a precision policing platform solution for local, state, and federal investigative agencies.
Great. Just one other follow-up to that. Is it one sales force? Do you have to have different types of sales people coming in, you know, into Las Vegas, for example, you have, you know, one key contact. Can that one key contact sell everything, or do you need to bring in different sales professionals to sell the different products?
Yeah. The way we've gone to market is we have kind of a territory-based sales organization, and then we have overlay sales reps that have specialties. One for, say, Connect, one for our acoustic gunshot detection solution, Respond, you know, investigative case management. The same thing will be true for Forensic Logic, although we have a little bit of a crawl, walk, run, fly scenario with our acquisitions. They're gonna be operating in a somewhat independent state. They have a number of sales initiatives in place already. We don't wanna interfere with that, but we are kind of coming together on some select opportunities, again, where we can cross-sell into each other's installed base.
Great. Thank you.
The next question comes from Jeremy Hamblin from Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking the questions here, and I wanted to come back to the fiscal 2022 guidance here, make sure that I parse this apart in a little more detail. You know, you've changed the total guidance by about $10 million for the year, and you have roughly $2 million of a catch-up payment included in there. I guess the apples-to-apples guidance change would be about $8 million. You have an acquisition that's roughly, you know, kind of $6 million. I'm just trying to, you know, on an ARR basis, in terms of understanding the, you know, kind of the gross, you know, impact of you know, of the leads contract expansion, is that just like kind of a couple of million dollars?
You know, I guess what I'm trying to understand what the change was in your guidance for the legacy response side of the business.
This is Ralph. It's up $2 million. I think you approached it correctly. There's a $10 million difference. $2 million of it is catch-up revenue from the contract amendment. We're saying $6 million, we're adding from LEADS. That leaves another net $2 million from what I would call our kind of core business, just not acoustic gunshot detection, but Investigate, Connect, as well as security and international. All those things together are adding up to an additional $2 million. You add that $2 million to the $2 million in catch-up and the $6 million from LEADS, and that's how you get to the $10 million bridge from our earlier guidance to the new guidance today.
The $6 million is from Forensic Logic, not LEADS.
I'm sorry. I said leads. Thank you for correcting me. Yeah, Forensic Logic.
Okay. Got it. Understanding just the operating expense impact of the Forensic Logic acquisition as well as any additional costs that are gonna be incurred related to the larger contract on a go-forward basis for the legacy leads business. Any color you can share on that?
Yeah, this is Alan. I mean, at this point, we know that, we're still working with Forensic Logic to maximize the profitability that they can get to and do expect that, a little bit of revenue growth will be required for some of that. So we will be spending, some money related to that to help them continue to grow. That said, if you look at our earnings script or the earnings release as well, we've already said that we're gonna be at the 15%-20% adjusted EBITDA margin is where we expect to end the year in 2022. So, there might be some more costs related to OpEx, but we also have higher profitability across the board in, most of our areas.
Okay, got it. In terms of that, coming back to the full year guidance, excited to hear that South Africa is potentially coming back. Can I assume that that's not included in your guidance figure?
It is on an adjusted basis.
Yes. Ralph mentioned it is risk adjusted. We do expect our revenue guidance with some incremental changes from international. Risk adjusted means that if we do win it 100%, it is likely that the actual revenue that we receive on an ongoing basis might be a little higher than what we have originally in the guidance.
Okay. Great. Then last one, I guess, in terms of, you know, this ongoing litigation and defamation suit, you know, that's been pretty costly in terms of the EBITDA impact. Totally understand the rationale for, you know, defending the company and the brand. In terms of thinking about that potential impact in 2022, do you feel like the expenditures have peaked and are on their way down? Do you feel like there's potential for that to accelerate further? Any color that you could share on where you feel like that, you know, distraction kind of is for the company.
This is Alan. I'll go ahead and talk cost and then Ralph can maybe talk intentions there. It is absolutely true that our costs related to legal fees in 2021 were north of $2 million for us. That is about twice what it normally would be. The majority of that was related to not just the Vice Media, but also the additional legal costs that we have related to a larger number of subpoenas that we've been required to participate in related to our solutions. To answer your question directly, where do we see 2022? We are expecting legal costs again to be somewhat north of $2 million.
Unless something happens with Vice sooner rather than later, we would expect to continue to have quarterly costs of, you know, north of $700,000.
Okay, got it. Any additional color you wanna share, Ralph?
No. No, I think Alan summed it up very well.
Okay. All right, great. Thanks so much for taking the questions, guys. Best wishes this year.
Thank you.
The next question comes from Mike Latimore from Northland Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Great. Thank you. Yeah, just on the Investigate product, can you give a little update on, you know, progress selling that outside of the New York account?
Yeah. This is Ralph. The pipeline continues to build. We actually have a sale that we're in the process of taking live right now for an intelligence unit of a, I'll call it a kinda tier two local agency. We've responded to a RFI and also a RFP. The latter one we're pretty excited about, that would be a seven-figure ARR deal, if we're able to bring that across the line. We're really quite excited about some of the things that we can do on the product side, kind of merging some aspects of the Forensic Logic CopLink X solution into a investigate platform. That's pretty exciting.
Yeah. Makes sense. In terms of the core Respond business, should we assume the states and cities that were important in 2021 are continuing to be important with expansions or are there other regions that are gonna be, you know, elevated and more important this year?
Yeah. My expectation is again, as Alan already pointed out, well, we expect to do north of 100 miles of go live. Last year, we kind of forecasted 90, and we did over 100. This year, we're forecasting over 100. I think those 100 miles, domestic miles, by the way, I think they'll be a mix of expansions and new deployments. There's some really interesting things out there that people can look in the press. There's a couple of really interesting RFPs that are coming out that we're pretty excited about for new customers. There's one particular customer who's talking about doing a fairly major expansion. We haven't seen an order yet, but we're obviously kind of working that one really hard.
We're pretty excited, and we're really pleased with the traction we saw with our tier four, tier five program. These are kind of smaller agencies where we cap them out at no more than two miles, typically at a lower price. We've seen some really interesting kind of late in the year 2021 traction from agencies that have adopted that program. We're expecting more growth there. Outside of traditional respond to local law enforcement, we continue to put up some really interesting use cases.
I mean, sadly, on our security solutions, especially with the freeway projects, you know, we're deploying a part of the freeway in the Bay Area that's encountered multiple tragic shooting incidents, where we've alerted on those. We're starting to see some other state highway agencies take note of that. We're really quite excited about significantly expanding our footprint with respect to freeway deployments. That's also kind of contributing to our view of kind of bullishness for 2022.
Got it. Just last one on the 3G replacement. Obviously, you've done really well in miles this year, but I'm wondering has the 3G replacement dynamics maybe been a distraction and actually slowed some expansions, that you might have had otherwise?
Yeah. This is Alan. No, they didn't slow us down at all. In fact, we started out with about 5,500 3G sensors. We've already replaced 3,000 of those. Not only were we able to go live in a 100 miles more, you know, 101 miles, we also did 3,000 3G replacements, which means we only have about 2,500 left.
Got it. Yeah. Okay. Great. Thank you.
The next question comes from Eric Martinuzzi from JMP Securities. Please go ahead.
Yeah, thanks for taking the questions. First off, I don't think you commented about the contribution from the patrol management and the investigative services. Can you give us any color on what they were for 2021 or what we might expect for 2022?
Do you wanna take that, Alan?
This is Alan. I think you're asking about Connect in terms of-
Yes
The patrol management side of the product. Yes.
Mm-hmm.
We are continuing to work hard on expanding the number of customers that we have. It's probably a little slower than we had hoped, although, as Ralph mentioned earlier, we did go live with a larger city literally just today, which is sort of a greater than six-figure type deal. It is something we are adding additional more capability in the sales and marketing side, and hope that we see continued growth from that in 2022.
Okay. On the investigative side?
Yeah. On the investigative side.
In case
Go ahead, Ralph.
No, go ahead. No, go ahead, Alan. Sorry.
I was gonna say, on the investigate side, as Ralph just mentioned, we signed that contract a couple months ago, and they're going live with them soon. Then the larger projects that we have bid from the RFIs and RFPs are still somewhat new but could be as high as seven figures in terms of annual recurring revenue for those. We're still quite early in the states with Investigate, but we're seeing positive momentum and a lot of interest from that.
Okay. I think you'd said you only had 1 new account in 2021, but it sounds as though you have a pretty good pipeline of new opportunities. Can you give us some color around what new account number of new accounts you might hope for?
I think he was referring to one new account for Q1, or excuse me, Q4, not for the year.
All right. Okay. All right. Can you give us a sense of how many new accounts we might look for, though, in 2022?
We don't really break it out that way. I think I mentioned, you know, again, we're expecting to do more than 100 miles on kind of domestic local law enforcement respond miles. It'll be a mix of expansions and new accounts. You know, I wouldn't wanna throw out a number, but I mean, it'll be more than a handful, I would imagine, 'cause you're gonna have some of those tier 4, tier 5 agencies that jump on at 1 or 2 miles, and then you might have a another, you know, medium-sized agency, you know, a handful of those kinda come on with 3 or 4 miles. But then we'll expect to have some %, a reasonable % of that 100 miles come from expansions.
I wouldn't. I'd hesitate to give you a specific number.
Okay. Last question. Any sense on timeframe for the Vice Media lawsuit? I presume that will be continuing through 2022. Any comments in terms of how long that might last or how the expenses might progress through the year?
Yeah. We're in it for the long haul, so I can't give you a timeframe. These things can take a while. It's ongoing is probably the best I can tell you right now. We are very happy about being able to extract out retractions from at least five publications that have basically repeated the Vice lies. That's really quite encouraging. We're already getting, I would say some return on our investment in that regard. Again, our goal in the Vice lawsuit is to you know first defend our ecosystem of stakeholders because we were being accused along with local law enforcement of engaging and framing innocent people. We wanna defend ourselves and our stakeholders, and we're doing that.
We wanted to correct the record is the second thing, and we're doing that, and it's made good progress in getting these five retractions. The last thing we wanna do is hold Vice to account, and that's where, you know, the formal defamation suit just has to play out in the Delaware courts.
All right. Very good. Thank you.
The next question comes from Matthew Pfau from William Blair. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks for taking my questions, guys. Wanted to ask on the improvement in the sales and marketing efficiency. Ralph, you called out, you know, that sort of word of mouth around ShotSpotter had hit an inflection point. You know, I always sort of thought of you guys having good word of mouth among police chiefs. Maybe you could just sort of call out, you know, what changed or what's causing that inflection that you mentioned.
Yeah. I mean, more is better. You know, go, you know, kind of going from, you know, maybe 20 net promoters to 30 net promoters that are coming from different sized agencies in different locations has an impact. Like on a go-forward basis, I think we've talked a lot about the tipping point synergies that took place in the state of Ohio. One of the key drivers of that was an assistant chief in one of the cities in Ohio that is now a chief of police in Virginia. We're anticipating that Virginia deployment where we're now deployed, those successes will be delivered and communicated, and it'll make it a lot easier for neighboring agencies.
We're already seeing it with some invitations we're seeing from cities that come into the state of Virginia to talk about what we're doing in acoustic gunshot detection. That's how that plays out. You know, same thing in the state of Texas, this dynamic between the city of Houston and Harris County. That's really good. We kinda see that, we see that potentially spreading.
Our expectation is we're gonna make Pasadena extremely successful, and that'll be a very interesting beachhead in the Southern California region, combined, again, with a very strong set of relationships and brand loyalty that Forensic Logic has been able to drive with Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department and all the municipalities that kinda roll up under the sheriff's organization, the county sheriff's organization there. That's how that works. You know from being around the company that we pay very close attention, just not to the net promoter score, but the feedback that we're getting from agencies and how they perceive value and things that we could do to enhance value.
We're just very intentional about kinda responding to that and improving every single day, and we're getting better and better at it. We've been able to maintain, you know, a world-class NPS score and the benefits of the referenceability that takes off from there, because we're pretty intentional about it.
Great. Just one more from me. In terms of the funding environment and great to hear that that's remained really strong. With inflation being a pretty big focus for everybody, let's say the economy were to cool down a bit. How do you think about that cooling of the economy in terms of its impact on the funding environment for you guys?
Well, I'll jump in, and Alan, you know, come in behind and correct if I say anything offsetting. Look, I think the bigger thing that we have to appreciate is, kind of besides inflation, the cost of violence and crime in cities. I don't know if you're paying attention or not, but you know, there's just a lot of pushback from a lot of cities that are experiencing a measurable uptick in crime. They're compelling cities to do something about it. The business of responding to preventing, reducing, engaging in, you know, violent crime suppression, holding criminals to account and the like, it's got a very strong ROI case.
I think you know the inflation stuff is a bit of a noise element as far as I'm concerned and is way overshadowed by just again the real issues related to violent crime that is raging across you know small medium and large cities. It's real. It isn't made up. We see it in our numbers. I don't know, Alan, do you have a different point of view on that?
No, I don't. In fact, I think the interesting thing, and I think it's helpful for us, is not just the violence that's increasing, but what ShotSpotter does to help not just lower some of the violence, but help actually save lives. We've been doing this for a long time, and I would say that 2021 was really one of the first years that we actually saw people focused more on the number of lives that we're helping save, just by getting someone there earlier or getting someone there at all. I would say, you know, there's always challenges, but that we're starting to see people really understand the value that we bring related to that.
Great. Thanks, guys. At this time, this concludes our question and answer session. If your question was not taken, you may contact ShotSpotter's investor relations team by emailing ssti@gatewayir.com. I'd now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Clark for his closing remarks.
Yeah. Thank you very much. We really do appreciate everyone's support out there, and we're really looking forward to engaging directly with many of you in person over the next couple-