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Earnings Call: Q2 2015

Jul 29, 2015

Operator

Welcome. Thank you for standing by. I would like to remind all parties that your lines have been placed on listen only until the question and answer portion of today's conference. At that time, if you're wishing to ask a question, please press star one on your touch tone. Today's conference is being recorded.

8084.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Two quarters. I would like to open with a review of the key components of our value creation strategy. First, we aim to drive organic profit and cash flow growth through our diversified portfolio of risk advisory, brokerage, and human capital and benefits businesses. Stronger revenue performance and improved cash flow. This strategy is evident in our current quarter results as our underlying commissions and fees grew nicely in the mid-single digits. We continue to execute on this strategy through acquisitions of smaller, very specialized businesses such as Evolution Benefits Consulting in the U.S., Casa Consultores in Mexico, and Elite Risk Services in Taiwan. Next, of course, you know that we expect to close on acquiring the 70% of Gras Savoye that we don't already own by the end of the year.

We are truly excited about the proposed merger with Towers Watson that we announced last month, which we believe will be transformational. As we described in a presentation, we promised you a detailed update on the Operational Improvement Program this quarter. John will take you through this shortly. From the end point 1% led by Latin America and China. Once again, we saw a good performance in the developed market of Western Europe, especially in Germany and Sweden. Eastern Europe, led by Russia, grew low double digits. We expect international to continue to drive strong revenue growth for the group in 2015. Let's now take a look at Willis North America. The North America segment achieved organic growth of 2.5%. We saw mid-single-digit growth from our largest practice, human capital, which is encouraging.

While surety revenues grew solidly in the quarter, our construction industry revenues declined modestly. This was not a surprising result, as we saw strong construction growth in the prior year quarter with two very large one-time projects that we called out on our earnings call a year ago. Rate headwinds in North America increased a bit during the quarter as weakening rates in property more than offset the slightly improved to flattening rates noted in casualty. On to Willis Capital, Wholesale and Reinsurance. This segment includes Willis Re, Willis Capital Markets & Advisory, our wholesale business, including Miller, and Willis Portfolio and Underwriting Services, which encompasses our programs business. On an underlying basis, CW&R revenues were up 3.6%, benefiting from revenues generated by our recent acquisitions, including one month of Miller Insurance Services and a full quarter of SurePoint Re.

The segment's organic commission fees were down 2.3%. Our reinsurance business is by far the biggest business within CW&R. On an organic basis, reinsurance commission fees declined low single digits in the quarter. Very strong growth in Specialty Re and modest growth in International Re were more than offset by a decline in North American Re. This result in North American Re was not unexpected. You may recall that last quarter we highlighted that there was about $8 million of positive timing in our first quarter CW&R results that would negatively impact our second quarter result. That was all North American Re business. Adjusting or normalizing for that $8 million of revenue timing, the reinsurance business would have reported mid-single-digit organic growth relative to the prior year quarter.

This has no impact on full-year growth for the segment, but it did have a meaningful impact on the quarter's results. Willis Capital Markets & Advisory delivered its second consecutive quarter of strong performance, driven by capital raising and advisory mandates completed during the quarter. Finally, I'd like to discuss Willis GB, which comprises our Great Britain-based specialty and retail businesses. Willis GB's organic commissions and fees decreased 2.3% in the quarter. The segment's performance reflects mid-single-digit declines in retail and P&C lines, partially offset by good growth in financial lines. Willis GB, as you know by now, is in the midst of an operational turnaround. Nicolas Aubert and the team are focusing their improvement efforts on developing deep client relationships in the large corporate space while continuing to improve services to midsize corporates.

The Willis GB segment has done a terrific job of managing its expenses during its turnaround process, actually reducing its expenses by mid-single digits and driving improved margins even as its revenues have been challenged. We are optimistic for the outlook for Willis GB. Overall for the group, we saw good performance in a quarter in which we fully anticipated some revenue headwinds. To compensate, we successfully managed underlying and organic performance through strong execution of our Operational Improvement and cost management initiatives. As you likely saw in last night's release, I reiterated our top-line mid-single-digit organic growth expectations for the full year. As we look forward, we expect that the timing of our pipeline of project-related revenues and strong retention of ongoing revenues will drive solid top-line growth in our full-year results.

We expect stronger top-line performance over the final six months of the year, while we also remain very focused on costs. I'm going to ask John to take you through the numbers in a bit more detail. John?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Thank you, Dominic. Good morning to those on the call. I'll be working off the second quarter slide deck, which is available on our website. On slide three, you see our EPS walk. As Dominic mentioned earlier, Willis grew underlying earnings by 21% in the quarter, driven by underlying revenue growth of 5.3%, coupled with execution of our cost management initiatives and a lower tax rate. The underlying tax rate in the quarter was about 22%, which compares to about 31% last year, with the decline driven primarily by a methodology change in the second quarter of 2014, related to the way we recognize the U.S. tax charge to be in line with profits earned to date rather than on a straight line basis. We also recorded a small reduction in tax provisions in the current quarter following the successful outcome of tax audits.

We believe that a mid-20s tax rate for the full year is appropriate, but it will be dependent on the mix of business over the remainder of the year. On the left side, you see last year's adjusting items. A reminder, these items included a reevaluation of net assets denominated in Venezuelan bolivars and an increased valuation allowance on our deferred tax assets. On the right side, the adjusting items we're calling out this quarter, the largest are $0.15 related to restructuring charges associated with our Operational Improvement Program and $0.06 of M&A transaction costs for Miller Insurance Services, Gras Savoye, and Towers Watson. The transaction costs were $14 million in the quarter and are reflected in reported results, not underlying expense, because they are unrelated to the ongoing normal operation of our business. Before we move on to the next slide, I'd like to comment on foreign exchange.

During our last call, we indicated that if rates remained where they were as of March 31st, FX would pressure our full year EPS between $0.10 and $0.13. This quarter, the combination of translational and revaluation FX resulted in a benefit of about $0.02 to our bottom line. Year to date, foreign currency movements have negatively impacted our bottom line by about $0.13. Looking forward, if rates remain roughly where they were at June 30th, we expect the $0.10-$0.13 range to be a good estimate. By the way, there have been a few questions about the $23 million of other income in the current period. That compared to $3 million of other expense last year.

When looking at those amounts on an underlying basis, meaning adjusting out the Venezuelan revaluation and gains on sales of operations in each period, the underlying values were $18 million of income in 2Q15 and $9 million of income in 2Q14. Those amounts represent the revaluation FX in the respective periods. There was a $9 million or $0.03 per share increase in revaluation FX period over period. As you know, we rebase our prior year measures for current period FX movements, so the year-over-year growth in underlying EPS is not affected. Turning to slide four. As a reminder, the difference between reported and underlying revenue for each segment is foreign currency movements, and the difference between underlying and organic is the net impact from acquisitions and disposals.

Quarter-over-quarter, foreign currency movements negatively impacted our revenues by about $59 million, reducing the group's underlying commissions and fees down by more than 6.5%. Dominic described the drivers of each of the segments earlier, I'll just add these points. International's robust underlying results reflect the impact of the 2014 acquisitions, which together added about $40 million to revenue in the quarter. Similarly, CWR's results reflect the impact of its recent acquisitions. Together, those acquisitions added about $10 million to revenues in the quarter. Finally, North America's underlying results reflect revenue loss from divestitures of several low growth, non-core businesses, as we've mentioned on prior calls. The divestitures reduced revenue by approximately $15 million versus the prior year quarter. Let's turn to our total expenses on slide five. What I think really stands out on this slide is in the middle of the page.

We reduced our organic expenses by $3 million, or about 40 basis points. Let's put that in perspective. Just a year ago, we reported expense growth of over 6% and a negative spread to revenue growth. You have to go back a long number of years to see negative expense growth in our business. This is a great result and a success that is shared across the company. It reflects the continued execution of the Operational Improvement Program and strong cost management initiatives outside the program across the organization. That performance, paired with our organic C&F growth, resulted in a very solid positive organic spread of 200 basis points. This follows on the 170 basis points of positive spread in the first quarter. Underlying expenses in the quarter were $765 million, up $37 million, or about 5%.

As you can see from the slide, $40 million is growth from acquisitions. Again, negative expense growth in this quarter from an organic standpoint. Reported expenses were $817 million and include $38 million of restructuring charges related to the Operational Improvement Program, which include termination benefits, parallel run costs, and professional fees. Slide six takes you through salary and benefit expense, the largest component of our expense base. Once again, this is a very solid story. Organic S&B was up just $2 million, or 40 basis points, to $528 million. As a reminder, a year ago, our S&B grew 6.4%. You can also see that underlying S&B grew $27 million, or 5.1%, to $560 million. However, $25 million of that growth is associated with our net acquisition.

Focusing back on the organic growth in the quarter, it reflects a 1.7% increase in organic headcount, as well as inflationary pressures in Latin America and other markets impacted by inflation or currency devaluation. Our S&B expense in the quarter included a $15 million decrease in pension expense, driven by actuarial gains from changes in assumptions and the actions we took in the first quarter to freeze pensionable salaries in the new pay defined benefit plan. Looking at the makeup of the organic FTEs in the bottom half of the slide, you can see that we are benefiting from moving resources from higher-cost onshore locations to lower-cost offshore centers. Higher-cost FTEs have declined by 500, while offshore lower-cost FTEs have increased by 800. Turning to slide seven, which focuses on organic metrics. The key takeaway here is that we've made substantial improvements.

On the left side, you see the trend in organic spread. That is the pace of revenue growth versus expense growth. We've made significant progress in managing our expense growth to the point where it is now solidly below our revenue growth. This trend began in the fourth quarter last year and has continued into this year. That is a key driver of improved margin and our goal of improving EBITDA and cash flows. On the right side, you can see clearly the positive impact on organic EBITDA. Steady revenue growth and positive operating improvements are driving high single-digit EBITDA growth. As you would expect, these improvements flow through to our operating margin, as shown at the bottom of this slide. We promised you an update on the Operational Improvement Program. Slide eight highlights the updates to the program's financials.

We announced the program in April 2014, a multi-year initiative designed to enhance our client service, create operational efficiencies, and invest in new capabilities for our growth. We are now roughly one-third of the way through the program's timeline, and we're pleased to report that it's proceeding better than we anticipated. At our last update, we estimated that we could drive about $60 million of gross savings in 2015. Following completion of the program planning activities and year-to-date delivery, we now expect in-year gross savings of $80 million. 2014 and 2015 projects will deliver annualized cost savings of more than $180 million when complete in 2016. One-third of the way through the program, we see 60% of the original estimate of the annualized savings. This is encouraging, to say the least. Given the strong progress, as you might expect, we are updating our estimates.

Starting again with 2015, we originally forecasted at least $60 million of savings with associated costs of $130 million. As I just mentioned, we now believe we will achieve savings of $80 million with restructuring costs of $140 million. We expect to deliver about $20 million of additional in-year savings for an additional $10 million of expense. That's the trade-off we're happy to make. You also see in this slide that the program turns cash positive in 2016 and will generate additional positive cash flows as time progresses. Looking further ahead, we are now targeting cumulative savings of $490 million for the entire program, with a total cumulative cost of $440 million. This compares favorably to our target of at least $420 million of savings against $410 million of costs.

Once again, a nice way to think about that is we expect to drive an additional $70 million of savings for an additional cost of $30 million. Finally, upon completion of the program, we now anticipate recurring annualized savings of $325 million, up from our previous target of $300 million. Turning to slide nine, the top table breaks out the $325 million in detail by work stream. As you might expect, about 75% of the savings is related to workforce location and operational excellence, meaning moving support roles to lower-cost centers and role reductions related to operational efficiencies. The remaining savings come from real estate optimization, IT saves, and a small amount from procurement. In the lower table, you can see our operational metrics are also proceeding well. At the inception of the program, our ratio of FTEs in higher-cost geographies to lower-cost centers was 80/20. Today, it's 75/25.

We are also making progress on reducing our real estate footprint as both the ratio of square footage of real estate per FTEs and ratio of desk per FTEs are improving. It is relatively early in the program, and there's still a lot of work to be done, but we fully anticipate meeting our new goals. That's an overview of the quarterly results and the Operational Improvement Program. Let me conclude by stating that we believe that we are well-positioned to achieve our stated goals for 2015 and deliver profitable growth going forward. With that, I'll hand it back over to Dominic.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Thank you, John. Let me summarize with a few brief comments. These are exciting times for everyone here. We generated strong performance in the second quarter and first half of the year. Faced with an uneven broader market and some anticipated headwinds, we executed against our strategy and effectively managed our costs. Our organic performance continues to be solid, leading us to increase our guidance to 200 basis points of positive spread. Meanwhile, our execution as it relates to both our M&A and our Operational Improvement continues to be strong. After closing a number of successful transactions in 2014 that are adding to our performance this year, we have embarked upon and are delivering against a still more ambitious strategy in 2015. We further strengthened our position as a premier London specialist broker with our acquisition of Miller Insurance.

Our pending acquisition of Gras Savoye expands our geographic presence and exposure to a multinational client base. Of course, there is our proposed merger with Towers Watson, a transformational transaction that will create significant opportunities for growth and value creation. In each case, we have identified a transaction with a strategic partner who brings synergies in client service and operations across geographies. I am confident in our ability to succeed in each of these endeavors. We've done all of this while successfully executing on our Operational Improvement Program. As John discussed today, we've made excellent progress towards our goals, and as a result, we've raised our cost-saving targets for the program to $325 million, the majority of which will fall to our bottom-line earnings. We are unlocking significant value through this effort, and we remain focused on its continued success.

We've navigated a challenging first half well and are positioned for success both in the near term and in the long term. I am very proud of our teams and their hard work, and I know they will continue to drive execution through to completion. Let me now turn to our transformational agreement with Towers Watson. As I have just articulated, we are making great progress on our standalone plans. We believe, however, that combining our strengths with those of Towers Watson and adding $4.5 billion of synergies that we see from the new company create even stronger medium-term performance. In fast-changing and consolidating health and property casualty industries, we believe the new Willis Towers Watson will be extremely well-positioned for the long term. Let me now turn it back to the operator, and we can take your questions.

Operator

Thank you, sir. At this time, anyone wishing to ask a question or make a comment, please press star one on your touch-tone phone. Please be sure your telephone is unmuted and clearly record your name at the prompt so that your question may be introduced. One moment, sir, for the first question. Our first question today comes from Kai Pan from Morgan Stanley. Sir, your line is open.

Kai Pan
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Good morning. Thank you. First question on the recent management departures at Willis Re. I just wonder what's the impact on the organic growth as well as benefits on the expense side from those departures. Do we expect more of those turnovers as especially now you have announced the merger with Towers Watson, maybe creating some uncertainty in management layers?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Let me take that. Obviously, Willis Re is a fantastic business, continues to perform very strongly, had organic growth in the first half of the year and continues to perform strongly. It is flattery actually that we are starting to see one or two departures to other firms, reflecting the strength. I can assure you that we are replacing those people with very high-quality replacements. We've already taken steps to do that. We are very focused on our clients. Our retention rates remain extremely strong, and we're optimistic for the outlook for Willis Re, absolutely. John Cavanagh and his management team are very focused on driving the business performance.

As to the reaction to Towers Watson, the reaction within Willis Re is the same as it's been across the whole of Willis, which is that this is seen as a fantastic opportunity for our organization and that the combination has been greeted with great happiness and excitement by our staff, including our staff within Willis Re.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

If I can just add, Kai, on the expense piece, it's not creating a material change to the expense base whatsoever. A few of the notable departures are on garden leave, which means we continue to pay salary, and those who aren't, we're going to reinvest and make sure we get the right people in place. No real change to the expense base.

Kai Pan
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

That's great. A second question on your target for this year, the spread of 200 basis points. It looks like the first half already close to 200 basis point spread and the organic revenue growth is going to be stronger in the second half as well as the expense saving you mentioned before will be back-end loaded. Do you think the guidance, why the guidance only 200 basis points?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

It's the guidance we've given. We're quite confident of that. When we look out as to how our pipelines are generating, we do see improved revenue growth, as I've said in my remarks, for the second half of the year. We're confident of our cost growth. For the full year, we've upped our target to 200 basis points. If we improve upon that would be good news.

Kai Pan
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Lastly, just on the Towers merger, your recent additional slides on the revenue synergy. Could you elaborate more how do you arrive those three buckets in terms of the potential revenue synergy?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

I think we'd like to focus this call mostly on our second quarter earnings, and obviously, Peter Poillon is happy to take you through some of the detail on that, or others of us offline. We did outline, I think, quite clearly that we see the exchange business helping to distribute the exchange offering of Towers into the middle market in North America will drive significant increased revenues. That we see the Towers relationships in the large corporate space in North America helping us to accelerate our already planned investment in the large corporate space in P&C in North America. We see the opportunity to take some of Towers' capabilities offshore across our larger network. We have 80 owned countries, they're in 37. It's an opportunity to raise revenues there.

We're happy to delve in more detail, of course, but given the time we have today, let's just leave it at that.

Kai Pan
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

I'll follow up. Thank you so much and good luck.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ryan Tunis with Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Ryan Tunis
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you. Good morning. I just had a couple quick ones for John, I think. The first one, I guess, just on the M&A transaction-related cost, $7 million in the first quarter, $14 million in the second. Obviously, you're working on the Gras Savoye deal and Towers. What's a good quarterly run rate to use there for the remainder of the year and even headed into 2016?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yeah. Those charges that came through in the first half are probably slightly elevated from a run rate standpoint if you exclude Towers. Maybe a mild reduction on those, and then whatever Towers turns out to be would be incremental.

Ryan Tunis
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Okay. Just on the pension stuff that you did last quarter. I might have missed it, but what was the expense reduction from that this quarter, and how much of that is cash versus just actuarial amortization?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yeah. Good question. Year-over-year, the benefit from pension expense is $15 million in the quarter. We expect the total year credit to be between $60 million and $70 million. About half of that is from the change in actuarial assumptions. The other half relates to the freezing. What the freezing actually did is lowered the actuarial deficit. What it's done effectively is positioned us well to be able to revise the cash contributions in the future. That's a conversation that's ongoing with our pension trustees, and we'll give an update on the details of that when we've reached an agreement.

Ryan Tunis
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Got it. Just lastly, I heard you say that Russia and Eastern Europe grew low double digits this quarter. What's the outlook there in the back half of the year given the headwinds?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Let's have Tim Wright, CEO of Willis International, just respond to that. Tim.

Tim Wright
CEO of Willis International, Willis Group

Hi, Ryan. Don't need to tell you about some of the issues in Russia. They're very public, macroeconomic. In terms of the impact on our business, we have a fantastic business in Russia. We do a lot of project business. Because the capital markets have been closed to Russia, or partially closed, there's been less project business, less one-off earnings. Obviously with the devaluation of the ruble attached to oil prices, there's pressure on the economy more generally. We anticipated for the year that we would have quite a considerable slowing in our business in Russia. We've actually found in the first half of the year, the business has been less bad than we expected. Actually Q2, we did have a major project that the team won that helped our earnings and those of Willis GB, because that's business that we both do.

In terms of the forecast for the rest of the year, I keep saying it is going to be more pressured in future. As the quarters go by, things are less bad than we had originally anticipated.

Ryan Tunis
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thanks so much, guys.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Dan Farrell with Piper Jaffray. Your line is open, sir. Mr. Farrell, your line is open, sir. Please check your mute button.

Dan Farrell
Analyst, Piper Jaffray

Hi. Thank you. Good morning. You showed some solid growth on the organic margin in the quarter, but underlying margin came in only slightly up about 10 basis points. M&A is clearly still having some impact there, and we have some further M&A going forward. How do you think about the ability to improve the margin on M&A? With the other acquisitions coming in 2016, is that still going to be a headwind to overall underlying margins? Thank you.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Let me just take that just to be clear on our philosophy. We're very focused on cash flow and cash based on what we spend, right? Some of the businesses we may acquire may actually be lower margin than the business we have already in the stable. That doesn't matter as long as they drive improved cash flow growth relative to what we paid for them. Let me have John now talk a little bit about how he sees margin evolving.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yeah. Thanks, Dominic. We calculated about 20 basis points of positive spread on the revenue growth of about 5.3%. The acquisitions that came in this year, they're going to be cash flow positive. We like the EBITDA that they're generating. There is some amortization that we're going to likely move to provide a cash EPS view on this. The outlook will frankly partly depend on revenue growth and continued execution on our cost management strategies. We feel good about what we've bought here over the past 12 months and look to a positive outcome for the remainder of the year.

Dan Farrell
Analyst, Piper Jaffray

Okay, thanks. Then just one additional question. Underlying income on an aggregate basis is only up about 6%. Is part of that being impacted by the timing and reinsurance of the $8 million? Can you remind us what the margin with that was? Was that sort of pure profit in both segments, or was there a margin associated with that $8 million?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Well, there is always some cost associated with transactions, right? Because there is incentive comp plans that pay based on the revenue generated or the view of EBITDA generated. Certainly there was some amount of cost. The first bit of your question, could you repeat that in terms of what were you looking for?

Dan Farrell
Analyst, Piper Jaffray

I am thinking about the delta, the 6% growth in underlying income, yet about 21% growth in EPS. Obviously, some of the difference is tax rate and FX, but it doesn't seem to be all of it. I am wondering if we think about that, if it is sort of the timing of the revenue as well.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yes. Certainly, there was definitely the timing play. Dominic highlighted the one significant transaction, I think it was about $8 million. Most of that would flow right through down. There would be some carve-out for incentive comp, as I said.

Dan Farrell
Analyst, Piper Jaffray

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Michael Nannizzi from Goldman Sachs.

Michael Nannizzi
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks. Just a couple here. I guess, John, sorry to go back to this other income piece, but if I pull that $23 million out of my model, just from a mathematical standpoint, that impacts my operating earnings. I'm just trying to understand, I get the year-over-year comparison, but is that or is that not in the $0.58?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yes. We strip out the impact of FX.

You'll note that there was the Venezuelan bolivar revaluation in the prior year, which was $14 million. It was $1 million in the current year. Then there's some additional FX that gets stripped out.

The $0.58 is effectively without the impact of FX.

Michael Nannizzi
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

If I take that $23 million out, I see that as having about a $0.09 impact. Just to reiterate, or a little bit more than that. The $23 million is not or is in the $0.58?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

We strip out FX out of the underlying. Mike, maybe what I'll suggest we do is, you and Peter and I, if necessary, get together after the call and walk through how we rebase the prior year to take into account FX and create a true comparison of underlying performance.

Michael Nannizzi
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

That's fine, I guess. On the Operational Improvement Program, you mentioned it being cash neutral in two years. I thought that I remember that there was some proportion of the cash savings that would get reinvested and some proportion that would be cash. Is that right? Can you sort of talk about, I'm just trying to get an understanding of when does that break even from a cash standpoint?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yes. What we're seeing here, and I referenced the slide, we're seeing in 2016 an estimated spend, restructuring charges of about $140 million. We expect savings to be about $150 million. The savings will be embedded in the results. The spend of $140 million will be consistent with what the spend was in the prior year. If you look at the savings versus the $140 million of restructuring charges, you get positive cash flow.

Michael Nannizzi
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

All right. Okay. All of the savings are then straight cash? Everything is coming down to cash. There won't be any reinvestment of those savings.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Dominic here, let me explain this, right?

Michael Nannizzi
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Sure.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

From the point of view of the program, the program is going cash positive as of 2016. Totally separately, we then decide whether we see incremental revenue growth opportunities over and above our base plan that we will decide to reinvest in. That's a separate decision to the Operational Improvement Program. Do not bundle them together. The simple point is the Operational Improvement Program goes cash positive in 2016. If we then decide to take some of those savings and reinvest them in revenue-generating opportunities, that's a different decision.

Michael Nannizzi
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Okay. Lastly, looks like you raised some debt in the quarter. Was that done in anticipation of just liability management, retiring some debt that's coming due, or was there a purpose to that additional debt raise, if I'm reading that correctly? Thanks.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yes. There was a purpose. We closed Miller on May 31st, and we used the revolving line to fund some of the cash expense related to that transaction.

Michael Nannizzi
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Okay, great. Thank you.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Sarah DeWitt with J.P. Morgan.

Sarah DeWitt
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi, good morning. On the organic growth, if you back out some of the unusual items that you called out, like the construction projects a year ago and the timing differences, what was the organic growth ex unusual items in the quarter?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yes. Yeah, it would be about 2.5% to 3%.

Sarah DeWitt
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay. As we look forward, how much of a tailwind from these future project-related revenues should we be thinking about on the back half of the year?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Well, it's Dominic here. I said that we expect stronger performance in the second half of the year. We are sustaining our mid-single-digit organic revenue growth forecast for the full year.

Sarah DeWitt
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay. You won't quantify those, the project-related revenues?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

No.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

That's correct.

Sarah DeWitt
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay, great. Separately, just on the Towers Watson merger, now that it's been several weeks, could you just talk about the feedback that you've received internally and externally? Are you getting any pushback from the Towers Watson shareholders looking for different deal terms or higher dividend, given that the merger was priced below the current stock price at the time it was announced?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Obviously, I can't comment on what the Towers Watson shareholders are saying. I can tell you that our communities, our clients are excited about this, and our mutual clients are excited about it. Our staff are very excited about it, as I said, across the whole range of our businesses, are excited about the cloud service opportunities it creates. Obviously, we've been talking to our investors, and getting very positive feedback. Overall, we're very excited about how this is evolving.

Sarah DeWitt
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Okay, great. Thanks for the answer.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Cliff Gallant with Nomura.

Cliff Gallant
Analyst, Nomura

Good morning.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Good morning.

Cliff Gallant
Analyst, Nomura

I'm curious about how. There's so much change happening internally at the company. I'm wondering how some of your decision-making gets affected when you have something like Towers Watson pending out there. Specifically, I'm wondering about the execution of some of the Operational Improvement Program. Do you have to change some of your decisions about relocation of people or investing into the company? Or secondly, about M&A. I know part of your ongoing strategy is to buy smaller companies. We saw recently this PMI deal. How does that get affected when you have such a large transformational change?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

As is normal in any event like this, each side of a transaction like this lines up in the period between announcement and closing, the expected M&A transactions they see, both sales and divestitures. As you know, Towers Watson did a divestiture in the last couple of weeks. You know in advance the pipeline of potential acquisitions or potential divestitures that each side has, and we've exchanged those because they are obviously part of understanding what you are actually going to merge with at closure. You have to reveal that. We have a pipeline of things, obviously, I can't reveal it to you, that we are engaged in and that the other side is aware of, and vice versa. As to the Operational Improvement Program, we've been very clear all along.

The recent update and what John just went through is clear that we are going to continue to drive the Operational Improvement Program as a program unto its own, with its target now of $325 million of savings. As we bring the two companies together, the one area of overlap we think will exist between the programs, if you like, the $125 million we announced as synergies with Towers Watson and this program may be in procurement, because obviously we will have some common contracts, et cetera. That may create actually more opportunity as we look at it. As you know, procurement is the smallest part of the $325 as laid out in the slides that John went through. Let's be clear, we are going to continue to drive the Operational Improvement Program as a discrete program against its targets.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Brian Meredith with UBS Securities.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Yeah, thanks. A couple of quick questions here for you. First one, John and Dominic, can you talk where the additional expense savings are going to be coming from? Is any of that coming from the recent acquisitions that you've made, kind of reevaluate them and seeing if they can fit in the Operational Improvement Program?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yeah. Brian, most of the savings are actually FT related as a result of relocating work from higher cost locations to offshore locations. That's really the driver. There's some role reductions as we simplify processes as well. That's really where we see most of the additional savings coming from, not only this year, but as the Operational Improvement Program progresses. Related to the acquisitions, we buy complementary businesses, and there's mild synergies there, but very limited. There's nothing planned for Gras Savoye in terms of synergies in early 2016, largely because they went through, effectively, their own Operational Improvement Program in 2014 and the beginning part of 2015. We feel pretty comfortable about the progress they've made there.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

What about Miller or what about the ones you did in the fourth quarter? Is there any opportunity to take staff and put support roles in lower cost locations?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Miller, the front end is very important that that remains independent. We're looking at back office support and seeing what we can do there. There was, as I said, mild synergies included when we evaluated the deal, but very mild. The other acquisitions, we're going to evaluate them, but I wouldn't expect a lot. We're pretty conservative when we do the evaluation on these and don't build in really aggressive assumptions on cost or revenue.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Critically, Brian, I think the context for your question here is that both the 300 and 325 are basically focused on our organic cost base.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Got you.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Right.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Got you.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Okay. Right.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Yep.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

That any savings we get, which we, of course, over time will get from our acquisitions in the ways that John described, are over and above what we're talking about here.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Excellent. Just quickly, John, do we have a free cash flow number for the quarter, and how does that compare to last year's second quarter?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yeah. The cash flow from operations is actually down about $70 million.

That's driven by a couple different things. One thing to note is net income for the quarter was roughly equivalent to the cash from operations. What we saw quarter-over-quarter in terms of cash flow, we had some tax and pension timing, some incentives, and then working capital actually increased by about $30 million as a result of effectively growth in the business and frankly, not enough traction in terms of receivables management that the business is now focused on.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Okay. Then just lastly, just real quickly, tax rates. What was the impact of the kind of procurement benefit you had in the quarter on the 22%? What would the runway look like?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

We guided to mid-20s there.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Right.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

I look at it now based on the first and second quarter, and I would say somewhere between 23% and 25%.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Got you.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Nice tight range there.

Brian Meredith
Analyst, UBS Securities

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Bob Glasspiegel with Janney.

Robert Glasspiegel
Analyst, Janney

Good afternoon, Willis. Let me reiterate Brian's desire to maybe have a little bit better disclosure on the cash flow, because I share, Dominic, your high interest in cash flow as something to evaluate. There's a lot of things going through with FX and the timing of your restructuring program. More data on that in the chart would be really helpful. A lot of feedback from my clients that a complete layup, and I understand you're not going to talk about-

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

I'm going to deal with the first part of your question. Look, we are very focused on this transaction. We're highly excited about it. In fact, we've just spent some time doing preliminary integration planning and going after a lot of the opportunities that exist both in client service, talent attraction, and thinking through some of the cost and other opportunities. We're well underway on that. That being said, obviously, as part of being an attractive part of the transaction is our standalone plans are robust and going forward.

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Bob, if I could just add, plan A is the merger with Towers, and plan B is the merger with Towers. We haven't even considered any-

Robert Glasspiegel
Analyst, Janney

Contractual question on whether it accrues to you if the shareholders vote it down, but you don't know whether that's the case, or?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

We'll get back to you, Bob. Yes.

Robert Glasspiegel
Analyst, Janney

Okay. Appreciate it.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Thomas Mitchell from Miller Tabak.

Thomas Mitchell
Analyst, Miller Tabak

With Chubb and ACE getting together and some other companies increasing their consolidation, I know that the customer is the buyer of insurance, but do you see this consolidation as affecting the markets in a way that would require you to sort of bulk up your capabilities in order to deal with what might be a shrinking number of qualified markets for your clients to purchase from?

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Well, that's a good question. We definitely see a lot of evolution in both the healthcare markets, and you've seen a lot of movement there in the last few weeks, and in the property and casualty markets. We have been investing in preparation for those changes. We saw them coming, all our investments in analytics, in data management, are all about increasing the quality and depth of our client service to our corporate clients and to our insurance clients. We were not taken by surprise by this. Our strategy has reflected that.

Part of our excitement about the merger with Towers Watson is it enables us to accelerate all those moves we've already been taking because we absolutely believe that in the way in which these markets are evolving, an advisor, broker, and solutions provider will need to have deep capabilities across a range of industries and a big pool of analytic capabilities. That was what we were investing in on a standalone basis, Towers Watson enables us to accelerate that. We think it will be important in this evolving world to have that depth and range of capability.

Thomas Mitchell
Analyst, Miller Tabak

That's good. Thank you very much.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Meyer Shields with KBW.

Meyer Shields
Analyst, KBW

Thanks. Good morning. In terms of the impact of acquisition, if I'm getting this right, there was $51 million of revenues and $49 million of expenses in the quarter. It seems like the margins on these companies are really low. Is there any seasonal impact on that? Is that not representative of their future contribution?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yeah. There's amortization of intangibles that are impacting those new transactions. There's a second piece that's in play as well. Some of the businesses have had lower margins than what Willis has enjoyed, but generating super cash flows. We obviously pay in terms of the deal price based on the net cash flows generated. We're comfortable with the economics on the deal, and over time, what you'll see is improving margins as a result of reduced amortization and then the mild cost synergies we talked about. We're comfortable with it, and as I mentioned earlier, I think it will help the analyst community when we begin to break out cash EPS. Frankly, it will align with how Towers does it as well. That works in many regards.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

I think there's another point here, is that some of these businesses have seasonality to them, so that you really only see the full effect of their impact upon us when you see how they perform during the course of a full year. Yeah, that's a good point.

Meyer Shields
Analyst, KBW

Okay, that's helpful. The $49 million then includes the incremental intangibles amortization. Is that right?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yes.

Meyer Shields
Analyst, KBW

Okay. Maybe this is better offline, but I'm trying to understand the interaction between the $18 million revaluation and any impact on, let's say, the EBITDA margin. Is that something you can go through now?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

Yes. I think it'd be better, Meyer, if we take that offline, quite honestly. We're just about at 9:00 A.M. here. We'll walk through it. It's just better if we walk through it after the call, I think.

Meyer Shields
Analyst, KBW

Okay, fair enough. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mark Hughes with SunTrust.

Mark Hughes
Analyst, SunTrust

Yeah, very quickly, the merger related expenses in the segment breakout, were those included in the corporate segment, or were those split among the divisions?

John Greene
CFO, Willis Group Holdings

The merger expenses for Towers were included in the corporate segment. If there's a transaction that's specific to a particular segment, they get booked on a, call it a reported basis in those segments. When we show performance on an organic basis, we strip those out.

Mark Hughes
Analyst, SunTrust

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I'm showing no further questions.

Dominic Casserley
CEO, Willis Group Holdings

Well, great. Thank you very much, everybody, for your participation in this call. We're very excited about the outlook. Let me just close with the following. The story of this quarter is strong execution on our strategic initiatives, driving results, and building the platform for accelerated future earnings. We saw solid organic growth in our businesses and drove margin expansion despite the headwinds in the period, and remain confident in our projections for mid-single digit organic growth and our ability to convert this growth into profits. The excellent progress to date on our Operational Improvement Program allowed us to increase our expectations of what it will produce this year and importantly, in the long run. Our M&A strategy continues to deepen and strengthen our offering globally.

We're focused on continuing to execute, excited about the opportunities we're creating for the Willis business today, and committed to making the merger with Towers Watson the transformational value-creating event we expect it to be. Thanks for joining us today, and we look forward to speaking with you next quarter.

Operator

This does conclude today's conference. Thank you so much for joining. You may disconnect at this time.