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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Nov 5, 2021

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the conference call to report the third quarter 2021 financial results for Telesat. Our speakers today will be Dan Goldberg, President and Chief Executive Officer of Telesat, and Andrew Browne, Chief Financial Officer of Telesat. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Michael Bolitho, Director of Treasury and Risk Management. Please go ahead, Mr. Bolitho.

Michael Bolitho
Director of Treasury and Risk Management, Telesat

Thank you and good morning. Earlier today, we issued a news release containing Telesat's consolidated financial results for the three- and nine-month period that ended September 30, 2021. This news release is available on Telesat's website at www.telesat.com under the Investors tab. We also filed our quarterly report on Form 6-K with the SEC this morning. Our remarks today may contain forward-looking statements. There are risks that Telesat's actual results may differ materially from the results contemplated by the forward-looking statements as a result of known and unknown risks and uncertainties. For additional information about known risks, we refer you to the Risk Factors section of our annual report on Form 20-F for the 2021 fiscal year and in our quarterly reports on Form 6-K, all of which can be obtained on the SEC website.

The information that we are discussing today reflects our expectations as of today and is subject to change. Except as required by securities laws, Telesat disclaims any obligation or undertaking to update or revise this information, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. I will now turn the call over to Dan Goldberg, Telesat's President and Chief Executive Officer.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Thank you, Michael. This morning I'll discuss our third quarter and first nine months results and give an update on the business. I'll then hand over to Andrew, who will speak to the numbers in more detail, and then we'll open the call up to questions. Comparing our Q3 results to the same period last year and adjusting for foreign exchange rate changes, revenue was down 2%, adjusted EBITDA was down 1%, and our adjusted EBITDA margin was 81.5%, up slightly from 80.4% in the prior period. Comparing the nine-month results and adjusting for FX, revenue was down 4%, adjusted EBITDA was down 3%, and our adjusted EBITDA margin was 80.2%, slightly higher than the 79.7% in the prior period.

The FX adjusted reduction in revenue and adjusted EBITDA for both the quarter and the first nine months of the year was primarily driven by a slight reduction of service for one of Telesat's North American DTH customers, the reduction or non-renewal of certain services in the enterprise segment, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, and lower consulting revenue, partially offset by an increase in revenue associated with short-term services provided to another satellite operator. Turning to some key metrics, backlog at the end of the quarter, which I should note excludes backlog associated with our Telesat Lightspeed constellation, was CAD 2.3 billion, and our fleet utilization was 80%. Looking at how our revenues broke down on an application basis for the quarter, broadcast was 51% of total revenue, enterprise services 47%, and consulting another 2%.

On a geographic basis for the quarter, North America accounted for 81% of revenue, EMEA was 8%, Latin America was 7%, and Asia was 4%. As discussed on our last call, in the third quarter, we announced that the government of Canada is making a CAD 1.44 billion investment in the Telesat Lightspeed LEO constellation and announced also that the government of Ontario is committing CAD 109 million to use Lightspeed to provide high-capacity broadband connectivity to remote communities throughout the province. As we noted in our 6-K for the quarter, Thales Alenia Space, who we've been working with on Lightspeed, recently informed us that the global supply chain issues out there will delay the construction of the Lightspeed satellites, which in turn will delay our getting into commercial service.

We're working with Thales now to get a better sense of the magnitude of the delay, whether there are steps we can take to mitigate the delays, and whether there are any further optimization we should consider for the Lightspeed design if we have a little more time. This delay with Thales is also delaying our ability to complete our financing arrangements with the export credit agencies. I expect we'll have more clarity on the Lightspeed schedule and export credit agency discussions in the near term. Lastly, on the roll-up transaction with Loral, I'm pleased to say that we're on track for that transaction to close and for Telesat to become a public company before the end of the year. With that, I'll hand over to Andrew.

Andrew Browne
Chief Financial Officer, Telesat

Thank you, Dan, and good morning, everyone. I would now like to focus on highlights from this morning's press release and filings. In the third quarter of 2021, Telesat reported revenues of CAD 192 million, adjusted EBITDA of CAD 157 million, and generated CAD 63 million of free cash flow, with almost CAD 1.6 billion of cash on the balance sheet at quarter end. For the third quarter of 2021 and compared to the same period in 2020, revenues decreased by CAD 10 million to CAD 192 million. Operating expenses increased by CAD 8 million to CAD 50 million, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by CAD 6 million to CAD 157 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 81.5% compared to 80.4% in 2020.

Between 2020 and 2021, changes in the U.S. dollar exchange rate had a negative impact of CAD 6 million on revenues. A positive impact of CAD 1 million on operating expenses and a negative impact of CAD 5 million on adjusted EBITDA. When adjusted for the changes in foreign exchange rates, revenues decreased by CAD 4 million for 2021 when compared to 2020. Operating expenses increased by CAD 9 million and adjusted EBITDA decreased by CAD 1 million. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange, the decrease in revenues was primarily driven by a slight reduction of service for one of Telesat's North American DTH customers. The reduction or non-renewal of certain services in the enterprise segment and lower consulting revenue partially offset by an increase in revenue associated with short-term services provided to another satellite operator.

The increase in operating expenses was principally the result of a CAD 12 million increase in non-cash share-based compensation, partially offset by higher capitalized engineering costs. Depreciation and amortization decreased by CAD 5 million compared to the same period in 2020. The decrease was primarily due to the end of useful life for accounting purposes of our Anik F1R satellite in 2020. The gains and losses on financial instruments reflect changes in the fair values of our interest rate swaps and the prepayment options on our senior and senior secured notes. In the third quarter of 2021, we recognized a gain of CAD 1 million related to financial instruments. In 2021, we recorded a loss in foreign exchange of CAD 68 million during the third quarter compared to the gain of CAD 66 million in the third quarter of 2020.

Tax expense decreased by CAD 3 million during the quarter when compared to the same period in 2020 and was largely due to lower operating income before taxes in 2021. Net loss was CAD 42 million in the quarter compared to net income of CAD 107 million in the third quarter of 2020. For the first nine months of 2021, the cash inflows from operating activities were CAD 250 million, and the cash outflows used in investing activities was CAD 124 million. Virtually all of the capital expenditures related to our lower orbit constellation, Telesat Lightspeed.

As we have previously advised for 2021, we expect our cash flows used in investing activities to be in the range of $140 million-$160 million, including capital expenditures to further advance our Lightspeed program while we progress our financing arrangements. To meet our expected cash requirements for the next twelve months, including interest payments and capital expenditures, we have almost $1.6 billion of cash and short-term investments at the end of September, as well as approximately $200 million of borrowings available under a revolving credit facility. Approximately $500 million in cash was held in our unrestricted subsidiaries. In addition, we continue to generate a significant amount of cash from our ongoing operating activities.

At the end of the quarter, leverage, calculated under the terms of the amended senior secured credit facility, was 5.6x to 1. Telesat has complied with all the covenants in our credit agreement and indentures. A reconciliation between our financial statements and financial covenant calculations is provided in the report that we had filed this morning. As we have stated previously, Telesat Canada has structured its investment in Lightspeed through unrestricted subsidiaries. To date, Telesat Canada has invested CAD 630 million in cash in these unrestricted subsidiaries to fund the development of Lightspeed. With this, concludes our prepared remarks for the call. Now we're very happy to answer any questions you may have. We will turn back to the operator. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take questions from the telephone lines. If you have a question and you're using a speakerphone, please lift your handset prior to making your selection. If you have a question, please press star one on your device's keypad. You may cancel your question at any time by pressing star two. Please press star one at this time if you have a question. There will be a brief pause while the participants register. Thank you for your patience. The first question is from Jason Kim with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Jason Kim
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Thank you. I'll start with the questions about the quarter. First of all, what was the size of the short-term service revenue in the quarter?

Andrew Browne
Chief Financial Officer, Telesat

You know, Jason, as you know, we have those revenue opportunities from time to time. I'd say, you know, we've talked in the past sort of giving order of magnitude for what those things are. This one was more or less consistent with the kind of revenue recognition for those services that we've had in the past. Order of magnitude, you know, it's kind of low to mid single digit contribution for revenue for Q3.

Jason Kim
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Understood. The supply chain issues regarding LEO, there's still a lot of moving parts. At this point, is this a timing issue or potentially costs as well? Can you remind us if you still believe you're fully funded for LEO based on the financing sources you have outlined in the past?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Can you repeat the last part again, Jason? Can you turn the volume up a little, Michael?

Jason Kim
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Oh, sure. In terms of the financing sources, if you believe that you're fully funded for Lightspeed based on all the items that you've identified as source of capital in the past, whether it's CN-

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yeah.

Jason Kim
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Right.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Okay, thanks. To the first part, I think this is more of a timing issue, and maybe an issue that isn't even all that terribly surprising. I mean, these global supply chain issues are, you know, having impacts across almost, you know, every segment of the economy right now.

It's certainly the case that, you know, the Telesat Lightspeed program is requiring, you know, all sorts of components that are, you know, getting caught up in those global issues. I think this is fundamentally an issue of timing. As I said, we're, you know, engaged with Thales right now just to fully understand what the impact of that's gonna be. In terms of funding, I think what we said last quarter when we put out our Q2 numbers, we had also just announced that significant investment from the government of Canada. We took the opportunity to sort of just remind everyone of the financing that we had lined up to date.

You know, in Canadian dollars, you know, that was, at the time, you know, order of magnitude CAD 4 billion, you know, in U.S. dollars, you know, somewhat more than $3 billion, and said that we expected that, with those amounts lined up, plus the amounts that we've been in discussions with the export credit agencies, that, yes, those things would allow us to be fully funded for the program. That's still our expectation, which is to say that the cash, or I should say, the funding that we've lined up to date, plus the amounts that we're in discussions with the export credit agencies about, those things fundamentally should see the program fully financed.

Jason Kim
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Understood. Any updates on the DTH contract that's coming up for renewal next year?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

No updates. You know, we said before that we've got a renewal with DISH on our Anik F3 satellite coming up in Q2. No, we don't have any updates in terms of what that looks like at this time.

Jason Kim
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Sounds good. My last question is regarding industry consolidation or partnerships. From your perspective, what does the industry need? How does consolidation or partnerships help achieve that? What does Telesat bring to the table?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Well, I mean, it's a question that, you know, folks talk about from time to time, in the industry. Certainly, you know, our industry has gone through periods where, there's been consolidation, in periods of time where, you know, you get new entrants, into the sector. I feel like, I don't know, kind of on balance, we're probably, you know, over the next few years, heading into another period where, yeah, it's likely that there could be some consolidation, and potentially, you know, some ownership change. Ownership change doesn't always lead to consolidation, but you know, it sometimes does.

You know, I think that were the industry to consolidate, for sure, like a lot of industries, if you do that, it can help rationalize the supply side of the equation. You know, where Telesat fits into that, I don't know. I mean, you know, I would say that our you know heavy focus has been on developing our Lightspeed constellation. We are big believers that the most promising segment of the market to address is the very strong and growing demand that we're seeing around the world for kind of enterprise-grade broadband connectivity. We think that the best way to address that market is by having a very advanced low Earth orbit satellite constellation that again has been designed to address that particular enterprise market.

I'd say that is our overwhelming focus. If there's consolidation in the industry that's taking place, yeah, we may or may not be a participant in that. I think that, you know, obviously we think that the Lightspeed constellation is going to give us significant competitive advantages in the market. Maybe that initiative would be attractive to others in the industry. That, that's not really our focus right now. I mean, our focus, I'd say, has always been, you know, looking after our customers, being disciplined about what sorts of investments that we make. Always, you know, with an eye towards making sure that we feel good about the returns on invested capital that come from the investments we make, and I think we've got a very good track record in that regard.

Anyway, you know, those are some high-level thoughts on, you know, how we think about consolidation.

Jason Kim
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Walter Piecyk with LightShed. Please go ahead.

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

Thanks. Dan, I just wanna continue on with that. I mean, I guess when I listen to all your comments, first, I think in the prepared comments, you said you were on track for an IPO, or being public, I guess, is the way you phrased it, by the end of the year. It's November 5th. I'm just curious on kinda how and when that process is gonna take place and when we're gonna see some sort of a ticker, actually. But more importantly, in your answer to the last question, when you were talking about the financing and the discussions you were having, with the export credit agencies, it didn't sound like having some type of like IPO proceeds was an important part of that process.

When you think about those discussions with the export credit agencies, like what is the process to get that to the finalization so that we see it kind of official and everyone kinda knows this thing's fully funded and ready to go?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yep. Thanks, Walter. Well, first off, on the timing of the go public transaction, it's coming. I mean, you're right. I said, you know, before the end of the year, and we're what are we? November 5th today. So yeah, I mean, it there's one other approval that we're waiting for right now. And I certainly, as I look at my general counsel across the table, I don't see anything out there that causes us any concern about obtaining that in the near term. So stay tuned there. I think we're in good shape, and I think there'll be a Telesat ticker symbol out there, yeah, quite in the near term. And then with the export-

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

Approval, Dan.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Um-

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

What about the last approval? Yeah.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

We're waiting for an approval from the Ontario Securities Commission.

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

Okay.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Then with the Export Credit Agencies, look, we've had really good discussions with them. As I said in my prepared remarks, the scheduled delay that kind of emerged from Thales recently is yeah, it's going to delay our ability to finalize those discussions with the Export Credit Agencies. I mean, as you can imagine, fundamentally, we just need the updated schedule so that we can update our plan and the business model and refresh that with the Export Credit Agencies. We've been in discussions with them for quite some time now. Yeah, I characterize those discussions as productive. I think, yeah, we'll need to update the plan, but I'm, you know, optimistic.

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

Your point is that those discussions don't require some type of IPO-type funding or anything like that. It's just these are discussions that are just gonna kinda move on their way and happen at some point, hopefully in the near future.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Well, look, I think our going public is an important part of, you know, the overall process in that, you know, one of the virtues of being public and one of the things that we've talked about before is having access to the public equity markets as a source of, excuse me, a source of financing is important to us. Yeah, I'd say that, yeah, it's a consideration, and it plays into the overall financing of our growth plans. Is it a material part of financing, you know, what we have described as a $5 billion U.S. program? No, not really. It's still, you know, we think about it as a part, potentially.

Yeah, so that's kinda how that all fits together.

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

Okay. I just secondly, on the supply chain issues, I mean, your constellation is, you know, whatever, a couple year off, so wouldn't these supply chain issues be having some impact on the, you know, other LEOs? Like, you know, Starlink is sending up satellites now, and I know Kuiper is hopeful, I guess, to get something up in the air at the end of next year, some prototypes. So, like, are these common components that you think will impact some of the LEO plans that are ongoing right now?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

I believe that we are seeing these supply chain issues affecting not just our Lightspeed program, but some of the other players as well. You know, we have less visibility into exactly what's happening at SpaceX. They're a private company and Kuiper is, you know, part of Amazon, so you know, they don't have to report in any kind of granular way on Kuiper. But SpaceX did reveal, I think it was earlier this week, that they are delayed because of supply chain issues in getting user terminals out into the market. Yeah, that you know I think these supply chain issues they're gonna kinda slow everyone down a little bit. So

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

I mean, both of those companies have also materially increased the number of satellites that they're using in constellations. Just this morning, there was a filing from Kuiper where they're doubling their request to the FCC for satellites to, I think it's like 7,000-something, 7,700 from whatever it was before, 3,500-3,600. Like, when you kind of as your progress moves along, is it likely that you'll face the same issue where you're likely to increase the number of satellites? I know it's a different application, but an increase potentially in the number of satellites you plan to launch.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yes. The filing that you're referring to. The FCC has just sort of completed. There was a deadline for filing applications in the second processing round for V-band non-geostationary NGSO satellites in the V-band. Yes, we also made an application to the FCC that would allow us to expand Lightspeed. You know, there are two frequency bands that we've been filing for, both at the ITU and with the FCC and here with the government of Canada. One has been Ka-band, and Lightspeed, you know, we've got priority rights in Ka-band and have received an authorization from the FCC in their first processing round.

We have filed an application in the second Ka-band processing round at the FCC to expand beyond the 298 Lightspeed satellites that we've been talking about. Off the top of my head, I think, you know, we've sought authority to launch up to 1,671 Ka-band LEO satellites. Our own V-band application that was, you know, submitted in this recent FCC V-band process kind of a mirror application. I think we had already filed a first round. We had V-band constellation, and we've now updated that along with others in the industry. I think, again, off the top of my head, sort of mirrors what we're doing in Ka-band. It's 1,671.

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

Would that be for future capacity for basically success-based capital, or does that potentially impact the price of the initial project?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

It doesn't impact the price of the initial project. It's what, you know, satellite operators need to do, which is to say reserve spectrum that allows you, gives you the kind of orbital and spectrum real estate so that, as you expand your constellation, yes, in response to demand in the market, that you've got the spectrum that you need to do just that. That's what we've done, and that's what these other operators have done in filing these applications.

Walter Piecyk
Partner and TMT Analyst, LightShed Partners

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Mike Peace with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Mike Peace
SVP, JPMorgan

Yeah, hi. Good morning. Actually a follow-up on, I guess the 298-1,671 satellites, and I guess. I'm sorry if I just didn't catch a couple of nuances here, but is that this is all would be demand-driven growth? If it's there, then you just have the ability to add more satellites or is this you think you need to get there to really have global full coverage for everything that you wanna do? Because it just, it's 5x. It's just, it's a lot larger.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yeah, no. We feel that the 298 that we're starting with is the right constellation size, will give us multiple terabits of capacity and a very powerful value proposition in the market. Mike, I mean, it'd be foolhardy of us to not make sure that we've got the ability to scale our constellation in response to, you know, a market that's growing, in response to demand. Yeah, you know, that's what we've done here. That's what we did in the earlier, you know, Ka-band processing round. That's what we're doing in this V-band round. That's what our competitors are doing as well. It's what we need to do to make sure that we've got the authority to scale our constellation as required.

Mike Peace
SVP, JPMorgan

Understood. Okay. a question on, I guess, C-band. When are you expecting or where are the satellite companies in terms of phase one payments coming in? I'd love your what you think there, but also I guess with some news either yesterday or the day before that some of the wireless guys are delaying 5G rollouts because of potential interference issues, right, from the FAA. I'm curious, which I thought that issue was resolved back in the day, so I'm curious what you think or what you're hearing about that, as well.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

These, as you noted, the kind of the clearing process in the U.S. is taking, you know, place in two phases. We believe that we've now done everything we need to do to clear the spectrum that we've been using. We expect to receive the first payment from the FCC, which I believe is 25% of the total $344 million that we expect to receive. We expect to receive the first payment early next year. The second payment, my recollection is the industry is required to clear that spectrum by December 2023. I think it is. Again, I think we've already done everything we need to do to meet that deadline.

The other operators haven't yet and still need some time to do that. My expectation is the second payment is something that we would receive. I'm staring at a colleague. It's further out, Mike. Certainly none of the proceeds that the satellite operators are entitled to are going to be adversely impacted by these discussions that the wireless operators are having with the FCC. It's very clear what we all need to do in order to be entitled to those payments, and that is to clear the spectrum on time. It's not my expectation that

To be clear, the carriers, you know, have paid for their spectrum, so that money is available for the satellite operators once that clearing is done.

Mike Peace
SVP, JPMorgan

Understood. Just one more, because a lot of other questions have already been asked and answered, but just conversations with the export credit facility folks, are you still talking about similar size type facility to what you've mentioned before on calls? Just any color there would be helpful.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yeah, that's right. Nothing there is really changed in any material way.

Mike Peace
SVP, JPMorgan

Understood. Thank you.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Good. Thanks, Mike.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Brandon Karsch with Kennedy Lewis. Please go ahead.

Brandon Karsch
Director, Kennedy Lewis Investment Management

Hi. Thanks for the call today and for taking the questions. Just wanted to drill down on the enterprise segment a little bit first. Good to see some of the short-term services return. Just wanna know if you have any more visibility into more of that over the next few quarters. Elsewhere in that segment, was wondering if you could speak a little bit more about some of the declines you're seeing. You mentioned reductions or non-renewals of services. Is that losses of customers completely or cancellation of volumes, or is that pricing driven? A little more color there would be helpful.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Okay. On the short-term services, those are always a bit lumpy and always a bit unpredictable. We don't expect to have any more of those, I would say, for you know the next couple of quarters, based on what I know about kind of what's in the pipeline or what's not in the pipeline. On kind of the enterprise services environment, yeah, I mean, it remains competitive. I mean, we've said over you know the past bunch of quarters that yeah the environment remains competitive. On balance, there are some downward pricing pressure still, not as meaningful as we had seen a couple of years ago. It's more moderated. Some markets are more competitive than others.

I would say that demand seems actually reasonably pretty good. You've seen if you look at our fleet utilization, and we're at 80%, and have kinda maintained that for quite some time now. You know, if anything, on balance, I think it's ticked up a little bit. We are seeing some kinda green shoot recovery, not surprisingly, in the maritime space, particularly around cruise, in the aerospace as you know, people are wanting to fly again. That's been encouraging.

You know, it's nothing that's, you know, had that big of a favorable impact so far this year, a little bit on the margins, but it looks like folks are ramping up again, and that, you know, when the cruises start to ramp up, each ship has more bandwidth than they did pre-COVID, which isn't a surprise given what's happened to bandwidth usage, you know, during COVID. Everyone just, you know, expects a whole lot more throughput. Then, you know, drilling down on, you know, where we saw the revenue erosion in the enterprise segment, you know, kind of over the course of the year and over the course of the quarter. It's just a whole bunch of puts and takes.

You know, some of it is just renewing stuff, but at rates that are a little bit lower than where they were before. Some of it is, you know, COVID, you know, order of magnitude. I don't know, it's probably about 20% of the decline, something like that, is due to COVID, you know, for the first nine months of the year. Some of it is some business that's gone away. It's a whole bunch of stuff. I should say, you know, but there's been new business too, right? This is all just kind of net numbers. Anyway, you know, that's kind of what the environment looks like. Maybe the last thing I'd say is this year unfolded pretty much consistent with our expectations. I mean, again, there are always puts and takes.

Yeah, the environment has unfolded kind of consistent with our expectations. Maybe we would have thought that aero and maritime would have come back a little bit earlier. Like, we didn't predict that the Delta variant would push a lot of that further back. Notwithstanding that, yeah, you know, when I sit with the sales team on a regular basis, I'd say on balance, I'm more encouraged than not by the level of activity and things that are in the pipeline, kind of around the world. At any event.

Brandon Karsch
Director, Kennedy Lewis Investment Management

Great. That's helpful color. Then pivoting to the broadcast side of the business, you said no update on DISH, but on the prior call, you had mentioned that you were working on some plans to potentially backfill some of that capacity if the renewal didn't come in fully. Just wanted to hear if there was any update on maybe looking at plans to backfill that capacity if necessary.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yeah, no, listen, we're super engaged in the market, and that's a good satellite, and that's a good payload. It covers kind of all of North America. Our utilization rates, you know, for that coverage area in Ku-band are very high right now. We do believe there are, you know, because of that and because of what we're seeing in the market, going to be opportunities to resell that capacity should it come back to us. Last quarter, you're right, you know, we talked about some of that. No real, you know, further material update relative to what we spoke about just a couple of months ago.

Brandon Karsch
Director, Kennedy Lewis Investment Management

Great. Just the last one from me. You'd spoken on the previous call, and I think a couple people asked about maybe providing more detailed financials for the restricted group versus the LEO sub. It looks like basically the same detail here. I wanted to ask if there were still gonna be plans to provide more of a breakout than what's already in there. In addition to that, just wanna try to get a sense for this quarter. I'm penciling out that on a constant currency basis, maybe restricted group EBITDA was up a little bit year-over-year. Is that fair?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yeah. I think in response to the second part of your question, I think that's correct. To your first question, indeed, our plan will be with our full year numbers, that we will indeed break out the accounting to show restricted and unrestricted. That indeed will be our plan. You will see that fully disclosed with our year-end numbers.

Brandon Karsch
Director, Kennedy Lewis Investment Management

Okay. That's great to hear. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Arun Seshadri with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Arun Seshadri
Managing Director, Credit Suisse

Yes. Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. Just a couple left for me. First, I just wanted to confirm on the DISH side, is there, you know, when you think about the overall contract negotiation, do you think about it in two, you know, in two steps, i.e., for two separate satellites, or do you think about it as sort of one commingled, negotiation that you're going through?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

It is separately. You're right, Arun. We've got, you know, a contract with DISH for Anik F3 and another one for Nimiq 5. Yeah, we think about them kind of each separately.

Arun Seshadri
Managing Director, Credit Suisse

Each separately. Got it. Thank you. As far as sort of the overall LEO business plan, you know, at what point do you expect to publish something more sort of, I guess, forward-looking, et cetera, on the overall LEO plan?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yeah, that's a great question. I would say a couple things about that. You know, our expectation is we're gonna be public in the near term. Our expectation is that we'll have a fully funded Lightspeed constellation also in the near term. I would say at that point in time, given how meaningful the investment is and given how kind of fundamental Lightspeed is to Telesat's kind of growth trajectory, and given how bullish we are about the program, I'd say, you know, once we're public and Lightspeed is fully funded, we will share views about what the potential of Lightspeed is from a financial standpoint.

We'll try to provide more granularity about, you know, exactly what the cost is associated with the program, and we'll try to provide some kind of directional information about our views on the size of the market, our views on kind of, you know, what part of that market, you know, we think that over time, you know, we're gonna capture. Probably some views about what our views are on kind of margin development for that activity. I think it's gonna be important for us to share to give more information about that so that everyone, investors, lenders, have an appreciation for how we're thinking about what Lightspeed, you know, can contribute in terms of our financial profile going forward.

Arun Seshadri
Managing Director, Credit Suisse

Got it. Thanks for that, Dan. Would it be fair to say that if you were looking for, you know, looking to raise more dollars in the equity market, post the IPO of Telesat, that would, you know, ahead of that, you would probably share more details. Is that a fair expectation?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

I don't wanna so much tie it to, you know, a public equity offering in the future. You know, we have to be very careful in terms of how we talk about that. I think it's fair to say that equity investors, current equity investors and future ones, yeah, are going to need to have a good understanding of the kind of dimensions of this Lightspeed investment. How much it's gonna cost, how much is it gonna take to operate this business going forward? What's the revenue opportunity and the EBITDA cash flow opportunity associated with that big project. Yeah, that's how we think about it. I think it's gonna be important that we share that information.

In truth, yeah, we're looking forward to pulling back the covers on it a little bit. We've been working on it for a long time. We're extraordinarily bullish about the prospects of Lightspeed. You know, yeah, look forward to sharing more with the market when the time is right about what that project looks like.

Arun Seshadri
Managing Director, Credit Suisse

Okay, great. Thank you. Last thing from me is, in terms of 2022, any sort of thoughts you can provide, you know, in the various, you know, in industry categories, what your expectations are at a high level without, you know, I know you don't, you probably don't wanna give explicit guidance or anything like that, even in advance of the you know, IPO, but still be helpful to hear some high level commentary on each business segment.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Thanks for the question. Yeah, we won't take this opportunity to, you know, provide detailed guidance for next year. But I will say, and just harkening back on what I was saying, you know, in response to the last caller, I think the environment, you know, I don't have a crystal ball, but I think the operating environment won't be terribly dissimilar to what we've seen this year. Maybe with the exception of, as I said, more activity in the cruise sector, maybe more activity in the aero sector. But beyond that, I don't think we're not really seeing anything out there that would make us feel like there's some kind of wholesale, you know, change kind of in the macro environment.

Of course, for Telesat, there are, you know, more micro issues like the DISH renewal that we talked about in Q2, and whether or not we secure any of those short-term satellite services that, again, are always a bit lumpy and unpredictable. Anyway, that's kind of high level thoughts.

Arun Seshadri
Managing Director, Credit Suisse

Great. Thanks for that.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Jonathan Krautmann with Rubric Capital. Please go ahead.

Jonathan Krautmann
Partner, Rubric Capital

Hey, Dan. Just to make sure I understand the IPO, I think what we've heard is to summarize things, is that having a publicly listed entity is viewed favorably by the ECAs as a potential source of support, called an additional currency that could be drawn upon, if it's needed for the ECA's senior financing. If I understood things correctly, Telesat doesn't need to tap the equity capital markets in significant size, but going public is just really part of the overall financing structure that's important to ECAs. Is that fair?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

You know, I don't wanna. First off, we've always tried to be quite clear that this roll-up transaction with Loral is a transaction that will result in Telesat being a public company. We've always tried to be very disciplined to stay away from talk about a public offering, which obviously, you know, there's all sorts of securities regulation both in the U.S. and Canada around that. We've always tried to be very clear and disciplined around that. Number one. Then I would say in terms of, you know, how you know the export credit agencies might think about Telesat being a public company, what would I say there?

I guess all I would say is, the more access Telesat has to sources of financing for Lightspeed, but also just for, you know, growth projects more generally, you know, that's just a good thing from, I think everyone's perspective. I'd probably leave it at that.

Jonathan Krautmann
Partner, Rubric Capital

Fair enough. Second question. We've watched spectrum values with interest. I think the latest data point is the success of the 3.45 GHz auction here in the U.S. and the values that are currently in auction. We talked last quarter on this call about the potential that we could migrate our legacy GEO operations into 100 MHz in the Canadian C-band. Are there any updated thoughts on how we could free up and potentially get financially incentivized to open up another 100 MHz of Canadian C-band for the carriers or for other people in Canada?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Just sort of for the record, we are going to continue to have access to 200 megahertz of C-band spectrum, not just 100. In Canada, you know, that first 300 megahertz of spectrum needs to be cleared in certain parts of the country, but not even all parts of the country by, you know, I forget exactly, but sometime late 2025, I think it is. Beyond that, no. First off, we agree with your observation that the spectrum is highly desirable. We get that. We've always understood that. I believe that 200 megahertz of good mid-band spectrum is going to continue to be valuable.

I know the carriers are very keen to get access to that 300 megahertz of spectrum, but I have no doubt that, given how everyone's using bandwidth, that 200 megahertz is gonna also be desirable and valuable in the future. That's a good thing for Telesat, obviously. In specific answer to your question, no. We've almost kind of just come off of the last process and the government here, unlike in the U.S., hasn't even auctioned that 300 megahertz of spectrum that they will be clawing back. Yeah, I guess all I would say is kind of in the fullness of time, it's not lost on us that that could potentially be a very valuable asset. We're using it right now.

Frankly, we're using all 500 MHz right now. No, I mean, we're very cognizant of the fact that that's spectrum that could be of great value.

Jonathan Krautmann
Partner, Rubric Capital

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Derrick Wenger with Concise Capital. Please go ahead.

Derrick Wenger
Head Trader and Senior Research Analyst, Concise Capital

Yes, just one clarification. Just curious, can the LEO, when do you anticipate LEO may be profitable? I know that's years out, maybe. And can those profits be used to pay off debt at, in the entire complex?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Thanks for the question. We said earlier that we do expect that we'll be providing more information about kind of the LEO financial profile. We should probably wait, you know, to have that conversation kind of in a more fulsome way about when it becomes profitable. You know, for sure, of course, we do expect LEO to generate, you know, a significant amount of revenue and a significant amount of EBITDA and to be a very accretive investment for the company. I don't wanna talk about, in the absence of having a broader conversation about the financial profile of Lightspeed, I don't wanna just speak separately about when, you know, it becomes, you know, profitable.

On the debt side, I mean, as you know, LEO is being financed in a separate credit silo. You know, it's certainly, you know, going to be the case that, yeah, you know, the cash that it generates and whatnot will be used in part to repay the lenders in that credit silo. I'm looking at my finance colleagues.

Andrew Browne
Chief Financial Officer, Telesat

Yes.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

That's, you know, that's the plan.

Andrew Browne
Chief Financial Officer, Telesat

Yeah.

Derrick Wenger
Head Trader and Senior Research Analyst, Concise Capital

All right. Will do that.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Ned Hole with DDJ Capital Management. Please go ahead.

Ned Hole
Research Analyst, DDJ Capital Management

Yeah. Hi, Dan. Hi, everybody. Thank you for the time. Guys, are you concerned at all with where the bonds are trading?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Yeah. Maybe I'll take the first crack at that. I mean, I don't like where the bonds are trading. I think that when we talk to folks out there, I think it's a lot of it, this is just kind of what we're hearing that a good chunk of that relates to just sort of uncertainty about the financing of Telesat Lightspeed. So that's, I'd say one of the key explanations that we're at least hearing from folks about why the debt is traded like it's traded.

We are very focused on clarifying all that as soon as we can, which is, I mean, there are all sorts of reasons why we've been, you know, very focused on completing the financing of Telesat Lightspeed. You know, one is just so we can, you know, move forward with the program as expeditiously as we can. But two, because I think that providing the clarity on the financing of Telesat Lightspeed should address what we're hearing, at least our concerns, within the restricted group, around what it could mean for the restricted group. Yeah, in answer to your question, you know, just picking up on your word concern, we don't like it. We appreciate the support that we've gotten from our lenders.

We want all of our stakeholders, equity holders, lenders to have a good day. At the end of the day, Telesat's been, you know, in the market as a borrower for a long time, and the goodwill that I think that we built up with our lenders over time, that's important to us. So, you know, seeing our debt trade down and knowing that that causes our lenders pain, yeah, that is concerning to us. We don't like it. Our hope is that all of our stakeholders do well from participating in Telesat and supporting the company.

Our hope is that when we have clarity on the Lightspeed financing, that will be accretive to our lenders and that the debt will respond. Here again, can't make any promises around that, but you asked the question and you know those are some thoughts around it.

Ned Hole
Research Analyst, DDJ Capital Management

Yeah, no, that's helpful. It seems like, I know they're not perfect overlaps in terms of asset base between the Loral equity and the Telesat Canada box, with unrestricted and restricted and, you know, economic ownership outside of or away from Loral, but it seems like there's a pretty big disconnect between Loral equity and the Telesat bonds. Do you have any reaction to that? Any thoughts around it?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Well, I wanna reemphasize. Yeah, no, thanks for that. I guess I'd like to reemphasize something that we've said before, which is the reason Telesat Lightspeed is being financed as it's being financed in this separate credit silo, that is all about the fact that it's a big project. We need to raise a lot of funds in connection with that project. The export credit agency financing source we think is an attractive one to support the financing of Telesat Lightspeed. Given all of the restrictions that we have to borrow, you know, within the restricted group, it short.

I'm not complaining about it, I'm just describing it, that it's a fact, it compelled us to finance Telesat Lightspeed in this separate group. It doesn't reflect any intention on the company to do Lightspeed away, you know, and to keep it, you know, away from the restricted group. It's just a recognition of the fact that it requires significant borrowings to finance it. That the restrictions that we have in the restricted group required us to do it elsewhere. I believe when you see how, and we've tried to be very transparent about this too, we're operating, you know, the company. Certainly it all rolls up to the same equity.

You know, from our equity owners, a dollar of EBITDA coming from the restricted group or a dollar of EBITDA coming, you know, from Lightspeed, and by that, I mean, you know, this other credit silo, we're indifferent. Shareholders are indifferent. I think that the fact that we're doing Lightspeed strengthens Telesat, like when, you know, it makes us more effective in the market when we're out there selling our GEO services, which is to say the, the assets that are in the restricted group.

Customers, I believe, and I talk to these customers, are more inclined to work with us and to acquire our services, our current services because they're excited about working with Telesat and having the opportunity to work with us in the future also because of our Lightspeed constellation. Anyway, I mean, that's kinda how we think about it and that's just kinda reality.

Ned Hole
Research Analyst, DDJ Capital Management

Yeah, that's very helpful on how to think about it. Just lastly, a quick clarification from the previous question. If and when Leo becomes profitable, you said you could use that, those proceeds to pay down debt at... Did you say at the Leo or Lightspeed credit silo or at both credit silos?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Well, look, I mean, as you can imagine, the lenders who are lending in the LEO credit silo have been, you know, just like our lenders in the GEO credit silo, our lenders in the Lightspeed silo, of course, as you would do, are very focused on making sure that they have the rights and are collateralized in the Lightspeed assets. So yeah, that's, you know. Until and unless, you know, we do something different than the cash flow that we generate in the restricted group, you know, subject to the covenants. You know, you guys are.

The covenants are very clear what we need to do with that cash, and that's what we do with that cash. The same will be true on the other side in the other credit silo. There we will be making, you know, borrowings with the export credit agencies, for instance, in that credit silo. There will be detailed covenants and the like around what happens to the cash that's generated with the assets that, you know, we're investing in in that credit silo. But that's, I'm sure, exactly as everyone would imagine it to be. It's kinda how it works.

Ned Hole
Research Analyst, DDJ Capital Management

Great. Thank you very much. I appreciate the time.

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

Okay, thank you.

Andrew Browne
Chief Financial Officer, Telesat

Okay. I think we're out of time today. Dan, any closing remarks?

Dan Goldberg
President and CEO, Telesat

No, the only closing remarks is, we appreciate everyone joining us this morning and look forward to speaking again when we issue our Q4 and full year numbers. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The conference has now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.

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