Vicor Corporation (VICR)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2020

Feb 25, 2021

Operator

Good day, welcome everyone to the Vicor earnings results for the Q4 and year ended on December 31st, 2021 call. My name is Matthew, and I'm your operator today. During the presentation, you will remain on listen only. If you need assistance at any time, please press star zero on your telephone and the coordinator will be happy to assist you. During the call, you will have the chance to raise questions. Please kindly remember to limit yourself to one question and a follow-up. I would also like to advise all parties that this call is being recorded for replay purposes. With that, I would like to hand it over to your host, James Simms, Chief Financial Officer. Please proceed.

James Simms
CFO, Vicor

Thank you, Matthew. Good afternoon, and welcome to Vicor Corporation's earnings call for the Q4 and the year ended December 31st, 2020. I'm Jamie Simms, Chief Financial Officer, and with me here in Andover are Patrizio Vinciarelli, Chief Executive Officer, and Phil Davies, Vice President of Global Sales and Marketing. After the markets closed today, we issued a press release summarizing our financial results for the three-month and 12-month periods ending December 31st. This press release has been posted on the investor relations page of our website, vicorpower.com. We also filed a Form 8-K today related to the issuance of the press release. I remind listeners this conference call is being recorded and is the copyrighted property of Vicor Corporation.

I also remind you various remarks we make during this call may constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Except for historical information contained in this call, the matters discussed on this call, including any statements regarding current and planned products, current and potential customers, potential market opportunities, expected events and announcements, and our capacity expansion, as well as management's expectations for sales growth, spending, and profitability, are forward-looking statements involving risks and uncertainties. In light of these risks and uncertainties, we can offer no assurance that any forward-looking statement will in fact prove to be correct. Actual results may differ materially from those explicitly set forth in or implied by any of our remarks today.

The risks and uncertainties we face are discussed in Item 1A of our 2019 Form 10-K, which we filed with the SEC on February 28th, 2020. We presented certain updated risk factors regarding the COVID-19 pandemic and our current construction project in our Form 10-Q for the Q3 filed with the SEC on October 30th, 2020. Both of these documents are available via the EDGAR system on the SEC's website. I remind listeners that the results announced today are preliminary as they are subject to the completion of annual audit procedures by the company's independent registered accounting firm, KPMG. As such, these results are unaudited and subject to revision until we file our Form 10-K, for the 2020 fiscal year, which we expect to occur by the filing deadline of Monday, March 1st.

Please note the information provided during this conference call is accurate only as of today, Thursday, February 25th, 2021. Vicor undertakes no obligation to update any statements, including forward-looking statements made during this call, and you should not rely upon such statements after the conclusion of this call. A replay of the call will be available beginning at midnight tonight through March 12th, 2021. The replay dial-in number is 888-286-8010, followed by the passcode 33109701. This dial-in and passcode are also set forth in today's press release. In addition, a webcast replay of today's call, along with a transcript, will be available shortly on the investor relations page of our website. Let me begin this afternoon's discussion by providing some color regarding my decision to step down as Vicor's Chief Financial Officer, effective June 30th, 2021.

As noted in today's press release, I have informed Patrizio and the board of my intent to pursue other interests and different types of challenges during the next phase of my career. I've had a remarkable run as CFO of Vicor, but I feel the time is right for me to look for other opportunities and forms of personal enrichment. As stated, we have kicked off a search for our next CFO, and I will be focused on a smooth transition to the leadership of my successor. I will be leaving behind a highly talented team, a strong balance sheet, and a clear roadmap for future success. Now I'll turn to a review of our Q4 financial performance, after which Phil will review recent market developments, and Patrizio, Phil, and I will take your questions.

In my remarks, I will focus mostly on the sequential quarterly change for the P&L and balance sheet items and refer you to our press release or our upcoming Form 10-K for year-over-year comparisons. As stated in today's press release, Vicor recorded total revenue for the Q4 of $84.3 million, up 7.9% from the Q3 total of $78.1 million. For the full year 2020 revenue totaled $296.6 million, up 12.8% from $263 million for 2019. Quarterly advanced product revenue rose 10.4% sequentially, reflecting the continued ramp of shipments of our lateral power solutions for AI acceleration. Demand for our 48-volt direct to CPU solutions and the first volume shipments of our new satellite solutions. Brick product revenue rose 6.1% sequentially, reflecting a broad resumption of shipments to our North American customers after the pandemic-related trough of the second and Q3s.

This increase offset a sequential decline in shipments to China, with those export volumes of brick products returning to trend from Q3's high level. Shipments to stocking distributors also rose sequentially. Turns volume was essentially unchanged sequentially. For the full year, advanced products revenue for 2020 totaled $106.1 million, up 41.5% from $75 million for 2019, while brick product revenue for 2020 totaled $190.3 million, up 1.3% from $187.8 million for 2019. Exports for the Q4 declined sequentially as a percentage of total revenue to approximately 64% of consolidated revenue from the prior quarter's 73%, reflecting the factors just mentioned regarding North American and Chinese shipments. For the full year, exports increased 35% and represented 64.4% of total revenue. For Q4, advanced product share of total revenue rose for the fifth consecutive quarter to 40%, with brick product share correspondingly declining to 60% of total revenue.

We believe advanced product sales will expand further as a percentage of total revenues, especially once new manufacturing capacity comes online, given the high growth segments we are targeting with our 48-volt technology, including AI, data center, and automotive, in contrast to the mature growth of the segments we serve with brick products. Turning to Q4 gross margin, we recorded a consolidated gross profit margin of 48%, an increase of five points compared to the margins reported for Q2 and Q3. Higher volumes and improved mix contributed to higher profitability, as did a reduction in cost variances. Gross margin dollars rose 21% sequentially. Margins remain under some pressure of high tariff charges, which totaled $1.5 million, representing approximately 1.8 margin points for the whole quarter.

We did see a reduction in quarterly tariffs, as Q4's total was 18% lower sequentially, in part reflecting our ongoing efforts to reduce component imports from China. We expect to see further improvement through 2021. I'll now turn to Q4 OpEx, which rose just under 6% sequentially, but were consistent with longer-term trend, reflecting periodic swings in discretionary spending. The amounts of total equity-based compensation expense for Q4 included in cost of goods, SG&A, and R&D, were approximately $242,000, $851,000, and $504,000, respectively, totaling $1.6 million. For Q4, we recorded operating income of $11.6 million, representing an operating margin of 13.8%. The sequential 90% increase in operating income reflects the operational leverage in our model. Turning to income taxes, we recorded a net provision for Q4 of $788,000, representing an effective tax rate for the quarter of 7%. Net income attributable to Vicor for Q4 totaled $11.2 million.

GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.25, based on a fully diluted share count of 44,772,000 shares. For the year, net income attributable to Vicor totaled $17.9 million, representing diluted EPS of $0.41, up from the prior year's $0.34. Before I turn to our financial position, a few words about COVID-19 and our workforce. Beginning in Q1, Vicor took substantial steps to protect the health and safety of our employees, following federal and local guidelines for employee well-being. As a designated essential manufacturer, using masks and practicing social distancing from the onset of the pandemic, we have continuously operated three shifts at our Andover manufacturing facility. With only a few exceptions, our engineering, sales, and administrative personnel returned to their offices in early Q2.

I refer listeners to our Q3 2020 10-Q filing, which sets forth details regarding our response to the pandemic and the impact this has on our operations through September 30th, 2020. As is well known, coronavirus infections rose domestically during the Q4, and the daily total of reported infections only has begun to decline in the past few weeks. Vicor experienced higher absenteeism from December through January, largely the consequence of quarantine requirements. However, our ability to adjust shift staffing in the factory allowed us to avoid meaningful disruption of production schedules, and we hope the worst is behind us, as absenteeism has recently returned to low levels. Nevertheless, because of the potential influence of the COVID-19 pandemic is associated with risks outside of our control, we cannot estimate the extent of such influence on our financial or operational performance, or when such influence might occur.

Turning to our cash flow and balance sheets, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $212 million, a sequential increase of 4%. Accounts receivable net of reserves totaled $41 million at quarter end, essentially unchanged sequentially, with DSOs for trade receivables slightly improving to 37 days. All balances are current. Inventories net of reserves declined 1.5% sequentially to $57.3 million. Annualized turns improved to 3.1. Reflecting the favorable swing in working capital, operating cash flow totaled $19.3 million for the quarter. Capital expenditures for Q4 totaled $11.8 million, representing the value of equipment placed in service during the period. We ended the quarter with a construction-in-progress balance of another $15 million. We have approximately $42 million of our capital budget scheduled to be spent through the year. Our factory expansion project is proceeding on schedule and on budget. I'll now address bookings and backlog.

Q4 bookings totaled $91.5 million, a 1.2% sequential increase. The overall book-to-bill was approximately one to one, with advanced products at 1.4 and brick products at 0.9. Q4 bookings largely reflected the same circumstances we saw with Q4 shipments, a strong recovery of North American volume offsetting a return to trend for Chinese bookings and, to a lesser extent, the natural lumpiness of orders from Asian contract manufacturers. At year-end, one-year backlog totaled $147.6 million, an increase of 5.4% sequentially. Turning to our outlook for Q1 2021, we expect continued revenue growth. We continue to address the sources of gross margin pressure and are forecasting improvement in product-level profitability. Further, we do not anticipate any meaningful increases in operating expenses.

While substantial further improvement in gross margin will have to await production from our new vertically integrated expanded factory, we expect incremental revenue to drive earnings per share given the scalability of our operating model. Phil will now provide an overview of recent market developments, and then Patrizio, Phil, and I will take your questions. I'll ask that you limit yourself to one question and a related follow-up so that we can respond to as many of you as we can in the limited time available. If you have one more topic to address, please get back in the queue. Phil.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Thank you, Jamie. I would like to start my comments with a short review of our progress in 2020, which I would characterize as successful on many fronts critical to our business growth objectives. We continued to strengthen our position as the leading supplier of high-performance power modules to customers in the data center, advanced processor, and high-performance computing markets. In 2020, we not only expanded our customer base, but also solidified our position with existing large customers by starting next-generation projects for higher performance processors with significantly higher power levels currently under development and scheduled for introduction in 2022 and 2023. Our leadership position is clear in that customers worldwide are selecting Vicor because of the increased performance that they can achieve with our factorized power solutions, which are characterized by much higher power and current density.

In 2021, we will begin to ship our new proprietary vertical power delivery modules in volume to customers developing highly advanced supercomputers. These supercomputers utilize large clusters of AI processors in close proximity to enable faster parallel processing of heavy and complex workloads, such as those found in autonomous driving applications. These complex systems can utilize greater than 50 processors, all requiring a vertical power delivery module from Vicor. I'll now turn to a new product strategy and growth initiative that was launched in 2020 and what should bring additional opportunities and revenues in 2021. This is our new line of single-phase and three-phase AC power modules incorporating our latest advances. These are successors to our former RFM assemblies. As rack and data center power requirements grow, the need to leverage existing facility footprints and rack infrastructure becomes a priority.

Vicor's new high-density AC front-end product families will meet this challenge head-on. These new OEM customer-funded products are scheduled to ship in Q3 of this year. We are excited about the future of this product line, which significantly expands our available market. As the 48-volt market continues to grow and as new customers introduce AI and HPC solutions, Vicor is extremely well-positioned to meet its growth objectives for this business in the coming years. Competitors trying to catch up with 48-volt-based solutions have started to set foot on our minefield of intellectual property. Misinformed and unscrupulous competitors are exposing OEMs purchasing infringing converters to significant risk of supply chain disruption. Having learned how to protect its inventions and assert its IP, Vicor's IP strategy is to hold OEMs accountable for OEM products incorporating infringing power modules from unlicensed module manufacturers.

OEMs seeking an alternate source to Vicor can take an OEM license to Vicor IP. Licensing revenue from a comprehensive IP strategy should contribute appreciably to Vicor's gross margins. Let's move on to our progress in the automotive market. As we all recognize, the electrification of cars, light vehicles and trucks is advancing rapidly with major investments and aggressive new model introduction plans announced by almost all of the major automotive OEMs. I am very pleased with the progress we made in 2020 in establishing several direct OEM-funded product development initiatives for electrified vehicles, which are scheduled for introduction in 2023 and beyond. I am particularly optimistic about our opportunity for a new high-power 800-volt and 400-volt on-board charging solution for pure electric vehicles, which achieves unparalleled power density and low weight.

In Q4 of 2020, we received funding from a large North American OEM for a solution that we expect to deliver to the customer next week, with an expected start of production in 2024. We are also working closely with several other global OEMs with which we expect to sign agreements in the coming months. The automotive market offers Vicor a large incremental revenue stream for 2023 and beyond in both the mild hybrid and pure electric automotive market for our high power, high efficiency, and lightweight modular solutions. With a range of $100-$1,500 per vehicle for our power modules, the revenue opportunity for Vicor is substantial. In addition to the data center and automotive markets, we see further growth into the telecom market, both for power delivery to network processors and high-density, low-profile AC front ends.

The opportunity for Vicor lies not only in land-based systems, but also in satellite constellations. We recently announced a collaboration with Boeing for a new MEO-based constellation, for which we developed a family of radiation-tolerant power modules. These modules are now being sampled to other satellite customers in this emerging and growing market, and we are also collaborating on the development of additional customer-funded power modules. The products and technologies developed for these growth markets are also ubiquitous to power delivery networks in many emerging applications, such as robots, unmanned vehicles such as drones and delivery vehicles, which should continue to expand our available market. We are selectively pursuing promising opportunities across such emerging applications. In summary, we made excellent advances in 2020, and I expect increasing traction in 2021. I'll now turn the call back over to the operator so that we can take your questions. Operator?

Operator

We already have a few incoming questions. The first one is coming from the line of John Tanwanteng. Please proceed.

Speaker 5

Hi, guys. Thank you for taking my questions. Very nice quarter, and it's nice to see that the strength is continuing. First of all, Jamie, congratulations on your decision. It's been great working with you, and hopefully we'll cross paths in the future. I was wondering if you could repeat your gross margin commentary heading into Q1. I'm not sure I caught it all. Maybe address the components of that, given the volatility we've seen in the world, whether it's component pricing, availability, freight costs, and timing, all the things that are impacting the world at the moment.

James Simms
CFO, Vicor

Well, obviously, as I mentioned, the tariffs continued to have an impact, but it was roughly $300,000 lighter. We really benefited from higher volumes and a much better mix profile. The volume of our advanced products, based on the leverage in that model, higher volumes allow us to absorb a great deal of our overhead, and that was the driver of the increase right there. It's 48% for the quarter.

Speaker 5

Got it. I was actually asking about the Q1 as we head into it, the outlook you had and what the gross margin commentary there was.

James Simms
CFO, Vicor

Oh, for this quarter?

Speaker 5

Yeah.

James Simms
CFO, Vicor

We expect, all other things being equal, to actually have some incremental improvement as the trends continue.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

I would add, though, that one should not expect an improvement on the scale of the one we just recorded in the most recent quarter.

James Simms
CFO, Vicor

Yeah, we're not going to pick up quite like that.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

I think that, as suggested in the prepared remarks, margin discussions on margin improvements, the next major contribution to margin improvements will come about with the vertical integration.

In a new facility. The vertical integration of process steps that have been outsourced, and which have created significant inefficiencies, long cycle times, bottlenecks.

Speaker 5

Hello? Hello?

Operator

Sorry for the interruption. This is the operator speaking. As I can see, the speaker line has just disconnected. Please bear with us for a few minutes.

Speaker 5

Okay.

Operator

This is the operator speaking. You are now back live in the call.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Okay.

Speaker 5

Yeah, where did we end?

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

An interruption. I think I was setting expectations with respect to margin improvements and the risk of repeating myself, I want to be clear with respect to this. We saw, obviously, a substantial step up in the most recent quarter. We do expect some further improvement this quarter and in quarters ahead. But the bigger opportunity will come once we can leverage the vertical integration at the expanded manufacturing site.

Speaker 5

Understood. Thank you. Can you hear me?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah. I just wanted to make sure you were back on.

Speaker 5

Yeah, no, I'm here. Thank you. Just wanted to address all the new opportunities and success you've had in 2020 and heading into 2021. You've mentioned a lot of applications. Automotive has obviously been on the radar. This new data center product, the satellite opportunity. As I understand it, you're opening your new facility, as soon as you can, and you need all of that capacity, just to supply current customers. How should we think of your expansion plans beyond that and the growth of the products over a two- or three-year timeline and how you're going to address those needs?

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Phil, you want to take that or?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

No, you take that.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Okay.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

It was hard to read it.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

We do address it in the 10-K.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Which will be published on Monday.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Generally speaking, the factory expansion gets us to the three quarter of a billion dollar total capacity. As we had discussed in prior conference calls, as soon as the dust settles with respect to this capacity expansion, we're going to start pursuing the next phase. Needless to say, as we get further out with automotive opportunities going into volume production, there is plenty opportunity for growth. I think in the near term, the progression with respect to bookings and backlog should continue. This quarter, we're ahead of where we were last quarter at this time. It's a positive trend that will carry us through this year, and into next year before we get to the beginning of participation automotive programs.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Phil, do you want to expand on that or?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

I think that's a great summary. I think that the focus is going to be continued growth through data center and Artificial Intelligence design-ins and wins that we've gotten as that business grows itself, we'll grow along with it. Our expanded customer footprint will add revenues at the end of this year and through 2022. As we start to move to 2023, when automotive kicks in, we're going to need follow-on facilities later on.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

There are various dimensions to this. One of the dimensions is the footprint in AI data centers. All these applications are point-of-load applications, so to speak. They address the escalating current requirements of AI chips, servers, those kinds of opportunities. These are all fundamentally what we call DC-to-DC converter type applications. As suggested in the prepared remarks, this complementary dimension of AC-to-DC systems, which are also called front ends, they are, in effect, providing a power system functionality upstream of the point of load. To the extent that we succeeded in making 48 volt the center of gravity in AI data center applications, and to extent that 48 volt is also becoming the standard for a lot of electrified systems in automotive.

There is opportunity, in effect, going from 48 to the point of load, autonomous driving, other kinds of applications, AI applications, and there is at least as much of an opportunity getting to 48. We think of this in the airline analogy of 48 volt being the hub, and there is as much opportunity taking the load to 48, as there is going from 48 to the point of load.

Speaker 5

Great. Thank you for that color. Nice job again.

Operator

The next incoming question is coming from the line of Hamed Khorsand. Please proceed.

Speaker 6

Hi. I had one clarification and one question. The clarification, Jamie, could you just repeat what your growth expectations are for Q1? Is that sequential for the revenue line or is that year-over-year?

James Simms
CFO, Vicor

No, it's sequential. We expect some degree of improvement across the P&L sequentially.

Speaker 6

Okay. My question was, are you seeing any kind of inventory stocking, order stocking as far as customers go, given what's going on in the industry with lead time expansion and any ordering trends?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah, this is Phil. Yeah, I would say that in January and February, we saw a lift in what we call POA, bookings placed on us by our large distributors, global distributors. It wasn't massive. It was certainly an increase above what we forecast, but not by a huge amount. There's definitely going to be some of that going on, right, given the whole supply chain sort of horror stories coming out from lots of different places. We can expect some of that as we go through the year, sort of as we did in 2018. That was actually a very big year of over-ordering, if you like. Yeah, there's some of that going on.

Speaker 6

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next incoming question is coming from the line of Quinn Bolton. Please proceed.

Speaker 7

Hi, guys. Congratulations on the nice results. Jamie, a pleasure working with you and best wishes on your next endeavor. Wanted to start with the new single-phase and three-phase AC-to-DC power conversion units for data center applications. That historically has been, I think, a fairly low gross margin business. When you look at folks like Artesyn or Delta or Lite-On, I don't think those guys are getting 50%-type gross margins. Can you talk about, are there factors that will allow you in that front-end or AC-to-DC market to drive good corporate gross margins? Can you give us any sense, I think you said it was going to start to ramp in Q3, what kind of revenue opportunity you might be looking at with the AC-to-DC?

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

We believe that the margin opportunity for front-end products is on par to the margin opportunity for point-of-load devices, which, as discussed earlier, we're looking to expand well beyond 50%. The traditional front-end products that you are referencing from power supply industry don't compare with the level of capability that we offer. The density that we offer in our front ends is literally an order of magnitude greater than those solutions. Those are not really effective solutions in applications that are challenged from a power density perspective or are challenged in terms of systems that require cooling in order to enable big events that follow our system solution. I have no concern whatsoever with respect to margins in terms of our front-end business, either AC-to-DC or even from our front ends for DC-to-DC.

In fact, with some of those margin opportunity, as given the example for 800 volt, 400 volt type of DC systems, we have an even more, if you will, unfair advantage vis-à-vis the competition. Regarding the part of the question has to do with the level of revenue that we expect from AC-to-DC products this year, it will be small. It won't move the needle on either revenue or bottom line this year, but it should start contributing to the top line shortly and to the bottom line, as I said earlier, starting next year. I'm particularly excited about what I regard as the most advanced supercomputer on a wafer that will benefit from our AC-to-DC solution to take it to its next level of proficiency. We expect that's going to be a significant contributor next year.

Speaker 7

Understood. Thank you, Patrizio. The second question, I think, is probably going to take some of those benefits you talked about in power density as it applies to the automotive market. Just what kind of advantages do you have, whether it's power density, lower weight in the cabling versus the competition in the electric vehicle market? I mean, you talked about the content opportunity is somewhere between $100-$1,500, can you just give us some sense how much weight you can take out of the vehicle, how much longer drive time can you get with a better power efficiency and power density of your solutions as you move into the automotive market over time? Thank you.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

An example of the level of capability that that technology enables, we have a chip that measures 60 millimeter by 20 millimeter, and it's about eight millimeter thick. That's a very small device. You can hold between two of your fingers. That device is capable of, roughly speaking, 5 kW of power conversion, 800 volts to 400 volts. That's a major market opportunity. It is so dense and so efficient. The efficiency is pretty close to 99%. Its density is very high, as you can infer from the numbers I quoted. It can be cost-effective to the automotive OEMs, while being very high margin for us. In terms of value proposition in electrified cars, as you know, weight and the reduction in weight is a direct contributor to range. There's a strong value proposition there that the technology enables.

Speaker 7

Great. Thank you, Patrizio.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Thank you.

Operator

The next incoming question is coming from the line of John Dillon. Please proceed.

Speaker 8

Yeah, guys, congratulations on the quarter, especially the gross margins, and the cash flow from operations was really outstanding. Jamie, I'm really sorry to see you leave, and I personally want to thank you for your service. I really appreciate your help over the years.

James Simms
CFO, Vicor

Thank you.

Speaker 8

You're welcome. We're going to miss you, yeah. I'm going to ask the same question about the front-end products to start off with. Maybe, Phil, you could give us some more color on the customers. This seems like a major product, and I'm just wondering, do you have customers lined up? At one time, I think I heard that there may be one customer who could take all the capacity of Vicor. I'm just wondering, what does it look like for the customers, and what does it look like for next year's revenues?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

John, we're obviously starting with some lead OEMs that are helping with funding projects. That's a great thing, right? They're committed to us, we see really good revenues, as Patrizio talked about, in 2022 from the supercomputer company that we've been working closely with. What we're going to be doing now is expanding beyond that and taking that technology to the list of companies that we deal with on the point of load solutions. Every single one of them is challenged by what I talked about in my remarks, which is the fixed footprint of the data center and the fixed footprint of the racks, where the power is going up. They're looking at new cooling technologies, such as liquid cooling.

Having something that's incredibly dense, power dense, and the performance is very high on efficiency, is really meeting a big challenge that they have. Our plans this year will be to now leverage off of those initial customers and take that technology to the big customer base that we have for point of load. That's what we'll be doing.

Speaker 8

Nice. My follow-up question is on the automotive. You've talked a lot about automotive, and it sounds like things are really going well there. In some of your presentations before, you were forecasting about $250 million in revenue, I think, in 2023. With all the advances, do you see that number going up?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

I think we have a great opportunity to drive that number up. Yes, I do. I think that the engagements that we have, it wouldn't be in the 2023 timeframe, by the way, but certainly, the number is big. The opportunity is very big. The success that we've had in 2020 and what I see happening in 2021, I think we'll double our engagements with customers in 2021. That's really building an incremental revenue stream for us that is critical to our desire and opportunity here to become a billion-dollar company. That's the plan.

Speaker 8

It sounds great.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Just as a reminder.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

contribution is still relatively long-term, right? It's still a few years out. Going back for a moment to the AC/DC, and giving you a little bit more quantitative sense of things. We have a couple of customers that are lead customers, as Phil articulated earlier. I would think that the supercomputing application is a few million dollars in the next year. The LED lighting application is $10 million-$15 million in the next 12 months. These are the test cases where the technology gets proven out and the benefits get displayed. To Phil's point, we've been keeping our powder dry with respect to showcasing this capability to our major customers to the point of load. We believe they are going to see the value proposition. There are also opportunities in 5G. I don't know if you want to say a few words about that or-

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah, what we're seeing in 5G, particularly on, again, also in the edge, if you like, edge networks, customers are looking for very low-profile systems, and that's where we come in. If you look at the profile of our chips, our modules, they're incredibly thin and incredibly dense. It really fits a real high demand that we see emerging with 5G systems of all different kinds, and particularly also in edge computing. We're talking to one quite large customer there at the moment, and they're very excited about this new family that I talked about earlier. Those conversations will go on in the next few months, and I'm hoping that will turn into another customer-funded program for product development for us.

Operator

In the meantime, we have received a few more incoming questions. The next one is coming from the line of Richard Shannon. Please proceed.

Speaker 9

Thanks, guys, for taking my questions, Jamie, it's been great working with you. I look forward to another call, but been great. Congratulations on your next move. I guess a tactical question for me, if I did my math right on the bookings here, your brick bookings went down a fair percentage here in the Q4. How does that play out into your thought process in the Q1? Maybe understand the reasons why the bookings came down here. You kind of talked about some geographical changes. Maybe give us some color on that. That'd be great, please.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah, sure, Richard, this is Phil. Basically in Q2, Q3 last year, we saw quite large bookings coming from the China market for our bricks. Driven by the trade wars with the United States, the distributors and the customers down there were stocking up. That sort of corrected back in Q4. We've seen good bookings through the first eight weeks or so of this start of this quarter. There was sort of a bit of a correction in Q4, but I think things will get back to normal now through this year.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

For bricks.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

For bricks.

Speaker 9

For bricks, okay. Just thinking about the Q1 guidance, are we going to see growth in advanced products and brick coming down? Or any way you'd help us understand those differentials there?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

I think bricks will be flat, maybe a little bit up as the North American military market is a little stronger. As for the advanced products, they will continue to increase.

Speaker 9

Okay, great. My follow-on question is related to the IP situation. It sounds like you're inferring that there are, and you have identified OEM customers who may be using infringing products out there. Maybe you can talk about to the degree to which you're seeing that, and should we infer that we could be seeing some sort of license or multiple license agreements happening this year in the near term?

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

We are seeing the evidence of infringement. We are gearing up to deal with it. We're having discussions with OEMs that recognize that they might have a serious issue. Stay tuned. That's all I can tell you at this point.

Speaker 9

Okay, great. Thank you, Patrizio. That's all for me.

Operator

The next incoming question is coming from the line of Christopher Hillary. Please proceed.

Speaker 10

Hi, good afternoon.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Hi, good afternoon.

Speaker 10

With the broadening demand for your products from several of these large end markets and industries, do you see potentially a larger role for a licensing and royalty contribution in future periods as you look to meet the sizable demand that's building?

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

We do. We recognize that OEMs have real challenges with respect to continuous supply, access to enabling technology. Needless to say, their preference would be to have multiple sources. When we have the situation that is present in our industry today with Vicor, literally five years ahead of any competitor in terms of technological capabilities, that creates, in effect, a stress that needs to be addressed. We're mindful of that. We're considerate of our customers. We want to address their needs. We view ourselves as a reliable supplier, but we do appreciate the fact that it takes a good deal of faith to put all your eggs in one manufacturing basket, the Vicor basket.

We want to provide the level of flexibility that OEMs would prefer to have, do it in a way that makes sense all around, that gives proper credit for the investment that Vicor has made, not just in recent times, but over the last 20 years. We built a technology edge. We've achieved with a major investment. We're literally talking over half a billion dollars in R&D, a lot of sweat in terms of creativity, innovation, lots of patents. We see the value of the IP side of the business running on a parallel path to our core competency of development and manufacturing, in particular, automated U.S.-based manufacturing of state-of-the-art products. It's a complementary opportunity, one that, to your point, should contribute to the total margin and net profitability of the company. It's got to work all around, right?

It's got to work for our customers, and it's got to work for Vicor.

Speaker 10

Great. Thank you.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Thank you.

Operator

The next incoming question is coming from the line of James Liberman. Please proceed.

Speaker 11

Thank you. Always good to hear such a fabulous presentation, and best regards to Jamie.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Thank you, James.

Speaker 11

Thank you. Could someone give some color on the magnitude of the opportunities, market size that you see developing in the advanced robotics and drone markets that you've been starting to talk about?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah, this is Phil. It's a little bit difficult to do, only because it's early stages for a lot of these market segments, and it's really difficult to peg from how the growth is going to go. It's just that, again, you start to see all of the robotics going on, all of the different drones, underwater unmanned aerial vehicles, all of the delivery vehicle investments going on, factory automation, smart cities, all of that stuff. It's certainly going to be a very, very large market. Where Vicor comes in, of course, in any market that we participate in, is bringing tremendous value to customers that value and will pay for the density, the performance, the efficiency, the modularity of our solutions. We're working with some really, really top-notch leadership companies in those market segments that I talked about.

Our early introduction is in 48 volt systems, of course, and also in some of the tethered vehicles in drones with our high voltage bus converter technology, which again, is very dense, very efficient, high performance. These markets will emerge over time, but it's definitely going to be a very big opportunity for us, but it's very difficult to put a number on it.

Speaker 11

Yeah. You almost have to be a visionary to see how it's going to play out.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Yeah

Speaker 11

It sounds extraordinary seeing the development.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Yeah. It's huge investments, right, going on in all of those areas. It's going to be big.

Speaker 11

Thank you.

Operator

The next incoming question is coming from the line of Alan Hicks. Please proceed.

Speaker 12

Yeah. Congratulations on all the progress you're making and the great quarter. I second everybody's comments. The long-term investors are going to miss Jamie. Anyway, my question is about on capacity, there's been some question there. Have you been able to keep up with all the orders you're getting? I see you've spent, I think it was $11 million last quarter, and I think I heard a number of $19 million from new equipment, possibly for this year. Are you putting in new equipment in your existing plant to keep up with orders? Can you just give some color on that?

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

We're doing a combination of things. First of all, we've been adding equipment within the walls of the existing facility. We have ordered equipment for the new facility. Some of that equipment is going to get delivered into the new facility as early as the late April, May timeframe. It's not going to be until the end of this year that the lion's share of the equipment in the new facility will get installed. Between here and there's going to be more equipment deployed within the existing walls as well. By the way, the new facility is about to have walls. I mean, the steel is in place, and the roof is in place, and the walls are coming up as we speak.

Speaker 12

Mm-hmm. Okay. You're adding capacity for advanced products each quarter.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

We're adding capacity for advanced products each quarter. We're getting more capacity out of our outsource partners. In the interim, while we get vertically integrated, we will retain access to the outside partners, even after we're vertically integrated, so burst capacity or incremental capacity. It's obviously an exciting ongoing requirement. It's frankly a very good challenge to have.

Speaker 12

Mm-hmm. Okay. My second question was, Intel says they're shipping in volume this quarter their new Ice Lake servers processors. I know they have the great majority of the market. Has that added to your orders in the last quarter and this quarter? Looking to the future, are you getting any engagement on the new processors that are being developed, like the Facebook's or Microsoft's or Amazon?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Let's talk about the Intel CPU line, the new line. The way we're participating in that particular market at this point in time, for the majority of it, will be with 48 volt to 12 volt, non-isolated bus converters, our proprietary NBMs. Those will be ramping in production Q2, Q3, Q4 of this year with several of the hyperscalers who are using 48 volts now. With regards to follow-on processor developments, we're focused on the high current processors, right? Providing solutions to where there are really difficult challenges at the point of load with our, again, our proprietary current multiplier technology. Yeah, we're engaged on next generation and even generations after that of processor development with our leading customers today and several new ones that we've been able to work with in 2020.

Speaker 12

Okay. You're saying that the impact of Intel is still yet to come, Q2, Q3, Q4?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah. It is. Yeah.

Speaker 12

Okay, good.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Sorry, we're shipping solutions today, of course, for the older VR, the VR 13 stuff. The VR 14 will start towards the back half of this year, which are where we'll participate then.

Speaker 12

Okay. You are in discussions with some of these customers with the new processors?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

That's right. Yes, we're engaged with most of them in terms of GPU, ASIC.

FPGAs, a lot of great engagements.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Yeah. Fundamentally, a good way of partitioning these opportunities is, to your point, there's Intel and there's sort of the rest of the world. Intel is, for a long time now, relied on an internal switching regulator scheme to enable the power source for their devices to be at the somewhat higher voltage. It's typically around 1.8 volt. At that level, while our technology offers benefits, they're not nearly as compelling as they are for sub one volt AI ASICs, whose current requirement, because of the lower voltage, tend to be much higher. There we're seeing an escalating set of requirements, both in terms of applications and the current levels of these applications, which are getting past 1,000 amperes with peaks, in some cases exceeding 2,000 amperes.

There, the value proposition of current multiplication, which is at the heart of our point of load technology, is greater than it would be in Intel processor running from 1.8 volts at, let's say, a couple of hundred amps. At a couple of hundred amps, they feel some level of flexibility with respect to traditional multi-phase, so to speak, solutions. Where the power source has transitioned from 12 volts to 48 volts, to Phil's point, we have a role to play in converting the 48- 12. That opportunity, frankly, given that the rest of the world is focused on fine lithography, running directly from voltage levels down to 0.6, 0.7 volts and going further down, and with that, higher and higher current levels. That's where the current multiplier solution with a higher value contribution comes into play.

Speaker 12

Okay. sounds like you're saying the best is yet to come for your technology.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yes.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Certainly the center of gravity, that will have to include Intel before too long, right? The center of gravity is shifting from high voltages at lower currents to lower voltages at much higher currents. That's where our point of load technology shines.

Speaker 12

Okay. Thank you very much.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Thank you. I don't know if there's one more question, it'll be the last one.

Operator

The last incoming question is coming from the line of John Dillon. Please proceed.

Speaker 8

Hi, guys. Are you seeing more hyperscalers going to 48 volts? It sounded like from the last question, answer to that question, there are some people going to 48 volts, and you're going to be using the 48 to 12 for the Intel chip.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

If you go down the hyperscalers here in the United States, they're all moving to 48 volts, some of them moving slower than others. I expect in two years, they will pretty much all be at 48 volts.

Speaker 8

That's great. Phil, in auto, can you talk just a little bit about what solutions do you solve in auto? Do you have a building block approach all the way from 800 volts to the point of load? Are you winning design wins for all the different aspects of those? For example, do you have point of loads for autonomous driving, design wins for that?

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

To answer the question, the point of load design wins we have for autonomous driving are in the data center. That's where we're participating today. In terms of the question about 800 volts, John, when I talk about $1,500 content per car, that's what I mean. We go from 800- 48 and 48- 12, and we do it at many, many kilowatts, so there's lots of dollars there. Yeah, we have a customer actually doing that with us. It's a really nice chipset, modular chipset that we're supplying, and they'll be in production in 2023 with that chipset.

Speaker 8

Yeah, that sounds really exciting. It's a building block approach where they can go all the way from 800 to the point of load in the car, and you're really getting all the content of the converters, it sounds like.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Part of the value proposition that we have in one of the many elements of intellectual property is the opportunity to actually eliminate some of the batteries. Because with our technology, you can store energy at a voltage, distribute a voltage that is relatively high and easy to distribute with copper wiring that is not nearly as heavy and is more cost-effective. Using a 48- 12 bus converter service, legacy loads are still running at 12 volt and be running at 12 volt for quite some time in these electrified vehicles without having to have duplication of battery systems that carry with them extra weight, extra cost, and extra complexity. In a typical system of this kind, you might have 800- 48, then 48- 12 at, in some cases, five, 10, 15 kW.

Speaker 8

Excellent, you'll do 48 to point of load also, I would imagine.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Well, to Phil's point, as of now, we're not yet engaged on point of load as in powering processors at one volt or thereabouts in a vehicle. We are heavily engaged with respect to a vertical power delivery system for autonomous driving applications, but that's really not moving with the car. It's obviously supporting that motion, but from a stationary side.

Speaker 8

Got you. Is that because the processors in the cars are not as powerful as the ones in the data center? They don't need the amps that you provide?

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Right. Needless to say, to the extent that one can do the heavy lifting in terms of computing in a stationary site away from the vehicle and rely on very high bandwidth communication with the vehicle, that is a preferable alternative because, obviously, in the stationary site, you can burn a lot of power to do some intense computing without limiting mileage in an electric vehicle. The strategy, for obvious reasons, that the auto makers are following is to remote as much of the computing as possible.

Speaker 8

Got you.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

Yeah. You want to really sort of push that compute to the edge, right? The edge will communicate with the data center on the heavy lifting.

Speaker 8

Got you. Okay, cool. Very good. Congrats, guys. Really sounds good.

Patrizio Vinciarelli
CEO, Vicor

Thank you. With that, we'll be done for today. Thanks, Jamie.

Phil Davies
VP of Global Sales and Marketing, Vicor

All right. Bye.

Operator

Thank you very much, everyone. That concludes our conference call for today. You may now disconnect. Thank you for joining, and enjoy the rest of your day.