Good morning. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Besi's Quarterly Conference Call and Audio Webcast to discuss the company's 20 2Q2 results. You can log in to the audio webcast via Besi's website, www. Dotbasi.com. Joining us today are Mr.
Richard Blickman, Chief Executive Officer and Ms. Hedwig von Kerkhoff, Senior Vice President, Finance. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session and instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, this conference is being recorded and cannot be reproduced in whole or in part without written permission from the company.
I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Richard Pickman. Go ahead, please sir.
Thank you. Thank you all for joining us today. We will begin by making a few comments in connection with the press release we issued earlier today and then take your questions. I would like to remind you that some of the comments made during this call and some of the answers in response to your questions by management may contain forward looking statements. Such statements may involve uncertainties and risks as described in the earnings release and other reports filed with the AFM.
For today's call, we'd like to review the key highlights for our Q2 6 months ended June 30, and update you on the market, our strategy and the outlook. First, some overall thoughts on the Q2 and the 6 months results. Besi reported strong Q2 twenty twenty and the first half year results in an improving industry environment. Revenue and net income for 2nd quarter were €124,300,000 €39,800,000 respectively, increases of 34.1 percent and 110.6 percent respectively versus the Q2 last year. Asia exceeded the high end of revenue guidance as we resumed full operations globally achieved higher especially mobile applications and benefited from increased demand by Chinese subcontractors for mobile and other electronics applications continuing a trend starting in the second half of last year.
For the quarter, orders were €101,300,000 a 22.5% increase versus the Q2 last year, but a decrease of 14.6% versus the Q1 this year, primarily as a result of reduced spending by high end mobile customers after the first half capacity build. For the first half year, orders were €219,900,000 an increase of 32.5 percent versus first half of last year as industry overcapacity lessened and mobile customers increased demand in anticipation of new handset introductions later this year with advanced features and functionality. To a lesser extent, orders also benefited from continued remained at depressed levels as consumers react to the economic fallout from the pandemic. Profitability efficiency also increased significantly in the Q2 of this year and for the first half. Gross and operating margins in the 2nd quarter increased by 62% 38.9% respectively, strong increases versus the prior year period.
Besi's solid financial performance primarily reflected improved industry conditions, our strong advanced packaging market position and a favorable product mix. On the operational at percent 89.1 0.1% respectively versus the first half of last year with gross and net margins approaching 60% 25% respectively. In addition, there was a marked improvement when comparing Besi's trough cycle results for 2019 versus 2016 and for the 9 months periods thereafter in each 2016 2020. When comparing 2015 to 2019, in 20 19 Besi's revenue and operating profit increased by 2% 58.7% respectively versus 15. Similarly, the analysis shows a 13% revenue and 85% operating profit increase between the 9 month periods of 2020 versus 2016, assuming the midpoint of the Q3 2020 guidance.
Moreover, operating margins grew from 19.6% to 32.3%. Such improvement underscores the significant progress we made as a company over the past 5 years. AC ended the first half year with strong balance sheet and continues to return excess capital to shareholders. At June 30 this year, cash and deposits totaled €366,600,000 after the payment of 76,600,000 euros of cash dividends and share repurchases made in the Q2 of this year. Net cash and deposits of €93,600,000 atquarterendgrewby8.7% versus the end of the Q2 last year.
During the quarter, dollars 7,000,000 principal amount of the 2016 convert notes were converted resulting in a reduction of the principal amount outstanding from €125,000,000 to €118,000,000 Our capital allocation policy has been unaffected by the pandemic We distributed €79,700,000 in the form of dividends and share repurchases in the first half of this year. In addition to the May 2020 dividend payment, we bought back €6,200,000 of shares in the first half of twenty twenty as we approach the maximum amount authorized under the current $75,000,000 share repurchase program. Given continued strong profitability and cash flow generation, AC will extend the current program until October 30, 2021 and increase its size by 50 1,000,000 to total €125,000,000 Next, I'd like to speak a little bit about the current market environment. The trajectory of the semiconductor equipment recovery, which began in the Q4 of last year, was significantly altered by the onset of the global pandemic. As you can see in VLSI's most climate index report, there was a dramatic decline in the Q2 2020 as many governments shut down their economies.
This was followed by a retracing of the index back to pre pandemic levels at quarter end as Asian production resumed and demand for mobile and computing applications amidst the initial outbreak. We now assume that the market will grow to 3,300,000,000 in 2020 to reach $4,600,000,000 by 2023, the cumulative total increase of 50 3% versus 2019. More robust growth will be driven primarily by 5 gs network expansion and feature functionality upgrades, continued investment in cloud infrastructure economy and significant investment by the Chinese government to build out its semiconductor production capabilities. Now a few words about our Q3 guidance. Looking ahead, we estimate that Q3 2020 revenue will decrease by approximately 10% to 25% due to typical seasonal influences, lower demand for mobile applications post first half year build and customer caution as to the development of the COVID-nineteen pandemic.
The estimated 17.5% sequential revenue reduction is in line with Besi's 16.3 percent average, Q2 over Q3 revenue decreased over the past 5 years. In addition, gross margin is estimated to range between 58% 60% based on the forecasted product mix. And we carefully control cost in an uncertain environment. We are cautiously optimistic about Besi's prospects for the remainder of 2020 given our better than anticipated first half results and third quarter forecast. We temper this optimism, its implications for underlying semiconductor demand.
Longer term, we are encouraged about Besi's prospects in the next investment cycle, given our strong performance in a difficult environment and by strong secular growth drivers for our business. Further, we have a leading position in the advanced packaging, which is important an important enabler of the digital society and the new applications to be generated along with it. That ends my prepared remarks. I would like to open the call now for some questions. Operator?
Ladies and gentlemen, we will start the question and answer The first question is from Mr. Marc Hesselink, ING. Go ahead please sir.
Yes. Thanks for taking the questions. My first question is on the high end smartphone applications that came in even stronger than you expected ahead of the quarter. What kind of applications are that? And what do you think?
Is that market strength? Or is it also a significant market share gains component in there for you? My second question is on the very strong gross margin. You mentioned the mix. Is it fair to assume that those new applications that you are in the market, that those are higher gross margin products and that is also going to help you considerably going into the coming quarters and maybe even in the coming years?
And then finally, third question, you're still a bit cautious on COVID-nineteen. I think that's logical. Is that also the case that the visibility is still pretty short, like lead times even shorter than usual? And that's also something that we saw in the Q2 that your actually your revenue numbers were way ahead of what you earlier you guided that those orders come in at a very late stage? Thank you.
Yes. Thanks for your questions. Number 1, in the high end in the high end smartphones next generation, we all know 5 gs compatibility should be in many of the models. At the same time, improved, yes, face recognition. Also other features, so the content has changed and that has led to different solutions.
Also the wearables, don't forget AirPod iWatches. So across the board, this 2020 generation has offered us significant business upside potential. As we have said in many previous calls, the timing of the decision of the contents of a model is stretched to the very last moment feasible. So also with the pandemic kicking in February, it was not very, let's say, decided and clear what would be in and what not. But then if you look at our ability to turn around orders and for many products that is unique, we are able to deliver very fast in 4 to 6 weeks.
So turning around that business after the decision is one of the reasons why we have been able to gain some share over the past many cycles. And that goes the same for the gross margin improvement. In many instances to mix successful new developments with short time to markets. In other words, little delays and certainly no disappointments. But also we must be we must recognize that this quarter and also the Q1, first half year, we had many favorable effects simply because of cost reductions, less travel, more efficiencies due to that.
Exchange rates are high dollar, low ringgit. On the other hand, a bit by a higher Swiss francs, but overall some positive tailwind. So yes, it's a favorable mix. Headcount, so revenue per headcount, we are coming out of a downturn. We did not hire more than really necessary staff.
So that all tied together into a very effective, cost effective end result. Then your third question, feasibility, and you said it already, I fully agree, who is able to predict what is still coming towards us? Will this 2nd round be worse than the first round? Nobody knows. So we definitely see caution at customers.
On the other hand, the semiconductor industry is coming out of a downturn second half twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen. So inventories are still low. At the same time, automotive is very low, so no support from that business. So that's all together. And I should mention clearly in the consumer part of the application, so the mobile handsets, typically the seasonal effect is Q3.
And that should then be sufficient for supporting the introduction of that next generation. So that altogether simply leads to caution looking
forward. Okay. Thank you.
The next question is from Mr. Wim Hille, ABN. Go ahead please sir.
Yes. Very good afternoon. Wim Gille, ABN. My first question would be on some changes, I would say, in the supply chain. Now on the one hand, we see that Apple is changing its supply chain, initially moving to ARM for their MacBooks, but maybe more stuff pending over there.
So can you give us a bit of feeling what potential impact we might see on your business if Apple chooses to move more of its supply chain? That will be my first question. A similar one is obviously related to Intel versus TSMC, where Intel seems to be a bit behind the curve compared to TSMC. What will be the impact on your business if that basically rat race becomes a more one-sided race with only one participant in the race, if that would have an impact on your business. And my third one on China.
We've seen great strength in your results from Chinese subcontractors for a number of quarters. Do you have any feeling how many quarters that demand from Chinese subcontractors can last in basically the coming quarters?
Excellent. Well, the changes in the supply chain, but that is with all end products. In this and our position in those supply chains. What is key, of course, is that you don't disappoint your customers. And you can say modestly from the first half year results that this organization has done its utmost to satisfy the demand of the ever challenging end customers and that should help us to also continue to support whatever direction those supply chains are going.
But again, we have fierce competition, but that has been always the case. So we are happy with strong competitors. On your second question, Intel versus TSMC. This is not new. Everyone knows that there is a delta between the node shrink or next generation for many years.
It also has to do with the design of the specific processors in particular. On the other hand, the end market demand is growing significantly. In the next 5 years, it's expected to grow more than in the previous 5 years simply because of the artificial intelligence and the whole business model changes. Besi's position at all the leading edge semiconductor developers, producers, However, it will change simply Asia is expected to become an ever stronger partner. So our organization built in Singapore to support the technology development of our customers in Asia.
We are setting up more and more process support in Taiwan, directly supporting those customers based in Taiwan. Similarly for Korea, so the name of game is to simply anticipate and follow where the industry growth is happening. We are in an excellent position for that. And that also ties to the 3rd question, China, if you look at the percentage of revenue, it's quite substantial. We have said over the years from below 20% to between 30% 40% now.
Clearly, China is growing faster than the rest of the world. With the high end, we are successfully also growing in that market and you also see that in our margins. So the broad expected growth in Asia and in particular in China is expected to continue for years to come. So that's basically the answer to your question.
Thank you very much.
The next question is from Mr. Nigel von Sutton, Kempen and Co. Go ahead please.
Hi, good afternoon. Just taking on to the last question on China. I think there was some talk that maybe some Taiwanese OSATs were a bit hesitant and waiting until you can see more clarity on what they could produce and what they could not produce for Huawei or HiSilicon. But it also seems that maybe some of the Chinese OSATs accelerated in the quarter. So I guess I'm just speculating.
If you could provide any additional color on what happened in the quarter or maybe in the current quarter, what you see for effects that will be helpful? Well,
it's similar to an earlier comment. At this point in time, the visibility is even less than, let's say in 20 16, to turn around your deliveries very short. So our operations in China are proving at this moment their unique position to not only participate, but to have a leading position in the high end in the expansion in that market. But again, in this circumstance in the world today, one has to be a bit careful. Let's say it in this way.
It may like in the second quarter turn out more positively, but it also may face some headwinds. I don't know.
Got it. And then considering the visibility, you've raised the buyback lengthened it a little more than 5 quarters. Should we assume then €10,000,000 spend on the buyback per quarter into the coming
year? Yes, that's roughly the today's target.
All right. Thank you.
And there's another question from Wim Hille, ABN. Go ahead please, sir.
Yes. A follow-up question from my end on, let's say, the guidance that you gave. You mentioned quite rightfully that visibility is relatively low given the global situation with COVID and all. And that's also probably why you had such a strong beat in the Q2 compared to the guidance you gave in the Q1. Would you say that you have built in the results in Q3 will be closer to the guidance for Q3?
Or would you expect that the likely outcome of the results in Q3 will be closer to the guidance than basically what happened during this quarter?
There's some data We mentioned our order intake was €101,300,000 As a rule of thumb over the years, basically guides to the revenue in the next quarter. In the 1st 4 weeks of a quarter, many products can still add to the revenue in that quarter. So if you ask the question, how does the order intake develop in July? And I mentioned that still in the industry, we are carefully in an up cycle. VLSI is somewhat more positive as we showed in one of slides.
We are a bit more cautious simply because of the data points collected from many others. So our guidance minus 10% to minus 25%, yes, it's a broad range. But with the uncertainty around us, we is the best we can do.
Thank you very much.
I can also add to that by the way. If you look at the current situation, we have over 1200 suppliers for all our 18 different platforms. We have been quite fortunate revenue growth in the first half year. Accomplish the revenue growth in the first half year as we did. Many parts have been in a very critical path.
And we have been fortunate partly by dual sourcing and We have decided to take on slightly more inventory of those critical parts, which could, let's say, be a bottleneck. That's about $2,500,000 in value in extra inventory, simply not to get stuck when we would have all of a sudden additional demand. So you have to prepare in this time both portion on the downside be ready for the upside and that's just giving you a bit more background on how we are and we manage this 3 days a week, every Monday, Wednesday, Friday.
That's very clear. Thank you very much.
The next question is from Mr. Maxime Porto, ODDO. Go ahead please, sir.
Hello. Very simple question from my side regarding China.
You mentioned from your expansion over there because it's I'm Could you give us more flavor about the difference between China and the rest of the world in terms of gross margin? And also, in terms of bit regarding the EBIT in the Q2? I'm sorry, I missed the first part of the conference call, but I would like to know if there is also some, I would say, an order to be securing orders from your customers because they were scared about the fact that they couldn't get what they want at when they want?
Excellent question. Excellent. Well, the first one, there is not much difference in cost structure, believe it or not, between Malaysia and China. The only difference is if you produce a system outside China and you want to import into China, there's tax. So the big advantage building in China and also since over 10 years we've built the whole supply chain in China is that for China.
For China, we are in an ever stronger position. Your second question
Sorry to interrupt, just a follow-up. So you mean just a matter of taxes, there is no difference in terms of product mix?
No, not significant. I mean, there are some I mean, we have a major tool shop in China. So we built 90% of all the tools in China. So for some tools we have to import from outside and that adds to the cost. So it's not all equal.
So as I said, we have 18 different platforms, 16 we built in China now and that is after especially the impact or let's say the anticipated impact of more the trade situation U. S. And China. China is 100% for China. We don't export machines out of China.
And we are very successful to manage that cost in exactly comparable way. So that's no difference. And we have been very successful in the first part of the COVID situation in March especially, then we had to shift production from China to Malaysia because China was locked down and we sent those machines from Malaysia to China with some additional costs. And then China opened up again and Malaysia closed down until the end of April. So simply to give you some more color, but in the margins, you don't see a negative impact.
On your second question, we think that customers certainly are building safety into their structure. So the weakest link with every product can be very small spare part. So we've seen our spare parts business increase simply for supporting our customers so that they don't run into any shortage. That will not last forever, but that is still a small part of the business. Whether they buy complete machines to be more safe, we doubt, because it is we are only a small link in the total supply chain.
So they would have to build significant additional CapEx. So that's not what we think happens. So on the spare parts, yes, but on excess capacity in total, that's not the case yet we believe.
All right. Thank you very much. And is it possible to know the size of spare parts in your total sales please?
Yes. It's about 20% of revenue.
Okay. All right.
Yes.
And you were sorry, I introduced you.
Well, previous years, it was about 15%. So it moved up somewhat. But also this is a general trend. More and more, we are able out of Asia to support our customers within 24 hours shipment of parts and that's becoming an ever stronger part of our business.
Thank you very much. Pleasure.
The next question is from Mr. Robert Sanders, Deutsche Bank. Go ahead please sir.
Yes. I was just looking at your geographic mix for the first 6 months of the year. And I saw Korea, apart from China jumping to over 36% of sales, it looks like Korea is now 16% from 5% a year ago. I was just wondering if any of that was any of those increases is to do with flip chip adoption in DRAM. About the addressable market.
But it does look like VLSI is expecting that back end TAM is going to grow faster than the front end TAM. And I was just wondering whether you thought that was a likely outcome of all the various different dynamics that's happening, for example, Intel, what it announced, etcetera, chiplets and tiles, etcetera? Thank you.
Well, the first question, simple answer is not yet. It is expected flip chip DRAM later this year, early next year. And we are in an excellent position with a qualified new system in the last few months and winning that over competition. But Korea today is a mix. Part of it is high end smartphones.
I mentioned already antennas, but also many other good things. So expansion also into the Android world. And then your second question, yes, the it's not only fashion advanced packaging, but more and more the hybrid bonding, chiplets, foverals, moving from single diodes on substrates to chips on wafers, stacked 2.5D, 3 d, that's expected in the next couple of years to be a major growth driver for the interconnect. And that's not only Intel, but I think the golden standard is fair to say is in Taiwan. That is expected to offer significant growth.
We'll see.
Thank you. The next question is from Mr. Frederic Gerborg, Baie and Garnier. Go ahead please.
Hi. Thank you for letting me in. So my first question would be around the technologies that have driven your growth in smartphones. You've mentioned 5 gs and 3 Sensing. But is there a development in maybe fan out for the SoC?
Maybe you benefited have you benefited from that also? A second question will be around the gross margin. So 62% is very, very strong. And for the next year, I wonder if do you see growth driven by capacity builds, let's say? Or do you expect even more new technologies to come next year so it will be a mix between new capacities from the technologies of today and other new technologies to come into the market?
And just last question, my third question would be, is your guidance includes an adverse impact, already an adverse impact from the pushback Intel? Thank you.
Well, to start with the last, the answer is no. That does not include and we don't foresee any immediate changes. It could also be very likely a step up. Why throw the towel in the ring? Don't see that yet.
But anyway, go back to the first. There are many components, features into high end smartphones and many mentioned also by you. Some are upgrades, some are new. So it's a mix of more than the 2 I mentioned and the but antenna is brand new. I also mentioned to an earlier question, the wearables is also a major growth business.
So that all helps. But your second question, highest margins are always successful products. In simple capacity builds expansions, it's far more difficult. So finding the ideal mix of successful development on customer roadmaps in the various applications. So in the processor arena, memory as mentioned, but also for the various features into high end smartphones, automotive, although today very low in volume.
But there are many new products on the development roadmaps of the leading auto companies. So that will offer in a next growth cycle significant capacity expansion from both angles.
Okay. That's great. Thank you very much.
The next question is from Mr. Michael Ruhr, Degroof Petercam. Go ahead please, sir.
Yes, good afternoon. I have a question about the gross margin. And one of the drivers for the gross margin in the Q2 was labor efficiencies. And if I look at your own workforce in Asia Pacific and the number of temps that you had in the Q2, then the number of temps was about 10% of the total people, which is more than in previous quarters. So I was curious what the wage difference is between your own staff and those temps?
That's the first question. And then the second question, I think 1 or 2 quarters ago, you mentioned that the operating costs had some consultancy costs because you were further fine tuning the operations. And I was wondering whether future sales growth will basically be driven by expansion of temps or whether you expect to hire more staff for your own operations?
Excellent. If I look at your first question, which is a very important one, of course, temporary labor is more expensive than fixed. But in Asia, the delta is maybe around 20%. The key is to have your fixed staff in every aspect controlling the business. So the question is, and you see that in the results, those people increase their manufacturing throughput times because it's all hours and it is materials, the whole supply chain.
Don't forget all suppliers today are very hungry, because many suppliers do not only serve us, but also other industries. So we benefit from the issues in other industries. So that altogether has helped us in reducing that cost part of the COGS. But the efficiency of the own organization is a major achievement, especially if you simply bear in mind the disruptions due to COVID, first the shutdown in China and in Malaysia and you can simply track every week, every month, the amount of hours reduction in every platform we build. On your second question, the consultancy cost, we every so often recalibrate or calibrate our strategy and that is an the the 2 main areas markets, developments and market focus, pick the winners, customers, development roadmaps and on the other hand, how can we further improve our operations and reduce our cost.
And that exercise we did over Q4, Q1 and that cost we don't have in Q2. Hiring staff, clearly R and D is increasing. We've mentioned that also in every call that over time R and D simply because of the complexity is further increasing. So we also have hired staff last year, early part of this year, simply because the complexity, more customer programs. So the hiring and staff will be in the R and D part, less in the operations, the flexibility simply take revenue Q2 was 124.
Peak revenue in Q3 2017 was €170,000,000 So we are far from the peak revenue. However, with margins which were above that in 2017, So we have improved in efficiency significantly. But that is a never ending working on your business model? Yes, I don't
I actually was wondering if you
could even shed some light what if you were to return to that EUR 170,000,000 in sales. Do you have something in mind for the potential gross margin on that? Should we think even higher than the SEK 62,000,000 given the normal mix?
Sure. Yes. Yes. Given the normal mix, also exchange rates, competitive position, don't forget, we are in a competitive world. But that definitely offers more upside if we do our homework right.
Okay, good. Then I have one final question, if I may. It's on the automotive business end market. When I think of automotive chips, I think most of them are built on mature technology nodes, whereas mobile handset chips are typically on very leading edge nodes. Is it fair to assume that the packaging equipment is also mature for automotive customers?
So that means that their gross margins are much lower than the group average?
Well, there's a different phenomena in automotive applications and that is safety. So any product used, simple thing is traceability. And if a car fails, the risk of life is much higher than if your phone doesn't work. So the requirements to be successful in the automotive world is significantly higher. Qualifications take longer.
So the initial cost is higher. And once you have achieved certain positions, your margins are more stable, less volatile than the consumer part of the world. On the other hand, your statement is also right that from what we need for high end smartphones. So it's a different roadmaps, but also with the complexity, with the cost, there's a significant cost aspect. But over time, we have accomplished similar margin structures, whether it was in the days of 40%, 50% percent and now in the high 50s in a similar way.
Because don't forget, our industry is still very young, maybe 50 years, which is young in the scheme of things with a lot of variety. So our operational efficiency is in my view extremely, let's say, low compared to larger volume industries. So we can achieve a lot of cost savings and improvement to our operations from today onwards still significantly, which is a very positive challenge.
Well, you certainly have done a great job already. So yes, good. That's very insightful. Thank you for your answers.
The next question is from Mr. Nigel van Putten, Kempenet and Co. Go ahead please.
Just a quick follow-up on the guidance itself. So indeed, the midpoint seems to be the order book, but then you've also said, yes, you typically do turns business in July, there's also spare parts. Also historically, you've been able to print more revenue than typically the order book was. So could you perhaps quantify a bit more what the buffer for uncertainty related to COVID is? Is that maybe the mid to the high point of the range?
Or I must say the mid to the low point of the range that maybe an additional buffer? How should we sort of see that?
Well, it's not an exact science. I should also mention, if you look historically, the tide has turned in September, late August, September in many instances. So the caution is also because of that phenomena. Maybe it doesn't happen as I said earlier, maybe it does. Whether it's 20%, whether it's 10%, I honestly can't tell you.
But the underlying message is simply in this uncertain world, you better be cautious than be optimistic, but you have to be prepared if things do turn out more positively. So we handle that in the same way as we do every quarter, every period in time. As I mentioned, we are prepared for a major upturn. We are also prepared for softer times ahead, but I can't give you percentages.
Of course. All right. Thank you.
There are no further questions at the moment.
Well then, I thank everyone for listening and asking questions. And if you have any further questions, don't hesitate to contact us. Thanks again.
Bye bye.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the event call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect your lines. Have a nice day.