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Earnings Call: Q2 2023

Jul 25, 2023

Operator

Welcome to Basic-Fit's 2023 half year results conference call and webcast. Please note that today's conference is being recorded, and for the duration of the call, your lines will be on listen-only. However, you'll have the opportunity to ask questions at the end of the call. If you require assistance at any point, please press star zero, and you'll be connected to an operator. I will now turn the call over to your host for today's conference, Mr. Richard Piekaar, Head of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin now. Thank you.

Richard Piekaar
Head of Investor Relations, Basic-Fit

Well, thank you, Caroline, and good afternoon. Welcome to our conference call, during which we will discuss our results over the first half of 2023. With me today are René Moos, our CEO, and Hans van der Aar, our CFO. This call is being broadcast live on our website, and a recording of the call will be available shortly afterwards. As usual, I would like to point out that safe harbor applies. We will start with René, who will discuss the highlights and the operational developments, followed by a more detailed look at the financial results from Hans. After these prepared remarks, we will open the call for questions. The call will finish no later than at 3:00. With that, René, I would like to hand over to you.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Thank you, Richard. Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. I'm pleased that we achieved a strong set of first half-year results in a challenging global microeconomic and geopolitical environment. During the first six months of this year, we continued our accelerated club opening program with a net addition of 103 clubs. We also witnessed further strong membership growth and our enlarged group of 888 mature clubs is now at the targeted level of 3,300 membership on average per club.

The combination of the strong membership growth that we achieved over the past 12 months, and the benefits from the membership structure changes and pricing initiatives during the same period, led to a record of 41% higher first half year revenue of EUR 500 million, with an 83% higher underlying EBITDA of EUR 110 million. All in all, a good set of results. Let's go to the next slide on club openings. In the first half year, we grew our club network by 103 clubs to a total of 1,303. This means that we further extended our market leadership in Europe as a whole, and in the five countries where we already had the leading position. In total, we opened 108 clubs, and we closed five clubs.

Most club openings were in France, where we now operate well over 700 clubs. If you look at it on a 12-month basis, we added 110 clubs to our network in France, a growth of 18%. After becoming market leader in Spain in 2022, we continued our accelerating club rollout with the addition of 22 clubs to reach 112 clubs by the end of the first half year. Compared to a year ago, we grew our network in Spain by 45 clubs, which is an increase of 67%. We continue to open clubs in new cities like Córdoba and Granada, create new clusters, like in Bilbao and Malaga, with four clubs each, and strengthen existing clusters, like in Valencia region, where we now operate 10 clubs.

In the Netherlands and Belgium, we grew our network by four and three clubs, respectively, in the first half of the year. In our new market, Germany, we opened three clubs in the first half year to reach six clubs. In July, we opened another two more, lifting the total in Germany to eight clubs. We continue to see huge growth potential in Germany and currently have a pipeline with signed contracts of 65 clubs that we plan to open in the next 18 months. Let's move on to the next slide on membership growth. Our membership base grew by 8%, or more than 250,000 members in the first six months of 2023. Compared to a year ago, we grew our member base by almost 700,000, or 23%.

At the end of June, we had more than 3.6 million memberships. The seasonal pattern of membership development returned to normal after two years of COVID-19 and a recovery year. As usual, we had a strong first quarter as a result of the good intentions and a slower second quarter. The membership development in France was, however, somewhat impacted by long periods with protests, strikes, and civil unrest. As expected, we saw churn rates normalizing the past quarters to pre-COVID level of around 4% per month for the low rate after the lifting of COVID measures in 2022. We expected the churn rate to stay around 4% per month going forward. As we told you before, during 2022, we intensified our efforts to promote our Premium membership.

Ongoing efforts this first half year have more recently led to a further increase in the take-up rate of Premium membership to more than 55%. By the end of the first half year, our 888 mature clubs had an average of 3,301 memberships. Together with a further gradual increase in the average revenue per member per month, this looks promising for our group profitability in the second half of the year. In a few minutes, Hans will give some further details on mature clubs' performance. Let's go to the next slide on our Premium membership growth. Last year, we told you that we were intensifying our efforts to increase the higher price Premium membership uptake, as we believe it is an effective tool to help increase the average revenue per membership per month.

This, of course, to help mitigate rising club operating costs due to inflation and high energy costs in 2023. From last year's second quarter onwards, we have intensified our efforts to promote our Premium membership, and since the second half of 2022, this has resulted in an uninterrupted Premium membership uptake of over 50%. In the first half of 2023, we reintroduced the Comfort membership at the price of EUR 24.99 per four weeks in all countries except for Spain, and stopped offering the lower price Basic membership. The new Comfort membership gives access to all clubs in a country, while the Basic membership gave only single club access. After the reintroduction of the Comfort membership, we witnessed a further increase in the Premium uptake rate to more than 55%.

If the trend continues, I believe that by year-end, we will have a Premium penetration rate of more than 45%. More Premium memberships and our new pricing structure are expected to result in an average revenue per member per month of at least EUR 23.50 for the full year. This compares to EUR 23.13, realized in the first six months of the year. That brings me to my last slide about our club rollout plans. This slide should look to you familiar. As you can see, we continue to have a full club opening pipeline. Year to date, we have already added a net of 107 clubs to our network. The next period, with large number of openings, is in the second half of August and the beginning of September, when we expect that we will open around 70 clubs.

For the full year, we will grow our network by at least 200 clubs compared to 2022. I'm excited about Germany, where we are now at eight clubs, but where we have a pipeline of 65 clubs that we plan to open in the next 18 months. This concludes my part of the presentation. I now hand it over to Hans for the financial review.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Thank you, René. Total revenue increased by 41% to EUR 500 million, which is in line with our expectations and also explains why we are comfortable to expect full year revenue of more than EUR 1 billion. Growth in revenue was achieved thanks to the combination of a higher average number of memberships in the period and a higher average revenue per member per month of EUR 23.13, compared to EUR 22.22 in the same period last year. Of the three cost buckets that we distinguish within club operating costs, other club operating costs experienced the highest increase with 50%. Besides rising costs due to a growing club network, other club operating costs were, as expected, impacted by a strong increase in energy costs. On average, energy costs per club were double the amount of a year ago.

In December 2022, we announced that considering the energy price developments during the year and the outlook for this year, we had signed a fixed unit price contract for 100% of our electricity consumption in France for this year. Combined with energy contracts already in place in other countries, this means that about 75% of our expected energy consumption this year has a fixed but considerably higher price. For 2023 as a whole, we give guidance for an average energy bill per club of around EUR 55,000, compared to around EUR 25,000 historically. I'm glad to say that recently, we were able to sign more favorable energy contracts for France for next year and for 2025.

Based on these much lower prices, and taking into account the fixed prices for part of our consumption in other countries, we expect the average energy bill by club will drop from EUR 55,000 per club this year to around EUR 35,000 per club in 2024 and 2025. In total, we have fixed prices for around 70% of our consumption for these two years. Club personnel costs rose by 31%. Besides, again, higher costs due to our growing network, costs were also up due to the raises as from the first of January in all our markets, except for Belgium. The raises were largely based on the prevailing inflation rates in our countries and somewhat extra elevated by the so-called Macron bonus that we paid to our personnel in France in June.

We were able to mitigate the impact of higher salaries somewhat by increasing the amount of unstaffed hours in the majority of our Benelux clubs. Overall, average club wages are expected to increase in the high single digits in 2023. Club rent costs rose 90% as a result of our growing club network, also due to rent indexations. We continue to have a broad mix of contracts. In the Benelux, we have a lot of contracts with the cap, while in France, this is not possible. Luckily, the French government influences the outcome of the indexation to the benefit of the tenant. Overall, average club rents are expected to increase in the mid-single digits in 2023. Overhead expenses increased by 19% to EUR 70 million. The increase reflects our growing organization, including our expansion into Germany and higher rent and personnel costs due to inflation.

Marketing expenses were around 6% of revenue. As you would expect from us, we continue to invest in our IT capabilities, in remote facility systems, and in our very successful Basic-Fit member app, which is already used in two-thirds of all club visits. Compared to a year ago, we employ more people in areas such as legal, IT, and sustainability. A new development has been the creation of an energy department. Our underlying EBITDA, which is EBITDA, adjusted for exceptional items and minus invoice rent costs, increased by 83% to EUR 110 million. As a percentage of revenue, our underlying EBITDA increased with 5 percentage points to 22%. Finance costs were up as a result of higher average level of bank debt at higher rates than in the previous year, and a EUR 4.1 million non-cash negative swing in interest rate swaps.

I would also like to point out that our finance costs include a EUR 4.5 million non-cash interest accrual related to the convertible bond. Bottom line, under IFRS accounting, we recorded a small loss of EUR 6 million. On an underlying basis, we went from a loss of EUR 21 million last year to a profit of EUR 2.4 million this year. Lastly, I'm happy to mention that on an IFRS basis, we recorded a profit in the second quarter of 2023. Let's go to the next slide on mature club development. As you all know, we consider a club mature if it is at least 24 months old at the start of the year. Because of the pandemic, we reported in 2022 only on the approximately 500 clubs that were mature before the start of the pandemic in March 2020.

Because of our strong recovery, since the lifting of all COVID-19 restrictions during 2022, we returned to the original mature club reporting as from the first half of this year. That means that we will report on 888 mature clubs. These 888 mature clubs ended the first half with an average of 3,301 memberships. This is a strong achievement if you compare it with a smaller group of around 500 clubs that reported an average of 3,138 memberships at the end of June in 2022. At the end of this first half, our 880 clubs represent 68% of our total club base.

In the first half of 2023, the revenue of our mature clubs accounted for roughly 80% of group revenue. Let's go to the next slide on cash flow and capital expenditure. Our cash generation capabilities are almost back at the pre-COVID level. In the first half year, we're recording an operating cash conversion of 79%, which is very close to the 83% that we achieved in the first half of 2019, and well above the 46% of the first half of last year. The amount of CapEx that we spent on a new club was EUR 1.21 million. This amount is in line with our expectations. For the full year, we continue to expect average CapEx of new clubs to be around EUR 1.2 million.

Please keep in mind that regardless of the initial CapEx for a club, we only sign a lease contract for a new club when we expect to achieve a ROIC of at least 30%. Average maintenance CapEx per club amounted to EUR 90,000, compared to EUR 30,000 last year. The somewhat lower spend this first half year is the result of a different phasing compared to last year. For the medium term, we expect maintenance CapEx to remain around EUR 55,000 per club per year. Other CapEx amounted to EUR 6.9 million and is mainly related to ongoing investments in software and innovations. One such development is, of course, our successful Basic-Fit app, which is already used in two-thirds of our club visits. Let's go to the next slide about our balance sheet. Working capital was minus EUR 168 million at the end of the first half.

As a percentage of the rolling 12-month revenue, working capital was 18%, which is comparable to the percentages we recorded in 2019 before the COVID-19 period. Net debt, including the convertible bond, was EUR 767 million at the end of the first half, compared to EUR 694 million at the end of 2022. The increase reflects our club openings program, which we were not yet able to finance entirely from our strong cash generation in the first half of the year. Our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio came in at 2.57x . For the full year, I expect a ratio of less than 2.5x . I'm happy to mention that a relic from the COVID-19 period, the government-backed facility, has been fully repaid. The amount concerned was EUR 13.3 million.

In the remainder of 2023, no further other debt repayments will be made. In June 2023, we announced that we successfully completed an amount and extent of our existing term and revolving facilities agreement. The new agreement consists of EUR 250 million term loan and EUR 400 million revolving facility, totaling EUR 650 million, which is an increase of EUR 50 million compared to the situation before. In addition, the agreement includes a new uncommitted revolving facility, accordion, of up to EUR 150 million. The maturities of the facilities have been extended to June 2027, with the option to request further extension by one year in each of the coming two years to ultimately 2029. At the end of June, available liquidity amounted to EUR 138 million, which allows us to continue our club growth program.

Now for the final slide of our presentation, the full year outlook. For the full year, we expect to grow our club network by at least 200 clubs to 1,400, and we reiterate our expectation of revenue of at least EUR 1 billion. We also foresee a substantially higher underlying EBITDA for the second half of 2023, as compared to the first half of 2023. This is the result of the increasing revenue per club, whilst the cost base remains relatively stable. Drivers of revenue and EBITDA growth will be further membership growth to at least 3.8 million per year end, in combination with a further gradual increase in the average revenue per member per month to at least EUR 23.5 over the full year.

Our 888 mature clubs are expected to achieve a ROIC of well over 30% this year. This concludes the presentation. Operator, please open the lines for questions.

Operator

If you would like to ask a question at this time, please press star one, followed by the digit one on your telephone keypad. Please ensure that the mute function on your telephone is switched off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. If you find that your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. Again, please press star one to ask questions. We will take the first question from line, [Hans Pluijgers from Kepler Cheuvreux. The line is open now, please go ahead.

Hans Pluijgers
Managing Director and Head of Benelux Equity Research and Director and Head of Research Marketing, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes, morning, gentlemen. Oh, sorry. Good afternoon, gentlemen. It's already been a long day for me. Looking at your guidance for H2, for the EBITDA, you're saying a strong, substantial increase. What are the key drivers? Is that purely coming from the top line, or do you also see, let's say, some, let's say, potential to have somewhat lower costs? You already indicated that for the energy cost, that's not the case, but maybe from some other costs. Could you give maybe some feeling on that? On the cash flow, yeah, for this year, 200 club openings. I understand also for next year, you, let's say, aim more, let's say, for 200. When do you expect to become cash flow positive? Could you already see that for next year?

What could, let's say, determine that picture? Lastly, on your full year yield guidance of at least 23.5%, that looks quite conservative. Could you give maybe some building blocks on the different items there? Premium membership and the impact from recent price increases? How do you come to the 23.5%?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, good afternoon, Hans. Good questions again from you. If you look at the guidance for the first half year, you have to understand that, if you look at the first half year, the impact of the inflation, of the raise, increase of the cost was immediately there. In January, we had a higher cost of the salaries, the higher cost of energy, and also the higher rent. We increased the prices to mitigate those effects for new members. It's an ingrowing, gradual ingrowth of new members, a growing amount of new members who pay the higher price. It's clear that all the costs will be more stable, so we don't expect more cost increases in the second half year.

The members, new members, a growing amount of members, and also a growing amount of members who pay higher yield, will make sure that we'll have a higher EBITDA in the second half year than we've seen in the first half year. Go back to your second question, cash flow positive. Well, it's a repeating question. We expect to be cash flow positive in 2024 and also already in the last quarter of 2023. Of course, that's always based on the amount of openings. If you stick to the 200 openings for 2024 and also for 2023, we expect to be cash flow positive in Q4 2023 and also over 2024.

Hans Pluijgers
Managing Director and Head of Benelux Equity Research and Director and Head of Research Marketing, Kepler Cheuvreux

Sorry, maybe on that, I assume that for Q4, that's purely to do with the fact that you have, let's say, your openings squeeze more into Q3.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yes.

Hans Pluijgers
Managing Director and Head of Benelux Equity Research and Director and Head of Research Marketing, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yeah. Okay, thanks. On the yield?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, the yield is a combination of the existing prices and in growth of new members for the new prices and the development of the Premium membership. Of course, it is, we can't calculate it very on a detailed basis, but if you look at what we see now in the in growth of the new members and also the in growth of the Premium, we're very confident that we can get the yield to at least EUR 23.50 at the end of the year.

Hans Pluijgers
Managing Director and Head of Benelux Equity Research and Director and Head of Research Marketing, Kepler Cheuvreux

Is it logical to assume that of the increase, let's say, slightly more than a majority, has to come from the Premium membership shift?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, it will be, both the yield increase will be caused by higher Premium, as we see now. The Premium, we gave guidance that the Premium uptake would be 50%, now it's more 55%, and also the shift from existing members to new members.

Hans Pluijgers
Managing Director and Head of Benelux Equity Research and Director and Head of Research Marketing, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thanks.

Operator

Thank you. We will take the next question from line, Kris Kippers from Petercam. The line is open now, please go ahead.

Kris Kippers
Co-Head of the Sell-Side Equity Research, Degroof Petercam

Yes, good afternoon. Thank you, gentlemen, for the explanation already. I've got two questions from my side. Firstly, membership growth. We've seen a slowdown, Q1 versus Q2, so quite flattish in Q2. Just wondering, what do you see there in terms of trends? Is there something that we can still expect in Q3, or what's the reason for this change versus Q1? Secondly, my question is actually on the liquidity position, short, slightly shorter from the EUR 40 million. To what extent is this a picture that is a bit like, you know, you shorten your balance sheet probably at reporting dates, so does it give you a lot of margin enough to do everything what you want to do, or could you shed some more light on that, on shrinking the balance sheet on reporting date?

Thank you.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Well, I would take the first question. I think the membership growth in the second quarter was in line with what we expected. We had a lot of joiners in Q1, 2022. And in Q1, 2022, we also gave one, two, or three months for free at the start of that season. What you see typically is that around 14 months later, you have a lot of leavers because the 12-month contract finish, and then, let's say, more than two-third of the people who joined stop, and one third who really like to work out, stay for two, three, four or five years. In that way, we have an average length of stay of 23 months.

We had a lot of leavers because we had a lot of joiners in Q1 2022. That's one part. The second part is the situation in France, which was not very helpful.

Kris Kippers
Co-Head of the Sell-Side Equity Research, Degroof Petercam

Okay. Thank you.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, on the liquidity- we reported, of course, that we have available liquidity of EUR 138. Of course, we manage our balance sheet, but not in that way that we have more liquidity at reporting dates. I think the EUR 138, also with the uncommitted credit line, we still have available, the EUR 150 million accordion. We have ample liquidity to fund our growth expectations. As I said, as from 2024, we expect to be cash flow positive, and then we will be able to fund our growth with our own cash that we operate. If you look at the slide that we presented, you already see that we have a cash operating for outcome from 79%. That's almost 83% that we had pre-COVID.

We can really look at the cash conversion that we have and use that cash conversion to grow. We don't see any risk there in liquidity. EUR 138 million available liquidity is more than enough to fund our growth program for the coming year.

Kris Kippers
Co-Head of the Sell-Side Equity Research, Degroof Petercam

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will take the next question from line, Marc Zwartsenburg from ING. The line is open now, please go ahead.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Good afternoon, Hans, and Emily, Richard, of course. A couple of questions. Maybe to start with Hans on the net debt, to start with. You ended up a bit higher, say EUR 30 million higher than last year, at the end of 2022. You expect to be cash flow positive in Q4, obviously you will have a significantly higher EBITDA in the second half. Given the take that the number of openings is similar to Q1, should we then expect that your net debt will move down quite significantly, maybe towards the level that we've seen at the end of 2022? Is that correct conclusion?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, that's a correct conclusion. If we will be cash flow positive, of course, it depends on the timing of the opening. As you know, Mark, sometimes we can't influence the date that we open the club because we are depending on French, especially in France, that's an issue, on French government to do the inspection. If everything goes like we planned, then, we'll have less openings in Q4, our net debt should go down. Then we're cash flow positive, our net debt should go down.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah. Clear. Clear. Maybe again, on the liquidity, Kris also asked about it. Just so I understand it correctly, currently, you're at EUR 138, at least at the end of June. That's only slightly lower than at the end of last year. To my understanding, did you include some new liquidity facilities in there, or to be, is the EUR 50 million of extended credit lines in there now, or is there still a part that's not included in your liquidity numbers because they're not yet, how do you call it? Conditional, let's put it that way.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

The EUR 50 million extra credit line that we got in the last month is included in that EUR 138 million available liquidity.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Do you still have some standby on top of that?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

The EUR 150 million is the accordion, that's uncommitted, and that's a standby facility. That's uncommitted, so we only include a committed facility, and that's extra, the EUR 50 million that we got extra. Of course, it's timing, right?

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

It's the June the thirtieth when we pay the clubs that are opened. More clubs open, we pay more. It's all based on the club opening program that we see in the first month.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah. If needed, you can draw the other EUR 150 million as well. That's why you're so confident on the.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, to be clear, it's there, but it's uncommitted, so we have to get approval from the banks. They're very cooperative, we don't see any problem there.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah. Yeah. Given that you have quite some liquidity available, and plus, you extended it, would you also consider then to open more gyms next year than the 200 you currently foresee?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, there's someone sitting next to me nodding very.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Yes, Marc.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

We still have a difficult situation in Europe. As you know, the geopolitical situation is not that clear yet. If everything normalizes again, then we can look at our opening program again. For this year and also for coming years, we are looking now at the 200 club openings. If everything normalizes and everything goes, you know, economic situation normalizes and also the geopolitical situation normalizes, we can look at that again.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Okay, well, maybe, additionally to that, is there also some M&A possible? What is the market situation there? Because I understood previously, they were all asking to crazy prices. Is the situation in Spain any different now, or is the situation in Germany, because those are the office markets, of course? Did anything change there that we might see M&A returning?

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

I think, when you're talking about M&A, that will not directly happen in, let's say, the Benelux. If you look at the M&A possibilities in, for example, Spain or Germany, that would make sense. We are focusing still on opening new clubs, since that is the more easy and positive way to go. If something comes to market and it is interesting, we will definitely focus on it, and we will take the opportunity if it's there.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah. Okay, clear. On the, on the energy cost, did I hear correctly that currently 70% of your energy costs are fixed? Did I hear that correctly, or is it 100% now?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

No, it's 70%. 70%. We still have, in France, it's 100% fixed for the biggest market, but for the Benelux, and also in Spain, it's partly fixed. In the total, for the total group, it's 70% fixed.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

For 2024 and 2025, for two years.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Given that 30% is still floating, are you not afraid that you might get quite a specific item long term out? Is there a risk that you might miss it, or?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, As I said, we have a new energy department in place, and we're constantly monitoring the prices, so we're constantly monitoring that. If we think it's a big risk... In my opinion, we should fix them up to 100%. That's my preference. We definitely look at all the prices and development of the prices. At this moment, we still have low prices and what the market says, it's still expected to be low prices for the coming months. We definitely.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah, it could be that you fix them also in the second half somewhere.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Yes.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

It's possible.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

That's correct.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Okay. Okay. One on the membership development, yeah, obviously, Q2 was a bit, yeah, lower than maybe expected, for the reasons you mentioned. For the second half of the year, you're quite cautious, eh? I know it's an at least, but why are you so cautious in that 3.8? Because it basically suggests that's 100K less than what the market was expecting and what you would normally expect also from pre-COVID in growth trends. What is causing your caution there? Is it because the churn is a bit volatile, or are you just not sure about the timing of the club openings? Because you were quite specific that it is second half, August, September, so what's causing that?

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, I think it is more or less in line what we expected beginning of this year. The big difference is France, where it was a bit a rough period, where yeah, there was a lot of instability there for a while. Of course, if everything returns to normal there, that would be helpful for us, since we have more than 50% of our clubs in France. But I think with the 3.8 million and the mature clubs on the 3,300, we're pretty much in line that what we expected when we started the year. For us, it was not a big surprise that it was lower.

The thing is, with the Premium membership, there are also a lot of people buying, who used to maybe have two membership in one family, taking now the Premium membership. That is also, with that percentage going up, you also see some people living on the same address, going back to their Premium membership. It's a combination of things.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Is it driven by the price increase of the Comfort, that the differences are small, that people say, "Well, I just take the Premium?" And

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Yeah. Not really for the existing members, because we didn't change their price yet. still paying EUR 19.99. I would say with the 3.8 million members and the 1,400 clubs, I think it is a good number for our mature and immature clubs.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Okay. All right. Well, those were my questions. Maybe I have a few follow-ups, but, thanks so far.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Thank you, Mark. Have a nice holiday.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah, I, we still need another week.

Operator

Thank you. We will take the next question from line, Ed Young from Morgan Stanley. The line is open now, please go ahead.

Ed Young
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Good afternoon. My first question was on Germany. You've obviously got a reasonable pipeline now to open over the next 18 months, and you said you've seen trends in that market. I wonder if you could just give us a bit of color on what exactly you have seen, and perhaps you could talk about what you found the differences in the German market versus your other markets, that gives you that conviction that it's looking positive for you.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Well, we, the first six months we had six clubs open, and we opened two then in the last two weeks. We have now eight clubs in Germany open. If you look at the German market, it is a very good market for us. There's more than 80 million people living there. There's another really big market leader in Germany. The biggest chain is a franchise chain, but charging more than what we are charging, and the other one is, of course, McFit, but they have, like, 180 clubs, which is on eight, more than 80 million people, not really a lot.

Of course, the main driver for being successful in any country is having a lot of clubs there, because the main driver is having a club close to where you live or where you work. We think with the fitness penetration at this moment of 12%, 13% in Germany, which is a very strong economy, that percentage could easily go up to the 17%, 18% what we see in the Netherlands. If you calculate that on 80 million inhabitants, then you have a huge upside and potential to open clubs. I personally have been in Germany already with the HealthCity brand for 15 years.

The members there are more sticky, so the length of stay is much longer than in other European countries. That is very important. If you look at our competitors, they're growing extremely slow. If you look to their growth in the last five years, well, we will do more in one year. We have had a lot of questions about Germany, why it's going so slow. If you compare it to the questions we had about Spain, we had the same questions. We also, when we started in Spain, we also had questions constantly, "Why are you going so slow?" If we go back to when we got listed, also in France, it took three years before we had 20 clubs.

We also had then the question constantly, "Why are you going so slow, and is it really a good market?" It is a good market. We've seen that it is a good market. And we are convinced that Germany is at least as good as France is. We are very optimistic. We see a great opportunity for us in Germany. Main reason, good economy, people used to direct debit, sticky members, not very aggressive competitors, growing really slow. A lot of possibilities for us. We think we can really drive the fitness penetration up in Germany.

Ed Young
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Very useful. Thank you. My second one was on founder memberships. You're using them more, or perhaps you're using them more openly. Can you just talk about the rationale for why you're using them in that way and, and what you're sort of seeing from them?

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, well, we constantly trying new things to get to get the in growth quicker. The thing is, if you open a new club and you start with only, let's say, 100 members, the members who joined think, "Well, I maybe joined the wrong location, because I'm one of the few ones who entered here." It's like a restaurant. Like, if you go into a restaurant where a lot of people are, you typically think, "Okay, that must be the good restaurant to join." We prefer to start with more customers, so we are really pushing and trying hard to get more members in the first month when we open.

What we typically do is, in the past, give two or three months if you sign up pre-opening. We stepped more or less away from that. In the last six months, you didn't see any of our advertising anymore with two months for free or something like that. We now give discount, say, it's EUR 9.99 from the start, something like that. We continue to keep trying new things. This founding membership is something we've done already, by the way, 10 years ago, so it's not completely new. We are pushing it hard now on quite some clubs. It is working. It is not a huge or great success, but it's definitely better for us than what we see in giving two or three months away.

We will, for now, continue with this founding membership and trying to optimize it, make it better, get it better, and, get that starting member base up in the first month.

Ed Young
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. my third question was on churn. You said that churn is now back to 4% in pre-COVID levels. You expect it to stay there. You've got some various moving parts. You've obviously put through a price rise, you've referenced the macroeconomic situation, you said there's volatility in France. I guess what gives you the conviction, or can you help us get conviction that that churn couldn't perhaps get worse over the coming months? Are you seeing any signs that are starting to abate, or what is it that you're looking for, what is it gives you confidence it'll stay at that level?

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Just by looking at what happened in the last eight years and what is happening currently, of course, the old member base are paying a lot less. For them, it is not. It's interesting to stay on their old paying system. We do see that the member base. What I said before is that if you have a lot of joiners, let's say, in February 2022, you will have also a lot of leavers 14 months later. 2/3 of the people who join stop after the first 12 months. That other group is really staying and staying for three, four, five, six, seven years.

That's why also the main reason why our mature clubs are more successful than new clubs, is that the new clubs, every time, has those 2/3 leaving, while the mature clubs who are there already for 10 years or 15 years, have a big group of old members. People are typically joining, stopping after two, three or four years, and then waiting for two, three years, and then joining again. If you have an old member base, that is really helpful, because they keep coming back, because they know the club, they know where the door is, they know the equipment, they know some people there. Older clubs are always more successful than newer clubs, because newer clubs have a bigger group of turning. Yes, we are comfortable that it will be around 4%.

It could be 3.5, could be 4.5, some months, but around this 4.5%, because what we have been seeing for years before COVID-19, and we see it now again, even though we have had huge growth in members in the last 18 months.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Actually, we're very happy with the churn just being 4% in the second quarter. As I mentioned, we had a lot of joiners in the first and second quarter of last year. Typically, you see most leavers after 12 months. If you look at the churn numbers that we had in the second quarter, they were actually very good. What was helpful, that existing members kept on paying the old prices, and new members, only the price increases were done for new members. Canceling your membership doesn't make sense if you pay a lower membership fee. The new prices doesn't have any impact on the churn, and it has a positive impact on controlling the churn. We are very comfortable with the 4% churn.

Ed Young
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay, thank you. I've got two more quick ones, if that's possible. One just on the RCF and the sort of refi. When you refinanced, you sort of extended and amended, but you essentially kept the debt structure very similar to previously, with a sort of drawn RCF. Is there any reason why you kept it in that way, rather than, you know, wrapping that into a term loan and moving back to an undrawn RCF or moving the components around? Is there anything you're signaling by having a drawn RCF? Is it because you expect to pay it down as you become self-funding, or is it because you expect to raise debt elsewhere?

Is there any rhyme or reason to it, or is it just that it was similar to what you had, and so it was easier to do?

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

It was easier to do, it was similar to what we had. Doing an amend and extend is obviously more easy if you continue with the same structure. Of course, it's also important that we are flexible. If you have a revolving facility, and if you are cash flow positive, then we don't have to pay the interest on those the amount that we have. It's the flexibility that gives us enough reason to stay with the same structure as we had before. We are very happy with the revolving facility. We're also very happy with the cooperation of all our banks and the support they gave us. We are very happy that we could amend and extend the existing facility. We didn't see any reason to change that.

Ed Young
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Understood. A final one, if I may. You've got a Capital Markets Day later this year. Why are you holding it? What are you hoping to be able to talk about in more detail?

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

We have typical things. We have a few things that we have been working on, that we want to explain to analysts and investors. There will be a few new topics that we have been focusing on for a while, that we want to explain. Just to because we have a certain important growth period. September, October and January, February, of course, are the growth periods. We want to also explain because before COVID started, we said we would do between 200 and 300 clubs a year. Now, we're more focusing to the 200, because we think being having enough cash in this period is important. Yeah, we want to explain our, how we look at the situation, end of this year, and explain also all the new things we have been working on.

Ed Young
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Thank you.

Operator

We will take the next question from line, [Tuur Pluijgers] from Berenberg. The line is open now, please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Hello. Hi, hope you can hear me. Thank you.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Welcome.

Speaker 9

Very quick question from my side. Just looking at consensus on underlying EBITDA, we're on average right now on, at EUR 302 million for the full year. Do you just still feel comfortable with this consensus, or do you have any comment on this? Thank you.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Yeah, the comment is that we don't want to give guidance on the EBITDA. What we said, we want to give guidance on the revenue and the amount of clubs that we want to open, and that our mature clubs will continue to perform above the 30% ROIC that we set. That's the only guidance that we want to give. Based on those numbers, the analysts can do their work and come with their estimation of the EBITDA, but we don't want to give any guidance on that.

Speaker 9

That's very fair. Thank you. Have a great day.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Thank you very much, Thor.

Operator

We have reached the end of today's conference. I would like to hand it back over to your host, Mr. Richard Piekaar, for closing remarks. Please go ahead, sir.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Thank you, Caroline, and thank you everyone for joining us today, with our conference call. If there are any, follow-up questions, please don't hesitate to give, John David or me a call, and we're happy to continue the discussion. With that, this ends the call, and, I would like to wish you a very happy day.

Hans van der Aar
CFO, Basic-Fit

Thank you very much.

René Moos
CEO, Basic-Fit

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you for joining today's conference. You may now disconnect.

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