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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

Feb 6, 2023

Operator

Good afternoon, welcome to the Skyworks Solutions first quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings call. This call is being recorded. At this time, I will turn the call over to Mitch Haws, investor relations for Skyworks. Mr. Haws, please go ahead.

Mitch Haws
VP of Investor Relations, Skyworks Solutions

Thank you, JP. Good afternoon, everyone, welcome to Skyworks first fiscal quarter 2023 conference call. With me today are Liam Griffin, our chairman, CEO, and president, and Kris Sennesael, our chief financial officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that our discussion will include statements relating to future results and expectations that are or may be considered forward-looking statements. Please refer to our earnings press release and recent SEC filings, including our annual report on Form 10-K, for information on certain risks that could cause actual outcomes to differ materially and adversely from any forward-looking statements made today. Additionally, the results and guidance we will discuss include non-GAAP financial measures consistent with our past practice. Please refer to our press release within the investor relations section of our company website for a complete reconciliation to GAAP.

With that, I'll turn the call to Liam.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Thanks, Mitch. Welcome everyone. Skyworks delivered solid first fiscal quarter results with revenue exceeding consensus estimates, strong profitability, and record cash flow performance. Looking at Q1 in more detail, we delivered revenue of $1.329 billion, drove gross margin of 51.5% and operating margin of 37%. We posted earnings per share of $2.59. We generated $773 million of operating cash flow, a quarterly record for Skyworks. In addition to the solid financial results, we expanded our design win pipeline in several emerging high-growth segments. In IoT, we extended our broadening technology portfolio across a growing customer base.

We partnered with AT&T to launch their first Wi-Fi 6 gateways, unveiled the industry's first Wi-Fi 7 networking system with TP-Link, and leveraged our advanced connectivity portfolio to support 6 gigahertz fixed wireless access points at Cambium Networks. Across Infrastructure & Automotive and industrial markets, we integrated Power over Ethernet functionality in Cisco modular switches for enterprise networks. We ramped timing platforms to meet high precision and speed requirements for the leading data centers. We delivered frequency generation and clock distribution technology for 5G massive MIMO deployments. In automotive, we achieved our sixth consecutive quarter of record revenue, strengthening our EV design win pipeline with onboard charger content at a Japanese automotive supplier and securing design wins for digital radio platforms with a top European OEM.

Moving forward, the rapid expansion of mobile network traffic, advances in cloud and edge computing, IoT, and the electrification of vehicles are major trends that drive complexity and demand for our highly integrated and customized solutions. A few highlights underscore these remarks. Wireless connections continue to proliferate, with mobile network traffic doubling over the past two years. Market estimates project over 25 billion IoT devices to be installed by 2027. The automotive industry is undergoing a revolutionary shift towards electrification of autonomous vehicles, with EVs projected to make up over 30% of the U.S. market by 2030. Skyworks is well-positioned to capture growth upon these opportunities in transformative markets, leveraging key technologies, human capital, and significant scale. Collaborating with our partners and customers, we are leveraging key technologies from TC SAW to high-performance Bulk Acoustic Wave filtering, gallium arsenide, and state-of-the-art packaging.

These skills and capabilities position Skyworks to play a leading role in this fast-evolving, rapidly growing landscape. With that, I will now turn the call over to Kris for a discussion of last quarter's performance and our outlook for Q2.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Thanks, Liam. Skyworks revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2023 was $1.329 billion, exceeding consensus estimates. Mobile was approximately 65% of total revenue, with weakness in Android as customers work down their inventory levels. Broad markets was approximately 35% of revenue, with a strong contribution from automotive, infrastructure, industrial, and the global shift to Wi-Fi 6E and 7. Gross profit was $684 million, resulting in a gross margin of 51.5%, up 30 basis points year-over-year and up 20 basis points sequentially. Operating expenses were $193 million or 14.5% of revenue. We generated $491 million of operating income, translating into an operating margin of 37%.

We incurred $16 million of other expense and our effective tax rate was 12.8%, driving net income of $415 million and diluted earnings per share of $2.59. Turning to the cash flow. First fiscal quarter cash flow from operations was an all-time record of $773 million. Capital expenditures were $64 million, resulting in a record free cash flow of $709 million and a free cash flow margin of 53%. We paid $99 million in dividends and repurchased approximately 1.8 million shares of our common stock for a total of $166 million in the quarter. On a trailing twelve-month basis, we have returned $1.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

Today, we announced that our board of directors has approved a new $2 billion stock repurchase program, highlighting their confidence in our business and its ability to continue generating strong free cash flow. Let's move on to our outlook for Q2 of fiscal 2023. We anticipate revenue between $1.125 billion and $1.175 billion. Gross margin is projected to be in the range of 50%-50.5%. We expect operating expenses of approximately $189 million-$191 million. Below the line, we anticipate roughly $19 million in other expense and an effective tax rate of 12.5%-13%. We expect our diluted share count to be approximately 159.5 million shares.

Accordingly, at the midpoint of the revenue range of $1.15 billion, we intend to deliver diluted earnings per share of $2.02. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Liam.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Thanks, Kris. Skyworks delivered solid first quarter results, demonstrating strong profitability and record free cash flow generation. Importantly, our technology-centric operational scale and expanding set of innovative solutions are fueling a robust design win pipeline, positioning Skyworks to continue to outperform. Despite a challenging macro environment, Skyworks remains well-positioned. With the most diverse customer and solution set in our history, a technically seasoned and talented workforce, a strong balance sheet, and predictable cash generation underpinning our ability to fund future opportunities while returning cash to our shareholders. That concludes our prepared remarks.

Mitch Haws
VP of Investor Relations, Skyworks Solutions

Operator, can we begin the question and answer session?

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. Should you have any question, please press star one, followed on your touchtone phone. You will hear a three-tone prompt acknowledging your request. Given time constraints, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Your first question comes from the line of Ambrish Srivastava from BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Ambrish Srivastava
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thank you very much. Thanks for, excuse me, taking my question. That was a pretty short prepared remarks, Liam and Kris, always appreciate it. I just wanted to get a little bit of your thoughts on excess inventory. Qorvo has talked about maybe a whole year before component inventory comes back in check. MediaTek has talked about finished good inventory and overall 3.5 months, if I remember correctly, winding down to 2 months. What's your take on the inventory, excuse me, your inventory as well as on the channel? A quick follow-up on your own balance sheet inventory was up quite a bit. How should we think about it going forward, Kris? Thank you.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Sure. Yeah, this is Liam. You know, of course, at Skyworks, we're a very operational-centric and technology company together. A lot of our products, the lion's share of our products are done in-house in our own fabs, in our own assembly and test locations. We have really good eyes and ears on the balances here, whether it be inventory on our sites or even with our partners. We are very, very careful to ensure that we are aligning our revenue with natural demand. We always wanna be, you know, right on step with our customers. I think our teams have done an incredible job. There are markets today, right now that, you know, there has been some excess inventory, and we're letting that bleed down. Our exposure there is extremely small.

You know, some of the markets in China are a little bit more volatile, but in those cases, we have very little exposure. I think it's important to note that, you know, we can control our ship and our products, working with the best customers out there. Lots of great communication with our customers as well. Everybody's on the same page, and we feel really good about that. I think it's something we'll continue to work through and be well positioned for the back half of the year.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Ambrish, as it relates to the inventory on our balance sheet, it's definitely somewhat at an elevated level, but I'm very comfortable with the level of inventory that we have, right now. You have to take into account that we came out of a period where supply chains were challenged. We definitely wanted to make sure we support all the customer demand. We've been increasing some of the buffer stocks. Now more recently, of course, we have seen some softness due to some macroeconomic challenges. We have been adjusting our wafer starts and factory loadings accordingly. We've been doing that for a couple quarters now proactively.

Having said that, again, it's a little bit elevated. But you have to keep in mind that we are level loading our factories, and we do expect, based on known design wins, the business to bounce back, especially in the second half of calendar year 2023. We will continue to level load to support those big ramps based on known design wins with many of our customers. We also do expect some of the Android-based business in Korea and China to bounce back in the second half of the year. We will continue to make adjustments. I do expect that the days of inventory will come down back to more normalized level in the second half of the calendar year.

Ambrish Srivastava
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Blayne Curtis from Barclays. Your line is now open.

Blayne Curtis
Analyst, Barclays

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks, Tim. A question I had too, obviously, you know, it's a tough mobile backdrop. I think these are pretty good results. I'm just curious, if you could level set us for December. I don't know if you're willing to give how much your largest customer was. In the March guidance, if you could just, you know, talk through how you're thinking about the iOS versus Android there. I mean, does Android bottom in December or March? You know, any thoughts on the recovery for Android?

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

As it relates to the large customer, revenue, that large customer was approximately 68% of total revenue. That clearly demonstrates great execution by the team supporting that large customer in the ramp of their new, phone lineup. We have some great content, in that phone, some really high-performance complex devices, many of those devices leveraging our Bulk Acoustic Wave, filtering. I think we did really well in the December quarter, despite the fact that, as you know, the large customer talked about that they were somewhat supply constrained due to some, COVID-related issues in China. The team here executed really well in December with that customer.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. Blayne, just to follow up, we are, you know, starting to get back on the saddle here with the Android portfolio. As you know, we've actually been holding back because there was some inventory in that channel. I think there still is, but it's been bleeding. The opportunity for us to have incremental gains there is very high, given the fact that we kinda stayed on the sidelines until these inventory levels got to a more normalized position. It's not about the product. The products are ready to roll. We've got everything we need to drive that business, but we just wanna be careful as the markets move forward. But we have the design win momentum for sure.

Blayne Curtis
Analyst, Barclays

Then I wanted to ask you on broad markets, you know, whether you think that business would be up in March as part of the guidance? Then I know you had a record INA quarter in September. Just kinda curious how that business is doing trajectory-wise.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. In the broad markets, as we said, was in December, roughly 35% of our overall revenue. It was slightly down on a year-over-year basis, as we see similar things that some of our peers and competitors are seeing in that market due to some microeconomic headwinds. There's a little bit of a softer demand. On the flip side, we definitely saw strength for Skyworks Solutions in the Automotive segment, some parts of the Infrastructure & Automotive and industrial segments. As we said as well, we see some really good traction in the upgrade to Wi-Fi 6E, which is a big step up in content, as well as some early design wins that are being turned into revenue for Wi-Fi 7.

As it relates to, the March quarter, we do expect broad markets to be slightly down sequentially, somewhat in line with normal seasonality.

Blayne Curtis
Analyst, Barclays

Thanks, Kris.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Gary Mobley from Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Gary Mobley
Senior Equity Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. There have been some, you know, teardown reports out there that have highlighted your content associated with, you know, the satellite link, I guess in particular with your largest customer, somewhere in the order of, you know, four or five specific sockets for you guys. Can you speak to, you know, the content opportunity for you, not only the iOS world, but as well the Android world?

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. I think, you know, we are engaged with all of the relatives and meaningful applications. I think if you're referring to Satcom, is that right?

Gary Mobley
Senior Equity Analyst, Wells Fargo

Mm-hmm. That's right.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah, sure. Absolutely. You know, we have the technology, the IP, and kind of the building blocks to make that work. It's still early in the global market, but it's definitely an opportunity to bring more scale to units. We definitely are, you know, we're engaged, we're involved. We have the technologies to make some of these work. We also have the partnerships with the companies that can do some of the, you know, kind of the groundwork to have that network evolve. It would be a great opportunity for a company like Skyworks. We have many of the building blocks. We understand the radio frequency space deeply, and in the Satcom world as well.

It's an evolving opportunity, and we'll definitely be at the table. We are today, but, you know, more upside to come as the markets evolve.

Gary Mobley
Senior Equity Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. As my follow-up, I wanted to ask about utilization of your supply. It sounds like you won't have any underutilization charges associated with internal supply, at least not for the intermediate term. Maybe if you can speak to, you know, external supply purchase commitments there and your ability to fully utilize those without, you know, taking any sort of reserve.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah, Gary, as I indicated before, we have been managing this proactively for many quarters right now. We are adjusting our factory loadings all the time, depending on the demand that we see. Of course, the earlier you do that, the more proactive you are, the more you can take the time to, of course, accordingly adjust your cost structure, taking out costs where needed, while at the same time, of course, continue to work on operational efficiencies, yield improvements, and so on. We've done that with our internal factories. We've done that with our third party, purchasers and vendors as well, having an open dialogue, making sure we have, on one hand, enough capacity in place, but at the same time, not overcommitting as well.

I think the team has executed pretty well on that.

Gary Mobley
Senior Equity Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thanks, Kris and Liam. Appreciate it.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Sure.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Toshiya Hari from Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

Toshiya Hari
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Hey, thanks so much for taking the question. Liam, I was hoping you could provide a little bit more context, a little bit more color around your Broad Markets business. I think you talked about record revenue in your Automotive business and strength across comms and the Industrial end market as well. You know, specifically, I was hoping you could size those individual buckets within Broad Markets in calendar 2022, you know, where you landed from a revenue standpoint across those key end markets, and how you're thinking about the forward. On the forward, I guess, you know, the commentary on Automotive from most of your peers continues to be pretty bullish and pretty positive, but there are signs of moderation in comms and Industrial.

I was hoping to hear what you're seeing in those markets as well.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Sure. Well, you know, we put a lot of energy into those markets, and we're getting, you know, great returns. You know, the size of the opportunity there is substantial. Some of those products and markets that were not really the purview of Skyworks two, three, four years ago, but they are now. The automotive opportunity for Skyworks has been incredible, leveraging some of the IP that we brought in with the SLAB I&A deal, coupled with our own internal developments and design wins and technology partners. We've got a business now that is in the hundreds of millions of dollars a year, really at a time where, you know, EV and electrification of vehicles is really just starting.

I think this is gonna be an incredible piece for us, one of the markets that will drive our broad markets portfolio. The other thing is the IoT space generally is really clicking now for us. Y-you've heard for years that if we think about, you know, our solutions, they're not just handsets. We leverage the handset because it's a great opportunity to demonstrate, you know, what benefits we could have as a user. We're starting to drive the same types of technologies in IoT, things like Wi-Fi, for example, GPS, many, many other sensor technologies that we can populate with our solutions.

Some of that core wireless engines don't have to be specific to smartphones, but that technology, that know-how, that scale, the ability for Skyworks to uniquely develop end market solutions, I think is quite a differentiator. We're really, you know, just getting the wheels turned on those opportunities. There's definitely quite a large opportunity set for us over the next 4 to 5 years.

Toshiya Hari
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Thank you. Then, as a quick follow-up, one for Kris on gross margin. You know, in the December quarter, you know, your margins came in in line. They were up a little bit both sequentially and year-over-year, despite revenue declining, both sequentially and year-over-year. Curious what were some of the positive offsets in December? Then more importantly, for the March quarter, you're guiding gross margins down, I guess roughly 100 basis points, give or take. Is that primarily revenue or something else going on? Thank you.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. First of all, I'm pleased with the fact that in December, we did 51.5% gross margins, up 30 basis points year-over-year, up 20 basis points sequentially, despite the challenging macroeconomic environment. I think, again, kudos to the team who continue to drive operational efficiencies into our factories, with great execution there. That's really, I think, the main driver there, how we are able to keep up the margins where they are, again, despite some of the adjustments that we make in terms of factory loadings. As it relates to March, you have a little bit of a mix that comes into play, and some of those headwinds, right? The revenue, as you indicated, that translate into the adjustments we make on the factory loadings.

When you put it all together, I'm guiding margins in the low 50s%. On one hand, I'm not happy with it. I wish it was 53%, and we're gonna continue to work hard to get it to 53%. On the other hand, I'm happy with where we are from a margin point of view right now.

Toshiya Hari
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matt Ramsay from Cowen. Your line is now open.

Matt Ramsay
Managing Director, Cowen

Yes. Thank you very much. Good afternoon, guys.

I wanted to ask about sort of inventory levels. I mean, there's been tons of conversation through this earnings cycle around inventory levels in the smartphone space, I'm maybe more curious about the broad markets business. You guys mentioned a couple of times the obvious macroeconomic things that are going on and maybe affecting that business, having it be down a little bit. How diverse is the inventory situation in the broad markets business? Maybe you just kind of walk through what business goes direct, what business goes through the channel, and how you're seeing inventory levels just for broad markets in the near term. Thanks.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Sure. Sure. This is Liam. The good news here is the broad market portfolio is very diverse, extremely diverse. It's leading towards a lot of great opportunity in many different end markets. We have a pretty decent play there, and our teams on the operational side are, you know, highly sophisticated. We have our own supply chains. We do most of our stuff in-house, so we have a really good read on inventories are and where they should be. I think we're managing it quite well. There's certainly some pockets of inventory out there, but really, you know, nothing that's gonna impede the progress of the business. I think the really cool thing is the number of new customers that we're bringing in.

You know, there's a mix issue when you, when you're doing kind of the tens and $20,000 accounts versus the $1 million accounts that you may have in some of the smartphone space. A little bit of a different play, but the diversification, the margin profiles are outstanding. Like you know, Skyworks is an operator. We do just about everything in-house, and the ability to do that also includes great supply chain management, you know, our sales teams being online, understanding where distribution plays versus direct. There's a lot of angles there that we can control. It's not easy, but it's the way we work this business. I think, you know, we're starting to really see the benefits there in broad market in the diversification. You know, we've talked about a few major new segments like automotive.

Automotive is really tough. You've got to get certification. You've got to prove your ability to execute in challenging environments. There's a lot there. We've done all that work. You know, we've really kind of flexed our muscles in some of the tough cases in mobile over the years. Those, the efforts there and the knowledge that we built is applicable for so many other markets. We look forward to it. You know, there's always gonna be a couple of bumps and a few wrinkles, but the diversification is playing well. The customer set is growing. You know, the lion's share of our top-tier customers are really accounts and companies that matter. We're looking forward to more as we go forward.

Matt Ramsay
Managing Director, Cowen

Thanks for the color there, Liam. Really appreciate it. Kris, just to follow up on that topic, you had said in your script about the business snapping back in the mobile business in the back half of the calendar year, and I think we're all kind of modeling that, as we work our way through the inventory correction in smartphone. Just seasonally, or based on the inventory comments that Liam just made, how do you think about the shape of the year potentially in broad markets? Is that a business that can still grow again for the fiscal year? Just how do we, how should we think about the shape of that as it comes back? Thanks.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah, no. We, our broad markets business, as you know, it's a $2 billion, on or about $2 billion business on an annual basis. Despite some of those macroeconomic headwinds and challenges and somewhat softer demand and maybe a little bit of inventory correction that is going on, we do believe that we can grow our broad markets business this year. I'm not gonna repeat what Liam just said, but we have strong design win momentum. We play in some high growth markets, with some really key technologies and based on all of that, we do believe we can grow our broad markets business.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Edward Snyder from Charter Equity Research. Your line is now open.

Edward Snyder
Co-Founder and Principal Analyst, Charter Equity Research

Thank you. Sounds like you're doing very well at your largest customers and you plan to do well again this year. Real quick question about Samsung and, first of all, did they broach 10% this quarter? More importantly, both in Samsung and in China, you've kind of missed a falling knife there because you don't really participate very much at all. I know that, you know, Samsung is converting over to modules in the mass tiers, et cetera. What are your prospects for, let's say, revenue growth, because everything is going to be content growth, specifically at Samsung this year? Because, you know, phone demand is slowing for them. The ASPs in their flagship are way below where they were when they were doing a custom design.

I know that the flip side is true for the mass tier, but you don't play big in the mass tier. I'm trying to get a better profile of what you think seriously could occur this year, calendar year 2022, at Samsung, given all the different moving parts and the fact that luckily you weren't playing much there at all in the last year or two. If you maybe could break that down between flagship and mass tier, what you think about each of those prospects, that would be helpful. I had a follow-up, please.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Just add, Samsung was less than a 10% customer. I think it's very well documented. They are going through an inventory burn-off period right now. Again, proactively, we have reduced our shipments to that customer, especially in the December quarter. I'll hand it over to Liam to provide some more color on-

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

On Samsung.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

I mean, it's, look, Samsung is a major player in the industry, and I think they got banged up a bit here. In the cycle as did some other Android players. You know, we've been working through that, Ed, and the irony is that we've actually got some pretty good content in those phones. We look forward for, you know, the inventory to get cleared, and we'll be up and to the right in terms of our business there. You know, I think some of that is just the volatility that, you know, the semiconductor industry and even beyond, I mean, the technology industry is going through and trying to sort through ways to get back on their feet, so to speak.

you know, we're very focused on our own inventory and our own supply chain, so we have eyes and ears. We never want it too hot or too cold. We wanna be able to deliver what the customers want. We stepped back a bit on Android as the inventory levels were building in the channel. We didn't want any part of that. Samsung's a great customer, you know, just having some bumps. We're gonna work with them and ensure that we can do everything we can to help, not only on the technology side, but even on the fulfillment side. I think that's a temporary blip. Honestly, I think Samsung is gonna continue to do very well.

They're a significant company with a lot of technology and the markets in Korea are very dynamic, and cell phones and technologies that we make are vital and viewed as a really, you know, critical asset for a person there. We think that's gonna blow over and, you know, we'll start to see more accretive revenue in the second half.

Edward Snyder
Co-Founder and Principal Analyst, Charter Equity Research

If I could, you've done particularly well with your BAW. Actually, it was rather surprising to see you go head to head with some of the leading BAW guys and actually win in that. I'm trying to get my arms around second half of the year, say, content growth. We saw you took the satellite with your own teardown. We got your satellite part. I think we illustrated that you got, well, twice as many BAW filters in your TRX, your transmit TRX module as last year. I know it sounds from this call and from what we've picked up, that you're pretty optimistic about second half content.

Should we be looking for new classes of parts like you did with satellite, or is it going to be more content, especially in the BAW side of the business with some of the existing as capability spread? We're also obviously hearing, you know, Qualcomm made no secret of the fact that they're going to gain some in areas they hadn't before, like antennaplexers. I'm just trying to get, wrap my arms around how competitive the market's going to be in BAW and where you guys think you'll fit in with that, given how well you've done the last couple of years. Thanks.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah, no, that's great. That's great, Ed. I mean, you know the business and you know the technology. The nice thing here is, you know, I felt like, you know, some of the technologies were ready to go, but the market wasn't there, right? The appetite, the consumer appetite or the customer appetite wasn't really, you know, jumping all over this technology. Now you're starting to see, you know, as we get more and more nodes, and we're starting to get more efficient in delivering, you know, high-speed data, and it's just becoming a, an opportunity for us now for at a more broad level.

I think you're gonna see, you know, a small set of players, of which we're gonna be one, of course, that can do what needs to be done with these incredible customers. The customers today, you know, it's changed so much from a standard set cell phone. The needs, the requirements, the current consumption, the ability to roam globally, it's becoming more and more complex, and we love that. That's exactly what we wanna see. We wanna solve the tough problems. You know, from the technology side, Ed, this stuff is not easy, right? When you're bringing in all these disparate technologies into one simple module, apparently simple, right? It's really hard to do.

It's one of the things that, you know, our teams here at Skyworks love to do, our technologists, our operational team, all the way to sales. We love that opportunity. We love that complexity, and the more use cases that are, that emerge are great for us.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. And just to illustrate that point, our revenue from devices that have BAW filters inside is getting really close to a $2 billion annualized run rate. It's definitely a major success story, and we believe that number will continue to go up to the right.

Edward Snyder
Co-Founder and Principal Analyst, Charter Equity Research

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Chris Caso from Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Chris Caso
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Yes, thank you. Good afternoon. Question about the Android business in general and how that translates to the linearity through the year. You said last quarter that you thought that the China business would be the low point in December. Did that turn out to be true? Is that true in general for Android, either in December or March? If that business is sort of bottoming out, does that have any implications for June? Do you think that March quarter would be the low point in the year for revenue?

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. I think that's fair. December was low. March will continue to remain low as especially China, Oppo, Vivo, Xiaomi, and to a certain extent, Samsung as well, are still going through this inventory burn-off process. I think we will start seeing some improvements in the June quarter, and then for sure in the back half of calendar year 2023.

Chris Caso
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Got it. That's helpful. Thank you. Maybe a little longer term. You know, as we look at the revenue prospects, you know, over the next 2 years or so after we get through this inventory correction that's going on right now, what do you expect to be the relative growth rates between the mobile business and broad markets? You know, I know you've spoken a lot about, you know, the content that you expect to get in the mobile business. Do you expect that you can grow the broad markets business at a faster rate? You know, maybe 2 years out, what do you expect broad markets to be as a % of revenue?

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

I would definitely, Chris, we're expecting double-digit top-line on the broad markets for sure, you know, mid-level top-line, and we should be in the teens, I believe. Given what we can do, what our products look like, and, you know, obviously when the air gets clean, the markets will be stronger. I think we're gonna be in great shape. Even on the mobile side, you know, there's a lot of invention and unique technologies that are being brought up in mobile that people haven't really seen yet. The best customers in the world know what they're doing, and there's a lot of incredible opportunity for the right types of technologies, and the technologies that we make are those technologies.

I think we're gonna have, you know, a nice combination with, you know, again, our strength in mobile, which is a disciplined approach. We know what we're doing. We're working with the right people. It's not easy. We've made great, you know, steps in capital. A lot of our CapEx is behind us right now. That's another key point. We talked about the free cash flow on the call already. The diversification theme, Kris, is really playing nicely. You heard questions about satellite, for example. You look at the broad markets, think about our hundreds of millions of dollars of automotive revenue that we didn't have three or four years ago.

We have really core technologies that we can take across a broad set of mobile and connected devices. This is an extrapolation now of new applications that is really driving the business. You're gonna see more and more of that as we go through. It's, it's unfortunate right now that the market is just, you know, we're all in kind of a bit of a slowdown here as we're emerging. We've got great stock that's ready to go and design wins that have been cemented, and those will roll out in the second half of the year for sure.

Chris Caso
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Karl Ackerman from BNP Paribas. Your line is now open.

Karl Ackerman
Research Analyst, BNP Paribas

Yes. Hey, thanks, Sravan. 2 questions if I may. First, I know you have little exposure to China Android right now, but one of the investor concerns is that you may have lost content, and so perhaps you won't receive as much of a snapback as some of your peers when China demand eventually recovers. I was hoping you could address why those concerns might not be warranted. I have a follow-up.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. I mean, I'm glad you asked the question. We're ready to roll with Android. We have the technologies, we have the products, but we're not gonna fill the channels, right? I mean, there was a bit of an overhang there. We wanna run discipline, you know, in our business. I will say, you know, that inventory overhang is starting to abate already. We see it. We have product ready to go, high quality, you know, top of line technology that we can move in. You know, I can't tell you exactly when that, but it's definitely happening, and we're ready. It's an upside in our pocket that we haven't really, you know, rolled out.

You know, we've had years and years of great position in China, OVX specifically. You know, Oppo, Vivo, Xiaomi, and then, you know, Samsung on its own vector, which is a huge company. It's just unfortunate that those markets got banged up. That they're going through a, you know, an inventory cycle now. On our end, you know, we never built the inventory up. We try to meet the demand as it is. We don't wanna get ahead of it. Our teams were very disciplined, and you could see even in the last quarter, we talked about, you know, China revenues below 5%. That's because the market didn't need more than that, and we didn't wanna sell more than that.

I do think as we get through this quarter and starting to see towards the second half of the year, a more improving macro environment, we will be very well positioned to execute. If things change, we're, we can move faster if we need to. It's not a technology issue, it's not an execution issue. It's really just trying to manage the business in the appropriate way for our shareholders.

Karl Ackerman
Research Analyst, BNP Paribas

Very clear, Liam. Kris, if I may, a question for you. More of a simple one, I suppose, but what's driving the big step down in CapEx in December? I'm curious if this implies anything for content, as we think about calendar 2023. Thank you.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. No. As it relates to CapEx, we definitely expect our CapEx trend to moderate, compared to what we have been doing over the last five years. Just as a reminder, the last five years we were in the 10%-12% of revenue. We've put a lot of capacity in place. We put a lot of technology related investments in place, especially as it relates to Bulk Acoustic Wave. Now we have to leverage that capacity. We are focusing on yield improvements. We are focusing on die shrinks. We can create more capacity without putting more equipment in place. As a result of that, you will see a little bit of a more moderate, less capital intense, CapEx in the next couple of years here.

Again, we feel good about the investments that we made, and it really will help to further improve our strong cash flow that we have already. We started the year very strong. We expect further strong cash flow the remainder of the year, again, based on some moderate CapEx. We could drive our free cash flow over 30% in this fiscal year.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. Just to, just to reiterate that the capital base that we have, okay, it took a long time to get to this scale. We did tremendous amount of work, brick-and-mortar, site level, in our own facilities, and it positions us now for kind of a downhill run from CapEx. We still have great technology, great equipment, but it's brand new, right? We, we spent that money over the last four or five years strategically to build up a competency in Bulk Acoustic Wave and other filter technologies. Very, very difficult stuff. It's not available in the merchant market. It, it was a make versus buy approach. We did the make. We developed solutions that are purpose-built for Skyworks and purpose-built for our customers. The great news is the capital is up and running, it's humming along.

Sure, there'll be incremental CapEx spend over the next several years, but it won't be at the level that you look back in the last three or four, because now those investments are in-house, at scale, and running.

Karl Ackerman
Research Analyst, BNP Paribas

Very clear. Thank you.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Sure.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brett Simpson from Arete Research. Your line is now open.

Brett Simpson
Co-Founder and Senior Analyst, Arete Research

Yeah. Thanks very much. Liam, I wanted to get your perspective on new 3GPP Release 17 and also Wi-Fi 7 using 6 gigahertz. When it comes to these upgrades, you know, when do you think they're gonna ramp more broadly, particularly in smartphones and consumer devices? Then just maybe from a business perspective, how should we think about the overall RF content when you start to scale up Wi-Fi 7 and Release 17 5G versus today's devices? You know, it seems to be quite big architecture changes. I was just curious how you think about this and the extent to which Skyworks could benefit. Thank you.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

That's a great question. Those technologies are just starting to emerge now, they do add a great deal of complexity. You mentioned that in your words. The good news here for us is that we've been making, you know, in tandem investments in technology. We've got, of course, the Wi-Fi cycle that's going from 6 to 6E and Wi-Fi 7. That has its own set of incredible opportunities and, you know, kind of on the launchpad there, the complexity and the newest cycles and the new devices has been incredible for us. We can definitely hit that. Then back on other connectivity nodes, adjacent connectivity nodes are going through a similar space, and that's more on the IoT line.

Those types of technologies, we can deliver to the end market solutions, and that would be a big part of our broad market portfolio. You know, some of the most relevant players in that space, we've already had design wins with them at earlier stages, and we have a good trusted partnership. It's definitely, you know, further into the year, but definitely an opportunity for us to get into 2023, 2024, 2025 as we look out. Definitely another cycle that we can leverage. As you said earlier, you know, much more challenging from a technology perspective, but the consumer's benefit there would be amazing. I think those new technologies, they're hard to do.

We've got the IP, we've got the know-how, and they can create their own cycles within the next set of IoT devices.

Brett Simpson
Co-Founder and Senior Analyst, Arete Research

Is that a meaningful step up in content, Liam? Just, I mean, Wi-Fi 7, for example, adding 6 GHz and, you know, quite a lot of changes on the modulation side and the MIMO side. I'm assuming this should be a fairly healthy step up in RF content. I don't know if there's any numbers you can sort of share with us on that upgrade to Wi-Fi 7?

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah, no, you know, it's hard to handicap the numbers, but it's meaningful. It's meaningful. I think you're going through. You know, it's kind of a pretty long step from Wi-Fi 6 to 7. There's a lot of work being done there. Work also means a lot of technology being embedded. I think we could get, you know, a 10%-15% CAGR on that segment. And then also kind of that's just on content, if we get the user count up, you know, you've got a double whammy. That's kind of what we're looking for and, you know, anything along the way there is gonna be incremental.

Brett Simpson
Co-Founder and Senior Analyst, Arete Research

Maybe just one quick one for Kris, just on the BAW filter CapEx, moderating. Can you talk a bit more about where the capacity for BAW looks today? How should we think about Skyworks addressing 6 gigahertz, with your BAW technology? Are you able to address that going forward? Thank you.

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. Again, if you look at the CapEx over the last couple of years in the $500 million-$600 million per year, the vast majority of that CapEx was going into expanding our Bulk Acoustic Wave filter operation, where we have, of course from a small base, doubled and doubled and doubled again the capacity there. Again, we're focusing really now on driving operational efficiencies, die shrinks, yield improvements, which gives us a lot more capacity leveraging the installed base of the equipment that we have. I mean, we're not done. We're gonna keep expanding that as we see fit. We do believe that our revenue from devices that has Bulk Acoustic Wave filters in will continue to grow very strongly.

We're ready for that, and we will not hesitate to put more capacity in place if and when needed.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Harsh Kumar from Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.

Harsh Kumar
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Piper Sandler

Yeah. Hey, guys. You know, very incredible results, to be honest with you, in this turbulent environment. Liam, let me ask you about China. I'm sure you're tired of it, but I know that this is hopefully the last question on this topic. You de-risked China completely last go around. I think the message was that it was very close to zero. What do you think the China opportunity is, and do you even want this business given the volatility, the geopolitical nature of it? If you can remind us at the peak, let's say, how much it got to, let's say, over the last 5 years, you know, maximum as a % of sales. I just wanna gauge where you're playing and what you're really going after.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. Yeah, no, great question. Well, you know, we've always been and we'll work with anybody that's, you know, that needs our technology. You know, we'll partner with anyone. There really isn't any bias around where we're gonna go in our markets. You know, China's been a challenge, I think for ourselves and the peers in the U.S. here. You think about even back to the Huawei situation, you know, with Huawei shutting down, that was a big business for a lot of companies in our space. It's been a volatile market operationally, some of that is COVID and all kinds of things going on. You know, the technologies and the work that we're doing is applicable for anybody, right? There's no reason why, you know...

I mean, the China opportunity is as good as any opportunity. Unfortunately, you know, there had been some inventory here that we've all talked about, not specific to Skyworks, but just in general, where the markets kind of got out of sync and created, you know, a bit of an inventory overhang. That kind of weighs on the sector, I would say. Turning it back to Skyworks, you know, you've heard us talk about our operational efficiencies and our know-how and labs-to-fabs approach. Those aren't just words. That's how we run this business. We're very keen on what we're doing with our customers. We wanna be great partners, but we also wanna stay in sync with the market, right? That's really important for us. This is just a case like that now.

I think, you know, we've got a situation in China where, you know, there was some inventory, there were some lockdowns, there were a lot of things that would impede the natural flow of revenue and engagement. That's kind of where that market is. We're standing ready to step back in. It's not a technology issue. It's not even a gross margin issue, really. It's about managing inventory and making sure that, you know, we're delivering to the right cadence. That's what we wanna be able to do. Having said that, you know, long dialogue, I would tell you that, we think things will get better. Things will get better as the markets start to really kind of recover.

The technologies that we have are really good, and we can populate just about anything out there, with the solution suite that we have. There's really, at this point, the bad news is flushed out for us, and the opportunity to grow into those markets and deliver incremental growth, is right there. We're looking forward to making that happen. I think things are starting to warm up a little bit already, so we feel good about that as we exit.

Harsh Kumar
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Piper Sandler

Okay. Liam, can I just ask maybe the similar question in a different way? Is it fair to say that you mostly look to sell standard products in China, so it's not a lot of work for you outside of what you already do, and then you look to sort of service those customers while leveraging your own facilities? Is that a fair way to think about it without too much effort?

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

I mean, sure. We can take the business and the technologies. I mean, every market has its own flavor, and, you know, there's different technology nodes, higher to lower to more complex, and we're able to scale through all of it. I would say that, you know, over time, the markets are actually gonna embrace higher levels of technology. I think a lot of the stuff that we're talking about right now, 2, 3 years to today, it's gonna be much harder, much more difficult, and companies like Skyworks, I think, will have an incremental advantage. I think you've got, you know, a China market that stalled, some macro things that weren't specific to mobile.

As we wake up here and the markets start to recover, the technologies have not sat by on the sidelines. The technologies have gotten more complex and more challenging and more powerful for the user. The one thing I would say is in the China market, have they been able to catch up with that technology? I'm not quite sure it's there. I know that we can do that with the partners. It's not a, it's not a technology gap with us. It's not a revenue issue. It's really getting the China market to get back on their feet and then get that partnership where it should be, where it's in a natural supply and demand view. I think we can do that.

We'll, you know, we have no reason why we wouldn't wanna do more business in China. To all those things that I mentioned need to kind of clear up a little bit before the markets and the opportunity for us is what we wanna see.

Harsh Kumar
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Piper Sandler

Got it. For my follow-up, you know, it's March. You probably know the content for the year, 'cause these wins happen about a year before. Units are gonna be pretty depressed. I was curious if you could give us a sense of what, to the extent that you can, you know, a sense of content this year, and also maybe a sense of 5G units, whether you expect 5G units to be up this year. One for you, Kris, the 53% free cash flow number, that's a monster number, to put it bluntly. Is there something one-time out here, you talked about CapEx going down, or is this something sustainable for Skyworks?

Kris Sennesael
CFO, Skyworks Solutions

Harsh, I'll take the cash flow question first, I'll turn it back to Liam. Very happy with the very strong cash flow and free cash flow, obviously, in December. I would say three elements, right. Our world-class profitability level, 37% operating margin. Not a lot of companies in tech space doing that. Secondly, yes, great working capital management, although, a good guy and a bad guy, right. Inventory is still somewhat elevated. We will work it down over time. We definitely had strong collections in the December quarter, which is a little bit of a one-time item. Thirdly, as we discussed earlier, some moderate CapEx in December and going forward. The combination of those three, deliver strong cash flow and will continue to deliver strong cash flow.

I'll turn it to Liam on the other question.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Yeah. Harsh. Yeah, the content. Yes, exactly. Yeah, when we think about content, it's the way we're seeing it now with the customers that we're working with now, especially at the high-end. It's not more of the same thing. It's not, "Hey, we had two devices, now there's three devices." It's really about what's going on inside. We're seeing a lot of innovation and performance and a new suite of technologies. Now, I'm not gonna give you the timeline on this because this is kind of a, you know, a cycle of improvement, stay with me on that.

There's no question that if you look at where a high-end smartphone is today and the content that is available versus what we see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 years out is gonna be dramatically different. We really believe it. We have great engagement with customers, and they're all kind of in the same spot. Everyone has a different way to get there. The units, I think, are gonna continue to be where they are. There'll be more growth, but the content and the usage cases are going to expand. I say usage cases because that this doesn't mean just a mobile phone. If you think about technologies like 5G, they're technology vectors. They connect things wirelessly. It could be an automobile, it could be connected to a data center, a hi-fi Wi-Fi solution.

There's so many different applications with the right use cases. I think if you think about Skyworks, it's not just about mobile. Mobile is an important vector, but all the other technology vectors that we can work through IoT and other markets will continue to grow. The other thing that's great about that is they're on their own cyclical path. It doesn't go through the same kind of annual cycle that we do see in mobile, which is fine. But the opportunity to have, you know, an uncorrelated path in technologies that are not in a mobile phone, I think we're gonna see that more and more, things like automobiles and data centers, and some of these other really interesting IoT devices.

Keep that in the back of your mind because that part of the business is really moving. Mobile's doing great. We have super technologies. We're gonna continue to do well. The other side of the field is an incredible opportunity for our investors and the opportunity for Skyworks to deliver world-class solutions. I'll leave you with that, Kris. Thanks.

Harsh Kumar
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Piper Sandler

Appreciate it, guys. Thank you so much.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's question and answer session. I'll now turn the call back over to Mr. Griffin for any closing comments.

Liam Griffin
Chairman, CEO and President, Skyworks Solutions

Great. Thank you all. Appreciate your participation in today's call. Look forward to seeing you in upcoming conferences. Take care.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes this conference call. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect.

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