TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX)
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45th Annual William Blair Growth Stock Conference

Jun 3, 2025

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

All right, as the music has slowly faded out, I'll fade in. Thanks for coming, everyone, to the TransMedics presentation. For those of you whom I've not yet met, my name is Ryan Daniels. I cover healthcare services and HCIT for William Blair. It's a little bit unique to have a services analyst covering the company, but it is a big component of their business. I'm joined on the stage by Dr. Waleed Hassanein, who's the company's founder, President, and CEO. He's going to go through the presentation, and then we'll go up to Jenny A for the breakout, and Gerardo Hernandez, who is the CFO up front, will be joining for that as well. A couple of quick points. Again, we'll be up in Jenny A for the breakout, and you can see our website for disclosures.

A little bit more meaningful, this is a really interesting presentation for me. I found TransMedics several years ago because my dad had liver cancer. And as a healthcare analyst and someone who's done diligence for two decades of my life, if he was going to get a transplant, I wanted to know everything about it. I started doing a lot of diligence on the industry and the best techniques and technologies, and that's how I came across the organization. It kind of determined that there's nothing that I wouldn't do to make sure he was at a transplant center and getting an organ off a TransMedics system. Now, fortunately, he didn't need that transplant. They were able to remove the portion of his liver that had cancer, and he's doing great today.

I found the company and really was so impressed out of the box about the organization, the technology they created, and really the innovation and the innovative culture. It has only advanced since then, becoming, I think, what Waleed will probably describe as somewhat of the Amazon.com for organ transplant. Teams that can go harvest it, capture it, transport it, monitor it, do everything for these transplant centers. It creates a ton of value for them well above and beyond just the actual machine, which is where it all started. The service component is very important. With that, let me turn the microphone over. Again, we will do the formal session here and then move upstairs to Jenny A for the breakout. I really appreciate the team attending for the first time this year. Thank you all for your attendance.

Waleed Hassanein
Founder, President, and CEO, TransMedics Group Inc

Thanks, Ryan. Thank you all very much for spending the afternoon with us. Ryan, we're grateful for the opportunity to be here. It's always fun to be in Chicago. This is my disclosure, forward-looking statement. As Ryan mentioned, we are in a very unique and exciting space called organ transplantation. Let me spend a couple of minutes orienting many of you in the room who might not have heard a lot about organ transplant, about why this is a very exciting field and very unique field that we happen to know everything about and how we are leveraging these unique attributes of this very important therapy to create a multi-billion dollar business. I lost my slide again. Basically, organ transplant is the gold standard for treating a very complex disease condition called end-stage organ failure. It's the gold standard because of two critical facts.

One, it gives the patient the longest life expectancy and the best quality of life after an organ transplant, which both results in a very hidden secret called the fact that organ transplant is the most cost-effective, most cost-efficient therapy for treating these very long, chronic, expensive disease conditions. This is why every payer on planet Earth is promoting more and better organ transplant. If it is the gold standard, if it is providing the patient with the best quality of life and the longest life expectancy, where are the problems? It is the most cost-efficient way. The problems are we do not have enough organs to go by to meet the huge demand for organ transplant. When we do, there is significant room for opportunity to improve post-transplant clinical outcomes. That is where we start. We say, okay, how is a medical device company going to change these facts?

To understand that, let's go back one step further. If you look at the last four decades in the history of organ transplantation, organ transplant has seen significant innovation, both in the pre-transplant phase and the post-transplant phase. In the pre-transplant phase, we developed new medical management procedures to manage the patients better. We developed circulatory support technologies, renal dialysis, liver dialysis. In the post-transplant phase, we developed new immunosuppressives, anesthesia management, and post-operative care. The missing link that did not see any innovation until TransMedics was created was this piece of what we call the Achilles heel of organ transplant, which is the piece of organ preservation. That is a very important piece. Why do we say that?

Because when you look at the historical way of organ technologies to preserve organs, it was literally relegated to igloo cooler filled with ice, and the organ is put in a sterile Ziploc bag moved from donor to recipient. This rudimentary approach was great 45 years ago when the average donor age was 18. Today, the average donor age is approaching 45, hypertensive, had a stroke, have probably some form of renal disease, some COPD. This technology or this technique had three major limitations. One, when you take an organ out of the living environment of the human body and deprive it of oxygen, you subject the organ to a decay curve called ischemia. It's time-dependent. It means that if the organ spends more time deprived of oxygen, the organ may never function again.

That right away limited the access of the available donors to time and distance limitations. That was not the only limitation. Two other limitations that are really plaguing or plague this cold storage technique, which is the lack of resuscitative and lack of assessment capabilities, which these are two fancy words that you had as a surgeon doing an organ transplant. You had to make a bet four hours before the organ arrives to your hospital whether this organ should be transplanted or not based on an environment of a dying body that is four hours away. Meaning you had to be protective of your patient.

You had to say no to many organs if you had any doubt that this organ may not function well because you could not improve its functionality and you could not assess the organ once it's removed from the donor body. These three limitations result in the biggest hidden secret in the organ transplant field that we lose the vast majority of the donor pool every year. This utilization curve, this graph here is published data on the UNOS web page. In the U.S., last year, we had nearly 17,000 donors split between 10,000, roughly speaking, DBD and 7,000 DCD. Of those, we only used about 3,500 lungs, 4,000 hearts, and 7,000 livers, leaving the vast majority of the donor pool completely untouched, unutilized.

That's where TransMedics saw a huge opportunity to transform the field of organ transplantation by focusing on these organs and these types of donors that had never been used for organ transplant or seldomly were utilized for organ transplant. What did we do? We developed the first and best-in-class technology to keep human organs alive and well and not suffering from ischemic damage or lack of resuscitative capabilities or assessment capabilities outside of the human body. We call this technology the OCS, or short for Organ Care System. We developed the largest body of multicenter global level one clinical evidence to get this technology approved in the U.S. and provide the evidence to access the market in the U.S. Over the last three years, we developed another first and best-in-class service network around our technology. We call it the National OCS Program or network.

We will talk about that throughout the slides. To understand how unique the organ care system is compared to the igloo box, let's highlight four key points. These are very important because I see some analyst reports, I see some GLG research reports, and they talk very emphatically about all these competitors that are coming into the field of organ transplant. None of these competitors are really a competitor. They do not hold a candle to what we are going to talk about to you here today. First, to become a competitor, you need to develop technology that addresses these four points. One, you need to eliminate ischemia during preservation, meaning the organ has to be constantly perfused with blood and oxygen. There is only one technology on planet Earth that does that today. That is called the organ care system.

Two, you have to maintain the organ in an active living condition, metabolically active. Why? So you can optimize it. You can improve it. You can give it metabolic enhancer. You can give it medication. Three, you need to keep the organ functioning outside of the human body, functioning as it is functioning in the human body. Why? So we can assess it up to the minute it's ready to be transplanted. There's only one platform that is approved by FDA for more than one organ that can deliver all of the four elements that I just described. This is what the organs look like in our platform. They're not sitting idle on ice like a six-pack. The heart is beating, the lung is breathing, the liver is producing bile, and the kidney, our next organ in the franchise, is making urine.

This is huge to the clinical community because all these organs that are being wasted because of a doubt in the mind of the surgeon and the lack of capabilities that exist with cold storage, we can address all these based on the Organ Care System technology. This is our three approved platforms in the U.S.: OCS Lung, Heart, and Liver. That is how we created a franchise that is on a run rate of approximately $600 million strong in the U.S. today. Kidney is our next frontier. Kidney would add 30,000 procedures a year to our total addressable market in the U.S. Two and a half years ago, three years ago, we decided that developing the technology is not enough. We wanted to make a big impact on these organs that are currently being wasted.

We wanted to make that impact because we did not want to be another preservation technology. We wanted to deliver technology to grow the national volume of organ transplantation in the U.S., which has not seen any growth for the last 40 years, more than 1%-2% annually. We developed something called the National OCS Program, or NOP for short. Today, the NOP is a national network operating in synchrony in the United States out of 17 hubs. We have our own procurement surgeons. We have nearly 300 clinical specialists spread across the United States. We can access any donor in the United States within a two-hour radius from those 17 hubs. We have vertically integrated logistics into the network, into the NOP network to control our own destiny. Every organ transplant needs to move from donor to recipient.

When they need a flight, they cannot fly commercially. They have to fly on a chartered flight. We saw significant inefficiencies in the historical model that used to use mom-and-pop charter operators, which do not have the right plane capabilities to go from Alaska to Tampa. We do that quite routinely today, all resulting in significant cost inefficiencies and inefficiencies in utilization of the donor pool. We said, if we spend 20 years of our life and $400 million or $800 million to develop the technology, we need to make sure that every organ that needs to be transplanted goes to an actual patient and does not get unutilized. I can sit here and tell you how efficient the NOP is, but let me share with you some data. Please forgive me. This is a video which has a sound to it.

The purpose here is not to pound on our chest and tell you how great we are, but it's really to show you, especially the people who are listening to our story for the first time, of how much infrastructure has gone into creating this NOP that really gives us a huge leverage on our growth capabilities going forward. Rather than interrupting the video, I will address the video is geared to give you a detailed overview of how we run the operation. I'm going to translate it for you afterwards on what does that mean to our customers, to our patients, to our transplant programs. So oops. How can I? Yes, can you do that?

Andrea Costa
VP of Transplant Logistics, TransMedics Group Inc

Hello and welcome to TransMedics. I'm Andrea Costa, Vice President of Transplant Logistics. At TransMedics, we are hard at work to deliver on our mission to save more patients' lives by becoming the trusted partner to transplant stakeholders, delivering the highest quality technology, service, and clinical care. Our vision is to increase the number of organ transplants by expanding access to more donor organs via our OCS technology. To provide greater access to the OCS across the country, we launched our National OCS Program, or NOP. Today, the NOP consists of an expanding network of 17 hubs strategically placed across the United States.

We have over 250 clinical staff working across these hubs, cardiothoracic and abdominal procurement surgeons, as well as highly trained clinical experts who specialize in perfusion management and the operation of the OCS. These always-on call teams are ready to deploy our OCS devices and perfusion modules at a moment's notice. In 2023, we created TransMedics Logistics to provide air and ground transportation 100% dedicated to transplant missions for the NOP network. Today, TransMedics Aviation consists of a growing team of over 100 pilots in a fleet of nearly 20 highly efficient aircraft. In a maximum of two flight hours, we can reach anywhere in the continental U.S. All our jets are 2021 or newer models featuring the latest Wi-Fi connectivity and the highest safety standards in the aviation industry.

As a fully integrated end-to-end service network, all the components of the NOP work in synchrony to deliver on-demand services to our partners, from our hundreds of OCS devices to our clinical staff and now our pilots and ground transportation teams. To manage the NOP network 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, we created this: the NOP Logistics Command Center. Located at our headquarters in Andover, Massachusetts, the Command Center was launched in early 2024. Since then, this space has become the base of operations for all TransMedics NOP. It's from here that we securely coordinate every aspect of our missions. Inside the Command Center, we have logistics managers, aviation specialists, ground transportation coordinators, and everything in between to handle every aspect of our missions. It's a carefully orchestrated process with one goal in mind: to save lives.

This 25-foot 8K resolution screen behind me provides full visibility to our team of each mission happening across the country and tracks all available resources in real time. This allows us to simultaneously manage dozens of missions, not in isolation, but as a network, and to make course corrections immediately if need be. Available surgeons and clinical staff, as well as our OCS devices, are represented by a series of icons at each hub that let us know what's available and where. Every organ type is represented by a different color. When a new case is initiated by a transplant center, it displays on the map as a new case alert.

Our team immediately begins coordinating every detail necessary to organizing the ground transportation of our clinical teams to coordinate the most efficient flight routes to the recipient, all while making sure every organ gets where it needs to go safely and timely. Before any case assignment or team deployment, the Command Center's algorithm developed in partnership with MIT enables our logistics managers to run multiple different scenarios that take into account the location of the donor and recipient, donor OR time, and the probability of case progression to match them efficiently with our available resources. Our logistics managers then analyze different travel route options to determine the optimal logistics for each phase of the mission. Once the proposed logistics is approved by the transplant center, represented by an active case card that details the mission's current status, the type of organ being transported, and the ETA to the transplant center.

No matter the stage of an active case, we have full visibility of its minute-by-minute status, so our Command Center team always has a clear picture of the case's timeline and the status of each in-transit organ. As a major component of our logistics management, the Command Center enables full visibility and control of our aviation operation. Whether a plane is flying a mission, it is in maintenance, or ready to deploy, we have up-to-the-minute data on its status and location. Our aviation team monitors everything from real-time weather data, pilots' duty times, and each plane's status 24 hours a day, ensuring that our fleet can be ready and in the right location to be deployed at a moment's notice.

The NOP Logistics Command Center effectively coordinates every aspect of TransMedics missions between our NOP clinical teams, OCS technology, and dedicated air and ground transportation so that we can deliver better service for our customers and their patients. These innovations in our fully integrated network enable us to make progress every day towards our mission of making donor organs available to all who need them. The Command Center is the heartbeat of the entire NOP network, ensuring that every organ gets where it needs to go, and every life we touch has the best chance for a successful outcome.

Waleed Hassanein
Founder, President, and CEO, TransMedics Group Inc

That is how we run the NOP and the vertical integration of our logistics. What does that mean? For the last two years, we have done more than 9,000 successful transplants in the NOP model, as you have seen it. We single-handedly were responsible for the first in many decades double-digit growth of heart and liver transplant in two successful years over the last three years consecutively. That was primarily driven by the use of OCS NOP. Finally, we saw something that we did not anticipate, that more than 76% of liver transplantation moved from being a middle-of-the-night operation to a daytime operation. That alone was one of the major catalysts to adopting OCS technology in liver transplantation. It is for two reasons.

Not only does it have a better work-life balance for the entire staff operating in a very busy transplant program, but it has huge cost efficiency because when you run a transplant program in the middle of the night doing a case at 3:00 A.M., you're paying your entire support staff double time. You could seldomly do more than one or two transplants a day. Today, we routinely see three and up to four transplants happening between the hours of 7:00 A.M. and 6:00 P.M. Here's the data to prove it. This is the actual data from the National Data Registry in the United States showing the growth in heart and liver transplant or liver and heart transplant successfully consecutively.

Here is the actual utilization of OCS NOP versus the total transplant volume for those same years, showing that the OCS was the primary driver of that growth in volume. This is the rate of morning-hour transplants, again, all reported, all published data on the UNOS database. This is from two different large transplant institutions, one on the West Coast and one on the East Coast, showing that they're doing three and four liver transplants in one day. That never happened before the OCS NOP happened. It was available to help the transplant program achieve this goal. For people who think that we've already maxed out on our growth, you could not be less accurate. We have significant growth opportunities in front of us.

The near term, that second wave of growth or year of growth, as we call it, is coming later this year into 2026. It's really a catalyst for 2026 and beyond. We're launching Gen2 Heart and Lung—I'm sorry, heart and lung technologies that would make morning-hour transplants and cardiothoracic transplantation a clinical reality. We'll eliminate any doubts about the length of perfusion on heart and lung transplant. We'll enable us to move from being a preservation technology or a preservation company to an organ-enhancing company, which gives us significant growth opportunity in both DBD and DCD heart and lung transplant. The other thing that we're very excited about near term is launching of our digital ecosystem. Ryan said we're the Amazon Prime of organ transplant. We're going to change that into the Uber of organ transplant. We'll show you that in a minute. We're not stopping here.

Kidney alone would add 30,000 additional procedures annually to this growth catalyst in the U.S. alone and another 45,000 in Europe and Australia. Next-gen clinical programs, what is the purpose? It is to deliver superior outcomes and make daytime organ transplant a clinical reality and make us an organ enhancement, not just an organ preservation. We are deploying new technologies across the board, from new solutions, new pharmacological enhancers to new devices. Timeline, we are actively engaged with FDA. We expect that approval will be in hand sometime in late Q2, early Q3 to put us right on track to launch these clinical programs late this year, as we anticipated in the beginning of the year. The NOP Connect, this is one area that we are very, very excited about. This is what we are calling the Uber of organ transplant.

Think everything we talked about NOP will be launched and run in full transparency and full visibility to the clinical surgeon, to the administrator of the transplant program, at the third-party OPO staff, and TransMedics NOP staff managing the entire procedure as if they're launching or requesting an Uber ride with full transparency and security that they keep the record with the patient. This is already launched for the NOP component. We're deploying it at the transplant program at the beginning of Q3. Financial highlights speak for themselves. We've been extremely fortunate to be on this growth trajectory. Again, we're not stopping here. This is not the peak. This is just the first of many peaks that we were planning to undertake. One thing is we're not just growing the top line. We're growing the top line with very healthy bottom line leverage.

With Gerardo on board, we can see even more improvement on that front. We created this unique capabilities. We created this unique business, but we put significant moats around it. IP is the least of our concern or the least of our reliance, even though we have one of the biggest IP portfolios in the industry. The addition of NOP and the addition of the service model and the vertical integration of logistics give us a significant, significant unique advantage, competitive advantage in the marketplace. Again, we're not stopping here. We're already investing in Gen3 technology that would be highly optimized for more NOP to go from the 10,000 transplant target by 2028 to 20,000 or 30,000 transplant target over the following three to five years.

With that, with one minute to spare, I was worried that we might run out of time, but I appreciate you taking the time, and I'm happy to address any questions here or upstairs.

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

You're talking about a very important question. Your overhead from an operation and a manual and a fleet of aircraft and your central control pilots, what you're talking about.

Waleed Hassanein
Founder, President, and CEO, TransMedics Group Inc

We're generating free cash flow.

I don't know what you're saying. It's a huge capital cost here.

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

Yes.

Were there some unhappiness at some of the centers because you were dictating such a way of trying to control a lot of what they did? I think there was. Could you speak to that? There was some resistance about six months ago.

Waleed Hassanein
Founder, President, and CEO, TransMedics Group Inc

I think it was about a year ago, and it was an uneducated perspective that now these centers are one of our biggest users for two very straightforward reasons. No other company, technology, or logistics partner gives the transplant program zero, zero cost if the organ is not transplanted. TransMedics does. We do not charge the transplant program a dime if the organ is not transplanted when it is on our device. The second thing with the integration of the logistics, because we control the logistics, when we go to a DCD run today, third party charges the transplant program the full cost of a round trip to the donor and back. We eliminate 50% of the cost. That is across the United States. Every center gets the same deal.

We do that because we are delivering the most cost-effective and efficient way, and we want to share the cost efficiency of running our network with the transplant program because we're in this for the long term. We're not in this to make a quick buck like the charter operators do. We're in this for transplantation. We're not a logistics supplier.

Under Trump, is this still a they want to pay for these organs that you said are very efficient? Under Trump, have you seen or heard any restrictions?

Again, during President Trump 1.0, he had the presidential act to revamp the organ transplant system in the U.S. to increase organ utilization and minimize the wastage. We delivered on that while the government's still trying to figure out how to do that. The new head of CMS, Dr. Oz, he's a transplant surgeon by training. Transplant is the most cost-efficient treatment to these very, very expensive disease conditions.

That will go to Jenny for the breakout.

Ryan Daniels
Analyst, William Blair

Thank you. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Andrea Costa
VP of Transplant Logistics, TransMedics Group Inc

This presentation has now.

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