The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Mar 9, 2023

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the ONE Group Fourth Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the Star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press Star then one on a touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press Star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Manny Hilario, the CEO. Please, Manny, go ahead.

Taylor Loy
CFO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone. Before we begin our formal remarks, let me remind you that part of our discussion today will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. You should not place undue reliance on them. These statements are also subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Please also note that these forward-looking statements reflect our opinion only as of the date of this call. We undertake no obligation to revise or publicly release any revisions of these forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. We refer you to our recent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial conditions.

During today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. However, the presentation of these measures or other information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. The reconciliations of these measures, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income, Restaurant Operating Profit, comparable sales, and total food and beverage sales of owned and managed and licensed units to GAAP measures, along with a discussion of why we consider these measures useful, please see our earnings release issued today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Manny Hilario. Manny.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thank you, Tyler, and hello, everyone. We sincerely appreciate you joining us today and for your interest in The ONE Group. Let me begin by thanking all of our team members for their hard work providing world-class operations across all of our restaurants. Our team members help to bring our mission to life every day, which is to be the best restaurant in every market that we operate by delivering exceptional and unforgettable guest experiences to every guest every time. It is because of our teams that we have been able to strengthen our leadership position in fine dining, both high-end and upscale casual, and that we can have great confidence moving forward. 2022 was undoubtedly a good year for The ONE Group.

We increased revenue 14.2% to $316.6 million, which included a 10.8% increase in comparable store sales. Our focus on diversifying our customer base to include more social occasions has paid off, as demonstrated by our ability to own the holidays and date nights. For the fourth quarter, while we were negatively impacted by the weather and subsequent travel delays in December, we're overall very pleased with our holiday performance, resulting in $13 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, driven by store-level margins of almost 19%. In addition, we are starting to see the return of the business clientele as people are returning to work offices in the urban areas where our restaurants are located, and there has been an increase in demand for our corporate and off-site events.

Additionally, we are noticing more convention activity, especially in cities like Orlando, Scottsdale, and Las Vegas, and we have deployed our sales force to aggressively pursue these opportunities. Maybe most importantly, in 2022, we built an incredible pipeline of development that we expect will deliver double-digit revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth going forward. This past year, we saw that pipeline begin to materialize as we opened two company-owned STKs in San Francisco and Dallas and one managed STK in Stratford, our third in London, and a virtual REEF Kitchens located in Austin, Texas. Since opening, our two new company-owned STKs, San Francisco and Dallas, have averaged approximately $350,000 in sales per week. This is significantly above our STK investment model of roughly $154,000 per week.

On the average, we expect to have less than a one-year payback for these locations. We have continued this momentum into 2023 with the opening of a new design Kona Grill in Columbus, Ohio, in the Easton Town Center in January. This is the first new Kona Grill we have opened since acquiring the brand, and it is a big step in what we expect will be a large expansion for Kona Grill. This restaurant has opened averaging approximately $115,000 per week, again, pacing ahead of our investment model despite opening in what is typically our slowest part of the year. Additionally, we recently opened a new rooftop at the STK in Scottsdale, Arizona, ahead of the Super Bowl, which was held in Phoenix last month.

This is the fourth significant domestic STK rooftop in our portfolio and features both a patio and fireplace, along with a great view of the canal. The vast size and open floor plan make the space extremely versatile and capable of being transformed to accommodate a wide array of events. We are encouraged by the incredible start for this new rooftop. We have recently opened two additional REEF Kitchens locations in Austin, bringing it to a total of three vessels as we evaluate future expansion. We look forward to the rest of 2023, we have an incredible pipeline of high-quality real estate, the best in the history of the company. Despite a challenging construction environment, 2023 will be an extremely busy year as our intention is to open eight -1 2 new venues.

For the remainder of the year, we plan to open two-four additional Kona Grill in the following cities: Riverton, Utah; Phoenix, Arizona; Henderson, Nevada; and Tigard, Oregon. Three to five new company-owned STKs in the following cities: Charlotte, North Carolina; Boston, Massachusetts; Washington, D.C.; Aventura, Florida; and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Finally, we plan to open one managed or licensed STK. When factoring in our 2022 and 2023 openings along with our immediate pipeline thereafter, including asset light development, we anticipate a significant increase in run rate revenues and run rate adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2023. As we have long stated, our growth story has just begun. We foresee a total addressable market of at least 400 restaurants, including 200 STK restaurants globally and at least 200 Kona Grill domestically.

Over the long term, the target is five-six new STKs, three-five new Kona Grill, and one F&B venue per year. This will be a blend of owned units and managed and licensed units, which requires lower capital investment and produces high margin royalty, management, and incentive fee streams. To conclude, I'm pleased with our 2022 results despite a very challenging restaurant environment. Our team is doing a fantastic job. Now, I'll turn the call back to Tyler.

Taylor Loy
CFO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thank you, Manny. Let me start by discussing our fourth quarter financials in greater detail. Total GAAP revenues were $88.3 million, increasing 5% from $84.1 million for the same quarter last year. Included in our total revenues is our own restaurant net revenues of $83.9 million, which increased 5.6% from $79.4 million for the same quarter last year. The increase in revenue is primarily attributable to the opening of STK San Francisco in August of 2022 and STK Dallas that opened in November of 2022. Domestic consolidated comparable sales decreased 3.1% for the quarter compared to 2021. For STK, comparable sales were flat versus 2021, and Kona Grill comparable sales decreased 7.6% versus 2021.

As a reminder, we are lapping incredibly strong comparable sales in 2021 relative to 2020 and 2019. Compared to 2019, our pre-pandemic base year domestic consolidated comparable sales increased 46.2%. STK comparable sales increased 62.6%, and Kona Grill comparable sales increased 27.7%, which shows that our differentiated Vibe Dining experience continues to resonate with our guests. Management license and incentive fee revenues were $4.4 million, decreasing 4.5% from $4.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. This decrease is primarily as a result of decreased revenues in our existing managed properties in London, England, partially offset by the opening of STK Stratford in November of 2022.

Owned restaurant cost of sales as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue decreased 190 basis points to 24% in the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to 25.9% in the prior year, primarily due to menu mix management and price increases, partially offset by increased commodity prices. Owned restaurant operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue increased 340 basis points to 57.1% in the fourth quarter of 2022 from 53.7% in the fourth quarter of 2021, primarily due to consolidated average wage increases and higher operating expenses, both driven by inflation consistent with the industry. This was partially offset by a low single-digit price increase in August of 2022 and a mid-single digit price increase in November of 2022.

We believe that we have additional pricing power for both brands as we compare our prices to those of our competitors. Restaurant Operating Profit decreased 150 basis points to 18.9% for the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to 20.4% in the fourth quarter of 2021. Restaurant Operating Profit at STK decreased approximately 220 basis points, but was still a robust 22.6%, and Kona Grill Operating Profit decreased 180 basis points and was 13.1% for the quarter. On a total reported basis, general and administrative expenses were $8.5 million, compared to $8.3 million in the prior year.

The increase was attributable to additional investments ahead of growth, increased accounting and legal fees, and increased stock-based compensation expense, partially offset by a decrease in performance-based variable compensation expense. In addition, the company experienced increased travel expenses due to rising hotel and airfare costs. When adjusting for stock-based compensation, adjusted general and administrative expenses were $7.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2022, and $7.5 million in the same quarter last year. Pre-opening expenses were $1.7 million compared to $0.2 million in the prior year. This increase was primarily related to payroll, training, and cash and non-cash pre-opening rent for STK Dallas, which opened in November of 2022, Kona Grill Columbus, which opened in January of 2023, and other venues that are currently under construction.

Interest expense was $0.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to $0.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. The increase was primarily driven by increases in benchmark rates year-over-year. Income tax expense was $0.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to an income tax benefit of $0.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2021. Our 2022 annualized effective tax rate was 6.2%. Net income attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. was $5.1 million, or $0.15 net income per share, compared to a net income of $5.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2021, or $0.17 net income per share.

When adjusting for non-recurring expenses or gains, adjusted net income was $6.5 million or $0.19 adjusted net income per share, compared to an adjusted net income of $8.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2021 or $0.24 adjusted net income per share. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. was $13 million compared to $13.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. We have included a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA in the tables on our fourth quarter and full year 2022 earnings release. During the fourth quarter of 2022, we repurchased approximately 0.6 million shares of our common stock. We purchased an additional 118,000 shares during the first two months of 2023.

In total, we have purchased 1.2 million shares under our buyback program, and approximately $2.1 million in share repurchases remain available under the $10 million share repurchase program announced on September 7th, 2022. We will continue to use discretion in determining the conditions under which shares may be purchased from time to time, if at all. Now, I'd like to provide some forward-looking commentary regarding our business. This commentary is subject to risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements as discussed in our SEC filings. We, as always, remind our investors the actual numbers and timing of new restaurant openings for any given period is subject to a number of factors outside the company's control, including weather conditions and factors under the control of landlords, contractors, licensees, and regulatory and licensing authorities.

Based on the information available now and the expectations as of today, we're providing you with the following financial targets for 2023. Beginning with revenues, we project our total GAAP revenues to be between $360 million and $380 million, including managed license and incentive fee revenues of between $17 million and $17.5 million. Total owned operating expenses as a percentage of owned restaurant net revenue of 82.5% - 82%. Total G&A, excluding stock-based compensation of approximately $27 million - $29 million. Adjusted EBITDA of $50 million - $54 million, which represents an approximate 21% - 30% increase compared to 2022. Restaurant pre-opening expenses between $5.5 million and $6.5 million. Operating income of between $25.5 million and $28.5 million. An effective income tax rate of between 5% and 10%.

Capital expenditures consisting of approximately 2% of company-owned revenue and approximately $3 million-$3.5 million per new company-owned venue, net of allowances received from landlords. Finally, we plan to open 8-12 new venues in 2023, including one managed or licensed STK restaurant. I will now turn the call back to Manny.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thank you, Tyler, and thank you all for your time today. Let me conclude by saying that we are proud of our performance in 2022, and we are truly excited for 2023. We are in the early stages of our long-term growth strategy as we continue to build a portfolio of high volume, high margin brands with compelling returns for our shareholders. Above all, I'm grateful to all our teammates who bring our mission to life every day to be the best restaurant in every market where we operate. They do this by delivering exceptional and unforgettable guest experiences to every guest every time. I also would like to thank our customers that visit and continue to return to our restaurants so they can enjoy the highly differentiated Vibe Dining experiences they have been craving.

We appreciate everyone joining us on the call today. Tyler and I are happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator?

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press Star then One on your touchtone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press Star then Two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question is coming from Mark Smith from Lake Street Capital. Mark, please go ahead.

Mark Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Lake Street Capital Markets

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking questions here. First one for me is, you know, what are you guys seeing in the development pipeline for new restaurants in regards to, you know, what the locations look like, maybe TI dollars? If you can talk about, you know, any headwinds permitting, you know, construction, any headwinds that you're seeing out there on getting them open.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yeah. Mark, in terms of what we're seeing is, at least for us, we continue to see very good deals from a TI perspective. I think that those funds are still available. I still think that developers are looking for high volume type of operations. I think that's still a very favorable market. In terms of construction, I would say probably the I mean, it's definitely challenging as we said in our prepared statement. If I had to narrow it down to one area, that's probably the one that you have to be very thoughtful about right now is just the equipment purchasing and making sure that you do that on time because there's challenges in getting some of the equipment.

We've been able to deal with some of that. We've actually aggregated some of our, and pre-purchased some of our equipment for future stores, just in anticipation of some of the hard times to get that equipment. I would say that that's probably our biggest headwind relative to development.

Mark Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Lake Street Capital Markets

Okay. Then as we look at kind of restaurant level margins for 2023, you know, you gave some good guidance here. What are the main kind of pressure points if you were to kind of rank them, that you see kind of putting any pressure on margin in 2023?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

So I probably answered a question from a perspective of risk of the margin is really inflation levels. I think what we're seeing right now, you know, is still price increases over year, but they certainly have, you know, been less than historically in the last 12 months. Really that is the pressure point on the margin is always going to be, you know, what happens with inflation. I think labor, which frankly has been the biggest pressure point for us, I think that has stabilized. I think that, you know, with some of the, you know, for instance, Amazon, not increasing their labor pool or actually diminishing their labor pool actually has been helpful.

It's taken a lot of pressure off talented individuals coming out the industry. Really labor is the big unknown. I think there's a lot more labor out there right now, and that's good for us. As we said previously, our restaurants continue to be fully staffed, which we think it's a long-term competitive advantage for us.

Mark Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Lake Street Capital Markets

Perfect. And then the last one for me, just as we think about, you know, new restaurants, maybe if we look at Kona and STK separately, you know, the average weekly sales at the new Kona that you opened look really solid. Can you talk about as you open these new units, do you expect kind of pressure on, you know, these restaurant margins to pressure kind of consolidated margins in the first couple months that they're open?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

I mean, starting with STK, our pipeline coming up is Charlotte. We got Boston. We have, you know, really what we think will be very good revenue restaurants for us. I don't expect any pressure points coming out of STK at all. I think the margins will be very solid from the get-go in STK. Kona Grill, we did open Columbus. Columbus has frankly done exceptional considering that we opened in the slow month of the year, which was January. I think we're super encouraged with the velocity of guests there.

I think my overall answer would be that, you know, I don't expect pressure from new stores, and I think that our guidance for the year reflects our view on the new stores.

Mark Smith
Senior Research Analyst, Lake Street Capital Markets

Excellent. Thank you, guys.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thanks, Mark.

Operator

Our next question comes from Tyler Prause from Stephens. Tyler, please go ahead.

Tyler Prause
Senior Research Associate, Stephens Inc.

Hey, guys. Congrats on the quarter, and thanks so much for taking my question here. The strength of the consumer has been a large point of discussion industry-wide during this earnings season, and we really appreciate your focus on providing an affordable luxury through compelling entry-level price points and allowing some consumers to trade up if they please. I was gonna see if you could talk more about what you're seeing for consumers at your two concepts. Are you seeing any notable call-outs such as trade down, mix management, or maybe variance of trends by region or day part?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Tyler the only noticeable factor I probably see today different from, you know, maybe six months ago is perhaps the build of the business Monday through Sunday. I do think that the weekends are super robust, so Friday, Saturday business, lots of appetite and particularly because we have focused on social occasions and including date nights, we see a tremendous amount of demand for our product. I think Mondays through Wednesday, I do think that there, I think that's if there's a place where the consumer might be making, you know, more decisions about going out or not, is on those days of the week

As you pointed out there, I think that our happy hour program, particularly with the $3, $6, and $9 price points is super compelling. We still see tremendous strength on those days in happy hour, so people are coming out for that. As you know, we go out of our way to convert that into the dinner business. The only other thing I would say about the consumer, I do think that brunch, which is a day part that we focus on, is clearly becoming very important on Sundays. Particularly for us, brunch is a very good price point, particularly for STK brands.

We do see a lot of excitement about the brunch day part on the STK brand. Overall, from in-store behavior of customers, doing less when they're in the restaurants, we do not see that at the STK brand and Kona Grill, we don't see that either. We do actually see more people trading up to surf and turfs at the Kona brand, which is actually a higher price point. And we believe that they're doing that because the product is very good. I think that's where, you know, managing perhaps the consumer behavior by having this great PMix. That's what we've seen. We've seen basically a little bit more velocity of visits towards the weekend.

Other than that, it's really all about managing a great product and a great experience in the restaurant.

Tyler Prause
Senior Research Associate, Stephens Inc.

Wonderful. I appreciate that. I've got one follow-up. Just kind of shifting gears here. Could you remind us how you're currently contracted on commodities, you know, specifically beef, and kind of how those contracts are, you know, shaping up in 2023?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yeah, good question. On beef, we don't have contracted quantities, but we do have pricing arrangements with our vendors. For us, that seems to be relatively stable, actually very stable, out for the next 90 -1 80 days. The other one that we actually actively lock in is seafood, and we've been able to lock at very good seafood pricing. Seafood, particularly shrimp and lobster and the frozen products. I would say overall, the stuff that we actually work in and we lock pricing or quantities, I think we're actually pretty good, favorable or equal to last year's prices.

Tyler Prause
Senior Research Associate, Stephens Inc.

Awesome. Just one final question here. I know you kind of touched on price a little bit during the call, but what was the price that you ran for the fourth quarter for effective?

Taylor Loy
CFO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yes. yeah, from a consolidated perspective, it's right around 6%, and that's pretty consistent across each brand.

Tyler Prause
Senior Research Associate, Stephens Inc.

Okay, great. I appreciate your time today.

Taylor Loy
CFO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thanks, Tyler.

Operator

We have a question from Nick Setyan from Wedbush Securities. Nick, please go ahead.

Nick Setyan
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Wedbush Securities

Thank you. Can we just hone in on the Kona brand and, you know, the -7% comp? You know, I guess what's driving that, first of all, is it just the, you know, tough compares, you know, particularly when you think about the pricing that's in there, so, you know, -double digit, presumably, transactions. You know, maybe just, you know, how things have trended thus far in Q1, you know, given the industry strength across, you know, almost all categories. Just kind of internally how you're thinking about, you know, the Kona comp as 2023 progresses. Thank you.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yeah, I mean, so there is no presumed double digits traffic in Kona in the fourth quarter. I think they're in the mid-single digits on the traffic down. The reality is for the fourth quarter for Kona Grill is that we were going up a very strong comp in 2021. As you may recall, we were up 34% in the fourth quarter for Kona Grill relative to 2019, which was pre-COVID. I would say that if I had to evaluate Kona Grill's comp is that we were, if not best, one of the best in class for casual in the fourth quarter last year, maybe ex Texas Roadhouse that did very, very well.

I would say we would be top of industry. This year, obviously, we're going up against tremendous amount of excitement from that in the prior year. It was just a very hard lap this year. As I look at 2023 for Kona Grill, I'm very encouraged with the start of the year. As a matter of fact, for quarter to date, Kona Grill is relatively flat year-over-year and on the same store sales. Then we have some strong performance from the new unit at $115,000. I think $115,000 a week for Kona Grill is actually very good results for the industry.

As I look at Kona Grill for the rest of 2023, particularly the quality of the new sites coming out, I'm looking for a fantastic year for Kona Grill this year. As well as if I look at the margin in the fourth quarter, we're up in the mid double digits. I think we're 13.1% for the quarter on the margin. I think that, you know, the concern coming from the third quarter was the margin, and I think that the team has done an exceptional job of working on that margin, and obviously the pricing also helps. I'm super excited about 2023 for Kona Grill.

Nick Setyan
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Wedbush Securities

Okay. I was gonna ask about sort of, you know, the trajectory of the margins at Kona. You know, I guess the guidance, the overall guidance implies some expansion in the Kona, you know, restaurant level margins. Maybe just walk us through in terms of the kind of inflation you expect of both brands in 2023 and the kind of pricing that, you know, you're contemplating.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Pricing right now, we don't have any pricing in mind right now additionally to what we've done with Kona Grill. As I we look out for the rest of. Again, it's always difficult to get in particular in the current environment. Tyler and I are thinking somewhere between 2%-4% in inflation for the year, so much more moderate in that. You're accurate that our guidance for the year implies that, you know, we've made progress. As our fourth quarter number shows, we have made progress on the margin at Kona Grill, and a lot of it is permanent adjustments that we make to the business model.

Also keep in mind that the new restaurants, and the new restaurant design, if you haven't been to the new one yet, is designed to be labor and margin friendly. We've shrunk the sushi bar in Kona Grill, which is a heavy labor user. I think as the mix of the new design restaurants come into play, I think you will see the brand really coming to some very nice margins. I think the new prototype is in the 70% level margin. yeah, I mean, that's kind of the path that we now have for Kona Grill is continued working sales and the volumes in the new stores should be additive to the AOV for the brand. I think that the margin will improve for the brand.

Nick Setyan
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Wedbush Securities

Great. Thank you very much.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thanks, Nick.

Operator

Our next question comes from JP Woollen from ROTH MKM. Please go ahead.

John Paul Woollen
Equity Research Associate, ROTH MKM

Great. Good evening, guys, and thanks for taking the questions. Maybe if we could just start with kind of the development pipeline at Kona. I just wanna make sure I'm understanding correctly. The idea is something in the range of two-four units for 2023. I was just hoping maybe you could expand on that a little bit. If I recall, I think we had three units pushed from last year into this year, and so maybe we're kind of expecting to have had a few more coming in 2023. Anything you can maybe call out there and just confirm that two-four is the right number?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

I mean, we have opened Columbus, now left in the pipeline, at least that we're already working on, is Riverton is pretty much almost built. We have Phoenix, Desert Ridge that's almost also built. Then we have Henderson in Nevada, which is also already in progress. Then Tigard is the next one that we're working on. Then we're doing the next one in Lake Union, Washington State. We have all those sites in the process, and it's just a matter of opening them. As we've discussed in the past, we are very sensitive to our neighborhood when we open these restaurants.

Riverton, we're just waiting a couple more weeks here to get to a place where I feel comfortable with the surrounding market, and we will open that here. Desert Ridge wouldn't be that, you know, that much after that. Our commitment is three-five on Kona Grill. You are correct, we did push two. We did push the openings into the beginning of this year. We're gonna get through those relatively quick here at the beginning of the year, and then we will start working on the remaining pipeline towards the end of 2023.

John Paul Woollen
Equity Research Associate, ROTH MKM

Okay, great. Thanks. Thanks for the clarity there. If we could kind of turn a little bit to STK, I just want to talk for a second. I think earlier last year, we kind of talked a little bit about holiday event business and kind of what that could mean for Q4. I'm just curious if there's anything now that we're through that you can tell us about kind of how the event business went, corporate events, holiday parties, anything like that. Just whether that gives you kind of any changes to your thoughts or your plans for 2023 and kind of targets there.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yeah. I think as we've discussed previously, the business continues to build, so we do have positive, you know, momentum on that business. I think the fourth quarter, you know, the books were really good for those type of events. I would say that and although I'm not a weather guy and I don't talk about weather a lot, you know, we did have, you know, some harsh weather. In December too, which I think kind of put a little bit of a damper perhaps on some of the event business and the stuff going on in the quarter. I would say overall, I would say that it was a very promising and actually very positive business there.

I think coming into this year, 2023, we've already seen the convention business really spark up, particularly, I think as we said in our prepared comments, Orlando, Vegas. Vegas has been very strong on that. I think that Our outlook for that business is very favorable this year. Although from a STK perspective, also as I discussed there, really owning holidays and owning date night has become a very strong part of that brand, particularly in the city. I'm very excited about that. Anyhow, a strong outlook for business by Intel this year.

John Paul Woollen
Equity Research Associate, ROTH MKM

Great. Thanks. If I could just sneak one last one in there. Just to call out the strength you're seeing at the new openings, Dallas and San Francisco, you know, is there anything you can share just about, you know, what you're, what you're learning there, what you're taking away and kind of why things are going so great there? Would just be great to know as you think about the upcoming openings.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

I mean, I'd like to first of all, give credit to the brand on those openings. When we're coming out to opening those restaurants, I think people know the brand really well, 'cause, you know, we have grown quite a bit. I think just the brand awareness and the way that we go about defining our geography. We're, you know, Dallas is a very complementary, very great city for steak. We're really picking some great cities in terms of development for STK. I think the combination of that cities and geography and quality of real estate as well as the brand being there.

The last thing I would say on the success of the openings is our focus on marketing has always been digital, and we have, in my opinion, really become a incredible digital marketed brand. We are able to create a lot of excitement and a lot of through social, a lot of excitement about these openings. I think the combination of those things has really led to these great opening revenues. Again, I think as we mentioned in our prepared statements, we only expect $150-$160 to get to those 50% type of returns.

At these kind of volumes, our payback on these restaurants are less than one year, so it's a very good problem to have for Tyler here that we can pay him back in that short period. Again, it's those three components and we'll continue opening them in big cities and great pieces of real estate. The brand still does very well. I expect that we will have a very good development year in 2023.

John Paul Woollen
Equity Research Associate, ROTH MKM

Great. Thank you for your time. Best of luck.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thank you, sir.

Operator

We have a question from Roger Lipton from Lipton Financial. Roger, go ahead.

Roger Lipton
President and Founder, Lipton Financial Services

Yes, thanks very much for taking my question. Just, Manny, can you just give us a little more feedback on in terms of the STK openings, the next several openings, are they gonna be company operated or managed facilities?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yeah. The next sequence, which is Charlotte, Boston, Washington D.C., and then we also have Aventura in Florida and Philadelphia, those will be all company owned, and they're all A real estate, so we're super excited about all those locations.

Roger Lipton
President and Founder, Lipton Financial Services

Roughly when might they open?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Charlotte is very close. Boston will be two-three months after we finish Charlotte. Then, you know, you could plan the other ones to come about one month-six weeks thereafter each other. That's kind of our, of how we look at timing of openings for those.

Roger Lipton
President and Founder, Lipton Financial Services

What's your net investment, the cash out, on this current crop of stores?

Taylor Loy
CFO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yeah. Roger, this is Tyler. We typically net anticipate new STK units to be about $3.8 million, roughly.

Roger Lipton
President and Founder, Lipton Financial Services

Mm-hmm.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Excluding pre-opening costs.

Taylor Loy
CFO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Yep.

Roger Lipton
President and Founder, Lipton Financial Services

Right. Okay. Have your rents escalated with this inflationary environment?

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

I would say that the answer is, at least for us, and this is not a really market read, I think for us, particularly because of the high demand for STK and even in Kona Grill's, I think that we've been able to get some very competitive rates on rent. My answer actually is our, I think our rents are very good relative to what historical levels has been in some of the cities that we're going into. The answer is no, I have not seen any impact on rent rates because of the inflation.

Roger Lipton
President and Founder, Lipton Financial Services

Okay, good. Thanks very much.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thanks, Roger.

Operator

This concludes our Question- and-A nswer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to CEO Manny Hilario for any closing remarks.

Manny Hilario
President and CEO, The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.

Thank you. As always, I wanna close the call here by thanking our incredible team, which do an incredible job every day, living our mission of operating great restaurants, and focusing on exceptional and unforgettable guest experiences to every guest, every time. Thank you for that. I also wanna thank everyone for having an interest in our company and being on the call today. I'm sure I'll run into all of you in our restaurants in the next couple weeks. Thank you everyone for being on the call.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you so much for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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