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Earnings Call: Q4 2021

Feb 2, 2022

Operator

Good morning. My name is David, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Wabash Q4 2021 earnings call. Today's conference is being recorded. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there'll be a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question during this time, simply press the star key followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you'd like to withdraw your question, press star 1 once again. Thank you, Ryan Reed, Director of Investor Relations. You may begin your conference.

Ryan Reed
VP, Investor Relations, Wabash

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us on this call. With me today are Brent Yeagy, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Mike Pettit, Chief Financial Officer. A couple items before we get started. First, please note that this call is being recorded. I'd also like to point out that our earnings release, the slide presentation supplementing today's call, and any non-GAAP reconciliations are all available at our investor site at onewabash.com. Please refer to slide two in our earnings deck for the company's safe harbor disclosure addressing forward-looking statements. Also, just a quick reminder that registration is open for our May nineteenth investor meeting on our investor website. We're looking forward to the opportunity to address trends in our markets, the changes we've made in support of our refresh strategy and our longer-term outlook. I'll now hand it off to Brent.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Thanks, Ryan. I'd like to start today's call with an important announcement about the next step we are taking in our company's transformation. With our investors and other stakeholders, we often talk about the momentous transition that's happening in transportation, logistics, and distribution as the industry adapts to a compilation of forces. At Wabash, we see a different future reality than our competition in the context of social, technological, and logistics changes, and we've chosen to go down a substantially different path to reshape the industry and pull that future forward for our customers. There is no other truck body or trailer manufacturer that thinks the way we do, that acts the way we do, or that is making the kinds of sweeping changes to prepare our customers for a very different world, one that is coming fast and will force disruption.

On our last earnings call, we announced the change of our company name from Wabash National to Wabash. We signaled a strategic shift in our brand strategy. Today, we're excited to reveal that Wabash National and our family of brands have rebranded under one powerful Wabash brand that unites our products, our people, and our customers and our business partners. As released in our 8-K disclosure in early January, all legacy brands, including Supreme, Walker, Brenner, Bulk, Transcraft, and Benson, will henceforth go to market as Wabash. Over the next year, we will also introduce new brands to the market, including a new brand for our proprietary molded structural composite technology, which will go to market as EcoNex technology, one of the most environmentally conscious materials on the market to advance sustainability throughout the transportation, logistics, and distribution industries. Moving on to capacity and product updates.

Our conventional reefer and dry van capacity timeline remains on track. Given historic capacity constraints and associated production inefficiencies, emerging sets of new customers with digital brokers and private fleets amassing trailer pools and a captive dealer network capable of further increases in sales, we see this as a critical opportunity to grow our production capacity. While stakeholder questions about adding capacity during a period of elevated industry demand are certainly valid, this additional drive and capacity is key to the growth of our entire portfolio through customer cross-selling opportunities and strategically positions Wabash for the next decade rather than just capitalizing on strong market conditions over the next few years.

In terms of specific efforts to grow and diversify our revenue streams through product development, during the Q4, we announced the launch of a new light duty refrigerated home delivery truck body that was developed in collaboration with a national grocer. We're excited to commercialize this new product, which serves in a growing market with needed and desirable features like multi-temperature zones, maximized cargo capacity, and easier driver access. Additionally, the use of EcoNex, formerly known as Molded Structural Composites, allows our customers improved operating efficiency while also reducing environmental impact with 25%-30% greater thermal efficiency as well as reduced truck body weight. While our initial builds are on internal combustion engine chassis, we expect this truck body to translate very well to electric chassis applications.

Additionally, during the Q4, we announced the development kickoff of a next-generation walk-in van to further broaden our product offerings in support of efficient delivery of items to the home. We have engaged the leading mobility engineering firm, EDAG, to utilize our combined expertise to optimize the product design and continue to leverage Wabash's material technology expertise to offer a lightweight design. We're looking forward to moving from development to validation and on to key customer testing later this year. Additionally, we have partnered with Purdue University to enhance our speed to market with these other projects. We are excited to leverage Purdue's expertise in areas including advanced engineering, material sciences, and electrification to help bring solutions to market faster for the transportation, logistics, and distribution industries.

It is clear that the refinement of our strategy and vision to focus on solutions for transportation, logistics, and distribution markets, combined with customer alignment within our organizational structure, has accelerated our internal rate of change and focused our development activities on innovative products and services that will create value for our targeted set of customers. Wabash has always led the industry in product designs that have featured weight reduction as a key customer benefit. In recent years, that value proposition has gained increased customer focus as part of an environmental impact and carbon reduction strategy. Our products will continue to extend benefits like weight savings and thermal efficiency as competitive differentiators in a world that rightly has been increasingly prioritizing ESG initiatives at an accelerated pace.

As one of the very few public companies among our array of competitors in different product segments, we look at ESG and corporate responsibility as additional opportunities for competitive differentiation. Our cross-functional corporate responsibility team has brought us a long way in a very short period of time regarding our public disclosures on ESG initiatives, and I encourage you to review our latest sustainability report to learn more about our accomplishments in this important area. One new development I'd like to highlight is Wabash being recognized as one of America's most responsible companies by Newsweek. This ranking was compiled by evaluating information across environmental, social, and corporate governance areas to determine companies that take these responsibilities more seriously than others.

We intend to keep pushing forward with a continuous improvement mindset on how Wabash can continue to extend our leadership position on engaging with customers, communities, and other constituencies on these important topics. I look forward to talking more about this in our upcoming investor meeting. In addition to our corporate responsibility team, I'd also like to thank our board of directors for engagement and careful stewardship on ESG matters. Employee engagement is critical, but the involvement of our board of directors allows us to push our commitment to the next level. Moving on to market conditions and our backlog. Freight rates remained at strong levels for carriers throughout peak season and have continued to remain elevated in 2022.

Industry reports showed strength in new trailer order activity during certain months in Q3 and Q4, and orders naturally tailed off as order books have become practically full across the industry. Overall, our backlog ended the Q4 at approximately $2.5 billion, up sequentially by approximately $600 million from the end of Q3. This represents a 31% sequential increase in backlog or a 70% increase versus the same quarter of 2021. While our van business is essentially fully booked for 2022, our other Transportation Solutions products sport higher than normal backlogs, which continues to indicate constructive market demand conditions for 2022.

As we've executed well relative to our competition to contain any 2021 backlog slippage to the Q1 of 2022, we will continue to maintain a forward-looking posture by collaborating with customers on longer-term deals to include 2023. Far from broadly opening up our order book, the industry is well positioned to work in partnership with select customers who purchase from across our first-to-final mile portfolio to plan for how we best serve their demand for equipment in the future years, while purposely maximizing the incremental capacity we bring online. Our outlook for 2022 is essentially unchanged, with a small tweak at the revenue line and a moderate adjustment on the income statement for reduced amortization as a result of the changes to our product branding strategy.

I'll let Mike cover that in further detail, but I'd like to reiterate that we are looking at 2022 as a year where we can achieve significant revenue, operating income, and earnings per share expansion, even if the supply chain shows no improvement. As our backlog clearly indicates, we have upside to our outlook if supply chain conditions improve. I'd like to conclude my comments by reinforcing how excited I am to announce our product brand strategy, because the way Wabash goes to market has undergone a considerable shift during my tenure as CEO, and the refreshed brand strategy is the final piece of the puzzle. With accelerating innovation and product development activities shaped by the changing transportation landscape and intensified focus on sustainability, I believe Wabash is well positioned to move our industry forward.

With that, I'll ask Mike to provide additional color on both our 2021 financial performance and our 2022 outlook.

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

Thanks, Brent. Turning to a review of our quarterly financial results. On a consolidated basis, Q4 revenue was $479 million, with new trailer and truck body shipments of 11,655 units and 3,230 units, respectively. In terms of operating results, consolidated gross profit for the quarter was $42.6 million or 8.9% of sales. On a GAAP basis, the company recorded an operating loss of approximately $19 million. This result includes a non-cash charge for impairment of trade names and trademarks related to the retirement of legacy product brand names. On a non-GAAP basis, adjusting for the non-cash impairment, operating income was $9.7 million or 2% of sales during the Q4.

Operating EBITDA for the Q4 was $22.8 million or 4.8% of sales. Finally, for the quarter, GAAP net loss was $25.3 million or -$0.51 per diluted share. On a non-GAAP basis, adjusted for impairment of trade names and trademarks, as well as debt transactions costs, net income was $3.7 million or $0.07 per share. These quarterly results were somewhat below our expectations as the supply chain continues to struggle to support our production activity, with issues temporarily causing acute disruption within certain product lines. Additionally, COVID-related absenteeism spiked towards year-end in relation to the Omicron variant, as we saw absenteeism rates in late November and December increase well over rates experienced during the rest of 2021.

From a segment perspective, Transportation Solutions generated revenue of $443 million and non-GAAP adjusted operating income of $18 million or 4.1% of sales. Parts & Services logged revenue of $38.1 million and non-GAAP adjusted operating income of $4.4 million or 11.6% of sales. While operating cash outflows of approximately $7 million for the year shows the impact on working capital driven by significant year-on-year revenue growth. I'd like to point out that from Q3 to Q4, we generated $66 million of cash from operations as both accounts receivable and inventory declined. During 2021, our capital spending of $49 million was right on target and prioritized investment and project that we expect to be highly impactful to our future growth initiatives.

As a reminder, in late September and early October, we upsized our revolving credit facility by $15 million to $225 million and closed an issuance of $400 million in senior secured notes respectively. After repaying our previous senior notes and term loan, our improved debt structure results in $3 million in annual interest expense savings that we began to see flow through during the Q4. More importantly, these transactions create a reasonably priced patient debt structure that allows us to invest in our business and enhances our opportunity to create value with a lower cost of capital. With regard to capital allocation during the Q4, we utilized $21 million for capital investments as spending on our incremental dry van capacity began. $12 million to repurchase shares and paid our quarterly dividend of $4 million.

For the full year, we repurchased about 4 million shares at an average price of $16.64 per share. Our capital allocation evaluates opportunities for share repurchase alongside bolt-on M&A opportunities. Moving on to our financial guidance for 2022, our prior outlook remains largely intact. We've increased our revenue expectation at the midpoint by $15 million to $2.3 billion to reflect our significant backlog fill. While remaining conservative in our assumptions about the production activity that current supply chain conditions will allow, we did add 275 employees during Q4, which will allow us to continue to increase line rates. Operating income increase versus our prior guide has resulted from a combination of lower amortization going forward, as well as an accompanying increase due to the slightly improved revenue outlook.

These changes result in our EPS outlook ticking up to $1.75 from $1.70 per share previously. I'd like to reiterate that our guidance continues to assume no change in supply chain conditions. As Brent mentioned, we believe our backlog confirms that there is clear upside opportunity to our 2022 financial outlook should the supply chain improve. We also believe our Parts and Services segment will begin charting a path of sustainable growth during 2022 by prioritizing expansion of recurring revenue. When excluding sold and discontinued operations, Parts and Services grew revenue and operating income year-over-year by $27 million and $5.8 million, respectively. I'd like to remind everyone that Q1 tends to be our lowest quarter in terms of revenue and EPS generation.

Additionally, we do expect Q1 of 2022 to be the lone quarter of our 2021 backlog pushed into 2022, resulting in an unfavorable margin mix compared to the remaining quarters of calendar year 2022. Our expectation is for the Q1 revenue to come in between $470 million and $500 million, and to be between $0.10 and $0.15 per share from an EPS perspective. Operating margin in our full year 2022 guidance is expected to be approximately 6%, and with continued growth next year, we believe we can achieve our 8% operating margin target in 2023. In closing, I believe we are well-positioned to execute the next steps of our strategic plan, while also continuing to serve strong near-term customer demand for our first-to-final mile solutions.

Our One Wabash team has done an admirable job of embracing significant strategic and organizational change. They're all excited to move forward under a unified product brand strategy, knowing that we will be able to leverage the strength of our Wabash brand name as we continue to grow our business with unique new products and services. I'll now turn the call back to the operator, and we'll open it up for questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I'd like to remind everyone in order to ask a question, press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster, and we'll take our first question from Felix Boeschen with Raymond James.

Felix Boeschen
VP of Equity Research, Raymond James

Hey, good morning, everybody.

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

Morning.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Morning.

Felix Boeschen
VP of Equity Research, Raymond James

Hey, I wanted to start off on some of the comments around the backlog and sort of forward sales expectations. Obviously the backlog is actually a little bit higher than your 2022 sales guidance as of now. I'm just trying to understand. I'm gonna call it the incremental $200 million. Just is there a chance that would get booked in 2022, or is that specifically sort of your for 2023 at this point?

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

Yeah. Thanks, Felix. I'll take that one. Our sales group and commercial organization as a whole has done a really outstanding job of constructing a backlog that gives us for 2022. You know, with the guidance being predicated on the supply chain not getting better, we wanted to make sure that if it did or when it does, we have the ability of pulling that backlog into 2022, assuming timing allows. That gives us tremendous flexibility. That's why we say we've constructed the backlog in a way to allow a constructive upside to be possible, and we're working every day to see if we can make that happen.

Felix Boeschen
VP of Equity Research, Raymond James

Okay. Got it. That's super helpful. Then, Brent, in the release, you specifically mentioned some of the new pricing initiatives and specifically about pass-through arrangements on raw materials. Can you broadly comment on how that pricing change has been received by your customers? And I just wanted to clarify, is this exclusively on the trailer book or truck bodies also?

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Yeah. First off, let me say I am exceptionally pleased with how we are executing in an inflationary environment as we lead into 2022. I do not have reservations based on how our commercial group is executing our variable pricing model and how we've been successful passing through incremental inflation even in the last 30 days as we manage component and other related price increases. I feel very good about that. It is primarily based where most of the work has been done to date on the van side of the business. However, we are implementing, I will call it purposeful variations to that same mindset across the entire business throughout 2022. We are managing well on that front.

Felix Boeschen
VP of Equity Research, Raymond James

Okay. Helpful. Then just my last one, maybe this was better for Mike. Just around the 1Q guidance, you mentioned it, is there any way to quantify how much of the 1Q sales is gonna be a 2021 backlog pushed into 2022? Just trying to kind of understand how we can isolate some of the mix dynamics in that guide.

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

Yeah, it is. I would say you could probably look at generally the shipment and build miss that we had in Q4 is really the main piece that pushes into 2022. It's not a huge percentage of the 2022 Q1 build and ship, but it is gonna be a headwind. I remind people that Q1 is always our weakest shipment quarter. You've got really two factors that are gonna make Q1 look much lower than what we'll see in Q2 to Q4, and that is the shipments are always a little bit lower in Q1, and we have that overhang.

I would say it's, you know, of the build is gonna be in the 5%-10% range, you know, is what got pushed in some of that backlog.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

I'll add a little bit more beyond your question, just anticipating others. When we think about Q1 as it carries forward, not only do you have the, I'll call it, that moderate margin headwind that Mike's talking about. You know, when we think about Q4 and what was shipped and how we executed on the production front, the Omicron reality did create a pretty forceful event in the December timeframe. Just as the world and United States is dealing with it, that's continued through really the month of January. We're now starting to see it trailing, you know, not only our most seasonal lowest quarter of the year, but we got a little bit of that headwind leading into it as well. There's nothing surprising about that based off of what's going on around the world.

Felix Boeschen
VP of Equity Research, Raymond James

Got it. Very helpful.

Speaker 7

Good morning.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Hey, Justin.

Speaker 7

I wanted to ask about new trailer ASP. Obviously, a lot of momentum on that front. Any updated thoughts on how that metric could trend going into 2022? If I look at the Q4, I know there's been the resegmentation, but it looks like new trailer ASP actually went up a good bit sequentially, maybe 10% or so in the Q4. Margins in the Transportation Solutions segment actually went down. Brent, you may have answered this question a moment ago with Omicron. Is that really what drove that discrepancy, or is there anything else that was contributing to that?

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

Yeah. There's two pieces, Justin. This is Mike. First of all, yes, you're starting to see the ASP push up, which you'll continue to see into 2022, which we talked about that a lot at the Q3 call. We also mentioned that Q4 would be our the peak paying quarter of the price cost relationship. What you really are seeing is you're seeing the price starting to catch up, but you still have that extra material cost in Q4 that wasn't fully 100% priced in, which we knew was gonna happen in 2021. We believe most of that is behind us in 2022. You'll continue to see the ASP increase, and the material cost will essentially flatten out, is the best way to think about that.

Also, as you mentioned and Brent mentioned, Omicron did get us at the end in December, which was some of the conversion costs. The majority of that margin compression you're seeing is on the material cost versus price relationship.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Yeah. It goes a little bit more on the Omicron piece. Mike alluded to the fact that we've been very successful in the last quarter bringing in additional headcount to meet our 2022 capacity plan requirements, our supply plan requirements. That happened, and that was very favorable in the context of with the absenteeism rate spiking in December, the additional headcount that we brought in was able to mitigate that to some degree. It did preclude us from building the extra volume that we had planned on getting from that. All that adds into the inefficiency and conversion cost, Justin, when you think about the quarter, right? But the bright side to that is that we have labor in place. We continue to add that labor to meet the supply plan for all of 2022.

While we're taking a little bit of conversion cost lumps in the near term, we're setting the table for a full 2022.

Speaker 7

Okay, that makes sense, and that's helpful. Mike, you gave the guidance for the Q1. I was curious if you could give some color on the remainder of the year in terms of the cadence of EPS and maybe where you're expecting to exit the year. You know, kind of what's embedded in the guidance once pricing catches-

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

What you're gonna see is a big step-up is gonna be from Q1 to Q2. That's again some of the units that we pushed from Q4 to Q1, some of the Omicron that Brent mentioned. Q1 and the lower shipments is gonna be the lowest, and you'll see the big step up into Q2. You'll see some moderate increase from there, and then we get to Q4. It's gonna be much more much smoother EPS profile from Q2 to Q4 with a moderate step up. If you calendarize Q4 into 2023, that's when you can really start to see the EPS power that we'll have in 2023.

Speaker 7

Okay. Last question I had was just given the re-segmentation, can you give us some help around gross margins by segment and what's getting baked into the guidance for 2022?

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

Obviously you're gonna see a much larger step up in gross margin from 2021 in the Transportation Solutions business because that's where you're getting the that's where we have the real price material cost disconnect. You'll see that normalize in 2022. I don't expect to see a significant change in the gross margins on the Parts & Services business. We're really happy with the steadiness of that business. Underneath the hood, I said it in my prepared remarks, but it's worth mentioning again, don't forget we divested the Extract business last year, and we discontinued some on-site repair work we were doing for a customer.

Both of those are, if you net those out, you see really nice growth into 2021 from 2020 and into 2022. We expect that to continue. I don't expect a lot of margin improvement in that business, but I would expect some pretty nice top line and bottom line growth in the Parts and Services business.

Speaker 7

Great. Thanks for the time.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Thank you, Justin.

Operator

Okay. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. Next, we'll go to Mike Shlisky with D.A. Davidson.

Mike Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Hey, guys. Good morning.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Morning, Mike.

Mike Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Can you tell us first off, are there any unusual one-time expenses that have to take place in 2022, as you rebrand all the other companies and all the other segments under the One Wabash, you know, system?

Mike Pettit
CFO, Wabash

No. We took that whole charge in the Q4 financials on our GAAP presentation of the financials for Q4. All of the charges related to the One Wabash and branding changes in Q4. There'll be some minor, obviously, signage and branding things, but nothing that's material to call out for 2022.

Mike Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Great. A few years back, the brand name was really important to that. I know you had an impairment here. Just tell us about a little bit like boots on the ground, what are the steps you're taking to kind of ensure that the old brand fades out, the new brand comes in in a way that doesn't challenge customer brand recognition or the way customers view your those products?

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Yeah. This is Brent. What I would say is that when we took on this initiative to understand what was the right direction going forward with how we represent the company to all of our stakeholders, we did a significant amount of third-party research facilitated by outside partners to make sure that we had real data on what was the truth on the ground across that stakeholder group. The feedback has been overwhelming that when we think about how the strategy is being executed, how we're positioning the company, the relative strength of the Wabash brand to carry through what it means to bring engineered solutions to the world, the Wabash brand is what carries. Now, that does not take away necessarily from any of the brands that we've had.

To make sure that we have a One Wabash approach that matches how we operate internally, how we'll represent to the customer, how we'll sell them first-to-final mile solutions, the Wabash brand is what tested. It was shown to carry across all of that. We feel extremely comfortable based on feedback from our largest customers that move the needle, that they are enthused, as well as our dealer body is enthused with the direction that we're going. Where we anticipated you know possible pushback, we got the opposite, which was embracing of the idea.

Mike Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Got it. That's great color. I also wanted to ask about the new, upcoming, you know, walk-in van product. That is a market that's been dominated by only a few players over the years. Obviously, you're also a big player as well, but not in that category. Can you give us a little bit more color as to how you intend to compete there? Is your product being developed with or do you plan to try and go after some of the existing ICE chassis that are out there today?

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Oh, let me answer the second part of the question first. The design application that we're working on would be compatible with all engine types or power types going forward. That was a key design criteria as we look to meet our customers' expectations. Yes, there is a limited amount of, call it, competitive entry into this specific space from a body type standpoint. How we approach this is really being pulled by our customers. As we sell first-to-final mile, and we sell them a full portfolio, they are asking us to get into this and provide a superior solution than what's being presented today, to do it differently, to do it with different materials, and to do it with a different mindset. This is our entry into that space.

It is very holistic in the way that we're approaching it. You can think about our portfolio strategy with customers, those that we most strategically align with, that we are giving them very specific solutions to pull through to do the initial conversion of product. Once we build a platform of design capability, we'll then look at how we can broaden that to a larger market segment. We have our hands full just meeting the expectations of large customers that are asking us to do something different.

Mike Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, D.A. Davidson

Got it. Got it. Well said. Thank you very much.

Brent Yeagy
President and CEO, Wabash

Thanks. Bye.

Operator

Okay. Well, there are no further questions at this time. I'll now turn the call back over to Ryan Reed for any additional or closing remarks.

Ryan Reed
VP, Investor Relations, Wabash

Thanks, David, and thanks everyone for joining us today. We'll look forward to following up with you during the quarter.

Operator

That does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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