Okay, good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us this morning for breakfast and for our first fireside chat of the day. I'd like to welcome everyone again to day two of the conference and just, you know, again, express thanks to, you know, for your support and to coming to the conference. Hope that everyone gets a lot out of it and hope that you can enjoy the beautiful place that we're in as well. So, I wanna introduce Sampath, who is the CEO of Verizon Consumer. He's gonna start with some Safe Harbor language, and then we'll get into some Q and A. So welcome, Sampath.
Yeah, thank you so much for being here. Go to the next page. Everything I say is covered by the Safe Harbor. It's on our IR website at Verizon.com. So read that and you're ready to go.
Okay, great. Perhaps you could start off by just sharing some observations on the current industry and market environment. You know, what are you seeing in terms of switching activity, volumes, competitive promotion activity, that sort of thing?
So the overall market's gonna grow, we think on the phone side around 7 million net adds this year. When you add in business, it's another 1.5 million that takes you to 8.5 million. So reasonably healthy market in terms of growth. I haven't seen much change in the overall competitive intensity. We are all playing our playbook. We all want to gain share in this market. But what we are seeing is the Verizon strategy is quite clear. You know, we are focused on execution. We are focused on balancing P and Q. But at the end of the day, it almost all comes down to service revenue, EBITDA, and then flowing down to free cash flow. So that's the environment we are in. In terms of upgrades, it continues to be a soft environment.
We saw last year was a soft environment on upgrades, partly because we are all migrating from 24-month to 36-month DPP. There's a transition there that's happening. Second is, the handsets haven't had that much innovation in a while. And third is these handsets are made really well as well. They break less. They fall less. So a combination of that has led to a reasonably soft upgrade environment. We continue to watch that.
Okay. You were appointed CEO of Verizon Consumer a year ago. It's been hard at work driving change throughout the business ever since then. Can you just walk us through the progress that you've made over the past year in transforming the business?
I think we've been majorly focused on just getting execution to a better place. So a couple of big blocks that we put in place. The first was myPlan. I suspect we'll get into it a little more in detail. But we had a price perception gap where people thought we were too expensive. We launched myPlan early in my tenure. That fixed a lot of that. That, together with the perks, creates a really compelling value prop for customers. And we've seen the energy in the market come with that. The second, in terms of execution, is we moved from a national sales structure to a regional sales model. So the country's now broken up into six markets. Each market has between 8-10 territories. So that's around 50, 55 different, territory directors. Each of them own their book of business.
A lot of decision-making happens in the field right now. So there's work there. Third is local marketing. We moved from budgets from national marketing to local marketing, local activation. And it also helps us do a market-level strategy. The markets, we want to hold share in terms of, returns higher. We want to manage that. Some, we have an opportunity to gain share. So we have different tactics on the field, to do that. Last is compensation. We went our teams were on a team-based compensation. We moved to an individual-based compensation. For our sellers, a lot of our indirect agent compensation was changed. And last is marketing. I hope you guys all like the Beyoncé ad during Super Bowl. But part of it was we wanted to get closer to the customer. We wanted to become relevant in the mainstream. And it helped us do that.
Okay. You mentioned myPlan. You know, how important are these new plans to the overarching business plan? You know, how are they improving the business's performance? And, what's the customer response been like so far?
You know, myPlan's been a great. I keep telling people, myPlan is on-plan internally. So, you know, it's a good thing for us, largely. I mean, we have at the end of the year in 2023, we had a little smidgen over 13 million customer lines on it. So pretty sparse base. The first thing it did was it took our price premium down to 15%, because we unbundled the other services with the network. You can just buy the plain network. And you can buy services on top of that. So it took our premium back to 15%, which is historically what we've had. It makes us competitive in the market there. So I think that's step one in that.
Second is because of the perks, the new customer coming in, the ARPA of the new customer, is double-digit percentage better now than it was this time last year. So two things. Our price premium perception has gone, come down. Second is we are writing better quality business because we are bringing in customers with higher ARPA. And three is there's some freshness in the market that we are going after. So the sales teams are ready. Our attach rate for perks has doubled since the time we launched it, as sales teams get more comfortable. And some of these perks are doing incredibly well, like the Netflix, Max promo at $10, or the Disney bundle at $10, or the Apple One at $10. It's doing incredibly well.
With all the, you know, all the change that you've, you know, that you talked about in the first question, in terms of, you know, sales, operations, new plans, when do you sort of hit full stride, do you think, from all of this change? I assume it takes some time for it to really see the results throughout the business.
You know, we've seen continued momentum in our business. I would say all those initiatives have had between 1- to 2-quarter impact last year because they were rolled out throughout the year. So they're between one and two-quarter impact. So we've got more work to continue execution of that this year and that. So we've got maybe a couple more quarter of impact of some of those initiatives. But then again, we have the next set of initiatives that we've started working on. If we are not standing still, we do want to, you know, win share, grow share in the market. So gross add momentum is very important to us.
One of the things that Verizon has done for a number of years now is really leaning into bundling content. You're doing that with myPlan. You've got the Disney bundle, the Netflix Max bundle, Walmart+ , Apple bundle, and others. Why, why has this been such a major product focus? You know, how has content bundling actually impacted KPIs in the business?
The concept of perks is, it has to be exclusive to Verizon. It has to be massively differentiated. Customers need to get value from it. That's how I decide what goes into the perks. And most of the content producers want to do business with us, primarily because it's a massive reduction in churn for their business. For our customers, they see value. But it helps us grow ARPA in a margin accretive way. It's a double thing. You can reduce churn at the same time grow margin as well. And we continue to evolve that portfolio as time goes on. It also lets us be more segment-specific. Every segment likes a particular type. In my house, the Disney bundle is very, very popular.
Mm-hmm.
I'm sure in my parents' house, it'll be less popular than that. So they can choose, based on the segment they are in and what interests them the most.
Yeah. Shifting gears a little bit, maybe, to the network. In October, Verizon gained access to the rest of the C-band spectrum in the top 75 markets, and then gained access to the full 160 megahertz in the other 330 markets where you hadn't deployed any C-band. Can you talk about, you know, how C-band has impacted the business so far? And what does gaining access to the rest of it mean for the business going forward and, you know, really for your overall competitiveness?
Look, C-band deployment has been awesome for us. It's been exactly how we thought it would go down. First results, you know, in the first 76 markets where we have deployed C-band more broadly, we see three very interesting trends. The first one is better gross add growth, you know, up to an 8% gross add growth there. Second is a 10% better premium mix in the C-band markets. And third one is 4 basis points of churn improvement in the C-band markets compared to the markets that are not. So we have existence proof that C-band is well received by customers. They give us more revenue. They churn less. And they buy more. So it's the magic of all three playing out in these markets. Now the work is to deploy that C-band into tier two and tier three markets. So we'll continue to do that.
Second, it also gives us capacity for Fixed Wireless Access. So in tier two and tier three markets, we'll have more capacity to do Fixed Wireless Access that we've not had in the past. So further our convergence play plays out more aggressively in that space.
You've seen this improvement in gross adds. How does that align geographically, you know, with the C-band markets? You mentioned the gross add improvement. But I guess I was wondering, you've made a lot of changes in the business, though. How do you sort of delineate between how much of it is C-band versus how much is it the rest of the actions you're taking in the business? You know, any more color on that would be really interesting.
The good part is we are seeing continued gross add momentum. So they are working. The steps we've taken are working quite well. We have a segmented approach to our market. You know, we start with tier one markets, which are the big cities. The good part is C-band is rolled out in all of these. And the second is our network is very good in these markets. If you take the top 100 markets, we are the number one network in 97 of those top 100 markets. So we have the best network. We also have a lot of fixed wireless access capacity in those markets. And a lot of those markets have Fios as well. So it creates a perfect environment for us to start going and gaining share in those tier one markets for us.
The Latino segment is another one where we are doubling down quite hard on. You saw that recently with some of our advertisement and creative. So those markets, we are taking share. In tier two and tier three markets, we have this, we have a lot of share. But too, we also have distribution lead in those markets historically. So as C-band rolls out in those markets, we'll have more FWA capacity there. So we'll start providing convergence and growing in those markets as well. So a very tiered approach, a very segmented approach. And that's how we're going after the market.
Okay. Talk about ARPA a little bit and pricing. ARPA growth has been in a 3%-5% range over the past three years. You know, you've had rate increases there. You've had makeshift, some other puts and takes. I guess the question is, looking forward, how sustainable is ARPA growth in this same sort of range over the next few years? You know, what are the drivers from here?
You know, in 2023, we grew ARPA a smidgen over 5%.
Mm-hmm.
There's some accounting there which you, many of you know about. But it's nevertheless a very healthy number that we saw this year, between 2.5% and 3.5% wireless service revenue overall for the company is what we've given in guidance. And we feel very comfortable about it. ARPA, we drive in a couple of ways. The first one is continuing to add more devices. We do very well with families. We do very well with multi-device accounts. So continuing to add more device to the account is important to us. We do that. The second one is the perks help a lot because we are able to add perks that are value accretive and things people want to buy. So that helps add a fair amount of ARPA. Third is also fixed wireless access.
You know, it's become a bigger part of our business. It helps with churn. Very high NPS. So that helps with ARPA. So we have a holistic strategy. We're continuing growing ARPA. And it's a very important metric for us. The last one is because of myPlan, the incoming ARPA is double-digit% better than it was this time last year. So we have a good incoming ARPA because of the way the plans are constructed right now. So it bodes well for our continued ARPA growth over the next couple of years.
Okay. Where are you today on premium unlimited penetration? And how high do you think that can really go? Does it, you know, ever go to 100%, for example?
Look, we would like 100 because you get access to the best network on Earth. So there's value in, you know, going all the way, to 100%. Every, every quarter, we see look, a majority, of our base today is on some form of premium plan right now.
Mm-hmm.
So that's the first part. We are getting better premium plan penetration every single quarter as we work. And some of that has to do with the way we do our promotion strategy. We give the best promotions to our most premium plans right now. So we found a way to link up promotions with service revenue. It's not something others do in the industry. It's not something we've also done in the past. But we have a very credible strategy to link promotions to premium plans. So to get the best promotion, you have to take the premium plan. Customers see value in it almost every time. And they end up taking the plan. So that's been a good driver of driving premium growth.
Okay. I know it was effective on the legacy family this December, so you implemented a fairly broad price increase in January of this year. Can you just talk about the customer reaction to that? How much of a churn impact, you know, you expect to see in the quarter from that?
Yeah. Our price increase we did in the first quarter was across 32 million lines. So pretty large portion of our base. It was a $4 increase. It nets out around $1 billion of service revenue through the year. The gross number is a little bigger. But then we give back some of that. So we end up yielding a little more than $1 billion of service revenue that we have. Typically, when we do a price up like this, it tends to be between a 3-4 basis point churn event for us. We know it. We track it very closely. So we continue to see that. And for us, I can talk what I do at Verizon. For us, when we do these price increases, we take three things into account.
The first big one is, are we putting out a better product? Customers have to see value for the product that we are putting out. And with C-band, with myPlan construct, people see value in our product continuously. The second is inflation. You know, are we seeing input prices go up different levels? That's a big input for us, there. The third thing is churn, how are customers reacting to it? Are they churning less or more? So when you factor all of those things, we feel comfortable doing the price increase, based on the fact that we are putting out a significantly better product right now.
Yeah. What about utilization? Because, you know, I mean, obviously, bandwidth consumption it grows, you know, 20%-30% a year. You know, I mean, doesn't that in and of itself kind of, you know, give carriers pricing power? And maybe historically it hasn't been realized because of, you know, competitive dynamics and structural dynamics. But, you know, we're kind of now, we're starting to see carriers regularly exercising pricing power. So I was wondering how you think about that utilization component to it?
Our networks are designed to take a lot of capacity. In the last five years, we just put out a Consumer Connections Report where we grew, you know, close to 130% mobile network over the last five years. So it's a pretty healthy growth that we see in that space. A lot of our almost all our customers take unlimited. They like the nature of unlimited. They can do what they want because you want customers to use the best network.
Mm-hmm.
You sell. But it goes back to a better value equation that we have for the customer. They use more data. They know they're using more data, whether it's high-def or more gaming or, you know, doing social media. They know they use more data. It's a better network. And hence, they're more comfortable paying more. So it goes back to the price-value equation that we drive every piece. So I think more data consumption is definitely good for us. And we see new trends. Last 10 years has been largely driven by video.
Yeah.
I think, going forward, we're likely to see AR, VR, spatial computing take up a lot more capacity. There's going to be a point where it becomes a big thing. And then AI. You know, you generate all this insight. You got to move it somewhere.
Sure.
That's where networks get played. We have two very interesting tailwinds for network growth over the next decade in the form of AR, VR, and spatial computing, and AI, and how that changes network dynamics.
When do you think those needs and, you know, start to scale and become more of an opportunity?
I think we're a couple of years away from that.
Yeah.
But most of these things start slowly. You know, video, back in the day, started very slowly.
Yeah.
You know, in the 3G era and then early in times in the 4G era. I see something similar here. It starts slowly. But once you get enough of an ecosystem going on the devices, these things move fast. AI is an interesting piece because there's so much compute sitting. It also creates opportunities for the edge for us. A lot of the training models can sit in the core. I think that's completely fine. But then, when you need to do inference, when you need to do something with the AI, you want a lot of that to sit at the edge of the network and then move in and around the network. So that creates an opportunity for us going forward on growth for the network.
Interesting. Okay. There's this constant debate in the investment community over just how far convergence will go in the U.S., you know, just given what we've seen in other markets, namely in Europe. What's your view on how convergence plays out in the U.S.? And how do you view Verizon's position for that future?
In the US, we're a little different from Europe, which tends to be the national. People compare us with Europe.
Yeah.
Around a little less than 15% of the market is converged right now is how we see it. Probably, that number will double over the next couple of years. But I don't see it going to the European levels of 50%, 60%, 70% that they have in many countries there. The market structure is different. But more importantly, the players are different in how they operate as well for us. For us, what is interesting is, we have 17.5 million homes of fiber, Fios, which is the OG of fiber networks that we have there. And then we have north of 50 million of fixed wireless access. When you put those two things together, that's a significant portion of the country that can be covered by broadband for us. We have owners economics in both of them on the fiber, the fixed wireless access.
So we want to give a product to a customer which they're happy. And what we find is, when we bundle, we see churn benefits. You know, we see double-digit basis points of churn when you put the two things together. And it's not just a plain bottom-of-the-bill discount economics that we have. So we remain bullish. At the same time, we have our own economics. We'll continue to grow our footprint both on the Fios side as well as on the FWA side. So we feel we are really well-placed in the converged world that we have today.
Cable operators have obviously made inroads in the mobile market. They've got about 6% market share in capturing about 40% of postpaid phone net adds. That's what they did last year, probably 15% of gross adds, I would estimate. And, of course, they have almost two-thirds of the home broadband market. So how do you view cable as a competitor? How do you think their mobile product and value proposition stand up to Verizon's?
Look, they are a very strong commercial partner of ours. You know, we provide wholesale network to the cable operators, 2 of them, Charter and Comcast. And, you know, it's a commercial deal. And they are a very important part of our overall business. But they do produce a different product for the customer. It tends to be limited. It tends to be a metered plan. They offload some of the traffic using other technologies. So they go after a very different segment of the plan. We tend to go after large families, people who want unlimited, people who want that extra reliability that wants to stay on the Verizon network there. But, you know, they are a good partner. And I, I, I think the market will say it.
Yeah. Okay. You know, you talked a little bit about Fios and fixed wireless footprint and how that gives you opportunities at convergence. How important is bundling with home broadband to your strategy in mobile and in bringing the consumer business back into, you know, a growth trajectory?
Look, we've committed to going phone net adds positive in 2024.
Mm-hmm.
A portion of that is convergence. So let me break out Fios and FWA separately.
Yeah.
On the FWA side, 75% of all my lines coming in today are existing mobile customers. 25% are new to mobile, where they have FW. And over a period of time, we sell mobility to them. I really like that mix. 75/25 for a product that uses the mobility network is a very good piece. And we're going to continue to do that. We've taken a price increase. We've had an initial, what I call, introductory discount that we walked away from. And then, further, we see better tiering of customers. They tend to take a premium plan. So there's good ARPU growth in that product as well together with volumes that we see in this space. On the Fios side, less than half of our customers are common between mobility and home there. So there's opportunity for us to get better at that.
When you combine the two, the churn is so low for us, customers really like the product. So convergence is a very important part for us. But we don't do it just for convergence's sake. We do it to drive better churn, better RFU, better customer satisfaction. I mean, our combined products tend to be the most satisfied customers. You know, on the FWA, we are in the 30s on NPS. On Fios, we are a little in the mid-30s as well. Mobility is in the mid-30s. When you put those products together, we get a much better NPS outcome for the customer.
Yeah. Why is it so low on the Fios side? And how do you close that gap?
It's just the timing. We've, you know, just started it. We've put some of our commercial teams together. They can do base management together. So we've just started that piece. But it's such a good product that customers really like that value prop that they have right now.
Verizon appears on track to meet the 4-5 million fixed wireless sub-target that you've put out there. How should we think about Verizon's ability to sustain subscriber growth beyond that target for, say, you know, another 3-4 years?
Right now, we've committed to getting to 4-5 million. We said, you know, end of 2025, we'll get you know, it's on pace to do it a little earlier than that we have. Right now, we don't have plans to, we haven't announced plans to exceed that number. But, you know, the network engineers, they always build more capacity than we ask them to.
Mm-hmm.
Definitely, we have more capacity than the 4-5 million that we have. Once we get to the 4-5 million number, then we'll decide whether we commit to more, whether we do cell site splitting. Are there other ways to go after that? Right now, we are really focused on getting to that number. The second piece is, we also want to drive more value, in the product there for ourselves. We've been continuously increasing RFU quarter-over-quarter on that product. That's important to us. Second is churn. You know, 90-day churn is really strong on that. We have little work to do in the 0-90-day churn. We are very focused on building a long-term business that is a very good business that drives value both for the customer and us in that space.
So all the effort is on doing that right now. When we get to the 4-5 million target, we'll decide how we expand beyond that.
Okay. There's a view in the market that fixed wireless's ability to compete at will fade at some point because the consumer use case is going to evolve to just, you know, greater and greater consumption levels, making that allocation of network capacity to fixed wireless, you know, frankly, uneconomical. What's your view there? I have a feeling you'll disagree with it. You know, are the skeptics wrong there?
I strongly disagree with it.
Anyway.
The product is a great product. I mean, we launched it a couple of years ago. It has high, you know, NPS in the 30s, RFU increasing, churn going down. In my book, that's a very good product that we have going. Second is, the network doesn't stay still as well. You know, we'll continue to build more sites. We get better spectral efficiency as we introduce new technologies, new antenna technologies. So the network continues to evolve. Capacity grows in the network. And we have millimeter wave as well, which we have a lot of spectrum for. So I see no issue with longer-term capacity in this space. Our customers are going to be happy. They're going to get what they want. People said that two, three years ago, the product would never work. And look where we are here today.
I'm continue to be bullish on the product. But look, once we get to the 4-5 million number that we've announced, we'll then come back and reevaluate and decide how much more we go beyond that. It's a great product because we never want to put a product that customers are not happy with.
Yeah.
Customers are happy with NPS right now. You know, we go back. We do between 350 and 400 as a company, in that space plus some, fiber ops. Strong broadband growth has been one of the standard benchmarks of what we've been doing last couple of quarters. We'll continue to do that.
You mentioned Millimeter wave. Can you talk about where the company is in utilizing that spectrum, or, you know, and you know, what's the confidence level at this point into really being able to use Millimeter wave at scale?
We were one of the first carriers in the world to harness the power of millimeter wave. In the Super Bowl this year, we had 1,300 megahertz live in the stadiums. More than 50% of the spectators at the Super Bowl were Verizon customers. Every one of them was streaming. They were tweeting. They were posting. The network held up really well. So for really dense environments like that, millimeter wave is the way to go for us, that coupled with our C-band. We see that in venues. We see that in dense urban locations. We do see that with some fixed wireless access as well. It works incredibly well for us. So it's something we are committed to. The handset and the chipset ecosystem supports that as well. And we continue to see more traffic on our millimeter wave network, if you will.
We've deployed a lot of it in cities but also in suburban areas and venues as well. So it's a long-term play for us. We are committed to it. We'll continue to see more traffic go on the millimeter wave network for us.
Okay. Your prepaid business hasn't grown since the TracFone acquisition. Can you just talk about, you know, how you're going about stabilizing the prepaid business, and turning it into a growth area for the company at some point?
Yep. A couple of structural changes in the prepaid business that we have. The first one is, customers, there's a shift away from national retailers to exclusive stores. We are exposed to national retailers. You know, Walmart is one of them, which is, we have good category share there. The second is a pre-to-post migration, that's happened in the space, over the last some of it because driven by ACP, some of it driven by customer behavior. They do that piece. So we are working through those two structural changes. ACP, whether it gets renewed or not, will have an impact on exactly how that works through on the prepaid side for us. So we have a couple more quarters of hard work. We are laser-focused on getting back to growth in that space. A couple of things we are doing.
The first is expanding our Total by Verizon stores. You know, we were almost at 0 at the beginning of last year. By the time the year ended, we almost had 700 Total by Verizon stores. Second is Visible, which is our digital-only brand. It's scaling up really well right now. Third is going back and reimagining our relationship with Walmart and how they sell and how they serve the customers there. So we've got a lot of work going on in that space. I have a couple more quarters of hard work there to get back. But it's exactly the same playbook we followed in the postpaid space.
Yeah. You mentioned ACP. Can you maybe just talk about your ACP exposure and, you know, how investors should think about, you know, potential size of that?
Look, Verizon's a strong proponent of bridging or reducing the digital divide. We support the ACP program. 23 million households in America use ACP to get access, either help or fully or partially, to get broadband and connectivity for them. For us, our exposure is largely limited to the prepaid space. We have a small exposure on the postpaid side. It's mostly in the prepaid space in what we call our SafeLink product, if you will, around a little more than 1 million lines in that space that we have. We do think ACP. I'm not sure at this point whether ACP gets extended or not. In any case, we are ready for both scenarios right now. It'll have some impact on service revenue for us.
There's going to be almost no margin impact for us given how the economics of the ACP product is.
So, no. So, no EBITDA dollars impacted?
Very, very marginal, there. There is going to be service revenue impact depending on when the ACP runs out of money.
Okay. Got it. Is the ACP funding, end of sorry, the end of funding, is that a threat to industry subgrowth, do you think? I mean, even though it's maybe not an issue for you, does it kind of threaten industry subgrowth?
It could. Look, for us, on the postpaid side, we have very little ACP money on our postpaid mobility business. Some of it has to do with our credit standards. You know, our average FICO score of our base is 725. We want to hold that base. So for us, it has very little impact. For some of our competitors, they may have some impact from ACP as they use ACP to fund some of their lower-end plans. But we don't see any impact in our business on the postpaid side.
I wanted to ask you too just about, you know, your participation in prepaid to postpaid migration. Is that an area where you're really benefiting today? And, you know, how much of an opportunity is it going forward?
Our postpaid business has very strict credit standards for us.
Yeah.
You know, as I said, average FICO score is 725. We are not super excited about lowering our credit standards to take certain customers. Where there's an opportunity for us to do pre to post and it fits our credit profile, we'll definitely go and take the customers. But there's some customers who are better off being on the pro prepaid side of the business. We do that. Longer term, we do see an opportunity for us to get better with pre to post. Some of it has to do with we have to finish the integration. We have to bring the two data sets together. We have to mine the customer base together. So we've got some operational work to do. Longer term, there is going to be opportunity for us in the pre to post space.
But right now, we are very careful and very cautious how we do that.
Okay. At your recent sell-side event, you alluded to a brand refresh being in the works. Company recently hired a new CMO. Can you just talk about the opportunity that you see from a brand perspective? You know, where is the brand today relative to what you think its potential could be?
You know, the Verizon brand today stands for trust and innovation. It's a very trusted brand. We have opportunity to get more emotional with our customer, make that personal connection, have a one-on-one connection with the customer. So you'll see the brand evolve to do that. You see a glimpse of that in the Super Bowl where you had ads that were very not very typical Verizon ads. It kind of shows how we are doing going towards that. The second thing for us is also going after segments. You know, Tier 1 is a very important market for us, whether it's the NFL partnership that we have, which tends to be in the Tier 1 cities, as well as certain segments like the Latino segment where we're going after. It requires a slight shift in our marketing to do.
One of the good parts is, we've shifted a vast majority of our dollars to digital. You know, three-fourths of our marketing budget today is spent digitally. We've made that shift actively. It lets us target certain segments better. It lets us measure ROI in a very credible way. So we've made that shift. Now, you'll see the brand continuing to evolve to be more friendly, to be more approachable, and make that final emotional connection with our customer.
Yeah. Okay. On industry growth, you know, at the beginning, you mentioned, you know, where you think the industry is trending in terms of net adds for postpaid. I guess I wanted to ask you about, you know, what the underlying drivers are of industry postpaid growth, excuse me, in excess of population growth. And, you know, how you see some of those trending going forward. Excuse me.
A couple of things happening in the space. You know, the U.S. still continues to see demographic growth. So there's new population, new to U.S., coming in. When the first thing they come to the country, they get a phone, want to connect back with their relatives back from where they came from and then to connect with their community as well. So there'll continue to be population growth in the country. And that always drives. Second is both ends of the demographic space, younger kids and older folks are getting phones as well. So you're seeing a continued growth in that piece. Second is, there's some pre to post migration that we spoke about that's adding to the postpaid growth space. And lastly, on the B2B side, new use cases, you know, whether it's curbside pickup, more manufacturing type use cases. You're seeing a lot more use cases there.
A lot of folks carry two phones as well for compliance reasons. So between the B2B and the consumer side, there's continued growth in this space. During peak COVID, we saw 11 million lines, you know, come in. I think now, we are at 8.5 million. Over the long term, look, 5, likely 6 million is where we think is the long-term average. But that's still a very healthy market, you know, compared to a lot of the other markets we have there.
I know you're the consumer head. But since you mentioned business, I would like to ask you, what do you think how much legs does that business growth side have? I think, you know, there's been some debate for a while about, you know, well, is this just a couple-year trend where businesses are giving employees devices? You know, like, it all happened at once on Wall Street, of course. But it seems like there's a lot more digital transformation going on in businesses and other industries. So I was just curious if you had any thoughts as to, you know, how long that wave will last.
The business is investing a lot in digital transformation. You are seeing workforces that have not been touched digitally having access digital. So all the field force today, you know, manufacturing, retail workers, service workers, all of them are digitally connected today. So you are seeing a lot more demand for devices more broadly in the ecosystem. Then you have IoT, you know, which continues to grow. Their 4G modules are down to really low price point. You can get a single-digit $ module right now, something we've been trying for many years. So you continue to see IoT growth. The third is private wireless. You know, 5G lets you do that. We used to do 1 or 2 deals a month. Now, we are doing significantly more deals a month, some high-profile deals in that space. So there's continued growth in wireless in the space.
Also, what we find is the SMB segment, the enterprise, and the public sector love a reliable network because every call that gets dropped is one lead they didn't have or one dissatisfied customer. So when you have a number one network like ours, it really plays to that space, which is why we have really good share in some of those segments.
Yeah. Okay. All right. Well, we'll wrap up there. Thank you, Sampath. Appreciate the time. And thanks everyone for coming.
Thank you so much, Mike.