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Earnings Call: Q2 2016

Aug 3, 2016

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Mike, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Teladoc 2Q16 earnings release conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. I will now turn the call over to Adam Vandervoort, Teladoc's Chief Legal Officer. You may begin your conference.

Adam Vandervoort
Chief Legal Officer, Teladoc

Thank you. Good afternoon. I'm Adam Vandervoort, Teladoc's Chief Legal Officer. Teladoc intends to avail itself of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Certain statements made during this call will be forward-looking statements within the meaning of that law. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause Teladoc's actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. For additional information on the risks facing Teladoc, please refer to our filings with the SEC. I'll now turn the call over to Jason Gorevic, President and Chief Executive Officer of Teladoc. Jason?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Thanks, Adam. Welcome everyone on the call. Thank you for joining us this afternoon to review our second quarter 2016 results. The second quarter saw continued strong year-over-year momentum in our business with revenue of $26.5 million, an increase of 45%, membership of 15.4 million members, an increase of 34%, and visits of over 199,000 visits this quarter, an increase of 59%. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $10.5 million, an improvement of approximately 27% year-over-year and 12% sequentially. Stealing a little bit of Mark's thunder, I'd like to start with our adjusted EBITDA for the quarter. We've said consistently that this would be the quarter in which our bottom-line results began to improve. We expect this trend to continue for the next six quarters en route to EBITDA breakeven in the fourth quarter of 2017.

Consistent with this, our second quarter losses were reduced by $1.4 million versus the first quarter of this year, as we have begun to realize leverage from the scale of our operations. I'd like to highlight yet another strong quarter with respect to visit volume. With visits increasing at nearly twice the rate of membership growth, we continue to deliver more value for our clients every quarter. As we've discussed before, seasonality causes our visit volume to be lower in the second than third calendar quarters and higher in the first and fourth quarters. In spite of being in the seasonal low, we delivered nearly 200,000 visits, making good on our promise of industry-leading consumer engagement. During the second quarter, we also saw continued new client momentum with wins across multiple market segments.

Teladoc has been selected by Tenet Healthcare to be the telehealth solution for the Valley Baptist Hospital in Texas. We've also been selected by Silver Cross Hospital in the Chicago market. In addition to these new hospital clients, I'm happy to report that we've launched a partnership with CareCentrix in the home care space. Under this model, we will work with CareCentrix to provide telehealth services for their HomeSTAR readmission avoidance program targeted at patients who are post-acute or recently discharged from a skilled nursing facility. Turning to other market segments, we continue to see strong adoption by employers with new sales including companies like Progressive Insurance, the National Rural Electric Cooperative, Greyhound Lines, and New Era.

The Teladoc solution continues to be embraced by state and local governments with the North Carolina League of Municipalities and the County of San Bernardino, California employees, which are scheduled to go live during this year, the 50,000 employees in the State of Alabama account scheduled to go live on 01/01/2017. Growth in our health plan segment continues as well with new accounts San Francisco Health Plan and Healthfirst in New York scheduled to go live on 11/01/2017 as well. Equally encouraging, we're seeing tremendous traction in some of our recently implemented clients. One of our Fortune 500 companies went live with about 40,000 employees on July 1st with multiple Teladoc solutions, and we're already seeing great utilization trends across the entire product suite that is well ahead of our expectations.

In addition to strong engagement with our general medical product, their employees performed nearly 50 behavioral health and dermatology visits in their very first month with Teladoc. While the second quarter saw strength in terms of new client wins and positive trends in utilization, revenue was below our expectations. The primary reason for the revenue shortfall was the cost of advertising in our direct-to-consumer behavioral health business. This advertising was more expensive in the second quarter on a per unit basis or per ad basis, because we have fixed advertising spend in any given quarter, we placed fewer ads than in past quarters. Ultimately, this led to lower yields per dollar spent. We've adjusted our advertising strategies and diversified our consumer engagement efforts in order to address this issue going forward.

While I'm disappointed that our revenue came in below our guidance, I'm still very pleased with our accomplishments in the quarter and the adaptations that we've made in order to address this issue. Turning to a couple of other key topics, as most of you know, on July 1st, we closed on our acquisition of HealthiestYou, the leading telehealth consumer engagement technology platform for the small to mid-sized employer market. We've now had HealthiestYou under our belt for about five weeks, and things are right on track with our plan. We've had excellent response from the market, including existing HealthiestYou customers, brokers, and prospects, as well as Teladoc customers and distribution channels who are anxious to have access to the expanded capabilities that the combined entity will offer. As you may recall, HealthiestYou had previously outsourced the delivery of their telehealth visits to one of our competitors.

Following our close, we successfully transitioned the entire HealthiestYou volume to the Teladoc platform. Because of the scalable Teladoc infrastructure, we were able to absorb this additional 8% in visit volume and 10% in call volume without adding any personnel or infrastructure. This is a true testament to the leverage that we get at this scale. I want to share a bit of insight into our client summit, which we hosted in May. At this event, we had 12 large Teladoc clients gather to provide feedback, preview our product roadmap, and provide commentary on how Teladoc can provide those clients with more value. Client satisfaction remains a priority for us, and it was very encouraging to hear directly from our clients that they really like what we do, and they're happy to be able to offer our solutions to their members.

Based on the strong positive feedback from these and other clients regarding our behavioral health product in particular, we have decided to further invest our resources in behavioral health and in the HealthiestYou product integration rather than expanding into additional specialties such as diabetes for the remainder of this year. We think that this strategic allocation of resources will maximize the value for our customers and the return for our investors. Overall, this was a good quarter for Teladoc, with continued demand and momentum in our business. Before I turn the call over to Mark to review the second quarter financials in more detail, I'd like to provide some color on customer retention and the selling season for Q1 2017 business. As we've discussed before, we saw abnormally high customer churn in 2015 due to a confluence of events.

I'm happy to report that for the first half of 2016, we have returned to our historical customer retention rates of over 95%. This gives us confidence in our ability to deliver on our growth expectations for 2017, since we don't expect to have the magnitude of churn to overcome that we did entering January of 2016. We are now right in the middle of our selling season, and the pipeline is shaping up very nicely, with more closed business now than we had at this stage last year. As you know, the selling seasons really comes to a head in the fourth quarter, but given the current strength of the pipeline, I feel very good about our prospects. Specifically, we have client commitments for approximately 2 million new members between July 1st, 2016, and January 1st, 2017.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Mark Hirschhorn, our Chief Financial Officer. Mark?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Thank you, Jason. On the call today, I'll review our second quarter financial results in greater detail, then I'll provide an update on our outlook for the remainder of this year. Revenue in the quarter was $26.5 million. That's an increase of 45% year-over-year. Subscription access fees accounted for $21.5 million, or 81% of total revenue. The 42% year-over-year increase in subscription access fees was driven by a 34% increase in our membership base, which stood at 15.4 million members as of June 30th, 2016. It's important to note that 100% of this 2016 growth in membership and revenues was organic. We also experienced increases in our average PMPM fees from $0.45 in the second quarter of 2015 to $0.47 per member per month this quarter.

Consistent with the discussion we had during first quarter review, we continue to see strengthening per member per month fees compared to last year. While this quarter's per member per month was equal to Q1, we believe our per member per month fees will grow to exceed $0.52 by the end of this year. One of the challenges in the second quarter in our direct-to-consumer behavioral health business was to exceed our objective to demonstrate greater than 35% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth. The key component to retail customer acquisition is digital marketing, and the required advertising spend in this channel became increasingly more expensive on properties like Facebook and Google. We've been working hard to generate greater yield from our targeted marketing campaigns. Additionally, we've been very busy on the product development front as we continue to create innovative ways to capture new members.

Finally, we've developed new price plans in order to ensure we maintain our strong margin profile. It is important to remember that this channel will grow nearly 125% from the $5 million in revenues we produced in 2015 to the projected $11 million in revenues for 2016. Revenue from visit fees, which accounts for the remaining 19% of our total revenue, increased 57% in the quarter to $5 million, up from $3.2 million a year ago. As Jason mentioned, total visits in the quarter increased 59% to over 199,000 visits. For the first time as a public company, we've broken out our quarterly visits by those members that incur a fee and those that benefit from a visits included model. Paid visits as a percentage of total visits were 64% for both Q2 of 2016 and Q2 of 2015.

Paid visits totaled approximately 127,000 visits of the total approximately 199,000 visits in Q2 2016, and approximately 79,000 visits in Q2 of 2015. This week, we exceeded 500,000 year-to-date completed telehealth visits. As a reminder, the business model of HealthiestYou is weighted heavily towards the model of higher per member per month with little or no visit fees. The integration of those visits into our business has caused us to reforecast the mix of full cost visits and those visits that come from members with zero visit fees. We now believe approximately 40% of our nearly 1 million visits this year will come from visits included members. I want to emphasize that these agreements are equally, or in some cases, more profitable than a traditional Teladoc agreement.

With the integration of HealthiestYou on July 1st, we have begun directing all of these visits through our network, enabling us to reduce the direct cost of each visit by over 50%. Our gross margins were 74% in the quarter, in line with the second quarter of 2015. Gross margins increased sequentially from the first quarter's 70% to 74% in the second quarter due to the revenue mix shift I described earlier. As a result of our improvement of HealthiestYou's gross margins, we feel confident that consolidated gross margins will remain over 70% for the full 2016 year. G&A expense for the quarter of $11.6 million is an increase of 11% year-over-year. This represents 44% of total revenue, compared to 57% of total revenue last year.

Consistent with what we have been addressing over the past several quarters, we believe we have built an infrastructure that now benefits from scale. We added over 300,000 members from HealthiestYou on July 1st and following the combination of the two companies, we did not incur any incremental G&A costs. We believe that the growth in G&A costs will increase at a far lower percentage compared to revenue growth. In the press release we issued earlier today, we have provided reconciliation tables between GAAP and non-GAAP measures. Our adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was a loss of $10.5 million, compared to a loss of $14.4 million in the second quarter of 2015.

As we communicated during the first half of the year, we expect to generate decreasing quarterly adjusted EBITDA losses quarter-over-quarter for the next six quarters until we hit adjusted EBITDA break even during the fourth quarter of 2017. Consistent with this, our second quarter losses were reduced by $1.4 million versus the first quarter of this year. Finally, our loss per share for the second quarter of 2016 was $0.38, compared to a loss of $7.20 per share for the same period last year. Our weighted average common shares outstanding were 38.7 million shares in the second quarter of 2016, compared to just 2.4 million shares in the second quarter of 2015 when we were a private company.

With respect to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with approximately $112 million in cash and short-term investments, and $31.4 million of debt, principally from our bank lines. Pro forma for the new SVB facility that we closed in early July, the company has approximately $86 million in cash and cash equivalents, with an additional $25 million of borrowing capacity and total outstanding debt of approximately $53 million. I would like to provide you with our initial outlook for the third quarter and our full year 2016 guidance.

For the third quarter of 2016, we have good line of sight. We expect revenue between $32 million and $33 million, EBITDA in the range of a loss of $12 million to $13 million, adjusted EBITDA loss between $9 million and $10 million, membership of approximately 16.5 million to 17 million members, total visits completed between 205,000 and 215,000 visits, and a net loss per share based on 45.7 million weighted average shares of between $0.35 and $0.38. For the full year 2016, as a result of the behavioral revenue shortfall Jason and I discussed, in addition to over 500,000 lives that two prospects have pushed into 2017 and the cumulative effect that it will have on the remainder of the year, we are trimming our full year 2016 guidance and now expect our revenue to be in the range of $121 million to $124 million.

Our EBITDA loss between $48 million and $50 million, adjusted EBITDA loss between $41 million and $43 million, our membership to total approximately 17 million to 17.5 million members. Total 2016 visits between 915,000 and 945,000 visits, and a net loss per share between $1.47 and $1.50 based on 42.5 million shares outstanding. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jason for a few closing remarks. Jason?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Thanks, Mark. I'm very proud of our accomplishments in the second quarter as we continue to demonstrate greater utilization and deliver significant value for our customers. However, we hold ourselves to a very high standard. I'm disappointed that we didn't deliver on 100% of our objectives. With that said, I feel very good about our prospects for the remainder of this year and for 2017. With that, we'll open the line for questions. Operator?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Jason, I just want to make sure that we noted the 2016 net loss per share is expected to be between a loss of $1.47 and $1.50 per share. Thanks. Operator?

Operator

At this time, I'd like to inform everyone, in order to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for a few moments to compile the Q&A roster. The first question is from Ryan Daniels, from William Blair.

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

Yeah, guys. Good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. Jason, maybe I'll start with one for you. In regards to the client lives that are being pushed into January 2017, I appreciate that's just a timing issue, not a client loss, but maybe you can give a little more color on why they decided to delay that, and then maybe if you've seen that level of client delays in the past.

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yeah. Thanks, Ryan. Unfortunately, I have more insight into what goes on inside health plans than I'd probably care to recall. The health plans are large and complex operations, and they're constantly doing resource trade-offs among various projects. In both of these cases, the clients are enthusiastic about rolling out the product, but because of various competing priorities internally, it took them a little longer to operationalize their side of it. For us, it's a 60-90-day process to bring a health plan up. Unfortunately, we can't control the operations within the health plan. We have seen this in the past. Unfortunately, it's the large health plans where this happens, and those are the ones that have this kind of an impact. We're full steam ahead with both of the clients for 2017 implementations.

Unfortunately for us, they sort of coincided and happened at the same time.

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

Okay. That's fair. Again, I appreciate it's just timing. In regards to the behavioral market, can you just talk a little bit more about, in your view, what drove the uptick in marketing costs? Is that election related already with ads starting to come up? Number two, given the lower yield, are you just effectively projecting that lower yield continuing, or do you have some work to do to meet your new revenue guidance as it relates to the behavioral side?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yeah. I'll take the advertising market, and then I'll turn it to Mark for the projections going forward. You've probably seen the very strong results that have been posted by Facebook and Google. Both of those channels significantly increased their ad pricing, and that flowed through to us and impacted us directly. Now we've done what I would say is three things to address the issue. We're continually adapting our business given the environment. One is we're continuing to diversify the marketing channels into other channels, both for advertising as well as sort of contextual sign-up opportunities for people who are likely to be in the process of something that would make them likely to need counseling. Two is to do a lot of work on price optimization in order to optimize the revenue per member that we get.

As we see an increasing advertising cost, we want to make sure that we're optimizing the revenue so that we get a higher revenue per member. The third one is a fair amount of product development so that we retain our members longer. Because obviously in a subscription-based model, the longer we retain a member as being active, the greater value they have to us. Mark, you want to talk about the projections going forward?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Yep. Ryan, what we did is obviously we trimmed some of the figures coming from behavioral. The costs that we incur with Facebook and Google are based on a very dynamic auction-based pricing for all the current advertising. We believe that pricing is going to remain high, especially as there's demand in the latter part of the year as we approach the election. That led to, again, some of the trimming of the numbers.

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

Okay. One final one, a quick follow-up there. Where was the behavioral weakness? What revenue line did that show in? Is that in the access fee line because you're charging a fee for those services-

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Exactly

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

for a visit. It's access fee.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

That's correct. Yeah, subscription access.

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

Okay. Thanks, guys. I'll hop back in the queue.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Thanks, Ryan.

Operator

The next question is from Nina Deka from Piper Jaffray.

Nina Deka
Analyst, Piper Jaffray

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I was wondering if you could provide some insight on your growth strategy in the provider segment. For example, is your platform evolving to allow for white labeling? Also, are members within the provider segment able to set up appointments with their own doctors, or do you see a plan for that down the road?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yeah. Thanks, Nina. We have a team specifically focused on product development just for the provider segment. They've been working very closely with some of our clients in sort of co-product development. We're seeing, today, a lot of demand for platform as a service, where we sell them the technology platform, then they buy from us a range of operational and physician network capabilities, all the way from them doing everything themselves to our full turnkey solution, where we provide the network, the operations, and the technology. We do enable specific matching of a physician and a patient. We've had that capability in our platform for many years, where we do what we call the private network. Specifically, in this case, we use the systems providers, if we have attribution, we match the patient to their very own physician.

Of course, we can roll to a coverage group or to the whole Teladoc network, depending on the rules that we build into our queuing system. We're seeing very strong demand in the provider segment. I'd say we've made a huge amount of progress there over the course of the last year, which is really when we stood up that dedicated unit.

Nina Deka
Analyst, Piper Jaffray

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Mohan Naidu from Oppenheimer.

Mohan Naidu
Analyst, Oppenheimer

All right. Thanks for taking my questions. Jason, maybe going back to the two large prospects delays, were they expected to go live in mid-year, or can you give us a little bit more details on when they were supposed to go live and when you guys realized that it's going to be moved on to 2017?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yeah. Both of them were scheduled to go live early third quarter. Really, we only learned about it over the course of the last few weeks as we started to get to the final stages of implementation. They pushed out into 2017.

Mohan Naidu
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay. Mark, on the revenue guidance, can you help us understand how much of the cut came from these two client delays versus maybe the expectation of increasing visits coming from visit-included members?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Yeah. The reduction for our revenue for the remainder of the year was principally from the behavioral health unit. When I say principally, it's probably a 70/30 split. There is no reduction from revenue for the actual visits to be completed. That's coming in at the numbers we expected for the year. Slightly higher, actually. The offset there to close the gap was really a combination of some of these delayed and other subscription access fees that didn't come to fruition in the second quarter.

Mohan Naidu
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay, this is about 70% from the DTC, the behavioral.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Correct.

Mohan Naidu
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay. Thank you very much.

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Thanks, Mohan.

Operator

The next question is from George Hill from Deutsche Bank.

George Hill
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Hey, good afternoon, guys, and thanks for taking the question. I'm going to ask these two questions. I think they've been touched on in a little bit different ways. Mark, did you give what I would call the visit capitation rate in the quarter, or what % of the visits were delivered under kind of that all you can eat model, and is that something you would share?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Yeah. We just started in this quarter. We're going to continue to illustrate that for the remainder of this year and going forward. The visits this year or in this quarter, 64% fell under the paid visits. The remaining 36% over the visits included model. Obviously, that percentage and the number of visits under the paid model will be increasing beginning the start of the third quarter when we began consolidating HealthiestYou.

George Hill
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Got it. Okay. Mohan was kind of going down this question. I was going to ask, is there anything unique about the members that are being pushed out to the start of the next year? Because if I did, like, a six-month analysis on kind of number of members guided down by times average member per month times expected utilization, the math didn't seem to add up. You said the mix is weighted more towards behavioral. I think I asked that question, then answered it myself. I guess the last thing I'd end with is, you gave a little bit of indication about selling season into 2017 when you talk a little bit about pricing environment. Do you consider the pricing environment generally stable heading into 2017?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yeah, we think it's stable. In fact, as we make a bigger push into the smaller end of the market with the HealthiestYou acquisition, we actually think we have some pricing expansion opportunities in that end of the market. Generally speaking, I would say that it's stable.

George Hill
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. I'll hop back in the queue. Thanks, guys.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Thanks, George.

Operator

The next question is from Steve Halper from FBR.

Steve Halper
Analyst, FBR

Yeah, hi. Just to clarify, the behavioral health revenues are included in the subscription access percentage?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

That's correct. Yes, that's correct, Steve.

Steve Halper
Analyst, FBR

Okay. Of the 64% paid visits, what percentage of those are under the higher pricing, right? Because aren't you rolling in higher prices per visit?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

The $45 price increase.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

The greatest percentage, in excess of 80% of the visits are still at $40 today.

Steve Halper
Analyst, FBR

Okay.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

There is some legacy contracts from the acquired businesses that we picked up through AmeriDoc and Consult A Doctor. One or two specific clients, a large airline, and a few other clients that still have legacy contracts that provide for $30 visit fees through the end of 2017. Those $30 tend to offset the $45 visit fees that we began collecting at the beginning of this year. Clearly, those will begin rolling off, and the impact of the higher priced $45 visits as well as the specialty visits will bring our average realized revenue per visit above $40 very shortly.

Steve Halper
Analyst, FBR

Great, thank you. Could you just go through the impact on the paid and non-paid visits after considering the HealthiestYou acquisition?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Yeah. Pro forma for that acquisition, there's going to be a greater percentage of visits included visits. Therefore, the current paid visits percentage is expected to decrease as a result of those far higher per member per month subscription fees coming in. Those began on July 1st.

Steve Halper
Analyst, FBR

Okay. You said something around 40%. Is 40% sort of the run rate of non-paid visits?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

That was the rate at the end of Q2. That rate is expected to climb.

Steve Halper
Analyst, FBR

Okay.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

We'll see most likely a 10% increase in visits coming into the visits included model.

Steve Halper
Analyst, FBR

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Charles Rhyee from Cowen and Company.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Hey, thanks for taking the question. Jason, if I can go back a little bit on the direct-to-consumer advertising costs. I might have missed it a little bit when you were answering an earlier question was, without that advertising, you say it led to less revenue. Is the decision not to make that spend tied to trying to hit our break even EBITDA targets? Or how necessary was that advertising for some of the missed revenue that we saw in the quarter?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yeah. Thanks for asking that. We're constantly balancing between growth and making good on our commitment to march to profitability. We always try to be good stewards of capital and make sure that the dollars that we're spending will yield positive results for us. We make those trade-off decisions all the time. We don't have perfect information on the yield that will come from our advertising spend in any quarter. We do try to be disciplined in our spend, rather than chasing, so to speak.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

This is just general advertising to consumers like in Facebook or Google, so that maybe someone in HR sees it, or somebody who's running a small business might say, "Hey, this is something we should look at." Is this sort of targeted to people? Okay, this is just [brand de novo] prospects.

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Well, Charles, this is specifically the advertising we're talking about is advertising for our direct-to-consumer behavioral health business.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Oh, okay.

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

This is trying to convert consumers into paying customers of our direct-to-consumer behavioral product.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay, thanks. That's helpful. If I'm looking at the implied per visit fees, it looks like it steps up based on the revenue per visit guidance. Am I looking at that correctly? Is that just as we think about behavioral health still ramping up?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

You certainly have a combination of behavioral health visits coming in, and you also have just a slight mix shift as a result of the busier cold and flu seasons. You're going to certainly have a few more paid visits coming in. It's a combination of the two, and that's what we'd expect through the rest of the quarter.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

That's just more a function of seasonality than anything, is what you're saying?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Exactly.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

I was just going to add, Charles, we said earlier that we've got, today, 36% of those visits come from those capitated or visits included models. We suggested at the end of the year, that number would grow about 10%-40% of total visits.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay. That's all. Just one last clarification on the health plans that are moving out to 2017. Jason, you referred to them at one point as prospects, but it's right to think that these are signed clients and we're just waiting to onboard them?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yeah, these are closed deals. We had hoped to implement, as I said earlier, in the third quarter. That's where the mutual agreement was. We can't control the internal operations of these large health plans. They push out to 2017. I guess stepping back, I'm disappointed that's going to impact our revenue for the year. For the first half of the year, we still delivered 54% year-over-year revenue growth, and the business is healthy across multiple dimensions. The timing is unfortunate, but I don't think that should provide a commentary on the health of the business.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

One last question. With the closure of HealthiestYou, what is the discussions like going back to your legacy Teladoc customers? Since the deal is closed and since you had the call a few weeks back, what kind of dialogue have you already done with those clients about adding on new services? Thanks, and I'll stop there.

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Yep, sure. We've started exposing our existing clients to the HealthiestYou functionality. We have a long list of clients who are asking for those capabilities. I think the breadth of technologies and consumer engagement tools that HealthiestYou has assembled, really resonates with clients. We're sort of taking this approach of first order of business is to make sure that we have our whole team in the under 1,000 markets selling the HealthiestYou product. Second, looking to upsell that product to our existing customer base in the small end of the market. Third, to bring those capabilities to our larger enterprise clients.

Charles Rhyee
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay, great. Thanks a lot.

Operator

The next question is from Lisa Gill from JPMorgan.

Mike Minchak
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks. It's actually Mike Minchak in for Lisa. I was wondering if we could go back to your commentary on the size of the DTC business. I think you said that the business was expected to go from $5 million in 2015 to $11 million this year. Do I have those numbers right? Is that $11 million your updated forecast in light of the shortfall this quarter? I think you also talked about adjusting some of your pricing in the direct-to-consumer segment. Can you provide any color on that? Is there any early read on whether the new pricing is having any impact on demand?

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

Mike. This is Mark. The DTC business did in fact complete 2015 with $5 million in revenue. We're now adjusting our expectations to $11 million this year. Year to date, that business is just under $5 million in revenue today. Again, based on existing subscriptions, we'll continue to see that grow, and we believe we're very confident that we'll reach that $11 million mark.

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

The impact of the pricing strategy changes.

Mark Hirschhorn
EVP and CFO, Teladoc

The impact of the pricing strategy, as Jason had noted, will both help retention and by bringing on those clients that we believe are going to be longer term subscribers. We have a mix today of anywhere between $140 and $280 subscribers on a monthly basis, principally based on when they actually subscribe to the service. There are some subscribers that have been with us on a month-to-month basis for over 18 months now. Others, of course, those who've joined most recently are paying a subscription access fee of $280 a month, on a monthly basis.

Mike Minchak
Analyst, JPMorgan

Got it. Thanks for the comment. Maybe just one follow-up. Total visits and utilization rate continue to look strong. Can you talk about what the key drivers are there? Are you starting to see any impact from customers adjusting plan designs and copay structures to incentivize patients to use telehealth versus other more expensive care settings?

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Certainly, we're seeing some of that, but I would say, to be honest, the biggest impact is our continuing evolution to more sophisticated consumer engagement strategies. This year, we have used a lot more digital targeted communications, social media, and other ways to specifically target our members, in order to have a much greater frequency of messaging to them so that when they actually need the service, we're top of mind for them. That's a change, and an upgrade since Stephany Verstraete joined us as Chief Marketing Officer at the beginning of this year. I think it's really bearing fruit for us. You see that we saw strong engagement and utilization in the first quarter, and we see that trend continue in the second quarter in spite of the seasonally low quarter.

Mike Minchak
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks for the comments.

Jason Gorevic
President and CEO, Teladoc

Thanks, Mike.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.